COIN飙升24%！纳入标普还能涨多久？
Coinbase单日飙升近24%！公司将取代发现金融成为标普500指数成分股，5月19日生效。【大家看好COIN纳入标普吗？你看好股价重回$300吗？】
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data-views=\"1\"></v-v>你敢信，coin之前一直是在200左右，不上不下，不死不活，现在都干350了，比特币还得是比特币呀。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>你敢信，coin之前一直是在200左右，不上不下，不死不活，现在都干350了，比特币还得是比特币呀。","text":"$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ 你敢信，coin之前一直是在200左右，不上不下，不死不活，现在都干350了，比特币还得是比特币呀。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9c711980026e26d80b4f4dd81f7c4711","width":"220","height":"164"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/449987135692944","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2778,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":447453385912480,"gmtCreate":1750246803874,"gmtModify":1750252189606,"author":{"id":"10000000000010540","authorId":"10000000000010540","name":"AAA二手车小王出车补仓","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3410b800d664fdc142cd3fee4a11af71","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"10000000000010540","idStr":"10000000000010540"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>coinbase每次大涨前都是有预兆,都会小涨一下,这次和之前前每次大涨情况相似,火速突破300，好家伙这下和mstr两极反转了，哈哈真香。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>coinbase每次大涨前都是有预兆,都会小涨一下,这次和之前前每次大涨情况相似,火速突破300，好家伙这下和mstr两极反转了，哈哈真香。","text":"$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ coinbase每次大涨前都是有预兆,都会小涨一下,这次和之前前每次大涨情况相似,火速突破300，好家伙这下和mstr两极反转了，哈哈真香。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6408d83b391780f65522d91fe3b5fc1b","width":"300","height":"185"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/447453385912480","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3038,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":447150725542136,"gmtCreate":1750173020204,"gmtModify":1750173022015,"author":{"id":"10000000000010540","authorId":"10000000000010540","name":"AAA二手车小王出车补仓","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3410b800d664fdc142cd3fee4a11af71","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"10000000000010540","idStr":"10000000000010540"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>啥都不说了，只要还能维持在200,就是小赚，那些高位上车的咱管不着，反正我没有就行。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>啥都不说了，只要还能维持在200,就是小赚，那些高位上车的咱管不着，反正我没有就行。","text":"$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ 啥都不说了，只要还能维持在200,就是小赚，那些高位上车的咱管不着，反正我没有就行。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/447150725542136","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2140,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":437037208834816,"gmtCreate":1747711102404,"gmtModify":1747711698923,"author":{"id":"4171601544682522","authorId":"4171601544682522","name":"放量暴涨减仓少杠杆","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9be36ac1310c0e55c148390429109cf5","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4171601544682522","idStr":"4171601544682522"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"Coinbase纳入标普500后股价的上涨持续性受多种因素影响，具体如下： 资金流入推动 • 被动资金配置：标普500指数调整生效后，追踪该指数的被动基金需按比例配置Coinbase股票。据估算，这部分资金规模可能达90亿美元左右，将在短期内对股价形成有力支撑。 • 主动基金关注：Coinbase加入标普500后，受关注度提高，主动管理基金可能会重新审视并增加对其配置，为股价上涨提供动力。 市场情绪与行业发展 • 市场情绪提振：Coinbase作为首家纳入标普500的加密货币公司，其成功入选增强了市场对加密货币行业的信心，吸引更多投资者进入市场，推动股价上涨。 • 行业发展前景：若未来加密货币市场持续向好，比特币等主流加密货币价格稳定上涨，市场交易活跃度提升，将带动Coinbase业绩增长，支撑其股价。 公司自身业务表现 • 业绩增长预期：Coinbase的盈利能力是股价长期上涨的关键。若公司能拓展业务，提高市场份额，增加收入和利润，将推动股价上升。