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市场综述:什么情况?元宇宙沾边就涨,龙头股4天翻倍
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外媒头条:美国面临上世纪70年代以来最严重供应链问题
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2021-10-18
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外媒头条:美国交通部长称美供应链危机将持续到明年
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Cannabis stocks jumped in morning trading<blockquote>大麻股早盘上涨</blockquote>
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2021-10-15
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16:10","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"市场综述:什么情况?元宇宙沾边就涨,龙头股4天翻倍","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185807512","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"要闻\n报告:2021年中国游戏市场实际销售收入同比增长6.4%\n中国音数协游戏工委等发布《2021年中国游戏产业报告》显示,2021年,中国游戏市场实际销售收入2965.13亿元,比2020年增加了1","content":"<p><b>要闻</b></p>\n<p><b>报告:2021年中国游戏市场实际销售收入同比增长6.4%</b></p>\n<p>中国音数协游戏工委等发布《2021年中国游戏产业报告》显示,2021年,中国游戏市场实际销售收入2965.13亿元,比2020年增加了178.26亿元,同比增长6.4%。虽然实际销售收入依然保持增长态势,但是增幅比例较去年同比缩减近15%。</p>\n<p><b>发改委:11月份全社会用电量同比增长3.1%</b></p>\n<p>国家发展改革委新闻发言人表示,1—11月份全国全社会用电量同比增长11.4%。其中,一产、二产、三产和居民生活用电量同比分别增长18.1%、10.2%、19%和7.5%。分地区看,全国19个省(区、市)用电增速超过12%,其中西藏、湖北、江西、青海、四川、浙江、福建7个省(区)增速超过15%。11月份,全社会用电量同比增长3.1%(前值6.1%)。</p>\n<p><b>港股</b></p>\n<p>港股午后回升,三大指数尾盘皆由跌转涨。恒指涨0.23%,国指涨0.08%,恒生科技指数涨0.46%,盘中曾大跌近2%创新低。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f710bc60948a900fdca7beac9fd1850\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>盘面上,煤价企稳回升,煤炭板块全天强势领涨,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01171\">兖州煤业</a>飙涨超24%领衔走高,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01898\">中煤能源</a>涨超12%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01088\">中国神华</a>等皆上涨;昨日大跌的生物技术股集体反弹,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02269\">药明生物</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002821\">凯莱英</a>皆升超10%,电力股、港口航运股持续活跃,教育股、餐饮股、钢铁股普涨,物管股与内房股亦拉升反弹。另一方面,半导体股表现最弱,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01347\">华虹半导体</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00981\">中芯国际</a>皆下跌,烟草概念股、内银股、手游股普跌。大型科技股涨跌不一,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01024\">快手-W</a>涨超3%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09888\">百度集团-SW</a>涨近2%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09618\">京东集团-SW</a>跌3%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03690\">美团-W</a>跌1.4%。</p>\n<p><b>A股</b></p>\n<p>两市主要指数上涨,沪指早盘红盘震荡,午后持续走高,全天收涨0.75%报3675点,深成指涨0.58%报15112点,创业板指涨0.74%报3490点。两市2977股上涨,1443股下跌,成交额连续40个交易日在万亿上方,北上资金净买入58.85亿。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/409c1305a6844ea952eeaa7cb2dc3628\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>周期板块表现突出,煤炭股全线大涨,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601898\">中煤能源</a>等多股涨停;钢铁板块全天强势,宝钢涨超6%;油气、环保、建筑、传媒娱乐等板块大涨靠前,氢能源概念午后大涨,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000723\">美锦能源</a>等股涨停。白酒板块领跌,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600809\">山西汾酒</a>跌6.5%。元宇宙概念现涨停潮,龙头<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300612\">宣亚国际</a>20%涨停,这是其连续第4个涨停,短短的4日暴涨超一倍;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300045\">华力创通</a>亦20%涨停,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300578\">会畅通讯</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300624\">万兴科技</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600640\">新国脉</a>等10股涨停或涨超10%。</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07210fef01256b9990d896d8a79bd6b0\" tg-width=\"460\" tg-height=\"403\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>元宇宙概念股</span></p>\n<p><b>美股</b></p>\n<p>美股股指期货小幅走高,截至发稿,道指期货涨0.36%;纳斯达克100指数期货涨0.68%;标普500指数期货涨0.48%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f07a1c34f3c058243769c1190230592b\" tg-width=\"385\" tg-height=\"183\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>欧股</b></p>\n<p>欧洲主要指数集体大幅高开,截止发稿,德国DAX指数涨1.59%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VUKE.UK\">英国富时100</a>指数涨1.18%,法国CAC40指数涨1.62%,欧洲斯托克50指数涨1.86%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e36516b20672777eb4226ec3575e041a\" tg-width=\"815\" tg-height=\"289\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>原油</b></p>\n<p>原油期货延续涨势,截止发稿,WTI原油报71.64美元/桶,涨1.09%;布油现报74.58美元/桶,涨0.95%。</p>\n<p>因美国库存数据显示消费者需求强劲;但因变异毒株加速传染以及美联储加息预期,油价存下行风险;警惕变异毒株传染在某些国家和地区加速爆发。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3fd9bf6740112cba724f7d996b177000\" tg-width=\"889\" tg-height=\"822\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd5bc6d6af3630365c39619dce47a99a\" tg-width=\"889\" tg-height=\"823\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>黄金</b></p>\n<p>黄金期货继续走高,现涨1.25%,报1786.6美元/盎司。</p>\n<p>尽管美指止跌企稳,投资者将注意力从美联储转移到其他关键的央行会议上。英国央行和欧洲央行将在日内晚些时候公布新政。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e811cafc24779962d2c4b160f6508357\" 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*/\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n市场综述:什么情况?元宇宙沾边就涨,龙头股4天翻倍\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-12-16 16:10</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>要闻</b></p>\n<p><b>报告:2021年中国游戏市场实际销售收入同比增长6.4%</b></p>\n<p>中国音数协游戏工委等发布《2021年中国游戏产业报告》显示,2021年,中国游戏市场实际销售收入2965.13亿元,比2020年增加了178.26亿元,同比增长6.4%。虽然实际销售收入依然保持增长态势,但是增幅比例较去年同比缩减近15%。</p>\n<p><b>发改委:11月份全社会用电量同比增长3.1%</b></p>\n<p>国家发展改革委新闻发言人表示,1—11月份全国全社会用电量同比增长11.4%。其中,一产、二产、三产和居民生活用电量同比分别增长18.1%、10.2%、19%和7.5%。分地区看,全国19个省(区、市)用电增速超过12%,其中西藏、湖北、江西、青海、四川、浙江、福建7个省(区)增速超过15%。11月份,全社会用电量同比增长3.1%(前值6.1%)。</p>\n<p><b>港股</b></p>\n<p>港股午后回升,三大指数尾盘皆由跌转涨。恒指涨0.23%,国指涨0.08%,恒生科技指数涨0.46%,盘中曾大跌近2%创新低。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f710bc60948a900fdca7beac9fd1850\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>盘面上,煤价企稳回升,煤炭板块全天强势领涨,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01171\">兖州煤业</a>飙涨超24%领衔走高,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01898\">中煤能源</a>涨超12%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01088\">中国神华</a>等皆上涨;昨日大跌的生物技术股集体反弹,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/02269\">药明生物</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002821\">凯莱英</a>皆升超10%,电力股、港口航运股持续活跃,教育股、餐饮股、钢铁股普涨,物管股与内房股亦拉升反弹。另一方面,半导体股表现最弱,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01347\">华虹半导体</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00981\">中芯国际</a>皆下跌,烟草概念股、内银股、手游股普跌。大型科技股涨跌不一,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/01024\">快手-W</a>涨超3%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09888\">百度集团-SW</a>涨近2%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/09618\">京东集团-SW</a>跌3%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/03690\">美团-W</a>跌1.4%。</p>\n<p><b>A股</b></p>\n<p>两市主要指数上涨,沪指早盘红盘震荡,午后持续走高,全天收涨0.75%报3675点,深成指涨0.58%报15112点,创业板指涨0.74%报3490点。两市2977股上涨,1443股下跌,成交额连续40个交易日在万亿上方,北上资金净买入58.85亿。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/409c1305a6844ea952eeaa7cb2dc3628\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p>周期板块表现突出,煤炭股全线大涨,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/601898\">中煤能源</a>等多股涨停;钢铁板块全天强势,宝钢涨超6%;油气、环保、建筑、传媒娱乐等板块大涨靠前,氢能源概念午后大涨,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000723\">美锦能源</a>等股涨停。白酒板块领跌,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600809\">山西汾酒</a>跌6.5%。元宇宙概念现涨停潮,龙头<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300612\">宣亚国际</a>20%涨停,这是其连续第4个涨停,短短的4日暴涨超一倍;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300045\">华力创通</a>亦20%涨停,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300578\">会畅通讯</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300624\">万兴科技</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600640\">新国脉</a>等10股涨停或涨超10%。</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/07210fef01256b9990d896d8a79bd6b0\" tg-width=\"460\" tg-height=\"403\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>元宇宙概念股</span></p>\n<p><b>美股</b></p>\n<p>美股股指期货小幅走高,截至发稿,道指期货涨0.36%;纳斯达克100指数期货涨0.68%;标普500指数期货涨0.48%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f07a1c34f3c058243769c1190230592b\" tg-width=\"385\" tg-height=\"183\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>欧股</b></p>\n<p>欧洲主要指数集体大幅高开,截止发稿,德国DAX指数涨1.59%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VUKE.UK\">英国富时100</a>指数涨1.18%,法国CAC40指数涨1.62%,欧洲斯托克50指数涨1.86%。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e36516b20672777eb4226ec3575e041a\" tg-width=\"815\" tg-height=\"289\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>原油</b></p>\n<p>原油期货延续涨势,截止发稿,WTI原油报71.64美元/桶,涨1.09%;布油现报74.58美元/桶,涨0.95%。</p>\n<p>因美国库存数据显示消费者需求强劲;但因变异毒株加速传染以及美联储加息预期,油价存下行风险;警惕变异毒株传染在某些国家和地区加速爆发。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3fd9bf6740112cba724f7d996b177000\" tg-width=\"889\" tg-height=\"822\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd5bc6d6af3630365c39619dce47a99a\" tg-width=\"889\" tg-height=\"823\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>黄金</b></p>\n<p>黄金期货继续走高,现涨1.25%,报1786.6美元/盎司。</p>\n<p>尽管美指止跌企稳,投资者将注意力从美联储转移到其他关键的央行会议上。英国央行和欧洲央行将在日内晚些时候公布新政。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e811cafc24779962d2c4b160f6508357\" tg-width=\"889\" tg-height=\"823\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5d11890cd6ccd454a56d86737fd3353","relate_stocks":{"399001":"深证成指","399006":"创业板指",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","HSCEI":"国企指数","000001.SH":"上证指数",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","HSI":"恒生指数","00981":"中芯国际","HSCCI":"红筹指数","HSTECH":"恒生科技指数"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185807512","content_text":"要闻\n报告:2021年中国游戏市场实际销售收入同比增长6.4%\n中国音数协游戏工委等发布《2021年中国游戏产业报告》显示,2021年,中国游戏市场实际销售收入2965.13亿元,比2020年增加了178.26亿元,同比增长6.4%。虽然实际销售收入依然保持增长态势,但是增幅比例较去年同比缩减近15%。\n发改委:11月份全社会用电量同比增长3.1%\n国家发展改革委新闻发言人表示,1—11月份全国全社会用电量同比增长11.4%。其中,一产、二产、三产和居民生活用电量同比分别增长18.1%、10.2%、19%和7.5%。分地区看,全国19个省(区、市)用电增速超过12%,其中西藏、湖北、江西、青海、四川、浙江、福建7个省(区)增速超过15%。11月份,全社会用电量同比增长3.1%(前值6.1%)。\n港股\n港股午后回升,三大指数尾盘皆由跌转涨。恒指涨0.23%,国指涨0.08%,恒生科技指数涨0.46%,盘中曾大跌近2%创新低。\n\n盘面上,煤价企稳回升,煤炭板块全天强势领涨,兖州煤业飙涨超24%领衔走高,中煤能源涨超12%,中国神华等皆上涨;昨日大跌的生物技术股集体反弹,药明生物、凯莱英皆升超10%,电力股、港口航运股持续活跃,教育股、餐饮股、钢铁股普涨,物管股与内房股亦拉升反弹。另一方面,半导体股表现最弱,华虹半导体、中芯国际皆下跌,烟草概念股、内银股、手游股普跌。大型科技股涨跌不一,快手-W涨超3%,百度集团-SW涨近2%,京东集团-SW跌3%,美团-W跌1.4%。\nA股\n两市主要指数上涨,沪指早盘红盘震荡,午后持续走高,全天收涨0.75%报3675点,深成指涨0.58%报15112点,创业板指涨0.74%报3490点。两市2977股上涨,1443股下跌,成交额连续40个交易日在万亿上方,北上资金净买入58.85亿。\n\n周期板块表现突出,煤炭股全线大涨,中煤能源等多股涨停;钢铁板块全天强势,宝钢涨超6%;油气、环保、建筑、传媒娱乐等板块大涨靠前,氢能源概念午后大涨,美锦能源等股涨停。白酒板块领跌,山西汾酒跌6.5%。元宇宙概念现涨停潮,龙头宣亚国际20%涨停,这是其连续第4个涨停,短短的4日暴涨超一倍;华力创通亦20%涨停,会畅通讯、万兴科技、新国脉等10股涨停或涨超10%。\n元宇宙概念股\n美股\n美股股指期货小幅走高,截至发稿,道指期货涨0.36%;纳斯达克100指数期货涨0.68%;标普500指数期货涨0.48%。\n\n欧股\n欧洲主要指数集体大幅高开,截止发稿,德国DAX指数涨1.59%,英国富时100指数涨1.18%,法国CAC40指数涨1.62%,欧洲斯托克50指数涨1.86%。\n\n原油\n原油期货延续涨势,截止发稿,WTI原油报71.64美元/桶,涨1.09%;布油现报74.58美元/桶,涨0.95%。\n因美国库存数据显示消费者需求强劲;但因变异毒株加速传染以及美联储加息预期,油价存下行风险;警惕变异毒株传染在某些国家和地区加速爆发。\n\n黄金\n黄金期货继续走高,现涨1.25%,报1786.6美元/盎司。\n尽管美指止跌企稳,投资者将注意力从美联储转移到其他关键的央行会议上。英国央行和欧洲央行将在日内晚些时候公布新政。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"399001":0.9,"399006":0.9,"00981":0.9,"HSCCI":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"000001.SH":0.9,"HSCEI":0.9,"HSTECH":0.9,"HSI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1901,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607690367,"gmtCreate":1639530177810,"gmtModify":1639530177986,"author":{"id":"4087523982151170","authorId":"4087523982151170","name":"Fayedea","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9d26a7d632140dba3255747fafc07d3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087523982151170","idStr":"4087523982151170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest","listText":"Latest","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607690367","repostId":"1132065410","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1838,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":601137686,"gmtCreate":1638497020061,"gmtModify":1638497023652,"author":{"id":"4087523982151170","authorId":"4087523982151170","name":"Fayedea","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9d26a7d632140dba3255747fafc07d3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087523982151170","idStr":"4087523982151170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest ","listText":"Latest ","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/601137686","repostId":"1128063365","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1128063365","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据,旨在帮助投资者理解世界,做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1638489207,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1128063365?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-03 07:53","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"昨夜今晨:美股大幅反弹!东南亚Grab首秀收跌超20%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1128063365","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"摘要:①美股三大股指周四大幅反弹,道指和标普500指数收复上一交易日的失地;②热门中概股涨跌互现,新能源汽车股普跌;③因OPEC+坚持其逐步提高产量的政策,原油V形大反转;④东南亚Grab首秀收跌超2","content":"<blockquote>\n 摘要:①美股三大股指周四大幅反弹,道指和标普500指数收复上一交易日的失地;②热门中概股涨跌互现,新能源汽车股普跌;③因OPEC+坚持其逐步提高产量的政策,原油V形大反转;④东南亚Grab首秀收跌超20%。\n</blockquote>\n<p>海外市场</p>\n<p>1、美股周四大幅反弹!道指涨近2% 热门中概股普跌</p>\n<p>美股三大股指周四大幅反弹,道指和标普500指数收复了上一交易日的失地,其中标普500指数11个板块全部录得上涨。截至收盘,道指涨1.82%,纳指涨0.83%,标普500指数涨1.42%。银行股集体上涨,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">富国银行</a>涨近4%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>涨近3%。</p>\n<p>2、热门中概股涨跌互现 新能源汽车股普跌</p>\n<p>美股三大指数集体上涨,道指、标普收复前一日跌幅,截止收盘,道指涨1.82%,纳指涨0.83%,标普500指数涨1.42%。</p>\n<p>热门中概股涨跌互现,新能源汽车股普跌,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>跌超5%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>跌超3%。</p>\n<p>3、奥密克戎不确定性太强 欧股或将持续出现涨跌交替行情</p>\n<p>欧洲股市周四下跌,追踪隔夜美国股市的下滑,主要原因还是对奥密克戎病毒变体的担忧以及美国加息时间可能早于预期。</p>\n<p>泛欧斯托克600指数收盘下跌4.40点,跌幅0.93%,报466.46点;德国DAX30指数收盘下跌210.91点,跌幅1.36%,报15261.76点。</p>\n<p>4、油价在动荡中上行 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>一致看高</p>\n<p>油价周四在动荡后走高。因为OPEC+坚持其逐步提高产量的政策,并且市场考虑了 Omicron 冠状病毒变种的严重性。</p>\n<p>截至收盘,美国WTI原油期货上涨144美分,涨幅2.20%,报67.01美元/桶;布伦特期货上涨141美分,涨幅2.05%,报70.27美元/桶。</p>\n<p>5、鲍威尔与耶伦唱双簧吓坏多头 黄金下挫至一个月低点</p>\n<p>周四,金价一度下跌逾1%,至一个月低点,原因是投资者注意到美国货币政策似乎趋于鹰派的迹象,这些迹象可能会在未来遏制通胀的上涨。</p>\n<p>美市尾盘,现货黄金收报1768.27美元/盎司,下跌12.70美元或0.71%,日内最高触及1783.28美元,最低触及1762.05美元,为11月3日以来的最低水平。</p>\n<p>国际宏观</p>\n<p>1、美国会计划延长联邦政府资金支持至2月18日以避免政府停摆</p>\n<p>美国众议院拨款委员会主席罗莎·德劳罗发表声明,称众议院已就一项短期政府拨款法案达成协议,该法案将延长联邦政府的资金支持至2月18日,以避免政府停摆。12月3日为联邦政府获得资金的最后期限,如果资金支持停止,部分联邦政府机构将因预算问题面临关门停摆风险。预计众议院最快将在2日当天投票并通过延长拨款的拨款法案,但消息人士透露,参议院的部分共和党议员正试图威胁拜登就疫苗授权问题达成妥协,否则将搁置该法案。</p>\n<p>2、美国发现第二例omicron病例 此前曾在纽约参加大型活动并打过加强针</p>\n<p>该名病例于11月19日至21日在Javits中心参加了纽约动漫展纽约市长称,“我们应该假设纽约市存在社区传播”</p>\n<p>美国明尼苏达州一位居民在最近到纽约市参加了一个大型活动后,被确诊感染omicron变异株。</p>\n<p>3、欧佩克与非欧佩克产油国决定明年1月日均上调40万桶石油产量</p>\n<p>当地时间12月2日,石油输出国组织与非欧佩克产油国第23次部长级会议在线上举行。会议重申了参与国在《合作宣言》中的持续承诺,致力于确保石油市场的稳定与平衡。各方再次确认欧佩克与非欧佩克产油国第19次部长级会议批准的产量调整计划和月度产量调整机制,决定2022年1月将总产量日均上调40万桶。</p>\n<p>4、美国两党主要议员就权宜支出法案达成协议 联邦政府有望避免关门</p>\n<p>美国国会两党领导人就权宜支出法案达成一致,以求在周五午夜之后避免政府关门,计划周四晚些时候交由众议院表决。不过仍有小部分共和党参议员威胁说不会让法案在最后期限前通过。</p>\n<p>该法案将为美国政府机构提供资金直至2月18日,必须周五午夜前获得参众两院表决通过才能避免联邦政府停摆。民主党希望借此获得更多时间,以便在12月表决通过约2万亿美元的税收,气候和社会支出法案,及提高美国债务上限。</p>\n<p>5、OPEC+意外维持1月增产计划 但同时也留了一道“后门”</p>\n<p>OPEC+同意继续推进1月增产计划,并暗示一旦omicron毒株对需求构成的风险变得更明朗,他们随时可能重新讨论产量决定。</p>\n<p>几位不具名代表称,OPEC+周四同意在1月按计划向全球市场每天增加40万桶原油。不过他们也留了道“后门”,即如果市场发生变化,可以临时调整产量政策。</p>\n<p>6、IMF警告称某些国家若无债务重组可能出现经济崩溃</p>\n<p>IMF警告说,除非世界上最富裕国家的债权人暂停一些低收入国家的偿债义务并帮助重新谈判新条款,否则这些国家将出现“经济崩溃”。IMF总裁格奥尔基耶娃和策略、政策和评估部门主管Ceyla Pazarbasioglu周四在博客中表示,约60%的世界最贫穷国家正处于高风险或已经陷入债务困境,这个比例是2015年的两倍。</p>\n<p>公司新闻</p>\n<p>1、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1137519384\" target=\"_blank\">微博即将登陆港交所 定价每股272.80港元</a></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WB\">微博</a>香港IPO最终发售价为每股272.8港元,预计筹资总额约15亿港元。根据此前公告,微博计划为全球发售1100万股公司A类普通股,包括550万股新股份及550万股销售股份。全球发售初步包括香港公开发售的110万股新股份及国际发售的990万股发售股份,分别占全球发售中发售股份总数的10%及90%。</p>\n<p>2、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2188517110\" target=\"_blank\">美国联邦贸易委员会提起诉讼以阻拦英伟达收购芯片设计公司Arm</a></p>\n<p>美国反垄断部门提起诉讼,以阻拦<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>以400亿美元收购Arm Ltd.,称这笔交易有损半导体市场的竞争。</p>\n<p>联邦贸易委员会周四公告称,这笔收购将使英伟达拥有对同行公司赖以开发芯片的计算技术和设计的控制权。</p>\n<p>3、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2188517717\" target=\"_blank\">东南亚独角兽Grab上市首日高开逾18% 盘中破发收跌超20%</a></p>\n<p>东南亚最大的叫车服务和快递公司Grab周四正式在纳斯达克交易,代码“GRAB”,此前该公司与“特殊目的收购公司”达成近400亿美元的合并交易。</p>\n<p>Grab上市当日震荡激烈。开盘报13.06美元,较Altimeter周三收盘价11.01美元上涨18.62%。盘中高点一度达到13.29美元,涨幅20%。不过此后Grab盘中“破发”,且大体呈一路下行态势。全日最低8.13美元,意味着破发约26%,这一最低点也比IPO当日的日内高点13.29美元跌去近40%。Grab最终收盘大跌21%,收于8.75美元。</p>\n<p>4、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2188022512\" target=\"_blank\">Omicron变种病毒引发投资者恐慌 却可能是这家公司的福音</a></p>\n<p>据投资研究公司Gordon Haskett称,Omicron变种病毒的出现可能给DoorDash的股东带来一线希望。Gordon Haskett分析师Robert Mollins将DoorDash的评级为从持有提高至买入,并在周三给客户的一份报告中表示,随着对新冠疫情的担忧再次出现,这家食品配送APP的股价可能会反弹。</p>\n<p>5、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2188512017\" target=\"_blank\">莫德纳上诉失败 疫苗专利到底归谁</a></p>\n<p>靠新冠疫苗赚得盆满钵满的莫德纳,现在却面临着专利侵权的指控。当地时间周三,美国联邦上诉法院驳回了莫德纳对加拿大药厂Arbutus Biopharma提出的专利挑战。法官认为,Arbutus Biopharma指控莫德纳使用其专利技术用于研发新冠疫苗,相关诉讼成立,裁定莫德纳挑战专利委员会裁决的上诉失败。</p>\n<p>6、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2188615517\" target=\"_blank\">因外汇串通交易 五家欧洲银行遭欧盟罚款3.44亿欧元</a></p>\n<p>欧盟委员会当地时间12月2日宣布,因参与外汇市场串通交易违反欧盟反卡特尔法规,欧盟决定对<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">瑞银</a>集团、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BCS\">巴克莱银行</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RBS\">苏格兰皇家银行</a>、汇丰银行和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CS\">瑞士信贷</a>银行处以总额3.44亿欧元的罚款。</p>\n<p>7、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1100774989\" target=\"_blank\">押中股票大赚后搞实业 传沙特公共投资基金与鸿海商讨合作造车</a></p>\n<p>据媒体周四傍晚援引知情人士报道,鸿海科技集团与沙特阿拉伯接近敲定协议,设立合资公司生产电动车。</p>\n<p>报道称,掌管4500亿美元的沙特公共投资基金将设立一个名为Velocity的实体,这也将是新公司的控股股东。</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>昨夜今晨:美股大幅反弹!东南亚Grab首秀收跌超20%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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}\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n昨夜今晨:美股大幅反弹!东南亚Grab首秀收跌超20%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-12-03 07:53</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<blockquote>\n 摘要:①美股三大股指周四大幅反弹,道指和标普500指数收复上一交易日的失地;②热门中概股涨跌互现,新能源汽车股普跌;③因OPEC+坚持其逐步提高产量的政策,原油V形大反转;④东南亚Grab首秀收跌超20%。\n</blockquote>\n<p>海外市场</p>\n<p>1、美股周四大幅反弹!道指涨近2% 热门中概股普跌</p>\n<p>美股三大股指周四大幅反弹,道指和标普500指数收复了上一交易日的失地,其中标普500指数11个板块全部录得上涨。截至收盘,道指涨1.82%,纳指涨0.83%,标普500指数涨1.42%。银行股集体上涨,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">富国银行</a>涨近4%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>涨近3%。</p>\n<p>2、热门中概股涨跌互现 新能源汽车股普跌</p>\n<p>美股三大指数集体上涨,道指、标普收复前一日跌幅,截止收盘,道指涨1.82%,纳指涨0.83%,标普500指数涨1.42%。</p>\n<p>热门中概股涨跌互现,新能源汽车股普跌,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/XPEV\">小鹏汽车</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>跌超5%,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LI\">理想汽车</a>跌超3%。</p>\n<p>3、奥密克戎不确定性太强 欧股或将持续出现涨跌交替行情</p>\n<p>欧洲股市周四下跌,追踪隔夜美国股市的下滑,主要原因还是对奥密克戎病毒变体的担忧以及美国加息时间可能早于预期。</p>\n<p>泛欧斯托克600指数收盘下跌4.40点,跌幅0.93%,报466.46点;德国DAX30指数收盘下跌210.91点,跌幅1.36%,报15261.76点。</p>\n<p>4、油价在动荡中上行 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GS\">高盛</a>一致看高</p>\n<p>油价周四在动荡后走高。因为OPEC+坚持其逐步提高产量的政策,并且市场考虑了 Omicron 冠状病毒变种的严重性。</p>\n<p>截至收盘,美国WTI原油期货上涨144美分,涨幅2.20%,报67.01美元/桶;布伦特期货上涨141美分,涨幅2.05%,报70.27美元/桶。</p>\n<p>5、鲍威尔与耶伦唱双簧吓坏多头 黄金下挫至一个月低点</p>\n<p>周四,金价一度下跌逾1%,至一个月低点,原因是投资者注意到美国货币政策似乎趋于鹰派的迹象,这些迹象可能会在未来遏制通胀的上涨。</p>\n<p>美市尾盘,现货黄金收报1768.27美元/盎司,下跌12.70美元或0.71%,日内最高触及1783.28美元,最低触及1762.05美元,为11月3日以来的最低水平。</p>\n<p>国际宏观</p>\n<p>1、美国会计划延长联邦政府资金支持至2月18日以避免政府停摆</p>\n<p>美国众议院拨款委员会主席罗莎·德劳罗发表声明,称众议院已就一项短期政府拨款法案达成协议,该法案将延长联邦政府的资金支持至2月18日,以避免政府停摆。12月3日为联邦政府获得资金的最后期限,如果资金支持停止,部分联邦政府机构将因预算问题面临关门停摆风险。预计众议院最快将在2日当天投票并通过延长拨款的拨款法案,但消息人士透露,参议院的部分共和党议员正试图威胁拜登就疫苗授权问题达成妥协,否则将搁置该法案。</p>\n<p>2、美国发现第二例omicron病例 此前曾在纽约参加大型活动并打过加强针</p>\n<p>该名病例于11月19日至21日在Javits中心参加了纽约动漫展纽约市长称,“我们应该假设纽约市存在社区传播”</p>\n<p>美国明尼苏达州一位居民在最近到纽约市参加了一个大型活动后,被确诊感染omicron变异株。</p>\n<p>3、欧佩克与非欧佩克产油国决定明年1月日均上调40万桶石油产量</p>\n<p>当地时间12月2日,石油输出国组织与非欧佩克产油国第23次部长级会议在线上举行。会议重申了参与国在《合作宣言》中的持续承诺,致力于确保石油市场的稳定与平衡。各方再次确认欧佩克与非欧佩克产油国第19次部长级会议批准的产量调整计划和月度产量调整机制,决定2022年1月将总产量日均上调40万桶。</p>\n<p>4、美国两党主要议员就权宜支出法案达成协议 联邦政府有望避免关门</p>\n<p>美国国会两党领导人就权宜支出法案达成一致,以求在周五午夜之后避免政府关门,计划周四晚些时候交由众议院表决。不过仍有小部分共和党参议员威胁说不会让法案在最后期限前通过。</p>\n<p>该法案将为美国政府机构提供资金直至2月18日,必须周五午夜前获得参众两院表决通过才能避免联邦政府停摆。民主党希望借此获得更多时间,以便在12月表决通过约2万亿美元的税收,气候和社会支出法案,及提高美国债务上限。</p>\n<p>5、OPEC+意外维持1月增产计划 但同时也留了一道“后门”</p>\n<p>OPEC+同意继续推进1月增产计划,并暗示一旦omicron毒株对需求构成的风险变得更明朗,他们随时可能重新讨论产量决定。</p>\n<p>几位不具名代表称,OPEC+周四同意在1月按计划向全球市场每天增加40万桶原油。不过他们也留了道“后门”,即如果市场发生变化,可以临时调整产量政策。</p>\n<p>6、IMF警告称某些国家若无债务重组可能出现经济崩溃</p>\n<p>IMF警告说,除非世界上最富裕国家的债权人暂停一些低收入国家的偿债义务并帮助重新谈判新条款,否则这些国家将出现“经济崩溃”。IMF总裁格奥尔基耶娃和策略、政策和评估部门主管Ceyla Pazarbasioglu周四在博客中表示,约60%的世界最贫穷国家正处于高风险或已经陷入债务困境,这个比例是2015年的两倍。</p>\n<p>公司新闻</p>\n<p>1、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1137519384\" target=\"_blank\">微博即将登陆港交所 定价每股272.80港元</a></p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WB\">微博</a>香港IPO最终发售价为每股272.8港元,预计筹资总额约15亿港元。根据此前公告,微博计划为全球发售1100万股公司A类普通股,包括550万股新股份及550万股销售股份。全球发售初步包括香港公开发售的110万股新股份及国际发售的990万股发售股份,分别占全球发售中发售股份总数的10%及90%。</p>\n<p>2、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2188517110\" target=\"_blank\">美国联邦贸易委员会提起诉讼以阻拦英伟达收购芯片设计公司Arm</a></p>\n<p>美国反垄断部门提起诉讼,以阻拦<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>以400亿美元收购Arm Ltd.,称这笔交易有损半导体市场的竞争。</p>\n<p>联邦贸易委员会周四公告称,这笔收购将使英伟达拥有对同行公司赖以开发芯片的计算技术和设计的控制权。</p>\n<p>3、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2188517717\" target=\"_blank\">东南亚独角兽Grab上市首日高开逾18% 盘中破发收跌超20%</a></p>\n<p>东南亚最大的叫车服务和快递公司Grab周四正式在纳斯达克交易,代码“GRAB”,此前该公司与“特殊目的收购公司”达成近400亿美元的合并交易。</p>\n<p>Grab上市当日震荡激烈。开盘报13.06美元,较Altimeter周三收盘价11.01美元上涨18.62%。盘中高点一度达到13.29美元,涨幅20%。不过此后Grab盘中“破发”,且大体呈一路下行态势。全日最低8.13美元,意味着破发约26%,这一最低点也比IPO当日的日内高点13.29美元跌去近40%。Grab最终收盘大跌21%,收于8.75美元。</p>\n<p>4、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2188022512\" target=\"_blank\">Omicron变种病毒引发投资者恐慌 却可能是这家公司的福音</a></p>\n<p>据投资研究公司Gordon Haskett称,Omicron变种病毒的出现可能给DoorDash的股东带来一线希望。Gordon Haskett分析师Robert Mollins将DoorDash的评级为从持有提高至买入,并在周三给客户的一份报告中表示,随着对新冠疫情的担忧再次出现,这家食品配送APP的股价可能会反弹。</p>\n<p>5、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2188512017\" target=\"_blank\">莫德纳上诉失败 疫苗专利到底归谁</a></p>\n<p>靠新冠疫苗赚得盆满钵满的莫德纳,现在却面临着专利侵权的指控。当地时间周三,美国联邦上诉法院驳回了莫德纳对加拿大药厂Arbutus Biopharma提出的专利挑战。法官认为,Arbutus Biopharma指控莫德纳使用其专利技术用于研发新冠疫苗,相关诉讼成立,裁定莫德纳挑战专利委员会裁决的上诉失败。</p>\n<p>6、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2188615517\" target=\"_blank\">因外汇串通交易 五家欧洲银行遭欧盟罚款3.44亿欧元</a></p>\n<p>欧盟委员会当地时间12月2日宣布,因参与外汇市场串通交易违反欧盟反卡特尔法规,欧盟决定对<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBS\">瑞银</a>集团、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BCS\">巴克莱银行</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RBS\">苏格兰皇家银行</a>、汇丰银行和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CS\">瑞士信贷</a>银行处以总额3.44亿欧元的罚款。</p>\n<p>7、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1100774989\" target=\"_blank\">押中股票大赚后搞实业 传沙特公共投资基金与鸿海商讨合作造车</a></p>\n<p>据媒体周四傍晚援引知情人士报道,鸿海科技集团与沙特阿拉伯接近敲定协议,设立合资公司生产电动车。</p>\n<p>报道称,掌管4500亿美元的沙特公共投资基金将设立一个名为Velocity的实体,这也将是新公司的控股股东。</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b23574aac95526c9e5c62ebc8dd25130","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1128063365","content_text":"摘要:①美股三大股指周四大幅反弹,道指和标普500指数收复上一交易日的失地;②热门中概股涨跌互现,新能源汽车股普跌;③因OPEC+坚持其逐步提高产量的政策,原油V形大反转;④东南亚Grab首秀收跌超20%。\n\n海外市场\n1、美股周四大幅反弹!道指涨近2% 热门中概股普跌\n美股三大股指周四大幅反弹,道指和标普500指数收复了上一交易日的失地,其中标普500指数11个板块全部录得上涨。截至收盘,道指涨1.82%,纳指涨0.83%,标普500指数涨1.42%。银行股集体上涨,摩根士丹利、富国银行涨近4%,高盛、美国银行涨近3%。\n2、热门中概股涨跌互现 新能源汽车股普跌\n美股三大指数集体上涨,道指、标普收复前一日跌幅,截止收盘,道指涨1.82%,纳指涨0.83%,标普500指数涨1.42%。\n热门中概股涨跌互现,新能源汽车股普跌,小鹏汽车、蔚来跌超5%,理想汽车跌超3%。\n3、奥密克戎不确定性太强 欧股或将持续出现涨跌交替行情\n欧洲股市周四下跌,追踪隔夜美国股市的下滑,主要原因还是对奥密克戎病毒变体的担忧以及美国加息时间可能早于预期。\n泛欧斯托克600指数收盘下跌4.40点,跌幅0.93%,报466.46点;德国DAX30指数收盘下跌210.91点,跌幅1.36%,报15261.76点。\n4、油价在动荡中上行 摩根大通、高盛一致看高\n油价周四在动荡后走高。因为OPEC+坚持其逐步提高产量的政策,并且市场考虑了 Omicron 冠状病毒变种的严重性。\n截至收盘,美国WTI原油期货上涨144美分,涨幅2.20%,报67.01美元/桶;布伦特期货上涨141美分,涨幅2.05%,报70.27美元/桶。\n5、鲍威尔与耶伦唱双簧吓坏多头 黄金下挫至一个月低点\n周四,金价一度下跌逾1%,至一个月低点,原因是投资者注意到美国货币政策似乎趋于鹰派的迹象,这些迹象可能会在未来遏制通胀的上涨。\n美市尾盘,现货黄金收报1768.27美元/盎司,下跌12.70美元或0.71%,日内最高触及1783.28美元,最低触及1762.05美元,为11月3日以来的最低水平。\n国际宏观\n1、美国会计划延长联邦政府资金支持至2月18日以避免政府停摆\n美国众议院拨款委员会主席罗莎·德劳罗发表声明,称众议院已就一项短期政府拨款法案达成协议,该法案将延长联邦政府的资金支持至2月18日,以避免政府停摆。12月3日为联邦政府获得资金的最后期限,如果资金支持停止,部分联邦政府机构将因预算问题面临关门停摆风险。预计众议院最快将在2日当天投票并通过延长拨款的拨款法案,但消息人士透露,参议院的部分共和党议员正试图威胁拜登就疫苗授权问题达成妥协,否则将搁置该法案。\n2、美国发现第二例omicron病例 此前曾在纽约参加大型活动并打过加强针\n该名病例于11月19日至21日在Javits中心参加了纽约动漫展纽约市长称,“我们应该假设纽约市存在社区传播”\n美国明尼苏达州一位居民在最近到纽约市参加了一个大型活动后,被确诊感染omicron变异株。\n3、欧佩克与非欧佩克产油国决定明年1月日均上调40万桶石油产量\n当地时间12月2日,石油输出国组织与非欧佩克产油国第23次部长级会议在线上举行。会议重申了参与国在《合作宣言》中的持续承诺,致力于确保石油市场的稳定与平衡。各方再次确认欧佩克与非欧佩克产油国第19次部长级会议批准的产量调整计划和月度产量调整机制,决定2022年1月将总产量日均上调40万桶。\n4、美国两党主要议员就权宜支出法案达成协议 联邦政府有望避免关门\n美国国会两党领导人就权宜支出法案达成一致,以求在周五午夜之后避免政府关门,计划周四晚些时候交由众议院表决。不过仍有小部分共和党参议员威胁说不会让法案在最后期限前通过。\n该法案将为美国政府机构提供资金直至2月18日,必须周五午夜前获得参众两院表决通过才能避免联邦政府停摆。民主党希望借此获得更多时间,以便在12月表决通过约2万亿美元的税收,气候和社会支出法案,及提高美国债务上限。\n5、OPEC+意外维持1月增产计划 但同时也留了一道“后门”\nOPEC+同意继续推进1月增产计划,并暗示一旦omicron毒株对需求构成的风险变得更明朗,他们随时可能重新讨论产量决定。\n几位不具名代表称,OPEC+周四同意在1月按计划向全球市场每天增加40万桶原油。不过他们也留了道“后门”,即如果市场发生变化,可以临时调整产量政策。\n6、IMF警告称某些国家若无债务重组可能出现经济崩溃\nIMF警告说,除非世界上最富裕国家的债权人暂停一些低收入国家的偿债义务并帮助重新谈判新条款,否则这些国家将出现“经济崩溃”。IMF总裁格奥尔基耶娃和策略、政策和评估部门主管Ceyla Pazarbasioglu周四在博客中表示,约60%的世界最贫穷国家正处于高风险或已经陷入债务困境,这个比例是2015年的两倍。\n公司新闻\n1、微博即将登陆港交所 定价每股272.80港元\n微博香港IPO最终发售价为每股272.8港元,预计筹资总额约15亿港元。根据此前公告,微博计划为全球发售1100万股公司A类普通股,包括550万股新股份及550万股销售股份。全球发售初步包括香港公开发售的110万股新股份及国际发售的990万股发售股份,分别占全球发售中发售股份总数的10%及90%。\n2、美国联邦贸易委员会提起诉讼以阻拦英伟达收购芯片设计公司Arm\n美国反垄断部门提起诉讼,以阻拦英伟达以400亿美元收购Arm Ltd.,称这笔交易有损半导体市场的竞争。\n联邦贸易委员会周四公告称,这笔收购将使英伟达拥有对同行公司赖以开发芯片的计算技术和设计的控制权。\n3、东南亚独角兽Grab上市首日高开逾18% 盘中破发收跌超20%\n东南亚最大的叫车服务和快递公司Grab周四正式在纳斯达克交易,代码“GRAB”,此前该公司与“特殊目的收购公司”达成近400亿美元的合并交易。\nGrab上市当日震荡激烈。开盘报13.06美元,较Altimeter周三收盘价11.01美元上涨18.62%。盘中高点一度达到13.29美元,涨幅20%。不过此后Grab盘中“破发”,且大体呈一路下行态势。全日最低8.13美元,意味着破发约26%,这一最低点也比IPO当日的日内高点13.29美元跌去近40%。Grab最终收盘大跌21%,收于8.75美元。\n4、Omicron变种病毒引发投资者恐慌 却可能是这家公司的福音\n据投资研究公司Gordon Haskett称,Omicron变种病毒的出现可能给DoorDash的股东带来一线希望。Gordon Haskett分析师Robert Mollins将DoorDash的评级为从持有提高至买入,并在周三给客户的一份报告中表示,随着对新冠疫情的担忧再次出现,这家食品配送APP的股价可能会反弹。\n5、莫德纳上诉失败 疫苗专利到底归谁\n靠新冠疫苗赚得盆满钵满的莫德纳,现在却面临着专利侵权的指控。当地时间周三,美国联邦上诉法院驳回了莫德纳对加拿大药厂Arbutus Biopharma提出的专利挑战。法官认为,Arbutus Biopharma指控莫德纳使用其专利技术用于研发新冠疫苗,相关诉讼成立,裁定莫德纳挑战专利委员会裁决的上诉失败。\n6、因外汇串通交易 五家欧洲银行遭欧盟罚款3.44亿欧元\n欧盟委员会当地时间12月2日宣布,因参与外汇市场串通交易违反欧盟反卡特尔法规,欧盟决定对瑞银集团、巴克莱银行、苏格兰皇家银行、汇丰银行和瑞士信贷银行处以总额3.44亿欧元的罚款。\n7、押中股票大赚后搞实业 传沙特公共投资基金与鸿海商讨合作造车\n据媒体周四傍晚援引知情人士报道,鸿海科技集团与沙特阿拉伯接近敲定协议,设立合资公司生产电动车。\n报道称,掌管4500亿美元的沙特公共投资基金将设立一个名为Velocity的实体,这也将是新公司的控股股东。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2405,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":603606776,"gmtCreate":1638403164553,"gmtModify":1638403164815,"author":{"id":"4087523982151170","authorId":"4087523982151170","name":"Fayedea","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9d26a7d632140dba3255747fafc07d3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087523982151170","idStr":"4087523982151170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest","listText":"Latest","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/603606776","repostId":"2188567864","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1897,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":609410959,"gmtCreate":1638316838850,"gmtModify":1638316838943,"author":{"id":"4087523982151170","authorId":"4087523982151170","name":"Fayedea","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9d26a7d632140dba3255747fafc07d3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087523982151170","idStr":"4087523982151170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest","listText":"Latest","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/609410959","repostId":"2188534688","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3660,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":874517477,"gmtCreate":1637801248393,"gmtModify":1637801248471,"author":{"id":"4087523982151170","authorId":"4087523982151170","name":"Fayedea","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9d26a7d632140dba3255747fafc07d3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087523982151170","idStr":"4087523982151170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest","listText":"Latest","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/874517477","repostId":"2186365808","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3604,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":871435879,"gmtCreate":1637104676892,"gmtModify":1637104677093,"author":{"id":"4087523982151170","authorId":"4087523982151170","name":"Fayedea","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9d26a7d632140dba3255747fafc07d3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087523982151170","idStr":"4087523982151170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest","listText":"Latest","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/871435879","repostId":"2184817638","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2029,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":845638972,"gmtCreate":1636333599220,"gmtModify":1636333599412,"author":{"id":"4087523982151170","authorId":"4087523982151170","name":"Fayedea","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9d26a7d632140dba3255747fafc07d3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087523982151170","idStr":"4087523982151170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest","listText":"Latest","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/845638972","repostId":"2181723511","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2109,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":841129408,"gmtCreate":1635897072702,"gmtModify":1635897072807,"author":{"id":"4087523982151170","authorId":"4087523982151170","name":"Fayedea","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9d26a7d632140dba3255747fafc07d3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087523982151170","idStr":"4087523982151170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest","listText":"Latest","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/841129408","repostId":"2180739404","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2127,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":843131194,"gmtCreate":1635812002514,"gmtModify":1635812002583,"author":{"id":"4087523982151170","authorId":"4087523982151170","name":"Fayedea","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9d26a7d632140dba3255747fafc07d3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087523982151170","idStr":"4087523982151170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest","listText":"Latest","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/843131194","repostId":"2180533201","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2180533201","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1635802620,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2180533201?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-02 05:37","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"外媒头条:美国面临上世纪70年代以来最严重供应链问题","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2180533201","media":"市场资讯","summary":" 美联储官员本周会面之际,美国的消费者和企业担心经济正在面临1973年石油危机以来范围最广的供应短缺。他们面临的难题是,要确定供应不畅是局部、暂时的,还是长期问题,如果供需失衡持续,是否会引起通胀。 美联储最近一次评估经济时,12个地区联储银行中,有十家表示对工人、原料或是商品的稀缺感到紧张。 用于制作饼干和蛋糕的主要品种软红冬麦上涨2.5%,至每蒲式耳7.915美元,为2013年1月22日以来的最高价。","content":"<p><b>全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有:</b></p>\n<blockquote>\n <b>1、美国面临上世纪70年代以来最严重供应链问题 “短缺”成美联储年度词汇</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>2、主要进口国屯货 芝加哥小麦期货创逾八年新高</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>3、耶伦称美国经济并未过热 重申通胀是暂时的</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>4、印度计划到2070年实现净零排放 呼吁发达国家加大出资力度</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>5、OPEC+不买拜登的账 成员国纷纷抗拒更快增产</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>6、与Space X正面交锋 <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>计划在2022年底发射首颗互联网卫星</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb1d04f1c2990b4625f31b2621983f18\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"291\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>美国面临上世纪70年代以来最严重供应链问题 “短缺”成美联储年度词汇</b></p>\n<p>美联储官员本周会面之际,美国的消费者和企业担心经济正在面临1973年石油危机以来范围最广的供应短缺。</p>\n<p>美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔和联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)的其他官员将于本周二和周三会面,供应链的诸多环节出现中断。他们面临的难题是,要确定供应不畅是局部、暂时的,还是长期问题,如果供需失衡持续,是否会引起通胀。</p>\n<p>包括洛杉矶、佐治亚州萨凡纳在内的港口拥堵,例如半导体等关键性的生产材料采购困难,大宗商品价格飙升,一些企业甚至连非高技能工人也招不到。但是问题并非千篇一律,波士顿和加州奥克兰运输相对比较通畅。</p>\n<p>美联储最近一次评估经济时,12个地区联储银行中,有十家表示对工人、原料或是商品的稀缺感到紧张。“短缺”一词出现了70次,六个地区联储提到“瓶颈”,大部分称“价格显著高企”。</p>\n<p>MetLife投资管理公司指出,总的来看,在褐皮书中“短缺”的出现频率位于上世纪70年代初以来的最高水平附近。</p>\n<p>美联储需要解决的难题是,供应紧缩构成的通胀威胁之大,需要以收紧货币政策来予以回应,还是会随着经济恢复正常而消失,因而可以继续维持超宽松的政策。即将到来的节日季将对前景构成进一步的考验。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/acd6b557420e0d4d48d509b9d21dbddb\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"288\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>主要进口国屯货 芝加哥小麦期货创逾八年新高</b></p>\n<p>受主要进口国屯货的影响,芝加哥期货交易所的小麦价格创下逾八年以来的高位。</p>\n<p>用于制作饼干和蛋糕的主要品种软红冬麦上涨2.5%,至每蒲式耳7.915美元,为2013年1月22日以来的最高价。</p>\n<p>在周末的标售中,沙特阿拉伯政府拥有的买家预订了约130万吨小麦,几乎是它之前寻求数量的两倍。此外,主要进口国埃及周一也重返市场,距它此前完成当季最大的标案不到一个礼拜。</p>\n<p>今年几个主要出口国的收成受到恶劣天气影响,小麦需求激增,买家全球追逐着有限的供应。这也让小麦期货价格创下自2007年以来最长的月度连涨。现在一些种植国还面临干燥气候,此外飞涨的肥料成本都也能影响2022年的全球粮食收成。</p>\n<p>明年的供应前景问题还在持续,增加了小麦价格继续飙升并加剧全球食品通胀的可能性。联合国最新数据显示,在收成受挫和供应链中断的情况下,食品价格已处于十年来的最高水平。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8289f6dcf34e95237a74ee3ce110d033\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>耶伦称美国经济并未过热 重申通胀是暂时的</b></p>\n<p>美国财政部长珍妮特-耶伦(Janet Yellen)周一表示,她不认为美国经济过热,尽管通胀高于近年来水平,但这与新冠疫情造成的破坏有关。</p>\n<p>虽然美国通胀压力正在扩大,但耶伦重申,她认为价格上涨是暂时的。</p>\n<p>耶伦在都柏林的新闻发布会上说:“我不会说美国经济目前过热,我们的工作岗位仍然比疫情前少500万个,劳动力参与率下降,原因与疫情有关。”</p>\n<p>耶伦预测,随着疫情得到控制,劳动力供应限制和供应瓶颈将得到缓解,并指出美国耐用品需求激增之际,其中一些商品难以采购。</p>\n<p>“我相信,随着疫情结束,这些压力会释放,从这个意义上说,我相信通胀是暂时的,从长远来看,我们的经济不会过热。”