带泡沫的苹果
03-10
你可以讨厌资本,但你不能否认资本的眼光
大摩:AI基建才刚开始,英伟达不是思科,远没到1999年
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霸气威武
03-10
霸气威武
脱实向虚 虚空作画
带泡沫的苹果
:
没办法呀,别人玩的就金融与科技和服务业
什么也没有了~
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08:11","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"大摩:AI基建才刚开始,英伟达不是思科,远没到1999年","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2418075892","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"2000年网络泡沫期间,思科的收入增长率达到了59%,而其前瞻市盈率高达138倍。如今的英伟达市盈率仅为30倍,但其收入增长率却达到了90%。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>2000年网络泡沫期间,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CSCO\">思科</a>的收入增长率达到了59%,而其前瞻市盈率高达138倍。如今的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>市盈率仅为30倍,但其收入增长率却达到了90%。</p></blockquote><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>周五大跌似乎验证了“<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CSCO\">思科</a>时刻”的到来。但<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>认为,无论是从两者所处的科技环境、自身实力和估值上看,英伟达都不是当年的思科。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>Shawn Kim分析师团队本周发布报告,对比了互联网泡沫与当前的AI热潮,强调当前AI基础设施投资热潮仅仅处于初期阶段,尚未达到互联网1999年的泡沫水平。</p><blockquote><p>AI基础设施建设仅仅是一个开始。 每个超大规模企业都在构建基础设施,以便尝试在该基础设施之上构建应用程序、工具和服务。</p><p>今天,正在进行的AI数据中心加速计算建设只是第一阶段,但这只是构建所有AI应用程序的支柱,增加了一个颠覆性的技术层(大型语言模型),成本更低,上市更快。</p><p>互联网泡沫从1994年12月开始,到2000年3月达到顶峰,期间经历了多次回调。英伟达首次上调销售预期是在2022年5月,Chat GPT在2022年11月才被广泛讨论。从时间上看,我们尚未达到1999年的泡沫水平。</p></blockquote><p>尤其是,GPU投资才刚刚起步,大摩认为,AI供应链的投资增长将会对其产生乘数效应:</p><blockquote><p>每100美元的云资本支出将转化为30-40美元的AI收入,这意味着在GPU上的投资将成倍增加。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f4a40e36d1a4a3b1775c34c96ba1a42\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"365\"/></p></blockquote><p>除了GPU之外,AI供应链的增长还将为HBM、定制芯片设计、制造和测试等领域带来机遇。</p><p>另外,考虑到GPU开发技术复杂,如一块Grace Hopper 100芯片包含35000个组件,重量达35公斤,英伟达凭借长期的积累,在该领域拥有较为宽阔的技术“护城河”。</p><p>因此,尽管越来越多同行“下海”自主研发AI芯片,英伟达算力“一哥”的地位在很长一段时间内不会被动摇。</p><p>即使从估值角度来看,英伟达股价也很可能未见顶。</p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>在报告中写道:</p><blockquote><p>回顾2000年网络泡沫期间的代表性公司思科,其当时的收入增长率达到了59%,而其前瞻市盈率高达138倍。相比之下,如今的英伟达市盈率仅为30倍,但其收入增长率却达到了90%。</p><p>因此,无论从估值的角度还是从长远看,我们都不能认为当前(英伟达)已接近市场的顶峰。</p><p 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Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c4616e4326c718904d732530261ec5d4","relate_stocks":{"LU1571399168.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL LONG/SHORT EQUITY \"IP\" (USD) ACC","BK4525":"远程办公概念","LU0276348264.USD":"THREADNEEDLE (LUX) GLOBAL DYNAMIC REAL RETURN\"AUP\" (USD) INC","LU1244550221.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL MULTI-ASSET INCOME \"A\" (USDHEDGED) INC (M)","LU0353189763.USD":"ALLSPRING US ALL CAP GROWTH FUND \"I\" (USD) ACC","IE00BKVL7J92.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - US Equity Sustainability Leaders A Acc USD","IE00BFSS7M15.SGD":"Janus Henderson Balanced A Acc SGD-H","LU1506573853.SGD":"MANULIFE GF GLOBAL EQUITY \"AA\" (SGD) INC","BK4585":"ETF&股票定投概念","LU0079474960.USD":"联博美国增长基金A","LU0971096721.USD":"富达环球金融服务 A","LU0316494557.USD":"FRANKLIN GLOBAL FUNDAMENTAL STRATEGIES \"A\" ACC","IE00BZ1G4Q59.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE US EQUITY SUSTAINABILITY LEADER \"A\"(USD) INC (A)","IE00BWXC8680.SGD":"PINEBRIDGE US LARGE CAP 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每个超大规模企业都在构建基础设施,以便尝试在该基础设施之上构建应用程序、工具和服务。今天,正在进行的AI数据中心加速计算建设只是第一阶段,但这只是构建所有AI应用程序的支柱,增加了一个颠覆性的技术层(大型语言模型),成本更低,上市更快。互联网泡沫从1994年12月开始,到2000年3月达到顶峰,期间经历了多次回调。英伟达首次上调销售预期是在2022年5月,Chat GPT在2022年11月才被广泛讨论。从时间上看,我们尚未达到1999年的泡沫水平。尤其是,GPU投资才刚刚起步,大摩认为,AI供应链的投资增长将会对其产生乘数效应:每100美元的云资本支出将转化为30-40美元的AI收入,这意味着在GPU上的投资将成倍增加。除了GPU之外,AI供应链的增长还将为HBM、定制芯片设计、制造和测试等领域带来机遇。另外,考虑到GPU开发技术复杂,如一块Grace Hopper 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