但其2025年第一季度净利润暴跌94%，若未来加密市场不能复苏，公司可能继续面临业绩压力。 • 业务拓展与创新：Coinbase计划收购Deribit以扩展衍生品业务，若能成功整合并开展新业务，将提升公司竞争力和盈利能力，对股价产生积极影响。 不过，Coinbase股价也面临一些不确定性因素，如监管政策的变化、加密货币市场的高波动性、黑客攻击等安全问题以及行业竞争加剧等，这些都可能对其股价产生不利影响，限制其上涨空间和持续时间。","listText":"Coinbase纳入标普500后股价的上涨持续性受多种因素影响，具体如下： 资金流入推动 • 被动资金配置：标普500指数调整生效后，追踪该指数的被动基金需按比例配置Coinbase股票。据估算，这部分资金规模可能达90亿美元左右，将在短期内对股价形成有力支撑。 • 主动基金关注：Coinbase加入标普500后，受关注度提高，主动管理基金可能会重新审视并增加对其配置，为股价上涨提供动力。 市场情绪与行业发展 • 市场情绪提振：Coinbase作为首家纳入标普500的加密货币公司，其成功入选增强了市场对加密货币行业的信心，吸引更多投资者进入市场，推动股价上涨。 • 行业发展前景：若未来加密货币市场持续向好，比特币等主流加密货币价格稳定上涨，市场交易活跃度提升，将带动Coinbase业绩增长，支撑其股价。 公司自身业务表现 • 业绩增长预期：Coinbase的盈利能力是股价长期上涨的关键。若公司能拓展业务，提高市场份额，增加收入和利润，将推动股价上升。但其2025年第一季度净利润暴跌94%，若未来加密市场不能复苏，公司可能继续面临业绩压力。 • 业务拓展与创新：Coinbase计划收购Deribit以扩展衍生品业务，若能成功整合并开展新业务，将提升公司竞争力和盈利能力，对股价产生积极影响。 不过，Coinbase股价也面临一些不确定性因素，如监管政策的变化、加密货币市场的高波动性、黑客攻击等安全问题以及行业竞争加剧等，这些都可能对其股价产生不利影响，限制其上涨空间和持续时间。","text":"Coinbase纳入标普500后股价的上涨持续性受多种因素影响，具体如下： 资金流入推动 • 被动资金配置：标普500指数调整生效后，追踪该指数的被动基金需按比例配置Coinbase股票。据估算，这部分资金规模可能达90亿美元左右，将在短期内对股价形成有力支撑。 • 主动基金关注：Coinbase加入标普500后，受关注度提高，主动管理基金可能会重新审视并增加对其配置，为股价上涨提供动力。 市场情绪与行业发展 • 市场情绪提振：Coinbase作为首家纳入标普500的加密货币公司，其成功入选增强了市场对加密货币行业的信心，吸引更多投资者进入市场，推动股价上涨。 • 行业发展前景：若未来加密货币市场持续向好，比特币等主流加密货币价格稳定上涨，市场交易活跃度提升，将带动Coinbase业绩增长，支撑其股价。 公司自身业务表现 • 业绩增长预期：Coinbase的盈利能力是股价长期上涨的关键。若公司能拓展业务，提高市场份额，增加收入和利润，将推动股价上升。但其2025年第一季度净利润暴跌94%，若未来加密市场不能复苏，公司可能继续面临业绩压力。 • 业务拓展与创新：Coinbase计划收购Deribit以扩展衍生品业务，若能成功整合并开展新业务，将提升公司竞争力和盈利能力，对股价产生积极影响。 不过，Coinbase股价也面临一些不确定性因素，如监管政策的变化、加密货币市场的高波动性、黑客攻击等安全问题以及行业竞争加剧等，这些都可能对其股价产生不利影响，限制其上涨空间和持续时间。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/437037208834816","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3627,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":435728020316392,"gmtCreate":1747401623218,"gmtModify":1747401625275,"author":{"id":"10000000000010540","authorId":"10000000000010540","name":"AAA二手车小王出车补仓","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3410b800d664fdc142cd3fee4a11af71","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"10000000000010540","idStr":"10000000000010540"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>不管了，只要在200以上就是一个劲看多就完事了，升上去费老鼻子劲了，掉下来估计也不容易。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>不管了，只要在200以上就是一个劲看多就完事了，升上去费老鼻子劲了，掉下来估计也不容易。","text":"$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ 不管了，只要在200以上就是一个劲看多就完事了，升上去费老鼻子劲了，掉下来估计也不容易。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/435728020316392","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2140,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":435346265301152,"gmtCreate":1747308335051,"gmtModify":1747315070450,"author":{"id":"10000000000010540","authorId":"10000000000010540","name":"AAA二手车小王出车补仓","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3410b800d664fdc142cd3fee4a11af71","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"10000000000010540","idStr":"10000000000010540"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>COIN那现在情况下只能说雄起了。能升到这个价位属实是出乎意料之外了，之前还以为永远无法撼动mstr的江湖地位了，这下彻底起飞了。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>COIN那现在情况下只能说雄起了。能升到这个价位属实是出乎意料之外了，之前还以为永远无法撼动mstr的江湖地位了，这下彻底起飞了。","text":"$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ COIN那现在情况下只能说雄起了。