</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7f15b14eb6a63a1aa0ebeb87f7e89359\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"312\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>印度计划到2070年实现净零排放 呼吁发达国家加大出资力度</b></p>\n<p>世界第三大经济体印度的总理莫迪在格拉斯哥举行的COP26气候峰会上表示,该国力争到2070年实现净零排放,就减排立下宏愿。</p>\n<p>莫迪表示,到2030年底,印度非化石燃料发电产能目标将从450吉瓦提高至500吉瓦。他表示,到2030年印度一半的电力将来自可再生能源。</p>\n<p>莫迪还致力于到2030年,将碳强度(即单位GDP的二氧化碳排放量)降低45%,之前设定的目标为35%。该国还将努力实现可再生能源占发电量的一半,并且到2030年,与不行动相比,将二氧化碳排放量降低10亿吨。</p>\n<p>莫迪还要求富国加大出资力度,帮助发展中国家脱碳。“印度期待全球最发达国家尽快提供1万亿美元的气候融资,”莫迪表示。“没有遵守气候承诺的国家理应承受压力。”</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/92c972317489541297b337fd2abce17b\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"367\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>OPEC+不买拜登的账 成员国纷纷抗拒更快增产</b></p>\n<p>OPEC+与美国可能会有一场龃龉,因为越来越多的成员国拒绝美国总统乔·拜登要求该组织加快增产、帮助降低汽油价格的呼吁。</p>\n<p>科威特周一表示,石油市场非常平衡,该组织应坚持其逐步增产的计划。此前几天,其他主要成员也发表了类似的声明,包括伊拉克、阿尔及利亚、安哥拉和尼日利亚。</p>\n<p>以沙特阿拉伯和俄罗斯为首的OPEC+将在周四举行会议,来自石油消费国的压力不断增加,因为石油价格已经突破每桶85美元。美国汽油价格处于7年高点,达到每加仑3.70美元。</p>\n<p>美国、印度、日本等国正在发起一场运动,以迫使OPEC+更快地解除去年由疫情引发的供应限制。</p>\n<p>拜登周日说,俄罗斯、沙特和其他主要产油国不增加产量,人们就没有汽油上下班。</p>\n<p>虽然拜登拒绝透露如果OPEC+不改变立场他将如何反应,但分析师猜测美国可能会出售一些战略石油储备。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f1d650a0f20b4978232b4897760ca9a8\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"309\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>与Space X正面交锋 亚马逊计划在2022年底发射首颗互联网卫星</b></p>\n<p>亚马逊周一宣布,该公司的目标是在2022年四季度发射其第一颗“Project Kuiper”互联网卫星。</p>\n<p>亚马逊向美国联邦通信委员会提交了一项发射和运行两颗原型卫星(KuiperSat-1和KuiperSat-2)的请求。亚马逊表示,这两颗卫星将由ABL Space公司的RS1火箭发射。</p>\n<p>“Project Kuiper”计划在低地球轨道上建立一个由3236颗卫星组成的网络,为全球各地提供高速互联网。该项目在去年获得了美国联邦通信委员会的批准,亚马逊称计划在该项目上“投资超过100亿美元”。一旦亚马逊在轨道上部署578颗卫星,“Project Kuiper”的早期服务就会开始。</p>\n<p>亚马逊上周宣布与美国电信运营商Verizon进行合作,Verizon将使用“Project Kuiper”卫星网络为农村和偏远地区提供宽带互联网服务。</p>","source":"sina","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>外媒头条:美国面临上世纪70年代以来最严重供应链问题</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; 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class=\"title\">\n外媒头条:美国面临上世纪70年代以来最严重供应链问题\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-11-02 05:37 北京时间 <a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2021-11-02/doc-iktzscyy3096172.shtml><strong>市场资讯</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有:\n\n1、美国面临上世纪70年代以来最严重供应链问题 “短缺”成美联储年度词汇\n\n\n2、主要进口国屯货 芝加哥小麦期货创逾八年新高\n\n\n3、耶伦称美国经济并未过热 重申通胀是暂时的\n\n\n4、印度计划到2070年实现净零排放 呼吁发达国家加大出资力度\n\n\n5、OPEC+不买拜登的账 成员国纷纷抗拒更快增产\n\n\n6、与Space X正面交锋 亚马逊计划在...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2021-11-02/doc-iktzscyy3096172.shtml\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb1d04f1c2990b4625f31b2621983f18","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","QLD":"2倍做多纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","UDOW":"三倍做多道指30ETF-ProShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","DUG":"二倍做空石油与天然气ETF(ProShares)","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","UCO":"二倍做多彭博原油ETF","DJX":"1/100道琼斯","OEX":"标普100","SDOW":"三倍做空道指30ETF-ProShares","AMZN":"亚马逊","QID":"两倍做空纳斯达克指数ETF-ProShares","DWT":"三倍做空原油ETN","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","TQQQ":"纳指三倍做多ETF","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","DOG":"道指ETF-ProShares做空","SQQQ":"纳指三倍做空ETF","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares","SCO":"二倍做空彭博原油指数ETF","DXD":"两倍做空道琼30指数ETF-ProShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","QQQ":"纳指100ETF","USO":"美国原油ETF","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","DDG":"ProShares做空石油与天然气ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2021-11-02/doc-iktzscyy3096172.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/b0d1b7e8843deea78cc308b15114de44","article_id":"2180533201","content_text":"全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有:\n\n1、美国面临上世纪70年代以来最严重供应链问题 “短缺”成美联储年度词汇\n\n\n2、主要进口国屯货 芝加哥小麦期货创逾八年新高\n\n\n3、耶伦称美国经济并未过热 重申通胀是暂时的\n\n\n4、印度计划到2070年实现净零排放 呼吁发达国家加大出资力度\n\n\n5、OPEC+不买拜登的账 成员国纷纷抗拒更快增产\n\n\n6、与Space X正面交锋 亚马逊计划在2022年底发射首颗互联网卫星\n\n\n美国面临上世纪70年代以来最严重供应链问题 “短缺”成美联储年度词汇\n美联储官员本周会面之际,美国的消费者和企业担心经济正在面临1973年石油危机以来范围最广的供应短缺。\n美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔和联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)的其他官员将于本周二和周三会面,供应链的诸多环节出现中断。他们面临的难题是,要确定供应不畅是局部、暂时的,还是长期问题,如果供需失衡持续,是否会引起通胀。\n包括洛杉矶、佐治亚州萨凡纳在内的港口拥堵,例如半导体等关键性的生产材料采购困难,大宗商品价格飙升,一些企业甚至连非高技能工人也招不到。但是问题并非千篇一律,波士顿和加州奥克兰运输相对比较通畅。\n美联储最近一次评估经济时,12个地区联储银行中,有十家表示对工人、原料或是商品的稀缺感到紧张。“短缺”一词出现了70次,六个地区联储提到“瓶颈”,大部分称“价格显著高企”。\nMetLife投资管理公司指出,总的来看,在褐皮书中“短缺”的出现频率位于上世纪70年代初以来的最高水平附近。\n美联储需要解决的难题是,供应紧缩构成的通胀威胁之大,需要以收紧货币政策来予以回应,还是会随着经济恢复正常而消失,因而可以继续维持超宽松的政策。即将到来的节日季将对前景构成进一步的考验。\n\n主要进口国屯货 芝加哥小麦期货创逾八年新高\n受主要进口国屯货的影响,芝加哥期货交易所的小麦价格创下逾八年以来的高位。\n用于制作饼干和蛋糕的主要品种软红冬麦上涨2.5%,至每蒲式耳7.915美元,为2013年1月22日以来的最高价。\n在周末的标售中,沙特阿拉伯政府拥有的买家预订了约130万吨小麦,几乎是它之前寻求数量的两倍。此外,主要进口国埃及周一也重返市场,距它此前完成当季最大的标案不到一个礼拜。\n今年几个主要出口国的收成受到恶劣天气影响,小麦需求激增,买家全球追逐着有限的供应。这也让小麦期货价格创下自2007年以来最长的月度连涨。现在一些种植国还面临干燥气候,此外飞涨的肥料成本都也能影响2022年的全球粮食收成。\n明年的供应前景问题还在持续,增加了小麦价格继续飙升并加剧全球食品通胀的可能性。联合国最新数据显示,在收成受挫和供应链中断的情况下,食品价格已处于十年来的最高水平。\n\n耶伦称美国经济并未过热 重申通胀是暂时的\n美国财政部长珍妮特-耶伦(Janet Yellen)周一表示,她不认为美国经济过热,尽管通胀高于近年来水平,但这与新冠疫情造成的破坏有关。\n虽然美国通胀压力正在扩大,但耶伦重申,她认为价格上涨是暂时的。\n耶伦在都柏林的新闻发布会上说:“我不会说美国经济目前过热,我们的工作岗位仍然比疫情前少500万个,劳动力参与率下降,原因与疫情有关。”\n耶伦预测,随着疫情得到控制,劳动力供应限制和供应瓶颈将得到缓解,并指出美国耐用品需求激增之际,其中一些商品难以采购。\n“我相信,随着疫情结束,这些压力会释放,从这个意义上说,我相信通胀是暂时的,从长远来看,我们的经济不会过热。”\n\n印度计划到2070年实现净零排放 呼吁发达国家加大出资力度\n世界第三大经济体印度的总理莫迪在格拉斯哥举行的COP26气候峰会上表示,该国力争到2070年实现净零排放,就减排立下宏愿。\n莫迪表示,到2030年底,印度非化石燃料发电产能目标将从450吉瓦提高至500吉瓦。他表示,到2030年印度一半的电力将来自可再生能源。\n莫迪还致力于到2030年,将碳强度(即单位GDP的二氧化碳排放量)降低45%,之前设定的目标为35%。该国还将努力实现可再生能源占发电量的一半,并且到2030年,与不行动相比,将二氧化碳排放量降低10亿吨。\n莫迪还要求富国加大出资力度,帮助发展中国家脱碳。“印度期待全球最发达国家尽快提供1万亿美元的气候融资,”莫迪表示。“没有遵守气候承诺的国家理应承受压力。”\n\nOPEC+不买拜登的账 成员国纷纷抗拒更快增产\nOPEC+与美国可能会有一场龃龉,因为越来越多的成员国拒绝美国总统乔·拜登要求该组织加快增产、帮助降低汽油价格的呼吁。\n科威特周一表示,石油市场非常平衡,该组织应坚持其逐步增产的计划。此前几天,其他主要成员也发表了类似的声明,包括伊拉克、阿尔及利亚、安哥拉和尼日利亚。\n以沙特阿拉伯和俄罗斯为首的OPEC+将在周四举行会议,来自石油消费国的压力不断增加,因为石油价格已经突破每桶85美元。美国汽油价格处于7年高点,达到每加仑3.70美元。\n美国、印度、日本等国正在发起一场运动,以迫使OPEC+更快地解除去年由疫情引发的供应限制。\n拜登周日说,俄罗斯、沙特和其他主要产油国不增加产量,人们就没有汽油上下班。\n虽然拜登拒绝透露如果OPEC+不改变立场他将如何反应,但分析师猜测美国可能会出售一些战略石油储备。\n\n与Space X正面交锋 亚马逊计划在2022年底发射首颗互联网卫星\n亚马逊周一宣布,该公司的目标是在2022年四季度发射其第一颗“Project Kuiper”互联网卫星。\n亚马逊向美国联邦通信委员会提交了一项发射和运行两颗原型卫星(KuiperSat-1和KuiperSat-2)的请求。亚马逊表示,这两颗卫星将由ABL Space公司的RS1火箭发射。\n“Project Kuiper”计划在低地球轨道上建立一个由3236颗卫星组成的网络,为全球各地提供高速互联网。该项目在去年获得了美国联邦通信委员会的批准,亚马逊称计划在该项目上“投资超过100亿美元”。一旦亚马逊在轨道上部署578颗卫星,“Project Kuiper”的早期服务就会开始。\n亚马逊上周宣布与美国电信运营商Verizon进行合作,Verizon将使用“Project Kuiper”卫星网络为农村和偏远地区提供宽带互联网服务。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,"513500":0.9,"SDOW":0.9,"SCO":0.9,"DUG":0.9,"UPRO":0.9,"BZmain":0.9,"OEF":0.9,"SDS":0.9,"QMmain":0.9,"DXD":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,"QLD":0.9,"DWTIF":0.9,"SQQQ":0.9,"DOG":0.9,"PSQ":0.9,"TQQQ":0.9,"UWTIF":0.9,"DDM":0.9,"IVV":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SH":0.9,"SSO":0.9,"ZWmain":0.9,"QQQ":0.9,"AMZN":0.9,"DJX":0.9,"OEX":0.9,"QID":0.9,"DDG":0.9,"DWT":0.9,"UCO":0.9,"USO":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"UDOW":0.9,"MNQmain":0.9,"NQmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2027,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":827546999,"gmtCreate":1634513133996,"gmtModify":1634513134159,"author":{"id":"4087523982151170","authorId":"4087523982151170","name":"Fayedea","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9d26a7d632140dba3255747fafc07d3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087523982151170","idStr":"4087523982151170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest","listText":"Latest","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/827546999","repostId":"2176147679","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2176147679","kind":"highlight","pubTimestamp":1634506056,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2176147679?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-18 05:27","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"外媒头条:美国交通部长称美供应链危机将持续到明年","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2176147679","media":"新浪美股","summary":" 美国交通部长皮特·布蒂吉格周日表示,美国的供应链中断预计将持续到明年,声称瓶颈已经被刺激,部分由总统拜登的经济复苏带来的需求前所未有的数量。 电视节目主持人杰克·塔珀询问美国交通部长皮特·布蒂吉格,美国人是否应该为供应链中断和通货膨胀等经济问题做好准备,以免在情况好转之前变得更糟。 “当然,我们今年遇到的许多挑战将持续到明年,”布蒂吉格回应道。","content":"<p><b>全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有:</b></p>\n<blockquote>\n <b>1、美国交通部长:美供应链危机“将持续到明年”</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>2、辞职风潮正席卷美国餐饮业 继续施压美经济复苏</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>3、大众汽车CEO请来马斯克发表视频讲话 强调需要迅速转向电动汽车</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>4、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>开始向客户交付更新的 Model X</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>5、安联首席经济顾问El-Erian:投资者应该为更大的市场波动做好准备</b>\n</blockquote>\n<blockquote>\n <b>6、英国央行行长:必须对通货膨胀采取行动</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93d81b431e84c48c864d90b9430e64d\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"365\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>美国交通部长:美供应链危机“将持续到明年”</b></p>\n<p>美国交通部长皮特·布蒂吉格周日表示,美国的供应链中断预计将持续到明年,声称瓶颈已经被刺激,部分由总统拜登的经济复苏带来的需求前所未有的数量。</p>\n<p>电视节目主持人杰克·塔珀询问美国交通部长皮特·布蒂吉格,美国人是否应该为供应链中断和通货膨胀等经济问题做好准备,以免在情况好转之前变得更糟。</p>\n<p>此前皮特·布蒂吉格关于圣诞节前供应链的“笑话”受到批评</p>\n<p>“当然,我们今年遇到的许多挑战将持续到明年,”布蒂吉格回应道。“看,正在发生的事情的一部分不仅仅是供应方,而是需求方。需求超出了图表。零售销售正在飙升。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/040744aaabf56743a5998474dc0c511e\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"367\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>辞职风潮正席卷美国餐饮业 继续施压美经济复苏</b></p>\n<p>辞职大潮开始对美国连锁餐厅造成更大的破坏,这些连锁餐厅试图从大流行期间的打击中恢复过来。</p>\n<p>本周,美国劳工统计局报告称,食品服务行业的人员退出率达到6.8%,而整体退出率为2.9%。Guggenheim分析师Gregory Francfort指出,餐饮服务业的退出率远高于2006年和2019年 5%的峰值,以及过去20年的4.1%的平均水平。</p>\n<p>8月份,近430万美国人辞去了工作,因为许多人在大流行的复苏过程中寻求更高的工资、选择改变生活方式或缺乏负担得起的托儿服务。</p>\n<p>“由于劳动力短缺和其他措施(例如对顾客的口罩要求)对现有员工提出了具有挑战性的需求,工人继续离开零售和餐饮业。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f66d0e052927cb443b198ee8b1fb0a1\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"331\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>大众汽车CEO请来马斯克发表视频讲话 强调需要迅速转向电动汽车</b></p>\n<p>大众汽车首席执行官赫伯特·迪斯 (Herbert Diess)请来马斯克作为“惊喜嘉宾”,通过视频通话向200名大众汽车高管发表讲话,希望激励大众汽车的高层更快地转向电动汽车。</p>\n<p>据悉,当被迪斯问及为什么特斯拉比竞争对手更灵活时,马斯克说这归结为他的管理风格,他首先是一名工程师,对供应链、物流和生产有眼光。</p>\n<p>在领英上的一篇帖子中,迪斯补充说,他邀请马斯克作为“惊喜嘉宾”来表达大众需要更快的决策和更少的官僚作风,以实现他所谓的大众历史上最大的转型。</p>\n<p>“很高兴听到即使是我们最强大的竞争对手也认为,如果我们全力推动转型,我们将在转型中取得成功,”迪斯说。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88a033b3a6540ca86e09e73992ba918a\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"367\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>特斯拉开始向客户交付更新的 Model X</b></p>\n<p>特斯拉于2021年初交付了重新设计的特斯拉Model S内饰,现在终于轮到Model X买家了。据Electrek和 TMC 论坛成员Sunnyvaletree报告称,特斯拉已经开始向客户交付修改后的Model X,这有效地将电动跨界车带入了现代时代,前面有一个横向触摸屏显示器,后面的显示器更小,整体内部质量的改进更适合近94000美元的汽车。</p>\n<p>此前活动中展示的电动汽车是六人座,目前尚不清楚这是否是唯一先发货的配置。据悉,特斯拉弗里蒙特工厂附近似乎有Model X Plaid在行驶。</p>\n<p>对于那些想要体验Model X的空间和奢华而不是“节俭”的Model Y的买家来说,此次交付是个好消息。 然而,它们也强调了目前汽车行业的芯片短缺现状对特斯拉生产的巨大影响。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bd8f34a895850613fc8bd50c5e0cfda4\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"312\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>安联首席经济顾问El-Erian:投资者应该为更大的市场波动做好准备</b></p>\n<p>安联集团首席经济顾问Mohamed El-Erian表示,如果美联储撤回由新冠疫情引发的刺激措施,投资者应该为市场波动加剧做好准备。</p>\n<p>El-Erian称:“我有点担心,我们一直生活在一个低波动、一切都在上升的美好世界,可能会随着高波动而停止。”</p>\n<p>他说,虽然很大程度上取决于行为变化,但美联储“应该放松对金属货币刺激的控制”。</p>\n<p>他表示:“如果我是一名投资者,我会意识到,多亏了美联储,我正在驾驭一股巨大的流动性浪潮,但我会记住,这股浪潮往往会在某个时候破裂,因此我会非常关注。”</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3a3e7babd89528e3629f976b75fa2b4\" tg-width=\"550\" tg-height=\"366\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p><b>英国央行行长:必须对通货膨胀采取行动</b></p>\n<p>英国央行行长安德鲁·贝利(Andrew Bailey)采取行动强化提高利率的理由,称央行“必须采取行动”遏制通胀,并警告说,能源成本上升意味着价格压力将持续。</p>\n<p>贝利表示,尽管各国央行没有应对供应中断的工具,他仍然认为近期通胀加速将是暂时的,但官员们需要寻求防止更高的通胀预期变得根深蒂固。</p>\n<p>他说,能源价格上涨意味着通货膨胀“将持续更长时间,因此,它当然会在年度数据中持续更长时间。”“这给央行带来了对隐含预期的恐惧和担忧。这就是为什么我们英格兰银行发出信号,这是另一个信号,我们必须采取行动。但当然,这一行动是在我们的货币政策会议上产生的。”</p>","source":"sina_us","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>外媒头条:美国交通部长称美供应链危机将持续到明年</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n外媒头条:美国交通部长称美供应链危机将持续到明年\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-10-18 05:27 北京时间 <a href=https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2021-10-18/doc-iktzscyy0248924.shtml><strong>新浪美股</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有:\n\n1、美国交通部长:美供应链危机“将持续到明年”\n\n\n2、辞职风潮正席卷美国餐饮业 继续施压美经济复苏\n\n\n3、大众汽车CEO请来马斯克发表视频讲话 强调需要迅速转向电动汽车\n\n\n4、特斯拉开始向客户交付更新的 Model X\n\n\n5、安联首席经济顾问El-Erian:投资者应该为更大的市场波动做好准备\n\n\n6、英国央行行长:必须对通货膨胀采取行动\n...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2021-10-18/doc-iktzscyy0248924.shtml\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93d81b431e84c48c864d90b9430e64d","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/usstock/c/2021-10-18/doc-iktzscyy0248924.shtml","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2176147679","content_text":"全球财经媒体昨夜今晨共同关注的头条新闻主要有:\n\n1、美国交通部长:美供应链危机“将持续到明年”\n\n\n2、辞职风潮正席卷美国餐饮业 继续施压美经济复苏\n\n\n3、大众汽车CEO请来马斯克发表视频讲话 强调需要迅速转向电动汽车\n\n\n4、特斯拉开始向客户交付更新的 Model X\n\n\n5、安联首席经济顾问El-Erian:投资者应该为更大的市场波动做好准备\n\n\n6、英国央行行长:必须对通货膨胀采取行动\n\n\n美国交通部长:美供应链危机“将持续到明年”\n美国交通部长皮特·布蒂吉格周日表示,美国的供应链中断预计将持续到明年,声称瓶颈已经被刺激,部分由总统拜登的经济复苏带来的需求前所未有的数量。\n电视节目主持人杰克·塔珀询问美国交通部长皮特·布蒂吉格,美国人是否应该为供应链中断和通货膨胀等经济问题做好准备,以免在情况好转之前变得更糟。\n此前皮特·布蒂吉格关于圣诞节前供应链的“笑话”受到批评\n“当然,我们今年遇到的许多挑战将持续到明年,”布蒂吉格回应道。“看,正在发生的事情的一部分不仅仅是供应方,而是需求方。需求超出了图表。零售销售正在飙升。\n\n辞职风潮正席卷美国餐饮业 继续施压美经济复苏\n辞职大潮开始对美国连锁餐厅造成更大的破坏,这些连锁餐厅试图从大流行期间的打击中恢复过来。\n本周,美国劳工统计局报告称,食品服务行业的人员退出率达到6.8%,而整体退出率为2.9%。Guggenheim分析师Gregory Francfort指出,餐饮服务业的退出率远高于2006年和2019年 5%的峰值,以及过去20年的4.1%的平均水平。\n8月份,近430万美国人辞去了工作,因为许多人在大流行的复苏过程中寻求更高的工资、选择改变生活方式或缺乏负担得起的托儿服务。\n“由于劳动力短缺和其他措施(例如对顾客的口罩要求)对现有员工提出了具有挑战性的需求,工人继续离开零售和餐饮业。\n\n大众汽车CEO请来马斯克发表视频讲话 强调需要迅速转向电动汽车\n大众汽车首席执行官赫伯特·迪斯 (Herbert Diess)请来马斯克作为“惊喜嘉宾”,通过视频通话向200名大众汽车高管发表讲话,希望激励大众汽车的高层更快地转向电动汽车。\n据悉,当被迪斯问及为什么特斯拉比竞争对手更灵活时,马斯克说这归结为他的管理风格,他首先是一名工程师,对供应链、物流和生产有眼光。\n在领英上的一篇帖子中,迪斯补充说,他邀请马斯克作为“惊喜嘉宾”来表达大众需要更快的决策和更少的官僚作风,以实现他所谓的大众历史上最大的转型。\n“很高兴听到即使是我们最强大的竞争对手也认为,如果我们全力推动转型,我们将在转型中取得成功,”迪斯说。\n\n特斯拉开始向客户交付更新的 Model X\n特斯拉于2021年初交付了重新设计的特斯拉Model S内饰,现在终于轮到Model X买家了。据Electrek和 TMC 论坛成员Sunnyvaletree报告称,特斯拉已经开始向客户交付修改后的Model X,这有效地将电动跨界车带入了现代时代,前面有一个横向触摸屏显示器,后面的显示器更小,整体内部质量的改进更适合近94000美元的汽车。\n此前活动中展示的电动汽车是六人座,目前尚不清楚这是否是唯一先发货的配置。据悉,特斯拉弗里蒙特工厂附近似乎有Model X Plaid在行驶。\n对于那些想要体验Model X的空间和奢华而不是“节俭”的Model Y的买家来说,此次交付是个好消息。 然而,它们也强调了目前汽车行业的芯片短缺现状对特斯拉生产的巨大影响。\n\n安联首席经济顾问El-Erian:投资者应该为更大的市场波动做好准备\n安联集团首席经济顾问Mohamed El-Erian表示,如果美联储撤回由新冠疫情引发的刺激措施,投资者应该为市场波动加剧做好准备。\nEl-Erian称:“我有点担心,我们一直生活在一个低波动、一切都在上升的美好世界,可能会随着高波动而停止。”\n他说,虽然很大程度上取决于行为变化,但美联储“应该放松对金属货币刺激的控制”。\n他表示:“如果我是一名投资者,我会意识到,多亏了美联储,我正在驾驭一股巨大的流动性浪潮,但我会记住,这股浪潮往往会在某个时候破裂,因此我会非常关注。”\n\n英国央行行长:必须对通货膨胀采取行动\n英国央行行长安德鲁·贝利(Andrew Bailey)采取行动强化提高利率的理由,称央行“必须采取行动”遏制通胀,并警告说,能源成本上升意味着价格压力将持续。\n贝利表示,尽管各国央行没有应对供应中断的工具,他仍然认为近期通胀加速将是暂时的,但官员们需要寻求防止更高的通胀预期变得根深蒂固。\n他说,能源价格上涨意味着通货膨胀“将持续更长时间,因此,它当然会在年度数据中持续更长时间。”“这给央行带来了对隐含预期的恐惧和担忧。这就是为什么我们英格兰银行发出信号,这是另一个信号,我们必须采取行动。但当然,这一行动是在我们的货币政策会议上产生的。”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":778,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":825747432,"gmtCreate":1634259449261,"gmtModify":1634274403890,"author":{"id":"4087523982151170","authorId":"4087523982151170","name":"Fayedea","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9d26a7d632140dba3255747fafc07d3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087523982151170","idStr":"4087523982151170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest","listText":"Latest","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/825747432","repostId":"1158193238","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":770,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":825744208,"gmtCreate":1634259408254,"gmtModify":1634259408254,"author":{"id":"4087523982151170","authorId":"4087523982151170","name":"Fayedea","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9d26a7d632140dba3255747fafc07d3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087523982151170","idStr":"4087523982151170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest","listText":"Latest","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/825744208","repostId":"1158193238","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":791,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":825781873,"gmtCreate":1634257822602,"gmtModify":1634274403583,"author":{"id":"4087523982151170","authorId":"4087523982151170","name":"Fayedea","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9d26a7d632140dba3255747fafc07d3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087523982151170","idStr":"4087523982151170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest","listText":"Latest","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/825781873","repostId":"1192406520","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1192406520","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1634223563,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1192406520?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-14 22:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Cannabis stocks jumped in morning trading<blockquote>大麻股早盘上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1192406520","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Cannabis stocks jumped in morning trading.Canopy Growth,OrganiGram,Aurora Cannabis,Tilray,Cronos and","content":"<p>Cannabis stocks jumped in morning trading.Canopy Growth,OrganiGram,Aurora Cannabis,Tilray,Cronos and Sundial climbed between 3% and 8%.</p><p><blockquote>大麻股在早盘交易中上涨。Canopy Growth、OrganiGram、Aurora Cannabis、Tilray、Cronos和Sundial上涨3%至8%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/194ca126574903154d81ddf44c5f7fc6\" tg-width=\"414\" tg-height=\"415\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Canada's Canopy Growth Cor said on Thursday it would buy weed gummies maker Wana Brands for $297.5 million, as the world's biggest pot producer looks to expand in the U.S. cannabis market.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大Canopy Growth Cor周四表示,将以2.975亿美元收购杂草软糖制造商Wana Brands,这家全球最大的大麻生产商希望扩大美国大麻市场。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Cannabis stocks jumped in morning trading<blockquote>大麻股早盘上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style 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#7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCannabis stocks jumped in morning trading<blockquote>大麻股早盘上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-10-14 22:59</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Cannabis stocks jumped in morning trading.Canopy Growth,OrganiGram,Aurora Cannabis,Tilray,Cronos and Sundial climbed between 3% and 8%.</p><p><blockquote>大麻股在早盘交易中上涨。Canopy Growth、OrganiGram、Aurora Cannabis、Tilray、Cronos和Sundial上涨3%至8%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/194ca126574903154d81ddf44c5f7fc6\" tg-width=\"414\" tg-height=\"415\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Canada's Canopy Growth Cor said on Thursday it would buy weed gummies maker Wana Brands for $297.5 million, as the world's biggest pot producer looks to expand in the U.S. cannabis market.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大Canopy Growth Cor周四表示,将以2.975亿美元收购杂草软糖制造商Wana Brands,这家全球最大的大麻生产商希望扩大美国大麻市场。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CGC":"Canopy Growth Corporation"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1192406520","content_text":"Cannabis stocks jumped in morning trading.Canopy Growth,OrganiGram,Aurora Cannabis,Tilray,Cronos and Sundial climbed between 3% and 8%.\n\nCanada's Canopy Growth Cor said on Thursday it would buy weed gummies maker Wana Brands for $297.5 million, as the world's biggest pot producer looks to expand in the U.S. cannabis market.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CGC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":755,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":825789589,"gmtCreate":1634257777402,"gmtModify":1634274403571,"author":{"id":"4087523982151170","authorId":"4087523982151170","name":"Fayedea","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9d26a7d632140dba3255747fafc07d3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087523982151170","idStr":"4087523982151170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest","listText":"Latest","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/825789589","repostId":"2175118949","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1153,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":825789351,"gmtCreate":1634257765121,"gmtModify":1634274406427,"author":{"id":"4087523982151170","authorId":"4087523982151170","name":"Fayedea","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9d26a7d632140dba3255747fafc07d3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087523982151170","idStr":"4087523982151170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest","listText":"Latest","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/825789351","repostId":"2175118949","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":923,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":825717430,"gmtCreate":1634257739681,"gmtModify":1634274406389,"author":{"id":"4087523982151170","authorId":"4087523982151170","name":"Fayedea","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9d26a7d632140dba3255747fafc07d3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087523982151170","idStr":"4087523982151170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/825717430","repostId":"2175118949","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1295,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":825719130,"gmtCreate":1634257506472,"gmtModify":1634274403489,"author":{"id":"4087523982151170","authorId":"4087523982151170","name":"Fayedea","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9d26a7d632140dba3255747fafc07d3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4087523982151170","idStr":"4087523982151170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍 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market with high share ","listText":"Good market with high share ","text":"Good market with high share","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":10,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/142397210","repostId":"1119839711","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119839711","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626126339,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1119839711?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-13 05:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Dow narrowly misses first close at 35,000 but all 3 stock indexes log back-to-back record finishes ahead of bank earnings<blockquote>道琼斯指数首次收于35,000点,但所有3个股指均在银行财报公布前连续创下历史新高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119839711","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Dow ends just shy of 35,000 milestone.\n\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 index and Nasdaq C","content":"<p> <b>Dow ends just shy of 35,000 milestone.</b> The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 index and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> Composite on Monday advanced to back-to-back record finishes, starting the week the way the ended last week.</p><p><blockquote><b>道琼斯指数收盘略低于35,000点的里程碑。</b>道琼斯工业平均指数、标普500指数和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>周一综合指数连续创下纪录,以上周结束的方式开始了本周。</blockquote></p><p> The record finish comes as investors await semiannual testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> beginning Wednesday and a batch of economic reports throughout the week, the unofficial start of corporate quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>创纪录的收官之际,投资者正在等待美联储主席杰罗姆的半年度证词<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>从周三开始,一批经济报告贯穿整个星期,企业季度业绩的非正式开始。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How did stock benchmarks end?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股票基准是如何结束的?</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>The Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+0.36%rose 126.02 points, or 0.4%, to end at a record 34,996.18.</li> <li>S&P 500 indexSPX,+0.35%added 15.08 points, or 0.4%, closing at a record 4,384.63, after touching an intraday high at 4,386.68.</li> <li>Nasdaq Composite IndexCOMP,+0.21%advanced 31.32 points, or 0.2%, finishing at a record 14,733.24, after establishing an intraday all-time high at 14,761.08.</li> </ul> On Friday, the Dow and S&P 500 finished the session at record highs, booking weekly gains of about 0.2% and 0.4%, respectively. The Nasdaq Composite finished the week at an all-time high with a 0.4% weekly gain.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨126.02点,涨幅0.4%,收于创纪录的34,996.18点。</li><li>标普500指数SPX,+0.35%上涨15.08点,涨幅0.4%,收于创纪录的4,384.63点,此前触及盘中高点4,386.68点。</li><li>纳斯达克综合指数COMP,+0.21%上涨31.32点,即0.2%,收于创纪录的14,733.24点,此前盘中创下历史新高14,761.08点。</li></ul>周五,道琼斯指数和标普500指数收于历史新高,周涨幅分别约为0.2%和0.4%。纳斯达克综合指数本周收盘创下历史新高,周涨幅为0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What drove the market?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>是什么推动了市场?</b></blockquote></p><p> Major stock indexes rose to back-to-back closing records on Monday. The advance came ahead of a number of key events that could serve as catalysts later in the week, including the unofficial start of earnings season, which<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a> & Co</b>.JPM,+1.43%will kick off Tuesday, Powell’s testimony on Capitol <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HIL\">Hill</a>, and fresh readings on inflation.</p><p><blockquote>周一,主要股指连续上涨至收盘纪录。此次上涨发生在本周晚些时候可能成为催化剂的一些关键事件之前,包括财报季的非正式开始,<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>&Co</b>鲍威尔将于周二在国会大厦作证,摩根大通+1.43%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HIL\">山丘</a>,以及有关通货膨胀的最新读数。</blockquote></p><p> “People are thinking earnings are going to be strong and that may propel the market higher,” said John Carey, director of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">Equity</a> Income at Amundi U.S., adding that, for now, earnings have overshadowed uncertainty in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">Washington</a> over planned infrastructure spending and potentially higher corporate taxes.</p><p><blockquote>“人们认为盈利将会强劲,这可能会推动市场走高,”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">公平</a>Amundi U.S.的收入,并补充说,目前,盈利已经掩盖了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">华盛顿州</a>超过计划的基础设施支出和可能更高的公司税。</blockquote></p><p> “Most people seem to be focused on the strength of the economy and the possibility of better earnings to support stock prices, which are definitely at high levels,” Carey told MarketWatch.</p><p><blockquote>凯里对MarketWatch表示:“大多数人似乎都关注经济实力以及更好的盈利来支撑股价的可能性,而股价肯定处于高位。”</blockquote></p><p> Equity markets experienced a bout of turbulence last week before ending with a flourish, prompted partly by a drop in Treasury yields. Lower-bound rates for government debt had raised questions about the outlook for the U.S. economy in the recovery from the pandemic. The spread of the delta variant of COVID-19 has emerged as a concern, but so has the lofty valuations assigned to some segments of the market.</p><p><blockquote>股市上周经历了一轮动荡,随后以繁荣告终,部分原因是美国国债收益率下降。政府债务利率的下调引发了人们对美国经济从疫情复苏的前景的质疑。COVID-19德尔塔变异毒株的蔓延已成为一个令人担忧的问题,但某些细分市场的高估值也是一个令人担忧的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Questions about the Fed’s monetary policy in the face of growing evidence of percolating inflation also have been blamed for some of the rocky trading.</p><p><blockquote>面对越来越多的通胀渗透证据,人们对美联储货币政策的质疑也被指责为部分交易不稳定的原因。</blockquote></p><p> Yields for the 10-yearTMUBMUSD10Y,1.365%edged up less than a basis point to 1.362% on Monday, while the 30-year Treasury yieldsTMUBMUSD30Y,2.000%advanced by 1.2 basis points to 1.993%, near lows last seen in February.</p><p><blockquote>周一,10年期国债收益率MUBMUSD10Y, 1.365%小幅上涨不到一个基点至1.362%,而30年期国债收益率MUBMUSD30Y, 2.000%上涨1.2个基点至1.993%,接近2月份的低点。</blockquote></p><p> Federal Reserve Bank ofNew York President John <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">Williams</a> told reportersMonday that conditions for scaling back its $120 billion a month bond-buying stimulus program have yet to be met.</p><p><blockquote>纽约联邦储备银行行长约翰<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">威廉姆斯</a>周一对记者表示,缩减每月1200亿美元债券购买刺激计划的条件尚未满足。</blockquote></p><p> Although inflation and peak growth concerns continue to percolate andworry U.S. households, some strategists said those concerns may be “over-hyped” for markets.</p><p><blockquote>尽管通胀和增长峰值的担忧继续渗透并令美国家庭担忧,但一些策略师表示,这些担忧对市场来说可能被“过度炒作”。</blockquote></p><p> “Both the previous inflation concerns and the current peak growth concerns are likely over-extrapolated reflections of near-term trends that will not persist,” Glenmede’s team led by Jason Pride and Michael Reynolds, wrote in a Monday note.</p><p><blockquote>由杰森·普莱德和迈克尔·雷诺兹领导的格伦梅德团队在周一的一份报告中写道:“之前的通胀担忧和当前的增长峰值担忧都可能是对近期趋势的过度推断,不会持续下去。”</blockquote></p><p> “Markets may remain volatile as they attempt to adjust to the rapidly evolving information flow during the ongoing recovery from the pandemic,” but those factors “should not be disruptive of markets longer term.”</p><p><blockquote>“在从大流行中持续复苏的过程中,市场试图适应快速变化的信息流,可能会保持波动”,但这些因素“不应对市场造成长期破坏”。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> also have been keeping an eye on delta-driven COVID infections. The U.S. leads the world with a total of 33.85 million COVID cases and in deaths with 607,156. Dr. Anthony Fauci said on Monday thatboosters weren’t needed for now, but duringa Sunday CNN inview said it was “horrifying”to see conservatives cheer for low vaccination rates, blaming “ideological rigidity” for hobbling the fight against the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">投资者</a>也一直在关注delta驱动的COVID感染。美国以3385万例COVID病例和607156例死亡位居世界第一。安东尼·福奇博士周一表示,目前不需要加强剂,但周日CNN inview表示,看到保守派为低疫苗接种率欢呼是“令人震惊的”,并指责“意识形态僵化”阻碍了抗击疫情的斗争。</blockquote></p><p> “We have long warned that vaccinations would be unlikely to trigger a smooth transition to normalcy,” Ben May, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXM\">Oxford</a> Economics’ director of global macro research wrote Monday.</p><p><blockquote>“我们长期以来一直警告说,疫苗接种不太可能引发向正常状态的平稳过渡,”本·梅说,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXM\">牛津大学</a>经济学全球宏观研究总监周一写道。</blockquote></p><p> No key data were on deck Monday ahead of a busy week in economic reports, starting with a reading of consumer prices on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>在经济报告繁忙的一周之前,周一没有关键数据公布,首先是周二的消费者价格数据。</blockquote></p><p> Separately, investors also were focused on discussions among finance ministers from the G-20, who are trying to assess the potential implications of a proposal for a global minimum tax.</p><p><blockquote>另外,投资者还关注20国集团财长之间的讨论,他们正试图评估全球最低税提案的潜在影响。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “We need sustainable sources of revenue that do not rely on further taxing workers’ wages and exacerbating the economic disparities that we are all committed to reducing,” U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said in a speech to European Union countries about revamping the corporate tax code internationally.</p><p><blockquote>“我们需要可持续的收入来源,而不是依赖于进一步对工人工资征税和加剧我们都致力于缩小的经济差距,”美国财政部长珍妮特·耶伦在向欧盟国家发表的关于修改国际企业税法的讲话中表示。</blockquote></p><p> “We need to put an end to corporations shifting capital income to low tax jurisdictions, and to accounting gimmicks that allow them to avoid paying their fair share,” she said.</p><p><blockquote>她说:“我们需要制止企业将资本收入转移到低税收管辖区,以及让他们逃避支付公平份额的会计噱头。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Which companies were in focus?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>哪些公司成为焦点?</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a> Inc</b>.AVGO,+1.16%shares rose 1.2% Monday afterThe Wall Street Journal reportedthe chip and software company was in talks to buy SAS Institute Inc. in a deal that could value the smashup at $15 billion to $20 billion.</li> <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc</b>.AAPL,-0.42% shares fell 0.4% a day after a Delaware federal judgedismissed a Blix Inc. suit,saying it failed to demonstrate how Apple harmed competition in the mobile operating system market.</li> <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LB\">L Brands Inc</a></b>.LB,+4.16% said it’s separating into two publiclytraded businesses next month, with theVictoria’s Secret & Co.‘s underwear unit as “VSCO,” while the Bath & BodyWorks Inc. arm under the “BBWI” ticker, starting Aug. 3.</li> <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">GameStop</a> Inc</b>.GME,-1.04%shares shed 1% Monday after Ascendiant Capital Markets lifted its 12-month price target to $25 from $10, but still nowhere near the company’s $189.25 closing price Monday.</li> <li>Weber, the maker of outdoor grills,has filed to go public, nearly 50 years after it’s iconic dome-like grill was made. Shares are set to trade on the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a> Stock Exchange under the ticker WEBR.</li> <li>Shares of<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE.WS\">Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc</a>.</b> SPCEskid 17.3% Monday, it’s largest daily percent slump since March 16, 2020, a day after founder Richard Branson and five crewmates successfully flew into suborbital space on the company’s VSS <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNTY\">Unity</a> rocket-powered spaceplane.</li> <li><b>Couchbase Inc</b>. BASE, a provider of a database for enterprise applications, set terms for its initial public offering on Monday, with plans to offer 7 million shares, priced at $20 to $23 each. The company has applied to list on Nasdaq, under the ticker ‘BASE.’</li> <li>Shares of<b>Moderna Inc</b>. MRNArose 2.8% Monday after the company said it would supply 20 million doses of its COVID-19 vaccine to Argentina.