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devilswin20
2022-01-15
Great ariticle, would you like to share it?
@Ivan_甘灿荣:2022前瞻(一):当心今年全球共振,大调整还是有可能的
devilswin20
2022-01-15
Yes
@特斯拉:特斯拉2021年成绩单请查收
devilswin20
2022-01-15
Yes
抱歉,原内容已删除
devilswin20
2022-01-15
Great ariticle, would you like to share it?
抱歉,原内容已删除
devilswin20
2021-12-19
Go
@价值投资为王:逼近腰斩,雷军的衬衣将再次湿透?
devilswin20
2021-12-12
Go
@cxj:龙头股和跟风股的区别!
devilswin20
2021-11-30
Go
抱歉,原内容已删除
devilswin20
2021-10-29
Go
@MilkTeaBro:莱佛士教育, 私人教育在新加坡是个好产业, 但是......
devilswin20
2021-10-21
Go
@CY_Ng:Shopee going into Spain market
devilswin20
2021-09-10
Huat
TSMC revenue for August was approximately NT$137.43 billion,an increase of 11.8% YOY<blockquote>台积电8月营收约1374.3亿新台币同比增长11.8%</blockquote>
devilswin20
2021-09-03
Like pls
2 Good Reasons the Stock Market Isn’t Ready to Blow Up Yet<blockquote>股市尚未准备好爆炸的2个充分理由</blockquote>
devilswin20
2021-09-03
Great
抱歉,原内容已删除
devilswin20
2021-09-03
Good
The Three Big Transitions Reshaping Finance<blockquote>重塑金融的三大转型</blockquote>
devilswin20
2021-08-01
Shit
抱歉,原内容已删除
devilswin20
2021-07-28
Sad
抱歉,原内容已删除
devilswin20
2021-07-25
Ok
抱歉,原内容已删除
devilswin20
2021-07-22
Wow
抱歉,原内容已删除
devilswin20
2021-07-22
Cheers
BofA reups chip favorites as cloud spending broadens beyond Amazon<blockquote>随着云支出扩大到亚马逊之外,美国银行重新增加了芯片的最爱</blockquote>
devilswin20
2021-07-21
Awesome
抱歉,原内容已删除
devilswin20
2021-07-21
Awesome
抱歉,原内容已删除
去老虎APP查看更多动态
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ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/697943569","repostId":"692438041","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":692438041,"gmtCreate":1641140824937,"gmtModify":1744960777671,"author":{"id":"3534312224764596","authorId":"3534312224764596","name":"Ivan_甘灿荣","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3534312224764596","idStr":"3534312224764596"},"themes":[],"title":"2022前瞻(一):当心今年全球共振,大调整还是有可能的","htmlText":"1月份将开启系列前瞻帖,来预测一下来年市场的重要机会或风险点,以便大家做好准备。首先当然是大家最关心的股市问题,所以通常第一篇内容就是股市。 一、基本面的理解 2022年的股市,相对2021年的股市来说,更为简单。首先从全球基本面来说,2022年进入到疫情第三年,以西班牙大流感为例,这类大瘟疫情况对市场的影响一般也就三年时间,所以从2022年开始,疫情已经不能算是影响市场的核心因素,各国对疫情的应对已经逐步向流感化方向处理,因此疫情对当前经济的负面影响已经越来越少,最少这不是引起股市下跌的理由。(这点中国除外,毕竟中国非群体免疫路线,若全面爆发还是影响甚大) 骤看之下,全球股市的利空消息,除了美联储加息收紧货币政策外,貌似也没其它利空消息了。加上美国执政党在2022年要应对中期选举,很难会祭出强硬的紧缩政策,所以在中期选举前,恐怕美联储的紧缩措施会比市场现在所预期的要少得多。因此在中期选举前,全球股市可能仍处于蜜月期,看空,目前还真没找到什么基本面理由。 二、时间周期因素 基本面虽然找不出看空的理由,那咱们就来看看技术性因素。捕捉大行情拐点的有效办法,周期分析的效果比较显著。2022年将出现一个全球股市的共振点,而时间巧合地出现在10月以后。 2000年前后,中国加入了WTO,全球的贸易经济出现高度融合和分工,使得全球股市的联动性大大加强,简单点说,如果中美经济发生问题,那么全球其它国家的企业也会受到牵连,从而使得各国股市周期更容易形成共振点。 我们先以美国为引,2000年的互联网泡沫,2008年的金融危机,均使得全球股市出现深度调整,而这两次危机的间隔大约为90个月,我们以此为间隔,看看全球股市的表现。 从标普可看出,自1978年美股进入长牛开始,每90个月均出现一个重要时间点,2000年前几乎都是低点,2000年后都是高点。而这些时点,均有重大事件发生。1978年,中国","listText":"1月份将开启系列前瞻帖,来预测一下来年市场的重要机会或风险点,以便大家做好准备。首先当然是大家最关心的股市问题,所以通常第一篇内容就是股市。 一、基本面的理解 2022年的股市,相对2021年的股市来说,更为简单。首先从全球基本面来说,2022年进入到疫情第三年,以西班牙大流感为例,这类大瘟疫情况对市场的影响一般也就三年时间,所以从2022年开始,疫情已经不能算是影响市场的核心因素,各国对疫情的应对已经逐步向流感化方向处理,因此疫情对当前经济的负面影响已经越来越少,最少这不是引起股市下跌的理由。(这点中国除外,毕竟中国非群体免疫路线,若全面爆发还是影响甚大) 骤看之下,全球股市的利空消息,除了美联储加息收紧货币政策外,貌似也没其它利空消息了。加上美国执政党在2022年要应对中期选举,很难会祭出强硬的紧缩政策,所以在中期选举前,恐怕美联储的紧缩措施会比市场现在所预期的要少得多。因此在中期选举前,全球股市可能仍处于蜜月期,看空,目前还真没找到什么基本面理由。 二、时间周期因素 基本面虽然找不出看空的理由,那咱们就来看看技术性因素。捕捉大行情拐点的有效办法,周期分析的效果比较显著。2022年将出现一个全球股市的共振点,而时间巧合地出现在10月以后。 2000年前后,中国加入了WTO,全球的贸易经济出现高度融合和分工,使得全球股市的联动性大大加强,简单点说,如果中美经济发生问题,那么全球其它国家的企业也会受到牵连,从而使得各国股市周期更容易形成共振点。 我们先以美国为引,2000年的互联网泡沫,2008年的金融危机,均使得全球股市出现深度调整,而这两次危机的间隔大约为90个月,我们以此为间隔,看看全球股市的表现。 从标普可看出,自1978年美股进入长牛开始,每90个月均出现一个重要时间点,2000年前几乎都是低点,2000年后都是高点。而这些时点,均有重大事件发生。1978年,中国","text":"1月份将开启系列前瞻帖,来预测一下来年市场的重要机会或风险点,以便大家做好准备。首先当然是大家最关心的股市问题,所以通常第一篇内容就是股市。 一、基本面的理解 2022年的股市,相对2021年的股市来说,更为简单。首先从全球基本面来说,2022年进入到疫情第三年,以西班牙大流感为例,这类大瘟疫情况对市场的影响一般也就三年时间,所以从2022年开始,疫情已经不能算是影响市场的核心因素,各国对疫情的应对已经逐步向流感化方向处理,因此疫情对当前经济的负面影响已经越来越少,最少这不是引起股市下跌的理由。(这点中国除外,毕竟中国非群体免疫路线,若全面爆发还是影响甚大) 骤看之下,全球股市的利空消息,除了美联储加息收紧货币政策外,貌似也没其它利空消息了。加上美国执政党在2022年要应对中期选举,很难会祭出强硬的紧缩政策,所以在中期选举前,恐怕美联储的紧缩措施会比市场现在所预期的要少得多。因此在中期选举前,全球股市可能仍处于蜜月期,看空,目前还真没找到什么基本面理由。 二、时间周期因素 基本面虽然找不出看空的理由,那咱们就来看看技术性因素。捕捉大行情拐点的有效办法,周期分析的效果比较显著。2022年将出现一个全球股市的共振点,而时间巧合地出现在10月以后。 2000年前后,中国加入了WTO,全球的贸易经济出现高度融合和分工,使得全球股市的联动性大大加强,简单点说,如果中美经济发生问题,那么全球其它国家的企业也会受到牵连,从而使得各国股市周期更容易形成共振点。 我们先以美国为引,2000年的互联网泡沫,2008年的金融危机,均使得全球股市出现深度调整,而这两次危机的间隔大约为90个月,我们以此为间隔,看看全球股市的表现。 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target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> 2021年成绩单请查收📩☝🏻我们始终从第一性原理出发,致力于打造更好的产品和服务,不负每位车主的信任。🌟我们坚信产品会说话,坚持做正确的事,用行动加速世界向可持续能源的转变。🚗2022 初心不变,加电出发!","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> 2021年成绩单请查收📩☝🏻我们始终从第一性原理出发,致力于打造更好的产品和服务,不负每位车主的信任。🌟我们坚信产品会说话,坚持做正确的事,用行动加速世界向可持续能源的转变。🚗2022 初心不变,加电出发!","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 2021年成绩单请查收📩☝🏻我们始终从第一性原理出发,致力于打造更好的产品和服务,不负每位车主的信任。🌟我们坚信产品会说话,坚持做正确的事,用行动加速世界向可持续能源的转变。🚗2022 初心不变,加电出发!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd38feeca8f4448cd65d9b97a3817bbf"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2910277135ea3709a0d87758904bb744"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ad6a4d98415de8ef9814495ac2abc56"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/692440566","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":678,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":697943692,"gmtCreate":1642237050713,"gmtModify":1642237050856,"author":{"id":"3578810851703205","authorId":"3578810851703205","name":"devilswin20","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1878f8267d6335f1cf84e0ae0295f612","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578810851703205","idStr":"3578810851703205"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/697943692","repostId":"695049717","repostType":1,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":352,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":697943864,"gmtCreate":1642237040090,"gmtModify":1642237040234,"author":{"id":"3578810851703205","authorId":"3578810851703205","name":"devilswin20","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1878f8267d6335f1cf84e0ae0295f612","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578810851703205","idStr":"3578810851703205"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/697943864","repostId":"695049717","repostType":1,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":517,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699701710,"gmtCreate":1639886465131,"gmtModify":1639886465248,"author":{"id":"3578810851703205","authorId":"3578810851703205","name":"devilswin20","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1878f8267d6335f1cf84e0ae0295f612","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578810851703205","idStr":"3578810851703205"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Go","listText":"Go","text":"Go","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699701710","repostId":"607956813","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":607956813,"gmtCreate":1639478822145,"gmtModify":1639488106377,"author":{"id":"21347731130544","authorId":"21347731130544","name":"价值投资为王","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89ffffc59ff9ac9cb9cb74f596418d44","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"21347731130544","idStr":"21347731130544"},"themes":[],"title":"逼近腰斩,雷军的衬衣将再次湿透?","htmlText":"今年8月,雷军在一次新品发布会上发表深情演讲,从创业到产品,款款而谈,最后嗓音都有些嘶哑。虽然情怀让人动情,但引发最多关注的却是一个小小的“八卦”:雷军说,因为小米股价跌跌不休,自己曾经被投资人当小学生,当面数落了一个小时,从战略到产品再到管理,自己衬衣都湿了。显然,雷军被数落的时间,是在2018年7月上市之后,股价从发行价17港币一路下跌至8.28港币,腰斩的现实与上市前雷军放话“要让在上市首日买入小米公司股票的投资人赚一倍!”形成巨大落差。曾经的痛苦能有朝一日趣谈,自然是小米股价大涨给了雷军勇气。然而好景不长,距离自嘲仅仅过了4个月,小米股价再次来到腰斩的边缘。如果说上一次腰斩是雷军互联网估值与市场制造业估值之间的矛盾,那这次腰斩,只能怪实力不济了。2021年11月23日,小米发布三季报,营收同比增速仅8.2%,核心业务手机出货量同比下滑5.8%!财报发布之后,小米股价在次日重挫近7%。手机业务占总营收的比重高达61%,互联网服务建立在手机出货量之上,因此,一旦核心业务下滑,带给市场的恐惧是极其巨大的。公司给出的出货量下滑原因是芯片短缺造成的供应链危机,同时iPhone13热销也挤压了国产手机的市场份额。展望未来,管理层预计供应链短缺将持续至2022年下半年,但高端产品缺芯状况明年上半年或将率先改善。而iPhone13方面,首发时间是9月15日,完整的销售爆发于四季度,因此,国产手机或仍将承压。虽然IOT和互联网服务业务方面有不少亮点,但影响力远不如出货量下降带来的震撼,因此,小米股价目前被手机业务绑架。由于第三方数据抢在财报发布之前发布,因此市场对三季度业绩有一定的预期,股价提前下跌便是明证。展望2022年,虽然有供应链短缺影响,但管理层仍然相信能完成出货量2亿台的目标,较2020年出货量增长36%。根据中国信通院数据显示,2021年11月,国内市场手机出货量3525","listText":"今年8月,雷军在一次新品发布会上发表深情演讲,从创业到产品,款款而谈,最后嗓音都有些嘶哑。虽然情怀让人动情,但引发最多关注的却是一个小小的“八卦”:雷军说,因为小米股价跌跌不休,自己曾经被投资人当小学生,当面数落了一个小时,从战略到产品再到管理,自己衬衣都湿了。显然,雷军被数落的时间,是在2018年7月上市之后,股价从发行价17港币一路下跌至8.28港币,腰斩的现实与上市前雷军放话“要让在上市首日买入小米公司股票的投资人赚一倍!”形成巨大落差。曾经的痛苦能有朝一日趣谈,自然是小米股价大涨给了雷军勇气。然而好景不长,距离自嘲仅仅过了4个月,小米股价再次来到腰斩的边缘。如果说上一次腰斩是雷军互联网估值与市场制造业估值之间的矛盾,那这次腰斩,只能怪实力不济了。2021年11月23日,小米发布三季报,营收同比增速仅8.2%,核心业务手机出货量同比下滑5.8%!财报发布之后,小米股价在次日重挫近7%。手机业务占总营收的比重高达61%,互联网服务建立在手机出货量之上,因此,一旦核心业务下滑,带给市场的恐惧是极其巨大的。公司给出的出货量下滑原因是芯片短缺造成的供应链危机,同时iPhone13热销也挤压了国产手机的市场份额。展望未来,管理层预计供应链短缺将持续至2022年下半年,但高端产品缺芯状况明年上半年或将率先改善。而iPhone13方面,首发时间是9月15日,完整的销售爆发于四季度,因此,国产手机或仍将承压。虽然IOT和互联网服务业务方面有不少亮点,但影响力远不如出货量下降带来的震撼,因此,小米股价目前被手机业务绑架。由于第三方数据抢在财报发布之前发布,因此市场对三季度业绩有一定的预期,股价提前下跌便是明证。展望2022年,虽然有供应链短缺影响,但管理层仍然相信能完成出货量2亿台的目标,较2020年出货量增长36%。根据中国信通院数据显示,2021年11月,国内市场手机出货量3525","text":"今年8月,雷军在一次新品发布会上发表深情演讲,从创业到产品,款款而谈,最后嗓音都有些嘶哑。虽然情怀让人动情,但引发最多关注的却是一个小小的“八卦”:雷军说,因为小米股价跌跌不休,自己曾经被投资人当小学生,当面数落了一个小时,从战略到产品再到管理,自己衬衣都湿了。显然,雷军被数落的时间,是在2018年7月上市之后,股价从发行价17港币一路下跌至8.28港币,腰斩的现实与上市前雷军放话“要让在上市首日买入小米公司股票的投资人赚一倍!”形成巨大落差。曾经的痛苦能有朝一日趣谈,自然是小米股价大涨给了雷军勇气。然而好景不长,距离自嘲仅仅过了4个月,小米股价再次来到腰斩的边缘。如果说上一次腰斩是雷军互联网估值与市场制造业估值之间的矛盾,那这次腰斩,只能怪实力不济了。2021年11月23日,小米发布三季报,营收同比增速仅8.2%,核心业务手机出货量同比下滑5.8%!财报发布之后,小米股价在次日重挫近7%。手机业务占总营收的比重高达61%,互联网服务建立在手机出货量之上,因此,一旦核心业务下滑,带给市场的恐惧是极其巨大的。公司给出的出货量下滑原因是芯片短缺造成的供应链危机,同时iPhone13热销也挤压了国产手机的市场份额。展望未来,管理层预计供应链短缺将持续至2022年下半年,但高端产品缺芯状况明年上半年或将率先改善。而iPhone13方面,首发时间是9月15日,完整的销售爆发于四季度,因此,国产手机或仍将承压。虽然IOT和互联网服务业务方面有不少亮点,但影响力远不如出货量下降带来的震撼,因此,小米股价目前被手机业务绑架。由于第三方数据抢在财报发布之前发布,因此市场对三季度业绩有一定的预期,股价提前下跌便是明证。展望2022年,虽然有供应链短缺影响,但管理层仍然相信能完成出货量2亿台的目标,较2020年出货量增长36%。根据中国信通院数据显示,2021年11月,国内市场手机出货量3525","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ebd0b4c1470e8c93846915924fbdf84e","width":"688","height":"320"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaf8af0d7ede2bff33f7194734048226","width":"688","height":"201"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f5cf8eb5a66614336b6b7b3a4a80a9c","width":"568","height":"405"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607956813","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":5,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":346,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":604300777,"gmtCreate":1639324559499,"gmtModify":1639324559573,"author":{"id":"3578810851703205","authorId":"3578810851703205","name":"devilswin20","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1878f8267d6335f1cf84e0ae0295f612","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578810851703205","idStr":"3578810851703205"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Go","listText":"Go","text":"Go","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604300777","repostId":"602461014","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":602461014,"gmtCreate":1639058582016,"gmtModify":1639218040959,"author":{"id":"3455623566573622","authorId":"3455623566573622","name":"cxj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1800bce66f170dd57981ad36f448092e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3455623566573622","idStr":"3455623566573622"},"themes":[],"title":"龙头股和跟风股的区别!","htmlText":"第一阶段——概念兴起龙头股:涨速快,涨幅大,吸引市场上的敏锐资金争相参与。跟风股:处于被动地位,涨速慢,涨幅小,散户多半喜欢参与,因为多数散户害怕龙头股涨幅太大风险高,又不想错过机会故热衷于跟风股。第二阶段——整理阶段龙头股:股价回调,但由于筹码逐渐被资金锁定,会出现惜售的情况,所以一般回调幅度会越来越小,甚至不少大牛股整理期间也是持续上涨,呈现向上三角形整理形态,伴有缩量增额、脉冲式放量的情况出现。跟风股:整理期间,受行情影响虽也会有资金关注,但多为体量较小的短期资金,里面的嫌涨得太慢急于出去,外面的忍受不了诱惑急于进入,稍微聪明点的投资者已经走了选择龙头股,由此造成跟风股筹码越来越散乱,股价多出现反复。第三阶段——爆发阶段龙头股:因筹码已被资金收集完毕,外加顶端优势人气十足,股价火箭蹿升,短期翻倍或是几倍。跟风股:部分买不到龙头的资金会选择买入,造成要爆发的假象,实际上涨仍然拖沓,涨幅也远不及龙头股。第四阶段——衰退阶段龙头股:因大涨后余温尚热,不少在跟风股吃亏的散户也疯狂涌入,所以有足够时间在顶部脱手。跟风股:因难以达到期望参与者失去信心,纷纷卖出追高龙头,股价上涨昙花一现,快速回落,追高者被套。第五阶段——崩盘阶段龙头股:概念熄火降温,虽股价大幅下跌,但因涨幅过大,前期参与者依然获利颇丰。跟风股:龙头都倒了还玩什么,可能老庄之前就被困住难以脱身,好不容易借概念终于跑掉,股价自然比之前更加不如。例子嘛参考19年底炒作无线耳机时的龙头股<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002351\">$漫步者(002351)$</a>和跟风股雷柏科技,所以这就是为什么上涨时龙头股可以翻很多倍而跟风股不涨,下跌时龙头股抗跌而跟风股狂跌的原因。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>","listText":"第一阶段——概念兴起龙头股:涨速快,涨幅大,吸引市场上的敏锐资金争相参与。跟风股:处于被动地位,涨速慢,涨幅小,散户多半喜欢参与,因为多数散户害怕龙头股涨幅太大风险高,又不想错过机会故热衷于跟风股。第二阶段——整理阶段龙头股:股价回调,但由于筹码逐渐被资金锁定,会出现惜售的情况,所以一般回调幅度会越来越小,甚至不少大牛股整理期间也是持续上涨,呈现向上三角形整理形态,伴有缩量增额、脉冲式放量的情况出现。跟风股:整理期间,受行情影响虽也会有资金关注,但多为体量较小的短期资金,里面的嫌涨得太慢急于出去,外面的忍受不了诱惑急于进入,稍微聪明点的投资者已经走了选择龙头股,由此造成跟风股筹码越来越散乱,股价多出现反复。第三阶段——爆发阶段龙头股:因筹码已被资金收集完毕,外加顶端优势人气十足,股价火箭蹿升,短期翻倍或是几倍。跟风股:部分买不到龙头的资金会选择买入,造成要爆发的假象,实际上涨仍然拖沓,涨幅也远不及龙头股。第四阶段——衰退阶段龙头股:因大涨后余温尚热,不少在跟风股吃亏的散户也疯狂涌入,所以有足够时间在顶部脱手。跟风股:因难以达到期望参与者失去信心,纷纷卖出追高龙头,股价上涨昙花一现,快速回落,追高者被套。第五阶段——崩盘阶段龙头股:概念熄火降温,虽股价大幅下跌,但因涨幅过大,前期参与者依然获利颇丰。跟风股:龙头都倒了还玩什么,可能老庄之前就被困住难以脱身,好不容易借概念终于跑掉,股价自然比之前更加不如。例子嘛参考19年底炒作无线耳机时的龙头股<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002351\">$漫步者(002351)$</a>和跟风股雷柏科技,所以这就是为什么上涨时龙头股可以翻很多倍而跟风股不涨,下跌时龙头股抗跌而跟风股狂跌的原因。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>","text":"第一阶段——概念兴起龙头股:涨速快,涨幅大,吸引市场上的敏锐资金争相参与。跟风股:处于被动地位,涨速慢,涨幅小,散户多半喜欢参与,因为多数散户害怕龙头股涨幅太大风险高,又不想错过机会故热衷于跟风股。第二阶段——整理阶段龙头股:股价回调,但由于筹码逐渐被资金锁定,会出现惜售的情况,所以一般回调幅度会越来越小,甚至不少大牛股整理期间也是持续上涨,呈现向上三角形整理形态,伴有缩量增额、脉冲式放量的情况出现。跟风股:整理期间,受行情影响虽也会有资金关注,但多为体量较小的短期资金,里面的嫌涨得太慢急于出去,外面的忍受不了诱惑急于进入,稍微聪明点的投资者已经走了选择龙头股,由此造成跟风股筹码越来越散乱,股价多出现反复。第三阶段——爆发阶段龙头股:因筹码已被资金收集完毕,外加顶端优势人气十足,股价火箭蹿升,短期翻倍或是几倍。跟风股:部分买不到龙头的资金会选择买入,造成要爆发的假象,实际上涨仍然拖沓,涨幅也远不及龙头股。第四阶段——衰退阶段龙头股:因大涨后余温尚热,不少在跟风股吃亏的散户也疯狂涌入,所以有足够时间在顶部脱手。跟风股:因难以达到期望参与者失去信心,纷纷卖出追高龙头,股价上涨昙花一现,快速回落,追高者被套。第五阶段——崩盘阶段龙头股:概念熄火降温,虽股价大幅下跌,但因涨幅过大,前期参与者依然获利颇丰。跟风股:龙头都倒了还玩什么,可能老庄之前就被困住难以脱身,好不容易借概念终于跑掉,股价自然比之前更加不如。例子嘛参考19年底炒作无线耳机时的龙头股$漫步者(002351)$和跟风股雷柏科技,所以这就是为什么上涨时龙头股可以翻很多倍而跟风股不涨,下跌时龙头股抗跌而跟风股狂跌的原因。$特斯拉(TSLA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602461014","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":321,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":609999784,"gmtCreate":1638229536458,"gmtModify":1638229829178,"author":{"id":"3578810851703205","authorId":"3578810851703205","name":"devilswin20","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1878f8267d6335f1cf84e0ae0295f612","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578810851703205","idStr":"3578810851703205"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Go","listText":"Go","text":"Go","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/609999784","repostId":"2187306590","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":586,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":854562081,"gmtCreate":1635468750343,"gmtModify":1635468750506,"author":{"id":"3578810851703205","authorId":"3578810851703205","name":"devilswin20","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1878f8267d6335f1cf84e0ae0295f612","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578810851703205","idStr":"3578810851703205"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Go","listText":"Go","text":"Go","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/854562081","repostId":"856153049","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":856153049,"gmtCreate":1635163258237,"gmtModify":1749337955334,"author":{"id":"3581820976934736","authorId":"3581820976934736","name":"MilkTeaBro","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f96ac4963a3566e7f4d22e78cc23ef9","crmLevel":13,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3581820976934736","idStr":"3581820976934736"},"themes":[],"title":"莱佛士教育, 私人教育在新加坡是个好产业, 但是......","htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NR7.SI\">$莱佛士教育(NR7.SI)$</a> 莱佛士教育(Raffles Education)2021年10月22日股票恢复交易后,股价一度大涨19.67%至7.3分,交易量已高达3187万股。该股2021年10月18日股价暴跌25.61%至6.1分的历史最低闭市纪录,交易量则高达5234万股,是十年来最高,股票隔天便暂停交易。当局已向公司要求提供与艾芬银行贷款有关的文件。该银行今年5月向莱佛士教育两家子公司Raffles K12和Raffles Iskandar,追讨总额4亿1000万令吉(1亿3100万新元)的贷款。如果当时有重大信息没有及时作出披露,将构成触犯法令。私人教育在新加坡是个好产业。但是如果一个公司管理层人品不行,做些坑害中小投资者的事,这样公司价格再低,都不要碰,谁知道财报有多少水分。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/9000000000000149\">@Tiger Stars Stars Stars</a> ","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NR7.SI\">$莱佛士教育(NR7.SI)$</a> 莱佛士教育(Raffles Education)2021年10月22日股票恢复交易后,股价一度大涨19.67%至7.3分,交易量已高达3187万股。该股2021年10月18日股价暴跌25.61%至6.1分的历史最低闭市纪录,交易量则高达5234万股,是十年来最高,股票隔天便暂停交易。当局已向公司要求提供与艾芬银行贷款有关的文件。该银行今年5月向莱佛士教育两家子公司Raffles K12和Raffles Iskandar,追讨总额4亿1000万令吉(1亿3100万新元)的贷款。如果当时有重大信息没有及时作出披露,将构成触犯法令。私人教育在新加坡是个好产业。但是如果一个公司管理层人品不行,做些坑害中小投资者的事,这样公司价格再低,都不要碰,谁知道财报有多少水分。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/9000000000000149\">@Tiger Stars Stars Stars</a> ","text":"$莱佛士教育(NR7.SI)$ 莱佛士教育(Raffles Education)2021年10月22日股票恢复交易后,股价一度大涨19.67%至7.3分,交易量已高达3187万股。该股2021年10月18日股价暴跌25.61%至6.1分的历史最低闭市纪录,交易量则高达5234万股,是十年来最高,股票隔天便暂停交易。当局已向公司要求提供与艾芬银行贷款有关的文件。该银行今年5月向莱佛士教育两家子公司Raffles K12和Raffles Iskandar,追讨总额4亿1000万令吉(1亿3100万新元)的贷款。如果当时有重大信息没有及时作出披露,将构成触犯法令。私人教育在新加坡是个好产业。但是如果一个公司管理层人品不行,做些坑害中小投资者的事,这样公司价格再低,都不要碰,谁知道财报有多少水分。@Tiger Stars Stars Stars","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/856153049","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":493,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":853116573,"gmtCreate":1634779337492,"gmtModify":1634779337586,"author":{"id":"3578810851703205","authorId":"3578810851703205","name":"devilswin20","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1878f8267d6335f1cf84e0ae0295f612","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578810851703205","idStr":"3578810851703205"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Go","listText":"Go","text":"Go","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/853116573","repostId":"859145591","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":859145591,"gmtCreate":1634683628586,"gmtModify":1634708578733,"author":{"id":"3562206499105387","authorId":"3562206499105387","name":"CY_Ng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eba016392472f02387b5ae5505dbc524","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3562206499105387","idStr":"3562206499105387"},"themes":[],"title":"Shopee going into Spain market","htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">$Sea Ltd(SE)$</a> SEA limited e-commerce shopping platform - Shopee continue to expand into new county - Spain.Shopee is now active in 13 countries across Asia, South-America and, most recently, Europe. The marketplace is quickly gaining territory in the European market. Its entrance into Spain closely follows a launch in Poland last month. In September headlines also reported a recruitment campaign for a new branch in India. And so, Shopee is expanding globally at an incredibly fast pace.We can see that Shopee have setup their Shopee_es account in spanish language. about 10 days time, they have 15 post on their instagram account and about 300+ follower. Although I don't understand spanish, but from the video and also google trans","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">$Sea Ltd(SE)$</a> SEA limited e-commerce shopping platform - Shopee continue to expand into new county - Spain.Shopee is now active in 13 countries across Asia, South-America and, most recently, Europe. The marketplace is quickly gaining territory in the European market. Its entrance into Spain closely follows a launch in Poland last month. In September headlines also reported a recruitment campaign for a new branch in India. And so, Shopee is expanding globally at an incredibly fast pace.We can see that Shopee have setup their Shopee_es account in spanish language. about 10 days time, they have 15 post on their instagram account and about 300+ follower. Although I don't understand spanish, but from the video and also google trans","text":"$Sea Ltd(SE)$ SEA limited e-commerce shopping platform - Shopee continue to expand into new county - Spain.Shopee is now active in 13 countries across Asia, South-America and, most recently, Europe. The marketplace is quickly gaining territory in the European market. Its entrance into Spain closely follows a launch in Poland last month. In September headlines also reported a recruitment campaign for a new branch in India. And so, Shopee is expanding globally at an incredibly fast pace.We can see that Shopee have setup their Shopee_es account in spanish language. about 10 days time, they have 15 post on their instagram account and about 300+ follower. Although I don't understand spanish, but from the video and also google trans","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37ac7fd3c32db0390b328db641bc5111","width":"1211","height":"885"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abf64495ef1e00242e980d63bbd3975b","width":"1158","height":"753"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/183402f9b8368bee64c82d578c01af1a","width":"1013","height":"753"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/859145591","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":575,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":883532381,"gmtCreate":1631252925743,"gmtModify":1631889124695,"author":{"id":"3578810851703205","authorId":"3578810851703205","name":"devilswin20","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1878f8267d6335f1cf84e0ae0295f612","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578810851703205","idStr":"3578810851703205"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Huat","listText":"Huat","text":"Huat","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/883532381","repostId":"1145569739","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1145569739","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1631252036,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1145569739?