能升到这个价位属实是出乎意料之外了，之前还以为永远无法撼动mstr的江湖地位了，这下彻底起飞了。","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6b11faf4540c0f4862541c17c4c36ca5","width":"300","height":"167"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/435346265301152","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2288,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":435134617985200,"gmtCreate":1747236839643,"gmtModify":1747236841704,"author":{"id":"10000000000010540","authorId":"10000000000010540","name":"AAA二手车小王出车补仓","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3410b800d664fdc142cd3fee4a11af71","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"10000000000010540","idStr":"10000000000010540"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTR\">$Strategy(MSTR)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>大币市场非要这样此消彼长吗，coin雄起，mstr窜稀，不过只要不能400左右转悠，就还是好股票","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSTR\">$Strategy(MSTR)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>大币市场非要这样此消彼长吗，coin雄起，mstr窜稀，不过只要不能400左右转悠，就还是好股票","text":"$Strategy(MSTR)$ 大币市场非要这样此消彼长吗，coin雄起，mstr窜稀，不过只要不能400左右转悠，就还是好股票","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/435134617985200","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2307,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":435133442752744,"gmtCreate":1747236648086,"gmtModify":1747236650493,"author":{"id":"10000000000010540","authorId":"10000000000010540","name":"AAA二手车小王出车补仓","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3410b800d664fdc142cd3fee4a11af71","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"10000000000010540","idStr":"10000000000010540"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>coin前几天一直在200左右磨磨唧唧，现在都这个价了，真是想都不敢想，还好之间没清仓[捂脸][捂脸][捂脸]","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>coin前几天一直在200左右磨磨唧唧，现在都这个价了，真是想都不敢想，还好之间没清仓[捂脸][捂脸][捂脸]","text":"$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ coin前几天一直在200左右磨磨唧唧，现在都这个价了，真是想都不敢想，还好之间没清仓[捂脸][捂脸][捂脸]","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/435133442752744","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2682,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":435107447185584,"gmtCreate":1747230206147,"gmtModify":1747230207992,"author":{"id":"10000000000010491","authorId":"10000000000010491","name":"鹿鼎公韦小宝","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/acbcdba23abf01629ff9868ac714915f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"10000000000010491","idStr":"10000000000010491"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> 币圈的美国龙头平台，USDC稳定币的发行商，最关键的是它被纳入标普500了，这说明得到了主流的认可，300块稳了。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> 币圈的美国龙头平台，USDC稳定币的发行商，最关键的是它被纳入标普500了，这说明得到了主流的认可，300块稳了。","text":"$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ 币圈的美国龙头平台，USDC稳定币的发行商，最关键的是它被纳入标普500了，这说明得到了主流的认可，300块稳了。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/435107447185584","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3544,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":435107064340656,"gmtCreate":1747230112679,"gmtModify":1747230115186,"author":{"id":"10000000000010487","authorId":"10000000000010487","name":"买股票的打铁匠","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6d94a0a25c35b5c7cdb89db84b17cf5c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"10000000000010487","idStr":"10000000000010487"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"其实最好的办法是两只都持仓。昨晚Coinbase爆到1点左右就开始磨，Tesla刚好1点先爆上去。要是看好，就两只都买吧，很难精准把握它们什么时候会爆上去 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>","listText":"其实最好的办法是两只都持仓。