</li> <li>Shares of<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SWI\">SolarWinds Corp</a>.</b> SWI were 1.8% lower Monday, even after the information technology infrastructure management software company provided an upbeat second-quarter revenue outlook.</li> </ul> <b>How did other assets trade?</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a>Inc</b>.AVGO,+1.16%据《华尔街日报》报道,这家芯片和软件公司正在就收购SAS Institute Inc.进行谈判,这笔交易的估值可能达到150亿至200亿美元,周一股价上涨1.2%。</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>Inc</b>特拉华联邦法官驳回了Blix Inc.的诉讼,称该诉讼未能证明苹果如何损害了移动操作系统市场的竞争,该公司股价一天下跌0.4%。</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LB\">L品牌公司</a></b>LB表示,从8月3日开始,该公司将分拆为两家上市公司,维多利亚的秘密(Victoria's Secret&Co.)的内衣部门将更名为“VSCO”,而Bath&BodyWorks Inc.的子公司将更名为“BBWI”。</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">游戏驿站</a>Inc</b>.GME,-1.04%周一,Ascendiant Capital Markets将其12个月目标价从10美元上调至25美元,但仍远未接近该公司周一189.25美元的收盘价。</li><li>户外烤架制造商韦伯(Weber)已申请上市,距其标志性的圆顶状烤架问世已近50年。股票将于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">纽约</a>证券交易所,股票代码为WEBR。</li><li>本公司之股份<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE.WS\">维珍银河控股公司</a>.</b>SPCEskid周一下跌17.3%,这是自2020年3月16日以来的最大单日跌幅,此前一天创始人理查德·布兰森(Richard Branson)和五名机组人员乘坐该公司的VSS成功飞入亚轨道空间<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNTY\">团结</a>火箭动力太空飞机。</li><li><b>沙发基地公司</b>企业应用数据库提供商.BASE周一设定了首次公开募股的条款,计划发行700万股,每股定价20至23美元。该公司已申请在纳斯达克上市,股票代码为“BASE”。</li><li>本公司之股份<b>现代公司</b>.MRNA周一上涨2.8%,此前该公司表示将向阿根廷供应2000万剂COVID-19疫苗。</li><li>本公司之股份<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SWI\">SolarWinds公司</a>.</b>尽管这家信息技术基础设施管理软件公司提供了乐观的第二季度收入前景,但SWI周一仍下跌1.8%。</li></ul><b>其他资产是如何交易的?</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>The ICE U.S. Dollar Index DXY, a measure of the currency against six major rivals, was up 0.1%.</li> <li>Oil futures closed lower Monday, with the U.S. benchmark CL00 CL.1,-0.51%down 0.6% settling at $74.10 a barrel. Gold GC00 settled 0.3% lower at $1,805.90 an ounce.</li> <li>In European equities, the Stoxx Europe 600 SXXP closed 0.7% higher, while London’s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.100.UK\">FTSE 100</a> UKX finished up 0.05% on Monday.</li> <li>In <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00662\">Asia</a>, the Shanghai Composite SHCOMP gained 0.7%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index HSI rose 0.6% on the session and Japan’s Nikkei 225 NIK rallied 2.3% on Monday.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>衡量美元兑六个主要竞争对手的ICE美元指数DXY上涨0.1%。</li><li>石油期货周一收低,美国基准Cl 00 Cl.1,-0.51%下跌0.6%,收于每桶74.10美元。黄金GC 00收跌0.3%,报每盎司1805.90美元。</li><li>欧洲股市方面,斯托克欧洲600指数收盘上涨0.7%,而伦敦股市收盘上涨0.7%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.100.UK\">富时100</a>UKX周一收盘上涨0.05%。</li><li>在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00662\">亚洲</a>周一,上证综指上涨0.7%,恒生指数恒生指数上涨0.6%,日经225指数上涨2.3%。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dow narrowly misses first close at 35,000 but all 3 stock indexes log back-to-back record finishes ahead of bank earnings<blockquote>道琼斯指数首次收于35,000点,但所有3个股指均在银行财报公布前连续创下历史新高</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDow narrowly misses first close at 35,000 but all 3 stock indexes log back-to-back record finishes ahead of bank earnings<blockquote>道琼斯指数首次收于35,000点,但所有3个股指均在银行财报公布前连续创下历史新高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-13 05:45</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p> <b>Dow ends just shy of 35,000 milestone.</b> The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 index and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> Composite on Monday advanced to back-to-back record finishes, starting the week the way the ended last week.</p><p><blockquote><b>道琼斯指数收盘略低于35,000点的里程碑。</b>道琼斯工业平均指数、标普500指数和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>周一综合指数连续创下纪录,以上周结束的方式开始了本周。</blockquote></p><p> The record finish comes as investors await semiannual testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> beginning Wednesday and a batch of economic reports throughout the week, the unofficial start of corporate quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>创纪录的收官之际,投资者正在等待美联储主席杰罗姆的半年度证词<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>从周三开始,一批经济报告贯穿整个星期,企业季度业绩的非正式开始。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How did stock benchmarks end?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股票基准是如何结束的?</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>The Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+0.36%rose 126.02 points, or 0.4%, to end at a record 34,996.18.</li> <li>S&P 500 indexSPX,+0.35%added 15.08 points, or 0.4%, closing at a record 4,384.63, after touching an intraday high at 4,386.68.</li> <li>Nasdaq Composite IndexCOMP,+0.21%advanced 31.32 points, or 0.2%, finishing at a record 14,733.24, after establishing an intraday all-time high at 14,761.08.</li> </ul> On Friday, the Dow and S&P 500 finished the session at record highs, booking weekly gains of about 0.2% and 0.4%, respectively. The Nasdaq Composite finished the week at an all-time high with a 0.4% weekly gain.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨126.02点,涨幅0.4%,收于创纪录的34,996.18点。</li><li>标普500指数SPX,+0.35%上涨15.08点,涨幅0.4%,收于创纪录的4,384.63点,此前触及盘中高点4,386.68点。</li><li>纳斯达克综合指数COMP,+0.21%上涨31.32点,即0.2%,收于创纪录的14,733.24点,此前盘中创下历史新高14,761.08点。</li></ul>周五,道琼斯指数和标普500指数收于历史新高,周涨幅分别约为0.2%和0.4%。纳斯达克综合指数本周收盘创下历史新高,周涨幅为0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What drove the market?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>是什么推动了市场?</b></blockquote></p><p> Major stock indexes rose to back-to-back closing records on Monday. The advance came ahead of a number of key events that could serve as catalysts later in the week, including the unofficial start of earnings season, which<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a> & Co</b>.JPM,+1.43%will kick off Tuesday, Powell’s testimony on Capitol <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HIL\">Hill</a>, and fresh readings on inflation.</p><p><blockquote>周一,主要股指连续上涨至收盘纪录。此次上涨发生在本周晚些时候可能成为催化剂的一些关键事件之前,包括财报季的非正式开始,<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>&Co</b>鲍威尔将于周二在国会大厦作证,摩根大通+1.43%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HIL\">山丘</a>,以及有关通货膨胀的最新读数。</blockquote></p><p> “People are thinking earnings are going to be strong and that may propel the market higher,” said John Carey, director of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">Equity</a> Income at Amundi U.S., adding that, for now, earnings have overshadowed uncertainty in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">Washington</a> over planned infrastructure spending and potentially higher corporate taxes.</p><p><blockquote>“人们认为盈利将会强劲,这可能会推动市场走高,”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">公平</a>Amundi U.S.的收入,并补充说,目前,盈利已经掩盖了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">华盛顿州</a>超过计划的基础设施支出和可能更高的公司税。</blockquote></p><p> “Most people seem to be focused on the strength of the economy and the possibility of better earnings to support stock prices, which are definitely at high levels,” Carey told MarketWatch.</p><p><blockquote>凯里对MarketWatch表示:“大多数人似乎都关注经济实力以及更好的盈利来支撑股价的可能性,而股价肯定处于高位。”</blockquote></p><p> Equity markets experienced a bout of turbulence last week before ending with a flourish, prompted partly by a drop in Treasury yields. Lower-bound rates for government debt had raised questions about the outlook for the U.S. economy in the recovery from the pandemic. The spread of the delta variant of COVID-19 has emerged as a concern, but so has the lofty valuations assigned to some segments of the market.</p><p><blockquote>股市上周经历了一轮动荡,随后以繁荣告终,部分原因是美国国债收益率下降。政府债务利率的下调引发了人们对美国经济从疫情复苏的前景的质疑。COVID-19德尔塔变异毒株的蔓延已成为一个令人担忧的问题,但某些细分市场的高估值也是一个令人担忧的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Questions about the Fed’s monetary policy in the face of growing evidence of percolating inflation also have been blamed for some of the rocky trading.</p><p><blockquote>面对越来越多的通胀渗透证据,人们对美联储货币政策的质疑也被指责为部分交易不稳定的原因。</blockquote></p><p> Yields for the 10-yearTMUBMUSD10Y,1.365%edged up less than a basis point to 1.362% on Monday, while the 30-year Treasury yieldsTMUBMUSD30Y,2.000%advanced by 1.2 basis points to 1.993%, near lows last seen in February.</p><p><blockquote>周一,10年期国债收益率MUBMUSD10Y, 1.365%小幅上涨不到一个基点至1.362%,而30年期国债收益率MUBMUSD30Y, 2.000%上涨1.2个基点至1.993%,接近2月份的低点。</blockquote></p><p> Federal Reserve Bank ofNew York President John <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">Williams</a> told reportersMonday that conditions for scaling back its $120 billion a month bond-buying stimulus program have yet to be met.</p><p><blockquote>纽约联邦储备银行行长约翰<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">威廉姆斯</a>周一对记者表示,缩减每月1200亿美元债券购买刺激计划的条件尚未满足。</blockquote></p><p> Although inflation and peak growth concerns continue to percolate andworry U.S. households, some strategists said those concerns may be “over-hyped” for markets.</p><p><blockquote>尽管通胀和增长峰值的担忧继续渗透并令美国家庭担忧,但一些策略师表示,这些担忧对市场来说可能被“过度炒作”。</blockquote></p><p> “Both the previous inflation concerns and the current peak growth concerns are likely over-extrapolated reflections of near-term trends that will not persist,” Glenmede’s team led by Jason Pride and Michael Reynolds, wrote in a Monday note.</p><p><blockquote>由杰森·普莱德和迈克尔·雷诺兹领导的格伦梅德团队在周一的一份报告中写道:“之前的通胀担忧和当前的增长峰值担忧都可能是对近期趋势的过度推断,不会持续下去。”</blockquote></p><p> “Markets may remain volatile as they attempt to adjust to the rapidly evolving information flow during the ongoing recovery from the pandemic,” but those factors “should not be disruptive of markets longer term.”</p><p><blockquote>“在从大流行中持续复苏的过程中,市场试图适应快速变化的信息流,可能会保持波动”,但这些因素“不应对市场造成长期破坏”。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> also have been keeping an eye on delta-driven COVID infections. The U.S. leads the world with a total of 33.85 million COVID cases and in deaths with 607,156. Dr. Anthony Fauci said on Monday thatboosters weren’t needed for now, but duringa Sunday CNN inview said it was “horrifying”to see conservatives cheer for low vaccination rates, blaming “ideological rigidity” for hobbling the fight against the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">投资者</a>也一直在关注delta驱动的COVID感染。美国以3385万例COVID病例和607156例死亡位居世界第一。安东尼·福奇博士周一表示,目前不需要加强剂,但周日CNN inview表示,看到保守派为低疫苗接种率欢呼是“令人震惊的”,并指责“意识形态僵化”阻碍了抗击疫情的斗争。</blockquote></p><p> “We have long warned that vaccinations would be unlikely to trigger a smooth transition to normalcy,” Ben May, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXM\">Oxford</a> Economics’ director of global macro research wrote Monday.</p><p><blockquote>“我们长期以来一直警告说,疫苗接种不太可能引发向正常状态的平稳过渡,”本·梅说,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXM\">牛津大学</a>经济学全球宏观研究总监周一写道。</blockquote></p><p> No key data were on deck Monday ahead of a busy week in economic reports, starting with a reading of consumer prices on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>在经济报告繁忙的一周之前,周一没有关键数据公布,首先是周二的消费者价格数据。</blockquote></p><p> Separately, investors also were focused on discussions among finance ministers from the G-20, who are trying to assess the potential implications of a proposal for a global minimum tax.</p><p><blockquote>另外,投资者还关注20国集团财长之间的讨论,他们正试图评估全球最低税提案的潜在影响。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “We need sustainable sources of revenue that do not rely on further taxing workers’ wages and exacerbating the economic disparities that we are all committed to reducing,” U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said in a speech to European Union countries about revamping the corporate tax code internationally.</p><p><blockquote>“我们需要可持续的收入来源,而不是依赖于进一步对工人工资征税和加剧我们都致力于缩小的经济差距,”美国财政部长珍妮特·耶伦在向欧盟国家发表的关于修改国际企业税法的讲话中表示。</blockquote></p><p> “We need to put an end to corporations shifting capital income to low tax jurisdictions, and to accounting gimmicks that allow them to avoid paying their fair share,” she said.</p><p><blockquote>她说:“我们需要制止企业将资本收入转移到低税收管辖区,以及让他们逃避支付公平份额的会计噱头。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Which companies were in focus?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>哪些公司成为焦点?</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a> Inc</b>.AVGO,+1.16%shares rose 1.2% Monday afterThe Wall Street Journal reportedthe chip and software company was in talks to buy SAS Institute Inc. in a deal that could value the smashup at $15 billion to $20 billion.</li> <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc</b>.AAPL,-0.42% shares fell 0.4% a day after a Delaware federal judgedismissed a Blix Inc. suit,saying it failed to demonstrate how Apple harmed competition in the mobile operating system market.</li> <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LB\">L Brands Inc</a></b>.LB,+4.16% said it’s separating into two publiclytraded businesses next month, with theVictoria’s Secret & Co.‘s underwear unit as “VSCO,” while the Bath & BodyWorks Inc. arm under the “BBWI” ticker, starting Aug. 3.</li> <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">GameStop</a> Inc</b>.GME,-1.04%shares shed 1% Monday after Ascendiant Capital Markets lifted its 12-month price target to $25 from $10, but still nowhere near the company’s $189.25 closing price Monday.</li> <li>Weber, the maker of outdoor grills,has filed to go public, nearly 50 years after it’s iconic dome-like grill was made. Shares are set to trade on the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a> Stock Exchange under the ticker WEBR.</li> <li>Shares of<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE.WS\">Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc</a>.</b> SPCEskid 17.3% Monday, it’s largest daily percent slump since March 16, 2020, a day after founder Richard Branson and five crewmates successfully flew into suborbital space on the company’s VSS <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNTY\">Unity</a> rocket-powered spaceplane.</li> <li><b>Couchbase Inc</b>. BASE, a provider of a database for enterprise applications, set terms for its initial public offering on Monday, with plans to offer 7 million shares, priced at $20 to $23 each. The company has applied to list on Nasdaq, under the ticker ‘BASE.’</li> <li>Shares of<b>Moderna Inc</b>. MRNArose 2.8% Monday after the company said it would supply 20 million doses of its COVID-19 vaccine to Argentina.</li> <li>Shares of<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SWI\">SolarWinds Corp</a>.</b> SWI were 1.8% lower Monday, even after the information technology infrastructure management software company provided an upbeat second-quarter revenue outlook.</li> </ul> <b>How did other assets trade?</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a>Inc</b>.AVGO,+1.16%据《华尔街日报》报道,这家芯片和软件公司正在就收购SAS Institute Inc.进行谈判,这笔交易的估值可能达到150亿至200亿美元,周一股价上涨1.2%。</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>Inc</b>特拉华联邦法官驳回了Blix Inc.的诉讼,称该诉讼未能证明苹果如何损害了移动操作系统市场的竞争,该公司股价一天下跌0.4%。</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LB\">L品牌公司</a></b>LB表示,从8月3日开始,该公司将分拆为两家上市公司,维多利亚的秘密(Victoria's Secret&Co.)的内衣部门将更名为“VSCO”,而Bath&BodyWorks Inc.的子公司将更名为“BBWI”。</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">游戏驿站</a>Inc</b>.GME,-1.04%周一,Ascendiant Capital Markets将其12个月目标价从10美元上调至25美元,但仍远未接近该公司周一189.25美元的收盘价。</li><li>户外烤架制造商韦伯(Weber)已申请上市,距其标志性的圆顶状烤架问世已近50年。股票将于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">纽约</a>证券交易所,股票代码为WEBR。</li><li>本公司之股份<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE.WS\">维珍银河控股公司</a>.</b>SPCEskid周一下跌17.3%,这是自2020年3月16日以来的最大单日跌幅,此前一天创始人理查德·布兰森(Richard Branson)和五名机组人员乘坐该公司的VSS成功飞入亚轨道空间<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNTY\">团结</a>火箭动力太空飞机。</li><li><b>沙发基地公司</b>企业应用数据库提供商.BASE周一设定了首次公开募股的条款,计划发行700万股,每股定价20至23美元。该公司已申请在纳斯达克上市,股票代码为“BASE”。</li><li>本公司之股份<b>现代公司</b>.MRNA周一上涨2.8%,此前该公司表示将向阿根廷供应2000万剂COVID-19疫苗。</li><li>本公司之股份<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SWI\">SolarWinds公司</a>.</b>尽管这家信息技术基础设施管理软件公司提供了乐观的第二季度收入前景,但SWI周一仍下跌1.8%。</li></ul><b>其他资产是如何交易的?</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>The ICE U.S. Dollar Index DXY, a measure of the currency against six major rivals, was up 0.1%.</li> <li>Oil futures closed lower Monday, with the U.S. benchmark CL00 CL.1,-0.51%down 0.6% settling at $74.10 a barrel. Gold GC00 settled 0.3% lower at $1,805.90 an ounce.</li> <li>In European equities, the Stoxx Europe 600 SXXP closed 0.7% higher, while London’s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.100.UK\">FTSE 100</a> UKX finished up 0.05% on Monday.</li> <li>In <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00662\">Asia</a>, the Shanghai Composite SHCOMP gained 0.7%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index HSI rose 0.6% on the session and Japan’s Nikkei 225 NIK rallied 2.3% on Monday.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>衡量美元兑六个主要竞争对手的ICE美元指数DXY上涨0.1%。</li><li>石油期货周一收低,美国基准Cl 00 Cl.1,-0.51%下跌0.6%,收于每桶74.10美元。黄金GC 00收跌0.3%,报每盎司1805.90美元。</li><li>欧洲股市方面,斯托克欧洲600指数收盘上涨0.7%,而伦敦股市收盘上涨0.7%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.100.UK\">富时100</a>UKX周一收盘上涨0.05%。</li><li>在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00662\">亚洲</a>周一,上证综指上涨0.7%,恒生指数恒生指数上涨0.6%,日经225指数上涨2.3%。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dow-set-for-pullback-from-records-tech-stocks-seen-buoyant-as-investors-await-earnings-powell-and-fresh-inflation-data-11626089989?mod=hp_LATEST\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dow-set-for-pullback-from-records-tech-stocks-seen-buoyant-as-investors-await-earnings-powell-and-fresh-inflation-data-11626089989?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119839711","content_text":"Dow ends just shy of 35,000 milestone.\n\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 index and Nasdaq Composite on Monday advanced to back-to-back record finishes, starting the week the way the ended last week.\nThe record finish comes as investors await semiannual testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell beginning Wednesday and a batch of economic reports throughout the week, the unofficial start of corporate quarterly results.\nHow did stock benchmarks end?\n\nThe Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+0.36%rose 126.02 points, or 0.4%, to end at a record 34,996.18.\nS&P 500 indexSPX,+0.35%added 15.08 points, or 0.4%, closing at a record 4,384.63, after touching an intraday high at 4,386.68.\nNasdaq Composite IndexCOMP,+0.21%advanced 31.32 points, or 0.2%, finishing at a record 14,733.24, after establishing an intraday all-time high at 14,761.08.\n\nOn Friday, the Dow and S&P 500 finished the session at record highs, booking weekly gains of about 0.2% and 0.4%, respectively. The Nasdaq Composite finished the week at an all-time high with a 0.4% weekly gain.\nWhat drove the market?\nMajor stock indexes rose to back-to-back closing records on Monday. The advance came ahead of a number of key events that could serve as catalysts later in the week, including the unofficial start of earnings season, whichJPMorgan Chase & Co.JPM,+1.43%will kick off Tuesday, Powell’s testimony on Capitol Hill, and fresh readings on inflation.\n“People are thinking earnings are going to be strong and that may propel the market higher,” said John Carey, director of Equity Income at Amundi U.S., adding that, for now, earnings have overshadowed uncertainty in Washington over planned infrastructure spending and potentially higher corporate taxes.\n“Most people seem to be focused on the strength of the economy and the possibility of better earnings to support stock prices, which are definitely at high levels,” Carey told MarketWatch.\nEquity markets experienced a bout of turbulence last week before ending with a flourish, prompted partly by a drop in Treasury yields. Lower-bound rates for government debt had raised questions about the outlook for the U.S. economy in the recovery from the pandemic. The spread of the delta variant of COVID-19 has emerged as a concern, but so has the lofty valuations assigned to some segments of the market.\nQuestions about the Fed’s monetary policy in the face of growing evidence of percolating inflation also have been blamed for some of the rocky trading.\nYields for the 10-yearTMUBMUSD10Y,1.365%edged up less than a basis point to 1.362% on Monday, while the 30-year Treasury yieldsTMUBMUSD30Y,2.000%advanced by 1.2 basis points to 1.993%, near lows last seen in February.\nFederal Reserve Bank ofNew York President John Williams told reportersMonday that conditions for scaling back its $120 billion a month bond-buying stimulus program have yet to be met.\nAlthough inflation and peak growth concerns continue to percolate andworry U.S. households, some strategists said those concerns may be “over-hyped” for markets.\n“Both the previous inflation concerns and the current peak growth concerns are likely over-extrapolated reflections of near-term trends that will not persist,” Glenmede’s team led by Jason Pride and Michael Reynolds, wrote in a Monday note.\n“Markets may remain volatile as they attempt to adjust to the rapidly evolving information flow during the ongoing recovery from the pandemic,” but those factors “should not be disruptive of markets longer term.”\nInvestors also have been keeping an eye on delta-driven COVID infections. The U.S. leads the world with a total of 33.85 million COVID cases and in deaths with 607,156. Dr. Anthony Fauci said on Monday thatboosters weren’t needed for now, but duringa Sunday CNN inview said it was “horrifying”to see conservatives cheer for low vaccination rates, blaming “ideological rigidity” for hobbling the fight against the pandemic.\n“We have long warned that vaccinations would be unlikely to trigger a smooth transition to normalcy,” Ben May, Oxford Economics’ director of global macro research wrote Monday.\nNo key data were on deck Monday ahead of a busy week in economic reports, starting with a reading of consumer prices on Tuesday.\nSeparately, investors also were focused on discussions among finance ministers from the G-20, who are trying to assess the potential implications of a proposal for a global minimum tax.\n“We need sustainable sources of revenue that do not rely on further taxing workers’ wages and exacerbating the economic disparities that we are all committed to reducing,” U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said in a speech to European Union countries about revamping the corporate tax code internationally.\n“We need to put an end to corporations shifting capital income to low tax jurisdictions, and to accounting gimmicks that allow them to avoid paying their fair share,” she said.\nWhich companies were in focus?\n\nBroadcom Inc.AVGO,+1.16%shares rose 1.2% Monday afterThe Wall Street Journal reportedthe chip and software company was in talks to buy SAS Institute Inc. in a deal that could value the smashup at $15 billion to $20 billion.\nApple Inc.AAPL,-0.42% shares fell 0.4% a day after a Delaware federal judgedismissed a Blix Inc. suit,saying it failed to demonstrate how Apple harmed competition in the mobile operating system market.\nL Brands Inc.LB,+4.16% said it’s separating into two publiclytraded businesses next month, with theVictoria’s Secret & Co.‘s underwear unit as “VSCO,” while the Bath & BodyWorks Inc. arm under the “BBWI” ticker, starting Aug. 3.\nGameStop Inc.GME,-1.04%shares shed 1% Monday after Ascendiant Capital Markets lifted its 12-month price target to $25 from $10, but still nowhere near the company’s $189.25 closing price Monday.\nWeber, the maker of outdoor grills,has filed to go public, nearly 50 years after it’s iconic dome-like grill was made. Shares are set to trade on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker WEBR.\nShares ofVirgin Galactic Holdings Inc. SPCEskid 17.3% Monday, it’s largest daily percent slump since March 16, 2020, a day after founder Richard Branson and five crewmates successfully flew into suborbital space on the company’s VSS Unity rocket-powered spaceplane.\nCouchbase Inc. BASE, a provider of a database for enterprise applications, set terms for its initial public offering on Monday, with plans to offer 7 million shares, priced at $20 to $23 each. The company has applied to list on Nasdaq, under the ticker ‘BASE.’\nShares ofModerna Inc. MRNArose 2.8% Monday after the company said it would supply 20 million doses of its COVID-19 vaccine to Argentina.\nShares ofSolarWinds Corp. SWI were 1.8% lower Monday, even after the information technology infrastructure management software company provided an upbeat second-quarter revenue outlook.\n\nHow did other assets trade?\n\nThe ICE U.S. Dollar Index DXY, a measure of the currency against six major rivals, was up 0.1%.\nOil futures closed lower Monday, with the U.S. benchmark CL00 CL.1,-0.51%down 0.6% settling at $74.10 a barrel. Gold GC00 settled 0.3% lower at $1,805.90 an ounce.\nIn European equities, the Stoxx Europe 600 SXXP closed 0.7% higher, while London’s FTSE 100 UKX finished up 0.05% on Monday.\nIn Asia, the Shanghai Composite SHCOMP gained 0.7%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index HSI rose 0.6% on the session and Japan’s Nikkei 225 NIK rallied 2.3% on Monday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":655,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":173835466,"gmtCreate":1626652296055,"gmtModify":1633925315640,"author":{"id":"4087523982151170","authorId":"4087523982151170","name":"Fayedea","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9d26a7d632140dba3255747fafc07d3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087523982151170","authorIdStr":"4087523982151170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great!","listText":"Great!","text":"Great!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":11,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/173835466","repostId":"1111084715","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":519,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":155095918,"gmtCreate":1625362389434,"gmtModify":1633941309076,"author":{"id":"4087523982151170","authorId":"4087523982151170","name":"Fayedea","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9d26a7d632140dba3255747fafc07d3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087523982151170","authorIdStr":"4087523982151170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good share but high price ","listText":"Good share but high price ","text":"Good share but high price","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":8,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/155095918","repostId":"1107675312","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1107675312","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625276956,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1107675312?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-03 09:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla Stock Gets No Help From Record Deliveries. Here’s What Wall Street Thinks.<blockquote>创纪录的交付量对特斯拉股票没有任何帮助。这是华尔街的想法。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1107675312","media":"Barron's","summary":"Tesla posted record deliveries for the second quarter,but investors shrugged.The latest numberswere closeto Wall Street estimates, and mark the fourth straight quarter of record deliveries for the rapidly growing EV pioneer. Still, Tesla bulls on Wall Street remained enthused.Tesla delivered 201,250 cars in the second quarter, but its stock was down about 0.3% in recent trading, after bobbing up and down Friday. TheS&P 500andDow Jones Industrial Averagewere up about 0.6% and 0.4% respectively.Ba","content":"<p>Tesla posted record deliveries for the second quarter,but investors shrugged.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉第二季度交付量创历史新高,但投资者对此不屑一顾。</blockquote></p><p> The latest numberswere closeto Wall Street estimates, and mark the fourth straight quarter of record deliveries for the rapidly growing EV pioneer. Still, Tesla bulls on Wall Street remained enthused.</p><p><blockquote>最新数据接近华尔街的预期,标志着这家快速增长的电动汽车先驱连续第四个季度创纪录的交付量。尽管如此,华尔街的特斯拉多头依然热情高涨。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivered 201,250 cars in the second quarter, but its stock was down about 0.3% in recent trading, after bobbing up and down Friday. TheS&P 500andDow Jones Industrial Averagewere up about 0.6% and 0.4% respectively.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉第二季度交付了201,250辆汽车,但其股价在周五上下波动后,在近期交易中下跌了约0.3%。标准普尔500指数和道琼斯工业平均指数分别上涨约0.6%和0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> RBC analystJoseph Spakwrote deliveries were a little better than the Wall Street consensus, adding “encouragingly, production outpaced deliveries.” That shows Spak that Tesla (ticker: TSLA) is successfully managing the through semiconductor supply constraints.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大皇家银行分析师约瑟夫·斯帕克写道,交付量略好于华尔街的共识,并补充说“令人鼓舞的是,产量超过了交付量”。这向Spak表明特斯拉(股票代码:TSLA)正在成功管理半导体供应限制。</blockquote></p><p> A globalsemiconductor shortagehas affected the entire auto industry. Benchmark analystMike Ward, for instance, believes it reduced North American auto production by about 1 million light vehicles in the first half of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>全球半导体短缺影响了整个汽车行业。例如,Benchmark分析师迈克·沃德(Mike Ward)认为,2021年上半年北美汽车产量减少了约100万辆轻型汽车。</blockquote></p><p> Spak rates Tesla shares Hold and has a $725 price target for shares. Ward covers auto stocks, but doesn’t cover Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>Spak将特斯拉股票评级为持有,目标价为725美元。沃德涵盖汽车股,但不涵盖特斯拉。</blockquote></p><p> Baird analystBen Kallowrote Tesla’s results showed “operational prowess,” as the company managed to navigate the chip shortage and produce another quarterly delivery record. “We are increasingly confident in our [second half] delivery assumptions,” he writes. “We estimate that underlying demand for Tesla products remains strong with S/X, Cybertruck, and semi deliveries remaining tailwinds.”</p><p><blockquote>Baird分析师Ben Kallow写道,特斯拉的业绩显示了“运营实力”,该公司成功应对了芯片短缺问题,并创造了另一个季度交付记录。“我们对[下半年]交付假设越来越有信心,”他写道。“我们估计,对特斯拉产品的潜在需求仍然强劲,S/X、Cybertruck和semi的交付仍然是推动力。”</blockquote></p><p> He estimates Tesla will deliver about 868,000 vehicles in 2021, above the Wall Street consensus at about 855,000 to 865,000 vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>他估计,2021年特斯拉将交付约86.8万辆汽车,高于华尔街普遍预期的约85.5万至86.5万辆。</blockquote></p><p> Wedbush analystDan Ivesis even more optimistic and believes Tesla will deliver closer to 900,000 vehicles in 2021. He called the quarterly figure “impressive.”</p><p><blockquote>Wedbush分析师Dan Ivesis更加乐观,认为特斯拉将在2021年交付接近90万辆汽车。他称季度数据“令人印象深刻”。</blockquote></p><p> New Street ResearchPierre Ferragualso expects Tesla deliveries to accelerate in the second half of 2021. He points out that Tesla produced about 204,000 Model 3 and Y vehicles in the second quarter, indicating that production in Shanghai is ramping higher.</p><p><blockquote>New Street ResearchPierre Ferragua也预计特斯拉的交付量将在2021年下半年加速。他指出,特斯拉第二季度生产了约204,000辆Model 3和Y汽车,这表明上海的产量正在增加。</blockquote></p><p> Ferragu, Ives, and Kallo are all Tesla bulls, rating shares Buy. Ferragu’s target price for the stock is $900, while Ives’s target price is $1,000. Kallo’s is the lowest of the three at $736.</p><p><blockquote>Ferragu、Ives和Kallo都看好特斯拉,评级为买入。Ferragu对该股的目标价为900美元,而Ives的目标价为1000美元。Kallo's是三者中最低的,为736美元。</blockquote></p><p> GLJ analystGordon Johnsonis a Tesla bear. He rates shares Sell and has a Street low price target of $67, and was unimpressed by deliveries. He said Tesla critics will focus on the fact Tesla made more cars than it delivered in the quarter, unlike the first quarter quarterof 2021and the fourth quarterof 2020. Deliveries and production, of course, should closely match over time.</p><p><blockquote>GLJ分析师戈登·约翰逊(Gordon Johnson)看空特斯拉。他将股票评级为卖出,目标价为67美元,但对交付情况不以为然。他表示,特斯拉的批评者将关注这样一个事实:与2021年第一季度和2020年第四季度不同,特斯拉本季度生产的汽车数量多于交付量。当然,随着时间的推移,交付和生产应该紧密匹配。</blockquote></p><p> Next up for analysts, after digesting deliveries, will be earnings, due out in late July. Wall Street expects about 95 cents in per-share earnings. Tesla reported 93 cents in per-share earnings for the first quarter of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>分析师在消化完交付量后,接下来将是将于7月底公布的财报。华尔街预计每股收益约为95美分。特斯拉公布2021年第一季度每股收益为93美分。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla’s last record quarterly operating profit came in the third quarter of 2020 when it reported a profit of $809 million. For the second quarter of 2021, analysts are looking for about $961 million–another record.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉上一次创纪录的季度营业利润是在2020年第三季度,当时该公司报告利润为8.09亿美元。对于2021年第二季度,分析师预计收入约为9.61亿美元,这是另一项纪录。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla Stock Gets No Help From Record Deliveries. Here’s What Wall Street Thinks.<blockquote>创纪录的交付量对特斯拉股票没有任何帮助。这是华尔街的想法。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla Stock Gets No Help From Record Deliveries. Here’s What Wall Street Thinks.<blockquote>创纪录的交付量对特斯拉股票没有任何帮助。这是华尔街的想法。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-03 09:49</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tesla posted record deliveries for the second quarter,but investors shrugged.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉第二季度交付量创历史新高,但投资者对此不屑一顾。</blockquote></p><p> The latest numberswere closeto Wall Street estimates, and mark the fourth straight quarter of record deliveries for the rapidly growing EV pioneer. Still, Tesla bulls on Wall Street remained enthused.</p><p><blockquote>最新数据接近华尔街的预期,标志着这家快速增长的电动汽车先驱连续第四个季度创纪录的交付量。尽管如此,华尔街的特斯拉多头依然热情高涨。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivered 201,250 cars in the second quarter, but its stock was down about 0.3% in recent trading, after bobbing up and down Friday. TheS&P 500andDow Jones Industrial Averagewere up about 0.6% and 0.4% respectively.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉第二季度交付了201,250辆汽车,但其股价在周五上下波动后,在近期交易中下跌了约0.3%。