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杰西美

杰西美

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2025-10-28

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2025-10-28

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2025-10-12

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2025-09-29

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@美股投资网:美股下跌的背后真相竟然是？....CoreWeave靠OpenAI一人吃饱？

2025-09-26

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@小虎老师:🤔泡沫狂欢还是 “Baby Bubble”？AI 热潮下美股估值深度解读

2025-09-24

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2025-09-17

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2025-09-14

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@小虎周报:【一周科技动态】NVDA到ORCL/AVGO—从“单核”到“多核”；TSLA上冲400的重要缘由

2025-08-13

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2025-08-13

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2025-05-07

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@新途直上:卖出认沽期权降低股票买入成本的策略解析

2025-05-07

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@期权小班长:Sell in May，卖的是什么？

2025-05-07

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@期权小班长:下一步是回调？

2025-02-05

感觉还会跌……………

2025-01-07

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2024-12-05

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2024-11-14

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@ETF小帮手:ETF追踪 | 特朗普连任引领比特币上涨，精选ETF投资机会解析

2024-05-23

说说你对这篇新闻的看法...

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2022-03-16

人家都不跟你玩了出这种表态有🥚用

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本次回调并非传统利空消息触发，反而是经济数据超预期强劲。初请失业金人数降至年内最低，二季度GDP意外上修至3.8%，创两年新高。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> 强劲数据削弱了美联储（Fed）降息的理据。此前市场过度透支的降息预期正在被修正，导致股.票估值面临压力。 Z府10月暂停降息的概率已升至15%左右，确认了市场对Fed政策路径的重新评估。当“好消息”不再意味着流动性宽松，它就成了引发市场调整的诱因. 除了宏观因素，两个关键信号加剧了市场的谨慎： AI叙事遭遇质疑： 投资者开始担忧AI板块的融资节奏和资本开支扩张过快，其模式类似1999-2000年的互联网泡沫。若资金链在紧缩周期中承压，高估值股.票容易引发“踩踏”。 美元美债齐涨： 美元突然上涨，并伴随美债收益率一同起飞。这表明全球资金正在重新定价美国资产。无风险收益率的提高对美股估值构成系统性压力。 标普500已连续108个交易日没有出现超2%的跌幅，长时间的平静期积累了较高的“脆弱性”。就像一根绷紧的橡皮筋，轻微的拨动也可能造成剧烈的弹动。 CoreWeave再获$65亿算力大单 云计算服务商 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRWV\">$CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$</a> 周四宣布与OpenAI达成一项价值$65亿的新合作协议，进一步加强了其作为AI算力基础设施核心供应商的地位。此举意味着CRWV将为ChatGPT的母公司提供额外算力，以满足OpenAI模型训练与运行的爆发式需求。 O","listText":"美股市场连续第三个交易日收跌。，截至收盘，标普500跌幅0.50%；道指跌幅0.38%；纳指跌幅0.50%； 本次回调并非传统利空消息触发，反而是经济数据超预期强劲。初请失业金人数降至年内最低，二季度GDP意外上修至3.8%，创两年新高。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> 强劲数据削弱了美联储（Fed）降息的理据。此前市场过度透支的降息预期正在被修正，导致股.票估值面临压力。 Z府10月暂停降息的概率已升至15%左右，确认了市场对Fed政策路径的重新评估。当“好消息”不再意味着流动性宽松，它就成了引发市场调整的诱因. 除了宏观因素，两个关键信号加剧了市场的谨慎： AI叙事遭遇质疑： 投资者开始担忧AI板块的融资节奏和资本开支扩张过快，其模式类似1999-2000年的互联网泡沫。若资金链在紧缩周期中承压，高估值股.票容易引发“踩踏”。 美元美债齐涨： 美元突然上涨，并伴随美债收益率一同起飞。这表明全球资金正在重新定价美国资产。无风险收益率的提高对美股估值构成系统性压力。 标普500已连续108个交易日没有出现超2%的跌幅，长时间的平静期积累了较高的“脆弱性”。就像一根绷紧的橡皮筋，轻微的拨动也可能造成剧烈的弹动。 CoreWeave再获$65亿算力大单 云计算服务商 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRWV\">$CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$</a> 周四宣布与OpenAI达成一项价值$65亿的新合作协议，进一步加强了其作为AI算力基础设施核心供应商的地位。此举意味着CRWV将为ChatGPT的母公司提供额外算力，以满足OpenAI模型训练与运行的爆发式需求。 O","text":"美股市场连续第三个交易日收跌。，截至收盘，标普500跌幅0.50%；道指跌幅0.38%；纳指跌幅0.50%； 本次回调并非传统利空消息触发，反而是经济数据超预期强劲。初请失业金人数降至年内最低，二季度GDP意外上修至3.8%，创两年新高。 $特斯拉(TSLA)$ $英伟达(NVDA)$ 强劲数据削弱了美联储（Fed）降息的理据。此前市场过度透支的降息预期正在被修正，导致股.票估值面临压力。 Z府10月暂停降息的概率已升至15%左右，确认了市场对Fed政策路径的重新评估。当“好消息”不再意味着流动性宽松，它就成了引发市场调整的诱因. 除了宏观因素，两个关键信号加剧了市场的谨慎： AI叙事遭遇质疑： 投资者开始担忧AI板块的融资节奏和资本开支扩张过快，其模式类似1999-2000年的互联网泡沫。若资金链在紧缩周期中承压，高估值股.票容易引发“踩踏”。 美元美债齐涨： 美元突然上涨，并伴随美债收益率一同起飞。这表明全球资金正在重新定价美国资产。无风险收益率的提高对美股估值构成系统性压力。 标普500已连续108个交易日没有出现超2%的跌幅，长时间的平静期积累了较高的“脆弱性”。就像一根绷紧的橡皮筋，轻微的拨动也可能造成剧烈的弹动。 CoreWeave再获$65亿算力大单 云计算服务商 $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ 周四宣布与OpenAI达成一项价值$65亿的新合作协议，进一步加强了其作为AI算力基础设施核心供应商的地位。此举意味着CRWV将为ChatGPT的母公司提供额外算力，以满足OpenAI模型训练与运行的爆发式需求。 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a> 单日再跌 0.5%，三日累计跌幅扩大至 1.8%； <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDX\">$纳斯达克100指数(NDX)$</a> 同步下行 0.5%，市场短期承压特征显著。三大指数及MAG 7最新估值数据一览:代码最新价格($)2025 涨幅12个月移动 P/E远期 P/E近10年 P/E均值远期P/E对比10年均值 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a> 6656.9212.29%29.3325.1719.231.09% <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDX\">$纳斯达克100指数(NDX)$</a> 24580.1716.11%37.830.825.918.92% <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$</a> 46292.788%31.8723.1118.525% <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> 178.4332.32%39.3931.4640.95-23.17% <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> 254.432.58%34.2332.3522.6243.02%","text":"9 月 25 日，美股三大指数延续调整态势，实现三连阴： $道琼斯(.DJI)$ 下跌 0.38%，尽数回吐 9 月 18 日美联储释放 “年内降息 50BP” 预期以来的全部涨幅； $标普500(.SPX)$ 单日再跌 0.5%，三日累计跌幅扩大至 1.8%； $纳斯达克100指数(NDX)$ 同步下行 0.5%，市场短期承压特征显著。三大指数及MAG 7最新估值数据一览:代码最新价格($)2025 涨幅12个月移动 P/E远期 P/E近10年 P/E均值远期P/E对比10年均值 $标普500(.SPX)$ 6656.9212.29%29.3325.1719.231.09% $纳斯达克100指数(NDX)$ 24580.1716.11%37.830.825.918.92% $道琼斯(.DJI)$ 46292.788%31.8723.1118.525% $英伟达(NVDA)$ 178.4332.32%39.3931.4640.95-23.17% $苹果(AAPL)$ 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+ inflation）忧虑升温Oracle急涨引发AI概念炒作争议。AI叙事在 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">$甲骨文(ORCL)$</a> 财报及云服务合同利好推动下一日大涨约36%，此举再次强调了市场对AI基础设施需求的强烈预期，但也引起 “AI泡沫“ 的担忧，尤其是当估值不断被推高且盈利增长未必全面持续时。市场普遍预期在9月FOMC会议上将出现第一次降息，预计幅度为25个基点。不过，由于通胀（尤其是服务类与住房）仍显坚韧，Fed 仍面临“放松政策”与“不破坏抗通胀信誉”的两难。