昨晚Coinbase爆到1点左右就开始磨，Tesla刚好1点先爆上去。要是看好，就两只都买吧，很难精准把握它们什么时候会爆上去 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>","text":"其实最好的办法是两只都持仓。昨晚Coinbase爆到1点左右就开始磨，Tesla刚好1点先爆上去。要是看好，就两只都买吧，很难精准把握它们什么时候会爆上去 $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ $特斯拉(TSLA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/435107064340656","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3568,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":435029865529504,"gmtCreate":1747211438438,"gmtModify":1747212150579,"author":{"id":"10000000000010478","authorId":"10000000000010478","name":"省心省力","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5dea98cdccfc0c5f53aa313fd4b775d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"10000000000010478","idStr":"10000000000010478"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> 纳入标普提供了独特的机构买入需求，上涨空间取决于用户增长与交易额。多关注比特币行情","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> 纳入标普提供了独特的机构买入需求，上涨空间取决于用户增长与交易额。多关注比特币行情","text":"$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ 纳入标普提供了独特的机构买入需求，上涨空间取决于用户增长与交易额。多关注比特币行情","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/435029865529504","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1962,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":435029773267104,"gmtCreate":1747211415913,"gmtModify":1747212140364,"author":{"id":"10000000000010477","authorId":"10000000000010477","name":"老刘该睡了","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5085eb698e32f93414f5f47622156f8d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"10000000000010477","idStr":"10000000000010477"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> 加密市场活跃度提升、比特币牛市持续，交易平台手续费收入很高。纳入指数流动性和关注度将维持数周甚至数月","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> 加密市场活跃度提升、比特币牛市持续，交易平台手续费收入很高。纳入指数流动性和关注度将维持数周甚至数月","text":"$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ 加密市场活跃度提升、比特币牛市持续，交易平台手续费收入很高。纳入指数流动性和关注度将维持数周甚至数月","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/435029773267104","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2126,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":434840415716128,"gmtCreate":1747196312845,"gmtModify":1747197213176,"author":{"id":"4155101106492670","authorId":"4155101106492670","name":"SignalPlus专家","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/610b9881bf21333e92157a545e5c8252","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4155101106492670","idStr":"4155101106492670"},"themes":[],"title":"BTC波动率周回顾(5月5日-5月12日)","htmlText":"关键指标：（5 月 5 日 下午四点 -> 5 月 12 日 下午四点 香港时间） BTC 对 USD 上涨 10.7% （94.7 千美元-> 104.8 千美元），ETH 对 USD 上涨 39.2% （ 1, 825 美元->2, 540 美元） 市场有意测探 99-100 千美元的阻力位并成功突破，把我们带到了 101-110 千美元，而且出乎意料地没有遇到什么阻力。总体而言，虽然整周涨幅可观（10.7% ），但实际波动率处于低位，因为价格上方有来自获利退出和多头 Gamma 仓位的对冲的卖家，价格走势在上涨时非常有序。 市场在一个月内的时间内从 74-75 千美元的低位上涨近 40% ，相当可观。同时也证实了我们进入自去年九月以来这波走势的最终阶段。目前我们预期接下来几周内市场会在 92-106 千美元之间整盘，但存在继续局部延伸上涨的可能。我们持续看涨 BTC，并预期接下来几个月或季度内到达 115-125 千美元，这个目标是我们目前的长期高点。从技术角度来讲，考虑到这波涨幅比预期的更猛，有机会我们会涨到 130-135 千美元。 市场主题 本周其他市场活动非常安静。市场无视了美联储关于“不急于降息”的言论，仍然预期未来一年会进行 2-3 次降息。主要讨论的话题仍然是特朗普的贸易战，尤其是周一宣布取消对中国的关税比率（降低 115%","listText":"关键指标：（5 月 5 日 下午四点 -> 5 月 12 日 下午四点 香港时间） BTC 对 USD 上涨 10.7% （94.7 千美元-> 104.8 千美元），ETH 对 USD 上涨 39.2% （ 1, 825 美元->2, 540 美元） 市场有意测探 99-100 千美元的阻力位并成功突破，把我们带到了 101-110 千美元，而且出乎意料地没有遇到什么阻力。总体而言，虽然整周涨幅可观（10.7% ），但实际波动率处于低位，因为价格上方有来自获利退出和多头 Gamma 仓位的对冲的卖家，价格走势在上涨时非常有序。 