标准普尔500指数和道琼斯工业平均指数分别上涨约0.6%和0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> RBC analystJoseph Spakwrote deliveries were a little better than the Wall Street consensus, adding “encouragingly, production outpaced deliveries.” That shows Spak that Tesla (ticker: TSLA) is successfully managing the through semiconductor supply constraints.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大皇家银行分析师约瑟夫·斯帕克写道,交付量略好于华尔街的共识,并补充说“令人鼓舞的是,产量超过了交付量”。这向Spak表明特斯拉(股票代码:TSLA)正在成功管理半导体供应限制。</blockquote></p><p> A globalsemiconductor shortagehas affected the entire auto industry. Benchmark analystMike Ward, for instance, believes it reduced North American auto production by about 1 million light vehicles in the first half of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>全球半导体短缺影响了整个汽车行业。例如,Benchmark分析师迈克·沃德(Mike Ward)认为,2021年上半年北美汽车产量减少了约100万辆轻型汽车。</blockquote></p><p> Spak rates Tesla shares Hold and has a $725 price target for shares. Ward covers auto stocks, but doesn’t cover Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>Spak将特斯拉股票评级为持有,目标价为725美元。沃德涵盖汽车股,但不涵盖特斯拉。</blockquote></p><p> Baird analystBen Kallowrote Tesla’s results showed “operational prowess,” as the company managed to navigate the chip shortage and produce another quarterly delivery record. “We are increasingly confident in our [second half] delivery assumptions,” he writes. “We estimate that underlying demand for Tesla products remains strong with S/X, Cybertruck, and semi deliveries remaining tailwinds.”</p><p><blockquote>Baird分析师Ben Kallow写道,特斯拉的业绩显示了“运营实力”,该公司成功应对了芯片短缺问题,并创造了另一个季度交付记录。“我们对[下半年]交付假设越来越有信心,”他写道。“我们估计,对特斯拉产品的潜在需求仍然强劲,S/X、Cybertruck和semi的交付仍然是推动力。”</blockquote></p><p> He estimates Tesla will deliver about 868,000 vehicles in 2021, above the Wall Street consensus at about 855,000 to 865,000 vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>他估计,2021年特斯拉将交付约86.8万辆汽车,高于华尔街普遍预期的约85.5万至86.5万辆。</blockquote></p><p> Wedbush analystDan Ivesis even more optimistic and believes Tesla will deliver closer to 900,000 vehicles in 2021. He called the quarterly figure “impressive.”</p><p><blockquote>Wedbush分析师Dan Ivesis更加乐观,认为特斯拉将在2021年交付接近90万辆汽车。他称季度数据“令人印象深刻”。</blockquote></p><p> New Street ResearchPierre Ferragualso expects Tesla deliveries to accelerate in the second half of 2021. He points out that Tesla produced about 204,000 Model 3 and Y vehicles in the second quarter, indicating that production in Shanghai is ramping higher.</p><p><blockquote>New Street ResearchPierre Ferragua也预计特斯拉的交付量将在2021年下半年加速。他指出,特斯拉第二季度生产了约204,000辆Model 3和Y汽车,这表明上海的产量正在增加。</blockquote></p><p> Ferragu, Ives, and Kallo are all Tesla bulls, rating shares Buy. Ferragu’s target price for the stock is $900, while Ives’s target price is $1,000. Kallo’s is the lowest of the three at $736.</p><p><blockquote>Ferragu、Ives和Kallo都看好特斯拉,评级为买入。Ferragu对该股的目标价为900美元,而Ives的目标价为1000美元。Kallo's是三者中最低的,为736美元。</blockquote></p><p> GLJ analystGordon Johnsonis a Tesla bear. He rates shares Sell and has a Street low price target of $67, and was unimpressed by deliveries. He said Tesla critics will focus on the fact Tesla made more cars than it delivered in the quarter, unlike the first quarter quarterof 2021and the fourth quarterof 2020. Deliveries and production, of course, should closely match over time.</p><p><blockquote>GLJ分析师戈登·约翰逊(Gordon Johnson)看空特斯拉。他将股票评级为卖出,目标价为67美元,但对交付情况不以为然。他表示,特斯拉的批评者将关注这样一个事实:与2021年第一季度和2020年第四季度不同,特斯拉本季度生产的汽车数量多于交付量。当然,随着时间的推移,交付和生产应该紧密匹配。</blockquote></p><p> Next up for analysts, after digesting deliveries, will be earnings, due out in late July. Wall Street expects about 95 cents in per-share earnings. Tesla reported 93 cents in per-share earnings for the first quarter of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>分析师在消化完交付量后,接下来将是将于7月底公布的财报。华尔街预计每股收益约为95美分。特斯拉公布2021年第一季度每股收益为93美分。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla’s last record quarterly operating profit came in the third quarter of 2020 when it reported a profit of $809 million. For the second quarter of 2021, analysts are looking for about $961 million–another record.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉上一次创纪录的季度营业利润是在2020年第三季度,当时该公司报告利润为8.09亿美元。对于2021年第二季度,分析师预计收入约为9.61亿美元,这是另一项纪录。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-ev-deliveries-51625253495?siteid=yhoof2\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/tesla-stock-ev-deliveries-51625253495?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1107675312","content_text":"Tesla posted record deliveries for the second quarter,but investors shrugged.\nThe latest numberswere closeto Wall Street estimates, and mark the fourth straight quarter of record deliveries for the rapidly growing EV pioneer. Still, Tesla bulls on Wall Street remained enthused.\nTesla delivered 201,250 cars in the second quarter, but its stock was down about 0.3% in recent trading, after bobbing up and down Friday. TheS&P 500andDow Jones Industrial Averagewere up about 0.6% and 0.4% respectively.\nRBC analystJoseph Spakwrote deliveries were a little better than the Wall Street consensus, adding “encouragingly, production outpaced deliveries.” That shows Spak that Tesla (ticker: TSLA) is successfully managing the through semiconductor supply constraints.\nA globalsemiconductor shortagehas affected the entire auto industry. Benchmark analystMike Ward, for instance, believes it reduced North American auto production by about 1 million light vehicles in the first half of 2021.\nSpak rates Tesla shares Hold and has a $725 price target for shares. Ward covers auto stocks, but doesn’t cover Tesla.\nBaird analystBen Kallowrote Tesla’s results showed “operational prowess,” as the company managed to navigate the chip shortage and produce another quarterly delivery record. “We are increasingly confident in our [second half] delivery assumptions,” he writes. “We estimate that underlying demand for Tesla products remains strong with S/X, Cybertruck, and semi deliveries remaining tailwinds.”\nHe estimates Tesla will deliver about 868,000 vehicles in 2021, above the Wall Street consensus at about 855,000 to 865,000 vehicles.\nWedbush analystDan Ivesis even more optimistic and believes Tesla will deliver closer to 900,000 vehicles in 2021. He called the quarterly figure “impressive.”\nNew Street ResearchPierre Ferragualso expects Tesla deliveries to accelerate in the second half of 2021. He points out that Tesla produced about 204,000 Model 3 and Y vehicles in the second quarter, indicating that production in Shanghai is ramping higher.\nFerragu, Ives, and Kallo are all Tesla bulls, rating shares Buy. Ferragu’s target price for the stock is $900, while Ives’s target price is $1,000. Kallo’s is the lowest of the three at $736.\nGLJ analystGordon Johnsonis a Tesla bear. He rates shares Sell and has a Street low price target of $67, and was unimpressed by deliveries. He said Tesla critics will focus on the fact Tesla made more cars than it delivered in the quarter, unlike the first quarter quarterof 2021and the fourth quarterof 2020. Deliveries and production, of course, should closely match over time.\nNext up for analysts, after digesting deliveries, will be earnings, due out in late July. Wall Street expects about 95 cents in per-share earnings. Tesla reported 93 cents in per-share earnings for the first quarter of 2021.\nTesla’s last record quarterly operating profit came in the third quarter of 2020 when it reported a profit of $809 million. For the second quarter of 2021, analysts are looking for about $961 million–another record.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":533,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":880689399,"gmtCreate":1631055149911,"gmtModify":1632885013073,"author":{"id":"4087523982151170","authorId":"4087523982151170","name":"Fayedea","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9d26a7d632140dba3255747fafc07d3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087523982151170","authorIdStr":"4087523982151170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"May I know what is EV? ","listText":"May I know what is EV? ","text":"May I know what is EV?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/880689399","repostId":"1140893024","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1140893024","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1631054373,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1140893024?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-08 06:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nio shares fall after $2 billion stock offering announced<blockquote>蔚来宣布发行20亿美元股票后股价下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140893024","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"NIO shares slipped 3.5% in extended trading after announcing at-the-market offering of American depo","content":"<p>NIO shares slipped 3.5% in extended trading after announcing at-the-market offering of American depositary shares.</p><p><blockquote>在宣布在市场上发行美国存托股票后,蔚来股价在盘后交易中下跌3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0907d5351eb6acc6316886c6ac37011\" tg-width=\"890\" tg-height=\"638\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> NIO Inc. announced that it has filed a prospectus supplement to sell up to an aggregate of US$2,000,000,000 of its American depositary shares (“ADSs”), each representing one Class A ordinary share of the Company, through an at-the-market equity offering program (the “At-The-Market Offering”).</p><p><blockquote>蔚来宣布,已提交招股说明书补充文件,通过市场股票发行计划(“市场发行”)出售最多2,000,000,000美元的美国存托股票(“ADS”),每股代表公司的一股A类普通股。</blockquote></p><p> The ADSs will be offered through Credit Suisse Securities (USA) LLC, Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC, Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C., China International Capital Corporation Hong Kong Securities Limited, Nomura Securities International, Inc. and Guotai Junan Securities (Hong Kong) Limited as sales agents. Some of the sales agents are expected to make offers and sales both inside and outside the United States through their respective selling agents.</p><p><blockquote>ADS将通过瑞士瑞信证券(美国)有限责任公司、摩根士丹利有限责任公司、高盛(亚洲)有限责任公司、中国国际金融香港证券有限公司、野村证券国际有限公司和国泰君安证券(香港)有限公司作为销售代理发售。一些销售代理预计将通过其各自的销售代理在美国内外进行报价和销售。</blockquote></p><p> NIO has entered into an equity distribution agreement with the sales agents relating to the At-The-Market Offering. Sales, if any, of the ADSs under the At-The-Market Offering will be made from time to time, at the Company’s discretion, by means of ordinary broker transactions on or through the New York Stock Exchange (the “NYSE”) or other markets for its ADSs, sales made to or through a market maker other than on an exchange, or otherwise in negotiated transactions, or as otherwise agreed with the sales agents. Sales may be made at market prices prevailing at the time of sale or at negotiated prices. As a result, sales prices may vary.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来已与销售代理就市场发行签订股权分配协议。根据市场发售出售美国存讬股(如有)将不时由公司酌情决定,通过在纽约证券交易所(“纽约证券交易所”)或其美国存讬股的其他市场进行的普通经纪交易、向或通过交易所以外的做市商进行的销售、或以协商交易或与销售代理另行商定的方式进行。销售可以按销售时的现行市价或协商价格进行。因此,销售价格可能会有所不同。</blockquote></p><p> The Company currently plans to use the net proceeds from the At-The-Market Offering to further strengthen its balance sheet, as well as for general corporate purposes.</p><p><blockquote>该公司目前计划将市场发行的净收益用于进一步加强其资产负债表以及一般公司用途。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nio shares fall after $2 billion stock offering announced<blockquote>蔚来宣布发行20亿美元股票后股价下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNio shares fall after $2 billion stock offering announced<blockquote>蔚来宣布发行20亿美元股票后股价下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-09-08 06:39</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NIO shares slipped 3.5% in extended trading after announcing at-the-market offering of American depositary shares.</p><p><blockquote>在宣布在市场上发行美国存托股票后,蔚来股价在盘后交易中下跌3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e0907d5351eb6acc6316886c6ac37011\" tg-width=\"890\" tg-height=\"638\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> NIO Inc. announced that it has filed a prospectus supplement to sell up to an aggregate of US$2,000,000,000 of its American depositary shares (“ADSs”), each representing one Class A ordinary share of the Company, through an at-the-market equity offering program (the “At-The-Market Offering”).</p><p><blockquote>蔚来宣布,已提交招股说明书补充文件,通过市场股票发行计划(“市场发行”)出售最多2,000,000,000美元的美国存托股票(“ADS”),每股代表公司的一股A类普通股。</blockquote></p><p> The ADSs will be offered through Credit Suisse Securities (USA) LLC, Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC, Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C., China International Capital Corporation Hong Kong Securities Limited, Nomura Securities International, Inc. and Guotai Junan Securities (Hong Kong) Limited as sales agents. Some of the sales agents are expected to make offers and sales both inside and outside the United States through their respective selling agents.</p><p><blockquote>ADS将通过瑞士瑞信证券(美国)有限责任公司、摩根士丹利有限责任公司、高盛(亚洲)有限责任公司、中国国际金融香港证券有限公司、野村证券国际有限公司和国泰君安证券(香港)有限公司作为销售代理发售。一些销售代理预计将通过其各自的销售代理在美国内外进行报价和销售。</blockquote></p><p> NIO has entered into an equity distribution agreement with the sales agents relating to the At-The-Market Offering. Sales, if any, of the ADSs under the At-The-Market Offering will be made from time to time, at the Company’s discretion, by means of ordinary broker transactions on or through the New York Stock Exchange (the “NYSE”) or other markets for its ADSs, sales made to or through a market maker other than on an exchange, or otherwise in negotiated transactions, or as otherwise agreed with the sales agents. Sales may be made at market prices prevailing at the time of sale or at negotiated prices. As a result, sales prices may vary.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来已与销售代理就市场发行签订股权分配协议。根据市场发售出售美国存讬股(如有)将不时由公司酌情决定,通过在纽约证券交易所(“纽约证券交易所”)或其美国存讬股的其他市场进行的普通经纪交易、向或通过交易所以外的做市商进行的销售、或以协商交易或与销售代理另行商定的方式进行。销售可以按销售时的现行市价或协商价格进行。因此,销售价格可能会有所不同。</blockquote></p><p> The Company currently plans to use the net proceeds from the At-The-Market Offering to further strengthen its balance sheet, as well as for general corporate purposes.</p><p><blockquote>该公司目前计划将市场发行的净收益用于进一步加强其资产负债表以及一般公司用途。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140893024","content_text":"NIO shares slipped 3.5% in extended trading after announcing at-the-market offering of American depositary shares.\n\nNIO Inc. announced that it has filed a prospectus supplement to sell up to an aggregate of US$2,000,000,000 of its American depositary shares (“ADSs”), each representing one Class A ordinary share of the Company, through an at-the-market equity offering program (the “At-The-Market Offering”).\nThe ADSs will be offered through Credit Suisse Securities (USA) LLC, Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC, Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C., China International Capital Corporation Hong Kong Securities Limited, Nomura Securities International, Inc. and Guotai Junan Securities (Hong Kong) Limited as sales agents. Some of the sales agents are expected to make offers and sales both inside and outside the United States through their respective selling agents.\nNIO has entered into an equity distribution agreement with the sales agents relating to the At-The-Market Offering. Sales, if any, of the ADSs under the At-The-Market Offering will be made from time to time, at the Company’s discretion, by means of ordinary broker transactions on or through the New York Stock Exchange (the “NYSE”) or other markets for its ADSs, sales made to or through a market maker other than on an exchange, or otherwise in negotiated transactions, or as otherwise agreed with the sales agents. Sales may be made at market prices prevailing at the time of sale or at negotiated prices. As a result, sales prices may vary.\nThe Company currently plans to use the net proceeds from the At-The-Market Offering to further strengthen its balance sheet, as well as for general corporate purposes.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":376,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":891868213,"gmtCreate":1628379830732,"gmtModify":1633751423100,"author":{"id":"4087523982151170","authorId":"4087523982151170","name":"Fayedea","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9d26a7d632140dba3255747fafc07d3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087523982151170","authorIdStr":"4087523982151170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest","listText":"Latest","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/891868213","repostId":"1139912651","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":532,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":147485678,"gmtCreate":1626384589794,"gmtModify":1633927372180,"author":{"id":"4087523982151170","authorId":"4087523982151170","name":"Fayedea","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9d26a7d632140dba3255747fafc07d3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087523982151170","authorIdStr":"4087523982151170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Tell me your opinion about this news...","listText":"Tell me your opinion about this news...","text":"Tell me your opinion about this news...","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/147485678","repostId":"1165694388","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":370,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148127463,"gmtCreate":1625962295652,"gmtModify":1633931399242,"author":{"id":"4087523982151170","authorId":"4087523982151170","name":"Fayedea","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9d26a7d632140dba3255747fafc07d3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087523982151170","authorIdStr":"4087523982151170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great market but high price","listText":"Great market but high price","text":"Great market but high price","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148127463","repostId":"2150370120","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":519,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":124760845,"gmtCreate":1624793551487,"gmtModify":1633948574641,"author":{"id":"4087523982151170","authorId":"4087523982151170","name":"Fayedea","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9d26a7d632140dba3255747fafc07d3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087523982151170","authorIdStr":"4087523982151170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Amazon : Good stock but very high price ","listText":"Amazon : Good stock but very high price ","text":"Amazon : Good stock but very high price","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/124760845","repostId":"1184001921","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1184001921","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624763737,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1184001921?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-27 11:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Amazon: Good Stock, Not Good Price<blockquote>亚马逊:好库存,不好价格</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1184001921","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nAmazon is one of the most innovative companies in the world today, leading the E-commerce i","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Amazon is one of the most innovative companies in the world today, leading the E-commerce industry and cloud computing services.</li> <li>Unfortunately, it's a little overpriced. This is consistent with some of the other mega-cap stocks I've analyzed.</li> <li>This article looks at what Amazon stock is most likely worth for us investors.</li> <li>I hope you enjoy.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/451bc93115fb453c0fcb76434c40f7f4\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\"><span>Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>亚马逊是当今世界最具创新力的公司之一,在电子商务行业和云计算服务领域处于领先地位。</li><li>不幸的是,它的价格有点过高。这与我分析过的其他一些大型股是一致的。</li><li>本文探讨了亚马逊股票对美国投资者来说最有可能的价值。</li><li>我希望你喜欢。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>杂项摄影/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Today, Amazon (AMZN) seems to be a little overpriced based on my intrinsic value model.</p><p><blockquote>今天,根据我的内在价值模型,亚马逊(AMZN)的定价似乎有点过高。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a82d937a2de3f0709088e1ab4548267b\" tg-width=\"371\" tg-height=\"260\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源:作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> You might have seen some of my other articles where I've bashed other popular stocks like Apple (AAPL) or Microsoft (MSFT). Well, I guess today it's Amazon's turn. I just try to share what I think companies are worth, and I've found that a lot of companies seem to be overpriced.</p><p><blockquote>您可能已经看过我的其他一些文章,其中我抨击了苹果(AAPL)或微软(MSFT)等其他热门股票。嗯,我想今天轮到亚马逊了。我只是试图分享我认为公司的价值,我发现很多公司似乎定价过高。</blockquote></p><p> In this article, I'll break down how I came up with Amazon's valuation. I know that there's tons of different opinions out there about Amazon, so I'll try to share the reasoning behind my valuation to help you make better investments in the future.</p><p><blockquote>在本文中,我将详细介绍我是如何得出亚马逊估值的。我知道关于亚马逊有很多不同的观点,所以我会尝试分享我的估值背后的理由,以帮助您在未来进行更好的投资。</blockquote></p><p> Something important you should know - I'm not an expert on Amazon, and I have a really difficult time valuing growth stocks. I really doubt that I have the ability to estimate a company's future growth. I made future growth estimates by looking at past growth and making conservative estimates of the future.</p><p><blockquote>你应该知道一些重要的事情——我不是亚马逊专家,我很难评估成长型股票。我真的很怀疑我有能力估计一家公司未来的增长。我通过查看过去的增长并对未来做出保守的估计来做出未来的增长估计。</blockquote></p><p> This method borders on \"data extrapolation\", which is making assumptions based on past data. Data extrapolation isn't great because the future is different from the past - so making future projections based on past data isn't ideal.</p><p><blockquote>这种方法近乎“数据外推”,即根据过去的数据做出假设。数据外推并不好,因为未来与过去不同——所以根据过去的数据进行未来预测并不理想。</blockquote></p><p> But after valuing hundreds of companies, I've found that this kind of style does a good job of getting the valuation approximately right. I always try to set my valuations low, because it's better to buy low and make a killing than buy high and lose money.</p><p><blockquote>但在对数百家公司进行估值后,我发现这种风格可以很好地获得大致正确的估值。我总是尽量把我的估值定低,因为低买大赚总比高买亏好。</blockquote></p><p> Warren Buffett said, “The three most important words in investing are <b>margin of safety</b>.” That means to buy stuff on sale... That's the whole secret to great investing. Rule 1 Investing This model is built on getting the valuation \"approximately right,\" and looking to buy with a large margin of safety. I hope you enjoy, and as always, I'll try to keep it clean and common sense.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特说:“投资中最重要的三个词是<b>安全边际</b>意思是买打折的东西....这就是伟大投资的全部秘密。规则1投资该模型的基础是获得“大致正确”的估值,并寻求以较大的安全边际进行购买。我希望你喜欢,一如既往,我会尽量保持它的干净和常识。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Where does Amazon get its money? Amazon is split into 3 segments: North America, International, and AWS.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊的钱从哪里来?亚马逊分为3个部分:北美、国际和AWS。</blockquote></p><p> As a market leader in 2 high growth industries (E-commerce and cloud computing), Amazon will probably continue to see high growth in the future. In this section, I looked at the past revenue growth and operating margins for each of Amazon's segments, and I used this to make conservative future projections.</p><p><blockquote>作为两个高增长行业(电子商务和云计算)的市场领导者,亚马逊未来可能会继续实现高增长。在本节中,我研究了亚马逊每个部门过去的收入增长和营业利润率,并以此做出保守的未来预测。</blockquote></p><p> And later, I added up the numbers from each segment to make projections for the whole company. Here's a look at AMZN's North America segment. This segment's revenue comes from retail sales and subscription service revenues.</p><p><blockquote>后来,我把每个部门的数字加起来,对整个公司进行预测。以下是亚马逊北美业务的概况。该部门的收入来自零售销售和订阅服务收入。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce022c0ecacc3829cf83378211bbfd9d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"192\"><span>Source: Author with data from 2018 10-K,2019 10-K, and 2020 10-K</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:作者使用2018年10-K、2019年10-K和2020年10-K的数据</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I projected declining revenue growth and strong operating margins for this segment. I projected slower revenue growth, because I figure there has to be a cap on how much money Amazon can make in North America.</p><p><blockquote>我预计该部门的收入增长将下降,营业利润率将强劲。我预计收入增长会放缓,因为我认为亚马逊在北美的收入必须有一个上限。</blockquote></p><p> Hopefully, Amazon will exceed this revenue growth. But, I do think it would be a pretty incredible feat for Amazon to grow from $200B in revenue to $400B in 5 years.</p><p><blockquote>希望亚马逊能够超过这一收入增长。但是,我确实认为亚马逊在5年内将收入从2000亿美元增长到4000亿美元将是一个非常令人难以置信的壮举。</blockquote></p><p> Here's a look at Amazon's International segment:</p><p><blockquote>以下是亚马逊国际部门的概况:</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3d7a5bde370f55e863f58c888abc496\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"219\"><span>Source: Author with data from 2018 10-K,2019 10-K, and 2020 10-K</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:作者使用2018年10-K、2019年10-K和2020年10-K的数据</span></p></blockquote></p><p> For Amazon's international segment, I projected 20% annual revenue growth, and improving operating margins. I figured that operating margins would gradually improve until the margins reached a similar point to what Amazon sees in its US segment.</p><p><blockquote>对于亚马逊的国际部门,我预计年收入将增长20%,营业利润率也将提高。我认为营业利润率将逐渐提高,直到利润率达到与亚马逊在美国市场类似的水平。</blockquote></p><p> And for Amazon's last and most exciting segment, here's AWS:</p><p><blockquote>对于亚马逊最后也是最令人兴奋的部分,AWS是:</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/769700013871f2cd09e8ce47cfb10966\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"203\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源:作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> AWS is undoubtedly going to bring high growth for Amazon, and high profits. I projected that the AWS segment will probably continue to grow at a high rate. I projected a 25-30% annual revenue growth rate because cloud computing has a lot of room to grow, and according to Research and Markets, the cloud computing industry should grow at about 17.5% CAGR until 2025.</p><p><blockquote>AWS无疑将为亚马逊带来高增长和高利润。我预计AWS细分市场可能会继续高速增长。我预测25-30%的年收入增长率,因为云计算有很大的增长空间,根据研究和市场,云计算行业应该以17.5%的CAGR增长,直到2025年。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Additionally, I projected 28% operating margins, because the AWS business benefits from operating leverage. As more people use the software, the company is able to make higher margins as it spreads costs over more people. It's possible that Amazon could exceed 28% operating margins, so there might be upside to Amazon's fair value.</p><p><blockquote>此外,我预计营业利润率为28%,因为AWS业务受益于运营杠杆。随着越来越多的人使用该软件,该公司能够通过将成本分摊给更多的人来获得更高的利润。亚马逊的营业利润率可能会超过28%,因此亚马逊的公允价值可能会有上升空间。</blockquote></p><p> These projections were added together to help us figure out what the entire company should be worth.</p><p><blockquote>这些预测加在一起有助于我们计算出整个公司的价值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Capital Allocation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>资本配置</b></blockquote></p><p> How does Amazon spend its money? You might find it interesting to analyze Amazon's capital allocation, so you can see what Amazon does with its money, and where it might be investing for the future.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊是怎么花钱的?你可能会发现分析亚马逊的资本配置很有趣,这样你就可以看到亚马逊用它的钱做了什么,以及它未来可能投资到哪里。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45f5afa0f641ee1aae39aa69cc150165\" tg-width=\"619\" tg-height=\"499\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源:作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The biggest portion of Amazon's operating cash flows goes towards capital expenditures. From what I can tell, Amazon has not had any share activity over the past 5 years. The company has issued shares - but from the looks of the cash flow statement, it looks like they haven't raised any money from selling shares, and they haven't spent any money buying back shares.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊运营现金流的最大部分用于资本支出。据我所知,亚马逊在过去5年里没有任何分享活动。该公司已经发行了股票——但从现金流量表来看,他们似乎没有通过出售股票筹集到任何资金,也没有花任何钱回购股票。</blockquote></p><p> In February 2016, the Board of Directors authorized a program to repurchase up to $5.0 billion of our common stock, with no fixed expiration. <i>There were no repurchases of common stock in 2018, 2019, or 2020.</i> Source:2020 10-K page 60, <i>emphasis added</i> But for our purposes, this quote shows that Amazon hasn't bought back any stock over the past 3 years. They also haven't spent any money on dividends, which is good because they're a high growth company.</p><p><blockquote>2016年2月,董事会批准了一项回购最多50亿美元普通股的计划,没有固定到期日。<i>2018年、2019年或2020年没有回购普通股。</i>资料来源:2020 10-K第60页,<i>增加了强调</i>但就我们而言,这段报价表明亚马逊在过去3年中没有回购任何股票。他们也没有在股息上花任何钱,这很好,因为他们是一家高增长公司。</blockquote></p><p> Amazon has consistently spent money on acquisitions and paying down debt. What's really interesting is that Amazon has built up a lot of spare cash over the past 5 years. Their cash position has risen about $58B since 2016, going from about $26B at the end of 2016 to about $84B at the end of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊一直在收购和偿还债务上花钱。真正有趣的是,亚马逊在过去5年里积累了大量闲钱。自2016年以来,他们的现金头寸增加了约580亿美元,从2016年底的约260亿美元增加到2020年底的约840亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Amazon has a lot more cash than they used to, so we could see future spending go towards a dividend, share buybacks, new acquisitions, or maybe more business investments that will lead to growth.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊拥有比以前多得多的现金,因此我们可以看到未来的支出将用于股息、股票回购、新收购,或者更多将带来增长的商业投资。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p> First, I used a discount rate of 7.7% for Amazon because that's what I found the company's weighted average cost of capital, or WACC, to be. I assumed an 8% cost of equity, and Amazon has averaged somewhere around a 20-30% tax rate over the past 10 years.</p><p><blockquote>首先,我对亚马逊使用了7.7%的贴现率,因为这是我发现该公司的加权平均资本成本(WACC)。我假设股权成本为8%,而亚马逊在过去10年中的平均税率约为20-30%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c036264f19bb10fdad477a629b40f803\" tg-width=\"361\" tg-height=\"288\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源:作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I used a DCF model to find Amazon's value today. In the model down below, you can see in the top 2 red boxes that I projected that the company would have lower revenue growth and strong operating margins.</p><p><blockquote>我今天用DCF模型找到了亚马逊的价值。在下面的模型中,您可以在顶部2个红框中看到,我预计该公司的收入增长将较低,营业利润率将强劲。</blockquote></p><p> This model projects that Amazon will have over $850B in revenue by 2025. That's absolutely nuts if you think about it, but based on estimated revenue growth, it seems feasible.</p><p><blockquote>该模型预计,到2025年,亚马逊的收入将超过8500亿美元。仔细想想,这绝对是疯狂的,但根据估计的收入增长,这似乎是可行的。</blockquote></p><p> Right now, Walmart(NYSE:WMT)leads the world in revenue with about $550B. Amazon sits in third place for annual revenue, with about $390B. In 5 years, Amazon could easily have the largest revenue of any company in the world.</p><p><blockquote>目前,沃尔玛(纽约证券交易所股票代码:WMT)以约550B美元的收入领先全球。亚马逊的年收入排名第三,约为3900亿美元。5年后,亚马逊很可能成为世界上收入最高的公司。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95c459abcbda43e35b40379a1083ecae\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"510\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源:作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Down at the bottom of this model, you can see there's a red box that projects unlevered FCF margins. This basically measures how much of the company's revenue will become business profits, without including interest or debt payments. In the turquoise box, I applied the discount rate to see what the future cash flows are worth today.</p><p><blockquote>在该模型的底部,您可以看到有一个红色框,显示无杠杆自由现金流利润率。这基本上衡量了公司收入中有多少将成为业务利润,不包括利息或债务支付。在绿松石盒子中,我应用了贴现率来查看未来现金流今天的价值。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a3fa0846616fdc847a3fe1fdf7a09bed\" tg-width=\"267\" tg-height=\"404\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源:作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Today, it looks like Amazon is slightly overvalued. The model projects that the stock might be about 15% overvalued, and we could expect to make about 5% annual returns over the next 5 years if we invested today.</p><p><blockquote>如今,亚马逊的估值似乎略有高估。该模型预测该股票可能被高估约15%,如果我们今天投资,我们预计未来5年的年回报率约为5%。</blockquote></p><p> These estimations are based on the future cash flows that the business should generate. I don't hate Amazon or anything, I just don't think that Amazon stock would make a great investment at current prices.</p><p><blockquote>该等估计乃基于业务应产生的未来现金流量。我并不讨厌亚马逊或任何东西,我只是不认为亚马逊股票在当前价格下会是一项伟大的投资。</blockquote></p><p> Down at the bottom, I threw in 2 \"Buy Prices\" where Amazon stock might be more appealing. The idea behind this is that the cheaper AMZN stock gets, the higher returns we can expect.</p><p><blockquote>在底部,我提出了两个亚马逊股票可能更有吸引力的“买入价格”。这背后的想法是,AMZN股票越便宜,我们可以预期的回报就越高。</blockquote></p><p> The model projects that you'd make around 15% annual returns at $2,200 per share, and you might make around 22% annual returns at $1,700 per share.</p><p><blockquote>该模型预计,每股2,200美元的年回报率约为15%,每股1,700美元的年回报率约为22%。</blockquote></p><p> \"But doesn't it seem unreasonable to set the buy price in the $2,000s when the stock's trading near $3,500?\" It does a little bit. It seems pretty unlikely that Amazon's share price will nose dive right down past $2,000.</p><p><blockquote>“但当股票交易价格接近3,500美元时,将买入价格定为2,000美元似乎不合理吗?”有一点。亚马逊的股价似乎不太可能暴跌至2,000美元以上。