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2021-12-20

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Nike, Micron, BlackBerry, CarMax, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>Nike、Micron、黑莓、CarMax等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>

2021-12-19

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2021-12-19

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2021-12-18

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Wall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote>

2021-12-16

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2021-12-15

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2021-12-14

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PayPal's Recent Price Decline Will Eventually Happen To Nearly All Overvalued Technology Stocks<blockquote>PayPal最近的价格下跌最终将发生在几乎所有被高估的科技股身上</blockquote>

2021-12-13

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2021-12-12

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2021-12-11

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Sea Ltd stock dropped more than 5% in morning trading<blockquote>Sea Ltd股价早盘下跌超过5%</blockquote>

2021-12-10

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2021-12-09

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Coinbase Stock: Bull vs. Bear<blockquote>Coinbase股票：牛市与熊市</blockquote>

2021-12-08

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2021-12-07

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60 Biggest Movers From Yesterday<blockquote>昨天以来60个最大的推动者</blockquote>

2021-12-06

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Game Stop, Toll Brothers, Costco, CVS, and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>Game Stop、Toll Brothers、Costco、CVS和其他本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>

2021-12-04

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US IPO Week Ahead: Digital banking and cloud infrastructure lead a 4 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周：数字银行和云基础设施引领IPO周4</blockquote>

2021-12-04

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US IPO Week Ahead: Digital banking and cloud infrastructure lead a 4 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周：数字银行和云基础设施引领IPO周4</blockquote>

2021-12-03

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2021-12-02

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2021-12-01

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Nasdaq 100 futures rose nearly 1%, Dow Jones futures rose 0.43%, S&P 500 futures rose 0.71.<blockquote>纳斯达克100期货涨近1%，道琼斯期货涨0.43%，标普500期货涨0.71。</blockquote>