数据呈现出就业松动 + 通胀回升的混合模式，这令 Fed 必须小心处理：如果降息太快或幅度太大，可能让通胀难以被遏制；如果不降则可能让经济增长和就业进一步承压。大科技本周继续保持稳定上行，至9月11日收盘，过去一周 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> -4.07%， <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$微软(MSFT)$</a> -1.37%， <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> +3.21%， <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$亚马逊(AMZN)$</a> -2.43%，","listText":"涨跌纷纭——一周大科技表现本周宏观主线：指数再创新高，但波动加剧。本周三大股指屡创收盘新高，其中纳斯达克在科技股带动下表现尤为强劲。不过，由于通胀（CPI年率上涨至2.9%，7月为2.7%）与就业数据（新增就业约22000个偏低，失业率上升至约4.3%，初请失业救济人数飙升至263000）不佳，市场情绪开始出现分歧，滞胀（stagnation + inflation）忧虑升温Oracle急涨引发AI概念炒作争议。AI叙事在 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">$甲骨文(ORCL)$</a> 财报及云服务合同利好推动下一日大涨约36%，此举再次强调了市场对AI基础设施需求的强烈预期，但也引起 “AI泡沫“ 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一、策略原理与核心逻辑 卖出认沽期权（Put Selling）的本质是收取权利金，同时承担在标的资产价格下跌时以约定行权价接盘的义务。这一策略的核心优势在于： 降低建仓成本：通过卖出认沽期权获得权利金，可抵消部分买入标的股票的成本。例如，若预期某股票将上涨，但当前资金不足，可通过卖出认沽期权锁定行权价，若期权未被行权，权利金直接转化为利润。 非对称风险收益：卖方的最大亏损为行权价与权利金的差额（有限风险），而潜在收益则随标的资产上涨无限扩大（无限收益）。 二、适用场景与操作条件 1. 市场预期： 短期不跌：预期标的资产价格小幅波动或横盘整理，如巴菲特在1993年通过卖出可口可乐认沽期权锁定成本时，认为短期存在回调风险但长期看好。 价值投资辅助：适用于已持有标的资产或计划长期持有，通过期权策略优化资金效率。 2. 资金管理： 当资金不足以直接买入股票时，可通过卖出认沽期权获得权利金，间接降低实际买入成本。例如，若行权价低于市价，接盘后实际成本为行权价减去权利金。 备兑开仓（Covered Put）：持有标的股票并卖出认沽期权，通过权利金增厚收益，如巴菲特收购柏林顿北方铁路时通过期权降低收购成本约15%。 三、风险与收益分析 1. 收益上限： 权利金收入为固定收益，若标的资产未跌破行权价，卖方可直接赚取权利金。 例如，老张以0.0615元/份卖出虚值认沽期权，一周后平仓获利3,090元（权利金差价）。 2. 风险控制： 最大亏损：若标的资产价格大幅下跌至行权价以下，卖方需以行权价接盘，亏损为（行权价 - 权利金 - 当前股价）。 保证金要求：卖方需缴纳保证金以覆盖潜在义务，通常为权利金的一定比例。 四、经典案例解析 1","listText":"期权交易中，卖出认沽期权是一种高效的资金管理工具，尤其适用于长期看好标的资产但短期需优化成本的投资者。下面从策略原理、适用场景、风险控制及实际案例等方面展开分析 一、策略原理与核心逻辑 卖出认沽期权（Put Selling）的本质是收取权利金，同时承担在标的资产价格下跌时以约定行权价接盘的义务。这一策略的核心优势在于： 降低建仓成本：通过卖出认沽期权获得权利金，可抵消部分买入标的股票的成本。例如，若预期某股票将上涨，但当前资金不足，可通过卖出认沽期权锁定行权价，若期权未被行权，权利金直接转化为利润。 非对称风险收益：卖方的最大亏损为行权价与权利金的差额（有限风险），而潜在收益则随标的资产上涨无限扩大（无限收益）。 二、适用场景与操作条件 1. 市场预期： 短期不跌：预期标的资产价格小幅波动或横盘整理，如巴菲特在1993年通过卖出可口可乐认沽期权锁定成本时，认为短期存在回调风险但长期看好。 价值投资辅助：适用于已持有标的资产或计划长期持有，通过期权策略优化资金效率。 2. 资金管理： 当资金不足以直接买入股票时，可通过卖出认沽期权获得权利金，间接降低实际买入成本。例如，若行权价低于市价，接盘后实际成本为行权价减去权利金。 备兑开仓（Covered Put）：持有标的股票并卖出认沽期权，通过权利金增厚收益，如巴菲特收购柏林顿北方铁路时通过期权降低收购成本约15%。 三、风险与收益分析 1. 收益上限： 权利金收入为固定收益，若标的资产未跌破行权价，卖方可直接赚取权利金。 例如，老张以0.0615元/份卖出虚值认沽期权，一周后平仓获利3,090元（权利金差价）。 2. 风险控制： 最大亏损：若标的资产价格大幅下跌至行权价以下，卖方需以行权价接盘，亏损为（行权价 - 权利金 - 当前股价）。 保证金要求：卖方需缴纳保证金以覆盖潜在义务，通常为权利金的一定比例。 四、经典案例解析 1","text":"期权交易中，卖出认沽期权是一种高效的资金管理工具，尤其适用于长期看好标的资产但短期需优化成本的投资者。下面从策略原理、适用场景、风险控制及实际案例等方面展开分析 一、策略原理与核心逻辑 卖出认沽期权（Put Selling）的本质是收取权利金，同时承担在标的资产价格下跌时以约定行权价接盘的义务。这一策略的核心优势在于： 降低建仓成本：通过卖出认沽期权获得权利金，可抵消部分买入标的股票的成本。例如，若预期某股票将上涨，但当前资金不足，可通过卖出认沽期权锁定行权价，若期权未被行权，权利金直接转化为利润。 非对称风险收益：卖方的最大亏损为行权价与权利金的差额（有限风险），而潜在收益则随标的资产上涨无限扩大（无限收益）。 二、适用场景与操作条件 1. 市场预期： 短期不跌：预期标的资产价格小幅波动或横盘整理，如巴菲特在1993年通过卖出可口可乐认沽期权锁定成本时，认为短期存在回调风险但长期看好。 价值投资辅助：适用于已持有标的资产或计划长期持有，通过期权策略优化资金效率。 2. 资金管理： 当资金不足以直接买入股票时，可通过卖出认沽期权获得权利金，间接降低实际买入成本。例如，若行权价低于市价，接盘后实际成本为行权价减去权利金。 备兑开仓（Covered Put）：持有标的股票并卖出认沽期权，通过权利金增厚收益，如巴菲特收购柏林顿北方铁路时通过期权降低收购成本约15%。 三、风险与收益分析 1. 收益上限： 权利金收入为固定收益，若标的资产未跌破行权价，卖方可直接赚取权利金。 例如，老张以0.0615元/份卖出虚值认沽期权，一周后平仓获利3,090元（权利金差价）。 2. 风险控制： 最大亏损：若标的资产价格大幅下跌至行权价以下，卖方需以行权价接盘，亏损为（行权价 - 权利金 - 当前股价）。 保证金要求：卖方需缴纳保证金以覆盖潜在义务，通常为权利金的一定比例。 四、经典案例解析 1","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/430425020039192","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1626,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":432404963205856,"gmtCreate":1746579717987,"gmtModify":1746579719544,"author":{"id":"22255755744717","authorId":"22255755744717","name":"杰西美","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3c0aa616753850d690bd02693014afe","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"22255755744717","idStr":"22255755744717"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/432404963205856","repostId":"432219824410800","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":432219824410800,"gmtCreate":1746548523160,"gmtModify":1746548555978,"author":{"id":"3527667590215376","authorId":"3527667590215376","name":"期权小班长","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e785bea87af8baf08d2b24111b78c16a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667590215376","idStr":"3527667590215376"},"themes":[],"title":"Sell in May，卖的是什么？","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> 周三有美联储fomc会议，预计维持利率不变，在4.375%。市场预期年底前降息100基点，预计7月开始降息。我觉得会后有短暂波动，但近期最重要的还是关税谈判跟落地。谈到近期波动，就不得不提老生常谈的美股格言：Sell in May and go away。不过根据期权开仓情况来看，今年5月的卖出更像是在特指期权的卖出方。spy周一有两个重量级的长期大单，不太看好大盘前景，但也不愿意为触底进行投资。第一个重量级大单是sell call 570 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SPY%2020250731%20570.0%20CALL\">$SPY 20250731 570.0 CALL$</a> ，成交量1万手。行权价很激进选择570，但算上权利金21.68，意味着只要7月31日前spy不超过590即可获利。这也意味着交易者认为spy在7月底前很难站上120日均线。但实际上spy股价超过570后sell call保证金压力会很大，所以交易者可能就是按照低于570的思路去交易的。当然，不排除交易者持股所以并没有保证金压力。另外，本单有可能不是卖出，而是买入。因为本单成交价和买卖盘之间的距离很含糊，也不排除是看涨。单纯从看涨开仓角度考虑就是利好。另一个重量级大单是不花钱的看跌策略，卖出价外call和价外put覆盖看跌成本。一般交易者不愿意为趋势付出成本的时候，说明趋势有较大概率趋向于平缓或者相反方向：卖出 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SPY%2020250919%20615.0%20CALL\">$SPY 20250919 615.0 CALL$</a> ，成交量1.15万买入","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> 周三有美联储fomc会议，预计维持利率不变，在4.375%。市场预期年底前降息100基点，预计7月开始降息。我觉得会后有短暂波动，但近期最重要的还是关税谈判跟落地。谈到近期波动，就不得不提老生常谈的美股格言：Sell in May and go away。不过根据期权开仓情况来看，今年5月的卖出更像是在特指期权的卖出方。spy周一有两个重量级的长期大单，不太看好大盘前景，但也不愿意为触底进行投资。第一个重量级大单是sell call 570 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SPY%2020250731%20570.0%20CALL\">$SPY 20250731 570.0 CALL$</a> ，成交量1万手。