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But the idea is, if we're patient, we might get an opportunity to buy these shares underpriced. Last February, Amazon traded lower than $1,900 (I wish I bought some back then). We'll probably have opportunities in the future to buy Amazon at a discount.</p><p><blockquote>但我们的想法是,如果我们有耐心,我们可能有机会以低价购买这些股票。去年2月,亚马逊的交易价格低于1,900美元(我希望当时买了一些)。我们将来可能有机会以折扣价购买亚马逊。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Recap</b></p><p><blockquote><b>回顾</b></blockquote></p><p> Today, it seems like Amazon is slightly overvalued, because it seems to offer about 5% annual returns over the next 5 years. That doesn't mean you should sell Amazon if you're a long time holder, because Amazon should continue to do well as a leader in E-commerce and cloud computing.</p><p><blockquote>如今,亚马逊的估值似乎略有高估,因为它似乎在未来5年内提供约5%的年回报率。这并不意味着如果您是长期持有者,您应该出售亚马逊,因为亚马逊应该继续作为电子商务和云计算领域的领导者表现出色。</blockquote></p><p> But if you're looking for your next stock to invest in, Amazon seems to be too expensive right now. And if you've been eyeing Amazon for a while and you're looking to get in, now's not the best time to get into Amazon.</p><p><blockquote>但如果你正在寻找下一只投资股票,亚马逊现在似乎太贵了。如果您关注亚马逊已经有一段时间了,并且正在寻求进入,那么现在不是进入亚马逊的最佳时机。</blockquote></p><p> Even if we don't invest in the stock, we can still watch Amazon as they become the company with the most revenue in the world. And there's a lot we can learn from studying Amazon and Jeff Bezos. He's a smart dude.</p><p><blockquote>即使我们不投资该股票,我们仍然可以看到亚马逊成为世界上收入最多的公司。我们可以从研究亚马逊和杰夫·贝索斯中学到很多东西。他是个聪明人。</blockquote></p><p> Thank you very much for reading, and I hope that you have a great rest of your day.</p><p><blockquote>非常感谢您的阅读,我希望您今天休息得愉快。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Amazon: Good Stock, Not Good Price<blockquote>亚马逊:好库存,不好价格</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAmazon: Good Stock, Not Good Price<blockquote>亚马逊:好库存,不好价格</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-27 11:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Amazon is one of the most innovative companies in the world today, leading the E-commerce industry and cloud computing services.</li> <li>Unfortunately, it's a little overpriced. This is consistent with some of the other mega-cap stocks I've analyzed.</li> <li>This article looks at what Amazon stock is most likely worth for us investors.</li> <li>I hope you enjoy.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/451bc93115fb453c0fcb76434c40f7f4\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\"><span>Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>亚马逊是当今世界最具创新力的公司之一,在电子商务行业和云计算服务领域处于领先地位。</li><li>不幸的是,它的价格有点过高。这与我分析过的其他一些大型股是一致的。</li><li>本文探讨了亚马逊股票对美国投资者来说最有可能的价值。</li><li>我希望你喜欢。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>杂项摄影/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Today, Amazon (AMZN) seems to be a little overpriced based on my intrinsic value model.</p><p><blockquote>今天,根据我的内在价值模型,亚马逊(AMZN)的定价似乎有点过高。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a82d937a2de3f0709088e1ab4548267b\" tg-width=\"371\" tg-height=\"260\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源:作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> You might have seen some of my other articles where I've bashed other popular stocks like Apple (AAPL) or Microsoft (MSFT). Well, I guess today it's Amazon's turn. I just try to share what I think companies are worth, and I've found that a lot of companies seem to be overpriced.</p><p><blockquote>您可能已经看过我的其他一些文章,其中我抨击了苹果(AAPL)或微软(MSFT)等其他热门股票。嗯,我想今天轮到亚马逊了。我只是试图分享我认为公司的价值,我发现很多公司似乎定价过高。</blockquote></p><p> In this article, I'll break down how I came up with Amazon's valuation. I know that there's tons of different opinions out there about Amazon, so I'll try to share the reasoning behind my valuation to help you make better investments in the future.</p><p><blockquote>在本文中,我将详细介绍我是如何得出亚马逊估值的。我知道关于亚马逊有很多不同的观点,所以我会尝试分享我的估值背后的理由,以帮助您在未来进行更好的投资。</blockquote></p><p> Something important you should know - I'm not an expert on Amazon, and I have a really difficult time valuing growth stocks. I really doubt that I have the ability to estimate a company's future growth. I made future growth estimates by looking at past growth and making conservative estimates of the future.</p><p><blockquote>你应该知道一些重要的事情——我不是亚马逊专家,我很难评估成长型股票。我真的很怀疑我有能力估计一家公司未来的增长。我通过查看过去的增长并对未来做出保守的估计来做出未来的增长估计。</blockquote></p><p> This method borders on \"data extrapolation\", which is making assumptions based on past data. Data extrapolation isn't great because the future is different from the past - so making future projections based on past data isn't ideal.</p><p><blockquote>这种方法近乎“数据外推”,即根据过去的数据做出假设。数据外推并不好,因为未来与过去不同——所以根据过去的数据进行未来预测并不理想。</blockquote></p><p> But after valuing hundreds of companies, I've found that this kind of style does a good job of getting the valuation approximately right. I always try to set my valuations low, because it's better to buy low and make a killing than buy high and lose money.</p><p><blockquote>但在对数百家公司进行估值后,我发现这种风格可以很好地获得大致正确的估值。我总是尽量把我的估值定低,因为低买大赚总比高买亏好。</blockquote></p><p> Warren Buffett said, “The three most important words in investing are <b>margin of safety</b>.” That means to buy stuff on sale... That's the whole secret to great investing. Rule 1 Investing This model is built on getting the valuation \"approximately right,\" and looking to buy with a large margin of safety. I hope you enjoy, and as always, I'll try to keep it clean and common sense.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特说:“投资中最重要的三个词是<b>安全边际</b>意思是买打折的东西....这就是伟大投资的全部秘密。规则1投资该模型的基础是获得“大致正确”的估值,并寻求以较大的安全边际进行购买。我希望你喜欢,一如既往,我会尽量保持它的干净和常识。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Where does Amazon get its money? Amazon is split into 3 segments: North America, International, and AWS.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊的钱从哪里来?亚马逊分为3个部分:北美、国际和AWS。</blockquote></p><p> As a market leader in 2 high growth industries (E-commerce and cloud computing), Amazon will probably continue to see high growth in the future. In this section, I looked at the past revenue growth and operating margins for each of Amazon's segments, and I used this to make conservative future projections.</p><p><blockquote>作为两个高增长行业(电子商务和云计算)的市场领导者,亚马逊未来可能会继续实现高增长。在本节中,我研究了亚马逊每个部门过去的收入增长和营业利润率,并以此做出保守的未来预测。</blockquote></p><p> And later, I added up the numbers from each segment to make projections for the whole company. Here's a look at AMZN's North America segment. This segment's revenue comes from retail sales and subscription service revenues.</p><p><blockquote>后来,我把每个部门的数字加起来,对整个公司进行预测。以下是亚马逊北美业务的概况。该部门的收入来自零售销售和订阅服务收入。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce022c0ecacc3829cf83378211bbfd9d\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"192\"><span>Source: Author with data from 2018 10-K,2019 10-K, and 2020 10-K</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:作者使用2018年10-K、2019年10-K和2020年10-K的数据</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I projected declining revenue growth and strong operating margins for this segment. I projected slower revenue growth, because I figure there has to be a cap on how much money Amazon can make in North America.</p><p><blockquote>我预计该部门的收入增长将下降,营业利润率将强劲。我预计收入增长会放缓,因为我认为亚马逊在北美的收入必须有一个上限。</blockquote></p><p> Hopefully, Amazon will exceed this revenue growth. But, I do think it would be a pretty incredible feat for Amazon to grow from $200B in revenue to $400B in 5 years.</p><p><blockquote>希望亚马逊能够超过这一收入增长。但是,我确实认为亚马逊在5年内将收入从2000亿美元增长到4000亿美元将是一个非常令人难以置信的壮举。</blockquote></p><p> Here's a look at Amazon's International segment:</p><p><blockquote>以下是亚马逊国际部门的概况:</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3d7a5bde370f55e863f58c888abc496\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"219\"><span>Source: Author with data from 2018 10-K,2019 10-K, and 2020 10-K</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源:作者使用2018年10-K、2019年10-K和2020年10-K的数据</span></p></blockquote></p><p> For Amazon's international segment, I projected 20% annual revenue growth, and improving operating margins. I figured that operating margins would gradually improve until the margins reached a similar point to what Amazon sees in its US segment.</p><p><blockquote>对于亚马逊的国际部门,我预计年收入将增长20%,营业利润率也将提高。我认为营业利润率将逐渐提高,直到利润率达到与亚马逊在美国市场类似的水平。</blockquote></p><p> And for Amazon's last and most exciting segment, here's AWS:</p><p><blockquote>对于亚马逊最后也是最令人兴奋的部分,AWS是:</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/769700013871f2cd09e8ce47cfb10966\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"203\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源:作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> AWS is undoubtedly going to bring high growth for Amazon, and high profits. I projected that the AWS segment will probably continue to grow at a high rate. I projected a 25-30% annual revenue growth rate because cloud computing has a lot of room to grow, and according to Research and Markets, the cloud computing industry should grow at about 17.5% CAGR until 2025.</p><p><blockquote>AWS无疑将为亚马逊带来高增长和高利润。我预计AWS细分市场可能会继续高速增长。我预测25-30%的年收入增长率,因为云计算有很大的增长空间,根据研究和市场,云计算行业应该以17.5%的CAGR增长,直到2025年。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Additionally, I projected 28% operating margins, because the AWS business benefits from operating leverage. As more people use the software, the company is able to make higher margins as it spreads costs over more people. It's possible that Amazon could exceed 28% operating margins, so there might be upside to Amazon's fair value.</p><p><blockquote>此外,我预计营业利润率为28%,因为AWS业务受益于运营杠杆。随着越来越多的人使用该软件,该公司能够通过将成本分摊给更多的人来获得更高的利润。亚马逊的营业利润率可能会超过28%,因此亚马逊的公允价值可能会有上升空间。</blockquote></p><p> These projections were added together to help us figure out what the entire company should be worth.</p><p><blockquote>这些预测加在一起有助于我们计算出整个公司的价值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Capital Allocation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>资本配置</b></blockquote></p><p> How does Amazon spend its money? You might find it interesting to analyze Amazon's capital allocation, so you can see what Amazon does with its money, and where it might be investing for the future.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊是怎么花钱的?你可能会发现分析亚马逊的资本配置很有趣,这样你就可以看到亚马逊用它的钱做了什么,以及它未来可能投资到哪里。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45f5afa0f641ee1aae39aa69cc150165\" tg-width=\"619\" tg-height=\"499\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源:作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The biggest portion of Amazon's operating cash flows goes towards capital expenditures. From what I can tell, Amazon has not had any share activity over the past 5 years. The company has issued shares - but from the looks of the cash flow statement, it looks like they haven't raised any money from selling shares, and they haven't spent any money buying back shares.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊运营现金流的最大部分用于资本支出。据我所知,亚马逊在过去5年里没有任何分享活动。该公司已经发行了股票——但从现金流量表来看,他们似乎没有通过出售股票筹集到任何资金,也没有花任何钱回购股票。</blockquote></p><p> In February 2016, the Board of Directors authorized a program to repurchase up to $5.0 billion of our common stock, with no fixed expiration. <i>There were no repurchases of common stock in 2018, 2019, or 2020.</i> Source:2020 10-K page 60, <i>emphasis added</i> But for our purposes, this quote shows that Amazon hasn't bought back any stock over the past 3 years. They also haven't spent any money on dividends, which is good because they're a high growth company.</p><p><blockquote>2016年2月,董事会批准了一项回购最多50亿美元普通股的计划,没有固定到期日。<i>2018年、2019年或2020年没有回购普通股。</i>资料来源:2020 10-K第60页,<i>增加了强调</i>但就我们而言,这段报价表明亚马逊在过去3年中没有回购任何股票。他们也没有在股息上花任何钱,这很好,因为他们是一家高增长公司。</blockquote></p><p> Amazon has consistently spent money on acquisitions and paying down debt. What's really interesting is that Amazon has built up a lot of spare cash over the past 5 years. Their cash position has risen about $58B since 2016, going from about $26B at the end of 2016 to about $84B at the end of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊一直在收购和偿还债务上花钱。真正有趣的是,亚马逊在过去5年里积累了大量闲钱。自2016年以来,他们的现金头寸增加了约580亿美元,从2016年底的约260亿美元增加到2020年底的约840亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Amazon has a lot more cash than they used to, so we could see future spending go towards a dividend, share buybacks, new acquisitions, or maybe more business investments that will lead to growth.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊拥有比以前多得多的现金,因此我们可以看到未来的支出将用于股息、股票回购、新收购,或者更多将带来增长的商业投资。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p> First, I used a discount rate of 7.7% for Amazon because that's what I found the company's weighted average cost of capital, or WACC, to be. I assumed an 8% cost of equity, and Amazon has averaged somewhere around a 20-30% tax rate over the past 10 years.</p><p><blockquote>首先,我对亚马逊使用了7.7%的贴现率,因为这是我发现该公司的加权平均资本成本(WACC)。我假设股权成本为8%,而亚马逊在过去10年中的平均税率约为20-30%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c036264f19bb10fdad477a629b40f803\" tg-width=\"361\" tg-height=\"288\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源:作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> I used a DCF model to find Amazon's value today. In the model down below, you can see in the top 2 red boxes that I projected that the company would have lower revenue growth and strong operating margins.</p><p><blockquote>我今天用DCF模型找到了亚马逊的价值。在下面的模型中,您可以在顶部2个红框中看到,我预计该公司的收入增长将较低,营业利润率将强劲。</blockquote></p><p> This model projects that Amazon will have over $850B in revenue by 2025. That's absolutely nuts if you think about it, but based on estimated revenue growth, it seems feasible.</p><p><blockquote>该模型预计,到2025年,亚马逊的收入将超过8500亿美元。仔细想想,这绝对是疯狂的,但根据估计的收入增长,这似乎是可行的。</blockquote></p><p> Right now, Walmart(NYSE:WMT)leads the world in revenue with about $550B. Amazon sits in third place for annual revenue, with about $390B. In 5 years, Amazon could easily have the largest revenue of any company in the world.</p><p><blockquote>目前,沃尔玛(纽约证券交易所股票代码:WMT)以约550B美元的收入领先全球。亚马逊的年收入排名第三,约为3900亿美元。5年后,亚马逊很可能成为世界上收入最高的公司。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/95c459abcbda43e35b40379a1083ecae\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"510\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源:作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Down at the bottom of this model, you can see there's a red box that projects unlevered FCF margins. This basically measures how much of the company's revenue will become business profits, without including interest or debt payments. In the turquoise box, I applied the discount rate to see what the future cash flows are worth today.</p><p><blockquote>在该模型的底部,您可以看到有一个红色框,显示无杠杆自由现金流利润率。这基本上衡量了公司收入中有多少将成为业务利润,不包括利息或债务支付。在绿松石盒子中,我应用了贴现率来查看未来现金流今天的价值。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a3fa0846616fdc847a3fe1fdf7a09bed\" tg-width=\"267\" tg-height=\"404\"><span>Source: Author</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源:作者</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Today, it looks like Amazon is slightly overvalued. The model projects that the stock might be about 15% overvalued, and we could expect to make about 5% annual returns over the next 5 years if we invested today.</p><p><blockquote>如今,亚马逊的估值似乎略有高估。该模型预测该股票可能被高估约15%,如果我们今天投资,我们预计未来5年的年回报率约为5%。</blockquote></p><p> These estimations are based on the future cash flows that the business should generate. I don't hate Amazon or anything, I just don't think that Amazon stock would make a great investment at current prices.</p><p><blockquote>该等估计乃基于业务应产生的未来现金流量。我并不讨厌亚马逊或任何东西,我只是不认为亚马逊股票在当前价格下会是一项伟大的投资。</blockquote></p><p> Down at the bottom, I threw in 2 \"Buy Prices\" where Amazon stock might be more appealing. The idea behind this is that the cheaper AMZN stock gets, the higher returns we can expect.</p><p><blockquote>在底部,我提出了两个亚马逊股票可能更有吸引力的“买入价格”。这背后的想法是,AMZN股票越便宜,我们可以预期的回报就越高。</blockquote></p><p> The model projects that you'd make around 15% annual returns at $2,200 per share, and you might make around 22% annual returns at $1,700 per share.</p><p><blockquote>该模型预计,每股2,200美元的年回报率约为15%,每股1,700美元的年回报率约为22%。</blockquote></p><p> \"But doesn't it seem unreasonable to set the buy price in the $2,000s when the stock's trading near $3,500?\" It does a little bit. It seems pretty unlikely that Amazon's share price will nose dive right down past $2,000.</p><p><blockquote>“但当股票交易价格接近3,500美元时,将买入价格定为2,000美元似乎不合理吗?”有一点。亚马逊的股价似乎不太可能暴跌至2,000美元以上。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> But the idea is, if we're patient, we might get an opportunity to buy these shares underpriced. Last February, Amazon traded lower than $1,900 (I wish I bought some back then). We'll probably have opportunities in the future to buy Amazon at a discount.</p><p><blockquote>但我们的想法是,如果我们有耐心,我们可能有机会以低价购买这些股票。去年2月,亚马逊的交易价格低于1,900美元(我希望当时买了一些)。我们将来可能有机会以折扣价购买亚马逊。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Recap</b></p><p><blockquote><b>回顾</b></blockquote></p><p> Today, it seems like Amazon is slightly overvalued, because it seems to offer about 5% annual returns over the next 5 years. That doesn't mean you should sell Amazon if you're a long time holder, because Amazon should continue to do well as a leader in E-commerce and cloud computing.</p><p><blockquote>如今,亚马逊的估值似乎略有高估,因为它似乎在未来5年内提供约5%的年回报率。这并不意味着如果您是长期持有者,您应该出售亚马逊,因为亚马逊应该继续作为电子商务和云计算领域的领导者表现出色。</blockquote></p><p> But if you're looking for your next stock to invest in, Amazon seems to be too expensive right now. And if you've been eyeing Amazon for a while and you're looking to get in, now's not the best time to get into Amazon.</p><p><blockquote>但如果你正在寻找下一只投资股票,亚马逊现在似乎太贵了。如果您关注亚马逊已经有一段时间了,并且正在寻求进入,那么现在不是进入亚马逊的最佳时机。</blockquote></p><p> Even if we don't invest in the stock, we can still watch Amazon as they become the company with the most revenue in the world. And there's a lot we can learn from studying Amazon and Jeff Bezos. He's a smart dude.</p><p><blockquote>即使我们不投资该股票,我们仍然可以看到亚马逊成为世界上收入最多的公司。我们可以从研究亚马逊和杰夫·贝索斯中学到很多东西。他是个聪明人。</blockquote></p><p> Thank you very much for reading, and I hope that you have a great rest of your day.</p><p><blockquote>非常感谢您的阅读,我希望您今天休息得愉快。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436641-amazon-good-stock-not-good-price\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4436641-amazon-good-stock-not-good-price","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1184001921","content_text":"Summary\n\nAmazon is one of the most innovative companies in the world today, leading the E-commerce industry and cloud computing services.\nUnfortunately, it's a little overpriced. This is consistent with some of the other mega-cap stocks I've analyzed.\nThis article looks at what Amazon stock is most likely worth for us investors.\nI hope you enjoy.\n\nSundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nToday, Amazon (AMZN) seems to be a little overpriced based on my intrinsic value model.\nSource: Author\nYou might have seen some of my other articles where I've bashed other popular stocks like Apple (AAPL) or Microsoft (MSFT). Well, I guess today it's Amazon's turn. I just try to share what I think companies are worth, and I've found that a lot of companies seem to be overpriced.\nIn this article, I'll break down how I came up with Amazon's valuation. I know that there's tons of different opinions out there about Amazon, so I'll try to share the reasoning behind my valuation to help you make better investments in the future.\nSomething important you should know - I'm not an expert on Amazon, and I have a really difficult time valuing growth stocks. I really doubt that I have the ability to estimate a company's future growth. I made future growth estimates by looking at past growth and making conservative estimates of the future.\nThis method borders on \"data extrapolation\", which is making assumptions based on past data. Data extrapolation isn't great because the future is different from the past - so making future projections based on past data isn't ideal.\nBut after valuing hundreds of companies, I've found that this kind of style does a good job of getting the valuation approximately right. I always try to set my valuations low, because it's better to buy low and make a killing than buy high and lose money.\n\n Warren Buffett said, “The three most important words in investing are\n margin of safety.” That means to buy stuff on sale... That's the whole secret to great investing.\n\n\n Rule 1 Investing\n\nThis model is built on getting the valuation \"approximately right,\" and looking to buy with a large margin of safety. I hope you enjoy, and as always, I'll try to keep it clean and common sense.\nBusiness Model\nWhere does Amazon get its money? Amazon is split into 3 segments: North America, International, and AWS.\nAs a market leader in 2 high growth industries (E-commerce and cloud computing), Amazon will probably continue to see high growth in the future. In this section, I looked at the past revenue growth and operating margins for each of Amazon's segments, and I used this to make conservative future projections.\nAnd later, I added up the numbers from each segment to make projections for the whole company. Here's a look at AMZN's North America segment. This segment's revenue comes from retail sales and subscription service revenues.\nSource: Author with data from 2018 10-K,2019 10-K, and 2020 10-K\nI projected declining revenue growth and strong operating margins for this segment. I projected slower revenue growth, because I figure there has to be a cap on how much money Amazon can make in North America.\nHopefully, Amazon will exceed this revenue growth. But, I do think it would be a pretty incredible feat for Amazon to grow from $200B in revenue to $400B in 5 years.\nHere's a look at Amazon's International segment:\nSource: Author with data from 2018 10-K,2019 10-K, and 2020 10-K\nFor Amazon's international segment, I projected 20% annual revenue growth, and improving operating margins. I figured that operating margins would gradually improve until the margins reached a similar point to what Amazon sees in its US segment.\nAnd for Amazon's last and most exciting segment, here's AWS:\nSource: Author\nAWS is undoubtedly going to bring high growth for Amazon, and high profits. I projected that the AWS segment will probably continue to grow at a high rate. I projected a 25-30% annual revenue growth rate because cloud computing has a lot of room to grow, and according to Research and Markets, the cloud computing industry should grow at about 17.5% CAGR until 2025.\nAdditionally, I projected 28% operating margins, because the AWS business benefits from operating leverage. As more people use the software, the company is able to make higher margins as it spreads costs over more people. It's possible that Amazon could exceed 28% operating margins, so there might be upside to Amazon's fair value.\nThese projections were added together to help us figure out what the entire company should be worth.\nCapital Allocation\nHow does Amazon spend its money? You might find it interesting to analyze Amazon's capital allocation, so you can see what Amazon does with its money, and where it might be investing for the future.\nSource: Author\nThe biggest portion of Amazon's operating cash flows goes towards capital expenditures. From what I can tell, Amazon has not had any share activity over the past 5 years. The company has issued shares - but from the looks of the cash flow statement, it looks like they haven't raised any money from selling shares, and they haven't spent any money buying back shares.\n\n In February 2016, the Board of Directors authorized a program to repurchase up to $5.0 billion of our common stock, with no fixed expiration.\n There were no repurchases of common stock in 2018, 2019, or 2020.\n\n\n Source:2020 10-K page 60,\n emphasis added\n\nBut for our purposes, this quote shows that Amazon hasn't bought back any stock over the past 3 years. They also haven't spent any money on dividends, which is good because they're a high growth company.\nAmazon has consistently spent money on acquisitions and paying down debt. What's really interesting is that Amazon has built up a lot of spare cash over the past 5 years. Their cash position has risen about $58B since 2016, going from about $26B at the end of 2016 to about $84B at the end of 2020.\nAmazon has a lot more cash than they used to, so we could see future spending go towards a dividend, share buybacks, new acquisitions, or maybe more business investments that will lead to growth.\nValuation\nFirst, I used a discount rate of 7.7% for Amazon because that's what I found the company's weighted average cost of capital, or WACC, to be. I assumed an 8% cost of equity, and Amazon has averaged somewhere around a 20-30% tax rate over the past 10 years.\nSource: Author\nI used a DCF model to find Amazon's value today. In the model down below, you can see in the top 2 red boxes that I projected that the company would have lower revenue growth and strong operating margins.\nThis model projects that Amazon will have over $850B in revenue by 2025. That's absolutely nuts if you think about it, but based on estimated revenue growth, it seems feasible.\nRight now, Walmart(NYSE:WMT)leads the world in revenue with about $550B. Amazon sits in third place for annual revenue, with about $390B. In 5 years, Amazon could easily have the largest revenue of any company in the world.\nSource: Author\nDown at the bottom of this model, you can see there's a red box that projects unlevered FCF margins. This basically measures how much of the company's revenue will become business profits, without including interest or debt payments. In the turquoise box, I applied the discount rate to see what the future cash flows are worth today.\nSource: Author\nToday, it looks like Amazon is slightly overvalued. The model projects that the stock might be about 15% overvalued, and we could expect to make about 5% annual returns over the next 5 years if we invested today.\nThese estimations are based on the future cash flows that the business should generate. I don't hate Amazon or anything, I just don't think that Amazon stock would make a great investment at current prices.\nDown at the bottom, I threw in 2 \"Buy Prices\" where Amazon stock might be more appealing. The idea behind this is that the cheaper AMZN stock gets, the higher returns we can expect.\nThe model projects that you'd make around 15% annual returns at $2,200 per share, and you might make around 22% annual returns at $1,700 per share.\n\"But doesn't it seem unreasonable to set the buy price in the $2,000s when the stock's trading near $3,500?\" It does a little bit. It seems pretty unlikely that Amazon's share price will nose dive right down past $2,000.\nBut the idea is, if we're patient, we might get an opportunity to buy these shares underpriced. Last February, Amazon traded lower than $1,900 (I wish I bought some back then). We'll probably have opportunities in the future to buy Amazon at a discount.\nRecap\nToday, it seems like Amazon is slightly overvalued, because it seems to offer about 5% annual returns over the next 5 years. That doesn't mean you should sell Amazon if you're a long time holder, because Amazon should continue to do well as a leader in E-commerce and cloud computing.\nBut if you're looking for your next stock to invest in, Amazon seems to be too expensive right now. And if you've been eyeing Amazon for a while and you're looking to get in, now's not the best time to get into Amazon.\nEven if we don't invest in the stock, we can still watch Amazon as they become the company with the most revenue in the world. And there's a lot we can learn from studying Amazon and Jeff Bezos. He's a smart dude.\nThank you very much for reading, and I hope that you have a great rest of your day.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":277,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":152128546,"gmtCreate":1625277020385,"gmtModify":1633941868000,"author":{"id":"4087523982151170","authorId":"4087523982151170","name":"Fayedea","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9d26a7d632140dba3255747fafc07d3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087523982151170","authorIdStr":"4087523982151170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Me too","listText":"Me too","text":"Me too","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/152128546","repostId":"1188153141","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1188153141","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625276221,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1188153141?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-03 09:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Suze Orman worries about a market crash — here's what you should do<blockquote>Suze Orman担心市场崩盘——以下是您应该做的</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1188153141","media":"MoneyWise","summary":"As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for th","content":"<p>As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for the economy.</p><p><blockquote>随着股市继续创下纪录,新冠肺炎的影响继续给经济带来问题。</blockquote></p><p> That clash has worried investing experts, including Suze Orman, who's gone so far as to say she’s now preparing for an inevitable market crash.</p><p><blockquote>这场冲突让投资专家感到担忧,其中包括苏茜·欧曼(Suze Orman),她甚至表示,她现在正在为不可避免的市场崩盘做准备。</blockquote></p><p> And a famous measurement popularized by Warren Buffett — known as the Buffett Indicator — shows Orman might be onto something.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特推广的一项著名指标——巴菲特指标——表明奥曼可能有所发现。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s an explanation of where the concern is coming from and some techniques you can use tokeep your investment portfolio growingeven if the market goes south.</p><p><blockquote>以下解释了这种担忧的来源,以及即使市场下跌,您也可以使用一些技巧来保持投资组合的增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What does Suze Orman think?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苏西·奥曼是怎么想的?</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be8dc3ad363faad96bc575a22235562d\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Mediapunch/Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>Mediapunch/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Suze Orman has avidly watched the market for decades. She knows ups and downs are to be expected, but what she’s seeing happen with investment fads like GameStop has her concerned.</p><p><blockquote>几十年来,Suze Orman一直热切关注市场。她知道起起落落是意料之中的,但她所看到的像游戏驿站这样的投资时尚所发生的事情让她感到担忧。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t like what I see happening in the market right now,” Orman said in a video for CNBC. “The economy has been horrible, but the stock market has been going.”</p><p><blockquote>“我不喜欢现在市场上发生的事情,”奥曼在CNBC的视频中表示。“经济一直很糟糕,但股市一直在上涨。”</blockquote></p><p> While investing is as easy now asusing a smartphone app, Orman is concerned about where we can go from these record highs.</p><p><blockquote>虽然现在投资就像使用智能手机应用程序一样容易,但奥曼担心我们能从这些历史高点走向何方。</blockquote></p><p> And even with stimulus checks, which are still going out, and the real estate market breaking its own records last year, Orman worries about what will come with the coronavirus — especially as new variants continue to pop up.</p><p><blockquote>即使刺激支票仍在发放,房地产市场去年也打破了自己的记录,奥曼仍担心冠状病毒会带来什么——特别是在新变种不断出现的情况下。</blockquote></p><p> What's more, she feels it’s just been too long since the last crash to stay this high much longer.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是,她觉得距离上次崩盘已经太久了,不能再保持这么高的高度了。</blockquote></p><p> “This reminds me of 2000 all over again,” Orman says.</p><p><blockquote>“这让我又想起了2000年,”奥曼说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Buffett Indicator</b></p><p><blockquote><b>巴菲特指标</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44ada32ecadcc4581fed208f4f4e4d53\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Larry W Smith/EPA/Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>拉里·W·史密斯/EPA/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> One metric Warren Buffett uses to assess the market so regularly that it’s been named after him has been flashing red for long enough that market watchers are starting to wonder if it’s an outdated tool.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特经常用来评估市场的一项指标,以他的名字命名,已经亮起红灯足够长的时间,以至于市场观察人士开始怀疑这是否是一个过时的工具。</blockquote></p><p> But the Buffett Indicator, a measurement of the ratio of the stock market’s total value against U.S. economic output, continues to climb to previously unseen levels.</p><p><blockquote>但衡量股市总价值与美国经济产出比率的巴菲特指标继续攀升至前所未有的水平。</blockquote></p><p> And those in the know are wondering if it's a sign that we’re about to see a hard fall.</p><p><blockquote>知情人士想知道这是否是我们即将看到严重下跌的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> How to prepare for a crash<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ad912a6b4611d9e39b46d2851c78c9e\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Freedomz / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>如何为崩溃做好准备Freedomz/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Orman has three recommendations for setting up a simple investment strategy to help you successfully navigate any sharp turns in the market.</p><p><blockquote>Orman提出了三个建立简单投资策略的建议,以帮助您成功应对市场的任何急转弯。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Buy low</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.低吸</b></blockquote></p><p> Part of what upsets Orman so much about the furor over meme stocks like GameStop is it goes completely against the average investor’s interests.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼对游戏驿站等模因股票的狂热感到如此不安的部分原因是,它完全违背了普通投资者的利益。</blockquote></p><p> “All of you have your heads screwed on backwards,” she says. “All you want is for these markets to go up and up and up. What good is that going to do you?”</p><p><blockquote>“你们所有人的头都被拧到了后面,”她说。“你想要的只是这些市场不断上涨。这对你有什么好处?”</blockquote></p><p> She points out the only extra money most people have goes towardinvesting for retirementin their 401(k) or IRA plans.