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2021-12-18

Hi

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2021-12-16

👍

All the doves at the Fed have become hawks<blockquote>美联储所有的鸽派都变成了鹰派</blockquote>

2021-11-24

Noooooo!

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2021-09-30

Wow thats a lot!

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2021-07-20

Please like and reply

U.S. stock main indexes rose more than 1%<blockquote>美股主要指数涨超1%</blockquote>

2021-07-14

Sounds great!

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2021-07-13

What's the long term outlook?

Dow narrowly misses first close at 35,000 but all 3 stock indexes log back-to-back record finishes ahead of bank earnings<blockquote>道琼斯指数首次收于35,000点，但所有3个股指均在银行财报公布前连续创下历史新高</blockquote>

2021-07-12

Please like and reply.

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2021-07-05

BSE?

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2021-06-26

Please like and reply.

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2021-06-26

Please like and comment.

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2021-06-16

Best to hold on and wait it out! Like and reply.

General Motors shares surges more than 3% in moring trading<blockquote>通用汽车股价早盘飙升逾3%</blockquote>

2021-06-14

PLTR seems better especially with their recent investments. Please like and reply.

Palantir vs. C3.ai: Which Is the Better Artificial Intelligence Stock?<blockquote>Palantir与C3.ai：哪个是更好的人工智能股票？</blockquote>

2021-06-08

Alzheimers is a very big market. Let's hope this one succeeds. Please like and reply.

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2021-06-07

Still quite risky to buy? Please like and comment.

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2021-06-06

Be very wary my friends! Like and reply if you agree.

Zillow: Significant Downside Remains<blockquote>Zillow：仍存在重大下行空间</blockquote>

2021-06-04

E sign anyone?

DocuSign stock pops on earnings, outlook beat<blockquote>DocuSign股价因盈利和前景超出预期而上涨</blockquote>

2021-06-03

Buy?

TSMC: Expanding Its Foundry Market Leadership<blockquote>台积电：扩大晶圆代工市场领导地位</blockquote>

2021-06-02

It's like setting a fire, putting it out and then reporting that they extinguished a fire! Please like and comment.

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2021-06-01

Why?

