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2021-02-25

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Apple Stock Flirts With Bear Market: Buy Now?<blockquote>苹果股票与熊市调情：现在买入？</blockquote>

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While it is hard to tell how much lower shares might go, investors who bought Apple on the dip have historically done well.At the start of Tuesday’s trading session, on February 23, Apple traded below $120 per share for the first time since November 2020 – i.e. a three-month low. At those intraday levels, the stock had corrected 18% from the all-time peak, reached early on January 25 of this year.For the first time sin","content":"Apple could enter bear market again, for the first time since September 2020. While it is hard to tell how much lower shares might go, investors who bought Apple on the dip have historically done well.<blockquote>苹果可能再次进入熊市，这是自 2020 年 9 月以来的首次。虽然很难说股价可能会下跌多少，但在下跌时买入苹果的投资者历来表现良好。</blockquote> At the start of Tuesday’s trading session, on February 23, Apple traded below $120 per share for the first time since November 2020 – i.e. a three-month low. At those intraday levels, the stock had corrected 18% from the all-time peak, reached early on January 25 of this year.<blockquote>2 月 23 日星期二交易时段开始时，苹果股价自 2020 年 11 月以来首次跌破每股 120 美元，即三个月来的最低点。在盘中水平，该股已较今年 1 月 25 日早些时候达到的历史峰值修正了 18%。</blockquote> For the first time since September 2020, Apple could enter bear territory again, which is defined as a 20% correction for the peak.<blockquote>自2020年9月以来，苹果首次可能再次进入熊市区域，这被定义为峰值的20%修正。</blockquote> The question: is this the right time to buy Apple on weakness, or should investors wait for a steeper decline before committing to the stock?<blockquote>问题是：现在是在疲软时买入苹果的合适时机，还是投资者应该等待股价大幅下跌后再买入该股？</blockquote> No sign of deteriorating fundamentals<blockquote>基本面没有恶化的迹象</blockquote> It helps to understand that, to the best of my knowledge, the pressure on Apple stock seems to be unrelated to the company’s fundamentals.<blockquote>据我所知，苹果股票面临的压力似乎与公司的基本面无关，这很有帮助。</blockquote> I made this argument recently, when I pointed out that the iPhone (half of Apple’s revenues in calendar 2020) had performed superbly in the most recent year. But the 5G super cycle in the smartphone segment only begins to tell the story.<blockquote>我最近提出了这个论点，当时我指出 iPhone（苹果 2020 年收入的一半）在最近一年的表现非常出色。但智能手机领域的5G超级周期才刚刚开始讲述这个故事。</blockquote> The new year is also shaping up to be a good one for the Mac (nearly 10% of calendar 2020 revenues), now that the M1 chip&nbsp;seems to be helping to drive demand higher&nbsp;for Apple’s personal computers.<blockquote>新的一年对 Mac 来说也是个好年头（占 2020 年收入的近 10%），因为 M1 芯片似乎有助于推动苹果个人电脑的需求增长。</blockquote> Lastly, I believe that services could double again, as it did between 2016 and 2020, within the next five years. This should be possible for two reasons:<blockquote>最后，我相信服务可能会在未来五年内再次翻一番，就像 2016 年至 2020 年间所做的那样。这应该是可能的，原因有二：</blockquote> <ul> <li>The introduction of new offerings, as Apple has done with Fitness+. Each new service, even if nowhere near as successful as iCloud or Apple Music, will be accretive to revenues and boost sales growth.</li> <li>A more attractive pricing arrangement should increase the demand. Here, I am specifically&nbsp;thinking of the Apple One bundle, which could serve as a nudge for new subscribers.</li> </ul> A look at history<blockquote><ul><li>推出新产品，就像苹果在Fitness+上所做的那样。每项新服务，即使远不如iCloud或苹果音乐成功，也将增加收入并促进销售增长。</li><li>更具吸引力的定价安排应该会增加需求。在这里，我特别想到了苹果一号捆绑包，它可以作为新用户的推动。</li></ul>回顾历史</blockquote> With fundamentals looking solid, and absent some sort of surprise, it is reasonable to assume that Apple shares will eventually find their way north once again.<blockquote>由于基本面看起来稳健，并且没有任何意外，有理由假设苹果股价最终将再次上涨。</blockquote> Of course, it is much harder to tell when this will happen, and how far lower the stock needs to go before it rebounds. Still, it helps to look at history.<blockquote>当然，很难判断这种情况何时会发生，以及股票需要跌多远才能反弹。尽管如此，回顾历史还是有帮助的。</blockquote> Many investors may not know that Apple is not at all a stranger to bear-like corrections. Since the company went public, in 1980, Apple’s share price remained 20% below previous peaks 61% of the time – i.e. 6 out of every 10 trading days, on average.<blockquote>许多投资者可能不知道，苹果对熊市般的调整一点也不陌生。自 1980 年公司上市以来，苹果的股价有 61% 的时间比之前的峰值低 20%，即平均每 10 个交易日中有 6 个交易日会下降 20%。