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-10 13:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"TSMC revenue for August was approximately NT$137.43 billion,an increase of 11.8% YOY<blockquote>台积电8月营收约1374.3亿新台币同比增长11.8%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1145569739","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"TSMC today announced its net revenue for August 2021: On a consolidated basis, revenue for August 20","content":"<p>TSMC today announced its net revenue for August 2021: On a consolidated basis, revenue for August 2021 was approximately NT$137.43 billion, an increase of 10.3 percent from July 2021 and an increase of 11.8 percent from August 2020. Revenue for January through August 2021 totaled NT$996.54 billion, an increase of 17.2 percent compared to the same period in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>台积电今日公布2021年8月营收净额:合并口径下,2021年8月营收约为新台币1374.3亿元,较2021年7月增长10.3%,较2020年8月增长11.8%。2021年1-8月营收总额为新台币9,965.4亿元,较2020年同期增长17.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/179f39de55e675045687b13640a7992c\" tg-width=\"676\" tg-height=\"139\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>TSMC revenue for August was approximately NT$137.43 billion,an increase of 11.8% YOY<blockquote>台积电8月营收约1374.3亿新台币同比增长11.8%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTSMC revenue for August was approximately NT$137.43 billion,an increase of 11.8% YOY<blockquote>台积电8月营收约1374.3亿新台币同比增长11.8%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-09-10 13:33</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>TSMC today announced its net revenue for August 2021: On a consolidated basis, revenue for August 2021 was approximately NT$137.43 billion, an increase of 10.3 percent from July 2021 and an increase of 11.8 percent from August 2020. Revenue for January through August 2021 totaled NT$996.54 billion, an increase of 17.2 percent compared to the same period in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>台积电今日公布2021年8月营收净额:合并口径下,2021年8月营收约为新台币1374.3亿元,较2021年7月增长10.3%,较2020年8月增长11.8%。2021年1-8月营收总额为新台币9,965.4亿元,较2020年同期增长17.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/179f39de55e675045687b13640a7992c\" tg-width=\"676\" tg-height=\"139\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSM":"台积电"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1145569739","content_text":"TSMC today announced its net revenue for August 2021: On a consolidated basis, revenue for August 2021 was approximately NT$137.43 billion, an increase of 10.3 percent from July 2021 and an increase of 11.8 percent from August 2020. Revenue for January through August 2021 totaled NT$996.54 billion, an increase of 17.2 percent compared to the same period in 2020.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":429,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":815128000,"gmtCreate":1630658109100,"gmtModify":1631889124699,"author":{"id":"3578810851703205","authorId":"3578810851703205","name":"devilswin20","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1878f8267d6335f1cf84e0ae0295f612","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578810851703205","idStr":"3578810851703205"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/815128000","repostId":"1169514310","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1169514310","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630656896,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1169514310?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-03 16:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2 Good Reasons the Stock Market Isn’t Ready to Blow Up Yet<blockquote>股市尚未准备好爆炸的2个充分理由</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169514310","media":"Barron's","summary":"tocks have had an impressive year so far, but there are still four months before 2021 wraps up. So w","content":"<p>tocks have had an impressive year so far, but there are still four months before 2021 wraps up. So what’s ahead? A correction? More gains? Right now, it’s easier to make the case for the rally to just keep on going.</p><p><blockquote>到目前为止,股票经历了令人印象深刻的一年,但距离2021年结束还有四个月的时间。那么接下来会发生什么?更正?更多收获?现在,更容易证明涨势继续下去。</blockquote></p><p> First, though, it’s understandable why investors might be nervous.</p><p><blockquote>不过,首先,投资者感到紧张是可以理解的。</blockquote></p><p> TheS&P 500has gained about 21% year to date, far above the historical average annual return of about 10%. And in the first eight months, the index hasn’t had a pullback of more than 5%— a correction is defined as a 10% drawdown.</p><p><blockquote>标准普尔500指数今年迄今已上涨约21%,远高于约10%的历史平均年回报率。在前八个月,该指数的回调幅度没有超过5%——回调被定义为下跌10%。</blockquote></p><p> Still, a good run needs something to stop it—likehigher corporate taxes,which the Biden administration supports. They could shave 5% or more off projected earnings estimates for S&P 500 companies. Or persistent inflation, which could cause the Federal Reserve to rapidly reduce economic support. And there are a host of other catalysts, enough to push some analyststo forecast a retreat.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此,良好的运行需要一些东西来阻止它——比如拜登政府支持的更高的公司税。他们可能会将标普500公司的盈利预期下调5%或更多。或者持续的通胀,这可能导致美联储迅速减少经济支持。还有许多其他催化剂,足以促使一些分析师预测经济会出现回落。</blockquote></p><p> But who knows how long Washington might take to put a new tax structure in place, or if lawmakers even will. Or what the deal is with inflation. There has been tapering talk for a few months now, and the Fed holds firm to its wait-and-see approach.</p><p><blockquote>但谁知道华盛顿可能需要多长时间才能建立新的税收结构,或者立法者是否会这样做。或者通货膨胀是怎么回事。缩减购债规模的讨论已经持续了几个月,美联储仍坚持观望态度。</blockquote></p><p> So the nature of the market’s climb in the past couple of weeks seems to be the surest, strongest sign of what’s ahead. The S&P 500 is up 3% since Aug. 18, the bottom of a brief and shallow drop.</p><p><blockquote>因此,过去几周市场上涨的性质似乎是未来最确定、最强烈的迹象。自8月18日以来,标普500已上涨3%,这是短暂而浅跌的底部。</blockquote></p><p> “[Market] internals improved last week,” writes Michael Gibbs, director of equity portfolio and technical strategy at Raymond James.</p><p><blockquote>雷蒙德·詹姆斯(Raymond James)股票投资组合和技术策略总监迈克尔·吉布斯(Michael Gibbs)写道:“上周[市场]内部结构有所改善。”</blockquote></p><p> First off, transaction volumes are improving.</p><p><blockquote>首先,交易量正在改善。</blockquote></p><p> In late August, the daily number of shares traded on the SPDR S&P 500 Exchange-Traded Fund Trust(SPY) has been about 54 million, according to FactSet. That’s above just under 50 million seen in the middle of the month.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet的数据显示,8月底,SPDR标普500交易所交易基金信托(SPDR标普500指数ETF)的每日交易股票数量约为5400万股。这高于本月中旬的略低于5000万。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot: When more market participants are transacting and they are bidding prices higher, it’s a vote of confidence in the market.</p><p><blockquote>结果是:当更多的市场参与者进行交易并且他们出价更高时,这是对市场的信任票。</blockquote></p><p> Secondly, the rally has been broad-based—many stocks have participated. For example, almost 80% of stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange have been gaining, according to Raymond James.</p><p><blockquote>其次,涨势基础广泛——许多股票都参与其中。例如,雷蒙德·詹姆斯(Raymond James)表示,纽约证券交易所上市的近80%的股票都在上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The last time that metric hit such a high was November 2020. More stocks participating in the rally means the major indexes are less dependent on one group of stocks to move higher. Plus, witheconomically sensitive stocks on a run as well,it means investors are confident in sustained economic growth ahead.</p><p><blockquote>该指标上一次达到如此高的水平是在2020年11月。更多股票参与涨势意味着主要股指较少依赖一组股票走高。此外,经济敏感型股票也在上涨,这意味着投资者对未来经济持续增长充满信心。</blockquote></p><p> So more gains or a correction? We’ve made our case, but time will tell.</p><p><blockquote>那么更多的收益还是修正?我们已经证明了我们的观点,但时间会证明一切。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 Good Reasons the Stock Market Isn’t Ready to Blow Up Yet<blockquote>股市尚未准备好爆炸的2个充分理由</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 Good Reasons the Stock Market Isn’t Ready to Blow Up Yet<blockquote>股市尚未准备好爆炸的2个充分理由</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-03 16:14</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>tocks have had an impressive year so far, but there are still four months before 2021 wraps up. So what’s ahead? A correction? More gains? Right now, it’s easier to make the case for the rally to just keep on going.</p><p><blockquote>到目前为止,股票经历了令人印象深刻的一年,但距离2021年结束还有四个月的时间。那么接下来会发生什么?更正?更多收获?现在,更容易证明涨势继续下去。</blockquote></p><p> First, though, it’s understandable why investors might be nervous.</p><p><blockquote>不过,首先,投资者感到紧张是可以理解的。</blockquote></p><p> TheS&P 500has gained about 21% year to date, far above the historical average annual return of about 10%. And in the first eight months, the index hasn’t had a pullback of more than 5%— a correction is defined as a 10% drawdown.</p><p><blockquote>标准普尔500指数今年迄今已上涨约21%,远高于约10%的历史平均年回报率。在前八个月,该指数的回调幅度没有超过5%——回调被定义为下跌10%。</blockquote></p><p> Still, a good run needs something to stop it—likehigher corporate taxes,which the Biden administration supports. They could shave 5% or more off projected earnings estimates for S&P 500 companies. Or persistent inflation, which could cause the Federal Reserve to rapidly reduce economic support. And there are a host of other catalysts, enough to push some analyststo forecast a retreat.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此,良好的运行需要一些东西来阻止它——比如拜登政府支持的更高的公司税。他们可能会将标普500公司的盈利预期下调5%或更多。或者持续的通胀,这可能导致美联储迅速减少经济支持。还有许多其他催化剂,足以促使一些分析师预测经济会出现回落。</blockquote></p><p> But who knows how long Washington might take to put a new tax structure in place, or if lawmakers even will. Or what the deal is with inflation. There has been tapering talk for a few months now, and the Fed holds firm to its wait-and-see approach.</p><p><blockquote>但谁知道华盛顿可能需要多长时间才能建立新的税收结构,或者立法者是否会这样做。或者通货膨胀是怎么回事。缩减购债规模的讨论已经持续了几个月,美联储仍坚持观望态度。</blockquote></p><p> So the nature of the market’s climb in the past couple of weeks seems to be the surest, strongest sign of what’s ahead. The S&P 500 is up 3% since Aug. 18, the bottom of a brief and shallow drop.</p><p><blockquote>因此,过去几周市场上涨的性质似乎是未来最确定、最强烈的迹象。自8月18日以来,标普500已上涨3%,这是短暂而浅跌的底部。</blockquote></p><p> “[Market] internals improved last week,” writes Michael Gibbs, director of equity portfolio and technical strategy at Raymond James.</p><p><blockquote>雷蒙德·詹姆斯(Raymond James)股票投资组合和技术策略总监迈克尔·吉布斯(Michael Gibbs)写道:“上周[市场]内部结构有所改善。”</blockquote></p><p> First off, transaction volumes are improving.</p><p><blockquote>首先,交易量正在改善。</blockquote></p><p> In late August, the daily number of shares traded on the SPDR S&P 500 Exchange-Traded Fund Trust(SPY) has been about 54 million, according to FactSet. That’s above just under 50 million seen in the middle of the month.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet的数据显示,8月底,SPDR标普500交易所交易基金信托(SPDR标普500指数ETF)的每日交易股票数量约为5400万股。这高于本月中旬的略低于5000万。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot: When more market participants are transacting and they are bidding prices higher, it’s a vote of confidence in the market.</p><p><blockquote>结果是:当更多的市场参与者进行交易并且他们出价更高时,这是对市场的信任票。</blockquote></p><p> Secondly, the rally has been broad-based—many stocks have participated. For example, almost 80% of stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange have been gaining, according to Raymond James.</p><p><blockquote>其次,涨势基础广泛——许多股票都参与其中。例如,雷蒙德·詹姆斯(Raymond James)表示,纽约证券交易所上市的近80%的股票都在上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The last time that metric hit such a high was November 2020. More stocks participating in the rally means the major indexes are less dependent on one group of stocks to move higher. Plus, witheconomically sensitive stocks on a run as well,it means investors are confident in sustained economic growth ahead.</p><p><blockquote>该指标上一次达到如此高的水平是在2020年11月。更多股票参与涨势意味着主要股指较少依赖一组股票走高。此外,经济敏感型股票也在上涨,这意味着投资者对未来经济持续增长充满信心。</blockquote></p><p> So more gains or a correction? We’ve made our case, but time will tell.</p><p><blockquote>那么更多的收益还是修正?我们已经证明了我们的观点,但时间会证明一切。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-outlook-crash-or-rally-51630526109?siteid=yhoof2\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-outlook-crash-or-rally-51630526109?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1169514310","content_text":"tocks have had an impressive year so far, but there are still four months before 2021 wraps up. So what’s ahead? A correction? More gains? Right now, it’s easier to make the case for the rally to just keep on going.\nFirst, though, it’s understandable why investors might be nervous.\nTheS&P 500has gained about 21% year to date, far above the historical average annual return of about 10%. And in the first eight months, the index hasn’t had a pullback of more than 5%— a correction is defined as a 10% drawdown.\nStill, a good run needs something to stop it—likehigher corporate taxes,which the Biden administration supports. They could shave 5% or more off projected earnings estimates for S&P 500 companies. Or persistent inflation, which could cause the Federal Reserve to rapidly reduce economic support. And there are a host of other catalysts, enough to push some analyststo forecast a retreat.\nBut who knows how long Washington might take to put a new tax structure in place, or if lawmakers even will. Or what the deal is with inflation. There has been tapering talk for a few months now, and the Fed holds firm to its wait-and-see approach.\nSo the nature of the market’s climb in the past couple of weeks seems to be the surest, strongest sign of what’s ahead. The S&P 500 is up 3% since Aug. 18, the bottom of a brief and shallow drop.\n“[Market] internals improved last week,” writes Michael Gibbs, director of equity portfolio and technical strategy at Raymond James.\nFirst off, transaction volumes are improving.\nIn late August, the daily number of shares traded on the SPDR S&P 500 Exchange-Traded Fund Trust(SPY) has been about 54 million, according to FactSet. That’s above just under 50 million seen in the middle of the month.\nThe upshot: When more market participants are transacting and they are bidding prices higher, it’s a vote of confidence in the market.\nSecondly, the rally has been broad-based—many stocks have participated. For example, almost 80% of stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange have been gaining, according to Raymond James.\nThe last time that metric hit such a high was November 2020. More stocks participating in the rally means the major indexes are less dependent on one group of stocks to move higher. Plus, witheconomically sensitive stocks on a run as well,it means investors are confident in sustained economic growth ahead.\nSo more gains or a correction? We’ve made our case, but time will tell.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":203,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":815123715,"gmtCreate":1630658036237,"gmtModify":1631889124701,"author":{"id":"3578810851703205","authorId":"3578810851703205","name":"devilswin20","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1878f8267d6335f1cf84e0ae0295f612","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578810851703205","idStr":"3578810851703205"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/815123715","repostId":"1188884179","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":306,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":815123672,"gmtCreate":1630658012696,"gmtModify":1631889124705,"author":{"id":"3578810851703205","authorId":"3578810851703205","name":"devilswin20","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1878f8267d6335f1cf84e0ae0295f612","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578810851703205","idStr":"3578810851703205"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3505175992816849\"></a>","listText":"Good<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3505175992816849\"></a>","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/815123672","repostId":"1198049168","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198049168","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630657800,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1198049168?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-03 16:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Three Big Transitions Reshaping Finance<blockquote>重塑金融的三大转型</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198049168","media":"Barron's","summary":"About the author: Stephen Deane, a chartered financial analyst, is senior director, legislative and ","content":"<p><i>About the author: Stephen Deane, a chartered financial analyst, is senior director, legislative and regulatory outreach, at the CFA Institute. He joined the institute after more than nine years at the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>作者简介:Stephen Deane,特许金融分析师,CFA协会立法和监管外联高级总监。他在美国证券交易委员会工作了九年多后加入了该研究所。</i></blockquote></p><p> Ever since Covid disrupted our lives, two themes have emerged. First, a feeling that we are living in an antechamber to a new and still-undefined era. And second, a pattern of hybrids, from homes converted into hybrid spaces of living/working/schooling, to expectations of a new office hybrid that will mix virtual and in-person meetings.</p><p><blockquote>自从Covid扰乱了我们的生活,出现了两个主题。首先,一种我们生活在一个新的、仍未定义的时代的前厅的感觉。第二,混合模式,从家庭转变为生活/工作/上学的混合空间,到对混合虚拟和面对面会议的新办公室混合的期望。</blockquote></p><p> But what about the world of finance and securities markets? There, too, we can find patterns of transition and hybrids. Consider three phenomena that began before Covid but have exploded in growth since then: digital assets, Robinhood, and SPACs.</p><p><blockquote>但是金融和证券市场的世界呢?在那里,我们也可以找到过渡和混合的模式。考虑三种现象,它们始于Covid之前,但自那以后增长迅速:数字资产、Robinhood和SPACs。</blockquote></p><p> Start with the rise of cryptocurrencies, digital tokens and other such assets, which remain very much in a transitory stage (like the “Wild West,” SEC Chairman Gary Genslerrecently observed). Even as the crypto asset class has grown to an estimated $1.6 trillion, basic questions remain unanswered. Are digital tokens securities or commodities? Are decentralized finance platforms really securities exchanges? Are data miners and other digital service providers really broker-dealers? Should the SEC permit Bitcoin ETFs? And who should regulate these products, services and entities—the SEC, the CFTC, or banking regulators?</p><p><blockquote>从加密货币、数字代币和其他此类资产的兴起开始,它们在很大程度上仍处于过渡阶段(就像美国证券交易委员会主席加里·詹斯勒最近观察到的“狂野西部”)。即使加密资产类别已经增长到估计的1.6万亿美元,基本问题仍然没有答案。数字代币是证券还是商品?去中心化金融平台真的是证券交易所吗?数据挖掘者和其他数字服务提供商真的是经纪自营商吗?SEC应该允许比特币ETF吗?谁应该监管这些产品、服务和实体——SEC、CFTC还是银行监管机构?</blockquote></p><p> Genslerhas calledon Congress to give the SEC “additional authorities to prevent transactions, products, and platforms from falling between regulatory cracks.” Specifically, he wants “additional plenary authority to write rules for and attach guardrails to crypto trading and lending.” And the U.S. House has passed a bill (H.R. 1602, the Eliminate Barriers to Innovation Act of 2021), which would require the SEC and CFTC to establish a working group on digital assets.