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10:20","market":"us","language":"en","title":"All the doves at the Fed have become hawks<blockquote>美联储所有的鸽派都变成了鹰派</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1172070133","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"The U.S. central bank charts a completely new course to attack inflation rather than continue to wai","content":"<p>The U.S. central bank charts a completely new course to attack inflation rather than continue to wait it out</p><p><blockquote>美联储制定了一条全新的路线来打击通胀，而不是继续等待通胀结束</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba1b24817095f66e1cbf69b3dd7a4ad8\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"399\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The big news from the Federal Reserve’s meeting Wednesday wasn’t that it’ll stop buying bonds to stimulate the economy&nbsp;or that it’s now signaling three increases in its benchmark lending rate in 2022. Those short-term policy decisions had been well-telegraphed by Fed officials over the past month.</p><p><blockquote>美联储周三会议的重大消息并不是它将停止购买债券来刺激经济，也不是它现在暗示将在2022年三次上调基准贷款利率。过去一个月，美联储官员已经充分传达了这些短期政策决定。</blockquote></p><p> No, the big surprise is that the gargantuan, change-averse Fed has turned 180 degrees in its view of inflation.</p><p><blockquote>不，最令人惊讶的是，庞大的、厌恶变革的美联储对通胀的看法发生了180度的转变。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed’s statement&nbsp;Wednesday and the accompanying materials show that the doves — the policy makers who generally believe that the risk of inflation is overblown — have completely surrendered. Everyone’s a hawk now. There are no doves at the Fed anymore.</p><p><blockquote>美联储周三的声明和附带的材料表明，鸽派——普遍认为通胀风险被夸大的政策制定者——已经完全投降。现在每个人都是鹰。美联储已经没有鸽派了。</blockquote></p><p> Fed monetary-policy makers unanimously agree that fighting inflation is their No. 1 job. They may disagree on the tactics or the timing, but not on the strategy of vanquishing inflation soon. The Fed is on a war footing, and inflation is the enemy.</p><p><blockquote>美联储货币政策制定者一致认为，对抗通胀是他们的首要任务。他们可能在策略或时机上存在分歧，但在尽快战胜通胀的策略上却没有分歧。美联储处于战争状态，通胀是敌人。</blockquote></p><p> For 30 years, the doves had been right: Inflation wasn’t the biggest threat to the economy; unemployment was. The doves fought an ultimately successful battle to force the Federal Reserve to consider the very real costs that unemployment forces upon society and the many individuals whom the economy was leaving behind.</p><p><blockquote>30年来，鸽派一直是对的：通货膨胀不是经济的最大威胁；失业是。鸽派打了一场最终成功的战斗，迫使美联储考虑失业给社会和经济留下的许多个人带来的非常真实的成本。</blockquote></p><p> But now effects of the coronavirus pandemic have forced even the doves to accept that inflation is a bigger threat than unemployment. That’s a huge change in an institution that doesn’t like change.</p><p><blockquote>但现在，冠状病毒大流行的影响甚至迫使鸽派接受通胀是比失业更大的威胁。对于一个不喜欢变化的机构来说，这是一个巨大的变化。</blockquote></p><p> How do we know the doves have metamorphosed into hawks? Look at the dot plot, a chart the Fed releases every three months that shows the anonymous individual forecasts of each monetary-policy maker for the level of the federal funds rate at the ends of the next several years.</p><p><blockquote>我们怎么知道鸽子已经变成鹰了？看看点阵图，这是美联储每三个月发布一次的图表，显示了每个货币政策制定者对未来几年底联邦基金利率水平的匿名个人预测。</blockquote></p><p> Most analysts correctly focus on the median forecast for the coming year, but I’d like to redirect your attention briefly to the medium-term forecasts of the outliers, the most hawkish and dovish members of the Fed, to show how much the battlefield inside the Fed has changed since that horrendous consumer-price-index reading of Nov. 10. That report changed everything at the Fed.</p><p><blockquote>大多数分析师正确地关注来年的预测中值，但我想将您的注意力简要地转移到异常值（美联储最鹰派和鸽派成员）的中期预测上，以显示战场有多大自11月10日可怕的消费者价格指数数据以来，美联储内部发生了变化。那份报告改变了美联储的一切。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc738ce106c9173e3b5b93bf435f87f7\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> In the latest forecasts released Wednesday, the most hawkish members raised their medium-term forecasts modestly from 1.63% to 2.13% at the end of 2023, and from 2.63% to 3.13% at the end of 2024. The five most hawkish members now think the Fed will have to push the fed funds rate above its assumed long-run equilibrium of 2.5%.</p><p><blockquote>在周三发布的最新预测中，最鹰派的成员将2023年底的中期预测从1.63%温和上调至2.13%，2024年底从2.63%上调至3.13%。五位最鹰派的成员现在认为，美联储将不得不将联邦基金利率推高至2.5%的假设长期均衡水平之上。</blockquote></p><p> But the doves completely tore up their previous forecasts. The five most dovish members were forecasting between zero and two rate hikes by the end of 2023, but now they expect four or five. By the end of 2024, they had been forecasting between two and four rate hikes; now they expect seven.</p><p><blockquote>但是鸽派彻底撕毁了他们之前的预测。五位最鸽派的成员此前预测，到2023年底，加息幅度将在零到两次之间，但现在他们预计加息四到五次。到2024年底，他们一直预测加息两到四次；现在他们预计是七个。</blockquote></p><p> Clearly, even the most dovish Fed officials now believe&nbsp;the fed funds rate must go up a lot to vanquish inflation. Before, they thought inflation would come down all by itself.</p><p><blockquote>显然，即使是最鸽派的美联储官员现在也认为，联邦基金利率必须大幅上升才能战胜通胀。以前，他们认为通货膨胀会自行下降。</blockquote></p><p> This means that inflation no longer gets the benefit of the doubt. It’s been proven guilty, and even the doves will prosecute the war until victory is won. For the inflation doves at the Fed, Nov. 10, 2021, was bit of like Dec. 7, 1941: Time to go to war.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着通货膨胀不再受益。它被证明是有罪的，即使是鸽派也会继续战争，直到取得胜利。对于美联储通胀鸽派来说，2021年11月10日有点像1941年12月7日：是时候开战了。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>All the doves at the Fed have become hawks<blockquote>美联储所有的鸽派都变成了鹰派</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAll the doves at the Fed have become hawks<blockquote>美联储所有的鸽派都变成了鹰派</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-16 10:20</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The U.S. central bank charts a completely new course to attack inflation rather than continue to wait it out</p><p><blockquote>美联储制定了一条全新的路线来打击通胀，而不是继续等待通胀结束</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba1b24817095f66e1cbf69b3dd7a4ad8\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"399\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The big news from the Federal Reserve’s meeting Wednesday wasn’t that it’ll stop buying bonds to stimulate the economy&nbsp;or that it’s now signaling three increases in its benchmark lending rate in 2022. Those short-term policy decisions had been well-telegraphed by Fed officials over the past month.</p><p><blockquote>美联储周三会议的重大消息并不是它将停止购买债券来刺激经济，也不是它现在暗示将在2022年三次上调基准贷款利率。过去一个月，美联储官员已经充分传达了这些短期政策决定。</blockquote></p><p> No, the big surprise is that the gargantuan, change-averse Fed has turned 180 degrees in its view of inflation.</p><p><blockquote>不，最令人惊讶的是，庞大的、厌恶变革的美联储对通胀的看法发生了180度的转变。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed’s statement&nbsp;Wednesday and the accompanying materials show that the doves — the policy makers who generally believe that the risk of inflation is overblown — have completely surrendered. Everyone’s a hawk now. There are no doves at the Fed anymore.</p><p><blockquote>美联储周三的声明和附带的材料表明，鸽派——普遍认为通胀风险被夸大的政策制定者——已经完全投降。现在每个人都是鹰。美联储已经没有鸽派了。</blockquote></p><p> Fed monetary-policy makers unanimously agree that fighting inflation is their No. 1 job. They may disagree on the tactics or the timing, but not on the strategy of vanquishing inflation soon. The Fed is on a war footing, and inflation is the enemy.</p><p><blockquote>美联储货币政策制定者一致认为，对抗通胀是他们的首要任务。他们可能在策略或时机上存在分歧，但在尽快战胜通胀的策略上却没有分歧。美联储处于战争状态，通胀是敌人。</blockquote></p><p> For 30 years, the doves had been right: Inflation wasn’t the biggest threat to the economy; unemployment was. The doves fought an ultimately successful battle to force the Federal Reserve to consider the very real costs that unemployment forces upon society and the many individuals whom the economy was leaving behind.</p><p><blockquote>30年来，鸽派一直是对的：通货膨胀不是经济的最大威胁；失业是。鸽派打了一场最终成功的战斗，迫使美联储考虑失业给社会和经济留下的许多个人带来的非常真实的成本。</blockquote></p><p> But now effects of the coronavirus pandemic have forced even the doves to accept that inflation is a bigger threat than unemployment. That’s a huge change in an institution that doesn’t like change.</p><p><blockquote>但现在，冠状病毒大流行的影响甚至迫使鸽派接受通胀是比失业更大的威胁。对于一个不喜欢变化的机构来说，这是一个巨大的变化。</blockquote></p><p> How do we know the doves have metamorphosed into hawks? Look at the dot plot, a chart the Fed releases every three months that shows the anonymous individual forecasts of each monetary-policy maker for the level of the federal funds rate at the ends of the next several years.</p><p><blockquote>我们怎么知道鸽子已经变成鹰了？看看点阵图，这是美联储每三个月发布一次的图表，显示了每个货币政策制定者对未来几年底联邦基金利率水平的匿名个人预测。</blockquote></p><p> Most analysts correctly focus on the median forecast for the coming year, but I’d like to redirect your attention briefly to the medium-term forecasts of the outliers, the most hawkish and dovish members of the Fed, to show how much the battlefield inside the Fed has changed since that horrendous consumer-price-index reading of Nov. 10. That report changed everything at the Fed.</p><p><blockquote>大多数分析师正确地关注来年的预测中值，但我想将您的注意力简要地转移到异常值（美联储最鹰派和鸽派成员）的中期预测上，以显示战场有多大自11月10日可怕的消费者价格指数数据以来，美联储内部发生了变化。那份报告改变了美联储的一切。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fc738ce106c9173e3b5b93bf435f87f7\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"644\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> In the latest forecasts released Wednesday, the most hawkish members raised their medium-term forecasts modestly from 1.63% to 2.13% at the end of 2023, and from 2.63% to 3.13% at the end of 2024. The five most hawkish members now think the Fed will have to push the fed funds rate above its assumed long-run equilibrium of 2.5%.</p><p><blockquote>在周三发布的最新预测中，最鹰派的成员将2023年底的中期预测从1.63%温和上调至2.13%，2024年底从2.63%上调至3.13%。五位最鹰派的成员现在认为，美联储将不得不将联邦基金利率推高至2.5%的假设长期均衡水平之上。</blockquote></p><p> But the doves completely tore up their previous forecasts. The five most dovish members were forecasting between zero and two rate hikes by the end of 2023, but now they expect four or five. By the end of 2024, they had been forecasting between two and four rate hikes; now they expect seven.</p><p><blockquote>但是鸽派彻底撕毁了他们之前的预测。五位最鸽派的成员此前预测，到2023年底，加息幅度将在零到两次之间，但现在他们预计加息四到五次。到2024年底，他们一直预测加息两到四次；现在他们预计是七个。</blockquote></p><p> Clearly, even the most dovish Fed officials now believe&nbsp;the fed funds rate must go up a lot to vanquish inflation. Before, they thought inflation would come down all by itself.</p><p><blockquote>显然，即使是最鸽派的美联储官员现在也认为，联邦基金利率必须大幅上升才能战胜通胀。以前，他们认为通货膨胀会自行下降。</blockquote></p><p> This means that inflation no longer gets the benefit of the doubt. It’s been proven guilty, and even the doves will prosecute the war until victory is won. For the inflation doves at the Fed, Nov. 10, 2021, was bit of like Dec. 7, 1941: Time to go to war.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着通货膨胀不再受益。它被证明是有罪的，即使是鸽派也会继续战争，直到取得胜利。对于美联储通胀鸽派来说，2021年11月10日有点像1941年12月7日：是时候开战了。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/all-the-doves-at-the-fed-have-become-hawks-11639613760?mod=mw_latestnews\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/all-the-doves-at-the-fed-have-become-hawks-11639613760?mod=mw_latestnews","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1172070133","content_text":"The U.S. central bank charts a completely new course to attack inflation rather than continue to wait it out\n\nThe big news from the Federal Reserve’s meeting Wednesday wasn’t that it’ll stop buying bonds to stimulate the economy or that it’s now signaling three increases in its benchmark lending rate in 2022. Those short-term policy decisions had been well-telegraphed by Fed officials over the past month.\nNo, the big surprise is that the gargantuan, change-averse Fed has turned 180 degrees in its view of inflation.\nThe Fed’s statement Wednesday and the accompanying materials show that the doves — the policy makers who generally believe that the risk of inflation is overblown — have completely surrendered. Everyone’s a hawk now. There are no doves at the Fed anymore.\nFed monetary-policy makers unanimously agree that fighting inflation is their No. 1 job. They may disagree on the tactics or the timing, but not on the strategy of vanquishing inflation soon. The Fed is on a war footing, and inflation is the enemy.\nFor 30 years, the doves had been right: Inflation wasn’t the biggest threat to the economy; unemployment was. The doves fought an ultimately successful battle to force the Federal Reserve to consider the very real costs that unemployment forces upon society and the many individuals whom the economy was leaving behind.\nBut now effects of the coronavirus pandemic have forced even the doves to accept that inflation is a bigger threat than unemployment. That’s a huge change in an institution that doesn’t like change.\nHow do we know the doves have metamorphosed into hawks? Look at the dot plot, a chart the Fed releases every three months that shows the anonymous individual forecasts of each monetary-policy maker for the level of the federal funds rate at the ends of the next several years.\nMost analysts correctly focus on the median forecast for the coming year, but I’d like to redirect your attention briefly to the medium-term forecasts of the outliers, the most hawkish and dovish members of the Fed, to show how much the battlefield inside the Fed has changed since that horrendous consumer-price-index reading of Nov. 10. That report changed everything at the Fed.\n\nIn the latest forecasts released Wednesday, the most hawkish members raised their medium-term forecasts modestly from 1.63% to 2.13% at the end of 2023, and from 2.63% to 3.13% at the end of 2024. The five most hawkish members now think the Fed will have to push the fed funds rate above its assumed long-run equilibrium of 2.5%.\nBut the doves completely tore up their previous forecasts. The five most dovish members were forecasting between zero and two rate hikes by the end of 2023, but now they expect four or five. By the end of 2024, they had been forecasting between two and four rate hikes; now they expect seven.\nClearly, even the most dovish Fed officials now believe the fed funds rate must go up a lot to vanquish inflation. Before, they thought inflation would come down all by itself.\nThis means that inflation no longer gets the benefit of the doubt. It’s been proven guilty, and even the doves will prosecute the war until victory is won. For the inflation doves at the Fed, Nov. 10, 2021, was bit of like Dec. 7, 1941: Time to go to war.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2112,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":874076477,"gmtCreate":1637716300605,"gmtModify":1637716300739,"author":{"id":"3578099872805879","authorId":"3578099872805879","name":"33c3eb1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578099872805879","idStr":"3578099872805879"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Noooooo!&nbsp;","listText":"Noooooo!&nbsp;","text":"Noooooo!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":11,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/874076477","repostId":"2185336565","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3320,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":865122202,"gmtCreate":1632962342778,"gmtModify":1632962342999,"author":{"id":"3578099872805879","authorId":"3578099872805879","name":"33c3eb1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578099872805879","idStr":"3578099872805879"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow thats a lot!&nbsp;","listText":"Wow thats a lot!&nbsp;","text":"Wow thats a lot!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/865122202","repostId":"1146006231","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2508,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":178127983,"gmtCreate":1626793217842,"gmtModify":1631889975378,"author":{"id":"3578099872805879","authorId":"3578099872805879","name":"33c3eb1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578099872805879","idStr":"3578099872805879"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like and reply&nbsp;","listText":"Please like and reply&nbsp;","text":"Please like and reply","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/178127983","repostId":"1127649148","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1127649148","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1626793055,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1127649148?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-20 22:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. stock main indexes rose more than 1%<blockquote>美股主要指数涨超1%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127649148","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(July 20) U.S. stock main indexes rose more than 1% in morning trading.","content":"<p>(July 20)&nbsp;U.S. stock main&nbsp;indexes rose more than 1%&nbsp;in morning trading.&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote>（7月20日）美国。股票主要指数早盘上涨超过1%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e022664a53db67f658ba55350af6aaa5\" tg-width=\"1444\" tg-height=\"170\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97fe4032e63f9a83cfb2f82950a046ce\" tg-width=\"1866\" tg-height=\"894\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7704cab75fd884a262bc6756d1f6927a\" tg-width=\"1866\" tg-height=\"927\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7078c2484f2c1381d606bc832a00fa93\" tg-width=\"1866\" tg-height=\"922\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. stock main indexes rose more than 1%<blockquote>美股主要指数涨超1%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ 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.h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. stock main indexes rose more than 1%<blockquote>美股主要指数涨超1%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-20 22:57</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(July 20)&nbsp;U.S. stock main&nbsp;indexes rose more than 1%&nbsp;in morning trading.&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote>（7月20日）美国。股票主要指数早盘上涨超过1%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e022664a53db67f658ba55350af6aaa5\" tg-width=\"1444\" tg-height=\"170\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97fe4032e63f9a83cfb2f82950a046ce\" tg-width=\"1866\" tg-height=\"894\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7704cab75fd884a262bc6756d1f6927a\" tg-width=\"1866\" tg-height=\"927\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7078c2484f2c1381d606bc832a00fa93\" tg-width=\"1866\" tg-height=\"922\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127649148","content_text":"(July 20) U.S. stock main indexes rose more than 1% in morning trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3209,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":145401756,"gmtCreate":1626234166875,"gmtModify":1631889975391,"author":{"id":"3578099872805879","authorId":"3578099872805879","name":"33c3eb1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578099872805879","idStr":"3578099872805879"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sounds great!&nbsp;","listText":"Sounds great!&nbsp;","text":"Sounds great!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/145401756","repostId":"2151560584","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3149,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":142150715,"gmtCreate":1626137808137,"gmtModify":1631889975403,"author":{"id":"3578099872805879","authorId":"3578099872805879","name":"33c3eb1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578099872805879","idStr":"3578099872805879"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"What's the long term outlook?&nbsp;","listText":"What's the long term outlook?&nbsp;","text":"What's the long term outlook?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/142150715","repostId":"1119839711","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1119839711","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626126339,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1119839711?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-13 05:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Dow narrowly misses first close at 35,000 but all 3 stock indexes log back-to-back record finishes ahead of bank earnings<blockquote>道琼斯指数首次收于35,000点，但所有3个股指均在银行财报公布前连续创下历史新高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1119839711","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Dow ends just shy of 35,000 milestone.\n\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 index and Nasdaq C","content":"<p>  <b>Dow ends just shy of 35,000 milestone.</b>  The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&amp;P 500 index and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> Composite on Monday advanced to back-to-back record finishes, starting the week the way the ended last week.</p><p><blockquote><b>道琼斯指数收盘略低于35,000点的里程碑。</b>道琼斯工业平均指数、标普500指数和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>周一综合指数连续创下纪录，以上周结束的方式开始了本周。</blockquote></p><p> The record finish comes as investors await semiannual testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> beginning Wednesday and a batch of economic reports throughout the week, the unofficial start of corporate quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>创纪录的收官之际，投资者正在等待美联储主席杰罗姆的半年度证词<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>从周三开始，一批经济报告贯穿整个星期，企业季度业绩的非正式开始。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How did stock benchmarks end?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股票基准是如何结束的？</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+0.36%rose 126.02 points, or 0.4%, to end at a record 34,996.18.</li>  <li>S&amp;P 500 indexSPX,+0.35%added 15.08 points, or 0.4%, closing at a record 4,384.63, after touching an intraday high at 4,386.68.</li>  <li>Nasdaq Composite IndexCOMP,+0.21%advanced 31.32 points, or 0.2%, finishing at a record 14,733.24, after establishing an intraday all-time high at 14,761.08.</li> </ul> On Friday, the Dow and S&amp;P 500 finished the session at record highs, booking weekly gains of about 0.2% and 0.4%, respectively. The Nasdaq Composite finished the week at an all-time high with a 0.4% weekly gain.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨126.02点，涨幅0.4%，收于创纪录的34,996.18点。</li><li>标普500指数SPX,+0.35%上涨15.08点，涨幅0.4%，收于创纪录的4,384.63点，此前触及盘中高点4,386.68点。</li><li>纳斯达克综合指数COMP,+0.21%上涨31.32点，即0.2%，收于创纪录的14,733.24点，此前盘中创下历史新高14,761.08点。</li></ul>周五，道琼斯指数和标普500指数收于历史新高，周涨幅分别约为0.2%和0.4%。纳斯达克综合指数本周收盘创下历史新高，周涨幅为0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What drove the market?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>是什么推动了市场？</b></blockquote></p><p> Major stock indexes rose to back-to-back closing records on Monday. The advance came ahead of a number of key events that could serve as catalysts later in the week, including the unofficial start of earnings season, which<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a> &amp; Co</b>.JPM,+1.43%will kick off Tuesday, Powell’s testimony on Capitol <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HIL\">Hill</a>, and fresh readings on inflation.</p><p><blockquote>周一，主要股指连续上涨至收盘纪录。此次上涨发生在本周晚些时候可能成为催化剂的一些关键事件之前，包括财报季的非正式开始，<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>&amp;Co</b>鲍威尔将于周二在国会大厦作证，摩根大通+1.43%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HIL\">山丘</a>，以及有关通货膨胀的最新读数。</blockquote></p><p> “People are thinking earnings are going to be strong and that may propel the market higher,” said John Carey, director of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">Equity</a> Income at Amundi U.S., adding that, for now, earnings have overshadowed uncertainty in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">Washington</a> over planned infrastructure spending and potentially higher corporate taxes.</p><p><blockquote>“人们认为盈利将会强劲，这可能会推动市场走高，”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">公平</a>Amundi U.S.的收入，并补充说，目前，盈利已经掩盖了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">华盛顿州</a>超过计划的基础设施支出和可能更高的公司税。</blockquote></p><p> “Most people seem to be focused on the strength of the economy and the possibility of better earnings to support stock prices, which are definitely at high levels,” Carey told MarketWatch.</p><p><blockquote>凯里对MarketWatch表示：“大多数人似乎都关注经济实力以及更好的盈利来支撑股价的可能性，而股价肯定处于高位。”</blockquote></p><p> Equity markets experienced a bout of turbulence last week before ending with a flourish, prompted partly by a drop in Treasury yields. Lower-bound rates for government debt had raised questions about the outlook for the U.S. economy in the recovery from the pandemic. The spread of the delta variant of COVID-19 has emerged as a concern, but so has the lofty valuations assigned to some segments of the market.</p><p><blockquote>股市上周经历了一轮动荡，随后以繁荣告终，部分原因是美国国债收益率下降。政府债务利率的下调引发了人们对美国经济从疫情复苏的前景的质疑。COVID-19德尔塔变异毒株的蔓延已成为一个令人担忧的问题，但某些细分市场的高估值也是一个令人担忧的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Questions about the Fed’s monetary policy in the face of growing evidence of percolating inflation also have been blamed for some of the rocky trading.</p><p><blockquote>面对越来越多的通胀渗透证据，人们对美联储货币政策的质疑也被指责为部分交易不稳定的原因。</blockquote></p><p> Yields for the 10-yearTMUBMUSD10Y,1.365%edged up less than a basis point to 1.362% on Monday, while the 30-year Treasury yieldsTMUBMUSD30Y,2.000%advanced by 1.2 basis points to 1.993%, near lows last seen in February.</p><p><blockquote>周一，10年期国债收益率MUBMUSD10Y, 1.365%小幅上涨不到一个基点至1.362%，而30年期国债收益率MUBMUSD30Y, 2.000%上涨1.2个基点至1.993%，接近2月份的低点。</blockquote></p><p> Federal Reserve Bank ofNew York President John <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">Williams</a> told reportersMonday that conditions for scaling back its $120 billion a month bond-buying stimulus program have yet to be met.</p><p><blockquote>纽约联邦储备银行行长约翰<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">威廉姆斯</a>周一对记者表示，缩减每月1200亿美元债券购买刺激计划的条件尚未满足。</blockquote></p><p> Although inflation and peak growth concerns continue to percolate andworry U.S. households, some strategists said those concerns may be “over-hyped” for markets.</p><p><blockquote>尽管通胀和增长峰值的担忧继续渗透并令美国家庭担忧，但一些策略师表示，这些担忧对市场来说可能被“过度炒作”。</blockquote></p><p> “Both the previous inflation concerns and the current peak growth concerns are likely over-extrapolated reflections of near-term trends that will not persist,” Glenmede’s team led by Jason Pride and Michael Reynolds, wrote in a Monday note.</p><p><blockquote>由杰森·普莱德和迈克尔·雷诺兹领导的格伦梅德团队在周一的一份报告中写道：“之前的通胀担忧和当前的增长峰值担忧都可能是对近期趋势的过度推断，不会持续下去。”</blockquote></p><p> “Markets may remain volatile as they attempt to adjust to the rapidly&nbsp;evolving information flow during the ongoing recovery from the pandemic,” but those factors “should not be disruptive of markets longer term.”</p><p><blockquote>“在从大流行中持续复苏的过程中，市场试图适应快速变化的信息流，可能会保持波动”，但这些因素“不应对市场造成长期破坏”。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> also have been keeping an eye on delta-driven COVID infections. The U.S. leads the world with a total of 33.85 million COVID cases and in deaths with 607,156. Dr. Anthony Fauci said on Monday thatboosters weren’t needed for now, but duringa Sunday CNN inview said it was “horrifying”to see conservatives cheer for low vaccination rates, blaming “ideological rigidity” for hobbling the fight against the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">投资者</a>也一直在关注delta驱动的COVID感染。美国以3385万例COVID病例和607156例死亡位居世界第一。安东尼·福奇博士周一表示，目前不需要加强剂，但周日CNN inview表示，看到保守派为低疫苗接种率欢呼是“令人震惊的”，并指责“意识形态僵化”阻碍了抗击疫情的斗争。</blockquote></p><p> “We have long warned that vaccinations would be unlikely to trigger a smooth transition to normalcy,” Ben May, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXM\">Oxford</a> Economics’ director of global macro research wrote Monday.</p><p><blockquote>“我们长期以来一直警告说，疫苗接种不太可能引发向正常状态的平稳过渡，”本·梅说，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXM\">牛津大学</a>经济学全球宏观研究总监周一写道。</blockquote></p><p> No key data were on deck Monday ahead of a busy week in economic reports, starting with a reading of consumer prices on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>在经济报告繁忙的一周之前，周一没有关键数据公布，首先是周二的消费者价格数据。</blockquote></p><p> Separately, investors also were focused on discussions among finance ministers from the G-20, who are trying to assess the potential implications of a proposal for a global minimum tax.</p><p><blockquote>另外，投资者还关注20国集团财长之间的讨论，他们正试图评估全球最低税提案的潜在影响。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “We need sustainable sources of revenue that do not rely on further taxing workers’ wages and exacerbating the economic disparities that we are all committed to reducing,” U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said in a speech to European Union countries about revamping the corporate tax code internationally.</p><p><blockquote>“我们需要可持续的收入来源，而不是依赖于进一步对工人工资征税和加剧我们都致力于缩小的经济差距，”美国财政部长珍妮特·耶伦在向欧盟国家发表的关于修改国际企业税法的讲话中表示。</blockquote></p><p> “We need to put an end to corporations shifting capital income to low tax jurisdictions, and to accounting gimmicks that allow them to avoid paying their fair share,” she said.</p><p><blockquote>她说：“我们需要制止企业将资本收入转移到低税收管辖区，以及让他们逃避支付公平份额的会计噱头。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Which companies were in focus?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>哪些公司成为焦点？</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a> Inc</b>.AVGO,+1.16%shares rose 1.2% Monday afterThe Wall Street Journal reportedthe chip and software company was in talks to buy SAS Institute Inc. in a deal that could value the smashup at $15 billion to $20 billion.</li>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc</b>.AAPL,-0.42%&nbsp;shares fell 0.4% a day after a Delaware federal judgedismissed a Blix Inc. suit,saying it failed to demonstrate how Apple harmed competition in the mobile operating system market.</li>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LB\">L Brands Inc</a></b>.LB,+4.16%&nbsp;said it’s separating into two publiclytraded businesses next month, with theVictoria’s Secret &amp; Co.‘s underwear unit as “VSCO,” while the Bath &amp; BodyWorks Inc. arm under the “BBWI” ticker, starting Aug. 3.</li>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">GameStop</a>&nbsp;Inc</b>.GME,-1.04%shares shed 1% Monday after Ascendiant Capital Markets lifted its 12-month price target to $25 from $10, but still nowhere near the company’s $189.25 closing price Monday.</li>  <li>Weber, the maker of outdoor grills,has filed to go public, nearly 50 years after it’s iconic dome-like grill was made. Shares are set to&nbsp;trade on the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a> Stock Exchange under the ticker WEBR.</li>  <li>Shares of<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE.WS\">Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc</a>.</b>&nbsp;SPCEskid 17.3% Monday, it’s largest daily percent slump since March 16, 2020, a day after founder Richard Branson and five crewmates successfully flew into&nbsp;suborbital space on the company’s VSS <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNTY\">Unity</a>&nbsp;rocket-powered spaceplane.</li>  <li><b>Couchbase Inc</b>.&nbsp;BASE,&nbsp;a provider of a database for enterprise applications, set terms for its initial public offering on Monday, with plans to offer 7 million shares, priced at $20 to $23 each. The company has applied to list on Nasdaq, under the ticker ‘BASE.’</li>  <li>Shares of<b>Moderna Inc</b>.&nbsp;MRNArose 2.8% Monday after the company said it would supply 20 million doses of its COVID-19 vaccine to Argentina.</li>  <li>Shares of<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SWI\">SolarWinds Corp</a>.</b>&nbsp;SWI&nbsp;were 1.8% lower Monday, even after the information technology infrastructure management software company provided an upbeat second-quarter revenue outlook.</li> </ul> <b>How did other assets trade?</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a>Inc</b>.AVGO,+1.16%据《华尔街日报》报道，这家芯片和软件公司正在就收购SAS Institute Inc.进行谈判，这笔交易的估值可能达到150亿至200亿美元，周一股价上涨1.2%。</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>Inc</b>特拉华联邦法官驳回了Blix Inc.的诉讼，称该诉讼未能证明苹果如何损害了移动操作系统市场的竞争，该公司股价一天下跌0.4%。</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LB\">L品牌公司</a></b>.LB,+4.16%表示，将于下个月分拆为两家上市公司，维多利亚的秘密(Victoria's Secret&amp;Co.)的内衣部门将更名为“VSCO”，而Bath&amp;BodyWorks Inc.的子公司将更名为“BBWI”，股票代码为“BBWI”，从8月3日开始。</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">游戏驿站</a>Inc</b>.GME,-1.04%周一，Ascendiant Capital Markets将其12个月目标价从10美元上调至25美元，但仍远未接近该公司周一189.25美元的收盘价。</li><li>户外烤架制造商韦伯(Weber)已申请上市，距其标志性的圆顶状烤架问世已近50年。股票将于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">纽约</a>证券交易所，股票代码为WEBR。</li><li>本公司之股份<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE.WS\">维珍银河控股公司</a>.</b>SPCEskid周一下跌17.3%，这是自2020年3月16日以来的最大单日跌幅，此前一天创始人理查德·布兰森(Richard Branson)和五名机组人员乘坐该公司的VSS成功飞入亚轨道空间<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNTY\">团结</a>火箭动力太空飞机。</li><li><b>沙发基地公司</b>企业应用数据库提供商.BASE周一设定了首次公开募股的条款，计划发行700万股，每股定价20至23美元。该公司已申请在纳斯达克上市，股票代码为“BASE”。</li><li>本公司之股份<b>现代公司</b>.MRNA周一上涨2.8%，此前该公司表示将向阿根廷供应2000万剂COVID-19疫苗。</li><li>本公司之股份<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SWI\">SolarWinds公司</a>.</b>尽管这家信息技术基础设施管理软件公司提供了乐观的第二季度收入前景，SWI周一仍下跌1.8%。</li></ul><b>其他资产是如何交易的？</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The ICE U.S. Dollar Index&nbsp;DXY,&nbsp;a measure of the currency against six major rivals, was up 0.1%.</li>  <li>Oil futures closed lower Monday, with the U.S. benchmark&nbsp;CL00&nbsp;CL.1,-0.51%down 0.6% settling at $74.10 a barrel. Gold&nbsp;GC00&nbsp;settled 0.3% lower at $1,805.90 an ounce.</li>  <li>In European equities, the Stoxx Europe 600&nbsp;SXXP&nbsp;closed 0.7% higher, while London’s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.100.UK\">FTSE 100</a>&nbsp;UKX&nbsp;finished up 0.05% on Monday.</li>  <li>In <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00662\">Asia</a>, the Shanghai Composite&nbsp;SHCOMP&nbsp;gained 0.7%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index&nbsp;HSI&nbsp;rose 0.6% on the session and Japan’s Nikkei 225&nbsp;NIK&nbsp;rallied 2.3% on Monday.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>衡量美元兑六个主要竞争对手的ICE美元指数DXY上涨0.1%。</li><li>石油期货周一收盘走低，美国基准Cl 00 Cl.1,-0.51%下跌0.6%，收于每桶74.10美元。黄金GC 00收跌0.3%，报每盎司1805.90美元。</li><li>欧洲股市方面，斯托克欧洲600指数收盘上涨0.7%，而伦敦股市收盘上涨0.7%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.100.UK\">富时100</a>UKX周一收盘上涨0.05%。</li><li>在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00662\">亚洲</a>周一，上证综指上涨0.7%，恒生指数恒生指数上涨0.6%，日经225指数上涨2.3%。