rambo的个人主页 - 老虎社区

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04-25

完犊子了，黑色星期四+黑色星期五

美国一季度GDP低于预期，核心PCE物价指数大幅反弹

04-20

$英伟达(NVDA)$ 这波看660

04-19

$纳指100ETF(QQQ)$ 一步到位到400吧，全仓抄底

04-10

$纳指100ETF(QQQ)$ 就知道今天要跳水，10%跌幅起码

04-03

$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$ 最多跌10个点，下来就是机会

2021-12-14

$苹果(AAPL)$听说苹果公司成立党支部？有人了解吗？

2021-09-21

不是腰斩都不叫暴跌，跌20%很多吗？

外媒头条：大摩警告美股暴跌20%的可能性增大

2020-07-13

$特斯拉(TSLA)$空军呢？

2018-12-27

$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ 大家想想2015年大顶之后的反弹

2018-11-02

$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 买错方向就买错了，下次买对就行了

2018-11-02

$阿里巴巴(BABA)$ 超预期！！！

2018-11-02

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 我有秀过吗

2018-10-26

$英特尔(INTC)$ 没有止跌迹象....

2018-10-26

$英特尔(INTC)$ 今晚股灾

2018-10-26

$亚马逊(AMZN)$ 卧槽，，，，，跌出翔了，昨晚涨的还不够跌的

2018-10-09

$英特尔(INTC)$ 也该弹一弹了吧

2018-08-14

$特斯拉(TSLA)$空狗们还不赶紧认清现实？到时候又是一波虐杀，棺材本都没了

2018-08-08

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 空军们还好吗？

2018-08-02

$苹果(AAPL)$ 你这是要逼死空头啊

2018-08-02

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 空狗舒服了？

去老虎APP查看更多动态

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20:23","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"美国一季度GDP低于预期，核心PCE物价指数大幅反弹","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127824011","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"美国一季度实际GDP年化季环比初值 1.6%，预期 2.5%，前值 3.4%。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><strong>美国一季度实际GDP年化季环比初值 1.6%，为2023年Q1以来最低。预期 2.5%，前值 3.4%。</strong></p><p><strong>美国一季度个人消费支出(PCE)年化季环比初值 2.5%，预期 3%，前值 3.3%。</strong></p><p><strong>美国一季度核心个人消费支出(PCE)物价指数年化季环比初值 3.7%，为2023年Q2以来新高。预期 3.4%，前值 2%。</strong></p><p><strong>美国上周首次申请失业救济人数 20.7万人，预期 21.5万人，前值 21.2万人。</strong></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e6e6c297dd792d06ec125bf6453c9f2\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"956\" tg-height=\"547\"/></p><p>数据发布后，美股指数期货快速走低。美国国债收益率上升，美国10年期收益率最新报4.677%，美国30年期国债收益率升至4.81%，为去年11月9日以来新高。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/316226e441434b89a1300129e2f71e1f\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1166\" tg-height=\"641\"/></p><h4 id=\"id_1751176302\">数据解读</h4><p>据CME“美联储观察”：美联储5月维持利率不变的概率为99.7%（数据公布前为98.4%），加息25个基点的概率为0.3%。美联储到6月维持利率不变的概率为86%（数据公布前为79.9%），累计降息25个基点的概率为13.8%，累计加息25个基点的概率为0.2%。</p><p>财经网站Forexlive分析师Adam Button表示，在美国GDP数据公布后，市场预期美联储今年将仅降息41.5个基点，7月会议的降息概率在数据公布前大致为50%。值得注意的是，明天将公布PCE报告，市场正在调整押注，以适应更热经济数据。至于GDP数据本身，批发库存数据可能有助于解释一些差异，因为与该报告同时发布的美国3月批发库存月率下降了0.4%。<strong>不过，从表面上看，1.6%的年化增长率不会刺激由需求驱动的通胀。</strong></p><h4 id=\"id_3722986915\">个股盘前表现</h4><p><strong>Meta Platforms重挫超15%。</strong>尽管Meta第一季度业绩表现亮眼，<strong>但公司对当前财季的营收指引为365-390亿美元，区间中值显著低于市场预期的382亿美元</strong>。同时又将<strong>全年资本支出上沿从370亿美元提高至400亿美元</strong>，旨在进一步加速支持AI路线图的基础设施投资。公司还表示，预计明年的资本支出还要增加。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b85019e48a6b54bfa5d17c3fc6aac079\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"127\"/></p><p>苹果涨0.19%。最近在AI代码社区HuggingFace上发布了OpenELM大模型。该模型是一系列开源大型语言模型，具有不同的参数大小，可在端侧设备上运行。</p><p>好未来涨超6%。第四季度净营收4.296亿美元，同比增长60%，预估3.861亿美元。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e17184dbcc9f5101c2035f649ed7fef7\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"126\"/></p><p>美国航空涨逾4%，公司给出的Q2每股收益指引好于预期。</p><p>IBM大跌超9%。IBM第一季度营收144.6亿美元，同比增长1%，低于预期的145.5亿美元；期内咨询业务营收为52亿美元，同比下降0.2%。此外，IBM表示，公司已同意收购软件公司HashiCorp Inc.，这笔交易对该公司的企业估值为64亿美元。