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Before the holiday break,Nike and Micron Technology report on Monday,BlackBerry and General Mills on Tuesday, and CarMax,Cintas,and Paychex on Wednesday.It will be a busy week of economic data releases. On Monday, the Conference Board publishes its Leading Economic Index for November, followed by its Consumer Confidence Index for December on Wednesday.On Thursday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reports per","content":"<p>Stock and bond markets around the world will be closed Friday in observance of Christmas. Before the holiday&nbsp;break,Nike&nbsp;and&nbsp;Micron Technology&nbsp;report on Monday,BlackBerry&nbsp;and&nbsp;General Mills&nbsp;on Tuesday, and&nbsp;CarMax,Cintas,and&nbsp;Paychex&nbsp;on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>世界各地的股票和债券市场将于周五休市以庆祝圣诞节。假期前，Nike和Micron Technology将于周一发布报告，黑莓和通用磨坊将于周二发布报告，CarMax、Cintas和Paychex将于周三发布报告。</blockquote></p><p> It will be a busy week of economic data releases. On Monday, the&nbsp;Conference Board publishes its Leading Economic Index for November, followed&nbsp;by its Consumer Confidence Index for December on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>这将是经济数据发布繁忙的一周。周一，世界大型企业联合会将公布11月份领先经济指数，随后将于周三公布12月份消费者信心指数。</blockquote></p><p> On Thursday, the&nbsp;Bureau of Economic Analysis reports personal income and consumption expenditures for November. Consumer earnings are forecast to have risen 0.6% while spending is seen climbing 0.5%. The Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, the core&nbsp;PCE price index, is expected to have spiked 4.5% in November.</p><p><blockquote>周四，经济分析局将公布11月份个人收入和消费支出。消费者收入预计将增长0.6%，而支出预计将增长0.5%。美联储首选的通胀指标核心PCE物价指数预计11月份将飙升4.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Also Thursday, the Census Bureau releases the durable goods report for November, which will provide a window into investment spending in the economy. New orders are forecast to have risen 2.1%. Housing-market indicators out this week include existing-home sales for November on Wednesday and new-home sales for November on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>同样在周四，人口普查局发布了11月份耐用品报告，这将为了解经济中的投资支出提供一个窗口。新订单预计将增长2.1%。本周公布的房地产市场指标包括周三公布的11月份成屋销售和周四公布的11月份新房销售。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 12/20</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一12/20</b></blockquote></p><p> Micron Technology and Nike report quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>美光科技和耐克公布季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Conference Board</b> releases its Leading Economic Index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 119 reading, which would be 0.6% more than October’s level. The Conference Board currently projects a 5% growth rate for fourth-quarter gross domestic product and a slower but still robust 2.6% for 2022.</p><p><blockquote><b>世界大型企业联合会</b>发布11月份领先经济指数。普遍估计读数为119，比10月份的水平高出0.6%。世界大型企业联合会目前预计第四季度国内生产总值增长率为5%，2022年增长率较慢但仍强劲的2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 12/21</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二12/21</b></blockquote></p><p> BlackBerry,FactSet Research Systems,and General Mills announce earnings.</p><p><blockquote>黑莓、FactSet Research Systems和通用磨坊公布财报。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 12/22</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三12/22</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The NAR reports</b> existing-home sales for November. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.4 million homes sold, slightly more than in October and the highest since the beginning of the year.</p><p><blockquote><b>NAR报告</b>11月份现房销售。经济学家预测，经季节调整后的房屋销售量年率为640万套，略高于10月份，为年初以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> CarMax, Cintas, and Paychex hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>CarMax、Cintas和Paychex评级召开会议讨论季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Economic</b> Analysis reports its third and final estimate for third-quarter GDP. Economists forecast a 2.1% seasonally adjusted annual growth rate, unchanged from November’s second estimate.</p><p><blockquote><b>经济局</b>分析报告了对第三季度GDP的第三次也是最终估计。经济学家预测，经季节调整后的年增长率为2.1%，与11月的第二次估计持平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Conference Board</b> releases its Consumer Confidence Index for December. Expectations are for a 110 reading, roughly even with the November data. The index is 15% lower than the postpandemic peak reached in June of this year, due to concerns about rising prices and, to a lesser degree, Covid-19 variants.</p><p><blockquote><b>世界大型企业联合会</b>发布12月份消费者信心指数。预期读数为110，与11月数据大致持平。该指数比今年6月达到的大流行后峰值低15%，原因是对价格上涨以及较小程度上对Covid-19变种的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 12/23</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四12/23</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Department of Labor</b> reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Dec. 18. Jobless claims have averaged 225,667 a week in November and December, and have finally reached prepandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工部</b>报告截至12月18日当周首次申请失业救济人数。11月和12月平均每周申请失业救济人数为225,667人，最终达到了大流行前的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports new-home sales for November. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 770,000 new single-family houses sold, 25,000 more than in October. The median sales price of new houses sold in October was $407,700, while the average sales price was $477,800—both record highs.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告11月份新房销售。市场普遍估计，经季节调整后的新单户住宅年增长率为77万套，比10月份增加2.5万套。10月份售出的新房销售价格中位数为40.77万美元，而平均销售价格为47.78万美元——均创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BEA reports</b> personal income and consumption expenditures for November. Economists forecast a 0.6% monthly increase for income and 0.5% for consumption. This compares with gains for 0.5% and 1.3%, respectively, in October. The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, the core PCE price index, jumped 4.1% year over year in October, the fastest rate since 1991. Predictions are for it to spike 4.6% in November.</p><p><blockquote><b>东亚银行报告</b>11月份个人收入和消费支出。经济学家预测收入每月增长0.6%，消费每月增长0.5%。相比之下，10月份的涨幅分别为0.5%和1.3%。美联储首选的通胀指标核心PCE价格指数10月份同比上涨4.1%，为1991年以来最快增速。预计11月份将飙升4.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> releases the durable goods report for November. New orders for durable manufactured goods are expected to increase 2.1%, to $265.6 billion. Excluding transportation, new orders are seen gaining 0.6%, compared with a 0.5% rise in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>发布11月份耐用品报告。耐用制成品新订单预计将增长2.1%，达到2656亿美元。不包括运输，新订单预计将增长0.6%，而10月份为增长0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 12/24</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五12/24</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>U.S. equity</b>&nbsp;and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Christmas.</p><p><blockquote><b>美国股票</b>固定收益市场因圣诞节而休市。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nike, Micron, BlackBerry, CarMax, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>Nike、Micron、黑莓、CarMax等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNike, Micron, BlackBerry, CarMax, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>Nike、Micron、黑莓、CarMax等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-20 06:39</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Stock and bond markets around the world will be closed Friday in observance of Christmas. Before the holiday&nbsp;break,Nike&nbsp;and&nbsp;Micron Technology&nbsp;report on Monday,BlackBerry&nbsp;and&nbsp;General Mills&nbsp;on Tuesday, and&nbsp;CarMax,Cintas,and&nbsp;Paychex&nbsp;on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>世界各地的股票和债券市场将于周五休市以庆祝圣诞节。假期前，Nike和Micron Technology将于周一发布报告，黑莓和通用磨坊将于周二发布报告，CarMax、Cintas和Paychex将于周三发布报告。</blockquote></p><p> It will be a busy week of economic data releases. On Monday, the&nbsp;Conference Board publishes its Leading Economic Index for November, followed&nbsp;by its Consumer Confidence Index for December on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>这将是经济数据发布繁忙的一周。周一，世界大型企业联合会将公布11月份领先经济指数，随后将于周三公布12月份消费者信心指数。</blockquote></p><p> On Thursday, the&nbsp;Bureau of Economic Analysis reports personal income and consumption expenditures for November. Consumer earnings are forecast to have risen 0.6% while spending is seen climbing 0.5%. The Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, the core&nbsp;PCE price index, is expected to have spiked 4.5% in November.</p><p><blockquote>周四，经济分析局将公布11月份个人收入和消费支出。消费者收入预计将增长0.6%，而支出预计将增长0.5%。美联储首选的通胀指标核心PCE物价指数预计11月份将飙升4.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Also Thursday, the Census Bureau releases the durable goods report for November, which will provide a window into investment spending in the economy. New orders are forecast to have risen 2.1%. Housing-market indicators out this week include existing-home sales for November on Wednesday and new-home sales for November on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>同样在周四，人口普查局发布了11月份耐用品报告，这将为了解经济中的投资支出提供一个窗口。新订单预计将增长2.1%。本周公布的房地产市场指标包括周三公布的11月份成屋销售和周四公布的11月份新房销售。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 12/20</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一12/20</b></blockquote></p><p> Micron Technology and Nike report quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>美光科技和耐克公布季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Conference Board</b> releases its Leading Economic Index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 119 reading, which would be 0.6% more than October’s level. The Conference Board currently projects a 5% growth rate for fourth-quarter gross domestic product and a slower but still robust 2.6% for 2022.</p><p><blockquote><b>世界大型企业联合会</b>发布11月份领先经济指数。普遍估计读数为119，比10月份的水平高出0.6%。世界大型企业联合会目前预计第四季度国内生产总值增长率为5%，2022年增长率较慢但仍强劲的2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 12/21</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二12/21</b></blockquote></p><p> BlackBerry,FactSet Research Systems,and General Mills announce earnings.</p><p><blockquote>黑莓、FactSet Research Systems和通用磨坊公布财报。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 12/22</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三12/22</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The NAR reports</b> existing-home sales for November. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.4 million homes sold, slightly more than in October and the highest since the beginning of the year.</p><p><blockquote><b>NAR报告</b>11月份现房销售。经济学家预测，经季节调整后的房屋销售量年率为640万套，略高于10月份，为年初以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> CarMax, Cintas, and Paychex hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>CarMax、Cintas和Paychex评级召开会议讨论季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Economic</b> Analysis reports its third and final estimate for third-quarter GDP. Economists forecast a 2.1% seasonally adjusted annual growth rate, unchanged from November’s second estimate.</p><p><blockquote><b>经济局</b>分析报告了对第三季度GDP的第三次也是最终估计。经济学家预测，经季节调整后的年增长率为2.1%，与11月的第二次估计持平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Conference Board</b> releases its Consumer Confidence Index for December. Expectations are for a 110 reading, roughly even with the November data. The index is 15% lower than the postpandemic peak reached in June of this year, due to concerns about rising prices and, to a lesser degree, Covid-19 variants.</p><p><blockquote><b>世界大型企业联合会</b>发布12月份消费者信心指数。预期读数为110，与11月数据大致持平。该指数比今年6月达到的大流行后峰值低15%，原因是对价格上涨以及较小程度上对Covid-19变种的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 12/23</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四12/23</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The Department of Labor</b> reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Dec. 18. Jobless claims have averaged 225,667 a week in November and December, and have finally reached prepandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工部</b>报告截至12月18日当周首次申请失业救济人数。11月和12月平均每周申请失业救济人数为225,667人，最终达到了大流行前的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> reports new-home sales for November. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 770,000 new single-family houses sold, 25,000 more than in October. The median sales price of new houses sold in October was $407,700, while the average sales price was $477,800—both record highs.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告11月份新房销售。市场普遍估计，经季节调整后的新单户住宅年增长率为77万套，比10月份增加2.5万套。10月份售出的新房销售价格中位数为40.77万美元，而平均销售价格为47.78万美元——均创历史新高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BEA reports</b> personal income and consumption expenditures for November. Economists forecast a 0.6% monthly increase for income and 0.5% for consumption. This compares with gains for 0.5% and 1.3%, respectively, in October. The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, the core PCE price index, jumped 4.1% year over year in October, the fastest rate since 1991. Predictions are for it to spike 4.6% in November.</p><p><blockquote><b>东亚银行报告</b>11月份个人收入和消费支出。经济学家预测收入每月增长0.6%，消费每月增长0.5%。相比之下，10月份的涨幅分别为0.5%和1.3%。美联储首选的通胀指标核心PCE价格指数10月份同比上涨4.1%，为1991年以来最快增速。预计11月份将飙升4.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b> releases the durable goods report for November. New orders for durable manufactured goods are expected to increase 2.1%, to $265.6 billion. Excluding transportation, new orders are seen gaining 0.6%, compared with a 0.5% rise in October.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>发布11月份耐用品报告。耐用制成品新订单预计将增长2.1%，达到2656亿美元。不包括运输，新订单预计将增长0.6%，而10月份为增长0.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 12/24</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五12/24</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>U.S. equity</b>&nbsp;and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Christmas.</p><p><blockquote><b>美国股票</b>固定收益市场因圣诞节而休市。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/nike-micron-blackberry-carmax-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51639944183?mod=hp_LEAD_5\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MU":"美光科技","PAYX":"沛齐","KMX":"车美仕","GIS":"通用磨坊",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","CTAS":"信达思",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/nike-micron-blackberry-carmax-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51639944183?mod=hp_LEAD_5","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1130704419","content_text":"Stock and bond markets around the world will be closed Friday in observance of Christmas. Before the holiday break,Nike and Micron Technology report on Monday,BlackBerry and General Mills on Tuesday, and CarMax,Cintas,and Paychex on Wednesday.\nIt will be a busy week of economic data releases. On Monday, the Conference Board publishes its Leading Economic Index for November, followed by its Consumer Confidence Index for December on Wednesday.\nOn Thursday, the Bureau of Economic Analysis reports personal income and consumption expenditures for November. Consumer earnings are forecast to have risen 0.6% while spending is seen climbing 0.5%. The Federal Reserve’s preferred measure of inflation, the core PCE price index, is expected to have spiked 4.5% in November.\nAlso Thursday, the Census Bureau releases the durable goods report for November, which will provide a window into investment spending in the economy. New orders are forecast to have risen 2.1%. Housing-market indicators out this week include existing-home sales for November on Wednesday and new-home sales for November on Thursday.\nMonday 12/20\nMicron Technology and Nike report quarterly results.\nThe Conference Board releases its Leading Economic Index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 119 reading, which would be 0.6% more than October’s level. The Conference Board currently projects a 5% growth rate for fourth-quarter gross domestic product and a slower but still robust 2.6% for 2022.\nTuesday 12/21\nBlackBerry,FactSet Research Systems,and General Mills announce earnings.\nWednesday 12/22\nThe NAR reports existing-home sales for November. Economists forecast a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.4 million homes sold, slightly more than in October and the highest since the beginning of the year.\nCarMax, Cintas, and Paychex hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.\nThe Bureau of Economic Analysis reports its third and final estimate for third-quarter GDP. Economists forecast a 2.1% seasonally adjusted annual growth rate, unchanged from November’s second estimate.\nThe Conference Board releases its Consumer Confidence Index for December. Expectations are for a 110 reading, roughly even with the November data. The index is 15% lower than the postpandemic peak reached in June of this year, due to concerns about rising prices and, to a lesser degree, Covid-19 variants.\nThursday 12/23\nThe Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Dec. 18. Jobless claims have averaged 225,667 a week in November and December, and have finally reached prepandemic levels.\nThe Census Bureau reports new-home sales for November. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 770,000 new single-family houses sold, 25,000 more than in October. The median sales price of new houses sold in October was $407,700, while the average sales price was $477,800—both record highs.\nThe BEA reports personal income and consumption expenditures for November. Economists forecast a 0.6% monthly increase for income and 0.5% for consumption. This compares with gains for 0.5% and 1.3%, respectively, in October. The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, the core PCE price index, jumped 4.1% year over year in October, the fastest rate since 1991. Predictions are for it to spike 4.6% in November.\nThe Census Bureau releases the durable goods report for November. New orders for durable manufactured goods are expected to increase 2.1%, to $265.6 billion. Excluding transportation, new orders are seen gaining 0.6%, compared with a 0.5% rise in October.\nFriday 12/24\nU.S. equity and fixed-income markets are closed in observance of Christmas.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"KMX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"PAYX":0.9,"MU":0.9,"GIS":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"CTAS":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3468,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699737493,"gmtCreate":1639892338020,"gmtModify":1639892338299,"author":{"id":"3586770271918953","authorId":"3586770271918953","name":"7acb343","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586770271918953","idStr":"3586770271918953"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699737493","repostId":"2192903248","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2729,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699737593,"gmtCreate":1639892301855,"gmtModify":1639892302087,"author":{"id":"3586770271918953","authorId":"3586770271918953","name":"7acb343","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586770271918953","idStr":"3586770271918953"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699737593","repostId":"2192035909","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2598,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699254076,"gmtCreate":1639820720225,"gmtModify":1639820720502,"author":{"id":"3586770271918953","authorId":"3586770271918953","name":"7acb343","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586770271918953","idStr":"3586770271918953"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699254076","repostId":"1116106959","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1116106959","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639785552,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1116106959?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-18 07:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Wall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1116106959","media":"Reuters","summary":" - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.All three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.Nvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.The S","content":"<p>(Reuters) - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社）-华尔街周五收低，受大型科技股拖累，投资者担心奥密克戎冠状病毒变种，并更快消化美联储结束大流行时期刺激措施的决定。</blockquote></p><p> All three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储周三暗示在2022年底前加息三次0.25个百分点以应对飙升的通胀后，美国三大主要股指本周均收跌。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达下跌2.1%，Alphabet下跌1.9%，均令标普500和纳斯达克承压。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 growth index lost 0.7% and the value index declined 1.4%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500增长指数下跌0.7%，价值指数下跌1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> All of the 11 major S&amp;P 500 sector indexes fell, with financials leading the way down with a 2.3% drop. Energy lost 2.2%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500 11大板块指数悉数下跌，金融股跌幅2.3%领跌。能源下跌2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to uncertainty, Pfizer said on Friday the pandemic could extend through next year. European countries geared up for further travel and social restrictions and a study warned that the rapidly spreading Omicron coronavirus variant was five times more likely to reinfect people than its predecessor, Delta.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞周五表示，疫情可能会持续到明年，这增加了不确定性。欧洲国家为进一步的旅行和社会限制做好了准备，一项研究警告说，迅速传播的奥密克戎冠状病毒变种重新感染人类的可能性是其前身达美航空的五倍。</blockquote></p><p> Traders also pointed to year-end tax selling and the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts - known as triple witching - as potential causes for volatility.</p><p><blockquote>交易员还指出，年终税收抛售以及股票期权、股指期货和指数期权合约同时到期——被称为三重巫术——是波动的潜在原因。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's a big options expiration day,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey. \"And now you draw on top of that some Omicron, and you've got volatility, and I think it creates a lot of uncertainty amongst investors. Where are you going to position for the end of the year?\"</p><p><blockquote>新泽西州查塔姆Themis Trading交易联席经理Joe Saluzzi表示：“这是一个重要的期权到期日。”“现在你在此基础上利用一些奥密克戎，就会出现波动，我认为这给投资者带来了很多不确定性。今年年底你打算在哪里定位？”</blockquote></p><p> Heavyweight growth stocks including Nvidia and Microsoft have outperformed the broader market in 2021, while the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index has surged about 35%. The benchmark S&amp;P 500 index gained around 23% in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>包括英伟达和微软在内的权重成长股在2021年的表现优于大盘，而费城SE半导体指数则飙升了约35%。基准标普500指数同期上涨约23%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.48% to end at 35,365.44 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 1.03% to 4,620.64.</p><p><blockquote>周五交易中，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌1.48%，收于35,365.44点，标普500下跌1.03%，收于4,620.64点。</blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.07% to 15,169.68.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.07%，至15,169.68点。</blockquote></p><p> On a positive note, the small-cap Russell 2000 index rallied 1% after having fallen more than 10% from a record high in early November.</p><p><blockquote>积极的一面是，小盘股罗素2000指数在从11月初的历史高点下跌超过10%后，上涨了1%。</blockquote></p><p> With options expiring, volume on U.S. exchanges jumped to 16.6 billion shares, far above the 11.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>随着期权到期，美国交易所的成交量跃升至166亿股，远高于过去20个交易日119亿股的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> For the week, the S&amp;P 500 fell 1.9%, the Dow lost 1.7% and the Nasdaq declined 2.9%.</p><p><blockquote>本周，标普500下跌1.9%，道琼斯指数下跌1.7%，纳斯达克下跌2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, Oracle tumbled 6.4% after the Wall Street Journal reported the enterprise software maker is in talks to buy electronic medical records company Cerner in a deal that could be valued at $30 billion. Shares of Cerner surged 12.9%.</p><p><blockquote>周五交易中，甲骨文股价下跌6.4%，此前《华尔街日报》报道称，这家企业软件制造商正在就收购电子医疗记录公司Cerner进行谈判，交易价值可能达到300亿美元。Cerner股价飙升12.9%。</blockquote></p><p> FedEx Corp rose almost 5% after the delivery firm reinstated its original fiscal 2022 forecast on Thursday, even as persistent labor woes chipped away profits.</p><p><blockquote>尽管持续的劳工困境削弱了利润，但联邦快递公司周四恢复了最初的2022财年预测，该公司股价上涨近5%。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.50-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.16-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.50比1；在纳斯达克，1.16比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 28 new highs and 341 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下22个52周新高和7个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得28个新高和341个新低。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Wall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWall Street ends down after mostly negative week<blockquote>华尔街在经历了大部分负面的一周后收盘下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-18 07:59</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Reuters) - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.</p><p><blockquote>（路透社）-华尔街周五收低，受大型科技股拖累，投资者担心奥密克戎冠状病毒变种，并更快消化美联储结束大流行时期刺激措施的决定。</blockquote></p><p> All three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储周三暗示在2022年底前加息三次0.25个百分点以应对飙升的通胀后，美国三大主要股指本周均收跌。</blockquote></p><p> Nvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达下跌2.1%，Alphabet下跌1.9%，均令标普500和纳斯达克承压。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 growth index lost 0.7% and the value index declined 1.4%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500增长指数下跌0.7%，价值指数下跌1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> All of the 11 major S&amp;P 500 sector indexes fell, with financials leading the way down with a 2.3% drop. Energy lost 2.2%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500 11大板块指数悉数下跌，金融股跌幅2.3%领跌。能源下跌2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to uncertainty, Pfizer said on Friday the pandemic could extend through next year. European countries geared up for further travel and social restrictions and a study warned that the rapidly spreading Omicron coronavirus variant was five times more likely to reinfect people than its predecessor, Delta.</p><p><blockquote>辉瑞周五表示，疫情可能会持续到明年，这增加了不确定性。欧洲国家为进一步的旅行和社会限制做好了准备，一项研究警告说，迅速传播的奥密克戎冠状病毒变种重新感染人类的可能性是其前身达美航空的五倍。</blockquote></p><p> Traders also pointed to year-end tax selling and the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts - known as triple witching - as potential causes for volatility.</p><p><blockquote>交易员还指出，年终税收抛售以及股票期权、股指期货和指数期权合约同时到期——被称为三重巫术——是波动的潜在原因。</blockquote></p><p> \"It's a big options expiration day,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey. \"And now you draw on top of that some Omicron, and you've got volatility, and I think it creates a lot of uncertainty amongst investors. Where are you going to position for the end of the year?\"</p><p><blockquote>新泽西州查塔姆Themis Trading交易联席经理Joe Saluzzi表示：“这是一个重要的期权到期日。”“现在你在此基础上利用一些奥密克戎，就会出现波动，我认为这给投资者带来了很多不确定性。今年年底你打算在哪里定位？”</blockquote></p><p> Heavyweight growth stocks including Nvidia and Microsoft have outperformed the broader market in 2021, while the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index has surged about 35%. The benchmark S&amp;P 500 index gained around 23% in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>包括英伟达和微软在内的权重成长股在2021年的表现优于大盘，而费城SE半导体指数则飙升了约35%。基准标普500指数同期上涨约23%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.48% to end at 35,365.44 points, while the S&amp;P 500 lost 1.03% to 4,620.64.</p><p><blockquote>周五交易中，道琼斯工业平均指数下跌1.48%，收于35,365.44点，标普500下跌1.03%，收于4,620.64点。</blockquote></p><p> The Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.07% to 15,169.68.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数下跌0.07%，至15,169.68点。</blockquote></p><p> On a positive note, the small-cap Russell 2000 index rallied 1% after having fallen more than 10% from a record high in early November.</p><p><blockquote>积极的一面是，小盘股罗素2000指数在从11月初的历史高点下跌超过10%后，上涨了1%。</blockquote></p><p> With options expiring, volume on U.S. exchanges jumped to 16.6 billion shares, far above the 11.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>随着期权到期，美国交易所的成交量跃升至166亿股，远高于过去20个交易日119亿股的平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> For the week, the S&amp;P 500 fell 1.9%, the Dow lost 1.7% and the Nasdaq declined 2.9%.</p><p><blockquote>本周，标普500下跌1.9%，道琼斯指数下跌1.7%，纳斯达克下跌2.9%。</blockquote></p><p> In Friday's session, Oracle tumbled 6.4% after the Wall Street Journal reported the enterprise software maker is in talks to buy electronic medical records company Cerner in a deal that could be valued at $30 billion. Shares of Cerner surged 12.9%.</p><p><blockquote>周五交易中，甲骨文股价下跌6.4%，此前《华尔街日报》报道称，这家企业软件制造商正在就收购电子医疗记录公司Cerner进行谈判，交易价值可能达到300亿美元。Cerner股价飙升12.9%。</blockquote></p><p> FedEx Corp rose almost 5% after the delivery firm reinstated its original fiscal 2022 forecast on Thursday, even as persistent labor woes chipped away profits.</p><p><blockquote>尽管持续的劳工困境削弱了利润，但联邦快递公司周四恢复了最初的2022财年预测，该公司股价上涨近5%。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.50-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.16-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.50比1；在纳斯达克，1.16比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 28 new highs and 341 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下22个52周新高和7个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得28个新高和341个新低。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-ends-212015460.html\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-stocks-wall-street-ends-212015460.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1116106959","content_text":"(Reuters) - Wall Street finished lower on Friday, weighed down by Big Tech as investors worried about the Omicron coronavirus variant and digested the Federal Reserve's decision to end its pandemic-era stimulus faster.\nAll three main U.S. stock indexes ended with a decline for the week after the Fed on Wednesday signaled three quarter-percentage-point interest rate hikes by the end of 2022 to combat surging inflation.\nNvidia dropped 2.1% and Alphabet lost 1.9%, both weighing on the S&P 500 and Nasdaq.\nThe S&P 500 growth index lost 0.7% and the value index declined 1.4%.\nAll of the 11 major S&P 500 sector indexes fell, with financials leading the way down with a 2.3% drop. Energy lost 2.2%.\nAdding to uncertainty, Pfizer said on Friday the pandemic could extend through next year. European countries geared up for further travel and social restrictions and a study warned that the rapidly spreading Omicron coronavirus variant was five times more likely to reinfect people than its predecessor, Delta.\nTraders also pointed to year-end tax selling and the simultaneous expiration of stock options, stock index futures and index options contracts - known as triple witching - as potential causes for volatility.\n\"It's a big options expiration day,\" said Joe Saluzzi, co-manager of trading at Themis Trading in Chatham, New Jersey. \"And now you draw on top of that some Omicron, and you've got volatility, and I think it creates a lot of uncertainty amongst investors. Where are you going to position for the end of the year?\"\nHeavyweight growth stocks including Nvidia and Microsoft have outperformed the broader market in 2021, while the Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index has surged about 35%. The benchmark S&P 500 index gained around 23% in the same period.\nIn Friday's session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.48% to end at 35,365.44 points, while the S&P 500 lost 1.03% to 4,620.64.\nThe Nasdaq Composite dropped 0.07% to 15,169.68.\nOn a positive note, the small-cap Russell 2000 index rallied 1% after having fallen more than 10% from a record high in early November.\nWith options expiring, volume on U.S. exchanges jumped to 16.6 billion shares, far above the 11.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.\nFor the week, the S&P 500 fell 1.9%, the Dow lost 1.7% and the Nasdaq declined 2.9%.\nIn Friday's session, Oracle tumbled 6.4% after the Wall Street Journal reported the enterprise software maker is in talks to buy electronic medical records company Cerner in a deal that could be valued at $30 billion. Shares of Cerner surged 12.9%.\nFedEx Corp rose almost 5% after the delivery firm reinstated its original fiscal 2022 forecast on Thursday, even as persistent labor woes chipped away profits.\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.50-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.16-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 22 new 52-week highs and seven new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 28 new highs and 341 new lows.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2141,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":690376680,"gmtCreate":1639643967981,"gmtModify":1639643968248,"author":{"id":"3586770271918953","authorId":"3586770271918953","name":"7acb343","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586770271918953","idStr":"3586770271918953"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/690376680","repostId":"1139961481","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4184,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607592776,"gmtCreate":1639558120797,"gmtModify":1639558121070,"author":{"id":"3586770271918953","authorId":"3586770271918953","name":"7acb343","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586770271918953","idStr":"3586770271918953"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607592776","repostId":"1169273827","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2743,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":607013859,"gmtCreate":1639456205103,"gmtModify":1639456205326,"author":{"id":"3586770271918953","authorId":"3586770271918953","name":"7acb343","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586770271918953","idStr":"3586770271918953"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607013859","repostId":"1120286910","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120286910","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639453388,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1120286910?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-14 11:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"PayPal's Recent Price Decline Will Eventually Happen To Nearly All Overvalued Technology Stocks<blockquote>PayPal最近的价格下跌最终将发生在几乎所有被高估的科技股身上</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120286910","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nPayPal stock is down over -35% off this year's highs, and the stock still isn't cheap.\nI wa","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>PayPal stock is down over -35% off this year's highs, and the stock still isn't cheap.</li>  <li>I warned investors back in February of 2021 that PayPal was extremely overvalued and worth selling.</li>  <li>That warning could have been issued for dozens and dozens of overvalued technology stocks that still have over -50% downside from here within the next 3 years.</li>  <li>PayPal remains a great company that I would like to own, so I analyze the stock in order to establish I price at which I'd be willing to buy it.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/847095b0be294275f55f7e8f700d56b4\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1229\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>BsWei/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>PayPal股价较今年高点下跌超过-35%，而且该股仍然不便宜。</li><li>我早在2021年2月就警告投资者，PayPal的估值被严重高估，值得出售。</li><li>这一警告可能是针对数十只被高估的科技股发出的，这些股在未来3年内仍有超过-50%的下跌空间。</li><li>PayPal仍然是一家我想拥有的伟大公司，因此我分析该股票以确定我愿意购买它的价格。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>BsWei/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Introduction</b></p><p><blockquote><b>介绍</b></blockquote></p><p> Back on February 6th, 2021, I made a video where I shared with investors why PayPal (PYPL) stock was overvalued enough to sell. I shared that video on my Seeking Alpha bloghere. Since that time, PayPal has performed poorly both on an absolute basis and relative to the S&amp;P 500 (SPY).</p><p><blockquote>早在2021年2月6日，我就制作了一段视频，与投资者分享了为什么PayPal(PYPL)股票被高估到足以出售。我在我的Seeking Alpha bloghere上分享了该视频。自那时以来，PayPal的绝对表现和相对于标普500（SPDR标普500指数ETF）的表现都很差。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8252b7218af36cce8b5a591f56abaecd\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The stock price is down about -30% since I warned investors and down about -38% off its high price of the year.</p><p><blockquote>自从我向投资者发出警告以来，该股股价已下跌约-30%，较今年的高点下跌约-38%。</blockquote></p><p> The truth is that I could have issued the same warning about many other technology stocks that had become overvalued, but PayPal was one that I actually wanted to buy if the price ever fell to a reasonable level. It was a case where there was absolutely nothing wrong with the company. There was no bad story to tell. The price had simply gotten insanely overvalued. It didn't matter how good the story around PayPal was back in February. Numbers almost always trump narrative over the long-term. And the numbers back then didn't make sense.</p><p><blockquote>事实是，我本可以对许多其他被高估的科技股发出同样的警告，但如果价格跌至合理水平，我实际上想买入PayPal。这是一个公司绝对没有问题的案例。没有什么不好的故事可讲。这个价格被高估了。二月份围绕PayPal的故事有多好并不重要。从长远来看，数字几乎总是胜过叙事。当时的数字没有意义。</blockquote></p><p> This should be an important lesson for medium and long-term investors. If the numbers don't work, it doesn't matter what the story is.</p><p><blockquote>这应该是中长线投资者的重要一课。如果数字不起作用，故事是什么并不重要。</blockquote></p><p> The difficultly for a stock writer like myself is that investors<i>love</i>narratives and stories. It's not our fault. Our human brains are hardwired that way. Since I shared my bearish February PayPal video, out of 62 articles on Seeking Alpha covering PayPal, there hasn't been a single \"Bearish\" article written. The primary reason for that is because PayPal's narrative was so appealing that valuation numbers were either ignored, or the assumptions around the numbers were not realistic.</p><p><blockquote>对于像我这样的股票作家来说，困难的是投资者<i>爱</i>叙事和故事。这不是我们的错。我们人类的大脑天生就是这样。自从我分享了我看跌的2月份PayPal视频以来，Seeking Alpha上报道PayPal的62篇文章中，没有一篇“看跌”文章。主要原因是PayPal的叙述如此吸引人，以至于估值数字要么被忽视，要么围绕这些数字的假设不现实。</blockquote></p><p> In this article, I'm going to share my current PayPal valuation based on earnings and earnings growth projections. I'll also share what I consider to be a fair value range for PayPal stock, and the price I would be looking to buy with a margin of safety. This is the same basic process I used to determine that PayPal stock was overvalued back in February of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>在本文中，我将分享我目前基于盈利和盈利增长预测的PayPal估值。我还将分享我认为PayPal股票的公允价值范围，以及我希望在安全边际的情况下购买的价格。这与我在2021年2月用来确定PayPal股票被高估的基本过程相同。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Full-Cycle Earnings Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>全周期盈利分析</b></blockquote></p><p> As part of the analysis, I calculate what I consider to be the two main drivers of future total returns: Market sentiment returns and business returns. I then combine those expected returns together in the form of a 10-year CAGR expectation and use that to value the stock.</p><p><blockquote>作为分析的一部分，我计算了我认为未来总回报的两个主要驱动因素：市场情绪回报和商业回报。然后，我将这些预期回报以10年复合年增长率预期的形式组合在一起，并用它来评估股票。</blockquote></p><p> Before I begin this analysis, I always check the business's long-term earnings patterns in order to ensure that the business is a proper fit for this sort of analysis. If the historical earnings 1) don't have a long enough history 2) are erratic in nature, or 3) are too cyclical, then I either avoid analyzing the stock altogether or I use a different type of analysis that is more appropriate.</p><p><blockquote>在我开始这种分析之前，我总是检查企业的长期盈利模式，以确保企业适合这种分析。如果历史收益1）没有足够长的历史2）本质上不稳定，或者3）周期性太强，那么我要么完全避免分析股票，要么使用更合适的不同类型的分析。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70078307e65a5a1d0e37f9e70b726b77\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"490\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> We can see that since 2015 PayPal's earnings per share have increased every single year. This is a clear secular growth pattern and it makes the stock very attractive as a long-term investment. Since 2015 there haven't been any negative earnings growth years so the stock is likely a good fit for the type of earnings analysis I'm going to perform. One important question to ask, though, is that while we did have a brief recession in 2020, it was a very unusual one. It's possible that PayPal's business could be more economically sensitive during a longer, more drawn-out recession. So, that is a risk. However, when I examined how eBay (EBAY) performed in the 2008/9 recession, its earnings growth was basically flat, and never went negative. If I had to make a guess, I think PayPal's earnings growth rate would probably decline during a \"normal\" recession, but still wouldn't be especially cyclical. For those reasons, I'm going to go ahead with my Full-Cycle Earnings Analysis even though we don't have hard historical data from \"normal\" recession for PayPal.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以看到，自2015年以来，PayPal的每股收益每年都在增长。这是一种明显的长期增长模式，它使该股票作为长期投资非常有吸引力。自2015年以来，没有出现过任何盈利负增长的年份，因此该股票可能非常适合我将要进行的盈利分析类型。不过，要问的一个重要问题是，虽然我们在2020年确实经历了短暂的衰退，但这是一次非常不寻常的衰退。在更长、更持久的经济衰退期间，PayPal的业务可能会对经济更加敏感。所以，这是一个风险。然而，当我考察eBay(EBAY)在2008/9年经济衰退中的表现时，其盈利增长基本持平，从未出现过负增长。如果让我猜测的话，我认为PayPal的盈利增长率可能会在“正常”衰退期间下降，但仍然不会特别具有周期性。出于这些原因，尽管我们没有PayPal“正常”衰退的硬历史数据，但我仍将继续进行全周期盈利分析。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Market Sentiment Return Expectations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场情绪回归预期</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> In order to estimate what sort of returns we might expect over the next 10 years, let's begin by examining what return we could expect 10 years from now if the P/E multiple were to revert to its mean from the previous economic cycle. Since we have had a recent recession (albeit an unusual one) I'm starting this cycle in fiscal year 2015 and running it through 2021's estimates.</p><p><blockquote>为了估计未来10年我们可能预期的回报，让我们首先研究一下，如果市盈率倍数恢复到上一个经济周期的平均值，我们从现在起10年后可以预期的回报。由于我们最近经历了一次衰退（尽管是一次不寻常的衰退），我将在2015财年开始这个周期，并通过2021年的估计运行它。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e36d2c3455962a02d96b8c88c32eadce\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"490\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> PayPal's average P/E from 2015 to the present has been a healthy 34.11 (the blue bar circled in gold on the FAST Graph). Using 2021's forward earnings estimates of $4.60 (also circled in gold), PayPal has a current P/E of 40.73. If that 40.73 P/E were to revert to the average P/E of 34.11 over the course of the next 10 years and everything else was held the same, PayPal's price would fall and it would produce a 10-Year CAGR of<b>-1.75%</b>. That's the annual return we can expect from sentiment mean reversion if it takes ten years to revert. If it takes less time to revert, the price could fall faster.</p><p><blockquote>PayPal从2015年至今的平均市盈率为34.11（快速图上用金色圈出的蓝色条）。使用2021年4.60美元的预期盈利预测（也用金色圈出），PayPal目前的市盈率为40.73。如果40.73市盈率在未来10年恢复到34.11的平均市盈率，而其他条件保持不变，PayPal的股价将会下跌，10年复合年增长率将为<b>-1.75%</b>如果情绪回归需要十年时间，这就是我们可以从情绪均值回归中预期的年回报率。如果恢复所需的时间更短，价格可能会下跌得更快。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Earnings Expectations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>业务盈利预期</b></blockquote></p><p> We previously examined what would happen if market sentiment reverted to the mean. This is entirely determined by the mood of the market and is quite often disconnected, or only loosely connected, to the performance of the actual business. In this section, we will examine the actual earnings of the business. The goal here is simple: We want to know how much money we would earn (expressed in the form of a CAGR %) over the course of 10 years if we bought the business at today's prices and kept all of the earnings for ourselves.</p><p><blockquote>我们之前研究了如果市场情绪恢复到均值会发生什么。这完全由市场情绪决定，并且通常与实际业务的表现脱节，或者只是松散地联系在一起。在本节中，我们将研究企业的实际收益。这里的目标很简单：我们想知道如果我们以今天的价格收购企业并将所有收益留给自己，我们在10年内会赚多少钱（以CAGR%的形式表示）。</blockquote></p><p> There are two main components of this: the first is the earnings yield and the second is the rate at which the earnings can be expected to grow. Let's start with the earnings yield (which is an inverted P/E ratio, so, the Earnings/Price ratio). The current earnings yield is about +2.46%. The way I like to think about this is, if I bought the company's whole business right now for $100, I would earn $2.46 per year on my investment if earnings remained the same for the next 10 years.</p><p><blockquote>这有两个主要组成部分：第一个是收益收益率，第二个是收益的预期增长率。让我们从收益率（这是一个倒置的市盈率，因此，市盈率）开始。目前的收益率约为+2.46%。我喜欢思考这个问题的方式是，如果我现在以100美元购买公司的整个业务，如果未来10年收益保持不变，我每年的投资将获得2.46美元。</blockquote></p><p> The next step is to estimate the company's earnings growth during this time period. I do that by figuring out at what rate earnings grew during the last cycle and applying that rate to the next 10 years. This involves calculating the EPS growth rate since 2015, taking into account each year's EPS growth or decline, and then backing out any share buybacks that occurred over that time period (because reducing shares will increase the EPS due to fewer shares).</p><p><blockquote>下一步是估计公司在这段时间内的盈利增长。我通过计算上一个周期的收益增长率并将该增长率应用于未来10年来做到这一点。这涉及计算自2015年以来的每股收益增长率，考虑每年的每股收益增长或下降，然后退出该时期发生的任何股票回购（因为减持股票会因股票减少而增加每股收益）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f31b7d8ed5f59c82c2531cc686324d1a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Due to the scale of the graph, the buybacks look much bigger than they actually are, and there isn't much to adjust here. Additionally, since PayPal has grown earnings every year there are no earnings growth declines to adjust for either. This makes estimating PayPal's earnings growth a relatively straightforward affair, and I estimate PayPal's earnings growth at about +23.65%.</p><p><blockquote>由于图表的规模，回购看起来比实际要大得多，这里没有太多调整。此外，由于PayPal的盈利每年都在增长，因此无需调整盈利增长下降。这使得估计PayPal的盈利增长变得相对简单，我估计PayPal的盈利增长约为+23.65%。</blockquote></p><p> Now, this is the point where my conservatism when it comes to asking myself \"What is a reasonable expectation, for valuation purposes, going forward 10 years?\" It is very, very difficult for businesses to grow earnings over 20% per year for a full decade (particularly if they have already been doing that the previous decade). For that reason, I cap all of my long-term forward earnings growth estimates when using them for valuation purposes at 20%. This is simply a way to help keep me from overpaying for a stock when their P/E multiple is likely to contract over time. So, for this valuation exercise, I am limiting my earnings growth assumption to 20%.</p><p><blockquote>现在，当我问自己“出于估值目的，未来10年的合理预期是什么？”对于企业来说，在整整十年的时间里，收入每年增长超过20%是非常非常困难的（特别是如果他们在过去十年里已经这样做了）。因此，在用于估值目的时，我将所有长期预期盈利增长预测限制在20%。当股票的市盈率可能会随着时间的推移而收缩时，这只是一种帮助我避免为股票支付过高价格的方法。因此，对于这次估值工作，我将盈利增长假设限制在20%。</blockquote></p><p> Next, I'll apply that growth rate to current earnings, looking forward 10 years in order to get a final 10-year CAGR estimate. The way I think about this is, if I bought PayPal's whole business for $100, it would pay me back $2.46 plus +20.00% growth the first year, and that amount would grow at +20.00% per year for 10 years after that. I want to know how much money I would have in total at the end of 10 years on my $100 investment, which I calculate to be about $176.50 (including the original $100). When I plug that growth into a CAGR calculator, that translates to a<b>+5.85%</b>10-year CAGR estimate for the expected business earnings returns.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，我将将该增长率应用于当前收益，展望10年，以获得最终的10年复合年增长率估计。我的想法是，如果我以100美元收购PayPal的整个业务，它将在第一年偿还我2.46美元，外加+20.00%的增长，并且在那之后的10年里，这个数额将以每年+20.00%的速度增长。我想知道我的100美元投资在10年后总共会有多少钱，我计算出大约是176.50美元（包括最初的100美元）。当我将这种增长插入CAGR计算器时，就会转化为<b>+5.85%</b>预期业务盈利回报的10年复合年增长率估计。