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDow narrowly misses first close at 35,000 but all 3 stock indexes log back-to-back record finishes ahead of bank earnings<blockquote>道琼斯指数首次收于35,000点，但所有3个股指均在银行财报公布前连续创下历史新高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-13 05:45</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>Dow ends just shy of 35,000 milestone.</b>  The Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&amp;P 500 index and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> Composite on Monday advanced to back-to-back record finishes, starting the week the way the ended last week.</p><p><blockquote><b>道琼斯指数收盘略低于35,000点的里程碑。</b>道琼斯工业平均指数、标普500指数和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>周一综合指数连续创下纪录，以上周结束的方式开始了本周。</blockquote></p><p> The record finish comes as investors await semiannual testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> beginning Wednesday and a batch of economic reports throughout the week, the unofficial start of corporate quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>创纪录的收官之际，投资者正在等待美联储主席杰罗姆的半年度证词<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>从周三开始，一批经济报告贯穿整个星期，企业季度业绩的非正式开始。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How did stock benchmarks end?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股票基准是如何结束的？</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+0.36%rose 126.02 points, or 0.4%, to end at a record 34,996.18.</li>  <li>S&amp;P 500 indexSPX,+0.35%added 15.08 points, or 0.4%, closing at a record 4,384.63, after touching an intraday high at 4,386.68.</li>  <li>Nasdaq Composite IndexCOMP,+0.21%advanced 31.32 points, or 0.2%, finishing at a record 14,733.24, after establishing an intraday all-time high at 14,761.08.</li> </ul> On Friday, the Dow and S&amp;P 500 finished the session at record highs, booking weekly gains of about 0.2% and 0.4%, respectively. The Nasdaq Composite finished the week at an all-time high with a 0.4% weekly gain.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨126.02点，涨幅0.4%，收于创纪录的34,996.18点。</li><li>标普500指数SPX,+0.35%上涨15.08点，涨幅0.4%，收于创纪录的4,384.63点，此前触及盘中高点4,386.68点。</li><li>纳斯达克综合指数COMP,+0.21%上涨31.32点，即0.2%，收于创纪录的14,733.24点，此前盘中创下历史新高14,761.08点。</li></ul>周五，道琼斯指数和标普500指数收于历史新高，周涨幅分别约为0.2%和0.4%。纳斯达克综合指数本周收盘创下历史新高，周涨幅为0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>What drove the market?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>是什么推动了市场？</b></blockquote></p><p> Major stock indexes rose to back-to-back closing records on Monday. The advance came ahead of a number of key events that could serve as catalysts later in the week, including the unofficial start of earnings season, which<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">JPMorgan Chase</a> &amp; Co</b>.JPM,+1.43%will kick off Tuesday, Powell’s testimony on Capitol <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HIL\">Hill</a>, and fresh readings on inflation.</p><p><blockquote>周一，主要股指连续上涨至收盘纪录。此次上涨发生在本周晚些时候可能成为催化剂的一些关键事件之前，包括财报季的非正式开始，<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JPM\">摩根大通</a>&amp;Co</b>鲍威尔将于周二在国会大厦作证，摩根大通+1.43%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/HIL\">山丘</a>，以及有关通货膨胀的最新读数。</blockquote></p><p> “People are thinking earnings are going to be strong and that may propel the market higher,” said John Carey, director of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">Equity</a> Income at Amundi U.S., adding that, for now, earnings have overshadowed uncertainty in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">Washington</a> over planned infrastructure spending and potentially higher corporate taxes.</p><p><blockquote>“人们认为盈利将会强劲，这可能会推动市场走高，”<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EQR\">公平</a>Amundi U.S.的收入，并补充说，目前，盈利已经掩盖了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WASH\">华盛顿州</a>超过计划的基础设施支出和可能更高的公司税。</blockquote></p><p> “Most people seem to be focused on the strength of the economy and the possibility of better earnings to support stock prices, which are definitely at high levels,” Carey told MarketWatch.</p><p><blockquote>凯里对MarketWatch表示：“大多数人似乎都关注经济实力以及更好的盈利来支撑股价的可能性，而股价肯定处于高位。”</blockquote></p><p> Equity markets experienced a bout of turbulence last week before ending with a flourish, prompted partly by a drop in Treasury yields. Lower-bound rates for government debt had raised questions about the outlook for the U.S. economy in the recovery from the pandemic. The spread of the delta variant of COVID-19 has emerged as a concern, but so has the lofty valuations assigned to some segments of the market.</p><p><blockquote>股市上周经历了一轮动荡，随后以繁荣告终，部分原因是美国国债收益率下降。政府债务利率的下调引发了人们对美国经济从疫情复苏的前景的质疑。COVID-19德尔塔变异毒株的蔓延已成为一个令人担忧的问题，但某些细分市场的高估值也是一个令人担忧的问题。</blockquote></p><p> Questions about the Fed’s monetary policy in the face of growing evidence of percolating inflation also have been blamed for some of the rocky trading.</p><p><blockquote>面对越来越多的通胀渗透证据，人们对美联储货币政策的质疑也被指责为部分交易不稳定的原因。</blockquote></p><p> Yields for the 10-yearTMUBMUSD10Y,1.365%edged up less than a basis point to 1.362% on Monday, while the 30-year Treasury yieldsTMUBMUSD30Y,2.000%advanced by 1.2 basis points to 1.993%, near lows last seen in February.</p><p><blockquote>周一，10年期国债收益率MUBMUSD10Y, 1.365%小幅上涨不到一个基点至1.362%，而30年期国债收益率MUBMUSD30Y, 2.000%上涨1.2个基点至1.993%，接近2月份的低点。</blockquote></p><p> Federal Reserve Bank ofNew York President John <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">Williams</a> told reportersMonday that conditions for scaling back its $120 billion a month bond-buying stimulus program have yet to be met.</p><p><blockquote>纽约联邦储备银行行长约翰<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WMB\">威廉姆斯</a>周一对记者表示，缩减每月1200亿美元债券购买刺激计划的条件尚未满足。</blockquote></p><p> Although inflation and peak growth concerns continue to percolate andworry U.S. households, some strategists said those concerns may be “over-hyped” for markets.</p><p><blockquote>尽管通胀和增长峰值的担忧继续渗透并令美国家庭担忧，但一些策略师表示，这些担忧对市场来说可能被“过度炒作”。</blockquote></p><p> “Both the previous inflation concerns and the current peak growth concerns are likely over-extrapolated reflections of near-term trends that will not persist,” Glenmede’s team led by Jason Pride and Michael Reynolds, wrote in a Monday note.</p><p><blockquote>由杰森·普莱德和迈克尔·雷诺兹领导的格伦梅德团队在周一的一份报告中写道：“之前的通胀担忧和当前的增长峰值担忧都可能是对近期趋势的过度推断，不会持续下去。”</blockquote></p><p> “Markets may remain volatile as they attempt to adjust to the rapidly&nbsp;evolving information flow during the ongoing recovery from the pandemic,” but those factors “should not be disruptive of markets longer term.”</p><p><blockquote>“在从大流行中持续复苏的过程中，市场试图适应快速变化的信息流，可能会保持波动”，但这些因素“不应对市场造成长期破坏”。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> also have been keeping an eye on delta-driven COVID infections. The U.S. leads the world with a total of 33.85 million COVID cases and in deaths with 607,156. Dr. Anthony Fauci said on Monday thatboosters weren’t needed for now, but duringa Sunday CNN inview said it was “horrifying”to see conservatives cheer for low vaccination rates, blaming “ideological rigidity” for hobbling the fight against the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">投资者</a>也一直在关注delta驱动的COVID感染。美国以3385万例COVID病例和607156例死亡位居世界第一。安东尼·福奇博士周一表示，目前不需要加强剂，但周日CNN inview表示，看到保守派为低疫苗接种率欢呼是“令人震惊的”，并指责“意识形态僵化”阻碍了抗击疫情的斗争。</blockquote></p><p> “We have long warned that vaccinations would be unlikely to trigger a smooth transition to normalcy,” Ben May, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXM\">Oxford</a> Economics’ director of global macro research wrote Monday.</p><p><blockquote>“我们长期以来一直警告说，疫苗接种不太可能引发向正常状态的平稳过渡，”本·梅说，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXM\">牛津大学</a>经济学全球宏观研究总监周一写道。</blockquote></p><p> No key data were on deck Monday ahead of a busy week in economic reports, starting with a reading of consumer prices on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>在经济报告繁忙的一周之前，周一没有关键数据公布，首先是周二的消费者价格数据。</blockquote></p><p> Separately, investors also were focused on discussions among finance ministers from the G-20, who are trying to assess the potential implications of a proposal for a global minimum tax.</p><p><blockquote>另外，投资者还关注20国集团财长之间的讨论，他们正试图评估全球最低税提案的潜在影响。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “We need sustainable sources of revenue that do not rely on further taxing workers’ wages and exacerbating the economic disparities that we are all committed to reducing,” U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said in a speech to European Union countries about revamping the corporate tax code internationally.</p><p><blockquote>“我们需要可持续的收入来源，而不是依赖于进一步对工人工资征税和加剧我们都致力于缩小的经济差距，”美国财政部长珍妮特·耶伦在向欧盟国家发表的关于修改国际企业税法的讲话中表示。</blockquote></p><p> “We need to put an end to corporations shifting capital income to low tax jurisdictions, and to accounting gimmicks that allow them to avoid paying their fair share,” she said.</p><p><blockquote>她说：“我们需要制止企业将资本收入转移到低税收管辖区，以及让他们逃避支付公平份额的会计噱头。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Which companies were in focus?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>哪些公司成为焦点？</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a> Inc</b>.AVGO,+1.16%shares rose 1.2% Monday afterThe Wall Street Journal reportedthe chip and software company was in talks to buy SAS Institute Inc. in a deal that could value the smashup at $15 billion to $20 billion.</li>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc</b>.AAPL,-0.42%&nbsp;shares fell 0.4% a day after a Delaware federal judgedismissed a Blix Inc. suit,saying it failed to demonstrate how Apple harmed competition in the mobile operating system market.</li>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LB\">L Brands Inc</a></b>.LB,+4.16%&nbsp;said it’s separating into two publiclytraded businesses next month, with theVictoria’s Secret &amp; Co.‘s underwear unit as “VSCO,” while the Bath &amp; BodyWorks Inc. arm under the “BBWI” ticker, starting Aug. 3.</li>  <li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">GameStop</a>&nbsp;Inc</b>.GME,-1.04%shares shed 1% Monday after Ascendiant Capital Markets lifted its 12-month price target to $25 from $10, but still nowhere near the company’s $189.25 closing price Monday.</li>  <li>Weber, the maker of outdoor grills,has filed to go public, nearly 50 years after it’s iconic dome-like grill was made. Shares are set to&nbsp;trade on the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">New York</a> Stock Exchange under the ticker WEBR.</li>  <li>Shares of<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE.WS\">Virgin Galactic Holdings Inc</a>.</b>&nbsp;SPCEskid 17.3% Monday, it’s largest daily percent slump since March 16, 2020, a day after founder Richard Branson and five crewmates successfully flew into&nbsp;suborbital space on the company’s VSS <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNTY\">Unity</a>&nbsp;rocket-powered spaceplane.</li>  <li><b>Couchbase Inc</b>.&nbsp;BASE,&nbsp;a provider of a database for enterprise applications, set terms for its initial public offering on Monday, with plans to offer 7 million shares, priced at $20 to $23 each. The company has applied to list on Nasdaq, under the ticker ‘BASE.’</li>  <li>Shares of<b>Moderna Inc</b>.&nbsp;MRNArose 2.8% Monday after the company said it would supply 20 million doses of its COVID-19 vaccine to Argentina.</li>  <li>Shares of<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SWI\">SolarWinds Corp</a>.</b>&nbsp;SWI&nbsp;were 1.8% lower Monday, even after the information technology infrastructure management software company provided an upbeat second-quarter revenue outlook.</li> </ul> <b>How did other assets trade?</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AVGO\">Broadcom</a>Inc</b>.AVGO,+1.16%据《华尔街日报》报道，这家芯片和软件公司正在就收购SAS Institute Inc.进行谈判，这笔交易的估值可能达到150亿至200亿美元，周一股价上涨1.2%。</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>Inc</b>特拉华联邦法官驳回了Blix Inc.的诉讼，称该诉讼未能证明苹果如何损害了移动操作系统市场的竞争，该公司股价一天下跌0.4%。</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LB\">L品牌公司</a></b>.LB,+4.16%表示，将于下个月分拆为两家上市公司，维多利亚的秘密(Victoria's Secret&amp;Co.)的内衣部门将更名为“VSCO”，而Bath&amp;BodyWorks Inc.的子公司将更名为“BBWI”，股票代码为“BBWI”，从8月3日开始。</li><li><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GME\">游戏驿站</a>Inc</b>.GME,-1.04%周一，Ascendiant Capital Markets将其12个月目标价从10美元上调至25美元，但仍远未接近该公司周一189.25美元的收盘价。</li><li>户外烤架制造商韦伯(Weber)已申请上市，距其标志性的圆顶状烤架问世已近50年。股票将于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NWY\">纽约</a>证券交易所，股票代码为WEBR。</li><li>本公司之股份<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPCE.WS\">维珍银河控股公司</a>.</b>SPCEskid周一下跌17.3%，这是自2020年3月16日以来的最大单日跌幅，此前一天创始人理查德·布兰森(Richard Branson)和五名机组人员乘坐该公司的VSS成功飞入亚轨道空间<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UNTY\">团结</a>火箭动力太空飞机。</li><li><b>沙发基地公司</b>企业应用数据库提供商.BASE周一设定了首次公开募股的条款，计划发行700万股，每股定价20至23美元。该公司已申请在纳斯达克上市，股票代码为“BASE”。</li><li>本公司之股份<b>现代公司</b>.MRNA周一上涨2.8%，此前该公司表示将向阿根廷供应2000万剂COVID-19疫苗。</li><li>本公司之股份<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SWI\">SolarWinds公司</a>.</b>尽管这家信息技术基础设施管理软件公司提供了乐观的第二季度收入前景，SWI周一仍下跌1.8%。</li></ul><b>其他资产是如何交易的？</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>The ICE U.S. Dollar Index&nbsp;DXY,&nbsp;a measure of the currency against six major rivals, was up 0.1%.</li>  <li>Oil futures closed lower Monday, with the U.S. benchmark&nbsp;CL00&nbsp;CL.1,-0.51%down 0.6% settling at $74.10 a barrel. Gold&nbsp;GC00&nbsp;settled 0.3% lower at $1,805.90 an ounce.</li>  <li>In European equities, the Stoxx Europe 600&nbsp;SXXP&nbsp;closed 0.7% higher, while London’s <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.100.UK\">FTSE 100</a>&nbsp;UKX&nbsp;finished up 0.05% on Monday.</li>  <li>In <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00662\">Asia</a>, the Shanghai Composite&nbsp;SHCOMP&nbsp;gained 0.7%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index&nbsp;HSI&nbsp;rose 0.6% on the session and Japan’s Nikkei 225&nbsp;NIK&nbsp;rallied 2.3% on Monday.</li> </ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>衡量美元兑六个主要竞争对手的ICE美元指数DXY上涨0.1%。</li><li>石油期货周一收盘走低，美国基准Cl 00 Cl.1,-0.51%下跌0.6%，收于每桶74.10美元。黄金GC 00收跌0.3%，报每盎司1805.90美元。</li><li>欧洲股市方面，斯托克欧洲600指数收盘上涨0.7%，而伦敦股市收盘上涨0.7%<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.100.UK\">富时100</a>UKX周一收盘上涨0.05%。</li><li>在<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00662\">亚洲</a>周一，上证综指上涨0.7%，恒生指数恒生指数上涨0.6%，日经225指数上涨2.3%。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dow-set-for-pullback-from-records-tech-stocks-seen-buoyant-as-investors-await-earnings-powell-and-fresh-inflation-data-11626089989?mod=hp_LATEST\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/dow-set-for-pullback-from-records-tech-stocks-seen-buoyant-as-investors-await-earnings-powell-and-fresh-inflation-data-11626089989?mod=hp_LATEST","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1119839711","content_text":"Dow ends just shy of 35,000 milestone.\n\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500 index and Nasdaq Composite on Monday advanced to back-to-back record finishes, starting the week the way the ended last week.\nThe record finish comes as investors await semiannual testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell beginning Wednesday and a batch of economic reports throughout the week, the unofficial start of corporate quarterly results.\nHow did stock benchmarks end?\n\nThe Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,+0.36%rose 126.02 points, or 0.4%, to end at a record 34,996.18.\nS&P 500 indexSPX,+0.35%added 15.08 points, or 0.4%, closing at a record 4,384.63, after touching an intraday high at 4,386.68.\nNasdaq Composite IndexCOMP,+0.21%advanced 31.32 points, or 0.2%, finishing at a record 14,733.24, after establishing an intraday all-time high at 14,761.08.\n\nOn Friday, the Dow and S&P 500 finished the session at record highs, booking weekly gains of about 0.2% and 0.4%, respectively. The Nasdaq Composite finished the week at an all-time high with a 0.4% weekly gain.\nWhat drove the market?\nMajor stock indexes rose to back-to-back closing records on Monday. The advance came ahead of a number of key events that could serve as catalysts later in the week, including the unofficial start of earnings season, whichJPMorgan Chase & Co.JPM,+1.43%will kick off Tuesday, Powell’s testimony on Capitol Hill, and fresh readings on inflation.\n“People are thinking earnings are going to be strong and that may propel the market higher,” said John Carey, director of Equity Income at Amundi U.S., adding that, for now, earnings have overshadowed uncertainty in Washington over planned infrastructure spending and potentially higher corporate taxes.\n“Most people seem to be focused on the strength of the economy and the possibility of better earnings to support stock prices, which are definitely at high levels,” Carey told MarketWatch.\nEquity markets experienced a bout of turbulence last week before ending with a flourish, prompted partly by a drop in Treasury yields. Lower-bound rates for government debt had raised questions about the outlook for the U.S. economy in the recovery from the pandemic. The spread of the delta variant of COVID-19 has emerged as a concern, but so has the lofty valuations assigned to some segments of the market.\nQuestions about the Fed’s monetary policy in the face of growing evidence of percolating inflation also have been blamed for some of the rocky trading.\nYields for the 10-yearTMUBMUSD10Y,1.365%edged up less than a basis point to 1.362% on Monday, while the 30-year Treasury yieldsTMUBMUSD30Y,2.000%advanced by 1.2 basis points to 1.993%, near lows last seen in February.\nFederal Reserve Bank ofNew York President John Williams told reportersMonday that conditions for scaling back its $120 billion a month bond-buying stimulus program have yet to be met.\nAlthough inflation and peak growth concerns continue to percolate andworry U.S. households, some strategists said those concerns may be “over-hyped” for markets.\n“Both the previous inflation concerns and the current peak growth concerns are likely over-extrapolated reflections of near-term trends that will not persist,” Glenmede’s team led by Jason Pride and Michael Reynolds, wrote in a Monday note.\n“Markets may remain volatile as they attempt to adjust to the rapidly evolving information flow during the ongoing recovery from the pandemic,” but those factors “should not be disruptive of markets longer term.”\nInvestors also have been keeping an eye on delta-driven COVID infections. The U.S. leads the world with a total of 33.85 million COVID cases and in deaths with 607,156. Dr. Anthony Fauci said on Monday thatboosters weren’t needed for now, but duringa Sunday CNN inview said it was “horrifying”to see conservatives cheer for low vaccination rates, blaming “ideological rigidity” for hobbling the fight against the pandemic.\n“We have long warned that vaccinations would be unlikely to trigger a smooth transition to normalcy,” Ben May, Oxford Economics’ director of global macro research wrote Monday.\nNo key data were on deck Monday ahead of a busy week in economic reports, starting with a reading of consumer prices on Tuesday.\nSeparately, investors also were focused on discussions among finance ministers from the G-20, who are trying to assess the potential implications of a proposal for a global minimum tax.\n“We need sustainable sources of revenue that do not rely on further taxing workers’ wages and exacerbating the economic disparities that we are all committed to reducing,” U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said in a speech to European Union countries about revamping the corporate tax code internationally.\n“We need to put an end to corporations shifting capital income to low tax jurisdictions, and to accounting gimmicks that allow them to avoid paying their fair share,” she said.\nWhich companies were in focus?\n\nBroadcom Inc.AVGO,+1.16%shares rose 1.2% Monday afterThe Wall Street Journal reportedthe chip and software company was in talks to buy SAS Institute Inc. in a deal that could value the smashup at $15 billion to $20 billion.\nApple Inc.AAPL,-0.42% shares fell 0.4% a day after a Delaware federal judgedismissed a Blix Inc. suit,saying it failed to demonstrate how Apple harmed competition in the mobile operating system market.\nL Brands Inc.LB,+4.16% said it’s separating into two publiclytraded businesses next month, with theVictoria’s Secret & Co.‘s underwear unit as “VSCO,” while the Bath & BodyWorks Inc. arm under the “BBWI” ticker, starting Aug. 3.\nGameStop Inc.GME,-1.04%shares shed 1% Monday after Ascendiant Capital Markets lifted its 12-month price target to $25 from $10, but still nowhere near the company’s $189.25 closing price Monday.\nWeber, the maker of outdoor grills,has filed to go public, nearly 50 years after it’s iconic dome-like grill was made. Shares are set to trade on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker WEBR.\nShares ofVirgin Galactic Holdings Inc. SPCEskid 17.3% Monday, it’s largest daily percent slump since March 16, 2020, a day after founder Richard Branson and five crewmates successfully flew into suborbital space on the company’s VSS Unity rocket-powered spaceplane.\nCouchbase Inc. BASE, a provider of a database for enterprise applications, set terms for its initial public offering on Monday, with plans to offer 7 million shares, priced at $20 to $23 each. The company has applied to list on Nasdaq, under the ticker ‘BASE.’\nShares ofModerna Inc. MRNArose 2.8% Monday after the company said it would supply 20 million doses of its COVID-19 vaccine to Argentina.\nShares ofSolarWinds Corp. SWI were 1.8% lower Monday, even after the information technology infrastructure management software company provided an upbeat second-quarter revenue outlook.\n\nHow did other assets trade?\n\nThe ICE U.S. Dollar Index DXY, a measure of the currency against six major rivals, was up 0.1%.\nOil futures closed lower Monday, with the U.S. benchmark CL00 CL.1,-0.51%down 0.6% settling at $74.10 a barrel. Gold GC00 settled 0.3% lower at $1,805.90 an ounce.\nIn European equities, the Stoxx Europe 600 SXXP closed 0.7% higher, while London’s FTSE 100 UKX finished up 0.05% on Monday.\nIn Asia, the Shanghai Composite SHCOMP gained 0.7%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index HSI rose 0.6% on the session and Japan’s Nikkei 225 NIK rallied 2.3% on Monday.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2158,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":146393231,"gmtCreate":1626052531223,"gmtModify":1631889975419,"author":{"id":"3578099872805879","authorId":"3578099872805879","name":"33c3eb1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578099872805879","idStr":"3578099872805879"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like and reply.&nbsp;","listText":"Please like and reply.&nbsp;","text":"Please like and reply.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/146393231","repostId":"1114863871","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2046,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":154389544,"gmtCreate":1625479550488,"gmtModify":1631889975429,"author":{"id":"3578099872805879","authorId":"3578099872805879","name":"33c3eb1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578099872805879","idStr":"3578099872805879"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"BSE?&nbsp;","listText":"BSE?&nbsp;","text":"BSE?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/154389544","repostId":"1158171433","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3248,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":125894169,"gmtCreate":1624667002251,"gmtModify":1631889975440,"author":{"id":"3578099872805879","authorId":"3578099872805879","name":"33c3eb1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578099872805879","idStr":"3578099872805879"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like and reply.&nbsp;","listText":"Please like and reply.&nbsp;","text":"Please like and reply.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/125894169","repostId":"2146036420","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1652,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":125905751,"gmtCreate":1624639214573,"gmtModify":1631889975452,"author":{"id":"3578099872805879","authorId":"3578099872805879","name":"33c3eb1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578099872805879","idStr":"3578099872805879"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like and comment.&nbsp;","listText":"Please like and comment.&nbsp;","text":"Please like and comment.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/125905751","repostId":"2146023165","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":397,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169777336,"gmtCreate":1623852369025,"gmtModify":1631883954402,"author":{"id":"3578099872805879","authorId":"3578099872805879","name":"33c3eb1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578099872805879","idStr":"3578099872805879"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Best to hold on and wait it out! Like and reply.&nbsp;","listText":"Best to hold on and wait it out! Like and reply.&nbsp;","text":"Best to hold on and wait it out! Like and reply.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169777336","repostId":"1138545791","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138545791","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1623850706,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1138545791?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-16 21:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"General Motors shares surges more than 3% in moring trading<blockquote>通用汽车股价早盘飙升逾3%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138545791","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"General Motors shares surges more than 3% in moring trading.\nGeneral Motors said on Wednesday it wil","content":"<p>General Motors&nbsp;shares&nbsp;surges&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;3%&nbsp;in&nbsp;moring&nbsp;trading.</p><p><blockquote>通用汽车股价在早盘交易中飙升超过3%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62c4e8e4eca776efaebd98402c5b199b\" tg-width=\"801\" tg-height=\"594\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">General Motors&nbsp;said on Wednesday it will increase spending on electric and autonomous vehicles to $35 billion through 2025, a 30% increase from plans announced late last year. It also said it is raising its earnings guidance for the first half of the year.</p><p><blockquote>通用汽车周三表示，到2025年，将把电动和自动驾驶汽车的支出增加到350亿美元，比去年年底宣布的计划增加30%。该公司还表示，将上调今年上半年的盈利指引。</blockquote></p><p> The additional money will be used to&nbsp;expand its rollout of EVs and accelerate production of its battery and fuel cell technologies, including two new U.S. battery plants in addition to two that are currently under construction.</p><p><blockquote>额外的资金将用于扩大其电动汽车的推出并加速其电池和燃料电池技术的生产，除了目前正在建设的两家电池工厂之外，还包括两家新的美国电池工厂。</blockquote></p><p> America's largest automaker is racing to catch up to EV leaderTeslaand compete for a leadership position against other well-established automakers such asVolkswagen. GM plans to sell more than 1 million EVs annually by 2025.</p><p><blockquote>美国最大的汽车制造商正在竞相追赶电动汽车领导者特斯拉，并与大众汽车等其他知名汽车制造商争夺领导地位。通用汽车计划到2025年每年销售超过100万辆电动汽车。</blockquote></p><p> \"We are investing aggressively in a comprehensive and highly-integrated plan to make sure that GM leads in all aspects of the transformation to a more sustainable future,\" GM CEOMary Barrasaid in a statement.</p><p><blockquote>通用汽车首席执行官玛丽·巴拉在一份声明中表示：“我们正在积极投资一项全面且高度整合的计划，以确保通用汽车在向更可持续未来转型的各个方面处于领先地位。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>General Motors shares surges more than 3% in moring trading<blockquote>通用汽车股价早盘飙升逾3%</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGeneral Motors shares surges more than 3% in moring trading<blockquote>通用汽车股价早盘飙升逾3%</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-16 21:38</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>General Motors&nbsp;shares&nbsp;surges&nbsp;more&nbsp;than&nbsp;3%&nbsp;in&nbsp;moring&nbsp;trading.</p><p><blockquote>通用汽车股价在早盘交易中飙升超过3%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/62c4e8e4eca776efaebd98402c5b199b\" tg-width=\"801\" tg-height=\"594\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">General Motors&nbsp;said on Wednesday it will increase spending on electric and autonomous vehicles to $35 billion through 2025, a 30% increase from plans announced late last year. It also said it is raising its earnings guidance for the first half of the year.</p><p><blockquote>通用汽车周三表示，到2025年，将把电动和自动驾驶汽车的支出增加到350亿美元，比去年年底宣布的计划增加30%。该公司还表示，将上调今年上半年的盈利指引。</blockquote></p><p> The additional money will be used to&nbsp;expand its rollout of EVs and accelerate production of its battery and fuel cell technologies, including two new U.S. battery plants in addition to two that are currently under construction.</p><p><blockquote>额外的资金将用于扩大其电动汽车的推出并加速其电池和燃料电池技术的生产，除了目前正在建设的两家电池工厂之外，还包括两家新的美国电池工厂。</blockquote></p><p> America's largest automaker is racing to catch up to EV leaderTeslaand compete for a leadership position against other well-established automakers such asVolkswagen. GM plans to sell more than 1 million EVs annually by 2025.</p><p><blockquote>美国最大的汽车制造商正在竞相追赶电动汽车领导者特斯拉，并与大众汽车等其他知名汽车制造商争夺领导地位。通用汽车计划到2025年每年销售超过100万辆电动汽车。</blockquote></p><p> \"We are investing aggressively in a comprehensive and highly-integrated plan to make sure that GM leads in all aspects of the transformation to a more sustainable future,\" GM CEOMary Barrasaid in a statement.</p><p><blockquote>通用汽车首席执行官玛丽·巴拉在一份声明中表示：“我们正在积极投资一项全面且高度整合的计划，以确保通用汽车在向更可持续未来转型的各个方面处于领先地位。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GM":"通用汽车"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138545791","content_text":"General Motors shares surges more than 3% in moring trading.\nGeneral Motors said on Wednesday it will increase spending on electric and autonomous vehicles to $35 billion through 2025, a 30% increase from plans announced late last year. It also said it is raising its earnings guidance for the first half of the year.\nThe additional money will be used to expand its rollout of EVs and accelerate production of its battery and fuel cell technologies, including two new U.S. battery plants in addition to two that are currently under construction.\nAmerica's largest automaker is racing to catch up to EV leaderTeslaand compete for a leadership position against other well-established automakers such asVolkswagen. GM plans to sell more than 1 million EVs annually by 2025.\n\"We are investing aggressively in a comprehensive and highly-integrated plan to make sure that GM leads in all aspects of the transformation to a more sustainable future,\" GM CEOMary Barrasaid in a statement.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":506,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185116468,"gmtCreate":1623636382054,"gmtModify":1631889975466,"author":{"id":"3578099872805879","authorId":"3578099872805879","name":"33c3eb1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578099872805879","idStr":"3578099872805879"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"PLTR seems better especially with their recent investments. Please like and reply.&nbsp;","listText":"PLTR seems better especially with their recent investments. Please like and reply.&nbsp;","text":"PLTR seems better especially with their recent investments. Please like and reply.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/185116468","repostId":"1180874867","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1180874867","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623635718,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1180874867?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-14 09:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir vs. C3.ai: Which Is the Better Artificial Intelligence Stock?<blockquote>Palantir与C3.ai：哪个是更好的人工智能股票？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180874867","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"One is controversial; the other is exposed to more macro headwinds.","content":"<p><b>Palantir</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:PLTR)&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>C3.ai</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:AI)&nbsp;both help organizations and companies crunch data with AI-powered tools.</p><p><blockquote><b>Palantir</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：PLTR）和<b>C3.人工智能</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：AI）都帮助组织和公司使用人工智能工具处理数据。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir, which generates more than half its revenue from government contracts, wants its Gotham platform to become the \"default operating system for data\" across the U.S. government. Its Foundry platform provides data-mining tools to large commercial customers.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir一半以上的收入来自政府合同，它希望其Gotham平台成为美国政府的“数据默认操作系统”。其代工平台为大型商业客户提供数据挖掘工具。</blockquote></p><p> C3.ai serves a wide range of clients across the commercial, industrial, and government sectors. It generates most of its revenue from energy giants like&nbsp;<b>Baker Hughes</b>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>ENGIE</b>.</p><p><blockquote>C3.ai为商业、工业和政府部门的广泛客户提供服务。它的大部分收入来自能源巨头，例如<b>贝克休斯</b>和<b>ENGIE</b>.</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0f7a2339e0b8de3ba56318f8cab73d4\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1076\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Palantir -- which went public via a&nbsp;direct listing&nbsp;last September -- started trading at $10 per share, surged to the high $30s in February, and now trades in the mid-$20s. C3.ai went public at $42 per share via an IPO last December, opened at $100 on the first day, but now trades in the low $60s.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir去年9月通过直接上市上市，开始交易价格为每股10美元，2月份飙升至30美元的高位，目前交易价格为20美元左右。C3.ai去年12月通过IPO以每股42美元的价格上市，首日开盘价为100美元，但现在交易价格在60美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> Both stocks have underperformed the S&amp;P 500 this year as investors have been moving from growth to value stocks, but is one of these companies a better long-term play on the&nbsp;booming AI market?</p><p><blockquote>随着投资者从成长型股票转向价值型股票，这两只股票今年的表现都逊于标普500，但在蓬勃发展的人工智能市场上，这些公司之一是否是更好的长期投资呢？</blockquote></p><p> <b>The differences between Palantir and C3.ai</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Palantir和C3.ai的区别</b></blockquote></p><p> Palantir, which is named after the all-seeing orbs from<i>The Lord of the Ring</i>s, helps organizations accumulate data on individuals from disparate sources, then processes it with algorithms to make data-driven decisions.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir，以全视球体命名<i>指环王</i>s，帮助组织从不同来源积累个人数据，然后用算法处理这些数据以做出数据驱动的决策。