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jkooooo
2021-09-08
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Strategists Say the Stock Market Could Struggle This Fall. What to Buy Now?<blockquote>策略师表示,今年秋天股市可能会陷入困境。现在买什么?</blockquote>
jkooooo
2021-09-07
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2021-08-21
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2021-08-20
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2021-08-19
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2021-08-18
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2021-08-13
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2021-08-13
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2021-08-12
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2021-08-11
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Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>
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2021-08-11
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2021-08-10
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2021-08-10
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2021-08-09
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2021-08-09
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2021-08-09
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Disney, AMC, Coinbase, Airbnb, BioNTech, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>Disney、AMC、Coinbase、爱彼迎、BioNTech等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>
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What to Buy Now?<blockquote>策略师表示,今年秋天股市可能会陷入困境。现在买什么?</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1130130857","media":"Barron's","summary":"What a year this has been for the markets!Fueled by a torrent of monetary and fiscal stimulus, economic and earnings growth, and a mostly receding pandemic, theS&P 500stock index has rallied 20%, notching seven straight months of gains and more than 50 highs along the way. And that’s on top of last year’s 68% rebound from the market’s March 2020 lows.Tailwinds remain in place, but headwinds now loom that could slow stocks’ advance. Stimulus spending has peaked, and economic and corporate-earnin","content":"<p>What a year this has been for the markets! Fueled by a torrent of monetary and fiscal stimulus, economic and earnings growth, and (until recently) a mostly receding pandemic, theS&P 500stock index has rallied 20%, notching seven straight months of gains and more than 50 highs along the way. And that’s on top of last year’s 68% rebound from the market’s March 2020 lows.</p><p><blockquote>对于市场来说,这是多么美好的一年啊!在货币和财政刺激、经济和盈利增长以及(直到最近)疫情基本消退的推动下,标准普尔500股票指数已上涨20%,连续七个月上涨,并创下50多个高点。除此之外,去年市场从2020年3月的低点反弹了68%。</blockquote></p><p> Tailwinds remain in place, but headwinds now loom that could slow stocks’ advance. Stimulus spending has peaked, and economic and corporate-earnings growth are likely to decelerate through the end of the year. What’s more, theFederal Reserve has all but promised to start tapering its bond buyingin coming months, and the Biden administration has proposed hiking corporate and personal tax rates. None of this is apt to sit well with holders of increasingly pricey shares.</p><p><blockquote>顺风依然存在,但逆风现在迫在眉睫,可能会减缓股市的上涨。刺激支出已经见顶,经济和企业盈利增长可能会在今年年底放缓。此外,美联储几乎承诺在未来几个月开始缩减债券购买规模,拜登政府也提议提高企业和个人税率。这些都不会让股价越来越贵的持有者满意。</blockquote></p><p> In other words,brace for a volatile fallin which conflicting forces buffet stocks, bonds, and investors. “The everything rally is behind us,” says Saira Malik, chief investment officer of global equities at Nuveen. “It’s not going to be a sharply rising economic tide that lifts all boats from here.”</p><p><blockquote>换句话说,要做好迎接波动性下跌的准备,这种冲突迫使巴菲特股票、债券和投资者。Nuveen全球股票首席投资官Saira Malik表示:“一切反弹都已经过去。”“这不会是一场急剧上升的经济浪潮,将所有船只从这里抬起。”</blockquote></p><p> That’s the general consensus among the six market strategists and chief investment officers whom<i>Barron’s</i>recently consulted. All see the S&P 500 ending the year near Thursday’s close of 4536. Their average target: 4585.</p><p><blockquote>这是六位市场策略师和首席投资官的普遍共识<i>巴伦周刊</i>最近咨询过。所有人都认为标普500将在周四收盘价4536点附近结束今年。他们的平均目标是:4585。</blockquote></p><p> Next year’s gains look muted, as well, relative to recent trends. The group expects the S&P 500 to tack on another 6% in 2022, rising to about 4800.</p><p><blockquote>相对于最近的趋势,明年的涨幅看起来也很微弱。该集团预计2022年标普500将再增加6%,升至约4800。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb61c7b74b9b0f18a019afb4ac44ad59\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">With stocks trading for about 21 times the coming year’s expected earnings,bonds yielding little, and cash yielding less than nothing after accounting for inflation, investors face tough asset-allocation decisions. In place of the “everything rally,” which lifted fast-growing tech stocks, no-growth meme stocks, and the Dogecoins of the digital world, our market watchers recommend focusing on “quality” investments. In equities, that means shares of businesses with solid balance sheets, expanding profit margins, and ample and recurring free cash flow. Even if the averages do little in coming months, these stocks are likely to shine.</p><p><blockquote>由于股票交易价格约为来年预期收益的21倍,债券收益率很低,考虑通货膨胀后现金收益率低于零,投资者面临着艰难的资产配置决策。我们的市场观察人士建议关注“优质”投资,而不是提振快速增长的科技股、无增长的模因股和数字世界的狗狗币的“一切反弹”。在股票方面,这意味着拥有稳健的资产负债表、不断扩大的利润率以及充足且经常性的自由现金流的企业的股票。即使未来几个月平均指数表现不大,这些股票也可能会大放异彩。</blockquote></p><p> The stock market’s massive rally in the past year was a gift of sorts from the Federal Reserve, which flooded the financial system with money to stave off theeconomic damage wrought by the Covid pandemic. Since March 2020, the U.S. central bank has been buying a combined $120 billion a month of U.S. Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, while keeping its benchmark federal-funds rate target at 0% to 0.25%. These moves have depressed bond yields and pushed investors into riskier assets, including stocks.</p><p><blockquote>过去一年股市的大幅上涨是美联储的一份礼物,美联储向金融体系注入了大量资金,以避免新冠疫情造成的经济损失。自2020年3月以来,美联储每月购买总计1200亿美元的美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券,同时将基准联邦基金利率目标维持在0%至0.25%。这些举措压低了债券收益率,并推动投资者进入包括股票在内的风险较高的资产。</blockquote></p><p> Fed Chairman Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> has said that the central bank might begin to wind down, or taper, its emergency asset purchases sometime in the coming quarters, a move that could roil risk assets of all sorts. “For us, it’s very simple: Tapering is tightening,” says Mike Wilson, chief investment officer and chief U.S. equity strategist atMorgan Stanley.“It’s the first step away from maximum accommodation [by the Fed]. They’re being very calculated about it this time, but the bottom line is that it should have a negative effect on equity valuations.”</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>曾表示,央行可能会在未来几个季度的某个时候开始逐步减少或缩减紧急资产购买,此举可能会扰乱各类风险资产。摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)首席投资官兼首席美国股票策略师威尔逊(Mike Wilson)表示:“对我们来说,缩减规模很简单:缩减规模就是紧缩。这是(美联储)距离最大限度宽松政策迈出的第一步。他们这次对此非常谨慎,但底线是,这应该会对股票估值产生负面影响。”</blockquote></p><p> The government’s stimulus spending, too, has peaked, the strategists note. Supplemental federal unemployment benefits of $300 a week expire as of Sept. 6. Although Congress seems likely to pass a bipartisan infrastructure bill this fall, the near-term economic impact will pale in comparison to the multiple rounds of stimulus introduced since March 2020.</p><p><blockquote>策略师指出,政府的刺激支出也已见顶。每周300美元的补充联邦失业救济金将于9月6日到期。尽管国会似乎有可能在今年秋天通过一项两党基础设施法案,但与2020年3月以来推出的多轮刺激措施相比,近期的经济影响将相形见绌。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2cb76c498c1c4c980139e3d0514c261\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The bill includes about $550 billion in new spending—a fraction of the trillions authorized by previous laws—and it will be spread out over many years. The short-term boost that infrastructure stimulus will give to consumer spending, which accounts for almost 70% of U.S. growth domestic product, won’t come close to what the economy saw after millions of Americans received checks from the government this past year.</p><p><blockquote>该法案包括约5500亿美元的新支出——只是之前法律授权的数万亿美元的一小部分——并且将分散在许多年内。基础设施刺激措施将给消费者支出带来的短期提振,占美国国内生产总值增长的近70%,但不会接近去年数百万美国人收到政府支票后的经济增长。</blockquote></p><p> A budget bill approved by Democrats only should follow the infrastructure bill, and include spending to support Medicare expansion, child-care funding, free community-college tuition, public housing, and climate-related measures, among other party priorities. Congress could vote to lift taxes on corporations and high-earning individuals to offset that spending—another near-term risk to the market.</p><p><blockquote>仅由民主党批准的预算法案应该遵循基础设施法案,并包括支持医疗保险扩张、儿童保育资金、免费社区大学学费、公共住房和气候相关措施以及其他政党优先事项的支出。国会可能会投票提高企业和高收入个人的税收,以抵消这些支出——这是市场面临的另一个近期风险。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6693da658db16059fc99e08a7531675f\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Other politically charged issues likewise could derail equities this fall. Congress needs to pass a debt-ceiling increase to fund the government, and a stop-gap spending bill later this month to avoid a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">Washington</a> shutdown in October.</p><p><blockquote>今年秋天,其他带有政治色彩的问题同样可能会让股市脱轨。国会需要通过提高债务上限来为政府提供资金,并在本月晚些时候通过一项权宜之计的支出法案来避免<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">华盛顿州</a>10月停工。</blockquote></p><p> For now, our market experts are relatively sanguine about the economic impact of the Delta variant of Covid-19. As long as vaccines remain effective in minimizing severe infections that lead to hospitalizations and deaths, the negative effects of the current Covid wave will be limited largely to the travel industry and movie theaters, they say. Wall Street’s base case for the market doesn’t include a renewed wave of lockdowns that would undermine economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>目前,我们的市场专家对Covid-19德尔塔变异毒株的经济影响相对乐观。他们说,只要疫苗在最大限度地减少导致住院和死亡的严重感染方面仍然有效,当前Covid浪潮的负面影响将主要限于旅游业和电影院。华尔街对市场的基本假设不包括会破坏经济增长的新一波封锁。</blockquote></p><p> Inflation has been a hot topic at the Fed and among investors, partly because it has been running so hot of late. The U.S. consumer price index rose at an annualized 5.4% in both June and July—a spike the Fed calls transitory, although others aren’t so sure. The strategists are taking Powell’s side of the argument; they expect inflation to fall significantly next year. Their forecasts fall between 2.5% and 3.5%, which they consider manageable for consumers and companies, and an acceptable side effect of rapid economic growth. An inflation rate above 2.5%, however, combined with Fed tapering, would mean that now ultralow bond yields should rise.</p><p><blockquote>通胀一直是美联储和投资者的热门话题,部分原因是通胀最近非常火爆。6月和7月,美国消费者价格指数年化涨幅为5.4%,这是美联储评级暂时性的飙升,尽管其他人不太确定。策略师们站在鲍威尔一边。他们预计明年通胀将大幅下降。他们的预测在2.5%至3.5%之间,他们认为这对消费者和公司来说是可控的,也是经济快速增长的可接受的副作用。然而,通胀率高于2.5%,加上美联储缩减规模,意味着目前超低的债券收益率应该会上升。</blockquote></p><p> “We think inflation will continue to run hotter than it has since the financial crisis, but it’s hard for us to see inflation much over 2.5% once many of the reopening-related pressures start to dissipate,” says Michael Fredericks, head of income investing for theBlackRockMulti-Asset Strategies Group. “So bond yields do need to move up, but that will happen gradually.”</p><p><blockquote>收益投资主管迈克尔·弗雷德里克斯(Michael Fredericks)表示:“我们认为通胀将继续比金融危机以来更高,但一旦许多与重新开放相关的压力开始消散,我们很难看到通胀率远高于2.5%。”贝莱德多资产策略集团。“因此债券收益率确实需要上升,但这将逐渐发生。”</blockquote></p><p> The strategists see the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note climbing to around 1.65% by year end. That’s about 35 basis points—or hundredths of a percentage point—above current levels, but below the 1.75% that the yield reached at its March 2021 highs. By next year, the 10-year Treasury could yield 2%, the group says. Those aren’t big moves in absolute terms, but they’re meaningful for the bond market—and could be even more so for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>策略师预计,到年底,10年期美国国债收益率将攀升至1.65%左右。这比当前水平高出约35个基点(即百分之几个百分点),但低于2021年3月收益率高点时达到的1.75%。该组织表示,到明年,10年期国债收益率可能达到2%。从绝对值来看,这些举措并不是很大,但对债券市场来说意义重大,对股票来说可能更是如此。</blockquote></p><p> Rising yields tend to weigh on stock valuations for two reasons. Higher-yielding bonds offer competition to stocks, and companies’ future earnings are worthless in the present when discounting them at a higher rate. Still, a 10-year yield around 2% won’t be enough to knock stock valuations down to pre-Covid levels. Even if yields climb, market strategists see the price/earnings multiple of the S&P 500 holding well above its 30-year average of 16 times forward earnings. The index’s forward P/E topped 23 last fall.</p><p><blockquote>收益率上升往往会打压股票估值,原因有二。高收益债券提供了与股票的竞争,当以更高的利率贴现时,公司的未来收益在目前毫无价值。尽管如此,2%左右的10年期国债收益率仍不足以将股票估值降至新冠疫情爆发前的水平。即使收益率攀升,市场策略师认为标普500的市盈率仍远高于预期市盈率16倍的30年平均水平。去年秋天,该指数的远期市盈率突破23。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e08d24cb421d7cc13debd76a9c6fea01\" tg-width=\"660\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> As long as 10-year Treasury yields stay in the 2% range, the S&P 500 should be able to command a forward P/E in the high teens, strategists say. A return to the 16-times long-term average isn’t in the cards until there is more pressure from much higher yields—or something else that causes stocks to fall.</p><p><blockquote>策略师表示,只要10年期国债收益率保持在2%的范围内,标普500的远期市盈率就应该能够在十几岁左右。除非收益率高得多或其他导致股市下跌的因素带来更大压力,否则不可能回到16倍的长期平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> If yields surge past 2% or 2.25%, investors could start to question equity valuations more seriously, says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STT\">State</a> Street’schief portfolio strategist, Gaurav Mallik: “We haven’t seen [the 10-year yield] above 2% for some time now, so that’s an important sentiment level for investors.”</p><p><blockquote>表示,如果收益率飙升超过2%或2.25%,投资者可能会开始更严重地质疑股票估值<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STT\">国家</a>Street首席投资组合策略师Gaurav Mallik:“我们已经有一段时间没有看到(10年期国债收益率)超过2%了,因此这对投资者来说是一个重要的情绪水平。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93ff6490069ab5dc1b4057f1ff7966f3\" tg-width=\"664\" tg-height=\"441\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Wilson is more concerned, noting that the stock market’s valuation risk is asymmetric: “It’s very unlikely that multiples are going to go up, and there’s a good chance that they go down more than 10% given the deceleration in growth and where we are in the cycle,” he says</p><p><blockquote>威尔逊更担心,他指出,股市的估值风险是不对称的:“市盈率不太可能上升,考虑到增长放缓和我们所处的位置,市盈率很有可能下降10%以上。在周期中,”他说</blockquote></p><p> If 16 to 23 times forward earnings is the range, he adds, “you’re already at the very high end of that. There’s more potential risk than reward.”</p><p><blockquote>他补充道,如果预期市盈率为16至23倍,“你已经处于这个范围的很高端。潜在风险大于回报。”</blockquote></p><p> Some P/E-multiple compression is baked into all six strategists’ forecasts, heaping greater importance on the path of profit growth. On average, the strategists expect S&P 500 earnings to jump 46% this year, to about $204, after last year’s earnings depression. That could be followed by a more normalized gain of 9% in 2022, to about $222.50.</p><p><blockquote>所有六位策略师的预测都包含了一些市盈率倍数的压缩,这对利润增长的路径变得更加重要。平均而言,策略师预计,继去年的盈利低迷之后,标普500今年的盈利将增长46%,至204美元左右。随后,2022年可能会上涨9%,达到约222.50美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A potential headwind would be a higher federal corporate-tax rate in 2022. The details of Democrats’ spending and taxation plans will be worked out in the coming weeks, and investors can expect to hear a lot more about potential tax increases. Several strategists see a 25% federal rate on corporate profits as a likely compromise figure, above the 21% in place since 2018, but below the 28% sought by the Biden administration.</p><p><blockquote>一个潜在的阻力是2022年联邦企业税率上升。民主党支出和税收计划的细节将在未来几周内制定出来,投资者可以期待听到更多有关潜在增税的消息。几位策略师认为,25%的联邦企业利润税率可能是一个妥协数字,高于2018年以来实施的21%,但低于拜登政府寻求的28%。</blockquote></p><p> An increase of that magnitude would shave about 5% off S&P 500 earnings next year. The index could drop by a similar amount as the passage of the Democrats’ reconciliation bill nears this fall, but the impact should be limited to that initial correction. As with the tax cuts in December 2017, the change should be a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-time event for the market, some strategists predict.</p><p><blockquote>如此幅度的增长将使标普500明年的盈利减少约5%。随着今年秋天民主党和解法案的通过,该指数可能会下跌类似的幅度,但影响应该仅限于最初的调整。与2017年12月的减税一样,这一变化应该是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>——一些策略师预测,市场的时间事件。</blockquote></p><p> These concerns aside, investors shouldn’t miss the bigger picture: The U.S. economy is in good shape and growing robustly. The strategists expect gross domestic product to rise 6.3% this year and about 4% in 2022. “The cyclical uplift and above-trend growth will continue at least through 2022, and we want to be biased toward assets that have that exposure,” says Mallik.</p><p><blockquote>抛开这些担忧不谈,投资者不应错过更大的图景:美国经济状况良好,增长强劲。策略师预计今年国内生产总值将增长6.3%,2022年将增长约4%。Mallik表示:“周期性上涨和高于趋势的增长将至少持续到2022年,我们希望偏向于具有这种风险的资产。”</blockquote></p><p> “We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next. When GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”— Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets The State Street strategist recommends overweighting materials, financials, and technology in investment portfolios. That approach includes both economically sensitive companies, such as banks and miners, and steady growers in the tech sector.</p><p><blockquote>“今明两年我们的经济将会火爆。当GDP增长高于平均水平时,价值会战胜增长,周期性会战胜防御性。”—Lori Calvasina,加拿大皇家银行资本市场道富策略师建议在投资组合中增持材料、金融和科技股。这种方法既包括银行和矿业公司等对经济敏感的公司,也包括科技行业的稳定增长者。</blockquote></p><p> RBC Capital Markets’ head of U.S. equity strategy, Lori Calvasina, likewise takes a barbell approach, with both cyclical and growth exposure. Her preferred sectors are energy, financials, and technology.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大皇家银行资本市场(RBC Capital Markets)美国股票策略主管洛里·卡尔瓦西纳(Lori Calvasina)同样采取杠铃法,同时投资周期性和成长性。她最喜欢的行业是能源、金融和技术。</blockquote></p><p> “Valuations are still a lot more attractive in financials and energy than growth [sectors such as technology or consumer discretionary,]” Calvasina says. “The catalyst in the near term is getting out of the current Covid wave... We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next, and traditionally when GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”</p><p><blockquote>卡尔瓦西纳表示:“金融和能源行业的估值仍然比增长行业(科技或非必需消费品等行业)更具吸引力。”“近期的催化剂是摆脱当前的新冠疫情浪潮……今年和明年我们将迎来经济火爆,传统上,当GDP增长高于平均水平时,价值会跑赢增长,周期性会跑赢防御性。”</blockquote></p><p> But the focus on quality will be pivotal, especially moving into the second half of 2022. That’s when the Fed is likely to hike interest rates for the first time in this cycle. By 2023, the economy could return to pre-Covid growth on the order of 2%.</p><p><blockquote>但对质量的关注将是关键,尤其是进入2022年下半年。届时美联储可能会在本周期内首次加息。到2023年,经济可能会恢复到新冠疫情前2%左右的增长。</blockquote></p><p> “The historical playbook is that coming out of a recession, you tend to see low-quality outperformance that lasts about a year, then leadership flips back to high quality,” Calvasina says. “But that transition from low quality back to high quality tends to be very bumpy.”</p><p><blockquote>卡尔瓦西纳表示:“历史上的剧本是,走出衰退后,你往往会看到持续一年左右的低质量优异表现,然后领导力又会恢复到高质量。”“但从低质量回到高质量的转变往往非常坎坷。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Shopping List for Fall</b></p><p><blockquote><b>秋季购物清单</b></blockquote></p><p> Most strategists favor a combination of economically sensitive stocks and steady growers, including tech shares. Financials should do well, particularly if bond yields rise.</p><p><blockquote>大多数策略师青睐对经济敏感的股票和稳定增长的股票(包括科技股)的组合。金融股应该会表现良好,特别是如果债券收益率上升的话。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a54c4bd114c1a5f7f700d1fc14d30d8e\" tg-width=\"970\" tg-height=\"230\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Although stocks with quality attributes have outperformed the market this summer, according to a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">BlackRock</a> analysis, the quality factor has lagged since positive vaccine news was first reported last November.</p><p><blockquote>尽管今年夏天具有质量属性的股票表现优于大盘,但根据一家<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">贝莱德</a>分析,自去年11月首次报道疫苗正面消息以来,质量因素一直滞后。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re moving into a mid-cycle environment, when underlying economic growth remains strong but momentum begins to decelerate,” BlackRock’s Fredericks says. “Our research shows that quality stocks perform particularly well in such a period.”</p><p><blockquote>贝莱德的弗雷德里克斯表示:“我们正在进入周期中期环境,基本经济增长仍然强劲,但势头开始减速。”“我们的研究表明,优质股票在这样的时期表现尤其出色。”</blockquote></p><p> He recommends overweighting profitable technology companies; financials, including banks, and consumer staples and industrials with those quality characteristics.</p><p><blockquote>他建议增持盈利的科技公司;金融,包括银行,以及具有这些质量特征的消费品和工业。</blockquote></p><p> For <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">Wells Fargo</a>’s head of equity strategy, Christopher Harvey, a mix of post-pandemic beneficiaries and defensive exposure is the way to go. He constructed a basket of stocks with lower-than-average volatility—which should outperform during periods of market uncertainty or stress this fall—and high “Covid beta,” or sensitivity to good or bad news about the pandemic. One requirement; The stocks had to be rated the equivalent of Buy by Wells Fargo’s equity analysts.</p><p><blockquote>为了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">富国银行</a>股票策略主管克里斯托弗·哈维(Christopher Harvey)表示,大流行后受益者和防御性敞口的结合才是正确的选择。他构建了一篮子波动性低于平均水平的股票——在今年秋季市场不确定性或压力时期,这些股票应该会跑赢大盘——并且“新冠贝塔值”较高,即对有关大流行的好消息或坏消息的敏感性。一个要求;富国银行的股票分析师必须将这些股票评级为“买入”。</blockquote></p><p> “There’s near-term economic uncertainty, interest-rate uncertainty, and Covid risk, and generally we’re in a seasonally weaker part of the year around September,” says Harvey. “If we can balance low vol and high Covid beta, we can mitigate a lot of the upcoming uncertainty and volatility around timing of several of those catalysts. Longer-term, though, we still want to have that [reopening exposure.]”</p><p><blockquote>哈维表示:“近期经济存在不确定性、利率不确定性和新冠病毒风险,一般来说,我们正处于9月份左右的季节性疲软时期。”“如果我们能够平衡低波动性和高新贝塔值,我们就可以减轻其中几种催化剂时机即将到来的不确定性和波动性。不过,从长远来看,我们仍然希望[重新开放风险。]”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Harvey’s list of low-volatility stocks with high Covid beta includesApple(AAPL),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>(BAC),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTRSP\">Northern</a> Trust(NTRS),Lowe’s(LOW),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQV\">IQVIA</a> Holdings(IQV), andMasco(MAS).</p><p><blockquote>哈维列出的具有高新贝塔值的低波动性股票名单包括苹果(AAPL)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>(BAC),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTRSP\">北方的</a>信托(NTRS)、劳氏(LOW)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQV\">IQVIA</a>控股公司(IQV)和马斯科公司(MAS)。</blockquote></p><p> Overall, banks are the most frequently recommended group for the months ahead. TheInvesco KBW Bankexchange-traded fund (KBWB) provides broad exposure to the sector in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言,银行是未来几个月最常被推荐的群体。Invesco KBW银行交易所交易基金(KBWB)提供对美国该行业的广泛投资。</blockquote></p><p> “We like the valuations [and] credit quality; they are now allowed to buy back shares and increase dividends, and there’s higher Covid beta,” says Harvey.