</p><p><blockquote>她指出,大多数人唯一的额外资金用于投资401(k)或IRA计划的退休生活。</blockquote></p><p> Because you probably don’t plan to touch that money for decades, the best long-term strategy is to buy low. That way, your dollar will go much further now, leaving plenty of room for growth over the next 20, 30 or 40 years.</p><p><blockquote>因为你可能几十年内都不打算碰这笔钱,所以最好的长期策略是低吸。这样,你的美元现在将走得更远,为未来20年、30年或40年留下足够的增长空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Invest on a schedule</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.按计划投资</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4102f8a6d5002090743b1cbded32ef9\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">katjen / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>卡珍/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> While she prefers to buy low, Orman doesn’t recommend you stop investing completely when the market goes up.</p><p><blockquote>虽然她更喜欢低价买入,但奥曼不建议你在市场上涨时完全停止投资。</blockquote></p><p> She wants casual investors to not get caught up in the daily ups and downs of the market.</p><p><blockquote>她希望普通投资者不要陷入市场每天的涨跌之中。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, cheering for downturns now may be your best bet at getting a larger piece of very profitable investments — like some lucky investors were able to do back in 2007 and 2008.</p><p><blockquote>事实上,现在为经济低迷欢呼可能是您获得更大份额利润丰厚的投资的最佳选择——就像一些幸运的投资者在2007年和2008年所做的那样。</blockquote></p><p> “When the market went down, down, down you could buy things at nothing,” says Orman. “And now look at them 15 years later.”</p><p><blockquote>“当市场下跌、下跌、下跌时,你可以免费购买东西,”奥曼说。“现在看看15年后的它们。”</blockquote></p><p> She suggests you set up a dollar-cost averaging strategy, which means you invest your money in equal portions at regular intervals, regardless of the market’s fluctuations.</p><p><blockquote>她建议你建立一个平均成本策略,这意味着无论市场波动如何,你都要定期等量投资。</blockquote></p><p> This kind of approach is easy to implement with any of the many investing apps currently available to DIY investors.</p><p><blockquote>这种方法很容易用目前可供DIY投资者使用的许多投资应用程序中的任何一个来实施。</blockquote></p><p> There are even apps that willautomatically invest your spare changeby rounding up your debit and credit card purchases to the nearest dollar.</p><p><blockquote>甚至有些应用程序会通过将您的借记卡和信用卡购买的金额四舍五入到最接近的美元来自动投资您的零钱。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Diversify with fractional shares</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.通过零碎股份实现多元化</b></blockquote></p><p> To help weather dips in specific corners of the market, Orman suggests you diversify your investments — balance your portfolio with investments in many different types of assets and sectors of the economy.</p><p><blockquote>为了帮助应对市场特定角落的下跌,奥曼建议您分散投资——通过投资多种不同类型的资产和经济部门来平衡您的投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> Orman particularly recommends fractional-share investing. This approach allows you to buy a slice of a share for a big-name company that you otherwise wouldn’t be able to afford.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼特别推荐零股投资。这种方法允许你购买一家知名公司的一部分股份,否则你将买不起。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> With the help of apopular stock-trading tool, anyone at any budget can afford the fractional share strategy.</p><p><blockquote>在流行的股票交易工具的帮助下,任何预算的人都可以负担得起碎股策略。</blockquote></p><p> “The sooner you begin, the more money you will have,” says Orman. “Just don’t stop, and when these markets go down, you should be so happy because your dollars find more shares.”</p><p><blockquote>“你越早开始,你拥有的钱就越多,”奥曼说。“只是不要停下来,当这些市场下跌时,你应该很高兴,因为你的美元找到了更多的份额。”</blockquote></p><p> “And the more shares you have, the more money you’ll have 20, 40, 50 years from now.”</p><p><blockquote>“你拥有的股票越多,20年、40年、50年后你拥有的钱就越多。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>What else you can do</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你还能做什么</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e79c6fd1f8fa6e3a7c3a6c94f1e14b5\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">goodluz / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>古德卢兹/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Whether or not a big crash is around the corner, investors who are still decades out from retirement can make that work for them, Orman said in theCNBC video.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼在CNBC视频中表示,无论大崩盘是否即将来临,距离退休还有几十年的投资者都可以利用这一点。</blockquote></p><p> First, prepare for the worst and hope for the best. Since the onset of the pandemic, Orman now recommends everyone have an emergency fund that can cover their expenses for a full year.</p><p><blockquote>第一,做最坏的打算,抱最好的希望。自从疫情爆发以来,奥曼现在建议每个人都有一个应急基金,可以支付他们一整年的费用。</blockquote></p><p> Then, to set yourself up fora comfortable retirement, she suggests you opt for a Roth account, whether that’s a 401(k) or IRA.</p><p><blockquote>然后,为了让自己过上舒适的退休生活,她建议您选择Roth账户,无论是401(k)还是IRA。</blockquote></p><p> That will help you avoid paying tax when you take money out of your retirement account because your contributions to a Roth account are made after tax. Traditional IRAs, on the other hand, aren’t taxed when you make contributions, so you’ll end up paying later.</p><p><blockquote>这将帮助您在从退休账户中提取资金时避免纳税,因为您对罗斯账户的供款是税后进行的。另一方面,传统IRA在您缴款时无需纳税,因此您最终会稍后付款。</blockquote></p><p> If you find you need a little more guidance, working with aprofessional financial adviser, can help point you in the right direction so you can confidently ride out any market volatility.</p><p><blockquote>如果您发现需要更多指导,与专业财务顾问合作可以帮助您指出正确的方向,以便您可以自信地度过任何市场波动。</blockquote></p><p> While everyone else is veering off course or overcorrecting, you’ll be firmly in the driver’s seat with your sunset years planned for.</p><p><blockquote>当其他人都在偏离路线或矫枉过正时,你将牢牢地坐在驾驶座上,计划好你的晚年。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1621813427262","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Suze Orman worries about a market crash — here's what you should do<blockquote>Suze Orman担心市场崩盘——以下是您应该做的</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSuze Orman worries about a market crash — here's what you should do<blockquote>Suze Orman担心市场崩盘——以下是您应该做的</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MoneyWise</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-03 09:37</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for the economy.</p><p><blockquote>随着股市继续创下纪录,新冠肺炎的影响继续给经济带来问题。</blockquote></p><p> That clash has worried investing experts, including Suze Orman, who's gone so far as to say she’s now preparing for an inevitable market crash.</p><p><blockquote>这场冲突让投资专家感到担忧,其中包括苏茜·欧曼(Suze Orman),她甚至表示,她现在正在为不可避免的市场崩盘做准备。</blockquote></p><p> And a famous measurement popularized by Warren Buffett — known as the Buffett Indicator — shows Orman might be onto something.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特推广的一项著名指标——巴菲特指标——表明奥曼可能有所发现。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s an explanation of where the concern is coming from and some techniques you can use tokeep your investment portfolio growingeven if the market goes south.</p><p><blockquote>以下解释了这种担忧的来源,以及即使市场下跌,您也可以使用一些技巧来保持投资组合的增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What does Suze Orman think?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苏西·奥曼是怎么想的?</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be8dc3ad363faad96bc575a22235562d\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Mediapunch/Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>Mediapunch/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Suze Orman has avidly watched the market for decades. She knows ups and downs are to be expected, but what she’s seeing happen with investment fads like GameStop has her concerned.</p><p><blockquote>几十年来,Suze Orman一直热切关注市场。她知道起起落落是意料之中的,但她所看到的像游戏驿站这样的投资时尚所发生的事情让她感到担忧。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t like what I see happening in the market right now,” Orman said in a video for CNBC. “The economy has been horrible, but the stock market has been going.”</p><p><blockquote>“我不喜欢现在市场上发生的事情,”奥曼在CNBC的视频中表示。“经济一直很糟糕,但股市一直在上涨。”</blockquote></p><p> While investing is as easy now asusing a smartphone app, Orman is concerned about where we can go from these record highs.</p><p><blockquote>虽然现在投资就像使用智能手机应用程序一样容易,但奥曼担心我们能从这些历史高点走向何方。</blockquote></p><p> And even with stimulus checks, which are still going out, and the real estate market breaking its own records last year, Orman worries about what will come with the coronavirus — especially as new variants continue to pop up.</p><p><blockquote>即使刺激支票仍在发放,房地产市场去年也打破了自己的记录,奥曼仍担心冠状病毒会带来什么——特别是在新变种不断出现的情况下。</blockquote></p><p> What's more, she feels it’s just been too long since the last crash to stay this high much longer.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是,她觉得距离上次崩盘已经太久了,不能再保持这么高的高度了。</blockquote></p><p> “This reminds me of 2000 all over again,” Orman says.</p><p><blockquote>“这让我又想起了2000年,”奥曼说。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Buffett Indicator</b></p><p><blockquote><b>巴菲特指标</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/44ada32ecadcc4581fed208f4f4e4d53\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Larry W Smith/EPA/Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>拉里·W·史密斯/EPA/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> One metric Warren Buffett uses to assess the market so regularly that it’s been named after him has been flashing red for long enough that market watchers are starting to wonder if it’s an outdated tool.</p><p><blockquote>沃伦·巴菲特经常用来评估市场的一项指标,以他的名字命名,已经亮起红灯足够长的时间,以至于市场观察人士开始怀疑这是否是一个过时的工具。</blockquote></p><p> But the Buffett Indicator, a measurement of the ratio of the stock market’s total value against U.S. economic output, continues to climb to previously unseen levels.</p><p><blockquote>但衡量股市总价值与美国经济产出比率的巴菲特指标继续攀升至前所未有的水平。</blockquote></p><p> And those in the know are wondering if it's a sign that we’re about to see a hard fall.</p><p><blockquote>知情人士想知道这是否是我们即将看到严重下跌的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> How to prepare for a crash<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1ad912a6b4611d9e39b46d2851c78c9e\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Freedomz / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>如何为崩溃做好准备Freedomz/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Orman has three recommendations for setting up a simple investment strategy to help you successfully navigate any sharp turns in the market.</p><p><blockquote>Orman提出了三个建立简单投资策略的建议,以帮助您成功应对市场的任何急转弯。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Buy low</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.低吸</b></blockquote></p><p> Part of what upsets Orman so much about the furor over meme stocks like GameStop is it goes completely against the average investor’s interests.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼对游戏驿站等模因股票的狂热感到如此不安的部分原因是,它完全违背了普通投资者的利益。</blockquote></p><p> “All of you have your heads screwed on backwards,” she says. “All you want is for these markets to go up and up and up. What good is that going to do you?”</p><p><blockquote>“你们所有人的头都被拧到了后面,”她说。“你想要的只是这些市场不断上涨。这对你有什么好处?”</blockquote></p><p> She points out the only extra money most people have goes towardinvesting for retirementin their 401(k) or IRA plans.</p><p><blockquote>她指出,大多数人唯一的额外资金用于投资401(k)或IRA计划的退休生活。</blockquote></p><p> Because you probably don’t plan to touch that money for decades, the best long-term strategy is to buy low. That way, your dollar will go much further now, leaving plenty of room for growth over the next 20, 30 or 40 years.</p><p><blockquote>因为你可能几十年内都不打算碰这笔钱,所以最好的长期策略是低吸。这样,你的美元现在将走得更远,为未来20年、30年或40年留下足够的增长空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Invest on a schedule</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.按计划投资</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e4102f8a6d5002090743b1cbded32ef9\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">katjen / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>卡珍/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> While she prefers to buy low, Orman doesn’t recommend you stop investing completely when the market goes up.</p><p><blockquote>虽然她更喜欢低价买入,但奥曼不建议你在市场上涨时完全停止投资。</blockquote></p><p> She wants casual investors to not get caught up in the daily ups and downs of the market.</p><p><blockquote>她希望普通投资者不要陷入市场每天的涨跌之中。</blockquote></p><p> In fact, cheering for downturns now may be your best bet at getting a larger piece of very profitable investments — like some lucky investors were able to do back in 2007 and 2008.</p><p><blockquote>事实上,现在为经济低迷欢呼可能是您获得更大份额利润丰厚的投资的最佳选择——就像一些幸运的投资者在2007年和2008年所做的那样。</blockquote></p><p> “When the market went down, down, down you could buy things at nothing,” says Orman. “And now look at them 15 years later.”</p><p><blockquote>“当市场下跌、下跌、下跌时,你可以免费购买东西,”奥曼说。“现在看看15年后的它们。”</blockquote></p><p> She suggests you set up a dollar-cost averaging strategy, which means you invest your money in equal portions at regular intervals, regardless of the market’s fluctuations.</p><p><blockquote>她建议你建立一个平均成本策略,这意味着无论市场波动如何,你都要定期等量投资。</blockquote></p><p> This kind of approach is easy to implement with any of the many investing apps currently available to DIY investors.</p><p><blockquote>这种方法很容易用目前可供DIY投资者使用的许多投资应用程序中的任何一个来实施。</blockquote></p><p> There are even apps that willautomatically invest your spare changeby rounding up your debit and credit card purchases to the nearest dollar.</p><p><blockquote>甚至有些应用程序会通过将您的借记卡和信用卡购买的金额四舍五入到最接近的美元来自动投资您的零钱。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Diversify with fractional shares</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.通过零碎股份实现多元化</b></blockquote></p><p> To help weather dips in specific corners of the market, Orman suggests you diversify your investments — balance your portfolio with investments in many different types of assets and sectors of the economy.</p><p><blockquote>为了帮助应对市场特定角落的下跌,奥曼建议您分散投资——通过投资多种不同类型的资产和经济部门来平衡您的投资组合。</blockquote></p><p> Orman particularly recommends fractional-share investing. This approach allows you to buy a slice of a share for a big-name company that you otherwise wouldn’t be able to afford.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼特别推荐零股投资。这种方法允许你购买一家知名公司的一部分股份,否则你将买不起。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> With the help of apopular stock-trading tool, anyone at any budget can afford the fractional share strategy.</p><p><blockquote>在流行的股票交易工具的帮助下,任何预算的人都可以负担得起碎股策略。</blockquote></p><p> “The sooner you begin, the more money you will have,” says Orman. “Just don’t stop, and when these markets go down, you should be so happy because your dollars find more shares.”</p><p><blockquote>“你越早开始,你拥有的钱就越多,”奥曼说。“只是不要停下来,当这些市场下跌时,你应该很高兴,因为你的美元找到了更多的份额。”</blockquote></p><p> “And the more shares you have, the more money you’ll have 20, 40, 50 years from now.”</p><p><blockquote>“你拥有的股票越多,20年、40年、50年后你拥有的钱就越多。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>What else you can do</b></p><p><blockquote><b>你还能做什么</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e79c6fd1f8fa6e3a7c3a6c94f1e14b5\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"293\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">goodluz / Shutterstock</p><p><blockquote>古德卢兹/Shutterstock</blockquote></p><p> Whether or not a big crash is around the corner, investors who are still decades out from retirement can make that work for them, Orman said in theCNBC video.</p><p><blockquote>奥曼在CNBC视频中表示,无论大崩盘是否即将来临,距离退休还有几十年的投资者都可以利用这一点。</blockquote></p><p> First, prepare for the worst and hope for the best. Since the onset of the pandemic, Orman now recommends everyone have an emergency fund that can cover their expenses for a full year.</p><p><blockquote>第一,做最坏的打算,抱最好的希望。自从疫情爆发以来,奥曼现在建议每个人都有一个应急基金,可以支付他们一整年的费用。</blockquote></p><p> Then, to set yourself up fora comfortable retirement, she suggests you opt for a Roth account, whether that’s a 401(k) or IRA.</p><p><blockquote>然后,为了让自己过上舒适的退休生活,她建议您选择Roth账户,无论是401(k)还是IRA。</blockquote></p><p> That will help you avoid paying tax when you take money out of your retirement account because your contributions to a Roth account are made after tax. Traditional IRAs, on the other hand, aren’t taxed when you make contributions, so you’ll end up paying later.</p><p><blockquote>这将帮助您在从退休账户中提取资金时避免纳税,因为您对罗斯账户的供款是税后进行的。另一方面,传统IRA在您缴款时无需纳税,因此您最终会稍后付款。</blockquote></p><p> If you find you need a little more guidance, working with aprofessional financial adviser, can help point you in the right direction so you can confidently ride out any market volatility.</p><p><blockquote>如果您发现需要更多指导,与专业财务顾问合作可以帮助您指出正确的方向,以便您可以自信地度过任何市场波动。</blockquote></p><p> While everyone else is veering off course or overcorrecting, you’ll be firmly in the driver’s seat with your sunset years planned for.</p><p><blockquote>当其他人都在偏离路线或矫枉过正时,你将牢牢地坐在驾驶座上,计划好你的晚年。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/suze-orman-worries-market-crash-220000108.html\">MoneyWise</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/suze-orman-worries-market-crash-220000108.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1188153141","content_text":"As stock markets continue setting records, fallout from COVID-19 continues to create problems for the economy.\nThat clash has worried investing experts, including Suze Orman, who's gone so far as to say she’s now preparing for an inevitable market crash.\nAnd a famous measurement popularized by Warren Buffett — known as the Buffett Indicator — shows Orman might be onto something.\nHere’s an explanation of where the concern is coming from and some techniques you can use tokeep your investment portfolio growingeven if the market goes south.\nWhat does Suze Orman think?\nMediapunch/Shutterstock\nSuze Orman has avidly watched the market for decades. She knows ups and downs are to be expected, but what she’s seeing happen with investment fads like GameStop has her concerned.\n“I don’t like what I see happening in the market right now,” Orman said in a video for CNBC. “The economy has been horrible, but the stock market has been going.”\nWhile investing is as easy now asusing a smartphone app, Orman is concerned about where we can go from these record highs.\nAnd even with stimulus checks, which are still going out, and the real estate market breaking its own records last year, Orman worries about what will come with the coronavirus — especially as new variants continue to pop up.\nWhat's more, she feels it’s just been too long since the last crash to stay this high much longer.\n“This reminds me of 2000 all over again,” Orman says.\nThe Buffett Indicator\nLarry W Smith/EPA/Shutterstock\nOne metric Warren Buffett uses to assess the market so regularly that it’s been named after him has been flashing red for long enough that market watchers are starting to wonder if it’s an outdated tool.\nBut the Buffett Indicator, a measurement of the ratio of the stock market’s total value against U.S. economic output, continues to climb to previously unseen levels.\nAnd those in the know are wondering if it's a sign that we’re about to see a hard fall.\nHow to prepare for a crashFreedomz / Shutterstock\nOrman has three recommendations for setting up a simple investment strategy to help you successfully navigate any sharp turns in the market.\n1. Buy low\nPart of what upsets Orman so much about the furor over meme stocks like GameStop is it goes completely against the average investor’s interests.\n“All of you have your heads screwed on backwards,” she says. “All you want is for these markets to go up and up and up. What good is that going to do you?”\nShe points out the only extra money most people have goes towardinvesting for retirementin their 401(k) or IRA plans.\nBecause you probably don’t plan to touch that money for decades, the best long-term strategy is to buy low. That way, your dollar will go much further now, leaving plenty of room for growth over the next 20, 30 or 40 years.\n2. Invest on a schedule\nkatjen / Shutterstock\nWhile she prefers to buy low, Orman doesn’t recommend you stop investing completely when the market goes up.\nShe wants casual investors to not get caught up in the daily ups and downs of the market.\nIn fact, cheering for downturns now may be your best bet at getting a larger piece of very profitable investments — like some lucky investors were able to do back in 2007 and 2008.\n“When the market went down, down, down you could buy things at nothing,” says Orman. “And now look at them 15 years later.”\nShe suggests you set up a dollar-cost averaging strategy, which means you invest your money in equal portions at regular intervals, regardless of the market’s fluctuations.\nThis kind of approach is easy to implement with any of the many investing apps currently available to DIY investors.\nThere are even apps that willautomatically invest your spare changeby rounding up your debit and credit card purchases to the nearest dollar.\n3. Diversify with fractional shares\nTo help weather dips in specific corners of the market, Orman suggests you diversify your investments — balance your portfolio with investments in many different types of assets and sectors of the economy.\nOrman particularly recommends fractional-share investing. This approach allows you to buy a slice of a share for a big-name company that you otherwise wouldn’t be able to afford.\nWith the help of apopular stock-trading tool, anyone at any budget can afford the fractional share strategy.\n“The sooner you begin, the more money you will have,” says Orman. “Just don’t stop, and when these markets go down, you should be so happy because your dollars find more shares.”\n“And the more shares you have, the more money you’ll have 20, 40, 50 years from now.”\nWhat else you can do\ngoodluz / Shutterstock\nWhether or not a big crash is around the corner, investors who are still decades out from retirement can make that work for them, Orman said in theCNBC video.\nFirst, prepare for the worst and hope for the best. Since the onset of the pandemic, Orman now recommends everyone have an emergency fund that can cover their expenses for a full year.\nThen, to set yourself up fora comfortable retirement, she suggests you opt for a Roth account, whether that’s a 401(k) or IRA.\nThat will help you avoid paying tax when you take money out of your retirement account because your contributions to a Roth account are made after tax. Traditional IRAs, on the other hand, aren’t taxed when you make contributions, so you’ll end up paying later.\nIf you find you need a little more guidance, working with aprofessional financial adviser, can help point you in the right direction so you can confidently ride out any market volatility.\nWhile everyone else is veering off course or overcorrecting, you’ll be firmly in the driver’s seat with your sunset years planned for.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":551,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":895370589,"gmtCreate":1628726549341,"gmtModify":1633744855313,"author":{"id":"4087523982151170","authorId":"4087523982151170","name":"Fayedea","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9d26a7d632140dba3255747fafc07d3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087523982151170","authorIdStr":"4087523982151170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest","listText":"Latest","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/895370589","repostId":"1146833505","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":484,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":899262038,"gmtCreate":1628201569224,"gmtModify":1633752784543,"author":{"id":"4087523982151170","authorId":"4087523982151170","name":"Fayedea","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9d26a7d632140dba3255747fafc07d3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087523982151170","authorIdStr":"4087523982151170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latesr","listText":"Latesr","text":"Latesr","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/899262038","repostId":"2157458815","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":494,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":898920045,"gmtCreate":1628469358887,"gmtModify":1633747007821,"author":{"id":"4087523982151170","authorId":"4087523982151170","name":"Fayedea","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9d26a7d632140dba3255747fafc07d3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087523982151170","authorIdStr":"4087523982151170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest ","listText":"Latest ","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898920045","repostId":"1136322726","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":663,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":891862398,"gmtCreate":1628379955014,"gmtModify":1633751421841,"author":{"id":"4087523982151170","authorId":"4087523982151170","name":"Fayedea","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9d26a7d632140dba3255747fafc07d3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087523982151170","authorIdStr":"4087523982151170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest","listText":"Latest","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/891862398","repostId":"2157492883","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":524,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":893562738,"gmtCreate":1628289557124,"gmtModify":1633752025564,"author":{"id":"4087523982151170","authorId":"4087523982151170","name":"Fayedea","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9d26a7d632140dba3255747fafc07d3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087523982151170","authorIdStr":"4087523982151170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great news","listText":"Great news","text":"Great news","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/893562738","repostId":"1155656235","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1155656235","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628227304,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1155656235?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-06 13:21","market":"us","language":"en","title":"20 cloud stocks expected to increase sales the most over the next two years<blockquote>预计未来两年销售额增幅最大的20只云股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155656235","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Cloud ETFs are close to record highs, propelled by a rally in the sector\nAnalysts see stellar sales ","content":"<p>Cloud ETFs are close to record highs, propelled by a rally in the sector</p><p><blockquote>在该行业反弹的推动下,云ETF接近历史新高</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78101d8010e186fe4df59b2ef82b5de6\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"394\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Analysts see stellar sales growth ahead for companies that provide cloud services. (Getty Images/iStockphoto)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>分析师预计,提供云服务的公司未来将实现强劲的销售增长。(盖蒂图片社/iStockphoto)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> U.S. investors remain bullish, despite rumblings out of China and the spike in delta variant infections.</p><p><blockquote>尽管来自中国的传言和德尔塔变异毒株感染人数激增,但美国投资者仍然看涨。</blockquote></p><p> Cloud companies — those at the forefront of the shift in computing power to distributed models over the internet — are expected to grow at a rapid clip over the next several years, and four of the five largest exchange traded funds covering the space are close to hitting record highs.</p><p><blockquote>云公司——那些处于计算能力向互联网分布式模式转变前沿的公司——预计将在未来几年快速增长,覆盖该领域的五家最大交易所交易基金中有四家即将创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Below is a screen of stocks held by those ETFs, showing which are expected to increase their sales the most through 2023. In an industry with many players at relatively early stages, increases in sales, rather than in earnings, might be the best driver of stock prices.</p><p><blockquote>下面是这些ETF持有的股票屏幕,显示了预计到2023年销售额增幅最大的股票。在一个许多参与者处于相对早期阶段的行业中,销售额的增长而不是盈利的增长可能是股价的最佳驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> To begin the screen, we looked at the five largest cloud ETFs:</p><p><blockquote>首先,我们查看了五只最大的云ETF:</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36209ce827d95e822cad5128be8b146a\" tg-width=\"933\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: FactSet</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源:FactSet</span></p></blockquote></p><p> ETFs might be your best way to take a broad approach for a long-term play on the cloud revolution. If you are interested in any ETF, you should review the fund manager’s website.</p><p><blockquote>ETF可能是您采取广泛方法长期参与云革命的最佳方式。如果您对任何ETF感兴趣,您应该查看基金经理的网站。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s a comparison of total returns through Aug. 4, along with those for the SPDR S&P 500 ETF and the Invesco QQQ Trust (which tracks the Nasdaq-100 Index) for comparison:</p><p><blockquote>以下是截至8月4日的总回报比较,以及SPDR标普500 ETF和Invesco QQQ Trust(跟踪纳斯达克100指数)的总回报比较:</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/242f135b3c7cca3cbaae3ee574023c1f\" tg-width=\"942\" tg-height=\"577\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: FactSet</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源:FactSet</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The ETFs’ approaches differ. For example, the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF is the only one that is actively managed. The others track an index. It is also the only one that holds shares of Tesla Inc.,which makes up 10.65% of the portfolio, according to information posted by ARK Invest on Aug. 5. Tesla is an electric-vehicle manufacturer, but it can also be considered a cloud company because it distributes software updates over the internet continually, and offers other cloud-based services.</p><p><blockquote>ETF的方法不同。例如,方舟下一代互联网ETF是唯一一只主动管理的。其他人跟踪一个指数。根据Ark Invest 8月5日发布的信息,它也是唯一一家持有特斯拉公司股票的公司,占投资组合的10.65%。特斯拉是一家电动汽车制造商,但它也可以被视为一家云公司,因为它不断通过互联网分发软件更新,并提供其他基于云的服务。</blockquote></p><p> Another holding unique to ARKW among the five cloud ETFs is Walt Disney Co.,which is certainly an important cloud player through its Disney+ streaming service, even if the company doesn’t say directly how much of its sales are derived from that rapidly growing segment.</p><p><blockquote>在五只云ETF中,ARKW独有的另一个持股是华特迪士尼公司,该公司通过其Disney+流媒体服务无疑是一个重要的云参与者,即使该公司没有直接说明其销售额有多少来自该快速增长的部分。</blockquote></p><p> As part of its description of ARKW, FactSet says the following:</p><p><blockquote>作为对ARKW描述的一部分,FactSet表示如下:</blockquote></p><p> <i>“Broadly speaking, the ARKW’s managers appear focused on big buzzwords such as Internet of Things, cloud computing, digital currencies and wearable technology. While the fund’s focus may be appealing for investors with conviction in these new technologies, portfolio implementation is a more difficult task: Most of the companies developing these advancements are huge corporations for which nascent technologies are only a small fraction of total revenues. As such, it’s very difficult to get pure-play access to ARKW’s targeted technologies — so be sure to confirm that the fund’s holdings — not just its thesis — align with your view of the space.”</i></p><p><blockquote><i>“从广义上讲,ARKW的管理者似乎专注于物联网、云计算、数字货币和可穿戴技术等热门词汇。虽然该基金的重点可能是吸引对这些新技术有信心的投资者,但投资组合的实施是一项更加困难的任务:大多数开发这些进步的公司都是大公司,新兴技术仅占总收入的一小部分。因此,很难纯粹接触ARKW的目标技术,因此请务必确认该基金的持股(而不仅仅是其论点)与您对该领域的看法一致。”</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Cloud-stock screen</b></p><p><blockquote><b>云库存屏幕</b></blockquote></p><p> Together, the five cloud ETFs listed above hold 147 stocks. To project sales growth through 2023, we used calendar 2020 sales estimates as a baseline and then looked at consensus estimates among analysts polled by FactSet for the subsequent three years, if available. (The 2020 numbers are estimates, because many companies’ fiscal years don’t match the calendar.)</p><p><blockquote>上面列出的五只云ETF总共持有147只股票。为了预测2023年的销售增长,我们使用2020年日历的销售预测作为基线,然后查看FactSet调查的分析师对随后三年的一致预测(如果有)。(2020年的数字是估计值,因为许多公司的财年与日历不符。)</blockquote></p><p> To make sure we had a solid set of estimates, we confined the group to the 126 companies covered by at least five analysts polled by FactSet, for which consensus sales estimates for calendar 2020 through calendar 2023 are available.</p><p><blockquote>为了确保我们有一套可靠的估计,我们将该小组限制在FactSet调查的至少5名分析师覆盖的126家公司,这些公司可以获得2020年至2023年的一致销售估计。</blockquote></p><p> Here are the 20 companies projected to have the highest compound annual growth rates (CAGR) for sales through calendar 2023:</p><p><blockquote>以下是预计到2023年销售额复合年增长率(CAGR)最高的20家公司:</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/517a23591cde159fb889ab80abc4bcc6\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"765\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6af2cf5b5f9f0ce50f8f023ac7babc7f\" tg-width=\"935\" tg-height=\"717\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b88ebe72e09cb9ce3294269f0a4ae431\" tg-width=\"935\" tg-height=\"403\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: FactSet</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源:FactSet</span></p></blockquote></p><p> There are actually 21 stocks listed, including Zillow Group Inc.’s Class A and Class C shares.</p><p><blockquote>实际上有21只股票上市,包括Zillow Group Inc.的A类和C类股票。</blockquote></p><p> It is interesting to see that the list is dominated by stocks held by ARKW. The fund has a broad definition of cloud companies and is focused also on sales growth.</p><p><blockquote>有趣的是,该榜单以ARKW持有的股票为主。该基金对云公司有广泛的定义,也关注销售增长。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Here are current forward price-to-sales ratios based on consensus estimates for the next 12 months, as well as ratios of current market cap to projected 2023 sales and summaries of analysts’ opinions about the stocks.</p><p><blockquote>以下是基于未来12个月共识预测的当前远期市销率、当前市值与2023年预计销售额的比率以及分析师对这些股票的意见摘要。