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir's biggest customer is the U.S. government, and its tools are used by the CIA, FBI, ICE, and all branches of the military. Its technology was reportedly used to hunt down Osama bin Laden in 2011, but it was also used by ICE in recent years to locate and deport undocumented immigrants.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir最大的客户是美国政府，其工具被CIA、FBI、ICE和军队的所有部门使用。据报道，它的技术在2011年被用来追捕奥萨马·本·拉登，但近年来也被ICE用来定位和驱逐无证移民。</blockquote></p><p> C3.ai initially only served energy companies before expanding into other markets. Unlike Palantir, which gathers data from external and internal sources, C3.ai mainly uses a company's internal operations.</p><p><blockquote>C3.ai最初只服务于能源公司，然后扩展到其他市场。与Palantir从外部和内部来源收集数据不同，C3.ai主要使用公司的内部运营。</blockquote></p><p> C3.ai's algorithms can schedule maintenance routines, detect fraud, optimize inventories, and improve CRM (customer relationship management) systems. In short, it's a lot less controversial bet than Palantir.</p><p><blockquote>C3.ai的算法可以安排日常维护、检测欺诈、优化库存和改进CRM（客户关系管理）系统。简而言之，这是一个比Palantir争议小得多的赌注。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How fast is Palantir growing?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Palantir的增长速度有多快？</b></blockquote></p><p> Palantir's revenue increased 47% to $1.1 billion&nbsp;in 2020. Its government revenue rose 77% as its commercial revenue grew 22%.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir的收入在2020年增长了47%，达到11亿美元。其政府收入增长77%，商业收入增长22%。</blockquote></p><p> It expanded its government contracts with the FDA, U.S. Army, and&nbsp;U.S. Air Force, and its commercial business attracted big customers including&nbsp;<b>Rio Tinto</b>,<b>PG&amp;E</b>, and&nbsp;<b>BP</b>. Its adjusted gross and operating margins expanded, but it still posted a net loss of $1.2 billion -- compared to a loss of $580 million in 2019.</p><p><blockquote>它扩大了与FDA、美国陆军和美国的政府合同。空军，其商业业务吸引了包括<b>力拓</b>,<b>宝洁公司</b>，和<b>BP</b>.其调整后的毛利率和营业利润率有所扩大，但仍录得12亿美元的净亏损，而2019年的亏损为5.8亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> In the first quarter of 2021, Palantir's revenue rose 49% year-over-year to $341 million, with 76% growth in its government business and 19% growth in its commercial business. Its adjusted gross and operating margins expanded again, but its net loss again widened, from $54.3 million to $123.5 million. On the bright side, its&nbsp;adjusted EBITDA&nbsp;turned positive with a profit of $119.8 million -- but that excludes its stock-based compensation and a lot of \"one time\" expenses.</p><p><blockquote>2021年第一季度，Palantir的收入同比增长49%至3.41亿美元，其中政府业务增长76%，商业业务增长19%。其调整后的毛利率和营业利润率再次扩大，但净亏损再次扩大，从5430万美元扩大到1.235亿美元。好的一面是，其调整后EBITDA转为正值，利润为1.198亿美元，但这不包括其基于股票的薪酬和大量“一次性”费用。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street expects Palantir's revenue to rise 35% this year, while the company expects its annual revenue to increase more than 30% every year through 2025. That confident outlook indicates a belief that its government business will remain stable as it gradually gains more commercial customers, but the company could remain steeped in controversy about data-gathering and deeply unprofitable for years to come.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街预计Palantir今年的收入将增长35%，而该公司预计到2025年，其年收入将每年增长30%以上。这种自信的前景表明，随着逐渐获得更多商业客户，人们相信其政府业务将保持稳定，但该公司可能仍沉浸在有关数据收集的争议中，并且在未来几年将严重无利可图。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How fast is C3.ai growing?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>C3.ai的增长有多快？</b></blockquote></p><p> C3.ai's revenue rose 17% to $183.2 million in&nbsp;fiscal 2021, which ended in April. That marked a significant slowdown from its 71% growth in 2020, mainly due to pandemic-related disruptions of the energy and industrial sectors.</p><p><blockquote>截至4月份的2021财年，C3.ai的收入增长了17%，达到1.832亿美元。这比2020年71%的增长显着放缓，主要是由于能源和工业部门与大流行相关的中断。</blockquote></p><p> Its average contract value also decreased from $12.1 million in 2020 to $7.2 million in 2021, even as it initiated new enterprise AI projects with big customers like&nbsp;<b>3M</b>,<b>Consolidated Edison</b>,<b>Shell</b>, and the New York Power Authority. But its total number of customers rose 82% to 89 at the end of the year, which indicates its business could recover quickly after the pandemic ends. It expects its revenue to increase 33% to 35% in the current fiscal year.</p><p><blockquote>其平均合同价值也从2020年的1210万美元下降到2021年的720万美元，尽管它与大客户如<b>3M</b>,<b>联合爱迪生</b>,<b>壳牌</b>和纽约电力局。但到年底，其客户总数增长了82%，达到89家，这表明疫情结束后其业务可能会迅速恢复。预计本财年收入将增长33%至35%。</blockquote></p><p> C3.ai's adjusted gross margin stayed flat in fiscal 2021 as its operating margin remained in the red, but its net loss narrowed year-over-year from $69.4 million to $55.7 million. It doesn't calculate its profits in adjusted EBITDA terms, and analysts expect it to stay unprofitable for the foreseeable future.</p><p><blockquote>由于营业利润率仍处于亏损状态，C3.ai的调整后毛利率在2021财年持平，但净亏损同比从6940万美元收窄至5570万美元。它没有以调整后的EBITDA计算利润，分析师预计在可预见的未来，它将保持无利可图。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The valuations and verdict</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值及判决</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Palantir and C3.ai trade at 31 and 26 times this year's sales, respectively. Those high price-to-sales ratios indicate neither stock is cheap in this market, especially as&nbsp;investors rotate&nbsp;from growth to value stocks.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir和C3.ai的交易价格分别是今年销售额的31倍和26倍。这些高市销率表明这两只股票在这个市场上都不便宜，特别是当投资者从成长型股票转向价值型股票时。</blockquote></p><p> That said, it makes more sense to invest in the company that is more dependent on stable government customers than the one that relies heavily on the macro-sensitive energy and industrial sectors. It also makes more sense to invest in the company with superior revenue growth if both stocks are trading at comparable price-to-sales ratios.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，投资更依赖稳定政府客户的公司比投资严重依赖宏观敏感的能源和工业部门的公司更有意义。如果两只股票的市销率相当，那么投资收入增长优异的公司也更有意义。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, Palantir might be more controversial than C3.ai, but I believe it's the better growth play in the AI market. C3.ai's long-term prospects still look bright, but its stock remains too expensive relative to its growth.</p><p><blockquote>因此，Palantir可能比C3.ai更具争议，但我相信它是人工智能市场上更好的增长游戏。C3.ai的长期前景看起来仍然光明，但相对于其增长而言，其股票仍然过于昂贵。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir vs. C3.ai: Which Is the Better Artificial Intelligence Stock?<blockquote>Palantir与C3.ai：哪个是更好的人工智能股票？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir vs. C3.ai: Which Is the Better Artificial Intelligence Stock?<blockquote>Palantir与C3.ai：哪个是更好的人工智能股票？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-14 09:55</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Palantir</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:PLTR)&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>C3.ai</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:AI)&nbsp;both help organizations and companies crunch data with AI-powered tools.</p><p><blockquote><b>Palantir</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：PLTR）和<b>C3.人工智能</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：AI）都帮助组织和公司使用人工智能工具处理数据。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir, which generates more than half its revenue from government contracts, wants its Gotham platform to become the \"default operating system for data\" across the U.S. government. Its Foundry platform provides data-mining tools to large commercial customers.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir一半以上的收入来自政府合同，它希望其Gotham平台成为美国政府的“数据默认操作系统”。其代工平台为大型商业客户提供数据挖掘工具。</blockquote></p><p> C3.ai serves a wide range of clients across the commercial, industrial, and government sectors. It generates most of its revenue from energy giants like&nbsp;<b>Baker Hughes</b>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>ENGIE</b>.</p><p><blockquote>C3.ai为商业、工业和政府部门的广泛客户提供服务。它的大部分收入来自能源巨头，例如<b>贝克休斯</b>和<b>ENGIE</b>.</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0f7a2339e0b8de3ba56318f8cab73d4\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1076\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Palantir -- which went public via a&nbsp;direct listing&nbsp;last September -- started trading at $10 per share, surged to the high $30s in February, and now trades in the mid-$20s. C3.ai went public at $42 per share via an IPO last December, opened at $100 on the first day, but now trades in the low $60s.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir去年9月通过直接上市上市，开始交易价格为每股10美元，2月份飙升至30美元的高位，目前交易价格为20美元左右。C3.ai去年12月通过IPO以每股42美元的价格上市，首日开盘价为100美元，但现在交易价格在60美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> Both stocks have underperformed the S&amp;P 500 this year as investors have been moving from growth to value stocks, but is one of these companies a better long-term play on the&nbsp;booming AI market?</p><p><blockquote>随着投资者从成长型股票转向价值型股票，这两只股票今年的表现都逊于标普500，但在蓬勃发展的人工智能市场上，这些公司之一是否是更好的长期投资呢？</blockquote></p><p> <b>The differences between Palantir and C3.ai</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Palantir和C3.ai的区别</b></blockquote></p><p> Palantir, which is named after the all-seeing orbs from<i>The Lord of the Ring</i>s, helps organizations accumulate data on individuals from disparate sources, then processes it with algorithms to make data-driven decisions.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir，以全视球体命名<i>指环王</i>s，帮助组织从不同来源积累个人数据，然后用算法处理这些数据以做出数据驱动的决策。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir's biggest customer is the U.S. government, and its tools are used by the CIA, FBI, ICE, and all branches of the military. Its technology was reportedly used to hunt down Osama bin Laden in 2011, but it was also used by ICE in recent years to locate and deport undocumented immigrants.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir最大的客户是美国政府，其工具被CIA、FBI、ICE和军队的所有部门使用。据报道，它的技术在2011年被用来追捕奥萨马·本·拉登，但近年来也被ICE用来定位和驱逐无证移民。</blockquote></p><p> C3.ai initially only served energy companies before expanding into other markets. Unlike Palantir, which gathers data from external and internal sources, C3.ai mainly uses a company's internal operations.</p><p><blockquote>C3.ai最初只服务于能源公司，然后扩展到其他市场。与Palantir从外部和内部来源收集数据不同，C3.ai主要使用公司的内部运营。</blockquote></p><p> C3.ai's algorithms can schedule maintenance routines, detect fraud, optimize inventories, and improve CRM (customer relationship management) systems. In short, it's a lot less controversial bet than Palantir.</p><p><blockquote>C3.ai的算法可以安排日常维护、检测欺诈、优化库存和改进CRM（客户关系管理）系统。简而言之，这是一个比Palantir争议小得多的赌注。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How fast is Palantir growing?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Palantir的增长速度有多快？</b></blockquote></p><p> Palantir's revenue increased 47% to $1.1 billion&nbsp;in 2020. Its government revenue rose 77% as its commercial revenue grew 22%.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir的收入在2020年增长了47%，达到11亿美元。其政府收入增长77%，商业收入增长22%。</blockquote></p><p> It expanded its government contracts with the FDA, U.S. Army, and&nbsp;U.S. Air Force, and its commercial business attracted big customers including&nbsp;<b>Rio Tinto</b>,<b>PG&amp;E</b>, and&nbsp;<b>BP</b>. Its adjusted gross and operating margins expanded, but it still posted a net loss of $1.2 billion -- compared to a loss of $580 million in 2019.</p><p><blockquote>它扩大了与FDA、美国陆军和美国的政府合同。空军，其商业业务吸引了包括<b>力拓</b>,<b>宝洁公司</b>，和<b>BP</b>.其调整后的毛利率和营业利润率有所扩大，但仍录得12亿美元的净亏损，而2019年的亏损为5.8亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> In the first quarter of 2021, Palantir's revenue rose 49% year-over-year to $341 million, with 76% growth in its government business and 19% growth in its commercial business. Its adjusted gross and operating margins expanded again, but its net loss again widened, from $54.3 million to $123.5 million. On the bright side, its&nbsp;adjusted EBITDA&nbsp;turned positive with a profit of $119.8 million -- but that excludes its stock-based compensation and a lot of \"one time\" expenses.</p><p><blockquote>2021年第一季度，Palantir的收入同比增长49%至3.41亿美元，其中政府业务增长76%，商业业务增长19%。其调整后的毛利率和营业利润率再次扩大，但净亏损再次扩大，从5430万美元扩大到1.235亿美元。好的一面是，其调整后EBITDA转为正值，利润为1.198亿美元，但这不包括其基于股票的薪酬和大量“一次性”费用。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street expects Palantir's revenue to rise 35% this year, while the company expects its annual revenue to increase more than 30% every year through 2025. That confident outlook indicates a belief that its government business will remain stable as it gradually gains more commercial customers, but the company could remain steeped in controversy about data-gathering and deeply unprofitable for years to come.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街预计Palantir今年的收入将增长35%，而该公司预计到2025年，其年收入将每年增长30%以上。这种自信的前景表明，随着逐渐获得更多商业客户，人们相信其政府业务将保持稳定，但该公司可能仍沉浸在有关数据收集的争议中，并且在未来几年将严重无利可图。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How fast is C3.ai growing?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>C3.ai的增长有多快？</b></blockquote></p><p> C3.ai's revenue rose 17% to $183.2 million in&nbsp;fiscal 2021, which ended in April. That marked a significant slowdown from its 71% growth in 2020, mainly due to pandemic-related disruptions of the energy and industrial sectors.</p><p><blockquote>截至4月份的2021财年，C3.ai的收入增长了17%，达到1.832亿美元。这比2020年71%的增长显着放缓，主要是由于能源和工业部门与大流行相关的中断。</blockquote></p><p> Its average contract value also decreased from $12.1 million in 2020 to $7.2 million in 2021, even as it initiated new enterprise AI projects with big customers like&nbsp;<b>3M</b>,<b>Consolidated Edison</b>,<b>Shell</b>, and the New York Power Authority. But its total number of customers rose 82% to 89 at the end of the year, which indicates its business could recover quickly after the pandemic ends. It expects its revenue to increase 33% to 35% in the current fiscal year.</p><p><blockquote>其平均合同价值也从2020年的1210万美元下降到2021年的720万美元，尽管它与大客户如<b>3M</b>,<b>联合爱迪生</b>,<b>壳牌</b>和纽约电力局。但到年底，其客户总数增长了82%，达到89家，这表明疫情结束后其业务可能会迅速恢复。预计本财年收入将增长33%至35%。</blockquote></p><p> C3.ai's adjusted gross margin stayed flat in fiscal 2021 as its operating margin remained in the red, but its net loss narrowed year-over-year from $69.4 million to $55.7 million. It doesn't calculate its profits in adjusted EBITDA terms, and analysts expect it to stay unprofitable for the foreseeable future.</p><p><blockquote>由于营业利润率仍处于亏损状态，C3.ai的调整后毛利率在2021财年持平，但净亏损同比从6940万美元收窄至5570万美元。它没有以调整后的EBITDA计算利润，分析师预计在可预见的未来，它将保持无利可图。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The valuations and verdict</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值及判决</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Palantir and C3.ai trade at 31 and 26 times this year's sales, respectively. Those high price-to-sales ratios indicate neither stock is cheap in this market, especially as&nbsp;investors rotate&nbsp;from growth to value stocks.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir和C3.ai的交易价格分别是今年销售额的31倍和26倍。这些高市销率表明这两只股票在这个市场上都不便宜，特别是当投资者从成长型股票转向价值型股票时。</blockquote></p><p> That said, it makes more sense to invest in the company that is more dependent on stable government customers than the one that relies heavily on the macro-sensitive energy and industrial sectors. It also makes more sense to invest in the company with superior revenue growth if both stocks are trading at comparable price-to-sales ratios.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，投资更依赖稳定政府客户的公司比投资严重依赖宏观敏感的能源和工业部门的公司更有意义。如果两只股票的市销率相当，那么投资收入增长优异的公司也更有意义。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, Palantir might be more controversial than C3.ai, but I believe it's the better growth play in the AI market. C3.ai's long-term prospects still look bright, but its stock remains too expensive relative to its growth.</p><p><blockquote>因此，Palantir可能比C3.ai更具争议，但我相信它是人工智能市场上更好的增长游戏。C3.ai的长期前景看起来仍然光明，但相对于其增长而言，其股票仍然过于昂贵。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/13/palantir-vs-c3ai-which-is-the-better-artificial-in/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AI":"C3.ai, Inc.","PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/13/palantir-vs-c3ai-which-is-the-better-artificial-in/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180874867","content_text":"Palantir (NYSE:PLTR) and C3.ai (NYSE:AI) both help organizations and companies crunch data with AI-powered tools.\nPalantir, which generates more than half its revenue from government contracts, wants its Gotham platform to become the \"default operating system for data\" across the U.S. government. Its Foundry platform provides data-mining tools to large commercial customers.\nC3.ai serves a wide range of clients across the commercial, industrial, and government sectors. It generates most of its revenue from energy giants like Baker Hughes and ENGIE.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nPalantir -- which went public via a direct listing last September -- started trading at $10 per share, surged to the high $30s in February, and now trades in the mid-$20s. C3.ai went public at $42 per share via an IPO last December, opened at $100 on the first day, but now trades in the low $60s.\nBoth stocks have underperformed the S&P 500 this year as investors have been moving from growth to value stocks, but is one of these companies a better long-term play on the booming AI market?\nThe differences between Palantir and C3.ai\nPalantir, which is named after the all-seeing orbs fromThe Lord of the Rings, helps organizations accumulate data on individuals from disparate sources, then processes it with algorithms to make data-driven decisions.\nPalantir's biggest customer is the U.S. government, and its tools are used by the CIA, FBI, ICE, and all branches of the military. Its technology was reportedly used to hunt down Osama bin Laden in 2011, but it was also used by ICE in recent years to locate and deport undocumented immigrants.\nC3.ai initially only served energy companies before expanding into other markets. Unlike Palantir, which gathers data from external and internal sources, C3.ai mainly uses a company's internal operations.\nC3.ai's algorithms can schedule maintenance routines, detect fraud, optimize inventories, and improve CRM (customer relationship management) systems. In short, it's a lot less controversial bet than Palantir.\nHow fast is Palantir growing?\nPalantir's revenue increased 47% to $1.1 billion in 2020. Its government revenue rose 77% as its commercial revenue grew 22%.\nIt expanded its government contracts with the FDA, U.S. Army, and U.S. Air Force, and its commercial business attracted big customers including Rio Tinto,PG&E, and BP. Its adjusted gross and operating margins expanded, but it still posted a net loss of $1.2 billion -- compared to a loss of $580 million in 2019.\nIn the first quarter of 2021, Palantir's revenue rose 49% year-over-year to $341 million, with 76% growth in its government business and 19% growth in its commercial business. Its adjusted gross and operating margins expanded again, but its net loss again widened, from $54.3 million to $123.5 million. On the bright side, its adjusted EBITDA turned positive with a profit of $119.8 million -- but that excludes its stock-based compensation and a lot of \"one time\" expenses.\nWall Street expects Palantir's revenue to rise 35% this year, while the company expects its annual revenue to increase more than 30% every year through 2025. That confident outlook indicates a belief that its government business will remain stable as it gradually gains more commercial customers, but the company could remain steeped in controversy about data-gathering and deeply unprofitable for years to come.\nHow fast is C3.ai growing?\nC3.ai's revenue rose 17% to $183.2 million in fiscal 2021, which ended in April. That marked a significant slowdown from its 71% growth in 2020, mainly due to pandemic-related disruptions of the energy and industrial sectors.\nIts average contract value also decreased from $12.1 million in 2020 to $7.2 million in 2021, even as it initiated new enterprise AI projects with big customers like 3M,Consolidated Edison,Shell, and the New York Power Authority. But its total number of customers rose 82% to 89 at the end of the year, which indicates its business could recover quickly after the pandemic ends. It expects its revenue to increase 33% to 35% in the current fiscal year.\nC3.ai's adjusted gross margin stayed flat in fiscal 2021 as its operating margin remained in the red, but its net loss narrowed year-over-year from $69.4 million to $55.7 million. It doesn't calculate its profits in adjusted EBITDA terms, and analysts expect it to stay unprofitable for the foreseeable future.\nThe valuations and verdict\nPalantir and C3.ai trade at 31 and 26 times this year's sales, respectively. Those high price-to-sales ratios indicate neither stock is cheap in this market, especially as investors rotate from growth to value stocks.\nThat said, it makes more sense to invest in the company that is more dependent on stable government customers than the one that relies heavily on the macro-sensitive energy and industrial sectors. It also makes more sense to invest in the company with superior revenue growth if both stocks are trading at comparable price-to-sales ratios.\nTherefore, Palantir might be more controversial than C3.ai, but I believe it's the better growth play in the AI market. C3.ai's long-term prospects still look bright, but its stock remains too expensive relative to its growth.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLTR":0.9,"AI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":682,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":117698459,"gmtCreate":1623135254771,"gmtModify":1631883987824,"author":{"id":"3578099872805879","authorId":"3578099872805879","name":"33c3eb1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578099872805879","idStr":"3578099872805879"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Alzheimers is a very big market. Let's hope this one succeeds. Please like and reply.&nbsp;","listText":"Alzheimers is a very big market. Let's hope this one succeeds. Please like and reply.&nbsp;","text":"Alzheimers is a very big market. Let's hope this one succeeds. Please like and reply.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/117698459","repostId":"1135714831","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":741,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":115712081,"gmtCreate":1623030705643,"gmtModify":1631889975480,"author":{"id":"3578099872805879","authorId":"3578099872805879","name":"33c3eb1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578099872805879","idStr":"3578099872805879"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Still quite risky to buy? Please like and comment.&nbsp;","listText":"Still quite risky to buy? Please like and comment.&nbsp;","text":"Still quite risky to buy? Please like and comment.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/115712081","repostId":"2141926289","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":513,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":115190254,"gmtCreate":1622956036278,"gmtModify":1631889975489,"author":{"id":"3578099872805879","authorId":"3578099872805879","name":"33c3eb1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578099872805879","idStr":"3578099872805879"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Be very wary my friends! Like and reply if you agree.&nbsp;","listText":"Be very wary my friends! Like and reply if you agree.&nbsp;","text":"Be very wary my friends! Like and reply if you agree.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/115190254","repostId":"1120164826","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120164826","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622951745,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1120164826?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-06 11:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Zillow: Significant Downside Remains<blockquote>Zillow：仍存在重大下行空间</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120164826","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nShares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my \"Take Profits\" article was publishe","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Shares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my \"Take Profits\" article was published on Seeking Alpha.</li>  <li>However, and despite a definite improvement in the latest Q1 EPS report, the stock looks to have a further downside to come.</li>  <li>That is because margins are dismal, forward adjusted EBITDA guidance for Q2 was weak (lower than Q1), and the outstanding share count continues to grow.</li>  <li>Yet, the stock still trades with a forward P/E of nearly 100x.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba2b4c631e3e6b24aaf024fb49665ea3\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Photo by Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>自从我在Seeking Alpha上发表“获利了结”文章以来，Zillow Group的股价已下跌约30%。</li><li>然而，尽管最新的第一季度每股收益报告明显改善，但该股看起来还会进一步下跌。</li><li>这是因为利润率惨淡，第二季度的前瞻性调整EBITDA指引疲弱（低于第一季度），而且流通股数量持续增长。</li><li>然而，该股的预期市盈率仍接近100倍。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Sundry Photography/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The&nbsp;<b>Zillow Group</b>&nbsp;(ZG) has, without a doubt, established itself as the #1 online real estate website and as one-stop shop for home-buying consumers. The company's recent pivot to what I'll call the iHome business (purchasing homes directly from consumers and then selling them on the open market) has been a positive catalyst of late in terms of revenue growth, and that business blends well with ZG's Mortgage Segment and Internet, Media, and Technology Segment. However, despite the recent and significant drop in the price of the shares, ZG still seem substantially overvalued in my opinion. That is because margins are - in a word - pathetic. In addition, Q2 guidance was weak and the company plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year. In my opinion, that will pressure margins even further through the remainder of the year.</p><p><blockquote>The<b>Zillow集团</b>毫无疑问，（ZG）已经成为排名第一的在线房地产网站和购房消费者的一站式商店。该公司最近转向看涨期权iHome业务（直接从消费者那里购买房屋，然后在公开市场上出售），这是最近收入增长的积极催化剂，该业务与ZG的抵押贷款业务融合得很好。部门以及互联网、媒体和技术部门。然而，尽管最近股价大幅下跌，但在我看来，ZG的估值似乎仍然被严重高估。这是因为利润率——一言以蔽之——可怜。此外，Q2指引疲弱，公司计划今年再增聘2000名员工。在我看来，这将在今年剩余时间里进一步给利润率带来压力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Rationale</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资理由</b></blockquote></p><p> Like many Americans, Zillow has become one of my favorite websites. I am surely not alone when it comes to frequently checking Zillow.com to see what the current \"Zestimate\" is for my home as well as for the homes I have owned in the past, and those of my friends and family.</p><p><blockquote>像许多美国人一样，Zillow已经成为我最喜欢的网站之一。我肯定不是唯一一个经常查看Zillow.com以了解我的家以及我过去拥有的家以及我的朋友和家人的家的当前“Zestimate”是多少的人。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, marketing share data from Statista shows that Zillow is #1 in unique monthly visits, and Trulia - which the Zillow Group bought in 2014 - is #2. In aggregate that gives the Zillow group a stranglehold on the real estate website market (at least by the unique visits metric) at more than 3x the share as compared to what was once a highly competitive race with Realtor.com for consumers' eye-balls:</p><p><blockquote>事实上，Statista的营销份额数据显示，Zillow在每月独立访问量方面排名第一，Zillow集团在2014年收购的Trulia排名第二。总体而言，与曾经与Realtor.com争夺消费者眼球的激烈竞争相比，Zillow集团在房地产网站市场（至少从独立访问量指标来看）的份额是其3倍以上：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/929acb56fa1d566e5f6c3ac0d250c2c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"553\"><span>Source:Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：斯塔蒂斯塔</span></p></blockquote></p><p> But of course there are other metrics to judge the popularity and use of real estate websites. Here is more recent data (April 1, 2021) from SimilarWeb.com:</p><p><blockquote>但当然还有其他指标来判断房地产网站的受欢迎程度和使用情况。以下是来自SimilarWeb.com的最新数据（2021年4月1日）：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/836f372f61ccb570286e9ac3e0f3143b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"366\"><span>Source:SimilarWeb.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：SimilarWeb.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When it comes to average visit duration, pages viewed per visit, and bounce rate (the % of consumers that only view one-page then leave the site), Zillow and Trulia again show impressive comps. That said, note there must be other metrics that figure into the SimilarWeb ratings shown above because - from these metrics alone - one could argue rightmove.co.uk has the best stats as shown. Regardless, this graphic is another indicator that the Zillow/Trulia brand is very strong and the market leader.</p><p><blockquote>当谈到平均访问持续时间、每次访问浏览的页面和跳出率（只浏览一页然后离开网站的消费者的百分比）时，Zillow和Trulia再次显示出令人印象深刻的对比。也就是说，请注意，上面显示的SimilarWeb评级中肯定有其他指标，因为仅从这些指标来看，人们就可以认为rightmove.co.uk拥有如图所示的最佳统计数据。无论如何，这张图是Zillow/Trulia品牌非常强大并且是市场领导者的另一个指标。</blockquote></p><p> However, eye-balls aren't enough ... the views and activity need to be converted into profits, and that is where the Zillow Group is struggling in comparison to its rather lofty valuation.</p><p><blockquote>然而，眼球是不够的...观点和活动需要转化为利润，而这正是Zillow集团与其相当高的估值相比所苦苦挣扎的地方。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Q1 Earnings</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第一季度收益</b></blockquote></p><p> Zillow released its&nbsp;Q1 EPS report&nbsp;on May 4th. It was a strong report. GAAP net-income of $0.20/share&nbsp;beat estimates by a whopping $0.13. Revenue of $1.22 billion was a $120 million beat and was up 8% yoy. The company reported strong traffic on its website and mobile apps, with 221 million average monthly users (up 15% yoy) driving 2.5 billion visits during Q1 (up 19% yoy).</p><p><blockquote>Zillow于5月4日发布了第一季度EPS报告。这是一份强有力的报告。GAAP每股净利润为0.20美元，比预期高出0.13美元。收入为12.2亿美元，超出1.2亿美元，同比增长8%。该公司报告称，其网站和移动应用程序流量强劲，第一季度平均每月用户2.21亿（同比增长15%），访问量达25亿次（同比增长19%）。</blockquote></p><p> The most interesting segment in Q1 was the iHome (or what ZG calls \"Zillow Offers\") because it accounted for ~57% of revenue and is the segment Zillow is counting on to be is profitable growth engine.</p><p><blockquote>第一季度最有趣的细分市场是iHome（或ZG评级“Zillow提供的”），因为它约占收入的57%，并且是Zillow指望成为盈利增长引擎的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> However, as can be seen in the graphic below, the margins are - so far - quite puny:</p><p><blockquote>然而，如下图所示，到目前为止，利润率相当小：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82e5264c5427eb9f8b1987c2182cb39a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"311\"><span>Source: Zillow'sQ1 EPS report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Zillow第一季度每股收益报告</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> As can be seen, the all-in return (after operating costs and interest expense) on the home buying/selling (flipping might be a better word) is a scant 4.94% of the average per-home revenue. That is despite what is generally considered to be a very hot-market real estate market across the nation. In addition, note the iHome business is a threat to the company's future growth aspirations because the pivot to iHome has pretty much cratered the company's Premier Agent business. The pivot also likely means more pressure on Zillow's advertising revenue which generally comes from the agents its iHome segment is now stealing away homes from. And all that for only 4.9% margins?</p><p><blockquote>可以看出，房屋买卖（翻转可能是一个更好的词）的总回报（扣除运营成本和利息支出）不到平均每户收入的4.94%。尽管全国房地产市场普遍被认为非常火爆。此外，请注意，iHome业务对公司未来的增长愿望构成威胁，因为转向iHome几乎损害了公司的首要代理业务。这一转变也可能意味着Zillow的广告收入面临更大压力，这些收入通常来自其iHome部门目前正在抢走房屋的代理商。而这一切的利润率只有4.9%？</blockquote></p><p> <b>Going Forward</b></p><p><blockquote><b>展望未来</b></blockquote></p><p> The chart below is the company's guidance for Q2:</p><p><blockquote>下图是该公司第二季度的指引：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d976a71e1e72bb8f0c6ac3306aa4f100\" tg-width=\"628\" tg-height=\"337\"><span>Source: Zillow's Q1 EPS report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Zillow第一季度每股收益报告</span></p></blockquote></p><p> At the midpoint of guidance total adjusted EBITDA ($128 million), note that&nbsp;<b>will be down considerably</b>&nbsp;from the $181 million in total adjusted EBITDA delivered in Q1.</p><p><blockquote>在指导调整后EBITDA总额（1.28亿美元）的中点，请注意<b>将大幅下降</b>第一季度调整后EBITDA总额为1.81亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, note the weighted average share-count at the end of Q1 (it was not included in the Q1 EPS report, but can be found in the&nbsp;SEC 10-Q filing) was 259,346,000 shares (up a whopping 23% yoy). And that share-count is expected to continue growing to an estimated 265.5 million shares at the end of Q2 (based on the guidance shown above).</p><p><blockquote>此外，请注意，第一季度末的加权平均股数（未包含在第一季度每股收益报告中，但可以在SEC 10-Q文件中找到）为259,346,000股（同比增长23%）。预计到第二季度末，该股数量将继续增长至约2.655亿股（基于上述指导）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p> So we have weak margins, falling adjusted EBITDA and a significantly rising number of fully diluted shares. Hmmmm.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我们的利润率疲软，调整后的EBITDA下降，而完全稀释的股票数量大幅增加。嗯嗯。</blockquote></p><p> Yet, despite the recent correction in the stock (note the stock is down ~30% since my Seeking Alpha article in March&nbsp;<i>Zillow: Take Profits</i>), the stock is still trading at a lofty valuation given the analysis of Q1 and Q2 guidance just presented. The&nbsp;Seeking Alpha forward P/E=97.7x.</p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管该股最近有所调整（请注意，自我3月份的Seeking Alpha文章以来，该股已下跌约30%<i>Zillow：获利了结</i>），考虑到刚刚提出的第一季度和第二季度指引的分析，该股的估值仍然很高。寻求阿尔法远期市盈率=97.7倍。</blockquote></p><p> That is obviously a rich comparison in terms of Zillow's growth prospects (or non-growth...) considering the weak Q2 guidance. In addition, it is not clear to me what the catalyst will be to improve the company's awfully small margins going forward. That is especially the case considering&nbsp;<b>Zillow plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year</b>, increasing its headcount by some 40%. In my opinion, this headcount growth will be a significant headwind when it comes to increasing margins. That is, Zillow is not able to demonstrate increasing margins as it tries to scale-up its operations.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到疲软的第二季度指引，就Zillow的增长前景（或非增长……）而言，这显然是一个丰富的比较。此外，我不清楚改善公司未来微薄利润率的催化剂是什么。考虑到这一点尤其如此<b>Zillow计划今年再增聘2000名员工</b>，员工人数增加约40%。在我看来，在提高利润率方面，员工人数的增长将是一个重大阻力。也就是说，Zillow在试图扩大业务规模时无法证明利润率不断增加。