</p><p><blockquote>“我们喜欢估值和信用质量;他们现在被允许回购股票并增加股息,而且新冠贝塔值更高,”哈维说。</blockquote></p><p> Cheaper valuations mean less potential downside in a market correction. And, contrary to much of the rest of the stock market, higher interest rates would be a tailwind for the banks, which could then charge more for loans.</p><p><blockquote>较低的估值意味着市场调整中潜在的下行空间较小。而且,与股市的其他大部分地区相反,更高的利率将成为银行的顺风车,银行可能会收取更高的贷款费用。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">Healthcare</a> stocks also have some fans. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HR\">Healthcare</a> has both defensive and growth attributes to it,” Wilson says. “You’re paying a lot less per unit of growth in healthcare today than you are in other sectors. So we think it provides good balance in this market when we’re worried about valuation.” Health insurerHumana(HUM) makes Wilson’s “Fresh Money Buy List” of stocks Buy-rated by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a> analysts and fitting his macro views.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">医疗保健</a>股票也有一些粉丝。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HR\">医疗保健</a>具有防御性和成长性,”威尔逊说。“如今,医疗保健行业每单位增长支付的费用比其他行业低得多。因此,我们认为,当我们担心估值时,它为这个市场提供了良好的平衡。”健康保险公司Humana(HUM)跻身威尔逊“新鲜资金买入名单”股票买入评级<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>分析师并符合他的宏观观点。</blockquote></p><p> Nuveen’s Malik is also looking toward health care for relatively underpriced growth exposure, namely in the pharmaceuticals and biotechnology groups. She points toSeagen(SGEN), which is focused on oncology drugs and could be an attractive acquisition target for a pharma giant.</p><p><blockquote>Nuveen的Malik还将目光投向医疗保健领域,以获得相对低估的增长机会,即制药和生物技术领域。她指出了Seagen(SGEN),该公司专注于肿瘤药物,可能成为制药巨头有吸引力的收购目标。</blockquote></p><p> Malik also likesAbbVie(ABBV) which trades at an undemanding eight times forward earnings and sports a 4.7% dividend yield. The coming expiration of patents on its blockbuster anti-inflammatory drug Humira has kept some investors away, but Malik is confident that management can limit the damage and sees promising drugs in development at the $200 billion company.</p><p><blockquote>马利克还喜欢艾伯维(ABBV),该公司的预期市盈率为8倍,股息收益率为4.7%。其重磅抗炎药修美乐(Humira)的专利即将到期,这让一些投资者望而却步,但马利克相信管理层能够限制损失,并看到这家价值2000亿美元的公司正在开发有前途的药物。</blockquote></p><p> Both stocks have had a tough time in recent days. Seagen fell more than 8% last week, to around $152, on news that its co-founder and CEO sold a large number of shares recently. AndAbbVietanked 7% Wednesday, to $112.27, after the Food and Drug Administration required new warning labels for JAK inhibitors, a type of anti-rheumatoid drug that includes one of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABBV\">AbbVie</a>’s most promising post-Humira products.</p><p><blockquote>这两只股票最近几天都过得很艰难。Seagen上周跌超8%,报152美元左右,因有消息称其联合创始人兼首席执行官近期大量抛售股票。在美国食品和药物管理局要求为JAK抑制剂贴上新的警告标签后,ABBVIE周三上涨7%,至112.27美元。JAK抑制剂是一种抗类风湿药物,其中包括一种<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABBV\">艾伯维</a>最有前途的后修美乐产品。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a>(PFE),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">American Express</a>(AXP),Johnson & Johnson(JNJ), andCisco Systems(CSCO) are other S&P 500 members that pass a<i>Barron’s</i>screen for quality attributes.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>(PFE),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">美国运通</a>(AXP)、强生(JNJ)和思科系统(CSCO)是其他通过A的标普500成员<i>巴伦周刊</i>筛选质量属性。</blockquote></p><p> After a year of steady gains, investors might be reminded this fall that stocks can also decline, as growth momentum and policy support begin to fade. But underlying economic strength supports buying the dip, should the market drop from its highs. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> be more selective. And go with quality.</p><p><blockquote>经过一年的稳定上涨后,今年秋天投资者可能会被提醒,随着增长势头和政策支持开始消退,股市也可能下跌。但如果市场从高点下跌,潜在的经济实力支持逢低买入。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>更有选择性。追求质量。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Strategists Say the Stock Market Could Struggle This Fall. What to Buy Now?<blockquote>策略师表示,今年秋天股市可能会陷入困境。现在买什么?</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStrategists Say the Stock Market Could Struggle This Fall. What to Buy Now?<blockquote>策略师表示,今年秋天股市可能会陷入困境。现在买什么?</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-07 17:32</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>What a year this has been for the markets! Fueled by a torrent of monetary and fiscal stimulus, economic and earnings growth, and (until recently) a mostly receding pandemic, theS&P 500stock index has rallied 20%, notching seven straight months of gains and more than 50 highs along the way. And that’s on top of last year’s 68% rebound from the market’s March 2020 lows.</p><p><blockquote>对于市场来说,这是多么美好的一年啊!在货币和财政刺激、经济和盈利增长以及(直到最近)疫情基本消退的推动下,标准普尔500股票指数已上涨20%,连续七个月上涨,并创下50多个高点。除此之外,去年市场从2020年3月的低点反弹了68%。</blockquote></p><p> Tailwinds remain in place, but headwinds now loom that could slow stocks’ advance. Stimulus spending has peaked, and economic and corporate-earnings growth are likely to decelerate through the end of the year. What’s more, theFederal Reserve has all but promised to start tapering its bond buyingin coming months, and the Biden administration has proposed hiking corporate and personal tax rates. None of this is apt to sit well with holders of increasingly pricey shares.</p><p><blockquote>顺风依然存在,但逆风现在迫在眉睫,可能会减缓股市的上涨。刺激支出已经见顶,经济和企业盈利增长可能会在今年年底放缓。此外,美联储几乎承诺在未来几个月开始缩减债券购买规模,拜登政府也提议提高企业和个人税率。这些都不会让股价越来越贵的持有者满意。</blockquote></p><p> In other words,brace for a volatile fallin which conflicting forces buffet stocks, bonds, and investors. “The everything rally is behind us,” says Saira Malik, chief investment officer of global equities at Nuveen. “It’s not going to be a sharply rising economic tide that lifts all boats from here.”</p><p><blockquote>换句话说,要做好迎接波动性下跌的准备,这种冲突迫使巴菲特股票、债券和投资者。Nuveen全球股票首席投资官Saira Malik表示:“一切反弹都已经过去。”“这不会是一场急剧上升的经济浪潮,将所有船只从这里抬起。”</blockquote></p><p> That’s the general consensus among the six market strategists and chief investment officers whom<i>Barron’s</i>recently consulted. All see the S&P 500 ending the year near Thursday’s close of 4536. Their average target: 4585.</p><p><blockquote>这是六位市场策略师和首席投资官的普遍共识<i>巴伦周刊</i>最近咨询过。所有人都认为标普500将在周四收盘价4536点附近结束今年。他们的平均目标是:4585。</blockquote></p><p> Next year’s gains look muted, as well, relative to recent trends. The group expects the S&P 500 to tack on another 6% in 2022, rising to about 4800.</p><p><blockquote>相对于最近的趋势,明年的涨幅看起来也很微弱。该集团预计2022年标普500将再增加6%,升至约4800。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eb61c7b74b9b0f18a019afb4ac44ad59\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">With stocks trading for about 21 times the coming year’s expected earnings,bonds yielding little, and cash yielding less than nothing after accounting for inflation, investors face tough asset-allocation decisions. In place of the “everything rally,” which lifted fast-growing tech stocks, no-growth meme stocks, and the Dogecoins of the digital world, our market watchers recommend focusing on “quality” investments. In equities, that means shares of businesses with solid balance sheets, expanding profit margins, and ample and recurring free cash flow. Even if the averages do little in coming months, these stocks are likely to shine.</p><p><blockquote>由于股票交易价格约为来年预期收益的21倍,债券收益率很低,考虑通货膨胀后现金收益率低于零,投资者面临着艰难的资产配置决策。我们的市场观察人士建议关注“优质”投资,而不是提振快速增长的科技股、无增长的模因股和数字世界的狗狗币的“一切反弹”。在股票方面,这意味着拥有稳健的资产负债表、不断扩大的利润率以及充足且经常性的自由现金流的企业的股票。即使未来几个月平均指数表现不大,这些股票也可能会大放异彩。</blockquote></p><p> The stock market’s massive rally in the past year was a gift of sorts from the Federal Reserve, which flooded the financial system with money to stave off theeconomic damage wrought by the Covid pandemic. Since March 2020, the U.S. central bank has been buying a combined $120 billion a month of U.S. Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, while keeping its benchmark federal-funds rate target at 0% to 0.25%. These moves have depressed bond yields and pushed investors into riskier assets, including stocks.</p><p><blockquote>过去一年股市的大幅上涨是美联储的一份礼物,美联储向金融体系注入了大量资金,以避免新冠疫情造成的经济损失。自2020年3月以来,美联储每月购买总计1200亿美元的美国国债和抵押贷款支持证券,同时将基准联邦基金利率目标维持在0%至0.25%。这些举措压低了债券收益率,并推动投资者进入包括股票在内的风险较高的资产。</blockquote></p><p> Fed Chairman Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> has said that the central bank might begin to wind down, or taper, its emergency asset purchases sometime in the coming quarters, a move that could roil risk assets of all sorts. “For us, it’s very simple: Tapering is tightening,” says Mike Wilson, chief investment officer and chief U.S. equity strategist atMorgan Stanley.“It’s the first step away from maximum accommodation [by the Fed]. They’re being very calculated about it this time, but the bottom line is that it should have a negative effect on equity valuations.”</p><p><blockquote>美联储主席杰罗姆<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>曾表示,央行可能会在未来几个季度的某个时候开始逐步减少或缩减紧急资产购买,此举可能会扰乱各类风险资产。摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)首席投资官兼首席美国股票策略师威尔逊(Mike Wilson)表示:“对我们来说,缩减规模很简单:缩减规模就是紧缩。这是(美联储)距离最大限度宽松政策迈出的第一步。他们这次对此非常谨慎,但底线是,这应该会对股票估值产生负面影响。”</blockquote></p><p> The government’s stimulus spending, too, has peaked, the strategists note. Supplemental federal unemployment benefits of $300 a week expire as of Sept. 6. Although Congress seems likely to pass a bipartisan infrastructure bill this fall, the near-term economic impact will pale in comparison to the multiple rounds of stimulus introduced since March 2020.</p><p><blockquote>策略师指出,政府的刺激支出也已见顶。每周300美元的补充联邦失业救济金将于9月6日到期。尽管国会似乎有可能在今年秋天通过一项两党基础设施法案,但与2020年3月以来推出的多轮刺激措施相比,近期的经济影响将相形见绌。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c2cb76c498c1c4c980139e3d0514c261\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The bill includes about $550 billion in new spending—a fraction of the trillions authorized by previous laws—and it will be spread out over many years. The short-term boost that infrastructure stimulus will give to consumer spending, which accounts for almost 70% of U.S. growth domestic product, won’t come close to what the economy saw after millions of Americans received checks from the government this past year.</p><p><blockquote>该法案包括约5500亿美元的新支出——只是之前法律授权的数万亿美元的一小部分——并且将分散在许多年内。基础设施刺激措施将给消费者支出带来的短期提振,占美国国内生产总值增长的近70%,但不会接近去年数百万美国人收到政府支票后的经济增长。</blockquote></p><p> A budget bill approved by Democrats only should follow the infrastructure bill, and include spending to support Medicare expansion, child-care funding, free community-college tuition, public housing, and climate-related measures, among other party priorities. Congress could vote to lift taxes on corporations and high-earning individuals to offset that spending—another near-term risk to the market.</p><p><blockquote>仅由民主党批准的预算法案应该遵循基础设施法案,并包括支持医疗保险扩张、儿童保育资金、免费社区大学学费、公共住房和气候相关措施以及其他政党优先事项的支出。国会可能会投票提高企业和高收入个人的税收,以抵消这些支出——这是市场面临的另一个近期风险。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6693da658db16059fc99e08a7531675f\" tg-width=\"300\" tg-height=\"645\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Other politically charged issues likewise could derail equities this fall. Congress needs to pass a debt-ceiling increase to fund the government, and a stop-gap spending bill later this month to avoid a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">Washington</a> shutdown in October.</p><p><blockquote>今年秋天,其他带有政治色彩的问题同样可能会让股市脱轨。国会需要通过提高债务上限来为政府提供资金,并在本月晚些时候通过一项权宜之计的支出法案来避免<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">华盛顿州</a>10月停工。</blockquote></p><p> For now, our market experts are relatively sanguine about the economic impact of the Delta variant of Covid-19. As long as vaccines remain effective in minimizing severe infections that lead to hospitalizations and deaths, the negative effects of the current Covid wave will be limited largely to the travel industry and movie theaters, they say. Wall Street’s base case for the market doesn’t include a renewed wave of lockdowns that would undermine economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>目前,我们的市场专家对Covid-19德尔塔变异毒株的经济影响相对乐观。他们说,只要疫苗在最大限度地减少导致住院和死亡的严重感染方面仍然有效,当前Covid浪潮的负面影响将主要限于旅游业和电影院。华尔街对市场的基本假设不包括会破坏经济增长的新一波封锁。</blockquote></p><p> Inflation has been a hot topic at the Fed and among investors, partly because it has been running so hot of late. The U.S. consumer price index rose at an annualized 5.4% in both June and July—a spike the Fed calls transitory, although others aren’t so sure. The strategists are taking Powell’s side of the argument; they expect inflation to fall significantly next year. Their forecasts fall between 2.5% and 3.5%, which they consider manageable for consumers and companies, and an acceptable side effect of rapid economic growth. An inflation rate above 2.5%, however, combined with Fed tapering, would mean that now ultralow bond yields should rise.</p><p><blockquote>通胀一直是美联储和投资者的热门话题,部分原因是通胀最近非常火爆。6月和7月,美国消费者价格指数年化涨幅为5.4%,这是美联储评级暂时性的飙升,尽管其他人不太确定。策略师们站在鲍威尔一边。他们预计明年通胀将大幅下降。他们的预测在2.5%至3.5%之间,他们认为这对消费者和公司来说是可控的,也是经济快速增长的可接受的副作用。然而,通胀率高于2.5%,加上美联储缩减规模,意味着目前超低的债券收益率应该会上升。</blockquote></p><p> “We think inflation will continue to run hotter than it has since the financial crisis, but it’s hard for us to see inflation much over 2.5% once many of the reopening-related pressures start to dissipate,” says Michael Fredericks, head of income investing for theBlackRockMulti-Asset Strategies Group. “So bond yields do need to move up, but that will happen gradually.”</p><p><blockquote>收益投资主管迈克尔·弗雷德里克斯(Michael Fredericks)表示:“我们认为通胀将继续比金融危机以来更高,但一旦许多与重新开放相关的压力开始消散,我们很难看到通胀率远高于2.5%。”贝莱德多资产策略集团。“因此债券收益率确实需要上升,但这将逐渐发生。”</blockquote></p><p> The strategists see the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note climbing to around 1.65% by year end. That’s about 35 basis points—or hundredths of a percentage point—above current levels, but below the 1.75% that the yield reached at its March 2021 highs. By next year, the 10-year Treasury could yield 2%, the group says. Those aren’t big moves in absolute terms, but they’re meaningful for the bond market—and could be even more so for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>策略师预计,到年底,10年期美国国债收益率将攀升至1.65%左右。这比当前水平高出约35个基点(即百分之几个百分点),但低于2021年3月收益率高点时达到的1.75%。该组织表示,到明年,10年期国债收益率可能达到2%。从绝对值来看,这些举措并不是很大,但对债券市场来说意义重大,对股票来说可能更是如此。</blockquote></p><p> Rising yields tend to weigh on stock valuations for two reasons. Higher-yielding bonds offer competition to stocks, and companies’ future earnings are worthless in the present when discounting them at a higher rate. Still, a 10-year yield around 2% won’t be enough to knock stock valuations down to pre-Covid levels. Even if yields climb, market strategists see the price/earnings multiple of the S&P 500 holding well above its 30-year average of 16 times forward earnings. The index’s forward P/E topped 23 last fall.</p><p><blockquote>收益率上升往往会打压股票估值,原因有二。高收益债券提供了与股票的竞争,当以更高的利率贴现时,公司的未来收益在目前毫无价值。尽管如此,2%左右的10年期国债收益率仍不足以将股票估值降至新冠疫情爆发前的水平。即使收益率攀升,市场策略师认为标普500的市盈率仍远高于预期市盈率16倍的30年平均水平。去年秋天,该指数的远期市盈率突破23。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e08d24cb421d7cc13debd76a9c6fea01\" tg-width=\"660\" tg-height=\"434\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> As long as 10-year Treasury yields stay in the 2% range, the S&P 500 should be able to command a forward P/E in the high teens, strategists say. A return to the 16-times long-term average isn’t in the cards until there is more pressure from much higher yields—or something else that causes stocks to fall.</p><p><blockquote>策略师表示,只要10年期国债收益率保持在2%的范围内,标普500的远期市盈率就应该能够在十几岁左右。除非收益率高得多或其他导致股市下跌的因素带来更大压力,否则不可能回到16倍的长期平均水平。</blockquote></p><p> If yields surge past 2% or 2.25%, investors could start to question equity valuations more seriously, says <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STT\">State</a> Street’schief portfolio strategist, Gaurav Mallik: “We haven’t seen [the 10-year yield] above 2% for some time now, so that’s an important sentiment level for investors.”</p><p><blockquote>表示,如果收益率飙升超过2%或2.25%,投资者可能会开始更严重地质疑股票估值<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STT\">国家</a>Street首席投资组合策略师Gaurav Mallik:“我们已经有一段时间没有看到(10年期国债收益率)超过2%了,因此这对投资者来说是一个重要的情绪水平。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/93ff6490069ab5dc1b4057f1ff7966f3\" tg-width=\"664\" tg-height=\"441\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Wilson is more concerned, noting that the stock market’s valuation risk is asymmetric: “It’s very unlikely that multiples are going to go up, and there’s a good chance that they go down more than 10% given the deceleration in growth and where we are in the cycle,” he says</p><p><blockquote>威尔逊更担心,他指出,股市的估值风险是不对称的:“市盈率不太可能上升,考虑到增长放缓和我们所处的位置,市盈率很有可能下降10%以上。在周期中,”他说</blockquote></p><p> If 16 to 23 times forward earnings is the range, he adds, “you’re already at the very high end of that. There’s more potential risk than reward.”</p><p><blockquote>他补充道,如果预期市盈率为16至23倍,“你已经处于这个范围的很高端。潜在风险大于回报。”</blockquote></p><p> Some P/E-multiple compression is baked into all six strategists’ forecasts, heaping greater importance on the path of profit growth. On average, the strategists expect S&P 500 earnings to jump 46% this year, to about $204, after last year’s earnings depression. That could be followed by a more normalized gain of 9% in 2022, to about $222.50.</p><p><blockquote>所有六位策略师的预测都包含了一些市盈率倍数的压缩,这对利润增长的路径变得更加重要。平均而言,策略师预计,继去年的盈利低迷之后,标普500今年的盈利将增长46%,至204美元左右。随后,2022年可能会上涨9%,达到约222.50美元。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> A potential headwind would be a higher federal corporate-tax rate in 2022. The details of Democrats’ spending and taxation plans will be worked out in the coming weeks, and investors can expect to hear a lot more about potential tax increases. Several strategists see a 25% federal rate on corporate profits as a likely compromise figure, above the 21% in place since 2018, but below the 28% sought by the Biden administration.</p><p><blockquote>一个潜在的阻力是2022年联邦企业税率上升。民主党支出和税收计划的细节将在未来几周内制定出来,投资者可以期待听到更多有关潜在增税的消息。几位策略师认为,25%的联邦企业利润税率可能是一个妥协数字,高于2018年以来实施的21%,但低于拜登政府寻求的28%。</blockquote></p><p> An increase of that magnitude would shave about 5% off S&P 500 earnings next year. The index could drop by a similar amount as the passage of the Democrats’ reconciliation bill nears this fall, but the impact should be limited to that initial correction. As with the tax cuts in December 2017, the change should be a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a>-time event for the market, some strategists predict.</p><p><blockquote>如此幅度的增长将使标普500明年的盈利减少约5%。随着今年秋天民主党和解法案的通过,该指数可能会下跌类似的幅度,但影响应该仅限于最初的调整。与2017年12月的减税一样,这一变化应该是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>——一些策略师预测,市场的时间事件。</blockquote></p><p> These concerns aside, investors shouldn’t miss the bigger picture: The U.S. economy is in good shape and growing robustly. The strategists expect gross domestic product to rise 6.3% this year and about 4% in 2022. “The cyclical uplift and above-trend growth will continue at least through 2022, and we want to be biased toward assets that have that exposure,” says Mallik.</p><p><blockquote>抛开这些担忧不谈,投资者不应错过更大的图景:美国经济状况良好,增长强劲。策略师预计今年国内生产总值将增长6.3%,2022年将增长约4%。Mallik表示:“周期性上涨和高于趋势的增长将至少持续到2022年,我们希望偏向于具有这种风险的资产。”</blockquote></p><p> “We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next. When GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”— Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets The State Street strategist recommends overweighting materials, financials, and technology in investment portfolios. That approach includes both economically sensitive companies, such as banks and miners, and steady growers in the tech sector.</p><p><blockquote>“今明两年我们的经济将会火爆。当GDP增长高于平均水平时,价值会战胜增长,周期性会战胜防御性。”—Lori Calvasina,加拿大皇家银行资本市场道富策略师建议在投资组合中增持材料、金融和科技股。这种方法既包括银行和矿业公司等对经济敏感的公司,也包括科技行业的稳定增长者。</blockquote></p><p> RBC Capital Markets’ head of U.S. equity strategy, Lori Calvasina, likewise takes a barbell approach, with both cyclical and growth exposure. Her preferred sectors are energy, financials, and technology.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大皇家银行资本市场(RBC Capital Markets)美国股票策略主管洛里·卡尔瓦西纳(Lori Calvasina)同样采取杠铃法,同时投资周期性和成长性。她最喜欢的行业是能源、金融和技术。</blockquote></p><p> “Valuations are still a lot more attractive in financials and energy than growth [sectors such as technology or consumer discretionary,]” Calvasina says. “The catalyst in the near term is getting out of the current Covid wave... We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next, and traditionally when GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”</p><p><blockquote>卡尔瓦西纳表示:“金融和能源行业的估值仍然比增长行业(科技或非必需消费品等行业)更具吸引力。”“近期的催化剂是摆脱当前的新冠疫情浪潮……今年和明年我们将迎来经济火爆,传统上,当GDP增长高于平均水平时,价值会跑赢增长,周期性会跑赢防御性。”</blockquote></p><p> But the focus on quality will be pivotal, especially moving into the second half of 2022. That’s when the Fed is likely to hike interest rates for the first time in this cycle. By 2023, the economy could return to pre-Covid growth on the order of 2%.</p><p><blockquote>但对质量的关注将是关键,尤其是进入2022年下半年。届时美联储可能会在本周期内首次加息。到2023年,经济可能会恢复到新冠疫情前2%左右的增长。</blockquote></p><p> “The historical playbook is that coming out of a recession, you tend to see low-quality outperformance that lasts about a year, then leadership flips back to high quality,” Calvasina says. “But that transition from low quality back to high quality tends to be very bumpy.”</p><p><blockquote>卡尔瓦西纳表示:“历史上的剧本是,走出衰退后,你往往会看到持续一年左右的低质量优异表现,然后领导力又会恢复到高质量。”“但从低质量回到高质量的转变往往非常坎坷。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Shopping List for Fall</b></p><p><blockquote><b>秋季购物清单</b></blockquote></p><p> Most strategists favor a combination of economically sensitive stocks and steady growers, including tech shares. Financials should do well, particularly if bond yields rise.</p><p><blockquote>大多数策略师青睐对经济敏感的股票和稳定增长的股票(包括科技股)的组合。金融股应该会表现良好,特别是如果债券收益率上升的话。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a54c4bd114c1a5f7f700d1fc14d30d8e\" tg-width=\"970\" tg-height=\"230\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Although stocks with quality attributes have outperformed the market this summer, according to a <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">BlackRock</a> analysis, the quality factor has lagged since positive vaccine news was first reported last November.</p><p><blockquote>尽管今年夏天具有质量属性的股票表现优于大盘,但根据一家<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">贝莱德</a>分析,自去年11月首次报道疫苗正面消息以来,质量因素一直滞后。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re moving into a mid-cycle environment, when underlying economic growth remains strong but momentum begins to decelerate,” BlackRock’s Fredericks says. “Our research shows that quality stocks perform particularly well in such a period.”</p><p><blockquote>贝莱德的弗雷德里克斯表示:“我们正在进入周期中期环境,基本经济增长仍然强劲,但势头开始减速。”“我们的研究表明,优质股票在这样的时期表现尤其出色。”</blockquote></p><p> He recommends overweighting profitable technology companies; financials, including banks, and consumer staples and industrials with those quality characteristics.</p><p><blockquote>他建议增持盈利的科技公司;金融,包括银行,以及具有这些质量特征的消费品和工业。</blockquote></p><p> For <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">Wells Fargo</a>’s head of equity strategy, Christopher Harvey, a mix of post-pandemic beneficiaries and defensive exposure is the way to go. He constructed a basket of stocks with lower-than-average volatility—which should outperform during periods of market uncertainty or stress this fall—and high “Covid beta,” or sensitivity to good or bad news about the pandemic. One requirement; The stocks had to be rated the equivalent of Buy by Wells Fargo’s equity analysts.