</blockquote> Worth noting, the frequency decreased sharply in the past decade, as Apple matured.<blockquote>值得注意的是，随着苹果的成熟，这种频率在过去十年中急剧下降。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04a679a703e78a8e0194aeef132bedd2\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"635\">Apple's drawdowns from a previous peak.<blockquote>苹果从之前的峰值回落。</blockquote> Because the stock has invariably rebounded off its lows, investors who bet on Apple’s weakness eventually reaped the benefits. So, while it is hard to say that $120 apiece is a bottom for Apple stock, the potential long-term returns will likely rise as shares fall further.<blockquote>由于该股总是从低点反弹，押注苹果疲软的投资者最终获利。因此，虽然很难说每股120美元是苹果股票的底部，但随着股价进一步下跌，潜在的长期回报可能会上升。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock Flirts With Bear Market: Buy Now?<blockquote>苹果股票与熊市调情：现在买入？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock Flirts With Bear Market: Buy Now?<blockquote>苹果股票与熊市调情：现在买入？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nTheStreet2021-02-25 11:48\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nApple could enter bear market again, for the first time since September 2020. While it is hard to tell how much lower shares might go, investors who bought Apple on the dip have historically done well.<blockquote>苹果可能再次进入熊市，这是自 2020 年 9 月以来的首次。虽然很难说股价可能会下跌多少，但在下跌时买入苹果的投资者历来表现良好。</blockquote> At the start of Tuesday’s trading session, on February 23, Apple traded below $120 per share for the first time since November 2020 – i.e. a three-month low. At those intraday levels, the stock had corrected 18% from the all-time peak, reached early on January 25 of this year.<blockquote>2 月 23 日星期二交易时段开始时，苹果股价自 2020 年 11 月以来首次跌破每股 120 美元，即三个月来的最低点。在盘中水平，该股已较今年 1 月 25 日早些时候达到的历史峰值修正了 18%。</blockquote> For the first time since September 2020, Apple could enter bear territory again, which is defined as a 20% correction for the peak.<blockquote>自2020年9月以来，苹果首次可能再次进入熊市区域，这被定义为峰值的20%修正。</blockquote> The question: is this the right time to buy Apple on weakness, or should investors wait for a steeper decline before committing to the stock?<blockquote>问题是：现在是在疲软时买入苹果的合适时机，还是投资者应该等待股价大幅下跌后再买入该股？</blockquote> No sign of deteriorating fundamentals<blockquote>基本面没有恶化的迹象</blockquote> It helps to understand that, to the best of my knowledge, the pressure on Apple stock seems to be unrelated to the company’s fundamentals.<blockquote>据我所知，苹果股票面临的压力似乎与公司的基本面无关，这很有帮助。</blockquote> I made this argument recently, when I pointed out that the iPhone (half of Apple’s revenues in calendar 2020) had performed superbly in the most recent year. But the 5G super cycle in the smartphone segment only begins to tell the story.<blockquote>我最近提出了这个论点，当时我指出 iPhone（苹果 2020 年收入的一半）在最近一年的表现非常出色。但智能手机领域的5G超级周期才刚刚开始讲述这个故事。</blockquote> The new year is also shaping up to be a good one for the Mac (nearly 10% of calendar 2020 revenues), now that the M1 chip&nbsp;seems to be helping to drive demand higher&nbsp;for Apple’s personal computers.<blockquote>新的一年对 Mac 来说也是个好年头（占 2020 年收入的近 10%），因为 M1 芯片似乎有助于推动苹果个人电脑的需求增长。</blockquote> Lastly, I believe that services could double again, as it did between 2016 and 2020, within the next five years. This should be possible for two reasons:<blockquote>最后，我相信服务可能会在未来五年内再次翻一番，就像 2016 年至 2020 年间所做的那样。这应该是可能的，原因有二：</blockquote> <ul> <li>The introduction of new offerings, as Apple has done with Fitness+. Each new service, even if nowhere near as successful as iCloud or Apple Music, will be accretive to revenues and boost sales growth.</li> <li>A more attractive pricing arrangement should increase the demand. Here, I am specifically&nbsp;thinking of the Apple One bundle, which could serve as a nudge for new subscribers.</li> </ul> A look at history<blockquote><ul><li>推出新产品，就像苹果在Fitness+上所做的那样。每项新服务，即使远不如iCloud或苹果音乐成功，也将增加收入并促进销售增长。</li><li>更具吸引力的定价安排应该会增加需求。在这里，我特别想到了苹果一号捆绑包，它可以作为新用户的推动。</li></ul>回顾历史</blockquote> With fundamentals looking solid, and absent some sort of surprise, it is reasonable to assume that Apple shares will eventually find their way north once again.<blockquote>由于基本面看起来稳健，并且没有任何意外，有理由假设苹果股价最终将再次上涨。</blockquote> Of course, it is much harder to tell when this will happen, and how far lower the stock needs to go before it rebounds. Still, it helps to look at history.<blockquote>当然，很难判断这种情况何时会发生，以及股票需要跌多远才能反弹。尽管如此，回顾历史还是有帮助的。