行权价很激进选择570，但算上权利金21.68，意味着只要7月31日前spy不超过590即可获利。这也意味着交易者认为spy在7月底前很难站上120日均线。但实际上spy股价超过570后sell call保证金压力会很大，所以交易者可能就是按照低于570的思路去交易的。当然，不排除交易者持股所以并没有保证金压力。另外，本单有可能不是卖出，而是买入。因为本单成交价和买卖盘之间的距离很含糊，也不排除是看涨。单纯从看涨开仓角度考虑就是利好。另一个重量级大单是不花钱的看跌策略，卖出价外call和价外put覆盖看跌成本。一般交易者不愿意为趋势付出成本的时候，说明趋势有较大概率趋向于平缓或者相反方向：卖出 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SPY%2020250919%20615.0%20CALL\">$SPY 20250919 615.0 CALL$</a> ，成交量1.15万买入","text":"$标普500ETF(SPY)$ 周三有美联储fomc会议，预计维持利率不变，在4.375%。市场预期年底前降息100基点，预计7月开始降息。我觉得会后有短暂波动，但近期最重要的还是关税谈判跟落地。谈到近期波动，就不得不提老生常谈的美股格言：Sell in May and go away。不过根据期权开仓情况来看，今年5月的卖出更像是在特指期权的卖出方。spy周一有两个重量级的长期大单，不太看好大盘前景，但也不愿意为触底进行投资。第一个重量级大单是sell call 570 $SPY 20250731 570.0 CALL$ ，成交量1万手。行权价很激进选择570，但算上权利金21.68，意味着只要7月31日前spy不超过590即可获利。这也意味着交易者认为spy在7月底前很难站上120日均线。但实际上spy股价超过570后sell call保证金压力会很大，所以交易者可能就是按照低于570的思路去交易的。当然，不排除交易者持股所以并没有保证金压力。另外，本单有可能不是卖出，而是买入。因为本单成交价和买卖盘之间的距离很含糊，也不排除是看涨。单纯从看涨开仓角度考虑就是利好。另一个重量级大单是不花钱的看跌策略，卖出价外call和价外put覆盖看跌成本。一般交易者不愿意为趋势付出成本的时候，说明趋势有较大概率趋向于平缓或者相反方向：卖出 $SPY 20250919 615.0 CALL$ ，成交量1.15万买入","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7894a3824ebbc2e45338c8d63169778","width":"1042","height":"932"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53eb4847aefa13d67f085802b494adcd","width":"2512","height":"100"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99338347b35a641e6b31daffacf6e22b","width":"2330","height":"206"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/432219824410800","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":11,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1404,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":432404184068368,"gmtCreate":1746579713779,"gmtModify":1746579715495,"author":{"id":"22255755744717","authorId":"22255755744717","name":"杰西美","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3c0aa616753850d690bd02693014afe","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"22255755744717","idStr":"22255755744717"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/432404184068368","repostId":"431854051709088","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":431854051709088,"gmtCreate":1746459093331,"gmtModify":1746459126574,"author":{"id":"3527667590215376","authorId":"3527667590215376","name":"期权小班长","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e785bea87af8baf08d2b24111b78c16a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667590215376","idStr":"3527667590215376"},"themes":[],"title":"下一步是回调？","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> 市场整体反弹回关税前位置，然而并不是所有科技股都是同样的待遇，比如苹果，周五有大单卖出2.6万手6月到期240call <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL%2020250620%20240.0%20CALL\">$AAPL 20250620 240.0 CALL$</a>。 240这个位置有点说法，是3月10日美股暴跌前的位置，当天市场对美国经济健康状况的担忧扭转了投资者的风险偏好，美元指数一度跌至去年11月以来的最低点。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> 微软财报利好带动市场周五直接反弹回关税前位置。不过当前这个位置争议很大，对于英伟达来说处于财报前看涨和回调压力两种叠加状态。具体表现为，周四有人开仓买入7万手5月23日到期115call <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250523%20115.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250523 115.0 CALL$</a> 。另一边空头在周四周五持续开仓买入看跌价差进行做空：买 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250516%2099.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20250516 99.0 PUT$</a>，卖 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250516%2090.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20250516 90.0 PUT$</a> 经过两天集中交易，目前5月16日99put未平仓数量达到8.2万手，也就是说这两周有概率英伟达会回调100。股价上限方面，机构本","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> 市场整体反弹回关税前位置，然而并不是所有科技股都是同样的待遇，比如苹果，周五有大单卖出2.6万手6月到期240call <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL%2020250620%20240.0%20CALL\">$AAPL 20250620 240.0 CALL$</a>。 240这个位置有点说法，是3月10日美股暴跌前的位置，当天市场对美国经济健康状况的担忧扭转了投资者的风险偏好，美元指数一度跌至去年11月以来的最低点。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> 微软财报利好带动市场周五直接反弹回关税前位置。不过当前这个位置争议很大，对于英伟达来说处于财报前看涨和回调压力两种叠加状态。具体表现为，周四有人开仓买入7万手5月23日到期115call <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250523%20115.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250523 115.0 CALL$</a> 。另一边空头在周四周五持续开仓买入看跌价差进行做空：买 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250516%2099.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20250516 99.0 PUT$</a>，卖 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250516%2090.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20250516 90.0 PUT$</a> 经过两天集中交易，目前5月16日99put未平仓数量达到8.2万手，也就是说这两周有概率英伟达会回调100。股价上限方面，机构本","text":"$苹果(AAPL)$ 市场整体反弹回关税前位置，然而并不是所有科技股都是同样的待遇，比如苹果，周五有大单卖出2.6万手6月到期240call $AAPL 20250620 240.0 CALL$。 240这个位置有点说法，是3月10日美股暴跌前的位置，当天市场对美国经济健康状况的担忧扭转了投资者的风险偏好，美元指数一度跌至去年11月以来的最低点。 $英伟达(NVDA)$ 微软财报利好带动市场周五直接反弹回关税前位置。不过当前这个位置争议很大，对于英伟达来说处于财报前看涨和回调压力两种叠加状态。具体表现为，周四有人开仓买入7万手5月23日到期115call $NVDA 20250523 115.0 CALL$ 。另一边空头在周四周五持续开仓买入看跌价差进行做空：买 $NVDA 20250516 99.0 PUT$，卖 $NVDA 20250516 90.0 PUT$ 经过两天集中交易，目前5月16日99put未平仓数量达到8.2万手，也就是说这两周有概率英伟达会回调100。