市场在一个月内的时间内从 74-75 千美元的低位上涨近 40% ，相当可观。同时也证实了我们进入自去年九月以来这波走势的最终阶段。目前我们预期接下来几周内市场会在 92-106 千美元之间整盘，但存在继续局部延伸上涨的可能。我们持续看涨 BTC，并预期接下来几个月或季度内到达 115-125 千美元，这个目标是我们目前的长期高点。从技术角度来讲，考虑到这波涨幅比预期的更猛，有机会我们会涨到 130-135 千美元。 市场主题 本周其他市场活动非常安静。市场无视了美联储关于“不急于降息”的言论，仍然预期未来一年会进行 2-3 次降息。主要讨论的话题仍然是特朗普的贸易战，尤其是周一宣布取消对中国的关税比率（降低 115%","text":"关键指标：（5 月 5 日 下午四点 -> 5 月 12 日 下午四点 香港时间） BTC 对 USD 上涨 10.7% （94.7 千美元-> 104.8 千美元），ETH 对 USD 上涨 39.2% （ 1, 825 美元->2, 540 美元） 市场有意测探 99-100 千美元的阻力位并成功突破，把我们带到了 101-110 千美元，而且出乎意料地没有遇到什么阻力。总体而言，虽然整周涨幅可观（10.7% ），但实际波动率处于低位，因为价格上方有来自获利退出和多头 Gamma 仓位的对冲的卖家，价格走势在上涨时非常有序。 市场在一个月内的时间内从 74-75 千美元的低位上涨近 40% ，相当可观。同时也证实了我们进入自去年九月以来这波走势的最终阶段。目前我们预期接下来几周内市场会在 92-106 千美元之间整盘，但存在继续局部延伸上涨的可能。我们持续看涨 BTC，并预期接下来几个月或季度内到达 115-125 千美元，这个目标是我们目前的长期高点。从技术角度来讲，考虑到这波涨幅比预期的更猛，有机会我们会涨到 130-135 千美元。 市场主题 本周其他市场活动非常安静。市场无视了美联储关于“不急于降息”的言论，仍然预期未来一年会进行 2-3 次降息。主要讨论的话题仍然是特朗普的贸易战，尤其是周一宣布取消对中国的关税比率（降低 115%","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/75dfec04be62226628b92f32c53f2f29","width":"990","height":"820"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/434840415716128","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4274,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":5,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":434778385240240,"gmtCreate":1747149868758,"gmtModify":1747149870813,"author":{"id":"10000000000010540","authorId":"10000000000010540","name":"AAA二手车小王出车补仓","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3410b800d664fdc142cd3fee4a11af71","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"10000000000010540","idStr":"10000000000010540"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>今天虽然暴涨，和之前的200左右晃荡完全不一样，但是价格多少有点虚高了，这涨的有点太夸张了。不太真实，在观望几天，不着急加仓。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> <v-v data-views=\"1\"></v-v>今天虽然暴涨，和之前的200左右晃荡完全不一样，但是价格多少有点虚高了，这涨的有点太夸张了。不太真实，在观望几天，不着急加仓。","text":"$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ 今天虽然暴涨，和之前的200左右晃荡完全不一样，但是价格多少有点虚高了，这涨的有点太夸张了。不太真实，在观望几天，不着急加仓。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/434778385240240","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2797,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":434629881634968,"gmtCreate":1747144236353,"gmtModify":1747144237830,"author":{"id":"4179282963740902","authorId":"4179282963740902","name":"股圈和珅","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/61d912bc3b2dd7a49134c9bd1e0611c3","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4179282963740902","idStr":"4179282963740902"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ </a> 这是支什么股？谁能告告我","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ </a> 这是支什么股？谁能告告我","text":"$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ 这是支什么股？谁能告告我","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/434629881634968","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2044,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":434744991961320,"gmtCreate":1747141811467,"gmtModify":1747141813475,"author":{"id":"10000000000010490","authorId":"10000000000010490","name":"三藏大法师","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c5f20005843fcfdee4fc28ff79506cf","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"10000000000010490","idStr":"10000000000010490"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"从技术角度看，如果开盘时SP500基金被动配置，带量突破230这个关键点，那这一波大概能看到300。别轻易下车，230一旦突破，肯定会有不少空翻多的资金进来。