</p><p><blockquote>Gensler呼吁国会赋予SEC“额外的权力,以防止交易、产品和平台陷入监管漏洞”。具体来说,他希望“获得额外的全权来为加密货币交易和借贷制定规则并为其设置护栏。”美国众议院已经通过了一项法案(H.R.1602,2021年消除创新障碍法案),要求SEC和CFTC成立一个数字资产工作组。</blockquote></p><p> Some of what passes as crypto innovations pretty clearly seems to be old-fashioned investment products dressed up in digital garb. That would include any stablecoins that function like money market funds and those tokens that fall within the definition of a security. Nonetheless, there is no denying that crypto mixes digital technology with traditional forms of finance in a hybrid of innovation.</p><p><blockquote>一些被称为加密创新的东西显然是披着数字外衣的老式投资产品。这将包括任何功能类似货币市场基金的稳定币,以及那些属于证券定义的代币。尽管如此,不可否认的是,加密货币将数字技术与传统金融形式混合在一起,形成了创新的混合体。</blockquote></p><p> Second, consider Robinhood, which has exploded into view along with Redditor-fueled moonshot trades in meme stocks. Its proclaimedmission“to democratize finance for all” may invite skepticism, but the company can make a strong claim to having attracted a surge of first-time retail investors, representing a younger and more ethnically diverse customer base. Powering that success is Robinhood’s sleek mobile app—and its arsenal of gamification tools to entice and engage customers. But do the nudges and gamification tools cross the line into the realm of investment advice?</p><p><blockquote>其次,考虑一下Robinhood,它与Redditor推动的meme股票登月交易一起出现在人们的视野中。其宣称的“为所有人实现金融民主化”的使命可能会招致怀疑,但该公司可以强有力地声称吸引了大量首次投资的散户投资者,代表了更年轻、种族更多元化的客户群。推动这一成功的是Robinhood时尚的移动应用程序——以及吸引和吸引客户的游戏化工具。但是,轻推和游戏化工具是否跨越了投资建议领域?</blockquote></p><p> “Once individuals become customers, Robinhood relentlessly bombards them with a number of strategies designed to encourage and incentivize continuous and repeated engagement with this application,” the Massachusetts state securities regulator alleges in alawsuitagainst Robinhood. The complaint points to several such techniques, from celebrating customer trades with confetti (a practice Robinhood has since abandoned) to plying customers with lists of most-traded and most-popular securities on its platform.</p><p><blockquote>马萨诸塞州证券监管机构在alawsuitagainst Robinhood中声称:“一旦个人成为客户,Robinhood就会无情地用一系列旨在鼓励和激励持续和重复参与该应用程序的策略轰炸他们。”投诉指出了几种此类技术,从用五彩纸屑庆祝客户交易(Robinhood后来放弃了这种做法)到向客户提供其平台上交易量最大和最受欢迎的证券列表。</blockquote></p><p> Should practices like these be subject to the fiduciary standard of an investment adviser? Or to the new Best Interest standard for broker-dealers? Robinhood hascalledthe regulator elitist and says it isn’t making recommendations. Whatever the outcome of the lawsuit, these gamification techniques make Robinhood appear different in kind from the (boring?) practices of traditional broker-dealers that merely execute customers’ trades. The gamification of mobile trading apps may represent a hybrid between standard broker-dealer practices and full-fledged investment advice.</p><p><blockquote>像这样的做法应该遵守投资顾问的信托标准吗?还是新的经纪自营商最佳利益标准?罗宾汉称监管机构为精英主义者,并表示不会提出建议。无论诉讼结果如何,这些游戏化技术让Robinhood在本质上看起来不同于(无聊?)传统经纪交易商仅执行客户交易的做法。移动交易应用的游戏化可能代表了标准经纪交易商实践和成熟投资建议之间的混合。</blockquote></p><p> Third, consider SPACs, which have been around since 2003 but have exploded in popularity in the Covid era. In a hugely successful marketing campaign, SPACs have presented themselves as a kind of poor man’s private equity. If true, that would make SPACs a hybrid between private investment opportunities and public markets.</p><p><blockquote>第三,考虑一下SPAC,它们自2003年就已经存在,但在Covid时代大受欢迎。在一场非常成功的营销活动中,SPAC将自己描绘成一种穷人的私募股权。如果属实,这将使SPAC成为私人投资机会和公共市场的混合体。</blockquote></p><p> The deSPAC merger—the key event in the life of a SPAC—is also a hybrid. This is when the SPAC merges with a private operating company, allowing the target to become a public company without going through an IPO. Or is the merger itself really an IPO?</p><p><blockquote>deSPAC合并——特殊目的收购公司生命中的关键事件——也是一种混合。这是特殊目的收购公司与一家私人运营公司合并,允许目标公司在不通过IPO的情况下成为一家上市公司。还是合并本身真的是IPO?</blockquote></p><p></p><p> That’s precisely the question raised by John Coates, a Harvard Law professor who has become a top SEC official. In a provocativespeechon April 8, Coates argued that the deSPAC merger is an initial public offering, because it is the first time the private operating company is introduced to the public. One speech, however, does not make SEC policy. And Coates’ theory remains untested in court. Nonetheless, it suggests how the deSPAC merger can be considered a hybrid between traditional forms of IPO and merger transactions.</p><p><blockquote>这正是哈佛大学法学教授约翰·科茨提出的问题,他已经成为美国证券交易委员会的高级官员。在4月8日的一次挑衅性演讲中,科茨认为deSPAC的合并是首次公开募股,因为这是第一次向公众介绍这家私营运营公司。然而,一次演讲并不能制定SEC的政策。科茨的理论尚未在法庭上得到检验。尽管如此,它表明deSPAC合并可以被视为传统形式的IPO和合并交易的混合体。</blockquote></p><p> At a House Financial Services subcommitteehearingon May 24, Michael San Nicolas, Guam’s delegate, asked how a SPAC differed from a closed-end equity (mutual) fund. The question may have seemed arcane at the time, but in retrospect it appears to have foreshadowed a series of blockbuster lawsuits against SPACs. Former SEC Commissioner Robert J. Jackson, Jr. and Yale Law Professor John Morley have joined in alawsuitagainst Bill Ackman’s SPAC,Pershing Square Tontine Holdings Ltd. (ticker: PSTH), which raised $4 billion to become the single largest SPAC, and followed up with suits against two other SPACs,GO Acquisition Corp.and E.Merge Technology. The suits allege that the SPACs are really investment companies, like mutual funds and ETFs, because they invest in securities while searching for a merger partner.</p><p><blockquote>在5月24日的众议院金融服务小组委员会听证会上,关岛代表迈克尔·圣尼古拉斯(Michael San Nicolas)询问特殊目的收购公司与封闭式股票(共同)基金有何不同。这个问题在当时似乎很神秘,但回想起来,它似乎预示着一系列针对特殊目的收购公司的重磅诉讼。前SEC专员小罗伯特·J·杰克逊(Robert J.Jackson Jr.)和耶鲁大学法学教授约翰·莫利(John Morley)加入了对比尔·阿克曼(Bill Ackman)的特殊目的收购公司潘兴广场通廷控股有限公司(Pershing Square Tontine Holdings Ltd.)(股票代码:PSTH)的诉讼,该公司筹集了40亿美元,成为最大的单一特殊目的收购公司,随后又对另外两家特殊目的收购公司GO Acquisition Corp.)和E.Merge Technology)提起的诉讼,该公司筹集了40亿美元,成为最大的单一特殊目的收购公司。诉讼称,特殊目的收购公司实际上是投资公司,就像共同基金和ETF一样,因为它们在寻找合并伙伴的同时投资证券。</blockquote></p><p> “Under the [Investment Company Act of 1940], an Investment Company is an entity whose primary business is investing in securities,” the lawsuit against PSTH argues. “And investing in securities is basically the only thing that PSTH has ever done.”</p><p><blockquote>“根据[1940年投资公司法],投资公司是主要业务是投资证券的实体,”针对PSTH的诉讼称,“而投资证券基本上是PSTH唯一做过的事情。”</blockquote></p><p> Ackmansaysthe suit against his SPAC is meritless, but warns, “Because the basic issues raised here apply to every SPAC, a successful claim would imply that every SPAC may also be an illegal investment company.” The suit suggests one more way that SPACs could be considered a hybrid—a cross between an investment company (like a mutual fund) and a publicly traded company.</p><p><blockquote>阿克曼表示,针对他的SPAC的诉讼毫无根据,但警告说,“因为这里提出的基本问题适用于每个SPAC,成功的索赔将意味着每个SPAC也可能是非法投资公司。”该诉讼提出了SPAC可以被视为混合体的另一种方式——投资公司(如共同基金)和上市公司之间的混合体。</blockquote></p><p> One wonders how we will look back on these market developments a decade from now. Will SPACs, cryptoassets, and mobile trading apps be seen as hybrids that emerged in the antechamber we are living in now?</p><p><blockquote>人们不禁要问,十年后我们将如何回顾这些市场发展。SPAC、加密资产和移动交易应用会被视为出现在我们现在生活的前厅中的混合体吗?</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Three Big Transitions Reshaping Finance<blockquote>重塑金融的三大转型</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Three Big Transitions Reshaping Finance<blockquote>重塑金融的三大转型</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-03 16:30</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><i>About the author: Stephen Deane, a chartered financial analyst, is senior director, legislative and regulatory outreach, at the CFA Institute. He joined the institute after more than nine years at the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>作者简介:Stephen Deane,特许金融分析师,CFA协会立法和监管外联高级总监。他在美国证券交易委员会工作了九年多后加入了该研究所。</i></blockquote></p><p> Ever since Covid disrupted our lives, two themes have emerged. First, a feeling that we are living in an antechamber to a new and still-undefined era. And second, a pattern of hybrids, from homes converted into hybrid spaces of living/working/schooling, to expectations of a new office hybrid that will mix virtual and in-person meetings.</p><p><blockquote>自从Covid扰乱了我们的生活,出现了两个主题。首先,一种我们生活在一个新的、仍未定义的时代的前厅的感觉。第二,混合模式,从家庭转变为生活/工作/上学的混合空间,到对混合虚拟和面对面会议的新办公室混合的期望。</blockquote></p><p> But what about the world of finance and securities markets? There, too, we can find patterns of transition and hybrids. Consider three phenomena that began before Covid but have exploded in growth since then: digital assets, Robinhood, and SPACs.</p><p><blockquote>但是金融和证券市场的世界呢?在那里,我们也可以找到过渡和混合的模式。考虑三种现象,它们始于Covid之前,但自那以后增长迅速:数字资产、Robinhood和SPACs。</blockquote></p><p> Start with the rise of cryptocurrencies, digital tokens and other such assets, which remain very much in a transitory stage (like the “Wild West,” SEC Chairman Gary Genslerrecently observed). Even as the crypto asset class has grown to an estimated $1.6 trillion, basic questions remain unanswered. Are digital tokens securities or commodities? Are decentralized finance platforms really securities exchanges? Are data miners and other digital service providers really broker-dealers? Should the SEC permit Bitcoin ETFs? And who should regulate these products, services and entities—the SEC, the CFTC, or banking regulators?</p><p><blockquote>从加密货币、数字代币和其他此类资产的兴起开始,它们在很大程度上仍处于过渡阶段(就像美国证券交易委员会主席加里·詹斯勒最近观察到的“狂野西部”)。即使加密资产类别已经增长到估计的1.6万亿美元,基本问题仍然没有答案。数字代币是证券还是商品?去中心化金融平台真的是证券交易所吗?数据挖掘者和其他数字服务提供商真的是经纪自营商吗?SEC应该允许比特币ETF吗?谁应该监管这些产品、服务和实体——SEC、CFTC还是银行监管机构?</blockquote></p><p> Genslerhas calledon Congress to give the SEC “additional authorities to prevent transactions, products, and platforms from falling between regulatory cracks.” Specifically, he wants “additional plenary authority to write rules for and attach guardrails to crypto trading and lending.” And the U.S. House has passed a bill (H.R. 1602, the Eliminate Barriers to Innovation Act of 2021), which would require the SEC and CFTC to establish a working group on digital assets.</p><p><blockquote>Gensler呼吁国会赋予SEC“额外的权力,以防止交易、产品和平台陷入监管漏洞”。具体来说,他希望“获得额外的全权来为加密货币交易和借贷制定规则并为其设置护栏。”美国众议院已经通过了一项法案(H.R.1602,2021年消除创新障碍法案),要求SEC和CFTC成立一个数字资产工作组。</blockquote></p><p> Some of what passes as crypto innovations pretty clearly seems to be old-fashioned investment products dressed up in digital garb. That would include any stablecoins that function like money market funds and those tokens that fall within the definition of a security. Nonetheless, there is no denying that crypto mixes digital technology with traditional forms of finance in a hybrid of innovation.</p><p><blockquote>一些被称为加密创新的东西显然是披着数字外衣的老式投资产品。这将包括任何功能类似货币市场基金的稳定币,以及那些属于证券定义的代币。尽管如此,不可否认的是,加密货币将数字技术与传统金融形式混合在一起,形成了创新的混合体。</blockquote></p><p> Second, consider Robinhood, which has exploded into view along with Redditor-fueled moonshot trades in meme stocks. Its proclaimedmission“to democratize finance for all” may invite skepticism, but the company can make a strong claim to having attracted a surge of first-time retail investors, representing a younger and more ethnically diverse customer base. Powering that success is Robinhood’s sleek mobile app—and its arsenal of gamification tools to entice and engage customers. But do the nudges and gamification tools cross the line into the realm of investment advice?</p><p><blockquote>其次,考虑一下Robinhood,它与Redditor推动的meme股票登月交易一起出现在人们的视野中。其宣称的“为所有人实现金融民主化”的使命可能会招致怀疑,但该公司可以强有力地声称吸引了大量首次投资的散户投资者,代表了更年轻、种族更多元化的客户群。推动这一成功的是Robinhood时尚的移动应用程序——以及吸引和吸引客户的游戏化工具。但是,轻推和游戏化工具是否跨越了投资建议领域?</blockquote></p><p> “Once individuals become customers, Robinhood relentlessly bombards them with a number of strategies designed to encourage and incentivize continuous and repeated engagement with this application,” the Massachusetts state securities regulator alleges in alawsuitagainst Robinhood. The complaint points to several such techniques, from celebrating customer trades with confetti (a practice Robinhood has since abandoned) to plying customers with lists of most-traded and most-popular securities on its platform.</p><p><blockquote>马萨诸塞州证券监管机构在alawsuitagainst Robinhood中声称:“一旦个人成为客户,Robinhood就会无情地用一系列旨在鼓励和激励持续和重复参与该应用程序的策略轰炸他们。”投诉指出了几种此类技术,从用五彩纸屑庆祝客户交易(Robinhood后来放弃了这种做法)到向客户提供其平台上交易量最大和最受欢迎的证券列表。</blockquote></p><p> Should practices like these be subject to the fiduciary standard of an investment adviser? Or to the new Best Interest standard for broker-dealers? Robinhood hascalledthe regulator elitist and says it isn’t making recommendations. Whatever the outcome of the lawsuit, these gamification techniques make Robinhood appear different in kind from the (boring?) practices of traditional broker-dealers that merely execute customers’ trades. The gamification of mobile trading apps may represent a hybrid between standard broker-dealer practices and full-fledged investment advice.</p><p><blockquote>像这样的做法应该遵守投资顾问的信托标准吗?还是新的经纪自营商最佳利益标准?罗宾汉称监管机构为精英主义者,并表示不会提出建议。无论诉讼结果如何,这些游戏化技术让Robinhood在本质上看起来不同于(无聊?)传统经纪交易商仅执行客户交易的做法。移动交易应用的游戏化可能代表了标准经纪交易商实践和成熟投资建议之间的混合。</blockquote></p><p> Third, consider SPACs, which have been around since 2003 but have exploded in popularity in the Covid era. In a hugely successful marketing campaign, SPACs have presented themselves as a kind of poor man’s private equity. If true, that would make SPACs a hybrid between private investment opportunities and public markets.</p><p><blockquote>第三,考虑一下SPAC,它们自2003年就已经存在,但在Covid时代大受欢迎。在一场非常成功的营销活动中,SPAC将自己描绘成一种穷人的私募股权。如果属实,这将使SPAC成为私人投资机会和公共市场的混合体。</blockquote></p><p> The deSPAC merger—the key event in the life of a SPAC—is also a hybrid. This is when the SPAC merges with a private operating company, allowing the target to become a public company without going through an IPO. Or is the merger itself really an IPO?</p><p><blockquote>deSPAC合并——特殊目的收购公司生命中的关键事件——也是一种混合。这是特殊目的收购公司与一家私人运营公司合并,允许目标公司在不通过IPO的情况下成为一家上市公司。还是合并本身真的是IPO?</blockquote></p><p></p><p> That’s precisely the question raised by John Coates, a Harvard Law professor who has become a top SEC official. In a provocativespeechon April 8, Coates argued that the deSPAC merger is an initial public offering, because it is the first time the private operating company is introduced to the public. One speech, however, does not make SEC policy. And Coates’ theory remains untested in court. Nonetheless, it suggests how the deSPAC merger can be considered a hybrid between traditional forms of IPO and merger transactions.</p><p><blockquote>这正是哈佛大学法学教授约翰·科茨提出的问题,他已经成为美国证券交易委员会的高级官员。在4月8日的一次挑衅性演讲中,科茨认为deSPAC的合并是首次公开募股,因为这是第一次向公众介绍这家私营运营公司。然而,一次演讲并不能制定SEC的政策。科茨的理论尚未在法庭上得到检验。尽管如此,它表明deSPAC合并可以被视为传统形式的IPO和合并交易的混合体。</blockquote></p><p> At a House Financial Services subcommitteehearingon May 24, Michael San Nicolas, Guam’s delegate, asked how a SPAC differed from a closed-end equity (mutual) fund. The question may have seemed arcane at the time, but in retrospect it appears to have foreshadowed a series of blockbuster lawsuits against SPACs. Former SEC Commissioner Robert J. Jackson, Jr. and Yale Law Professor John Morley have joined in alawsuitagainst Bill Ackman’s SPAC,Pershing Square Tontine Holdings Ltd. (ticker: PSTH), which raised $4 billion to become the single largest SPAC, and followed up with suits against two other SPACs,GO Acquisition Corp.and E.Merge Technology. The suits allege that the SPACs are really investment companies, like mutual funds and ETFs, because they invest in securities while searching for a merger partner.</p><p><blockquote>在5月24日的众议院金融服务小组委员会听证会上,关岛代表迈克尔·圣尼古拉斯(Michael San Nicolas)询问特殊目的收购公司与封闭式股票(共同)基金有何不同。这个问题在当时似乎很神秘,但回想起来,它似乎预示着一系列针对特殊目的收购公司的重磅诉讼。前SEC专员小罗伯特·J·杰克逊(Robert J.Jackson Jr.)和耶鲁大学法学教授约翰·莫利(John Morley)加入了对比尔·阿克曼(Bill Ackman)的特殊目的收购公司潘兴广场通廷控股有限公司(Pershing Square Tontine Holdings Ltd.)(股票代码:PSTH)的诉讼,该公司筹集了40亿美元,成为最大的单一特殊目的收购公司,随后又对另外两家特殊目的收购公司GO Acquisition Corp.)和E.Merge Technology)提起的诉讼,该公司筹集了40亿美元,成为最大的单一特殊目的收购公司。诉讼称,特殊目的收购公司实际上是投资公司,就像共同基金和ETF一样,因为它们在寻找合并伙伴的同时投资证券。</blockquote></p><p> “Under the [Investment Company Act of 1940], an Investment Company is an entity whose primary business is investing in securities,” the lawsuit against PSTH argues. “And investing in securities is basically the only thing that PSTH has ever done.”</p><p><blockquote>“根据[1940年投资公司法],投资公司是主要业务是投资证券的实体,”针对PSTH的诉讼称,“而投资证券基本上是PSTH唯一做过的事情。”</blockquote></p><p> Ackmansaysthe suit against his SPAC is meritless, but warns, “Because the basic issues raised here apply to every SPAC, a successful claim would imply that every SPAC may also be an illegal investment company.” The suit suggests one more way that SPACs could be considered a hybrid—a cross between an investment company (like a mutual fund) and a publicly traded company.</p><p><blockquote>阿克曼表示,针对他的SPAC的诉讼毫无根据,但警告说,“因为这里提出的基本问题适用于每个SPAC,成功的索赔将意味着每个SPAC也可能是非法投资公司。”该诉讼提出了SPAC可以被视为混合体的另一种方式——投资公司(如共同基金)和上市公司之间的混合体。</blockquote></p><p> One wonders how we will look back on these market developments a decade from now. Will SPACs, cryptoassets, and mobile trading apps be seen as hybrids that emerged in the antechamber we are living in now?</p><p><blockquote>人们不禁要问,十年后我们将如何回顾这些市场发展。SPAC、加密资产和移动交易应用会被视为出现在我们现在生活的前厅中的混合体吗?</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-three-big-transitions-reshaping-finance-51630526645?mod=hp_COMMENTARY_1\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-three-big-transitions-reshaping-finance-51630526645?mod=hp_COMMENTARY_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198049168","content_text":"About the author: Stephen Deane, a chartered financial analyst, is senior director, legislative and regulatory outreach, at the CFA Institute. He joined the institute after more than nine years at the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.\nEver since Covid disrupted our lives, two themes have emerged. First, a feeling that we are living in an antechamber to a new and still-undefined era. And second, a pattern of hybrids, from homes converted into hybrid spaces of living/working/schooling, to expectations of a new office hybrid that will mix virtual and in-person meetings.\nBut what about the world of finance and securities markets? There, too, we can find patterns of transition and hybrids. Consider three phenomena that began before Covid but have exploded in growth since then: digital assets, Robinhood, and SPACs.\nStart with the rise of cryptocurrencies, digital tokens and other such assets, which remain very much in a transitory stage (like the “Wild West,” SEC Chairman Gary Genslerrecently observed). Even as the crypto asset class has grown to an estimated $1.6 trillion, basic questions remain unanswered. Are digital tokens securities or commodities? Are decentralized finance platforms really securities exchanges? Are data miners and other digital service providers really broker-dealers? Should the SEC permit Bitcoin ETFs? And who should regulate these products, services and entities—the SEC, the CFTC, or banking regulators?\nGenslerhas calledon Congress to give the SEC “additional authorities to prevent transactions, products, and platforms from falling between regulatory cracks.” Specifically, he wants “additional plenary authority to write rules for and attach guardrails to crypto trading and lending.” And the U.S. House has passed a bill (H.R. 1602, the Eliminate Barriers to Innovation Act of 2021), which would require the SEC and CFTC to establish a working group on digital assets.\nSome of what passes as crypto innovations pretty clearly seems to be old-fashioned investment products dressed up in digital garb. That would include any stablecoins that function like money market funds and those tokens that fall within the definition of a security. Nonetheless, there is no denying that crypto mixes digital technology with traditional forms of finance in a hybrid of innovation.\nSecond, consider Robinhood, which has exploded into view along with Redditor-fueled moonshot trades in meme stocks. Its proclaimedmission“to democratize finance for all” may invite skepticism, but the company can make a strong claim to having attracted a surge of first-time retail investors, representing a younger and more ethnically diverse customer base. Powering that success is Robinhood’s sleek mobile app—and its arsenal of gamification tools to entice and engage customers. But do the nudges and gamification tools cross the line into the realm of investment advice?