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10-Year, Full-Cycle CAGR Estimate</b></p><p><blockquote><b>10年全周期复合年增长率估计</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Potential future returns can come from two main places: market sentiment returns or business earnings returns. If we assume that market sentiment reverts to the mean from the last cycle over the next 10 years for PayPal, it will produce a -1.75% CAGR. If the earnings yield and growth are similar to the last cycle, the company should produce somewhere around a +5.85% 10-year CAGR. If we put the two together, we get an expected 10-year, full-cycle CAGR of<b>+4.10%</b>at today's price.</p><p><blockquote>潜在的未来回报可以来自两个主要地方：市场情绪回报或业务收益回报。如果我们假设PayPal未来10年的市场情绪恢复到上一个周期的平均值，则复合年增长率将为-1.75%。如果盈利收益率和增长与上一个周期相似，该公司的10年复合年增长率应该在+5.85%左右。如果我们将两者放在一起，我们会得到预期的10年全周期复合年增长率为<b>+4.10%</b>以今天的价格。</blockquote></p><p> My Buy/Sell/Hold range for this category of stocks is: above a 12% CAGR is a Buy, below a 4% expected CAGR is a Sell, and in between 4% and 12% is a Hold. This puts PayPal stock just barely into the \"Hold\" category at today's price level.</p><p><blockquote>我对此类股票的买入/卖出/持有范围是：复合年增长率高于12%为买入，预期复合年增长率低于4%为卖出，4%至12%之间为持有。这使得PayPal股票在今天的价格水平上勉强属于“持有”类别。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Additional Considerations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>其他注意事项</b></blockquote></p><p> I consider PayPal one of the highest quality growth stocks in the market right now, which is why I've been monitoring its valuation relatively closely. In this section I'm going to share my fair value range for PayPal along with the price I would be willing to buy the stock with a margin of safety based on earnings, and also the price I would consider buying using a more aggressive and less conservative valuation approach. So, I'm going to look at PayPal's valuation from a variety of different perspectives to give us a clearer view of what might be an appropriate price to pay for the stock.</p><p><blockquote>我认为PayPal是目前市场上质量最高的成长型股票之一，这就是为什么我一直相对密切地关注其估值。在本节中，我将分享我对PayPal的公允价值范围，以及我愿意在基于收益的安全边际下购买该股票的价格，以及我考虑使用更激进和不太保守的估值方法购买的价格。因此，我将从各种不同的角度来看PayPal的估值，让我们更清楚地了解购买该股票的合适价格。</blockquote></p><p> First, I'll start with my buy price and fair value range using the same assumptions and inputs I used in this article. If we use all of those same inputs my current fair value range for PayPal is about $126.50 to $164.00 per share. My current buy price that includes a margin of safety is $112.10. Investors who buy below that price have very good odds of great returns over the medium-term with the stock.</p><p><blockquote>首先，我将使用本文中使用的相同假设和输入从我的购买价格和公允价值范围开始。如果我们使用所有这些相同的输入，我目前对PayPal的公允价值范围约为每股126.50美元至164.00美元。我目前的买入价格（包括安全边际）是112.10美元。低于该价格买入的投资者在中期内很有可能获得丰厚的回报。</blockquote></p><p> Once we get into the new year and 2022, I'll start pulling forward PayPal's 2022 earnings for my estimates. Right now, analysts expect $5.25 per share from earnings in 2022. That will improve PayPal's valuation a lot if the rest of their metrics remain the same, and it would raise their fair value range up to $145.00 to $187.50 dollars per share with a margin of safety buy price at $128.00 per share. This, of course, assumes analysts keep their estimates for 2022 in place and don't lower them over the next couple of months. It also means, based on future earnings, that in a month or two if PayPal keeps trading near its current price, it is already in the top end of a \"fair value\" price range. This might be a further reason for current owners to keep holding.</p><p><blockquote>一旦我们进入新的一年和2022年，我将开始提前预测PayPal 2022年的盈利。目前，分析师预计2022年每股收益为5.25美元。如果PayPal的其他指标保持不变，这将大大提高其估值，并将其公允价值范围提高至每股145.00美元至187.50美元，安全买入价格为每股128.00美元。当然，这是假设分析师维持对2022年的预期不变，并且在未来几个月内不会降低预期。这也意味着，根据未来的收益，如果PayPal在一两个月内保持接近当前价格的交易，它已经处于“公允价值”价格范围的上限。这可能是当前所有者继续持有的另一个原因。</blockquote></p><p> The Full-Cycle Earnings analysis I used in this article is not the only type of analysis I use. For certain rare businesses with fast profit growth dynamics, I recently developed a new analysis to help identify fast-growing businesses that might never become cheap enough to buy based on earnings alone. The methods of this analysis are exclusive to my private service, The Cyclical Investor's Club, but since PayPal's profit growth is very strong, it actually qualifies for this type of analysis, too, and I thought I would at least share the sort of \"buy price\" that analysis produces because it's a little more aggressive than the earnings-based analysis.</p><p><blockquote>我在本文中使用的全周期收益分析并不是我使用的唯一分析类型。对于某些利润快速增长的罕见企业，我最近开发了一种新的分析方法，以帮助识别仅根据收益可能永远不会变得足够便宜的快速增长企业。这种分析的方法是我的私人服务机构周期性投资者俱乐部独有的，但由于PayPal的利润增长非常强劲，它实际上也有资格进行这种类型的分析，我想我至少会分享这种分析产生的“购买价格”，因为它比基于收益的分析更激进一些。</blockquote></p><p> When I examine PayPal using the profit growth analysis, it produces a buy price of $144.90. I find that interesting because if profits keep growing this quarter that price is likely to rise a little bit and put it pretty close to the middle of fair value using next year's earnings using my earnings-based method. This assumes that PayPal's metrics don't deteriorate between now and then, and there would be some technical requirements PayPal would have to meet as well, but I think the odds are good that by February of 2022 I could be a buyer of PayPal stock, approximately one year after I warned investors about its high valuation. It's going to be very interesting to see how it turns out.</p><p><blockquote>当我使用利润增长分析来检查PayPal时，它得出的买入价格为144.90美元。我觉得这很有趣，因为如果本季度利润继续增长，价格可能会上涨一点，并使用我的基于收益的方法，使用明年的收益，使其非常接近公允价值的中间值。这是假设PayPal的指标从现在到那时不会恶化，而且PayPal也必须满足一些技术要求，但我认为到2022年2月，我很有可能成为PayPal股票的买家，大约在我警告投资者其高估值一年后。看看结果会很有趣。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> I think PayPal's 2021 decline is an interesting and useful case study that goes beyond PayPal itself. The sort of decline we've seen in PayPal's stock price this year was entirely predictable and there are many other richly valued technology stocks that will experience a similar decline, likely in 2022 for most of them. For investors who are overweight these types of stocks, now is probably a time to consider diversifying in order to help keep the gains they have experienced the past couple of years. While there will be some overvalued stocks that simply stagnate for several years and go nowhere, and a rare few that manage to keep rising, the vast majority will experience declines like PayPal has experienced.</p><p><blockquote>我认为PayPal 2021年的衰落是一个有趣且有用的案例研究，超越了PayPal本身。我们今年看到的PayPal股价下跌是完全可以预见的，还有许多其他估值丰厚的科技股也将经历类似的下跌，其中大多数可能在2022年。对于跑赢大盘此类股票的投资者来说，现在可能是考虑多元化的时候了，以帮助保持过去几年的收益。虽然会有一些被高估的股票停滞不前几年，毫无进展，也有极少数股票设法继续上涨，但绝大多数股票将经历像PayPal那样的下跌。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>PayPal's Recent Price Decline Will Eventually Happen To Nearly All Overvalued Technology Stocks<blockquote>PayPal最近的价格下跌最终将发生在几乎所有被高估的科技股身上</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPayPal's Recent Price Decline Will Eventually Happen To Nearly All Overvalued Technology Stocks<blockquote>PayPal最近的价格下跌最终将发生在几乎所有被高估的科技股身上</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-14 11:43</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>PayPal stock is down over -35% off this year's highs, and the stock still isn't cheap.</li>  <li>I warned investors back in February of 2021 that PayPal was extremely overvalued and worth selling.</li>  <li>That warning could have been issued for dozens and dozens of overvalued technology stocks that still have over -50% downside from here within the next 3 years.</li>  <li>PayPal remains a great company that I would like to own, so I analyze the stock in order to establish I price at which I'd be willing to buy it.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/847095b0be294275f55f7e8f700d56b4\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1229\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>BsWei/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>PayPal股价较今年高点下跌超过-35%，而且该股仍然不便宜。</li><li>我早在2021年2月就警告投资者，PayPal的估值被严重高估，值得出售。</li><li>这一警告可能是针对数十只被高估的科技股发出的，这些股在未来3年内仍有超过-50%的下跌空间。</li><li>PayPal仍然是一家我想拥有的伟大公司，因此我分析该股票以确定我愿意购买它的价格。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>BsWei/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Introduction</b></p><p><blockquote><b>介绍</b></blockquote></p><p> Back on February 6th, 2021, I made a video where I shared with investors why PayPal (PYPL) stock was overvalued enough to sell. I shared that video on my Seeking Alpha bloghere. Since that time, PayPal has performed poorly both on an absolute basis and relative to the S&amp;P 500 (SPY).</p><p><blockquote>早在2021年2月6日，我就制作了一段视频，与投资者分享了为什么PayPal(PYPL)股票被高估到足以出售。我在我的Seeking Alpha bloghere上分享了该视频。自那时以来，PayPal的绝对表现和相对于标普500（SPDR标普500指数ETF）的表现都很差。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8252b7218af36cce8b5a591f56abaecd\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The stock price is down about -30% since I warned investors and down about -38% off its high price of the year.</p><p><blockquote>自从我向投资者发出警告以来，该股股价已下跌约-30%，较今年的高点下跌约-38%。</blockquote></p><p> The truth is that I could have issued the same warning about many other technology stocks that had become overvalued, but PayPal was one that I actually wanted to buy if the price ever fell to a reasonable level. It was a case where there was absolutely nothing wrong with the company. There was no bad story to tell. The price had simply gotten insanely overvalued. It didn't matter how good the story around PayPal was back in February. Numbers almost always trump narrative over the long-term. And the numbers back then didn't make sense.</p><p><blockquote>事实是，我本可以对许多其他被高估的科技股发出同样的警告，但如果价格跌至合理水平，我实际上想买入PayPal。这是一个公司绝对没有问题的案例。没有什么不好的故事可讲。这个价格被高估了。二月份围绕PayPal的故事有多好并不重要。从长远来看，数字几乎总是胜过叙事。当时的数字没有意义。</blockquote></p><p> This should be an important lesson for medium and long-term investors. If the numbers don't work, it doesn't matter what the story is.</p><p><blockquote>这应该是中长线投资者的重要一课。如果数字不起作用，故事是什么并不重要。</blockquote></p><p> The difficultly for a stock writer like myself is that investors<i>love</i>narratives and stories. It's not our fault. Our human brains are hardwired that way. Since I shared my bearish February PayPal video, out of 62 articles on Seeking Alpha covering PayPal, there hasn't been a single \"Bearish\" article written. The primary reason for that is because PayPal's narrative was so appealing that valuation numbers were either ignored, or the assumptions around the numbers were not realistic.</p><p><blockquote>对于像我这样的股票作家来说，困难的是投资者<i>爱</i>叙事和故事。这不是我们的错。我们人类的大脑天生就是这样。自从我分享了我看跌的2月份PayPal视频以来，Seeking Alpha上报道PayPal的62篇文章中，没有一篇“看跌”文章。主要原因是PayPal的叙述如此吸引人，以至于估值数字要么被忽视，要么围绕这些数字的假设不现实。</blockquote></p><p> In this article, I'm going to share my current PayPal valuation based on earnings and earnings growth projections. I'll also share what I consider to be a fair value range for PayPal stock, and the price I would be looking to buy with a margin of safety. This is the same basic process I used to determine that PayPal stock was overvalued back in February of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>在本文中，我将分享我目前基于盈利和盈利增长预测的PayPal估值。我还将分享我认为PayPal股票的公允价值范围，以及我希望在安全边际的情况下购买的价格。这与我在2021年2月用来确定PayPal股票被高估的基本过程相同。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Full-Cycle Earnings Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>全周期盈利分析</b></blockquote></p><p> As part of the analysis, I calculate what I consider to be the two main drivers of future total returns: Market sentiment returns and business returns. I then combine those expected returns together in the form of a 10-year CAGR expectation and use that to value the stock.</p><p><blockquote>作为分析的一部分，我计算了我认为未来总回报的两个主要驱动因素：市场情绪回报和商业回报。然后，我将这些预期回报以10年复合年增长率预期的形式组合在一起，并用它来评估股票。</blockquote></p><p> Before I begin this analysis, I always check the business's long-term earnings patterns in order to ensure that the business is a proper fit for this sort of analysis. If the historical earnings 1) don't have a long enough history 2) are erratic in nature, or 3) are too cyclical, then I either avoid analyzing the stock altogether or I use a different type of analysis that is more appropriate.</p><p><blockquote>在我开始这种分析之前，我总是检查企业的长期盈利模式，以确保企业适合这种分析。如果历史收益1）没有足够长的历史2）本质上不稳定，或者3）周期性太强，那么我要么完全避免分析股票，要么使用更合适的不同类型的分析。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70078307e65a5a1d0e37f9e70b726b77\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"490\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> We can see that since 2015 PayPal's earnings per share have increased every single year. This is a clear secular growth pattern and it makes the stock very attractive as a long-term investment. Since 2015 there haven't been any negative earnings growth years so the stock is likely a good fit for the type of earnings analysis I'm going to perform. One important question to ask, though, is that while we did have a brief recession in 2020, it was a very unusual one. It's possible that PayPal's business could be more economically sensitive during a longer, more drawn-out recession. So, that is a risk. However, when I examined how eBay (EBAY) performed in the 2008/9 recession, its earnings growth was basically flat, and never went negative. If I had to make a guess, I think PayPal's earnings growth rate would probably decline during a \"normal\" recession, but still wouldn't be especially cyclical. For those reasons, I'm going to go ahead with my Full-Cycle Earnings Analysis even though we don't have hard historical data from \"normal\" recession for PayPal.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以看到，自2015年以来，PayPal的每股收益每年都在增长。这是一种明显的长期增长模式，它使该股票作为长期投资非常有吸引力。自2015年以来，没有出现过任何盈利负增长的年份，因此该股票可能非常适合我将要进行的盈利分析类型。不过，要问的一个重要问题是，虽然我们在2020年确实经历了短暂的衰退，但这是一次非常不寻常的衰退。在更长、更持久的经济衰退期间，PayPal的业务可能会对经济更加敏感。所以，这是一个风险。然而，当我考察eBay(EBAY)在2008/9年经济衰退中的表现时，其盈利增长基本持平，从未出现过负增长。如果让我猜测的话，我认为PayPal的盈利增长率可能会在“正常”衰退期间下降，但仍然不会特别具有周期性。出于这些原因，尽管我们没有PayPal“正常”衰退的硬历史数据，但我仍将继续进行全周期盈利分析。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Market Sentiment Return Expectations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场情绪回归预期</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> In order to estimate what sort of returns we might expect over the next 10 years, let's begin by examining what return we could expect 10 years from now if the P/E multiple were to revert to its mean from the previous economic cycle. Since we have had a recent recession (albeit an unusual one) I'm starting this cycle in fiscal year 2015 and running it through 2021's estimates.</p><p><blockquote>为了估计未来10年我们可能预期的回报，让我们首先研究一下，如果市盈率倍数恢复到上一个经济周期的平均值，我们从现在起10年后可以预期的回报。由于我们最近经历了一次衰退（尽管是一次不寻常的衰退），我将在2015财年开始这个周期，并通过2021年的估计运行它。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e36d2c3455962a02d96b8c88c32eadce\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"490\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> PayPal's average P/E from 2015 to the present has been a healthy 34.11 (the blue bar circled in gold on the FAST Graph). Using 2021's forward earnings estimates of $4.60 (also circled in gold), PayPal has a current P/E of 40.73. If that 40.73 P/E were to revert to the average P/E of 34.11 over the course of the next 10 years and everything else was held the same, PayPal's price would fall and it would produce a 10-Year CAGR of<b>-1.75%</b>. That's the annual return we can expect from sentiment mean reversion if it takes ten years to revert. If it takes less time to revert, the price could fall faster.</p><p><blockquote>PayPal从2015年至今的平均市盈率为34.11（快速图上用金色圈出的蓝色条）。使用2021年4.60美元的预期盈利预测（也用金色圈出），PayPal目前的市盈率为40.73。如果40.73市盈率在未来10年恢复到34.11的平均市盈率，而其他条件保持不变，PayPal的股价将会下跌，10年复合年增长率将为<b>-1.75%</b>如果情绪回归需要十年时间，这就是我们可以从情绪均值回归中预期的年回报率。如果恢复所需的时间更短，价格可能会下跌得更快。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Earnings Expectations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>业务盈利预期</b></blockquote></p><p> We previously examined what would happen if market sentiment reverted to the mean. This is entirely determined by the mood of the market and is quite often disconnected, or only loosely connected, to the performance of the actual business. In this section, we will examine the actual earnings of the business. The goal here is simple: We want to know how much money we would earn (expressed in the form of a CAGR %) over the course of 10 years if we bought the business at today's prices and kept all of the earnings for ourselves.</p><p><blockquote>我们之前研究了如果市场情绪恢复到均值会发生什么。这完全由市场情绪决定，并且通常与实际业务的表现脱节，或者只是松散地联系在一起。在本节中，我们将研究企业的实际收益。这里的目标很简单：我们想知道如果我们以今天的价格收购企业并将所有收益留给自己，我们在10年内会赚多少钱（以CAGR%的形式表示）。</blockquote></p><p> There are two main components of this: the first is the earnings yield and the second is the rate at which the earnings can be expected to grow. Let's start with the earnings yield (which is an inverted P/E ratio, so, the Earnings/Price ratio). The current earnings yield is about +2.46%. The way I like to think about this is, if I bought the company's whole business right now for $100, I would earn $2.46 per year on my investment if earnings remained the same for the next 10 years.</p><p><blockquote>这有两个主要组成部分：第一个是收益收益率，第二个是收益的预期增长率。让我们从收益率（这是一个倒置的市盈率，因此，市盈率）开始。目前的收益率约为+2.46%。我喜欢思考这个问题的方式是，如果我现在以100美元购买公司的整个业务，如果未来10年收益保持不变，我每年的投资将获得2.46美元。</blockquote></p><p> The next step is to estimate the company's earnings growth during this time period. I do that by figuring out at what rate earnings grew during the last cycle and applying that rate to the next 10 years. This involves calculating the EPS growth rate since 2015, taking into account each year's EPS growth or decline, and then backing out any share buybacks that occurred over that time period (because reducing shares will increase the EPS due to fewer shares).</p><p><blockquote>下一步是估计公司在这段时间内的盈利增长。我通过计算上一个周期的收益增长率并将该增长率应用于未来10年来做到这一点。这涉及计算自2015年以来的每股收益增长率，考虑每年的每股收益增长或下降，然后退出该时期发生的任何股票回购（因为减持股票会因股票减少而增加每股收益）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f31b7d8ed5f59c82c2531cc686324d1a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Due to the scale of the graph, the buybacks look much bigger than they actually are, and there isn't much to adjust here. Additionally, since PayPal has grown earnings every year there are no earnings growth declines to adjust for either. This makes estimating PayPal's earnings growth a relatively straightforward affair, and I estimate PayPal's earnings growth at about +23.65%.</p><p><blockquote>由于图表的规模，回购看起来比实际要大得多，这里没有太多调整。此外，由于PayPal的盈利每年都在增长，因此无需调整盈利增长下降。这使得估计PayPal的盈利增长变得相对简单，我估计PayPal的盈利增长约为+23.65%。</blockquote></p><p> Now, this is the point where my conservatism when it comes to asking myself \"What is a reasonable expectation, for valuation purposes, going forward 10 years?\" It is very, very difficult for businesses to grow earnings over 20% per year for a full decade (particularly if they have already been doing that the previous decade). For that reason, I cap all of my long-term forward earnings growth estimates when using them for valuation purposes at 20%. This is simply a way to help keep me from overpaying for a stock when their P/E multiple is likely to contract over time. So, for this valuation exercise, I am limiting my earnings growth assumption to 20%.</p><p><blockquote>现在，当我问自己“出于估值目的，未来10年的合理预期是什么？”对于企业来说，在整整十年的时间里，收入每年增长超过20%是非常非常困难的（特别是如果他们在过去十年里已经这样做了）。因此，在用于估值目的时，我将所有长期预期盈利增长预测限制在20%。当股票的市盈率可能会随着时间的推移而收缩时，这只是一种帮助我避免为股票支付过高价格的方法。因此，对于这次估值工作，我将盈利增长假设限制在20%。</blockquote></p><p> Next, I'll apply that growth rate to current earnings, looking forward 10 years in order to get a final 10-year CAGR estimate. The way I think about this is, if I bought PayPal's whole business for $100, it would pay me back $2.46 plus +20.00% growth the first year, and that amount would grow at +20.00% per year for 10 years after that. I want to know how much money I would have in total at the end of 10 years on my $100 investment, which I calculate to be about $176.50 (including the original $100). When I plug that growth into a CAGR calculator, that translates to a<b>+5.85%</b>10-year CAGR estimate for the expected business earnings returns.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，我将将该增长率应用于当前收益，展望10年，以获得最终的10年复合年增长率估计。我的想法是，如果我以100美元收购PayPal的整个业务，它将在第一年偿还我2.46美元，外加+20.00%的增长，并且在那之后的10年里，这个数额将以每年+20.00%的速度增长。我想知道我的100美元投资在10年后总共会有多少钱，我计算出大约是176.50美元（包括最初的100美元）。当我将这种增长插入CAGR计算器时，就会转化为<b>+5.85%</b>预期业务盈利回报的10年复合年增长率估计。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10-Year, Full-Cycle CAGR Estimate</b></p><p><blockquote><b>10年全周期复合年增长率估计</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Potential future returns can come from two main places: market sentiment returns or business earnings returns. If we assume that market sentiment reverts to the mean from the last cycle over the next 10 years for PayPal, it will produce a -1.75% CAGR. If the earnings yield and growth are similar to the last cycle, the company should produce somewhere around a +5.85% 10-year CAGR. If we put the two together, we get an expected 10-year, full-cycle CAGR of<b>+4.10%</b>at today's price.</p><p><blockquote>潜在的未来回报可以来自两个主要地方：市场情绪回报或业务收益回报。如果我们假设PayPal未来10年的市场情绪恢复到上一个周期的平均值，则复合年增长率将为-1.75%。如果盈利收益率和增长与上一个周期相似，该公司的10年复合年增长率应该在+5.85%左右。如果我们将两者放在一起，我们会得到预期的10年全周期复合年增长率为<b>+4.10%</b>以今天的价格。</blockquote></p><p> My Buy/Sell/Hold range for this category of stocks is: above a 12% CAGR is a Buy, below a 4% expected CAGR is a Sell, and in between 4% and 12% is a Hold. This puts PayPal stock just barely into the \"Hold\" category at today's price level.</p><p><blockquote>我对此类股票的买入/卖出/持有范围是：复合年增长率高于12%为买入，预期复合年增长率低于4%为卖出，4%至12%之间为持有。这使得PayPal股票在今天的价格水平上勉强属于“持有”类别。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Additional Considerations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>其他注意事项</b></blockquote></p><p> I consider PayPal one of the highest quality growth stocks in the market right now, which is why I've been monitoring its valuation relatively closely. In this section I'm going to share my fair value range for PayPal along with the price I would be willing to buy the stock with a margin of safety based on earnings, and also the price I would consider buying using a more aggressive and less conservative valuation approach. So, I'm going to look at PayPal's valuation from a variety of different perspectives to give us a clearer view of what might be an appropriate price to pay for the stock.</p><p><blockquote>我认为PayPal是目前市场上质量最高的成长型股票之一，这就是为什么我一直相对密切地关注其估值。在本节中，我将分享我对PayPal的公允价值范围，以及我愿意在基于收益的安全边际下购买该股票的价格，以及我考虑使用更激进和不太保守的估值方法购买的价格。因此，我将从各种不同的角度来看PayPal的估值，让我们更清楚地了解购买该股票的合适价格。</blockquote></p><p> First, I'll start with my buy price and fair value range using the same assumptions and inputs I used in this article. If we use all of those same inputs my current fair value range for PayPal is about $126.50 to $164.00 per share. My current buy price that includes a margin of safety is $112.10. Investors who buy below that price have very good odds of great returns over the medium-term with the stock.</p><p><blockquote>首先，我将使用本文中使用的相同假设和输入从我的购买价格和公允价值范围开始。如果我们使用所有这些相同的输入，我目前对PayPal的公允价值范围约为每股126.50美元至164.00美元。我目前的买入价格（包括安全边际）是112.10美元。低于该价格买入的投资者在中期内很有可能获得丰厚的回报。</blockquote></p><p> Once we get into the new year and 2022, I'll start pulling forward PayPal's 2022 earnings for my estimates. Right now, analysts expect $5.25 per share from earnings in 2022. That will improve PayPal's valuation a lot if the rest of their metrics remain the same, and it would raise their fair value range up to $145.00 to $187.50 dollars per share with a margin of safety buy price at $128.00 per share. This, of course, assumes analysts keep their estimates for 2022 in place and don't lower them over the next couple of months. It also means, based on future earnings, that in a month or two if PayPal keeps trading near its current price, it is already in the top end of a \"fair value\" price range. This might be a further reason for current owners to keep holding.</p><p><blockquote>一旦我们进入新的一年和2022年，我将开始提前预测PayPal 2022年的盈利。目前，分析师预计2022年每股收益为5.25美元。如果PayPal的其他指标保持不变，这将大大提高其估值，并将其公允价值范围提高至每股145.00美元至187.50美元，安全买入价格为每股128.00美元。当然，这是假设分析师维持对2022年的预期不变，并且在未来几个月内不会降低预期。这也意味着，根据未来的收益，如果PayPal在一两个月内保持接近当前价格的交易，它已经处于“公允价值”价格范围的上限。这可能是当前所有者继续持有的另一个原因。</blockquote></p><p> The Full-Cycle Earnings analysis I used in this article is not the only type of analysis I use. For certain rare businesses with fast profit growth dynamics, I recently developed a new analysis to help identify fast-growing businesses that might never become cheap enough to buy based on earnings alone. The methods of this analysis are exclusive to my private service, The Cyclical Investor's Club, but since PayPal's profit growth is very strong, it actually qualifies for this type of analysis, too, and I thought I would at least share the sort of \"buy price\" that analysis produces because it's a little more aggressive than the earnings-based analysis.</p><p><blockquote>我在本文中使用的全周期收益分析并不是我使用的唯一分析类型。对于某些利润快速增长的罕见企业，我最近开发了一种新的分析方法，以帮助识别仅根据收益可能永远不会变得足够便宜的快速增长企业。这种分析的方法是我的私人服务机构周期性投资者俱乐部独有的，但由于PayPal的利润增长非常强劲，它实际上也有资格进行这种类型的分析，我想我至少会分享这种分析产生的“购买价格”，因为它比基于收益的分析更激进一些。</blockquote></p><p> When I examine PayPal using the profit growth analysis, it produces a buy price of $144.90. I find that interesting because if profits keep growing this quarter that price is likely to rise a little bit and put it pretty close to the middle of fair value using next year's earnings using my earnings-based method. This assumes that PayPal's metrics don't deteriorate between now and then, and there would be some technical requirements PayPal would have to meet as well, but I think the odds are good that by February of 2022 I could be a buyer of PayPal stock, approximately one year after I warned investors about its high valuation. It's going to be very interesting to see how it turns out.</p><p><blockquote>当我使用利润增长分析来检查PayPal时，它得出的买入价格为144.90美元。我觉得这很有趣，因为如果本季度利润继续增长，价格可能会上涨一点，并使用我的基于收益的方法，使用明年的收益，使其非常接近公允价值的中间值。这是假设PayPal的指标从现在到那时不会恶化，而且PayPal也必须满足一些技术要求，但我认为到2022年2月，我很有可能成为PayPal股票的买家，大约在我警告投资者其高估值一年后。看看结果会很有趣。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> I think PayPal's 2021 decline is an interesting and useful case study that goes beyond PayPal itself. The sort of decline we've seen in PayPal's stock price this year was entirely predictable and there are many other richly valued technology stocks that will experience a similar decline, likely in 2022 for most of them. For investors who are overweight these types of stocks, now is probably a time to consider diversifying in order to help keep the gains they have experienced the past couple of years. While there will be some overvalued stocks that simply stagnate for several years and go nowhere, and a rare few that manage to keep rising, the vast majority will experience declines like PayPal has experienced.</p><p><blockquote>我认为PayPal 2021年的衰落是一个有趣且有用的案例研究，超越了PayPal本身。我们今年看到的PayPal股价下跌是完全可以预见的，还有许多其他估值丰厚的科技股也将经历类似的下跌，其中大多数可能在2022年。对于跑赢大盘此类股票的投资者来说，现在可能是考虑多元化的时候了，以帮助保持过去几年的收益。虽然会有一些被高估的股票停滞不前几年，毫无进展，也有极少数股票设法继续上涨，但绝大多数股票将经历像PayPal那样的下跌。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4474960-paypal-share-price-decline-overvalued-technology-stocks\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PYPL":"PayPal"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4474960-paypal-share-price-decline-overvalued-technology-stocks","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120286910","content_text":"Summary\n\nPayPal stock is down over -35% off this year's highs, and the stock still isn't cheap.\nI warned investors back in February of 2021 that PayPal was extremely overvalued and worth selling.\nThat warning could have been issued for dozens and dozens of overvalued technology stocks that still have over -50% downside from here within the next 3 years.\nPayPal remains a great company that I would like to own, so I analyze the stock in order to establish I price at which I'd be willing to buy it.\n\nBsWei/iStock via Getty Images\nIntroduction\nBack on February 6th, 2021, I made a video where I shared with investors why PayPal (PYPL) stock was overvalued enough to sell. I shared that video on my Seeking Alpha bloghere. Since that time, PayPal has performed poorly both on an absolute basis and relative to the S&P 500 (SPY).\nData by YCharts\nThe stock price is down about -30% since I warned investors and down about -38% off its high price of the year.\nThe truth is that I could have issued the same warning about many other technology stocks that had become overvalued, but PayPal was one that I actually wanted to buy if the price ever fell to a reasonable level. It was a case where there was absolutely nothing wrong with the company. There was no bad story to tell. The price had simply gotten insanely overvalued. It didn't matter how good the story around PayPal was back in February. Numbers almost always trump narrative over the long-term. And the numbers back then didn't make sense.\nThis should be an important lesson for medium and long-term investors. If the numbers don't work, it doesn't matter what the story is.\nThe difficultly for a stock writer like myself is that investorslovenarratives and stories. It's not our fault. Our human brains are hardwired that way. Since I shared my bearish February PayPal video, out of 62 articles on Seeking Alpha covering PayPal, there hasn't been a single \"Bearish\" article written. The primary reason for that is because PayPal's narrative was so appealing that valuation numbers were either ignored, or the assumptions around the numbers were not realistic.\nIn this article, I'm going to share my current PayPal valuation based on earnings and earnings growth projections. I'll also share what I consider to be a fair value range for PayPal stock, and the price I would be looking to buy with a margin of safety. This is the same basic process I used to determine that PayPal stock was overvalued back in February of 2021.\nFull-Cycle Earnings Analysis\nAs part of the analysis, I calculate what I consider to be the two main drivers of future total returns: Market sentiment returns and business returns. I then combine those expected returns together in the form of a 10-year CAGR expectation and use that to value the stock.\nBefore I begin this analysis, I always check the business's long-term earnings patterns in order to ensure that the business is a proper fit for this sort of analysis. If the historical earnings 1) don't have a long enough history 2) are erratic in nature, or 3) are too cyclical, then I either avoid analyzing the stock altogether or I use a different type of analysis that is more appropriate.\n\nWe can see that since 2015 PayPal's earnings per share have increased every single year. This is a clear secular growth pattern and it makes the stock very attractive as a long-term investment. Since 2015 there haven't been any negative earnings growth years so the stock is likely a good fit for the type of earnings analysis I'm going to perform. One important question to ask, though, is that while we did have a brief recession in 2020, it was a very unusual one. It's possible that PayPal's business could be more economically sensitive during a longer, more drawn-out recession. So, that is a risk. However, when I examined how eBay (EBAY) performed in the 2008/9 recession, its earnings growth was basically flat, and never went negative. If I had to make a guess, I think PayPal's earnings growth rate would probably decline during a \"normal\" recession, but still wouldn't be especially cyclical. For those reasons, I'm going to go ahead with my Full-Cycle Earnings Analysis even though we don't have hard historical data from \"normal\" recession for PayPal.\nMarket Sentiment Return Expectations\nIn order to estimate what sort of returns we might expect over the next 10 years, let's begin by examining what return we could expect 10 years from now if the P/E multiple were to revert to its mean from the previous economic cycle. Since we have had a recent recession (albeit an unusual one) I'm starting this cycle in fiscal year 2015 and running it through 2021's estimates.\n\nPayPal's average P/E from 2015 to the present has been a healthy 34.11 (the blue bar circled in gold on the FAST Graph). Using 2021's forward earnings estimates of $4.60 (also circled in gold), PayPal has a current P/E of 40.73. If that 40.73 P/E were to revert to the average P/E of 34.11 over the course of the next 10 years and everything else was held the same, PayPal's price would fall and it would produce a 10-Year CAGR of-1.75%. That's the annual return we can expect from sentiment mean reversion if it takes ten years to revert. If it takes less time to revert, the price could fall faster.\nBusiness Earnings Expectations\nWe previously examined what would happen if market sentiment reverted to the mean. This is entirely determined by the mood of the market and is quite often disconnected, or only loosely connected, to the performance of the actual business. In this section, we will examine the actual earnings of the business. The goal here is simple: We want to know how much money we would earn (expressed in the form of a CAGR %) over the course of 10 years if we bought the business at today's prices and kept all of the earnings for ourselves.\nThere are two main components of this: the first is the earnings yield and the second is the rate at which the earnings can be expected to grow. Let's start with the earnings yield (which is an inverted P/E ratio, so, the Earnings/Price ratio). The current earnings yield is about +2.46%. The way I like to think about this is, if I bought the company's whole business right now for $100, I would earn $2.46 per year on my investment if earnings remained the same for the next 10 years.\nThe next step is to estimate the company's earnings growth during this time period. I do that by figuring out at what rate earnings grew during the last cycle and applying that rate to the next 10 years. This involves calculating the EPS growth rate since 2015, taking into account each year's EPS growth or decline, and then backing out any share buybacks that occurred over that time period (because reducing shares will increase the EPS due to fewer shares).\nData by YCharts\nDue to the scale of the graph, the buybacks look much bigger than they actually are, and there isn't much to adjust here. Additionally, since PayPal has grown earnings every year there are no earnings growth declines to adjust for either. This makes estimating PayPal's earnings growth a relatively straightforward affair, and I estimate PayPal's earnings growth at about +23.65%.\nNow, this is the point where my conservatism when it comes to asking myself \"What is a reasonable expectation, for valuation purposes, going forward 10 years?\" It is very, very difficult for businesses to grow earnings over 20% per year for a full decade (particularly if they have already been doing that the previous decade). For that reason, I cap all of my long-term forward earnings growth estimates when using them for valuation purposes at 20%. This is simply a way to help keep me from overpaying for a stock when their P/E multiple is likely to contract over time. So, for this valuation exercise, I am limiting my earnings growth assumption to 20%.\nNext, I'll apply that growth rate to current earnings, looking forward 10 years in order to get a final 10-year CAGR estimate. The way I think about this is, if I bought PayPal's whole business for $100, it would pay me back $2.46 plus +20.00% growth the first year, and that amount would grow at +20.00% per year for 10 years after that. I want to know how much money I would have in total at the end of 10 years on my $100 investment, which I calculate to be about $176.50 (including the original $100). When I plug that growth into a CAGR calculator, that translates to a+5.85%10-year CAGR estimate for the expected business earnings returns.\n10-Year, Full-Cycle CAGR Estimate\nPotential future returns can come from two main places: market sentiment returns or business earnings returns. If we assume that market sentiment reverts to the mean from the last cycle over the next 10 years for PayPal, it will produce a -1.75% CAGR. If the earnings yield and growth are similar to the last cycle, the company should produce somewhere around a +5.85% 10-year CAGR. If we put the two together, we get an expected 10-year, full-cycle CAGR of+4.10%at today's price.\nMy Buy/Sell/Hold range for this category of stocks is: above a 12% CAGR is a Buy, below a 4% expected CAGR is a Sell, and in between 4% and 12% is a Hold. This puts PayPal stock just barely into the \"Hold\" category at today's price level.\nAdditional Considerations\nI consider PayPal one of the highest quality growth stocks in the market right now, which is why I've been monitoring its valuation relatively closely. In this section I'm going to share my fair value range for PayPal along with the price I would be willing to buy the stock with a margin of safety based on earnings, and also the price I would consider buying using a more aggressive and less conservative valuation approach. So, I'm going to look at PayPal's valuation from a variety of different perspectives to give us a clearer view of what might be an appropriate price to pay for the stock.\nFirst, I'll start with my buy price and fair value range using the same assumptions and inputs I used in this article. If we use all of those same inputs my current fair value range for PayPal is about $126.50 to $164.00 per share. My current buy price that includes a margin of safety is $112.10. Investors who buy below that price have very good odds of great returns over the medium-term with the stock.\nOnce we get into the new year and 2022, I'll start pulling forward PayPal's 2022 earnings for my estimates. Right now, analysts expect $5.25 per share from earnings in 2022. That will improve PayPal's valuation a lot if the rest of their metrics remain the same, and it would raise their fair value range up to $145.00 to $187.50 dollars per share with a margin of safety buy price at $128.00 per share. This, of course, assumes analysts keep their estimates for 2022 in place and don't lower them over the next couple of months. It also means, based on future earnings, that in a month or two if PayPal keeps trading near its current price, it is already in the top end of a \"fair value\" price range. This might be a further reason for current owners to keep holding.\nThe Full-Cycle Earnings analysis I used in this article is not the only type of analysis I use. For certain rare businesses with fast profit growth dynamics, I recently developed a new analysis to help identify fast-growing businesses that might never become cheap enough to buy based on earnings alone. The methods of this analysis are exclusive to my private service, The Cyclical Investor's Club, but since PayPal's profit growth is very strong, it actually qualifies for this type of analysis, too, and I thought I would at least share the sort of \"buy price\" that analysis produces because it's a little more aggressive than the earnings-based analysis.\nWhen I examine PayPal using the profit growth analysis, it produces a buy price of $144.90. I find that interesting because if profits keep growing this quarter that price is likely to rise a little bit and put it pretty close to the middle of fair value using next year's earnings using my earnings-based method. This assumes that PayPal's metrics don't deteriorate between now and then, and there would be some technical requirements PayPal would have to meet as well, but I think the odds are good that by February of 2022 I could be a buyer of PayPal stock, approximately one year after I warned investors about its high valuation. It's going to be very interesting to see how it turns out.\nConclusion\nI think PayPal's 2021 decline is an interesting and useful case study that goes beyond PayPal itself. The sort of decline we've seen in PayPal's stock price this year was entirely predictable and there are many other richly valued technology stocks that will experience a similar decline, likely in 2022 for most of them. For investors who are overweight these types of stocks, now is probably a time to consider diversifying in order to help keep the gains they have experienced the past couple of years. While there will be some overvalued stocks that simply stagnate for several years and go nowhere, and a rare few that manage to keep rising, the vast majority will experience declines like PayPal has experienced.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PYPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2391,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":604893188,"gmtCreate":1639365648764,"gmtModify":1639365648985,"author":{"id":"3586770271918953","authorId":"3586770271918953","name":"7acb343","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586770271918953","idStr":"3586770271918953"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604893188","repostId":"2190677622","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2577,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":604054563,"gmtCreate":1639288333632,"gmtModify":1639288333898,"author":{"id":"3586770271918953","authorId":"3586770271918953","name":"7acb343","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586770271918953","idStr":"3586770271918953"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604054563","repostId":"2190567199","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":4069,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605266541,"gmtCreate":1639182379189,"gmtModify":1639182379451,"author":{"id":"3586770271918953","authorId":"3586770271918953","name":"7acb343","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586770271918953","idStr":"3586770271918953"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605266541","repostId":"1133027099","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1133027099","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1639152670,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1133027099?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-11 00:11","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Sea Ltd stock dropped more than 5% in morning trading<blockquote>Sea Ltd股价早盘下跌超过5%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1133027099","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Sea Ltd stock dropped more than 5% in morning trading.","content":"<p>Sea Ltd stock dropped more than 5% in morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>Sea Ltd股价早盘下跌超过5%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6295277426435ac2c7135ba73dfbdef\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSea Ltd stock dropped more than 5% in morning trading<blockquote>Sea Ltd股价早盘下跌超过5%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-11 00:11</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Sea Ltd stock dropped more than 5% in morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>Sea Ltd股价早盘下跌超过5%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6295277426435ac2c7135ba73dfbdef\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SE":"Sea Ltd"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1133027099","content_text":"Sea Ltd stock dropped more than 5% in morning trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2089,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":605303520,"gmtCreate":1639107739218,"gmtModify":1639107761486,"author":{"id":"3586770271918953","authorId":"3586770271918953","name":"7acb343","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586770271918953","idStr":"3586770271918953"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/605303520","repostId":"2190964556","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":698,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":602595395,"gmtCreate":1639038235209,"gmtModify":1639038235417,"author":{"id":"3586770271918953","authorId":"3586770271918953","name":"7acb343","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586770271918953","idStr":"3586770271918953"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602595395","repostId":"1153197163","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1153197163","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639037797,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1153197163?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-09 16:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Coinbase Stock: Bull vs. Bear<blockquote>Coinbase股票：牛市与熊市</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1153197163","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"The biggest crypto marketplace hasn't performed nearly as well as some of the biggest coins on its platform.","content":"<p>Mainstream cryptocurrency exchange&nbsp;<b>Coinbase Global</b>&nbsp;is the largest and best-known marketplace. Over 73 million verified users and some 10,000 institutions use its&nbsp;platform for investing in and holding&nbsp;around 120 different cryptocurrencies.</p><p><blockquote>主流加密货币交易所<b>比特币基地全球</b>是最大和最著名的市场。超过7300万经过验证的用户和约10,000家机构使用其平台投资和持有约120种不同的加密货币。</blockquote></p><p> The popular, easy-to-use interface has seen assets soar to $255 billion at the end of the third quarter, a seven-fold increase from the $36 billion it had one year ago. Despite the stellar gains, its stock hasn't been quite a star performer, with shares down about 20% from their debut via a direct listing in April.</p><p><blockquote>这款广受欢迎、易于使用的界面在第三季度末的资产飙升至2550亿美元，比一年前的360亿美元增长了七倍。尽管涨幅巨大，但其股价表现并不出色，较4月份直接上市首次亮相时下跌了约20%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68edf653981c880834000e5072fb8304\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1373\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As a pick-and-shovel play on cryptocurrency, Coinbase has the potential to be a major winning investment, regardless of whether&nbsp;<b>Bitcoin</b>&nbsp;maintains its dominance or&nbsp;<b>Solana</b>&nbsp;or&nbsp;<b>Cardano</b>&nbsp;prove to be actual&nbsp;<b>Ethereum</b>&nbsp;killers.</p><p><blockquote>作为加密货币的镐铲游戏，Coinbase有潜力成为一项重大的获胜投资，无论是否<b>比特币</b>保持其主导地位或<b>索拉纳</b>or<b>卡尔达诺</b>证明是真实的<b>以太币</b>杀手。</blockquote></p><p> However, it's still a hardscrabble play that has yet to perform as well as expected, and for some very good reasons. Below, you can divide into the bear and bull case for whether this is the&nbsp;best time to buy this crypto marketplace&nbsp;for your portfolio.</p><p><blockquote>然而，这仍然是一部糟糕的戏剧，还没有达到预期的效果，这是有原因的。下面，您可以分为熊市和牛市两种情况，以确定这是否是为您的投资组合购买该加密货币市场的最佳时机。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/542df2fd97487544fabce5abd68a05ea\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1356\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The other side of the Coinbase</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Coinbase的另一面</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Rick Munarriz:</b>There's a lot to like about Coinbase as an investor -- until you start to zoom in as a crypto trader. Coinbase is the mainstream name that even crypto outsiders know,&nbsp;and understandably so with $255 billion in assets on platform. Unfortunately, it's more like&nbsp;crypto investing&nbsp;on training wheels. It's a nest to chirp away in as a baby bird until you're ready to fly. It's the first person you date and ultimately leave when things start to get serious.</p><p><blockquote><b>里克·穆纳里兹：</b>作为投资者，Coinbase有很多值得喜欢的地方——直到你开始放大成为一名加密货币交易者。Coinbase是连加密货币局外人都知道的主流名称，平台上拥有2550亿美元的资产，这是可以理解的。不幸的是，这更像是训练轮上的加密货币投资。这是一个像小鸟一样叽叽喳喳的鸟巢，直到你准备好飞翔。这是你约会的第一个人，当事情开始变得严重时，你最终会离开。</blockquote></p><p> Crack open the hood, and you'll see a platform with high trading fees, a history of iffy customer service when things go wrong, and limited options to generate passive income on your investments. You might think it's great that you can earn 4.5% annually on your staked Ethereum, but that's only if you lock it up until the world's second-most-valuable digital currency completes its migration to proof of work. You can&nbsp;earn more than 4.5%&nbsp;on several smaller platforms without having to wait for an event with no actual date to regain access to your crypto. You would think that Coinbase would be the leader in yield on&nbsp;<b>USD Coin</b>, the dollar-pegged stablecoin that it created. Nope. All you can earn is 0.15% a year, whereas you can earn&nbsp;yields topping 10%&nbsp;on other platforms.</p><p><blockquote>打开引擎盖，你会看到一个交易费用很高的平台，出现问题时客户服务不确定的历史，以及从投资中产生被动收入的选择有限。您可能会认为，您可以在质押的以太币上每年赚取4.5%，这很好，但前提是您将其锁定，直到世界上第二大价值的数字货币完成向工作证明的迁移。您可以在几个较小的平台上赚取超过4.5%的收益，而不必等待没有实际日期的事件来重新访问您的加密货币。