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a>","listText":"从技术角度看，如果开盘时SP500基金被动配置，带量突破230这个关键点，那这一波大概能看到300。别轻易下车，230一旦突破，肯定会有不少空翻多的资金进来。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a>","text":"从技术角度看，如果开盘时SP500基金被动配置，带量突破230这个关键点，那这一波大概能看到300。别轻易下车，230一旦突破，肯定会有不少空翻多的资金进来。$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/434744991961320","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4750,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":434744412197096,"gmtCreate":1747141669923,"gmtModify":1747141672304,"author":{"id":"10000000000010491","authorId":"10000000000010491","name":"鹿鼎公韦小宝","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/acbcdba23abf01629ff9868ac714915f","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"10000000000010491","idStr":"10000000000010491"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> 卖早了[呆住]卖的时候是觉得大饼在10500左右一直不涨，从资金和波动的角度，短期先撤退挺合理的，操作上没啥问题，就是没吃到肉。","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> 卖早了[呆住]卖的时候是觉得大饼在10500左右一直不涨，从资金和波动的角度，短期先撤退挺合理的，操作上没啥问题，就是没吃到肉。","text":"$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ 卖早了[呆住]卖的时候是觉得大饼在10500左右一直不涨，从资金和波动的角度，短期先撤退挺合理的，操作上没啥问题，就是没吃到肉。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/434744412197096","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2230,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":434673143423136,"gmtCreate":1747124348081,"gmtModify":1747124464675,"author":{"id":"10000000000010479","authorId":"10000000000010479","name":"微量德丰","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2214c44af667ceaccefbb23d0bcacbb8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"10000000000010479","idStr":"10000000000010479"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> 纳入标普短线资金爽死了，加密行业监管不确定性是最大的风险。先观察纳入后成交量与市场反应，再决定是否继续加仓。","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> 纳入标普短线资金爽死了，加密行业监管不确定性是最大的风险。先观察纳入后成交量与市场反应，再决定是否继续加仓。","text":"$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ 纳入标普短线资金爽死了，加密行业监管不确定性是最大的风险。先观察纳入后成交量与市场反应，再决定是否继续加仓。","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/434673143423136","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3414,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3535535770162265","authorId":"3535535770162265","name":"Alex_0099","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5f1a58594ee71017c239db9e4dfea780","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"authorIdStr":"3535535770162265","idStr":"3535535770162265"},"content":"等观察好了，该回撤了","text":"等观察好了，该回撤了","html":"等观察好了，该回撤了"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":434673751687344,"gmtCreate":1747124323457,"gmtModify":1747124325364,"author":{"id":"10000000000010478","authorId":"10000000000010478","name":"省心省力","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5dea98cdccfc0c5f53aa313fd4b775d","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"10000000000010478","idStr":"10000000000010478"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> 纳入标普指数可以吸引指数型基金和被动资金大规模买入。作为加密资产交易龙头，公司还是很有前途的","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> 纳入标普指数可以吸引指数型基金和被动资金大规模买入。作为加密资产交易龙头，公司还是很有前途的","text":"$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ 纳入标普指数可以吸引指数型基金和被动资金大规模买入。