\n“Once individuals become customers, Robinhood relentlessly bombards them with a number of strategies designed to encourage and incentivize continuous and repeated engagement with this application,” the Massachusetts state securities regulator alleges in alawsuitagainst Robinhood. The complaint points to several such techniques, from celebrating customer trades with confetti (a practice Robinhood has since abandoned) to plying customers with lists of most-traded and most-popular securities on its platform.\nShould practices like these be subject to the fiduciary standard of an investment adviser? Or to the new Best Interest standard for broker-dealers? Robinhood hascalledthe regulator elitist and says it isn’t making recommendations. Whatever the outcome of the lawsuit, these gamification techniques make Robinhood appear different in kind from the (boring?) practices of traditional broker-dealers that merely execute customers’ trades. The gamification of mobile trading apps may represent a hybrid between standard broker-dealer practices and full-fledged investment advice.\nThird, consider SPACs, which have been around since 2003 but have exploded in popularity in the Covid era. In a hugely successful marketing campaign, SPACs have presented themselves as a kind of poor man’s private equity. If true, that would make SPACs a hybrid between private investment opportunities and public markets.\nThe deSPAC merger—the key event in the life of a SPAC—is also a hybrid. This is when the SPAC merges with a private operating company, allowing the target to become a public company without going through an IPO. Or is the merger itself really an IPO?\nThat’s precisely the question raised by John Coates, a Harvard Law professor who has become a top SEC official. In a provocativespeechon April 8, Coates argued that the deSPAC merger is an initial public offering, because it is the first time the private operating company is introduced to the public. One speech, however, does not make SEC policy. And Coates’ theory remains untested in court. Nonetheless, it suggests how the deSPAC merger can be considered a hybrid between traditional forms of IPO and merger transactions.\nAt a House Financial Services subcommitteehearingon May 24, Michael San Nicolas, Guam’s delegate, asked how a SPAC differed from a closed-end equity (mutual) fund. The question may have seemed arcane at the time, but in retrospect it appears to have foreshadowed a series of blockbuster lawsuits against SPACs. Former SEC Commissioner Robert J. Jackson, Jr. and Yale Law Professor John Morley have joined in alawsuitagainst Bill Ackman’s SPAC,Pershing Square Tontine Holdings Ltd. (ticker: PSTH), which raised $4 billion to become the single largest SPAC, and followed up with suits against two other SPACs,GO Acquisition Corp.and E.Merge Technology. The suits allege that the SPACs are really investment companies, like mutual funds and ETFs, because they invest in securities while searching for a merger partner.\n“Under the [Investment Company Act of 1940], an Investment Company is an entity whose primary business is investing in securities,” the lawsuit against PSTH argues. “And investing in securities is basically the only thing that PSTH has ever done.”\nAckmansaysthe suit against his SPAC is meritless, but warns, “Because the basic issues raised here apply to every SPAC, a successful claim would imply that every SPAC may also be an illegal investment company.” The suit suggests one more way that SPACs could be considered a hybrid—a cross between an investment company (like a mutual fund) and a publicly traded company.\nOne wonders how we will look back on these market developments a decade from now. Will SPACs, cryptoassets, and mobile trading apps be seen as hybrids that emerged in the antechamber we are living in now?","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":159,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802592844,"gmtCreate":1627786413088,"gmtModify":1631889124709,"author":{"id":"3578810851703205","authorId":"3578810851703205","name":"devilswin20","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1878f8267d6335f1cf84e0ae0295f612","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578810851703205","idStr":"3578810851703205"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Shit","listText":"Shit","text":"Shit","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802592844","repostId":"2155001152","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":232,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":803523091,"gmtCreate":1627449831413,"gmtModify":1631889124720,"author":{"id":"3578810851703205","authorId":"3578810851703205","name":"devilswin20","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1878f8267d6335f1cf84e0ae0295f612","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578810851703205","idStr":"3578810851703205"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sad","listText":"Sad","text":"Sad","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/803523091","repostId":"2154386941","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":227,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174751031,"gmtCreate":1627143507523,"gmtModify":1631889124722,"author":{"id":"3578810851703205","authorId":"3578810851703205","name":"devilswin20","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1878f8267d6335f1cf84e0ae0295f612","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578810851703205","idStr":"3578810851703205"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174751031","repostId":"1109439356","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":325,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":172300057,"gmtCreate":1626931730079,"gmtModify":1631889124726,"author":{"id":"3578810851703205","authorId":"3578810851703205","name":"devilswin20","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1878f8267d6335f1cf84e0ae0295f612","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578810851703205","idStr":"3578810851703205"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/172300057","repostId":"1190301036","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":229,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":172972510,"gmtCreate":1626931524730,"gmtModify":1631889124725,"author":{"id":"3578810851703205","authorId":"3578810851703205","name":"devilswin20","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1878f8267d6335f1cf84e0ae0295f612","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578810851703205","idStr":"3578810851703205"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cheers","listText":"Cheers","text":"Cheers","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/172972510","repostId":"1162391670","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1162391670","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626930921,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1162391670?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-22 13:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"BofA reups chip favorites as cloud spending broadens beyond Amazon<blockquote>随着云支出扩大到亚马逊之外,美国银行重新增加了芯片的最爱</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1162391670","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"An update on expectations for capital expenditures from cloud companies from Bank of America brings ","content":"<p>An update on expectations for capital expenditures from cloud companies from <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a> brings the key takeaway that spending breadth is growing beyond the hefty footprint of Amazon Web Services.</p><p><blockquote>云公司资本支出预期的最新情况<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>带来了一个关键的收获,即支出广度正在增长,超出了亚马逊网络服务的巨大足迹。</blockquote></p><p> Overall the tracker points to growth in capex among the world's top seven hyperscalers of 21% in 2021, to $128B (or up 20% to $138B including Apple).</p><p><blockquote>总体而言,该追踪显示,2021年全球七大超大规模企业的资本支出将增长21%,达到128B美元(包括苹果在内,增长20%,达到138B美元)。</blockquote></p><p> That's a deceleration from last year's 37% growth. However, BofA notes that ex-<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com</a>, \"super 7\" capex is expected to grow 33% vs. just 9% a year ago. And limiting the look to the second half, ex-Amazon spending could surge 42%.</p><p><blockquote>这比去年37%的增长有所放缓。然而,美国银行指出,前-<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>,“super 7”资本支出预计将增长33%,而一年前仅为9%。如果将目光限制在下半年,前亚马逊支出可能会飙升42%。</blockquote></p><p> That broadening is potentially a positive for merchant semiconductors, it says, since Amazon has been most active in insourcing \"specific processors/networking gear (AWS Graviton, Nitro).\"</p><p><blockquote>报告称,这种扩大对商用半导体来说可能是积极的,因为亚马逊在内包“特定处理器/网络设备(AWS Graviton、Nitro)”方面最为积极。</blockquote></p><p> As for 2022, capital intensity of 9% at the super 7 would mark the lowest levels since 2017, it notes - indicating potentially conservative estimates for spending, particularly amid secular trends like AI/machine learning and 5G driving growing data consumption. Cloud sales at major vendors (AWS, Google Cloud, Microsoft Azure) are expected to grow at a compound annual rate of 32% from 2020 through 2022, but the capex outlook is \"muted,\" suggesting the Street may not appreciate the investments needed.</p><p><blockquote>报告指出,到2022年,速7 9%的资本强度将创下2017年以来的最低水平,这表明对支出的估计可能较为保守,特别是在人工智能/机器学习和5G等长期趋势推动数据消费增长的情况下。从2020年到2022年,主要供应商(AWS、谷歌云、微软Azure)的云销售额预计将以32%的复合年增长率增长,但资本支出前景“低迷”,这表明华尔街可能不会欣赏所需的投资。</blockquote></p><p> And its top three picks for secular cloud-driven growth among semiconductor companies are <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">NVIDIA Corp</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRVL\">Marvell Technology</a> - though it notes there are \"multiple reasons\" to like the names. All three can outperform in an environment of decelerating growth for large markets including PCs, automobiles and smartphones.</p><p><blockquote>其在半导体公司中长期云驱动增长的前三名选择是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达公司</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRVL\">Marvell技术</a>——尽管它指出有“多种原因”喜欢这些名字。在个人电脑、汽车和智能手机等大型市场增长放缓的环境下,这三者都可以表现出色。</blockquote></p><p> \"These stocks are not exposed to cyclical unit growth and volatile memory capex, but instead benefit from specific product cycles and share gains across AI, cloud computing, gaming, networking, enterprise, and 5G infrastructure,\" Vivek Arya and team write, \"which in our view limits their impact from macro swings and supports their best-in-semis ~20% sales/25%-plus EPS growth potential through 2023E (vs. semi industry average 7% sales/10% EPS growth).\"</p><p><blockquote>Vivek Arya和团队写道:“这些股票不会受到周期性单位增长和易失性内存资本支出的影响,而是受益于特定的产品周期,并分享人工智能、云计算、游戏、网络、企业和5G基础设施的收益。”在我们看来,这限制了它们受到宏观波动的影响,并支持到2023年,它们的半成品销售额约为20%/25%以上的每股收益增长潜力(而半成品行业平均销售额为7%/每股收益增长10%)。”</blockquote></p><p> And while industry supply will continue to be an issue in the second half, scale and share growth means these three companies are \"critical customers\" of their foundry partners, and supply will continue to steadily improve.</p><p><blockquote>尽管行业供应仍将是下半年的一个问题,但规模和份额增长意味着这三家公司是其代工合作伙伴的“关键客户”,供应将继续稳步改善。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBofA reups chip favorites as cloud spending broadens beyond Amazon<blockquote>随着云支出扩大到亚马逊之外,美国银行重新增加了芯片的最爱</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-22 13:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>An update on expectations for capital expenditures from cloud companies from <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a> brings the key takeaway that spending breadth is growing beyond the hefty footprint of Amazon Web Services.</p><p><blockquote>云公司资本支出预期的最新情况<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>带来了一个关键的收获,即支出广度正在增长,超出了亚马逊网络服务的巨大足迹。</blockquote></p><p> Overall the tracker points to growth in capex among the world's top seven hyperscalers of 21% in 2021, to $128B (or up 20% to $138B including Apple).</p><p><blockquote>总体而言,该追踪显示,2021年全球七大超大规模企业的资本支出将增长21%,达到128B美元(包括苹果在内,增长20%,达到138B美元)。</blockquote></p><p> That's a deceleration from last year's 37% growth. However, BofA notes that ex-<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com</a>, \"super 7\" capex is expected to grow 33% vs. just 9% a year ago. And limiting the look to the second half, ex-Amazon spending could surge 42%.</p><p><blockquote>这比去年37%的增长有所放缓。然而,美国银行指出,前-<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>,“super 7”资本支出预计将增长33%,而一年前仅为9%。如果将目光限制在下半年,前亚马逊支出可能会飙升42%。</blockquote></p><p> That broadening is potentially a positive for merchant semiconductors, it says, since Amazon has been most active in insourcing \"specific processors/networking gear (AWS Graviton, Nitro).\"</p><p><blockquote>报告称,这种扩大对商用半导体来说可能是积极的,因为亚马逊在内包“特定处理器/网络设备(AWS Graviton、Nitro)”方面最为积极。</blockquote></p><p> As for 2022, capital intensity of 9% at the super 7 would mark the lowest levels since 2017, it notes - indicating potentially conservative estimates for spending, particularly amid secular trends like AI/machine learning and 5G driving growing data consumption. Cloud sales at major vendors (AWS, Google Cloud, Microsoft Azure) are expected to grow at a compound annual rate of 32% from 2020 through 2022, but the capex outlook is \"muted,\" suggesting the Street may not appreciate the investments needed.</p><p><blockquote>报告指出,到2022年,速7 9%的资本强度将创下2017年以来的最低水平,这表明对支出的估计可能较为保守,特别是在人工智能/机器学习和5G等长期趋势推动数据消费增长的情况下。从2020年到2022年,主要供应商(AWS、谷歌云、微软Azure)的云销售额预计将以32%的复合年增长率增长,但资本支出前景“低迷”,这表明华尔街可能不会欣赏所需的投资。</blockquote></p><p> And its top three picks for secular cloud-driven growth among semiconductor companies are <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">NVIDIA Corp</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRVL\">Marvell Technology</a> - though it notes there are \"multiple reasons\" to like the names. All three can outperform in an environment of decelerating growth for large markets including PCs, automobiles and smartphones.</p><p><blockquote>其在半导体公司中长期云驱动增长的前三名选择是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达公司</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRVL\">Marvell技术</a>——尽管它指出有“多种原因”喜欢这些名字。在个人电脑、汽车和智能手机等大型市场增长放缓的环境下,这三者都可以表现出色。</blockquote></p><p> \"These stocks are not exposed to cyclical unit growth and volatile memory capex, but instead benefit from specific product cycles and share gains across AI, cloud computing, gaming, networking, enterprise, and 5G infrastructure,\" Vivek Arya and team write, \"which in our view limits their impact from macro swings and supports their best-in-semis ~20% sales/25%-plus EPS growth potential through 2023E (vs. semi industry average 7% sales/10% EPS growth).\"</p><p><blockquote>Vivek Arya和团队写道:“这些股票不会受到周期性单位增长和易失性内存资本支出的影响,而是受益于特定的产品周期,并分享人工智能、云计算、游戏、网络、企业和5G基础设施的收益。”在我们看来,这限制了它们受到宏观波动的影响,并支持到2023年,它们的半成品销售额约为20%/25%以上的每股收益增长潜力(而半成品行业平均销售额为7%/每股收益增长10%)。”</blockquote></p><p> And while industry supply will continue to be an issue in the second half, scale and share growth means these three companies are \"critical customers\" of their foundry partners, and supply will continue to steadily improve.</p><p><blockquote>尽管行业供应仍将是下半年的一个问题,但规模和份额增长意味着这三家公司是其代工合作伙伴的“关键客户”,供应将继续稳步改善。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3717825-bofa-reups-chip-favorites-as-cloud-spending-broadens-beyond-amazon\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊","AMD":"美国超微公司","BAC":"美国银行","NVDA":"英伟达","MRVL":"迈威尔科技"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3717825-bofa-reups-chip-favorites-as-cloud-spending-broadens-beyond-amazon","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162391670","content_text":"An update on expectations for capital expenditures from cloud companies from Bank of America brings the key takeaway that spending breadth is growing beyond the hefty footprint of Amazon Web Services.\nOverall the tracker points to growth in capex among the world's top seven hyperscalers of 21% in 2021, to $128B (or up 20% to $138B including Apple).\nThat's a deceleration from last year's 37% growth. However, BofA notes that ex-Amazon.com, \"super 7\" capex is expected to grow 33% vs. just 9% a year ago. And limiting the look to the second half, ex-Amazon spending could surge 42%.\nThat broadening is potentially a positive for merchant semiconductors, it says, since Amazon has been most active in insourcing \"specific processors/networking gear (AWS Graviton, Nitro).\"\nAs for 2022, capital intensity of 9% at the super 7 would mark the lowest levels since 2017, it notes - indicating potentially conservative estimates for spending, particularly amid secular trends like AI/machine learning and 5G driving growing data consumption. Cloud sales at major vendors (AWS, Google Cloud, Microsoft Azure) are expected to grow at a compound annual rate of 32% from 2020 through 2022, but the capex outlook is \"muted,\" suggesting the Street may not appreciate the investments needed.\nAnd its top three picks for secular cloud-driven growth among semiconductor companies are NVIDIA Corp, AMD and Marvell Technology - though it notes there are \"multiple reasons\" to like the names. All three can outperform in an environment of decelerating growth for large markets including PCs, automobiles and smartphones.\n\"These stocks are not exposed to cyclical unit growth and volatile memory capex, but instead benefit from specific product cycles and share gains across AI, cloud computing, gaming, networking, enterprise, and 5G infrastructure,\" Vivek Arya and team write, \"which in our view limits their impact from macro swings and supports their best-in-semis ~20% sales/25%-plus EPS growth potential through 2023E (vs. semi industry average 7% sales/10% EPS growth).\"\nAnd while industry supply will continue to be an issue in the second half, scale and share growth means these three companies are \"critical customers\" of their foundry partners, and supply will continue to steadily improve.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMD":0.9,"AMZN":0.9,"NVDA":0.9,"MRVL":0.9,"BAC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":343,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":178748083,"gmtCreate":1626840963042,"gmtModify":1631889124729,"author":{"id":"3578810851703205","authorId":"3578810851703205","name":"devilswin20","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1878f8267d6335f1cf84e0ae0295f612","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578810851703205","idStr":"3578810851703205"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Awesome","listText":"Awesome","text":"Awesome","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/178748083","repostId":"2153616504","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":264,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":178743357,"gmtCreate":1626840893079,"gmtModify":1631892512280,"author":{"id":"3578810851703205","authorId":"3578810851703205","name":"devilswin20","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1878f8267d6335f1cf84e0ae0295f612","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578810851703205","idStr":"3578810851703205"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Awesome","listText":"Awesome","text":"Awesome","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/178743357","repostId":"2153924256","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":262,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":815123715,"gmtCreate":1630658036237,"gmtModify":1631889124701,"author":{"id":"3578810851703205","authorId":"3578810851703205","name":"devilswin20","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1878f8267d6335f1cf84e0ae0295f612","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578810851703205","authorIdStr":"3578810851703205"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/815123715","repostId":"1188884179","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":306,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802592844,"gmtCreate":1627786413088,"gmtModify":1631889124709,"author":{"id":"3578810851703205","authorId":"3578810851703205","name":"devilswin20","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1878f8267d6335f1cf84e0ae0295f612","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578810851703205","authorIdStr":"3578810851703205"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Shit","listText":"Shit","text":"Shit","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802592844","repostId":"2155001152","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":232,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":883532381,"gmtCreate":1631252925743,"gmtModify":1631889124695,"author":{"id":"3578810851703205","authorId":"3578810851703205","name":"devilswin20","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1878f8267d6335f1cf84e0ae0295f612","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578810851703205","authorIdStr":"3578810851703205"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Huat","listText":"Huat","text":"Huat","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/883532381","repostId":"1145569739","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1145569739","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1631252036,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1145569739?