王待彬
08-05
一会押注反弹，一会押注暴涨，………
《大空头》原型Michael Burry 押注美股反弹将结束：我们接近一个重大顶部，可能出现类似1987年的暴跌
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Mediator
08-05
Mediator
他一直就是看空
什么也没有了～
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left;\"><strong>标普500指数</strong>周二上涨1.9%，创下自6月以来首次历史新高收盘。企业盈利强于预期，同时油价再次下跌，市场对<strong>霍尔木兹海峡</strong>将重新向海运开放的希望升温，这些因素共同推动了股市上涨。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">科技股占比较高的<strong>纳斯达克综合指数</strong>大涨2.7%，使其仅在本周前两个交易日的累计涨幅就接近5%。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">伯里一直是华尔街对人工智能热潮最直言不讳的怀疑者之一。他认为，当前对人工智能基础设施的需求，很大程度上是由一些最终可能无法持续的融资安排推动的。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">他表示，市场的上涨正在形成一种<strong>自我强化的循环</strong>，随着波动率下降，系统性投资者会增加市场敞口，从而进一步推动市场上涨。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">他写道：“记住，市场在波动率下降的情况下上涨，会迫使波动率目标型基金提高杠杆，同时也会让其他动量策略的杠杆资金开始发挥作用。”</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">面对市场持续上涨，伯里表示，他仍然持有以下标的的<strong>空头头寸</strong>：</p><ul><li><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>iShares半导体ETF（SOXX）</strong></p></li><li><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>美光科技（Micron）</strong></p></li><li><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>英伟达（Nvidia）</strong></p></li><li><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>卡特彼勒（Caterpillar）</strong></p></li><li><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Palantir</strong></p></li><li><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>特斯拉（Tesla）</strong></p></li><li><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>应用材料（Applied Materials）</strong></p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: left;\">伯里表示，他仍然对这些空头头寸的长期判断充满信心。不过，他补充说，如果这些交易明显朝着对他不利的方向发展，他会选择止损。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">他说，目前这些空头头寸<strong>除了做空英伟达之外，其余全部仍处于盈利状态</strong>。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">伯里写道：“再次强调，做空并不适合所有人。我必须做空，但大多数人不应该这么做。”</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>《大空头》原型Michael Burry 押注美股反弹将结束：我们接近一个重大顶部，可能出现类似1987年的暴跌</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n《大空头》原型Michael Burry 押注美股反弹将结束：我们接近一个重大顶部，可能出现类似1987年的暴跌\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-08-05 08:46</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><h2 style=\"text-align: left;\">重点</h2><ul><li><p style=\"text-align: left;\">伯里周二在Substack上发文表示：“我仍然认为，我们有可能已经接近一个重大顶部，并且可能出现类似1987年的下跌。”</p></li><li><p style=\"text-align: left;\">标普500指数周二上涨1.9%，创下自6月以来首次历史新高收盘。企业盈利好于预期以及油价再次下跌推动了市场上涨。</p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: left;\">因电影《大空头（<span>The Big Short</span>）》而闻名的迈克尔·伯里（<span>Michael Burry</span>），即使标普500指数飙升至历史新高，仍坚持自己的看空押注，并警告称，这轮上涨行情最终仍可能演变成类似1987年股市崩盘那样的剧烈抛售。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">伯里周二在Substack上发文表示：“我仍然认为，我们有可能已经接近一个重大顶部，并且可能出现类似1987年的下跌，但标普500指数创出新高，很可能会吸引新的资金进入市场。”</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>标普500指数</strong>周二上涨1.9%，创下自6月以来首次历史新高收盘。企业盈利强于预期，同时油价再次下跌，市场对<strong>霍尔木兹海峡</strong>将重新向海运开放的希望升温，这些因素共同推动了股市上涨。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">科技股占比较高的<strong>纳斯达克综合指数</strong>大涨2.7%，使其仅在本周前两个交易日的累计涨幅就接近5%。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">伯里一直是华尔街对人工智能热潮最直言不讳的怀疑者之一。他认为，当前对人工智能基础设施的需求，很大程度上是由一些最终可能无法持续的融资安排推动的。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">他表示，市场的上涨正在形成一种<strong>自我强化的循环</strong>，随着波动率下降，系统性投资者会增加市场敞口，从而进一步推动市场上涨。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">他写道：“记住，市场在波动率下降的情况下上涨，会迫使波动率目标型基金提高杠杆，同时也会让其他动量策略的杠杆资金开始发挥作用。”</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">面对市场持续上涨，伯里表示，他仍然持有以下标的的<strong>空头头寸</strong>：</p><ul><li><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>iShares半导体ETF（SOXX）</strong></p></li><li><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>美光科技（Micron）</strong></p></li><li><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>英伟达（Nvidia）</strong></p></li><li><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>卡特彼勒（Caterpillar）</strong></p></li><li><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>Palantir</strong></p></li><li><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>特斯拉（Tesla）</strong></p></li><li><p style=\"text-align: left;\"><strong>应用材料（Applied Materials）</strong></p></li></ul><p style=\"text-align: left;\">伯里表示，他仍然对这些空头头寸的长期判断充满信心。