</p><p><blockquote>为了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">富国银行</a>股票策略主管克里斯托弗·哈维(Christopher Harvey)表示,大流行后受益者和防御性敞口的结合才是正确的选择。他构建了一篮子波动性低于平均水平的股票——在今年秋季市场不确定性或压力时期,这些股票应该会跑赢大盘——并且“新冠贝塔值”较高,即对有关大流行的好消息或坏消息的敏感性。一个要求;富国银行的股票分析师必须将这些股票评级为“买入”。</blockquote></p><p> “There’s near-term economic uncertainty, interest-rate uncertainty, and Covid risk, and generally we’re in a seasonally weaker part of the year around September,” says Harvey. “If we can balance low vol and high Covid beta, we can mitigate a lot of the upcoming uncertainty and volatility around timing of several of those catalysts. Longer-term, though, we still want to have that [reopening exposure.]”</p><p><blockquote>哈维表示:“近期经济存在不确定性、利率不确定性和新冠病毒风险,一般来说,我们正处于9月份左右的季节性疲软时期。”“如果我们能够平衡低波动性和高新贝塔值,我们就可以减轻其中几种催化剂时机即将到来的不确定性和波动性。不过,从长远来看,我们仍然希望[重新开放风险。]”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Harvey’s list of low-volatility stocks with high Covid beta includesApple(AAPL),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a>(BAC),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTRSP\">Northern</a> Trust(NTRS),Lowe’s(LOW),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQV\">IQVIA</a> Holdings(IQV), andMasco(MAS).</p><p><blockquote>哈维列出的具有高新贝塔值的低波动性股票名单包括苹果(AAPL)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>(BAC),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NTRSP\">北方的</a>信托(NTRS)、劳氏(LOW)、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IQV\">IQVIA</a>控股公司(IQV)和马斯科公司(MAS)。</blockquote></p><p> Overall, banks are the most frequently recommended group for the months ahead. TheInvesco KBW Bankexchange-traded fund (KBWB) provides broad exposure to the sector in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言,银行是未来几个月最常被推荐的群体。Invesco KBW银行交易所交易基金(KBWB)提供对美国该行业的广泛投资。</blockquote></p><p> “We like the valuations [and] credit quality; they are now allowed to buy back shares and increase dividends, and there’s higher Covid beta,” says Harvey.</p><p><blockquote>“我们喜欢估值和信用质量;他们现在被允许回购股票并增加股息,而且新冠贝塔值更高,”哈维说。</blockquote></p><p> Cheaper valuations mean less potential downside in a market correction. And, contrary to much of the rest of the stock market, higher interest rates would be a tailwind for the banks, which could then charge more for loans.</p><p><blockquote>较低的估值意味着市场调整中潜在的下行空间较小。而且,与股市的其他大部分地区相反,更高的利率将成为银行的顺风车,银行可能会收取更高的贷款费用。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">Healthcare</a> stocks also have some fans. “<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HR\">Healthcare</a> has both defensive and growth attributes to it,” Wilson says. “You’re paying a lot less per unit of growth in healthcare today than you are in other sectors. So we think it provides good balance in this market when we’re worried about valuation.” Health insurerHumana(HUM) makes Wilson’s “Fresh Money Buy List” of stocks Buy-rated by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">Morgan Stanley</a> analysts and fitting his macro views.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HCSG\">医疗保健</a>股票也有一些粉丝。”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HR\">医疗保健</a>具有防御性和成长性,”威尔逊说。“如今,医疗保健行业每单位增长支付的费用比其他行业低得多。因此,我们认为,当我们担心估值时,它为这个市场提供了良好的平衡。”健康保险公司Humana(HUM)跻身威尔逊“新鲜资金买入名单”股票买入评级<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>分析师并符合他的宏观观点。</blockquote></p><p> Nuveen’s Malik is also looking toward health care for relatively underpriced growth exposure, namely in the pharmaceuticals and biotechnology groups. She points toSeagen(SGEN), which is focused on oncology drugs and could be an attractive acquisition target for a pharma giant.</p><p><blockquote>Nuveen的Malik还将目光投向医疗保健领域,以获得相对低估的增长机会,即制药和生物技术领域。她指出了Seagen(SGEN),该公司专注于肿瘤药物,可能成为制药巨头有吸引力的收购目标。</blockquote></p><p> Malik also likesAbbVie(ABBV) which trades at an undemanding eight times forward earnings and sports a 4.7% dividend yield. The coming expiration of patents on its blockbuster anti-inflammatory drug Humira has kept some investors away, but Malik is confident that management can limit the damage and sees promising drugs in development at the $200 billion company.</p><p><blockquote>马利克还喜欢艾伯维(ABBV),该公司的预期市盈率为8倍,股息收益率为4.7%。其重磅抗炎药修美乐(Humira)的专利即将到期,这让一些投资者望而却步,但马利克相信管理层能够限制损失,并看到这家价值2000亿美元的公司正在开发有前途的药物。</blockquote></p><p> Both stocks have had a tough time in recent days. Seagen fell more than 8% last week, to around $152, on news that its co-founder and CEO sold a large number of shares recently. AndAbbVietanked 7% Wednesday, to $112.27, after the Food and Drug Administration required new warning labels for JAK inhibitors, a type of anti-rheumatoid drug that includes one of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABBV\">AbbVie</a>’s most promising post-Humira products.</p><p><blockquote>这两只股票最近几天都过得很艰难。Seagen上周跌超8%,报152美元左右,因有消息称其联合创始人兼首席执行官近期大量抛售股票。在美国食品和药物管理局要求为JAK抑制剂贴上新的警告标签后,ABBVIE周三上涨7%,至112.27美元。JAK抑制剂是一种抗类风湿药物,其中包括一种<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABBV\">艾伯维</a>最有前途的后修美乐产品。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a>(PFE),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">American Express</a>(AXP),Johnson & Johnson(JNJ), andCisco Systems(CSCO) are other S&P 500 members that pass a<i>Barron’s</i>screen for quality attributes.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>(PFE),<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXP\">美国运通</a>(AXP)、强生(JNJ)和思科系统(CSCO)是其他通过A的标普500成员<i>巴伦周刊</i>筛选质量属性。</blockquote></p><p> After a year of steady gains, investors might be reminded this fall that stocks can also decline, as growth momentum and policy support begin to fade. But underlying economic strength supports buying the dip, should the market drop from its highs. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">Just</a> be more selective. And go with quality.</p><p><blockquote>经过一年的稳定上涨后,今年秋天投资者可能会被提醒,随着增长势头和政策支持开始消退,股市也可能下跌。但如果市场从高点下跌,潜在的经济实力支持逢低买入。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JE\">刚刚</a>更有选择性。追求质量。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-could-struggle-this-fall-market-strategists-say-stick-with-quality-companies-51630699840?siteid=yhoof2\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stocks-could-struggle-this-fall-market-strategists-say-stick-with-quality-companies-51630699840?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1130130857","content_text":"What a year this has been for the markets! Fueled by a torrent of monetary and fiscal stimulus, economic and earnings growth, and (until recently) a mostly receding pandemic, theS&P 500stock index has rallied 20%, notching seven straight months of gains and more than 50 highs along the way. And that’s on top of last year’s 68% rebound from the market’s March 2020 lows.\nTailwinds remain in place, but headwinds now loom that could slow stocks’ advance. Stimulus spending has peaked, and economic and corporate-earnings growth are likely to decelerate through the end of the year. What’s more, theFederal Reserve has all but promised to start tapering its bond buyingin coming months, and the Biden administration has proposed hiking corporate and personal tax rates. None of this is apt to sit well with holders of increasingly pricey shares.\nIn other words,brace for a volatile fallin which conflicting forces buffet stocks, bonds, and investors. “The everything rally is behind us,” says Saira Malik, chief investment officer of global equities at Nuveen. “It’s not going to be a sharply rising economic tide that lifts all boats from here.”\nThat’s the general consensus among the six market strategists and chief investment officers whomBarron’srecently consulted. All see the S&P 500 ending the year near Thursday’s close of 4536. Their average target: 4585.\nNext year’s gains look muted, as well, relative to recent trends. The group expects the S&P 500 to tack on another 6% in 2022, rising to about 4800.\nWith stocks trading for about 21 times the coming year’s expected earnings,bonds yielding little, and cash yielding less than nothing after accounting for inflation, investors face tough asset-allocation decisions. In place of the “everything rally,” which lifted fast-growing tech stocks, no-growth meme stocks, and the Dogecoins of the digital world, our market watchers recommend focusing on “quality” investments. In equities, that means shares of businesses with solid balance sheets, expanding profit margins, and ample and recurring free cash flow. Even if the averages do little in coming months, these stocks are likely to shine.\nThe stock market’s massive rally in the past year was a gift of sorts from the Federal Reserve, which flooded the financial system with money to stave off theeconomic damage wrought by the Covid pandemic. Since March 2020, the U.S. central bank has been buying a combined $120 billion a month of U.S. Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, while keeping its benchmark federal-funds rate target at 0% to 0.25%. These moves have depressed bond yields and pushed investors into riskier assets, including stocks.\nFed Chairman Jerome Powell has said that the central bank might begin to wind down, or taper, its emergency asset purchases sometime in the coming quarters, a move that could roil risk assets of all sorts. “For us, it’s very simple: Tapering is tightening,” says Mike Wilson, chief investment officer and chief U.S. equity strategist atMorgan Stanley.“It’s the first step away from maximum accommodation [by the Fed]. They’re being very calculated about it this time, but the bottom line is that it should have a negative effect on equity valuations.”\nThe government’s stimulus spending, too, has peaked, the strategists note. Supplemental federal unemployment benefits of $300 a week expire as of Sept. 6. Although Congress seems likely to pass a bipartisan infrastructure bill this fall, the near-term economic impact will pale in comparison to the multiple rounds of stimulus introduced since March 2020.\nThe bill includes about $550 billion in new spending—a fraction of the trillions authorized by previous laws—and it will be spread out over many years. The short-term boost that infrastructure stimulus will give to consumer spending, which accounts for almost 70% of U.S. growth domestic product, won’t come close to what the economy saw after millions of Americans received checks from the government this past year.\nA budget bill approved by Democrats only should follow the infrastructure bill, and include spending to support Medicare expansion, child-care funding, free community-college tuition, public housing, and climate-related measures, among other party priorities. Congress could vote to lift taxes on corporations and high-earning individuals to offset that spending—another near-term risk to the market.\nOther politically charged issues likewise could derail equities this fall. Congress needs to pass a debt-ceiling increase to fund the government, and a stop-gap spending bill later this month to avoid a Washington shutdown in October.\nFor now, our market experts are relatively sanguine about the economic impact of the Delta variant of Covid-19. As long as vaccines remain effective in minimizing severe infections that lead to hospitalizations and deaths, the negative effects of the current Covid wave will be limited largely to the travel industry and movie theaters, they say. Wall Street’s base case for the market doesn’t include a renewed wave of lockdowns that would undermine economic growth.\nInflation has been a hot topic at the Fed and among investors, partly because it has been running so hot of late. The U.S. consumer price index rose at an annualized 5.4% in both June and July—a spike the Fed calls transitory, although others aren’t so sure. The strategists are taking Powell’s side of the argument; they expect inflation to fall significantly next year. Their forecasts fall between 2.5% and 3.5%, which they consider manageable for consumers and companies, and an acceptable side effect of rapid economic growth. An inflation rate above 2.5%, however, combined with Fed tapering, would mean that now ultralow bond yields should rise.\n“We think inflation will continue to run hotter than it has since the financial crisis, but it’s hard for us to see inflation much over 2.5% once many of the reopening-related pressures start to dissipate,” says Michael Fredericks, head of income investing for theBlackRockMulti-Asset Strategies Group. “So bond yields do need to move up, but that will happen gradually.”\nThe strategists see the yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury note climbing to around 1.65% by year end. That’s about 35 basis points—or hundredths of a percentage point—above current levels, but below the 1.75% that the yield reached at its March 2021 highs. By next year, the 10-year Treasury could yield 2%, the group says. Those aren’t big moves in absolute terms, but they’re meaningful for the bond market—and could be even more so for stocks.\nRising yields tend to weigh on stock valuations for two reasons. Higher-yielding bonds offer competition to stocks, and companies’ future earnings are worthless in the present when discounting them at a higher rate. Still, a 10-year yield around 2% won’t be enough to knock stock valuations down to pre-Covid levels. Even if yields climb, market strategists see the price/earnings multiple of the S&P 500 holding well above its 30-year average of 16 times forward earnings. The index’s forward P/E topped 23 last fall.\n\nAs long as 10-year Treasury yields stay in the 2% range, the S&P 500 should be able to command a forward P/E in the high teens, strategists say. A return to the 16-times long-term average isn’t in the cards until there is more pressure from much higher yields—or something else that causes stocks to fall.\nIf yields surge past 2% or 2.25%, investors could start to question equity valuations more seriously, says State Street’schief portfolio strategist, Gaurav Mallik: “We haven’t seen [the 10-year yield] above 2% for some time now, so that’s an important sentiment level for investors.”\n\nWilson is more concerned, noting that the stock market’s valuation risk is asymmetric: “It’s very unlikely that multiples are going to go up, and there’s a good chance that they go down more than 10% given the deceleration in growth and where we are in the cycle,” he says\nIf 16 to 23 times forward earnings is the range, he adds, “you’re already at the very high end of that. There’s more potential risk than reward.”\nSome P/E-multiple compression is baked into all six strategists’ forecasts, heaping greater importance on the path of profit growth. On average, the strategists expect S&P 500 earnings to jump 46% this year, to about $204, after last year’s earnings depression. That could be followed by a more normalized gain of 9% in 2022, to about $222.50.\nA potential headwind would be a higher federal corporate-tax rate in 2022. The details of Democrats’ spending and taxation plans will be worked out in the coming weeks, and investors can expect to hear a lot more about potential tax increases. Several strategists see a 25% federal rate on corporate profits as a likely compromise figure, above the 21% in place since 2018, but below the 28% sought by the Biden administration.\nAn increase of that magnitude would shave about 5% off S&P 500 earnings next year. The index could drop by a similar amount as the passage of the Democrats’ reconciliation bill nears this fall, but the impact should be limited to that initial correction. As with the tax cuts in December 2017, the change should be a one-time event for the market, some strategists predict.\nThese concerns aside, investors shouldn’t miss the bigger picture: The U.S. economy is in good shape and growing robustly. The strategists expect gross domestic product to rise 6.3% this year and about 4% in 2022. “The cyclical uplift and above-trend growth will continue at least through 2022, and we want to be biased toward assets that have that exposure,” says Mallik.\n\n “We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next. When GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”— Lori Calvasina, RBC Capital Markets\n\nThe State Street strategist recommends overweighting materials, financials, and technology in investment portfolios. That approach includes both economically sensitive companies, such as banks and miners, and steady growers in the tech sector.\nRBC Capital Markets’ head of U.S. equity strategy, Lori Calvasina, likewise takes a barbell approach, with both cyclical and growth exposure. Her preferred sectors are energy, financials, and technology.\n“Valuations are still a lot more attractive in financials and energy than growth [sectors such as technology or consumer discretionary,]” Calvasina says. “The catalyst in the near term is getting out of the current Covid wave... We’re going to have a hot economy this year and next, and traditionally when GDP growth is above average, value beats growth and cyclicals beat defensives.”\nBut the focus on quality will be pivotal, especially moving into the second half of 2022. That’s when the Fed is likely to hike interest rates for the first time in this cycle. By 2023, the economy could return to pre-Covid growth on the order of 2%.\n“The historical playbook is that coming out of a recession, you tend to see low-quality outperformance that lasts about a year, then leadership flips back to high quality,” Calvasina says. “But that transition from low quality back to high quality tends to be very bumpy.”\nA Shopping List for Fall\nMost strategists favor a combination of economically sensitive stocks and steady growers, including tech shares. Financials should do well, particularly if bond yields rise.\n\nAlthough stocks with quality attributes have outperformed the market this summer, according to a BlackRock analysis, the quality factor has lagged since positive vaccine news was first reported last November.\n“We’re moving into a mid-cycle environment, when underlying economic growth remains strong but momentum begins to decelerate,” BlackRock’s Fredericks says. “Our research shows that quality stocks perform particularly well in such a period.”\nHe recommends overweighting profitable technology companies; financials, including banks, and consumer staples and industrials with those quality characteristics.\nFor Wells Fargo’s head of equity strategy, Christopher Harvey, a mix of post-pandemic beneficiaries and defensive exposure is the way to go. He constructed a basket of stocks with lower-than-average volatility—which should outperform during periods of market uncertainty or stress this fall—and high “Covid beta,” or sensitivity to good or bad news about the pandemic. One requirement; The stocks had to be rated the equivalent of Buy by Wells Fargo’s equity analysts.\n“There’s near-term economic uncertainty, interest-rate uncertainty, and Covid risk, and generally we’re in a seasonally weaker part of the year around September,” says Harvey. “If we can balance low vol and high Covid beta, we can mitigate a lot of the upcoming uncertainty and volatility around timing of several of those catalysts. Longer-term, though, we still want to have that [reopening exposure.]”\nHarvey’s list of low-volatility stocks with high Covid beta includesApple(AAPL),Bank of America(BAC),Northern Trust(NTRS),Lowe’s(LOW),IQVIA Holdings(IQV), andMasco(MAS).\nOverall, banks are the most frequently recommended group for the months ahead. TheInvesco KBW Bankexchange-traded fund (KBWB) provides broad exposure to the sector in the U.S.\n“We like the valuations [and] credit quality; they are now allowed to buy back shares and increase dividends, and there’s higher Covid beta,” says Harvey.\nCheaper valuations mean less potential downside in a market correction. And, contrary to much of the rest of the stock market, higher interest rates would be a tailwind for the banks, which could then charge more for loans.\nHealthcare stocks also have some fans. “Healthcare has both defensive and growth attributes to it,” Wilson says. “You’re paying a lot less per unit of growth in healthcare today than you are in other sectors. So we think it provides good balance in this market when we’re worried about valuation.” Health insurerHumana(HUM) makes Wilson’s “Fresh Money Buy List” of stocks Buy-rated by Morgan Stanley analysts and fitting his macro views.\nNuveen’s Malik is also looking toward health care for relatively underpriced growth exposure, namely in the pharmaceuticals and biotechnology groups. She points toSeagen(SGEN), which is focused on oncology drugs and could be an attractive acquisition target for a pharma giant.\nMalik also likesAbbVie(ABBV) which trades at an undemanding eight times forward earnings and sports a 4.7% dividend yield. The coming expiration of patents on its blockbuster anti-inflammatory drug Humira has kept some investors away, but Malik is confident that management can limit the damage and sees promising drugs in development at the $200 billion company.\nBoth stocks have had a tough time in recent days. Seagen fell more than 8% last week, to around $152, on news that its co-founder and CEO sold a large number of shares recently. AndAbbVietanked 7% Wednesday, to $112.27, after the Food and Drug Administration required new warning labels for JAK inhibitors, a type of anti-rheumatoid drug that includes one of AbbVie’s most promising post-Humira products.\nPfizer(PFE),American Express(AXP),Johnson & Johnson(JNJ), andCisco Systems(CSCO) are other S&P 500 members that pass aBarron’sscreen for quality attributes.\nAfter a year of steady gains, investors might be reminded this fall that stocks can also decline, as growth momentum and policy support begin to fade. But underlying economic strength supports buying the dip, should the market drop from its highs. Just be more selective. 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","text":"[微笑]","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee43808acc4544e4f81c4f6a93278457","width":"1080","height":"2627"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/894487602","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3294,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":894487319,"gmtCreate":1628848277731,"gmtModify":1631883939354,"author":{"id":"3581581534662324","authorId":"3581581534662324","name":"jkooooo","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581581534662324","idStr":"3581581534662324"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VOO\">$Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$</a>[财迷] ","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/VOO\">$Vanguard S&P 500 ETF(VOO)$</a>[财迷] ","text":"$Vanguard S&P 500 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stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1628683754,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1119132601?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-11 20:09","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119132601","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Nasdaq futures fell on Wednesday, while Dow indicators rose slightly as investors swapped heavyweigh","content":"<p>Nasdaq futures fell on Wednesday, while Dow indicators rose slightly as investors swapped heavyweight technology stocks with economically sensitive sectors following the approval of a U.S. infrastructure bill.