</blockquote></p><p> Meantime, the pivot to iHome also means that ZG now has significantly more macro-level risks as it will be increasingly dependent on the ups (now..) and downs (coming...) of the housing market.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，转向iHome也意味着ZG现在面临更多的宏观层面风险，因为它将越来越依赖于房地产市场的起伏（现在……）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> The risk of buying Zillow Group today is - in my opinion, a priced-to-near-perfection valuation level. I say \"near perfection\" because it was priced to perfection when I wrote my \"Take Profits\" article on ZG, and since it is down 30% since that piece was published, now I will simply call ZG a \"rich valuation\" proposition.</p><p><blockquote>在我看来，今天购买Zillow Group的风险是定价接近完美的估值水平。我说“接近完美”是因为当我写关于ZG的“获利了结”文章时，它的定价已经达到了完美，而且自从那篇文章发表以来，它已经下跌了30%，现在我将简单地看涨期权ZG一个“丰富的估值”命题。</blockquote></p><p> The goods news is that Zillow has a relatively strong balance sheet: it ended the quarter with $4.7 billion in cash (up from $3.9 billion at the end of 2020) after completing a $551 million stock offering during the quarter.</p><p><blockquote>好消息是，Zillow的资产负债表相对强劲：在本季度完成了5.51亿美元的股票发行后，该公司在本季度末拥有47亿美元现金（高于2020年底的39亿美元）。</blockquote></p><p> That compares to $2.259 billion in debt, which was down slightly from year-end. As a result, the company has an estimated $9.19/share in net cash based on the 265.5 million diluted shares outstanding at the end of Q1. And Zillow will likely need to keep a fair amount of cash in order to offset its higher risk profile due to direct exposure to the housing market. That is because history shows us the US housing market can change on-a-dime and could catch ZG holding a rather large inventory of homes.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，债务为22.59亿美元，较年底略有下降。因此，根据第一季度末已发行的2.655亿股稀释后股票，该公司估计每股净现金为9.19美元。Zillow可能需要保留相当数量的现金，以抵消其因直接投资房地产市场而面临的较高风险。这是因为历史告诉我们，美国房地产市场可能会随时发生变化，并可能导致ZG持有相当大的房屋库存。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Summary &amp; Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结和结论</b></blockquote></p><p> While Zillow's Q1 report was certainly much improved on a sequential basis, the company's own Q2 guidance seems to be more indicative of the thesis I presented in my last article on the company. That is, the stock's valuation simply appears to be substantially out-of-whack in comparison to its demonstrated growth metrics. More shares, falling sequential adjusted EBITDA in Q2 despite a hot and highly appreciating housing market and ... well, I just cannot understand the current valuation level. As a result, I maintain the opinion from my previous article: I wouldn't be interested in ZG until it reached the ~$50/share level.</p><p><blockquote>虽然Zillow的第一季度报告确实比环比有了很大改善，但该公司自己的第二季度指引似乎更能说明我在上一篇关于该公司的文章中提出的论点。也就是说，与其表现出的增长指标相比，该股的估值似乎根本不正常。尽管房地产市场火热且高度升值，但第二季度调整后EBITDA仍环比下降...嗯，我只是无法理解目前的估值水平。因此，我维持上一篇文章中的观点：在ZG达到约50美元/股的水平之前，我不会对其感兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> I will end with a five-year price chart of ZG and note that my $50 target is roughly where the stock was prior to the pandemic. Certainly the EPS reports issues since that time do not justify the rapid and substantial increase in the shares to $200 ... or, even the current $110 level.</p><p><blockquote>我将以ZG的五年价格图表结束，并指出我的50美元目标大致是该股在大流行之前的水平。当然，自那时以来的每股收益报告问题并不能证明股价快速大幅上涨至200美元是合理的……或者，甚至是目前110美元的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f243f9f555525da2dcb1589d18cd30f\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Zillow: Significant Downside Remains<blockquote>Zillow：仍存在重大下行空间</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nZillow: Significant Downside Remains<blockquote>Zillow：仍存在重大下行空间</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-06 11:55</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Shares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my \"Take Profits\" article was published on Seeking Alpha.</li>  <li>However, and despite a definite improvement in the latest Q1 EPS report, the stock looks to have a further downside to come.</li>  <li>That is because margins are dismal, forward adjusted EBITDA guidance for Q2 was weak (lower than Q1), and the outstanding share count continues to grow.</li>  <li>Yet, the stock still trades with a forward P/E of nearly 100x.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba2b4c631e3e6b24aaf024fb49665ea3\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Photo by Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>自从我在Seeking Alpha上发表“获利了结”文章以来，Zillow Group的股价已下跌约30%。</li><li>然而，尽管最新的第一季度每股收益报告明显改善，但该股看起来还会进一步下跌。</li><li>这是因为利润率惨淡，第二季度的前瞻性调整EBITDA指引疲弱（低于第一季度），而且流通股数量持续增长。</li><li>然而，该股的预期市盈率仍接近100倍。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Sundry Photography/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The&nbsp;<b>Zillow Group</b>&nbsp;(ZG) has, without a doubt, established itself as the #1 online real estate website and as one-stop shop for home-buying consumers. The company's recent pivot to what I'll call the iHome business (purchasing homes directly from consumers and then selling them on the open market) has been a positive catalyst of late in terms of revenue growth, and that business blends well with ZG's Mortgage Segment and Internet, Media, and Technology Segment. However, despite the recent and significant drop in the price of the shares, ZG still seem substantially overvalued in my opinion. That is because margins are - in a word - pathetic. In addition, Q2 guidance was weak and the company plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year. In my opinion, that will pressure margins even further through the remainder of the year.</p><p><blockquote>The<b>Zillow集团</b>毫无疑问，（ZG）已经成为排名第一的在线房地产网站和购房消费者的一站式商店。该公司最近转向看涨期权iHome业务（直接从消费者那里购买房屋，然后在公开市场上出售），这是最近收入增长的积极催化剂，该业务与ZG的抵押贷款业务融合得很好。部门以及互联网、媒体和技术部门。然而，尽管最近股价大幅下跌，但在我看来，ZG的估值似乎仍然被严重高估。这是因为利润率——一言以蔽之——可怜。此外，Q2指引疲弱，公司计划今年再增聘2000名员工。在我看来，这将在今年剩余时间里进一步给利润率带来压力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Rationale</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资理由</b></blockquote></p><p> Like many Americans, Zillow has become one of my favorite websites. I am surely not alone when it comes to frequently checking Zillow.com to see what the current \"Zestimate\" is for my home as well as for the homes I have owned in the past, and those of my friends and family.</p><p><blockquote>像许多美国人一样，Zillow已经成为我最喜欢的网站之一。我肯定不是唯一一个经常查看Zillow.com以了解我的家以及我过去拥有的家以及我的朋友和家人的家的当前“Zestimate”是多少的人。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, marketing share data from Statista shows that Zillow is #1 in unique monthly visits, and Trulia - which the Zillow Group bought in 2014 - is #2. In aggregate that gives the Zillow group a stranglehold on the real estate website market (at least by the unique visits metric) at more than 3x the share as compared to what was once a highly competitive race with Realtor.com for consumers' eye-balls:</p><p><blockquote>事实上，Statista的营销份额数据显示，Zillow在每月独立访问量方面排名第一，Zillow集团在2014年收购的Trulia排名第二。总体而言，与曾经与Realtor.com争夺消费者眼球的激烈竞争相比，Zillow集团在房地产网站市场（至少从独立访问量指标来看）的份额是其3倍以上：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/929acb56fa1d566e5f6c3ac0d250c2c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"553\"><span>Source:Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：斯塔蒂斯塔</span></p></blockquote></p><p> But of course there are other metrics to judge the popularity and use of real estate websites. Here is more recent data (April 1, 2021) from SimilarWeb.com:</p><p><blockquote>但当然还有其他指标来判断房地产网站的受欢迎程度和使用情况。以下是来自SimilarWeb.com的最新数据（2021年4月1日）：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/836f372f61ccb570286e9ac3e0f3143b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"366\"><span>Source:SimilarWeb.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：SimilarWeb.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When it comes to average visit duration, pages viewed per visit, and bounce rate (the % of consumers that only view one-page then leave the site), Zillow and Trulia again show impressive comps. That said, note there must be other metrics that figure into the SimilarWeb ratings shown above because - from these metrics alone - one could argue rightmove.co.uk has the best stats as shown. Regardless, this graphic is another indicator that the Zillow/Trulia brand is very strong and the market leader.</p><p><blockquote>当谈到平均访问持续时间、每次访问浏览的页面和跳出率（只浏览一页然后离开网站的消费者的百分比）时，Zillow和Trulia再次显示出令人印象深刻的对比。也就是说，请注意，上面显示的SimilarWeb评级中肯定有其他指标，因为仅从这些指标来看，人们就可以认为rightmove.co.uk拥有如图所示的最佳统计数据。无论如何，这张图是Zillow/Trulia品牌非常强大并且是市场领导者的另一个指标。</blockquote></p><p> However, eye-balls aren't enough ... the views and activity need to be converted into profits, and that is where the Zillow Group is struggling in comparison to its rather lofty valuation.</p><p><blockquote>然而，眼球是不够的...观点和活动需要转化为利润，而这正是Zillow集团与其相当高的估值相比所苦苦挣扎的地方。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Q1 Earnings</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第一季度收益</b></blockquote></p><p> Zillow released its&nbsp;Q1 EPS report&nbsp;on May 4th. It was a strong report. GAAP net-income of $0.20/share&nbsp;beat estimates by a whopping $0.13. Revenue of $1.22 billion was a $120 million beat and was up 8% yoy. The company reported strong traffic on its website and mobile apps, with 221 million average monthly users (up 15% yoy) driving 2.5 billion visits during Q1 (up 19% yoy).</p><p><blockquote>Zillow于5月4日发布了第一季度EPS报告。这是一份强有力的报告。GAAP每股净利润为0.20美元，比预期高出0.13美元。收入为12.2亿美元，超出1.2亿美元，同比增长8%。该公司报告称，其网站和移动应用程序流量强劲，第一季度平均每月用户2.21亿（同比增长15%），访问量达25亿次（同比增长19%）。</blockquote></p><p> The most interesting segment in Q1 was the iHome (or what ZG calls \"Zillow Offers\") because it accounted for ~57% of revenue and is the segment Zillow is counting on to be is profitable growth engine.</p><p><blockquote>第一季度最有趣的细分市场是iHome（或ZG评级“Zillow提供的”），因为它约占收入的57%，并且是Zillow指望成为盈利增长引擎的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> However, as can be seen in the graphic below, the margins are - so far - quite puny:</p><p><blockquote>然而，如下图所示，到目前为止，利润率相当小：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82e5264c5427eb9f8b1987c2182cb39a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"311\"><span>Source: Zillow'sQ1 EPS report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Zillow第一季度每股收益报告</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> As can be seen, the all-in return (after operating costs and interest expense) on the home buying/selling (flipping might be a better word) is a scant 4.94% of the average per-home revenue. That is despite what is generally considered to be a very hot-market real estate market across the nation. In addition, note the iHome business is a threat to the company's future growth aspirations because the pivot to iHome has pretty much cratered the company's Premier Agent business. The pivot also likely means more pressure on Zillow's advertising revenue which generally comes from the agents its iHome segment is now stealing away homes from. And all that for only 4.9% margins?</p><p><blockquote>可以看出，房屋买卖（翻转可能是一个更好的词）的总回报（扣除运营成本和利息支出）不到平均每户收入的4.94%。尽管全国房地产市场普遍被认为非常火爆。此外，请注意，iHome业务对公司未来的增长愿望构成威胁，因为转向iHome几乎损害了公司的首要代理业务。这一转变也可能意味着Zillow的广告收入面临更大压力，这些收入通常来自其iHome部门目前正在抢走房屋的代理商。而这一切的利润率只有4.9%？</blockquote></p><p> <b>Going Forward</b></p><p><blockquote><b>展望未来</b></blockquote></p><p> The chart below is the company's guidance for Q2:</p><p><blockquote>下图是该公司第二季度的指引：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d976a71e1e72bb8f0c6ac3306aa4f100\" tg-width=\"628\" tg-height=\"337\"><span>Source: Zillow's Q1 EPS report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Zillow第一季度每股收益报告</span></p></blockquote></p><p> At the midpoint of guidance total adjusted EBITDA ($128 million), note that&nbsp;<b>will be down considerably</b>&nbsp;from the $181 million in total adjusted EBITDA delivered in Q1.</p><p><blockquote>在指导调整后EBITDA总额（1.28亿美元）的中点，请注意<b>将大幅下降</b>第一季度调整后EBITDA总额为1.81亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, note the weighted average share-count at the end of Q1 (it was not included in the Q1 EPS report, but can be found in the&nbsp;SEC 10-Q filing) was 259,346,000 shares (up a whopping 23% yoy). And that share-count is expected to continue growing to an estimated 265.5 million shares at the end of Q2 (based on the guidance shown above).</p><p><blockquote>此外，请注意，第一季度末的加权平均股数（未包含在第一季度每股收益报告中，但可以在SEC 10-Q文件中找到）为259,346,000股（同比增长23%）。预计到第二季度末，该股数量将继续增长至约2.655亿股（基于上述指导）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p> So we have weak margins, falling adjusted EBITDA and a significantly rising number of fully diluted shares. Hmmmm.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我们的利润率疲软，调整后的EBITDA下降，而完全稀释的股票数量大幅增加。嗯嗯。</blockquote></p><p> Yet, despite the recent correction in the stock (note the stock is down ~30% since my Seeking Alpha article in March&nbsp;<i>Zillow: Take Profits</i>), the stock is still trading at a lofty valuation given the analysis of Q1 and Q2 guidance just presented. The&nbsp;Seeking Alpha forward P/E=97.7x.</p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管该股最近有所调整（请注意，自我3月份的Seeking Alpha文章以来，该股已下跌约30%<i>Zillow：获利了结</i>），考虑到刚刚提出的第一季度和第二季度指引的分析，该股的估值仍然很高。寻求阿尔法远期市盈率=97.7倍。</blockquote></p><p> That is obviously a rich comparison in terms of Zillow's growth prospects (or non-growth...) considering the weak Q2 guidance. In addition, it is not clear to me what the catalyst will be to improve the company's awfully small margins going forward. That is especially the case considering&nbsp;<b>Zillow plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year</b>, increasing its headcount by some 40%. In my opinion, this headcount growth will be a significant headwind when it comes to increasing margins. That is, Zillow is not able to demonstrate increasing margins as it tries to scale-up its operations.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到疲软的第二季度指引，就Zillow的增长前景（或非增长……）而言，这显然是一个丰富的比较。此外，我不清楚改善公司未来微薄利润率的催化剂是什么。考虑到这一点尤其如此<b>Zillow计划今年再增聘2000名员工</b>，员工人数增加约40%。在我看来，在提高利润率方面，员工人数的增长将是一个重大阻力。也就是说，Zillow在试图扩大业务规模时无法证明利润率不断增加。</blockquote></p><p> Meantime, the pivot to iHome also means that ZG now has significantly more macro-level risks as it will be increasingly dependent on the ups (now..) and downs (coming...) of the housing market.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，转向iHome也意味着ZG现在面临更多的宏观层面风险，因为它将越来越依赖于房地产市场的起伏（现在……）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> The risk of buying Zillow Group today is - in my opinion, a priced-to-near-perfection valuation level. I say \"near perfection\" because it was priced to perfection when I wrote my \"Take Profits\" article on ZG, and since it is down 30% since that piece was published, now I will simply call ZG a \"rich valuation\" proposition.</p><p><blockquote>在我看来，今天购买Zillow Group的风险是定价接近完美的估值水平。我说“接近完美”是因为当我写关于ZG的“获利了结”文章时，它的定价已经达到了完美，而且自从那篇文章发表以来，它已经下跌了30%，现在我将简单地看涨期权ZG一个“丰富的估值”命题。</blockquote></p><p> The goods news is that Zillow has a relatively strong balance sheet: it ended the quarter with $4.7 billion in cash (up from $3.9 billion at the end of 2020) after completing a $551 million stock offering during the quarter.</p><p><blockquote>好消息是，Zillow的资产负债表相对强劲：在本季度完成了5.51亿美元的股票发行后，该公司在本季度末拥有47亿美元现金（高于2020年底的39亿美元）。</blockquote></p><p> That compares to $2.259 billion in debt, which was down slightly from year-end. As a result, the company has an estimated $9.19/share in net cash based on the 265.5 million diluted shares outstanding at the end of Q1. And Zillow will likely need to keep a fair amount of cash in order to offset its higher risk profile due to direct exposure to the housing market. That is because history shows us the US housing market can change on-a-dime and could catch ZG holding a rather large inventory of homes.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，债务为22.59亿美元，较年底略有下降。因此，根据第一季度末已发行的2.655亿股稀释后股票，该公司估计每股净现金为9.19美元。Zillow可能需要保留相当数量的现金，以抵消其因直接投资房地产市场而面临的较高风险。这是因为历史告诉我们，美国房地产市场可能会随时发生变化，并可能导致ZG持有相当大的房屋库存。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Summary &amp; Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结和结论</b></blockquote></p><p> While Zillow's Q1 report was certainly much improved on a sequential basis, the company's own Q2 guidance seems to be more indicative of the thesis I presented in my last article on the company. That is, the stock's valuation simply appears to be substantially out-of-whack in comparison to its demonstrated growth metrics. More shares, falling sequential adjusted EBITDA in Q2 despite a hot and highly appreciating housing market and ... well, I just cannot understand the current valuation level. As a result, I maintain the opinion from my previous article: I wouldn't be interested in ZG until it reached the ~$50/share level.</p><p><blockquote>虽然Zillow的第一季度报告确实比环比有了很大改善，但该公司自己的第二季度指引似乎更能说明我在上一篇关于该公司的文章中提出的论点。也就是说，与其表现出的增长指标相比，该股的估值似乎根本不正常。尽管房地产市场火热且高度升值，但第二季度调整后EBITDA仍环比下降...嗯，我只是无法理解目前的估值水平。因此，我维持上一篇文章中的观点：在ZG达到约50美元/股的水平之前，我不会对其感兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> I will end with a five-year price chart of ZG and note that my $50 target is roughly where the stock was prior to the pandemic. Certainly the EPS reports issues since that time do not justify the rapid and substantial increase in the shares to $200 ... or, even the current $110 level.</p><p><blockquote>我将以ZG的五年价格图表结束，并指出我的50美元目标大致是该股在大流行之前的水平。当然，自那时以来的每股收益报告问题并不能证明股价快速大幅上涨至200美元是合理的……或者，甚至是目前110美元的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f243f9f555525da2dcb1589d18cd30f\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433217-zillow-significant-downside-remains\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"Z":"Zillow"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433217-zillow-significant-downside-remains","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120164826","content_text":"Summary\n\nShares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my \"Take Profits\" article was published on Seeking Alpha.\nHowever, and despite a definite improvement in the latest Q1 EPS report, the stock looks to have a further downside to come.\nThat is because margins are dismal, forward adjusted EBITDA guidance for Q2 was weak (lower than Q1), and the outstanding share count continues to grow.\nYet, the stock still trades with a forward P/E of nearly 100x.\n\nPhoto by Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nThe Zillow Group (ZG) has, without a doubt, established itself as the #1 online real estate website and as one-stop shop for home-buying consumers. The company's recent pivot to what I'll call the iHome business (purchasing homes directly from consumers and then selling them on the open market) has been a positive catalyst of late in terms of revenue growth, and that business blends well with ZG's Mortgage Segment and Internet, Media, and Technology Segment. However, despite the recent and significant drop in the price of the shares, ZG still seem substantially overvalued in my opinion. That is because margins are - in a word - pathetic. In addition, Q2 guidance was weak and the company plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year. In my opinion, that will pressure margins even further through the remainder of the year.\nInvestment Rationale\nLike many Americans, Zillow has become one of my favorite websites. I am surely not alone when it comes to frequently checking Zillow.com to see what the current \"Zestimate\" is for my home as well as for the homes I have owned in the past, and those of my friends and family.\nIndeed, marketing share data from Statista shows that Zillow is #1 in unique monthly visits, and Trulia - which the Zillow Group bought in 2014 - is #2. In aggregate that gives the Zillow group a stranglehold on the real estate website market (at least by the unique visits metric) at more than 3x the share as compared to what was once a highly competitive race with Realtor.com for consumers' eye-balls:\nSource:Statista\nBut of course there are other metrics to judge the popularity and use of real estate websites. Here is more recent data (April 1, 2021) from SimilarWeb.com:\nSource:SimilarWeb.com\nWhen it comes to average visit duration, pages viewed per visit, and bounce rate (the % of consumers that only view one-page then leave the site), Zillow and Trulia again show impressive comps. That said, note there must be other metrics that figure into the SimilarWeb ratings shown above because - from these metrics alone - one could argue rightmove.co.uk has the best stats as shown. Regardless, this graphic is another indicator that the Zillow/Trulia brand is very strong and the market leader.\nHowever, eye-balls aren't enough ... the views and activity need to be converted into profits, and that is where the Zillow Group is struggling in comparison to its rather lofty valuation.\nQ1 Earnings\nZillow released its Q1 EPS report on May 4th. It was a strong report. GAAP net-income of $0.20/share beat estimates by a whopping $0.13. Revenue of $1.22 billion was a $120 million beat and was up 8% yoy. The company reported strong traffic on its website and mobile apps, with 221 million average monthly users (up 15% yoy) driving 2.5 billion visits during Q1 (up 19% yoy).\nThe most interesting segment in Q1 was the iHome (or what ZG calls \"Zillow Offers\") because it accounted for ~57% of revenue and is the segment Zillow is counting on to be is profitable growth engine.\nHowever, as can be seen in the graphic below, the margins are - so far - quite puny:\nSource: Zillow'sQ1 EPS report\nAs can be seen, the all-in return (after operating costs and interest expense) on the home buying/selling (flipping might be a better word) is a scant 4.94% of the average per-home revenue. That is despite what is generally considered to be a very hot-market real estate market across the nation. In addition, note the iHome business is a threat to the company's future growth aspirations because the pivot to iHome has pretty much cratered the company's Premier Agent business. The pivot also likely means more pressure on Zillow's advertising revenue which generally comes from the agents its iHome segment is now stealing away homes from. And all that for only 4.9% margins?\nGoing Forward\nThe chart below is the company's guidance for Q2:\nSource: Zillow's Q1 EPS report\nAt the midpoint of guidance total adjusted EBITDA ($128 million), note that will be down considerably from the $181 million in total adjusted EBITDA delivered in Q1.\nIn addition, note the weighted average share-count at the end of Q1 (it was not included in the Q1 EPS report, but can be found in the SEC 10-Q filing) was 259,346,000 shares (up a whopping 23% yoy). And that share-count is expected to continue growing to an estimated 265.5 million shares at the end of Q2 (based on the guidance shown above).\nValuation\nSo we have weak margins, falling adjusted EBITDA and a significantly rising number of fully diluted shares. Hmmmm.\nYet, despite the recent correction in the stock (note the stock is down ~30% since my Seeking Alpha article in March Zillow: Take Profits), the stock is still trading at a lofty valuation given the analysis of Q1 and Q2 guidance just presented. The Seeking Alpha forward P/E=97.7x.\nThat is obviously a rich comparison in terms of Zillow's growth prospects (or non-growth...) considering the weak Q2 guidance. In addition, it is not clear to me what the catalyst will be to improve the company's awfully small margins going forward. That is especially the case considering Zillow plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year, increasing its headcount by some 40%. In my opinion, this headcount growth will be a significant headwind when it comes to increasing margins. That is, Zillow is not able to demonstrate increasing margins as it tries to scale-up its operations.\nMeantime, the pivot to iHome also means that ZG now has significantly more macro-level risks as it will be increasingly dependent on the ups (now..) and downs (coming...) of the housing market.\nRisks\nThe risk of buying Zillow Group today is - in my opinion, a priced-to-near-perfection valuation level. I say \"near perfection\" because it was priced to perfection when I wrote my \"Take Profits\" article on ZG, and since it is down 30% since that piece was published, now I will simply call ZG a \"rich valuation\" proposition.\nThe goods news is that Zillow has a relatively strong balance sheet: it ended the quarter with $4.7 billion in cash (up from $3.9 billion at the end of 2020) after completing a $551 million stock offering during the quarter.\nThat compares to $2.259 billion in debt, which was down slightly from year-end. As a result, the company has an estimated $9.19/share in net cash based on the 265.5 million diluted shares outstanding at the end of Q1. And Zillow will likely need to keep a fair amount of cash in order to offset its higher risk profile due to direct exposure to the housing market. That is because history shows us the US housing market can change on-a-dime and could catch ZG holding a rather large inventory of homes.\nSummary & Conclusion\nWhile Zillow's Q1 report was certainly much improved on a sequential basis, the company's own Q2 guidance seems to be more indicative of the thesis I presented in my last article on the company. That is, the stock's valuation simply appears to be substantially out-of-whack in comparison to its demonstrated growth metrics. More shares, falling sequential adjusted EBITDA in Q2 despite a hot and highly appreciating housing market and ... well, I just cannot understand the current valuation level. As a result, I maintain the opinion from my previous article: I wouldn't be interested in ZG until it reached the ~$50/share level.\nI will end with a five-year price chart of ZG and note that my $50 target is roughly where the stock was prior to the pandemic. Certainly the EPS reports issues since that time do not justify the rapid and substantial increase in the shares to $200 ... or, even the current $110 level.\nData byYCharts","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"Z":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":639,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116020500,"gmtCreate":1622766695500,"gmtModify":1631892263040,"author":{"id":"3578099872805879","authorId":"3578099872805879","name":"33c3eb1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578099872805879","idStr":"3578099872805879"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"E sign anyone?&nbsp;","listText":"E sign anyone?&nbsp;","text":"E sign anyone?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116020500","repostId":"1152443659","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1152443659","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1622763716,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1152443659?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-04 07:41","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"DocuSign stock pops on earnings, outlook beat<blockquote>DocuSign股价因盈利和前景超出预期而上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1152443659","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"DocuSign Inc.DOCU shares rallied in the extended session Thursday after the digital agreement compan","content":"<p>DocuSign Inc.DOCU&nbsp;shares rallied in the extended session Thursday after the digital agreement company’s quarterly results and outlook surpassed Wall Street expectations.</p><p><blockquote>DocuSign Inc.DOCU股价在周四的延长交易中上涨，此前这家数字协议公司的季度业绩和前景超出了华尔街的预期。</blockquote></p><p>DocuSign shares surged 6% after hours, following a 2.9% decline in the regular session to close at $194.75.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/578ee3c53b3c742759847ae47899cb7d\" tg-width=\"690\" tg-height=\"525\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The company reported a first-quarter loss of $8.4 million, or 4 cents a share, compared with $47.8 million, or 26 cents a share, in the year-ago period. Adjusted earnings, which exclude stock-based compensation expenses and other items, were 44 cents a share, compared with 12 cents a share in the year-ago period. Revenue rose to $469.1 million from $297 million in the year-ago quarter.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a2d3573459a411aad99768fbedb2c53a\" tg-width=\"1037\" tg-height=\"687\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote>DocuSign股价盘后飙升6%，常规交易时段下跌2.9%，收于194.75美元。该公司报告第一季度亏损840万美元，即每股亏损4美分，而去年同期亏损4780万美元，即每股亏损26美分。不包括股票薪酬费用和其他项目的调整后收益为每股44美分，而去年同期为每股12美分。收入从去年同期的2.97亿美元增至4.691亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Analysts surveyed by FactSet had forecast 28 cents a share on revenue of $437.6 million. DocuSign forecast revenue of $479 million to $485 million for the second quarter, and $2.03 billion to $2.04 billion for the year. Analysts had estimated revenue of $474.2 million for the second quarter, and revenue of $1.99 billion for the year.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet调查的分析师此前预测每股28美分，营收为4.376亿美元。DocuSign预计第二季度营收为4.79亿美元至4.85亿美元，全年营收为20.3亿美元至20.4亿美元。分析师此前预计第二季度营收为4.742亿美元，全年营收为19.9亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>DocuSign stock pops on earnings, outlook beat<blockquote>DocuSign股价因盈利和前景超出预期而上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDocuSign stock pops on earnings, outlook beat<blockquote>DocuSign股价因盈利和前景超出预期而上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-04 07:41</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>DocuSign Inc.DOCU&nbsp;shares rallied in the extended session Thursday after the digital agreement company’s quarterly results and outlook surpassed Wall Street expectations.</p><p><blockquote>DocuSign Inc.DOCU股价在周四的延长交易中上涨，此前这家数字协议公司的季度业绩和前景超出了华尔街的预期。</blockquote></p><p>DocuSign shares surged 6% after hours, following a 2.9% decline in the regular session to close at $194.75.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/578ee3c53b3c742759847ae47899cb7d\" tg-width=\"690\" tg-height=\"525\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The company reported a first-quarter loss of $8.4 million, or 4 cents a share, compared with $47.8 million, or 26 cents a share, in the year-ago period. Adjusted earnings, which exclude stock-based compensation expenses and other items, were 44 cents a share, compared with 12 cents a share in the year-ago period. Revenue rose to $469.1 million from $297 million in the year-ago quarter.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a2d3573459a411aad99768fbedb2c53a\" tg-width=\"1037\" tg-height=\"687\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote>DocuSign股价盘后飙升6%，常规交易时段下跌2.9%，收于194.75美元。该公司报告第一季度亏损840万美元，即每股亏损4美分，而去年同期亏损4780万美元，即每股亏损26美分。不包括股票薪酬费用和其他项目的调整后收益为每股44美分，而去年同期为每股12美分。收入从去年同期的2.97亿美元增至4.691亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Analysts surveyed by FactSet had forecast 28 cents a share on revenue of $437.6 million. DocuSign forecast revenue of $479 million to $485 million for the second quarter, and $2.03 billion to $2.04 billion for the year. Analysts had estimated revenue of $474.2 million for the second quarter, and revenue of $1.99 billion for the year.</p><p><blockquote>FactSet调查的分析师此前预测每股28美分，营收为4.376亿美元。DocuSign预计第二季度营收为4.79亿美元至4.85亿美元，全年营收为20.3亿美元至20.4亿美元。分析师此前预计第二季度营收为4.742亿美元，全年营收为19.9亿美元。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DOCU":"Docusign"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1152443659","content_text":"DocuSign Inc.DOCU shares rallied in the extended session Thursday after the digital agreement company’s quarterly results and outlook surpassed Wall Street expectations.DocuSign shares surged 6% after hours, following a 2.9% decline in the regular session to close at $194.75.The company reported a first-quarter loss of $8.4 million, or 4 cents a share, compared with $47.8 million, or 26 cents a share, in the year-ago period. Adjusted earnings, which exclude stock-based compensation expenses and other items, were 44 cents a share, compared with 12 cents a share in the year-ago period. Revenue rose to $469.1 million from $297 million in the year-ago quarter.Analysts surveyed by FactSet had forecast 28 cents a share on revenue of $437.6 million. DocuSign forecast revenue of $479 million to $485 million for the second quarter, and $2.03 billion to $2.04 billion for the year. Analysts had estimated revenue of $474.2 million for the second quarter, and revenue of $1.99 billion for the year.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"DOCU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":680,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":118636247,"gmtCreate":1622729844689,"gmtModify":1631892263044,"author":{"id":"3578099872805879","authorId":"3578099872805879","name":"33c3eb1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578099872805879","idStr":"3578099872805879"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buy?&nbsp;","listText":"Buy?&nbsp;","text":"Buy?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/118636247","repostId":"1160565063","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1160565063","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622729043,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1160565063?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-03 22:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"TSMC: Expanding Its Foundry Market Leadership<blockquote>台积电：扩大晶圆代工市场领导地位</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1160565063","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nTSMC’s growth by end market is expected to be strong across the board this year especially ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>TSMC’s growth by end market is expected to be strong across the board this year especially in HPC and automotive markets due to the resumption in auto production and structural.</li>  <li>It's undergoing aggressive capacity expansion plans after raising capex by over 60% and committing $100 bln over the next 3 years.</li>  <li>The company continues to lead with a solid technological advantage as it ramps up its 5nm production followed by 4nm and 3nm scheduled for mass production next year.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5c699eaada1188876056b2745946a9b\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Photo by Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>由于汽车生产和结构的恢复，预计台积电今年终端市场的增长将全面强劲，尤其是在高性能计算和汽车市场。</li><li>在将资本支出提高60%以上并承诺在未来3年内投资1000亿美元后，该公司正在实施积极的产能扩张计划。</li><li>该公司继续以坚实的技术优势领先，提高了5纳米产量，随后4纳米和3纳米计划于明年量产。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Sundry Photography/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM) is a pioneer of the pure-play foundry business model with an exclusive focus on manufacturing customers’ products. Backed by a robust demand environment and technological leadership with advanced nodes, TSMC’s market share increased to 56% in 2020 from 53% in the previous year. The company is anticipated to register another strong year of growth as strong demand rollover providing a tailwind and the structural drivers leading to an increase in the underlying semiconductor demand for HPC, IoT, 5G and automotive fueling strong demand from the multi-year megatrends.