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36b4cb1f1ad20f9359e29cd0f18e6e20\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"129\"/></p><p>美光科技一度拉升，后转为下跌0.25%。消息称美光获得136亿美元的美国政府拨款和贷款。</p><p>卡特彼勒跌超4%。公司一季度营收157.99亿美元，不及市场预期。</p><p>西南航空跌逾6%。公司一季度营收63.3亿美元，不及市场预期。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美国一季度GDP低于预期，核心PCE物价指数大幅反弹</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美国一季度GDP低于预期，核心PCE物价指数大幅反弹\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-04-25 20:23</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p><strong>美国一季度实际GDP年化季环比初值 1.6%，为2023年Q1以来最低。预期 2.5%，前值 3.4%。</strong></p><p><strong>美国一季度个人消费支出(PCE)年化季环比初值 2.5%，预期 3%，前值 3.3%。</strong></p><p><strong>美国一季度核心个人消费支出(PCE)物价指数年化季环比初值 3.7%，为2023年Q2以来新高。预期 3.4%，前值 2%。</strong></p><p><strong>美国上周首次申请失业救济人数 20.7万人，预期 21.5万人，前值 21.2万人。</strong></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e6e6c297dd792d06ec125bf6453c9f2\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"956\" tg-height=\"547\"/></p><p>数据发布后，美股指数期货快速走低。美国国债收益率上升，美国10年期收益率最新报4.677%，美国30年期国债收益率升至4.81%，为去年11月9日以来新高。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/316226e441434b89a1300129e2f71e1f\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1166\" tg-height=\"641\"/></p><h4 id=\"id_1751176302\">数据解读</h4><p>据CME“美联储观察”：美联储5月维持利率不变的概率为99.7%（数据公布前为98.4%），加息25个基点的概率为0.3%。美联储到6月维持利率不变的概率为86%（数据公布前为79.9%），累计降息25个基点的概率为13.8%，累计加息25个基点的概率为0.2%。</p><p>财经网站Forexlive分析师Adam Button表示，在美国GDP数据公布后，市场预期美联储今年将仅降息41.5个基点，7月会议的降息概率在数据公布前大致为50%。值得注意的是，明天将公布PCE报告，市场正在调整押注，以适应更热经济数据。至于GDP数据本身，批发库存数据可能有助于解释一些差异，因为与该报告同时发布的美国3月批发库存月率下降了0.4%。<strong>不过，从表面上看，1.6%的年化增长率不会刺激由需求驱动的通胀。</strong></p><h4 id=\"id_3722986915\">个股盘前表现</h4><p><strong>Meta Platforms重挫超15%。</strong>尽管Meta第一季度业绩表现亮眼，<strong>但公司对当前财季的营收指引为365-390亿美元，区间中值显著低于市场预期的382亿美元</strong>。同时又将<strong>全年资本支出上沿从370亿美元提高至400亿美元</strong>，旨在进一步加速支持AI路线图的基础设施投资。公司还表示，预计明年的资本支出还要增加。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b85019e48a6b54bfa5d17c3fc6aac079\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"127\"/></p><p>苹果涨0.19%。最近在AI代码社区HuggingFace上发布了OpenELM大模型。该模型是一系列开源大型语言模型，具有不同的参数大小，可在端侧设备上运行。</p><p>好未来涨超6%。第四季度净营收4.296亿美元，同比增长60%，预估3.861亿美元。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e17184dbcc9f5101c2035f649ed7fef7\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"126\"/></p><p>美国航空涨逾4%，公司给出的Q2每股收益指引好于预期。</p><p>IBM大跌超9%。IBM第一季度营收144.6亿美元，同比增长1%，低于预期的145.5亿美元；期内咨询业务营收为52亿美元，同比下降0.2%。此外，IBM表示，公司已同意收购软件公司HashiCorp Inc.，这笔交易对该公司的企业估值为64亿美元。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36b4cb1f1ad20f9359e29cd0f18e6e20\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"129\"/></p><p>美光科技一度拉升，后转为下跌0.25%。消息称美光获得136亿美元的美国政府拨款和贷款。</p><p>卡特彼勒跌超4%。公司一季度营收157.99亿美元，不及市场预期。</p><p>西南航空跌逾6%。公司一季度营收63.3亿美元，不及市场预期。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4ee39e6b0f45214393093d70ba81a8","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127824011","content_text":"美国一季度实际GDP年化季环比初值 1.6%，为2023年Q1以来最低。预期 2.5%，前值 3.4%。美国一季度个人消费支出(PCE)年化季环比初值 2.5%，预期 3%，前值 3.3%。美国一季度核心个人消费支出(PCE)物价指数年化季环比初值 3.7%，为2023年Q2以来新高。预期 3.4%，前值 2%。美国上周首次申请失业救济人数 20.7万人，预期 21.5万人，前值 21.2万人。数据发布后，美股指数期货快速走低。美国国债收益率上升，美国10年期收益率最新报4.677%，美国30年期国债收益率升至4.81%，为去年11月9日以来新高。数据解读据CME“美联储观察”：美联储5月维持利率不变的概率为99.7%（数据公布前为98.4%），加息25个基点的概率为0.3%。美联储到6月维持利率不变的概率为86%（数据公布前为79.9%），累计降息25个基点的概率为13.8%，累计加息25个基点的概率为0.2%。财经网站Forexlive分析师Adam Button表示，在美国GDP数据公布后，市场预期美联储今年将仅降息41.5个基点，7月会议的降息概率在数据公布前大致为50%。