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-10 13:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"TSMC revenue for August was approximately NT$137.43 billion,an increase of 11.8% YOY<blockquote>台积电8月营收约1374.3亿新台币同比增长11.8%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1145569739","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"TSMC today announced its net revenue for August 2021: On a consolidated basis, revenue for August 20","content":"<p>TSMC today announced its net revenue for August 2021: On a consolidated basis, revenue for August 2021 was approximately NT$137.43 billion, an increase of 10.3 percent from July 2021 and an increase of 11.8 percent from August 2020. Revenue for January through August 2021 totaled NT$996.54 billion, an increase of 17.2 percent compared to the same period in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>台积电今日公布2021年8月营收净额:合并口径下,2021年8月营收约为新台币1374.3亿元,较2021年7月增长10.3%,较2020年8月增长11.8%。2021年1-8月营收总额为新台币9,965.4亿元,较2020年同期增长17.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/179f39de55e675045687b13640a7992c\" tg-width=\"676\" tg-height=\"139\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>TSMC revenue for August was approximately NT$137.43 billion,an increase of 11.8% YOY<blockquote>台积电8月营收约1374.3亿新台币同比增长11.8%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTSMC revenue for August was approximately NT$137.43 billion,an increase of 11.8% YOY<blockquote>台积电8月营收约1374.3亿新台币同比增长11.8%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-09-10 13:33</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>TSMC today announced its net revenue for August 2021: On a consolidated basis, revenue for August 2021 was approximately NT$137.43 billion, an increase of 10.3 percent from July 2021 and an increase of 11.8 percent from August 2020. Revenue for January through August 2021 totaled NT$996.54 billion, an increase of 17.2 percent compared to the same period in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>台积电今日公布2021年8月营收净额:合并口径下,2021年8月营收约为新台币1374.3亿元,较2021年7月增长10.3%,较2020年8月增长11.8%。2021年1-8月营收总额为新台币9,965.4亿元,较2020年同期增长17.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/179f39de55e675045687b13640a7992c\" tg-width=\"676\" tg-height=\"139\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSM":"台积电"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1145569739","content_text":"TSMC today announced its net revenue for August 2021: On a consolidated basis, revenue for August 2021 was approximately NT$137.43 billion, an increase of 10.3 percent from July 2021 and an increase of 11.8 percent from August 2020. Revenue for January through August 2021 totaled NT$996.54 billion, an increase of 17.2 percent compared to the same period in 2020.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":429,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":815123672,"gmtCreate":1630658012696,"gmtModify":1631889124705,"author":{"id":"3578810851703205","authorId":"3578810851703205","name":"devilswin20","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1878f8267d6335f1cf84e0ae0295f612","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578810851703205","authorIdStr":"3578810851703205"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3505175992816849\"></a>","listText":"Good<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/3505175992816849\"></a>","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/815123672","repostId":"1198049168","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198049168","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630657800,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1198049168?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-03 16:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The Three Big Transitions Reshaping Finance<blockquote>重塑金融的三大转型</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198049168","media":"Barron's","summary":"About the author: Stephen Deane, a chartered financial analyst, is senior director, legislative and ","content":"<p><i>About the author: Stephen Deane, a chartered financial analyst, is senior director, legislative and regulatory outreach, at the CFA Institute. He joined the institute after more than nine years at the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>作者简介:Stephen Deane,特许金融分析师,CFA协会立法和监管外联高级总监。他在美国证券交易委员会工作了九年多后加入了该研究所。</i></blockquote></p><p> Ever since Covid disrupted our lives, two themes have emerged. First, a feeling that we are living in an antechamber to a new and still-undefined era. And second, a pattern of hybrids, from homes converted into hybrid spaces of living/working/schooling, to expectations of a new office hybrid that will mix virtual and in-person meetings.</p><p><blockquote>自从Covid扰乱了我们的生活,出现了两个主题。首先,一种我们生活在一个新的、仍未定义的时代的前厅的感觉。第二,混合模式,从家庭转变为生活/工作/上学的混合空间,到对混合虚拟和面对面会议的新办公室混合的期望。</blockquote></p><p> But what about the world of finance and securities markets? There, too, we can find patterns of transition and hybrids. Consider three phenomena that began before Covid but have exploded in growth since then: digital assets, Robinhood, and SPACs.</p><p><blockquote>但是金融和证券市场的世界呢?在那里,我们也可以找到过渡和混合的模式。考虑三种现象,它们始于Covid之前,但自那以后增长迅速:数字资产、Robinhood和SPACs。</blockquote></p><p> Start with the rise of cryptocurrencies, digital tokens and other such assets, which remain very much in a transitory stage (like the “Wild West,” SEC Chairman Gary Genslerrecently observed). Even as the crypto asset class has grown to an estimated $1.6 trillion, basic questions remain unanswered. Are digital tokens securities or commodities? Are decentralized finance platforms really securities exchanges? Are data miners and other digital service providers really broker-dealers? Should the SEC permit Bitcoin ETFs? And who should regulate these products, services and entities—the SEC, the CFTC, or banking regulators?</p><p><blockquote>从加密货币、数字代币和其他此类资产的兴起开始,它们在很大程度上仍处于过渡阶段(就像美国证券交易委员会主席加里·詹斯勒最近观察到的“狂野西部”)。即使加密资产类别已经增长到估计的1.6万亿美元,基本问题仍然没有答案。数字代币是证券还是商品?去中心化金融平台真的是证券交易所吗?数据挖掘者和其他数字服务提供商真的是经纪自营商吗?SEC应该允许比特币ETF吗?谁应该监管这些产品、服务和实体——SEC、CFTC还是银行监管机构?</blockquote></p><p> Genslerhas calledon Congress to give the SEC “additional authorities to prevent transactions, products, and platforms from falling between regulatory cracks.” Specifically, he wants “additional plenary authority to write rules for and attach guardrails to crypto trading and lending.” And the U.S. House has passed a bill (H.R. 1602, the Eliminate Barriers to Innovation Act of 2021), which would require the SEC and CFTC to establish a working group on digital assets.</p><p><blockquote>Gensler呼吁国会赋予SEC“额外的权力,以防止交易、产品和平台陷入监管漏洞”。具体来说,他希望“获得额外的全权来为加密货币交易和借贷制定规则并为其设置护栏。”美国众议院已经通过了一项法案(H.R.1602,2021年消除创新障碍法案),要求SEC和CFTC成立一个数字资产工作组。</blockquote></p><p> Some of what passes as crypto innovations pretty clearly seems to be old-fashioned investment products dressed up in digital garb. That would include any stablecoins that function like money market funds and those tokens that fall within the definition of a security. Nonetheless, there is no denying that crypto mixes digital technology with traditional forms of finance in a hybrid of innovation.</p><p><blockquote>一些被称为加密创新的东西显然是披着数字外衣的老式投资产品。这将包括任何功能类似货币市场基金的稳定币,以及那些属于证券定义的代币。尽管如此,不可否认的是,加密货币将数字技术与传统金融形式混合在一起,形成了创新的混合体。</blockquote></p><p> Second, consider Robinhood, which has exploded into view along with Redditor-fueled moonshot trades in meme stocks. Its proclaimedmission“to democratize finance for all” may invite skepticism, but the company can make a strong claim to having attracted a surge of first-time retail investors, representing a younger and more ethnically diverse customer base. Powering that success is Robinhood’s sleek mobile app—and its arsenal of gamification tools to entice and engage customers. But do the nudges and gamification tools cross the line into the realm of investment advice?</p><p><blockquote>其次,考虑一下Robinhood,它与Redditor推动的meme股票登月交易一起出现在人们的视野中。其宣称的“为所有人实现金融民主化”的使命可能会招致怀疑,但该公司可以强有力地声称吸引了大量首次投资的散户投资者,代表了更年轻、种族更多元化的客户群。推动这一成功的是Robinhood时尚的移动应用程序——以及吸引和吸引客户的游戏化工具。但是,轻推和游戏化工具是否跨越了投资建议领域?</blockquote></p><p> “Once individuals become customers, Robinhood relentlessly bombards them with a number of strategies designed to encourage and incentivize continuous and repeated engagement with this application,” the Massachusetts state securities regulator alleges in alawsuitagainst Robinhood. The complaint points to several such techniques, from celebrating customer trades with confetti (a practice Robinhood has since abandoned) to plying customers with lists of most-traded and most-popular securities on its platform.</p><p><blockquote>马萨诸塞州证券监管机构在alawsuitagainst Robinhood中声称:“一旦个人成为客户,Robinhood就会无情地用一系列旨在鼓励和激励持续和重复参与该应用程序的策略轰炸他们。”投诉指出了几种此类技术,从用五彩纸屑庆祝客户交易(Robinhood后来放弃了这种做法)到向客户提供其平台上交易量最大和最受欢迎的证券列表。</blockquote></p><p> Should practices like these be subject to the fiduciary standard of an investment adviser? Or to the new Best Interest standard for broker-dealers? Robinhood hascalledthe regulator elitist and says it isn’t making recommendations. Whatever the outcome of the lawsuit, these gamification techniques make Robinhood appear different in kind from the (boring?) practices of traditional broker-dealers that merely execute customers’ trades. The gamification of mobile trading apps may represent a hybrid between standard broker-dealer practices and full-fledged investment advice.</p><p><blockquote>像这样的做法应该遵守投资顾问的信托标准吗?还是新的经纪自营商最佳利益标准?罗宾汉称监管机构为精英主义者,并表示不会提出建议。无论诉讼结果如何,这些游戏化技术让Robinhood在本质上看起来不同于(无聊?)传统经纪交易商仅执行客户交易的做法。移动交易应用的游戏化可能代表了标准经纪交易商实践和成熟投资建议之间的混合。</blockquote></p><p> Third, consider SPACs, which have been around since 2003 but have exploded in popularity in the Covid era. In a hugely successful marketing campaign, SPACs have presented themselves as a kind of poor man’s private equity. If true, that would make SPACs a hybrid between private investment opportunities and public markets.</p><p><blockquote>第三,考虑一下SPAC,它们自2003年就已经存在,但在Covid时代大受欢迎。在一场非常成功的营销活动中,SPAC将自己描绘成一种穷人的私募股权。如果属实,这将使SPAC成为私人投资机会和公共市场的混合体。</blockquote></p><p> The deSPAC merger—the key event in the life of a SPAC—is also a hybrid. This is when the SPAC merges with a private operating company, allowing the target to become a public company without going through an IPO. Or is the merger itself really an IPO?</p><p><blockquote>deSPAC合并——特殊目的收购公司生命中的关键事件——也是一种混合。这是特殊目的收购公司与一家私人运营公司合并,允许目标公司在不通过IPO的情况下成为一家上市公司。还是合并本身真的是IPO?</blockquote></p><p></p><p> That’s precisely the question raised by John Coates, a Harvard Law professor who has become a top SEC official. In a provocativespeechon April 8, Coates argued that the deSPAC merger is an initial public offering, because it is the first time the private operating company is introduced to the public. One speech, however, does not make SEC policy. And Coates’ theory remains untested in court. Nonetheless, it suggests how the deSPAC merger can be considered a hybrid between traditional forms of IPO and merger transactions.</p><p><blockquote>这正是哈佛大学法学教授约翰·科茨提出的问题,他已经成为美国证券交易委员会的高级官员。在4月8日的一次挑衅性演讲中,科茨认为deSPAC的合并是首次公开募股,因为这是第一次向公众介绍这家私营运营公司。然而,一次演讲并不能制定SEC的政策。科茨的理论尚未在法庭上得到检验。尽管如此,它表明deSPAC合并可以被视为传统形式的IPO和合并交易的混合体。</blockquote></p><p> At a House Financial Services subcommitteehearingon May 24, Michael San Nicolas, Guam’s delegate, asked how a SPAC differed from a closed-end equity (mutual) fund. The question may have seemed arcane at the time, but in retrospect it appears to have foreshadowed a series of blockbuster lawsuits against SPACs. Former SEC Commissioner Robert J. Jackson, Jr. and Yale Law Professor John Morley have joined in alawsuitagainst Bill Ackman’s SPAC,Pershing Square Tontine Holdings Ltd. (ticker: PSTH), which raised $4 billion to become the single largest SPAC, and followed up with suits against two other SPACs,GO Acquisition Corp.and E.Merge Technology. The suits allege that the SPACs are really investment companies, like mutual funds and ETFs, because they invest in securities while searching for a merger partner.</p><p><blockquote>在5月24日的众议院金融服务小组委员会听证会上,关岛代表迈克尔·圣尼古拉斯(Michael San Nicolas)询问特殊目的收购公司与封闭式股票(共同)基金有何不同。这个问题在当时似乎很神秘,但回想起来,它似乎预示着一系列针对特殊目的收购公司的重磅诉讼。前SEC专员小罗伯特·J·杰克逊(Robert J.Jackson Jr.)和耶鲁大学法学教授约翰·莫利(John Morley)加入了对比尔·阿克曼(Bill Ackman)的特殊目的收购公司潘兴广场通廷控股有限公司(Pershing Square Tontine Holdings Ltd.)(股票代码:PSTH)的诉讼,该公司筹集了40亿美元,成为最大的单一特殊目的收购公司,随后又对另外两家特殊目的收购公司GO Acquisition Corp.)和E.Merge Technology)提起的诉讼,该公司筹集了40亿美元,成为最大的单一特殊目的收购公司。诉讼称,特殊目的收购公司实际上是投资公司,就像共同基金和ETF一样,因为它们在寻找合并伙伴的同时投资证券。</blockquote></p><p> “Under the [Investment Company Act of 1940], an Investment Company is an entity whose primary business is investing in securities,” the lawsuit against PSTH argues. “And investing in securities is basically the only thing that PSTH has ever done.”</p><p><blockquote>“根据[1940年投资公司法],投资公司是主要业务是投资证券的实体,”针对PSTH的诉讼称,“而投资证券基本上是PSTH唯一做过的事情。”</blockquote></p><p> Ackmansaysthe suit against his SPAC is meritless, but warns, “Because the basic issues raised here apply to every SPAC, a successful claim would imply that every SPAC may also be an illegal investment company.” The suit suggests one more way that SPACs could be considered a hybrid—a cross between an investment company (like a mutual fund) and a publicly traded company.</p><p><blockquote>阿克曼表示,针对他的SPAC的诉讼毫无根据,但警告说,“因为这里提出的基本问题适用于每个SPAC,成功的索赔将意味着每个SPAC也可能是非法投资公司。”该诉讼提出了SPAC可以被视为混合体的另一种方式——投资公司(如共同基金)和上市公司之间的混合体。</blockquote></p><p> One wonders how we will look back on these market developments a decade from now. Will SPACs, cryptoassets, and mobile trading apps be seen as hybrids that emerged in the antechamber we are living in now?</p><p><blockquote>人们不禁要问,十年后我们将如何回顾这些市场发展。SPAC、加密资产和移动交易应用会被视为出现在我们现在生活的前厅中的混合体吗?</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The Three Big Transitions Reshaping Finance<blockquote>重塑金融的三大转型</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe Three Big Transitions Reshaping Finance<blockquote>重塑金融的三大转型</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-03 16:30</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><i>About the author: Stephen Deane, a chartered financial analyst, is senior director, legislative and regulatory outreach, at the CFA Institute. He joined the institute after more than nine years at the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.</i></p><p><blockquote><i>作者简介:Stephen Deane,特许金融分析师,CFA协会立法和监管外联高级总监。他在美国证券交易委员会工作了九年多后加入了该研究所。</i></blockquote></p><p> Ever since Covid disrupted our lives, two themes have emerged. First, a feeling that we are living in an antechamber to a new and still-undefined era. And second, a pattern of hybrids, from homes converted into hybrid spaces of living/working/schooling, to expectations of a new office hybrid that will mix virtual and in-person meetings.</p><p><blockquote>自从Covid扰乱了我们的生活,出现了两个主题。首先,一种我们生活在一个新的、仍未定义的时代的前厅的感觉。第二,混合模式,从家庭转变为生活/工作/上学的混合空间,到对混合虚拟和面对面会议的新办公室混合的期望。</blockquote></p><p> But what about the world of finance and securities markets? There, too, we can find patterns of transition and hybrids. Consider three phenomena that began before Covid but have exploded in growth since then: digital assets, Robinhood, and SPACs.</p><p><blockquote>但是金融和证券市场的世界呢?在那里,我们也可以找到过渡和混合的模式。考虑三种现象,它们始于Covid之前,但自那以后增长迅速:数字资产、Robinhood和SPACs。</blockquote></p><p> Start with the rise of cryptocurrencies, digital tokens and other such assets, which remain very much in a transitory stage (like the “Wild West,” SEC Chairman Gary Genslerrecently observed). Even as the crypto asset class has grown to an estimated $1.6 trillion, basic questions remain unanswered. Are digital tokens securities or commodities? Are decentralized finance platforms really securities exchanges? Are data miners and other digital service providers really broker-dealers? Should the SEC permit Bitcoin ETFs? And who should regulate these products, services and entities—the SEC, the CFTC, or banking regulators?</p><p><blockquote>从加密货币、数字代币和其他此类资产的兴起开始,它们在很大程度上仍处于过渡阶段(就像美国证券交易委员会主席加里·詹斯勒最近观察到的“狂野西部”)。即使加密资产类别已经增长到估计的1.6万亿美元,基本问题仍然没有答案。数字代币是证券还是商品?去中心化金融平台真的是证券交易所吗?数据挖掘者和其他数字服务提供商真的是经纪自营商吗?SEC应该允许比特币ETF吗?谁应该监管这些产品、服务和实体——SEC、CFTC还是银行监管机构?</blockquote></p><p> Genslerhas calledon Congress to give the SEC “additional authorities to prevent transactions, products, and platforms from falling between regulatory cracks.” Specifically, he wants “additional plenary authority to write rules for and attach guardrails to crypto trading and lending.” And the U.S. House has passed a bill (H.R. 1602, the Eliminate Barriers to Innovation Act of 2021), which would require the SEC and CFTC to establish a working group on digital assets.</p><p><blockquote>Gensler呼吁国会赋予SEC“额外的权力,以防止交易、产品和平台陷入监管漏洞”。具体来说,他希望“获得额外的全权来为加密货币交易和借贷制定规则并为其设置护栏。”美国众议院已经通过了一项法案(H.R.1602,2021年消除创新障碍法案),要求SEC和CFTC成立一个数字资产工作组。</blockquote></p><p> Some of what passes as crypto innovations pretty clearly seems to be old-fashioned investment products dressed up in digital garb. That would include any stablecoins that function like money market funds and those tokens that fall within the definition of a security. Nonetheless, there is no denying that crypto mixes digital technology with traditional forms of finance in a hybrid of innovation.</p><p><blockquote>一些被称为加密创新的东西显然是披着数字外衣的老式投资产品。这将包括任何功能类似货币市场基金的稳定币,以及那些属于证券定义的代币。尽管如此,不可否认的是,加密货币将数字技术与传统金融形式混合在一起,形成了创新的混合体。</blockquote></p><p> Second, consider Robinhood, which has exploded into view along with Redditor-fueled moonshot trades in meme stocks. Its proclaimedmission“to democratize finance for all” may invite skepticism, but the company can make a strong claim to having attracted a surge of first-time retail investors, representing a younger and more ethnically diverse customer base. Powering that success is Robinhood’s sleek mobile app—and its arsenal of gamification tools to entice and engage customers. But do the nudges and gamification tools cross the line into the realm of investment advice?</p><p><blockquote>其次,考虑一下Robinhood,它与Redditor推动的meme股票登月交易一起出现在人们的视野中。其宣称的“为所有人实现金融民主化”的使命可能会招致怀疑,但该公司可以强有力地声称吸引了大量首次投资的散户投资者,代表了更年轻、种族更多元化的客户群。推动这一成功的是Robinhood时尚的移动应用程序——以及吸引和吸引客户的游戏化工具。但是,轻推和游戏化工具是否跨越了投资建议领域?</blockquote></p><p> “Once individuals become customers, Robinhood relentlessly bombards them with a number of strategies designed to encourage and incentivize continuous and repeated engagement with this application,” the Massachusetts state securities regulator alleges in alawsuitagainst Robinhood. The complaint points to several such techniques, from celebrating customer trades with confetti (a practice Robinhood has since abandoned) to plying customers with lists of most-traded and most-popular securities on its platform.</p><p><blockquote>马萨诸塞州证券监管机构在alawsuitagainst Robinhood中声称:“一旦个人成为客户,Robinhood就会无情地用一系列旨在鼓励和激励持续和重复参与该应用程序的策略轰炸他们。”投诉指出了几种此类技术,从用五彩纸屑庆祝客户交易(Robinhood后来放弃了这种做法)到向客户提供其平台上交易量最大和最受欢迎的证券列表。