股价上限方面，机构本","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/417dbb7718c91078f9548b62a05da504","width":"2114","height":"164"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ca49fa1ea2e62dbd97de0fdeeb497cfd","width":"1844","height":"1193"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7d9dc4c96b931c9317c6190e6741015f","width":"1169","height":"1634"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/431854051709088","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":11,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1392,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":400345190384072,"gmtCreate":1738766941342,"gmtModify":1738766943405,"author":{"id":"22255755744717","authorId":"22255755744717","name":"杰西美","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3c0aa616753850d690bd02693014afe","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"22255755744717","idStr":"22255755744717"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"感觉还会跌……………","listText":"感觉还会跌……………","text":"感觉还会跌……………","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/400345190384072","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1798,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":390034629193736,"gmtCreate":1736258218177,"gmtModify":1736258219768,"author":{"id":"22255755744717","authorId":"22255755744717","name":"杰西美","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3c0aa616753850d690bd02693014afe","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"22255755744717","idStr":"22255755744717"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/390034629193736","repostId":"389736559714560","repostType":1,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1449,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":378332736729488,"gmtCreate":1733409116563,"gmtModify":1733409118521,"author":{"id":"22255755744717","authorId":"22255755744717","name":"杰西美","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3c0aa616753850d690bd02693014afe","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"22255755744717","idStr":"22255755744717"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/378332736729488","repostId":"1152022961","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1820,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":370714993226072,"gmtCreate":1731545660105,"gmtModify":1731548256966,"author":{"id":"22255755744717","authorId":"22255755744717","name":"杰西美","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3c0aa616753850d690bd02693014afe","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"22255755744717","idStr":"22255755744717"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/370714993226072","repostId":"370520723419136","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":370520723419136,"gmtCreate":1731477209926,"gmtModify":1731477310213,"author":{"id":"3527667688472228","authorId":"3527667688472228","name":"ETF小帮手","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/087e050021c7db2ae39b1cb7515b694d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3527667688472228","idStr":"3527667688472228"},"themes":[],"title":"ETF追踪 | 特朗普连任引领比特币上涨，精选ETF投资机会解析","htmlText":"2024年，美国总统选举结果揭晓，特朗普成功连任，再次当选美国第47任总统。特朗普在竞选期间承诺将美国打造成“全球加密货币之都”，并提出创建战略性比特币储备、出台支持数字资产的政策等举措。随着他赢得选举，比特币价格也随之上涨，吸引了投资者的广泛关注。本文将探讨特朗普连任对比特币价格的影响，以及相关ETF的投资机会。特朗普连任与比特币的上涨自特朗普选举胜利以来，比特币价格已上涨约16%（截至11月11日），这与特朗普在竞选中承诺推动加密货币发展的政策不无关系。特朗普提议将美国推向数字资产领域的前沿，这一立场无疑为比特币等加密货币提供了更多的市场预期与信心。此外，今年比特币的涨幅也非常可观。自2024年初以来，比特币价格已上涨约101%（截至11月11日）。这一上涨不仅得益于特朗普连任的预期，也与美联储的降息政策密切相关。美联储在9月和11月的两次降息为加密货币市场提供了有力支撑，进一步刺激了投资者的风险偏好，使得比特币的上涨势头愈加强劲。比特币与美元的反向关系美联储的降息通常会导致美元走弱，因为投资者往往寻找能够对抗美元贬值的资产。比特币作为数字货币，正逐渐成为许多投资者规避美元贬值的工具。此外，降息还增强了市场的风险偏好，推动资金流入比特币等高风险资产。近期的数据也表明，零售投资者对加密货币市场的兴趣正在回升。根据Google Trends数据显示，特朗普选举胜利后的比特币搜索量激增，表明公众对比特币的关注度正在恢复。随着比特币市场热度的上升，分析师普遍认为，比特币价格可能会在未来几个月继续上涨，甚至突破10万美元的大关。投资者应关注的比特币相关ETF对于投资者来说，比特币及其他数字资产的投资机会并不仅限于直接购买比特币。许多比特币ETF（交易所交易基金）为投资者提供了更为便捷的投资渠道。以下是几只值得关注的比特币相关ETF：","listText":"2024年，美国总统选举结果揭晓，特朗普成功连任，再次当选美国第47任总统。特朗普在竞选期间承诺将美国打造成“全球加密货币之都”，并提出创建战略性比特币储备、出台支持数字资产的政策等举措。随着他赢得选举，比特币价格也随之上涨，吸引了投资者的广泛关注。本文将探讨特朗普连任对比特币价格的影响，以及相关ETF的投资机会。特朗普连任与比特币的上涨自特朗普选举胜利以来，比特币价格已上涨约16%（截至11月11日），这与特朗普在竞选中承诺推动加密货币发展的政策不无关系。特朗普提议将美国推向数字资产领域的前沿，这一立场无疑为比特币等加密货币提供了更多的市场预期与信心。此外，今年比特币的涨幅也非常可观。自2024年初以来，比特币价格已上涨约101%（截至11月11日）。这一上涨不仅得益于特朗普连任的预期，也与美联储的降息政策密切相关。美联储在9月和11月的两次降息为加密货币市场提供了有力支撑，进一步刺激了投资者的风险偏好，使得比特币的上涨势头愈加强劲。比特币与美元的反向关系美联储的降息通常会导致美元走弱，因为投资者往往寻找能够对抗美元贬值的资产。比特币作为数字货币，正逐渐成为许多投资者规避美元贬值的工具。此外，降息还增强了市场的风险偏好，推动资金流入比特币等高风险资产。近期的数据也表明，零售投资者对加密货币市场的兴趣正在回升。根据Google Trends数据显示，特朗普选举胜利后的比特币搜索量激增，表明公众对比特币的关注度正在恢复。随着比特币市场热度的上升，分析师普遍认为，比特币价格可能会在未来几个月继续上涨，甚至突破10万美元的大关。投资者应关注的比特币相关ETF对于投资者来说，比特币及其他数字资产的投资机会并不仅限于直接购买比特币。许多比特币ETF（交易所交易基金）为投资者提供了更为便捷的投资渠道。以下是几只值得关注的比特币相关ETF：","text":"2024年，美国总统选举结果揭晓，特朗普成功连任，再次当选美国第47任总统。特朗普在竞选期间承诺将美国打造成“全球加密货币之都”，并提出创建战略性比特币储备、出台支持数字资产的政策等举措。随着他赢得选举，比特币价格也随之上涨，吸引了投资者的广泛关注。本文将探讨特朗普连任对比特币价格的影响，以及相关ETF的投资机会。特朗普连任与比特币的上涨自特朗普选举胜利以来，比特币价格已上涨约16%（截至11月11日），这与特朗普在竞选中承诺推动加密货币发展的政策不无关系。特朗普提议将美国推向数字资产领域的前沿，这一立场无疑为比特币等加密货币提供了更多的市场预期与信心。此外，今年比特币的涨幅也非常可观。自2024年初以来，比特币价格已上涨约101%（截至11月11日）。这一上涨不仅得益于特朗普连任的预期，也与美联储的降息政策密切相关。美联储在9月和11月的两次降息为加密货币市场提供了有力支撑，进一步刺激了投资者的风险偏好，使得比特币的上涨势头愈加强劲。比特币与美元的反向关系美联储的降息通常会导致美元走弱，因为投资者往往寻找能够对抗美元贬值的资产。比特币作为数字货币，正逐渐成为许多投资者规避美元贬值的工具。此外，降息还增强了市场的风险偏好，推动资金流入比特币等高风险资产。近期的数据也表明，零售投资者对加密货币市场的兴趣正在回升。根据Google Trends数据显示，特朗普选举胜利后的比特币搜索量激增，表明公众对比特币的关注度正在恢复。随着比特币市场热度的上升，分析师普遍认为，比特币价格可能会在未来几个月继续上涨，甚至突破10万美元的大关。投资者应关注的比特币相关ETF对于投资者来说，比特币及其他数字资产的投资机会并不仅限于直接购买比特币。许多比特币ETF（交易所交易基金）为投资者提供了更为便捷的投资渠道。以下是几只值得关注的比特币相关ETF：","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/370520723419136","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3609,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":308800189714464,"gmtCreate":1716418476028,"gmtModify":1716427907812,"author":{"id":"22255755744717","authorId":"22255755744717","name":"杰西美","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3c0aa616753850d690bd02693014afe","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"22255755744717","idStr":"22255755744717"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"说说你对这篇新闻的看法...","listText":"说说你对这篇新闻的看法...","text":"说说你对这篇新闻的看法...