值得注意的是，明天将公布PCE报告，市场正在调整押注，以适应更热经济数据。至于GDP数据本身，批发库存数据可能有助于解释一些差异，因为与该报告同时发布的美国3月批发库存月率下降了0.4%。不过，从表面上看，1.6%的年化增长率不会刺激由需求驱动的通胀。个股盘前表现Meta Platforms重挫超15%。尽管Meta第一季度业绩表现亮眼，但公司对当前财季的营收指引为365-390亿美元，区间中值显著低于市场预期的382亿美元。同时又将全年资本支出上沿从370亿美元提高至400亿美元，旨在进一步加速支持AI路线图的基础设施投资。公司还表示，预计明年的资本支出还要增加。苹果涨0.19%。最近在AI代码社区HuggingFace上发布了OpenELM大模型。该模型是一系列开源大型语言模型，具有不同的参数大小，可在端侧设备上运行。好未来涨超6%。第四季度净营收4.296亿美元，同比增长60%，预估3.861亿美元。美国航空涨逾4%，公司给出的Q2每股收益指引好于预期。IBM大跌超9%。IBM第一季度营收144.6亿美元，同比增长1%，低于预期的145.5亿美元；期内咨询业务营收为52亿美元，同比下降0.2%。此外，IBM表示，公司已同意收购软件公司HashiCorp Inc.，这笔交易对该公司的企业估值为64亿美元。美光科技一度拉升，后转为下跌0.25%。消息称美光获得136亿美元的美国政府拨款和贷款。卡特彼勒跌超4%。公司一季度营收157.99亿美元，不及市场预期。西南航空跌逾6%。公司一季度营收63.3亿美元，不及市场预期。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":50,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":297116926349544,"gmtCreate":1713567047433,"gmtModify":1713567048917,"author":{"id":"3449797421299402","authorId":"3449797421299402","name":"rambo","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a> 这波看660","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a> 这波看660","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$ 这波看660","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/297116926349544","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":271,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3500038331774042","authorId":"3500038331774042","name":"MOT","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7ac0ff5c3153ab4e33b884c247f79c68","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"兄弟，那你还是期待对折300一下吧","text":"兄弟，那你还是期待对折300一下吧","html":"兄弟，那你还是期待对折300一下吧"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":296921921138744,"gmtCreate":1713514101849,"gmtModify":1713514103183,"author":{"id":"3449797421299402","authorId":"3449797421299402","name":"rambo","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">$纳指100ETF(QQQ)$&nbsp;</a> 一步到位到400吧，全仓抄底","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">$纳指100ETF(QQQ)$&nbsp;</a> 一步到位到400吧，全仓抄底","text":"$纳指100ETF(QQQ)$ 一步到位到400吧，全仓抄底","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/296921921138744","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":457,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3450584604262141","authorId":"3450584604262141","name":"皓月繁星","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7637256da08d783bd54f4c08f6b6e1f","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":1},"content":"我赌到 400 你不加","text":"我赌到 400 你不加","html":"我赌到 400 你不加"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":293780981666008,"gmtCreate":1712754483014,"gmtModify":1712754484286,"author":{"id":"3449797421299402","authorId":"3449797421299402","name":"rambo","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">$纳指100ETF(QQQ)$&nbsp;</a> 就知道今天要跳水，10%跌幅起码","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">$纳指100ETF(QQQ)$&nbsp;</a> 就知道今天要跳水，10%跌幅起码","text":"$纳指100ETF(QQQ)$ 就知道今天要跳水，10%跌幅起码","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/293780981666008","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":160,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":291321967436064,"gmtCreate":1712149414596,"gmtModify":1712149415752,"author":{"id":"3449797421299402","authorId":"3449797421299402","name":"rambo","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$&nbsp;</a> 最多跌10个点，下来就是机会","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$&nbsp;</a> 最多跌10个点，下来就是机会","text":"$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$ 最多跌10个点，下来就是机会","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/291321967436064","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":217,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607020607,"gmtCreate":1639460630017,"gmtModify":1639460630017,"author":{"id":"3449797421299402","authorId":"3449797421299402","name":"rambo","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a>听说苹果公司成立党支部？