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克期货周三下跌,道指小幅上涨,因美国基建法案获批后,投资者将重量级科技股与经济敏感板块互换。</blockquote></p><p> At 8:05 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 9 points, or 0.03%, S&P 500 E-minis were down 4.5 points, or 0.10% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 28.75 points, or 0.19%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午8:05,道琼斯电子迷你指数上涨9点,即0.03%,标普500电子迷你指数下跌4.5点,即0.10%,纳斯达克100电子迷你指数下跌28.75点,即0.19%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55850418289c5de7d0e064bf346ce1a0\" tg-width=\"834\" tg-height=\"291\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 08:05</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>*来源自Tiger Trade,美国东部时间08:05</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The blue-chip Dow and the benchmark S&P 500 logged record closing highs on Tuesday, as economically sensitive stocks gained with the U.S. Senate’s passage of a $1 trillion bipartisan infrastructure package.</p><p><blockquote>随着美国参议院通过1万亿美元的两党基础设施计划,对经济敏感的股票上涨,蓝筹股道琼斯指数和基准标普500周二创下收盘新高。</blockquote></p><p> An additional $3.5 trillion investment plan to fight climate change and poverty is now on the cards, but faces stiff resistance from Republicans.</p><p><blockquote>一项额外的3.5万亿美元投资计划正在酝酿中,以应对气候变化和贫困,但面临共和党人的强烈抵制。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票:</b></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOS\">Canada Goose</a> – Canada Goose lost 45 cents per share (Canadian) for its fiscal first quarter, smaller than the 53 cent loss that analysts were anticipating, while the outerwear maker saw better-than-expected revenue as well. However, its loss widened compared to a year ago thanks to rising expenses, and its stock slid 2.1% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOS\">加拿大鹅</a>-Canada Goose第一财季每股亏损45美分(加拿大),小于分析师预期的53美分亏损,而这家外套制造商的收入也好于预期。然而,由于费用增加,其亏损较去年同期扩大,其股价在盘前交易中下跌2.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WEN\">Wendy's</a> – Wendy’s rallied 3.3% in the premarket after beating top and bottom-line estimates for the second quarter. The restaurant chain earned an adjusted 27 cents per share, 9 cents above estimates, with same-store sales beating forecasts as more people returned to in-person dining.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WEN\">温迪的</a>-温迪百货(Wendy's)第二季度营收和利润超出预期,盘前股价上涨3.3%。该连锁餐厅调整后每股收益为27美分,比预期高出9美分,随着越来越多的人回归亲自用餐,同店销售额超出预期。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PRGO\">Perrigo Co PLC</a> – The consumer health care products maker’s shares slumped 8.8% in premarket action, following a top and bottom-line miss for Perrigo’s latest quarter. Earnings came in 11 cents below estimates at an adjusted 50 cents per share, hurt by a weaker cold-and-cough season among other factors.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PRGO\">佩里戈公司</a>–Perrigo最近一个季度的营收和利润均未达标,这家消费者保健产品制造商的股价在盘前下跌8.8%。受感冒和咳嗽季节减弱等因素的影响,调整后每股收益为50美分,比预期低11美分。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUV\">Southwest Airlines</a> – The airline said it is seeing an increase in cancellations this month due to rising concerns over the Covid-19 Delta variant, making it difficult to be profitable for the current quarter. Southwest fell 1.9% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUV\">西南航空</a>-该航空公司表示,由于对Covid-19德尔塔变异毒株的担忧日益加剧,本月取消航班的情况有所增加,导致本季度难以盈利。西南航空盘前下跌1.9%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">Coinbase Global, Inc.</a> – Coinbase reported an adjusted quarterly profit of $3.45 per share, beating the consensus estimate of $2.33 in its first report as a public company. The cryptocurrency exchange operator also saw better-than-expected revenue of $2 billion, up from $178 million a year earlier. Trading volume during the June quarter jumped 21% from the prior 3 months, and its shares rose 2.3% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">比特币基地全球公司。</a>-Coinbase公布的调整后季度利润为每股3.45美元,超过了其作为上市公司首份报告中2.33美元的普遍预期。这家加密货币交易所运营商的收入也好于预期,达到20亿美元,高于去年同期的1.78亿美元。6月份季度的交易量较前3个月增长21%,其股价在盘前交易中上涨2.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WW\">Weight Watchers International Inc</a> – WW tumbled 22.3% in premarket trading after quarterly profit and revenue fell short of analyst forecasts. The company, formerly known as Weight Watchers, earned an adjusted 48 cents per share for the quarter, 17 cents shy of estimates, with membership levels below WW’s own forecasts. CEO Mindy Grossman said the company did have a comprehensive plan to optimize performance during the second half of the year.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WW\">慧俪轻体国际公司</a>-季度利润和收入低于分析师预期后,WW在盘前交易中暴跌22.3%。该公司前身为慧俪轻体(Weight Watchers),本季度调整后每股收益为48美分,比预期低17美分,会员水平低于WW自己的预测。首席执行官明迪·格罗斯曼表示,该公司确实有一个全面的计划来优化下半年的业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUBO\">fuboTV Inc.</a> – FuboTV lost 68 cents per share for its latest quarter, wider than the 51-cent loss that analysts were anticipating. However, the sports-focused streaming service did report better-than-expected revenue and gave an upbeat forecast including a projected doubling of full-year revenue. FuboTV shares surged 13.4% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUBO\">富波电视公司。</a>-FuboTV最近一个季度每股亏损68美分,高于分析师预期的51美分。然而,这家专注于体育的流媒体服务确实报告了好于预期的收入,并给出了乐观的预测,包括预计全年收入将翻一番。FuboTV股价在盘前上涨13.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NLOK\">NortonLifeLock Inc.</a> – Norton LifeLock is buying rival cybersecurity firm Avast for up to $8.6 billion in cash and stock. The deal will expand Norton LifeLock’s portfolio of consumer cybersecurity software offerings. Shares jumped 4.6% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NLOK\">诺顿生命锁公司。</a>-诺顿LifeLock正在以高达86亿美元的现金和股票收购竞争对手网络安全公司Avast。该交易将扩大诺顿LifeLock的消费者网络安全软件产品组合。盘前股价上涨4.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POSH\">Poshmark, Inc.</a> – Poshmark reported a quarterly loss of 4 cents per share, 2 cents less than Wall Street had forecast, while the online retailer of secondhand goods saw revenue top estimates. However, Poshmark did forecast current-quarter revenue below analyst forecasts and said it would see a hit from Apple’s new privacy controls. Poshmark slumped 8.2% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POSH\">波什马克公司。</a>-Poshmark报告季度每股亏损4美分,比华尔街预期少2美分,而这家二手商品在线零售商的收入则高于预期。然而,Poshmark确实预测本季度收入低于分析师预测,并表示将受到苹果新隐私控制措施的打击。Poshmark在盘前交易中下跌8.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TDUP\">ThredUp Inc.</a> – ThredUp lost 15 cents per share for its latest quarter, a penny less than anticipated, while the online pre-owned fashion retailer reported better-than-expected revenue and gave an upbeat forecast. The upbeat results helped the stock rally by 7.3% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TDUP\">ThredUp公司。</a>–ThredUp最近一个季度每股亏损15美分,比预期少一美分,而这家在线二手时装零售商公布的收入好于预期,并给出了乐观的预测。乐观的业绩帮助该股在盘前上涨7.3%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ALIT\">Alight, Inc.</a> – Financial services companyVoya Financial(VOYA) is exploring a potential acquisition of the newly public employee benefits administrator, according to people with knowledge of the matter who spoke to Bloomberg. It isn’t clear whether active talks are underway and there is no guarantee a deal will be reached. Alight tacked on 2.6% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ALIT\">阿莱特公司。</a>-据接受彭博社采访的知情人士透露,金融服务公司Voya Financial(VOYA)正在探索收购这家新上市的员工福利管理公司的可能性。目前尚不清楚积极的谈判是否正在进行中,也不能保证会达成协议。Alight在盘前交易中上涨了2.6%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Wednesday<blockquote>周三美国市场开盘前的顶线</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-11 20:09</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Nasdaq futures fell on Wednesday, while Dow indicators rose slightly as investors swapped heavyweight technology stocks with economically sensitive sectors following the approval of a U.S. infrastructure bill.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克期货周三下跌,道指小幅上涨,因美国基建法案获批后,投资者将重量级科技股与经济敏感板块互换。</blockquote></p><p> At 8:05 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 9 points, or 0.03%, S&P 500 E-minis were down 4.5 points, or 0.10% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 28.75 points, or 0.19%.</p><p><blockquote>截至美国东部时间上午8:05,道琼斯电子迷你指数上涨9点,即0.03%,标普500电子迷你指数下跌4.5点,即0.10%,纳斯达克100电子迷你指数下跌28.75点,即0.19%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/55850418289c5de7d0e064bf346ce1a0\" tg-width=\"834\" tg-height=\"291\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 08:05</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>*来源自Tiger Trade,美国东部时间08:05</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The blue-chip Dow and the benchmark S&P 500 logged record closing highs on Tuesday, as economically sensitive stocks gained with the U.S. Senate’s passage of a $1 trillion bipartisan infrastructure package.</p><p><blockquote>随着美国参议院通过1万亿美元的两党基础设施计划,对经济敏感的股票上涨,蓝筹股道琼斯指数和基准标普500周二创下收盘新高。</blockquote></p><p> An additional $3.5 trillion investment plan to fight climate change and poverty is now on the cards, but faces stiff resistance from Republicans.</p><p><blockquote>一项额外的3.5万亿美元投资计划正在酝酿中,以应对气候变化和贫困,但面临共和党人的强烈抵制。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票:</b></blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOS\">Canada Goose</a> – Canada Goose lost 45 cents per share (Canadian) for its fiscal first quarter, smaller than the 53 cent loss that analysts were anticipating, while the outerwear maker saw better-than-expected revenue as well. However, its loss widened compared to a year ago thanks to rising expenses, and its stock slid 2.1% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOS\">加拿大鹅</a>-Canada Goose第一财季每股亏损45美分(加拿大),小于分析师预期的53美分亏损,而这家外套制造商的收入也好于预期。然而,由于费用增加,其亏损较去年同期扩大,其股价在盘前交易中下跌2.1%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WEN\">Wendy's</a> – Wendy’s rallied 3.3% in the premarket after beating top and bottom-line estimates for the second quarter. The restaurant chain earned an adjusted 27 cents per share, 9 cents above estimates, with same-store sales beating forecasts as more people returned to in-person dining.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WEN\">温迪的</a>-温迪百货(Wendy's)第二季度营收和利润超出预期,盘前股价上涨3.3%。该连锁餐厅调整后每股收益为27美分,比预期高出9美分,随着越来越多的人回归亲自用餐,同店销售额超出预期。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PRGO\">Perrigo Co PLC</a> – The consumer health care products maker’s shares slumped 8.8% in premarket action, following a top and bottom-line miss for Perrigo’s latest quarter. Earnings came in 11 cents below estimates at an adjusted 50 cents per share, hurt by a weaker cold-and-cough season among other factors.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PRGO\">佩里戈公司</a>–Perrigo最近一个季度的营收和利润均未达标,这家消费者保健产品制造商的股价在盘前下跌8.8%。受感冒和咳嗽季节减弱等因素的影响,调整后每股收益为50美分,比预期低11美分。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUV\">Southwest Airlines</a> – The airline said it is seeing an increase in cancellations this month due to rising concerns over the Covid-19 Delta variant, making it difficult to be profitable for the current quarter. Southwest fell 1.9% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUV\">西南航空</a>-该航空公司表示,由于对Covid-19德尔塔变异毒株的担忧日益加剧,本月取消航班的情况有所增加,导致本季度难以盈利。西南航空盘前下跌1.9%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">Coinbase Global, Inc.</a> – Coinbase reported an adjusted quarterly profit of $3.45 per share, beating the consensus estimate of $2.33 in its first report as a public company. The cryptocurrency exchange operator also saw better-than-expected revenue of $2 billion, up from $178 million a year earlier. Trading volume during the June quarter jumped 21% from the prior 3 months, and its shares rose 2.3% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">比特币基地全球公司。</a>-Coinbase公布的调整后季度利润为每股3.45美元,超过了其作为上市公司首份报告中2.33美元的普遍预期。这家加密货币交易所运营商的收入也好于预期,达到20亿美元,高于去年同期的1.78亿美元。6月份季度的交易量较前3个月增长21%,其股价在盘前交易中上涨2.3%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WW\">Weight Watchers International Inc</a> – WW tumbled 22.3% in premarket trading after quarterly profit and revenue fell short of analyst forecasts. The company, formerly known as Weight Watchers, earned an adjusted 48 cents per share for the quarter, 17 cents shy of estimates, with membership levels below WW’s own forecasts. CEO Mindy Grossman said the company did have a comprehensive plan to optimize performance during the second half of the year.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WW\">慧俪轻体国际公司</a>-季度利润和收入低于分析师预期后,WW在盘前交易中暴跌22.3%。该公司前身为慧俪轻体(Weight Watchers),本季度调整后每股收益为48美分,比预期低17美分,会员水平低于WW自己的预测。首席执行官明迪·格罗斯曼表示,该公司确实有一个全面的计划来优化下半年的业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUBO\">fuboTV Inc.</a> – FuboTV lost 68 cents per share for its latest quarter, wider than the 51-cent loss that analysts were anticipating. However, the sports-focused streaming service did report better-than-expected revenue and gave an upbeat forecast including a projected doubling of full-year revenue. FuboTV shares surged 13.4% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/FUBO\">富波电视公司。</a>-FuboTV最近一个季度每股亏损68美分,高于分析师预期的51美分。然而,这家专注于体育的流媒体服务确实报告了好于预期的收入,并给出了乐观的预测,包括预计全年收入将翻一番。FuboTV股价在盘前上涨13.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NLOK\">NortonLifeLock Inc.</a> – Norton LifeLock is buying rival cybersecurity firm Avast for up to $8.6 billion in cash and stock. The deal will expand Norton LifeLock’s portfolio of consumer cybersecurity software offerings. Shares jumped 4.6% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NLOK\">诺顿生命锁公司。</a>-诺顿LifeLock正在以高达86亿美元的现金和股票收购竞争对手网络安全公司Avast。该交易将扩大诺顿LifeLock的消费者网络安全软件产品组合。盘前股价上涨4.6%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POSH\">Poshmark, Inc.</a> – Poshmark reported a quarterly loss of 4 cents per share, 2 cents less than Wall Street had forecast, while the online retailer of secondhand goods saw revenue top estimates. However, Poshmark did forecast current-quarter revenue below analyst forecasts and said it would see a hit from Apple’s new privacy controls. Poshmark slumped 8.2% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POSH\">波什马克公司。</a>-Poshmark报告季度每股亏损4美分,比华尔街预期少2美分,而这家二手商品在线零售商的收入则高于预期。然而,Poshmark确实预测本季度收入低于分析师预测,并表示将受到苹果新隐私控制措施的打击。Poshmark在盘前交易中下跌8.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TDUP\">ThredUp Inc.</a> – ThredUp lost 15 cents per share for its latest quarter, a penny less than anticipated, while the online pre-owned fashion retailer reported better-than-expected revenue and gave an upbeat forecast. The upbeat results helped the stock rally by 7.3% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TDUP\">ThredUp公司。</a>–ThredUp最近一个季度每股亏损15美分,比预期少一美分,而这家在线二手时装零售商公布的收入好于预期,并给出了乐观的预测。乐观的业绩帮助该股在盘前上涨7.3%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ALIT\">Alight, Inc.</a> – Financial services companyVoya Financial(VOYA) is exploring a potential acquisition of the newly public employee benefits administrator, according to people with knowledge of the matter who spoke to Bloomberg. It isn’t clear whether active talks are underway and there is no guarantee a deal will be reached. Alight tacked on 2.6% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ALIT\">阿莱特公司。</a>-据接受彭博社采访的知情人士透露,金融服务公司Voya Financial(VOYA)正在探索收购这家新上市的员工福利管理公司的可能性。目前尚不清楚积极的谈判是否正在进行中,也不能保证会达成协议。Alight在盘前交易中上涨了2.6%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119132601","content_text":"Nasdaq futures fell on Wednesday, while Dow indicators rose slightly as investors swapped heavyweight technology stocks with economically sensitive sectors following the approval of a U.S. infrastructure bill.\nAt 8:05 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 9 points, or 0.03%, S&P 500 E-minis were down 4.5 points, or 0.10% and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were down 28.75 points, or 0.19%.\n*Source From Tiger Trade, EST 08:05\nThe blue-chip Dow and the benchmark S&P 500 logged record closing highs on Tuesday, as economically sensitive stocks gained with the U.S. Senate’s passage of a $1 trillion bipartisan infrastructure package.\nAn additional $3.5 trillion investment plan to fight climate change and poverty is now on the cards, but faces stiff resistance from Republicans.\nStocks making the biggest moves in the premarket:\nCanada Goose – Canada Goose lost 45 cents per share (Canadian) for its fiscal first quarter, smaller than the 53 cent loss that analysts were anticipating, while the outerwear maker saw better-than-expected revenue as well. However, its loss widened compared to a year ago thanks to rising expenses, and its stock slid 2.1% in premarket trading.\nWendy's – Wendy’s rallied 3.3% in the premarket after beating top and bottom-line estimates for the second quarter. The restaurant chain earned an adjusted 27 cents per share, 9 cents above estimates, with same-store sales beating forecasts as more people returned to in-person dining.\nPerrigo Co PLC – The consumer health care products maker’s shares slumped 8.8% in premarket action, following a top and bottom-line miss for Perrigo’s latest quarter. Earnings came in 11 cents below estimates at an adjusted 50 cents per share, hurt by a weaker cold-and-cough season among other factors.\nSouthwest Airlines – The airline said it is seeing an increase in cancellations this month due to rising concerns over the Covid-19 Delta variant, making it difficult to be profitable for the current quarter. Southwest fell 1.9% in the premarket.\nCoinbase Global, Inc. – Coinbase reported an adjusted quarterly profit of $3.45 per share, beating the consensus estimate of $2.33 in its first report as a public company. The cryptocurrency exchange operator also saw better-than-expected revenue of $2 billion, up from $178 million a year earlier. Trading volume during the June quarter jumped 21% from the prior 3 months, and its shares rose 2.3% in premarket trading.\nWeight Watchers International Inc – WW tumbled 22.3% in premarket trading after quarterly profit and revenue fell short of analyst forecasts. The company, formerly known as Weight Watchers, earned an adjusted 48 cents per share for the quarter, 17 cents shy of estimates, with membership levels below WW’s own forecasts. CEO Mindy Grossman said the company did have a comprehensive plan to optimize performance during the second half of the year.\nfuboTV Inc. – FuboTV lost 68 cents per share for its latest quarter, wider than the 51-cent loss that analysts were anticipating. However, the sports-focused streaming service did report better-than-expected revenue and gave an upbeat forecast including a projected doubling of full-year revenue. FuboTV shares surged 13.4% in premarket action.\nNortonLifeLock Inc. – Norton LifeLock is buying rival cybersecurity firm Avast for up to $8.6 billion in cash and stock. The deal will expand Norton LifeLock’s portfolio of consumer cybersecurity software offerings. Shares jumped 4.6% in the premarket.\nPoshmark, Inc. – Poshmark reported a quarterly loss of 4 cents per share, 2 cents less than Wall Street had forecast, while the online retailer of secondhand goods saw revenue top estimates. However, Poshmark did forecast current-quarter revenue below analyst forecasts and said it would see a hit from Apple’s new privacy controls. Poshmark slumped 8.2% in premarket trading.\nThredUp Inc. – ThredUp lost 15 cents per share for its latest quarter, a penny less than anticipated, while the online pre-owned fashion retailer reported better-than-expected revenue and gave an upbeat forecast. The upbeat results helped the stock rally by 7.3% in the premarket.\nAlight, Inc. – Financial services companyVoya Financial(VOYA) is exploring a potential acquisition of the newly public employee benefits administrator, according to people with knowledge of the matter who spoke to Bloomberg. It isn’t clear whether active talks are underway and there is no guarantee a deal will be reached. 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ETF(VOO)$😀","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/68dfbbf3c921b0b4eb211f30d9f76585","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/896578380","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":622,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":898368725,"gmtCreate":1628474288067,"gmtModify":1633746925686,"author":{"id":"3581581534662324","authorId":"3581581534662324","name":"jkooooo","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581581534662324","idStr":"3581581534662324"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898368725","repostId":"1169505053","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":939,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":898368831,"gmtCreate":1628474266023,"gmtModify":1633746926054,"author":{"id":"3581581534662324","authorId":"3581581534662324","name":"jkooooo","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581581534662324","idStr":"3581581534662324"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898368831","repostId":"1143883880","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":700,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":898361632,"gmtCreate":1628474233726,"gmtModify":1633746926748,"author":{"id":"3581581534662324","authorId":"3581581534662324","name":"jkooooo","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581581534662324","idStr":"3581581534662324"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍 👌 💛 😙 ","listText":"👍 👌 💛 😙 ","text":"👍 👌 💛 😙","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25661c6a0f433b956bab12c09a7c6c51","width":"1080","height":"2627"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898361632","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":684,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":898363134,"gmtCreate":1628474163928,"gmtModify":1633746927685,"author":{"id":"3581581534662324","authorId":"3581581534662324","name":"jkooooo","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581581534662324","idStr":"3581581534662324"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like ","listText":"Like ","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898363134","repostId":"1162909436","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1162909436","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628463995,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1162909436?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-09 07:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Disney, AMC, Coinbase, Airbnb, BioNTech, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>Disney、AMC、Coinbase、爱彼迎、BioNTech等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1162909436","media":"Barron's","summary":"The bulk of second-quarter earnings season is in the rearview mirror, but several notable reports re","content":"<p>The bulk of second-quarter earnings season is in the rearview mirror, but several notable reports remain. AMC Entertainment Holdings, BioNTech, and Dish Network will be Monday’s highlights. Coinbase Global and Syscogo on Tuesday. On Wednesday, eBay will report, followed by Walt Disney, Airbnb, DoorDash, and Broadridge Financial Solutionson Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>第二季度财报季的大部分内容已经成为过去,但几份值得注意的报告仍然存在。AMC院线控股、BioNTech和Dish Network将是周一的亮点。比特币基地全球和Syscogo周二。周三,eBay将发布报告,随后华特迪士尼、爱彼迎、DoorDash和Broadridge Financial Solutions将于周四发布报告。