这个月喜欢抄底，又拿不住，结果......

2017-10-11

结果最后说吧

$美光科技(MU)$ 上次业绩翻倍却大跌，让我学会了看好不一定要买，可能应该做空，工厂爆炸却开始涨，让我明白了跌到底再跌的可能性变小，于是涨到28就抄底，到29就卖了，看到涨到30就碰也不敢碰了，看你们这些40还追高的朋友，真心佩服，我是没这胆识赚这钱了....

还总结了一个经验，就是不要看新闻，不要看新闻，不要看，看了也没能力准确估值，还影响操作

之后：

270抄底了$网易(NTES)$ ，涨到290那天立马抛了，跌到260又抄底了，结果跌到250不怕拿着，涨到270又把我吓跑了

155抄底了 $苹果(AAPL)$ ，还拿着，看今天的形势，估计要抛了

930抄底了 $谷歌(GOOG)$ ，跌到910不怕，涨到940就卖了，再没碰过

$AMD(AMD)$ 13时抄底了期权，两三天后一个消息暴涨到14多，盘前就以做空正股实现期权的卖出，结果 $AMD(AMD)$ 辟谣果然跌了回去，又抄了低..

$京东(JD)$ 38.6时炒了低，运气不错，马上也准备抛了

$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 和$英伟达(NVDA)$ 也赶上了几次抄底

基本上每个股票一涨我就吓抛了，很少持有超过一星期，尽量不看新闻，这种烂赌的结果如图：

免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。

精彩评论

吃喝嫖赌欠下三点五个亿
2017-10-11
吃喝嫖赌欠下三点五个亿
慢慢来，刚开始我也是跟你跟你一样，现在好多了。一般我是达到我的第一个目标价后卖出一半，剩下一半达到第二个目标价后再卖一半。
- 城南旧梦:
  习惯真好，和我一样点赞
带头大哥哥1
2017-10-11
带头大哥哥1
以我来说，除了AMD之外别的你都拿着好了，我估计着苹果不会再跌了。。。。其他的都是好股
- 小怪物石石石:
  苹果真的不建议你做多。
- 带头大哥哥1回复小北郭先生:
  我决定开个京东的期权
- 小北郭先生回复黑天鹅90度:
  就直接补期权。
- 带头大哥哥1回复黑天鹅90度:
  我不敢加杠杆，我还想多活几年
- 黑天鹅90度回复带头大哥哥1:
  哈哈，赌徒谬误就是要加大杠杆嘛，期权换成正股杠杆小了，就没法回本了
马化腾的马
2017-10-12
马化腾的马
你下次这样，抄底以后部分卖，设置点位，多少卖1/3，多少卖1/3，这样就算跌下来了也有的赚，涨上去了赚更多
- 黑天鹅90度:
  实测效果不错啊👍
Lee0806
2017-10-11
Lee0806
你不适合炒股…
- 带头大哥哥1回复黑天鹅90度:
  我一个月才五六次
- 黑天鹅90度:
  已经比之前好多了，原来精彩每天交易几十次，赚的钱20%交了手续费，现在一个月也才几十次
- 带头大哥哥1:
  我是很不看AMD。。。。
rokywang
2017-10-12
rokywang
盘前就以做空正股实现期权的卖出，这句是什么意思?
- 黑天鹅90度回复rokywang:
  深度期权每手对应100股，普通期权得按delta算，所以期权的仓位很低才能这么搞
- rokywang回复黑天鹅90度:
  哦，明白一点了。。但做空得差不多100以上才能达到目的吧?
- 黑天鹅90度:
  我的是8元行权期权，盘前涨到14.x，因为感觉会跌，期权又不能卖出，就做空了正股，这样无论股价怎么变，账户总额基本不变
五月的青涩苹
2017-10-12
五月的青涩苹
美光市盈率才10，还是业绩上涨的公司，怕什么，短期波动是抄底的好机会。
- 五月的青涩苹回复黑天鹅90度:
  业绩不明朗是指曾经从30多美元跌到26美元那阵，那时只有2个季度盈利，趋势不明，多空对峙，市盈率偏低也可以理解。
  如今，存储行业的缺口，与美光业绩趋势明朗，市盈率可以上15，那么目标股价是60美元！我保守点50吧，也有一阵可以盈利了。
- 黑天鹅90度回复五月的青涩苹:
  所以那时为啥发了财报，从32跌到28呢？工厂爆炸才开始涨的
- 五月的青涩苹回复黑天鹅90度:
  我喜欢自己估算公司价值，对比价值和价格，来决定持仓。
- 五月的青涩苹回复黑天鹅90度:
  是的，就是那时候。
- 黑天鹅90度回复五月的青涩苹:
  那时就是发财报的时候，业绩翻倍的时候啊，你说的业绩明朗是什么时候开始？

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