您可能会认为Coinbase将成为收益率的领导者<b>美元硬币</b>，它创造的与美元挂钩的稳定币。没有。你每年只能赚0.15%，而在其他平台上你可以赚到超过10%的收益率。</blockquote></p><p> Stock investors wooed by Coinbase and its high margins may want to take a closer look at the surprisingly low trailing earnings multiple. It's padded with one-time gains and a perfect storm that is highly unlikely to be duplicated. Analysts see earnings roughly cut in half next year. The bottom line isn't the only thing that is shrinking here. Monthly transacting users went from 8.8 million in the second quarter of this year to just 7.4 million in the third quarter. Trading volume in its latest report was lower than each of its two previous quarters. Cool nest. It's time to flap those wings and fly. It's not me. It's you.</p><p><blockquote>被Coinbase及其高利润率所吸引的股票投资者可能希望仔细看看其令人惊讶的低市盈率。它充满了一次性收益和一场极不可能被复制的完美风暴。分析师预计明年的盈利将大致减半。底线并不是这里唯一萎缩的东西。月交易用户从今年第二季度的880万增加到第三季度的740万。其最新报告中的交易量低于前两个季度。酷窝。是时候扇动翅膀飞翔了。不是我。是你。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e2e4882a68944561380c7ec61f00bb8\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Patience is still key to investing</b></p><p><blockquote><b>耐心仍然是投资的关键</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Rich Duprey:</b>Even in the crypto world, patience is an investor virtue. Even though Bitcoin has gone up 8 billion percent and&nbsp;<b>Shiba Inu</b>&nbsp;has rocketed 53 million percent higher just in 2021 alone, having a long-term outlook is justified when it comes to Coinbase despite it actually being down 38% from its high point.</p><p><blockquote><b>里奇·杜普雷：</b>即使在加密货币世界，耐心也是投资者的美德。尽管比特币增长了80亿<b>柴犬</b>仅在2021年，Coinbase就飙升了5300万%，尽管Coinbase实际上较高点下跌了38%，但长期前景是合理的。</blockquote></p><p> Volatility should be expected in the&nbsp;early days of crypto, let alone Coinbase, but such wild swings will impact its transaction revenue.&nbsp;As my colleague Rick notes, global trading volume for the third quarter was down 37% from the second quarter, leading to a 29% drop in Coinbase's volume.</p><p><blockquote>在crypto的早期，波动应该是意料之中的，更不用说比特币基地了，但这种剧烈的波动将影响其交易收入。正如我的同事Rick指出的，第三季度的全球交易量比第二季度下降了37%，导致比特币基地的交易量下降了29%。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, Coinbase was able to report having 7.4 million monthly transacting users helping it to generate $1.2 billion in revenue -- the third straight quarter of over $1 billion generated. It reported $612 million in adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), giving it amazing profit margins of 50%.</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，Coinbase仍报告称，每月有740万交易用户帮助其创造了12亿美元的收入，这是连续第三个季度收入超过10亿美元。该公司公布的调整后息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)为6.12亿美元，利润率高达50%，令人惊叹。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> So it's clear the business is solid and on a firm foundation, though I don't disagree with Rick that Coinbase can do some things better. Much better, even. Still, revenue is forecast to surge to over $8 billion by 2024 when adjusted EBITDA is expected to hit $2.8 billion.</p><p><blockquote>因此，很明显，这项业务是稳固的，并且有坚实的基础，尽管我不反对里克的观点，即比特币基地可以做得更好。甚至好多了。尽管如此，预计到2024年，收入将飙升至80亿美元以上，届时调整后的EBITDA预计将达到28亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Coinbase has been focused on achieving critical mass, and now as the preeminent crypto marketplace, it has the resources to further innovate in the space. This is a crypto name that has the potential to double, triple, or&nbsp;even become a ten-bagger&nbsp;for investors, so long as they have the patience to ride it out.</p><p><blockquote>Coinbase一直专注于实现临界质量，现在作为卓越的加密市场，它拥有在该领域进一步创新的资源。对于投资者来说，这是一个有可能翻倍、三倍甚至成为十倍的加密货币名称，只要他们有耐心度过难关。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Coinbase Stock: Bull vs. Bear<blockquote>Coinbase股票：牛市与熊市</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCoinbase Stock: Bull vs. Bear<blockquote>Coinbase股票：牛市与熊市</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-09 16:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Mainstream cryptocurrency exchange&nbsp;<b>Coinbase Global</b>&nbsp;is the largest and best-known marketplace. Over 73 million verified users and some 10,000 institutions use its&nbsp;platform for investing in and holding&nbsp;around 120 different cryptocurrencies.</p><p><blockquote>主流加密货币交易所<b>比特币基地全球</b>是最大和最著名的市场。超过7300万经过验证的用户和约10,000家机构使用其平台投资和持有约120种不同的加密货币。</blockquote></p><p> The popular, easy-to-use interface has seen assets soar to $255 billion at the end of the third quarter, a seven-fold increase from the $36 billion it had one year ago. Despite the stellar gains, its stock hasn't been quite a star performer, with shares down about 20% from their debut via a direct listing in April.</p><p><blockquote>这款广受欢迎、易于使用的界面在第三季度末的资产飙升至2550亿美元，比一年前的360亿美元增长了七倍。尽管涨幅巨大，但其股价表现并不出色，较4月份直接上市首次亮相时下跌了约20%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68edf653981c880834000e5072fb8304\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1373\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> As a pick-and-shovel play on cryptocurrency, Coinbase has the potential to be a major winning investment, regardless of whether&nbsp;<b>Bitcoin</b>&nbsp;maintains its dominance or&nbsp;<b>Solana</b>&nbsp;or&nbsp;<b>Cardano</b>&nbsp;prove to be actual&nbsp;<b>Ethereum</b>&nbsp;killers.</p><p><blockquote>作为加密货币的镐铲游戏，Coinbase有潜力成为一项重大的获胜投资，无论是否<b>比特币</b>保持其主导地位或<b>索拉纳</b>or<b>卡尔达诺</b>证明是真实的<b>以太币</b>杀手。</blockquote></p><p> However, it's still a hardscrabble play that has yet to perform as well as expected, and for some very good reasons. Below, you can divide into the bear and bull case for whether this is the&nbsp;best time to buy this crypto marketplace&nbsp;for your portfolio.</p><p><blockquote>然而，这仍然是一部糟糕的戏剧，还没有达到预期的效果，这是有原因的。下面，您可以分为熊市和牛市两种情况，以确定这是否是为您的投资组合购买该加密货币市场的最佳时机。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/542df2fd97487544fabce5abd68a05ea\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1356\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>The other side of the Coinbase</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Coinbase的另一面</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Rick Munarriz:</b>There's a lot to like about Coinbase as an investor -- until you start to zoom in as a crypto trader. Coinbase is the mainstream name that even crypto outsiders know,&nbsp;and understandably so with $255 billion in assets on platform. Unfortunately, it's more like&nbsp;crypto investing&nbsp;on training wheels. It's a nest to chirp away in as a baby bird until you're ready to fly. It's the first person you date and ultimately leave when things start to get serious.</p><p><blockquote><b>里克·穆纳里兹：</b>作为投资者，Coinbase有很多值得喜欢的地方——直到你开始放大成为一名加密货币交易者。Coinbase是连加密货币局外人都知道的主流名称，平台上拥有2550亿美元的资产，这是可以理解的。不幸的是，这更像是训练轮上的加密货币投资。这是一个像小鸟一样叽叽喳喳的鸟巢，直到你准备好飞翔。这是你约会的第一个人，当事情开始变得严重时，你最终会离开。</blockquote></p><p> Crack open the hood, and you'll see a platform with high trading fees, a history of iffy customer service when things go wrong, and limited options to generate passive income on your investments. You might think it's great that you can earn 4.5% annually on your staked Ethereum, but that's only if you lock it up until the world's second-most-valuable digital currency completes its migration to proof of work. You can&nbsp;earn more than 4.5%&nbsp;on several smaller platforms without having to wait for an event with no actual date to regain access to your crypto. You would think that Coinbase would be the leader in yield on&nbsp;<b>USD Coin</b>, the dollar-pegged stablecoin that it created. Nope. All you can earn is 0.15% a year, whereas you can earn&nbsp;yields topping 10%&nbsp;on other platforms.</p><p><blockquote>打开引擎盖，你会看到一个交易费用很高的平台，出现问题时客户服务不确定的历史，以及从投资中产生被动收入的选择有限。您可能会认为，您可以在质押的以太币上每年赚取4.5%，这很好，但前提是您将其锁定，直到世界上第二大价值的数字货币完成向工作证明的迁移。您可以在几个较小的平台上赚取超过4.5%的收益，而不必等待没有实际日期的事件来重新访问您的加密货币。您可能会认为Coinbase将成为收益率的领导者<b>美元硬币</b>，它创造的与美元挂钩的稳定币。没有。你每年只能赚0.15%，而在其他平台上你可以赚到超过10%的收益率。</blockquote></p><p> Stock investors wooed by Coinbase and its high margins may want to take a closer look at the surprisingly low trailing earnings multiple. It's padded with one-time gains and a perfect storm that is highly unlikely to be duplicated. Analysts see earnings roughly cut in half next year. The bottom line isn't the only thing that is shrinking here. Monthly transacting users went from 8.8 million in the second quarter of this year to just 7.4 million in the third quarter. Trading volume in its latest report was lower than each of its two previous quarters. Cool nest. It's time to flap those wings and fly. It's not me. It's you.</p><p><blockquote>被Coinbase及其高利润率所吸引的股票投资者可能希望仔细看看其令人惊讶的低市盈率。它充满了一次性收益和一场极不可能被复制的完美风暴。分析师预计明年的盈利将大致减半。底线并不是这里唯一萎缩的东西。月交易用户从今年第二季度的880万增加到第三季度的740万。其最新报告中的交易量低于前两个季度。酷窝。是时候扇动翅膀飞翔了。不是我。是你。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e2e4882a68944561380c7ec61f00bb8\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1333\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Image source: Getty Images.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Patience is still key to investing</b></p><p><blockquote><b>耐心仍然是投资的关键</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>Rich Duprey:</b>Even in the crypto world, patience is an investor virtue. Even though Bitcoin has gone up 8 billion percent and&nbsp;<b>Shiba Inu</b>&nbsp;has rocketed 53 million percent higher just in 2021 alone, having a long-term outlook is justified when it comes to Coinbase despite it actually being down 38% from its high point.</p><p><blockquote><b>里奇·杜普雷：</b>即使在加密货币世界，耐心也是投资者的美德。尽管比特币增长了80亿<b>柴犬</b>仅在2021年，Coinbase就飙升了5300万%，尽管Coinbase实际上较高点下跌了38%，但长期前景是合理的。</blockquote></p><p> Volatility should be expected in the&nbsp;early days of crypto, let alone Coinbase, but such wild swings will impact its transaction revenue.&nbsp;As my colleague Rick notes, global trading volume for the third quarter was down 37% from the second quarter, leading to a 29% drop in Coinbase's volume.</p><p><blockquote>在crypto的早期，波动应该是意料之中的，更不用说比特币基地了，但这种剧烈的波动将影响其交易收入。正如我的同事Rick指出的，第三季度的全球交易量比第二季度下降了37%，导致比特币基地的交易量下降了29%。</blockquote></p><p> Even so, Coinbase was able to report having 7.4 million monthly transacting users helping it to generate $1.2 billion in revenue -- the third straight quarter of over $1 billion generated. It reported $612 million in adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), giving it amazing profit margins of 50%.</p><p><blockquote>即便如此，Coinbase仍报告称，每月有740万交易用户帮助其创造了12亿美元的收入，这是连续第三个季度收入超过10亿美元。该公司公布的调整后息税折旧摊销前利润(EBITDA)为6.12亿美元，利润率高达50%，令人惊叹。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> So it's clear the business is solid and on a firm foundation, though I don't disagree with Rick that Coinbase can do some things better. Much better, even. Still, revenue is forecast to surge to over $8 billion by 2024 when adjusted EBITDA is expected to hit $2.8 billion.</p><p><blockquote>因此，很明显，这项业务是稳固的，并且有坚实的基础，尽管我不反对里克的观点，即比特币基地可以做得更好。甚至好多了。尽管如此，预计到2024年，收入将飙升至80亿美元以上，届时调整后的EBITDA预计将达到28亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Coinbase has been focused on achieving critical mass, and now as the preeminent crypto marketplace, it has the resources to further innovate in the space. This is a crypto name that has the potential to double, triple, or&nbsp;even become a ten-bagger&nbsp;for investors, so long as they have the patience to ride it out.</p><p><blockquote>Coinbase一直专注于实现临界质量，现在作为卓越的加密市场，它拥有在该领域进一步创新的资源。对于投资者来说，这是一个有可能翻倍、三倍甚至成为十倍的加密货币名称，只要他们有耐心度过难关。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/08/coinbase-stock-bull-vs-bear/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/12/08/coinbase-stock-bull-vs-bear/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1153197163","content_text":"Mainstream cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase Global is the largest and best-known marketplace. Over 73 million verified users and some 10,000 institutions use its platform for investing in and holding around 120 different cryptocurrencies.\nThe popular, easy-to-use interface has seen assets soar to $255 billion at the end of the third quarter, a seven-fold increase from the $36 billion it had one year ago. Despite the stellar gains, its stock hasn't been quite a star performer, with shares down about 20% from their debut via a direct listing in April.\nImage source: Getty Images.\nAs a pick-and-shovel play on cryptocurrency, Coinbase has the potential to be a major winning investment, regardless of whether Bitcoin maintains its dominance or Solana or Cardano prove to be actual Ethereum killers.\nHowever, it's still a hardscrabble play that has yet to perform as well as expected, and for some very good reasons. Below, you can divide into the bear and bull case for whether this is the best time to buy this crypto marketplace for your portfolio.\nImage source: Getty Images.\nThe other side of the Coinbase\nRick Munarriz:There's a lot to like about Coinbase as an investor -- until you start to zoom in as a crypto trader. Coinbase is the mainstream name that even crypto outsiders know, and understandably so with $255 billion in assets on platform. Unfortunately, it's more like crypto investing on training wheels. It's a nest to chirp away in as a baby bird until you're ready to fly. It's the first person you date and ultimately leave when things start to get serious.\nCrack open the hood, and you'll see a platform with high trading fees, a history of iffy customer service when things go wrong, and limited options to generate passive income on your investments. You might think it's great that you can earn 4.5% annually on your staked Ethereum, but that's only if you lock it up until the world's second-most-valuable digital currency completes its migration to proof of work. You can earn more than 4.5% on several smaller platforms without having to wait for an event with no actual date to regain access to your crypto. You would think that Coinbase would be the leader in yield on USD Coin, the dollar-pegged stablecoin that it created. Nope. All you can earn is 0.15% a year, whereas you can earn yields topping 10% on other platforms.\nStock investors wooed by Coinbase and its high margins may want to take a closer look at the surprisingly low trailing earnings multiple. It's padded with one-time gains and a perfect storm that is highly unlikely to be duplicated. Analysts see earnings roughly cut in half next year. The bottom line isn't the only thing that is shrinking here. Monthly transacting users went from 8.8 million in the second quarter of this year to just 7.4 million in the third quarter. Trading volume in its latest report was lower than each of its two previous quarters. Cool nest. It's time to flap those wings and fly. It's not me. It's you.\nImage source: Getty Images.\nPatience is still key to investing\nRich Duprey:Even in the crypto world, patience is an investor virtue. Even though Bitcoin has gone up 8 billion percent and Shiba Inu has rocketed 53 million percent higher just in 2021 alone, having a long-term outlook is justified when it comes to Coinbase despite it actually being down 38% from its high point.\nVolatility should be expected in the early days of crypto, let alone Coinbase, but such wild swings will impact its transaction revenue. As my colleague Rick notes, global trading volume for the third quarter was down 37% from the second quarter, leading to a 29% drop in Coinbase's volume.\nEven so, Coinbase was able to report having 7.4 million monthly transacting users helping it to generate $1.2 billion in revenue -- the third straight quarter of over $1 billion generated. It reported $612 million in adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), giving it amazing profit margins of 50%.\nSo it's clear the business is solid and on a firm foundation, though I don't disagree with Rick that Coinbase can do some things better. Much better, even. Still, revenue is forecast to surge to over $8 billion by 2024 when adjusted EBITDA is expected to hit $2.8 billion.\nCoinbase has been focused on achieving critical mass, and now as the preeminent crypto marketplace, it has the resources to further innovate in the space. This is a crypto name that has the potential to double, triple, or even become a ten-bagger for investors, so long as they have the patience to ride it out.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"COIN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":853,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":602990014,"gmtCreate":1638952302159,"gmtModify":1638952302399,"author":{"id":"3586770271918953","authorId":"3586770271918953","name":"7acb343","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586770271918953","idStr":"3586770271918953"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602990014","repostId":"1118640024","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1276,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":606627290,"gmtCreate":1638875332097,"gmtModify":1638875332329,"author":{"id":"3586770271918953","authorId":"3586770271918953","name":"7acb343","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586770271918953","idStr":"3586770271918953"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/606627290","repostId":"1149974752","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1149974752","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1638873109,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1149974752?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-07 18:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"60 Biggest Movers From Yesterday<blockquote>昨天以来60个最大的推动者</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1149974752","media":"Benzinga","summary":"Gainers\n\nInsignia Systems, Inc. shares jumped 200.4% to close at $15.05 on Monday after the company ","content":"<p><div> Gainers  Insignia Systems, Inc. shares jumped 200.4% to close at $15.05 on Monday after the company announced the commencement of a formal process to explore strategic options to maximize shareholder ...</p><p><blockquote><div>Insignia Systems，Inc.的股价周一上涨200.4%，收于15.05美元，此前该公司宣布开始正式程序，探索最大化股东利益的战略选择...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/12/24474142/60-biggest-movers-from-yesterday\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/12/24474142/60-biggest-movers-from-yesterday\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>60 Biggest Movers From Yesterday<blockquote>昨天以来60个最大的推动者</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; 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overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n60 Biggest Movers From Yesterday<blockquote>昨天以来60个最大的推动者</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-07 18:31</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> Gainers  Insignia Systems, Inc. shares jumped 200.4% to close at $15.05 on Monday after the company announced the commencement of a formal process to explore strategic options to maximize shareholder ...</p><p><blockquote><div>Insignia Systems，Inc.的股价周一上涨200.4%，收于15.05美元，此前该公司宣布开始正式程序，探索最大化股东利益的战略选择...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/12/24474142/60-biggest-movers-from-yesterday\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/12/24474142/60-biggest-movers-from-yesterday\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/12/24474142/60-biggest-movers-from-yesterday\">Benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BZFD":"Buzzfeed","MRNA":"Moderna, Inc.","BNTX":"BioNTech SE"},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/12/24474142/60-biggest-movers-from-yesterday","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1149974752","content_text":"Gainers\n\nInsignia Systems, Inc. shares jumped 200.4% to close at $15.05 on Monday after the company announced the commencement of a formal process to explore strategic options to maximize shareholder value, including potential merger or acquisition.\nDel Taco Restaurants, Inc. shares climbed 66.1% to close at $12.51 on Monday.\nJack In The Box Inc agreed to acquire Del Taco Restaurants for $12.51 per share in cash in a deal valued at about $575 million.\nCumberland Pharmaceuticals Inc. rose 51.2% to settle at $6.94 on above-average volume.\nAdicet Bio, Inc. shares gained 38.5% to close at $13.57 after the company announced interim data from its dose escalation Phase 1 study evaluating the safety and tolerability of ADI-001.\nAdvanced Human Imaging Limited surged 30.9% to settle at $6.02.\neFFECTOR Therapeutics, Inc. gained 29.1% to close at $7.37.\nCloopen Group Holding Limited climbed 27% to settle at $3.43.\nEdgewise Therapeutics, Inc. gained 22.8% to close at $18.42.\nGH Research PLC gained 21.9% to close at $23.47 after the company reported better-than-expected Q3 EPS results.\nIN8bio, Inc. rose 21.4% to close at $6.80. IN8bio, last month, named Trishna Goswami, M.D. as Chief Medical Officer.\nLiberty TripAdvisor Holdings, Inc. gained 21.1% to close at $2.47.\nProgenity, Inc. rose 19.5% to close at $2.82.\nVasta Platform Limited gained 18.8% to settle at $2.91.\nXiaobai Maimai Inc. rose 18% to close at $2.69.\nAtreca, Inc. climbed 17.8% to settle at $3.38.\nPriority Technology Holdings, Inc. rose 17.3% to close at $7.13.\nGCP Applied Technologies Inc. gained 17.1% to close at $31.64. Saint-Gobain announced plans to buy GCP Applied Technologies in a deal valued at around $2.3 billion.\nFG Financial Group, Inc. jumped 16.6% to settle at $3.79 as the company said its SPAC Platform partner, Aldel Financial has completed their previously announced business combination with Hagerty.\nByrna Technologies Inc. gained 16% to close at $15.16 after the company issued Q4 sales guidance above estimates and announced a $30 million buyback.\nQuoin Pharmaceuticals, Ltd. rose 15.8% to close at $3.74.\nKubient, Inc. climbed 15.8% to close at $2.8250. Kubient, last month, posted a Q3 loss of $0.16 per share.\nKLX Energy Services Holdings, Inc. gained 15.7% to settle at $3.57.\nNorth European Oil Royalty Trust rose 14.8% to close at $9.86.\nVicinity Motor Corp. climbed 14.8% to close at $3.96.\nOfferpad Solutions Inc. rose 14.8% to settle at $7.38.\nSonendo, Inc. gained 14.7% to close at $9.50.\nTwin Vee Powercats Co. rose 13.8% to settle at $3.30.\nRecruiter.com Group, Inc. rose 9.8% to close at $3.14.\nCF Acquisition Corp. VI rose 6.7% to close at $12.70 on continued strength following the SPACs announcement of a merger with Rumble.\n\nLosers\n\nBolt Biotherapeutics, Inc. shares fell 55.8% to settle at $4.64 on Monday. Bolt Biotherapeutics announced the presentation of interim clinical data from its Phase 1/2 study of BDC-1001.\nAlset EHome International Inc. shares dropped 41.7% to close at $0.6302 on Monday after the company priced its $30 million underwritten public offering.\nReata Pharmaceuticals, Inc. fell 37.8% to close at $48.92. Traders circulated the FDA briefing document saying 'FDA review team does not believe the submitted data demonstrate that bardoxolone is effective in slowing the loss of kidney function in patients with AS...'\nAeglea BioTherapeutics, Inc. declined 36.5% to close at $3.81 after the company announced data from the Phase 3 study of pegzilarginase in Arginase 1 Deficiency (ARG1-D) patients aged two years and older. ARG1-D is a rare disease characterized by high levels of the amino acid arginine. The disease manifestations include spasticity, developmental delay, intellectual disability, and seizures.\nMiNK Therapeutics, Inc. fell 34.6% to settle at $6.85.\nNam Tai Property Inc. fell 29.8% to close at $10.00. Nam Tai Property confirmed results of special meeting of shareholders.\nAdagio Therapeutics, Inc. dipped 29% to close at $32.53.\nFinch Therapeutics Group, Inc. fell 28.4% to close at $10.97.\nElevation Oncology, Inc. fell 28.3% to close at $4.35.\nArqit Quantum Inc. dipped 27.6% to settle at $27.07 amid a rotation out of the space as well as a rise in treasury yields, which has pressured growth names.\nCreative Medical Technology Holdings, Inc. dropped 27.4% to close at $1.62.\nBeyond Air, Inc. fell 23.4% to close at $10.36.\nIsoPlexis Corporation fell 22.7% to settle at $8.02.\nPyxis Oncology, Inc. dipped 20.9% to close at $9.64.\nPOINT Biopharma Global Inc. fell 20.9% to settle at $6.22.\nImago BioSciences, Inc. fell 20.6% to close at $16.22. Imago BioSciences, last month, posted a Q3 loss of $0.44 per share.\nOceanPal Inc. fell 19.5% to settle at $3.30. OceanPal recently entered into a time charter trip contract for its Panamax dry bulk vessel, the m/v Calipso, a 73,691 dwt vessel built in 2005, at a gross charter rate of $18,750 per day, for about 15-20 days.\nBioNTech SE dropped 18.7% to close at $279.83 as vaccine names pulled back after gaining in late November amid omicron concerns.\nOnion Global Limited dipped 18% to settle at $3.18.\nuCloudlink Group Inc. fell 17.5% to close at $2.31.\nVaxxinity, Inc. fell 17% to close at $7.32. B of A Securities initiated coverage on Vaxxinity with a Buy rating and announced a price target of $21.\nEntrada Therapeutics, Inc. dropped 16.7% to settle at $22.26.\nEnjoy Technology, Inc. declined 16.2% to close at $4.51.\nBird Global, Inc. fell 13.7% to close at $6.87.\nModerna, Inc. dipped 13.5% to close at $265.33. Moderna President Stephen Hoge said there’s a “real risk” that existing COVID-19 vaccines will be less effective against omicron, reported Bloomberg. In contrast, U.S. medical adviser Anthony Fauci said the variant’s severity might be limited.\nKazia Therapeutics Limited fell 13.4% to clsoe at $7.92. Kazia Therapeutics, last week announced final data from a Phase2 study of paxalisib as first-line therapy in patients with glioblastoma.\nAEye, Inc. fell 12.7% to close at $4.60.\nZscaler, Inc. fell 12.4% to close at $274.36. Daiwa Capital downgraded Zscaler from Neutral to Underperform and announced a $286 price target.\nErasca, Inc. dropped 11.5% to close at $12.51. Erasca, last month, posted a Q3 loss of $0.46 per share.\nBuzzFeed fell 11% to close at $8.56. The company has called itself \"the first publicly traded purely digital media company.\" Buzzfeed started trading on the Nasdaq on Monday.\nAST SpaceMobile, Inc. shares fell 8.9% to close at $8.42. AST SpaceMobile, last month, posted Q3 EPS of $0.07 on sales of $2.45 million.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MRNA":0.9,"BZFD":0.9,"BNTX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":910,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":608793511,"gmtCreate":1638786939358,"gmtModify":1638786940172,"author":{"id":"3586770271918953","authorId":"3586770271918953","name":"7acb343","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586770271918953","idStr":"3586770271918953"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/608793511","repostId":"1179313612","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1179313612","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1638745398,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1179313612?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-06 07:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Game Stop, Toll Brothers, Costco, CVS, and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>Game Stop、Toll Brothers、Costco、CVS和其他本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1179313612","media":"Barrons","summary":"Meme stock darling GameStop headlines this week’s earnings report lineup. The videogame retailer rep","content":"<p>Meme stock darling <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">GameStop</a> headlines this week’s earnings report lineup. The videogame retailer reports results after the market closes on Wednesday. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AZO\">AutoZone</a>, Casey’s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BGC\">General</a> Stores, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TOL\">Toll Brothers</a> report earnings on Tuesday, followed by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BF.A\">Brown-Forman</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CPB\">Campbell Soup</a> on Wednesday. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COST\">Costco</a> Wholesale, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HRL\">Hormel</a> Foods round things out on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>模因股票宠儿<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">游戏驿站</a>本周财报阵容头条。这家视频游戏零售商将在周三收盘后公布业绩。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AZO\">AutoZone</a>，凯西的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BGC\">一般的</a>商店，以及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TOL\">托尔兄弟</a>周二公布收益，随后<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BF.A\">布朗-福尔曼</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CPB\">金宝汤</a>星期三。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COST\">Costco</a>批发，及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HRL\">荷美尔</a>周四的食物使事情更加圆满。</blockquote></p><p> On Monday, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNP\">Union Pacific</a> will hold a conference call to discuss its climate action plan. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MCK\">McKesson</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUV\">Southwest Airlines</a> host their 2021 investor days on Wednesday, followed by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVS\">CVS Health</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSN\">Tyson</a> Foods on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>周一，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNP\">联合太平洋</a>将召开电话会议讨论其气候行动计划。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MCK\">麦克森</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUV\">西南航空</a>周三举办2021年投资者日，随后<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVS\">CVS健康</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSN\">泰森</a>周四的食物。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve’s report on consumer credit data for October will be released on Tuesday. On Thursday, the U.S. Labor Department reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Dec. 4.</p><p><blockquote>美联储10月消费者信贷数据报告将于周二公布。周四，美国劳工部公布了截至12月4日当周的首次申请失业救济人数。</blockquote></p><p> The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the consumer price index for November on Friday. The consensus estimate is for a 6.7% year-over-year jump, half a percentage point more than in October. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 4.8% versus 4.6% previously.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工统计局周五发布11月份消费者价格指数。市场普遍预期同比增长6.7%，比10月份高出半个百分点。排除波动较大的食品和能源价格的核心CPI预计将上涨4.8%，而此前为4.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 12/6</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一12/6</b></blockquote></p><p> Union Pacific holds a conference call to discuss its climate action plan.</p><p><blockquote>联合太平洋公司召开电话会议讨论其气候行动计划。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 12/7</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二12/7</b></blockquote></p><p> AutoZone, Casey’s General Stores, and Toll Brothers announce quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>AutoZone、Casey’s General Stores和Toll Brothers公布季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve reports on consumer credit data for October. After falling slightly last year, total outstanding consumer debt has risen an average of $20 billion a month through September, and stands at a record $4.37 trillion.</p><p><blockquote>美联储报告10月份消费者信贷数据。继去年小幅下降后，截至9月份，未偿消费者债务总额平均每月增加200亿美元，达到创纪录的4.37万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 12/8</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三12/8</b></blockquote></p><p> The BLS releases the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Economists forecast 10.5 million job openings on the last business day of October, only 600,000 less than the record high of 11.1 million in July.</p><p><blockquote>BLS发布职位空缺和劳动力流动调查。经济学家预测10月最后一个工作日将有1050万个职位空缺，仅比7月1110万的历史新高少60万个。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BF.B\">Brown-Forman</a>, Campbell Soup, and GameStop report earnings.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BF.B\">布朗-福尔曼</a>、金宝汤和游戏驿站公布财报。</blockquote></p><p> McKesson and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OKSB\">Southwest</a> Airlines host their 2021 investor days.</p><p><blockquote>麦克森和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OKSB\">西南</a>航空公司举办2021年投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EW\">Edwards Lifesciences</a> holds an investor conference in Irvine, Calif. The company will discuss its product pipeline as well as its financial outlook for 2022.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EW\">爱德华兹生命科学公司</a>在加州尔湾举行投资者会议。该公司将讨论其产品线以及2022年的财务前景。</blockquote></p><p> The Bank of Canada announces its monetary-policy decision. The central bank is expected to keep its key short-term interest rate unchanged at 0.25%. At its late-October meeting, the bank ended its quantitative-easing program and signaled that its first interest-rate hike would be earlier in 2022 than had been expected.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大央行宣布货币政策决定。预计央行将维持关键短期利率在0.25%不变。在10月底的会议上，央行结束了量化宽松计划，并表示首次加息将于2022年早于预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 12/9</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四12/9</b></blockquote></p><p> Broadcom, Costco Wholesale, and Hormel Foods hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>Broadcom、Costco Wholesale和Hormel Foods在评级召开会议讨论季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> CVS Health and Tyson Foods host their annual investor days.</p><p><blockquote>CVS Health和泰森食品举办年度投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> The Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Dec. 4. Jobless claims averaged 238,750 in November, the lowest since the beginning of the pandemic, and just 24,750 more than in February of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>劳工部报告了截至12月4日当周的首次申请失业救济人数。11月份平均申请失业救济人数为238,750人，为大流行开始以来的最低水平，仅比2020年2月增加24,750人。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 12/10</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五12/10</b></blockquote></p><p> Archer-Daniels-Midland holds its global investor day.</p><p><blockquote>阿彻-丹尼尔斯-米德兰举办全球投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CNC\">Centene</a> holds an investor meeting and will provide financial guidance for 2022.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CNC\">Centene</a>召开投资者会议，并将提供2022年的财务指导。</blockquote></p><p> The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the consumer price index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 6.7% year-over-year jump, half a percentage point more than in October. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 4.8% versus 4.6% previously. October’s 6.2% increase was the hottest the CPI has run in more than 30 years, and this past week Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> finally ditched “transitory” when discussing inflation before the Senate Banking Committee.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工统计局发布11月份消费者价格指数。市场普遍预计同比增长6.7%，比10月份高出半个百分点。排除波动较大的食品和能源价格的核心CPI预计将上涨4.8%，而此前为4.6%。10月份6.2%的涨幅是CPI 30多年来最热的一次，而上周美联储主席杰罗姆<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>在参议院银行委员会讨论通货膨胀时，最终放弃了“暂时性”。</blockquote></p><p> The University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment index for December. Economists forecast a 66 reading, slightly less than the November data.</p><p><blockquote>密歇根大学发布12月份消费者信心指数。经济学家预测为66，略低于11月份的数据。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Game Stop, Toll Brothers, Costco, CVS, and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>Game Stop、Toll Brothers、Costco、CVS和其他本周值得关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGame Stop, Toll Brothers, Costco, CVS, and Other Stocks to Watch This Week<blockquote>Game Stop、Toll Brothers、Costco、CVS和其他本周值得关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-06 07:03</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Meme stock darling <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">GameStop</a> headlines this week’s earnings report lineup. The videogame retailer reports results after the market closes on Wednesday. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AZO\">AutoZone</a>, Casey’s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BGC\">General</a> Stores, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TOL\">Toll Brothers</a> report earnings on Tuesday, followed by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BF.A\">Brown-Forman</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CPB\">Campbell Soup</a> on Wednesday. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COST\">Costco</a> Wholesale, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HRL\">Hormel</a> Foods round things out on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>模因股票宠儿<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">游戏驿站</a>本周财报阵容头条。这家视频游戏零售商将在周三收盘后公布业绩。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AZO\">AutoZone</a>，凯西的<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BGC\">一般的</a>商店，以及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TOL\">托尔兄弟</a>周二公布收益，随后<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BF.A\">布朗-福尔曼</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CPB\">金宝汤</a>星期三。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COST\">Costco</a>批发，及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HRL\">荷美尔</a>周四的食物使事情更加圆满。</blockquote></p><p> On Monday, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNP\">Union Pacific</a> will hold a conference call to discuss its climate action plan. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MCK\">McKesson</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUV\">Southwest Airlines</a> host their 2021 investor days on Wednesday, followed by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVS\">CVS Health</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSN\">Tyson</a> Foods on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>周一，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNP\">联合太平洋</a>将召开电话会议讨论其气候行动计划。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MCK\">麦克森</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUV\">西南航空</a>周三举办2021年投资者日，随后<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVS\">CVS健康</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSN\">泰森</a>周四的食物。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve’s report on consumer credit data for October will be released on Tuesday. On Thursday, the U.S. Labor Department reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Dec. 4.</p><p><blockquote>美联储10月消费者信贷数据报告将于周二公布。周四，美国劳工部公布了截至12月4日当周的首次申请失业救济人数。</blockquote></p><p> The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the consumer price index for November on Friday. The consensus estimate is for a 6.7% year-over-year jump, half a percentage point more than in October. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 4.8% versus 4.6% previously.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工统计局周五发布11月份消费者价格指数。市场普遍预期同比增长6.7%，比10月份高出半个百分点。排除波动较大的食品和能源价格的核心CPI预计将上涨4.8%，而此前为4.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 12/6</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一12/6</b></blockquote></p><p> Union Pacific holds a conference call to discuss its climate action plan.</p><p><blockquote>联合太平洋公司召开电话会议讨论其气候行动计划。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 12/7</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二12/7</b></blockquote></p><p> AutoZone, Casey’s General Stores, and Toll Brothers announce quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>AutoZone、Casey’s General Stores和Toll Brothers公布季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve reports on consumer credit data for October. After falling slightly last year, total outstanding consumer debt has risen an average of $20 billion a month through September, and stands at a record $4.37 trillion.</p><p><blockquote>美联储报告10月份消费者信贷数据。继去年小幅下降后，截至9月份，未偿消费者债务总额平均每月增加200亿美元，达到创纪录的4.37万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 12/8</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三12/8</b></blockquote></p><p> The BLS releases the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Economists forecast 10.5 million job openings on the last business day of October, only 600,000 less than the record high of 11.1 million in July.</p><p><blockquote>BLS发布职位空缺和劳动力流动调查。经济学家预测10月最后一个工作日将有1050万个职位空缺，仅比7月1110万的历史新高少60万个。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BF.B\">Brown-Forman</a>, Campbell Soup, and GameStop report earnings.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BF.B\">布朗-福尔曼</a>、金宝汤和游戏驿站公布财报。</blockquote></p><p> McKesson and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OKSB\">Southwest</a> Airlines host their 2021 investor days.</p><p><blockquote>麦克森和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OKSB\">西南</a>航空公司举办2021年投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EW\">Edwards Lifesciences</a> holds an investor conference in Irvine, Calif. The company will discuss its product pipeline as well as its financial outlook for 2022.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EW\">爱德华兹生命科学公司</a>在加州尔湾举行投资者会议。该公司将讨论其产品线以及2022年的财务前景。</blockquote></p><p> The Bank of Canada announces its monetary-policy decision. The central bank is expected to keep its key short-term interest rate unchanged at 0.25%. At its late-October meeting, the bank ended its quantitative-easing program and signaled that its first interest-rate hike would be earlier in 2022 than had been expected.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大央行宣布货币政策决定。预计央行将维持关键短期利率在0.25%不变。在10月底的会议上，央行结束了量化宽松计划，并表示首次加息将于2022年早于预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 12/9</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四12/9</b></blockquote></p><p> Broadcom, Costco Wholesale, and Hormel Foods hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>Broadcom、Costco Wholesale和Hormel Foods在评级召开会议讨论季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> CVS Health and Tyson Foods host their annual investor days.</p><p><blockquote>CVS Health和泰森食品举办年度投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> The Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Dec. 4. Jobless claims averaged 238,750 in November, the lowest since the beginning of the pandemic, and just 24,750 more than in February of 2020.</p><p><blockquote>劳工部报告了截至12月4日当周的首次申请失业救济人数。11月份平均申请失业救济人数为238,750人，为大流行开始以来的最低水平，仅比2020年2月增加24,750人。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 12/10</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五12/10</b></blockquote></p><p> Archer-Daniels-Midland holds its global investor day.</p><p><blockquote>阿彻-丹尼尔斯-米德兰举办全球投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CNC\">Centene</a> holds an investor meeting and will provide financial guidance for 2022.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CNC\">Centene</a>召开投资者会议，并将提供2022年的财务指导。</blockquote></p><p> The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the consumer price index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 6.7% year-over-year jump, half a percentage point more than in October. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 4.8% versus 4.6% previously. October’s 6.2% increase was the hottest the CPI has run in more than 30 years, and this past week Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> finally ditched “transitory” when discussing inflation before the Senate Banking Committee.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工统计局发布11月份消费者价格指数。市场普遍预计同比增长6.7%，比10月份高出半个百分点。排除波动较大的食品和能源价格的核心CPI预计将上涨4.8%，而此前为4.6%。10月份6.2%的涨幅是CPI 30多年来最热的一次，而上周美联储主席杰罗姆<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>在参议院银行委员会讨论通货膨胀时，最终放弃了“暂时性”。</blockquote></p><p> The University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment index for December. Economists forecast a 66 reading, slightly less than the November data.</p><p><blockquote>密歇根大学发布12月份消费者信心指数。经济学家预测为66，略低于11月份的数据。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/game-stop-toll-brothers-costco-cvs-and-other-stocks-to-watch-this-week-51638734413?mod=barrons-on-marketwatch\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站","CVS":"西维斯健康","TOL":"托尔兄弟","BK4088":"住宅建筑","COST":"好市多"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/game-stop-toll-brothers-costco-cvs-and-other-stocks-to-watch-this-week-51638734413?mod=barrons-on-marketwatch","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1179313612","content_text":"Meme stock darling GameStop headlines this week’s earnings report lineup. The videogame retailer reports results after the market closes on Wednesday. AutoZone, Casey’s General Stores, and Toll Brothers report earnings on Tuesday, followed by Brown-Forman and Campbell Soup on Wednesday. Broadcom, Costco Wholesale, and Hormel Foods round things out on Thursday.\nOn Monday, Union Pacific will hold a conference call to discuss its climate action plan. McKesson and Southwest Airlines host their 2021 investor days on Wednesday, followed by CVS Health and Tyson Foods on Thursday.\nThe Federal Reserve’s report on consumer credit data for October will be released on Tuesday. On Thursday, the U.S. Labor Department reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Dec. 4.\nThe Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the consumer price index for November on Friday. The consensus estimate is for a 6.7% year-over-year jump, half a percentage point more than in October. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 4.8% versus 4.6% previously.\nMonday 12/6\nUnion Pacific holds a conference call to discuss its climate action plan.\nTuesday 12/7\nAutoZone, Casey’s General Stores, and Toll Brothers announce quarterly results.\nThe Federal Reserve reports on consumer credit data for October. After falling slightly last year, total outstanding consumer debt has risen an average of $20 billion a month through September, and stands at a record $4.37 trillion.\nWednesday 12/8\nThe BLS releases the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey. Economists forecast 10.5 million job openings on the last business day of October, only 600,000 less than the record high of 11.1 million in July.\nBrown-Forman, Campbell Soup, and GameStop report earnings.\nMcKesson and Southwest Airlines host their 2021 investor days.\nEdwards Lifesciences holds an investor conference in Irvine, Calif. The company will discuss its product pipeline as well as its financial outlook for 2022.\nThe Bank of Canada announces its monetary-policy decision. The central bank is expected to keep its key short-term interest rate unchanged at 0.25%. At its late-October meeting, the bank ended its quantitative-easing program and signaled that its first interest-rate hike would be earlier in 2022 than had been expected.\nThursday 12/9\nBroadcom, Costco Wholesale, and Hormel Foods hold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.\nCVS Health and Tyson Foods host their annual investor days.\nThe Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on Dec. 4. Jobless claims averaged 238,750 in November, the lowest since the beginning of the pandemic, and just 24,750 more than in February of 2020.\nFriday 12/10\nArcher-Daniels-Midland holds its global investor day.\nCentene holds an investor meeting and will provide financial guidance for 2022.\nThe Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the consumer price index for November. Consensus estimate is for a 6.7% year-over-year jump, half a percentage point more than in October. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 4.8% versus 4.6% previously. October’s 6.2% increase was the hottest the CPI has run in more than 30 years, and this past week Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell finally ditched “transitory” when discussing inflation before the Senate Banking Committee.\nThe University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment index for December. Economists forecast a 66 reading, slightly less than the November data.