</blockquote></p><p> The week’s economic calendar will include a pair of updates each on consumer and business inflation and sentiment. On Wednesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will report the consumer price index for July, followed by the producer price index on Thursday. Those are expected to have increased by 5.3% and 7.3%, respectively, year over year.</p><p><blockquote>本周的经济日历将包括两个关于消费者和企业通胀和情绪的更新。周三,美国劳工统计局将公布7月份消费者价格指数,周四将公布生产者价格指数。预计同比分别增长5.3%和7.3%。</blockquote></p><p> On Tuesday, the National Federation of Independent Business will release its Small Business Optimism Index for July. And on Friday, the University of Michigan reports its Consumer Sentiment index for August. Both are forecast to hold roughly even with the prior months’ figures.</p><p><blockquote>周二,全国独立企业联合会将发布7月份小企业乐观指数。周五,密歇根大学公布了8月份的消费者信心指数。预计两者都将与前几个月的数据大致持平。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>Monday 8/9</b></h3> Air Products and Chemicals, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a>, Barrick Gold, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNTX\">BioNTech SE</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DISH\">DISH Network</a>, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSN\">Tyson</a> report quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>星期一8/9</b></h3>空气产品和化学品公司,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a>、巴里克黄金、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNTX\">BioNTech SE</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DISH\">碟形网络</a>,和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSN\">泰森</a>报告季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Labor Statistics</b> reports the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey for June. Economists forecast 9.1 million openings on the last business day of June, slightly less than the May figure. Job openings stand at record levels as employers struggle to fill vacant positions.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工统计局</b>报告六月份的职位空缺和劳动力流动调查。经济学家预测6月份最后一个工作日将有910万个职位空缺,略低于5月份的数字。由于雇主难以填补空缺职位,职位空缺达到创纪录水平。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>Tuesday 8/10</b></h3> <b>The National Federation of Independent Business</b> reports its Small Business Optimism Index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 102.8 reading, roughly even with the June data, which was the highest since October.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>星期二8/10</b></h3><b>全国独立企业联合会</b>报告7月份小企业乐观指数。普遍估计为102.8,与6月份的数据大致持平,后者是10月份以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">Coinbase Global, Inc.</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SYY\">Sysco</a>, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TDG\">TransDigm</a> announce earnings.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">比特币基地全球公司。</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SYY\">Sysco</a>,和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TDG\">TransDigm</a>公布收益。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS reports unit labor</b> costs and nonfarm productivity for the second quarter. Expectations are for a rise of 0.9% in labor costs and 3.4% for productivity. This compares with increases of 1.7% and 5.4%, respectively, in the first quarter.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工统计局报告单位劳动力</b>第二季度成本和非农生产率。预计劳动力成本将上升0.9%,生产率将上升3.4%。相比之下,第一季度分别增长1.7%和5.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>Wednesday 8/11</b></h3> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBAY\">eBay</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PRGO\">Perrigo Co PLC</a> release quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>星期三8/11</b></h3><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBAY\">eBay</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PRGO\">佩里戈公司</a>发布季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS reports the consumer</b> price index for July. Economists forecast a 5.3% increase year over year, after a gain of 5.4% in June. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 4.3%, compared with 4.5% previously. Inflation, and whether it is transitory, has generated much discussion on Wall Street this year, with the June CPI showing the fastest pace of growth since July 2008 and core CPI rising at the swiftest clip in nearly 30 years.</p><p><blockquote><b>BLS报告消费者</b>7月份价格指数。继6月份增长5.4%后,经济学家预测同比增长5.3%。剔除波动较大的食品和能源价格的核心CPI预计上涨4.3%,前值为4.5%。通货膨胀以及它是否是暂时的,今年在华尔街引起了很多讨论,6月份CPI显示出自2008年7月以来最快的增长速度,核心CPI以近30年来最快的速度上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Treasury Department</b> releases the monthly budget statement for July. The estimated deficit is $267 billion for the month, and $3 trillion for fiscal 2021, which ends in September. The $3 trillion would be just shy of fiscal 2020’s $3.1 trillion deficit, a record.</p><p><blockquote><b>财政部</b>发布7月份的月度预算报表。预计本月赤字为2670亿美元,截至9月的2021财年赤字为3万亿美元。这3万亿美元将略低于2020财年创纪录的3.1万亿美元赤字。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>Thursday 8/12</b></h3> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABNB\">Airbnb, Inc.</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BR\">Broadridge Financial Solutions</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAM\">Brookfield Asset Management</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DASH\">DoorDash, Inc.</a>, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">Walt Disney</a> hold conference calls to discuss earnings.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>星期四8/12</b></h3><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABNB\">爱彼迎公司。</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BR\">布罗德里奇金融解决方案</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAM\">布鲁克菲尔德资产管理公司</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DASH\">DoorDash公司。</a>,和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">迪斯尼</a>召开会议评级讨论收益。</blockquote></p><p> Idexx Laboratorieshosts its 2021 virtual investor day.</p><p><blockquote>IDEXX Laboratories举办2021年虚拟投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS reports the</b> producer price index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 0.4% month-over-month rise. The core PPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is projected to increase 0.5%. The PPI and core PPI, both jumped 1% in June.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工统计局报告说</b>7月份生产者价格指数。普遍估计环比增长0.4%。剔除波动较大的食品和能源价格的核心PPI预计将上涨0.5%。6月份PPI和核心PPI均上涨1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Department of Labor</b> reports initial jobless claims for the weekend ending on Aug. 7. In July, claims averaged 392,000 a week, slightly less than the June data. Jobless claims have trended down since peaking in the spring of 2020 but remain elevated compared with prepandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工部</b>报告截至8月7日的周末首次申请失业救济人数。7月份,平均每周申请失业救济人数为39.2万人,略低于6月份的数据。自2020年春季达到峰值以来,申请失业救济人数呈下降趋势,但与大流行前的水平相比仍处于较高水平。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>Friday 8/13</b></h3> <b>The University of Michigan</b> releases its Consumer Sentiment index for August. Expectations are for an 81.1 reading, roughly even with the July figure.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>星期五8/13</b></h3><b>密歇根大学</b>发布8月份消费者信心指数。预期为81.1,与7月份的数据大致持平。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Disney, AMC, Coinbase, Airbnb, BioNTech, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>Disney、AMC、Coinbase、爱彼迎、BioNTech等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDisney, AMC, Coinbase, Airbnb, BioNTech, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>Disney、AMC、Coinbase、爱彼迎、BioNTech等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-09 07:06</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The bulk of second-quarter earnings season is in the rearview mirror, but several notable reports remain. AMC Entertainment Holdings, BioNTech, and Dish Network will be Monday’s highlights. Coinbase Global and Syscogo on Tuesday. On Wednesday, eBay will report, followed by Walt Disney, Airbnb, DoorDash, and Broadridge Financial Solutionson Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>第二季度财报季的大部分内容已经成为过去,但几份值得注意的报告仍然存在。AMC院线控股、BioNTech和Dish Network将是周一的亮点。比特币基地全球和Syscogo周二。周三,eBay将发布报告,随后华特迪士尼、爱彼迎、DoorDash和Broadridge Financial Solutions将于周四发布报告。</blockquote></p><p> The week’s economic calendar will include a pair of updates each on consumer and business inflation and sentiment. On Wednesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will report the consumer price index for July, followed by the producer price index on Thursday. Those are expected to have increased by 5.3% and 7.3%, respectively, year over year.</p><p><blockquote>本周的经济日历将包括两个关于消费者和企业通胀和情绪的更新。周三,美国劳工统计局将公布7月份消费者价格指数,周四将公布生产者价格指数。预计同比分别增长5.3%和7.3%。</blockquote></p><p> On Tuesday, the National Federation of Independent Business will release its Small Business Optimism Index for July. And on Friday, the University of Michigan reports its Consumer Sentiment index for August. Both are forecast to hold roughly even with the prior months’ figures.</p><p><blockquote>周二,全国独立企业联合会将发布7月份小企业乐观指数。周五,密歇根大学公布了8月份的消费者信心指数。预计两者都将与前几个月的数据大致持平。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>Monday 8/9</b></h3> Air Products and Chemicals, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a>, Barrick Gold, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNTX\">BioNTech SE</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DISH\">DISH Network</a>, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSN\">Tyson</a> report quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>星期一8/9</b></h3>空气产品和化学品公司,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a>、巴里克黄金、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNTX\">BioNTech SE</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DISH\">碟形网络</a>,和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSN\">泰森</a>报告季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Labor Statistics</b> reports the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey for June. Economists forecast 9.1 million openings on the last business day of June, slightly less than the May figure. Job openings stand at record levels as employers struggle to fill vacant positions.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工统计局</b>报告六月份的职位空缺和劳动力流动调查。经济学家预测6月份最后一个工作日将有910万个职位空缺,略低于5月份的数字。由于雇主难以填补空缺职位,职位空缺达到创纪录水平。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>Tuesday 8/10</b></h3> <b>The National Federation of Independent Business</b> reports its Small Business Optimism Index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 102.8 reading, roughly even with the June data, which was the highest since October.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>星期二8/10</b></h3><b>全国独立企业联合会</b>报告7月份小企业乐观指数。普遍估计为102.8,与6月份的数据大致持平,后者是10月份以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">Coinbase Global, Inc.</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SYY\">Sysco</a>, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TDG\">TransDigm</a> announce earnings.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">比特币基地全球公司。</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SYY\">Sysco</a>,和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TDG\">TransDigm</a>公布收益。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS reports unit labor</b> costs and nonfarm productivity for the second quarter. Expectations are for a rise of 0.9% in labor costs and 3.4% for productivity. This compares with increases of 1.7% and 5.4%, respectively, in the first quarter.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工统计局报告单位劳动力</b>第二季度成本和非农生产率。预计劳动力成本将上升0.9%,生产率将上升3.4%。相比之下,第一季度分别增长1.7%和5.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>Wednesday 8/11</b></h3> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBAY\">eBay</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PRGO\">Perrigo Co PLC</a> release quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>星期三8/11</b></h3><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBAY\">eBay</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PRGO\">佩里戈公司</a>发布季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS reports the consumer</b> price index for July. Economists forecast a 5.3% increase year over year, after a gain of 5.4% in June. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 4.3%, compared with 4.5% previously. Inflation, and whether it is transitory, has generated much discussion on Wall Street this year, with the June CPI showing the fastest pace of growth since July 2008 and core CPI rising at the swiftest clip in nearly 30 years.</p><p><blockquote><b>BLS报告消费者</b>7月份价格指数。继6月份增长5.4%后,经济学家预测同比增长5.3%。剔除波动较大的食品和能源价格的核心CPI预计上涨4.3%,前值为4.5%。通货膨胀以及它是否是暂时的,今年在华尔街引起了很多讨论,6月份CPI显示出自2008年7月以来最快的增长速度,核心CPI以近30年来最快的速度上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Treasury Department</b> releases the monthly budget statement for July. The estimated deficit is $267 billion for the month, and $3 trillion for fiscal 2021, which ends in September. The $3 trillion would be just shy of fiscal 2020’s $3.1 trillion deficit, a record.</p><p><blockquote><b>财政部</b>发布7月份的月度预算报表。预计本月赤字为2670亿美元,截至9月的2021财年赤字为3万亿美元。这3万亿美元将略低于2020财年创纪录的3.1万亿美元赤字。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>Thursday 8/12</b></h3> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABNB\">Airbnb, Inc.</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BR\">Broadridge Financial Solutions</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAM\">Brookfield Asset Management</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DASH\">DoorDash, Inc.</a>, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">Walt Disney</a> hold conference calls to discuss earnings.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>星期四8/12</b></h3><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABNB\">爱彼迎公司。</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BR\">布罗德里奇金融解决方案</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAM\">布鲁克菲尔德资产管理公司</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DASH\">DoorDash公司。</a>,和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">迪斯尼</a>召开会议评级讨论收益。</blockquote></p><p> Idexx Laboratorieshosts its 2021 virtual investor day.</p><p><blockquote>IDEXX Laboratories举办2021年虚拟投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS reports the</b> producer price index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 0.4% month-over-month rise. The core PPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is projected to increase 0.5%. The PPI and core PPI, both jumped 1% in June.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工统计局报告说</b>7月份生产者价格指数。普遍估计环比增长0.4%。剔除波动较大的食品和能源价格的核心PPI预计将上涨0.5%。6月份PPI和核心PPI均上涨1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Department of Labor</b> reports initial jobless claims for the weekend ending on Aug. 7. In July, claims averaged 392,000 a week, slightly less than the June data. Jobless claims have trended down since peaking in the spring of 2020 but remain elevated compared with prepandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工部</b>报告截至8月7日的周末首次申请失业救济人数。7月份,平均每周申请失业救济人数为39.2万人,略低于6月份的数据。自2020年春季达到峰值以来,申请失业救济人数呈下降趋势,但与大流行前的水平相比仍处于较高水平。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>Friday 8/13</b></h3> <b>The University of Michigan</b> releases its Consumer Sentiment index for August. Expectations are for an 81.1 reading, roughly even with the July figure.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>星期五8/13</b></h3><b>密歇根大学</b>发布8月份消费者信心指数。预期为81.1,与7月份的数据大致持平。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/disney-amc-coinbase-airbnb-biontech-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51628449233?mod=hp_LEAD_4?mod=article_signInButton\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"EBAY":"eBay","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","AMC":"AMC院线","BR":"Broadridge金融解决方案","ABNB":"爱彼迎",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BAM":"布鲁克菲尔德资产管理",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","PRGO":"百利高",".DJI":"道琼斯","TDG":"TransDigm","DIS":"迪士尼"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/disney-amc-coinbase-airbnb-biontech-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51628449233?mod=hp_LEAD_4?mod=article_signInButton","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162909436","content_text":"The bulk of second-quarter earnings season is in the rearview mirror, but several notable reports remain. AMC Entertainment Holdings, BioNTech, and Dish Network will be Monday’s highlights. Coinbase Global and Syscogo on Tuesday. On Wednesday, eBay will report, followed by Walt Disney, Airbnb, DoorDash, and Broadridge Financial Solutionson Thursday.\nThe week’s economic calendar will include a pair of updates each on consumer and business inflation and sentiment. On Wednesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will report the consumer price index for July, followed by the producer price index on Thursday. Those are expected to have increased by 5.3% and 7.3%, respectively, year over year.\nOn Tuesday, the National Federation of Independent Business will release its Small Business Optimism Index for July. And on Friday, the University of Michigan reports its Consumer Sentiment index for August. Both are forecast to hold roughly even with the prior months’ figures.\nMonday 8/9\nAir Products and Chemicals, AMC Entertainment, Barrick Gold, BioNTech SE, DISH Network, and Tyson report quarterly results.\nThe Bureau of Labor Statistics reports the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey for June. Economists forecast 9.1 million openings on the last business day of June, slightly less than the May figure. Job openings stand at record levels as employers struggle to fill vacant positions.\nTuesday 8/10\nThe National Federation of Independent Business reports its Small Business Optimism Index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 102.8 reading, roughly even with the June data, which was the highest since October.\nCoinbase Global, Inc., Sysco, and TransDigm announce earnings.\nThe BLS reports unit labor costs and nonfarm productivity for the second quarter. Expectations are for a rise of 0.9% in labor costs and 3.4% for productivity. This compares with increases of 1.7% and 5.4%, respectively, in the first quarter.\nWednesday 8/11\neBay and Perrigo Co PLC release quarterly results.\nThe BLS reports the consumer price index for July. Economists forecast a 5.3% increase year over year, after a gain of 5.4% in June. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 4.3%, compared with 4.5% previously. Inflation, and whether it is transitory, has generated much discussion on Wall Street this year, with the June CPI showing the fastest pace of growth since July 2008 and core CPI rising at the swiftest clip in nearly 30 years.\nThe Treasury Department releases the monthly budget statement for July. The estimated deficit is $267 billion for the month, and $3 trillion for fiscal 2021, which ends in September. The $3 trillion would be just shy of fiscal 2020’s $3.1 trillion deficit, a record.\nThursday 8/12\nAirbnb, Inc., Broadridge Financial Solutions, Brookfield Asset Management, DoorDash, Inc., and Walt Disney hold conference calls to discuss earnings.\nIdexx Laboratorieshosts its 2021 virtual investor day.\nThe BLS reports the producer price index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 0.4% month-over-month rise. The core PPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is projected to increase 0.5%. The PPI and core PPI, both jumped 1% in June.\nThe Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the weekend ending on Aug. 7. In July, claims averaged 392,000 a week, slightly less than the June data. Jobless claims have trended down since peaking in the spring of 2020 but remain elevated compared with prepandemic levels.\nFriday 8/13\nThe University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment index for August. Expectations are for an 81.1 reading, roughly even with the July figure.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DIS":0.9,"EBAY":0.9,"COIN":0.9,"PRGO":0.9,"TDG":0.9,"AMC":0.9,"ABNB":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"BAM":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"BR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":379,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":186972064,"gmtCreate":1623471369958,"gmtModify":1634032685020,"author":{"id":"3581581534662324","authorId":"3581581534662324","name":"jkooooo","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581581534662324","authorIdStr":"3581581534662324"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment ","listText":"Like and comment ","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":10,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186972064","repostId":"2142204074","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":495,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":181919796,"gmtCreate":1623370139415,"gmtModify":1634034152083,"author":{"id":"3581581534662324","authorId":"3581581534662324","name":"jkooooo","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581581534662324","authorIdStr":"3581581534662324"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment ","listText":"Like and comment ","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/181919796","repostId":"1184070773","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":170,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":898368831,"gmtCreate":1628474266023,"gmtModify":1633746926054,"author":{"id":"3581581534662324","authorId":"3581581534662324","name":"jkooooo","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581581534662324","authorIdStr":"3581581534662324"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898368831","repostId":"1143883880","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":700,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802110496,"gmtCreate":1627730965415,"gmtModify":1633756755828,"author":{"id":"3581581534662324","authorId":"3581581534662324","name":"jkooooo","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581581534662324","authorIdStr":"3581581534662324"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802110496","repostId":"1147779023","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147779023","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627716124,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1147779023?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-31 15:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"You can beat stock market indexes — this fund manager has, and this is how she and her team did it<blockquote>你可以击败股市指数——这位基金经理做到了,她和她的团队就是这样做到的</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147779023","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Five key lessons on outperformance from Prabha Ram at the American Century Focused Dynamic Growth Fu","content":"<p> <b>Five key lessons on outperformance from Prabha Ram at the American Century Focused Dynamic Growth Fund.</b> Investing is a tough game. That’s why so many mutual funds lag behind their indices.</p><p><blockquote><b>美国世纪聚焦动态增长基金的Prabha Ram关于优异表现的五个关键经验教训。</b>投资是一场艰苦的游戏。这就是为什么如此多的共同基金落后于其指数。</blockquote></p><p> So when you find a fund with a great record, it pays to investigate what the fund managers are doing — to learn some lessons.