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/308800189714464","repostId":"1124906002","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2615,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":634847463,"gmtCreate":1647442305558,"gmtModify":1647442336018,"author":{"id":"22255755744717","authorId":"22255755744717","name":"杰西美","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3c0aa616753850d690bd02693014afe","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"22255755744717","idStr":"22255755744717"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"人家都不跟你玩了 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本次回调并非传统利空消息触发，反而是经济数据超预期强劲。初请失业金人数降至年内最低，二季度GDP意外上修至3.8%，创两年新高。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> 强劲数据削弱了美联储（Fed）降息的理据。此前市场过度透支的降息预期正在被修正，导致股.票估值面临压力。 Z府10月暂停降息的概率已升至15%左右，确认了市场对Fed政策路径的重新评估。当“好消息”不再意味着流动性宽松，它就成了引发市场调整的诱因. 除了宏观因素，两个关键信号加剧了市场的谨慎： AI叙事遭遇质疑： 投资者开始担忧AI板块的融资节奏和资本开支扩张过快，其模式类似1999-2000年的互联网泡沫。若资金链在紧缩周期中承压，高估值股.票容易引发“踩踏”。 美元美债齐涨： 美元突然上涨，并伴随美债收益率一同起飞。这表明全球资金正在重新定价美国资产。无风险收益率的提高对美股估值构成系统性压力。 标普500已连续108个交易日没有出现超2%的跌幅，长时间的平静期积累了较高的“脆弱性”。就像一根绷紧的橡皮筋，轻微的拨动也可能造成剧烈的弹动。 CoreWeave再获$65亿算力大单 云计算服务商 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRWV\">$CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$</a> 周四宣布与OpenAI达成一项价值$65亿的新合作协议，进一步加强了其作为AI算力基础设施核心供应商的地位。此举意味着CRWV将为ChatGPT的母公司提供额外算力，以满足OpenAI模型训练与运行的爆发式需求。 O","listText":"美股市场连续第三个交易日收跌。，截至收盘，标普500跌幅0.50%；道指跌幅0.38%；纳指跌幅0.50%； 本次回调并非传统利空消息触发，反而是经济数据超预期强劲。初请失业金人数降至年内最低，二季度GDP意外上修至3.8%，创两年新高。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> 强劲数据削弱了美联储（Fed）降息的理据。此前市场过度透支的降息预期正在被修正，导致股.票估值面临压力。 Z府10月暂停降息的概率已升至15%左右，确认了市场对Fed政策路径的重新评估。当“好消息”不再意味着流动性宽松，它就成了引发市场调整的诱因. 除了宏观因素，两个关键信号加剧了市场的谨慎： AI叙事遭遇质疑： 投资者开始担忧AI板块的融资节奏和资本开支扩张过快，其模式类似1999-2000年的互联网泡沫。若资金链在紧缩周期中承压，高估值股.票容易引发“踩踏”。 美元美债齐涨： 美元突然上涨，并伴随美债收益率一同起飞。这表明全球资金正在重新定价美国资产。无风险收益率的提高对美股估值构成系统性压力。 标普500已连续108个交易日没有出现超2%的跌幅，长时间的平静期积累了较高的“脆弱性”。就像一根绷紧的橡皮筋，轻微的拨动也可能造成剧烈的弹动。 CoreWeave再获$65亿算力大单 云计算服务商 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CRWV\">$CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$</a> 周四宣布与OpenAI达成一项价值$65亿的新合作协议，进一步加强了其作为AI算力基础设施核心供应商的地位。此举意味着CRWV将为ChatGPT的母公司提供额外算力，以满足OpenAI模型训练与运行的爆发式需求。 O","text":"美股市场连续第三个交易日收跌。，截至收盘，标普500跌幅0.50%；道指跌幅0.38%；纳指跌幅0.50%； 本次回调并非传统利空消息触发，反而是经济数据超预期强劲。初请失业金人数降至年内最低，二季度GDP意外上修至3.8%，创两年新高。 $特斯拉(TSLA)$ $英伟达(NVDA)$ 强劲数据削弱了美联储（Fed）降息的理据。此前市场过度透支的降息预期正在被修正，导致股.票估值面临压力。 Z府10月暂停降息的概率已升至15%左右，确认了市场对Fed政策路径的重新评估。当“好消息”不再意味着流动性宽松，它就成了引发市场调整的诱因. 除了宏观因素，两个关键信号加剧了市场的谨慎： AI叙事遭遇质疑： 投资者开始担忧AI板块的融资节奏和资本开支扩张过快，其模式类似1999-2000年的互联网泡沫。若资金链在紧缩周期中承压，高估值股.票容易引发“踩踏”。 美元美债齐涨： 美元突然上涨，并伴随美债收益率一同起飞。这表明全球资金正在重新定价美国资产。无风险收益率的提高对美股估值构成系统性压力。 标普500已连续108个交易日没有出现超2%的跌幅，长时间的平静期积累了较高的“脆弱性”。就像一根绷紧的橡皮筋，轻微的拨动也可能造成剧烈的弹动。 CoreWeave再获$65亿算力大单 云计算服务商 $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ 周四宣布与OpenAI达成一项价值$65亿的新合作协议，进一步加强了其作为AI算力基础设施核心供应商的地位。此举意味着CRWV将为ChatGPT的母公司提供额外算力，以满足OpenAI模型训练与运行的爆发式需求。 O","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a08a87c6d1e3e8bdeaa2dd698a7d82c1","width":"444","height":"162"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b1e966f29210d4c505636c3378c8423","width":"464","height":"601"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ebb619f3a3bce7e6c316460a5d7f7b0b","width":"1080","height":"707"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/482584424661584","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1213,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":482722721166024,"gmtCreate":1758880820579,"gmtModify":1758880822872,"author":{"id":"22255755744717","authorId":"22255755744717","name":"杰西美","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3c0aa616753850d690bd02693014afe","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"22255755744717","authorIdStr":"22255755744717"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/482722721166024","repostId":"482764750164704","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":482764750164704,"gmtCreate":1758872911510,"gmtModify":1758872978338,"author":{"id":"36989258284800","authorId":"36989258284800","name":"小虎老师","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/6e9d88ae16a2b401169a727cf1457404","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"36989258284800","authorIdStr":"36989258284800"},"themes":[],"title":"🤔泡沫狂欢还是 “Baby Bubble”？AI 热潮下美股估值深度解读","htmlText":"9 月 25 日，美股三大指数延续调整态势，实现三连阴： <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$</a> 下跌 0.38%，尽数回吐 9 月 18 日美联储释放 “年内降息 50BP” 预期以来的全部涨幅； <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a> 单日再跌 0.5%，三日累计跌幅扩大至 1.8%； <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDX\">$纳斯达克100指数(NDX)$</a> 同步下行 0.5%，市场短期承压特征显著。