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艳阳满天

艳阳满天

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2017-11-28

$迅雷(XNET)$ 总算回了点本 #晒盈亏得研报#

2020-09-03

$哔哩哔哩(BILI)$oo

2017-10-20

$趣店(QD)$ 为啥现在做空都卖不出去了，即使价格OK。

2025-01-08

$上证指数(000001.SH)$

2024-10-15

$上证指数(000001.SH)$

2024-08-15

这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看

@期权叨叨虎:阿里财报来了！预期股价小波动该怎么做？

2023-11-13

$阿里巴巴-SW(09988)$

2023-01-06

$尚乘数科(HKD)$ 历史最高2555.3[惊吓] [惊吓] [惊吓]

2022-12-16

$阿里巴巴(BABA)$

2022-11-23

$小鹏汽车(XPEV)$

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data-views=\"0\"></v-v>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000001.SH\">$上证指数(000001.SH)$&nbsp;</a><v-v data-views=\"0\"></v-v>&nbsp;","text":"$上证指数(000001.SH)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/360105756803184","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1573,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":338427021091208,"gmtCreate":1723661042365,"gmtModify":1723661044499,"author":{"id":"3449872976987540","authorId":"3449872976987540","name":"艳阳满天","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fd87085fac6cec9c932d0a0d86cf77f2","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3449872976987540","authorIdStr":"3449872976987540"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/338427021091208","repostId":"338342418149552","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":338342418149552,"gmtCreate":1723613057125,"gmtModify":1723629965196,"author":{"id":"4142574206948102","authorId":"4142574206948102","name":"期权叨叨虎","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87212d005a0736e14fa8b5e673df8099","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4142574206948102","authorIdStr":"4142574206948102"},"themes":[],"title":"阿里财报来了！预期股价小波动该怎么做？","htmlText":"阿里巴巴将于美东时间8月15日盘前发布2025财年第一季度业绩。根据市场一致预期，阿里将在最新季度实现营收2474.51亿元，同比增加5.68%；预期每股收益12.19元，同比减少8.34%。机构普遍看好阿里本次业绩表现，618大促期间淘天成绩斐然，GMV趋势向好；同时，随着下半财年全站推广上线，货币化率将止跌回升。阿里财报的亮点将落脚于GMV及货币化率。机构预计本季度GMV将同比升约9%，在线上居民零售消费不断修复的背景下，阿里以“规模和市场份额为首要目标”的战略方向，并在价格力、内容化和用户体验的持续投入，使得淘天GMV增速与大盘差距持续缩窄，份额趋稳。另外，几大利好因素聚集，阿里巴巴的货币化率也有望持续改善。首先，4月16日阿里妈妈发布全站推广，随着这款面向中小商家的广告工具全量投入使用，带动中小卖家店铺交易额全面提升，这可能成为淘系增长新飞轮的关键引擎。另外，双重主要上市、纳入港股通、回购动态将是接下来阿里的关注焦点。杰富瑞指出，阿里巴巴将迎来更多股价上行的“催化剂”。该行预计，阿里8月24日完成双重主要上市后，9月24日有潜在纳入“港股通”机会；另外，公司上半财年已回购106亿美元股份，仍有余下261亿美元回购额度，回购进展将持续提振投资者信心。历次财报季股价表现如何？根据Market Chameleon，回测过去12个季度业绩日，阿里在业绩发布当天下跌概率较高，约为67%，股价平均变动为±5.8%，最大跌幅为-11.1%，最大涨幅为+14.8%。当前，阿里的隐含变动为±5.8%，表明期权市场押注其绩后单日涨跌幅达5.8%；对比来看，阿里前4季度的绩后平均股价变动为±6.4%，当前期权价值被小幅低估。在此次阿里巴巴财报行情中，基于阿里巴巴前4季度的绩后平均股价变动为6.4%，可以利用阿里巴巴的波动幅度，用期权策略从中获利。宽跨式策略是什么？做多宽跨式期权中，投资者","listText":"阿里巴巴将于美东时间8月15日盘前发布2025财年第一季度业绩。根据市场一致预期，阿里将在最新季度实现营收2474.51亿元，同比增加5.68%；预期每股收益12.19元，同比减少8.34%。机构普遍看好阿里本次业绩表现，618大促期间淘天成绩斐然，GMV趋势向好；同时，随着下半财年全站推广上线，货币化率将止跌回升。阿里财报的亮点将落脚于GMV及货币化率。机构预计本季度GMV将同比升约9%，在线上居民零售消费不断修复的背景下，阿里以“规模和市场份额为首要目标”的战略方向，并在价格力、内容化和用户体验的持续投入，使得淘天GMV增速与大盘差距持续缩窄，份额趋稳。另外，几大利好因素聚集，阿里巴巴的货币化率也有望持续改善。首先，4月16日阿里妈妈发布全站推广，随着这款面向中小商家的广告工具全量投入使用，带动中小卖家店铺交易额全面提升，这可能成为淘系增长新飞轮的关键引擎。另外，双重主要上市、纳入港股通、回购动态将是接下来阿里的关注焦点。杰富瑞指出，阿里巴巴将迎来更多股价上行的“催化剂”。该行预计，阿里8月24日完成双重主要上市后，9月24日有潜在纳入“港股通”机会；另外，公司上半财年已回购106亿美元股份，仍有余下261亿美元回购额度，回购进展将持续提振投资者信心。历次财报季股价表现如何？根据Market 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