</blockquote> Many investors may not know that Apple is not at all a stranger to bear-like corrections. Since the company went public, in 1980, Apple’s share price remained 20% below previous peaks 61% of the time – i.e. 6 out of every 10 trading days, on average.<blockquote>许多投资者可能不知道，苹果对熊市般的调整一点也不陌生。自 1980 年公司上市以来，苹果的股价有 61% 的时间比之前的峰值低 20%，即平均每 10 个交易日中有 6 个交易日会下降 20%。</blockquote> Worth noting, the frequency decreased sharply in the past decade, as Apple matured.<blockquote>值得注意的是，随着苹果的成熟，这种频率在过去十年中急剧下降。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04a679a703e78a8e0194aeef132bedd2\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"635\">Apple's drawdowns from a previous peak.<blockquote>苹果从之前的峰值回落。</blockquote> Because the stock has invariably rebounded off its lows, investors who bet on Apple’s weakness eventually reaped the benefits. So, while it is hard to say that $120 apiece is a bottom for Apple stock, the potential long-term returns will likely rise as shares fall further.<blockquote>由于该股总是从低点反弹，押注苹果疲软的投资者最终获利。因此，虽然很难说每股120美元是苹果股票的底部，但随着股价进一步下跌，潜在的长期回报可能会上升。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/apple-stock-flirts-with-bear-market-buy-now\">TheStreet</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/apple-stock-flirts-with-bear-market-buy-now","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161110707","content_text":"Apple could enter bear market again, for the first time since September 2020. While it is hard to tell how much lower shares might go, investors who bought Apple on the dip have historically done well.\nAt the start of Tuesday’s trading session, on February 23, Apple traded below $120 per share for the first time since November 2020 – i.e. a three-month low. At those intraday levels, the stock had corrected 18% from the all-time peak, reached early on January 25 of this year.\nFor the first time since September 2020, Apple could enter bear territory again, which is defined as a 20% correction for the peak.\nThe question: is this the right time to buy Apple on weakness, or should investors wait for a steeper decline before committing to the stock?\nNo sign of deteriorating fundamentals\nIt helps to understand that, to the best of my knowledge, the pressure on Apple stock seems to be unrelated to the company’s fundamentals.\nI made this argument recently, when I pointed out that the iPhone (half of Apple’s revenues in calendar 2020) had performed superbly in the most recent year. But the 5G super cycle in the smartphone segment only begins to tell the story.\nThe new year is also shaping up to be a good one for the Mac (nearly 10% of calendar 2020 revenues), now that the M1 chip seems to be helping to drive demand higher for Apple’s personal computers.\nLastly, I believe that services could double again, as it did between 2016 and 2020, within the next five years. This should be possible for two reasons:\n\nThe introduction of new offerings, as Apple has done with Fitness+. Each new service, even if nowhere near as successful as iCloud or Apple Music, will be accretive to revenues and boost sales growth.\nA more attractive pricing arrangement should increase the demand. Here, I am specifically thinking of the Apple One bundle, which could serve as a nudge for new subscribers.\n\nA look at history\nWith fundamentals looking solid, and absent some sort of surprise, it is reasonable to assume that Apple shares will eventually find their way north once again.\nOf course, it is much harder to tell when this will happen, and how far lower the stock needs to go before it rebounds. Still, it helps to look at history.\nMany investors may not know that Apple is not at all a stranger to bear-like corrections. Since the company went public, in 1980, Apple’s share price remained 20% below previous peaks 61% of the time – i.e. 6 out of every 10 trading days, on average.\nWorth noting, the frequency decreased sharply in the past decade, as Apple matured.\nApple's drawdowns from a previous peak.\nBecause the stock has invariably rebounded off its lows, investors who bet on Apple’s weakness eventually reaped the benefits. So, while it is hard to say that $120 apiece is a bottom for Apple stock, the potential long-term returns will likely rise as shares fall further.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2359,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":3,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/361660190"}