三大指数及MAG 7最新估值数据一览:代码最新价格($)2025 涨幅12个月移动 P/E远期 P/E近10年 P/E均值远期P/E对比10年均值 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a> 6656.9212.29%29.3325.1719.231.09% <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDX\">$纳斯达克100指数(NDX)$</a> 24580.1716.11%37.830.825.918.92% <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$</a> 46292.788%31.8723.1118.525% <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> 178.4332.32%39.3931.4640.95-23.17% <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> 254.432.58%34.2332.3522.6243.02%","listText":"9 月 25 日，美股三大指数延续调整态势，实现三连阴： <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$</a> 下跌 0.38%，尽数回吐 9 月 18 日美联储释放 “年内降息 50BP” 预期以来的全部涨幅； <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a> 单日再跌 0.5%，三日累计跌幅扩大至 1.8%； <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDX\">$纳斯达克100指数(NDX)$</a> 同步下行 0.5%，市场短期承压特征显著。三大指数及MAG 7最新估值数据一览:代码最新价格($)2025 涨幅12个月移动 P/E远期 P/E近10年 P/E均值远期P/E对比10年均值 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$</a> 6656.9212.29%29.3325.1719.231.09% <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDX\">$纳斯达克100指数(NDX)$</a> 24580.1716.11%37.830.825.918.92% <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.DJI\">$道琼斯(.DJI)$</a> 46292.788%31.8723.1118.525% <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> 178.4332.32%39.3931.4640.95-23.17% <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> 254.432.58%34.2332.3522.6243.02%","text":"9 月 25 日，美股三大指数延续调整态势，实现三连阴： $道琼斯(.DJI)$ 下跌 0.38%，尽数回吐 9 月 18 日美联储释放 “年内降息 50BP” 预期以来的全部涨幅； $标普500(.SPX)$ 单日再跌 0.5%，三日累计跌幅扩大至 1.8%； $纳斯达克100指数(NDX)$ 同步下行 0.5%，市场短期承压特征显著。三大指数及MAG 7最新估值数据一览:代码最新价格($)2025 涨幅12个月移动 P/E远期 P/E近10年 P/E均值远期P/E对比10年均值 $标普500(.SPX)$ 6656.9212.29%29.3325.1719.231.09% $纳斯达克100指数(NDX)$ 24580.1716.11%37.830.825.918.92% $道琼斯(.DJI)$ 46292.788%31.8723.1118.525% $英伟达(NVDA)$ 178.4332.32%39.3931.4640.95-23.17% $苹果(AAPL)$ 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+ inflation）忧虑升温Oracle急涨引发AI概念炒作争议。AI叙事在 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">$甲骨文(ORCL)$</a> 财报及云服务合同利好推动下一日大涨约36%，此举再次强调了市场对AI基础设施需求的强烈预期，但也引起 “AI泡沫“ 的担忧，尤其是当估值不断被推高且盈利增长未必全面持续时。市场普遍预期在9月FOMC会议上将出现第一次降息，预计幅度为25个基点。不过，由于通胀（尤其是服务类与住房）仍显坚韧，Fed 仍面临“放松政策”与“不破坏抗通胀信誉”的两难。数据呈现出就业松动 + 通胀回升的混合模式，这令 Fed 必须小心处理：如果降息太快或幅度太大，可能让通胀难以被遏制；如果不降则可能让经济增长和就业进一步承压。大科技本周继续保持稳定上行，至9月11日收盘，过去一周 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> -4.07%， <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">$微软(MSFT)$</a> -1.37%， <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> +3.21%， <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$亚马逊(AMZN)$</a> -2.43%，","listText":"涨跌纷纭——一周大科技表现本周宏观主线：指数再创新高，但波动加剧。本周三大股指屡创收盘新高，其中纳斯达克在科技股带动下表现尤为强劲。不过，由于通胀（CPI年率上涨至2.9%，7月为2.7%）与就业数据（新增就业约22000个偏低，失业率上升至约4.3%，初请失业救济人数飙升至263000）不佳，市场情绪开始出现分歧，滞胀（stagnation + inflation）忧虑升温Oracle急涨引发AI概念炒作争议。AI叙事在 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ORCL\">$甲骨文(ORCL)$</a> 财报及云服务合同利好推动下一日大涨约36%，此举再次强调了市场对AI基础设施需求的强烈预期，但也引起 “AI泡沫“ 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-4.07%， $微软(MSFT)$ -1.37%， $英伟达(NVDA)$ +3.21%， $亚马逊(AMZN)$ -2.43%，","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d82ed67668611d1ae64df0a4091ec9d8"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8a4df84740eea3f42b634a4f895936ec"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e76738fd22c00b9757c16b7e83aed1eb"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/477800822612168","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":8,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":965,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":467230056345752,"gmtCreate":1755086920020,"gmtModify":1755086921609,"author":{"id":"22255755744717","authorId":"22255755744717","name":"杰西美","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3c0aa616753850d690bd02693014afe","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"22255755744717","authorIdStr":"22255755744717"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/467230056345752","repostId":"1171350818","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1462,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":467229584310352,"gmtCreate":1755086899870,"gmtModify":1755086901473,"author":{"id":"22255755744717","authorId":"22255755744717","name":"杰西美","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3c0aa616753850d690bd02693014afe","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"22255755744717","authorIdStr":"22255755744717"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/467229584310352","repostId":"1175896592","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1244,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":432405139882848,"gmtCreate":1746580028048,"gmtModify":1746580029818,"author":{"id":"22255755744717","authorId":"22255755744717","name":"杰西美","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3c0aa616753850d690bd02693014afe","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"22255755744717","authorIdStr":"22255755744717"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/432405139882848","repostId":"430425020039192","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":430425020039192,"gmtCreate":1746105804669,"gmtModify":1746106721066,"author":{"id":"3484437268417355","authorId":"3484437268417355","name":"新途直上","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37c57a5e6394fbb11cdf17bfe1c05e71","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3484437268417355","authorIdStr":"3484437268417355"},"themes":[],"title":"卖出认沽期权降低股票买入成本的策略解析","htmlText":"期权交易中，卖出认沽期权是一种高效的资金管理工具，尤其适用于长期看好标的资产但短期需优化成本的投资者。下面从策略原理、适用场景、风险控制及实际案例等方面展开分析 一、策略原理与核心逻辑 卖出认沽期权（Put Selling）的本质是收取权利金，同时承担在标的资产价格下跌时以约定行权价接盘的义务。这一策略的核心优势在于： 降低建仓成本：通过卖出认沽期权获得权利金，可抵消部分买入标的股票的成本。例如，若预期某股票将上涨，但当前资金不足，可通过卖出认沽期权锁定行权价，若期权未被行权，权利金直接转化为利润。 