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19b9c4bf1d8b1abcfa76b7d008a47ad7\" tg-width=\"938\" tg-height=\"805\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ff191189c5d7d2f31698843734ca3cc\" tg-width=\"933\" tg-height=\"773\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e9543489c4d52d3f1a69dfdcf170115\" tg-width=\"930\" tg-height=\"242\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: FactSet</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源:FactSet</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In comparison, the forward price-to-sales ratio for SPY is 2.8, with a price/2023 estimated sales ratio of 2.6. For QQQ, the current P/S is 4.7, declining to 4.3 for 2023.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下,SPDR标普500指数ETF的远期市销率为2.8,2023年预计市销率为2.6。对于QQQ,目前的市盈率为4.7,2023年将降至4.3。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>20 cloud stocks expected to increase sales the most over the next two years<blockquote>预计未来两年销售额增幅最大的20只云股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n20 cloud stocks expected to increase sales the most over the next two years<blockquote>预计未来两年销售额增幅最大的20只云股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-06 13:21</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Cloud ETFs are close to record highs, propelled by a rally in the sector</p><p><blockquote>在该行业反弹的推动下,云ETF接近历史新高</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78101d8010e186fe4df59b2ef82b5de6\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"394\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Analysts see stellar sales growth ahead for companies that provide cloud services. (Getty Images/iStockphoto)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>分析师预计,提供云服务的公司未来将实现强劲的销售增长。(盖蒂图片社/iStockphoto)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> U.S. investors remain bullish, despite rumblings out of China and the spike in delta variant infections.</p><p><blockquote>尽管来自中国的传言和德尔塔变异毒株感染人数激增,但美国投资者仍然看涨。</blockquote></p><p> Cloud companies — those at the forefront of the shift in computing power to distributed models over the internet — are expected to grow at a rapid clip over the next several years, and four of the five largest exchange traded funds covering the space are close to hitting record highs.</p><p><blockquote>云公司——那些处于计算能力向互联网分布式模式转变前沿的公司——预计将在未来几年快速增长,覆盖该领域的五家最大交易所交易基金中有四家即将创下历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> Below is a screen of stocks held by those ETFs, showing which are expected to increase their sales the most through 2023. In an industry with many players at relatively early stages, increases in sales, rather than in earnings, might be the best driver of stock prices.</p><p><blockquote>下面是这些ETF持有的股票屏幕,显示了预计到2023年销售额增幅最大的股票。在一个许多参与者处于相对早期阶段的行业中,销售额的增长而不是盈利的增长可能是股价的最佳驱动力。</blockquote></p><p> To begin the screen, we looked at the five largest cloud ETFs:</p><p><blockquote>首先,我们查看了五只最大的云ETF:</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36209ce827d95e822cad5128be8b146a\" tg-width=\"933\" tg-height=\"664\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: FactSet</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源:FactSet</span></p></blockquote></p><p> ETFs might be your best way to take a broad approach for a long-term play on the cloud revolution. If you are interested in any ETF, you should review the fund manager’s website.</p><p><blockquote>ETF可能是您采取广泛方法长期参与云革命的最佳方式。如果您对任何ETF感兴趣,您应该查看基金经理的网站。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s a comparison of total returns through Aug. 4, along with those for the SPDR S&P 500 ETF and the Invesco QQQ Trust (which tracks the Nasdaq-100 Index) for comparison:</p><p><blockquote>以下是截至8月4日的总回报比较,以及SPDR标普500 ETF和Invesco QQQ Trust(跟踪纳斯达克100指数)的总回报比较:</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/242f135b3c7cca3cbaae3ee574023c1f\" tg-width=\"942\" tg-height=\"577\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: FactSet</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源:FactSet</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The ETFs’ approaches differ. For example, the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF is the only one that is actively managed. The others track an index. It is also the only one that holds shares of Tesla Inc.,which makes up 10.65% of the portfolio, according to information posted by ARK Invest on Aug. 5. Tesla is an electric-vehicle manufacturer, but it can also be considered a cloud company because it distributes software updates over the internet continually, and offers other cloud-based services.</p><p><blockquote>ETF的方法不同。例如,方舟下一代互联网ETF是唯一一只主动管理的。其他人跟踪一个指数。根据Ark Invest 8月5日发布的信息,它也是唯一一家持有特斯拉公司股票的公司,占投资组合的10.65%。特斯拉是一家电动汽车制造商,但它也可以被视为一家云公司,因为它不断通过互联网分发软件更新,并提供其他基于云的服务。</blockquote></p><p> Another holding unique to ARKW among the five cloud ETFs is Walt Disney Co.,which is certainly an important cloud player through its Disney+ streaming service, even if the company doesn’t say directly how much of its sales are derived from that rapidly growing segment.</p><p><blockquote>在五只云ETF中,ARKW独有的另一个持股是华特迪士尼公司,该公司通过其Disney+流媒体服务无疑是一个重要的云参与者,即使该公司没有直接说明其销售额有多少来自该快速增长的部分。</blockquote></p><p> As part of its description of ARKW, FactSet says the following:</p><p><blockquote>作为对ARKW描述的一部分,FactSet表示如下:</blockquote></p><p> <i>“Broadly speaking, the ARKW’s managers appear focused on big buzzwords such as Internet of Things, cloud computing, digital currencies and wearable technology. While the fund’s focus may be appealing for investors with conviction in these new technologies, portfolio implementation is a more difficult task: Most of the companies developing these advancements are huge corporations for which nascent technologies are only a small fraction of total revenues. As such, it’s very difficult to get pure-play access to ARKW’s targeted technologies — so be sure to confirm that the fund’s holdings — not just its thesis — align with your view of the space.”</i></p><p><blockquote><i>“从广义上讲,ARKW的管理者似乎专注于物联网、云计算、数字货币和可穿戴技术等热门词汇。虽然该基金的重点可能是吸引对这些新技术有信心的投资者,但投资组合的实施是一项更加困难的任务:大多数开发这些进步的公司都是大公司,新兴技术仅占总收入的一小部分。因此,很难纯粹接触ARKW的目标技术,因此请务必确认该基金的持股(而不仅仅是其论点)与您对该领域的看法一致。”</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Cloud-stock screen</b></p><p><blockquote><b>云库存屏幕</b></blockquote></p><p> Together, the five cloud ETFs listed above hold 147 stocks. To project sales growth through 2023, we used calendar 2020 sales estimates as a baseline and then looked at consensus estimates among analysts polled by FactSet for the subsequent three years, if available. (The 2020 numbers are estimates, because many companies’ fiscal years don’t match the calendar.)</p><p><blockquote>上面列出的五只云ETF总共持有147只股票。为了预测2023年的销售增长,我们使用2020年日历的销售预测作为基线,然后查看FactSet调查的分析师对随后三年的一致预测(如果有)。(2020年的数字是估计值,因为许多公司的财年与日历不符。)</blockquote></p><p> To make sure we had a solid set of estimates, we confined the group to the 126 companies covered by at least five analysts polled by FactSet, for which consensus sales estimates for calendar 2020 through calendar 2023 are available.</p><p><blockquote>为了确保我们有一套可靠的估计,我们将该小组限制在FactSet调查的至少5名分析师覆盖的126家公司,这些公司可以获得2020年至2023年的一致销售估计。</blockquote></p><p> Here are the 20 companies projected to have the highest compound annual growth rates (CAGR) for sales through calendar 2023:</p><p><blockquote>以下是预计到2023年销售额复合年增长率(CAGR)最高的20家公司:</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/517a23591cde159fb889ab80abc4bcc6\" tg-width=\"934\" tg-height=\"765\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6af2cf5b5f9f0ce50f8f023ac7babc7f\" tg-width=\"935\" tg-height=\"717\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b88ebe72e09cb9ce3294269f0a4ae431\" tg-width=\"935\" tg-height=\"403\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: FactSet</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源:FactSet</span></p></blockquote></p><p> There are actually 21 stocks listed, including Zillow Group Inc.’s Class A and Class C shares.</p><p><blockquote>实际上有21只股票上市,包括Zillow Group Inc.的A类和C类股票。</blockquote></p><p> It is interesting to see that the list is dominated by stocks held by ARKW. The fund has a broad definition of cloud companies and is focused also on sales growth.</p><p><blockquote>有趣的是,该榜单以ARKW持有的股票为主。该基金对云公司有广泛的定义,也关注销售增长。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Here are current forward price-to-sales ratios based on consensus estimates for the next 12 months, as well as ratios of current market cap to projected 2023 sales and summaries of analysts’ opinions about the stocks.</p><p><blockquote>以下是基于未来12个月共识预测的当前远期市销率、当前市值与2023年预计销售额的比率以及分析师对这些股票的意见摘要。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/19b9c4bf1d8b1abcfa76b7d008a47ad7\" tg-width=\"938\" tg-height=\"805\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2ff191189c5d7d2f31698843734ca3cc\" tg-width=\"933\" tg-height=\"773\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e9543489c4d52d3f1a69dfdcf170115\" tg-width=\"930\" tg-height=\"242\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: FactSet</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源:FactSet</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In comparison, the forward price-to-sales ratio for SPY is 2.8, with a price/2023 estimated sales ratio of 2.6. For QQQ, the current P/S is 4.7, declining to 4.3 for 2023.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下,SPDR标普500指数ETF的远期市销率为2.8,2023年预计市销率为2.6。对于QQQ,目前的市盈率为4.7,2023年将降至4.3。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/20-cloud-stocks-expected-to-increase-sales-the-most-over-the-next-two-years-11628186683?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"OKTA":"Okta Inc.","CRWD":"CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc.","MELI":"MercadoLibre","TDOC":"Teladoc Health Inc.","TSLA":"特斯拉","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","PDD":"拼多多","LC":"LendingClub","VCYT":"Veracyte Inc","PINS":"Pinterest, Inc.","SHOP":"Shopify Inc","SNAP":"Snap Inc","DKNG":"DraftKings Inc.","ADYEY":"Adyen N.V.","ROKU":"Roku Inc","SKLZ":"Skillz Inc","SE":"Sea Ltd","KC":"金山云","ZG":"Zillow Class A","Z":"Zillow"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/20-cloud-stocks-expected-to-increase-sales-the-most-over-the-next-two-years-11628186683?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1155656235","content_text":"Cloud ETFs are close to record highs, propelled by a rally in the sector\nAnalysts see stellar sales growth ahead for companies that provide cloud services. (Getty Images/iStockphoto)\nU.S. investors remain bullish, despite rumblings out of China and the spike in delta variant infections.\nCloud companies — those at the forefront of the shift in computing power to distributed models over the internet — are expected to grow at a rapid clip over the next several years, and four of the five largest exchange traded funds covering the space are close to hitting record highs.\nBelow is a screen of stocks held by those ETFs, showing which are expected to increase their sales the most through 2023. In an industry with many players at relatively early stages, increases in sales, rather than in earnings, might be the best driver of stock prices.\nTo begin the screen, we looked at the five largest cloud ETFs:\nSource: FactSet\nETFs might be your best way to take a broad approach for a long-term play on the cloud revolution. If you are interested in any ETF, you should review the fund manager’s website.\nHere’s a comparison of total returns through Aug. 4, along with those for the SPDR S&P 500 ETF and the Invesco QQQ Trust (which tracks the Nasdaq-100 Index) for comparison:\nSource: FactSet\nThe ETFs’ approaches differ. For example, the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF is the only one that is actively managed. The others track an index. It is also the only one that holds shares of Tesla Inc.,which makes up 10.65% of the portfolio, according to information posted by ARK Invest on Aug. 5. Tesla is an electric-vehicle manufacturer, but it can also be considered a cloud company because it distributes software updates over the internet continually, and offers other cloud-based services.\nAnother holding unique to ARKW among the five cloud ETFs is Walt Disney Co.,which is certainly an important cloud player through its Disney+ streaming service, even if the company doesn’t say directly how much of its sales are derived from that rapidly growing segment.\nAs part of its description of ARKW, FactSet says the following:\n“Broadly speaking, the ARKW’s managers appear focused on big buzzwords such as Internet of Things, cloud computing, digital currencies and wearable technology. While the fund’s focus may be appealing for investors with conviction in these new technologies, portfolio implementation is a more difficult task: Most of the companies developing these advancements are huge corporations for which nascent technologies are only a small fraction of total revenues. As such, it’s very difficult to get pure-play access to ARKW’s targeted technologies — so be sure to confirm that the fund’s holdings — not just its thesis — align with your view of the space.”\nCloud-stock screen\nTogether, the five cloud ETFs listed above hold 147 stocks. To project sales growth through 2023, we used calendar 2020 sales estimates as a baseline and then looked at consensus estimates among analysts polled by FactSet for the subsequent three years, if available. (The 2020 numbers are estimates, because many companies’ fiscal years don’t match the calendar.)\nTo make sure we had a solid set of estimates, we confined the group to the 126 companies covered by at least five analysts polled by FactSet, for which consensus sales estimates for calendar 2020 through calendar 2023 are available.\nHere are the 20 companies projected to have the highest compound annual growth rates (CAGR) for sales through calendar 2023:\n\nSource: FactSet\nThere are actually 21 stocks listed, including Zillow Group Inc.’s Class A and Class C shares.\nIt is interesting to see that the list is dominated by stocks held by ARKW. The fund has a broad definition of cloud companies and is focused also on sales growth.\nHere are current forward price-to-sales ratios based on consensus estimates for the next 12 months, as well as ratios of current market cap to projected 2023 sales and summaries of analysts’ opinions about the stocks.\n\nSource: FactSet\nIn comparison, the forward price-to-sales ratio for SPY is 2.8, with a price/2023 estimated sales ratio of 2.6. For QQQ, the current P/S is 4.7, declining to 4.3 for 2023.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"Z":0.9,"OKTA":0.9,"DKNG":0.9,"ROKU":0.9,"ZG":0.9,"SQ":0.9,"SHOP":0.9,"TDOC":0.9,"ADYEY":0.9,"SKLZ":0.9,"PDD":0.9,"COIN":0.9,"SNAP":0.9,"LC":0.9,"MELI":0.9,"SE":0.9,"VCYT":0.9,"PINS":0.9,"KC":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"CRWD":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":641,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":807817274,"gmtCreate":1628028805798,"gmtModify":1633754365125,"author":{"id":"4087523982151170","authorId":"4087523982151170","name":"Fayedea","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9d26a7d632140dba3255747fafc07d3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087523982151170","authorIdStr":"4087523982151170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great!","listText":"Great!","text":"Great!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/807817274","repostId":"1124475692","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1124475692","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628003267,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1124475692?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-03 23:07","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Eli Lilly Earnings Missed Expectations. Why the Stock Is Soaring<blockquote>礼来公司盈利未达预期。股票为何飙升</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1124475692","media":"Barron's","summary":"Drug giant Eli Lilly reported weaker-than-expected earnings but the stock is soaring.\nEli Lilly repo","content":"<p>Drug giant Eli Lilly reported weaker-than-expected earnings but the stock is soaring.</p><p><blockquote>制药巨头礼来公司公布的盈利弱于预期,但股价正在飙升。</blockquote></p><p> Eli Lilly reported a year-over-year leap in second-quarter sales, but much of that rise resulted from the world’s restocking since 2020 lockdowns. Sales still grew a respectable 12%, after adjusting for Covid-19’s impact, while earnings matched Wall Street forecasts.</p><p><blockquote>礼来公司(Eli Lilly)报告称,第二季度销售额同比增长,但这一增长很大程度上是由于自2020年封锁以来全球重新进货。在对Covid-19的影响进行调整后,销售额仍增长了12%,而盈利符合华尔街的预测。</blockquote></p><p> Investors were satisfied. Lilly (ticker: LLY) stock is up 4% to $256.53 in Tuesday morning trading, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average is up 0.1% and the S&P 500 is flat.</p><p><blockquote>投资者很满意。礼来公司(股票代码:LLY)股价在周二早盘交易中上涨4%,至256.53美元,道琼斯工业平均指数上涨0.1%,标普500持平。</blockquote></p><p> All told, Lilly’s second-quarter revenue jumped 23% to $6.7 billion. That’s slightly better than the $6.6 billion consensus forecast among analysts tallied at Sentieo.com. The Indianapolis-based company enjoyed strong volume growth. The strong year-over-year comparison benefited from the subdued level of June 2020 business in the Covid lockdown, which sapped $250 million from last year’s quarter, by Lilly estimate. Adjusting for that unusual weakness, as well as one-time benefits in 2021 like the company’s sale of Chinese rights to its erectile dysfunction treatment Cialis, Lilly said that second-quarter sales grew 12%.</p><p><blockquote>总而言之,礼来公司第二季度营收跃升23%至67亿美元。这略好于Sentieo.com统计的分析师一致预测的66亿美元。这家总部位于印第安纳波利斯的公司销量增长强劲。强劲的同比比较得益于2020年6月新冠疫情封锁期间业务水平低迷,据礼来公司估计,该业务比去年季度减少了2.5亿美元。礼来公司表示,考虑到这一不寻常的弱点,以及2021年的一次性收益,例如该公司出售其勃起功能障碍治疗药物Cialis的中国权利,第二季度销售额增长了12%。</blockquote></p><p> The company highlighted the strong growth of newer products, like diabetes drug Trulicity, heart drug Jardiance, and psoriasis treatment Taltz. Before year-end 2021, it hopes to file a marketing application for its investigational treatment for Alzheimer’s disease, donanemab. The Food and Drug Administration’s surprise approval of the Alzheimer’s treatment Aduhelm from Biogen (BIIB) has raised investor expectations for other candidates like Lilly’s.</p><p><blockquote>该公司强调了新产品的强劲增长,如糖尿病药物Trulicity、心脏病药物Jardiance和牛皮癣治疗药物Taltz。该公司希望在2021年底前为其阿尔茨海默病研究治疗药物donanemab提交上市申请。美国食品和药物管理局出人意料地批准了百健(BIIB)的阿尔茨海默氏症治疗药物Aduhelm,提高了投资者对礼来公司等其他候选药物的期望。</blockquote></p><p> Earnings in the second quarter were $1.4 billion, or $1.53 per share. Adjusting for noncash and one-time accruals, Lilly says EPS were $1.83, which represented growth of about 30% from the adjusted number for the year-ago second quarter.</p><p><blockquote>第二季度盈利14亿美元,合每股1.53美元。礼来公司表示,调整非现金和一次性应计费用后,每股收益为1.83美元,比去年第二季度调整后的数字增长约30%。</blockquote></p><p> Antibody treatments for Covid have been a boost to Lilly stock in recent quarters. Second-quarter revenue from those treatments was $149 million. The appearance of variant strains of the Covid-causing SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus is a problem for custom-crafted antibody treatments, however. While Lilly says that its two authorized antibody products show laboratory effectiveness against the virus’ worrisome Delta variant, the U.S. government stopped shipments of the Lilly antibodies in June on evidence that they don’t neutralize the Beta and Gamma variants.</p><p><blockquote>最近几个季度,针对新冠病毒的抗体治疗提振了礼来公司的股价。这些治疗的第二季度收入为1.49亿美元。然而,引起新冠病毒的新型冠状病毒冠状病毒变异株的出现对于定制抗体治疗来说是一个问题。虽然礼来公司表示,其两种授权抗体产品在实验室中对该病毒令人担忧的德尔塔变异毒株有效,但美国政府在6月份停止了礼来公司抗体的运输,因为有证据表明它们不能中和β和γ变种。</blockquote></p><p> So Lilly is writing down the value of some antibody inventories, and the write-down led it to revise its earnings guidance for the 2021 year. Profits this year will come in around a midpoint of about $6.83 a share, says Lilly, instead of the previously guided midpoint of $7.13. Apart from the write-down, and other noncash adjustments, however, the midpoint forecast is unchanged, at $7.90 a share.</p><p><blockquote>因此,礼来公司正在减记一些抗体库存的价值,减记导致其修改了2021年的盈利指引。礼来公司表示,今年的利润将在每股6.83美元左右的中点左右,而不是之前指导的7.13美元的中点。然而,除了减记和其他非现金调整外,中点预测保持不变,为每股7.90美元。</blockquote></p><p> Lilly gained 4% in morning trading, reached record high.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dfc51bbb6cd284c0017ede89c2bc6240\" tg-width=\"946\" tg-height=\"633\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote>礼来公司早盘上涨4%,创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Eli Lilly Earnings Missed Expectations. Why the Stock Is Soaring<blockquote>礼来公司盈利未达预期。股票为何飙升</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEli Lilly Earnings Missed Expectations. Why the Stock Is Soaring<blockquote>礼来公司盈利未达预期。股票为何飙升</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-03 23:07</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Drug giant Eli Lilly reported weaker-than-expected earnings but the stock is soaring.</p><p><blockquote>制药巨头礼来公司公布的盈利弱于预期,但股价正在飙升。</blockquote></p><p> Eli Lilly reported a year-over-year leap in second-quarter sales, but much of that rise resulted from the world’s restocking since 2020 lockdowns. Sales still grew a respectable 12%, after adjusting for Covid-19’s impact, while earnings matched Wall Street forecasts.</p><p><blockquote>礼来公司(Eli Lilly)报告称,第二季度销售额同比增长,但这一增长很大程度上是由于自2020年封锁以来全球重新进货。在对Covid-19的影响进行调整后,销售额仍增长了12%,而盈利符合华尔街的预测。</blockquote></p><p> Investors were satisfied. Lilly (ticker: LLY) stock is up 4% to $256.53 in Tuesday morning trading, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average is up 0.1% and the S&P 500 is flat.</p><p><blockquote>投资者很满意。礼来公司(股票代码:LLY)股价在周二早盘交易中上涨4%,至256.53美元,道琼斯工业平均指数上涨0.1%,标普500持平。</blockquote></p><p> All told, Lilly’s second-quarter revenue jumped 23% to $6.7 billion. That’s slightly better than the $6.6 billion consensus forecast among analysts tallied at Sentieo.com. The Indianapolis-based company enjoyed strong volume growth. The strong year-over-year comparison benefited from the subdued level of June 2020 business in the Covid lockdown, which sapped $250 million from last year’s quarter, by Lilly estimate. Adjusting for that unusual weakness, as well as one-time benefits in 2021 like the company’s sale of Chinese rights to its erectile dysfunction treatment Cialis, Lilly said that second-quarter sales grew 12%.</p><p><blockquote>总而言之,礼来公司第二季度营收跃升23%至67亿美元。这略好于Sentieo.com统计的分析师一致预测的66亿美元。这家总部位于印第安纳波利斯的公司销量增长强劲。强劲的同比比较得益于2020年6月新冠疫情封锁期间业务水平低迷,据礼来公司估计,该业务比去年季度减少了2.5亿美元。礼来公司表示,考虑到这一不寻常的弱点,以及2021年的一次性收益,例如该公司出售其勃起功能障碍治疗药物Cialis的中国权利,第二季度销售额增长了12%。</blockquote></p><p> The company highlighted the strong growth of newer products, like diabetes drug Trulicity, heart drug Jardiance, and psoriasis treatment Taltz. Before year-end 2021, it hopes to file a marketing application for its investigational treatment for Alzheimer’s disease, donanemab. The Food and Drug Administration’s surprise approval of the Alzheimer’s treatment Aduhelm from Biogen (BIIB) has raised investor expectations for other candidates like Lilly’s.</p><p><blockquote>该公司强调了新产品的强劲增长,如糖尿病药物Trulicity、心脏病药物Jardiance和牛皮癣治疗药物Taltz。该公司希望在2021年底前为其阿尔茨海默病研究治疗药物donanemab提交上市申请。美国食品和药物管理局出人意料地批准了百健(BIIB)的阿尔茨海默氏症治疗药物Aduhelm,提高了投资者对礼来公司等其他候选药物的期望。</blockquote></p><p> Earnings in the second quarter were $1.4 billion, or $1.53 per share. Adjusting for noncash and one-time accruals, Lilly says EPS were $1.83, which represented growth of about 30% from the adjusted number for the year-ago second quarter.</p><p><blockquote>第二季度盈利14亿美元,合每股1.53美元。礼来公司表示,调整非现金和一次性应计费用后,每股收益为1.83美元,比去年第二季度调整后的数字增长约30%。</blockquote></p><p> Antibody treatments for Covid have been a boost to Lilly stock in recent quarters. Second-quarter revenue from those treatments was $149 million. The appearance of variant strains of the Covid-causing SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus is a problem for custom-crafted antibody treatments, however. While Lilly says that its two authorized antibody products show laboratory effectiveness against the virus’ worrisome Delta variant, the U.S. government stopped shipments of the Lilly antibodies in June on evidence that they don’t neutralize the Beta and Gamma variants.</p><p><blockquote>最近几个季度,针对新冠病毒的抗体治疗提振了礼来公司的股价。这些治疗的第二季度收入为1.49亿美元。然而,引起新冠病毒的新型冠状病毒冠状病毒变异株的出现对于定制抗体治疗来说是一个问题。虽然礼来公司表示,其两种授权抗体产品在实验室中对该病毒令人担忧的德尔塔变异毒株有效,但美国政府在6月份停止了礼来公司抗体的运输,因为有证据表明它们不能中和β和γ变种。</blockquote></p><p> So Lilly is writing down the value of some antibody inventories, and the write-down led it to revise its earnings guidance for the 2021 year. Profits this year will come in around a midpoint of about $6.83 a share, says Lilly, instead of the previously guided midpoint of $7.13. Apart from the write-down, and other noncash adjustments, however, the midpoint forecast is unchanged, at $7.90 a share.</p><p><blockquote>因此,礼来公司正在减记一些抗体库存的价值,减记导致其修改了2021年的盈利指引。礼来公司表示,今年的利润将在每股6.83美元左右的中点左右,而不是之前指导的7.13美元的中点。然而,除了减记和其他非现金调整外,中点预测保持不变,为每股7.90美元。</blockquote></p><p> Lilly gained 4% in morning trading, reached record high.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dfc51bbb6cd284c0017ede89c2bc6240\" tg-width=\"946\" tg-height=\"633\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote>礼来公司早盘上涨4%,创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/eli-lilly-stock-earnings-sales-51628001381?siteid=yhoof2\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LLY":"礼来"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/eli-lilly-stock-earnings-sales-51628001381?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1124475692","content_text":"Drug giant Eli Lilly reported weaker-than-expected earnings but the stock is soaring.\nEli Lilly reported a year-over-year leap in second-quarter sales, but much of that rise resulted from the world’s restocking since 2020 lockdowns. Sales still grew a respectable 12%, after adjusting for Covid-19’s impact, while earnings matched Wall Street forecasts.\nInvestors were satisfied. Lilly (ticker: LLY) stock is up 4% to $256.53 in Tuesday morning trading, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average is up 0.1% and the S&P 500 is flat.\nAll told, Lilly’s second-quarter revenue jumped 23% to $6.7 billion. That’s slightly better than the $6.6 billion consensus forecast among analysts tallied at Sentieo.com. The Indianapolis-based company enjoyed strong volume growth. The strong year-over-year comparison benefited from the subdued level of June 2020 business in the Covid lockdown, which sapped $250 million from last year’s quarter, by Lilly estimate. Adjusting for that unusual weakness, as well as one-time benefits in 2021 like the company’s sale of Chinese rights to its erectile dysfunction treatment Cialis, Lilly said that second-quarter sales grew 12%.\nThe company highlighted the strong growth of newer products, like diabetes drug Trulicity, heart drug Jardiance, and psoriasis treatment Taltz. Before year-end 2021, it hopes to file a marketing application for its investigational treatment for Alzheimer’s disease, donanemab. The Food and Drug Administration’s surprise approval of the Alzheimer’s treatment Aduhelm from Biogen (BIIB) has raised investor expectations for other candidates like Lilly’s.\nEarnings in the second quarter were $1.4 billion, or $1.53 per share. Adjusting for noncash and one-time accruals, Lilly says EPS were $1.83, which represented growth of about 30% from the adjusted number for the year-ago second quarter.\nAntibody treatments for Covid have been a boost to Lilly stock in recent quarters. Second-quarter revenue from those treatments was $149 million. The appearance of variant strains of the Covid-causing SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus is a problem for custom-crafted antibody treatments, however. While Lilly says that its two authorized antibody products show laboratory effectiveness against the virus’ worrisome Delta variant, the U.S. government stopped shipments of the Lilly antibodies in June on evidence that they don’t neutralize the Beta and Gamma variants.\nSo Lilly is writing down the value of some antibody inventories, and the write-down led it to revise its earnings guidance for the 2021 year. Profits this year will come in around a midpoint of about $6.83 a share, says Lilly, instead of the previously guided midpoint of $7.13. Apart from the write-down, and other noncash adjustments, however, the midpoint forecast is unchanged, at $7.90 a share.\nLilly gained 4% in morning trading, reached record high.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"LLY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":267,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":142339022,"gmtCreate":1626131739266,"gmtModify":1633929926842,"author":{"id":"4087523982151170","authorId":"4087523982151170","name":"Fayedea","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9d26a7d632140dba3255747fafc07d3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087523982151170","authorIdStr":"4087523982151170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Apple share is stable ","listText":"Apple share is stable ","text":"Apple share is stable","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/142339022","repostId":"2151537170","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":653,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148124574,"gmtCreate":1625962244698,"gmtModify":1633931400315,"author":{"id":"4087523982151170","authorId":"4087523982151170","name":"Fayedea","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9d26a7d632140dba3255747fafc07d3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087523982151170","authorIdStr":"4087523982151170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Happy to hear this","listText":"Happy to hear this","text":"Happy to hear this","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148124574","repostId":"1185154176","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1185154176","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625886925,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1185154176?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-10 11:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The bull market in stocks may last up to five years — here are six reasons why<blockquote>股市牛市可能持续长达五年——以下是六个原因</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1185154176","media":"marketwatch","summary":"The economy is booming, earnings are rising, and the Federal Reserve is giving unprecedented support. When the stock market sells off, as it did Thursday, the right move was to buy your favorite stocks. Friday’s market action proved that.We are still only in the early stages of what is going to be a three- to five-year bull market in stocks, for these six reasons.Behind the scenes, consumers have massive unspent savings because they hunkered down for the pandemic. The personal savings rate hit n","content":"<p>The economy is booming, earnings are rising, and the Federal Reserve is giving unprecedented support</p><p><blockquote>经济蓬勃发展,盈利上升,美联储给予前所未有的支持</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16f57eb7b0f75afb2f46b6d61281db87\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"839\"><span>(Photo by Jorge Guerrero/AFP via Getty Images)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(豪尔赫·格雷罗/法新社,盖蒂图片社摄)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When the stock market sells off, as it did Thursday, the right move was to buy your favorite stocks. Friday’s market action proved that.</p><p><blockquote>当股市抛售时,就像周四一样,正确的做法是购买你最喜欢的股票。周五的市场走势证明了这一点。</blockquote></p><p> It’s true that there could be a correction, given the already sizable 17% gain in the S&P 500 Index this year. But you should buy then, too.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于标普500指数今年已经大幅上涨17%,确实可能会出现回调。但你也应该买。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s why.</p><p><blockquote>原因如下。</blockquote></p><p> We are still only in the early stages of what is going to be a three- to five-year bull market in stocks, for these six reasons.</p><p><blockquote>由于这六个原因,我们仍处于股市三到五年牛市的早期阶段。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. There’s tremendous pent-up demand</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.有巨大的被压抑的需求</b></blockquote></p><p> Everyone is looking to the Federal Reserve for cues about stimulus. They are overlooking private-sector forces that will push stocks higher. To sum up, there’s huge pent-up private-sector demand that will help propel U.S. GDP growth to 8% this year and 3.5%-4.5% for years after that. The pent-up demand comes from the following sources, points out Jim Paulsen, chief strategist and economist at the Leuthold Group.</p><p><blockquote>每个人都在向美联储寻求有关刺激的线索。他们忽视了将推高股市的私营部门力量。总而言之,巨大的被压抑的私营部门需求将有助于推动美国今年的GDP增长达到8%,并在此后几年达到3.5%-4.5%。Leuthold Group首席策略师兼经济学家吉姆·保尔森指出,被压抑的需求来自以下来源。</blockquote></p><p> First, there’s been a surge in household formation, as millennials hit the family years. This helps explain the big uptick in home demand. Once you buy a house, you have to fill it up with stuff. More consumer demand on the way.</p><p><blockquote>首先,随着千禧一代进入家庭年,家庭组建激增。这有助于解释家庭需求的大幅上升。一旦你买了房子,你就得把它装满东西。更多的消费者需求即将到来。</blockquote></p><p> Behind the scenes, consumers have massive unspent savings because they hunkered down for the pandemic. The personal savings rate hit nearly 16% of GDP, compared to a post war average of 6.5%. The prior high was 10% in 1970s.</p><p><blockquote>在幕后,消费者有大量未用完的储蓄,因为他们为疫情做好了准备。个人储蓄率接近GDP的16%,而战后的平均水平为6.5%。之前的高点是20世纪70年代的10%。</blockquote></p><p> Relatedly, household balance sheets improved remarkably. Debt-to-income ratios are the lowest since the 1990s. Consumers will continue to tap more bank loans and credit card capacity, as their confidence increases because employment and the economy remain strong.</p><p><blockquote>与此相关的是,家庭资产负债表显著改善。债务收入比是20世纪90年代以来的最低水平。消费者将继续利用更多的银行贷款和信用卡容量,因为就业和经济保持强劲,他们的信心增强。