有人了解吗？","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a>听说苹果公司成立党支部？有人了解吗？","text":"$苹果(AAPL)$听说苹果公司成立党支部？有人了解吗？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607020607","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1716,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3558129441615288","authorId":"3558129441615288","name":"好韭不贱贱","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cf9062908d1bfdf99b3652671f2028d3","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"content":"党支部只要三人是党员就可以成立吧。","text":"党支部只要三人是党员就可以成立吧。","html":"党支部只要三人是党员就可以成立吧。"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":860289259,"gmtCreate":1632182438371,"gmtModify":1632182438371,"author":{"id":"3449797421299402","authorId":"3449797421299402","name":"rambo","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"不是腰斩都不叫暴跌，跌20%很多吗？","listText":"不是腰斩都不叫暴跌，跌20%很多吗？","text":"不是腰斩都不叫暴跌，跌20%很多吗？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/860289259","repostId":"2169681401","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2169681401","pubTimestamp":1632173580,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2169681401?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-21 05:33","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"外媒头条：大摩警告美股暴跌20%的可能性增大","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2169681401","media":"新浪美股","summary":"　　摩根士丹利表示，随着一些经济指标开始恶化，美国股市可能会大幅回调。　　摩根士丹利首席美股策略师Mike Wilson在给客户的一份报告中表示，市场正处于“冰”与“火”方向的岔路口，并似乎开始走下坡路。　　摩根士丹利表示，可能延长市场下跌的因素包括盈利下调、消费者信心疲软以及采购经理人指数数据不佳。Wilson表示，新冠救助计划的结束可能会使经济恢复正常化的过程比许多人预期的更加艰难。","content":"<p><b>全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有：</b></p>\n<blockquote>\n <b>1、大摩：美股暴跌20%的可能性增大 市场正处“冰”与“火”岔路口</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>2、比特币一度重挫逾10% 萨尔瓦多总统坚信抄底必胜法</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>3、财经名嘴：美股“抛售期”可能会持续数周 逢低买入为时过早</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>4、美国新冠死亡人数超过百年前的大流感 专家称原本可以避免</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>5、美国9月住宅建筑商信心出现五个月来首次上升</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>6、比特币不像数字黄金 更像是高风险股票</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/18824185b7fe2d0f6f2926dbccbe1c0a\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"367\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><b>大摩：美股暴跌20%的可能性增大 市场正处“冰”与“火”岔路口</b></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>表示，随着一些经济指标开始恶化，美国股市可能会大幅回调。</p>\n<p>摩根士丹利首席美股策略师Mike Wilson在给客户的一份报告中表示，市场正处于“冰”与“火”方向的岔路口，并似乎开始走下坡路。</p>\n<p>摩根士丹利表示，可能延长市场下跌的因素包括盈利下调、消费者信心疲软以及采购经理人指数（PMI）数据不佳。Wilson表示，新冠救助计划的结束可能会使经济恢复正常化的过程比许多人预期的更加艰难。</p>\n<p>“鉴于这次衰退期间采取了非同寻常的财政刺激措施，我们担心，不可避免的增长减速将比目前预期的严重得多。这是‘冰’的情景，并可能会导致标普500指数出现比正常周期中期更大的过渡修正——即 20%的修正，”该报告称。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/efff1ba5fb6313b1cce4bfb7b8dde08f\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"378\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><b>比特币一度重挫逾10% 萨尔瓦多总统坚信抄底必胜法</b></p>\n<p>萨尔瓦多正在对目前下跌的比特币加倍押注，其总统表示，“如果逢低买入，那你就永远不可能被击败”。