</p><p><blockquote>台积电公司(TSM)是纯代工商业模式的先驱，专注于制造客户的产品。在强劲的需求环境和先进节点的技术领先地位的支持下，台积电的市场份额从上一年的53%增长到2020年的56%。由于强劲的需求展期提供了推动力，结构性驱动因素导致HPC、物联网、5G和汽车的潜在半导体需求增加，推动了多年大趋势的强劲需求，预计该公司将迎来又一个强劲增长的一年。</blockquote></p><p> TSMC’s leadership position revolves around its competitive strengths from the scale as the largest pure-play foundry by capacity. The company is scaling up even further by committing an aggressive expansion plan increasing capex potentially up to 63% in 2020 and $100 bln over the next three years. Furthermore, as a technology leader, the company is continuously developing more advanced process technologies to maintain its lead. Its process technology roadmap indicates that it well-positioned to solidify this lead by targeting 3nm and 4nm nodes for mass production next year followed by 2nm further down the line.</p><p><blockquote>台积电的领导地位源于其作为产能最大的纯晶圆代工厂的竞争优势。该公司正在通过实施积极的扩张计划进一步扩大规模，到2020年资本支出可能增加63%，并在未来三年内增加1000亿美元。此外，作为技术领导者，该公司正在不断开发更先进的工艺技术以保持其领先地位。其工艺技术路线图表明，该公司已做好准备，可以通过明年大规模生产的3纳米和4纳米节点以及随后的2纳米节点来巩固这一领先地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce2a9da08d637f44171858f9f7587f0c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>Source: TSMC</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：台积电</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Strong End Market Growth Across the Board Especially in HPC and Automotive</b></p><p><blockquote><b>终端市场全面强劲增长，尤其是在高性能计算和汽车领域</b></blockquote></p><p> TSMC’s impressive growth in 2020 was particularly strong across the HPC, IoT and smartphone end markets registering the highest growth rate among all end markets as depicted in the chart below. This is significant as these three end markets make up the largest segments by revenues with a combined contribution of 89%.</p><p><blockquote>台积电2020年在高性能计算、物联网和智能手机终端市场的强劲增长尤其强劲，在所有终端市场中增长率最高，如下图所示。这一点意义重大，因为这三个终端市场构成了收入最大的细分市场，合计贡献达89%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/23cabf4b82975da57c73ceec6d99ae4a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"299\"><span>Source: TSMC</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：台积电</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Although the smartphone platform is the largest segment, the end market which exhibited the highest growth was the HPC platform. Fueled by the work and study from home shift as well as rapid 5G deployment, HPC saw unit shipments grew by 11% which includes chips for PCs, tablets, game consoles, servers, and base stations. Looking ahead, management expects the robust demand to roll over into 2021 as structural factors spur demand for products at the leading edge including CPU, GPU, networking, FPGA, AI-accelerated video gaming, etc. For example, the proliferation of AI and machine learning applications across a broad range of industries with continuous R&amp;D from tech giants spurring demand for accelerators to handle inferencing and training workloads leading to a&nbsp;CAGR&nbsp;of 42.2% to 2027 for the AI market. Additionally, the ongoing cloud migration by enterprises and scaling of data centers by leading cloud service provider fueling the cloud computing market with a&nbsp;CAGR&nbsp;of 17.5%. Other drivers include 5G deployment as well as next-generation gaming all requiring higher performance and power-efficient chips. All of these factors support the long-term growth of the HPC platform which TSMC&nbsp;believes&nbsp;can overtake the smartphone platform to become the most significant end market in the future.</p><p><blockquote>虽然智能手机平台是最大的细分市场，但增长最快的终端市场是HPC平台。在在家工作和学习以及5G快速部署的推动下，HPC saw单元出货量增长了11%，其中包括用于PC、平板电脑、游戏机、服务器和基站的芯片。展望未来，管理层预计强劲的需求将延续至2021年，因为结构性因素刺激了对领先产品的需求，包括CPU、GPU、网络、FPGA、人工智能加速视频游戏等。例如，随着科技巨头的持续研发，人工智能和机器学习应用在各行各业的激增，刺激了对加速器处理推理和训练工作负载的需求，导致人工智能市场到2027年的复合年增长率为42.2%。此外，企业正在进行的云迁移和领先的云服务提供商对数据中心的扩展推动了云计算市场的复合年增长率为17.5%。其他驱动因素包括5G部署以及下一代游戏，所有这些都需要更高性能和高能效的芯片。所有这些因素都支持HPC平台的长期增长，台积电相信HPC平台可以超越智能手机平台，成为未来最重要的终端市场。</blockquote></p><p> Besides HPC, the ongoing automotive chip shortage is another platform in which the company expects stronger growth this year. In 2020, the segment contracted in line with the decline in global vehicle sales by 14% as consumer confidence weakened and auto manufacturers halted production. As production resumes with car sales expected to rebound in the low teens, we expect the segment to grow in line with the industry recovery. Additionally, rising semiconductor content driven by EV which could see&nbsp;nearly10 times greater content per vehicle than a conventional combustion vehicle and ADAS fueling demand for sensors, analog and power ICs is a structural driver for TSMC.</p><p><blockquote>除了HPC之外，持续的汽车芯片短缺是该公司预计今年增长更强劲的另一个平台。2020年，由于消费者信心减弱和汽车制造商停产，全球汽车销量下降14%，该细分市场出现收缩。随着生产恢复，汽车销量预计将在十几岁左右反弹，我们预计该细分市场将随着行业复苏而增长。此外，电动汽车推动的半导体含量不断上升，每辆车的半导体含量可能比传统燃油汽车高出近10倍，ADAS刺激了对传感器、模拟和功率IC的需求，这是台积电的结构性驱动因素。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Additionally, even more impressive about TSMC’s 2020 growth is the fact that the company lost a key contribution from the embargoed Huawei’s HiSilicon (12.8% of revenues) but still managed to register strong smartphone platform growth. Despite the modest global unit shipments decline of 9%, the growth in the platform is driven by 5G adoption, improved performance, longer battery life and increasing complexity of features such as biosensors and more AI features. These long-term factors support the company’s outlook for high single-digit growth in 2021 and beyond.</p><p><blockquote>此外，台积电2020年的增长更令人印象深刻的是，该公司失去了被禁运的华为海思的关键贡献（占收入的12.8%），但仍设法实现了强劲的智能手机平台增长。尽管全球单位出货量小幅下降9%，但该平台的增长是由5G的采用、性能的提高、电池寿命的延长以及生物传感器和更多人工智能功能等功能复杂性的增加推动的。这些长期因素支持该公司在2021年及以后实现高个位数增长的前景。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45123609324056b25e0de8e36bf86f46\" tg-width=\"633\" tg-height=\"444\"><span>Source:Toms Hardware, The Information Network</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Toms Hardware，The Information Network</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Aggressive Capacity Expansion Plans and Investments</b></p><p><blockquote><b>积极的产能扩张计划和投资</b></blockquote></p><p> In terms of capacity expansion, TSMC has upped its game in 2021 by increasing its capex by potentially 63% more than last year to $28 bln. The company has announced that around 80% of the budgeted capex will be allocated to expand capacity for the advanced process technologies below 7nm with the remainder for advanced packaging and specialty technologies. Additionally, it is also committing $100 bln over the next 3 years to increase capacity and support R&amp;D towards advanced processes.</p><p><blockquote>在产能扩张方面，台积电在2021年加大了力度，资本支出可能比去年增加63%，达到280亿美元。该公司宣布，约80%的预算资本支出将用于扩大7纳米以下先进工艺技术的产能，其余用于先进封装和特种技术。此外，它还承诺在未来3年内投入1000亿美元来提高产能并支持研发先进工艺。</blockquote></p><p> Previously, TSMC also&nbsp;announced&nbsp;its plan to expand in the US with a $12 bln fab in Arizona capable of producing 5nm chips. The 12-inch fab in Phoenix is relatively modest with a planned output of 20,000 with volume production only expected in 2024. Though, it has also been reported that TSMC might further increase the capacity and equipment capabilities which is a strong possibility with the robust demand environment and the company has also indicated that the location allows it to expand capacity if desired.</p><p><blockquote>此前，台积电还宣布计划在美国扩张，在亚利桑那州投资120亿美元建造一座能够生产5纳米芯片的晶圆厂。凤凰城的12英寸晶圆厂规模相对较小，计划产量为20,000台，预计要到2024年才能量产。不过，也有报道称，台积电可能会进一步增加产能和设备能力，在强劲的需求环境下，这是一个很大的可能性，而且该公司还表示，如果需要，该地点允许其扩大产能。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/326c261509a8f27ac5d2dfd0cd823458\" tg-width=\"907\" tg-height=\"618\"><span>Source:EENewsEurope,Techspot</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：EENewsEurope、Techspot</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In comparison with other larger spenders Intel(NASDAQ:INTC)and Samsung, TSMC’s planned investment commitment of $100 bln for foundry expansion is the most significant. In March, Intel announced it's planned a $20 bln initialinvestmentin Arizona for the construction of two fabs to directly compete with TSMC but a lot more is needed to stand a chance at challenging TSMC’s dominance. On the other hand, Samsung’s plannedinvestmentsof $116 bln are larger but spread across a longer period of 10 years compared to just 3 for TSMC.</p><p><blockquote>与其他支出较大的英特尔（纳斯达克股票代码：INTC）和三星相比，台积电计划投资1000亿美元用于代工扩张的承诺是最重要的。今年3月，英特尔宣布计划在亚利桑那州投资200亿美元建设两座晶圆厂，与台积电直接竞争，但还需要更多资金才能有机会挑战台积电的主导地位。另一方面，三星计划的1160亿美元投资规模更大，但期限更长，为10年，而台积电仅为3年。</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <tbody></tbody> </table> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a96afbf56db7d1f4ecaf334f01866dc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"181\"><span>Source:Bloomberg</span></p><p><blockquote><table><tbody></tbody></table><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：彭博社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>TSMC’s Superior Process Technology and Roadmap</b></p><p><blockquote><b>台积电优越的制程技术与路线图</b></blockquote></p><p> Backed by its strong investment commitment, TSMC is able to reap the benefits from its strength as a technological leader in semiconductor manufacturing. Shrinking the size of transistors is becoming more challenging with prohibitive costs but a key feature for increasing chip density allowing continued performance improvements and energy efficiency. Chips at the leading edge nodes (below 10nm) are critical to achieve this and its share of demand would only grow larger to support advanced technologies accounting for nearly one third of capacity in 3 years.</p><p><blockquote>在其强大的投资承诺的支持下，台积电能够从其作为半导体制造技术领导者的实力中获益。由于成本过高，缩小晶体管的尺寸变得越来越具有挑战性，但这是增加芯片密度的关键特征，可以持续提高性能和能效。前沿节点（10纳米以下）的芯片对于实现这一目标至关重要，其需求份额只会越来越大，以支持先进技术，在3年内占产能的近三分之一。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4e784ad457fc66c73ca376c7af1981e\" tg-width=\"525\" tg-height=\"427\"><span>Source:IC Insights</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：IC Insights</span></p></blockquote></p><p> This is where TSMC shines with its leadership owing to its focus on continuously developing more advanced process technologies. While the company only accounts for 40% to 65% of revenues for the less sophisticated 28-65nm chips, it dominates the market for most advanced nodes with making up 90% of chips below 10nm. We expect it to maintain its leadership at the advanced nodes as other pureplay competitors struggle with developing their processes.</p><p><blockquote>这是台积电因专注于不断开发更先进的制程技术而发挥领导作用的地方。虽然该公司仅占不太复杂的28-65纳米芯片收入的40%至65%，但它在大多数先进节点市场占据主导地位，占10纳米以下芯片的90%。我们预计，随着其他纯竞争对手努力开发其流程，它将保持在高级节点的领先地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab154a4af28b364c0c3dc9e281683ecd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"458\"><span>Source:Financial Times</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：金融时报</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In terms of the TSMC’s technology roadmap, the company’s 5nm process is already in the second year of volume production and continues to be ramped up with strong demand from smartphone and HPC applications. Following 5nm, the company is moving to 4nm and targeting volume production by next year. Also, the company has scheduled the 3nm for volume production in the second half of 2022. Based on a FinFET transistor structure, it is believed that its 3nm can provide 70% logic density gain, boosting performance up to 15% and cutting power consumption by 30%. The transistor size in a 3nm node is just 1/20,000th of a human hair. At the same time, the company is developing its GAAFET-based 2nm node with production expected in its Taiwanese fabs across Hsinchu and Baoshan.</p><p><blockquote>就台积电的技术路线图而言，该公司的5nm工艺已经进入量产的第二年，并随着智能手机和HPC应用的强劲需求而继续提升。继5纳米之后，该公司正在转向4纳米，目标是明年量产。此外，该公司还计划在2022年下半年量产3nm。基于FinFET晶体管结构，据信其3nm可以提供70%的逻辑密度增益，将性能提升高达15%，功耗降低30%。3nm节点中的晶体管尺寸仅为人类头发丝的1/20,000。与此同时，该公司正在开发基于GAAFET的2纳米节点，预计将在其位于新竹和宝山的台湾晶圆厂生产。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Compared to leading competitors, Samsung’s roadmap is also quite similar to TSMC as it plans to mass produce 3nm chips in 2022 with 2nm possibly also indevelopmentwith IBM(NYSE:IBM)but produced by Samsung. More recently, TSMC has announced a breakthrough in thedevelopmentof 1nm. Whereas for Intel, its Arizona fab is only indicated to produce 7nm technologies but only when it is completed in 2024.</p><p><blockquote>与主要竞争对手相比，三星的路线图也与台积电非常相似，因为它计划在2022年大规模生产3纳米芯片，其中2纳米芯片可能也在与IBM（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IBM）合作开发，但由三星生产。最近，台积电宣布在1纳米开发方面取得突破。而对于英特尔来说，其亚利桑那州工厂仅表示将生产7纳米技术，但前提是在2024年竣工。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6cce4edae659b7c5424284f348286586\" tg-width=\"577\" tg-height=\"384\"><span>Source:IC Insights</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：IC Insights</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Overall, TSMC’s investment plans allow it to derive a distinct advantage owing to its focus on advanced nodes despite the hefty costs. Among pure-play foundries, the company has the highest return on capital employed at 27.3% versus the industry average of 13.8%.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，尽管成本高昂，但台积电的投资计划使其能够获得明显的优势，因为它专注于先进节点。在纯代工厂中，该公司的资本回报率最高，为27.3%，而行业平均水平为13.8%。</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Company</b></p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><td><b>公司</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>Return on Capital Employed</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>已动用资本回报率</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>TSMC</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>台积电</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>27.3%</p><p><blockquote><td>27.3%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>UMC</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>UMC</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>11.1%</p><p><blockquote><td>11.1%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>SMICOTCQX:SMICY</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>SMICOTCQX：SMICY</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>3.1%</p><p><blockquote><td>3.1%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> <i>Source:WSJ</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：华尔街日报</i></blockquote></p><p> Moreover, TSMC also benefits from favourable pricing with a rising wafer pricing trend in line with its advanced node migration. As the only pure-play foundry with 7nm and 5nm in 2020, its wafer pricing increased by 6.8% while other pureplay foundries had flattish wafer pricing trends. As TSMC transitions to more advanced nodes, pricing is expected to trend upwards while its competitors’ prices remain relatively flat but couldriseby up around 20% this year due to tight capacity.</p><p><blockquote>此外，台积电还受益于有利的定价，晶圆价格随着其先进节点迁移而上涨。作为2020年唯一一家拥有7纳米和5纳米的纯晶圆代工厂，其晶圆定价上涨了6.8%，而其他纯晶圆代工厂的晶圆定价趋势平淡。随着台积电向更先进的节点过渡，定价预计将呈上升趋势，而其竞争对手的价格保持相对平稳，但由于产能紧张，今年可能会上涨20%左右。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d72237f327bae332b07dc3bbd226641a\" tg-width=\"596\" tg-height=\"326\"><span>Source:IC Insights</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：IC Insights</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Besides advanced nodes, the company’s advantage due to its scale is apparent as evident from its superior profitability compared to rivals. Its gross margins of 53.21% and net margins of 38.86% triumphs UMC and SMIC. However, data for Global Foundries could not be obtained as it is a private company.</p><p><blockquote>除了先进的节点之外，该公司的规模优势也很明显，与竞争对手相比，其卓越的盈利能力也很明显。其毛利率为53.21%，净利润率为38.86%，击败了联电和中芯国际。然而，由于Global Foundries是一家私营公司，因此无法获得其数据。</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Company</b></p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><td><b>公司</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>Revenues ($ bln)</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>收入（十亿美元）</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>Gross Margins</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>毛利率</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>Net Margins</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>净利润率</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>TSMC</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>台积电</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$47.95</p><p><blockquote><td>$47.95</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>53.21%</p><p><blockquote><td>53.21%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>38.86%</p><p><blockquote><td>38.86%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>UMC</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>UMC</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$6.3</p><p><blockquote><td>$6.3</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>23.88%</p><p><blockquote><td>23.88%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>20.59%</p><p><blockquote><td>20.59%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>SMIC</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>中芯国际</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$3.91</p><p><blockquote><td>$3.91</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>22.83%</p><p><blockquote><td>22.83%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>17.87%</p><p><blockquote><td>17.87%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> <i>Source: Seeking Alpha, Investing.com, Macrotrends</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：Seeking Alpha、Investing.com、Macrotrends</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p> Due to the robust foundry market, TSMC’s revenue grew 33% in 2020 with a 5-year average growth rate of 13.7%. Its average gross margins and net margins are 49.7% and 35% respectively.</p><p><blockquote>由于晶圆代工市场强劲，台积电2020年收入增长33%，5年平均增长率为13.7%。其平均毛利率和净利润率分别为49.7%和35%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb481e40dd284b4be697764012599660\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>Source: TSMC, Khaveen Investments</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：台积电、卡文投资</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The company has a strong cash flow generation profile with a 5-year average of 21%. However, due to the significant rise in guided capex from 2021 onwards, the company’s margins are expected to dip but recover as it expands aggressively.</p><p><blockquote>该公司拥有强劲的现金流生成状况，5年平均为21%。然而，由于从2021年起指导资本支出大幅上升，该公司的利润率预计将下降，但随着其积极扩张而恢复。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef99c8c626d03cd5796d38088510e291\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>Source: TSMC, Khaveen Investments</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：台积电、卡文投资</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Owing to its immense scale and technology leadership, the company has managed to solidify its leadership by growing its market share over the past 5 years to 56% in 2020. As the company scales up capacity and advanced nodes 5nm this year, we anticipate further market share gains even beyond 2021.</p><p><blockquote>由于其巨大的规模和技术领先地位，该公司在过去5年中将其市场份额提高到2020年的56%，从而巩固了其领导地位。随着该公司今年扩大产能和先进节点5纳米，我们预计市场份额甚至在2021年之后将进一步增长。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c58cebb1fc453c5861aac81712d01607\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>Source: Statista, Khaveen Investments</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Statista、Khaveen投资</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The global foundry market is expected to grow at a 11%&nbsp;CAGR&nbsp;according to estimates from TrendForce. We expect TSMC to outpace this growth rate by gaining market share due to its scale and technological advantages as highlighted above. Overall, we see TSMC growing nearly 15% through 2023 which is in line with management guidance of 10 to 15% CAGR long term.</p><p><blockquote>根据TrendForce的估计，全球代工市场预计将以11%的CAGR增长。我们预计，由于上述规模和技术优势，台积电将通过获得市场份额来超越这一增长率。总体而言，我们预计台积电到2023年将增长近15%，这符合管理层长期复合年增长率10%至15%的指导。</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>TSMC Revenue Projection</b></p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><td><b>台积电营收预测</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>2020</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>2020</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>2021F</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>2021F</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>2022F</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>2022F</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>2023F</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>2023F</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Foundry Market</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>代工市场</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>78,921</p><p><blockquote><td>78,921</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>87,602</p><p><blockquote><td>87,602</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>97,239</p><p><blockquote><td>97,239</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>107,935</p><p><blockquote><td>107,935</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>TSMC Foundry Revenues</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>台积电代工收入</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>44,205</p><p><blockquote><td>44,205</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>50,809</p><p><blockquote><td>50,809</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>58,343</p><p><blockquote><td>58,343</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>66,920</p><p><blockquote><td>66,920</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>TSMC Growth %</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>台积电成长%</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>14.9%</p><p><blockquote><td>14.9%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>14.8%</p><p><blockquote><td>14.8%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>14.7%</p><p><blockquote><td>14.7%</td></blockquote></p><p></p><p></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> <i>Source: Statista, TrendForce, Khaveen Investments</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：Statista、TrendForce、Khaveen Investments</i></blockquote></p><p> The industry average EV/EBITDA of the pure-play foundry market is 10.53x excluding Samsung which is a tech conglomerate.</p><p><blockquote>纯代工市场的行业平均EV/EBITDA为10.53倍，不包括科技集团三星。</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Company</b></p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><td><b>公司</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>EV/EBITDA</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>EV/EBITDA</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>TSMC</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>台积电</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>15.64</p><p><blockquote><td>15.64</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>UMC</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>UMC</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>8.89</p><p><blockquote><td>8.89</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>SMIC</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>中芯国际</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>7.07</p><p><blockquote><td>7.07</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td><b>Average</b></p><p><blockquote><tr><td><b>均值</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>10.53</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>10.53</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> <i>Source: Seeking Alpha</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：寻求阿尔法</i></blockquote></p><p> Based on a discount rate of 7.3% (company’s WACC), our model shows an upside of 15.2%.</p><p><blockquote>基于7.3%的贴现率（公司的WACC），我们的模型显示上涨空间为15.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cec106cd5858b583064db2d09cd133b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>Source: Khaveen Investments</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：卡文投资</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Verdict</b></p><p><blockquote><b>裁决</b></blockquote></p><p> Despite all the plans by Samsung and Intel, TSMC remains too big to beat as a pure-play foundry leader with growing market share owing to its superior technology process and scale. In 2020, the company saw robust growth across most end market platforms despite the trade embargo on Huawei. Robust demand is expected to roll over into 2021 across all major end markets especially fueled by the resumption of auto production and structural trend of HPC and 5G. To capitalize on the multi-year megatrends, the company has not only stepped up its capex budget for the year potentially up 63% but also a long-term 3-year $100 bln investment commitment to expand capacity for the advanced nodes. This highlights its commitment towards implementing its roadmap for the node migration towards 4nm and 3nm next year followed by 2nm further into the future. These factors cumulatively solidify its market leadership which could lead to further market share gains. Overall, we rate the company as a<i>Buy</i>with a target price of<i>$126.32.</i></p><p><blockquote>尽管三星和英特尔制定了所有计划，但台积电作为纯粹的代工领导者，由于其卓越的技术工艺和规模，市场份额不断增长，其规模仍然太大，无法被击败。2020年，尽管对华为实施贸易禁运，该公司在大多数终端市场平台上都实现了强劲增长。预计所有主要终端市场的强劲需求将延续到2021年，特别是在汽车生产恢复以及HPC和5G的结构性趋势的推动下。为了利用多年大趋势，该公司不仅将今年的资本支出预算提高了63%，还做出了3年1000亿美元的长期投资承诺，以扩大高级节点的容量。这凸显了其致力于实施明年节点迁移到4纳米和3纳米以及未来2纳米的路线图。这些因素累积起来巩固了其市场领导地位，从而可能进一步提高市场份额。总体而言，我们将该公司评为<i>购买</i>目标价为<i>$126.32.</i></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>TSMC: Expanding Its Foundry Market Leadership<blockquote>台积电：扩大晶圆代工市场领导地位</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTSMC: Expanding Its Foundry Market Leadership<blockquote>台积电：扩大晶圆代工市场领导地位</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-03 22:04</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>TSMC’s growth by end market is expected to be strong across the board this year especially in HPC and automotive markets due to the resumption in auto production and structural.</li>  <li>It's undergoing aggressive capacity expansion plans after raising capex by over 60% and committing $100 bln over the next 3 years.</li>  <li>The company continues to lead with a solid technological advantage as it ramps up its 5nm production followed by 4nm and 3nm scheduled for mass production next year.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e5c699eaada1188876056b2745946a9b\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Photo by Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>由于汽车生产和结构的恢复，预计台积电今年终端市场的增长将全面强劲，尤其是在高性能计算和汽车市场。</li><li>在将资本支出提高60%以上并承诺在未来3年内投资1000亿美元后，该公司正在实施积极的产能扩张计划。</li><li>该公司继续以坚实的技术优势领先，提高了5纳米产量，随后4纳米和3纳米计划于明年量产。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Sundry Photography/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM) is a pioneer of the pure-play foundry business model with an exclusive focus on manufacturing customers’ products. Backed by a robust demand environment and technological leadership with advanced nodes, TSMC’s market share increased to 56% in 2020 from 53% in the previous year. The company is anticipated to register another strong year of growth as strong demand rollover providing a tailwind and the structural drivers leading to an increase in the underlying semiconductor demand for HPC, IoT, 5G and automotive fueling strong demand from the multi-year megatrends.</p><p><blockquote>台积电公司(TSM)是纯代工商业模式的先驱，专注于制造客户的产品。在强劲的需求环境和先进节点的技术领先地位的支持下，台积电的市场份额从上一年的53%增长到2020年的56%。由于强劲的需求展期提供了推动力，结构性驱动因素导致HPC、物联网、5G和汽车的潜在半导体需求增加，推动了多年大趋势的强劲需求，预计该公司将迎来又一个强劲增长的一年。</blockquote></p><p> TSMC’s leadership position revolves around its competitive strengths from the scale as the largest pure-play foundry by capacity. The company is scaling up even further by committing an aggressive expansion plan increasing capex potentially up to 63% in 2020 and $100 bln over the next three years. Furthermore, as a technology leader, the company is continuously developing more advanced process technologies to maintain its lead. Its process technology roadmap indicates that it well-positioned to solidify this lead by targeting 3nm and 4nm nodes for mass production next year followed by 2nm further down the line.</p><p><blockquote>台积电的领导地位源于其作为产能最大的纯晶圆代工厂的竞争优势。该公司正在通过实施积极的扩张计划进一步扩大规模，到2020年资本支出可能增加63%，并在未来三年内增加1000亿美元。此外，作为技术领导者，该公司正在不断开发更先进的工艺技术以保持其领先地位。其工艺技术路线图表明，该公司已做好准备，可以通过明年大规模生产的3纳米和4纳米节点以及随后的2纳米节点来巩固这一领先地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ce2a9da08d637f44171858f9f7587f0c\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>Source: TSMC</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：台积电</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Strong End Market Growth Across the Board Especially in HPC and Automotive</b></p><p><blockquote><b>终端市场全面强劲增长，尤其是在高性能计算和汽车领域</b></blockquote></p><p> TSMC’s impressive growth in 2020 was particularly strong across the HPC, IoT and smartphone end markets registering the highest growth rate among all end markets as depicted in the chart below. This is significant as these three end markets make up the largest segments by revenues with a combined contribution of 89%.</p><p><blockquote>台积电2020年在高性能计算、物联网和智能手机终端市场的强劲增长尤其强劲，在所有终端市场中增长率最高，如下图所示。这一点意义重大，因为这三个终端市场构成了收入最大的细分市场，合计贡献达89%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/23cabf4b82975da57c73ceec6d99ae4a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"299\"><span>Source: TSMC</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：台积电</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Although the smartphone platform is the largest segment, the end market which exhibited the highest growth was the HPC platform. Fueled by the work and study from home shift as well as rapid 5G deployment, HPC saw unit shipments grew by 11% which includes chips for PCs, tablets, game consoles, servers, and base stations. Looking ahead, management expects the robust demand to roll over into 2021 as structural factors spur demand for products at the leading edge including CPU, GPU, networking, FPGA, AI-accelerated video gaming, etc. For example, the proliferation of AI and machine learning applications across a broad range of industries with continuous R&amp;D from tech giants spurring demand for accelerators to handle inferencing and training workloads leading to a&nbsp;CAGR&nbsp;of 42.2% to 2027 for the AI market. Additionally, the ongoing cloud migration by enterprises and scaling of data centers by leading cloud service provider fueling the cloud computing market with a&nbsp;CAGR&nbsp;of 17.5%. Other drivers include 5G deployment as well as next-generation gaming all requiring higher performance and power-efficient chips. All of these factors support the long-term growth of the HPC platform which TSMC&nbsp;believes&nbsp;can overtake the smartphone platform to become the most significant end market in the future.</p><p><blockquote>虽然智能手机平台是最大的细分市场，但增长最快的终端市场是HPC平台。在在家工作和学习以及5G快速部署的推动下，HPC saw单元出货量增长了11%，其中包括用于PC、平板电脑、游戏机、服务器和基站的芯片。展望未来，管理层预计强劲的需求将延续至2021年，因为结构性因素刺激了对领先产品的需求，包括CPU、GPU、网络、FPGA、人工智能加速视频游戏等。例如，随着科技巨头的持续研发，人工智能和机器学习应用在各行各业的激增，刺激了对加速器处理推理和训练工作负载的需求，导致人工智能市场到2027年的复合年增长率为42.2%。此外，企业正在进行的云迁移和领先的云服务提供商对数据中心的扩展推动了云计算市场的复合年增长率为17.5%。其他驱动因素包括5G部署以及下一代游戏，所有这些都需要更高性能和高能效的芯片。所有这些因素都支持HPC平台的长期增长，台积电相信HPC平台可以超越智能手机平台，成为未来最重要的终端市场。</blockquote></p><p> Besides HPC, the ongoing automotive chip shortage is another platform in which the company expects stronger growth this year. In 2020, the segment contracted in line with the decline in global vehicle sales by 14% as consumer confidence weakened and auto manufacturers halted production. As production resumes with car sales expected to rebound in the low teens, we expect the segment to grow in line with the industry recovery. Additionally, rising semiconductor content driven by EV which could see&nbsp;nearly10 times greater content per vehicle than a conventional combustion vehicle and ADAS fueling demand for sensors, analog and power ICs is a structural driver for TSMC.</p><p><blockquote>除了HPC之外，持续的汽车芯片短缺是该公司预计今年增长更强劲的另一个平台。2020年，由于消费者信心减弱和汽车制造商停产，全球汽车销量下降14%，该细分市场出现收缩。随着生产恢复，汽车销量预计将在十几岁左右反弹，我们预计该细分市场将随着行业复苏而增长。此外，电动汽车推动的半导体含量不断上升，每辆车的半导体含量可能比传统燃油汽车高出近10倍，ADAS刺激了对传感器、模拟和功率IC的需求，这是台积电的结构性驱动因素。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Additionally, even more impressive about TSMC’s 2020 growth is the fact that the company lost a key contribution from the embargoed Huawei’s HiSilicon (12.8% of revenues) but still managed to register strong smartphone platform growth. Despite the modest global unit shipments decline of 9%, the growth in the platform is driven by 5G adoption, improved performance, longer battery life and increasing complexity of features such as biosensors and more AI features. These long-term factors support the company’s outlook for high single-digit growth in 2021 and beyond.</p><p><blockquote>此外，台积电2020年的增长更令人印象深刻的是，该公司失去了被禁运的华为海思的关键贡献（占收入的12.8%），但仍设法实现了强劲的智能手机平台增长。尽管全球单位出货量小幅下降9%，但该平台的增长是由5G的采用、性能的提高、电池寿命的延长以及生物传感器和更多人工智能功能等功能复杂性的增加推动的。这些长期因素支持该公司在2021年及以后实现高个位数增长的前景。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45123609324056b25e0de8e36bf86f46\" tg-width=\"633\" tg-height=\"444\"><span>Source:Toms Hardware, The Information Network</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Toms Hardware，The Information Network</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Aggressive Capacity Expansion Plans and Investments</b></p><p><blockquote><b>积极的产能扩张计划和投资</b></blockquote></p><p> In terms of capacity expansion, TSMC has upped its game in 2021 by increasing its capex by potentially 63% more than last year to $28 bln. The company has announced that around 80% of the budgeted capex will be allocated to expand capacity for the advanced process technologies below 7nm with the remainder for advanced packaging and specialty technologies. Additionally, it is also committing $100 bln over the next 3 years to increase capacity and support R&amp;D towards advanced processes.</p><p><blockquote>在产能扩张方面，台积电在2021年加大了力度，资本支出可能比去年增加63%，达到280亿美元。该公司宣布，约80%的预算资本支出将用于扩大7纳米以下先进工艺技术的产能，其余用于先进封装和特种技术。此外，它还承诺在未来3年内投入1000亿美元来提高产能并支持研发先进工艺。</blockquote></p><p> Previously, TSMC also&nbsp;announced&nbsp;its plan to expand in the US with a $12 bln fab in Arizona capable of producing 5nm chips. The 12-inch fab in Phoenix is relatively modest with a planned output of 20,000 with volume production only expected in 2024. Though, it has also been reported that TSMC might further increase the capacity and equipment capabilities which is a strong possibility with the robust demand environment and the company has also indicated that the location allows it to expand capacity if desired.