年初也是你们说衰退的_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

2023-02-01

年初也是你们说衰退的风险，把市场吓得屁滚尿流，现在又想这样做空赚钱，乱中获利，左右都是你们说的，脑子神经混乱

小摩：2023年市场最大风险是经济不衰退

免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。

精彩评论

大王834111
2023-02-01
大王834111
不错
dingdibg
2023-02-01
dingdibg
感谢分享
云中梧桐
2023-02-01
云中梧桐
[微笑]

发表看法

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":622102476,"tweetId":"622102476","gmtCreate":1675254971195,"gmtModify":1675256375890,"author":{"id":3570605047103152,"authorId":3570605047103152,"authorIdStr":"3570605047103152","name":"荷马先生","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1d69283377af06639e7c3544aa273e68","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"html":"<html><head></head><body><p>年初也是你们说衰退的风险，把市场吓得屁滚尿流，现在又想这样做空赚钱，乱中获利，左右都是你们说的，脑子神经混乱</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>年初也是你们说衰退的风险，把市场吓得屁滚尿流，现在又想这样做空赚钱，乱中获利，左右都是你们说的，脑子神经混乱</p></body></html>","text":"年初也是你们说衰退的风险，把市场吓得屁滚尿流，现在又想这样做空赚钱，乱中获利，左右都是你们说的，脑子神经混乱","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":12,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":3,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/622102476","repostId":2308081283,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2308081283","pubTimestamp":1675246269,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2308081283?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2023-02-01 18:11","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"小摩：2023年市场最大风险是经济不衰退","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2308081283","media":"智通财经网","summary":"小摩策略师Mike Bell表示，目前市场面临的最大威胁是，如果经济衰退没有成为现实，将迫使美联储继续保持鹰派立场，这将迫使美联储加息幅度超过预期以遏制通胀。如果美联储不能像市场预期的那样降息，股市和","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>小摩策略师Mike Bell表示，目前市场面临的最大威胁是，如果经济衰退没有成为现实，将迫使美联储继续保持鹰派立场，这将迫使美联储加息幅度超过预期以遏制通胀。如果美联储不能像市场预期的那样降息，股市和债市都会下跌。</p><p>自去年3月以来，美联储一直在积极加息，以遏制通胀。一系列经济数据表明，物价正在降温，但由于紧缩的货币政策导致经济放缓，市场正在为衰退做准备。</p><p>标普500指数和纳斯达克指数过去一个月分别上涨近6%和11%，因为华尔街预计美联储将扭转为应对经济低迷而采取的紧缩政策。但如果美国经济仍未衰退，工资增长保持在高位，那么美联储将不会像预期的那样降息，而是不得不在今年下半年恢复加息，加息幅度将高于华尔街目前的预期。</p><p>但Bell表示，小摩基本预测2023年将出现经济衰退，这将缓和工资压力，那么美联储将在2024年降息。“我最乐观的猜测是，美联储将在2024年底前将利率降至2.5%左右”。</p><p>美联储为期两天的政策会议将于本周三结束，预计加息幅度将是近一年来最小的一次。本次预计加息25个基点，今年晚些时候将再加息25个基点，市场普遍预计这将使美联储利率升至4.75%-5.00%。</p></body></html>","source":"highlight_zhitongcaijin","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>小摩：2023年市场最大风险是经济不衰退</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n小摩：2023年市场最大风险是经济不衰退\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2023-02-01 18:11 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/869739.html><strong>智通财经网</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>小摩策略师Mike Bell表示，目前市场面临的最大威胁是，如果经济衰退没有成为现实，将迫使美联储继续保持鹰派立场，这将迫使美联储加息幅度超过预期以遏制通胀。如果美联储不能像市场预期的那样降息，股市和债市都会下跌。自去年3月以来，美联储一直在积极加息，以遏制通胀。一系列经济数据表明，物价正在降温，但由于紧缩的货币政策导致经济放缓，市场正在为衰退做准备。标普500指数和纳斯达克指数过去一个月分别上涨...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/869739.html\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11c9defb5a6364fafa902e502b1d3974","relate_stocks":{"BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","BK4534":"瑞士信贷持仓","LU0070302665.USD":"FRANKLIN MUTUAL U.S. VALUE \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1496350171.SGD":"FRANKLIN DIVERSIFIED BALANCED \"A\" (SGDHDG) ACC","JPM":"摩根大通","BK4533":"AQR资本管理(全球第二大对冲基金)","LU0882574139.USD":"富达环球消费行业基金A ACC","LU0211328371.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME \"A\" (MDIS) (USD)   INC","LU0310799852.SGD":"FTIF - Templeton Global Equity Income A MDIS SGD","LU1363072403.SGD":"Fidelity Global Financial Services A-ACC-SGD","LU1244550221.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL MULTI-ASSET  INCOME \"A\" (USDHEDGED) INC (M)","BK4566":"资本集团","SG9999002224.SGD":"Allianz Global High Payout SGD","LU0211326755.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL INCOME \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0208291251.USD":"FRANKLIN MUTUAL U.S. VALUE \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0320765646.