</p>\n<p>总统Nayib Bukele在社交媒体上写道，趁比特币最近的跌势，萨尔瓦多又买了150枚比特币，总数达到700枚。 其周日晚间发表上述评论，周一比特币跌势加速。</p>\n<p>自从Bukele在9月6日宣布首次购买比特币以来，该加密货币已经贬值约16%。按当前价格计算，萨尔瓦多所持的比特币总价值约3，100万美元。</p>\n<p>周一比特币和其他数字货币悉数下跌。比特币在纽约时段一度下跌10.7%至42522美元，创8月初以来最低水平。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e8b886bcbce58db0d0ab99eadfc3c689\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><b>财经名嘴：美股“抛售期”可能会持续数周 逢低买入为时过早</b></p>\n<p>财经媒体名嘴Jim Cramer周一表示，美国股市正处于“抛售期”，可能会持续数周，他建议投资者采取相应行动。</p>\n<p>“我们一直在告诉人们卖出股票。告诉人们抛售股票是不舒服的。我不会停止这样做。 我会继续认为人们应该卖出股票，”Cramer周一称。</p>\n<p>Cramer从上周五开始就一直在对9月下半月的美股表现发出警告。9月和10月通常是历史上最严重的季节性疲软时期。</p>\n<p>Cramer表示，他还没有看到股票的买入水平。一系列新出现的投资风险导致投资者普遍抛售，包括美国为提高债务上限的斗争以及美联储何时可能会开始减少债券购买等。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/791fc3e79a1358bba58eb2358d440b7c\" tg-width=\"480\" tg-height=\"329\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><b>美国新冠死亡人数超过百年前的大流感 专家称原本可以避免</b></p>\n<p>美国的Covid-19大流行病死亡人数在周一超过了1918年流感大流行，许多专家表示，在疫苗研制成功后，这种情况原本可以避免。</p>\n<p>根据约翰霍普金斯大学的数据，自大流行病爆发以来，美国报告的染疫死亡人数已经达到675446人，超过了一个世纪前流感大流行估计67.5万人的死亡人数。</p>\n<p>超越百年前大流感死亡人数是在Covid-19疫苗已经普及的背景下发生的。该疫苗以创纪录的速度研发成功，展示了过去一个世纪医学科学的非凡进步。然而，大约7000万符合条件的美国人拒绝了疫苗，其中许多人受到共和党政客和保守派媒体的鼓动而做出了这种选择。</p>\n<p>“有现代医药的情况下还有这么多人死亡真是令人痛苦，” Scripps Translational Research Institute的Eric Topol说，他指出1918年没有呼吸机或疫苗。“我们所看到的数字完全不是美国应该出现的。”</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11dcbff7c05da6d67fa4e33630eeba19\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p>\n<p><b>美国9月住宅建筑商信心出现五个月来首次上升</b></p>\n<p>美国住宅建筑商信心在9月份攀升，因木材价格下跌并且住房需求强劲。</p>\n<p>全国住宅建筑商协会（NAHB）/<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">富国银行</a>周一公布的数据显示，建筑商信心指数五个月来首次攀升，从8月的75升至76。媒体调查经济学家预期中值是略降至74。</p>\n<p>在建筑商因原材料价格下滑而获得喘息之际，房地产市场仍然强劲，并且房价继续上涨。NAHB表示，住房负担能力将是未来几个季度的一个关键挑战。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c82536c34df3d3bf81ffa9bb82406bf8\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"299\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><b>比特币不像数字黄金 更像是高风险股票</b></p>\n<p>当华尔街为加密货币辩护时，会大谈特谈投资多元化的好处。但是当金融市场下跌时，比特币却有一个令人尴尬的习惯：往往会追随市场一道下跌。</p>\n<p>比特币周一一度下挫11%。相关性分析显示，美国股市和比特币有较高的一致性，两者之间的关联度达到一年来的最高水平。</p>\n<p>一种解释是，比特币仍然是一种高波动性的投资目标，这意味着当投资者开始降低投资组合的风险时，他们就会开始抛售加密货币。</p>\n<p>加密货币交易所Luno驻新加坡的亚太区主管Vijay Ayyar表示，当前重大新闻事件的背景解释了为什么比特币和股票之间的联系更加紧密。他说，鉴于美联储即将开会讨论减码货币刺激，市场内存在着一些不确定性。</p>","source":"sina","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>外媒头条：大摩警告美股暴跌20%的可能性增大</title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n外媒头条：大摩警告美股暴跌20%的可能性增大\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-09-21 05:33 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2021-09-21/doc-iktzqtyt7164111.shtml><strong>新浪美股</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有：\n\n1、大摩：美股暴跌20%的可能性增大 市场正处“冰”与“火”岔路口\n\n\n2、比特币一度重挫逾10% 萨尔瓦多总统坚信抄底必胜法\n\n\n3、财经名嘴：美股“抛售期”可能会持续数周 逢低买入为时过早\n\n\n4、美国新冠死亡人数超过百年前的大流感 专家称原本可以避免\n\n\n5、美国9月住宅建筑商信心出现五个月来首次上升\n\n\n6、比特币不像数字黄金 更像是高风险...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2021-09-21/doc-iktzqtyt7164111.shtml\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d2488184ce4815610e2426c10250da75","relate_stocks":{"VIXY":"波动率短期期货指数ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯","UVXY":"1.5倍做多波动率指数短期期货ETF-ProShares","SVXY":"0.5倍做空波动率指数短期期货ETF","MS":"摩根士丹利","TVIX":"二倍做多VIX波动率指数短期期权ETN",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2021-09-21/doc-iktzqtyt7164111.