非对称风险收益：卖方的最大亏损为行权价与权利金的差额（有限风险），而潜在收益则随标的资产上涨无限扩大（无限收益）。 二、适用场景与操作条件 1. 市场预期： 短期不跌：预期标的资产价格小幅波动或横盘整理，如巴菲特在1993年通过卖出可口可乐认沽期权锁定成本时，认为短期存在回调风险但长期看好。 价值投资辅助：适用于已持有标的资产或计划长期持有，通过期权策略优化资金效率。 2. 资金管理： 当资金不足以直接买入股票时，可通过卖出认沽期权获得权利金，间接降低实际买入成本。例如，若行权价低于市价，接盘后实际成本为行权价减去权利金。 备兑开仓（Covered Put）：持有标的股票并卖出认沽期权，通过权利金增厚收益，如巴菲特收购柏林顿北方铁路时通过期权降低收购成本约15%。 三、风险与收益分析 1. 收益上限： 权利金收入为固定收益，若标的资产未跌破行权价，卖方可直接赚取权利金。 例如，老张以0.0615元/份卖出虚值认沽期权，一周后平仓获利3,090元（权利金差价）。 2. 风险控制： 最大亏损：若标的资产价格大幅下跌至行权价以下，卖方需以行权价接盘，亏损为（行权价 - 权利金 - 当前股价）。 保证金要求：卖方需缴纳保证金以覆盖潜在义务，通常为权利金的一定比例。 四、经典案例解析 1","listText":"期权交易中，卖出认沽期权是一种高效的资金管理工具，尤其适用于长期看好标的资产但短期需优化成本的投资者。下面从策略原理、适用场景、风险控制及实际案例等方面展开分析 一、策略原理与核心逻辑 卖出认沽期权（Put Selling）的本质是收取权利金，同时承担在标的资产价格下跌时以约定行权价接盘的义务。这一策略的核心优势在于： 降低建仓成本：通过卖出认沽期权获得权利金，可抵消部分买入标的股票的成本。例如，若预期某股票将上涨，但当前资金不足，可通过卖出认沽期权锁定行权价，若期权未被行权，权利金直接转化为利润。 非对称风险收益：卖方的最大亏损为行权价与权利金的差额（有限风险），而潜在收益则随标的资产上涨无限扩大（无限收益）。 二、适用场景与操作条件 1. 市场预期： 短期不跌：预期标的资产价格小幅波动或横盘整理，如巴菲特在1993年通过卖出可口可乐认沽期权锁定成本时，认为短期存在回调风险但长期看好。 价值投资辅助：适用于已持有标的资产或计划长期持有，通过期权策略优化资金效率。 2. 资金管理： 当资金不足以直接买入股票时，可通过卖出认沽期权获得权利金，间接降低实际买入成本。例如，若行权价低于市价，接盘后实际成本为行权价减去权利金。 备兑开仓（Covered Put）：持有标的股票并卖出认沽期权，通过权利金增厚收益，如巴菲特收购柏林顿北方铁路时通过期权降低收购成本约15%。 三、风险与收益分析 1. 收益上限： 权利金收入为固定收益，若标的资产未跌破行权价，卖方可直接赚取权利金。 例如，老张以0.0615元/份卖出虚值认沽期权，一周后平仓获利3,090元（权利金差价）。 2. 风险控制： 最大亏损：若标的资产价格大幅下跌至行权价以下，卖方需以行权价接盘，亏损为（行权价 - 权利金 - 当前股价）。 保证金要求：卖方需缴纳保证金以覆盖潜在义务，通常为权利金的一定比例。 四、经典案例解析 1","text":"期权交易中，卖出认沽期权是一种高效的资金管理工具，尤其适用于长期看好标的资产但短期需优化成本的投资者。下面从策略原理、适用场景、风险控制及实际案例等方面展开分析 一、策略原理与核心逻辑 卖出认沽期权（Put Selling）的本质是收取权利金，同时承担在标的资产价格下跌时以约定行权价接盘的义务。这一策略的核心优势在于： 降低建仓成本：通过卖出认沽期权获得权利金，可抵消部分买入标的股票的成本。例如，若预期某股票将上涨，但当前资金不足，可通过卖出认沽期权锁定行权价，若期权未被行权，权利金直接转化为利润。 非对称风险收益：卖方的最大亏损为行权价与权利金的差额（有限风险），而潜在收益则随标的资产上涨无限扩大（无限收益）。 二、适用场景与操作条件 1. 市场预期： 短期不跌：预期标的资产价格小幅波动或横盘整理，如巴菲特在1993年通过卖出可口可乐认沽期权锁定成本时，认为短期存在回调风险但长期看好。 价值投资辅助：适用于已持有标的资产或计划长期持有，通过期权策略优化资金效率。 2. 资金管理： 当资金不足以直接买入股票时，可通过卖出认沽期权获得权利金，间接降低实际买入成本。例如，若行权价低于市价，接盘后实际成本为行权价减去权利金。 备兑开仓（Covered Put）：持有标的股票并卖出认沽期权，通过权利金增厚收益，如巴菲特收购柏林顿北方铁路时通过期权降低收购成本约15%。 三、风险与收益分析 1. 收益上限： 权利金收入为固定收益，若标的资产未跌破行权价，卖方可直接赚取权利金。 例如，老张以0.0615元/份卖出虚值认沽期权，一周后平仓获利3,090元（权利金差价）。 2. 风险控制： 最大亏损：若标的资产价格大幅下跌至行权价以下，卖方需以行权价接盘，亏损为（行权价 - 权利金 - 当前股价）。 保证金要求：卖方需缴纳保证金以覆盖潜在义务，通常为权利金的一定比例。 四、经典案例解析 1","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/430425020039192","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1626,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":432404963205856,"gmtCreate":1746579717987,"gmtModify":1746579719544,"author":{"id":"22255755744717","authorId":"22255755744717","name":"杰西美","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3c0aa616753850d690bd02693014afe","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"22255755744717","authorIdStr":"22255755744717"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/432404963205856","repostId":"432219824410800","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":432219824410800,"gmtCreate":1746548523160,"gmtModify":1746548555978,"author":{"id":"3527667590215376","authorId":"3527667590215376","name":"期权小班长","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e785bea87af8baf08d2b24111b78c16a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667590215376","authorIdStr":"3527667590215376"},"themes":[],"title":"Sell in May，卖的是什么？","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> 周三有美联储fomc会议，预计维持利率不变，在4.375%。市场预期年底前降息100基点，预计7月开始降息。我觉得会后有短暂波动，但近期最重要的还是关税谈判跟落地。谈到近期波动，就不得不提老生常谈的美股格言：Sell in May and go away。不过根据期权开仓情况来看，今年5月的卖出更像是在特指期权的卖出方。spy周一有两个重量级的长期大单，不太看好大盘前景，但也不愿意为触底进行投资。第一个重量级大单是sell call 570 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SPY%2020250731%20570.0%20CALL\">$SPY 20250731 570.0 CALL$</a> ，成交量1万手。行权价很激进选择570，但算上权利金21.68，意味着只要7月31日前spy不超过590即可获利。这也意味着交易者认为spy在7月底前很难站上120日均线。但实际上spy股价超过570后sell call保证金压力会很大，所以交易者可能就是按照低于570的思路去交易的。当然，不排除交易者持股所以并没有保证金压力。另外，本单有可能不是卖出，而是买入。因为本单成交价和买卖盘之间的距离很含糊，也不排除是看涨。单纯从看涨开仓角度考虑就是利好。另一个重量级大单是不花钱的看跌策略，卖出价外call和价外put覆盖看跌成本。一般交易者不愿意为趋势付出成本的时候，说明趋势有较大概率趋向于平缓或者相反方向：卖出 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SPY%2020250919%20615.0%20CALL\">$SPY 20250919 615.0 CALL$</a> ，成交量1.15万买入","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> 周三有美联储fomc会议，预计维持利率不变，在4.375%。市场预期年底前降息100基点，预计7月开始降息。我觉得会后有短暂波动，但近期最重要的还是关税谈判跟落地。谈到近期波动，就不得不提老生常谈的美股格言：Sell in May and go away。不过根据期权开仓情况来看，今年5月的卖出更像是在特指期权的卖出方。spy周一有两个重量级的长期大单，不太看好大盘前景，但也不愿意为触底进行投资。第一个重量级大单是sell call 570 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SPY%2020250731%20570.0%20CALL\">$SPY 20250731 570.0 CALL$</a> ，成交量1万手。行权价很激进选择570，但算上权利金21.68，意味着只要7月31日前spy不超过590即可获利。这也意味着交易者认为spy在7月底前很难站上120日均线。但实际上spy股价超过570后sell call保证金压力会很大，所以交易者可能就是按照低于570的思路去交易的。当然，不排除交易者持股所以并没有保证金压力。另外，本单有可能不是卖出，而是买入。因为本单成交价和买卖盘之间的距离很含糊，也不排除是看涨。单纯从看涨开仓角度考虑就是利好。另一个重量级大单是不花钱的看跌策略，卖出价外call和价外put覆盖看跌成本。一般交易者不愿意为趋势付出成本的时候，说明趋势有较大概率趋向于平缓或者相反方向：卖出 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/SPY%2020250919%20615.0%20CALL\">$SPY 20250919 615.0 CALL$</a> ，成交量1.15万买入","text":"$标普500ETF(SPY)$ 周三有美联储fomc会议，预计维持利率不变，在4.375%。市场预期年底前降息100基点，预计7月开始降息。我觉得会后有短暂波动，但近期最重要的还是关税谈判跟落地。谈到近期波动，就不得不提老生常谈的美股格言：Sell in May and go away。不过根据期权开仓情况来看，今年5月的卖出更像是在特指期权的卖出方。spy周一有两个重量级的长期大单，不太看好大盘前景，但也不愿意为触底进行投资。第一个重量级大单是sell call 570 $SPY 20250731 570.0 CALL$ ，成交量1万手。行权价很激进选择570，但算上权利金21.68，意味着只要7月31日前spy不超过590即可获利。这也意味着交易者认为spy在7月底前很难站上120日均线。但实际上spy股价超过570后sell call保证金压力会很大，所以交易者可能就是按照低于570的思路去交易的。当然，不排除交易者持股所以并没有保证金压力。另外，本单有可能不是卖出，而是买入。因为本单成交价和买卖盘之间的距离很含糊，也不排除是看涨。单纯从看涨开仓角度考虑就是利好。另一个重量级大单是不花钱的看跌策略，卖出价外call和价外put覆盖看跌成本。