</blockquote></p><p> Next, there will be plenty more newly employed people once the extra unemployment benefits expire in September. This means consumer confidence will improve, which invariably boosts economic growth. The labor participation rate has room to improve, leaving spare employment capacity before we hit the full employment that can cap economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>接下来,一旦额外的失业救济金在9月份到期,将会有更多的新就业人口。这意味着消费者信心将会提高,这必然会促进经济增长。劳动参与率还有提高的空间,在我们达到可能限制经济增长的充分就业之前,留下了闲置的就业能力。</blockquote></p><p> Now let’s look at the pent-up demand in businesses.</p><p><blockquote>现在让我们看看企业被压抑的需求。</blockquote></p><p> You know all the shortages of stuff you keep running into or hearing about? Here’s why this is happening. To prepare for a prolonged epidemic, businesses cut inventories to the bone. It was the biggest inventory liquidation ever. But now, companies have to build back inventories. The ongoing inventory rebuild will be huge.</p><p><blockquote>你知道你经常遇到或听说的所有短缺的东西吗?这就是为什么会发生这种情况。为了应对长期的疫情,企业大幅削减库存。这是有史以来最大的库存清理。但现在,企业不得不重建库存。正在进行的库存重建将是巨大的。</blockquote></p><p> Companies also cut capacity, which they are building out again. Capital goods spending surged to record highs in the past year, advancing almost 23%, after being essentially flat for most of the prior two decades. This creates sustained growth, and it tells us a lot about business confidence.</p><p><blockquote>公司也削减了产能,并再次扩大产能。资本货物支出在过去二十年的大部分时间里基本持平,去年飙升至历史新高,增长了近23%。这创造了持续的增长,它告诉我们很多关于商业信心的信息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The bottom line</b>: We will see 7%-8% GDP growth this year, followed by 4%-4.5% next year and above average growth after that, supporting a sustained bull market in stocks. Expect the normal corrections along the way.</p><p><blockquote><b>底线</b>:我们今年将看到7%-8%的GDP增长,明年将达到4%-4.5%,之后将高于平均水平的增长,支持股市持续牛市。期待一路上的正常修正。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. An under-appreciated earnings boom lies ahead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.被低估的盈利繁荣即将到来</b></blockquote></p><p> The economic rebound has happened so quickly, analysts can’t keep up. Wall Street analysts project $190 a share in S&P 500 earnings this year. But that is woefully low given the expected 7%-8% GDP growth and massive stimulus that has yet to kick in. Stimulus normally takes six to eight months to take effect, and a lot of the recent dollops happened inside that window.</p><p><blockquote>经济反弹发生得如此之快,分析师们跟不上。分析师预计标普500今年的每股收益为190美元。但考虑到预期的7%-8%的GDP增长和尚未生效的大规模刺激措施,这一数字低得可怜。刺激通常需要六到八个月才能生效,最近的很多刺激都发生在这个窗口内。</blockquote></p><p> Paulsen expects 2021 S&P 500 earnings will be more like $220 instead of the consensus estimate of $190.</p><p><blockquote>保尔森预计,2021年标普500的盈利将更接近220美元,而不是普遍预期的190美元。</blockquote></p><p> “Analysts are still under-appreciating how much profits have improved and how much they will improve,” says Paulsen. “We had dramatic overreaction from policy officials. They addressed the collapse, but created a massive improvement in fundamentals. This is still playing out in terms of the recovery in profits.”</p><p><blockquote>保尔森表示:“分析师仍然低估了利润的改善程度以及将会改善多少。”“我们从政策官员那里得到了戏剧性的过度反应。他们解决了崩溃的问题,但在基本面上创造了巨大的改善。这在利润复苏方面仍在发挥作用。”</blockquote></p><p> Plus, more fiscal stimulus is probably on the way, in the form of infrastructure spending.</p><p><blockquote>此外,更多的财政刺激可能即将以基础设施支出的形式出现。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. There’s a new Fed in town</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.城里有一个新的美联储</b></blockquote></p><p> For much of the past three decades, the Fed has been quick to tighten its policy to ward off inflation. The central bank killed off growth in the process. That’s one reason why the past 20 years posted the slowest growth in the post-war era. Now, though, the Fed is much more accommodative and this may likely persist because inflation will remain sluggish (more on this, below).</p><p><blockquote>在过去三十年的大部分时间里,美联储一直在迅速收紧政策以抵御通胀。在此过程中,央行扼杀了经济增长。这就是过去20年是战后经济增长最慢的原因之一。然而现在,美联储更加宽松,这种情况可能会持续下去,因为通胀将保持低迷(更多内容见下文)。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Here’s a simple gauge to measure this. Take GDP growth and subtract the yield on 10-year TreasuriesTMUBMUSD10Y,1.359%.This gauge was negative for much of 1980-2010, when the Fed kept growth cool to contain inflation. Now, though, Fed policy is helping to keep 10-year yields well below GDP growth, which allows the economy to run hot. This was the state of affairs during 1950-1965, which some analysts call “the golden age of capitalism” because of the glide path in growth.</p><p><blockquote>这里有一个简单的衡量标准来衡量这一点。以GDP增长减去10年期国债收益率MUBMUSD10Y,1.359%。该指标在1980年至2010年的大部分时间里都为负值,当时美联储保持增长降温以遏制通胀。但现在,美联储的政策正在帮助将10年期国债收益率保持在远低于GDP增长的水平,从而使经济过热。这就是1950-1965年的情况,一些分析家将其看涨期权为“资本主义的黄金时代”,因为增长的下滑路径。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Inflation won’t kill the bull</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.通货膨胀不会杀死公牛</b></blockquote></p><p> Inflation may rise near term because the economy is so hot. But medium term, the inflation slayers will win out. Here’s a roundup. The population is aging, and older people spend less. The boom in business capital spending will continue to boost productivity at companies. This allows them to avoid passing along rising costs to customers. Global trade and competition have not gone away. This puts downward pressure on prices since goods can be made more cheaply in many foreign countries. Ongoing technological advances continually put downward pressure on tech products.</p><p><blockquote>由于经济如此火爆,通胀短期内可能会上升。但从中期来看,通胀杀手将获胜。这是一个综述。人口老龄化,老年人消费减少。企业资本支出的繁荣将继续提高企业的生产率。这使他们能够避免将上升的成本转嫁给客户。全球贸易和竞争并没有消失。这给价格带来了下行压力,因为在许多外国可以更便宜地制造商品。持续的技术进步不断给科技产品带来下行压力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Valuations will improve</b></p><p><blockquote><b>五、估值将改善</b></blockquote></p><p> We’re now at the phase in the economic rebound where the following dynamic typically plays out. Stocks trade sideways for months, mostly because of worries about inflation and rising bond yields. All the while, the economy and earnings continue to grow, bringing down stock valuations. This dynamic played out at about this point in prior economic rebounds during 1983-84, 1993-94, 2004-05 and 2009-10. In short, we will see a big surge in earnings while the stock market marks time, or even corrects.</p><p><blockquote>我们现在正处于经济反弹的阶段,通常会出现以下动态。股市连续几个月横盘整理,主要是因为对通胀和债券收益率上升的担忧。与此同时,经济和盈利持续增长,压低了股票估值。在1983-84年、1993-94年、2004-05年和2009-10年的经济反弹中,这种动态大约在这一点上发挥了作用。简而言之,我们将看到盈利大幅飙升,而股市则标志着时间的到来,甚至是回调。</blockquote></p><p> This will reset stock valuations lower, removing one of the chief concerns among investors — high valuations. If S&P 500 earnings hit $220 by the end of the year and the index is at 4,000 to 4,100 points because of a correction, stocks will be at an 18-19 price earnings ratio — below the average since 1990.</p><p><blockquote>这将降低股票估值,消除投资者的主要担忧之一——高估值。如果标普500的盈利在年底达到220美元,并且该指数因回调而达到4,000至4,100点,那么股票的市盈率将达到18-19倍,低于1990年以来的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> True to form, the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+1.30%and the Russell 2000 small-cap index have traded sideways for two to four months. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq recently broke out of trading ranges, but a bigger pullback would send them back into sideways action mode.</p><p><blockquote>与往常一样,道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA+1.30%和罗素2000小盘股指数已经横盘整理了两到四个月。标普500和纳斯达克最近突破了交易区间,但更大的回调将使它们重新进入横盘整理模式。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6. Sentiment isn’t extreme</b></p><p><blockquote><b>6.情绪并不极端</b></blockquote></p><p> As a contrarian, I look for excessive sentiment as a sign that it’s time to raise some cash. We don’t see that yet. A simple gauge to follow is the Investors Intelligence Bull/Bear ratio. It recently came in at 3.92. That’s near the warning path, which for me starts at 4. On the other hand, mutual fund cash was recently at $4.6 trillion, near historical highs. This represents caution among investors.</p><p><blockquote>作为一名逆向投资者,我将过度情绪视为是时候筹集一些现金的迹象。我们还没有看到这一点。一个简单的衡量标准是投资者情报牛熊比率。最近的价格是3.92。那是在警告路径附近,对我来说从4点开始。另一方面,共同基金现金最近为4.6万亿美元,接近历史高位。这代表了投资者的谨慎态度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Three themes to follow</b></p><p><blockquote><b>遵循三个主题</b></blockquote></p><p> If we are in store for a sustained economic recovery and a multi-year bull market in stocks, it will pay to follow these three themes.</p><p><blockquote>如果我们即将迎来持续的经济复苏和股市多年牛市,那么遵循这三个主题是值得的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Favor cyclicals.</b>Stay with economically sensitive businesses and add to your holdings in them on pullbacks. This means cyclical companies in areas like financials, materials, industrials and consumer discretionary businesses.</p><p><blockquote><b>青睐周期性股票。</b>继续投资对经济敏感的企业,并在回调时增持这些企业。这意味着金融、材料、工业和非必需消费品业务等领域的周期性公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Avoid defensives.</b>If you want yield, go with stocks that pay a dividend but also have capital appreciation potential — not steady growth companies selling stuff like consumer staples. On this theme, in my stock letter Brush Up on Stocks (the link is in bio, below) I’ve recently suggested or reiterated Home Depot in retail, B. Riley Financial,a markets and investment banking name, and Regional Management in consumer finance.</p><p><blockquote><b>避免防御。</b>如果您想要收益,请选择支付股息但具有资本增值潜力的股票,而不是销售消费品等稳定增长的公司。关于这个主题,在我的股票信Brush Up on Stocks(链接在下面的简介中)中,我最近建议或重申了零售业的家得宝、市场和投资银行名称B.Riley Financial以及消费者金融领域的区域管理。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Favor emerging markets.</b>Their growth tends to be higher during expansions. Just be careful with China. It has an aging population. Limited workforce growth may constrain economic growth. Another challenge is that ongoing U.S.-China tensions and the related threat of persistent tariffs and trade barriers have global companies relocating supply chains elsewhere.</p><p><blockquote><b>青睐新兴市场。</b>在扩张期间,它们的增长率往往更高。小心中国。它的人口正在老龄化。劳动力增长有限可能会限制经济增长。另一个挑战是,持续的美中紧张局势以及持续关税和贸易壁垒的相关威胁导致全球公司将供应链转移到其他地方。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The bull market in stocks may last up to five years — here are six reasons why<blockquote>股市牛市可能持续长达五年——以下是六个原因</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe bull market in stocks may last up to five years — here are six reasons why<blockquote>股市牛市可能持续长达五年——以下是六个原因</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">marketwatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-10 11:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The economy is booming, earnings are rising, and the Federal Reserve is giving unprecedented support</p><p><blockquote>经济蓬勃发展,盈利上升,美联储给予前所未有的支持</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16f57eb7b0f75afb2f46b6d61281db87\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"839\"><span>(Photo by Jorge Guerrero/AFP via Getty Images)</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>(豪尔赫·格雷罗/法新社,盖蒂图片社摄)</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When the stock market sells off, as it did Thursday, the right move was to buy your favorite stocks. Friday’s market action proved that.</p><p><blockquote>当股市抛售时,就像周四一样,正确的做法是购买你最喜欢的股票。周五的市场走势证明了这一点。</blockquote></p><p> It’s true that there could be a correction, given the already sizable 17% gain in the S&P 500 Index this year. But you should buy then, too.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于标普500指数今年已经大幅上涨17%,确实可能会出现回调。但你也应该买。</blockquote></p><p> Here’s why.</p><p><blockquote>原因如下。</blockquote></p><p> We are still only in the early stages of what is going to be a three- to five-year bull market in stocks, for these six reasons.</p><p><blockquote>由于这六个原因,我们仍处于股市三到五年牛市的早期阶段。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. There’s tremendous pent-up demand</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.有巨大的被压抑的需求</b></blockquote></p><p> Everyone is looking to the Federal Reserve for cues about stimulus. They are overlooking private-sector forces that will push stocks higher. To sum up, there’s huge pent-up private-sector demand that will help propel U.S. GDP growth to 8% this year and 3.5%-4.5% for years after that. The pent-up demand comes from the following sources, points out Jim Paulsen, chief strategist and economist at the Leuthold Group.</p><p><blockquote>每个人都在向美联储寻求有关刺激的线索。他们忽视了将推高股市的私营部门力量。总而言之,巨大的被压抑的私营部门需求将有助于推动美国今年的GDP增长达到8%,并在此后几年达到3.5%-4.5%。Leuthold Group首席策略师兼经济学家吉姆·保尔森指出,被压抑的需求来自以下来源。</blockquote></p><p> First, there’s been a surge in household formation, as millennials hit the family years. This helps explain the big uptick in home demand. Once you buy a house, you have to fill it up with stuff. More consumer demand on the way.</p><p><blockquote>首先,随着千禧一代进入家庭年,家庭组建激增。这有助于解释家庭需求的大幅上升。一旦你买了房子,你就得把它装满东西。更多的消费者需求即将到来。</blockquote></p><p> Behind the scenes, consumers have massive unspent savings because they hunkered down for the pandemic. The personal savings rate hit nearly 16% of GDP, compared to a post war average of 6.5%. The prior high was 10% in 1970s.</p><p><blockquote>在幕后,消费者有大量未用完的储蓄,因为他们为疫情做好了准备。个人储蓄率接近GDP的16%,而战后的平均水平为6.5%。之前的高点是20世纪70年代的10%。</blockquote></p><p> Relatedly, household balance sheets improved remarkably. Debt-to-income ratios are the lowest since the 1990s. Consumers will continue to tap more bank loans and credit card capacity, as their confidence increases because employment and the economy remain strong.</p><p><blockquote>与此相关的是,家庭资产负债表显著改善。债务收入比是20世纪90年代以来的最低水平。消费者将继续利用更多的银行贷款和信用卡容量,因为就业和经济保持强劲,他们的信心增强。</blockquote></p><p> Next, there will be plenty more newly employed people once the extra unemployment benefits expire in September. This means consumer confidence will improve, which invariably boosts economic growth. The labor participation rate has room to improve, leaving spare employment capacity before we hit the full employment that can cap economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>接下来,一旦额外的失业救济金在9月份到期,将会有更多的新就业人口。这意味着消费者信心将会提高,这必然会促进经济增长。劳动参与率还有提高的空间,在我们达到可能限制经济增长的充分就业之前,留下了闲置的就业能力。</blockquote></p><p> Now let’s look at the pent-up demand in businesses.</p><p><blockquote>现在让我们看看企业被压抑的需求。</blockquote></p><p> You know all the shortages of stuff you keep running into or hearing about? Here’s why this is happening. To prepare for a prolonged epidemic, businesses cut inventories to the bone. It was the biggest inventory liquidation ever. But now, companies have to build back inventories. The ongoing inventory rebuild will be huge.</p><p><blockquote>你知道你经常遇到或听说的所有短缺的东西吗?这就是为什么会发生这种情况。为了应对长期的疫情,企业大幅削减库存。这是有史以来最大的库存清理。但现在,企业不得不重建库存。正在进行的库存重建将是巨大的。</blockquote></p><p> Companies also cut capacity, which they are building out again. Capital goods spending surged to record highs in the past year, advancing almost 23%, after being essentially flat for most of the prior two decades. This creates sustained growth, and it tells us a lot about business confidence.</p><p><blockquote>公司也削减了产能,并再次扩大产能。资本货物支出在过去二十年的大部分时间里基本持平,去年飙升至历史新高,增长了近23%。这创造了持续的增长,它告诉我们很多关于商业信心的信息。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The bottom line</b>: We will see 7%-8% GDP growth this year, followed by 4%-4.5% next year and above average growth after that, supporting a sustained bull market in stocks. Expect the normal corrections along the way.</p><p><blockquote><b>底线</b>:我们今年将看到7%-8%的GDP增长,明年将达到4%-4.5%,之后将高于平均水平的增长,支持股市持续牛市。期待一路上的正常修正。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. An under-appreciated earnings boom lies ahead</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.被低估的盈利繁荣即将到来</b></blockquote></p><p> The economic rebound has happened so quickly, analysts can’t keep up. Wall Street analysts project $190 a share in S&P 500 earnings this year. But that is woefully low given the expected 7%-8% GDP growth and massive stimulus that has yet to kick in. Stimulus normally takes six to eight months to take effect, and a lot of the recent dollops happened inside that window.</p><p><blockquote>经济反弹发生得如此之快,分析师们跟不上。分析师预计标普500今年的每股收益为190美元。但考虑到预期的7%-8%的GDP增长和尚未生效的大规模刺激措施,这一数字低得可怜。刺激通常需要六到八个月才能生效,最近的很多刺激都发生在这个窗口内。</blockquote></p><p> Paulsen expects 2021 S&P 500 earnings will be more like $220 instead of the consensus estimate of $190.</p><p><blockquote>保尔森预计,2021年标普500的盈利将更接近220美元,而不是普遍预期的190美元。</blockquote></p><p> “Analysts are still under-appreciating how much profits have improved and how much they will improve,” says Paulsen. “We had dramatic overreaction from policy officials. They addressed the collapse, but created a massive improvement in fundamentals. This is still playing out in terms of the recovery in profits.”</p><p><blockquote>保尔森表示:“分析师仍然低估了利润的改善程度以及将会改善多少。”“我们从政策官员那里得到了戏剧性的过度反应。他们解决了崩溃的问题,但在基本面上创造了巨大的改善。这在利润复苏方面仍在发挥作用。”</blockquote></p><p> Plus, more fiscal stimulus is probably on the way, in the form of infrastructure spending.</p><p><blockquote>此外,更多的财政刺激可能即将以基础设施支出的形式出现。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. There’s a new Fed in town</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.城里有一个新的美联储</b></blockquote></p><p> For much of the past three decades, the Fed has been quick to tighten its policy to ward off inflation. The central bank killed off growth in the process. That’s one reason why the past 20 years posted the slowest growth in the post-war era. Now, though, the Fed is much more accommodative and this may likely persist because inflation will remain sluggish (more on this, below).</p><p><blockquote>在过去三十年的大部分时间里,美联储一直在迅速收紧政策以抵御通胀。在此过程中,央行扼杀了经济增长。这就是过去20年是战后经济增长最慢的原因之一。然而现在,美联储更加宽松,这种情况可能会持续下去,因为通胀将保持低迷(更多内容见下文)。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Here’s a simple gauge to measure this. Take GDP growth and subtract the yield on 10-year TreasuriesTMUBMUSD10Y,1.359%.This gauge was negative for much of 1980-2010, when the Fed kept growth cool to contain inflation. Now, though, Fed policy is helping to keep 10-year yields well below GDP growth, which allows the economy to run hot. This was the state of affairs during 1950-1965, which some analysts call “the golden age of capitalism” because of the glide path in growth.</p><p><blockquote>这里有一个简单的衡量标准来衡量这一点。以GDP增长减去10年期国债收益率MUBMUSD10Y,1.359%。该指标在1980年至2010年的大部分时间里都为负值,当时美联储保持增长降温以遏制通胀。但现在,美联储的政策正在帮助将10年期国债收益率保持在远低于GDP增长的水平,从而使经济过热。这就是1950-1965年的情况,一些分析家将其看涨期权为“资本主义的黄金时代”,因为增长的下滑路径。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Inflation won’t kill the bull</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.通货膨胀不会杀死公牛</b></blockquote></p><p> Inflation may rise near term because the economy is so hot. But medium term, the inflation slayers will win out. Here’s a roundup. The population is aging, and older people spend less. The boom in business capital spending will continue to boost productivity at companies. This allows them to avoid passing along rising costs to customers. Global trade and competition have not gone away. This puts downward pressure on prices since goods can be made more cheaply in many foreign countries. Ongoing technological advances continually put downward pressure on tech products.</p><p><blockquote>由于经济如此火爆,通胀短期内可能会上升。但从中期来看,通胀杀手将获胜。这是一个综述。人口老龄化,老年人消费减少。企业资本支出的繁荣将继续提高企业的生产率。这使他们能够避免将上升的成本转嫁给客户。全球贸易和竞争并没有消失。这给价格带来了下行压力,因为在许多外国可以更便宜地制造商品。持续的技术进步不断给科技产品带来下行压力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Valuations will improve</b></p><p><blockquote><b>五、估值将改善</b></blockquote></p><p> We’re now at the phase in the economic rebound where the following dynamic typically plays out. Stocks trade sideways for months, mostly because of worries about inflation and rising bond yields. All the while, the economy and earnings continue to grow, bringing down stock valuations. This dynamic played out at about this point in prior economic rebounds during 1983-84, 1993-94, 2004-05 and 2009-10. In short, we will see a big surge in earnings while the stock market marks time, or even corrects.</p><p><blockquote>我们现在正处于经济反弹的阶段,通常会出现以下动态。股市连续几个月横盘整理,主要是因为对通胀和债券收益率上升的担忧。与此同时,经济和盈利持续增长,压低了股票估值。在1983-84年、1993-94年、2004-05年和2009-10年的经济反弹中,这种动态大约在这一点上发挥了作用。简而言之,我们将看到盈利大幅飙升,而股市则标志着时间的到来,甚至是回调。</blockquote></p><p> This will reset stock valuations lower, removing one of the chief concerns among investors — high valuations. If S&P 500 earnings hit $220 by the end of the year and the index is at 4,000 to 4,100 points because of a correction, stocks will be at an 18-19 price earnings ratio — below the average since 1990.</p><p><blockquote>这将降低股票估值,消除投资者的主要担忧之一——高估值。如果标普500的盈利在年底达到220美元,并且该指数因回调而达到4,000至4,100点,那么股票的市盈率将达到18-19倍,低于1990年以来的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> True to form, the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+1.30%and the Russell 2000 small-cap index have traded sideways for two to four months. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq recently broke out of trading ranges, but a bigger pullback would send them back into sideways action mode.</p><p><blockquote>与往常一样,道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA+1.30%和罗素2000小盘股指数已经横盘整理了两到四个月。标普500和纳斯达克最近突破了交易区间,但更大的回调将使它们重新进入横盘整理模式。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6. Sentiment isn’t extreme</b></p><p><blockquote><b>6.情绪并不极端</b></blockquote></p><p> As a contrarian, I look for excessive sentiment as a sign that it’s time to raise some cash. We don’t see that yet. A simple gauge to follow is the Investors Intelligence Bull/Bear ratio. It recently came in at 3.92. That’s near the warning path, which for me starts at 4. On the other hand, mutual fund cash was recently at $4.6 trillion, near historical highs. This represents caution among investors.</p><p><blockquote>作为一名逆向投资者,我将过度情绪视为是时候筹集一些现金的迹象。我们还没有看到这一点。一个简单的衡量标准是投资者情报牛熊比率。最近的价格是3.92。那是在警告路径附近,对我来说从4点开始。另一方面,共同基金现金最近为4.6万亿美元,接近历史高位。这代表了投资者的谨慎态度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Three themes to follow</b></p><p><blockquote><b>遵循三个主题</b></blockquote></p><p> If we are in store for a sustained economic recovery and a multi-year bull market in stocks, it will pay to follow these three themes.</p><p><blockquote>如果我们即将迎来持续的经济复苏和股市多年牛市,那么遵循这三个主题是值得的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Favor cyclicals.</b>Stay with economically sensitive businesses and add to your holdings in them on pullbacks. This means cyclical companies in areas like financials, materials, industrials and consumer discretionary businesses.</p><p><blockquote><b>青睐周期性股票。</b>继续投资对经济敏感的企业,并在回调时增持这些企业。这意味着金融、材料、工业和非必需消费品业务等领域的周期性公司。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Avoid defensives.</b>If you want yield, go with stocks that pay a dividend but also have capital appreciation potential — not steady growth companies selling stuff like consumer staples. On this theme, in my stock letter Brush Up on Stocks (the link is in bio, below) I’ve recently suggested or reiterated Home Depot in retail, B. Riley Financial,a markets and investment banking name, and Regional Management in consumer finance.</p><p><blockquote><b>避免防御。</b>如果您想要收益,请选择支付股息但具有资本增值潜力的股票,而不是销售消费品等稳定增长的公司。关于这个主题,在我的股票信Brush Up on Stocks(链接在下面的简介中)中,我最近建议或重申了零售业的家得宝、市场和投资银行名称B.Riley Financial以及消费者金融领域的区域管理。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Favor emerging markets.</b>Their growth tends to be higher during expansions. Just be careful with China. It has an aging population. Limited workforce growth may constrain economic growth. Another challenge is that ongoing U.S.-China tensions and the related threat of persistent tariffs and trade barriers have global companies relocating supply chains elsewhere.</p><p><blockquote><b>青睐新兴市场。</b>在扩张期间,它们的增长率往往更高。小心中国。它的人口正在老龄化。劳动力增长有限可能会限制经济增长。另一个挑战是,持续的美中紧张局势以及持续关税和贸易壁垒的相关威胁导致全球公司将供应链转移到其他地方。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-bull-market-in-stocks-may-last-up-to-five-years-here-are-six-reasons-why-11625842781?mod=home-page\">marketwatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-bull-market-in-stocks-may-last-up-to-five-years-here-are-six-reasons-why-11625842781?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1185154176","content_text":"The economy is booming, earnings are rising, and the Federal Reserve is giving unprecedented support\n(Photo by Jorge Guerrero/AFP via Getty Images)\nWhen the stock market sells off, as it did Thursday, the right move was to buy your favorite stocks. Friday’s market action proved that.\nIt’s true that there could be a correction, given the already sizable 17% gain in the S&P 500 Index this year. But you should buy then, too.\nHere’s why.\nWe are still only in the early stages of what is going to be a three- to five-year bull market in stocks, for these six reasons.\n1. There’s tremendous pent-up demand\nEveryone is looking to the Federal Reserve for cues about stimulus. They are overlooking private-sector forces that will push stocks higher. To sum up, there’s huge pent-up private-sector demand that will help propel U.S. GDP growth to 8% this year and 3.5%-4.5% for years after that. The pent-up demand comes from the following sources, points out Jim Paulsen, chief strategist and economist at the Leuthold Group.\nFirst, there’s been a surge in household formation, as millennials hit the family years. This helps explain the big uptick in home demand. Once you buy a house, you have to fill it up with stuff. More consumer demand on the way.\nBehind the scenes, consumers have massive unspent savings because they hunkered down for the pandemic. The personal savings rate hit nearly 16% of GDP, compared to a post war average of 6.5%. The prior high was 10% in 1970s.\nRelatedly, household balance sheets improved remarkably. Debt-to-income ratios are the lowest since the 1990s. Consumers will continue to tap more bank loans and credit card capacity, as their confidence increases because employment and the economy remain strong.\nNext, there will be plenty more newly employed people once the extra unemployment benefits expire in September. This means consumer confidence will improve, which invariably boosts economic growth. The labor participation rate has room to improve, leaving spare employment capacity before we hit the full employment that can cap economic growth.\nNow let’s look at the pent-up demand in businesses.\nYou know all the shortages of stuff you keep running into or hearing about? Here’s why this is happening. To prepare for a prolonged epidemic, businesses cut inventories to the bone. It was the biggest inventory liquidation ever. But now, companies have to build back inventories. The ongoing inventory rebuild will be huge.\nCompanies also cut capacity, which they are building out again. Capital goods spending surged to record highs in the past year, advancing almost 23%, after being essentially flat for most of the prior two decades. This creates sustained growth, and it tells us a lot about business confidence.\nThe bottom line: We will see 7%-8% GDP growth this year, followed by 4%-4.5% next year and above average growth after that, supporting a sustained bull market in stocks. Expect the normal corrections along the way.\n2. An under-appreciated earnings boom lies ahead\nThe economic rebound has happened so quickly, analysts can’t keep up. Wall Street analysts project $190 a share in S&P 500 earnings this year. But that is woefully low given the expected 7%-8% GDP growth and massive stimulus that has yet to kick in. Stimulus normally takes six to eight months to take effect, and a lot of the recent dollops happened inside that window.\nPaulsen expects 2021 S&P 500 earnings will be more like $220 instead of the consensus estimate of $190.\n“Analysts are still under-appreciating how much profits have improved and how much they will improve,” says Paulsen. “We had dramatic overreaction from policy officials. They addressed the collapse, but created a massive improvement in fundamentals. This is still playing out in terms of the recovery in profits.”\nPlus, more fiscal stimulus is probably on the way, in the form of infrastructure spending.\n3. There’s a new Fed in town\nFor much of the past three decades, the Fed has been quick to tighten its policy to ward off inflation. The central bank killed off growth in the process. That’s one reason why the past 20 years posted the slowest growth in the post-war era. Now, though, the Fed is much more accommodative and this may likely persist because inflation will remain sluggish (more on this, below).\nHere’s a simple gauge to measure this. Take GDP growth and subtract the yield on 10-year TreasuriesTMUBMUSD10Y,1.359%.This gauge was negative for much of 1980-2010, when the Fed kept growth cool to contain inflation. Now, though, Fed policy is helping to keep 10-year yields well below GDP growth, which allows the economy to run hot. This was the state of affairs during 1950-1965, which some analysts call “the golden age of capitalism” because of the glide path in growth.\n4. Inflation won’t kill the bull\nInflation may rise near term because the economy is so hot. But medium term, the inflation slayers will win out. Here’s a roundup. The population is aging, and older people spend less. The boom in business capital spending will continue to boost productivity at companies. This allows them to avoid passing along rising costs to customers. Global trade and competition have not gone away. This puts downward pressure on prices since goods can be made more cheaply in many foreign countries. Ongoing technological advances continually put downward pressure on tech products.\n5. Valuations will improve\nWe’re now at the phase in the economic rebound where the following dynamic typically plays out. Stocks trade sideways for months, mostly because of worries about inflation and rising bond yields. All the while, the economy and earnings continue to grow, bringing down stock valuations. This dynamic played out at about this point in prior economic rebounds during 1983-84, 1993-94, 2004-05 and 2009-10. In short, we will see a big surge in earnings while the stock market marks time, or even corrects.\nThis will reset stock valuations lower, removing one of the chief concerns among investors — high valuations. If S&P 500 earnings hit $220 by the end of the year and the index is at 4,000 to 4,100 points because of a correction, stocks will be at an 18-19 price earnings ratio — below the average since 1990.\nTrue to form, the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+1.30%and the Russell 2000 small-cap index have traded sideways for two to four months. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq recently broke out of trading ranges, but a bigger pullback would send them back into sideways action mode.\n6. Sentiment isn’t extreme\nAs a contrarian, I look for excessive sentiment as a sign that it’s time to raise some cash. We don’t see that yet. A simple gauge to follow is the Investors Intelligence Bull/Bear ratio. It recently came in at 3.92. That’s near the warning path, which for me starts at 4. On the other hand, mutual fund cash was recently at $4.6 trillion, near historical highs. This represents caution among investors.\nThree themes to follow\nIf we are in store for a sustained economic recovery and a multi-year bull market in stocks, it will pay to follow these three themes.\nFavor cyclicals.Stay with economically sensitive businesses and add to your holdings in them on pullbacks. This means cyclical companies in areas like financials, materials, industrials and consumer discretionary businesses.\nAvoid defensives.If you want yield, go with stocks that pay a dividend but also have capital appreciation potential — not steady growth companies selling stuff like consumer staples. On this theme, in my stock letter Brush Up on Stocks (the link is in bio, below) I’ve recently suggested or reiterated Home Depot in retail, B. Riley Financial,a markets and investment banking name, and Regional Management in consumer finance.\nFavor emerging markets.Their growth tends to be higher during expansions. Just be careful with China. It has an aging population. Limited workforce growth may constrain economic growth. Another challenge is that ongoing U.S.-China tensions and the related threat of persistent tariffs and trade barriers have global companies relocating supply chains elsewhere.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":492,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":811917346,"gmtCreate":1630283563385,"gmtModify":1704957724144,"author":{"id":"4087523982151170","authorId":"4087523982151170","name":"Fayedea","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9d26a7d632140dba3255747fafc07d3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087523982151170","authorIdStr":"4087523982151170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest","listText":"Latest","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/811917346","repostId":"1111636215","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":275,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":890259041,"gmtCreate":1628121132083,"gmtModify":1633753473252,"author":{"id":"4087523982151170","authorId":"4087523982151170","name":"Fayedea","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9d26a7d632140dba3255747fafc07d3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087523982151170","authorIdStr":"4087523982151170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Latest ","listText":"Latest ","text":"Latest","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/890259041","repostId":"1131276586","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":468,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":805327593,"gmtCreate":1627862493712,"gmtModify":1633755921941,"author":{"id":"4087523982151170","authorId":"4087523982151170","name":"Fayedea","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f9d26a7d632140dba3255747fafc07d3","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"4087523982151170","authorIdStr":"4087523982151170"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Thanks for sharing 👍","listText":"Thanks for sharing 👍","text":"Thanks for sharing 👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/805327593","repostId":"1192956068","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":468,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}