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/b0d1b7e8843deea78cc308b15114de44","article_id":"2169681401","content_text":"全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有：\n\n1、大摩：美股暴跌20%的可能性增大 市场正处“冰”与“火”岔路口\n\n\n2、比特币一度重挫逾10% 萨尔瓦多总统坚信抄底必胜法\n\n\n3、财经名嘴：美股“抛售期”可能会持续数周 逢低买入为时过早\n\n\n4、美国新冠死亡人数超过百年前的大流感 专家称原本可以避免\n\n\n5、美国9月住宅建筑商信心出现五个月来首次上升\n\n\n6、比特币不像数字黄金 更像是高风险股票\n\n\n大摩：美股暴跌20%的可能性增大 市场正处“冰”与“火”岔路口\n摩根士丹利表示，随着一些经济指标开始恶化，美国股市可能会大幅回调。\n摩根士丹利首席美股策略师Mike Wilson在给客户的一份报告中表示，市场正处于“冰”与“火”方向的岔路口，并似乎开始走下坡路。\n摩根士丹利表示，可能延长市场下跌的因素包括盈利下调、消费者信心疲软以及采购经理人指数（PMI）数据不佳。Wilson表示，新冠救助计划的结束可能会使经济恢复正常化的过程比许多人预期的更加艰难。\n“鉴于这次衰退期间采取了非同寻常的财政刺激措施，我们担心，不可避免的增长减速将比目前预期的严重得多。这是‘冰’的情景，并可能会导致标普500指数出现比正常周期中期更大的过渡修正——即 20%的修正，”该报告称。\n\n比特币一度重挫逾10% 萨尔瓦多总统坚信抄底必胜法\n萨尔瓦多正在对目前下跌的比特币加倍押注，其总统表示，“如果逢低买入，那你就永远不可能被击败”。\n总统Nayib Bukele在社交媒体上写道，趁比特币最近的跌势，萨尔瓦多又买了150枚比特币，总数达到700枚。 其周日晚间发表上述评论，周一比特币跌势加速。\n自从Bukele在9月6日宣布首次购买比特币以来，该加密货币已经贬值约16%。按当前价格计算，萨尔瓦多所持的比特币总价值约3，100万美元。\n周一比特币和其他数字货币悉数下跌。比特币在纽约时段一度下跌10.7%至42522美元，创8月初以来最低水平。\n\n财经名嘴：美股“抛售期”可能会持续数周 逢低买入为时过早\n财经媒体名嘴Jim Cramer周一表示，美国股市正处于“抛售期”，可能会持续数周，他建议投资者采取相应行动。\n“我们一直在告诉人们卖出股票。告诉人们抛售股票是不舒服的。我不会停止这样做。 我会继续认为人们应该卖出股票，”Cramer周一称。\nCramer从上周五开始就一直在对9月下半月的美股表现发出警告。9月和10月通常是历史上最严重的季节性疲软时期。\nCramer表示，他还没有看到股票的买入水平。一系列新出现的投资风险导致投资者普遍抛售，包括美国为提高债务上限的斗争以及美联储何时可能会开始减少债券购买等。\n\n美国新冠死亡人数超过百年前的大流感 专家称原本可以避免\n美国的Covid-19大流行病死亡人数在周一超过了1918年流感大流行，许多专家表示，在疫苗研制成功后，这种情况原本可以避免。\n根据约翰霍普金斯大学的数据，自大流行病爆发以来，美国报告的染疫死亡人数已经达到675446人，超过了一个世纪前流感大流行估计67.5万人的死亡人数。\n超越百年前大流感死亡人数是在Covid-19疫苗已经普及的背景下发生的。该疫苗以创纪录的速度研发成功，展示了过去一个世纪医学科学的非凡进步。然而，大约7000万符合条件的美国人拒绝了疫苗，其中许多人受到共和党政客和保守派媒体的鼓动而做出了这种选择。\n“有现代医药的情况下还有这么多人死亡真是令人痛苦，” Scripps Translational Research Institute的Eric Topol说，他指出1918年没有呼吸机或疫苗。“我们所看到的数字完全不是美国应该出现的。”\n\n美国9月住宅建筑商信心出现五个月来首次上升\n美国住宅建筑商信心在9月份攀升，因木材价格下跌并且住房需求强劲。\n全国住宅建筑商协会（NAHB）/富国银行周一公布的数据显示，建筑商信心指数五个月来首次攀升，从8月的75升至76。媒体调查经济学家预期中值是略降至74。\n在建筑商因原材料价格下滑而获得喘息之际，房地产市场仍然强劲，并且房价继续上涨。NAHB表示，住房负担能力将是未来几个季度的一个关键挑战。\n比特币不像数字黄金 更像是高风险股票\n当华尔街为加密货币辩护时，会大谈特谈投资多元化的好处。但是当金融市场下跌时，比特币却有一个令人尴尬的习惯：往往会追随市场一道下跌。\n比特币周一一度下挫11%。相关性分析显示，美国股市和比特币有较高的一致性，两者之间的关联度达到一年来的最高水平。\n一种解释是，比特币仍然是一种高波动性的投资目标，这意味着当投资者开始降低投资组合的风险时，他们就会开始抛售加密货币。\n加密货币交易所Luno驻新加坡的亚太区主管Vijay 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id=\"id_1751176302\">数据解读</h4><p>据CME“美联储观察”：美联储5月维持利率不变的概率为99.7%（数据公布前为98.4%），加息25个基点的概率为0.3%。美联储到6月维持利率不变的概率为86%（数据公布前为79.9%），累计降息25个基点的概率为13.8%，累计加息25个基点的概率为0.2%。</p><p>财经网站Forexlive分析师Adam Button表示，在美国GDP数据公布后，市场预期美联储今年将仅降息41.5个基点，7月会议的降息概率在数据公布前大致为50%。值得注意的是，明天将公布PCE报告，市场正在调整押注，以适应更热经济数据。至于GDP数据本身，批发库存数据可能有助于解释一些差异，因为与该报告同时发布的美国3月批发库存月率下降了0.4%。<strong>不过，从表面上看，1.6%的年化增长率不会刺激由需求驱动的通胀。</strong></p><h4 id=\"id_3722986915\">个股盘前表现</h4><p><strong>Meta Platforms重挫超15%。</strong>尽管Meta第一季度业绩表现亮眼，<strong>但公司对当前财季的营收指引为365-390亿美元，区间中值显著低于市场预期的382亿美元</strong>。同时又将<strong>全年资本支出上沿从370亿美元提高至400亿美元</strong>，旨在进一步加速支持AI路线图的基础设施投资。公司还表示，预计明年的资本支出还要增加。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b85019e48a6b54bfa5d17c3fc6aac079\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"127\"/></p><p>苹果涨0.19%。最近在AI代码社区HuggingFace上发布了OpenELM大模型。该模型是一系列开源大型语言模型，具有不同的参数大小，可在端侧设备上运行。</p><p>好未来涨超6%。第四季度净营收4.296亿美元，同比增长60%，预估3.861亿美元。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e17184dbcc9f5101c2035f649ed7fef7\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"126\"/></p><p>美国航空涨逾4%，公司给出的Q2每股收益指引好于预期。</p><p>IBM大跌超9%。IBM第一季度营收144.6亿美元，同比增长1%，低于预期的145.5亿美元；期内咨询业务营收为52亿美元，同比下降0.2%。此外，IBM表示，公司已同意收购软件公司HashiCorp Inc.