一般交易者不愿意为趋势付出成本的时候，说明趋势有较大概率趋向于平缓或者相反方向：卖出 $SPY 20250919 615.0 CALL$ ，成交量1.15万买入","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d7894a3824ebbc2e45338c8d63169778","width":"1042","height":"932"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53eb4847aefa13d67f085802b494adcd","width":"2512","height":"100"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/99338347b35a641e6b31daffacf6e22b","width":"2330","height":"206"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/432219824410800","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":11,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1404,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":432404184068368,"gmtCreate":1746579713779,"gmtModify":1746579715495,"author":{"id":"22255755744717","authorId":"22255755744717","name":"杰西美","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3c0aa616753850d690bd02693014afe","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"22255755744717","authorIdStr":"22255755744717"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","listText":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","text":"这篇文章不错，转发给大家看看","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/432404184068368","repostId":"431854051709088","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":431854051709088,"gmtCreate":1746459093331,"gmtModify":1746459126574,"author":{"id":"3527667590215376","authorId":"3527667590215376","name":"期权小班长","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e785bea87af8baf08d2b24111b78c16a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3527667590215376","authorIdStr":"3527667590215376"},"themes":[],"title":"下一步是回调？","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> 市场整体反弹回关税前位置，然而并不是所有科技股都是同样的待遇，比如苹果，周五有大单卖出2.6万手6月到期240call <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL%2020250620%20240.0%20CALL\">$AAPL 20250620 240.0 CALL$</a>。 240这个位置有点说法，是3月10日美股暴跌前的位置，当天市场对美国经济健康状况的担忧扭转了投资者的风险偏好，美元指数一度跌至去年11月以来的最低点。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> 微软财报利好带动市场周五直接反弹回关税前位置。不过当前这个位置争议很大，对于英伟达来说处于财报前看涨和回调压力两种叠加状态。具体表现为，周四有人开仓买入7万手5月23日到期115call <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250523%20115.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250523 115.0 CALL$</a> 。另一边空头在周四周五持续开仓买入看跌价差进行做空：买 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250516%2099.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20250516 99.0 PUT$</a>，卖 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250516%2090.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20250516 90.0 PUT$</a> 经过两天集中交易，目前5月16日99put未平仓数量达到8.2万手，也就是说这两周有概率英伟达会回调100。股价上限方面，机构本","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">$苹果(AAPL)$</a> 市场整体反弹回关税前位置，然而并不是所有科技股都是同样的待遇，比如苹果，周五有大单卖出2.6万手6月到期240call <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/AAPL%2020250620%20240.0%20CALL\">$AAPL 20250620 240.0 CALL$</a>。 240这个位置有点说法，是3月10日美股暴跌前的位置，当天市场对美国经济健康状况的担忧扭转了投资者的风险偏好，美元指数一度跌至去年11月以来的最低点。 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$</a> 微软财报利好带动市场周五直接反弹回关税前位置。不过当前这个位置争议很大，对于英伟达来说处于财报前看涨和回调压力两种叠加状态。具体表现为，周四有人开仓买入7万手5月23日到期115call <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250523%20115.0%20CALL\">$NVDA 20250523 115.0 CALL$</a> 。另一边空头在周四周五持续开仓买入看跌价差进行做空：买 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250516%2099.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20250516 99.0 PUT$</a>，卖 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/OPT/NVDA%2020250516%2090.0%20PUT\">$NVDA 20250516 90.0 PUT$</a> 经过两天集中交易，目前5月16日99put未平仓数量达到8.2万手，也就是说这两周有概率英伟达会回调100。股价上限方面，机构本","text":"$苹果(AAPL)$ 市场整体反弹回关税前位置，然而并不是所有科技股都是同样的待遇，比如苹果，周五有大单卖出2.6万手6月到期240call $AAPL 20250620 240.0 CALL$。 240这个位置有点说法，是3月10日美股暴跌前的位置，当天市场对美国经济健康状况的担忧扭转了投资者的风险偏好，美元指数一度跌至去年11月以来的最低点。 $英伟达(NVDA)$ 微软财报利好带动市场周五直接反弹回关税前位置。不过当前这个位置争议很大，对于英伟达来说处于财报前看涨和回调压力两种叠加状态。具体表现为，周四有人开仓买入7万手5月23日到期115call $NVDA 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| 特朗普连任引领比特币上涨，精选ETF投资机会解析","htmlText":"2024年，美国总统选举结果揭晓，特朗普成功连任，再次当选美国第47任总统。特朗普在竞选期间承诺将美国打造成“全球加密货币之都”，并提出创建战略性比特币储备、出台支持数字资产的政策等举措。随着他赢得选举，比特币价格也随之上涨，吸引了投资者的广泛关注。本文将探讨特朗普连任对比特币价格的影响，以及相关ETF的投资机会。特朗普连任与比特币的上涨自特朗普选举胜利以来，比特币价格已上涨约16%（截至11月11日），这与特朗普在竞选中承诺推动加密货币发展的政策不无关系。特朗普提议将美国推向数字资产领域的前沿，这一立场无疑为比特币等加密货币提供了更多的市场预期与信心。此外，今年比特币的涨幅也非常可观。自2024年初以来，比特币价格已上涨约101%（截至11月11日）。这一上涨不仅得益于特朗普连任的预期，也与美联储的降息政策密切相关。美联储在9月和11月的两次降息为加密货币市场提供了有力支撑，进一步刺激了投资者的风险偏好，使得比特币的上涨势头愈加强劲。比特币与美元的反向关系美联储的降息通常会导致美元走弱，因为投资者往往寻找能够对抗美元贬值的资产。比特币作为数字货币，正逐渐成为许多投资者规避美元贬值的工具。此外，降息还增强了市场的风险偏好，推动资金流入比特币等高风险资产。近期的数据也表明，零售投资者对加密货币市场的兴趣正在回升。根据Google Trends数据显示，特朗普选举胜利后的比特币搜索量激增，表明公众对比特币的关注度正在恢复。随着比特币市场热度的上升，分析师普遍认为，比特币价格可能会在未来几个月继续上涨，甚至突破10万美元的大关。投资者应关注的比特币相关ETF对于投资者来说，比特币及其他数字资产的投资机会并不仅限于直接购买比特币。许多比特币ETF（交易所交易基金）为投资者提供了更为便捷的投资渠道。以下是几只值得关注的比特币相关ETF：","listText":"2024年，美国总统选举结果揭晓，特朗普成功连任，再次当选美国第47任总统。特朗普在竞选期间承诺将美国打造成“全球加密货币之都”，并提出创建战略性比特币储备、出台支持数字资产的政策等举措。随着他赢得选举，比特币价格也随之上涨，吸引了投资者的广泛关注。本文将探讨特朗普连任对比特币价格的影响，以及相关ETF的投资机会。特朗普连任与比特币的上涨自特朗普选举胜利以来，比特币价格已上涨约16%（截至11月11日），这与特朗普在竞选中承诺推动加密货币发展的政策不无关系。特朗普提议将美国推向数字资产领域的前沿，这一立场无疑为比特币等加密货币提供了更多的市场预期与信心。此外，今年比特币的涨幅也非常可观。自2024年初以来，比特币价格已上涨约101%（截至11月11日）。这一上涨不仅得益于特朗普连任的预期，也与美联储的降息政策密切相关。美联储在9月和11月的两次降息为加密货币市场提供了有力支撑，进一步刺激了投资者的风险偏好，使得比特币的上涨势头愈加强劲。比特币与美元的反向关系美联储的降息通常会导致美元走弱，因为投资者往往寻找能够对抗美元贬值的资产。比特币作为数字货币，正逐渐成为许多投资者规避美元贬值的工具。此外，降息还增强了市场的风险偏好，推动资金流入比特币等高风险资产。近期的数据也表明，零售投资者对加密货币市场的兴趣正在回升。根据Google 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