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TOL":0.9,"COST":0.9,"GME":0.9,"CVS":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":869,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":608978016,"gmtCreate":1638609170367,"gmtModify":1638609170511,"author":{"id":"3586770271918953","authorId":"3586770271918953","name":"7acb343","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586770271918953","idStr":"3586770271918953"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/608978016","repostId":"1174181873","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1174181873","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1638578178,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1174181873?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-04 08:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US IPO Week Ahead: Digital banking and cloud infrastructure lead a 4 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周：数字银行和云基础设施引领IPO周4</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1174181873","media":"renaissancecap...","summary":"The IPO market is expected to pick up in the week ahead with four IPOs scheduled to raise $3.7 billi","content":"<p>The IPO market is expected to pick up in the week ahead with four IPOs scheduled to raise $3.7 billion.</p><p><blockquote>IPO市场预计将在未来一周回暖，预计将有四起IPO筹集37亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Buffett-backed&nbsp;<b>Nu Holdings</b>(NU) plans to raise $2.5 billion at a $41.1 billion market cap. Operating as Nubank, this Brazilian online-only bank was formed in 2013 to launch a no-fees credit card offering with a mobile-first customer experience, but has since expanded to offer various other financial products. Nu has grown rapidly since its inception, with a current base of nearly 50 million customers, though revenue per customer has been falling as its base grows.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特支持<b>Nu控股</b>(NU)计划以411亿美元的市值筹集25亿美元。这家巴西纯在线银行成立于2013年，名为Nubank，旨在推出具有移动优先客户体验的免费信用卡产品，但此后已扩展到提供各种其他金融产品。Nu自成立以来发展迅速，目前拥有近5000万客户群，尽管随着客户群的增长，每个客户的收入一直在下降。</blockquote></p><p> Cloud infrastructure platform&nbsp;<b>HashiCorp</b>(HCP) plans to raise $1.1 billion at a $14.0 billion market cap. This VC-backed company provides a suite of solutions that standardize and automate the provisioning, securing, connecting, and running of cloud infrastructure at scale. While it has demonstrated rapid growth and a sticky customer base, HashiCorp is highly unprofitable due to S&amp;M spend.</p><p><blockquote>云基础设施平台<b>哈希公司</b>(HCP)计划以140亿美元的市值筹集11亿美元。这家风险投资支持的公司提供了一套解决方案，可标准化和自动化大规模云基础设施的配置、保护、连接和运行。尽管HashiCorp表现出快速增长和粘性客户群，但由于S&amp;M支出，HashiCorp非常无利可图。</blockquote></p><p> Cannabis finance REIT&nbsp;<b>Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance</b>(REFI) plans to raise $106 million at a $296 million market cap. This newly-formed REIT is focused on originating, structuring, and investing in first mortgage loans and alternative structured financings secured by commercial real estate properties. Its current portfolio consists of senior loans to state-licensed operators in the cannabis industry.</p><p><blockquote>大麻金融房地产投资信托基金<b>芝加哥大西洋房地产金融</b>(REFI)计划以2.96亿美元的市值筹集1.06亿美元。这个新成立的房地产投资信托基金专注于发起、构建和投资由商业房地产担保的第一抵押贷款和另类结构性融资。其目前的投资组合包括向大麻行业国家许可运营商提供的高级贷款。</blockquote></p><p> Canadian gold exploration company&nbsp;<b>Austin Gold</b>(AUST) plans to raise $15 million at a $64 million market cap. This Canadian gold exploration company currently has interests in four properties located in the state of Nevada, with just one property that it considers material at this time. Austin Gold has not generated any operating revenues to date.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大黄金勘探公司<b>奥斯汀·戈尔德</b>(AUST)计划以6400万美元的市值筹集1500万美元。这家加拿大黄金勘探公司目前拥有位于内华达州的四处地产的权益，目前只有一处地产被认为是重要的。迄今为止，奥斯汀黄金尚未产生任何营业收入。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1619493174116","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US IPO Week Ahead: Digital banking and cloud infrastructure lead a 4 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周：数字银行和云基础设施引领IPO周4</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS IPO Week Ahead: Digital banking and cloud infrastructure lead a 4 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周：数字银行和云基础设施引领IPO周4</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">renaissancecap...</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-04 08:36</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The IPO market is expected to pick up in the week ahead with four IPOs scheduled to raise $3.7 billion.</p><p><blockquote>IPO市场预计将在未来一周回暖，预计将有四起IPO筹集37亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Buffett-backed&nbsp;<b>Nu Holdings</b>(NU) plans to raise $2.5 billion at a $41.1 billion market cap. Operating as Nubank, this Brazilian online-only bank was formed in 2013 to launch a no-fees credit card offering with a mobile-first customer experience, but has since expanded to offer various other financial products. Nu has grown rapidly since its inception, with a current base of nearly 50 million customers, though revenue per customer has been falling as its base grows.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特支持<b>Nu控股</b>(NU)计划以411亿美元的市值筹集25亿美元。这家巴西纯在线银行成立于2013年，名为Nubank，旨在推出具有移动优先客户体验的免费信用卡产品，但此后已扩展到提供各种其他金融产品。Nu自成立以来发展迅速，目前拥有近5000万客户群，尽管随着客户群的增长，每个客户的收入一直在下降。</blockquote></p><p> Cloud infrastructure platform&nbsp;<b>HashiCorp</b>(HCP) plans to raise $1.1 billion at a $14.0 billion market cap. This VC-backed company provides a suite of solutions that standardize and automate the provisioning, securing, connecting, and running of cloud infrastructure at scale. While it has demonstrated rapid growth and a sticky customer base, HashiCorp is highly unprofitable due to S&amp;M spend.</p><p><blockquote>云基础设施平台<b>哈希公司</b>(HCP)计划以140亿美元的市值筹集11亿美元。这家风险投资支持的公司提供了一套解决方案，可标准化和自动化大规模云基础设施的配置、保护、连接和运行。尽管HashiCorp表现出快速增长和粘性客户群，但由于S&amp;M支出，HashiCorp非常无利可图。</blockquote></p><p> Cannabis finance REIT&nbsp;<b>Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance</b>(REFI) plans to raise $106 million at a $296 million market cap. This newly-formed REIT is focused on originating, structuring, and investing in first mortgage loans and alternative structured financings secured by commercial real estate properties. Its current portfolio consists of senior loans to state-licensed operators in the cannabis industry.</p><p><blockquote>大麻金融房地产投资信托基金<b>芝加哥大西洋房地产金融</b>(REFI)计划以2.96亿美元的市值筹集1.06亿美元。这个新成立的房地产投资信托基金专注于发起、构建和投资由商业房地产担保的第一抵押贷款和另类结构性融资。其目前的投资组合包括向大麻行业国家许可运营商提供的高级贷款。</blockquote></p><p> Canadian gold exploration company&nbsp;<b>Austin Gold</b>(AUST) plans to raise $15 million at a $64 million market cap. This Canadian gold exploration company currently has interests in four properties located in the state of Nevada, with just one property that it considers material at this time. Austin Gold has not generated any operating revenues to date.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大黄金勘探公司<b>奥斯汀·戈尔德</b>(AUST)计划以6400万美元的市值筹集1500万美元。这家加拿大黄金勘探公司目前拥有位于内华达州的四处地产的权益，目前只有一处地产被认为是重要的。迄今为止，奥斯汀黄金尚未产生任何营业收入。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/89235/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Digital-banking-and-cloud-infrastructure-lead-a-4-IPO-wee\">renaissancecap...</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"HCP":"HashiCorp, Inc.","NU":"Nu Holdings Ltd.","REFI":"Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/89235/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Digital-banking-and-cloud-infrastructure-lead-a-4-IPO-wee","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1174181873","content_text":"The IPO market is expected to pick up in the week ahead with four IPOs scheduled to raise $3.7 billion.\nBuffett-backed Nu Holdings(NU) plans to raise $2.5 billion at a $41.1 billion market cap. Operating as Nubank, this Brazilian online-only bank was formed in 2013 to launch a no-fees credit card offering with a mobile-first customer experience, but has since expanded to offer various other financial products. Nu has grown rapidly since its inception, with a current base of nearly 50 million customers, though revenue per customer has been falling as its base grows.\nCloud infrastructure platform HashiCorp(HCP) plans to raise $1.1 billion at a $14.0 billion market cap. This VC-backed company provides a suite of solutions that standardize and automate the provisioning, securing, connecting, and running of cloud infrastructure at scale. While it has demonstrated rapid growth and a sticky customer base, HashiCorp is highly unprofitable due to S&M spend.\nCannabis finance REIT Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance(REFI) plans to raise $106 million at a $296 million market cap. This newly-formed REIT is focused on originating, structuring, and investing in first mortgage loans and alternative structured financings secured by commercial real estate properties. Its current portfolio consists of senior loans to state-licensed operators in the cannabis industry.\nCanadian gold exploration company Austin Gold(AUST) plans to raise $15 million at a $64 million market cap. This Canadian gold exploration company currently has interests in four properties located in the state of Nevada, with just one property that it considers material at this time. Austin Gold has not generated any operating revenues to date.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"HCP":0.9,"REFI":0.9,"NU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1170,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":608971741,"gmtCreate":1638609158514,"gmtModify":1638609158655,"author":{"id":"3586770271918953","authorId":"3586770271918953","name":"7acb343","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586770271918953","idStr":"3586770271918953"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/608971741","repostId":"1174181873","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1174181873","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1638578178,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1174181873?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-04 08:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US IPO Week Ahead: Digital banking and cloud infrastructure lead a 4 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周：数字银行和云基础设施引领IPO周4</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1174181873","media":"renaissancecap...","summary":"The IPO market is expected to pick up in the week ahead with four IPOs scheduled to raise $3.7 billi","content":"<p>The IPO market is expected to pick up in the week ahead with four IPOs scheduled to raise $3.7 billion.</p><p><blockquote>IPO市场预计将在未来一周回暖，预计将有四起IPO筹集37亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Buffett-backed&nbsp;<b>Nu Holdings</b>(NU) plans to raise $2.5 billion at a $41.1 billion market cap. Operating as Nubank, this Brazilian online-only bank was formed in 2013 to launch a no-fees credit card offering with a mobile-first customer experience, but has since expanded to offer various other financial products. Nu has grown rapidly since its inception, with a current base of nearly 50 million customers, though revenue per customer has been falling as its base grows.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特支持<b>Nu控股</b>(NU)计划以411亿美元的市值筹集25亿美元。这家巴西纯在线银行成立于2013年，名为Nubank，旨在推出具有移动优先客户体验的免费信用卡产品，但此后已扩展到提供各种其他金融产品。Nu自成立以来发展迅速，目前拥有近5000万客户群，尽管随着客户群的增长，每个客户的收入一直在下降。</blockquote></p><p> Cloud infrastructure platform&nbsp;<b>HashiCorp</b>(HCP) plans to raise $1.1 billion at a $14.0 billion market cap. This VC-backed company provides a suite of solutions that standardize and automate the provisioning, securing, connecting, and running of cloud infrastructure at scale. While it has demonstrated rapid growth and a sticky customer base, HashiCorp is highly unprofitable due to S&amp;M spend.</p><p><blockquote>云基础设施平台<b>哈希公司</b>(HCP)计划以140亿美元的市值筹集11亿美元。这家风险投资支持的公司提供了一套解决方案，可标准化和自动化大规模云基础设施的配置、保护、连接和运行。尽管HashiCorp表现出快速增长和粘性客户群，但由于S&amp;M支出，HashiCorp非常无利可图。</blockquote></p><p> Cannabis finance REIT&nbsp;<b>Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance</b>(REFI) plans to raise $106 million at a $296 million market cap. This newly-formed REIT is focused on originating, structuring, and investing in first mortgage loans and alternative structured financings secured by commercial real estate properties. Its current portfolio consists of senior loans to state-licensed operators in the cannabis industry.</p><p><blockquote>大麻金融房地产投资信托基金<b>芝加哥大西洋房地产金融</b>(REFI)计划以2.96亿美元的市值筹集1.06亿美元。这个新成立的房地产投资信托基金专注于发起、构建和投资由商业房地产担保的第一抵押贷款和另类结构性融资。其目前的投资组合包括向大麻行业国家许可运营商提供的高级贷款。</blockquote></p><p> Canadian gold exploration company&nbsp;<b>Austin Gold</b>(AUST) plans to raise $15 million at a $64 million market cap. This Canadian gold exploration company currently has interests in four properties located in the state of Nevada, with just one property that it considers material at this time. Austin Gold has not generated any operating revenues to date.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大黄金勘探公司<b>奥斯汀·戈尔德</b>(AUST)计划以6400万美元的市值筹集1500万美元。这家加拿大黄金勘探公司目前拥有位于内华达州的四处地产的权益，目前只有一处地产被认为是重要的。迄今为止，奥斯汀黄金尚未产生任何营业收入。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1619493174116","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US IPO Week Ahead: Digital banking and cloud infrastructure lead a 4 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周：数字银行和云基础设施引领IPO周4</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS IPO Week Ahead: Digital banking and cloud infrastructure lead a 4 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周：数字银行和云基础设施引领IPO周4</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">renaissancecap...</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-04 08:36</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The IPO market is expected to pick up in the week ahead with four IPOs scheduled to raise $3.7 billion.</p><p><blockquote>IPO市场预计将在未来一周回暖，预计将有四起IPO筹集37亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Buffett-backed&nbsp;<b>Nu Holdings</b>(NU) plans to raise $2.5 billion at a $41.1 billion market cap. Operating as Nubank, this Brazilian online-only bank was formed in 2013 to launch a no-fees credit card offering with a mobile-first customer experience, but has since expanded to offer various other financial products. Nu has grown rapidly since its inception, with a current base of nearly 50 million customers, though revenue per customer has been falling as its base grows.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特支持<b>Nu控股</b>(NU)计划以411亿美元的市值筹集25亿美元。这家巴西纯在线银行成立于2013年，名为Nubank，旨在推出具有移动优先客户体验的免费信用卡产品，但此后已扩展到提供各种其他金融产品。Nu自成立以来发展迅速，目前拥有近5000万客户群，尽管随着客户群的增长，每个客户的收入一直在下降。</blockquote></p><p> Cloud infrastructure platform&nbsp;<b>HashiCorp</b>(HCP) plans to raise $1.1 billion at a $14.0 billion market cap. This VC-backed company provides a suite of solutions that standardize and automate the provisioning, securing, connecting, and running of cloud infrastructure at scale. While it has demonstrated rapid growth and a sticky customer base, HashiCorp is highly unprofitable due to S&amp;M spend.</p><p><blockquote>云基础设施平台<b>哈希公司</b>(HCP)计划以140亿美元的市值筹集11亿美元。这家风险投资支持的公司提供了一套解决方案，可标准化和自动化大规模云基础设施的配置、保护、连接和运行。尽管HashiCorp表现出快速增长和粘性客户群，但由于S&amp;M支出，HashiCorp非常无利可图。</blockquote></p><p> Cannabis finance REIT&nbsp;<b>Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance</b>(REFI) plans to raise $106 million at a $296 million market cap. This newly-formed REIT is focused on originating, structuring, and investing in first mortgage loans and alternative structured financings secured by commercial real estate properties. Its current portfolio consists of senior loans to state-licensed operators in the cannabis industry.</p><p><blockquote>大麻金融房地产投资信托基金<b>芝加哥大西洋房地产金融</b>(REFI)计划以2.96亿美元的市值筹集1.06亿美元。这个新成立的房地产投资信托基金专注于发起、构建和投资由商业房地产担保的第一抵押贷款和另类结构性融资。其目前的投资组合包括向大麻行业国家许可运营商提供的高级贷款。</blockquote></p><p> Canadian gold exploration company&nbsp;<b>Austin Gold</b>(AUST) plans to raise $15 million at a $64 million market cap. This Canadian gold exploration company currently has interests in four properties located in the state of Nevada, with just one property that it considers material at this time. Austin Gold has not generated any operating revenues to date.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大黄金勘探公司<b>奥斯汀·戈尔德</b>(AUST)计划以6400万美元的市值筹集1500万美元。这家加拿大黄金勘探公司目前拥有位于内华达州的四处地产的权益，目前只有一处地产被认为是重要的。迄今为止，奥斯汀黄金尚未产生任何营业收入。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/89235/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Digital-banking-and-cloud-infrastructure-lead-a-4-IPO-wee\">renaissancecap...</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"HCP":"HashiCorp, Inc.","NU":"Nu Holdings Ltd.","REFI":"Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/89235/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Digital-banking-and-cloud-infrastructure-lead-a-4-IPO-wee","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1174181873","content_text":"The IPO market is expected to pick up in the week ahead with four IPOs scheduled to raise $3.7 billion.\nBuffett-backed Nu Holdings(NU) plans to raise $2.5 billion at a $41.1 billion market cap. Operating as Nubank, this Brazilian online-only bank was formed in 2013 to launch a no-fees credit card offering with a mobile-first customer experience, but has since expanded to offer various other financial products. Nu has grown rapidly since its inception, with a current base of nearly 50 million customers, though revenue per customer has been falling as its base grows.\nCloud infrastructure platform HashiCorp(HCP) plans to raise $1.1 billion at a $14.0 billion market cap. This VC-backed company provides a suite of solutions that standardize and automate the provisioning, securing, connecting, and running of cloud infrastructure at scale. While it has demonstrated rapid growth and a sticky customer base, HashiCorp is highly unprofitable due to S&M spend.\nCannabis finance REIT Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance(REFI) plans to raise $106 million at a $296 million market cap. This newly-formed REIT is focused on originating, structuring, and investing in first mortgage loans and alternative structured financings secured by commercial real estate properties. Its current portfolio consists of senior loans to state-licensed operators in the cannabis industry.\nCanadian gold exploration company Austin Gold(AUST) plans to raise $15 million at a $64 million market cap. This Canadian gold exploration company currently has interests in four properties located in the state of Nevada, with just one property that it considers material at this time. Austin Gold has not generated any operating revenues to date.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"HCP":0.9,"REFI":0.9,"NU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":890,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":601697055,"gmtCreate":1638519559224,"gmtModify":1638519559373,"author":{"id":"3586770271918953","authorId":"3586770271918953","name":"7acb343","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586770271918953","idStr":"3586770271918953"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/601697055","repostId":"1152114545","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":857,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":603543927,"gmtCreate":1638432711867,"gmtModify":1638432959833,"author":{"id":"3586770271918953","authorId":"3586770271918953","name":"7acb343","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586770271918953","idStr":"3586770271918953"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/603543927","repostId":"2188759392","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":875,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":609789208,"gmtCreate":1638326157722,"gmtModify":1638326212331,"author":{"id":"3586770271918953","authorId":"3586770271918953","name":"7acb343","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3586770271918953","idStr":"3586770271918953"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/609789208","repostId":"1170836911","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170836911","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1638325856,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1170836911?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-01 10:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nasdaq 100 futures rose nearly 1%, Dow Jones futures rose 0.43%, S&P 500 futures rose 0.71.<blockquote>纳斯达克100期货涨近1%，道琼斯期货涨0.43%，标普500期货涨0.71。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170836911","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Nasdaq 100 futures rose nearly 1%, Dow Jones futures rose 0.43%, S&P 500 futures rose 0.71.","content":"<p>Nasdaq 100 futures&nbsp;rose&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;1%,&nbsp;Dow Jones futures&nbsp;rose&nbsp;0.43%,&nbsp;S&amp;P 500 futures&nbsp;rose&nbsp;0.71.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ac50d4db7a6e6be75344d218d521d0b\" tg-width=\"558\" tg-height=\"187\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克100指数期货上涨近1%，道琼斯指数期货上涨0.43%，标准普尔500指数期货上涨0.71。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nasdaq 100 futures rose nearly 1%, Dow Jones futures rose 0.43%, S&P 500 futures rose 0.71.<blockquote>纳斯达克100期货涨近1%，道琼斯期货涨0.43%，标普500期货涨0.71。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNasdaq 100 futures rose nearly 1%, Dow Jones futures rose 0.43%, S&P 500 futures rose 0.71.<blockquote>纳斯达克100期货涨近1%，道琼斯期货涨0.43%，标普500期货涨0.71。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-12-01 10:30</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Nasdaq 100 futures&nbsp;rose&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;1%,&nbsp;Dow Jones futures&nbsp;rose&nbsp;0.43%,&nbsp;S&amp;P 500 futures&nbsp;rose&nbsp;0.71.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6ac50d4db7a6e6be75344d218d521d0b\" tg-width=\"558\" tg-height=\"187\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克100指数期货上涨近1%，道琼斯指数期货上涨0.43%，标准普尔500指数期货上涨0.71。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170836911","content_text":"Nasdaq 100 futures rose nearly 1%, Dow Jones futures rose 0.43%, S&P 500 futures rose 0.71.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"YMmain":0.9,"NQmain":0.9,"ESmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":732,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":873105686,"gmtCreate":1636871049690,"gmtModify":1636871049789,"author":{"id":"3586770271918953","authorId":"3586770271918953","name":"7acb343","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586770271918953","authorIdStr":"3586770271918953"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/873105686","repostId":"1103944030","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":542,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":871801760,"gmtCreate":1637045557121,"gmtModify":1637045557237,"author":{"id":"3586770271918953","authorId":"3586770271918953","name":"7acb343","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586770271918953","authorIdStr":"3586770271918953"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/871801760","repostId":"2183607933","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":794,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":879668027,"gmtCreate":1636718559096,"gmtModify":1636718559227,"author":{"id":"3586770271918953","authorId":"3586770271918953","name":"7acb343","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586770271918953","authorIdStr":"3586770271918953"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/879668027","repostId":"1130513108","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":439,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":851810736,"gmtCreate":1634890977542,"gmtModify":1634890977646,"author":{"id":"3586770271918953","authorId":"3586770271918953","name":"7acb343","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586770271918953","authorIdStr":"3586770271918953"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/851810736","repostId":"1145809326","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":683,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":890014481,"gmtCreate":1628066440543,"gmtModify":1633753909318,"author":{"id":"3586770271918953","authorId":"3586770271918953","name":"7acb343","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586770271918953","authorIdStr":"3586770271918953"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/890014481","repostId":"1113741712","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1113741712","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628065968,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1113741712?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-04 16:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Cramer's Mad Money Recap: Walmart, Amazon, Apple<blockquote>克莱默的疯狂金钱回顾：沃尔玛、亚马逊、苹果</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1113741712","media":"The Street","summary":"As COVID re-emerges, Jim Cramer says it's time to look at companies that flourish in an economy that","content":"<p>  As COVID re-emerges, Jim Cramer says it's time to look at companies that flourish in an economy that might get worse before it gets better.  As the COVID Delta variant continues to keep America on the run, Jim Cramer told his Mad Money viewers Tuesday it's time to dust off the Spring 2020 playbook and start investing in the pseudo-lockdown stocks. What's a pseudo-lockdown stock? It's the type of company that flourishes in a \"worse before it gets better\" economy.</p><p><blockquote>吉姆·克莱默表示，随着新冠疫情的重新出现，是时候看看那些在经济好转之前可能会变得更糟的经济中蓬勃发展的公司了。随着新冠疫情德尔塔变异毒株继续让美国陷入困境，吉姆·克莱默(Jim Cramer)周二告诉《Mad Money》观众，是时候掸掉2020年春季剧本的灰尘，开始投资伪封锁股票了。什么是伪锁定股票？这种公司在“先变好后变坏”的经济中蓬勃发展。</blockquote></p><p> In retail, that means investing in WATCH, Cramer's acronym for Walmart&nbsp;(<b>WMT</b>), Amazon&nbsp;(<b>AMZN</b>), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TGT\">Target</a>&nbsp;(<b>TGT</b>), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COST\">Costco</a>&nbsp;(<b>COST</b>)&nbsp;and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HD\">Home Depot</a>&nbsp;(<b>HD</b>). All of these retailers have navigated the pandemic with flying colors and are the ones consumers trust most.</p><p><blockquote>在零售业，这意味着投资WATCH，克莱默对沃尔玛的首字母缩写（<b>WMT</b>)、亚马逊(<b>AMZN</b>),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TGT\">目标</a> (<b>TGT</b>),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COST\">Costco</a> (<b>成本</b>）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HD\">家得宝</a> (<b>HD</b>).所有这些零售商都在疫情表现出色，是消费者最信任的零售商。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> should also be looking at UPS(<b>UPS</b>)&nbsp;and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FDX\">FedEx</a>(<b>FDX</b>), with the latter being Cramer's favorite of the pair.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">投资者</a>还应该看看UPS（<b>UPS</b>）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FDX\">联邦快递</a>(<b>FDX</b>），后者是克莱默最喜欢的一对。</blockquote></p><p> When it comes to clothing and apparel, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LULU\">Lululemon Athletica</a>&nbsp;(<b>LULU</b>), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RL\">Ralph Lauren</a>&nbsp;(<b>RL</b>)&nbsp;and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NKE\">Nike</a>&nbsp;(<b>NKE</b>)&nbsp;were among Cramer's favorites. Shares of Ralph Lauren rose 6.1% by the close Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>说到服装服饰，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LULU\">露露柠檬运动</a> (<b>露露</b>),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RL\">拉尔夫·劳伦</a> (<b>RL</b>）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NKE\">耐克</a> (<b>NKE</b>）是克莱默的最爱之一。截至周二收盘，Ralph Lauren股价上涨6.1%。</blockquote></p><p> Other standouts included Domino's Pizza&nbsp;(<b>DPZ</b>), which just reported another blowout quarter, along with <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>&nbsp;(<b>AAPL</b>), an Action Alerts PLUS holding, and the newly-minted Robinhood&nbsp;(<b>HOOD</b>), which saw a bounce after its weaker-than-expected IPO.</p><p><blockquote>其他杰出的包括达美乐披萨（<b>DPZ</b>），该公司刚刚报告了另一个井喷季度，以及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a> (<b>AAPL</b>）、Action Alerts PLUS holding和新成立的Robinhood（<b>发动机罩</b>），该公司在IPO弱于预期后出现反弹。</blockquote></p><p> Cramer and the AAP team are looking at everything from earnings and politics to the Federal Reserve.Find out what they're telling their investment club members and get in on the conversation with a free trial subscription to Action Alerts Plus.</p><p><blockquote>克莱默和AAP团队正在研究从收益、政治到美联储的一切问题。了解他们对投资俱乐部成员说了什么，并通过免费试用订阅Action Alerts Plus加入对话。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Executive Decision: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLX\">Clorox</a></b></p><p><blockquote><b>执行决定：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLX\">Clorox</a></b></blockquote></p><p> In the \"Executive Decision\" segment, Cramer welcomed back Linda Rendle, CEO of Clorox Co.&nbsp;(<b>CLX</b>) , the consumer products maker which plunged 9.4% after the company reported a massive top- and bottom-line miss amid rising costs and wavering demand as our economy struggles to contain the Delta variant.</p><p><blockquote>在“行政决策”部分，克莱默欢迎高乐氏公司首席执行官琳达·伦德尔(Linda Rendle)回归。<b>CLX</b>），这家消费品制造商股价暴跌9.4%，此前该公司报告称，由于我们的经济难以遏制德尔塔变异毒株，成本上升和需求波动，营收和利润大幅下滑。</blockquote></p><p> Rendle said after record quarters last year, Clorox expected to see sales moderate. Looking at the year however, all four of the company's segments posted double-digit sales growth and even with recent declines are still significantly above pre-pandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote>伦德尔表示，在去年创纪录的季度之后，高乐氏预计销售额将放缓。然而，从今年来看，该公司所有四个部门的销售额都实现了两位数的增长，即使最近有所下降，仍远高于大流行前的水平。</blockquote></p><p> Clorox is emerging from the pandemic stronger than when it went in, Rendle added. The company has invested heavily into digital channels and has learned a lot about the new behaviors and desires of consumers. Clorox also remains committed to its dividend and to shareholders, Rendle added, even during these volatile times.</p><p><blockquote>伦德尔补充说，高乐氏(Clorox)从疫情中脱颖而出，比进入时更加强大。该公司在数字渠道上投入了大量资金，并对消费者的新行为和新欲望有了很多了解。伦德尔补充说，即使在这些动荡时期，高乐氏也仍然致力于股息和股东。</blockquote></p><p> Cramer said the next quarter will be a pivotal <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> for Clorox, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> where we will learn what post-pandemic sales will truly look like.</p><p><blockquote>克莱默表示，下个季度将是关键<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>对于高乐氏来说，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>在那里我们将了解大流行后的销售会是什么样子。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The IPO Issue</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO发行</b></blockquote></p><p> There are a lot of things to worry about in the market, but what worries Cramer most isn't the Delta variant, or <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a>, or the looming debt ceiling crisis. What worries him most are IPOs.</p><p><blockquote>市场上有很多事情需要担心，但克莱默最担心的不是德尔塔变异毒株，或者<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">中国</a>，或者迫在眉睫的债务上限危机。最让他担心的是IPO。</blockquote></p><p> When new shares hit the stock market, it puts pressure on everything. So far this year we've seen 304 IPOs totaling $105 billion. That puts 2021 on par for a record year... with five months still to go. And these IPO numbers don't even take into account over 300 deals that came public via SPAC.</p><p><blockquote>当新股冲击股市时，它给一切带来压力。今年到目前为止，我们已经看到304起IPO，总额达1050亿美元。这使得2021年成为创纪录的一年...还有五个月。这些IPO数字甚至没有考虑到通过SPAC上市的300多笔交易。</blockquote></p><p> IPO fatigue is rapidly approaching, Cramer warned, with some deals already being canceled or delayed. The high point was Didi Global&nbsp;(<b>DIDI</b>) , which found itself banned from Chinese app stores just a day after the company went public here in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>克莱默警告说，IPO疲劳正在迅速逼近，一些交易已经被取消或推迟。高点是滴滴全球（<b>迪迪</b>），该公司在美国上市仅一天后就发现自己被中国应用商店禁止。</blockquote></p><p> IPOs have always been tilted in favor of investors, Cramer explained, and are designed to always see a first-day surge. But lately, your first day of trading is a coin toss, Cramer said, and the days that follow are anyone's guess. Even the much-hyped Robinhood&nbsp;(<b>HOOD</b>)&nbsp;couldn't break free of the downward IPO spiral.</p><p><blockquote>克莱默解释说，首次公开募股总是向投资者倾斜，并且旨在总是看到首日飙升。但最近，你的第一天交易就像抛硬币一样，克莱默说，接下来的几天谁也说不准。即使是大肆宣传的罗宾汉（<b>发动机罩</b>）无法摆脱IPO螺旋式下降。</blockquote></p><p> Fortunately, the deal flow appears to be finally slowing down a bit, Cramer concluded, and not a moment too soon.</p><p><blockquote>克莱默总结道，幸运的是，交易流程似乎终于放缓了一些，而且还不算太早。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Off the Charts</b></p><p><blockquote><b>爆表</b></blockquote></p><p> In his \"Off The Charts\" segment, Cramer checked in with colleague Tom DeMark for another take on where the markets are likely to head next. According to DeMark, things are not looking good.</p><p><blockquote>在他的“爆表”部分，克莱默与同事汤姆·德马克（Tom DeMark）一起了解了市场下一步可能走向的另一种看法。根据德马克的说法，情况看起来并不乐观。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> DeMark first looked at a daily chart of the S&amp;P 500, noting that this rally is rapidly running out of steam after making 12 new highs. According to DeMark's 13-day sell countdown, if the S&amp;P closes above 4,430 Wednesday, the rally is over.</p><p><blockquote>DeMark首先查看了标普500的日线图，指出在创下12个新高后，这次反弹正在迅速失去动力。根据DeMark的13天卖出倒计时，如果标普周三收于4430点上方，则涨势结束。</blockquote></p><p> The same pattern can be seen in the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> 100 index, which is also on day 12 of the 13-day cycle. If both indices make another high tomorrow, completing the cycle, things could get very ugly.</p><p><blockquote>同样的模式可以在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>100指数，也是13天周期的第12天。如果两个指数明天再创新高，完成周期，情况可能会变得非常糟糕。</blockquote></p><p> Even the Dow Jones Industrial Average isn't immune, with DeMark picking up a widening fan pattern of higher highs and lower lows that is eerily similar to that seen ahead of the crash in 1929.</p><p><blockquote>就连道琼斯工业平均指数也未能幸免，丹麦指数呈现出越来越高的高点和更低的低点的扇形模式，这与1929年崩盘前的情况惊人地相似。</blockquote></p><p> For those who think cryptocurrency might be immune, think again. DeMark also didn't like the chart of Bitcoin, noting that the recent bottom wasn't accompanied by any significant bad news to confirm the move.</p><p><blockquote>对于那些认为加密货币可能免疫的人来说，请三思。德马克也不喜欢比特币的图表，指出最近的底部并没有伴随任何重大坏消息来证实这一走势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Great Companies Shake Things Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>伟大的公司会改变现状</b></blockquote></p><p> In his No-Huddle Offense segment, Cramer said that while good companies are typically risk averse and rarely change, great companies aren't afraid to shake things up. Case in point, today's news that PepsiCo&nbsp;&nbsp;(<b>PEP</b>)&nbsp;is spinning off Tropicana and Naked Beverages for $3.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>克莱默在他的“无拥挤进攻”部分表示，虽然优秀的公司通常规避风险并且很少改变，但伟大的公司并不害怕改变现状。举个例子，今天的新闻百事可乐（<b>PEP</b>）正在以33亿美元分拆Tropicana和Naked Beverages。</blockquote></p><p> Tropicana, while still an iconic brand, is beginning to fall out of favor with younger consumers who prefer drinks with less sugar. Cramer said spinning off these brands are what PepsiCo does, cutting loose slowing brands to double-down on its fastest-growing brands. That's how you grow earnings.</p><p><blockquote>纯果乐虽然仍然是一个标志性品牌，但开始失去喜欢低糖饮料的年轻消费者的青睐。克莱默表示，剥离这些品牌是百事公司所做的，削减放缓的品牌，加倍投资增长最快的品牌。这就是你增加收入的方式。</blockquote></p><p> Other great companies, according to Cramer, include <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MKC\">McCormick</a>&nbsp;(<b>MKC</b>), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HRL\">Hormel</a>&nbsp;(<b>HRL</b>)&nbsp;and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STZ\">Constellation</a> Brands&nbsp;(<b>STZ</b>), all of which are constantly reshuffling their product portfolio, often making difficult decisions to reinvigorate growth.</p><p><blockquote>克莱默表示，其他伟大的公司包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MKC\">麦考密克</a> (<b>MKC</b>),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HRL\">荷美尔</a> (<b>HRL</b>）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STZ\">星座</a>品牌（<b>STZ</b>），所有这些公司都在不断重组其产品组合，经常做出艰难的决定来重振增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lightning Round</b></p><p><blockquote><b>闪电轮</b></blockquote></p><p> Here's what Jim Cramer had to say about some of the stocks that callers offered up during the Mad Money Lightning Round Tuesday evening:</p><p><blockquote>以下是吉姆·克莱默(Jim Cramer)对周二晚上疯狂金钱闪电轮中来电者提供的一些股票的看法：</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MKSI\">MKS Instruments</a>&nbsp;(<b>MKSI</b>): \"I don't understand why this stock is so cheap.\"</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MKSI\">MKS仪器</a> (<b>MKSI</b>）：“我不明白为什么这只股票这么便宜。”</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AUPH\">Aurinia Pharmaceuticals</a>&nbsp;(<b>AUPH</b>): \"They should be doing better. I want to be careful with that stock.\"</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AUPH\">Aurinia制药公司</a> (<b>AUPH</b>）：“他们应该做得更好。我想小心那只股票。”</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SRNE\">Sorrento Therapeutics</a>&nbsp;(<b>SRNE</b>): \"I think this stock is overvalued and I don't like the way they have handled themselves.\"</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SRNE\">索伦托治疗公司</a> (<b>SRNE</b>）：“我认为这只股票被高估了，我不喜欢他们处理自己的方式。”</blockquote></p><p> Palantir Technologies&nbsp;(<b>PLTR</b>): \"This is a cult stock. No one knows what they do but people still like it.\"</p><p><blockquote>Palantir技术公司（<b>PLTR</b>）：“这是一只狂热的股票。没有人知道他们在做什么，但人们仍然喜欢它。”</blockquote></p><p> Gritstone Oncology&nbsp;(<b>GRTS</b>): \"You want to own <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVCR\">NovoCure</a>&nbsp;(<b>NVCR</b>). That's the way to go. Not this one.\"</p><p><blockquote>砂砾石肿瘤学（<b>GRTS</b>）：“你想拥有<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVCR\">NovoCure</a> (<b>NVCR</b>).这才是正道。不是这个。”</blockquote></p><p> SoFi Technologies&nbsp;(<b>SOFI</b>) : \"I think they are doing a terrific job and you should buy the stock.\"</p><p><blockquote>SoFi技术（<b>索菲</b>）：“我认为他们做得很好，你应该购买这只股票。”</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPR\">Spirit AeroSystems</a>&nbsp;(<b>SPR</b>): \"I'd rather own <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BA\">Boeing</a>. That's the one to buy, not the suppliers.\"</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPR\">势必锐航空系统公司</a> (<b>SPR</b>）：“我宁愿拥有<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BA\">波音公司</a>.那是买的人，而不是供应商。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610613172068","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Cramer's Mad Money Recap: Walmart, Amazon, Apple<blockquote>克莱默的疯狂金钱回顾：沃尔玛、亚马逊、苹果</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCramer's Mad Money Recap: Walmart, Amazon, Apple<blockquote>克莱默的疯狂金钱回顾：沃尔玛、亚马逊、苹果</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">The Street</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-04 16:32</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  As COVID re-emerges, Jim Cramer says it's time to look at companies that flourish in an economy that might get worse before it gets better.  As the COVID Delta variant continues to keep America on the run, Jim Cramer told his Mad Money viewers Tuesday it's time to dust off the Spring 2020 playbook and start investing in the pseudo-lockdown stocks. What's a pseudo-lockdown stock? It's the type of company that flourishes in a \"worse before it gets better\" economy.</p><p><blockquote>吉姆·克莱默表示，随着新冠疫情的重新出现，是时候看看那些在经济好转之前可能会变得更糟的经济中蓬勃发展的公司了。随着新冠疫情德尔塔变异毒株继续让美国陷入困境，吉姆·克莱默(Jim Cramer)周二告诉《Mad Money》观众，是时候掸掉2020年春季剧本的灰尘，开始投资伪封锁股票了。什么是伪锁定股票？这种公司在“先变好后变坏”的经济中蓬勃发展。</blockquote></p><p> In retail, that means investing in WATCH, Cramer's acronym for Walmart&nbsp;(<b>WMT</b>), Amazon&nbsp;(<b>AMZN</b>), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TGT\">Target</a>&nbsp;(<b>TGT</b>), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COST\">Costco</a>&nbsp;(<b>COST</b>)&nbsp;and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HD\">Home Depot</a>&nbsp;(<b>HD</b>). All of these retailers have navigated the pandemic with flying colors and are the ones consumers trust most.</p><p><blockquote>在零售业，这意味着投资WATCH，克莱默对沃尔玛的首字母缩写（<b>WMT</b>)、亚马逊(<b>AMZN</b>),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TGT\">目标</a> (<b>TGT</b>),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COST\">Costco</a> (<b>成本</b>）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HD\">家得宝</a> (<b>HD</b>).所有这些零售商都在疫情表现出色，是消费者最信任的零售商。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> should also be looking at UPS(<b>UPS</b>)&nbsp;and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FDX\">FedEx</a>(<b>FDX</b>), with the latter being Cramer's favorite of the pair.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">投资者</a>还应该看看UPS（<b>UPS</b>）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FDX\">联邦快递</a>(<b>FDX</b>），后者是克莱默最喜欢的一对。</blockquote></p><p> When it comes to clothing and apparel, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LULU\">Lululemon Athletica</a>&nbsp;(<b>LULU</b>), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RL\">Ralph Lauren</a>&nbsp;(<b>RL</b>)&nbsp;and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NKE\">Nike</a>&nbsp;(<b>NKE</b>)&nbsp;were among Cramer's favorites. Shares of Ralph Lauren rose 6.1% by the close Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>说到服装服饰，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LULU\">露露柠檬运动</a> (<b>露露</b>),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/RL\">拉尔夫·劳伦</a> (<b>RL</b>）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NKE\">耐克</a> (<b>NKE</b>）是克莱默的最爱之一。截至周二收盘，Ralph Lauren股价上涨6.1%。</blockquote></p><p> Other standouts included Domino's Pizza&nbsp;(<b>DPZ</b>), which just reported another blowout quarter, along with <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a>&nbsp;(<b>AAPL</b>), an Action Alerts PLUS holding, and the newly-minted Robinhood&nbsp;(<b>HOOD</b>), which saw a bounce after its weaker-than-expected IPO.</p><p><blockquote>其他杰出的包括达美乐披萨（<b>DPZ</b>），该公司刚刚报告了另一个井喷季度，以及<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a> (<b>AAPL</b>）、Action Alerts PLUS holding和新成立的Robinhood（<b>发动机罩</b>），该公司在IPO弱于预期后出现反弹。</blockquote></p><p> Cramer and the AAP team are looking at everything from earnings and politics to the Federal Reserve.Find out what they're telling their investment club members and get in on the conversation with a free trial subscription to Action Alerts Plus.</p><p><blockquote>克莱默和AAP团队正在研究从收益、政治到美联储的一切问题。了解他们对投资俱乐部成员说了什么，并通过免费试用订阅Action Alerts Plus加入对话。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Executive Decision: <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLX\">Clorox</a></b></p><p><blockquote><b>执行决定：<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CLX\">Clorox</a></b></blockquote></p><p> In the \"Executive Decision\" segment, Cramer welcomed back Linda Rendle, CEO of Clorox Co.&nbsp;(<b>CLX</b>) , the consumer products maker which plunged 9.4% after the company reported a massive top- and bottom-line miss amid rising costs and wavering demand as our economy struggles to contain the Delta variant.</p><p><blockquote>在“行政决策”部分，克莱默欢迎高乐氏公司首席执行官琳达·伦德尔(Linda Rendle)回归。<b>CLX</b>），这家消费品制造商股价暴跌9.4%，此前该公司报告称，由于我们的经济难以遏制德尔塔变异毒株，成本上升和需求波动，营收和利润大幅下滑。</blockquote></p><p> Rendle said after record quarters last year, Clorox expected to see sales moderate. Looking at the year however, all four of the company's segments posted double-digit sales growth and even with recent declines are still significantly above pre-pandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote>伦德尔表示，在去年创纪录的季度之后，高乐氏预计销售额将放缓。然而，从今年来看，该公司所有四个部门的销售额都实现了两位数的增长，即使最近有所下降，仍远高于大流行前的水平。</blockquote></p><p> Clorox is emerging from the pandemic stronger than when it went in, Rendle added. The company has invested heavily into digital channels and has learned a lot about the new behaviors and desires of consumers. Clorox also remains committed to its dividend and to shareholders, Rendle added, even during these volatile times.</p><p><blockquote>伦德尔补充说，高乐氏(Clorox)从疫情中脱颖而出，比进入时更加强大。该公司在数字渠道上投入了大量资金，并对消费者的新行为和新欲望有了很多了解。伦德尔补充说，即使在这些动荡时期，高乐氏也仍然致力于股息和股东。</blockquote></p><p> Cramer said the next quarter will be a pivotal <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> for Clorox, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> where we will learn what post-pandemic sales will truly look like.</p><p><blockquote>克莱默表示，下个季度将是关键<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>对于高乐氏来说，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>在那里我们将了解大流行后的销售会是什么样子。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The IPO Issue</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO发行</b></blockquote></p><p> There are a lot of things to worry about in the market, but what worries Cramer most isn't the Delta variant, or <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">China</a>, or the looming debt ceiling crisis. What worries him most are IPOs.</p><p><blockquote>市场上有很多事情需要担心，但克莱默最担心的不是德尔塔变异毒株，或者<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CAAS\">中国</a>，或者迫在眉睫的债务上限危机。最让他担心的是IPO。</blockquote></p><p> When new shares hit the stock market, it puts pressure on everything. So far this year we've seen 304 IPOs totaling $105 billion. That puts 2021 on par for a record year... with five months still to go. And these IPO numbers don't even take into account over 300 deals that came public via SPAC.</p><p><blockquote>当新股冲击股市时，它给一切带来压力。今年到目前为止，我们已经看到304起IPO，总额达1050亿美元。这使得2021年成为创纪录的一年...还有五个月。这些IPO数字甚至没有考虑到通过SPAC上市的300多笔交易。</blockquote></p><p> IPO fatigue is rapidly approaching, Cramer warned, with some deals already being canceled or delayed. The high point was Didi Global&nbsp;(<b>DIDI</b>) , which found itself banned from Chinese app stores just a day after the company went public here in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>克莱默警告说，IPO疲劳正在迅速逼近，一些交易已经被取消或推迟。高点是滴滴全球（<b>迪迪</b>），该公司在美国上市仅一天后就发现自己被中国应用商店禁止。</blockquote></p><p> IPOs have always been tilted in favor of investors, Cramer explained, and are designed to always see a first-day surge. But lately, your first day of trading is a coin toss, Cramer said, and the days that follow are anyone's guess. Even the much-hyped Robinhood&nbsp;(<b>HOOD</b>)&nbsp;couldn't break free of the downward IPO spiral.</p><p><blockquote>克莱默解释说，首次公开募股总是向投资者倾斜，并且旨在总是看到首日飙升。但最近，你的第一天交易就像抛硬币一样，克莱默说，接下来的几天谁也说不准。即使是大肆宣传的罗宾汉（<b>发动机罩</b>）无法摆脱IPO螺旋式下降。</blockquote></p><p> Fortunately, the deal flow appears to be finally slowing down a bit, Cramer concluded, and not a moment too soon.</p><p><blockquote>克莱默总结道，幸运的是，交易流程似乎终于放缓了一些，而且还不算太早。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Off the Charts</b></p><p><blockquote><b>爆表</b></blockquote></p><p> In his \"Off The Charts\" segment, Cramer checked in with colleague Tom DeMark for another take on where the markets are likely to head next. According to DeMark, things are not looking good.</p><p><blockquote>在他的“爆表”部分，克莱默与同事汤姆·德马克（Tom DeMark）一起了解了市场下一步可能走向的另一种看法。根据德马克的说法，情况看起来并不乐观。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> DeMark first looked at a daily chart of the S&amp;P 500, noting that this rally is rapidly running out of steam after making 12 new highs. According to DeMark's 13-day sell countdown, if the S&amp;P closes above 4,430 Wednesday, the rally is over.</p><p><blockquote>DeMark首先查看了标普500的日线图，指出在创下12个新高后，这次反弹正在迅速失去动力。根据DeMark的13天卖出倒计时，如果标普周三收于4430点上方，则涨势结束。</blockquote></p><p> The same pattern can be seen in the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> 100 index, which is also on day 12 of the 13-day cycle. If both indices make another high tomorrow, completing the cycle, things could get very ugly.</p><p><blockquote>同样的模式可以在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>100指数，也是13天周期的第12天。如果两个指数明天再创新高，完成周期，情况可能会变得非常糟糕。</blockquote></p><p> Even the Dow Jones Industrial Average isn't immune, with DeMark picking up a widening fan pattern of higher highs and lower lows that is eerily similar to that seen ahead of the crash in 1929.</p><p><blockquote>就连道琼斯工业平均指数也未能幸免，丹麦指数呈现出越来越高的高点和更低的低点的扇形模式，这与1929年崩盘前的情况惊人地相似。