纳指100逼近200日均线

震哥的投资世界

最近几天纳指100逼近200日均线，受群友启发，震哥拉了一张图：看看最近几年纳指100接近或跌破200日均线的情况

最近5年有5次跌破或接近的情况

(1) 20年疫情: 3-4月跌破200日均线，美联储量化宽松后收复

(2) 22年加息周期：长期跌破，直到23年才收复

(3) 23年3月硅谷银行：逼近拉起

(4) 24年8月日本加息，非农不及预期：跌破拉起，时间持续很短

(5) 现在周4接近200日均线

图片

震哥的结论：

没有系统性风险的时候（比如疫情，恶性通胀，流动性危机），纳指100很难长时间跌破200日均线

那么这次面临系统性风险吗？

风险提示：文中看法可能充满笔者个人偏见或错误。提及的任何个股或基金，不作为买入建议，请坚持独立思考。

$纳指100ETF(QQQ)$

非农数据来袭！大盘能否延续涨势？

美国“小非农”12月ADP就业人数增长4.1万，扭转11月下滑但低于增幅预期。此外，12月非农将于1月9日21:30公布，将为美联储本月晚些时候的决策提供参考。【周五非农能否支撑大盘上涨？现在你的操作策略是？】

免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。

精彩评论

akone
2025-03-04
akone
美股是否有系统性风险？
- goog:
  有
- 长期复利主义_888:
  没有
震哥的投资世界
2025-03-04
震哥的投资世界
我认为目前没有。更多是波动和反身性
影枫16
2025-03-03
影枫16
跟进[开心]

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24年8月日本加息，非农不及预期：跌破拉起，时间持续很短</p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">(5) 现在周4接近200日均线</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8773beecd884c4ab040c47ee3d4a877c\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"592\"><span>图片</span></p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>震哥的结论：</strong></p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>没有系统性风险的时候（比如疫情，恶性通胀，流动性危机），纳指100很难长时间跌破200日均线</strong></p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>那么这次面临系统性风险吗？</strong></p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong><em>风险提示：文中看法可能充满笔者个人偏见或错误。提及的任何个股或基金，不作为买入建议，请坚持独立思考。</em></strong></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">$纳指100ETF(QQQ)$</a></p></body></html>","text":"最近几天纳指100逼近200日均线，受群友启发，震哥拉了一张图：看看最近几年纳指100接近或跌破200日均线的情况 最近5年有5次跌破或接近的情况 (1) 20年疫情: 3-4月跌破200日均线，美联储量化宽松后收复 (2) 22年加息周期：长期跌破，直到23年才收复 (3) 23年3月硅谷银行：逼近拉起 (4) 24年8月日本加息，非农不及预期：跌破拉起，时间持续很短 (5) 现在周4接近200日均线 图片 震哥的结论： 没有系统性风险的时候（比如疫情，恶性通胀，流动性危机），纳指100很难长时间跌破200日均线 那么这次面临系统性风险吗？ 风险提示：文中看法可能充满笔者个人偏见或错误。提及的任何个股或基金，不作为买入建议，请坚持独立思考。 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