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin Income A MDIS SGD-H1","BK4550":"红杉资本持仓","LU0496365809.HKD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL INCOME \"A\" (HKD) INC (Q)","LU0256863811.USD":"ALLIANZ US EQUITY \"A\" INC","LU0976567544.SGD":"FTIF - Templeton Global Income A Mdis SGD-H1","LU1162221912.USD":"FRANKLIN INCOME \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1244550494.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL MULTI-ASSET INCOME \"A\" (USDHEDGED) ACC","BK4207":"综合性银行","LU0211326839.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL INCOME \"A\" (USD) INC","LU0320765489.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin Mutual US Value A Acc SGD","LU0211327993.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1668664300.SGD":"Blackrock World Financials A2 SGD-H","BK4581":"高盛持仓","LU0971096721.USD":"富达环球金融服务 A","LU1244550577.SGD":"FTIF - Franklin Global Multi-Asset Income A (Mdis) SGD-H1","BK4504":"桥水持仓","LU0149725797.USD":"汇丰美国股市经济规模基金","LU1261432733.SGD":"Fidelity World A-ACC-SGD","LU0417517546.SGD":"Allianz US Equity Cl AT Acc SGD","LU0170899867.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS WORLD VALUE EQUITY  \"A\" (USD) ACC","SG9999002232.USD":"Allianz Global High Payout USD","LU1496350502.SGD":"FRANKLIN DIVERSIFIED DYNAMIC \"A\" (SGDHDG) ACC","LU0106831901.USD":"贝莱德世界金融基金A2","IE0034235188.USD":"PINEBRIDGE GLOBAL FOCUS EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","IE00B1BXHZ80.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Appreciation A Acc USD","LU1267930490.SGD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME \"AS\" (SGD) INC A"},"source_url":"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/869739.html","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/6ca2dcdccfa2217fb20a0351f4efe814","article_id":"2308081283","content_text":"小摩策略师Mike Bell表示，目前市场面临的最大威胁是，如果经济衰退没有成为现实，将迫使美联储继续保持鹰派立场，这将迫使美联储加息幅度超过预期以遏制通胀。如果美联储不能像市场预期的那样降息，股市和债市都会下跌。自去年3月以来，美联储一直在积极加息，以遏制通胀。一系列经济数据表明，物价正在降温，但由于紧缩的货币政策导致经济放缓，市场正在为衰退做准备。标普500指数和纳斯达克指数过去一个月分别上涨近6%和11%，因为华尔街预计美联储将扭转为应对经济低迷而采取的紧缩政策。但如果美国经济仍未衰退，工资增长保持在高位，那么美联储将不会像预期的那样降息，而是不得不在今年下半年恢复加息，加息幅度将高于华尔街目前的预期。但Bell表示，小摩基本预测2023年将出现经济衰退，这将缓和工资压力，那么美联储将在2024年降息。“我最乐观的猜测是，美联储将在2024年底前将利率降至2.5%左右”。美联储为期两天的政策会议将于本周三结束，预计加息幅度将是近一年来最小的一次。本次预计加息25个基点，今年晚些时候将再加息25个基点，市场普遍预计这将使美联储利率升至4.75%-5.00%。","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":821,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":103,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[{"id":7852902,"gmtCreate":1675258418398,"gmtModify":1675258431542,"authorId":4126081247367592,"author":{"id":4126081247367592,"authorId":4126081247367592,"name":"大王834111","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68691e9564870606bffbc2b20524e550","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":622102476,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"不错","text":"不错","html":"不错","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"invalid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":7852868,"gmtCreate":1675257281132,"gmtModify":1675257294422,"authorId":3494827487225209,"author":{"id":3494827487225209,"authorId":3494827487225209,"name":"dingdibg","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b7b17454644aee77f68e0e7df7924e3e","vip":1,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":622102476,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"感谢分享","text":"感谢分享","html":"感谢分享","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"invalid","coins":0,"score":0},{"id":7852861,"gmtCreate":1675256917348,"gmtModify":1675256930577,"authorId":3570100124824816,"author":{"id":3570100124824816,"authorId":3570100124824816,"name":"云中梧桐","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8d6b9da5ab9b1439a5866b2dda18152e","vip":1,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":622102476,"type":1,"supId":0,"prevId":0,"content":"[微笑]","text":"[微笑]","html":"[微笑]","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"invalid","coins":0,"score":0}],"isCommentEnd":false,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/622102476"}