</blockquote></p><p> For those who think cryptocurrency might be immune, think again. DeMark also didn't like the chart of Bitcoin, noting that the recent bottom wasn't accompanied by any significant bad news to confirm the move.</p><p><blockquote>对于那些认为加密货币可能免疫的人来说，请三思。德马克也不喜欢比特币的图表，指出最近的底部并没有伴随任何重大坏消息来证实这一走势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Great Companies Shake Things Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>伟大的公司会改变现状</b></blockquote></p><p> In his No-Huddle Offense segment, Cramer said that while good companies are typically risk averse and rarely change, great companies aren't afraid to shake things up. Case in point, today's news that PepsiCo&nbsp;&nbsp;(<b>PEP</b>)&nbsp;is spinning off Tropicana and Naked Beverages for $3.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>克莱默在他的“无拥挤进攻”部分表示，虽然优秀的公司通常规避风险并且很少改变，但伟大的公司并不害怕改变现状。举个例子，今天的新闻百事可乐（<b>PEP</b>）正在以33亿美元分拆Tropicana和Naked Beverages。</blockquote></p><p> Tropicana, while still an iconic brand, is beginning to fall out of favor with younger consumers who prefer drinks with less sugar. Cramer said spinning off these brands are what PepsiCo does, cutting loose slowing brands to double-down on its fastest-growing brands. That's how you grow earnings.</p><p><blockquote>纯果乐虽然仍然是一个标志性品牌，但开始失去喜欢低糖饮料的年轻消费者的青睐。克莱默表示，剥离这些品牌是百事公司所做的，削减放缓的品牌，加倍投资增长最快的品牌。这就是你增加收入的方式。</blockquote></p><p> Other great companies, according to Cramer, include <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MKC\">McCormick</a>&nbsp;(<b>MKC</b>), <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HRL\">Hormel</a>&nbsp;(<b>HRL</b>)&nbsp;and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STZ\">Constellation</a> Brands&nbsp;(<b>STZ</b>), all of which are constantly reshuffling their product portfolio, often making difficult decisions to reinvigorate growth.</p><p><blockquote>克莱默表示，其他伟大的公司包括<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MKC\">麦考密克</a> (<b>MKC</b>),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HRL\">荷美尔</a> (<b>HRL</b>）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STZ\">星座</a>品牌（<b>STZ</b>），所有这些公司都在不断重组其产品组合，经常做出艰难的决定来重振增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Lightning Round</b></p><p><blockquote><b>闪电轮</b></blockquote></p><p> Here's what Jim Cramer had to say about some of the stocks that callers offered up during the Mad Money Lightning Round Tuesday evening:</p><p><blockquote>以下是吉姆·克莱默(Jim Cramer)对周二晚上疯狂金钱闪电轮中来电者提供的一些股票的看法：</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MKSI\">MKS Instruments</a>&nbsp;(<b>MKSI</b>): \"I don't understand why this stock is so cheap.\"</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MKSI\">MKS仪器</a> (<b>MKSI</b>）：“我不明白为什么这只股票这么便宜。”</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AUPH\">Aurinia Pharmaceuticals</a>&nbsp;(<b>AUPH</b>): \"They should be doing better. I want to be careful with that stock.\"</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AUPH\">Aurinia制药公司</a> (<b>AUPH</b>）：“他们应该做得更好。我想小心那只股票。”</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SRNE\">Sorrento Therapeutics</a>&nbsp;(<b>SRNE</b>): \"I think this stock is overvalued and I don't like the way they have handled themselves.\"</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SRNE\">索伦托治疗公司</a> (<b>SRNE</b>）：“我认为这只股票被高估了，我不喜欢他们处理自己的方式。”</blockquote></p><p> Palantir Technologies&nbsp;(<b>PLTR</b>): \"This is a cult stock. No one knows what they do but people still like it.\"</p><p><blockquote>Palantir技术公司（<b>PLTR</b>）：“这是一只狂热的股票。没有人知道他们在做什么，但人们仍然喜欢它。”</blockquote></p><p> Gritstone Oncology&nbsp;(<b>GRTS</b>): \"You want to own <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVCR\">NovoCure</a>&nbsp;(<b>NVCR</b>). That's the way to go. Not this one.\"</p><p><blockquote>砂砾石肿瘤学（<b>GRTS</b>）：“你想拥有<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVCR\">NovoCure</a> (<b>NVCR</b>).这才是正道。不是这个。”</blockquote></p><p> SoFi Technologies&nbsp;(<b>SOFI</b>) : \"I think they are doing a terrific job and you should buy the stock.\"</p><p><blockquote>SoFi技术（<b>索菲</b>）：“我认为他们做得很好，你应该购买这只股票。”</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPR\">Spirit AeroSystems</a>&nbsp;(<b>SPR</b>): \"I'd rather own <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BA\">Boeing</a>. That's the one to buy, not the suppliers.\"</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPR\">势必锐航空系统公司</a> (<b>SPR</b>）：“我宁愿拥有<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BA\">波音公司</a>.那是买的人，而不是供应商。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/jim-cramer/cramers-mad-money-recap-august-3-2021\">The Street</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"03086":"华夏纳指","09086":"华夏纳指-U","AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/jim-cramer/cramers-mad-money-recap-august-3-2021","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1113741712","content_text":"As COVID re-emerges, Jim Cramer says it's time to look at companies that flourish in an economy that might get worse before it gets better.\n\nAs the COVID Delta variant continues to keep America on the run, Jim Cramer told his Mad Money viewers Tuesday it's time to dust off the Spring 2020 playbook and start investing in the pseudo-lockdown stocks. What's a pseudo-lockdown stock? It's the type of company that flourishes in a \"worse before it gets better\" economy.\nIn retail, that means investing in WATCH, Cramer's acronym for Walmart (WMT), Amazon (AMZN), Target (TGT), Costco (COST) and Home Depot (HD). All of these retailers have navigated the pandemic with flying colors and are the ones consumers trust most.\nInvestors should also be looking at UPS(UPS) and FedEx(FDX), with the latter being Cramer's favorite of the pair.\nWhen it comes to clothing and apparel, Lululemon Athletica (LULU), Ralph Lauren (RL) and Nike (NKE) were among Cramer's favorites. Shares of Ralph Lauren rose 6.1% by the close Tuesday.\nOther standouts included Domino's Pizza (DPZ), which just reported another blowout quarter, along with Apple (AAPL), an Action Alerts PLUS holding, and the newly-minted Robinhood (HOOD), which saw a bounce after its weaker-than-expected IPO.\nCramer and the AAP team are looking at everything from earnings and politics to the Federal Reserve.Find out what they're telling their investment club members and get in on the conversation with a free trial subscription to Action Alerts Plus.\nExecutive Decision: Clorox\nIn the \"Executive Decision\" segment, Cramer welcomed back Linda Rendle, CEO of Clorox Co. (CLX) , the consumer products maker which plunged 9.4% after the company reported a massive top- and bottom-line miss amid rising costs and wavering demand as our economy struggles to contain the Delta variant.\nRendle said after record quarters last year, Clorox expected to see sales moderate. Looking at the year however, all four of the company's segments posted double-digit sales growth and even with recent declines are still significantly above pre-pandemic levels.\nClorox is emerging from the pandemic stronger than when it went in, Rendle added. The company has invested heavily into digital channels and has learned a lot about the new behaviors and desires of consumers. Clorox also remains committed to its dividend and to shareholders, Rendle added, even during these volatile times.\nCramer said the next quarter will be a pivotal one for Clorox, one where we will learn what post-pandemic sales will truly look like.\nThe IPO Issue\nThere are a lot of things to worry about in the market, but what worries Cramer most isn't the Delta variant, or China, or the looming debt ceiling crisis. What worries him most are IPOs.\nWhen new shares hit the stock market, it puts pressure on everything. So far this year we've seen 304 IPOs totaling $105 billion. That puts 2021 on par for a record year... with five months still to go. And these IPO numbers don't even take into account over 300 deals that came public via SPAC.\nIPO fatigue is rapidly approaching, Cramer warned, with some deals already being canceled or delayed. The high point was Didi Global (DIDI) , which found itself banned from Chinese app stores just a day after the company went public here in the U.S.\nIPOs have always been tilted in favor of investors, Cramer explained, and are designed to always see a first-day surge. But lately, your first day of trading is a coin toss, Cramer said, and the days that follow are anyone's guess. Even the much-hyped Robinhood (HOOD) couldn't break free of the downward IPO spiral.\nFortunately, the deal flow appears to be finally slowing down a bit, Cramer concluded, and not a moment too soon.\nOff the Charts\nIn his \"Off The Charts\" segment, Cramer checked in with colleague Tom DeMark for another take on where the markets are likely to head next. According to DeMark, things are not looking good.\nDeMark first looked at a daily chart of the S&P 500, noting that this rally is rapidly running out of steam after making 12 new highs. According to DeMark's 13-day sell countdown, if the S&P closes above 4,430 Wednesday, the rally is over.\nThe same pattern can be seen in the Nasdaq 100 index, which is also on day 12 of the 13-day cycle. If both indices make another high tomorrow, completing the cycle, things could get very ugly.\nEven the Dow Jones Industrial Average isn't immune, with DeMark picking up a widening fan pattern of higher highs and lower lows that is eerily similar to that seen ahead of the crash in 1929.\nFor those who think cryptocurrency might be immune, think again. DeMark also didn't like the chart of Bitcoin, noting that the recent bottom wasn't accompanied by any significant bad news to confirm the move.\nGreat Companies Shake Things Up\nIn his No-Huddle Offense segment, Cramer said that while good companies are typically risk averse and rarely change, great companies aren't afraid to shake things up. Case in point, today's news that PepsiCo  (PEP) is spinning off Tropicana and Naked Beverages for $3.3 billion.\nTropicana, while still an iconic brand, is beginning to fall out of favor with younger consumers who prefer drinks with less sugar. Cramer said spinning off these brands are what PepsiCo does, cutting loose slowing brands to double-down on its fastest-growing brands. That's how you grow earnings.\nOther great companies, according to Cramer, include McCormick (MKC), Hormel (HRL) and Constellation Brands (STZ), all of which are constantly reshuffling their product portfolio, often making difficult decisions to reinvigorate growth.\nLightning Round\nHere's what Jim Cramer had to say about some of the stocks that callers offered up during the Mad Money Lightning Round Tuesday evening:\nMKS Instruments (MKSI): \"I don't understand why this stock is so cheap.\"\nAurinia Pharmaceuticals (AUPH): \"They should be doing better. I want to be careful with that stock.\"\nSorrento Therapeutics (SRNE): \"I think this stock is overvalued and I don't like the way they have handled themselves.\"\nPalantir Technologies (PLTR): \"This is a cult stock. No one knows what they do but people still like it.\"\nGritstone Oncology (GRTS): \"You want to own NovoCure (NVCR). That's the way to go. Not this one.\"\nSoFi Technologies (SOFI) : \"I think they are doing a terrific job and you should buy the stock.\"\nSpirit AeroSystems (SPR): \"I'd rather own Boeing. That's the one to buy, not the suppliers.\"","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"09086":0.9,"03086":0.9,"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":508,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":155733609,"gmtCreate":1625452471401,"gmtModify":1633940550395,"author":{"id":"3586770271918953","authorId":"3586770271918953","name":"7acb343","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586770271918953","authorIdStr":"3586770271918953"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/155733609","repostId":"1169840279","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":746,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":875288339,"gmtCreate":1637657998433,"gmtModify":1637657998568,"author":{"id":"3586770271918953","authorId":"3586770271918953","name":"7acb343","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586770271918953","authorIdStr":"3586770271918953"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/875288339","repostId":"1181530457","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1181530457","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1637657141,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1181530457?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-23 16:45","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"Kuaishou's total revenue increased by 33.4% to RMB20.5 billion from RMB15.4 billion for the same period of 2020<blockquote>快手总收入由2020年同期的人民币154亿元增长33.4%至人民币205亿元</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1181530457","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Kuaishou Technology (HK:1024), a leading content community and social platform, today announced its ","content":"<p>Kuaishou Technology (HK:1024), a leading content community and social platform, today announced its unaudited consolidated results for the three months and nine months (\"Third Quarter\") endedSeptember 30, 2021.</p><p><blockquote>领先的内容社区和社交平台快手科技（HK：1024）今天公布了截至2021年9月30日的三个月和九个月（“第三季度”）未经审计的综合业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Third Quarter 2021 Key Financial and Operating Highlights</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2021年第三季度主要财务和运营亮点</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>•Average DAUs on Kuaishou APP</b>were 320.4 million, representing an increase of 17.9% from 271.7 million for the same period of 2020.</p><p><blockquote><b>•快手应用的平均DAU</b>为3.204亿，较2020年同期的2.717亿增长17.9%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>•Average MAUs on Kuaishou APP</b>were 572.9 million, representing an increase of 19.5% from 479.4 million for the same period of 2020.</p><p><blockquote><b>•快手应用的平均月活跃用户</b>为5.729亿，较2020年同期的4.794亿增长19.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>•Average daily time spent per DAU(1)</b>was 119.1 minutes, representing an increase of 35.0% from 88.2 minutes for the same period of 2020.</p><p><blockquote><b>•每个DAU的平均每日花费时间(1)</b>为119.1分钟，较2020年同期的88.2分钟增加35.0%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>•Average online marketing services revenue per DAU</b>&nbsp;was&nbsp;RMB34.0, representing an increase of 49.8% fromRMB22.7for the same period of 2020.</p><p><blockquote><b>•每个DAU的平均在线营销服务收入</b>为人民币34.0元，较2020年同期的人民币22.7元增长49.8%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>•Total GMV of e-commerce transactions facilitated on our platform</b>&nbsp;was&nbsp;RMB175.8 billion, representing an increase of 86.1% fromRMB94.5 billion&nbsp;for the same period of 2020.</p><p><blockquote><b>•我们平台促成的电子商务交易的总GMV</b>为人民币1,758亿元，较2020年同期的人民币945亿元增长86.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>•Total revenue</b>&nbsp;increased by 33.4% to&nbsp;RMB20.5 billion&nbsp;from&nbsp;RMB15.4 billion&nbsp;for the same period of 2020. Amongst total revenues, online marketing services increased by 76.5% toRMB10.9 billionfromRMB6.2 billion&nbsp;for the same period of 2020. As a percentage of the total revenue, online marketing services contributed 53.2%, while live streaming contributed 37.7%. The remaining 9.1% came from other services.</p><p><blockquote><b>•总收入</b>由2020年同期的人民币154亿元增加33.4%至人民币205亿元。在总收入中，在线营销服务由2020年同期的人民币62亿元增长76.5%至人民币109亿元。占总收入的百分比，在线营销服务贡献了53.2%，而直播则贡献了37.7%。剩下的9.1%来自其他服务。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Kuaishou's total revenue increased by 33.4% to RMB20.5 billion from RMB15.4 billion for the same period of 2020<blockquote>快手总收入由2020年同期的人民币154亿元增长33.4%至人民币205亿元</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nKuaishou's total revenue increased by 33.4% to RMB20.5 billion from RMB15.4 billion for the same period of 2020<blockquote>快手总收入由2020年同期的人民币154亿元增长33.4%至人民币205亿元</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-11-23 16:45</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Kuaishou Technology (HK:1024), a leading content community and social platform, today announced its unaudited consolidated results for the three months and nine months (\"Third Quarter\") endedSeptember 30, 2021.</p><p><blockquote>领先的内容社区和社交平台快手科技（HK：1024）今天公布了截至2021年9月30日的三个月和九个月（“第三季度”）未经审计的综合业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Third Quarter 2021 Key Financial and Operating Highlights</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2021年第三季度主要财务和运营亮点</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>•Average DAUs on Kuaishou APP</b>were 320.4 million, representing an increase of 17.9% from 271.7 million for the same period of 2020.</p><p><blockquote><b>•快手应用的平均DAU</b>为3.204亿，较2020年同期的2.717亿增长17.9%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>•Average MAUs on Kuaishou APP</b>were 572.9 million, representing an increase of 19.5% from 479.4 million for the same period of 2020.</p><p><blockquote><b>•快手应用的平均月活跃用户</b>为5.729亿，较2020年同期的4.794亿增长19.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>•Average daily time spent per DAU(1)</b>was 119.1 minutes, representing an increase of 35.0% from 88.2 minutes for the same period of 2020.</p><p><blockquote><b>•每个DAU的平均每日花费时间(1)</b>为119.1分钟，较2020年同期的88.2分钟增加35.0%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>•Average online marketing services revenue per DAU</b>&nbsp;was&nbsp;RMB34.0, representing an increase of 49.8% fromRMB22.7for the same period of 2020.</p><p><blockquote><b>•每个DAU的平均在线营销服务收入</b>为人民币34.0元，较2020年同期的人民币22.7元增长49.8%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>•Total GMV of e-commerce transactions facilitated on our platform</b>&nbsp;was&nbsp;RMB175.8 billion, representing an increase of 86.1% fromRMB94.5 billion&nbsp;for the same period of 2020.</p><p><blockquote><b>•我们平台促成的电子商务交易的总GMV</b>为人民币1,758亿元，较2020年同期的人民币945亿元增长86.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>•Total revenue</b>&nbsp;increased by 33.4% to&nbsp;RMB20.5 billion&nbsp;from&nbsp;RMB15.4 billion&nbsp;for the same period of 2020. Amongst total revenues, online marketing services increased by 76.5% toRMB10.9 billionfromRMB6.2 billion&nbsp;for the same period of 2020. As a percentage of the total revenue, online marketing services contributed 53.2%, while live streaming contributed 37.7%. The remaining 9.1% came from other services.</p><p><blockquote><b>•总收入</b>由2020年同期的人民币154亿元增加33.4%至人民币205亿元。在总收入中，在线营销服务由2020年同期的人民币62亿元增长76.5%至人民币109亿元。占总收入的百分比，在线营销服务贡献了53.2%，而直播则贡献了37.7%。剩下的9.1%来自其他服务。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"01024":"快手-W"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1181530457","content_text":"Kuaishou Technology (HK:1024), a leading content community and social platform, today announced its unaudited consolidated results for the three months and nine months (\"Third Quarter\") endedSeptember 30, 2021.\nThird Quarter 2021 Key Financial and Operating Highlights\n•Average DAUs on Kuaishou APPwere 320.4 million, representing an increase of 17.9% from 271.7 million for the same period of 2020.\n•Average MAUs on Kuaishou APPwere 572.9 million, representing an increase of 19.5% from 479.4 million for the same period of 2020.\n•Average daily time spent per DAU(1)was 119.1 minutes, representing an increase of 35.0% from 88.2 minutes for the same period of 2020.\n•Average online marketing services revenue per DAU was RMB34.0, representing an increase of 49.8% fromRMB22.7for the same period of 2020.\n•Total GMV of e-commerce transactions facilitated on our platform was RMB175.8 billion, representing an increase of 86.1% fromRMB94.5 billion for the same period of 2020.\n•Total revenue increased by 33.4% to RMB20.5 billion from RMB15.4 billion for the same period of 2020. Amongst total revenues, online marketing services increased by 76.5% toRMB10.9 billionfromRMB6.2 billion for the same period of 2020. As a percentage of the total revenue, online marketing services contributed 53.2%, while live streaming contributed 37.7%. The remaining 9.1% came from other services.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"01024":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":257,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":870010536,"gmtCreate":1636557735235,"gmtModify":1636557735483,"author":{"id":"3586770271918953","authorId":"3586770271918953","name":"7acb343","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586770271918953","authorIdStr":"3586770271918953"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/870010536","repostId":"2182670032","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":623,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":856676868,"gmtCreate":1635177187043,"gmtModify":1635177187326,"author":{"id":"3586770271918953","authorId":"3586770271918953","name":"7acb343","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586770271918953","authorIdStr":"3586770271918953"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/856676868","repostId":"2178427117","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":671,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":865149547,"gmtCreate":1632963211820,"gmtModify":1632963254545,"author":{"id":"3586770271918953","authorId":"3586770271918953","name":"7acb343","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586770271918953","authorIdStr":"3586770271918953"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/865149547","repostId":"2171300933","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":503,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":861219608,"gmtCreate":1632497173604,"gmtModify":1632715863999,"author":{"id":"3586770271918953","authorId":"3586770271918953","name":"7acb343","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586770271918953","authorIdStr":"3586770271918953"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/861219608","repostId":"1114004721","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1114004721","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1632496493,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1114004721?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-24 23:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"IPO opening reminder: Clearwater Analytics opens for trading at $23.8, up about 32% from IPO price<blockquote>IPO开盘提醒：Clearwater Analytics开盘价为23.8美元，较IPO价格上涨约32%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1114004721","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Sept 24) Clearwater Analytics Holdings, Inc. opens for trading at $23.8, up about 32% from IPO pric","content":"<p>(Sept 24)&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CWAN\">Clearwater Analytics Holdings, Inc.</a></b> opens for trading at $23.8, up about 32% from IPO price.</p><p><blockquote>（9月24日）<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CWAN\">清水分析控股公司。</a></b>开盘价为23.8美元，较IPO价格上涨约32%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/076505c7b70dbe2ad6cfcae8c44f52cb\" tg-width=\"902\" tg-height=\"557\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Company &amp; Technology</b></p><p><blockquote><b>公司与技术</b></blockquote></p><p> Boise, Idaho-based Clearwater was founded to develop a SaaS platform to simplify investment accounting and analysis for asset managers, insurance companies and large corporations.</p><p><blockquote>总部位于爱达荷州博伊西的Clearwater成立的目的是开发一个SaaS平台，为资产管理公司、保险公司和大型企业简化投资会计和分析。</blockquote></p><p> Management is headed by Chief Executive Officer Sandeep Sahai, who has been with the firm since September 2016 and was previously CEO of Solmark, an investment partnership.</p><p><blockquote>管理层由首席执行官Sandeep Sahai领导，他自2016年9月以来一直在该公司工作，此前曾担任投资合伙企业Solmark的首席执行官。</blockquote></p><p> The company’s primary offerings include:</p><p><blockquote>该公司的主要产品包括：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Investment accounting and reporting</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>投资会计和报告</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Performance measurement</p><p><blockquote><li>绩效衡量</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Compliance monitoring</p><p><blockquote><li>合规监控</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Risk analysis</p><p><blockquote><li>风险分析</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Clearwater has received at least $421 million in notes payable in equity investment from investors including Welsh Carson, Permira, Warburg Pincus and Dragoneer.</p><p><blockquote>Clearwater已从Welsh Carson、Permira、Warburg Pincus和Dragoneer等投资者那里获得了至少4.21亿美元的股权投资应付票据。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Customer Acquisition</b></p><p><blockquote><b>客户获取</b></blockquote></p><p> The firm pursues client relationships with asset managers, insurance companies and large corporations via a direct sales and marketing force that is focused on the United States.</p><p><blockquote>该公司通过专注于美国的直销和营销力量寻求与资产管理公司、保险公司和大公司的客户关系。</blockquote></p><p> CWAN also has international clients and will seek to expand its international presence post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote>CWAN还拥有国际客户，并将寻求在IPO后扩大其国际影响力。</blockquote></p><p> Clearwater handles data on over $5.6 trillion in assets between more than 1,000 clients.</p><p><blockquote>Clearwater处理1,000多个客户之间超过5.6万亿美元资产的数据。</blockquote></p><p> Sales and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have varied as revenues have increased, as the figures below indicate:</p><p><blockquote>销售及营销开支佔总收入的百分比随收入增加而变化，如下图所示：</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <colgroup></colgroup>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Sales and Marketing</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>销售及市场推广</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>Expenses vs. Revenue</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>费用与收入</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Percentage</p><p><blockquote><td>百分比</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>13.6%</p><p><blockquote><td>13.6%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>10.9%</p><p><blockquote><td>10.9%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>11.4%</p><p><blockquote><td>11.4%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> The Sales and Marketing efficiency rate, defined as how many dollars of additional new revenue are generated by each dollar of Sales and Marketing spend, dropped to 1.4x in the most recent reporting period, as shown in the table below:</p><p><blockquote>销售和营销效率率（定义为每美元的销售和营销支出产生多少美元的额外新收入）在最近一个报告期下降到1.4倍，如下表所示：</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <colgroup></colgroup>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Sales and Marketing</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>销售及市场推广</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>Efficiency Rate</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>效率率</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Multiple</p><p><blockquote><td>多个的</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>1.4</p><p><blockquote><td>1.4</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>1.6</p><p><blockquote><td>1.6</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> The Rule of 40 is a software industry rule of thumb that says that as long as the combined revenue growth rate and EBITDA percentage rate equal or exceed 40%, the firm is on an acceptable growth/EBITDA trajectory.</p><p><blockquote>40法则是软件行业的经验法则，只要收入增长率和EBITDA百分比等于或超过40%，公司就处于可接受的增长/EBITDA轨迹上。</blockquote></p><p> CWAN’s most recent calculation was 41% during the six months ended June 30, 2021, so the firm has performed well in this regard, per the table below:</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日的六个月内，CWAN的最新计算结果为41%，因此该公司在这方面表现良好，如下表所示：</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <colgroup></colgroup>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Rule of 40</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>40法则</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>Calculation</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>计算</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Recent Rev. Growth %</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>近期收入增长%</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>24%</p><p><blockquote><td>24%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>EBITDA %</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>EBITDA%</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>17%</p><p><blockquote><td>17%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Total</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>总的</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>41%</p><p><blockquote><td>41%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> The firm’s dollar-based net revenue retention rate for June 30, 2021 was 109%, a reasonably good result.</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日，该公司以美元计算的净收入保留率为109%，这是一个相当不错的结果。</blockquote></p><p> The dollar-based net revenue retention rate metric measures how much additional revenue is generated over time from each cohort of customers, so that a figure over 100% means that the company is generating more revenue from the same customer cohort over time, indicating good product/market fit and efficient sales and marketing efforts.</p><p><blockquote>基于美元的净收入保留率指标衡量随着时间的推移，每个客户群产生了多少额外收入，因此超过100%的数字意味着公司随着时间的推移从同一客户群产生了更多收入，表明良好的产品/市场契合度以及高效的销售和营销工作。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Market &amp; Competition</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场与竞争</b></blockquote></p><p> According to a 2021 marketresearch reportby Market Primes, the global investment management software market was an estimated $3 billion in 2019 and is forecast to reach nearly $4.5 billion by 2025.</p><p><blockquote>根据Market Primes的2021年市场研究报告，2019年全球投资管理软件市场估计为30亿美元，预计到2025年将达到近45亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> This represents a forecast CAGR of 10.2% from 2019 to 2025.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着2019年至2025年的预测复合年增长率为10.2%。</blockquote></p><p> The main drivers for this expected growth are a desire by users to automate repetitive tasks so they can focus on maximizing portfolio performance and creating more sophisticated approaches.</p><p><blockquote>这种预期增长的主要驱动因素是用户希望自动化重复性任务，这样他们就可以专注于最大化投资组合绩效和创建更复杂的方法。</blockquote></p><p> Also, assessing risks and exposures and being able to efficiently report and share the information with stakeholders will drive demand for more capable solutions.</p><p><blockquote>此外，评估风险和暴露以及能够有效地报告和与利益相关者共享信息将推动对更强大解决方案的需求。</blockquote></p><p> Major competitive or other industry participants include:</p><p><blockquote>主要竞争对手或其他行业参与者包括：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>SS&amp;C</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>SSC</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>State Street</p><p><blockquote><li>道富街</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>SAP</p><p><blockquote><li>SAP</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>BNY Mellon (Eagle)</p><p><blockquote><li>纽约梅隆银行（鹰）</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Simcorp</p><p><blockquote><li>Simcorp</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>BlackRock</p><p><blockquote><li>贝莱德</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>FIS</p><p><blockquote><li>FIS</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Northern Trust</p><p><blockquote><li>北方信托</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Others</p><p><blockquote><li>其他</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> <b>Financial Performance</b></p><p><blockquote><b>财务表现</b></blockquote></p><p> Clearwater’s recent financial results can be summarized as follows:</p><p><blockquote>Clearwater最近的财务业绩可总结如下：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Strong topline revenue growth</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>营收强劲增长</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Increasing gross profit and gross margin</p><p><blockquote><li>提高毛利及毛利率</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>A swing to operating profit and net profit</p><p><blockquote><li>营业利润和净利润的波动</li></blockquote></p><p></p><p></li>  <li>Uneven cash used in operations</p><p><blockquote><li>经营中使用的现金不均衡</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Below are relevant financial results derived from the firm’s registration statement:</p><p><blockquote>以下是来自公司注册声明的相关财务业绩：</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <colgroup></colgroup>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Total Revenue</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>收入总额</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Total Revenue</p><p><blockquote><td>收入总额</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>% Variance vs. Prior</p><p><blockquote><td>与既往差异%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 117,770,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$117,770,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>23.8%</p><p><blockquote><td>23.8%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 203,222,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$203,222,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>21.0%</p><p><blockquote><td>21.0%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 168,001,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$168,001,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>   <tr>    <td><b>Gross Profit (Loss)</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>毛利（亏损）</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Gross Profit (Loss)</p><p><blockquote><td>毛利（亏损）</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>% Variance vs. Prior</p><p><blockquote><td>与既往相比的%差异</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 87,872,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$87,872,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>28.8%</p><p><blockquote><td>28.8%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 149,959,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$149,959,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>24.1%</p><p><blockquote><td>24.1%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 120,856,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$120,856,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>   <tr>    <td><b>Gross Margin</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>毛利率</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Gross Margin</p><p><blockquote><td>毛利率</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>74.61%</p><p><blockquote><td>74.61%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>73.79%</p><p><blockquote><td>73.79%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>71.94%</p><p><blockquote><td>71.94%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>   <tr>    <td><b>Operating Profit (Loss)</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>经营溢利（亏损）</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Operating Profit (Loss)</p><p><blockquote><td>经营溢利（亏损）</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Operating Margin</p><p><blockquote><td>营业利润率</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 20,544,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$20,544,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>17.4%</p><p><blockquote><td>17.4%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ (20,418,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(20,418,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>-10.0%</p><p><blockquote><td>-10.0%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 25,697,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$25,697,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>15.3%</p><p><blockquote><td>15.3%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>   <tr>    <td><b>Net Income (Loss)</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>净利润（亏损）</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Net Income (Loss)</p><p><blockquote><td>净利润（亏损）</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 3,200,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$3,200,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ (44,230,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(44,230,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 7,732,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$7,732,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>   <tr>    <td><b>Cash Flow From Operations</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>经营所得现金流量</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Cash Flow From Operations</p><p><blockquote><td>经营所得现金流量</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ (16,352,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(16,352,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ (6,486,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(6,486,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ (230,029,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(230,029,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> As of June 30, 2021, Clearwater had $41 million in cash and $450 million in total liabilities.</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日，Clearwater拥有4100万美元现金和4.5亿美元总负债。</blockquote></p><p> Free cash flow during the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was negative ($38 million).</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日的12个月内，自由现金流为负（3800万美元）。</blockquote></p><p> Valuation Metrics</p><p><blockquote>估值指标</blockquote></p><p> Below is a table of the firm’s relevant capitalization and valuation metrics at IPO, excluding the effects of underwriter options:</p><p><blockquote>下表列出了该公司IPO时的相关资本化和估值指标，不包括承销商期权的影响：</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <colgroup></colgroup>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Measure [TTM]</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>测量[TTM]</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>Amount</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>数量</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Market Capitalization at IPO</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>IPO时的市值</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$3,472,178,130</p><p><blockquote><td>$3,472,178,130</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Enterprise Value</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>企业价值</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$3,470,109,130</p><p><blockquote><td>$3,470,109,130</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Price / Sales</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>价格/销售额</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>15.37</p><p><blockquote><td>15.37</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>EV / Revenue</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>EV/收入</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>15.36</p><p><blockquote><td>15.36</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>EV / EBITDA</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>EV/EBITDA</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>-141.93</p><p><blockquote><td>-141.93</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Earnings Per Share</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>每股盈利</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>-$0.23</p><p><blockquote><td>-$0.23</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Float To Outstanding Shares Ratio</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>流通股与流通股比率</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>12.96%</p><p><blockquote><td>12.96%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Proposed IPO Midpoint Price per Share</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>建议IPO每股中点价格</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$15.00</p><p><blockquote><td>$15.00</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Net Free Cash Flow</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>净自由现金流</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>-$38,024,000</p><p><blockquote><td>-$38,024,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Free Cash Flow Yield Per Share</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>每股自由现金流收益率</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>-1.10%</p><p><blockquote><td>-1.10%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Revenue Growth Rate</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>收入增长率</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>23.83%</p><p><blockquote><td>23.83%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> <b>Commentary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>评论</b></blockquote></p><p> CWAN intends to go public to pay down debt and will have a net of $55 million in debt post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote>CWAN打算上市偿还债务，IPO后净债务为5500万美元。</blockquote></p><p> The firm’s financials show strong topline revenue growth and gross profit growth and a rebound to operating profit and net income after negative results in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的财务数据显示，营收和毛利润增长强劲，营业利润和净利润在2020年出现负面业绩后出现反弹。</blockquote></p><p> Free cash flow for the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was a decidedly unimpressive negative ($38 million).</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日的12个月的自由现金流明显为负（3800万美元）。</blockquote></p><p> Sales and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have varied as revenue has increased; its Sales and Marketing efficiency rate dropped slightly to 1.4x in the most recent six-month period.</p><p><blockquote>销售和营销费用占总收入的百分比随着收入的增加而变化；最近六个月，其销售和营销效率略有下降至1.4倍。</blockquote></p><p> CWAN's dollar-based net retention rate was 109% for June 30, 2021, a positive result and its Rule of 40 performance was good as well.</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日，CWAN以美元计算的净保留率为109%，这是一个积极的结果，其40法则表现也不错。</blockquote></p><p> The market opportunity for selling investment management software is large and expected to grow substantially in the years ahead, but the firm has extensive competition.</p><p><blockquote>销售投资管理软件的市场机会很大，预计在未来几年将大幅增长，但该公司面临广泛的竞争。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Goldman Sachs is the lead left underwriter and IPOs led by the firm over the last 12-month period have generated an average return of 40.5% since their IPO. This is a middle-tier performance for all major underwriters during the period.</p><p><blockquote>高盛是首席承销商，该公司在过去12个月内牵头的IPO自IPO以来的平均回报率为40.5%。这是期内所有主要承销商的中等业绩。</blockquote></p><p> The primary risk to the company’s outlook is the degree of competition and specialization present in various submarkets in which it competes, as well as the ability for some larger prospects to develop solutions in-house.</p><p><blockquote>该公司前景的主要风险是其竞争的各个子市场中存在的竞争和专业化程度，以及一些较大的潜在客户在内部开发解决方案的能力。</blockquote></p><p> As for valuation, compared to competitor Simcorp, the CWAN IPO is much more highly priced on a revenue multiple basis. In my view, this is justified as the firm is growing revenue at a significantly higher rate of growth.</p><p><blockquote>至于估值，与竞争对手Simcorp相比，CWAN IPO的收入倍数定价要高得多。在我看来，这是合理的，因为该公司的收入增长率要高得多。</blockquote></p><p> After a difficult period during 2020 where the firm produced operating losses, 2021 has seen a return to operating and net profits with impressive growth as well.</p><p><blockquote>在经历了2020年营业亏损的困难时期后，2021年营业利润和净利润也出现了令人印象深刻的增长。</blockquote></p><p> Given CWAN’s growth trajectory and the investment management software industry’s strong growth potential in the years ahead, the IPO is worth a close look.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于CWAN的增长轨迹和投资管理软件行业未来几年的强劲增长潜力，此次IPO值得密切关注。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>IPO opening reminder: Clearwater Analytics opens for trading at $23.8, up about 32% from IPO price<blockquote>IPO开盘提醒：Clearwater Analytics开盘价为23.8美元，较IPO价格上涨约32%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIPO opening reminder: Clearwater Analytics opens for trading at $23.8, up about 32% from IPO price<blockquote>IPO开盘提醒：Clearwater Analytics开盘价为23.8美元，较IPO价格上涨约32%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-09-24 23:14</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Sept 24)&nbsp;<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CWAN\">Clearwater Analytics Holdings, Inc.</a></b> opens for trading at $23.8, up about 32% from IPO price.</p><p><blockquote>（9月24日）<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CWAN\">清水分析控股公司。</a></b>开盘价为23.8美元，较IPO价格上涨约32%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/076505c7b70dbe2ad6cfcae8c44f52cb\" tg-width=\"902\" tg-height=\"557\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Company &amp; Technology</b></p><p><blockquote><b>公司与技术</b></blockquote></p><p> Boise, Idaho-based Clearwater was founded to develop a SaaS platform to simplify investment accounting and analysis for asset managers, insurance companies and large corporations.</p><p><blockquote>总部位于爱达荷州博伊西的Clearwater成立的目的是开发一个SaaS平台，为资产管理公司、保险公司和大型企业简化投资会计和分析。</blockquote></p><p> Management is headed by Chief Executive Officer Sandeep Sahai, who has been with the firm since September 2016 and was previously CEO of Solmark, an investment partnership.</p><p><blockquote>管理层由首席执行官Sandeep Sahai领导，他自2016年9月以来一直在该公司工作，此前曾担任投资合伙企业Solmark的首席执行官。</blockquote></p><p> The company’s primary offerings include:</p><p><blockquote>该公司的主要产品包括：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Investment accounting and reporting</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>投资会计和报告</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Performance measurement</p><p><blockquote><li>绩效衡量</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Compliance monitoring</p><p><blockquote><li>合规监控</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Risk analysis</p><p><blockquote><li>风险分析</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Clearwater has received at least $421 million in notes payable in equity investment from investors including Welsh Carson, Permira, Warburg Pincus and Dragoneer.</p><p><blockquote>Clearwater已从Welsh Carson、Permira、Warburg Pincus和Dragoneer等投资者那里获得了至少4.21亿美元的股权投资应付票据。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Customer Acquisition</b></p><p><blockquote><b>客户获取</b></blockquote></p><p> The firm pursues client relationships with asset managers, insurance companies and large corporations via a direct sales and marketing force that is focused on the United States.</p><p><blockquote>该公司通过专注于美国的直销和营销力量寻求与资产管理公司、保险公司和大公司的客户关系。</blockquote></p><p> CWAN also has international clients and will seek to expand its international presence post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote>CWAN还拥有国际客户，并将寻求在IPO后扩大其国际影响力。</blockquote></p><p> Clearwater handles data on over $5.6 trillion in assets between more than 1,000 clients.</p><p><blockquote>Clearwater处理1,000多个客户之间超过5.6万亿美元资产的数据。</blockquote></p><p> Sales and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have varied as revenues have increased, as the figures below indicate:</p><p><blockquote>销售及营销开支佔总收入的百分比随收入增加而变化，如下图所示：</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <colgroup></colgroup>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Sales and Marketing</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>销售及市场推广</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>Expenses vs. Revenue</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>费用与收入</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Percentage</p><p><blockquote><td>百分比</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>13.6%</p><p><blockquote><td>13.6%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>10.9%</p><p><blockquote><td>10.9%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>11.4%</p><p><blockquote><td>11.4%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> The Sales and Marketing efficiency rate, defined as how many dollars of additional new revenue are generated by each dollar of Sales and Marketing spend, dropped to 1.4x in the most recent reporting period, as shown in the table below:</p><p><blockquote>销售和营销效率率（定义为每美元的销售和营销支出产生多少美元的额外新收入）在最近一个报告期下降到1.4倍，如下表所示：</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <colgroup></colgroup>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Sales and Marketing</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>销售及市场推广</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>Efficiency Rate</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>效率率</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Multiple</p><p><blockquote><td>多个的</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>1.4</p><p><blockquote><td>1.4</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>1.6</p><p><blockquote><td>1.6</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> The Rule of 40 is a software industry rule of thumb that says that as long as the combined revenue growth rate and EBITDA percentage rate equal or exceed 40%, the firm is on an acceptable growth/EBITDA trajectory.