市场在两种叙事之间“大幅波动”：“战争快结束了”vs “霍尔木兹海峡会长期关闭”_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

市场在两种叙事之间“大幅波动”：“战争快结束了”vs “霍尔木兹海峡会长期关闭”

华尔街见闻10:14

原油市场周二经历了一场多空信号交织的"信息风暴"。从美国战略石油储备释放到伊朗总统表态，从霍尔木兹海峡封锁风险到特朗普宣称战争"即将结束"，油价在单日内数度逆转，最终收涨约5%。摩根大通交易员指出，当日新闻头条同时为两种截然对立的市场叙事提供了支撑：一是冲突降级、油价企稳的"出口匝道"叙事，二是霍尔木兹海峡长期关闭的"持续风险"叙事。市场在两者之间剧烈摇摆，油价波动率一度回升至上周日夜间的高点附近...

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