</p><p><blockquote>因此,当你找到一只记录良好的基金时,调查基金经理在做什么是值得的——吸取一些教训。</blockquote></p><p> The American Century Focused Dynamic Growth FundACFSXfits the bill. The $2.8 billion fund beats its Russell 1000 Growth Index by over 6 percentage points annualized over the past three and five years, according toMorningstar. It outperforms its large-growth category by 8.6 percentage points annualized over five years. It has a reasonable 0.65% expense ratio.</p><p><blockquote>专注于美国世纪的动态增长基金符合这一要求。据晨星公司称,这只价值28亿美元的基金在过去三年和五年的年化收益比罗素1000增长指数高出6个百分点以上。五年来,它的年化表现比高增长类别高出8.6个百分点。它有一个合理的0.65%的费用率。</blockquote></p><p> The fund is co-managed by Prabha Ram, who I recently caught up with. Raised in India, Ram came to the U.S. as a teaching assistant at the University of Maine, where she earned a master’s degree in computer science. She went on to receive an MBA at the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania. Ram and three other portfolio managers have led this fund since 2016.</p><p><blockquote>该基金由Prabha Ram共同管理,我最近采访了他。拉姆在印度长大,来到美国,在缅因大学担任助教,并在那里获得了计算机科学硕士学位。她后来在宾夕法尼亚大学沃顿商学院获得了MBA学位。Ram和其他三名投资组合经理自2016年以来一直领导该基金。</blockquote></p><p> Here are the five key takeaways, with examples of specific stocks.</p><p><blockquote>以下是五个关键要点,并附有具体股票的示例。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Own companies that can “land and expand” in big markets</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.拥有能在大市场“落地扩张”的公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Even though we’ve been in the digital age for years, many small companies still do much of their business on paper. Bill.comBILLwants to change that. The company was founded by CEO René Lacerte, who in the late 1990s started the online payroll company PayCycle, which was acquired by Intuit.</p><p><blockquote>尽管我们已经进入数字时代多年,但许多小公司仍然在纸上做大部分业务。Bill.comBill想要改变这一点。该公司由首席执行官RenéLacerte创立,他在20世纪90年代末创办了在线薪资公司PayCycle,该公司被Intuit收购。</blockquote></p><p> Bill.com helps small companies go digital in accounts payable and receivable payments. But that’s just the start. Once inside a company, Bill.com digitizes other areas like cash and expense account management.</p><p><blockquote>Bill.com帮助小公司实现应付账款和应收账款的数字化。但这仅仅是个开始。一旦进入公司内部,Bill.com就会将现金和费用账户管理等其他领域数字化。</blockquote></p><p> Bill.com “lands and expands” at clients, but it also uses their business partners to create a network of leads.</p><p><blockquote>Bill.com“登陆并扩展”客户,但它也利用他们的商业伙伴来创建潜在客户网络。</blockquote></p><p> “Every vendor is a network member, even if it is not a Bill.com customer,” says Ram. This network has about 2.5 million members. Bill.com also gets prospects from its partners, including Bank of AmericaBAC,JPMorgan ChaseJPMand American ExpressAXP.Sales grew 45% in the first quarter.</p><p><blockquote>“每个供应商都是网络成员,即使它不是Bill.com客户,”Ram说。这个网络大约有250万成员。Bill.com还从其合作伙伴那里获得了潜在客户,包括美国银行BAC、摩根大通JP和美国运通XP。第一季度销售额增长45%。</blockquote></p><p> Founder-run companies such as this one are worth considering because they often outperform.</p><p><blockquote>像这样的创始人经营的公司值得考虑,因为它们往往表现出色。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Seek out innovators</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.寻找创新者</b></blockquote></p><p> Ram’s portfolio contains obvious innovators, including TeslaTSLA,Amazon.comAMZNand AlphabetGOOGL,her top three positions. Let’s look beyond technology — to beer.</p><p><blockquote>拉姆的投资组合中包含明显的创新者,包括特斯拉TSLA、亚马逊AMZN和AlphabetGOOGL,这是她的前三名。让我们超越技术,看看啤酒。</blockquote></p><p> Back in the 1980s, Boston Beer founder Jim Koch began taking share from beer giants Anheuser-Busch InBevBUDand HeinekenHEINYby rolling out successful “craft” brews, starting with Samuel Adams. Koch helped invent the craft brew category, essentially taking the country back to pre-Prohibition days when the U.S. had hundreds of regional breweries making more flavorful beers for local tastes.</p><p><blockquote>早在20世纪80年代,波士顿啤酒创始人吉姆·科赫(Jim Koch)从塞缪尔·亚当斯(Samuel Adams)开始推出成功的“精酿”啤酒,开始从啤酒巨头安海斯-布希(Anheuser-Busch InbevBUD)和喜力海尼(Heinekenheiny)手中夺取份额。科赫帮助发明了精酿啤酒类别,基本上将美国带回了禁酒令前的时代,当时美国有数百家地区啤酒厂为当地口味生产更美味的啤酒。</blockquote></p><p> Boston Beer stock did very well, but then it stalled during 2015-2017 as beer sales overall went flat. In response, Boston Beer helped put a new category on the map — with its Truly Hard Seltzer brand rolled out in 2106. It remains one of the leading hard seltzers.</p><p><blockquote>波士顿啤酒股票表现非常好,但随后在2015年至2017年期间因啤酒销量整体持平而陷入停滞。作为回应,波士顿啤酒帮助推出了一个新的类别——其真正的硬苏打水品牌于2106年推出。它仍然是领先的硬苏打水之一。</blockquote></p><p> “We were drawn to the company because of its history of innovation,” says Ram, referring to her fund’s early position from the second quarter of 2016. “The stock was doing poorly because the beer market was flattening, but they were coming up with Truly Hard Seltzer. Truly was more successful than we anticipated. It created a new category.”</p><p><blockquote>“我们被这家公司吸引是因为它的创新历史,”拉姆说,她指的是她的基金从2016年第二季度开始的早期头寸。“由于啤酒市场趋于平缓,该股表现不佳,但他们推出了真正的硬苏打水。真正的苏打水比我们预期的更成功。它创造了一个新的类别。”</blockquote></p><p> This penchant for innovation at Boston Beer has helped keep Ram’s fund in the name. Other successful Boston Beer brands include Twisted Tea, Angry Orchard and Dogfish Head.</p><p><blockquote>波士顿啤酒对创新的热情帮助拉姆的基金得以保留。其他成功的波士顿啤酒品牌包括扭曲茶、愤怒果园和狗鱼头。</blockquote></p><p> A key takeaway here is that to find innovative companies, look for the ones led by people who have demonstrated a knack for innovation in the past. Innovative managers tend to keep on innovating. Boston Beer continually tests new seltzers, beers, hard ciders, distilled spirits and other drinks. Shareholders are betting they will come through again.</p><p><blockquote>这里的一个关键要点是,要寻找创新公司,要寻找那些由过去表现出创新能力的人领导的公司。创新型管理者倾向于不断创新。波士顿啤酒不断测试新的苏打水、啤酒、烈性苹果酒、蒸馏酒和其他饮料。股东们押注他们会再次成功。</blockquote></p><p> They’ll need the help. Boston Beer shares fell 20% on July 23 because so many competitors entered the hard cider niche. Sales grew 33% but net income fell 1.6% as the company jacked up advertising costs to try to combat the competition. The company slashed estimates for the year on an expected slowdown in sales growth.</p><p><blockquote>他们需要帮助。由于众多竞争对手进入烈性苹果酒领域,波士顿啤酒股价7月23日下跌20%。由于该公司提高了广告成本以对抗竞争,销售额增长了33%,但净利润下降了1.6%。由于预计销售增长放缓,该公司大幅下调了今年的预期。</blockquote></p><p> But don’t count out this innovator yet.</p><p><blockquote>但还不要排除这位创新者。</blockquote></p><p> “We recently announced plans to develop new innovative beverages with Beam Suntory that we are planning to launch in early 2022,” Boston Beer’s Koch said. Beam Suntory sells Jim Beam whiskey and other brands of spirits. “We believe these new beverages will further demonstrate our ability to innovate and grow our business as drinker preferences evolve.”</p><p><blockquote>波士顿啤酒的科赫表示:“我们最近宣布计划与Beam Suntory合作开发新的创新饮料,计划于2022年初推出。”Beam Suntory销售Jim Beam威士忌和其他品牌的烈酒。“我们相信,随着饮酒者偏好的变化,这些新饮料将进一步展示我们创新和发展业务的能力。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Look for companies that can create and dominate a niche</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.寻找能够创造并主导利基市场的公司</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> For years as the gig economy emerged, the big credit card companies didn’t really care that much if the local yoga instructor could accept payments with a credit card. SquareSQrecognized this as an opportunity. So it launched its card payment device business in 2009. Since then, it has grown by taking on larger customers, and expanding into new lines of business in financial services such as cash management, debit cards loans and tax filing. Transaction-based revenue grew 27% in the first quarter, and subscription and services revenue soared 88%.</p><p><blockquote>多年来,随着零工经济的出现,大型信用卡公司并不真正关心当地的瑜伽教练是否可以接受信用卡付款。SquareSQ认为这是一个机会。于是在2009年推出了卡支付设备业务。从那时起,它通过接纳更大的客户并扩展到现金管理、借记卡贷款和报税等金融服务的新业务领域而实现了增长。第一季度基于交易的收入增长了27%,订阅和服务收入飙升了88%。</blockquote></p><p> This is a great example of a company that created a business niche. But it’s also a “land and expand” company because it grows by offering customers new services. Both qualities help companies maintain the competitive advantage Ram likes see in investments.</p><p><blockquote>这是一家公司创造商业利基的一个很好的例子。但它也是一家“土地和扩张”的公司,因为它通过向客户提供新服务来发展。这两种品质都有助于公司保持拉姆喜欢在投资中看到的竞争优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Buy companies in the early stages of rapid growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.买入快速成长初期的公司</b></blockquote></p><p> One way to find these is to identify companies developing products that will transform an entire industry. Ram thinks that is the case with Alnylam PharmaceuticalsALNY.It’s developing novel therapies base on a technique called RNA interference (RNAi). Inside the body, messenger RNA (mRNA) encodes proteins we need, based on signals from RNA. Sometimes mRNA gets the signals crossed, and it encodes flawed proteins. This causes diseases.</p><p><blockquote>找到这些的一种方法是识别开发将改变整个行业的产品的公司。Ram认为Alnylam PharmaceuticalsALNY的情况就是如此。它正在开发基于RNA干扰(RNAi)技术的新疗法。在体内,信使RNA(mRNA)根据来自RNA的信号编码我们需要的蛋白质。有时mRNA会交叉信号,编码有缺陷的蛋白质。这会导致疾病。</blockquote></p><p> Alnylam has developed a way to tweak the RNAi pathway to silence the flawed signaling and block the creation of disease-causing proteins. So far, Alnylam has four approved RNAi-based medicines that treat rare hereditary diseases. The company has a dozen other therapies in clinical studies, including six in late-stage development.</p><p><blockquote>Alnylam开发了一种调整RNAi途径的方法,以沉默有缺陷的信号并阻止致病蛋白质的产生。到目前为止,Alnylam已经有四种获得批准的基于RNAi的药物,用于治疗罕见的遗传性疾病。该公司还有十几种其他疗法处于临床研究中,其中六种处于后期开发阶段。</blockquote></p><p> “This is a completely new area of therapeutics,” says Ram. “It is a platform of products that can treat a variety of conditions.”</p><p><blockquote>“这是一个全新的治疗领域,”拉姆说。“它是一个可以治疗多种疾病的产品平台。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Hold stocks for the long term</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.长期持有股票</b></blockquote></p><p> All of the names above are large positions in Ram’s fund, which tells me that Ram and her team think they have considerably more upside. If you buy any of them, though, remember you have to do so with a multi-year time horizon. That’s what Ram’s fund does. It has a low annual portfolio turnover of 27%. It’s important to have a long-term view, because it is so tough to call short-term moves in the stock market or in stocks, and you need to give companies time to develop.</p><p><blockquote>上述所有名字都是拉姆基金中的大量头寸,这告诉我拉姆和她的团队认为他们有更大的上涨空间。不过,如果您购买其中任何一款,请记住您必须在多年的时间范围内购买。拉姆的基金就是这么做的。它的年投资组合周转率较低,为27%。有长远的眼光很重要,因为看涨期权股市或股票的短期走势非常困难,你需要给公司发展的时间。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>You can beat stock market indexes — this fund manager has, and this is how she and her team did it<blockquote>你可以击败股市指数——这位基金经理做到了,她和她的团队就是这样做到的</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nYou can beat stock market indexes — this fund manager has, and this is how she and her team did it<blockquote>你可以击败股市指数——这位基金经理做到了,她和她的团队就是这样做到的</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-31 15:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p> <b>Five key lessons on outperformance from Prabha Ram at the American Century Focused Dynamic Growth Fund.</b> Investing is a tough game. That’s why so many mutual funds lag behind their indices.</p><p><blockquote><b>美国世纪聚焦动态增长基金的Prabha Ram关于优异表现的五个关键经验教训。</b>投资是一场艰苦的游戏。这就是为什么如此多的共同基金落后于其指数。</blockquote></p><p> So when you find a fund with a great record, it pays to investigate what the fund managers are doing — to learn some lessons.</p><p><blockquote>因此,当你找到一只记录良好的基金时,调查基金经理在做什么是值得的——吸取一些教训。</blockquote></p><p> The American Century Focused Dynamic Growth FundACFSXfits the bill. The $2.8 billion fund beats its Russell 1000 Growth Index by over 6 percentage points annualized over the past three and five years, according toMorningstar. It outperforms its large-growth category by 8.6 percentage points annualized over five years. It has a reasonable 0.65% expense ratio.</p><p><blockquote>专注于美国世纪的动态增长基金符合这一要求。据晨星公司称,这只价值28亿美元的基金在过去三年和五年的年化收益比罗素1000增长指数高出6个百分点以上。五年来,它的年化表现比高增长类别高出8.6个百分点。它有一个合理的0.65%的费用率。</blockquote></p><p> The fund is co-managed by Prabha Ram, who I recently caught up with. Raised in India, Ram came to the U.S. as a teaching assistant at the University of Maine, where she earned a master’s degree in computer science. She went on to receive an MBA at the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania. Ram and three other portfolio managers have led this fund since 2016.</p><p><blockquote>该基金由Prabha Ram共同管理,我最近采访了他。拉姆在印度长大,来到美国,在缅因大学担任助教,并在那里获得了计算机科学硕士学位。她后来在宾夕法尼亚大学沃顿商学院获得了MBA学位。Ram和其他三名投资组合经理自2016年以来一直领导该基金。</blockquote></p><p> Here are the five key takeaways, with examples of specific stocks.</p><p><blockquote>以下是五个关键要点,并附有具体股票的示例。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Own companies that can “land and expand” in big markets</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.拥有能在大市场“落地扩张”的公司</b></blockquote></p><p> Even though we’ve been in the digital age for years, many small companies still do much of their business on paper. Bill.comBILLwants to change that. The company was founded by CEO René Lacerte, who in the late 1990s started the online payroll company PayCycle, which was acquired by Intuit.</p><p><blockquote>尽管我们已经进入数字时代多年,但许多小公司仍然在纸上做大部分业务。Bill.comBill想要改变这一点。该公司由首席执行官RenéLacerte创立,他在20世纪90年代末创办了在线薪资公司PayCycle,该公司被Intuit收购。</blockquote></p><p> Bill.com helps small companies go digital in accounts payable and receivable payments. But that’s just the start. Once inside a company, Bill.com digitizes other areas like cash and expense account management.</p><p><blockquote>Bill.com帮助小公司实现应付账款和应收账款的数字化。但这仅仅是个开始。一旦进入公司内部,Bill.com就会将现金和费用账户管理等其他领域数字化。</blockquote></p><p> Bill.com “lands and expands” at clients, but it also uses their business partners to create a network of leads.</p><p><blockquote>Bill.com“登陆并扩展”客户,但它也利用他们的商业伙伴来创建潜在客户网络。</blockquote></p><p> “Every vendor is a network member, even if it is not a Bill.com customer,” says Ram. This network has about 2.5 million members. Bill.com also gets prospects from its partners, including Bank of AmericaBAC,JPMorgan ChaseJPMand American ExpressAXP.Sales grew 45% in the first quarter.</p><p><blockquote>“每个供应商都是网络成员,即使它不是Bill.com客户,”Ram说。这个网络大约有250万成员。Bill.com还从其合作伙伴那里获得了潜在客户,包括美国银行BAC、摩根大通JP和美国运通XP。第一季度销售额增长45%。</blockquote></p><p> Founder-run companies such as this one are worth considering because they often outperform.</p><p><blockquote>像这样的创始人经营的公司值得考虑,因为它们往往表现出色。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Seek out innovators</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.寻找创新者</b></blockquote></p><p> Ram’s portfolio contains obvious innovators, including TeslaTSLA,Amazon.comAMZNand AlphabetGOOGL,her top three positions. Let’s look beyond technology — to beer.</p><p><blockquote>拉姆的投资组合中包含明显的创新者,包括特斯拉TSLA、亚马逊AMZN和AlphabetGOOGL,这是她的前三名。让我们超越技术,看看啤酒。</blockquote></p><p> Back in the 1980s, Boston Beer founder Jim Koch began taking share from beer giants Anheuser-Busch InBevBUDand HeinekenHEINYby rolling out successful “craft” brews, starting with Samuel Adams. Koch helped invent the craft brew category, essentially taking the country back to pre-Prohibition days when the U.S. had hundreds of regional breweries making more flavorful beers for local tastes.</p><p><blockquote>早在20世纪80年代,波士顿啤酒创始人吉姆·科赫(Jim Koch)从塞缪尔·亚当斯(Samuel Adams)开始推出成功的“精酿”啤酒,开始从啤酒巨头安海斯-布希(Anheuser-Busch InbevBUD)和喜力海尼(Heinekenheiny)手中夺取份额。科赫帮助发明了精酿啤酒类别,基本上将美国带回了禁酒令前的时代,当时美国有数百家地区啤酒厂为当地口味生产更美味的啤酒。</blockquote></p><p> Boston Beer stock did very well, but then it stalled during 2015-2017 as beer sales overall went flat. In response, Boston Beer helped put a new category on the map — with its Truly Hard Seltzer brand rolled out in 2106. It remains one of the leading hard seltzers.</p><p><blockquote>波士顿啤酒股票表现非常好,但随后在2015年至2017年期间因啤酒销量整体持平而陷入停滞。作为回应,波士顿啤酒帮助推出了一个新的类别——其真正的硬苏打水品牌于2106年推出。它仍然是领先的硬苏打水之一。</blockquote></p><p> “We were drawn to the company because of its history of innovation,” says Ram, referring to her fund’s early position from the second quarter of 2016. “The stock was doing poorly because the beer market was flattening, but they were coming up with Truly Hard Seltzer. Truly was more successful than we anticipated. It created a new category.”</p><p><blockquote>“我们被这家公司吸引是因为它的创新历史,”拉姆说,她指的是她的基金从2016年第二季度开始的早期头寸。“由于啤酒市场趋于平缓,该股表现不佳,但他们推出了真正的硬苏打水。真正的苏打水比我们预期的更成功。它创造了一个新的类别。”</blockquote></p><p> This penchant for innovation at Boston Beer has helped keep Ram’s fund in the name. Other successful Boston Beer brands include Twisted Tea, Angry Orchard and Dogfish Head.</p><p><blockquote>波士顿啤酒对创新的热情帮助拉姆的基金得以保留。其他成功的波士顿啤酒品牌包括扭曲茶、愤怒果园和狗鱼头。</blockquote></p><p> A key takeaway here is that to find innovative companies, look for the ones led by people who have demonstrated a knack for innovation in the past. Innovative managers tend to keep on innovating. Boston Beer continually tests new seltzers, beers, hard ciders, distilled spirits and other drinks. Shareholders are betting they will come through again.</p><p><blockquote>这里的一个关键要点是,要寻找创新公司,要寻找那些由过去表现出创新能力的人领导的公司。创新型管理者倾向于不断创新。波士顿啤酒不断测试新的苏打水、啤酒、烈性苹果酒、蒸馏酒和其他饮料。股东们押注他们会再次成功。</blockquote></p><p> They’ll need the help. Boston Beer shares fell 20% on July 23 because so many competitors entered the hard cider niche. Sales grew 33% but net income fell 1.6% as the company jacked up advertising costs to try to combat the competition. The company slashed estimates for the year on an expected slowdown in sales growth.</p><p><blockquote>他们需要帮助。由于众多竞争对手进入烈性苹果酒领域,波士顿啤酒股价7月23日下跌20%。由于该公司提高了广告成本以对抗竞争,销售额增长了33%,但净利润下降了1.6%。由于预计销售增长放缓,该公司大幅下调了今年的预期。</blockquote></p><p> But don’t count out this innovator yet.</p><p><blockquote>但还不要排除这位创新者。</blockquote></p><p> “We recently announced plans to develop new innovative beverages with Beam Suntory that we are planning to launch in early 2022,” Boston Beer’s Koch said. Beam Suntory sells Jim Beam whiskey and other brands of spirits. “We believe these new beverages will further demonstrate our ability to innovate and grow our business as drinker preferences evolve.”</p><p><blockquote>波士顿啤酒的科赫表示:“我们最近宣布计划与Beam Suntory合作开发新的创新饮料,计划于2022年初推出。”Beam Suntory销售Jim Beam威士忌和其他品牌的烈酒。“我们相信,随着饮酒者偏好的变化,这些新饮料将进一步展示我们创新和发展业务的能力。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Look for companies that can create and dominate a niche</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.寻找能够创造并主导利基市场的公司</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> For years as the gig economy emerged, the big credit card companies didn’t really care that much if the local yoga instructor could accept payments with a credit card. SquareSQrecognized this as an opportunity. So it launched its card payment device business in 2009. Since then, it has grown by taking on larger customers, and expanding into new lines of business in financial services such as cash management, debit cards loans and tax filing. Transaction-based revenue grew 27% in the first quarter, and subscription and services revenue soared 88%.</p><p><blockquote>多年来,随着零工经济的出现,大型信用卡公司并不真正关心当地的瑜伽教练是否可以接受信用卡付款。SquareSQ认为这是一个机会。于是在2009年推出了卡支付设备业务。从那时起,它通过接纳更大的客户并扩展到现金管理、借记卡贷款和报税等金融服务的新业务领域而实现了增长。第一季度基于交易的收入增长了27%,订阅和服务收入飙升了88%。</blockquote></p><p> This is a great example of a company that created a business niche. But it’s also a “land and expand” company because it grows by offering customers new services. Both qualities help companies maintain the competitive advantage Ram likes see in investments.</p><p><blockquote>这是一家公司创造商业利基的一个很好的例子。但它也是一家“土地和扩张”的公司,因为它通过向客户提供新服务来发展。这两种品质都有助于公司保持拉姆喜欢在投资中看到的竞争优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Buy companies in the early stages of rapid growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.买入快速成长初期的公司</b></blockquote></p><p> One way to find these is to identify companies developing products that will transform an entire industry. Ram thinks that is the case with Alnylam PharmaceuticalsALNY.It’s developing novel therapies base on a technique called RNA interference (RNAi). Inside the body, messenger RNA (mRNA) encodes proteins we need, based on signals from RNA. Sometimes mRNA gets the signals crossed, and it encodes flawed proteins. This causes diseases.</p><p><blockquote>找到这些的一种方法是识别开发将改变整个行业的产品的公司。Ram认为Alnylam PharmaceuticalsALNY的情况就是如此。它正在开发基于RNA干扰(RNAi)技术的新疗法。在体内,信使RNA(mRNA)根据来自RNA的信号编码我们需要的蛋白质。有时mRNA会交叉信号,编码有缺陷的蛋白质。这会导致疾病。</blockquote></p><p> Alnylam has developed a way to tweak the RNAi pathway to silence the flawed signaling and block the creation of disease-causing proteins. So far, Alnylam has four approved RNAi-based medicines that treat rare hereditary diseases. The company has a dozen other therapies in clinical studies, including six in late-stage development.</p><p><blockquote>Alnylam开发了一种调整RNAi途径的方法,以沉默有缺陷的信号并阻止致病蛋白质的产生。到目前为止,Alnylam已经有四种获得批准的基于RNAi的药物,用于治疗罕见的遗传性疾病。该公司还有十几种其他疗法处于临床研究中,其中六种处于后期开发阶段。</blockquote></p><p> “This is a completely new area of therapeutics,” says Ram. “It is a platform of products that can treat a variety of conditions.”</p><p><blockquote>“这是一个全新的治疗领域,”拉姆说。“它是一个可以治疗多种疾病的产品平台。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. Hold stocks for the long term</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.长期持有股票</b></blockquote></p><p> All of the names above are large positions in Ram’s fund, which tells me that Ram and her team think they have considerably more upside. If you buy any of them, though, remember you have to do so with a multi-year time horizon. That’s what Ram’s fund does. It has a low annual portfolio turnover of 27%. It’s important to have a long-term view, because it is so tough to call short-term moves in the stock market or in stocks, and you need to give companies time to develop.</p><p><blockquote>上述所有名字都是拉姆基金中的大量头寸,这告诉我拉姆和她的团队认为他们有更大的上涨空间。不过,如果您购买其中任何一款,请记住您必须在多年的时间范围内购买。拉姆的基金就是这么做的。它的年投资组合周转率较低,为27%。有长远的眼光很重要,因为看涨期权股市或股票的短期走势非常困难,你需要给公司发展的时间。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/you-can-beat-stock-market-indexes-this-fund-manager-has-and-this-is-how-she-and-her-team-did-it-11627481445?mod=article_inline\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/you-can-beat-stock-market-indexes-this-fund-manager-has-and-this-is-how-she-and-her-team-did-it-11627481445?mod=article_inline","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147779023","content_text":"Five key lessons on outperformance from Prabha Ram at the American Century Focused Dynamic Growth Fund.\n\nInvesting is a tough game. That’s why so many mutual funds lag behind their indices.\nSo when you find a fund with a great record, it pays to investigate what the fund managers are doing — to learn some lessons.\nThe American Century Focused Dynamic Growth FundACFSXfits the bill. The $2.8 billion fund beats its Russell 1000 Growth Index by over 6 percentage points annualized over the past three and five years, according toMorningstar. It outperforms its large-growth category by 8.6 percentage points annualized over five years. It has a reasonable 0.65% expense ratio.\nThe fund is co-managed by Prabha Ram, who I recently caught up with. Raised in India, Ram came to the U.S. as a teaching assistant at the University of Maine, where she earned a master’s degree in computer science. She went on to receive an MBA at the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania. Ram and three other portfolio managers have led this fund since 2016.\nHere are the five key takeaways, with examples of specific stocks.