作为加密资产交易龙头，公司还是很有前途的","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/434673751687344","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1833,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":434651432435872,"gmtCreate":1747119047546,"gmtModify":1747119444328,"author":{"id":"3440721572920950","authorId":"3440721572920950","name":"美股解毒师","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bbf0f514b8e5abb92266789b89f6e1e6","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3440721572920950","idStr":"3440721572920950"},"themes":[],"title":"加密行业的华尔街入场券：Coinbase杀入标普500，将带来多少资金流入？","htmlText":"5月19日， <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> 将正式取代 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DFS.UK\">$DFS FURNITURE PLC(DFS.UK)$</a> 成为 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> 指数成分股。这一事件不仅是Coinbase的里程碑，更是加密货币行业被主流金融市场接纳的标志性时刻。Coinbase股价盘后大涨10%，市值突破530亿美元，市场情绪高涨。为何是Coinbase？合规性、盈利性与行业代表Coinbase的入选并非偶然，而是多重因素共同作用的结果：合规性优势：在监管趋严的背景下，Coinbase凭借严格的KYC/AML政策、全球牌照布局，成为合规性最强的加密交易所之一。盈利达标：标普500要求成分股在最近一个季度及过去四个季度均实现盈利，而Coinbase 2025年Q1净利润达6560万美元，符合标准。行业代表性：作为美国最大加密交易平台，Coinbase是连接传统金融与加密市场的关键桥梁，其纳入标普500意味着加密资产被正式纳入“主流资产”范畴。短期市场反应：流动性溢价与被动资金流入历史数据显示，个股纳入标普500后通常经历短期上涨，原因包括：因指数基金和机构投资者为复制指数而必须购买该股票，从而出现即时价格上涨流动性提升：机构投资者持仓门槛降低，交易量有望进一步放大；被动资金配置：指数基金需按权重买入，预计带来数十亿美元资金流入。如果按照跟踪标普500指数的基金规模6万亿来计算，预计对COIN的净流入可以达到60亿美元。2023年末以来，被纳入标普500指数的公司，在宣布日期和生效日期之间的平均涨幅为7.38%，其中最高的","listText":"5月19日， <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$</a> 将正式取代 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DFS.UK\">$DFS FURNITURE PLC(DFS.UK)$</a> 成为 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">$标普500ETF(SPY)$</a> 指数成分股。这一事件不仅是Coinbase的里程碑，更是加密货币行业被主流金融市场接纳的标志性时刻。Coinbase股价盘后大涨10%，市值突破530亿美元，市场情绪高涨。为何是Coinbase？合规性、盈利性与行业代表Coinbase的入选并非偶然，而是多重因素共同作用的结果：合规性优势：在监管趋严的背景下，Coinbase凭借严格的KYC/AML政策、全球牌照布局，成为合规性最强的加密交易所之一。盈利达标：标普500要求成分股在最近一个季度及过去四个季度均实现盈利，而Coinbase 2025年Q1净利润达6560万美元，符合标准。行业代表性：作为美国最大加密交易平台，Coinbase是连接传统金融与加密市场的关键桥梁，其纳入标普500意味着加密资产被正式纳入“主流资产”范畴。短期市场反应：流动性溢价与被动资金流入历史数据显示，个股纳入标普500后通常经历短期上涨，原因包括：因指数基金和机构投资者为复制指数而必须购买该股票，从而出现即时价格上涨流动性提升：机构投资者持仓门槛降低，交易量有望进一步放大；被动资金配置：指数基金需按权重买入，预计带来数十亿美元资金流入。如果按照跟踪标普500指数的基金规模6万亿来计算，预计对COIN的净流入可以达到60亿美元。2023年末以来，被纳入标普500指数的公司，在宣布日期和生效日期之间的平均涨幅为7.38%，其中最高的","text":"5月19日， $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ 将正式取代 $DFS FURNITURE PLC(DFS.UK)$ 成为 $标普500ETF(SPY)$ 指数成分股。这一事件不仅是Coinbase的里程碑，更是加密货币行业被主流金融市场接纳的标志性时刻。Coinbase股价盘后大涨10%，市值突破530亿美元，市场情绪高涨。为何是Coinbase？合规性、盈利性与行业代表Coinbase的入选并非偶然，而是多重因素共同作用的结果：合规性优势：在监管趋严的背景下，Coinbase凭借严格的KYC/AML政策、全球牌照布局，成为合规性最强的加密交易所之一。盈利达标：标普500要求成分股在最近一个季度及过去四个季度均实现盈利，而Coinbase 2025年Q1净利润达6560万美元，符合标准。行业代表性：作为美国最大加密交易平台，Coinbase是连接传统金融与加密市场的关键桥梁，其纳入标普500意味着加密资产被正式纳入“主流资产”范畴。短期市场反应：流动性溢价与被动资金流入历史数据显示，个股纳入标普500后通常经历短期上涨，原因包括：因指数基金和机构投资者为复制指数而必须购买该股票，从而出现即时价格上涨流动性提升：机构投资者持仓门槛降低，交易量有望进一步放大；被动资金配置：指数基金需按权重买入，预计带来数十亿美元资金流入。如果按照跟踪标普500指数的基金规模6万亿来计算，预计对COIN的净流入可以达到60亿美元。2023年末以来，被纳入标普500指数的公司，在宣布日期和生效日期之间的平均涨幅为7.38%，其中最高的","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f584cd1211033aadc59b9b4b083d17e7"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/12d6737d9c43f81b216b55a485d9333e"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4590cdfc6a39724ba407c977f67e4ee8"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":7,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/434651432435872","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":26055,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":3,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"essenList":[]}