不过，他补充说，如果这些交易明显朝着对他不利的方向发展，他会选择止损。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">他说，目前这些空头头寸<strong>除了做空英伟达之外，其余全部仍处于盈利状态</strong>。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">伯里写道：“再次强调，做空并不适合所有人。我必须做空，但大多数人不应该这么做。”</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/ec1b39b22a82612ecf8be42d25d85963","relate_stocks":{"NVDL":"2倍做多NVDA ETF-GraniteShares","TSLR":"2倍做多TSLA ETF-GraniteShares","TSLA":"特斯拉","MUU":"2倍做多MU ETF-Direxion","PLTI":"REX PLTR Growth & Income ETF","NVDQ":"2倍做空NVDA ETF-T-Rex","TSLS":"1倍做空TSLA ETF-Direxion","MUYY":"GraniteShares YieldBOOSTMU ETF","SOXX":"iShares费城交易所半导体ETF","NVDS":"1.5倍做空NVDA ETF-Tradr","CRSH":"做空TSLA 期权收益策略ETF-YieldMax","MU":"美光科技","TSLT":"2倍做多TSLA ETF-T-Rex","MUZ":"2倍做空MU ETF-Defiance","PLTU":"2倍做多PLTR ETF-Direxion","09766":"南方两倍做多特斯拉-U","MUD":"1倍做空MU ETF-Direxion","NVDU":"2倍做多NVDA ETF-Direxion","TSLW":"TSLA周配息ETF-Roundhill","PLTW":"PLTR周配息ETF-Roundhill","NVDO":"2倍上限加速NVDA ETF-Leverage Shares","TSII":"REX TSLA Growth & Income ETF","NVDW":"NVDA周配息ETF-Roundhill","ANV":"GraniteShares Autocallable NVDA 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Burry），即使标普500指数飙升至历史新高，仍坚持自己的看空押注，并警告称，这轮上涨行情最终仍可能演变成类似1987年股市崩盘那样的剧烈抛售。伯里周二在Substack上发文表示：“我仍然认为，我们有可能已经接近一个重大顶部，并且可能出现类似1987年的下跌，但标普500指数创出新高，很可能会吸引新的资金进入市场。”标普500指数周二上涨1.9%，创下自6月以来首次历史新高收盘。企业盈利强于预期，同时油价再次下跌，市场对霍尔木兹海峡将重新向海运开放的希望升温，这些因素共同推动了股市上涨。科技股占比较高的纳斯达克综合指数大涨2.7%，使其仅在本周前两个交易日的累计涨幅就接近5%。伯里一直是华尔街对人工智能热潮最直言不讳的怀疑者之一。他认为，当前对人工智能基础设施的需求，很大程度上是由一些最终可能无法持续的融资安排推动的。他表示，市场的上涨正在形成一种自我强化的循环，随着波动率下降，系统性投资者会增加市场敞口，从而进一步推动市场上涨。他写道：“记住，市场在波动率下降的情况下上涨，会迫使波动率目标型基金提高杠杆，同时也会让其他动量策略的杠杆资金开始发挥作用。”面对市场持续上涨，伯里表示，他仍然持有以下标的的空头头寸：iShares半导体ETF（SOXX）美光科技（Micron）英伟达（Nvidia）卡特彼勒（Caterpillar）Palantir特斯拉（Tesla）应用材料（Applied Materials）伯里表示，他仍然对这些空头头寸的长期判断充满信心。不过，他补充说，如果这些交易明显朝着对他不利的方向发展，他会选择止损。他说，目前这些空头头寸除了做空英伟达之外，其余全部仍处于盈利状态。伯里写道：“再次强调，做空并不适合所有人。我必须做空，但大多数人不应该这么做。”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDQ":0.6,"PLOO":0.6,"07388":0.6,"PLTU":0.6,"07766":0.6,"PLTG":0.6,"TSL":0.6,"NVDD":0.6,"TSLQ":0.6,"09366":0.6,"NVYY":0.6,"NVDB":0.6,"TSLT":0.6,"NVDS":0.6,"ANV":0.6,"07366":0.6,"NVDA":2,"TSII":0.6,"TSLR":0.6,"TSYY":0.6,"AMAT":2,"PLTZ":0.6,"NVDW":0.6,"09766":0.6,"NVII":0.6,"TSLL":0.6,"TSLS":0.6,"TSDD":0.6,"CRSH":0.6,"DIPS":0.6,"MUZ":0.6,"PLTY":0.6,"TSLO":0.6,"NVD":0.6,"TSLA":2,"PLTW":0.6,"NVDO":0.6,"MUU":0.6,"SOXX":2,"PLTA":0.6,"MUD":0.6,"TESL":0.6,"MIC":0.6,"TSLG":0.6,"PLTI":0.6,"PLTR":2,"NVDX":0.6,"TSLY":0.6,"TEST":0.6,"07788":0.6,"NVDG":0.6,"NVDY":0.6,"MUYY":0.6,"PLTD":0.6,"PLYY":0.6,"PTIR":0.6,"TSLP":0.6,"TSLZ":0.6,"MULL":0.6,"TSLW":0.6,"CAT":2,"NVDU":0.6,"TSLI":0.6,"MU":2,"TLA":0.6,"NVDL":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":389,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":29,"optionInvolvedFlag":false,"subscribersOnly":false,"subscribersOnlyAccessible":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[{"id":593419958563016,"commentId":"593419958563016","gmtCreate":1785892404246,"gmtModify":1785892409008,"authorId":3498680662745699,"author":{"id":3498680662745699,"idStr":"3498680662745699","authorId":3498680662745699,"name":"Mediator","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e27d4b46eee1454d2bd4f83bb56ab921","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-4","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"明星虎友","description":"加入老虎社区2000天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dddf24b906c7011de2617d4fb3f76987","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/53d58ad32c97254c6f74db8b97e6ec49","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6304700d92ad91c7a33e2e92ec32ecc1","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2024.02.21","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001,"isScarce":0,"effectEnabled":0,"wearingSort":0},"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":593419531629088,"objectIdStr":"593419531629088","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"他一直就是看空","text":"他一直就是看空","html":"他一直就是看空","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"valid","coins":0,"score":0,"disclaimerType":0}],"isCommentEnd":false,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/593419531629088"}
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