</p><p><blockquote>此前，台积电还宣布计划在美国扩张，在亚利桑那州投资120亿美元建造一座能够生产5纳米芯片的晶圆厂。凤凰城的12英寸晶圆厂规模相对较小，计划产量为20,000台，预计要到2024年才能量产。不过，也有报道称，台积电可能会进一步增加产能和设备能力，在强劲的需求环境下，这是一个很大的可能性，而且该公司还表示，如果需要，该地点允许其扩大产能。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/326c261509a8f27ac5d2dfd0cd823458\" tg-width=\"907\" tg-height=\"618\"><span>Source:EENewsEurope,Techspot</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：EENewsEurope、Techspot</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In comparison with other larger spenders Intel(NASDAQ:INTC)and Samsung, TSMC’s planned investment commitment of $100 bln for foundry expansion is the most significant. In March, Intel announced it's planned a $20 bln initialinvestmentin Arizona for the construction of two fabs to directly compete with TSMC but a lot more is needed to stand a chance at challenging TSMC’s dominance. On the other hand, Samsung’s plannedinvestmentsof $116 bln are larger but spread across a longer period of 10 years compared to just 3 for TSMC.</p><p><blockquote>与其他支出较大的英特尔（纳斯达克股票代码：INTC）和三星相比，台积电计划投资1000亿美元用于代工扩张的承诺是最重要的。今年3月，英特尔宣布计划在亚利桑那州投资200亿美元建设两座晶圆厂，与台积电直接竞争，但还需要更多资金才能有机会挑战台积电的主导地位。另一方面，三星计划的1160亿美元投资规模更大，但期限更长，为10年，而台积电仅为3年。</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <tbody></tbody> </table> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9a96afbf56db7d1f4ecaf334f01866dc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"181\"><span>Source:Bloomberg</span></p><p><blockquote><table><tbody></tbody></table><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：彭博社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>TSMC’s Superior Process Technology and Roadmap</b></p><p><blockquote><b>台积电优越的制程技术与路线图</b></blockquote></p><p> Backed by its strong investment commitment, TSMC is able to reap the benefits from its strength as a technological leader in semiconductor manufacturing. Shrinking the size of transistors is becoming more challenging with prohibitive costs but a key feature for increasing chip density allowing continued performance improvements and energy efficiency. Chips at the leading edge nodes (below 10nm) are critical to achieve this and its share of demand would only grow larger to support advanced technologies accounting for nearly one third of capacity in 3 years.</p><p><blockquote>在其强大的投资承诺的支持下，台积电能够从其作为半导体制造技术领导者的实力中获益。由于成本过高，缩小晶体管的尺寸变得越来越具有挑战性，但这是增加芯片密度的关键特征，可以持续提高性能和能效。前沿节点（10纳米以下）的芯片对于实现这一目标至关重要，其需求份额只会越来越大，以支持先进技术，在3年内占产能的近三分之一。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d4e784ad457fc66c73ca376c7af1981e\" tg-width=\"525\" tg-height=\"427\"><span>Source:IC Insights</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：IC Insights</span></p></blockquote></p><p> This is where TSMC shines with its leadership owing to its focus on continuously developing more advanced process technologies. While the company only accounts for 40% to 65% of revenues for the less sophisticated 28-65nm chips, it dominates the market for most advanced nodes with making up 90% of chips below 10nm. We expect it to maintain its leadership at the advanced nodes as other pureplay competitors struggle with developing their processes.</p><p><blockquote>这是台积电因专注于不断开发更先进的制程技术而发挥领导作用的地方。虽然该公司仅占不太复杂的28-65纳米芯片收入的40%至65%，但它在大多数先进节点市场占据主导地位，占10纳米以下芯片的90%。我们预计，随着其他纯竞争对手努力开发其流程，它将保持在高级节点的领先地位。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab154a4af28b364c0c3dc9e281683ecd\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"458\"><span>Source:Financial Times</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：金融时报</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In terms of the TSMC’s technology roadmap, the company’s 5nm process is already in the second year of volume production and continues to be ramped up with strong demand from smartphone and HPC applications. Following 5nm, the company is moving to 4nm and targeting volume production by next year. Also, the company has scheduled the 3nm for volume production in the second half of 2022. Based on a FinFET transistor structure, it is believed that its 3nm can provide 70% logic density gain, boosting performance up to 15% and cutting power consumption by 30%. The transistor size in a 3nm node is just 1/20,000th of a human hair. At the same time, the company is developing its GAAFET-based 2nm node with production expected in its Taiwanese fabs across Hsinchu and Baoshan.</p><p><blockquote>就台积电的技术路线图而言，该公司的5nm工艺已经进入量产的第二年，并随着智能手机和HPC应用的强劲需求而继续提升。继5纳米之后，该公司正在转向4纳米，目标是明年量产。此外，该公司还计划在2022年下半年量产3nm。基于FinFET晶体管结构，据信其3nm可以提供70%的逻辑密度增益，将性能提升高达15%，功耗降低30%。3nm节点中的晶体管尺寸仅为人类头发丝的1/20,000。与此同时，该公司正在开发基于GAAFET的2纳米节点，预计将在其位于新竹和宝山的台湾晶圆厂生产。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Compared to leading competitors, Samsung’s roadmap is also quite similar to TSMC as it plans to mass produce 3nm chips in 2022 with 2nm possibly also indevelopmentwith IBM(NYSE:IBM)but produced by Samsung. More recently, TSMC has announced a breakthrough in thedevelopmentof 1nm. Whereas for Intel, its Arizona fab is only indicated to produce 7nm technologies but only when it is completed in 2024.</p><p><blockquote>与主要竞争对手相比，三星的路线图也与台积电非常相似，因为它计划在2022年大规模生产3纳米芯片，其中2纳米芯片可能也在与IBM（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IBM）合作开发，但由三星生产。最近，台积电宣布在1纳米开发方面取得突破。而对于英特尔来说，其亚利桑那州工厂仅表示将生产7纳米技术，但前提是在2024年竣工。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6cce4edae659b7c5424284f348286586\" tg-width=\"577\" tg-height=\"384\"><span>Source:IC Insights</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：IC Insights</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Overall, TSMC’s investment plans allow it to derive a distinct advantage owing to its focus on advanced nodes despite the hefty costs. Among pure-play foundries, the company has the highest return on capital employed at 27.3% versus the industry average of 13.8%.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，尽管成本高昂，但台积电的投资计划使其能够获得明显的优势，因为它专注于先进节点。在纯代工厂中，该公司的资本回报率最高，为27.3%，而行业平均水平为13.8%。</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Company</b></p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><td><b>公司</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>Return on Capital Employed</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>已动用资本回报率</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>TSMC</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>台积电</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>27.3%</p><p><blockquote><td>27.3%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>UMC</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>UMC</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>11.1%</p><p><blockquote><td>11.1%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>SMICOTCQX:SMICY</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>SMICOTCQX：SMICY</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>3.1%</p><p><blockquote><td>3.1%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> <i>Source:WSJ</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：华尔街日报</i></blockquote></p><p> Moreover, TSMC also benefits from favourable pricing with a rising wafer pricing trend in line with its advanced node migration. As the only pure-play foundry with 7nm and 5nm in 2020, its wafer pricing increased by 6.8% while other pureplay foundries had flattish wafer pricing trends. As TSMC transitions to more advanced nodes, pricing is expected to trend upwards while its competitors’ prices remain relatively flat but couldriseby up around 20% this year due to tight capacity.</p><p><blockquote>此外，台积电还受益于有利的定价，晶圆价格随着其先进节点迁移而上涨。作为2020年唯一一家拥有7纳米和5纳米的纯晶圆代工厂，其晶圆定价上涨了6.8%，而其他纯晶圆代工厂的晶圆定价趋势平淡。随着台积电向更先进的节点过渡，定价预计将呈上升趋势，而其竞争对手的价格保持相对平稳，但由于产能紧张，今年可能会上涨20%左右。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d72237f327bae332b07dc3bbd226641a\" tg-width=\"596\" tg-height=\"326\"><span>Source:IC Insights</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：IC Insights</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Besides advanced nodes, the company’s advantage due to its scale is apparent as evident from its superior profitability compared to rivals. Its gross margins of 53.21% and net margins of 38.86% triumphs UMC and SMIC. However, data for Global Foundries could not be obtained as it is a private company.</p><p><blockquote>除了先进的节点之外，该公司的规模优势也很明显，与竞争对手相比，其卓越的盈利能力也很明显。其毛利率为53.21%，净利润率为38.86%，击败了联电和中芯国际。然而，由于Global Foundries是一家私营公司，因此无法获得其数据。</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Company</b></p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><td><b>公司</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>Revenues ($ bln)</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>收入（十亿美元）</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>Gross Margins</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>毛利率</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>Net Margins</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>净利润率</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>TSMC</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>台积电</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$47.95</p><p><blockquote><td>$47.95</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>53.21%</p><p><blockquote><td>53.21%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>38.86%</p><p><blockquote><td>38.86%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>UMC</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>UMC</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$6.3</p><p><blockquote><td>$6.3</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>23.88%</p><p><blockquote><td>23.88%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>20.59%</p><p><blockquote><td>20.59%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>SMIC</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>中芯国际</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>$3.91</p><p><blockquote><td>$3.91</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>22.83%</p><p><blockquote><td>22.83%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>17.87%</p><p><blockquote><td>17.87%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> <i>Source: Seeking Alpha, Investing.com, Macrotrends</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：Seeking Alpha、Investing.com、Macrotrends</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p> Due to the robust foundry market, TSMC’s revenue grew 33% in 2020 with a 5-year average growth rate of 13.7%. Its average gross margins and net margins are 49.7% and 35% respectively.</p><p><blockquote>由于晶圆代工市场强劲，台积电2020年收入增长33%，5年平均增长率为13.7%。其平均毛利率和净利润率分别为49.7%和35%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fb481e40dd284b4be697764012599660\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>Source: TSMC, Khaveen Investments</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：台积电、卡文投资</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The company has a strong cash flow generation profile with a 5-year average of 21%. However, due to the significant rise in guided capex from 2021 onwards, the company’s margins are expected to dip but recover as it expands aggressively.</p><p><blockquote>该公司拥有强劲的现金流生成状况，5年平均为21%。然而，由于从2021年起指导资本支出大幅上升，该公司的利润率预计将下降，但随着其积极扩张而恢复。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef99c8c626d03cd5796d38088510e291\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>Source: TSMC, Khaveen Investments</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：台积电、卡文投资</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Owing to its immense scale and technology leadership, the company has managed to solidify its leadership by growing its market share over the past 5 years to 56% in 2020. As the company scales up capacity and advanced nodes 5nm this year, we anticipate further market share gains even beyond 2021.</p><p><blockquote>由于其巨大的规模和技术领先地位，该公司在过去5年中将其市场份额提高到2020年的56%，从而巩固了其领导地位。随着该公司今年扩大产能和先进节点5纳米，我们预计市场份额甚至在2021年之后将进一步增长。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c58cebb1fc453c5861aac81712d01607\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>Source: Statista, Khaveen Investments</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Statista、Khaveen投资</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The global foundry market is expected to grow at a 11%&nbsp;CAGR&nbsp;according to estimates from TrendForce. We expect TSMC to outpace this growth rate by gaining market share due to its scale and technological advantages as highlighted above. Overall, we see TSMC growing nearly 15% through 2023 which is in line with management guidance of 10 to 15% CAGR long term.</p><p><blockquote>根据TrendForce的估计，全球代工市场预计将以11%的CAGR增长。我们预计，由于上述规模和技术优势，台积电将通过获得市场份额来超越这一增长率。总体而言，我们预计台积电到2023年将增长近15%，这符合管理层长期复合年增长率10%至15%的指导。</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>TSMC Revenue Projection</b></p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><td><b>台积电营收预测</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>2020</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>2020</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>2021F</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>2021F</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>2022F</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>2022F</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>2023F</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>2023F</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>Foundry Market</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>代工市场</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>78,921</p><p><blockquote><td>78,921</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>87,602</p><p><blockquote><td>87,602</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>97,239</p><p><blockquote><td>97,239</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>107,935</p><p><blockquote><td>107,935</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>TSMC Foundry Revenues</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>台积电代工收入</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>44,205</p><p><blockquote><td>44,205</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>50,809</p><p><blockquote><td>50,809</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>58,343</p><p><blockquote><td>58,343</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>66,920</p><p><blockquote><td>66,920</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>TSMC Growth %</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>台积电成长%</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>14.9%</p><p><blockquote><td>14.9%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>14.8%</p><p><blockquote><td>14.8%</td></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>14.7%</p><p><blockquote><td>14.7%</td></blockquote></p><p></p><p></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> <i>Source: Statista, TrendForce, Khaveen Investments</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：Statista、TrendForce、Khaveen Investments</i></blockquote></p><p> The industry average EV/EBITDA of the pure-play foundry market is 10.53x excluding Samsung which is a tech conglomerate.</p><p><blockquote>纯代工市场的行业平均EV/EBITDA为10.53倍，不包括科技集团三星。</blockquote></p><p> <table>  <tbody>   <tr>    <td><b>Company</b></p><p><blockquote><table><tbody><tr><td><b>公司</b></td></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>EV/EBITDA</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>EV/EBITDA</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>TSMC</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>台积电</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>15.64</p><p><blockquote><td>15.64</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>UMC</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>UMC</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>8.89</p><p><blockquote><td>8.89</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td>SMIC</p><p><blockquote><tr><td>中芯国际</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td>7.07</p><p><blockquote><td>7.07</td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>   <tr>    <td><b>Average</b></p><p><blockquote><tr><td><b>均值</b></td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td>    <td><b>10.53</b></p><p><blockquote><td><b>10.53</b></td></blockquote></p><p></td>   </tr>  </tbody> </table> <i>Source: Seeking Alpha</i></p><p><blockquote><i>资料来源：寻求阿尔法</i></blockquote></p><p> Based on a discount rate of 7.3% (company’s WACC), our model shows an upside of 15.2%.</p><p><blockquote>基于7.3%的贴现率（公司的WACC），我们的模型显示上涨空间为15.2%。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cec106cd5858b583064db2d09cd133b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"360\"><span>Source: Khaveen Investments</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：卡文投资</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Verdict</b></p><p><blockquote><b>裁决</b></blockquote></p><p> Despite all the plans by Samsung and Intel, TSMC remains too big to beat as a pure-play foundry leader with growing market share owing to its superior technology process and scale. In 2020, the company saw robust growth across most end market platforms despite the trade embargo on Huawei. Robust demand is expected to roll over into 2021 across all major end markets especially fueled by the resumption of auto production and structural trend of HPC and 5G. To capitalize on the multi-year megatrends, the company has not only stepped up its capex budget for the year potentially up 63% but also a long-term 3-year $100 bln investment commitment to expand capacity for the advanced nodes. This highlights its commitment towards implementing its roadmap for the node migration towards 4nm and 3nm next year followed by 2nm further into the future. These factors cumulatively solidify its market leadership which could lead to further market share gains. Overall, we rate the company as a<i>Buy</i>with a target price of<i>$126.32.</i></p><p><blockquote>尽管三星和英特尔制定了所有计划，但台积电作为纯粹的代工领导者，由于其卓越的技术工艺和规模，市场份额不断增长，其规模仍然太大，无法被击败。2020年，尽管对华为实施贸易禁运，该公司在大多数终端市场平台上都实现了强劲增长。预计所有主要终端市场的强劲需求将延续到2021年，特别是在汽车生产恢复以及HPC和5G的结构性趋势的推动下。为了利用多年大趋势，该公司不仅将今年的资本支出预算提高了63%，还做出了3年1000亿美元的长期投资承诺，以扩大高级节点的容量。这凸显了其致力于实施明年节点迁移到4纳米和3纳米以及未来2纳米的路线图。这些因素累积起来巩固了其市场领导地位，从而可能进一步提高市场份额。总体而言，我们将该公司评为<i>购买</i>目标价为<i>$126.32.</i></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432785-tsmc-expanding-foundry-market-leadership\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSM":"台积电"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432785-tsmc-expanding-foundry-market-leadership","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1160565063","content_text":"Summary\n\nTSMC’s growth by end market is expected to be strong across the board this year especially in HPC and automotive markets due to the resumption in auto production and structural.\nIt's undergoing aggressive capacity expansion plans after raising capex by over 60% and committing $100 bln over the next 3 years.\nThe company continues to lead with a solid technological advantage as it ramps up its 5nm production followed by 4nm and 3nm scheduled for mass production next year.\n\nPhoto by Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM) is a pioneer of the pure-play foundry business model with an exclusive focus on manufacturing customers’ products. Backed by a robust demand environment and technological leadership with advanced nodes, TSMC’s market share increased to 56% in 2020 from 53% in the previous year. The company is anticipated to register another strong year of growth as strong demand rollover providing a tailwind and the structural drivers leading to an increase in the underlying semiconductor demand for HPC, IoT, 5G and automotive fueling strong demand from the multi-year megatrends.\nTSMC’s leadership position revolves around its competitive strengths from the scale as the largest pure-play foundry by capacity. The company is scaling up even further by committing an aggressive expansion plan increasing capex potentially up to 63% in 2020 and $100 bln over the next three years. Furthermore, as a technology leader, the company is continuously developing more advanced process technologies to maintain its lead. Its process technology roadmap indicates that it well-positioned to solidify this lead by targeting 3nm and 4nm nodes for mass production next year followed by 2nm further down the line.\nSource: TSMC\nStrong End Market Growth Across the Board Especially in HPC and Automotive\nTSMC’s impressive growth in 2020 was particularly strong across the HPC, IoT and smartphone end markets registering the highest growth rate among all end markets as depicted in the chart below. This is significant as these three end markets make up the largest segments by revenues with a combined contribution of 89%.\nSource: TSMC\nAlthough the smartphone platform is the largest segment, the end market which exhibited the highest growth was the HPC platform. Fueled by the work and study from home shift as well as rapid 5G deployment, HPC saw unit shipments grew by 11% which includes chips for PCs, tablets, game consoles, servers, and base stations. Looking ahead, management expects the robust demand to roll over into 2021 as structural factors spur demand for products at the leading edge including CPU, GPU, networking, FPGA, AI-accelerated video gaming, etc. For example, the proliferation of AI and machine learning applications across a broad range of industries with continuous R&D from tech giants spurring demand for accelerators to handle inferencing and training workloads leading to a CAGR of 42.2% to 2027 for the AI market. Additionally, the ongoing cloud migration by enterprises and scaling of data centers by leading cloud service provider fueling the cloud computing market with a CAGR of 17.5%. Other drivers include 5G deployment as well as next-generation gaming all requiring higher performance and power-efficient chips. All of these factors support the long-term growth of the HPC platform which TSMC believes can overtake the smartphone platform to become the most significant end market in the future.\nBesides HPC, the ongoing automotive chip shortage is another platform in which the company expects stronger growth this year. In 2020, the segment contracted in line with the decline in global vehicle sales by 14% as consumer confidence weakened and auto manufacturers halted production. As production resumes with car sales expected to rebound in the low teens, we expect the segment to grow in line with the industry recovery. Additionally, rising semiconductor content driven by EV which could see nearly10 times greater content per vehicle than a conventional combustion vehicle and ADAS fueling demand for sensors, analog and power ICs is a structural driver for TSMC.\nAdditionally, even more impressive about TSMC’s 2020 growth is the fact that the company lost a key contribution from the embargoed Huawei’s HiSilicon (12.8% of revenues) but still managed to register strong smartphone platform growth. Despite the modest global unit shipments decline of 9%, the growth in the platform is driven by 5G adoption, improved performance, longer battery life and increasing complexity of features such as biosensors and more AI features. These long-term factors support the company’s outlook for high single-digit growth in 2021 and beyond.\nSource:Toms Hardware, The Information Network\nAggressive Capacity Expansion Plans and Investments\nIn terms of capacity expansion, TSMC has upped its game in 2021 by increasing its capex by potentially 63% more than last year to $28 bln. The company has announced that around 80% of the budgeted capex will be allocated to expand capacity for the advanced process technologies below 7nm with the remainder for advanced packaging and specialty technologies. Additionally, it is also committing $100 bln over the next 3 years to increase capacity and support R&D towards advanced processes.\nPreviously, TSMC also announced its plan to expand in the US with a $12 bln fab in Arizona capable of producing 5nm chips. The 12-inch fab in Phoenix is relatively modest with a planned output of 20,000 with volume production only expected in 2024. Though, it has also been reported that TSMC might further increase the capacity and equipment capabilities which is a strong possibility with the robust demand environment and the company has also indicated that the location allows it to expand capacity if desired.\nSource:EENewsEurope,Techspot\nIn comparison with other larger spenders Intel(NASDAQ:INTC)and Samsung, TSMC’s planned investment commitment of $100 bln for foundry expansion is the most significant. In March, Intel announced it's planned a $20 bln initialinvestmentin Arizona for the construction of two fabs to directly compete with TSMC but a lot more is needed to stand a chance at challenging TSMC’s dominance. On the other hand, Samsung’s plannedinvestmentsof $116 bln are larger but spread across a longer period of 10 years compared to just 3 for TSMC.\n\n\n\nSource:Bloomberg\nTSMC’s Superior Process Technology and Roadmap\nBacked by its strong investment commitment, TSMC is able to reap the benefits from its strength as a technological leader in semiconductor manufacturing. Shrinking the size of transistors is becoming more challenging with prohibitive costs but a key feature for increasing chip density allowing continued performance improvements and energy efficiency. Chips at the leading edge nodes (below 10nm) are critical to achieve this and its share of demand would only grow larger to support advanced technologies accounting for nearly one third of capacity in 3 years.\nSource:IC Insights\nThis is where TSMC shines with its leadership owing to its focus on continuously developing more advanced process technologies. While the company only accounts for 40% to 65% of revenues for the less sophisticated 28-65nm chips, it dominates the market for most advanced nodes with making up 90% of chips below 10nm. We expect it to maintain its leadership at the advanced nodes as other pureplay competitors struggle with developing their processes.\nSource:Financial Times\nIn terms of the TSMC’s technology roadmap, the company’s 5nm process is already in the second year of volume production and continues to be ramped up with strong demand from smartphone and HPC applications. Following 5nm, the company is moving to 4nm and targeting volume production by next year. Also, the company has scheduled the 3nm for volume production in the second half of 2022. Based on a FinFET transistor structure, it is believed that its 3nm can provide 70% logic density gain, boosting performance up to 15% and cutting power consumption by 30%. The transistor size in a 3nm node is just 1/20,000th of a human hair. At the same time, the company is developing its GAAFET-based 2nm node with production expected in its Taiwanese fabs across Hsinchu and Baoshan.\nCompared to leading competitors, Samsung’s roadmap is also quite similar to TSMC as it plans to mass produce 3nm chips in 2022 with 2nm possibly also indevelopmentwith IBM(NYSE:IBM)but produced by Samsung. More recently, TSMC has announced a breakthrough in thedevelopmentof 1nm. Whereas for Intel, its Arizona fab is only indicated to produce 7nm technologies but only when it is completed in 2024.\nSource:IC Insights\nOverall, TSMC’s investment plans allow it to derive a distinct advantage owing to its focus on advanced nodes despite the hefty costs. Among pure-play foundries, the company has the highest return on capital employed at 27.3% versus the industry average of 13.8%.\n\n\n\nCompany\nReturn on Capital Employed\n\n\nTSMC\n27.3%\n\n\nUMC\n11.1%\n\n\nSMICOTCQX:SMICY\n3.1%\n\n\n\nSource:WSJ\nMoreover, TSMC also benefits from favourable pricing with a rising wafer pricing trend in line with its advanced node migration. As the only pure-play foundry with 7nm and 5nm in 2020, its wafer pricing increased by 6.8% while other pureplay foundries had flattish wafer pricing trends. As TSMC transitions to more advanced nodes, pricing is expected to trend upwards while its competitors’ prices remain relatively flat but couldriseby up around 20% this year due to tight capacity.\nSource:IC Insights\nBesides advanced nodes, the company’s advantage due to its scale is apparent as evident from its superior profitability compared to rivals. Its gross margins of 53.21% and net margins of 38.86% triumphs UMC and SMIC. However, data for Global Foundries could not be obtained as it is a private company.\n\n\n\nCompany\nRevenues ($ bln)\nGross Margins\nNet Margins\n\n\nTSMC\n$47.95\n53.21%\n38.86%\n\n\nUMC\n$6.3\n23.88%\n20.59%\n\n\nSMIC\n$3.91\n22.83%\n17.87%\n\n\n\nSource: Seeking Alpha, Investing.com, Macrotrends\nValuation\nDue to the robust foundry market, TSMC’s revenue grew 33% in 2020 with a 5-year average growth rate of 13.7%. Its average gross margins and net margins are 49.7% and 35% respectively.\nSource: TSMC, Khaveen Investments\nThe company has a strong cash flow generation profile with a 5-year average of 21%. However, due to the significant rise in guided capex from 2021 onwards, the company’s margins are expected to dip but recover as it expands aggressively.\nSource: TSMC, Khaveen Investments\nOwing to its immense scale and technology leadership, the company has managed to solidify its leadership by growing its market share over the past 5 years to 56% in 2020. As the company scales up capacity and advanced nodes 5nm this year, we anticipate further market share gains even beyond 2021.\nSource: Statista, Khaveen Investments\nThe global foundry market is expected to grow at a 11% CAGR according to estimates from TrendForce. We expect TSMC to outpace this growth rate by gaining market share due to its scale and technological advantages as highlighted above. Overall, we see TSMC growing nearly 15% through 2023 which is in line with management guidance of 10 to 15% CAGR long term.\n\n\n\nTSMC Revenue Projection\n2020\n2021F\n2022F\n2023F\n\n\nFoundry Market\n78,921\n87,602\n97,239\n107,935\n\n\nTSMC Foundry Revenues\n44,205\n50,809\n58,343\n66,920\n\n\nTSMC Growth %\n14.9%\n14.8%\n14.7%\n\n\n\nSource: Statista, TrendForce, Khaveen Investments\nThe industry average EV/EBITDA of the pure-play foundry market is 10.53x excluding Samsung which is a tech conglomerate.\n\n\n\nCompany\nEV/EBITDA\n\n\nTSMC\n15.64\n\n\nUMC\n8.89\n\n\nSMIC\n7.07\n\n\nAverage\n10.53\n\n\n\nSource: Seeking Alpha\nBased on a discount rate of 7.3% (company’s WACC), our model shows an upside of 15.2%.\nSource: Khaveen Investments\nVerdict\nDespite all the plans by Samsung and Intel, TSMC remains too big to beat as a pure-play foundry leader with growing market share owing to its superior technology process and scale. In 2020, the company saw robust growth across most end market platforms despite the trade embargo on Huawei. Robust demand is expected to roll over into 2021 across all major end markets especially fueled by the resumption of auto production and structural trend of HPC and 5G. To capitalize on the multi-year megatrends, the company has not only stepped up its capex budget for the year potentially up 63% but also a long-term 3-year $100 bln investment commitment to expand capacity for the advanced nodes. This highlights its commitment towards implementing its roadmap for the node migration towards 4nm and 3nm next year followed by 2nm further into the future. These factors cumulatively solidify its market leadership which could lead to further market share gains. Overall, we rate the company as aBuywith a target price of$126.32.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":422,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":111063002,"gmtCreate":1622644709306,"gmtModify":1631892263048,"author":{"id":"3578099872805879","authorId":"3578099872805879","name":"33c3eb1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578099872805879","idStr":"3578099872805879"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"It's like setting a fire, putting it out and then reporting that they extinguished a fire! Please like and comment.&nbsp;","listText":"It's like setting a fire, putting it out and then reporting that they extinguished a fire! Please like and comment.&nbsp;","text":"It's like setting a fire, putting it out and then reporting that they extinguished a fire! Please like and comment.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/111063002","repostId":"1141662964","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":520,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":119791762,"gmtCreate":1622562733656,"gmtModify":1631892263047,"author":{"id":"3578099872805879","authorId":"3578099872805879","name":"33c3eb1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578099872805879","idStr":"3578099872805879"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Why?&nbsp;","listText":"Why?&nbsp;","text":"Why?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/119791762","repostId":"2139589924","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":677,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":874076477,"gmtCreate":1637716300605,"gmtModify":1637716300739,"author":{"id":"3578099872805879","authorId":"3578099872805879","name":"33c3eb1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578099872805879","idStr":"3578099872805879"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Noooooo!&nbsp;","listText":"Noooooo!&nbsp;","text":"Noooooo!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":11,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/874076477","repostId":"2185336565","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3320,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":699626442,"gmtCreate":1639794429282,"gmtModify":1639794429450,"author":{"id":"3578099872805879","authorId":"3578099872805879","name":"33c3eb1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578099872805879","idStr":"3578099872805879"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hi","listText":"Hi","text":"Hi","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":10,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/699626442","repostId":"2185336565","repostType":2,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2340,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":117698459,"gmtCreate":1623135254771,"gmtModify":1631883987824,"author":{"id":"3578099872805879","authorId":"3578099872805879","name":"33c3eb1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578099872805879","idStr":"3578099872805879"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Alzheimers is a very big market. Let's hope this one succeeds. Please like and reply.