</blockquote></p><p> Should practices like these be subject to the fiduciary standard of an investment adviser? Or to the new Best Interest standard for broker-dealers? Robinhood hascalledthe regulator elitist and says it isn’t making recommendations. Whatever the outcome of the lawsuit, these gamification techniques make Robinhood appear different in kind from the (boring?) practices of traditional broker-dealers that merely execute customers’ trades. The gamification of mobile trading apps may represent a hybrid between standard broker-dealer practices and full-fledged investment advice.</p><p><blockquote>像这样的做法应该遵守投资顾问的信托标准吗?还是新的经纪自营商最佳利益标准?罗宾汉称监管机构为精英主义者,并表示不会提出建议。无论诉讼结果如何,这些游戏化技术让Robinhood在本质上看起来不同于(无聊?)传统经纪交易商仅执行客户交易的做法。移动交易应用的游戏化可能代表了标准经纪交易商实践和成熟投资建议之间的混合。</blockquote></p><p> Third, consider SPACs, which have been around since 2003 but have exploded in popularity in the Covid era. In a hugely successful marketing campaign, SPACs have presented themselves as a kind of poor man’s private equity. If true, that would make SPACs a hybrid between private investment opportunities and public markets.</p><p><blockquote>第三,考虑一下SPAC,它们自2003年就已经存在,但在Covid时代大受欢迎。在一场非常成功的营销活动中,SPAC将自己描绘成一种穷人的私募股权。如果属实,这将使SPAC成为私人投资机会和公共市场的混合体。</blockquote></p><p> The deSPAC merger—the key event in the life of a SPAC—is also a hybrid. This is when the SPAC merges with a private operating company, allowing the target to become a public company without going through an IPO. Or is the merger itself really an IPO?</p><p><blockquote>deSPAC合并——特殊目的收购公司生命中的关键事件——也是一种混合。这是特殊目的收购公司与一家私人运营公司合并,允许目标公司在不通过IPO的情况下成为一家上市公司。还是合并本身真的是IPO?</blockquote></p><p></p><p> That’s precisely the question raised by John Coates, a Harvard Law professor who has become a top SEC official. In a provocativespeechon April 8, Coates argued that the deSPAC merger is an initial public offering, because it is the first time the private operating company is introduced to the public. One speech, however, does not make SEC policy. And Coates’ theory remains untested in court. Nonetheless, it suggests how the deSPAC merger can be considered a hybrid between traditional forms of IPO and merger transactions.</p><p><blockquote>这正是哈佛大学法学教授约翰·科茨提出的问题,他已经成为美国证券交易委员会的高级官员。在4月8日的一次挑衅性演讲中,科茨认为deSPAC的合并是首次公开募股,因为这是第一次向公众介绍这家私营运营公司。然而,一次演讲并不能制定SEC的政策。科茨的理论尚未在法庭上得到检验。尽管如此,它表明deSPAC合并可以被视为传统形式的IPO和合并交易的混合体。</blockquote></p><p> At a House Financial Services subcommitteehearingon May 24, Michael San Nicolas, Guam’s delegate, asked how a SPAC differed from a closed-end equity (mutual) fund. The question may have seemed arcane at the time, but in retrospect it appears to have foreshadowed a series of blockbuster lawsuits against SPACs. Former SEC Commissioner Robert J. Jackson, Jr. and Yale Law Professor John Morley have joined in alawsuitagainst Bill Ackman’s SPAC,Pershing Square Tontine Holdings Ltd. (ticker: PSTH), which raised $4 billion to become the single largest SPAC, and followed up with suits against two other SPACs,GO Acquisition Corp.and E.Merge Technology. The suits allege that the SPACs are really investment companies, like mutual funds and ETFs, because they invest in securities while searching for a merger partner.</p><p><blockquote>在5月24日的众议院金融服务小组委员会听证会上,关岛代表迈克尔·圣尼古拉斯(Michael San Nicolas)询问特殊目的收购公司与封闭式股票(共同)基金有何不同。这个问题在当时似乎很神秘,但回想起来,它似乎预示着一系列针对特殊目的收购公司的重磅诉讼。前SEC专员小罗伯特·J·杰克逊(Robert J.Jackson Jr.)和耶鲁大学法学教授约翰·莫利(John Morley)加入了对比尔·阿克曼(Bill Ackman)的特殊目的收购公司潘兴广场通廷控股有限公司(Pershing Square Tontine Holdings Ltd.)(股票代码:PSTH)的诉讼,该公司筹集了40亿美元,成为最大的单一特殊目的收购公司,随后又对另外两家特殊目的收购公司GO Acquisition Corp.)和E.Merge Technology)提起的诉讼,该公司筹集了40亿美元,成为最大的单一特殊目的收购公司。诉讼称,特殊目的收购公司实际上是投资公司,就像共同基金和ETF一样,因为它们在寻找合并伙伴的同时投资证券。</blockquote></p><p> “Under the [Investment Company Act of 1940], an Investment Company is an entity whose primary business is investing in securities,” the lawsuit against PSTH argues. “And investing in securities is basically the only thing that PSTH has ever done.”</p><p><blockquote>“根据[1940年投资公司法],投资公司是主要业务是投资证券的实体,”针对PSTH的诉讼称,“而投资证券基本上是PSTH唯一做过的事情。”</blockquote></p><p> Ackmansaysthe suit against his SPAC is meritless, but warns, “Because the basic issues raised here apply to every SPAC, a successful claim would imply that every SPAC may also be an illegal investment company.” The suit suggests one more way that SPACs could be considered a hybrid—a cross between an investment company (like a mutual fund) and a publicly traded company.</p><p><blockquote>阿克曼表示,针对他的SPAC的诉讼毫无根据,但警告说,“因为这里提出的基本问题适用于每个SPAC,成功的索赔将意味着每个SPAC也可能是非法投资公司。”该诉讼提出了SPAC可以被视为混合体的另一种方式——投资公司(如共同基金)和上市公司之间的混合体。</blockquote></p><p> One wonders how we will look back on these market developments a decade from now. Will SPACs, cryptoassets, and mobile trading apps be seen as hybrids that emerged in the antechamber we are living in now?</p><p><blockquote>人们不禁要问,十年后我们将如何回顾这些市场发展。SPAC、加密资产和移动交易应用会被视为出现在我们现在生活的前厅中的混合体吗?</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-three-big-transitions-reshaping-finance-51630526645?mod=hp_COMMENTARY_1\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-three-big-transitions-reshaping-finance-51630526645?mod=hp_COMMENTARY_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198049168","content_text":"About the author: Stephen Deane, a chartered financial analyst, is senior director, legislative and regulatory outreach, at the CFA Institute. He joined the institute after more than nine years at the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.\nEver since Covid disrupted our lives, two themes have emerged. First, a feeling that we are living in an antechamber to a new and still-undefined era. And second, a pattern of hybrids, from homes converted into hybrid spaces of living/working/schooling, to expectations of a new office hybrid that will mix virtual and in-person meetings.\nBut what about the world of finance and securities markets? There, too, we can find patterns of transition and hybrids. Consider three phenomena that began before Covid but have exploded in growth since then: digital assets, Robinhood, and SPACs.\nStart with the rise of cryptocurrencies, digital tokens and other such assets, which remain very much in a transitory stage (like the “Wild West,” SEC Chairman Gary Genslerrecently observed). Even as the crypto asset class has grown to an estimated $1.6 trillion, basic questions remain unanswered. Are digital tokens securities or commodities? Are decentralized finance platforms really securities exchanges? Are data miners and other digital service providers really broker-dealers? Should the SEC permit Bitcoin ETFs? And who should regulate these products, services and entities—the SEC, the CFTC, or banking regulators?\nGenslerhas calledon Congress to give the SEC “additional authorities to prevent transactions, products, and platforms from falling between regulatory cracks.” Specifically, he wants “additional plenary authority to write rules for and attach guardrails to crypto trading and lending.” And the U.S. House has passed a bill (H.R. 1602, the Eliminate Barriers to Innovation Act of 2021), which would require the SEC and CFTC to establish a working group on digital assets.\nSome of what passes as crypto innovations pretty clearly seems to be old-fashioned investment products dressed up in digital garb. That would include any stablecoins that function like money market funds and those tokens that fall within the definition of a security. Nonetheless, there is no denying that crypto mixes digital technology with traditional forms of finance in a hybrid of innovation.\nSecond, consider Robinhood, which has exploded into view along with Redditor-fueled moonshot trades in meme stocks. Its proclaimedmission“to democratize finance for all” may invite skepticism, but the company can make a strong claim to having attracted a surge of first-time retail investors, representing a younger and more ethnically diverse customer base. Powering that success is Robinhood’s sleek mobile app—and its arsenal of gamification tools to entice and engage customers. But do the nudges and gamification tools cross the line into the realm of investment advice?\n“Once individuals become customers, Robinhood relentlessly bombards them with a number of strategies designed to encourage and incentivize continuous and repeated engagement with this application,” the Massachusetts state securities regulator alleges in alawsuitagainst Robinhood. The complaint points to several such techniques, from celebrating customer trades with confetti (a practice Robinhood has since abandoned) to plying customers with lists of most-traded and most-popular securities on its platform.\nShould practices like these be subject to the fiduciary standard of an investment adviser? Or to the new Best Interest standard for broker-dealers? Robinhood hascalledthe regulator elitist and says it isn’t making recommendations. Whatever the outcome of the lawsuit, these gamification techniques make Robinhood appear different in kind from the (boring?) practices of traditional broker-dealers that merely execute customers’ trades. The gamification of mobile trading apps may represent a hybrid between standard broker-dealer practices and full-fledged investment advice.\nThird, consider SPACs, which have been around since 2003 but have exploded in popularity in the Covid era. In a hugely successful marketing campaign, SPACs have presented themselves as a kind of poor man’s private equity. If true, that would make SPACs a hybrid between private investment opportunities and public markets.\nThe deSPAC merger—the key event in the life of a SPAC—is also a hybrid. This is when the SPAC merges with a private operating company, allowing the target to become a public company without going through an IPO. Or is the merger itself really an IPO?\nThat’s precisely the question raised by John Coates, a Harvard Law professor who has become a top SEC official. In a provocativespeechon April 8, Coates argued that the deSPAC merger is an initial public offering, because it is the first time the private operating company is introduced to the public. One speech, however, does not make SEC policy. And Coates’ theory remains untested in court. Nonetheless, it suggests how the deSPAC merger can be considered a hybrid between traditional forms of IPO and merger transactions.\nAt a House Financial Services subcommitteehearingon May 24, Michael San Nicolas, Guam’s delegate, asked how a SPAC differed from a closed-end equity (mutual) fund. The question may have seemed arcane at the time, but in retrospect it appears to have foreshadowed a series of blockbuster lawsuits against SPACs. Former SEC Commissioner Robert J. Jackson, Jr. and Yale Law Professor John Morley have joined in alawsuitagainst Bill Ackman’s SPAC,Pershing Square Tontine Holdings Ltd. (ticker: PSTH), which raised $4 billion to become the single largest SPAC, and followed up with suits against two other SPACs,GO Acquisition Corp.and E.Merge Technology. The suits allege that the SPACs are really investment companies, like mutual funds and ETFs, because they invest in securities while searching for a merger partner.\n“Under the [Investment Company Act of 1940], an Investment Company is an entity whose primary business is investing in securities,” the lawsuit against PSTH argues. “And investing in securities is basically the only thing that PSTH has ever done.”\nAckmansaysthe suit against his SPAC is meritless, but warns, “Because the basic issues raised here apply to every SPAC, a successful claim would imply that every SPAC may also be an illegal investment company.” The suit suggests one more way that SPACs could be considered a hybrid—a cross between an investment company (like a mutual fund) and a publicly traded company.\nOne wonders how we will look back on these market developments a decade from now. Will SPACs, cryptoassets, and mobile trading apps be seen as hybrids that emerged in the antechamber we are living in now?","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":159,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":815128000,"gmtCreate":1630658109100,"gmtModify":1631889124699,"author":{"id":"3578810851703205","authorId":"3578810851703205","name":"devilswin20","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1878f8267d6335f1cf84e0ae0295f612","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578810851703205","authorIdStr":"3578810851703205"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/815128000","repostId":"1169514310","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1169514310","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1630656896,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1169514310?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-03 16:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2 Good Reasons the Stock Market Isn’t Ready to Blow Up Yet<blockquote>股市尚未准备好爆炸的2个充分理由</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1169514310","media":"Barron's","summary":"tocks have had an impressive year so far, but there are still four months before 2021 wraps up. So w","content":"<p>tocks have had an impressive year so far, but there are still four months before 2021 wraps up. So what’s ahead? A correction? More gains? Right now, it’s easier to make the case for the rally to just keep on going.</p><p><blockquote>到目前为止,股票经历了令人印象深刻的一年,但距离2021年结束还有四个月的时间。那么接下来会发生什么?更正?更多收获?现在,更容易证明涨势继续下去。</blockquote></p><p> First, though, it’s understandable why investors might be nervous.</p><p><blockquote>不过,首先,投资者感到紧张是可以理解的。</blockquote></p><p> TheS&P 500has gained about 21% year to date, far above the historical average annual return of about 10%. And in the first eight months, the index hasn’t had a pullback of more than 5%— a correction is defined as a 10% drawdown.</p><p><blockquote>标准普尔500指数今年迄今已上涨约21%,远高于约10%的历史平均年回报率。在前八个月,该指数的回调幅度没有超过5%——回调被定义为下跌10%。</blockquote></p><p> Still, a good run needs something to stop it—likehigher corporate taxes,which the Biden administration supports. They could shave 5% or more off projected earnings estimates for S&P 500 companies. Or persistent inflation, which could cause the Federal Reserve to rapidly reduce economic support. And there are a host of other catalysts, enough to push some analyststo forecast a retreat.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此,良好的运行需要一些东西来阻止它——比如拜登政府支持的更高的公司税。他们可能会将标普500公司的盈利预期下调5%或更多。或者持续的通胀,这可能导致美联储迅速减少经济支持。还有许多其他催化剂,足以促使一些分析师预测经济会出现回落。</blockquote></p><p> But who knows how long Washington might take to put a new tax structure in place, or if lawmakers even will. Or what the deal is with inflation. There has been tapering talk for a few months now, and the Fed holds firm to its wait-and-see approach.</p><p><blockquote>但谁知道华盛顿可能需要多长时间才能建立新的税收结构,或者立法者是否会这样做。或者通货膨胀是怎么回事。缩减购债规模的讨论已经持续了几个月,美联储仍坚持观望态度。</blockquote></p><p> So the nature of the market’s climb in the past couple of weeks seems to be the surest, strongest sign of what’s ahead. The S&P 500 is up 3% since Aug. 18, the bottom of a brief and shallow drop.</p><p><blockquote>因此,过去几周市场上涨的性质似乎是未来最确定、最强烈的迹象。自8月18日以来,标普500已上涨3%,这是短暂而浅跌的底部。</blockquote></p><p> “[Market] internals improved last week,” writes Michael Gibbs, director of equity portfolio and technical strategy at Raymond James.</p><p><blockquote>雷蒙德·詹姆斯(Raymond James)股票投资组合和技术策略总监迈克尔·吉布斯(Michael Gibbs)写道:“上周[市场]内部结构有所改善。”</blockquote></p><p> First off, transaction volumes are improving.</p><p><blockquote>首先,交易量正在改善。</blockquote></p><p> In late August, the daily number of shares traded on the SPDR S&P 500 Exchange-Traded Fund Trust(SPY) has been about 54 million, according to FactSet. That’s above just under 50 million seen in the middle of the month.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet的数据显示,8月底,SPDR标普500交易所交易基金信托(SPDR标普500指数ETF)的每日交易股票数量约为5400万股。这高于本月中旬的略低于5000万。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot: When more market participants are transacting and they are bidding prices higher, it’s a vote of confidence in the market.</p><p><blockquote>结果是:当更多的市场参与者进行交易并且他们出价更高时,这是对市场的信任票。</blockquote></p><p> Secondly, the rally has been broad-based—many stocks have participated. For example, almost 80% of stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange have been gaining, according to Raymond James.</p><p><blockquote>其次,涨势基础广泛——许多股票都参与其中。例如,雷蒙德·詹姆斯(Raymond James)表示,纽约证券交易所上市的近80%的股票都在上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The last time that metric hit such a high was November 2020. More stocks participating in the rally means the major indexes are less dependent on one group of stocks to move higher. Plus, witheconomically sensitive stocks on a run as well,it means investors are confident in sustained economic growth ahead.</p><p><blockquote>该指标上一次达到如此高的水平是在2020年11月。更多股票参与涨势意味着主要股指较少依赖一组股票走高。此外,经济敏感型股票也在上涨,这意味着投资者对未来经济持续增长充满信心。</blockquote></p><p> So more gains or a correction? We’ve made our case, but time will tell.</p><p><blockquote>那么更多的收益还是修正?我们已经证明了我们的观点,但时间会证明一切。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1610680873436","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 Good Reasons the Stock Market Isn’t Ready to Blow Up Yet<blockquote>股市尚未准备好爆炸的2个充分理由</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 Good Reasons the Stock Market Isn’t Ready to Blow Up Yet<blockquote>股市尚未准备好爆炸的2个充分理由</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barron's</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-03 16:14</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>tocks have had an impressive year so far, but there are still four months before 2021 wraps up. So what’s ahead? A correction? More gains? Right now, it’s easier to make the case for the rally to just keep on going.</p><p><blockquote>到目前为止,股票经历了令人印象深刻的一年,但距离2021年结束还有四个月的时间。那么接下来会发生什么?更正?更多收获?现在,更容易证明涨势继续下去。</blockquote></p><p> First, though, it’s understandable why investors might be nervous.</p><p><blockquote>不过,首先,投资者感到紧张是可以理解的。</blockquote></p><p> TheS&P 500has gained about 21% year to date, far above the historical average annual return of about 10%. And in the first eight months, the index hasn’t had a pullback of more than 5%— a correction is defined as a 10% drawdown.</p><p><blockquote>标准普尔500指数今年迄今已上涨约21%,远高于约10%的历史平均年回报率。在前八个月,该指数的回调幅度没有超过5%——回调被定义为下跌10%。</blockquote></p><p> Still, a good run needs something to stop it—likehigher corporate taxes,which the Biden administration supports. They could shave 5% or more off projected earnings estimates for S&P 500 companies. Or persistent inflation, which could cause the Federal Reserve to rapidly reduce economic support. And there are a host of other catalysts, enough to push some analyststo forecast a retreat.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此,良好的运行需要一些东西来阻止它——比如拜登政府支持的更高的公司税。他们可能会将标普500公司的盈利预期下调5%或更多。或者持续的通胀,这可能导致美联储迅速减少经济支持。还有许多其他催化剂,足以促使一些分析师预测经济会出现回落。</blockquote></p><p> But who knows how long Washington might take to put a new tax structure in place, or if lawmakers even will. Or what the deal is with inflation. There has been tapering talk for a few months now, and the Fed holds firm to its wait-and-see approach.</p><p><blockquote>但谁知道华盛顿可能需要多长时间才能建立新的税收结构,或者立法者是否会这样做。或者通货膨胀是怎么回事。缩减购债规模的讨论已经持续了几个月,美联储仍坚持观望态度。</blockquote></p><p> So the nature of the market’s climb in the past couple of weeks seems to be the surest, strongest sign of what’s ahead. The S&P 500 is up 3% since Aug. 18, the bottom of a brief and shallow drop.</p><p><blockquote>因此,过去几周市场上涨的性质似乎是未来最确定、最强烈的迹象。自8月18日以来,标普500已上涨3%,这是短暂而浅跌的底部。</blockquote></p><p> “[Market] internals improved last week,” writes Michael Gibbs, director of equity portfolio and technical strategy at Raymond James.</p><p><blockquote>雷蒙德·詹姆斯(Raymond James)股票投资组合和技术策略总监迈克尔·吉布斯(Michael Gibbs)写道:“上周[市场]内部结构有所改善。”</blockquote></p><p> First off, transaction volumes are improving.</p><p><blockquote>首先,交易量正在改善。</blockquote></p><p> In late August, the daily number of shares traded on the SPDR S&P 500 Exchange-Traded Fund Trust(SPY) has been about 54 million, according to FactSet. That’s above just under 50 million seen in the middle of the month.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet的数据显示,8月底,SPDR标普500交易所交易基金信托(SPDR标普500指数ETF)的每日交易股票数量约为5400万股。