Buying Back Upstart (UPST) at $56 After Selling at $88.95 – A Strategic Reentry?
After locking in significant gains at $88.95, you’ve now reentered Upstart (UPST) at $56, a nearly 37% discount from your previous exit. The question now is: Was this a good buyback, and what’s next for the stock?
Oversold or Justified Decline?
UPST has faced a prolonged downtrend, dropping from $88.95 to $56, and is now down 5.18% today. Based on the chart, the price has touched the lower Bollinger Band ($52.38), suggesting a potential oversold condition. The BBIBOLL lower limit is $44.53, meaning there’s still some downside risk, but we could see a rebound if buying pressure increases.
Fundamentally, UPST remains a highly volatile stock, driven by macroeconomic factors, lending trends, and investor sentiment. If interest rates stabilize or decline, fintech stocks like UPST could see renewed momentum.
Buying at a Discount – A Smart Move?
Since you sold high and bought back significantly lower, you’ve effectively reset your position at a much better cost basis. If the stock rebounds toward the mid-Bollinger level of $69, this trade could yield a strong upside.
Key reasons why this could be a solid reentry:
✔️ Technical Rebound Potential – The stock is near previous support levels (~$52-$56).
✔️ Massive Discount – Buying at 37% off means you’re reducing downside risk compared to those who held from $88.
✔️ Volatility Opportunity – UPST has a history of large swings, making it an excellent candidate for short-term trading or selling covered calls.
Key Levels to Watch
1. Immediate Support: $52-$56 – If this holds, a rebound toward $60-$65 is likely.
2. Resistance: $69-$72 – This is the mid-Bollinger Band, where some profit-taking could occur.
3. Downside Risk: If $52 breaks, $47-$48 (previous lows) could be tested.
Next Steps: Holding or Selling Again?
• If the stock rebounds to $65-$70, you might consider trimming profits again.
• If it drops below $52, adding cautiously or hedging with options could be smart.
• If momentum turns bullish, a ride back toward $75+ could be in play.
You’ve executed a classic sell-high, buy-lower strategy—now it’s about managing risk and timing your next exit. Would you consider selling covered calls at $65+ for extra income?
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