$30年美债2206_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

冷静的垂钓ETF
2022-05-21

$30年美债2206(ZB2206)$ 谈谈对于长期国债收益率的看法，债券市场常见经济萧条开始，长期国债收益率就见顶，在一般市场下这个逻辑没有错。（衰退信号终止加息周期）

只是现在大通胀还没有被压制的苗头。fed只能不断加息抑制通胀。参考1970s的国债收益率的表现，说明国债收益率可以脱离经济预期主要与fed的基准利率有关。

当前债券市场紧接着还有6/1开始的QT缩表，所以个人对于长期国债收益率的短期跌幅是保守的。

# 期权Q&A：期权知识，你问我答

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njudiana
·2022-05-22
写得有点深奥，意思是股票市场还会下跌吗？
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- 冷静的垂钓ETF回复njudiana:
  需要参考我的专栏
  2022-05-24
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- njudiana回复冷静的垂钓ETF:
  那对美股的影响是什么呢？（期待您能展开多讲讲(*☻-☻*)
  2022-05-23
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- njudiana回复冷静的垂钓ETF:
  那是利好股市吗？（这里大家对股市的关注还是更多，债市对股市的影响还在学习中，期待您能展开多讲讲☻
  2022-05-23
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