这高于本月中旬的略低于5000万。</blockquote></p><p> The upshot: When more market participants are transacting and they are bidding prices higher, it’s a vote of confidence in the market.</p><p><blockquote>结果是:当更多的市场参与者进行交易并且他们出价更高时,这是对市场的信任票。</blockquote></p><p> Secondly, the rally has been broad-based—many stocks have participated. For example, almost 80% of stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange have been gaining, according to Raymond James.</p><p><blockquote>其次,涨势基础广泛——许多股票都参与其中。例如,雷蒙德·詹姆斯(Raymond James)表示,纽约证券交易所上市的近80%的股票都在上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The last time that metric hit such a high was November 2020. More stocks participating in the rally means the major indexes are less dependent on one group of stocks to move higher. Plus, witheconomically sensitive stocks on a run as well,it means investors are confident in sustained economic growth ahead.</p><p><blockquote>该指标上一次达到如此高的水平是在2020年11月。更多股票参与涨势意味着主要股指较少依赖一组股票走高。此外,经济敏感型股票也在上涨,这意味着投资者对未来经济持续增长充满信心。</blockquote></p><p> So more gains or a correction? We’ve made our case, but time will tell.</p><p><blockquote>那么更多的收益还是修正?我们已经证明了我们的观点,但时间会证明一切。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-outlook-crash-or-rally-51630526109?siteid=yhoof2\">Barron's</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-outlook-crash-or-rally-51630526109?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1169514310","content_text":"tocks have had an impressive year so far, but there are still four months before 2021 wraps up. So what’s ahead? A correction? More gains? Right now, it’s easier to make the case for the rally to just keep on going.\nFirst, though, it’s understandable why investors might be nervous.\nTheS&P 500has gained about 21% year to date, far above the historical average annual return of about 10%. And in the first eight months, the index hasn’t had a pullback of more than 5%— a correction is defined as a 10% drawdown.\nStill, a good run needs something to stop it—likehigher corporate taxes,which the Biden administration supports. They could shave 5% or more off projected earnings estimates for S&P 500 companies. Or persistent inflation, which could cause the Federal Reserve to rapidly reduce economic support. And there are a host of other catalysts, enough to push some analyststo forecast a retreat.\nBut who knows how long Washington might take to put a new tax structure in place, or if lawmakers even will. Or what the deal is with inflation. There has been tapering talk for a few months now, and the Fed holds firm to its wait-and-see approach.\nSo the nature of the market’s climb in the past couple of weeks seems to be the surest, strongest sign of what’s ahead. The S&P 500 is up 3% since Aug. 18, the bottom of a brief and shallow drop.\n“[Market] internals improved last week,” writes Michael Gibbs, director of equity portfolio and technical strategy at Raymond James.\nFirst off, transaction volumes are improving.\nIn late August, the daily number of shares traded on the SPDR S&P 500 Exchange-Traded Fund Trust(SPY) has been about 54 million, according to FactSet. That’s above just under 50 million seen in the middle of the month.\nThe upshot: When more market participants are transacting and they are bidding prices higher, it’s a vote of confidence in the market.\nSecondly, the rally has been broad-based—many stocks have participated. For example, almost 80% of stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange have been gaining, according to Raymond James.\nThe last time that metric hit such a high was November 2020. More stocks participating in the rally means the major indexes are less dependent on one group of stocks to move higher. Plus, witheconomically sensitive stocks on a run as well,it means investors are confident in sustained economic growth ahead.\nSo more gains or a correction? We’ve made our case, but time will tell.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":203,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174751031,"gmtCreate":1627143507523,"gmtModify":1631889124722,"author":{"id":"3578810851703205","authorId":"3578810851703205","name":"devilswin20","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1878f8267d6335f1cf84e0ae0295f612","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578810851703205","authorIdStr":"3578810851703205"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174751031","repostId":"1109439356","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":325,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":609999784,"gmtCreate":1638229536458,"gmtModify":1638229829178,"author":{"id":"3578810851703205","authorId":"3578810851703205","name":"devilswin20","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1878f8267d6335f1cf84e0ae0295f612","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578810851703205","authorIdStr":"3578810851703205"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Go","listText":"Go","text":"Go","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/609999784","repostId":"2187306590","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":586,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":172972510,"gmtCreate":1626931524730,"gmtModify":1631889124725,"author":{"id":"3578810851703205","authorId":"3578810851703205","name":"devilswin20","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1878f8267d6335f1cf84e0ae0295f612","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578810851703205","authorIdStr":"3578810851703205"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Cheers","listText":"Cheers","text":"Cheers","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/172972510","repostId":"1162391670","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1162391670","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626930921,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1162391670?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-22 13:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"BofA reups chip favorites as cloud spending broadens beyond Amazon<blockquote>随着云支出扩大到亚马逊之外,美国银行重新增加了芯片的最爱</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1162391670","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"An update on expectations for capital expenditures from cloud companies from Bank of America brings ","content":"<p>An update on expectations for capital expenditures from cloud companies from <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a> brings the key takeaway that spending breadth is growing beyond the hefty footprint of Amazon Web Services.</p><p><blockquote>云公司资本支出预期的最新情况<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>带来了一个关键的收获,即支出广度正在增长,超出了亚马逊网络服务的巨大足迹。</blockquote></p><p> Overall the tracker points to growth in capex among the world's top seven hyperscalers of 21% in 2021, to $128B (or up 20% to $138B including Apple).</p><p><blockquote>总体而言,该追踪显示,2021年全球七大超大规模企业的资本支出将增长21%,达到128B美元(包括苹果在内,增长20%,达到138B美元)。</blockquote></p><p> That's a deceleration from last year's 37% growth. However, BofA notes that ex-<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com</a>, \"super 7\" capex is expected to grow 33% vs. just 9% a year ago. And limiting the look to the second half, ex-Amazon spending could surge 42%.</p><p><blockquote>这比去年37%的增长有所放缓。然而,美国银行指出,前-<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>,“super 7”资本支出预计将增长33%,而一年前仅为9%。如果将目光限制在下半年,前亚马逊支出可能会飙升42%。</blockquote></p><p> That broadening is potentially a positive for merchant semiconductors, it says, since Amazon has been most active in insourcing \"specific processors/networking gear (AWS Graviton, Nitro).\"</p><p><blockquote>报告称,这种扩大对商用半导体来说可能是积极的,因为亚马逊在内包“特定处理器/网络设备(AWS Graviton、Nitro)”方面最为积极。</blockquote></p><p> As for 2022, capital intensity of 9% at the super 7 would mark the lowest levels since 2017, it notes - indicating potentially conservative estimates for spending, particularly amid secular trends like AI/machine learning and 5G driving growing data consumption. Cloud sales at major vendors (AWS, Google Cloud, Microsoft Azure) are expected to grow at a compound annual rate of 32% from 2020 through 2022, but the capex outlook is \"muted,\" suggesting the Street may not appreciate the investments needed.</p><p><blockquote>报告指出,到2022年,速7 9%的资本强度将创下2017年以来的最低水平,这表明对支出的估计可能较为保守,特别是在人工智能/机器学习和5G等长期趋势推动数据消费增长的情况下。从2020年到2022年,主要供应商(AWS、谷歌云、微软Azure)的云销售额预计将以32%的复合年增长率增长,但资本支出前景“低迷”,这表明华尔街可能不会欣赏所需的投资。</blockquote></p><p> And its top three picks for secular cloud-driven growth among semiconductor companies are <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">NVIDIA Corp</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRVL\">Marvell Technology</a> - though it notes there are \"multiple reasons\" to like the names. All three can outperform in an environment of decelerating growth for large markets including PCs, automobiles and smartphones.</p><p><blockquote>其在半导体公司中长期云驱动增长的前三名选择是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达公司</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRVL\">Marvell技术</a>——尽管它指出有“多种原因”喜欢这些名字。在个人电脑、汽车和智能手机等大型市场增长放缓的环境下,这三者都可以表现出色。</blockquote></p><p> \"These stocks are not exposed to cyclical unit growth and volatile memory capex, but instead benefit from specific product cycles and share gains across AI, cloud computing, gaming, networking, enterprise, and 5G infrastructure,\" Vivek Arya and team write, \"which in our view limits their impact from macro swings and supports their best-in-semis ~20% sales/25%-plus EPS growth potential through 2023E (vs. semi industry average 7% sales/10% EPS growth).\"</p><p><blockquote>Vivek Arya和团队写道:“这些股票不会受到周期性单位增长和易失性内存资本支出的影响,而是受益于特定的产品周期,并分享人工智能、云计算、游戏、网络、企业和5G基础设施的收益。”在我们看来,这限制了它们受到宏观波动的影响,并支持到2023年,它们的半成品销售额约为20%/25%以上的每股收益增长潜力(而半成品行业平均销售额为7%/每股收益增长10%)。”</blockquote></p><p> And while industry supply will continue to be an issue in the second half, scale and share growth means these three companies are \"critical customers\" of their foundry partners, and supply will continue to steadily improve.</p><p><blockquote>尽管行业供应仍将是下半年的一个问题,但规模和份额增长意味着这三家公司是其代工合作伙伴的“关键客户”,供应将继续稳步改善。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>BofA reups chip favorites as cloud spending broadens beyond Amazon<blockquote>随着云支出扩大到亚马逊之外,美国银行重新增加了芯片的最爱</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBofA reups chip favorites as cloud spending broadens beyond Amazon<blockquote>随着云支出扩大到亚马逊之外,美国银行重新增加了芯片的最爱</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-22 13:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>An update on expectations for capital expenditures from cloud companies from <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">Bank of America</a> brings the key takeaway that spending breadth is growing beyond the hefty footprint of Amazon Web Services.</p><p><blockquote>云公司资本支出预期的最新情况<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BAC\">美国银行</a>带来了一个关键的收获,即支出广度正在增长,超出了亚马逊网络服务的巨大足迹。</blockquote></p><p> Overall the tracker points to growth in capex among the world's top seven hyperscalers of 21% in 2021, to $128B (or up 20% to $138B including Apple).</p><p><blockquote>总体而言,该追踪显示,2021年全球七大超大规模企业的资本支出将增长21%,达到128B美元(包括苹果在内,增长20%,达到138B美元)。</blockquote></p><p> That's a deceleration from last year's 37% growth. However, BofA notes that ex-<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com</a>, \"super 7\" capex is expected to grow 33% vs. just 9% a year ago. And limiting the look to the second half, ex-Amazon spending could surge 42%.</p><p><blockquote>这比去年37%的增长有所放缓。然而,美国银行指出,前-<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>,“super 7”资本支出预计将增长33%,而一年前仅为9%。如果将目光限制在下半年,前亚马逊支出可能会飙升42%。</blockquote></p><p> That broadening is potentially a positive for merchant semiconductors, it says, since Amazon has been most active in insourcing \"specific processors/networking gear (AWS Graviton, Nitro).\"</p><p><blockquote>报告称,这种扩大对商用半导体来说可能是积极的,因为亚马逊在内包“特定处理器/网络设备(AWS Graviton、Nitro)”方面最为积极。</blockquote></p><p> As for 2022, capital intensity of 9% at the super 7 would mark the lowest levels since 2017, it notes - indicating potentially conservative estimates for spending, particularly amid secular trends like AI/machine learning and 5G driving growing data consumption. Cloud sales at major vendors (AWS, Google Cloud, Microsoft Azure) are expected to grow at a compound annual rate of 32% from 2020 through 2022, but the capex outlook is \"muted,\" suggesting the Street may not appreciate the investments needed.</p><p><blockquote>报告指出,到2022年,速7 9%的资本强度将创下2017年以来的最低水平,这表明对支出的估计可能较为保守,特别是在人工智能/机器学习和5G等长期趋势推动数据消费增长的情况下。从2020年到2022年,主要供应商(AWS、谷歌云、微软Azure)的云销售额预计将以32%的复合年增长率增长,但资本支出前景“低迷”,这表明华尔街可能不会欣赏所需的投资。</blockquote></p><p> And its top three picks for secular cloud-driven growth among semiconductor companies are <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">NVIDIA Corp</a>, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a> and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRVL\">Marvell Technology</a> - though it notes there are \"multiple reasons\" to like the names. All three can outperform in an environment of decelerating growth for large markets including PCs, automobiles and smartphones.</p><p><blockquote>其在半导体公司中长期云驱动增长的前三名选择是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达公司</a>,<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">AMD</a>和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRVL\">Marvell技术</a>——尽管它指出有“多种原因”喜欢这些名字。在个人电脑、汽车和智能手机等大型市场增长放缓的环境下,这三者都可以表现出色。</blockquote></p><p> \"These stocks are not exposed to cyclical unit growth and volatile memory capex, but instead benefit from specific product cycles and share gains across AI, cloud computing, gaming, networking, enterprise, and 5G infrastructure,\" Vivek Arya and team write, \"which in our view limits their impact from macro swings and supports their best-in-semis ~20% sales/25%-plus EPS growth potential through 2023E (vs. semi industry average 7% sales/10% EPS growth).\"</p><p><blockquote>Vivek Arya和团队写道:“这些股票不会受到周期性单位增长和易失性内存资本支出的影响,而是受益于特定的产品周期,并分享人工智能、云计算、游戏、网络、企业和5G基础设施的收益。”在我们看来,这限制了它们受到宏观波动的影响,并支持到2023年,它们的半成品销售额约为20%/25%以上的每股收益增长潜力(而半成品行业平均销售额为7%/每股收益增长10%)。”</blockquote></p><p> And while industry supply will continue to be an issue in the second half, scale and share growth means these three companies are \"critical customers\" of their foundry partners, and supply will continue to steadily improve.</p><p><blockquote>尽管行业供应仍将是下半年的一个问题,但规模和份额增长意味着这三家公司是其代工合作伙伴的“关键客户”,供应将继续稳步改善。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3717825-bofa-reups-chip-favorites-as-cloud-spending-broadens-beyond-amazon\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊","AMD":"美国超微公司","BAC":"美国银行","NVDA":"英伟达","MRVL":"迈威尔科技"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3717825-bofa-reups-chip-favorites-as-cloud-spending-broadens-beyond-amazon","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1162391670","content_text":"An update on expectations for capital expenditures from cloud companies from Bank of America brings the key takeaway that spending breadth is growing beyond the hefty footprint of Amazon Web Services.\nOverall the tracker points to growth in capex among the world's top seven hyperscalers of 21% in 2021, to $128B (or up 20% to $138B including Apple).\nThat's a deceleration from last year's 37% growth. However, BofA notes that ex-Amazon.com, \"super 7\" capex is expected to grow 33% vs. just 9% a year ago. And limiting the look to the second half, ex-Amazon spending could surge 42%.\nThat broadening is potentially a positive for merchant semiconductors, it says, since Amazon has been most active in insourcing \"specific processors/networking gear (AWS Graviton, Nitro).\"\nAs for 2022, capital intensity of 9% at the super 7 would mark the lowest levels since 2017, it notes - indicating potentially conservative estimates for spending, particularly amid secular trends like AI/machine learning and 5G driving growing data consumption. Cloud sales at major vendors (AWS, Google Cloud, Microsoft Azure) are expected to grow at a compound annual rate of 32% from 2020 through 2022, but the capex outlook is \"muted,\" suggesting the Street may not appreciate the investments needed.\nAnd its top three picks for secular cloud-driven growth among semiconductor companies are NVIDIA Corp, AMD and Marvell Technology - though it notes there are \"multiple reasons\" to like the names. All three can outperform in an environment of decelerating growth for large markets including PCs, automobiles and smartphones.\n\"These stocks are not exposed to cyclical unit growth and volatile memory capex, but instead benefit from specific product cycles and share gains across AI, cloud computing, gaming, networking, enterprise, and 5G infrastructure,\" Vivek Arya and team write, \"which in our view limits their impact from macro swings and supports their best-in-semis ~20% sales/25%-plus EPS growth potential through 2023E (vs. semi industry average 7% sales/10% EPS growth).\"\nAnd while industry supply will continue to be an issue in the second half, scale and share growth means these three companies are \"critical customers\" of their foundry partners, and supply will continue to steadily improve.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMD":0.9,"AMZN":0.9,"NVDA":0.9,"MRVL":0.9,"BAC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":343,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":699701710,"gmtCreate":1639886465131,"gmtModify":1639886465248,"author":{"id":"3578810851703205","authorId":"3578810851703205","name":"devilswin20","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1878f8267d6335f1cf84e0ae0295f612","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578810851703205","authorIdStr":"3578810851703205"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Go","listText":"Go","text":"Go","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699701710","repostId":"607956813","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":607956813,"gmtCreate":1639478822145,"gmtModify":1639488106377,"author":{"id":"21347731130544","authorId":"21347731130544","name":"价值投资为王","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/89ffffc59ff9ac9cb9cb74f596418d44","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"21347731130544","authorIdStr":"21347731130544"},"themes":[],"title":"逼近腰斩,雷军的衬衣将再次湿透?","htmlText":"今年8月,雷军在一次新品发布会上发表深情演讲,从创业到产品,款款而谈,最后嗓音都有些嘶哑。虽然情怀让人动情,但引发最多关注的却是一个小小的“八卦”:雷军说,因为小米股价跌跌不休,自己曾经被投资人当小学生,当面数落了一个小时,从战略到产品再到管理,自己衬衣都湿了。显然,雷军被数落的时间,是在2018年7月上市之后,股价从发行价17港币一路下跌至8.28港币,腰斩的现实与上市前雷军放话“要让在上市首日买入小米公司股票的投资人赚一倍!”形成巨大落差。曾经的痛苦能有朝一日趣谈,自然是小米股价大涨给了雷军勇气。然而好景不长,距离自嘲仅仅过了4个月,小米股价再次来到腰斩的边缘。如果说上一次腰斩是雷军互联网估值与市场制造业估值之间的矛盾,那这次腰斩,只能怪实力不济了。2021年11月23日,小米发布三季报,营收同比增速仅8.2%,核心业务手机出货量同比下滑5.8%!财报发布之后,小米股价在次日重挫近7%。手机业务占总营收的比重高达61%,互联网服务建立在手机出货量之上,因此,一旦核心业务下滑,带给市场的恐惧是极其巨大的。公司给出的出货量下滑原因是芯片短缺造成的供应链危机,同时iPhone13热销也挤压了国产手机的市场份额。展望未来,管理层预计供应链短缺将持续至2022年下半年,但高端产品缺芯状况明年上半年或将率先改善。而iPhone13方面,首发时间是9月15日,完整的销售爆发于四季度,因此,国产手机或仍将承压。虽然IOT和互联网服务业务方面有不少亮点,但影响力远不如出货量下降带来的震撼,因此,小米股价目前被手机业务绑架。由于第三方数据抢在财报发布之前发布,因此市场对三季度业绩有一定的预期,股价提前下跌便是明证。展望2022年,虽然有供应链短缺影响,但管理层仍然相信能完成出货量2亿台的目标,较2020年出货量增长36%。根据中国信通院数据显示,2021年11月,国内市场手机出货量3525","listText":"今年8月,雷军在一次新品发布会上发表深情演讲,从创业到产品,款款而谈,最后嗓音都有些嘶哑。虽然情怀让人动情,但引发最多关注的却是一个小小的“八卦”:雷军说,因为小米股价跌跌不休,自己曾经被投资人当小学生,当面数落了一个小时,从战略到产品再到管理,自己衬衣都湿了。显然,雷军被数落的时间,是在2018年7月上市之后,股价从发行价17港币一路下跌至8.28港币,腰斩的现实与上市前雷军放话“要让在上市首日买入小米公司股票的投资人赚一倍!”形成巨大落差。曾经的痛苦能有朝一日趣谈,自然是小米股价大涨给了雷军勇气。然而好景不长,距离自嘲仅仅过了4个月,小米股价再次来到腰斩的边缘。如果说上一次腰斩是雷军互联网估值与市场制造业估值之间的矛盾,那这次腰斩,只能怪实力不济了。2021年11月23日,小米发布三季报,营收同比增速仅8.2%,核心业务手机出货量同比下滑5.8%!财报发布之后,小米股价在次日重挫近7%。手机业务占总营收的比重高达61%,互联网服务建立在手机出货量之上,因此,一旦核心业务下滑,带给市场的恐惧是极其巨大的。公司给出的出货量下滑原因是芯片短缺造成的供应链危机,同时iPhone13热销也挤压了国产手机的市场份额。展望未来,管理层预计供应链短缺将持续至2022年下半年,但高端产品缺芯状况明年上半年或将率先改善。而iPhone13方面,首发时间是9月15日,完整的销售爆发于四季度,因此,国产手机或仍将承压。虽然IOT和互联网服务业务方面有不少亮点,但影响力远不如出货量下降带来的震撼,因此,小米股价目前被手机业务绑架。由于第三方数据抢在财报发布之前发布,因此市场对三季度业绩有一定的预期,股价提前下跌便是明证。展望2022年,虽然有供应链短缺影响,但管理层仍然相信能完成出货量2亿台的目标,较2020年出货量增长36%。根据中国信通院数据显示,2021年11月,国内市场手机出货量3525","text":"今年8月,雷军在一次新品发布会上发表深情演讲,从创业到产品,款款而谈,最后嗓音都有些嘶哑。虽然情怀让人动情,但引发最多关注的却是一个小小的“八卦”:雷军说,因为小米股价跌跌不休,自己曾经被投资人当小学生,当面数落了一个小时,从战略到产品再到管理,自己衬衣都湿了。