\n1. Own companies that can “land and expand” in big markets\nEven though we’ve been in the digital age for years, many small companies still do much of their business on paper. Bill.comBILLwants to change that. The company was founded by CEO René Lacerte, who in the late 1990s started the online payroll company PayCycle, which was acquired by Intuit.\nBill.com helps small companies go digital in accounts payable and receivable payments. But that’s just the start. Once inside a company, Bill.com digitizes other areas like cash and expense account management.\nBill.com “lands and expands” at clients, but it also uses their business partners to create a network of leads.\n“Every vendor is a network member, even if it is not a Bill.com customer,” says Ram. This network has about 2.5 million members. Bill.com also gets prospects from its partners, including Bank of AmericaBAC,JPMorgan ChaseJPMand American ExpressAXP.Sales grew 45% in the first quarter.\nFounder-run companies such as this one are worth considering because they often outperform.\n2. Seek out innovators\nRam’s portfolio contains obvious innovators, including TeslaTSLA,Amazon.comAMZNand AlphabetGOOGL,her top three positions. Let’s look beyond technology — to beer.\nBack in the 1980s, Boston Beer founder Jim Koch began taking share from beer giants Anheuser-Busch InBevBUDand HeinekenHEINYby rolling out successful “craft” brews, starting with Samuel Adams. Koch helped invent the craft brew category, essentially taking the country back to pre-Prohibition days when the U.S. had hundreds of regional breweries making more flavorful beers for local tastes.\nBoston Beer stock did very well, but then it stalled during 2015-2017 as beer sales overall went flat. In response, Boston Beer helped put a new category on the map — with its Truly Hard Seltzer brand rolled out in 2106. It remains one of the leading hard seltzers.\n“We were drawn to the company because of its history of innovation,” says Ram, referring to her fund’s early position from the second quarter of 2016. “The stock was doing poorly because the beer market was flattening, but they were coming up with Truly Hard Seltzer. Truly was more successful than we anticipated. It created a new category.”\nThis penchant for innovation at Boston Beer has helped keep Ram’s fund in the name. Other successful Boston Beer brands include Twisted Tea, Angry Orchard and Dogfish Head.\nA key takeaway here is that to find innovative companies, look for the ones led by people who have demonstrated a knack for innovation in the past. Innovative managers tend to keep on innovating. Boston Beer continually tests new seltzers, beers, hard ciders, distilled spirits and other drinks. Shareholders are betting they will come through again.\nThey’ll need the help. Boston Beer shares fell 20% on July 23 because so many competitors entered the hard cider niche. Sales grew 33% but net income fell 1.6% as the company jacked up advertising costs to try to combat the competition. The company slashed estimates for the year on an expected slowdown in sales growth.\nBut don’t count out this innovator yet.\n“We recently announced plans to develop new innovative beverages with Beam Suntory that we are planning to launch in early 2022,” Boston Beer’s Koch said. Beam Suntory sells Jim Beam whiskey and other brands of spirits. “We believe these new beverages will further demonstrate our ability to innovate and grow our business as drinker preferences evolve.”\n3. Look for companies that can create and dominate a niche\nFor years as the gig economy emerged, the big credit card companies didn’t really care that much if the local yoga instructor could accept payments with a credit card. SquareSQrecognized this as an opportunity. So it launched its card payment device business in 2009. Since then, it has grown by taking on larger customers, and expanding into new lines of business in financial services such as cash management, debit cards loans and tax filing. Transaction-based revenue grew 27% in the first quarter, and subscription and services revenue soared 88%.\nThis is a great example of a company that created a business niche. But it’s also a “land and expand” company because it grows by offering customers new services. Both qualities help companies maintain the competitive advantage Ram likes see in investments.\n4. Buy companies in the early stages of rapid growth\nOne way to find these is to identify companies developing products that will transform an entire industry. Ram thinks that is the case with Alnylam PharmaceuticalsALNY.It’s developing novel therapies base on a technique called RNA interference (RNAi). Inside the body, messenger RNA (mRNA) encodes proteins we need, based on signals from RNA. Sometimes mRNA gets the signals crossed, and it encodes flawed proteins. This causes diseases.\nAlnylam has developed a way to tweak the RNAi pathway to silence the flawed signaling and block the creation of disease-causing proteins. So far, Alnylam has four approved RNAi-based medicines that treat rare hereditary diseases. The company has a dozen other therapies in clinical studies, including six in late-stage development.\n“This is a completely new area of therapeutics,” says Ram. “It is a platform of products that can treat a variety of conditions.”\n5. Hold stocks for the long term\nAll of the names above are large positions in Ram’s fund, which tells me that Ram and her team think they have considerably more upside. If you buy any of them, though, remember you have to do so with a multi-year time horizon. That’s what Ram’s fund does. It has a low annual portfolio turnover of 27%. It’s important to have a long-term view, because it is so tough to call short-term moves in the stock market or in stocks, and you need to give companies time to develop.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":458,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":161066762,"gmtCreate":1623896898156,"gmtModify":1634026190554,"author":{"id":"3581581534662324","authorId":"3581581534662324","name":"jkooooo","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581581534662324","authorIdStr":"3581581534662324"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/161066762","repostId":"1152604932","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":551,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":898363134,"gmtCreate":1628474163928,"gmtModify":1633746927685,"author":{"id":"3581581534662324","authorId":"3581581534662324","name":"jkooooo","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581581534662324","authorIdStr":"3581581534662324"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like ","listText":"Like ","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/898363134","repostId":"1162909436","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1162909436","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1628463995,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1162909436?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-09 07:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Disney, AMC, Coinbase, Airbnb, BioNTech, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>Disney、AMC、Coinbase、爱彼迎、BioNTech等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1162909436","media":"Barron's","summary":"The bulk of second-quarter earnings season is in the rearview mirror, but several notable reports re","content":"<p>The bulk of second-quarter earnings season is in the rearview mirror, but several notable reports remain. AMC Entertainment Holdings, BioNTech, and Dish Network will be Monday’s highlights. Coinbase Global and Syscogo on Tuesday. On Wednesday, eBay will report, followed by Walt Disney, Airbnb, DoorDash, and Broadridge Financial Solutionson Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>第二季度财报季的大部分内容已经成为过去,但几份值得注意的报告仍然存在。AMC院线控股、BioNTech和Dish Network将是周一的亮点。比特币基地全球和Syscogo周二。周三,eBay将发布报告,随后华特迪士尼、爱彼迎、DoorDash和Broadridge Financial Solutions将于周四发布报告。</blockquote></p><p> The week’s economic calendar will include a pair of updates each on consumer and business inflation and sentiment. On Wednesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will report the consumer price index for July, followed by the producer price index on Thursday. Those are expected to have increased by 5.3% and 7.3%, respectively, year over year.</p><p><blockquote>本周的经济日历将包括两个关于消费者和企业通胀和情绪的更新。周三,美国劳工统计局将公布7月份消费者价格指数,周四将公布生产者价格指数。预计同比分别增长5.3%和7.3%。</blockquote></p><p> On Tuesday, the National Federation of Independent Business will release its Small Business Optimism Index for July. And on Friday, the University of Michigan reports its Consumer Sentiment index for August. Both are forecast to hold roughly even with the prior months’ figures.</p><p><blockquote>周二,全国独立企业联合会将发布7月份小企业乐观指数。周五,密歇根大学公布了8月份的消费者信心指数。预计两者都将与前几个月的数据大致持平。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>Monday 8/9</b></h3> Air Products and Chemicals, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a>, Barrick Gold, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNTX\">BioNTech SE</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DISH\">DISH Network</a>, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSN\">Tyson</a> report quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>星期一8/9</b></h3>空气产品和化学品公司,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a>、巴里克黄金、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNTX\">BioNTech SE</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DISH\">碟形网络</a>,和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSN\">泰森</a>报告季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Labor Statistics</b> reports the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey for June. Economists forecast 9.1 million openings on the last business day of June, slightly less than the May figure. Job openings stand at record levels as employers struggle to fill vacant positions.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工统计局</b>报告六月份的职位空缺和劳动力流动调查。经济学家预测6月份最后一个工作日将有910万个职位空缺,略低于5月份的数字。由于雇主难以填补空缺职位,职位空缺达到创纪录水平。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>Tuesday 8/10</b></h3> <b>The National Federation of Independent Business</b> reports its Small Business Optimism Index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 102.8 reading, roughly even with the June data, which was the highest since October.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>星期二8/10</b></h3><b>全国独立企业联合会</b>报告7月份小企业乐观指数。普遍估计为102.8,与6月份的数据大致持平,后者是10月份以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">Coinbase Global, Inc.</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SYY\">Sysco</a>, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TDG\">TransDigm</a> announce earnings.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">比特币基地全球公司。</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SYY\">Sysco</a>,和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TDG\">TransDigm</a>公布收益。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS reports unit labor</b> costs and nonfarm productivity for the second quarter. Expectations are for a rise of 0.9% in labor costs and 3.4% for productivity. This compares with increases of 1.7% and 5.4%, respectively, in the first quarter.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工统计局报告单位劳动力</b>第二季度成本和非农生产率。预计劳动力成本将上升0.9%,生产率将上升3.4%。相比之下,第一季度分别增长1.7%和5.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>Wednesday 8/11</b></h3> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBAY\">eBay</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PRGO\">Perrigo Co PLC</a> release quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>星期三8/11</b></h3><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBAY\">eBay</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PRGO\">佩里戈公司</a>发布季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS reports the consumer</b> price index for July. Economists forecast a 5.3% increase year over year, after a gain of 5.4% in June. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 4.3%, compared with 4.5% previously. Inflation, and whether it is transitory, has generated much discussion on Wall Street this year, with the June CPI showing the fastest pace of growth since July 2008 and core CPI rising at the swiftest clip in nearly 30 years.</p><p><blockquote><b>BLS报告消费者</b>7月份价格指数。继6月份增长5.4%后,经济学家预测同比增长5.3%。剔除波动较大的食品和能源价格的核心CPI预计上涨4.3%,前值为4.5%。通货膨胀以及它是否是暂时的,今年在华尔街引起了很多讨论,6月份CPI显示出自2008年7月以来最快的增长速度,核心CPI以近30年来最快的速度上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Treasury Department</b> releases the monthly budget statement for July. The estimated deficit is $267 billion for the month, and $3 trillion for fiscal 2021, which ends in September. The $3 trillion would be just shy of fiscal 2020’s $3.1 trillion deficit, a record.</p><p><blockquote><b>财政部</b>发布7月份的月度预算报表。预计本月赤字为2670亿美元,截至9月的2021财年赤字为3万亿美元。这3万亿美元将略低于2020财年创纪录的3.1万亿美元赤字。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>Thursday 8/12</b></h3> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABNB\">Airbnb, Inc.</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BR\">Broadridge Financial Solutions</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAM\">Brookfield Asset Management</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DASH\">DoorDash, Inc.</a>, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">Walt Disney</a> hold conference calls to discuss earnings.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>星期四8/12</b></h3><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABNB\">爱彼迎公司。</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BR\">布罗德里奇金融解决方案</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAM\">布鲁克菲尔德资产管理公司</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DASH\">DoorDash公司。</a>,和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">迪斯尼</a>召开会议评级讨论收益。</blockquote></p><p> Idexx Laboratorieshosts its 2021 virtual investor day.</p><p><blockquote>IDEXX Laboratories举办2021年虚拟投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS reports the</b> producer price index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 0.4% month-over-month rise. The core PPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is projected to increase 0.5%. The PPI and core PPI, both jumped 1% in June.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工统计局报告说</b>7月份生产者价格指数。普遍估计环比增长0.4%。剔除波动较大的食品和能源价格的核心PPI预计将上涨0.5%。6月份PPI和核心PPI均上涨1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Department of Labor</b> reports initial jobless claims for the weekend ending on Aug. 7. In July, claims averaged 392,000 a week, slightly less than the June data. Jobless claims have trended down since peaking in the spring of 2020 but remain elevated compared with prepandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工部</b>报告截至8月7日的周末首次申请失业救济人数。7月份,平均每周申请失业救济人数为39.2万人,略低于6月份的数据。自2020年春季达到峰值以来,申请失业救济人数呈下降趋势,但与大流行前的水平相比仍处于较高水平。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>Friday 8/13</b></h3> <b>The University of Michigan</b> releases its Consumer Sentiment index for August. Expectations are for an 81.1 reading, roughly even with the July figure.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>星期五8/13</b></h3><b>密歇根大学</b>发布8月份消费者信心指数。预期为81.1,与7月份的数据大致持平。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Disney, AMC, Coinbase, Airbnb, BioNTech, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>Disney、AMC、Coinbase、爱彼迎、BioNTech等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDisney, AMC, Coinbase, Airbnb, BioNTech, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>Disney、AMC、Coinbase、爱彼迎、BioNTech等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-09 07:06</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The bulk of second-quarter earnings season is in the rearview mirror, but several notable reports remain. AMC Entertainment Holdings, BioNTech, and Dish Network will be Monday’s highlights. Coinbase Global and Syscogo on Tuesday. On Wednesday, eBay will report, followed by Walt Disney, Airbnb, DoorDash, and Broadridge Financial Solutionson Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>第二季度财报季的大部分内容已经成为过去,但几份值得注意的报告仍然存在。AMC院线控股、BioNTech和Dish Network将是周一的亮点。比特币基地全球和Syscogo周二。周三,eBay将发布报告,随后华特迪士尼、爱彼迎、DoorDash和Broadridge Financial Solutions将于周四发布报告。</blockquote></p><p> The week’s economic calendar will include a pair of updates each on consumer and business inflation and sentiment. On Wednesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will report the consumer price index for July, followed by the producer price index on Thursday. Those are expected to have increased by 5.3% and 7.3%, respectively, year over year.</p><p><blockquote>本周的经济日历将包括两个关于消费者和企业通胀和情绪的更新。周三,美国劳工统计局将公布7月份消费者价格指数,周四将公布生产者价格指数。预计同比分别增长5.3%和7.3%。</blockquote></p><p> On Tuesday, the National Federation of Independent Business will release its Small Business Optimism Index for July. And on Friday, the University of Michigan reports its Consumer Sentiment index for August. Both are forecast to hold roughly even with the prior months’ figures.</p><p><blockquote>周二,全国独立企业联合会将发布7月份小企业乐观指数。周五,密歇根大学公布了8月份的消费者信心指数。预计两者都将与前几个月的数据大致持平。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>Monday 8/9</b></h3> Air Products and Chemicals, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a>, Barrick Gold, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNTX\">BioNTech SE</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DISH\">DISH Network</a>, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSN\">Tyson</a> report quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>星期一8/9</b></h3>空气产品和化学品公司,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC院线</a>、巴里克黄金、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BNTX\">BioNTech SE</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DISH\">碟形网络</a>,和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSN\">泰森</a>报告季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Labor Statistics</b> reports the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey for June. Economists forecast 9.1 million openings on the last business day of June, slightly less than the May figure. Job openings stand at record levels as employers struggle to fill vacant positions.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工统计局</b>报告六月份的职位空缺和劳动力流动调查。经济学家预测6月份最后一个工作日将有910万个职位空缺,略低于5月份的数字。由于雇主难以填补空缺职位,职位空缺达到创纪录水平。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>Tuesday 8/10</b></h3> <b>The National Federation of Independent Business</b> reports its Small Business Optimism Index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 102.8 reading, roughly even with the June data, which was the highest since October.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>星期二8/10</b></h3><b>全国独立企业联合会</b>报告7月份小企业乐观指数。普遍估计为102.8,与6月份的数据大致持平,后者是10月份以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">Coinbase Global, Inc.</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SYY\">Sysco</a>, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TDG\">TransDigm</a> announce earnings.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COIN\">比特币基地全球公司。</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SYY\">Sysco</a>,和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TDG\">TransDigm</a>公布收益。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS reports unit labor</b> costs and nonfarm productivity for the second quarter. Expectations are for a rise of 0.9% in labor costs and 3.4% for productivity. This compares with increases of 1.7% and 5.4%, respectively, in the first quarter.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工统计局报告单位劳动力</b>第二季度成本和非农生产率。预计劳动力成本将上升0.9%,生产率将上升3.4%。相比之下,第一季度分别增长1.7%和5.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>Wednesday 8/11</b></h3> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBAY\">eBay</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PRGO\">Perrigo Co PLC</a> release quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>星期三8/11</b></h3><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EBAY\">eBay</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PRGO\">佩里戈公司</a>发布季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS reports the consumer</b> price index for July. Economists forecast a 5.3% increase year over year, after a gain of 5.4% in June. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 4.3%, compared with 4.5% previously. Inflation, and whether it is transitory, has generated much discussion on Wall Street this year, with the June CPI showing the fastest pace of growth since July 2008 and core CPI rising at the swiftest clip in nearly 30 years.</p><p><blockquote><b>BLS报告消费者</b>7月份价格指数。继6月份增长5.4%后,经济学家预测同比增长5.3%。剔除波动较大的食品和能源价格的核心CPI预计上涨4.3%,前值为4.5%。通货膨胀以及它是否是暂时的,今年在华尔街引起了很多讨论,6月份CPI显示出自2008年7月以来最快的增长速度,核心CPI以近30年来最快的速度上涨。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Treasury Department</b> releases the monthly budget statement for July. The estimated deficit is $267 billion for the month, and $3 trillion for fiscal 2021, which ends in September. The $3 trillion would be just shy of fiscal 2020’s $3.1 trillion deficit, a record.</p><p><blockquote><b>财政部</b>发布7月份的月度预算报表。预计本月赤字为2670亿美元,截至9月的2021财年赤字为3万亿美元。这3万亿美元将略低于2020财年创纪录的3.1万亿美元赤字。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>Thursday 8/12</b></h3> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABNB\">Airbnb, Inc.</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BR\">Broadridge Financial Solutions</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAM\">Brookfield Asset Management</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DASH\">DoorDash, Inc.</a>, and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">Walt Disney</a> hold conference calls to discuss earnings.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>星期四8/12</b></h3><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ABNB\">爱彼迎公司。</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BR\">布罗德里奇金融解决方案</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAM\">布鲁克菲尔德资产管理公司</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DASH\">DoorDash公司。</a>,和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">迪斯尼</a>召开会议评级讨论收益。</blockquote></p><p> Idexx Laboratorieshosts its 2021 virtual investor day.</p><p><blockquote>IDEXX Laboratories举办2021年虚拟投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS reports the</b> producer price index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 0.4% month-over-month rise. The core PPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is projected to increase 0.5%. The PPI and core PPI, both jumped 1% in June.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工统计局报告说</b>7月份生产者价格指数。普遍估计环比增长0.4%。剔除波动较大的食品和能源价格的核心PPI预计将上涨0.5%。6月份PPI和核心PPI均上涨1%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Department of Labor</b> reports initial jobless claims for the weekend ending on Aug. 7. In July, claims averaged 392,000 a week, slightly less than the June data. Jobless claims have trended down since peaking in the spring of 2020 but remain elevated compared with prepandemic levels.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工部</b>报告截至8月7日的周末首次申请失业救济人数。7月份,平均每周申请失业救济人数为39.2万人,略低于6月份的数据。自2020年春季达到峰值以来,申请失业救济人数呈下降趋势,但与大流行前的水平相比仍处于较高水平。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>Friday 8/13</b></h3> <b>The University of Michigan</b> releases its Consumer Sentiment index for August. Expectations are for an 81.1 reading, roughly even with the July figure.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>星期五8/13</b></h3><b>密歇根大学</b>发布8月份消费者信心指数。