</p><p><blockquote>40法则是软件行业的经验法则，只要收入增长率和EBITDA百分比等于或超过40%，公司就处于可接受的增长/EBITDA轨迹上。</blockquote></p><p> CWAN’s most recent calculation was 41% during the six months ended June 30, 2021, so the firm has performed well in this regard, per the table below:</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日的六个月内，CWAN的最新计算结果为41%，因此该公司在这方面表现良好，如下表所示：</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <colgroup></colgroup>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Rule of 40</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>40法则</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>Calculation</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>计算</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Recent Rev. Growth %</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>近期收入增长%</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>24%</p><p><blockquote><td>24%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>EBITDA %</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>EBITDA%</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>17%</p><p><blockquote><td>17%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Total</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>总的</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>41%</p><p><blockquote><td>41%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> The firm’s dollar-based net revenue retention rate for June 30, 2021 was 109%, a reasonably good result.</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日，该公司以美元计算的净收入保留率为109%，这是一个相当不错的结果。</blockquote></p><p> The dollar-based net revenue retention rate metric measures how much additional revenue is generated over time from each cohort of customers, so that a figure over 100% means that the company is generating more revenue from the same customer cohort over time, indicating good product/market fit and efficient sales and marketing efforts.</p><p><blockquote>基于美元的净收入保留率指标衡量随着时间的推移，每个客户群产生了多少额外收入，因此超过100%的数字意味着公司随着时间的推移从同一客户群产生了更多收入，表明良好的产品/市场契合度以及高效的销售和营销工作。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Market &amp; Competition</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场与竞争</b></blockquote></p><p> According to a 2021 marketresearch reportby Market Primes, the global investment management software market was an estimated $3 billion in 2019 and is forecast to reach nearly $4.5 billion by 2025.</p><p><blockquote>根据Market Primes的2021年市场研究报告，2019年全球投资管理软件市场估计为30亿美元，预计到2025年将达到近45亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> This represents a forecast CAGR of 10.2% from 2019 to 2025.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着2019年至2025年的预测复合年增长率为10.2%。</blockquote></p><p> The main drivers for this expected growth are a desire by users to automate repetitive tasks so they can focus on maximizing portfolio performance and creating more sophisticated approaches.</p><p><blockquote>这种预期增长的主要驱动因素是用户希望自动化重复性任务，这样他们就可以专注于最大化投资组合绩效和创建更复杂的方法。</blockquote></p><p> Also, assessing risks and exposures and being able to efficiently report and share the information with stakeholders will drive demand for more capable solutions.</p><p><blockquote>此外，评估风险和暴露以及能够有效地报告和与利益相关者共享信息将推动对更强大解决方案的需求。</blockquote></p><p> Major competitive or other industry participants include:</p><p><blockquote>主要竞争对手或其他行业参与者包括：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>SS&amp;C</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>SSC</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>State Street</p><p><blockquote><li>道富街</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>SAP</p><p><blockquote><li>SAP</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>BNY Mellon (Eagle)</p><p><blockquote><li>纽约梅隆银行（鹰）</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Simcorp</p><p><blockquote><li>Simcorp</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>BlackRock</p><p><blockquote><li>贝莱德</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>FIS</p><p><blockquote><li>FIS</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Northern Trust</p><p><blockquote><li>北方信托</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Others</p><p><blockquote><li>其他</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> <b>Financial Performance</b></p><p><blockquote><b>财务表现</b></blockquote></p><p> Clearwater’s recent financial results can be summarized as follows:</p><p><blockquote>Clearwater最近的财务业绩可总结如下：</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Strong topline revenue growth</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>营收强劲增长</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>Increasing gross profit and gross margin</p><p><blockquote><li>提高毛利及毛利率</li></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li>A swing to operating profit and net profit</p><p><blockquote><li>营业利润和净利润的波动</li></blockquote></p><p></p><p></li>  <li>Uneven cash used in operations</p><p><blockquote><li>经营中使用的现金不均衡</li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> Below are relevant financial results derived from the firm’s registration statement:</p><p><blockquote>以下是来自公司注册声明的相关财务业绩：</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <colgroup></colgroup>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Total Revenue</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>收入总额</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Total Revenue</p><p><blockquote><td>收入总额</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>% Variance vs. Prior</p><p><blockquote><td>与既往差异%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 117,770,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$117,770,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>23.8%</p><p><blockquote><td>23.8%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 203,222,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$203,222,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>21.0%</p><p><blockquote><td>21.0%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 168,001,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$168,001,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>   <tr>    <td><b>Gross Profit (Loss)</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>毛利（亏损）</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Gross Profit (Loss)</p><p><blockquote><td>毛利（亏损）</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>% Variance vs. Prior</p><p><blockquote><td>与既往相比的%差异</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 87,872,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$87,872,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>28.8%</p><p><blockquote><td>28.8%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 149,959,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$149,959,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>24.1%</p><p><blockquote><td>24.1%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 120,856,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$120,856,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>   <tr>    <td><b>Gross Margin</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>毛利率</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Gross Margin</p><p><blockquote><td>毛利率</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>74.61%</p><p><blockquote><td>74.61%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>73.79%</p><p><blockquote><td>73.79%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>71.94%</p><p><blockquote><td>71.94%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>   <tr>    <td><b>Operating Profit (Loss)</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>经营溢利（亏损）</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Operating Profit (Loss)</p><p><blockquote><td>经营溢利（亏损）</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Operating Margin</p><p><blockquote><td>营业利润率</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 20,544,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$20,544,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>17.4%</p><p><blockquote><td>17.4%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ (20,418,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(20,418,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>-10.0%</p><p><blockquote><td>-10.0%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 25,697,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$25,697,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>15.3%</p><p><blockquote><td>15.3%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>   <tr>    <td><b>Net Income (Loss)</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>净利润（亏损）</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Net Income (Loss)</p><p><blockquote><td>净利润（亏损）</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 3,200,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$3,200,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ (44,230,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(44,230,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ 7,732,000</p><p><blockquote><td>$7,732,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr></tr>   <tr>    <td><b>Cash Flow From Operations</b></p><p><blockquote><tr></tr><tr><td><b>经营所得现金流量</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Period</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>周期</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>Cash Flow From Operations</p><p><blockquote><td>经营所得现金流量</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Six Mos. Ended June 30, 2021</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>六个月。截至2021年6月30日止</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ (16,352,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(16,352,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2020</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2020</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ (6,486,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(6,486,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>2019</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>2019</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$ (230,029,000)</p><p><blockquote><td>$(230,029,000)</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> As of June 30, 2021, Clearwater had $41 million in cash and $450 million in total liabilities.</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日，Clearwater拥有4100万美元现金和4.5亿美元总负债。</blockquote></p><p> Free cash flow during the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was negative ($38 million).</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日的12个月内，自由现金流为负（3800万美元）。</blockquote></p><p> Valuation Metrics</p><p><blockquote>估值指标</blockquote></p><p> Below is a table of the firm’s relevant capitalization and valuation metrics at IPO, excluding the effects of underwriter options:</p><p><blockquote>下表列出了该公司IPO时的相关资本化和估值指标，不包括承销商期权的影响：</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <colgroup></colgroup>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Measure [TTM]</b></p><p><blockquote><table><colgroup></colgroup><tbody><tr><td><b>测量[TTM]</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>Amount</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>数量</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Market Capitalization at IPO</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>IPO时的市值</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$3,472,178,130</p><p><blockquote><td>$3,472,178,130</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Enterprise Value</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>企业价值</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$3,470,109,130</p><p><blockquote><td>$3,470,109,130</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Price / Sales</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>价格/销售额</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>15.37</p><p><blockquote><td>15.37</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>EV / Revenue</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>EV/收入</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>15.36</p><p><blockquote><td>15.36</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>EV / EBITDA</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>EV/EBITDA</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>-141.93</p><p><blockquote><td>-141.93</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Earnings Per Share</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>每股盈利</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>-$0.23</p><p><blockquote><td>-$0.23</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Float To Outstanding Shares Ratio</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>流通股与流通股比率</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>12.96%</p><p><blockquote><td>12.96%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Proposed IPO Midpoint Price per Share</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>建议IPO每股中点价格</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$15.00</p><p><blockquote><td>$15.00</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Net Free Cash Flow</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>净自由现金流</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>-$38,024,000</p><p><blockquote><td>-$38,024,000</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Free Cash Flow Yield Per Share</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>每股自由现金流收益率</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>-1.10%</p><p><blockquote><td>-1.10%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Revenue Growth Rate</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>收入增长率</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>23.83%</p><p><blockquote><td>23.83%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> <b>Commentary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>评论</b></blockquote></p><p> CWAN intends to go public to pay down debt and will have a net of $55 million in debt post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote>CWAN打算上市偿还债务，IPO后净债务为5500万美元。</blockquote></p><p> The firm’s financials show strong topline revenue growth and gross profit growth and a rebound to operating profit and net income after negative results in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的财务数据显示，营收和毛利润增长强劲，营业利润和净利润在2020年出现负面业绩后出现反弹。</blockquote></p><p> Free cash flow for the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was a decidedly unimpressive negative ($38 million).</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日的12个月的自由现金流明显为负（3800万美元）。</blockquote></p><p> Sales and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have varied as revenue has increased; its Sales and Marketing efficiency rate dropped slightly to 1.4x in the most recent six-month period.</p><p><blockquote>销售和营销费用占总收入的百分比随着收入的增加而变化；最近六个月，其销售和营销效率略有下降至1.4倍。</blockquote></p><p> CWAN's dollar-based net retention rate was 109% for June 30, 2021, a positive result and its Rule of 40 performance was good as well.</p><p><blockquote>截至2021年6月30日，CWAN以美元计算的净保留率为109%，这是一个积极的结果，其40法则表现也不错。</blockquote></p><p> The market opportunity for selling investment management software is large and expected to grow substantially in the years ahead, but the firm has extensive competition.</p><p><blockquote>销售投资管理软件的市场机会很大，预计在未来几年将大幅增长，但该公司面临广泛的竞争。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Goldman Sachs is the lead left underwriter and IPOs led by the firm over the last 12-month period have generated an average return of 40.5% since their IPO. This is a middle-tier performance for all major underwriters during the period.</p><p><blockquote>高盛是首席承销商，该公司在过去12个月内牵头的IPO自IPO以来的平均回报率为40.5%。这是期内所有主要承销商的中等业绩。</blockquote></p><p> The primary risk to the company’s outlook is the degree of competition and specialization present in various submarkets in which it competes, as well as the ability for some larger prospects to develop solutions in-house.</p><p><blockquote>该公司前景的主要风险是其竞争的各个子市场中存在的竞争和专业化程度，以及一些较大的潜在客户在内部开发解决方案的能力。</blockquote></p><p> As for valuation, compared to competitor Simcorp, the CWAN IPO is much more highly priced on a revenue multiple basis. In my view, this is justified as the firm is growing revenue at a significantly higher rate of growth.</p><p><blockquote>至于估值，与竞争对手Simcorp相比，CWAN IPO的收入倍数定价要高得多。在我看来，这是合理的，因为该公司的收入增长率要高得多。</blockquote></p><p> After a difficult period during 2020 where the firm produced operating losses, 2021 has seen a return to operating and net profits with impressive growth as well.</p><p><blockquote>在经历了2020年营业亏损的困难时期后，2021年营业利润和净利润也出现了令人印象深刻的增长。</blockquote></p><p> Given CWAN’s growth trajectory and the investment management software industry’s strong growth potential in the years ahead, the IPO is worth a close look.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于CWAN的增长轨迹和投资管理软件行业未来几年的强劲增长潜力，此次IPO值得密切关注。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CWAN":"Clearwater Analytics Holdings, Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1114004721","content_text":"(Sept 24) Clearwater Analytics Holdings, Inc. opens for trading at $23.8, up about 32% from IPO price.\n\nCompany & Technology\nBoise, Idaho-based Clearwater was founded to develop a SaaS platform to simplify investment accounting and analysis for asset managers, insurance companies and large corporations.\nManagement is headed by Chief Executive Officer Sandeep Sahai, who has been with the firm since September 2016 and was previously CEO of Solmark, an investment partnership.\nThe company’s primary offerings include:\n\nInvestment accounting and reporting\nPerformance measurement\nCompliance monitoring\nRisk analysis\n\nClearwater has received at least $421 million in notes payable in equity investment from investors including Welsh Carson, Permira, Warburg Pincus and Dragoneer.\nCustomer Acquisition\nThe firm pursues client relationships with asset managers, insurance companies and large corporations via a direct sales and marketing force that is focused on the United States.\nCWAN also has international clients and will seek to expand its international presence post-IPO.\nClearwater handles data on over $5.6 trillion in assets between more than 1,000 clients.\nSales and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have varied as revenues have increased, as the figures below indicate:\n\n\n\n\nSales and Marketing\nExpenses vs. Revenue\n\n\nPeriod\nPercentage\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n13.6%\n\n\n2020\n10.9%\n\n\n2019\n11.4%\n\n\n\nThe Sales and Marketing efficiency rate, defined as how many dollars of additional new revenue are generated by each dollar of Sales and Marketing spend, dropped to 1.4x in the most recent reporting period, as shown in the table below:\n\n\n\n\nSales and Marketing\nEfficiency Rate\n\n\nPeriod\nMultiple\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n1.4\n\n\n2020\n1.6\n\n\n\nThe Rule of 40 is a software industry rule of thumb that says that as long as the combined revenue growth rate and EBITDA percentage rate equal or exceed 40%, the firm is on an acceptable growth/EBITDA trajectory.\nCWAN’s most recent calculation was 41% during the six months ended June 30, 2021, so the firm has performed well in this regard, per the table below:\n\n\n\n\nRule of 40\nCalculation\n\n\nRecent Rev. Growth %\n24%\n\n\nEBITDA %\n17%\n\n\nTotal\n41%\n\n\n\nThe firm’s dollar-based net revenue retention rate for June 30, 2021 was 109%, a reasonably good result.\nThe dollar-based net revenue retention rate metric measures how much additional revenue is generated over time from each cohort of customers, so that a figure over 100% means that the company is generating more revenue from the same customer cohort over time, indicating good product/market fit and efficient sales and marketing efforts.\nMarket & Competition\nAccording to a 2021 marketresearch reportby Market Primes, the global investment management software market was an estimated $3 billion in 2019 and is forecast to reach nearly $4.5 billion by 2025.\nThis represents a forecast CAGR of 10.2% from 2019 to 2025.\nThe main drivers for this expected growth are a desire by users to automate repetitive tasks so they can focus on maximizing portfolio performance and creating more sophisticated approaches.\nAlso, assessing risks and exposures and being able to efficiently report and share the information with stakeholders will drive demand for more capable solutions.\nMajor competitive or other industry participants include:\n\nSS&C\nState Street\nSAP\nBNY Mellon (Eagle)\nSimcorp\nBlackRock\nFIS\nNorthern Trust\nOthers\n\nFinancial Performance\nClearwater’s recent financial results can be summarized as follows:\n\nStrong topline revenue growth\nIncreasing gross profit and gross margin\nA swing to operating profit and net profit\nUneven cash used in operations\n\nBelow are relevant financial results derived from the firm’s registration statement:\n\n\n\n\nTotal Revenue\n\n\nPeriod\nTotal Revenue\n% Variance vs. Prior\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ 117,770,000\n23.8%\n\n\n2020\n$ 203,222,000\n21.0%\n\n\n2019\n$ 168,001,000\n\n\n\nGross Profit (Loss)\n\n\nPeriod\nGross Profit (Loss)\n% Variance vs. Prior\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ 87,872,000\n28.8%\n\n\n2020\n$ 149,959,000\n24.1%\n\n\n2019\n$ 120,856,000\n\n\n\nGross Margin\n\n\nPeriod\nGross Margin\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n74.61%\n\n\n2020\n73.79%\n\n\n2019\n71.94%\n\n\n\nOperating Profit (Loss)\n\n\nPeriod\nOperating Profit (Loss)\nOperating Margin\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ 20,544,000\n17.4%\n\n\n2020\n$ (20,418,000)\n-10.0%\n\n\n2019\n$ 25,697,000\n15.3%\n\n\n\nNet Income (Loss)\n\n\nPeriod\nNet Income (Loss)\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ 3,200,000\n\n\n2020\n$ (44,230,000)\n\n\n2019\n$ 7,732,000\n\n\n\nCash Flow From Operations\n\n\nPeriod\nCash Flow From Operations\n\n\nSix Mos. Ended June 30, 2021\n$ (16,352,000)\n\n\n2020\n$ (6,486,000)\n\n\n2019\n$ (230,029,000)\n\n\n\nAs of June 30, 2021, Clearwater had $41 million in cash and $450 million in total liabilities.\nFree cash flow during the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was negative ($38 million).\nValuation Metrics\nBelow is a table of the firm’s relevant capitalization and valuation metrics at IPO, excluding the effects of underwriter options:\n\n\n\n\nMeasure [TTM]\nAmount\n\n\nMarket Capitalization at IPO\n$3,472,178,130\n\n\nEnterprise Value\n$3,470,109,130\n\n\nPrice / Sales\n15.37\n\n\nEV / Revenue\n15.36\n\n\nEV / EBITDA\n-141.93\n\n\nEarnings Per Share\n-$0.23\n\n\nFloat To Outstanding Shares Ratio\n12.96%\n\n\nProposed IPO Midpoint Price per Share\n$15.00\n\n\nNet Free Cash Flow\n-$38,024,000\n\n\nFree Cash Flow Yield Per Share\n-1.10%\n\n\nRevenue Growth Rate\n23.83%\n\n\n\nCommentary\nCWAN intends to go public to pay down debt and will have a net of $55 million in debt post-IPO.\nThe firm’s financials show strong topline revenue growth and gross profit growth and a rebound to operating profit and net income after negative results in 2020.\nFree cash flow for the twelve months ended June 30, 2021, was a decidedly unimpressive negative ($38 million).\nSales and Marketing expenses as a percentage of total revenue have varied as revenue has increased; its Sales and Marketing efficiency rate dropped slightly to 1.4x in the most recent six-month period.\nCWAN's dollar-based net retention rate was 109% for June 30, 2021, a positive result and its Rule of 40 performance was good as well.\nThe market opportunity for selling investment management software is large and expected to grow substantially in the years ahead, but the firm has extensive competition.\nGoldman Sachs is the lead left underwriter and IPOs led by the firm over the last 12-month period have generated an average return of 40.5% since their IPO. This is a middle-tier performance for all major underwriters during the period.\nThe primary risk to the company’s outlook is the degree of competition and specialization present in various submarkets in which it competes, as well as the ability for some larger prospects to develop solutions in-house.\nAs for valuation, compared to competitor Simcorp, the CWAN IPO is much more highly priced on a revenue multiple basis. In my view, this is justified as the firm is growing revenue at a significantly higher rate of growth.\nAfter a difficult period during 2020 where the firm produced operating losses, 2021 has seen a return to operating and net profits with impressive growth as well.\nGiven CWAN’s growth trajectory and the investment management software industry’s strong growth potential in the years ahead, the IPO is worth a close look.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"CWAN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":320,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":805712788,"gmtCreate":1627906457044,"gmtModify":1633755432866,"author":{"id":"3586770271918953","authorId":"3586770271918953","name":"7acb343","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586770271918953","authorIdStr":"3586770271918953"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/805712788","repostId":"1191057621","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":731,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":834537755,"gmtCreate":1629812874577,"gmtModify":1631892094141,"author":{"id":"3586770271918953","authorId":"3586770271918953","name":"7acb343","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586770271918953","authorIdStr":"3586770271918953"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/834537755","repostId":"1167446644","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":393,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":800334209,"gmtCreate":1627277078001,"gmtModify":1633766578981,"author":{"id":"3586770271918953","authorId":"3586770271918953","name":"7acb343","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586770271918953","authorIdStr":"3586770271918953"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/800334209","repostId":"1100772026","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":294,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":607013859,"gmtCreate":1639456205103,"gmtModify":1639456205326,"author":{"id":"3586770271918953","authorId":"3586770271918953","name":"7acb343","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586770271918953","authorIdStr":"3586770271918953"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607013859","repostId":"1120286910","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120286910","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1639453388,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1120286910?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-12-14 11:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"PayPal's Recent Price Decline Will Eventually Happen To Nearly All Overvalued Technology Stocks<blockquote>PayPal最近的价格下跌最终将发生在几乎所有被高估的科技股身上</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120286910","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nPayPal stock is down over -35% off this year's highs, and the stock still isn't cheap.\nI wa","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>PayPal stock is down over -35% off this year's highs, and the stock still isn't cheap.</li>  <li>I warned investors back in February of 2021 that PayPal was extremely overvalued and worth selling.</li>  <li>That warning could have been issued for dozens and dozens of overvalued technology stocks that still have over -50% downside from here within the next 3 years.</li>  <li>PayPal remains a great company that I would like to own, so I analyze the stock in order to establish I price at which I'd be willing to buy it.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/847095b0be294275f55f7e8f700d56b4\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1229\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>BsWei/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>PayPal股价较今年高点下跌超过-35%，而且该股仍然不便宜。</li><li>我早在2021年2月就警告投资者，PayPal的估值被严重高估，值得出售。</li><li>这一警告可能是针对数十只被高估的科技股发出的，这些股在未来3年内仍有超过-50%的下跌空间。</li><li>PayPal仍然是一家我想拥有的伟大公司，因此我分析该股票以确定我愿意购买它的价格。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>BsWei/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Introduction</b></p><p><blockquote><b>介绍</b></blockquote></p><p> Back on February 6th, 2021, I made a video where I shared with investors why PayPal (PYPL) stock was overvalued enough to sell. I shared that video on my Seeking Alpha bloghere. Since that time, PayPal has performed poorly both on an absolute basis and relative to the S&amp;P 500 (SPY).</p><p><blockquote>早在2021年2月6日，我就制作了一段视频，与投资者分享了为什么PayPal(PYPL)股票被高估到足以出售。我在我的Seeking Alpha bloghere上分享了该视频。自那时以来，PayPal的绝对表现和相对于标普500（SPDR标普500指数ETF）的表现都很差。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8252b7218af36cce8b5a591f56abaecd\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The stock price is down about -30% since I warned investors and down about -38% off its high price of the year.</p><p><blockquote>自从我向投资者发出警告以来，该股股价已下跌约-30%，较今年的高点下跌约-38%。</blockquote></p><p> The truth is that I could have issued the same warning about many other technology stocks that had become overvalued, but PayPal was one that I actually wanted to buy if the price ever fell to a reasonable level. It was a case where there was absolutely nothing wrong with the company. There was no bad story to tell. The price had simply gotten insanely overvalued. It didn't matter how good the story around PayPal was back in February. Numbers almost always trump narrative over the long-term. And the numbers back then didn't make sense.</p><p><blockquote>事实是，我本可以对许多其他被高估的科技股发出同样的警告，但如果价格跌至合理水平，我实际上想买入PayPal。这是一个公司绝对没有问题的案例。没有什么不好的故事可讲。这个价格被高估了。二月份围绕PayPal的故事有多好并不重要。从长远来看，数字几乎总是胜过叙事。当时的数字没有意义。</blockquote></p><p> This should be an important lesson for medium and long-term investors. If the numbers don't work, it doesn't matter what the story is.</p><p><blockquote>这应该是中长线投资者的重要一课。如果数字不起作用，故事是什么并不重要。</blockquote></p><p> The difficultly for a stock writer like myself is that investors<i>love</i>narratives and stories. It's not our fault. Our human brains are hardwired that way. Since I shared my bearish February PayPal video, out of 62 articles on Seeking Alpha covering PayPal, there hasn't been a single \"Bearish\" article written. The primary reason for that is because PayPal's narrative was so appealing that valuation numbers were either ignored, or the assumptions around the numbers were not realistic.</p><p><blockquote>对于像我这样的股票作家来说，困难的是投资者<i>爱</i>叙事和故事。这不是我们的错。我们人类的大脑天生就是这样。自从我分享了我看跌的2月份PayPal视频以来，Seeking Alpha上报道PayPal的62篇文章中，没有一篇“看跌”文章。主要原因是PayPal的叙述如此吸引人，以至于估值数字要么被忽视，要么围绕这些数字的假设不现实。</blockquote></p><p> In this article, I'm going to share my current PayPal valuation based on earnings and earnings growth projections. I'll also share what I consider to be a fair value range for PayPal stock, and the price I would be looking to buy with a margin of safety. This is the same basic process I used to determine that PayPal stock was overvalued back in February of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>在本文中，我将分享我目前基于盈利和盈利增长预测的PayPal估值。我还将分享我认为PayPal股票的公允价值范围，以及我希望在安全边际的情况下购买的价格。这与我在2021年2月用来确定PayPal股票被高估的基本过程相同。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Full-Cycle Earnings Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>全周期盈利分析</b></blockquote></p><p> As part of the analysis, I calculate what I consider to be the two main drivers of future total returns: Market sentiment returns and business returns. I then combine those expected returns together in the form of a 10-year CAGR expectation and use that to value the stock.</p><p><blockquote>作为分析的一部分，我计算了我认为未来总回报的两个主要驱动因素：市场情绪回报和商业回报。然后，我将这些预期回报以10年复合年增长率预期的形式组合在一起，并用它来评估股票。</blockquote></p><p> Before I begin this analysis, I always check the business's long-term earnings patterns in order to ensure that the business is a proper fit for this sort of analysis. If the historical earnings 1) don't have a long enough history 2) are erratic in nature, or 3) are too cyclical, then I either avoid analyzing the stock altogether or I use a different type of analysis that is more appropriate.</p><p><blockquote>在我开始这种分析之前，我总是检查企业的长期盈利模式，以确保企业适合这种分析。如果历史收益1）没有足够长的历史2）本质上不稳定，或者3）周期性太强，那么我要么完全避免分析股票，要么使用更合适的不同类型的分析。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70078307e65a5a1d0e37f9e70b726b77\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"490\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> We can see that since 2015 PayPal's earnings per share have increased every single year. This is a clear secular growth pattern and it makes the stock very attractive as a long-term investment. Since 2015 there haven't been any negative earnings growth years so the stock is likely a good fit for the type of earnings analysis I'm going to perform. One important question to ask, though, is that while we did have a brief recession in 2020, it was a very unusual one. It's possible that PayPal's business could be more economically sensitive during a longer, more drawn-out recession. So, that is a risk. However, when I examined how eBay (EBAY) performed in the 2008/9 recession, its earnings growth was basically flat, and never went negative. If I had to make a guess, I think PayPal's earnings growth rate would probably decline during a \"normal\" recession, but still wouldn't be especially cyclical. For those reasons, I'm going to go ahead with my Full-Cycle Earnings Analysis even though we don't have hard historical data from \"normal\" recession for PayPal.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以看到，自2015年以来，PayPal的每股收益每年都在增长。这是一种明显的长期增长模式，它使该股票作为长期投资非常有吸引力。自2015年以来，没有出现过任何盈利负增长的年份，因此该股票可能非常适合我将要进行的盈利分析类型。不过，要问的一个重要问题是，虽然我们在2020年确实经历了短暂的衰退，但这是一次非常不寻常的衰退。在更长、更持久的经济衰退期间，PayPal的业务可能会对经济更加敏感。所以，这是一个风险。然而，当我考察eBay(EBAY)在2008/9年经济衰退中的表现时，其盈利增长基本持平，从未出现过负增长。如果让我猜测的话，我认为PayPal的盈利增长率可能会在“正常”衰退期间下降，但仍然不会特别具有周期性。出于这些原因，尽管我们没有PayPal“正常”衰退的硬历史数据，但我仍将继续进行全周期盈利分析。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Market Sentiment Return Expectations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场情绪回归预期</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> In order to estimate what sort of returns we might expect over the next 10 years, let's begin by examining what return we could expect 10 years from now if the P/E multiple were to revert to its mean from the previous economic cycle. Since we have had a recent recession (albeit an unusual one) I'm starting this cycle in fiscal year 2015 and running it through 2021's estimates.</p><p><blockquote>为了估计未来10年我们可能预期的回报，让我们首先研究一下，如果市盈率倍数恢复到上一个经济周期的平均值，我们从现在起10年后可以预期的回报。由于我们最近经历了一次衰退（尽管是一次不寻常的衰退），我将在2015财年开始这个周期，并通过2021年的估计运行它。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e36d2c3455962a02d96b8c88c32eadce\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"490\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> PayPal's average P/E from 2015 to the present has been a healthy 34.11 (the blue bar circled in gold on the FAST Graph). Using 2021's forward earnings estimates of $4.60 (also circled in gold), PayPal has a current P/E of 40.73. If that 40.73 P/E were to revert to the average P/E of 34.11 over the course of the next 10 years and everything else was held the same, PayPal's price would fall and it would produce a 10-Year CAGR of<b>-1.75%</b>. That's the annual return we can expect from sentiment mean reversion if it takes ten years to revert. If it takes less time to revert, the price could fall faster.</p><p><blockquote>PayPal从2015年至今的平均市盈率为34.11（快速图上用金色圈出的蓝色条）。使用2021年4.60美元的预期盈利预测（也用金色圈出），PayPal目前的市盈率为40.73。如果40.73市盈率在未来10年恢复到34.11的平均市盈率，而其他条件保持不变，PayPal的股价将会下跌，10年复合年增长率将为<b>-1.75%</b>如果情绪回归需要十年时间，这就是我们可以从情绪均值回归中预期的年回报率。如果恢复所需的时间更短，价格可能会下跌得更快。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Earnings Expectations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>业务盈利预期</b></blockquote></p><p> We previously examined what would happen if market sentiment reverted to the mean. This is entirely determined by the mood of the market and is quite often disconnected, or only loosely connected, to the performance of the actual business. In this section, we will examine the actual earnings of the business. The goal here is simple: We want to know how much money we would earn (expressed in the form of a CAGR %) over the course of 10 years if we bought the business at today's prices and kept all of the earnings for ourselves.</p><p><blockquote>我们之前研究了如果市场情绪恢复到均值会发生什么。这完全由市场情绪决定，并且通常与实际业务的表现脱节，或者只是松散地联系在一起。在本节中，我们将研究企业的实际收益。这里的目标很简单：我们想知道如果我们以今天的价格收购企业并将所有收益留给自己，我们在10年内会赚多少钱（以CAGR%的形式表示）。</blockquote></p><p> There are two main components of this: the first is the earnings yield and the second is the rate at which the earnings can be expected to grow. Let's start with the earnings yield (which is an inverted P/E ratio, so, the Earnings/Price ratio). The current earnings yield is about +2.46%. The way I like to think about this is, if I bought the company's whole business right now for $100, I would earn $2.46 per year on my investment if earnings remained the same for the next 10 years.</p><p><blockquote>这有两个主要组成部分：第一个是收益收益率，第二个是收益的预期增长率。让我们从收益率（这是一个倒置的市盈率，因此，市盈率）开始。目前的收益率约为+2.46%。我喜欢思考这个问题的方式是，如果我现在以100美元购买公司的整个业务，如果未来10年收益保持不变，我每年的投资将获得2.46美元。</blockquote></p><p> The next step is to estimate the company's earnings growth during this time period. I do that by figuring out at what rate earnings grew during the last cycle and applying that rate to the next 10 years. This involves calculating the EPS growth rate since 2015, taking into account each year's EPS growth or decline, and then backing out any share buybacks that occurred over that time period (because reducing shares will increase the EPS due to fewer shares).</p><p><blockquote>下一步是估计公司在这段时间内的盈利增长。我通过计算上一个周期的收益增长率并将该增长率应用于未来10年来做到这一点。这涉及计算自2015年以来的每股收益增长率，考虑每年的每股收益增长或下降，然后退出该时期发生的任何股票回购（因为减持股票会因股票减少而增加每股收益）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f31b7d8ed5f59c82c2531cc686324d1a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Due to the scale of the graph, the buybacks look much bigger than they actually are, and there isn't much to adjust here. Additionally, since PayPal has grown earnings every year there are no earnings growth declines to adjust for either. This makes estimating PayPal's earnings growth a relatively straightforward affair, and I estimate PayPal's earnings growth at about +23.65%.</p><p><blockquote>由于图表的规模，回购看起来比实际要大得多，这里没有太多调整。此外，由于PayPal的盈利每年都在增长，因此无需调整盈利增长下降。这使得估计PayPal的盈利增长变得相对简单，我估计PayPal的盈利增长约为+23.65%。</blockquote></p><p> Now, this is the point where my conservatism when it comes to asking myself \"What is a reasonable expectation, for valuation purposes, going forward 10 years?\" It is very, very difficult for businesses to grow earnings over 20% per year for a full decade (particularly if they have already been doing that the previous decade). For that reason, I cap all of my long-term forward earnings growth estimates when using them for valuation purposes at 20%. This is simply a way to help keep me from overpaying for a stock when their P/E multiple is likely to contract over time. So, for this valuation exercise, I am limiting my earnings growth assumption to 20%.</p><p><blockquote>现在，当我问自己“出于估值目的，未来10年的合理预期是什么？”对于企业来说，在整整十年的时间里，收入每年增长超过20%是非常非常困难的（特别是如果他们在过去十年里已经这样做了）。因此，在用于估值目的时，我将所有长期预期盈利增长预测限制在20%。当股票的市盈率可能会随着时间的推移而收缩时，这只是一种帮助我避免为股票支付过高价格的方法。因此，对于这次估值工作，我将盈利增长假设限制在20%。</blockquote></p><p> Next, I'll apply that growth rate to current earnings, looking forward 10 years in order to get a final 10-year CAGR estimate. The way I think about this is, if I bought PayPal's whole business for $100, it would pay me back $2.46 plus +20.00% growth the first year, and that amount would grow at +20.00% per year for 10 years after that. I want to know how much money I would have in total at the end of 10 years on my $100 investment, which I calculate to be about $176.50 (including the original $100). When I plug that growth into a CAGR calculator, that translates to a<b>+5.85%</b>10-year CAGR estimate for the expected business earnings returns.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，我将将该增长率应用于当前收益，展望10年，以获得最终的10年复合年增长率估计。我的想法是，如果我以100美元收购PayPal的整个业务，它将在第一年偿还我2.46美元，外加+20.00%的增长，并且在那之后的10年里，这个数额将以每年+20.00%的速度增长。我想知道我的100美元投资在10年后总共会有多少钱，我计算出大约是176.50美元（包括最初的100美元）。当我将这种增长插入CAGR计算器时，就会转化为<b>+5.85%</b>预期业务盈利回报的10年复合年增长率估计。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10-Year, Full-Cycle CAGR Estimate</b></p><p><blockquote><b>10年全周期复合年增长率估计</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Potential future returns can come from two main places: market sentiment returns or business earnings returns. If we assume that market sentiment reverts to the mean from the last cycle over the next 10 years for PayPal, it will produce a -1.75% CAGR. If the earnings yield and growth are similar to the last cycle, the company should produce somewhere around a +5.85% 10-year CAGR. If we put the two together, we get an expected 10-year, full-cycle CAGR of<b>+4.10%</b>at today's price.</p><p><blockquote>潜在的未来回报可以来自两个主要地方：市场情绪回报或业务收益回报。如果我们假设PayPal未来10年的市场情绪恢复到上一个周期的平均值，则复合年增长率将为-1.75%。如果盈利收益率和增长与上一个周期相似，该公司的10年复合年增长率应该在+5.85%左右。如果我们将两者放在一起，我们会得到预期的10年全周期复合年增长率为<b>+4.10%</b>以今天的价格。</blockquote></p><p> My Buy/Sell/Hold range for this category of stocks is: above a 12% CAGR is a Buy, below a 4% expected CAGR is a Sell, and in between 4% and 12% is a Hold. This puts PayPal stock just barely into the \"Hold\" category at today's price level.</p><p><blockquote>我对此类股票的买入/卖出/持有范围是：复合年增长率高于12%为买入，预期复合年增长率低于4%为卖出，4%至12%之间为持有。这使得PayPal股票在今天的价格水平上勉强属于“持有”类别。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Additional Considerations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>其他注意事项</b></blockquote></p><p> I consider PayPal one of the highest quality growth stocks in the market right now, which is why I've been monitoring its valuation relatively closely. In this section I'm going to share my fair value range for PayPal along with the price I would be willing to buy the stock with a margin of safety based on earnings, and also the price I would consider buying using a more aggressive and less conservative valuation approach. So, I'm going to look at PayPal's valuation from a variety of different perspectives to give us a clearer view of what might be an appropriate price to pay for the stock.</p><p><blockquote>我认为PayPal是目前市场上质量最高的成长型股票之一，这就是为什么我一直相对密切地关注其估值。在本节中，我将分享我对PayPal的公允价值范围，以及我愿意在基于收益的安全边际下购买该股票的价格，以及我考虑使用更激进和不太保守的估值方法购买的价格。因此，我将从各种不同的角度来看PayPal的估值，让我们更清楚地了解购买该股票的合适价格。</blockquote></p><p> First, I'll start with my buy price and fair value range using the same assumptions and inputs I used in this article. If we use all of those same inputs my current fair value range for PayPal is about $126.50 to $164.00 per share. My current buy price that includes a margin of safety is $112.10. Investors who buy below that price have very good odds of great returns over the medium-term with the stock.</p><p><blockquote>首先，我将使用本文中使用的相同假设和输入从我的购买价格和公允价值范围开始。如果我们使用所有这些相同的输入，我目前对PayPal的公允价值范围约为每股126.50美元至164.00美元。我目前的买入价格（包括安全边际）是112.10美元。低于该价格买入的投资者在中期内很有可能获得丰厚的回报。</blockquote></p><p> Once we get into the new year and 2022, I'll start pulling forward PayPal's 2022 earnings for my estimates. Right now, analysts expect $5.25 per share from earnings in 2022. That will improve PayPal's valuation a lot if the rest of their metrics remain the same, and it would raise their fair value range up to $145.00 to $187.50 dollars per share with a margin of safety buy price at $128.00 per share. This, of course, assumes analysts keep their estimates for 2022 in place and don't lower them over the next couple of months. It also means, based on future earnings, that in a month or two if PayPal keeps trading near its current price, it is already in the top end of a \"fair value\" price range. This might be a further reason for current owners to keep holding.</p><p><blockquote>一旦我们进入新的一年和2022年，我将开始提前预测PayPal 2022年的盈利。目前，分析师预计2022年每股收益为5.25美元。如果PayPal的其他指标保持不变，这将大大提高其估值，并将其公允价值范围提高至每股145.00美元至187.50美元，安全买入价格为每股128.00美元。当然，这是假设分析师维持对2022年的预期不变，并且在未来几个月内不会降低预期。这也意味着，根据未来的收益，如果PayPal在一两个月内保持接近当前价格的交易，它已经处于“公允价值”价格范围的上限。这可能是当前所有者继续持有的另一个原因。</blockquote></p><p> The Full-Cycle Earnings analysis I used in this article is not the only type of analysis I use. For certain rare businesses with fast profit growth dynamics, I recently developed a new analysis to help identify fast-growing businesses that might never become cheap enough to buy based on earnings alone. The methods of this analysis are exclusive to my private service, The Cyclical Investor's Club, but since PayPal's profit growth is very strong, it actually qualifies for this type of analysis, too, and I thought I would at least share the sort of \"buy price\" that analysis produces because it's a little more aggressive than the earnings-based analysis.</p><p><blockquote>我在本文中使用的全周期收益分析并不是我使用的唯一分析类型。对于某些利润快速增长的罕见企业，我最近开发了一种新的分析方法，以帮助识别仅根据收益可能永远不会变得足够便宜的快速增长企业。这种分析的方法是我的私人服务机构周期性投资者俱乐部独有的，但由于PayPal的利润增长非常强劲，它实际上也有资格进行这种类型的分析，我想我至少会分享这种分析产生的“购买价格”，因为它比基于收益的分析更激进一些。</blockquote></p><p> When I examine PayPal using the profit growth analysis, it produces a buy price of $144.90. I find that interesting because if profits keep growing this quarter that price is likely to rise a little bit and put it pretty close to the middle of fair value using next year's earnings using my earnings-based method. This assumes that PayPal's metrics don't deteriorate between now and then, and there would be some technical requirements PayPal would have to meet as well, but I think the odds are good that by February of 2022 I could be a buyer of PayPal stock, approximately one year after I warned investors about its high valuation. It's going to be very interesting to see how it turns out.</p><p><blockquote>当我使用利润增长分析来检查PayPal时，它得出的买入价格为144.90美元。我觉得这很有趣，因为如果本季度利润继续增长，价格可能会上涨一点，并使用我的基于收益的方法，使用明年的收益，使其非常接近公允价值的中间值。这是假设PayPal的指标从现在到那时不会恶化，而且PayPal也必须满足一些技术要求，但我认为到2022年2月，我很有可能成为PayPal股票的买家，大约在我警告投资者其高估值一年后。看看结果会很有趣。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> I think PayPal's 2021 decline is an interesting and useful case study that goes beyond PayPal itself. The sort of decline we've seen in PayPal's stock price this year was entirely predictable and there are many other richly valued technology stocks that will experience a similar decline, likely in 2022 for most of them. For investors who are overweight these types of stocks, now is probably a time to consider diversifying in order to help keep the gains they have experienced the past couple of years. While there will be some overvalued stocks that simply stagnate for several years and go nowhere, and a rare few that manage to keep rising, the vast majority will experience declines like PayPal has experienced.</p><p><blockquote>我认为PayPal 2021年的衰落是一个有趣且有用的案例研究，超越了PayPal本身。我们今年看到的PayPal股价下跌是完全可以预见的，还有许多其他估值丰厚的科技股也将经历类似的下跌，其中大多数可能在2022年。对于跑赢大盘此类股票的投资者来说，现在可能是考虑多元化的时候了，以帮助保持过去几年的收益。虽然会有一些被高估的股票停滞不前几年，毫无进展，也有极少数股票设法继续上涨，但绝大多数股票将经历像PayPal那样的下跌。