显然,雷军被数落的时间,是在2018年7月上市之后,股价从发行价17港币一路下跌至8.28港币,腰斩的现实与上市前雷军放话“要让在上市首日买入小米公司股票的投资人赚一倍!”形成巨大落差。曾经的痛苦能有朝一日趣谈,自然是小米股价大涨给了雷军勇气。然而好景不长,距离自嘲仅仅过了4个月,小米股价再次来到腰斩的边缘。如果说上一次腰斩是雷军互联网估值与市场制造业估值之间的矛盾,那这次腰斩,只能怪实力不济了。2021年11月23日,小米发布三季报,营收同比增速仅8.2%,核心业务手机出货量同比下滑5.8%!财报发布之后,小米股价在次日重挫近7%。手机业务占总营收的比重高达61%,互联网服务建立在手机出货量之上,因此,一旦核心业务下滑,带给市场的恐惧是极其巨大的。公司给出的出货量下滑原因是芯片短缺造成的供应链危机,同时iPhone13热销也挤压了国产手机的市场份额。展望未来,管理层预计供应链短缺将持续至2022年下半年,但高端产品缺芯状况明年上半年或将率先改善。而iPhone13方面,首发时间是9月15日,完整的销售爆发于四季度,因此,国产手机或仍将承压。虽然IOT和互联网服务业务方面有不少亮点,但影响力远不如出货量下降带来的震撼,因此,小米股价目前被手机业务绑架。由于第三方数据抢在财报发布之前发布,因此市场对三季度业绩有一定的预期,股价提前下跌便是明证。展望2022年,虽然有供应链短缺影响,但管理层仍然相信能完成出货量2亿台的目标,较2020年出货量增长36%。根据中国信通院数据显示,2021年11月,国内市场手机出货量3525","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ebd0b4c1470e8c93846915924fbdf84e","width":"688","height":"320"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaf8af0d7ede2bff33f7194734048226","width":"688","height":"201"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4f5cf8eb5a66614336b6b7b3a4a80a9c","width":"568","height":"405"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/607956813","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":5,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":346,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":854562081,"gmtCreate":1635468750343,"gmtModify":1635468750506,"author":{"id":"3578810851703205","authorId":"3578810851703205","name":"devilswin20","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1878f8267d6335f1cf84e0ae0295f612","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578810851703205","authorIdStr":"3578810851703205"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Go","listText":"Go","text":"Go","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/854562081","repostId":"856153049","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":856153049,"gmtCreate":1635163258237,"gm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私人教育在新加坡是个好产业, 但是......","htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NR7.SI\">$莱佛士教育(NR7.SI)$</a> 莱佛士教育(Raffles Education)2021年10月22日股票恢复交易后,股价一度大涨19.67%至7.3分,交易量已高达3187万股。该股2021年10月18日股价暴跌25.61%至6.1分的历史最低闭市纪录,交易量则高达5234万股,是十年来最高,股票隔天便暂停交易。当局已向公司要求提供与艾芬银行贷款有关的文件。该银行今年5月向莱佛士教育两家子公司Raffles K12和Raffles Iskandar,追讨总额4亿1000万令吉(1亿3100万新元)的贷款。如果当时有重大信息没有及时作出披露,将构成触犯法令。私人教育在新加坡是个好产业。但是如果一个公司管理层人品不行,做些坑害中小投资者的事,这样公司价格再低,都不要碰,谁知道财报有多少水分。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/9000000000000149\">@Tiger Stars Stars Stars</a> ","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NR7.SI\">$莱佛士教育(NR7.SI)$</a> 莱佛士教育(Raffles Education)2021年10月22日股票恢复交易后,股价一度大涨19.67%至7.3分,交易量已高达3187万股。该股2021年10月18日股价暴跌25.61%至6.1分的历史最低闭市纪录,交易量则高达5234万股,是十年来最高,股票隔天便暂停交易。当局已向公司要求提供与艾芬银行贷款有关的文件。该银行今年5月向莱佛士教育两家子公司Raffles K12和Raffles Iskandar,追讨总额4亿1000万令吉(1亿3100万新元)的贷款。如果当时有重大信息没有及时作出披露,将构成触犯法令。私人教育在新加坡是个好产业。但是如果一个公司管理层人品不行,做些坑害中小投资者的事,这样公司价格再低,都不要碰,谁知道财报有多少水分。<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/U/9000000000000149\">@Tiger Stars Stars Stars</a> ","text":"$莱佛士教育(NR7.SI)$ 莱佛士教育(Raffles Education)2021年10月22日股票恢复交易后,股价一度大涨19.67%至7.3分,交易量已高达3187万股。该股2021年10月18日股价暴跌25.61%至6.1分的历史最低闭市纪录,交易量则高达5234万股,是十年来最高,股票隔天便暂停交易。当局已向公司要求提供与艾芬银行贷款有关的文件。该银行今年5月向莱佛士教育两家子公司Raffles K12和Raffles Iskandar,追讨总额4亿1000万令吉(1亿3100万新元)的贷款。如果当时有重大信息没有及时作出披露,将构成触犯法令。私人教育在新加坡是个好产业。但是如果一个公司管理层人品不行,做些坑害中小投资者的事,这样公司价格再低,都不要碰,谁知道财报有多少水分。@Tiger Stars Stars Stars","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/856153049","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":493,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":178748083,"gmtCreate":1626840963042,"gmtModify":1631889124729,"author":{"id":"3578810851703205","authorId":"3578810851703205","name":"devilswin20","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1878f8267d6335f1cf84e0ae0295f612","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578810851703205","authorIdStr":"3578810851703205"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Awesome","listText":"Awesome","text":"Awesome","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/178748083","repostId":"2153616504","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":264,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":604300777,"gmtCreate":1639324559499,"gmtModify":1639324559573,"author":{"id":"3578810851703205","authorId":"3578810851703205","name":"devilswin20","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1878f8267d6335f1cf84e0ae0295f612","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578810851703205","authorIdStr":"3578810851703205"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Go","listText":"Go","text":"Go","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/604300777","repostId":"602461014","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":602461014,"gmtCreate":1639058582016,"gmtModify":1639218040959,"author":{"id":"3455623566573622","authorId":"3455623566573622","name":"cxj","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1800bce66f170dd57981ad36f448092e","crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3455623566573622","authorIdStr":"3455623566573622"},"themes":[],"title":"龙头股和跟风股的区别!","htmlText":"第一阶段——概念兴起龙头股:涨速快,涨幅大,吸引市场上的敏锐资金争相参与。跟风股:处于被动地位,涨速慢,涨幅小,散户多半喜欢参与,因为多数散户害怕龙头股涨幅太大风险高,又不想错过机会故热衷于跟风股。第二阶段——整理阶段龙头股:股价回调,但由于筹码逐渐被资金锁定,会出现惜售的情况,所以一般回调幅度会越来越小,甚至不少大牛股整理期间也是持续上涨,呈现向上三角形整理形态,伴有缩量增额、脉冲式放量的情况出现。跟风股:整理期间,受行情影响虽也会有资金关注,但多为体量较小的短期资金,里面的嫌涨得太慢急于出去,外面的忍受不了诱惑急于进入,稍微聪明点的投资者已经走了选择龙头股,由此造成跟风股筹码越来越散乱,股价多出现反复。第三阶段——爆发阶段龙头股:因筹码已被资金收集完毕,外加顶端优势人气十足,股价火箭蹿升,短期翻倍或是几倍。跟风股:部分买不到龙头的资金会选择买入,造成要爆发的假象,实际上涨仍然拖沓,涨幅也远不及龙头股。第四阶段——衰退阶段龙头股:因大涨后余温尚热,不少在跟风股吃亏的散户也疯狂涌入,所以有足够时间在顶部脱手。跟风股:因难以达到期望参与者失去信心,纷纷卖出追高龙头,股价上涨昙花一现,快速回落,追高者被套。第五阶段——崩盘阶段龙头股:概念熄火降温,虽股价大幅下跌,但因涨幅过大,前期参与者依然获利颇丰。跟风股:龙头都倒了还玩什么,可能老庄之前就被困住难以脱身,好不容易借概念终于跑掉,股价自然比之前更加不如。例子嘛参考19年底炒作无线耳机时的龙头股<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002351\">$漫步者(002351)$</a>和跟风股雷柏科技,所以这就是为什么上涨时龙头股可以翻很多倍而跟风股不涨,下跌时龙头股抗跌而跟风股狂跌的原因。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>","listText":"第一阶段——概念兴起龙头股:涨速快,涨幅大,吸引市场上的敏锐资金争相参与。跟风股:处于被动地位,涨速慢,涨幅小,散户多半喜欢参与,因为多数散户害怕龙头股涨幅太大风险高,又不想错过机会故热衷于跟风股。第二阶段——整理阶段龙头股:股价回调,但由于筹码逐渐被资金锁定,会出现惜售的情况,所以一般回调幅度会越来越小,甚至不少大牛股整理期间也是持续上涨,呈现向上三角形整理形态,伴有缩量增额、脉冲式放量的情况出现。跟风股:整理期间,受行情影响虽也会有资金关注,但多为体量较小的短期资金,里面的嫌涨得太慢急于出去,外面的忍受不了诱惑急于进入,稍微聪明点的投资者已经走了选择龙头股,由此造成跟风股筹码越来越散乱,股价多出现反复。第三阶段——爆发阶段龙头股:因筹码已被资金收集完毕,外加顶端优势人气十足,股价火箭蹿升,短期翻倍或是几倍。跟风股:部分买不到龙头的资金会选择买入,造成要爆发的假象,实际上涨仍然拖沓,涨幅也远不及龙头股。第四阶段——衰退阶段龙头股:因大涨后余温尚热,不少在跟风股吃亏的散户也疯狂涌入,所以有足够时间在顶部脱手。跟风股:因难以达到期望参与者失去信心,纷纷卖出追高龙头,股价上涨昙花一现,快速回落,追高者被套。第五阶段——崩盘阶段龙头股:概念熄火降温,虽股价大幅下跌,但因涨幅过大,前期参与者依然获利颇丰。跟风股:龙头都倒了还玩什么,可能老庄之前就被困住难以脱身,好不容易借概念终于跑掉,股价自然比之前更加不如。例子嘛参考19年底炒作无线耳机时的龙头股<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/002351\">$漫步者(002351)$</a>和跟风股雷柏科技,所以这就是为什么上涨时龙头股可以翻很多倍而跟风股不涨,下跌时龙头股抗跌而跟风股狂跌的原因。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a>","text":"第一阶段——概念兴起龙头股:涨速快,涨幅大,吸引市场上的敏锐资金争相参与。跟风股:处于被动地位,涨速慢,涨幅小,散户多半喜欢参与,因为多数散户害怕龙头股涨幅太大风险高,又不想错过机会故热衷于跟风股。第二阶段——整理阶段龙头股:股价回调,但由于筹码逐渐被资金锁定,会出现惜售的情况,所以一般回调幅度会越来越小,甚至不少大牛股整理期间也是持续上涨,呈现向上三角形整理形态,伴有缩量增额、脉冲式放量的情况出现。跟风股:整理期间,受行情影响虽也会有资金关注,但多为体量较小的短期资金,里面的嫌涨得太慢急于出去,外面的忍受不了诱惑急于进入,稍微聪明点的投资者已经走了选择龙头股,由此造成跟风股筹码越来越散乱,股价多出现反复。第三阶段——爆发阶段龙头股:因筹码已被资金收集完毕,外加顶端优势人气十足,股价火箭蹿升,短期翻倍或是几倍。跟风股:部分买不到龙头的资金会选择买入,造成要爆发的假象,实际上涨仍然拖沓,涨幅也远不及龙头股。第四阶段——衰退阶段龙头股:因大涨后余温尚热,不少在跟风股吃亏的散户也疯狂涌入,所以有足够时间在顶部脱手。跟风股:因难以达到期望参与者失去信心,纷纷卖出追高龙头,股价上涨昙花一现,快速回落,追高者被套。第五阶段——崩盘阶段龙头股:概念熄火降温,虽股价大幅下跌,但因涨幅过大,前期参与者依然获利颇丰。跟风股:龙头都倒了还玩什么,可能老庄之前就被困住难以脱身,好不容易借概念终于跑掉,股价自然比之前更加不如。例子嘛参考19年底炒作无线耳机时的龙头股$漫步者(002351)$和跟风股雷柏科技,所以这就是为什么上涨时龙头股可以翻很多倍而跟风股不涨,下跌时龙头股抗跌而跟风股狂跌的原因。$特斯拉(TSLA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/602461014","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":321,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":853116573,"gmtCreate":1634779337492,"gmtModify":1634779337586,"author":{"id":"3578810851703205","authorId":"3578810851703205","name":"devilswin20","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1878f8267d6335f1cf84e0ae0295f612","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578810851703205","authorIdStr":"3578810851703205"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Go","listText":"Go","text":"Go","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/853116573","repostId":"859145591","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":859145591,"gmtCreate":1634683628586,"gmtModify":1634708578733,"author":{"id":"3562206499105387","authorId":"3562206499105387","name":"CY_Ng","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eba016392472f02387b5ae5505dbc524","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3562206499105387","authorIdStr":"3562206499105387"},"themes":[],"title":"Shopee going into Spain market","htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">$Sea Ltd(SE)$</a> SEA limited e-commerce shopping platform - Shopee continue to expand into new county - Spain.Shopee is now active in 13 countries across Asia, South-America and, most recently, Europe. The marketplace is quickly gaining territory in the European market. Its entrance into Spain closely follows a launch in Poland last month. In September headlines also reported a recruitment campaign for a new branch in India. And so, Shopee is expanding globally at an incredibly fast pace.We can see that Shopee have setup their Shopee_es account in spanish language. about 10 days time, they have 15 post on their instagram account and about 300+ follower. Although I don't understand spanish, but from the video and also google trans","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SE\">$Sea Ltd(SE)$</a> SEA limited e-commerce shopping platform - Shopee continue to expand into new county - Spain.Shopee is now active in 13 countries across Asia, South-America and, most recently, Europe. The marketplace is quickly gaining territory in the European market. Its entrance into Spain closely follows a launch in Poland last month. In September headlines also reported a recruitment campaign for a new branch in India. And so, Shopee is expanding globally at an incredibly fast pace.We can see that Shopee have setup their Shopee_es account in spanish language. about 10 days time, they have 15 post on their instagram account and about 300+ follower. Although I don't understand spanish, but from the video and also google trans","text":"$Sea Ltd(SE)$ SEA limited e-commerce shopping platform - Shopee continue to expand into new county - Spain.Shopee is now active in 13 countries across Asia, South-America and, most recently, Europe. The marketplace is quickly gaining territory in the European market. Its entrance into Spain closely follows a launch in Poland last month. In September headlines also reported a recruitment campaign for a new branch in India. And so, Shopee is expanding globally at an incredibly fast pace.We can see that Shopee have setup their Shopee_es account in spanish language. about 10 days time, they have 15 post on their instagram account and about 300+ follower. Although I don't understand spanish, but from the video and also google trans","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37ac7fd3c32db0390b328db641bc5111","width":"1211","height":"885"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/abf64495ef1e00242e980d63bbd3975b","width":"1158","height":"753"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/183402f9b8368bee64c82d578c01af1a","width":"1013","height":"753"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/859145591","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":575,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":803523091,"gmtCreate":1627449831413,"gmtModify":1631889124720,"author":{"id":"3578810851703205","authorId":"3578810851703205","name":"devilswin20","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1878f8267d6335f1cf84e0ae0295f612","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578810851703205","authorIdStr":"3578810851703205"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sad","listText":"Sad","text":"Sad","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/803523091","repostId":"2154386941","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":227,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":172300057,"gmtCreate":1626931730079,"gmtModify":1631889124726,"author":{"id":"3578810851703205","authorId":"3578810851703205","name":"devilswin20","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1878f8267d6335f1cf84e0ae0295f612","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578810851703205","authorIdStr":"3578810851703205"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/172300057","repostId":"1190301036","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":229,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":697943569,"gmtCreate":1642237071646,"gmtModify":1642237071725,"author":{"id":"3578810851703205","authorId":"3578810851703205","name":"devilswin20","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1878f8267d6335f1cf84e0ae0295f612","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578810851703205","authorIdStr":"3578810851703205"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/697943569","repostId":"692438041","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":692438041,"gmtCreate":1641140824937,"gmtModify":1744960777671,"author":{"id":"3534312224764596","authorId":"3534312224764596","name":"Ivan_甘灿荣","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/88507b8eb15a6e315e004663e5c9e31a","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3534312224764596","authorIdStr":"3534312224764596"},"themes":[],"title":"2022前瞻(一):当心今年全球共振,大调整还是有可能的","htmlText":"1月份将开启系列前瞻帖,来预测一下来年市场的重要机会或风险点,以便大家做好准备。首先当然是大家最关心的股市问题,所以通常第一篇内容就是股市。 一、基本面的理解 2022年的股市,相对2021年的股市来说,更为简单。首先从全球基本面来说,2022年进入到疫情第三年,以西班牙大流感为例,这类大瘟疫情况对市场的影响一般也就三年时间,所以从2022年开始,疫情已经不能算是影响市场的核心因素,各国对疫情的应对已经逐步向流感化方向处理,因此疫情对当前经济的负面影响已经越来越少,最少这不是引起股市下跌的理由。(这点中国除外,毕竟中国非群体免疫路线,若全面爆发还是影响甚大) 骤看之下,全球股市的利空消息,除了美联储加息收紧货币政策外,貌似也没其它利空消息了。加上美国执政党在2022年要应对中期选举,很难会祭出强硬的紧缩政策,所以在中期选举前,恐怕美联储的紧缩措施会比市场现在所预期的要少得多。因此在中期选举前,全球股市可能仍处于蜜月期,看空,目前还真没找到什么基本面理由。 二、时间周期因素 基本面虽然找不出看空的理由,那咱们就来看看技术性因素。捕捉大行情拐点的有效办法,周期分析的效果比较显著。2022年将出现一个全球股市的共振点,而时间巧合地出现在10月以后。 2000年前后,中国加入了WTO,全球的贸易经济出现高度融合和分工,使得全球股市的联动性大大加强,简单点说,如果中美经济发生问题,那么全球其它国家的企业也会受到牵连,从而使得各国股市周期更容易形成共振点。 我们先以美国为引,2000年的互联网泡沫,2008年的金融危机,均使得全球股市出现深度调整,而这两次危机的间隔大约为90个月,我们以此为间隔,看看全球股市的表现。 从标普可看出,自1978年美股进入长牛开始,每90个月均出现一个重要时间点,2000年前几乎都是低点,2000年后都是高点。而这些时点,均有重大事件发生。1978年,中国","listText":"1月份将开启系列前瞻帖,来预测一下来年市场的重要机会或风险点,以便大家做好准备。首先当然是大家最关心的股市问题,所以通常第一篇内容就是股市。 一、基本面的理解 2022年的股市,相对2021年的股市来说,更为简单。首先从全球基本面来说,2022年进入到疫情第三年,以西班牙大流感为例,这类大瘟疫情况对市场的影响一般也就三年时间,所以从2022年开始,疫情已经不能算是影响市场的核心因素,各国对疫情的应对已经逐步向流感化方向处理,因此疫情对当前经济的负面影响已经越来越少,最少这不是引起股市下跌的理由。(这点中国除外,毕竟中国非群体免疫路线,若全面爆发还是影响甚大) 骤看之下,全球股市的利空消息,除了美联储加息收紧货币政策外,貌似也没其它利空消息了。加上美国执政党在2022年要应对中期选举,很难会祭出强硬的紧缩政策,所以在中期选举前,恐怕美联储的紧缩措施会比市场现在所预期的要少得多。因此在中期选举前,全球股市可能仍处于蜜月期,看空,目前还真没找到什么基本面理由。 二、时间周期因素 基本面虽然找不出看空的理由,那咱们就来看看技术性因素。捕捉大行情拐点的有效办法,周期分析的效果比较显著。2022年将出现一个全球股市的共振点,而时间巧合地出现在10月以后。 2000年前后,中国加入了WTO,全球的贸易经济出现高度融合和分工,使得全球股市的联动性大大加强,简单点说,如果中美经济发生问题,那么全球其它国家的企业也会受到牵连,从而使得各国股市周期更容易形成共振点。 我们先以美国为引,2000年的互联网泡沫,2008年的金融危机,均使得全球股市出现深度调整,而这两次危机的间隔大约为90个月,我们以此为间隔,看看全球股市的表现。 从标普可看出,自1978年美股进入长牛开始,每90个月均出现一个重要时间点,2000年前几乎都是低点,2000年后都是高点。而这些时点,均有重大事件发生。1978年,中国","text":"1月份将开启系列前瞻帖,来预测一下来年市场的重要机会或风险点,以便大家做好准备。首先当然是大家最关心的股市问题,所以通常第一篇内容就是股市。 一、基本面的理解 2022年的股市,相对2021年的股市来说,更为简单。首先从全球基本面来说,2022年进入到疫情第三年,以西班牙大流感为例,这类大瘟疫情况对市场的影响一般也就三年时间,所以从2022年开始,疫情已经不能算是影响市场的核心因素,各国对疫情的应对已经逐步向流感化方向处理,因此疫情对当前经济的负面影响已经越来越少,最少这不是引起股市下跌的理由。(这点中国除外,毕竟中国非群体免疫路线,若全面爆发还是影响甚大) 骤看之下,全球股市的利空消息,除了美联储加息收紧货币政策外,貌似也没其它利空消息了。加上美国执政党在2022年要应对中期选举,很难会祭出强硬的紧缩政策,所以在中期选举前,恐怕美联储的紧缩措施会比市场现在所预期的要少得多。因此在中期选举前,全球股市可能仍处于蜜月期,看空,目前还真没找到什么基本面理由。 二、时间周期因素 基本面虽然找不出看空的理由,那咱们就来看看技术性因素。捕捉大行情拐点的有效办法,周期分析的效果比较显著。2022年将出现一个全球股市的共振点,而时间巧合地出现在10月以后。 2000年前后,中国加入了WTO,全球的贸易经济出现高度融合和分工,使得全球股市的联动性大大加强,简单点说,如果中美经济发生问题,那么全球其它国家的企业也会受到牵连,从而使得各国股市周期更容易形成共振点。 我们先以美国为引,2000年的互联网泡沫,2008年的金融危机,均使得全球股市出现深度调整,而这两次危机的间隔大约为90个月,我们以此为间隔,看看全球股市的表现。 从标普可看出,自1978年美股进入长牛开始,每90个月均出现一个重要时间点,2000年前几乎都是低点,2000年后都是高点。而这些时点,均有重大事件发生。1978年,中国","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0700306ba04c926431a239142846673b","width":"632","height":"347"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e56102584985306aacdc6889c987e06","width":"632","height":"305"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/08eeb4d569863d4391b1f69a99f11312","width":"632","height":"346"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/692438041","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":1,"comments":[],"imageCount":8,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":410,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":697943213,"gmtCreate":1642237063638,"gmtModify":1642237063735,"author":{"id":"3578810851703205","authorId":"3578810851703205","name":"devilswin20","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1878f8267d6335f1cf84e0ae0295f612","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578810851703205","authorIdStr":"3578810851703205"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/697943213","repostId":"692440566","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":692440566,"gmtCreate":1641187914401,"gmtModify":1641228025702,"author":{"id":"3562909664933798","authorId":"3562909664933798","name":"特斯拉","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c97d09ce1f3268f15e9bd8d11f045f8c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3562909664933798","authorIdStr":"3562909664933798"},"themes":[],"title":"特斯拉2021年成绩单请查收","htmlText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> 2021年成绩单请查收📩☝🏻我们始终从第一性原理出发,致力于打造更好的产品和服务,不负每位车主的信任。🌟我们坚信产品会说话,坚持做正确的事,用行动加速世界向可持续能源的转变。🚗2022 初心不变,加电出发!","listText":"<a target=\"_blank\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$特斯拉(TSLA)$</a> 2021年成绩单请查收📩☝🏻我们始终从第一性原理出发,致力于打造更好的产品和服务,不负每位车主的信任。🌟我们坚信产品会说话,坚持做正确的事,用行动加速世界向可持续能源的转变。🚗2022 初心不变,加电出发!","text":"$特斯拉(TSLA)$ 2021年成绩单请查收📩☝🏻我们始终从第一性原理出发,致力于打造更好的产品和服务,不负每位车主的信任。🌟我们坚信产品会说话,坚持做正确的事,用行动加速世界向可持续能源的转变。🚗2022 初心不变,加电出发!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cd38feeca8f4448cd65d9b97a3817bbf"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2910277135ea3709a0d87758904bb744"},{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4ad6a4d98415de8ef9814495ac2abc56"}],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/692440566","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":4,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":678,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":697943692,"gmtCreate":1642237050713,"gmtModify":1642237050856,"author":{"id":"3578810851703205","authorId":"3578810851703205","name":"devilswin20","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1878f8267d6335f1cf84e0ae0295f612","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578810851703205","authorIdStr":"3578810851703205"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Yes","listText":"Yes","text":"Yes","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/697943692","repostId":"695049717","repostType":1,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":352,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":697943864,"gmtCreate":1642237040090,"gmtModify":1642237040234,"author":{"id":"3578810851703205","authorId":"3578810851703205","name":"devilswin20","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1878f8267d6335f1cf84e0ae0295f612","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578810851703205","authorIdStr":"3578810851703205"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/697943864","repostId":"695049717","repostType":1,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":517,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":178743357,"gmtCreate":1626840893079,"gmtModify":1631892512280,"author":{"id":"3578810851703205","authorId":"3578810851703205","name":"devilswin20","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1878f8267d6335f1cf84e0ae0295f612","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3578810851703205","authorIdStr":"3578810851703205"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Awesome","listText":"Awesome","text":"Awesome","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/178743357","repostId":"2153924256","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":262,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}