预期为81.1,与7月份的数据大致持平。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/disney-amc-coinbase-airbnb-biontech-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51628449233?mod=hp_LEAD_4?mod=article_signInButton\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"EBAY":"eBay","COIN":"Coinbase Global, Inc.","AMC":"AMC院线","BR":"Broadridge金融解决方案","ABNB":"爱彼迎",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","BAM":"布鲁克菲尔德资产管理",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","PRGO":"百利高",".DJI":"道琼斯","TDG":"TransDigm","DIS":"迪士尼"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/disney-amc-coinbase-airbnb-biontech-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51628449233?mod=hp_LEAD_4?mod=article_signInButton","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162909436","content_text":"The bulk of second-quarter earnings season is in the rearview mirror, but several notable reports remain. AMC Entertainment Holdings, BioNTech, and Dish Network will be Monday’s highlights. Coinbase Global and Syscogo on Tuesday. On Wednesday, eBay will report, followed by Walt Disney, Airbnb, DoorDash, and Broadridge Financial Solutionson Thursday.\nThe week’s economic calendar will include a pair of updates each on consumer and business inflation and sentiment. On Wednesday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will report the consumer price index for July, followed by the producer price index on Thursday. Those are expected to have increased by 5.3% and 7.3%, respectively, year over year.\nOn Tuesday, the National Federation of Independent Business will release its Small Business Optimism Index for July. And on Friday, the University of Michigan reports its Consumer Sentiment index for August. Both are forecast to hold roughly even with the prior months’ figures.\nMonday 8/9\nAir Products and Chemicals, AMC Entertainment, Barrick Gold, BioNTech SE, DISH Network, and Tyson report quarterly results.\nThe Bureau of Labor Statistics reports the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey for June. Economists forecast 9.1 million openings on the last business day of June, slightly less than the May figure. Job openings stand at record levels as employers struggle to fill vacant positions.\nTuesday 8/10\nThe National Federation of Independent Business reports its Small Business Optimism Index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 102.8 reading, roughly even with the June data, which was the highest since October.\nCoinbase Global, Inc., Sysco, and TransDigm announce earnings.\nThe BLS reports unit labor costs and nonfarm productivity for the second quarter. Expectations are for a rise of 0.9% in labor costs and 3.4% for productivity. This compares with increases of 1.7% and 5.4%, respectively, in the first quarter.\nWednesday 8/11\neBay and Perrigo Co PLC release quarterly results.\nThe BLS reports the consumer price index for July. Economists forecast a 5.3% increase year over year, after a gain of 5.4% in June. The core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is expected to rise 4.3%, compared with 4.5% previously. Inflation, and whether it is transitory, has generated much discussion on Wall Street this year, with the June CPI showing the fastest pace of growth since July 2008 and core CPI rising at the swiftest clip in nearly 30 years.\nThe Treasury Department releases the monthly budget statement for July. The estimated deficit is $267 billion for the month, and $3 trillion for fiscal 2021, which ends in September. The $3 trillion would be just shy of fiscal 2020’s $3.1 trillion deficit, a record.\nThursday 8/12\nAirbnb, Inc., Broadridge Financial Solutions, Brookfield Asset Management, DoorDash, Inc., and Walt Disney hold conference calls to discuss earnings.\nIdexx Laboratorieshosts its 2021 virtual investor day.\nThe BLS reports the producer price index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 0.4% month-over-month rise. The core PPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, is projected to increase 0.5%. The PPI and core PPI, both jumped 1% in June.\nThe Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the weekend ending on Aug. 7. In July, claims averaged 392,000 a week, slightly less than the June data. Jobless claims have trended down since peaking in the spring of 2020 but remain elevated compared with prepandemic levels.\nFriday 8/13\nThe University of Michigan releases its Consumer Sentiment index for August. Expectations are for an 81.1 reading, roughly even with the July figure.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DIS":0.9,"EBAY":0.9,"COIN":0.9,"PRGO":0.9,"TDG":0.9,"AMC":0.9,"ABNB":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"BAM":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"BR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":379,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":809326846,"gmtCreate":1627349123785,"gmtModify":1633765870618,"author":{"id":"3581581534662324","authorId":"3581581534662324","name":"jkooooo","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581581534662324","authorIdStr":"3581581534662324"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like please","listText":"Like please","text":"Like please","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/809326846","repostId":"1153028059","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1153028059","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627340900,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1153028059?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-27 07:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Tesla sales surge 98%; company boosts margins on its less-costly electric cars<blockquote>特斯拉销量猛增98%;公司提高了成本较低的电动汽车的利润率</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1153028059","media":"Reuters","summary":" -Tesla Inc posted a bigger second-quarter profit than expected on Tuesday thanks to sharply higher sales of its less-expensive electric vehicles, as it raised prices to boost its margins on them.Tesla also cut costs which helped it offset many of the supply chain and microchip shortfalls facing the auto industry.For the first time since late 2019, Tesla profits did not rely on sales of environmental credits to other automakers, a sign of increasing financial health for the manufacturing operati","content":"<p>(Reuters) -Tesla Inc posted a bigger second-quarter profit than expected on Tuesday thanks to sharply higher sales of its less-expensive electric vehicles, as it raised prices to boost its margins on them.</p><p><blockquote>(路透社)-特斯拉公司周二公布的第二季度利润高于预期,这得益于其较便宜的电动汽车销量大幅增长,该公司提高了价格以提高其利润率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla also cut costs which helped it offset many of the supply chain and microchip shortfalls facing the auto industry.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉还削减了成本,这有助于抵消汽车行业面临的许多供应链和微芯片短缺问题。</blockquote></p><p> For the first time since late 2019, Tesla profits did not rely on sales of environmental credits to other automakers, a sign of increasing financial health for the manufacturing operation. Tesla boosted its performance by cutting features it said were unused or unneeded and raising U.S. vehicle prices.</p><p><blockquote>自2019年底以来,特斯拉的利润首次不依赖于向其他汽车制造商出售环境信用,这表明制造业务的财务状况日益健康。特斯拉通过削减其称未使用或不需要的功能以及提高美国汽车价格来提高其业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of the world’s most valuable automaker rose 1.5% in extended trade.</p><p><blockquote>这家全球最有价值汽车制造商的股价在盘后交易中上涨1.5%。</blockquote></p><p> In a call with investors and analysts, Tesla executives said that volume production growth will depend on parts availability, and Musk cautioned the shortage of semiconductors will continue.</p><p><blockquote>在与投资者和分析师的看涨期权中,特斯拉高管表示,量产增长将取决于零部件供应情况,马斯克警告称,半导体短缺将持续。</blockquote></p><p> “The global chip shortage situation remains quite serious,” Musk said.</p><p><blockquote>“全球芯片短缺的情况仍然相当严重,”马斯克说。</blockquote></p><p> Still, Musk said Tesla expects to launch production this year of the Model Y SUV at factories under construction in Texas and Germany. He said the company expects battery cell suppliers to double production next year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此,Musk表示,特斯拉预计今年将在德克萨斯和德意志的在建工厂投产Model Y SUV。他表示,该公司预计电池供应商明年的产量将翻一番。</blockquote></p><p> Despite the pandemic and the supply chain crisis, Tesla posted record deliveries during the quarter, thanks to sales of cheaper models including Model 3 sedans and Model Ys.</p><p><blockquote>尽管面临疫情和供应链危机,但得益于Model 3轿车和Model Y等更便宜车型的销售,特斯拉在本季度的交付量仍创下了纪录。</blockquote></p><p> The carmaker, led by billionaire entrepreneur Elon Musk, said revenue jumped to $11.96 billion from $6.04 billion a year earlier, when its California factory was shut down for more than six weeks due to local lockdown orders to fight the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>这家由亿万富翁企业家埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)领导的汽车制造商表示,收入从一年前的60.4亿美元跃升至119.6亿美元,当时其加州工厂因当地抗击疫情的封锁令而关闭了六周多。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts had expected revenue of about $11.3 billion, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.</p><p><blockquote>根据Refinitiv的IBES数据,分析师此前预计营收约为113亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Excluding items, Tesla posted a profit of $1.45 per share, easily topping analyst expectations for a profit of 98 cents per share.</p><p><blockquote>剔除项目后,特斯拉公布的每股利润为1.45美元,轻松超过分析师预期的每股98美分。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla said operating income rose with volume growth and cost reduction, which offset higher supply chain costs, lower regulatory credit revenue and other items including $23 million in losses on investment in cryptocurrency bitcoin.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉表示,营业收入随着销量增长和成本降低而上升,这抵消了供应链成本上升、监管信贷收入下降和其他项目,包括加密货币比特币投资损失2300万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla’s profitability has often relied on selling regulatory credits to other automakers, but in the second quarter, Tesla was profitable without these credits for the first time since the end of 2019. Its GAAP net income was $1.14 billion in the second quarter. Revenue from the credits only totaled $354 million.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的盈利能力通常依赖于向其他汽车制造商出售监管信用,但在第二季度,特斯拉自2019年底以来首次在没有这些信用的情况下实现盈利。其第二季度GAAP净利润为11.4亿美元。这些积分的收入总计仅为3.54亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> “Tesla impressed with its numbers, as most of its revenue came from vehicle sales,” Jesse Cohen, senior analyst at Investing.com, said.</p><p><blockquote>Investing.com高级分析师Jesse Cohen表示:“特斯拉对其数据印象深刻,因为其大部分收入来自汽车销售。”</blockquote></p><p> Carmaker Stellantis expects to achieve its European carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions targets this year without environmental credits bought from Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>汽车制造商Stellantis预计今年将在没有从特斯拉购买环境信用额的情况下实现其欧洲二氧化碳(CO2)排放目标。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla said it said it has delayed the launch of the Semi truck program to 2022 to focus on starting factories and due to limited availability of battery cells and other parts this year.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉表示,由于今年电池和其他零部件的供应有限,该公司已将Semi卡车计划的启动推迟到2022年,以专注于启动工厂。</blockquote></p><p> But the company’s new 4680 batteries are not ready for volume production; executives said it was difficult to predict when technological challenges would be resolved.</p><p><blockquote>但该公司的新型4680电池尚未准备好量产;高管们表示,很难预测技术挑战何时会得到解决。</blockquote></p><p> In an aside, Musk said he “most likely will not be on earnings calls” going forward to discuss financial results with investors and analysts. These calls have been a colorful quarterly ritual Musk has used for discourses on Tesla technology, or to fire back at rivals or critics.</p><p><blockquote>顺便说一句,马斯克表示,他“很可能不会在财报评级上”与投资者和分析师讨论财务业绩。这些评级是马斯克每季度举行的一次丰富多彩的仪式,马斯克用它来讨论特斯拉技术,或者回击竞争对手或批评者。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Tesla sales surge 98%; company boosts margins on its less-costly electric cars<blockquote>特斯拉销量猛增98%;公司提高了成本较低的电动汽车的利润率</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTesla sales surge 98%; company boosts margins on its less-costly electric cars<blockquote>特斯拉销量猛增98%;公司提高了成本较低的电动汽车的利润率</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-27 07:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(Reuters) -Tesla Inc posted a bigger second-quarter profit than expected on Tuesday thanks to sharply higher sales of its less-expensive electric vehicles, as it raised prices to boost its margins on them.</p><p><blockquote>(路透社)-特斯拉公司周二公布的第二季度利润高于预期,这得益于其较便宜的电动汽车销量大幅增长,该公司提高了价格以提高其利润率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla also cut costs which helped it offset many of the supply chain and microchip shortfalls facing the auto industry.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉还削减了成本,这有助于抵消汽车行业面临的许多供应链和微芯片短缺问题。</blockquote></p><p> For the first time since late 2019, Tesla profits did not rely on sales of environmental credits to other automakers, a sign of increasing financial health for the manufacturing operation. Tesla boosted its performance by cutting features it said were unused or unneeded and raising U.S. vehicle prices.</p><p><blockquote>自2019年底以来,特斯拉的利润首次不依赖于向其他汽车制造商出售环境信用,这表明制造业务的财务状况日益健康。特斯拉通过削减其称未使用或不需要的功能以及提高美国汽车价格来提高其业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of the world’s most valuable automaker rose 1.5% in extended trade.</p><p><blockquote>这家全球最有价值汽车制造商的股价在盘后交易中上涨1.5%。</blockquote></p><p> In a call with investors and analysts, Tesla executives said that volume production growth will depend on parts availability, and Musk cautioned the shortage of semiconductors will continue.</p><p><blockquote>在与投资者和分析师的看涨期权中,特斯拉高管表示,量产增长将取决于零部件供应情况,马斯克警告称,半导体短缺将持续。</blockquote></p><p> “The global chip shortage situation remains quite serious,” Musk said.</p><p><blockquote>“全球芯片短缺的情况仍然相当严重,”马斯克说。</blockquote></p><p> Still, Musk said Tesla expects to launch production this year of the Model Y SUV at factories under construction in Texas and Germany. He said the company expects battery cell suppliers to double production next year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此,Musk表示,特斯拉预计今年将在德克萨斯和德意志的在建工厂投产Model Y SUV。他表示,该公司预计电池供应商明年的产量将翻一番。</blockquote></p><p> Despite the pandemic and the supply chain crisis, Tesla posted record deliveries during the quarter, thanks to sales of cheaper models including Model 3 sedans and Model Ys.</p><p><blockquote>尽管面临疫情和供应链危机,但得益于Model 3轿车和Model Y等更便宜车型的销售,特斯拉在本季度的交付量仍创下了纪录。</blockquote></p><p> The carmaker, led by billionaire entrepreneur Elon Musk, said revenue jumped to $11.96 billion from $6.04 billion a year earlier, when its California factory was shut down for more than six weeks due to local lockdown orders to fight the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>这家由亿万富翁企业家埃隆·马斯克(Elon Musk)领导的汽车制造商表示,收入从一年前的60.4亿美元跃升至119.6亿美元,当时其加州工厂因当地抗击疫情的封锁令而关闭了六周多。</blockquote></p><p> Analysts had expected revenue of about $11.3 billion, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.</p><p><blockquote>根据Refinitiv的IBES数据,分析师此前预计营收约为113亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Excluding items, Tesla posted a profit of $1.45 per share, easily topping analyst expectations for a profit of 98 cents per share.</p><p><blockquote>剔除项目后,特斯拉公布的每股利润为1.45美元,轻松超过分析师预期的每股98美分。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla said operating income rose with volume growth and cost reduction, which offset higher supply chain costs, lower regulatory credit revenue and other items including $23 million in losses on investment in cryptocurrency bitcoin.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉表示,营业收入随着销量增长和成本降低而上升,这抵消了供应链成本上升、监管信贷收入下降和其他项目,包括加密货币比特币投资损失2300万美元。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla’s profitability has often relied on selling regulatory credits to other automakers, but in the second quarter, Tesla was profitable without these credits for the first time since the end of 2019. Its GAAP net income was $1.14 billion in the second quarter. Revenue from the credits only totaled $354 million.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的盈利能力通常依赖于向其他汽车制造商出售监管信用,但在第二季度,特斯拉自2019年底以来首次在没有这些信用的情况下实现盈利。其第二季度GAAP净利润为11.4亿美元。这些积分的收入总计仅为3.54亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> “Tesla impressed with its numbers, as most of its revenue came from vehicle sales,” Jesse Cohen, senior analyst at Investing.com, said.</p><p><blockquote>Investing.com高级分析师Jesse Cohen表示:“特斯拉对其数据印象深刻,因为其大部分收入来自汽车销售。”</blockquote></p><p> Carmaker Stellantis expects to achieve its European carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions targets this year without environmental credits bought from Tesla.</p><p><blockquote>汽车制造商Stellantis预计今年将在没有从特斯拉购买环境信用额的情况下实现其欧洲二氧化碳(CO2)排放目标。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla said it said it has delayed the launch of the Semi truck program to 2022 to focus on starting factories and due to limited availability of battery cells and other parts this year.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉表示,由于今年电池和其他零部件的供应有限,该公司已将Semi卡车计划的启动推迟到2022年,以专注于启动工厂。</blockquote></p><p> But the company’s new 4680 batteries are not ready for volume production; executives said it was difficult to predict when technological challenges would be resolved.</p><p><blockquote>但该公司的新型4680电池尚未准备好量产;高管们表示,很难预测技术挑战何时会得到解决。</blockquote></p><p> In an aside, Musk said he “most likely will not be on earnings calls” going forward to discuss financial results with investors and analysts. These calls have been a colorful quarterly ritual Musk has used for discourses on Tesla technology, or to fire back at rivals or critics.</p><p><blockquote>顺便说一句,马斯克表示,他“很可能不会在财报评级上”与投资者和分析师讨论财务业绩。这些评级是马斯克每季度举行的一次丰富多彩的仪式,马斯克用它来讨论特斯拉技术,或者回击竞争对手或批评者。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/tesla-results/update-4-tesla-sales-surge-98-company-boosts-margins-on-its-less-costly-electric-cars-idUSL4N2P23I5\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/tesla-results/update-4-tesla-sales-surge-98-company-boosts-margins-on-its-less-costly-electric-cars-idUSL4N2P23I5","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1153028059","content_text":"(Reuters) -Tesla Inc posted a bigger second-quarter profit than expected on Tuesday thanks to sharply higher sales of its less-expensive electric vehicles, as it raised prices to boost its margins on them.\nTesla also cut costs which helped it offset many of the supply chain and microchip shortfalls facing the auto industry.\nFor the first time since late 2019, Tesla profits did not rely on sales of environmental credits to other automakers, a sign of increasing financial health for the manufacturing operation. Tesla boosted its performance by cutting features it said were unused or unneeded and raising U.S. vehicle prices.\nShares of the world’s most valuable automaker rose 1.5% in extended trade.\nIn a call with investors and analysts, Tesla executives said that volume production growth will depend on parts availability, and Musk cautioned the shortage of semiconductors will continue.\n“The global chip shortage situation remains quite serious,” Musk said.\nStill, Musk said Tesla expects to launch production this year of the Model Y SUV at factories under construction in Texas and Germany. He said the company expects battery cell suppliers to double production next year.\nDespite the pandemic and the supply chain crisis, Tesla posted record deliveries during the quarter, thanks to sales of cheaper models including Model 3 sedans and Model Ys.\nThe carmaker, led by billionaire entrepreneur Elon Musk, said revenue jumped to $11.96 billion from $6.04 billion a year earlier, when its California factory was shut down for more than six weeks due to local lockdown orders to fight the pandemic.\nAnalysts had expected revenue of about $11.3 billion, according to IBES data from Refinitiv.\nExcluding items, Tesla posted a profit of $1.45 per share, easily topping analyst expectations for a profit of 98 cents per share.\nTesla said operating income rose with volume growth and cost reduction, which offset higher supply chain costs, lower regulatory credit revenue and other items including $23 million in losses on investment in cryptocurrency bitcoin.\nTesla’s profitability has often relied on selling regulatory credits to other automakers, but in the second quarter, Tesla was profitable without these credits for the first time since the end of 2019. Its GAAP net income was $1.14 billion in the second quarter. Revenue from the credits only totaled $354 million.\n“Tesla impressed with its numbers, as most of its revenue came from vehicle sales,” Jesse Cohen, senior analyst at Investing.com, said.\nCarmaker Stellantis expects to achieve its European carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions targets this year without environmental credits bought from Tesla.\nTesla said it said it has delayed the launch of the Semi truck program to 2022 to focus on starting factories and due to limited availability of battery cells and other parts this year.\nBut the company’s new 4680 batteries are not ready for volume production; executives said it was difficult to predict when technological challenges would be resolved.\nIn an aside, Musk said he “most likely will not be on earnings calls” going forward to discuss financial results with investors and analysts. These calls have been a colorful quarterly ritual Musk has used for discourses on Tesla technology, or to fire back at rivals or critics.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":419,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":132591420,"gmtCreate":1622096900560,"gmtModify":1634183864766,"author":{"id":"3581581534662324","authorId":"3581581534662324","name":"jkooooo","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581581534662324","authorIdStr":"3581581534662324"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment","listText":"Like and comment","text":"Like and comment","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/132591420","repostId":"2138149518","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":679,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":143588795,"gmtCreate":1625801918717,"gmtModify":1633937165381,"author":{"id":"3581581534662324","authorId":"3581581534662324","name":"jkooooo","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581581534662324","authorIdStr":"3581581534662324"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like ","listText":"Like ","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/143588795","repostId":"1195657546","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":491,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116575908,"gmtCreate":1622814110404,"gmtModify":1634097752952,"author":{"id":"3581581534662324","authorId":"3581581534662324","name":"jkooooo","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581581534662324","authorIdStr":"3581581534662324"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comment and like","listText":"Comment and like","text":"Comment and like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116575908","repostId":"1154487151","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":502,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}