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>PayPal's Recent Price Decline Will Eventually Happen To Nearly All Overvalued Technology Stocks<blockquote>PayPal最近的价格下跌最终将发生在几乎所有被高估的科技股身上</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPayPal's Recent Price Decline Will Eventually Happen To Nearly All Overvalued Technology Stocks<blockquote>PayPal最近的价格下跌最终将发生在几乎所有被高估的科技股身上</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-14 11:43</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>PayPal stock is down over -35% off this year's highs, and the stock still isn't cheap.</li>  <li>I warned investors back in February of 2021 that PayPal was extremely overvalued and worth selling.</li>  <li>That warning could have been issued for dozens and dozens of overvalued technology stocks that still have over -50% downside from here within the next 3 years.</li>  <li>PayPal remains a great company that I would like to own, so I analyze the stock in order to establish I price at which I'd be willing to buy it.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/847095b0be294275f55f7e8f700d56b4\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1229\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>BsWei/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>PayPal股价较今年高点下跌超过-35%，而且该股仍然不便宜。</li><li>我早在2021年2月就警告投资者，PayPal的估值被严重高估，值得出售。</li><li>这一警告可能是针对数十只被高估的科技股发出的，这些股在未来3年内仍有超过-50%的下跌空间。</li><li>PayPal仍然是一家我想拥有的伟大公司，因此我分析该股票以确定我愿意购买它的价格。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>BsWei/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Introduction</b></p><p><blockquote><b>介绍</b></blockquote></p><p> Back on February 6th, 2021, I made a video where I shared with investors why PayPal (PYPL) stock was overvalued enough to sell. I shared that video on my Seeking Alpha bloghere. Since that time, PayPal has performed poorly both on an absolute basis and relative to the S&amp;P 500 (SPY).</p><p><blockquote>早在2021年2月6日，我就制作了一段视频，与投资者分享了为什么PayPal(PYPL)股票被高估到足以出售。我在我的Seeking Alpha bloghere上分享了该视频。自那时以来，PayPal的绝对表现和相对于标普500（SPDR标普500指数ETF）的表现都很差。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8252b7218af36cce8b5a591f56abaecd\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"433\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The stock price is down about -30% since I warned investors and down about -38% off its high price of the year.</p><p><blockquote>自从我向投资者发出警告以来，该股股价已下跌约-30%，较今年的高点下跌约-38%。</blockquote></p><p> The truth is that I could have issued the same warning about many other technology stocks that had become overvalued, but PayPal was one that I actually wanted to buy if the price ever fell to a reasonable level. It was a case where there was absolutely nothing wrong with the company. There was no bad story to tell. The price had simply gotten insanely overvalued. It didn't matter how good the story around PayPal was back in February. Numbers almost always trump narrative over the long-term. And the numbers back then didn't make sense.</p><p><blockquote>事实是，我本可以对许多其他被高估的科技股发出同样的警告，但如果价格跌至合理水平，我实际上想买入PayPal。这是一个公司绝对没有问题的案例。没有什么不好的故事可讲。这个价格被高估了。二月份围绕PayPal的故事有多好并不重要。从长远来看，数字几乎总是胜过叙事。当时的数字没有意义。</blockquote></p><p> This should be an important lesson for medium and long-term investors. If the numbers don't work, it doesn't matter what the story is.</p><p><blockquote>这应该是中长线投资者的重要一课。如果数字不起作用，故事是什么并不重要。</blockquote></p><p> The difficultly for a stock writer like myself is that investors<i>love</i>narratives and stories. It's not our fault. Our human brains are hardwired that way. Since I shared my bearish February PayPal video, out of 62 articles on Seeking Alpha covering PayPal, there hasn't been a single \"Bearish\" article written. The primary reason for that is because PayPal's narrative was so appealing that valuation numbers were either ignored, or the assumptions around the numbers were not realistic.</p><p><blockquote>对于像我这样的股票作家来说，困难的是投资者<i>爱</i>叙事和故事。这不是我们的错。我们人类的大脑天生就是这样。自从我分享了我看跌的2月份PayPal视频以来，Seeking Alpha上报道PayPal的62篇文章中，没有一篇“看跌”文章。主要原因是PayPal的叙述如此吸引人，以至于估值数字要么被忽视，要么围绕这些数字的假设不现实。</blockquote></p><p> In this article, I'm going to share my current PayPal valuation based on earnings and earnings growth projections. I'll also share what I consider to be a fair value range for PayPal stock, and the price I would be looking to buy with a margin of safety. This is the same basic process I used to determine that PayPal stock was overvalued back in February of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>在本文中，我将分享我目前基于盈利和盈利增长预测的PayPal估值。我还将分享我认为PayPal股票的公允价值范围，以及我希望在安全边际的情况下购买的价格。这与我在2021年2月用来确定PayPal股票被高估的基本过程相同。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Full-Cycle Earnings Analysis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>全周期盈利分析</b></blockquote></p><p> As part of the analysis, I calculate what I consider to be the two main drivers of future total returns: Market sentiment returns and business returns. I then combine those expected returns together in the form of a 10-year CAGR expectation and use that to value the stock.</p><p><blockquote>作为分析的一部分，我计算了我认为未来总回报的两个主要驱动因素：市场情绪回报和商业回报。然后，我将这些预期回报以10年复合年增长率预期的形式组合在一起，并用它来评估股票。</blockquote></p><p> Before I begin this analysis, I always check the business's long-term earnings patterns in order to ensure that the business is a proper fit for this sort of analysis. If the historical earnings 1) don't have a long enough history 2) are erratic in nature, or 3) are too cyclical, then I either avoid analyzing the stock altogether or I use a different type of analysis that is more appropriate.</p><p><blockquote>在我开始这种分析之前，我总是检查企业的长期盈利模式，以确保企业适合这种分析。如果历史收益1）没有足够长的历史2）本质上不稳定，或者3）周期性太强，那么我要么完全避免分析股票，要么使用更合适的不同类型的分析。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70078307e65a5a1d0e37f9e70b726b77\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"490\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> We can see that since 2015 PayPal's earnings per share have increased every single year. This is a clear secular growth pattern and it makes the stock very attractive as a long-term investment. Since 2015 there haven't been any negative earnings growth years so the stock is likely a good fit for the type of earnings analysis I'm going to perform. One important question to ask, though, is that while we did have a brief recession in 2020, it was a very unusual one. It's possible that PayPal's business could be more economically sensitive during a longer, more drawn-out recession. So, that is a risk. However, when I examined how eBay (EBAY) performed in the 2008/9 recession, its earnings growth was basically flat, and never went negative. If I had to make a guess, I think PayPal's earnings growth rate would probably decline during a \"normal\" recession, but still wouldn't be especially cyclical. For those reasons, I'm going to go ahead with my Full-Cycle Earnings Analysis even though we don't have hard historical data from \"normal\" recession for PayPal.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以看到，自2015年以来，PayPal的每股收益每年都在增长。这是一种明显的长期增长模式，它使该股票作为长期投资非常有吸引力。自2015年以来，没有出现过任何盈利负增长的年份，因此该股票可能非常适合我将要进行的盈利分析类型。不过，要问的一个重要问题是，虽然我们在2020年确实经历了短暂的衰退，但这是一次非常不寻常的衰退。在更长、更持久的经济衰退期间，PayPal的业务可能会对经济更加敏感。所以，这是一个风险。然而，当我考察eBay(EBAY)在2008/9年经济衰退中的表现时，其盈利增长基本持平，从未出现过负增长。如果让我猜测的话，我认为PayPal的盈利增长率可能会在“正常”衰退期间下降，但仍然不会特别具有周期性。出于这些原因，尽管我们没有PayPal“正常”衰退的硬历史数据，但我仍将继续进行全周期盈利分析。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Market Sentiment Return Expectations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场情绪回归预期</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> In order to estimate what sort of returns we might expect over the next 10 years, let's begin by examining what return we could expect 10 years from now if the P/E multiple were to revert to its mean from the previous economic cycle. Since we have had a recent recession (albeit an unusual one) I'm starting this cycle in fiscal year 2015 and running it through 2021's estimates.</p><p><blockquote>为了估计未来10年我们可能预期的回报，让我们首先研究一下，如果市盈率倍数恢复到上一个经济周期的平均值，我们从现在起10年后可以预期的回报。由于我们最近经历了一次衰退（尽管是一次不寻常的衰退），我将在2015财年开始这个周期，并通过2021年的估计运行它。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e36d2c3455962a02d96b8c88c32eadce\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"490\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> PayPal's average P/E from 2015 to the present has been a healthy 34.11 (the blue bar circled in gold on the FAST Graph). Using 2021's forward earnings estimates of $4.60 (also circled in gold), PayPal has a current P/E of 40.73. If that 40.73 P/E were to revert to the average P/E of 34.11 over the course of the next 10 years and everything else was held the same, PayPal's price would fall and it would produce a 10-Year CAGR of<b>-1.75%</b>. That's the annual return we can expect from sentiment mean reversion if it takes ten years to revert. If it takes less time to revert, the price could fall faster.</p><p><blockquote>PayPal从2015年至今的平均市盈率为34.11（快速图上用金色圈出的蓝色条）。使用2021年4.60美元的预期盈利预测（也用金色圈出），PayPal目前的市盈率为40.73。如果40.73市盈率在未来10年恢复到34.11的平均市盈率，而其他条件保持不变，PayPal的股价将会下跌，10年复合年增长率将为<b>-1.75%</b>如果情绪回归需要十年时间，这就是我们可以从情绪均值回归中预期的年回报率。如果恢复所需的时间更短，价格可能会下跌得更快。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Earnings Expectations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>业务盈利预期</b></blockquote></p><p> We previously examined what would happen if market sentiment reverted to the mean. This is entirely determined by the mood of the market and is quite often disconnected, or only loosely connected, to the performance of the actual business. In this section, we will examine the actual earnings of the business. The goal here is simple: We want to know how much money we would earn (expressed in the form of a CAGR %) over the course of 10 years if we bought the business at today's prices and kept all of the earnings for ourselves.</p><p><blockquote>我们之前研究了如果市场情绪恢复到均值会发生什么。这完全由市场情绪决定，并且通常与实际业务的表现脱节，或者只是松散地联系在一起。在本节中，我们将研究企业的实际收益。这里的目标很简单：我们想知道如果我们以今天的价格收购企业并将所有收益留给自己，我们在10年内会赚多少钱（以CAGR%的形式表示）。</blockquote></p><p> There are two main components of this: the first is the earnings yield and the second is the rate at which the earnings can be expected to grow. Let's start with the earnings yield (which is an inverted P/E ratio, so, the Earnings/Price ratio). The current earnings yield is about +2.46%. The way I like to think about this is, if I bought the company's whole business right now for $100, I would earn $2.46 per year on my investment if earnings remained the same for the next 10 years.</p><p><blockquote>这有两个主要组成部分：第一个是收益收益率，第二个是收益的预期增长率。让我们从收益率（这是一个倒置的市盈率，因此，市盈率）开始。目前的收益率约为+2.46%。我喜欢思考这个问题的方式是，如果我现在以100美元购买公司的整个业务，如果未来10年收益保持不变，我每年的投资将获得2.46美元。</blockquote></p><p> The next step is to estimate the company's earnings growth during this time period. I do that by figuring out at what rate earnings grew during the last cycle and applying that rate to the next 10 years. This involves calculating the EPS growth rate since 2015, taking into account each year's EPS growth or decline, and then backing out any share buybacks that occurred over that time period (because reducing shares will increase the EPS due to fewer shares).</p><p><blockquote>下一步是估计公司在这段时间内的盈利增长。我通过计算上一个周期的收益增长率并将该增长率应用于未来10年来做到这一点。这涉及计算自2015年以来的每股收益增长率，考虑每年的每股收益增长或下降，然后退出该时期发生的任何股票回购（因为减持股票会因股票减少而增加每股收益）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f31b7d8ed5f59c82c2531cc686324d1a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"417\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Due to the scale of the graph, the buybacks look much bigger than they actually are, and there isn't much to adjust here. Additionally, since PayPal has grown earnings every year there are no earnings growth declines to adjust for either. This makes estimating PayPal's earnings growth a relatively straightforward affair, and I estimate PayPal's earnings growth at about +23.65%.</p><p><blockquote>由于图表的规模，回购看起来比实际要大得多，这里没有太多调整。此外，由于PayPal的盈利每年都在增长，因此无需调整盈利增长下降。这使得估计PayPal的盈利增长变得相对简单，我估计PayPal的盈利增长约为+23.65%。</blockquote></p><p> Now, this is the point where my conservatism when it comes to asking myself \"What is a reasonable expectation, for valuation purposes, going forward 10 years?\" It is very, very difficult for businesses to grow earnings over 20% per year for a full decade (particularly if they have already been doing that the previous decade). For that reason, I cap all of my long-term forward earnings growth estimates when using them for valuation purposes at 20%. This is simply a way to help keep me from overpaying for a stock when their P/E multiple is likely to contract over time. So, for this valuation exercise, I am limiting my earnings growth assumption to 20%.</p><p><blockquote>现在，当我问自己“出于估值目的，未来10年的合理预期是什么？”对于企业来说，在整整十年的时间里，收入每年增长超过20%是非常非常困难的（特别是如果他们在过去十年里已经这样做了）。因此，在用于估值目的时，我将所有长期预期盈利增长预测限制在20%。当股票的市盈率可能会随着时间的推移而收缩时，这只是一种帮助我避免为股票支付过高价格的方法。因此，对于这次估值工作，我将盈利增长假设限制在20%。</blockquote></p><p> Next, I'll apply that growth rate to current earnings, looking forward 10 years in order to get a final 10-year CAGR estimate. The way I think about this is, if I bought PayPal's whole business for $100, it would pay me back $2.46 plus +20.00% growth the first year, and that amount would grow at +20.00% per year for 10 years after that. I want to know how much money I would have in total at the end of 10 years on my $100 investment, which I calculate to be about $176.50 (including the original $100). When I plug that growth into a CAGR calculator, that translates to a<b>+5.85%</b>10-year CAGR estimate for the expected business earnings returns.</p><p><blockquote>接下来，我将将该增长率应用于当前收益，展望10年，以获得最终的10年复合年增长率估计。我的想法是，如果我以100美元收购PayPal的整个业务，它将在第一年偿还我2.46美元，外加+20.00%的增长，并且在那之后的10年里，这个数额将以每年+20.00%的速度增长。我想知道我的100美元投资在10年后总共会有多少钱，我计算出大约是176.50美元（包括最初的100美元）。当我将这种增长插入CAGR计算器时，就会转化为<b>+5.85%</b>预期业务盈利回报的10年复合年增长率估计。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10-Year, Full-Cycle CAGR Estimate</b></p><p><blockquote><b>10年全周期复合年增长率估计</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Potential future returns can come from two main places: market sentiment returns or business earnings returns. If we assume that market sentiment reverts to the mean from the last cycle over the next 10 years for PayPal, it will produce a -1.75% CAGR. If the earnings yield and growth are similar to the last cycle, the company should produce somewhere around a +5.85% 10-year CAGR. If we put the two together, we get an expected 10-year, full-cycle CAGR of<b>+4.10%</b>at today's price.</p><p><blockquote>潜在的未来回报可以来自两个主要地方：市场情绪回报或业务收益回报。如果我们假设PayPal未来10年的市场情绪恢复到上一个周期的平均值，则复合年增长率将为-1.75%。如果盈利收益率和增长与上一个周期相似，该公司的10年复合年增长率应该在+5.85%左右。如果我们将两者放在一起，我们会得到预期的10年全周期复合年增长率为<b>+4.10%</b>以今天的价格。</blockquote></p><p> My Buy/Sell/Hold range for this category of stocks is: above a 12% CAGR is a Buy, below a 4% expected CAGR is a Sell, and in between 4% and 12% is a Hold. This puts PayPal stock just barely into the \"Hold\" category at today's price level.</p><p><blockquote>我对此类股票的买入/卖出/持有范围是：复合年增长率高于12%为买入，预期复合年增长率低于4%为卖出，4%至12%之间为持有。这使得PayPal股票在今天的价格水平上勉强属于“持有”类别。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Additional Considerations</b></p><p><blockquote><b>其他注意事项</b></blockquote></p><p> I consider PayPal one of the highest quality growth stocks in the market right now, which is why I've been monitoring its valuation relatively closely. In this section I'm going to share my fair value range for PayPal along with the price I would be willing to buy the stock with a margin of safety based on earnings, and also the price I would consider buying using a more aggressive and less conservative valuation approach. So, I'm going to look at PayPal's valuation from a variety of different perspectives to give us a clearer view of what might be an appropriate price to pay for the stock.</p><p><blockquote>我认为PayPal是目前市场上质量最高的成长型股票之一，这就是为什么我一直相对密切地关注其估值。在本节中，我将分享我对PayPal的公允价值范围，以及我愿意在基于收益的安全边际下购买该股票的价格，以及我考虑使用更激进和不太保守的估值方法购买的价格。因此，我将从各种不同的角度来看PayPal的估值，让我们更清楚地了解购买该股票的合适价格。</blockquote></p><p> First, I'll start with my buy price and fair value range using the same assumptions and inputs I used in this article. If we use all of those same inputs my current fair value range for PayPal is about $126.50 to $164.00 per share. My current buy price that includes a margin of safety is $112.10. Investors who buy below that price have very good odds of great returns over the medium-term with the stock.</p><p><blockquote>首先，我将使用本文中使用的相同假设和输入从我的购买价格和公允价值范围开始。如果我们使用所有这些相同的输入，我目前对PayPal的公允价值范围约为每股126.50美元至164.00美元。我目前的买入价格（包括安全边际）是112.10美元。低于该价格买入的投资者在中期内很有可能获得丰厚的回报。</blockquote></p><p> Once we get into the new year and 2022, I'll start pulling forward PayPal's 2022 earnings for my estimates. Right now, analysts expect $5.25 per share from earnings in 2022. That will improve PayPal's valuation a lot if the rest of their metrics remain the same, and it would raise their fair value range up to $145.00 to $187.50 dollars per share with a margin of safety buy price at $128.00 per share. This, of course, assumes analysts keep their estimates for 2022 in place and don't lower them over the next couple of months. It also means, based on future earnings, that in a month or two if PayPal keeps trading near its current price, it is already in the top end of a \"fair value\" price range. This might be a further reason for current owners to keep holding.</p><p><blockquote>一旦我们进入新的一年和2022年，我将开始提前预测PayPal 2022年的盈利。目前，分析师预计2022年每股收益为5.25美元。如果PayPal的其他指标保持不变，这将大大提高其估值，并将其公允价值范围提高至每股145.00美元至187.50美元，安全买入价格为每股128.00美元。当然，这是假设分析师维持对2022年的预期不变，并且在未来几个月内不会降低预期。这也意味着，根据未来的收益，如果PayPal在一两个月内保持接近当前价格的交易，它已经处于“公允价值”价格范围的上限。这可能是当前所有者继续持有的另一个原因。</blockquote></p><p> The Full-Cycle Earnings analysis I used in this article is not the only type of analysis I use. For certain rare businesses with fast profit growth dynamics, I recently developed a new analysis to help identify fast-growing businesses that might never become cheap enough to buy based on earnings alone. The methods of this analysis are exclusive to my private service, The Cyclical Investor's Club, but since PayPal's profit growth is very strong, it actually qualifies for this type of analysis, too, and I thought I would at least share the sort of \"buy price\" that analysis produces because it's a little more aggressive than the earnings-based analysis.</p><p><blockquote>我在本文中使用的全周期收益分析并不是我使用的唯一分析类型。对于某些利润快速增长的罕见企业，我最近开发了一种新的分析方法，以帮助识别仅根据收益可能永远不会变得足够便宜的快速增长企业。这种分析的方法是我的私人服务机构周期性投资者俱乐部独有的，但由于PayPal的利润增长非常强劲，它实际上也有资格进行这种类型的分析，我想我至少会分享这种分析产生的“购买价格”，因为它比基于收益的分析更激进一些。</blockquote></p><p> When I examine PayPal using the profit growth analysis, it produces a buy price of $144.90. I find that interesting because if profits keep growing this quarter that price is likely to rise a little bit and put it pretty close to the middle of fair value using next year's earnings using my earnings-based method. This assumes that PayPal's metrics don't deteriorate between now and then, and there would be some technical requirements PayPal would have to meet as well, but I think the odds are good that by February of 2022 I could be a buyer of PayPal stock, approximately one year after I warned investors about its high valuation. It's going to be very interesting to see how it turns out.</p><p><blockquote>当我使用利润增长分析来检查PayPal时，它得出的买入价格为144.90美元。我觉得这很有趣，因为如果本季度利润继续增长，价格可能会上涨一点，并使用我的基于收益的方法，使用明年的收益，使其非常接近公允价值的中间值。这是假设PayPal的指标从现在到那时不会恶化，而且PayPal也必须满足一些技术要求，但我认为到2022年2月，我很有可能成为PayPal股票的买家，大约在我警告投资者其高估值一年后。看看结果会很有趣。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>结论</b></blockquote></p><p> I think PayPal's 2021 decline is an interesting and useful case study that goes beyond PayPal itself. The sort of decline we've seen in PayPal's stock price this year was entirely predictable and there are many other richly valued technology stocks that will experience a similar decline, likely in 2022 for most of them. For investors who are overweight these types of stocks, now is probably a time to consider diversifying in order to help keep the gains they have experienced the past couple of years. While there will be some overvalued stocks that simply stagnate for several years and go nowhere, and a rare few that manage to keep rising, the vast majority will experience declines like PayPal has experienced.</p><p><blockquote>我认为PayPal 2021年的衰落是一个有趣且有用的案例研究，超越了PayPal本身。我们今年看到的PayPal股价下跌是完全可以预见的，还有许多其他估值丰厚的科技股也将经历类似的下跌，其中大多数可能在2022年。对于跑赢大盘此类股票的投资者来说，现在可能是考虑多元化的时候了，以帮助保持过去几年的收益。虽然会有一些被高估的股票停滞不前几年，毫无进展，也有极少数股票设法继续上涨，但绝大多数股票将经历像PayPal那样的下跌。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4474960-paypal-share-price-decline-overvalued-technology-stocks\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PYPL":"PayPal"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4474960-paypal-share-price-decline-overvalued-technology-stocks","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120286910","content_text":"Summary\n\nPayPal stock is down over -35% off this year's highs, and the stock still isn't cheap.\nI warned investors back in February of 2021 that PayPal was extremely overvalued and worth selling.\nThat warning could have been issued for dozens and dozens of overvalued technology stocks that still have over -50% downside from here within the next 3 years.\nPayPal remains a great company that I would like to own, so I analyze the stock in order to establish I price at which I'd be willing to buy it.\n\nBsWei/iStock via Getty Images\nIntroduction\nBack on February 6th, 2021, I made a video where I shared with investors why PayPal (PYPL) stock was overvalued enough to sell. I shared that video on my Seeking Alpha bloghere. Since that time, PayPal has performed poorly both on an absolute basis and relative to the S&P 500 (SPY).\nData by YCharts\nThe stock price is down about -30% since I warned investors and down about -38% off its high price of the year.\nThe truth is that I could have issued the same warning about many other technology stocks that had become overvalued, but PayPal was one that I actually wanted to buy if the price ever fell to a reasonable level. It was a case where there was absolutely nothing wrong with the company. There was no bad story to tell. The price had simply gotten insanely overvalued. It didn't matter how good the story around PayPal was back in February. Numbers almost always trump narrative over the long-term. And the numbers back then didn't make sense.\nThis should be an important lesson for medium and long-term investors. If the numbers don't work, it doesn't matter what the story is.\nThe difficultly for a stock writer like myself is that investorslovenarratives and stories. It's not our fault. Our human brains are hardwired that way. Since I shared my bearish February PayPal video, out of 62 articles on Seeking Alpha covering PayPal, there hasn't been a single \"Bearish\" article written. The primary reason for that is because PayPal's narrative was so appealing that valuation numbers were either ignored, or the assumptions around the numbers were not realistic.\nIn this article, I'm going to share my current PayPal valuation based on earnings and earnings growth projections. I'll also share what I consider to be a fair value range for PayPal stock, and the price I would be looking to buy with a margin of safety. This is the same basic process I used to determine that PayPal stock was overvalued back in February of 2021.\nFull-Cycle Earnings Analysis\nAs part of the analysis, I calculate what I consider to be the two main drivers of future total returns: Market sentiment returns and business returns. I then combine those expected returns together in the form of a 10-year CAGR expectation and use that to value the stock.\nBefore I begin this analysis, I always check the business's long-term earnings patterns in order to ensure that the business is a proper fit for this sort of analysis. If the historical earnings 1) don't have a long enough history 2) are erratic in nature, or 3) are too cyclical, then I either avoid analyzing the stock altogether or I use a different type of analysis that is more appropriate.\n\nWe can see that since 2015 PayPal's earnings per share have increased every single year. This is a clear secular growth pattern and it makes the stock very attractive as a long-term investment. Since 2015 there haven't been any negative earnings growth years so the stock is likely a good fit for the type of earnings analysis I'm going to perform. One important question to ask, though, is that while we did have a brief recession in 2020, it was a very unusual one. It's possible that PayPal's business could be more economically sensitive during a longer, more drawn-out recession. So, that is a risk. However, when I examined how eBay (EBAY) performed in the 2008/9 recession, its earnings growth was basically flat, and never went negative. If I had to make a guess, I think PayPal's earnings growth rate would probably decline during a \"normal\" recession, but still wouldn't be especially cyclical. For those reasons, I'm going to go ahead with my Full-Cycle Earnings Analysis even though we don't have hard historical data from \"normal\" recession for PayPal.\nMarket Sentiment Return Expectations\nIn order to estimate what sort of returns we might expect over the next 10 years, let's begin by examining what return we could expect 10 years from now if the P/E multiple were to revert to its mean from the previous economic cycle. Since we have had a recent recession (albeit an unusual one) I'm starting this cycle in fiscal year 2015 and running it through 2021's estimates.\n\nPayPal's average P/E from 2015 to the present has been a healthy 34.11 (the blue bar circled in gold on the FAST Graph). Using 2021's forward earnings estimates of $4.60 (also circled in gold), PayPal has a current P/E of 40.73. If that 40.73 P/E were to revert to the average P/E of 34.11 over the course of the next 10 years and everything else was held the same, PayPal's price would fall and it would produce a 10-Year CAGR of-1.75%. That's the annual return we can expect from sentiment mean reversion if it takes ten years to revert. If it takes less time to revert, the price could fall faster.\nBusiness Earnings Expectations\nWe previously examined what would happen if market sentiment reverted to the mean. This is entirely determined by the mood of the market and is quite often disconnected, or only loosely connected, to the performance of the actual business. In this section, we will examine the actual earnings of the business. The goal here is simple: We want to know how much money we would earn (expressed in the form of a CAGR %) over the course of 10 years if we bought the business at today's prices and kept all of the earnings for ourselves.\nThere are two main components of this: the first is the earnings yield and the second is the rate at which the earnings can be expected to grow. Let's start with the earnings yield (which is an inverted P/E ratio, so, the Earnings/Price ratio). The current earnings yield is about +2.46%. The way I like to think about this is, if I bought the company's whole business right now for $100, I would earn $2.46 per year on my investment if earnings remained the same for the next 10 years.\nThe next step is to estimate the company's earnings growth during this time period. I do that by figuring out at what rate earnings grew during the last cycle and applying that rate to the next 10 years. This involves calculating the EPS growth rate since 2015, taking into account each year's EPS growth or decline, and then backing out any share buybacks that occurred over that time period (because reducing shares will increase the EPS due to fewer shares).\nData by YCharts\nDue to the scale of the graph, the buybacks look much bigger than they actually are, and there isn't much to adjust here. Additionally, since PayPal has grown earnings every year there are no earnings growth declines to adjust for either. This makes estimating PayPal's earnings growth a relatively straightforward affair, and I estimate PayPal's earnings growth at about +23.65%.\nNow, this is the point where my conservatism when it comes to asking myself \"What is a reasonable expectation, for valuation purposes, going forward 10 years?\" It is very, very difficult for businesses to grow earnings over 20% per year for a full decade (particularly if they have already been doing that the previous decade). For that reason, I cap all of my long-term forward earnings growth estimates when using them for valuation purposes at 20%. This is simply a way to help keep me from overpaying for a stock when their P/E multiple is likely to contract over time. So, for this valuation exercise, I am limiting my earnings growth assumption to 20%.\nNext, I'll apply that growth rate to current earnings, looking forward 10 years in order to get a final 10-year CAGR estimate. The way I think about this is, if I bought PayPal's whole business for $100, it would pay me back $2.46 plus +20.00% growth the first year, and that amount would grow at +20.00% per year for 10 years after that. I want to know how much money I would have in total at the end of 10 years on my $100 investment, which I calculate to be about $176.50 (including the original $100). When I plug that growth into a CAGR calculator, that translates to a+5.85%10-year CAGR estimate for the expected business earnings returns.\n10-Year, Full-Cycle CAGR Estimate\nPotential future returns can come from two main places: market sentiment returns or business earnings returns. If we assume that market sentiment reverts to the mean from the last cycle over the next 10 years for PayPal, it will produce a -1.75% CAGR. If the earnings yield and growth are similar to the last cycle, the company should produce somewhere around a +5.85% 10-year CAGR. If we put the two together, we get an expected 10-year, full-cycle CAGR of+4.10%at today's price.\nMy Buy/Sell/Hold range for this category of stocks is: above a 12% CAGR is a Buy, below a 4% expected CAGR is a Sell, and in between 4% and 12% is a Hold. This puts PayPal stock just barely into the \"Hold\" category at today's price level.\nAdditional Considerations\nI consider PayPal one of the highest quality growth stocks in the market right now, which is why I've been monitoring its valuation relatively closely. In this section I'm going to share my fair value range for PayPal along with the price I would be willing to buy the stock with a margin of safety based on earnings, and also the price I would consider buying using a more aggressive and less conservative valuation approach. So, I'm going to look at PayPal's valuation from a variety of different perspectives to give us a clearer view of what might be an appropriate price to pay for the stock.\nFirst, I'll start with my buy price and fair value range using the same assumptions and inputs I used in this article. If we use all of those same inputs my current fair value range for PayPal is about $126.50 to $164.00 per share. My current buy price that includes a margin of safety is $112.10. Investors who buy below that price have very good odds of great returns over the medium-term with the stock.\nOnce we get into the new year and 2022, I'll start pulling forward PayPal's 2022 earnings for my estimates. Right now, analysts expect $5.25 per share from earnings in 2022. That will improve PayPal's valuation a lot if the rest of their metrics remain the same, and it would raise their fair value range up to $145.00 to $187.50 dollars per share with a margin of safety buy price at $128.00 per share. This, of course, assumes analysts keep their estimates for 2022 in place and don't lower them over the next couple of months. It also means, based on future earnings, that in a month or two if PayPal keeps trading near its current price, it is already in the top end of a \"fair value\" price range. This might be a further reason for current owners to keep holding.\nThe Full-Cycle Earnings analysis I used in this article is not the only type of analysis I use. For certain rare businesses with fast profit growth dynamics, I recently developed a new analysis to help identify fast-growing businesses that might never become cheap enough to buy based on earnings alone. The methods of this analysis are exclusive to my private service, The Cyclical Investor's Club, but since PayPal's profit growth is very strong, it actually qualifies for this type of analysis, too, and I thought I would at least share the sort of \"buy price\" that analysis produces because it's a little more aggressive than the earnings-based analysis.\nWhen I examine PayPal using the profit growth analysis, it produces a buy price of $144.90. I find that interesting because if profits keep growing this quarter that price is likely to rise a little bit and put it pretty close to the middle of fair value using next year's earnings using my earnings-based method. This assumes that PayPal's metrics don't deteriorate between now and then, and there would be some technical requirements PayPal would have to meet as well, but I think the odds are good that by February of 2022 I could be a buyer of PayPal stock, approximately one year after I warned investors about its high valuation. It's going to be very interesting to see how it turns out.\nConclusion\nI think PayPal's 2021 decline is an interesting and useful case study that goes beyond PayPal itself. The sort of decline we've seen in PayPal's stock price this year was entirely predictable and there are many other richly valued technology stocks that will experience a similar decline, likely in 2022 for most of them. For investors who are overweight these types of stocks, now is probably a time to consider diversifying in order to help keep the gains they have experienced the past couple of years. While there will be some overvalued stocks that simply stagnate for several years and go nowhere, and a rare few that manage to keep rising, the vast majority will experience declines like PayPal has experienced.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PYPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2391,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":602990014,"gmtCreate":1638952302159,"gmtModify":1638952302399,"author":{"id":"3586770271918953","authorId":"3586770271918953","name":"7acb343","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586770271918953","authorIdStr":"3586770271918953"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602990014","repostId":"1118640024","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1276,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":837637418,"gmtCreate":1629882043834,"gmtModify":1631892094127,"author":{"id":"3586770271918953","authorId":"3586770271918953","name":"7acb343","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586770271918953","authorIdStr":"3586770271918953"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/837637418","repostId":"2162087564","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":767,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":896419348,"gmtCreate":1628600456184,"gmtModify":1633745849978,"author":{"id":"3586770271918953","authorId":"3586770271918953","name":"7acb343","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586770271918953","authorIdStr":"3586770271918953"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi&nbsp;","listText":"Hi&nbsp;","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/896419348","repostId":"2158714944","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":290,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":893137602,"gmtCreate":1628244981106,"gmtModify":1633752293535,"author":{"id":"3586770271918953","authorId":"3586770271918953","name":"7acb343","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586770271918953","authorIdStr":"3586770271918953"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hi","listText":"hi","text":"hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/893137602","repostId":"1178143364","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1178143364","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1628244202,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1178143364?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-06 18:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Netflix, Disney+, Amazon Prime Video, Other SVOD Services Are Seeing Customers Spend More Now Than During Pandemic: Survey<blockquote>调查显示，Netflix、Disney+、Amazon Prime Video和其他SVOD服务的客户现在的支出比大流行期间还要多</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1178143364","media":"Benzinga","summary":"U.S. customers are spending more time and money streaming their favorite shows than they did six mon","content":"<p>U.S. customers are spending more time and money streaming their favorite shows than they did six months ago, shows the latest J.D. Power survey.</p><p><blockquote>J.D.Power的最新调查显示，与六个月前相比，美国客户在观看他们最喜欢的节目上花费了更多的时间和金钱。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Happened?</b>The survey found&nbsp;monthly customer spending on streaming platforms, such as&nbsp;<b>Netflix Inc</b>NFLX,<b>Amazon.com Inc’s</b>AMZNAmazon Prime, Hulu, and<b>Walt Disney Co’s</b>DIS 0.03%Disney+, has nearly doubled since the spring of 2020.</p><p><blockquote><b>怎么回事？</b>调查发现，客户每月在流媒体平台上的支出，例如<b>Netflix</b>NFLX，<b>亚马逊公司</b>AMZNA亚马逊Prime、Hulu和<b>华特迪士尼公司</b>DIS 0.03%Disney+，自2020年春季以来几乎翻了一番。</blockquote></p><p> Streaming services are consuming an increasingly large share of the entertainment market despite more entertainment options such as live events, dining and travel nearly all pandemic related restrictions have been lifted with the widespread vaccination rollout.</p><p><blockquote>尽管现场活动、餐饮和旅行等娱乐选择越来越多，但流媒体服务正在消耗娱乐市场越来越大的份额。随着疫苗接种的广泛推广，几乎所有与大流行相关的限制都已取消。</blockquote></p><p> About 79% of the 1,209 U.S. adults said they were now subscribed to more streaming services than ever. The survey claims streaming subscriptions increased to an average of 4.5 streaming providers in June 2021 from 3.9 streaming providers in December 2020 even as monthly household spend on streaming services increased to $55 from $47.</p><p><blockquote>1209名美国成年人中约有79%表示，他们现在订阅的流媒体服务比以往任何时候都多。该调查称，流媒体订阅从2020年12月的3.9家流媒体提供商增加到2021年6月的平均4.5家流媒体提供商，尽管家庭在流媒体服务上的每月支出从47美元增加到55美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How Are They Watching?</b>Viewers increasingly streamed the content via an app on a phone or a tablet leading to a 36% jump in viewership in June 2021 from 25% just more than a year ago. In contrast, respondents who said they used an app on their smart TV rose just 4% during the same time period.</p><p><blockquote><b>他们是怎么看的？</b>观众越来越多地通过手机或平板电脑上的应用程序播放内容，导致2021年6月的收视率从一年多前的25%跃升了36%。相比之下，同期表示在智能电视上使用应用程序的受访者仅增加了4%。</blockquote></p><p> Apps now represent the second-most used streaming connection path. Separate hardware platforms like<b>Roku Inc</b>ROKU,<b>Apple Inc’s</b>AAPLApple TV and Chromecast also got sizable boosts.</p><p><blockquote>应用程序现在代表了第二大最常用的流连接路径。独立的硬件平台，如<b>Roku公司</b>ROKU,<b>苹果公司</b>苹果电视和Chromecast也获得了相当大的提升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why Are Viewers Spending More?</b>Netflix increased the price of its premium service in October last year followed by a hike by Disney in March. Disney raised the price of Disney+ to $8 a month, or $80 per year. Disney has also given ESPN+ two price increases this year, the second which goes into effect on Aug. 13, which has forced the service’s annual plan increase by about $20 this year alone.</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么观众花钱更多？</b>Netflix于去年10月提高了其高级服务的价格，随后迪士尼于3月份也提高了价格。迪士尼将Disney+的价格提高到每月8美元，即每年80美元。迪士尼今年还对ESPN+进行了两次提价，第二次将于8月13日生效，这迫使该服务的年度计划仅今年就上涨了约20美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Are They Watching and Where?</b>Lucifer was the most-watched show on streaming sites in June. On May 28, Netflix released the second-half of season 5 of Lucifer, which quickly made it to the top of the charts while Friends made it to the top three.</p><p><blockquote><b>他们在看什么，在哪里看？</b>《路西法》是6月份流媒体网站上收视率最高的节目。5月28日，网飞发布了《路西法》第五季的后半部分，迅速登上排行榜榜首，而《老友记》则进入了前三名。</blockquote></p><p> Netflix is at the&nbsp;top of the mind of views as 89% of respondents said they subscribe to Netflix, followed by Amazon Prime at 76%, Hulu at 64%, and Disney+ at 52%. All three&nbsp;runner-ups experienced significant jumps, particularly Amazon Prime, which is the first non-Netflix platform to break the 70% mark.</p><p><blockquote>网飞是最受关注的，89%的受访者表示他们订阅了网飞，其次是亚马逊Prime，占76%，Hulu占64%，Disney+占52%。所有三个亚军都经历了显着的跃升，尤其是亚马逊Prime，它是第一个突破70%大关的非Netflix平台。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action:</b>Netflix shares closed 1.46% higher at $524.89 on Thursday and those of Disney closed 2.39% higher at $176.71.</p><p><blockquote><b>价格走势：</b>Netflix股价周四收盘上涨1.46%，至524.89美元，迪士尼股价收盘上涨2.39%，至176.71美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Netflix, Disney+, Amazon Prime Video, Other SVOD Services Are Seeing Customers Spend More Now Than During Pandemic: Survey<blockquote>调查显示，Netflix、Disney+、Amazon Prime Video和其他SVOD服务的客户现在的支出比大流行期间还要多</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNetflix, Disney+, Amazon Prime Video, Other SVOD Services Are Seeing Customers Spend More Now Than During Pandemic: Survey<blockquote>调查显示，Netflix、Disney+、Amazon Prime Video和其他SVOD服务的客户现在的支出比大流行期间还要多</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-06 18:03</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. customers are spending more time and money streaming their favorite shows than they did six months ago, shows the latest J.D. Power survey.</p><p><blockquote>J.D.Power的最新调查显示，与六个月前相比，美国客户在观看他们最喜欢的节目上花费了更多的时间和金钱。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Happened?</b>The survey found&nbsp;monthly customer spending on streaming platforms, such as&nbsp;<b>Netflix Inc</b>NFLX,<b>Amazon.com Inc’s</b>AMZNAmazon Prime, Hulu, and<b>Walt Disney Co’s</b>DIS 0.03%Disney+, has nearly doubled since the spring of 2020.</p><p><blockquote><b>怎么回事？</b>调查发现，客户每月在流媒体平台上的支出，例如<b>Netflix</b>NFLX，<b>亚马逊公司</b>AMZNA亚马逊Prime、Hulu和<b>华特迪士尼公司</b>DIS 0.03%Disney+，自2020年春季以来几乎翻了一番。</blockquote></p><p> Streaming services are consuming an increasingly large share of the entertainment market despite more entertainment options such as live events, dining and travel nearly all pandemic related restrictions have been lifted with the widespread vaccination rollout.</p><p><blockquote>尽管现场活动、餐饮和旅行等娱乐选择越来越多，但流媒体服务正在消耗娱乐市场越来越大的份额。随着疫苗接种的广泛推广，几乎所有与大流行相关的限制都已取消。</blockquote></p><p> About 79% of the 1,209 U.S. adults said they were now subscribed to more streaming services than ever. The survey claims streaming subscriptions increased to an average of 4.5 streaming providers in June 2021 from 3.9 streaming providers in December 2020 even as monthly household spend on streaming services increased to $55 from $47.</p><p><blockquote>1209名美国成年人中约有79%表示，他们现在订阅的流媒体服务比以往任何时候都多。该调查称，流媒体订阅从2020年12月的3.9家流媒体提供商增加到2021年6月的平均4.5家流媒体提供商，尽管家庭在流媒体服务上的每月支出从47美元增加到55美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How Are They Watching?</b>Viewers increasingly streamed the content via an app on a phone or a tablet leading to a 36% jump in viewership in June 2021 from 25% just more than a year ago. In contrast, respondents who said they used an app on their smart TV rose just 4% during the same time period.</p><p><blockquote><b>他们是怎么看的？</b>观众越来越多地通过手机或平板电脑上的应用程序播放内容，导致2021年6月的收视率从一年多前的25%跃升了36%。相比之下，同期表示在智能电视上使用应用程序的受访者仅增加了4%。</blockquote></p><p> Apps now represent the second-most used streaming connection path. Separate hardware platforms like<b>Roku Inc</b>ROKU,<b>Apple Inc’s</b>AAPLApple TV and Chromecast also got sizable boosts.</p><p><blockquote>应用程序现在代表了第二大最常用的流连接路径。独立的硬件平台，如<b>Roku公司</b>ROKU,<b>苹果公司</b>苹果电视和Chromecast也获得了相当大的提升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Why Are Viewers Spending More?</b>Netflix increased the price of its premium service in October last year followed by a hike by Disney in March. Disney raised the price of Disney+ to $8 a month, or $80 per year. Disney has also given ESPN+ two price increases this year, the second which goes into effect on Aug. 13, which has forced the service’s annual plan increase by about $20 this year alone.</p><p><blockquote><b>为什么观众花钱更多？</b>Netflix于去年10月提高了其高级服务的价格，随后迪士尼于3月份也提高了价格。迪士尼将Disney+的价格提高到每月8美元，即每年80美元。迪士尼今年还对ESPN+进行了两次提价，第二次将于8月13日生效，这迫使该服务的年度计划仅今年就上涨了约20美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What Are They Watching and Where?</b>Lucifer was the most-watched show on streaming sites in June. On May 28, Netflix released the second-half of season 5 of Lucifer, which quickly made it to the top of the charts while Friends made it to the top three.</p><p><blockquote><b>他们在看什么，在哪里看？</b>《路西法》是6月份流媒体网站上收视率最高的节目。5月28日，网飞发布了《路西法》第五季的后半部分，迅速登上排行榜榜首，而《老友记》则进入了前三名。</blockquote></p><p> Netflix is at the&nbsp;top of the mind of views as 89% of respondents said they subscribe to Netflix, followed by Amazon Prime at 76%, Hulu at 64%, and Disney+ at 52%. All three&nbsp;runner-ups experienced significant jumps, particularly Amazon Prime, which is the first non-Netflix platform to break the 70% mark.</p><p><blockquote>网飞是最受关注的，89%的受访者表示他们订阅了网飞，其次是亚马逊Prime，占76%，Hulu占64%，Disney+占52%。所有三个亚军都经历了显着的跃升，尤其是亚马逊Prime，它是第一个突破70%大关的非Netflix平台。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Price Action:</b>Netflix shares closed 1.46% higher at $524.89 on Thursday and those of Disney closed 2.39% higher at $176.71.</p><p><blockquote><b>价格走势：</b>Netflix股价周四收盘上涨1.46%，至524.89美元，迪士尼股价收盘上涨2.39%，至176.71美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1178143364","content_text":"U.S. customers are spending more time and money streaming their favorite shows than they did six months ago, shows the latest J.D. Power survey.\nWhat Happened?The survey found monthly customer spending on streaming platforms, such as Netflix IncNFLX,Amazon.com Inc’sAMZNAmazon Prime, Hulu, andWalt Disney Co’sDIS 0.03%Disney+, has nearly doubled since the spring of 2020.\nStreaming services are consuming an increasingly large share of the entertainment market despite more entertainment options such as live events, dining and travel nearly all pandemic related restrictions have been lifted with the widespread vaccination rollout.\nAbout 79% of the 1,209 U.S. adults said they were now subscribed to more streaming services than ever. The survey claims streaming subscriptions increased to an average of 4.5 streaming providers in June 2021 from 3.9 streaming providers in December 2020 even as monthly household spend on streaming services increased to $55 from $47.\nHow Are They Watching?Viewers increasingly streamed the content via an app on a phone or a tablet leading to a 36% jump in viewership in June 2021 from 25% just more than a year ago. In contrast, respondents who said they used an app on their smart TV rose just 4% during the same time period.\nApps now represent the second-most used streaming connection path. Separate hardware platforms likeRoku IncROKU,Apple Inc’sAAPLApple TV and Chromecast also got sizable boosts.\nWhy Are Viewers Spending More?Netflix increased the price of its premium service in October last year followed by a hike by Disney in March. Disney raised the price of Disney+ to $8 a month, or $80 per year. Disney has also given ESPN+ two price increases this year, the second which goes into effect on Aug. 13, which has forced the service’s annual plan increase by about $20 this year alone.\nWhat Are They Watching and Where?Lucifer was the most-watched show on streaming sites in June. On May 28, Netflix released the second-half of season 5 of Lucifer, which quickly made it to the top of the charts while Friends made it to the top three.\nNetflix is at the top of the mind of views as 89% of respondents said they subscribe to Netflix, followed by Amazon Prime at 76%, Hulu at 64%, and Disney+ at 52%. All three runner-ups experienced significant jumps, particularly Amazon Prime, which is the first non-Netflix platform to break the 70% mark.\nPrice Action:Netflix shares closed 1.46% higher at $524.89 on Thursday and those of Disney closed 2.39% higher at $176.71.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":371,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":805089583,"gmtCreate":1627822908742,"gmtModify":1633756124787,"author":{"id":"3586770271918953","authorId":"3586770271918953","name":"7acb343","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3586770271918953","authorIdStr":"3586770271918953"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/805089583","repostId":"2155001152","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":475,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}