，这笔交易对该公司的企业估值为64亿美元。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36b4cb1f1ad20f9359e29cd0f18e6e20\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"129\"/></p><p>美光科技一度拉升，后转为下跌0.25%。消息称美光获得136亿美元的美国政府拨款和贷款。</p><p>卡特彼勒跌超4%。公司一季度营收157.99亿美元，不及市场预期。</p><p>西南航空跌逾6%。公司一季度营收63.3亿美元，不及市场预期。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美国一季度GDP低于预期，核心PCE物价指数大幅反弹</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美国一季度GDP低于预期，核心PCE物价指数大幅反弹\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2024-04-25 20:23</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p><strong>美国一季度实际GDP年化季环比初值 1.6%，为2023年Q1以来最低。预期 2.5%，前值 3.4%。</strong></p><p><strong>美国一季度个人消费支出(PCE)年化季环比初值 2.5%，预期 3%，前值 3.3%。</strong></p><p><strong>美国一季度核心个人消费支出(PCE)物价指数年化季环比初值 3.7%，为2023年Q2以来新高。预期 3.4%，前值 2%。</strong></p><p><strong>美国上周首次申请失业救济人数 20.7万人，预期 21.5万人，前值 21.2万人。</strong></p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e6e6c297dd792d06ec125bf6453c9f2\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"956\" tg-height=\"547\"/></p><p>数据发布后，美股指数期货快速走低。美国国债收益率上升，美国10年期收益率最新报4.677%，美国30年期国债收益率升至4.81%，为去年11月9日以来新高。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/316226e441434b89a1300129e2f71e1f\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1166\" tg-height=\"641\"/></p><h4 id=\"id_1751176302\">数据解读</h4><p>据CME“美联储观察”：美联储5月维持利率不变的概率为99.7%（数据公布前为98.4%），加息25个基点的概率为0.3%。美联储到6月维持利率不变的概率为86%（数据公布前为79.9%），累计降息25个基点的概率为13.8%，累计加息25个基点的概率为0.2%。</p><p>财经网站Forexlive分析师Adam Button表示，在美国GDP数据公布后，市场预期美联储今年将仅降息41.5个基点，7月会议的降息概率在数据公布前大致为50%。值得注意的是，明天将公布PCE报告，市场正在调整押注，以适应更热经济数据。至于GDP数据本身，批发库存数据可能有助于解释一些差异，因为与该报告同时发布的美国3月批发库存月率下降了0.4%。<strong>不过，从表面上看，1.6%的年化增长率不会刺激由需求驱动的通胀。</strong></p><h4 id=\"id_3722986915\">个股盘前表现</h4><p><strong>Meta Platforms重挫超15%。</strong>尽管Meta第一季度业绩表现亮眼，<strong>但公司对当前财季的营收指引为365-390亿美元，区间中值显著低于市场预期的382亿美元</strong>。同时又将<strong>全年资本支出上沿从370亿美元提高至400亿美元</strong>，旨在进一步加速支持AI路线图的基础设施投资。公司还表示，预计明年的资本支出还要增加。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b85019e48a6b54bfa5d17c3fc6aac079\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"127\"/></p><p>苹果涨0.19%。最近在AI代码社区HuggingFace上发布了OpenELM大模型。该模型是一系列开源大型语言模型，具有不同的参数大小，可在端侧设备上运行。</p><p>好未来涨超6%。第四季度净营收4.296亿美元，同比增长60%，预估3.861亿美元。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e17184dbcc9f5101c2035f649ed7fef7\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"126\"/></p><p>美国航空涨逾4%，公司给出的Q2每股收益指引好于预期。</p><p>IBM大跌超9%。IBM第一季度营收144.6亿美元，同比增长1%，低于预期的145.5亿美元；期内咨询业务营收为52亿美元，同比下降0.2%。此外，IBM表示，公司已同意收购软件公司HashiCorp Inc.，这笔交易对该公司的企业估值为64亿美元。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36b4cb1f1ad20f9359e29cd0f18e6e20\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"450\" tg-height=\"129\"/></p><p>美光科技一度拉升，后转为下跌0.25%。消息称美光获得136亿美元的美国政府拨款和贷款。</p><p>卡特彼勒跌超4%。公司一季度营收157.99亿美元，不及市场预期。</p><p>西南航空跌逾6%。公司一季度营收63.3亿美元，不及市场预期。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ed4ee39e6b0f45214393093d70ba81a8","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127824011","content_text":"美国一季度实际GDP年化季环比初值 1.6%，为2023年Q1以来最低。预期 2.5%，前值 3.4%。美国一季度个人消费支出(PCE)年化季环比初值 2.5%，预期 3%，前值 3.3%。美国一季度核心个人消费支出(PCE)物价指数年化季环比初值 3.7%，为2023年Q2以来新高。预期 3.4%，前值 2%。美国上周首次申请失业救济人数 20.7万人，预期 21.5万人，前值 21.2万人。数据发布后，美股指数期货快速走低。美国国债收益率上升，美国10年期收益率最新报4.677%，美国30年期国债收益率升至4.81%，为去年11月9日以来新高。数据解读据CME“美联储观察”：美联储5月维持利率不变的概率为99.7%（数据公布前为98.4%），加息25个基点的概率为0.3%。美联储到6月维持利率不变的概率为86%（数据公布前为79.9%），累计降息25个基点的概率为13.8%，累计加息25个基点的概率为0.2%。财经网站Forexlive分析师Adam Button表示，在美国GDP数据公布后，市场预期美联储今年将仅降息41.5个基点，7月会议的降息概率在数据公布前大致为50%。值得注意的是，明天将公布PCE报告，市场正在调整押注，以适应更热经济数据。至于GDP数据本身，批发库存数据可能有助于解释一些差异，因为与该报告同时发布的美国3月批发库存月率下降了0.4%。不过，从表面上看，1.6%的年化增长率不会刺激由需求驱动的通胀。个股盘前表现Meta Platforms重挫超15%。尽管Meta第一季度业绩表现亮眼，但公司对当前财季的营收指引为365-390亿美元，区间中值显著低于市场预期的382亿美元。同时又将全年资本支出上沿从370亿美元提高至400亿美元，旨在进一步加速支持AI路线图的基础设施投资。公司还表示，预计明年的资本支出还要增加。苹果涨0.19%。最近在AI代码社区HuggingFace上发布了OpenELM大模型。该模型是一系列开源大型语言模型，具有不同的参数大小，可在端侧设备上运行。好未来涨超6%。第四季度净营收4.296亿美元，同比增长60%，预估3.861亿美元。美国航空涨逾4%，公司给出的Q2每股收益指引好于预期。IBM大跌超9%。IBM第一季度营收144.6亿美元，同比增长1%，低于预期的145.5亿美元；期内咨询业务营收为52亿美元，同比下降0.2%。此外，IBM表示，公司已同意收购软件公司HashiCorp Inc.，这笔交易对该公司的企业估值为64亿美元。美光科技一度拉升，后转为下跌0.25%。消息称美光获得136亿美元的美国政府拨款和贷款。卡特彼勒跌超4%。公司一季度营收157.99亿美元，不及市场预期。西南航空跌逾6%。公司一季度营收63.3亿美元，不及市场预期。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":50,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":232313,"gmtCreate":1533116828286,"gmtModify":1704898492787,"author":{"id":"3449797421299402","authorId":"3449797421299402","name":"rambo","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$苹果(AAPL)$ 巴菲特会全仓的票就是不一样","listText":"$苹果(AAPL)$ 巴菲特会全仓的票就是不一样","text":"$苹果(AAPL)$ 巴菲特会全仓的票就是不一样","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/232313","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1415,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":293780981666008,"gmtCreate":1712754483014,"gmtModify":1712754484286,"author":{"id":"3449797421299402","authorId":"3449797421299402","name":"rambo","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">$纳指100ETF(QQQ)$&nbsp;</a> 就知道今天要跳水，10%跌幅起码","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">$纳指100ETF(QQQ)$&nbsp;</a> 就知道今天要跳水，10%跌幅起码","text":"$纳指100ETF(QQQ)$ 就知道今天要跳水，10%跌幅起码","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/293780981666008","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":160,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":291321967436064,"gmtCreate":1712149414596,"gmtModify":1712149415752,"author":{"id":"3449797421299402","authorId":"3449797421299402","name":"rambo","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$&nbsp;</a> 最多跌10个点，下来就是机会","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/FUT/NQmain\">$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$&nbsp;</a> 最多跌10个点，下来就是机会","text":"$NQ100指数主连 2406(NQmain)$ 最多跌10个点，下来就是机会","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/291321967436064","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":217,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":316288,"gmtCreate":1540565841057,"gmtModify":1704778929083,"author":{"id":"3449797421299402","authorId":"3449797421299402","name":"rambo","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$英特尔(INTC)$ 没有止跌迹象....","listText":"$英特尔(INTC)$ 没有止跌迹象....","text":"$英特尔(INTC)$ 没有止跌迹象....","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/316288","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1829,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":315908,"gmtCreate":1540548139502,"gmtModify":1704778879699,"author":{"id":"3449797421299402","authorId":"3449797421299402","name":"rambo","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0},"themes":[],"htmlText":"$英特尔(INTC)$ 今晚股灾","listText":"$英特尔(INTC)$ 今晚股灾","text":"$英特尔(INTC)$ 今晚股灾","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/315908","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1281,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}