&nbsp;","listText":"Alzheimers is a very big market. Let's hope this one succeeds. Please like and reply.&nbsp;","text":"Alzheimers is a very big market. Let's hope this one succeeds. Please like and reply.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/117698459","repostId":"1135714831","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":741,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":865122202,"gmtCreate":1632962342778,"gmtModify":1632962342999,"author":{"id":"3578099872805879","authorId":"3578099872805879","name":"33c3eb1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578099872805879","idStr":"3578099872805879"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow thats a lot!&nbsp;","listText":"Wow thats a lot!&nbsp;","text":"Wow thats a lot!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/865122202","repostId":"1146006231","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2508,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":115190254,"gmtCreate":1622956036278,"gmtModify":1631889975489,"author":{"id":"3578099872805879","authorId":"3578099872805879","name":"33c3eb1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578099872805879","idStr":"3578099872805879"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Be very wary my friends! Like and reply if you agree.&nbsp;","listText":"Be very wary my friends! Like and reply if you agree.&nbsp;","text":"Be very wary my friends! Like and reply if you agree.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/115190254","repostId":"1120164826","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1120164826","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622951745,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1120164826?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-06 11:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Zillow: Significant Downside Remains<blockquote>Zillow：仍存在重大下行空间</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1120164826","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nShares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my \"Take Profits\" article was publishe","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Shares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my \"Take Profits\" article was published on Seeking Alpha.</li>  <li>However, and despite a definite improvement in the latest Q1 EPS report, the stock looks to have a further downside to come.</li>  <li>That is because margins are dismal, forward adjusted EBITDA guidance for Q2 was weak (lower than Q1), and the outstanding share count continues to grow.</li>  <li>Yet, the stock still trades with a forward P/E of nearly 100x.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba2b4c631e3e6b24aaf024fb49665ea3\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Photo by Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>自从我在Seeking Alpha上发表“获利了结”文章以来，Zillow Group的股价已下跌约30%。</li><li>然而，尽管最新的第一季度每股收益报告明显改善，但该股看起来还会进一步下跌。</li><li>这是因为利润率惨淡，第二季度的前瞻性调整EBITDA指引疲弱（低于第一季度），而且流通股数量持续增长。</li><li>然而，该股的预期市盈率仍接近100倍。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Sundry Photography/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The&nbsp;<b>Zillow Group</b>&nbsp;(ZG) has, without a doubt, established itself as the #1 online real estate website and as one-stop shop for home-buying consumers. The company's recent pivot to what I'll call the iHome business (purchasing homes directly from consumers and then selling them on the open market) has been a positive catalyst of late in terms of revenue growth, and that business blends well with ZG's Mortgage Segment and Internet, Media, and Technology Segment. However, despite the recent and significant drop in the price of the shares, ZG still seem substantially overvalued in my opinion. That is because margins are - in a word - pathetic. In addition, Q2 guidance was weak and the company plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year. In my opinion, that will pressure margins even further through the remainder of the year.</p><p><blockquote>The<b>Zillow集团</b>毫无疑问，（ZG）已经成为排名第一的在线房地产网站和购房消费者的一站式商店。该公司最近转向看涨期权iHome业务（直接从消费者那里购买房屋，然后在公开市场上出售），这是最近收入增长的积极催化剂，该业务与ZG的抵押贷款业务融合得很好。部门以及互联网、媒体和技术部门。然而，尽管最近股价大幅下跌，但在我看来，ZG的估值似乎仍然被严重高估。这是因为利润率——一言以蔽之——可怜。此外，Q2指引疲弱，公司计划今年再增聘2000名员工。在我看来，这将在今年剩余时间里进一步给利润率带来压力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Rationale</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资理由</b></blockquote></p><p> Like many Americans, Zillow has become one of my favorite websites. I am surely not alone when it comes to frequently checking Zillow.com to see what the current \"Zestimate\" is for my home as well as for the homes I have owned in the past, and those of my friends and family.</p><p><blockquote>像许多美国人一样，Zillow已经成为我最喜欢的网站之一。我肯定不是唯一一个经常查看Zillow.com以了解我的家以及我过去拥有的家以及我的朋友和家人的家的当前“Zestimate”是多少的人。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, marketing share data from Statista shows that Zillow is #1 in unique monthly visits, and Trulia - which the Zillow Group bought in 2014 - is #2. In aggregate that gives the Zillow group a stranglehold on the real estate website market (at least by the unique visits metric) at more than 3x the share as compared to what was once a highly competitive race with Realtor.com for consumers' eye-balls:</p><p><blockquote>事实上，Statista的营销份额数据显示，Zillow在每月独立访问量方面排名第一，Zillow集团在2014年收购的Trulia排名第二。总体而言，与曾经与Realtor.com争夺消费者眼球的激烈竞争相比，Zillow集团在房地产网站市场（至少从独立访问量指标来看）的份额是其3倍以上：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/929acb56fa1d566e5f6c3ac0d250c2c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"553\"><span>Source:Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：斯塔蒂斯塔</span></p></blockquote></p><p> But of course there are other metrics to judge the popularity and use of real estate websites. Here is more recent data (April 1, 2021) from SimilarWeb.com:</p><p><blockquote>但当然还有其他指标来判断房地产网站的受欢迎程度和使用情况。以下是来自SimilarWeb.com的最新数据（2021年4月1日）：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/836f372f61ccb570286e9ac3e0f3143b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"366\"><span>Source:SimilarWeb.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：SimilarWeb.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When it comes to average visit duration, pages viewed per visit, and bounce rate (the % of consumers that only view one-page then leave the site), Zillow and Trulia again show impressive comps. That said, note there must be other metrics that figure into the SimilarWeb ratings shown above because - from these metrics alone - one could argue rightmove.co.uk has the best stats as shown. Regardless, this graphic is another indicator that the Zillow/Trulia brand is very strong and the market leader.</p><p><blockquote>当谈到平均访问持续时间、每次访问浏览的页面和跳出率（只浏览一页然后离开网站的消费者的百分比）时，Zillow和Trulia再次显示出令人印象深刻的对比。也就是说，请注意，上面显示的SimilarWeb评级中肯定有其他指标，因为仅从这些指标来看，人们就可以认为rightmove.co.uk拥有如图所示的最佳统计数据。无论如何，这张图是Zillow/Trulia品牌非常强大并且是市场领导者的另一个指标。</blockquote></p><p> However, eye-balls aren't enough ... the views and activity need to be converted into profits, and that is where the Zillow Group is struggling in comparison to its rather lofty valuation.</p><p><blockquote>然而，眼球是不够的...观点和活动需要转化为利润，而这正是Zillow集团与其相当高的估值相比所苦苦挣扎的地方。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Q1 Earnings</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第一季度收益</b></blockquote></p><p> Zillow released its&nbsp;Q1 EPS report&nbsp;on May 4th. It was a strong report. GAAP net-income of $0.20/share&nbsp;beat estimates by a whopping $0.13. Revenue of $1.22 billion was a $120 million beat and was up 8% yoy. The company reported strong traffic on its website and mobile apps, with 221 million average monthly users (up 15% yoy) driving 2.5 billion visits during Q1 (up 19% yoy).</p><p><blockquote>Zillow于5月4日发布了第一季度EPS报告。这是一份强有力的报告。GAAP每股净利润为0.20美元，比预期高出0.13美元。收入为12.2亿美元，超出1.2亿美元，同比增长8%。该公司报告称，其网站和移动应用程序流量强劲，第一季度平均每月用户2.21亿（同比增长15%），访问量达25亿次（同比增长19%）。</blockquote></p><p> The most interesting segment in Q1 was the iHome (or what ZG calls \"Zillow Offers\") because it accounted for ~57% of revenue and is the segment Zillow is counting on to be is profitable growth engine.</p><p><blockquote>第一季度最有趣的细分市场是iHome（或ZG评级“Zillow提供的”），因为它约占收入的57%，并且是Zillow指望成为盈利增长引擎的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> However, as can be seen in the graphic below, the margins are - so far - quite puny:</p><p><blockquote>然而，如下图所示，到目前为止，利润率相当小：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82e5264c5427eb9f8b1987c2182cb39a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"311\"><span>Source: Zillow'sQ1 EPS report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Zillow第一季度每股收益报告</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> As can be seen, the all-in return (after operating costs and interest expense) on the home buying/selling (flipping might be a better word) is a scant 4.94% of the average per-home revenue. That is despite what is generally considered to be a very hot-market real estate market across the nation. In addition, note the iHome business is a threat to the company's future growth aspirations because the pivot to iHome has pretty much cratered the company's Premier Agent business. The pivot also likely means more pressure on Zillow's advertising revenue which generally comes from the agents its iHome segment is now stealing away homes from. And all that for only 4.9% margins?</p><p><blockquote>可以看出，房屋买卖（翻转可能是一个更好的词）的总回报（扣除运营成本和利息支出）不到平均每户收入的4.94%。尽管全国房地产市场普遍被认为非常火爆。此外，请注意，iHome业务对公司未来的增长愿望构成威胁，因为转向iHome几乎损害了公司的首要代理业务。这一转变也可能意味着Zillow的广告收入面临更大压力，这些收入通常来自其iHome部门目前正在抢走房屋的代理商。而这一切的利润率只有4.9%？</blockquote></p><p> <b>Going Forward</b></p><p><blockquote><b>展望未来</b></blockquote></p><p> The chart below is the company's guidance for Q2:</p><p><blockquote>下图是该公司第二季度的指引：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d976a71e1e72bb8f0c6ac3306aa4f100\" tg-width=\"628\" tg-height=\"337\"><span>Source: Zillow's Q1 EPS report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Zillow第一季度每股收益报告</span></p></blockquote></p><p> At the midpoint of guidance total adjusted EBITDA ($128 million), note that&nbsp;<b>will be down considerably</b>&nbsp;from the $181 million in total adjusted EBITDA delivered in Q1.</p><p><blockquote>在指导调整后EBITDA总额（1.28亿美元）的中点，请注意<b>将大幅下降</b>第一季度调整后EBITDA总额为1.81亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, note the weighted average share-count at the end of Q1 (it was not included in the Q1 EPS report, but can be found in the&nbsp;SEC 10-Q filing) was 259,346,000 shares (up a whopping 23% yoy). And that share-count is expected to continue growing to an estimated 265.5 million shares at the end of Q2 (based on the guidance shown above).</p><p><blockquote>此外，请注意，第一季度末的加权平均股数（未包含在第一季度每股收益报告中，但可以在SEC 10-Q文件中找到）为259,346,000股（同比增长23%）。预计到第二季度末，该股数量将继续增长至约2.655亿股（基于上述指导）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p> So we have weak margins, falling adjusted EBITDA and a significantly rising number of fully diluted shares. Hmmmm.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我们的利润率疲软，调整后的EBITDA下降，而完全稀释的股票数量大幅增加。嗯嗯。</blockquote></p><p> Yet, despite the recent correction in the stock (note the stock is down ~30% since my Seeking Alpha article in March&nbsp;<i>Zillow: Take Profits</i>), the stock is still trading at a lofty valuation given the analysis of Q1 and Q2 guidance just presented. The&nbsp;Seeking Alpha forward P/E=97.7x.</p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管该股最近有所调整（请注意，自我3月份的Seeking Alpha文章以来，该股已下跌约30%<i>Zillow：获利了结</i>），考虑到刚刚提出的第一季度和第二季度指引的分析，该股的估值仍然很高。寻求阿尔法远期市盈率=97.7倍。</blockquote></p><p> That is obviously a rich comparison in terms of Zillow's growth prospects (or non-growth...) considering the weak Q2 guidance. In addition, it is not clear to me what the catalyst will be to improve the company's awfully small margins going forward. That is especially the case considering&nbsp;<b>Zillow plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year</b>, increasing its headcount by some 40%. In my opinion, this headcount growth will be a significant headwind when it comes to increasing margins. That is, Zillow is not able to demonstrate increasing margins as it tries to scale-up its operations.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到疲软的第二季度指引，就Zillow的增长前景（或非增长……）而言，这显然是一个丰富的比较。此外，我不清楚改善公司未来微薄利润率的催化剂是什么。考虑到这一点尤其如此<b>Zillow计划今年再增聘2000名员工</b>，员工人数增加约40%。在我看来，在提高利润率方面，员工人数的增长将是一个重大阻力。也就是说，Zillow在试图扩大业务规模时无法证明利润率不断增加。</blockquote></p><p> Meantime, the pivot to iHome also means that ZG now has significantly more macro-level risks as it will be increasingly dependent on the ups (now..) and downs (coming...) of the housing market.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，转向iHome也意味着ZG现在面临更多的宏观层面风险，因为它将越来越依赖于房地产市场的起伏（现在……）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> The risk of buying Zillow Group today is - in my opinion, a priced-to-near-perfection valuation level. I say \"near perfection\" because it was priced to perfection when I wrote my \"Take Profits\" article on ZG, and since it is down 30% since that piece was published, now I will simply call ZG a \"rich valuation\" proposition.</p><p><blockquote>在我看来，今天购买Zillow Group的风险是定价接近完美的估值水平。我说“接近完美”是因为当我写关于ZG的“获利了结”文章时，它的定价已经达到了完美，而且自从那篇文章发表以来，它已经下跌了30%，现在我将简单地看涨期权ZG一个“丰富的估值”命题。</blockquote></p><p> The goods news is that Zillow has a relatively strong balance sheet: it ended the quarter with $4.7 billion in cash (up from $3.9 billion at the end of 2020) after completing a $551 million stock offering during the quarter.</p><p><blockquote>好消息是，Zillow的资产负债表相对强劲：在本季度完成了5.51亿美元的股票发行后，该公司在本季度末拥有47亿美元现金（高于2020年底的39亿美元）。</blockquote></p><p> That compares to $2.259 billion in debt, which was down slightly from year-end. As a result, the company has an estimated $9.19/share in net cash based on the 265.5 million diluted shares outstanding at the end of Q1. And Zillow will likely need to keep a fair amount of cash in order to offset its higher risk profile due to direct exposure to the housing market. That is because history shows us the US housing market can change on-a-dime and could catch ZG holding a rather large inventory of homes.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，债务为22.59亿美元，较年底略有下降。因此，根据第一季度末已发行的2.655亿股稀释后股票，该公司估计每股净现金为9.19美元。Zillow可能需要保留相当数量的现金，以抵消其因直接投资房地产市场而面临的较高风险。这是因为历史告诉我们，美国房地产市场可能会随时发生变化，并可能导致ZG持有相当大的房屋库存。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Summary &amp; Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结和结论</b></blockquote></p><p> While Zillow's Q1 report was certainly much improved on a sequential basis, the company's own Q2 guidance seems to be more indicative of the thesis I presented in my last article on the company. That is, the stock's valuation simply appears to be substantially out-of-whack in comparison to its demonstrated growth metrics. More shares, falling sequential adjusted EBITDA in Q2 despite a hot and highly appreciating housing market and ... well, I just cannot understand the current valuation level. As a result, I maintain the opinion from my previous article: I wouldn't be interested in ZG until it reached the ~$50/share level.</p><p><blockquote>虽然Zillow的第一季度报告确实比环比有了很大改善，但该公司自己的第二季度指引似乎更能说明我在上一篇关于该公司的文章中提出的论点。也就是说，与其表现出的增长指标相比，该股的估值似乎根本不正常。尽管房地产市场火热且高度升值，但第二季度调整后EBITDA仍环比下降...嗯，我只是无法理解目前的估值水平。因此，我维持上一篇文章中的观点：在ZG达到约50美元/股的水平之前，我不会对其感兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> I will end with a five-year price chart of ZG and note that my $50 target is roughly where the stock was prior to the pandemic. Certainly the EPS reports issues since that time do not justify the rapid and substantial increase in the shares to $200 ... or, even the current $110 level.</p><p><blockquote>我将以ZG的五年价格图表结束，并指出我的50美元目标大致是该股在大流行之前的水平。当然，自那时以来的每股收益报告问题并不能证明股价快速大幅上涨至200美元是合理的……或者，甚至是目前110美元的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f243f9f555525da2dcb1589d18cd30f\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Zillow: Significant Downside Remains<blockquote>Zillow：仍存在重大下行空间</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nZillow: Significant Downside Remains<blockquote>Zillow：仍存在重大下行空间</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-06 11:55</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Shares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my \"Take Profits\" article was published on Seeking Alpha.</li>  <li>However, and despite a definite improvement in the latest Q1 EPS report, the stock looks to have a further downside to come.</li>  <li>That is because margins are dismal, forward adjusted EBITDA guidance for Q2 was weak (lower than Q1), and the outstanding share count continues to grow.</li>  <li>Yet, the stock still trades with a forward P/E of nearly 100x.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ba2b4c631e3e6b24aaf024fb49665ea3\" tg-width=\"768\" tg-height=\"512\"><span>Photo by Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>自从我在Seeking Alpha上发表“获利了结”文章以来，Zillow Group的股价已下跌约30%。</li><li>然而，尽管最新的第一季度每股收益报告明显改善，但该股看起来还会进一步下跌。</li><li>这是因为利润率惨淡，第二季度的前瞻性调整EBITDA指引疲弱（低于第一季度），而且流通股数量持续增长。</li><li>然而，该股的预期市盈率仍接近100倍。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Sundry Photography/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The&nbsp;<b>Zillow Group</b>&nbsp;(ZG) has, without a doubt, established itself as the #1 online real estate website and as one-stop shop for home-buying consumers. The company's recent pivot to what I'll call the iHome business (purchasing homes directly from consumers and then selling them on the open market) has been a positive catalyst of late in terms of revenue growth, and that business blends well with ZG's Mortgage Segment and Internet, Media, and Technology Segment. However, despite the recent and significant drop in the price of the shares, ZG still seem substantially overvalued in my opinion. That is because margins are - in a word - pathetic. In addition, Q2 guidance was weak and the company plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year. In my opinion, that will pressure margins even further through the remainder of the year.</p><p><blockquote>The<b>Zillow集团</b>毫无疑问，（ZG）已经成为排名第一的在线房地产网站和购房消费者的一站式商店。该公司最近转向看涨期权iHome业务（直接从消费者那里购买房屋，然后在公开市场上出售），这是最近收入增长的积极催化剂，该业务与ZG的抵押贷款业务融合得很好。部门以及互联网、媒体和技术部门。然而，尽管最近股价大幅下跌，但在我看来，ZG的估值似乎仍然被严重高估。这是因为利润率——一言以蔽之——可怜。此外，Q2指引疲弱，公司计划今年再增聘2000名员工。在我看来，这将在今年剩余时间里进一步给利润率带来压力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Investment Rationale</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资理由</b></blockquote></p><p> Like many Americans, Zillow has become one of my favorite websites. I am surely not alone when it comes to frequently checking Zillow.com to see what the current \"Zestimate\" is for my home as well as for the homes I have owned in the past, and those of my friends and family.</p><p><blockquote>像许多美国人一样，Zillow已经成为我最喜欢的网站之一。我肯定不是唯一一个经常查看Zillow.com以了解我的家以及我过去拥有的家以及我的朋友和家人的家的当前“Zestimate”是多少的人。</blockquote></p><p> Indeed, marketing share data from Statista shows that Zillow is #1 in unique monthly visits, and Trulia - which the Zillow Group bought in 2014 - is #2. In aggregate that gives the Zillow group a stranglehold on the real estate website market (at least by the unique visits metric) at more than 3x the share as compared to what was once a highly competitive race with Realtor.com for consumers' eye-balls:</p><p><blockquote>事实上，Statista的营销份额数据显示，Zillow在每月独立访问量方面排名第一，Zillow集团在2014年收购的Trulia排名第二。总体而言，与曾经与Realtor.com争夺消费者眼球的激烈竞争相比，Zillow集团在房地产网站市场（至少从独立访问量指标来看）的份额是其3倍以上：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/929acb56fa1d566e5f6c3ac0d250c2c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"553\"><span>Source:Statista</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：斯塔蒂斯塔</span></p></blockquote></p><p> But of course there are other metrics to judge the popularity and use of real estate websites. Here is more recent data (April 1, 2021) from SimilarWeb.com:</p><p><blockquote>但当然还有其他指标来判断房地产网站的受欢迎程度和使用情况。以下是来自SimilarWeb.com的最新数据（2021年4月1日）：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/836f372f61ccb570286e9ac3e0f3143b\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"366\"><span>Source:SimilarWeb.com</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：SimilarWeb.com</span></p></blockquote></p><p> When it comes to average visit duration, pages viewed per visit, and bounce rate (the % of consumers that only view one-page then leave the site), Zillow and Trulia again show impressive comps. That said, note there must be other metrics that figure into the SimilarWeb ratings shown above because - from these metrics alone - one could argue rightmove.co.uk has the best stats as shown. Regardless, this graphic is another indicator that the Zillow/Trulia brand is very strong and the market leader.</p><p><blockquote>当谈到平均访问持续时间、每次访问浏览的页面和跳出率（只浏览一页然后离开网站的消费者的百分比）时，Zillow和Trulia再次显示出令人印象深刻的对比。也就是说，请注意，上面显示的SimilarWeb评级中肯定有其他指标，因为仅从这些指标来看，人们就可以认为rightmove.co.uk拥有如图所示的最佳统计数据。无论如何，这张图是Zillow/Trulia品牌非常强大并且是市场领导者的另一个指标。</blockquote></p><p> However, eye-balls aren't enough ... the views and activity need to be converted into profits, and that is where the Zillow Group is struggling in comparison to its rather lofty valuation.</p><p><blockquote>然而，眼球是不够的...观点和活动需要转化为利润，而这正是Zillow集团与其相当高的估值相比所苦苦挣扎的地方。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Q1 Earnings</b></p><p><blockquote><b>第一季度收益</b></blockquote></p><p> Zillow released its&nbsp;Q1 EPS report&nbsp;on May 4th. It was a strong report. GAAP net-income of $0.20/share&nbsp;beat estimates by a whopping $0.13. Revenue of $1.22 billion was a $120 million beat and was up 8% yoy. The company reported strong traffic on its website and mobile apps, with 221 million average monthly users (up 15% yoy) driving 2.5 billion visits during Q1 (up 19% yoy).</p><p><blockquote>Zillow于5月4日发布了第一季度EPS报告。这是一份强有力的报告。GAAP每股净利润为0.20美元，比预期高出0.13美元。收入为12.2亿美元，超出1.2亿美元，同比增长8%。该公司报告称，其网站和移动应用程序流量强劲，第一季度平均每月用户2.21亿（同比增长15%），访问量达25亿次（同比增长19%）。</blockquote></p><p> The most interesting segment in Q1 was the iHome (or what ZG calls \"Zillow Offers\") because it accounted for ~57% of revenue and is the segment Zillow is counting on to be is profitable growth engine.</p><p><blockquote>第一季度最有趣的细分市场是iHome（或ZG评级“Zillow提供的”），因为它约占收入的57%，并且是Zillow指望成为盈利增长引擎的细分市场。</blockquote></p><p> However, as can be seen in the graphic below, the margins are - so far - quite puny:</p><p><blockquote>然而，如下图所示，到目前为止，利润率相当小：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/82e5264c5427eb9f8b1987c2182cb39a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"311\"><span>Source: Zillow'sQ1 EPS report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Zillow第一季度每股收益报告</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p><p> As can be seen, the all-in return (after operating costs and interest expense) on the home buying/selling (flipping might be a better word) is a scant 4.94% of the average per-home revenue. That is despite what is generally considered to be a very hot-market real estate market across the nation. In addition, note the iHome business is a threat to the company's future growth aspirations because the pivot to iHome has pretty much cratered the company's Premier Agent business. The pivot also likely means more pressure on Zillow's advertising revenue which generally comes from the agents its iHome segment is now stealing away homes from. And all that for only 4.9% margins?</p><p><blockquote>可以看出，房屋买卖（翻转可能是一个更好的词）的总回报（扣除运营成本和利息支出）不到平均每户收入的4.94%。尽管全国房地产市场普遍被认为非常火爆。此外，请注意，iHome业务对公司未来的增长愿望构成威胁，因为转向iHome几乎损害了公司的首要代理业务。这一转变也可能意味着Zillow的广告收入面临更大压力，这些收入通常来自其iHome部门目前正在抢走房屋的代理商。而这一切的利润率只有4.9%？</blockquote></p><p> <b>Going Forward</b></p><p><blockquote><b>展望未来</b></blockquote></p><p> The chart below is the company's guidance for Q2:</p><p><blockquote>下图是该公司第二季度的指引：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d976a71e1e72bb8f0c6ac3306aa4f100\" tg-width=\"628\" tg-height=\"337\"><span>Source: Zillow's Q1 EPS report</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：Zillow第一季度每股收益报告</span></p></blockquote></p><p> At the midpoint of guidance total adjusted EBITDA ($128 million), note that&nbsp;<b>will be down considerably</b>&nbsp;from the $181 million in total adjusted EBITDA delivered in Q1.</p><p><blockquote>在指导调整后EBITDA总额（1.28亿美元）的中点，请注意<b>将大幅下降</b>第一季度调整后EBITDA总额为1.81亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> In addition, note the weighted average share-count at the end of Q1 (it was not included in the Q1 EPS report, but can be found in the&nbsp;SEC 10-Q filing) was 259,346,000 shares (up a whopping 23% yoy). And that share-count is expected to continue growing to an estimated 265.5 million shares at the end of Q2 (based on the guidance shown above).</p><p><blockquote>此外，请注意，第一季度末的加权平均股数（未包含在第一季度每股收益报告中，但可以在SEC 10-Q文件中找到）为259,346,000股（同比增长23%）。预计到第二季度末，该股数量将继续增长至约2.655亿股（基于上述指导）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值</b></blockquote></p><p> So we have weak margins, falling adjusted EBITDA and a significantly rising number of fully diluted shares. Hmmmm.</p><p><blockquote>因此，我们的利润率疲软，调整后的EBITDA下降，而完全稀释的股票数量大幅增加。嗯嗯。</blockquote></p><p> Yet, despite the recent correction in the stock (note the stock is down ~30% since my Seeking Alpha article in March&nbsp;<i>Zillow: Take Profits</i>), the stock is still trading at a lofty valuation given the analysis of Q1 and Q2 guidance just presented. The&nbsp;Seeking Alpha forward P/E=97.7x.</p><p><blockquote>然而，尽管该股最近有所调整（请注意，自我3月份的Seeking Alpha文章以来，该股已下跌约30%<i>Zillow：获利了结</i>），考虑到刚刚提出的第一季度和第二季度指引的分析，该股的估值仍然很高。寻求阿尔法远期市盈率=97.7倍。</blockquote></p><p> That is obviously a rich comparison in terms of Zillow's growth prospects (or non-growth...) considering the weak Q2 guidance. In addition, it is not clear to me what the catalyst will be to improve the company's awfully small margins going forward. That is especially the case considering&nbsp;<b>Zillow plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year</b>, increasing its headcount by some 40%. In my opinion, this headcount growth will be a significant headwind when it comes to increasing margins. That is, Zillow is not able to demonstrate increasing margins as it tries to scale-up its operations.</p><p><blockquote>考虑到疲软的第二季度指引，就Zillow的增长前景（或非增长……）而言，这显然是一个丰富的比较。此外，我不清楚改善公司未来微薄利润率的催化剂是什么。考虑到这一点尤其如此<b>Zillow计划今年再增聘2000名员工</b>，员工人数增加约40%。在我看来，在提高利润率方面，员工人数的增长将是一个重大阻力。也就是说，Zillow在试图扩大业务规模时无法证明利润率不断增加。</blockquote></p><p> Meantime, the pivot to iHome also means that ZG now has significantly more macro-level risks as it will be increasingly dependent on the ups (now..) and downs (coming...) of the housing market.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，转向iHome也意味着ZG现在面临更多的宏观层面风险，因为它将越来越依赖于房地产市场的起伏（现在……）。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Risks</b></p><p><blockquote><b>风险</b></blockquote></p><p> The risk of buying Zillow Group today is - in my opinion, a priced-to-near-perfection valuation level. I say \"near perfection\" because it was priced to perfection when I wrote my \"Take Profits\" article on ZG, and since it is down 30% since that piece was published, now I will simply call ZG a \"rich valuation\" proposition.</p><p><blockquote>在我看来，今天购买Zillow Group的风险是定价接近完美的估值水平。我说“接近完美”是因为当我写关于ZG的“获利了结”文章时，它的定价已经达到了完美，而且自从那篇文章发表以来，它已经下跌了30%，现在我将简单地看涨期权ZG一个“丰富的估值”命题。</blockquote></p><p> The goods news is that Zillow has a relatively strong balance sheet: it ended the quarter with $4.7 billion in cash (up from $3.9 billion at the end of 2020) after completing a $551 million stock offering during the quarter.</p><p><blockquote>好消息是，Zillow的资产负债表相对强劲：在本季度完成了5.51亿美元的股票发行后，该公司在本季度末拥有47亿美元现金（高于2020年底的39亿美元）。</blockquote></p><p> That compares to $2.259 billion in debt, which was down slightly from year-end. As a result, the company has an estimated $9.19/share in net cash based on the 265.5 million diluted shares outstanding at the end of Q1. And Zillow will likely need to keep a fair amount of cash in order to offset its higher risk profile due to direct exposure to the housing market. That is because history shows us the US housing market can change on-a-dime and could catch ZG holding a rather large inventory of homes.</p><p><blockquote>相比之下，债务为22.59亿美元，较年底略有下降。因此，根据第一季度末已发行的2.655亿股稀释后股票，该公司估计每股净现金为9.19美元。Zillow可能需要保留相当数量的现金，以抵消其因直接投资房地产市场而面临的较高风险。这是因为历史告诉我们，美国房地产市场可能会随时发生变化，并可能导致ZG持有相当大的房屋库存。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Summary &amp; Conclusion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结和结论</b></blockquote></p><p> While Zillow's Q1 report was certainly much improved on a sequential basis, the company's own Q2 guidance seems to be more indicative of the thesis I presented in my last article on the company. That is, the stock's valuation simply appears to be substantially out-of-whack in comparison to its demonstrated growth metrics. More shares, falling sequential adjusted EBITDA in Q2 despite a hot and highly appreciating housing market and ... well, I just cannot understand the current valuation level. As a result, I maintain the opinion from my previous article: I wouldn't be interested in ZG until it reached the ~$50/share level.</p><p><blockquote>虽然Zillow的第一季度报告确实比环比有了很大改善，但该公司自己的第二季度指引似乎更能说明我在上一篇关于该公司的文章中提出的论点。也就是说，与其表现出的增长指标相比，该股的估值似乎根本不正常。尽管房地产市场火热且高度升值，但第二季度调整后EBITDA仍环比下降...嗯，我只是无法理解目前的估值水平。因此，我维持上一篇文章中的观点：在ZG达到约50美元/股的水平之前，我不会对其感兴趣。</blockquote></p><p> I will end with a five-year price chart of ZG and note that my $50 target is roughly where the stock was prior to the pandemic. Certainly the EPS reports issues since that time do not justify the rapid and substantial increase in the shares to $200 ... or, even the current $110 level.</p><p><blockquote>我将以ZG的五年价格图表结束，并指出我的50美元目标大致是该股在大流行之前的水平。当然，自那时以来的每股收益报告问题并不能证明股价快速大幅上涨至200美元是合理的……或者，甚至是目前110美元的水平。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f243f9f555525da2dcb1589d18cd30f\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data byYCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433217-zillow-significant-downside-remains\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"Z":"Zillow"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4433217-zillow-significant-downside-remains","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1120164826","content_text":"Summary\n\nShares of Zillow Group have come down some 30% since my \"Take Profits\" article was published on Seeking Alpha.\nHowever, and despite a definite improvement in the latest Q1 EPS report, the stock looks to have a further downside to come.\nThat is because margins are dismal, forward adjusted EBITDA guidance for Q2 was weak (lower than Q1), and the outstanding share count continues to grow.\nYet, the stock still trades with a forward P/E of nearly 100x.\n\nPhoto by Sundry Photography/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nThe Zillow Group (ZG) has, without a doubt, established itself as the #1 online real estate website and as one-stop shop for home-buying consumers. The company's recent pivot to what I'll call the iHome business (purchasing homes directly from consumers and then selling them on the open market) has been a positive catalyst of late in terms of revenue growth, and that business blends well with ZG's Mortgage Segment and Internet, Media, and Technology Segment. However, despite the recent and significant drop in the price of the shares, ZG still seem substantially overvalued in my opinion. That is because margins are - in a word - pathetic. In addition, Q2 guidance was weak and the company plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year. In my opinion, that will pressure margins even further through the remainder of the year.\nInvestment Rationale\nLike many Americans, Zillow has become one of my favorite websites. I am surely not alone when it comes to frequently checking Zillow.com to see what the current \"Zestimate\" is for my home as well as for the homes I have owned in the past, and those of my friends and family.\nIndeed, marketing share data from Statista shows that Zillow is #1 in unique monthly visits, and Trulia - which the Zillow Group bought in 2014 - is #2. In aggregate that gives the Zillow group a stranglehold on the real estate website market (at least by the unique visits metric) at more than 3x the share as compared to what was once a highly competitive race with Realtor.com for consumers' eye-balls:\nSource:Statista\nBut of course there are other metrics to judge the popularity and use of real estate websites. Here is more recent data (April 1, 2021) from SimilarWeb.com:\nSource:SimilarWeb.com\nWhen it comes to average visit duration, pages viewed per visit, and bounce rate (the % of consumers that only view one-page then leave the site), Zillow and Trulia again show impressive comps. That said, note there must be other metrics that figure into the SimilarWeb ratings shown above because - from these metrics alone - one could argue rightmove.co.uk has the best stats as shown. Regardless, this graphic is another indicator that the Zillow/Trulia brand is very strong and the market leader.\nHowever, eye-balls aren't enough ... the views and activity need to be converted into profits, and that is where the Zillow Group is struggling in comparison to its rather lofty valuation.\nQ1 Earnings\nZillow released its Q1 EPS report on May 4th. It was a strong report. GAAP net-income of $0.20/share beat estimates by a whopping $0.13. Revenue of $1.22 billion was a $120 million beat and was up 8% yoy. The company reported strong traffic on its website and mobile apps, with 221 million average monthly users (up 15% yoy) driving 2.5 billion visits during Q1 (up 19% yoy).\nThe most interesting segment in Q1 was the iHome (or what ZG calls \"Zillow Offers\") because it accounted for ~57% of revenue and is the segment Zillow is counting on to be is profitable growth engine.\nHowever, as can be seen in the graphic below, the margins are - so far - quite puny:\nSource: Zillow'sQ1 EPS report\nAs can be seen, the all-in return (after operating costs and interest expense) on the home buying/selling (flipping might be a better word) is a scant 4.94% of the average per-home revenue. That is despite what is generally considered to be a very hot-market real estate market across the nation. In addition, note the iHome business is a threat to the company's future growth aspirations because the pivot to iHome has pretty much cratered the company's Premier Agent business. The pivot also likely means more pressure on Zillow's advertising revenue which generally comes from the agents its iHome segment is now stealing away homes from. And all that for only 4.9% margins?\nGoing Forward\nThe chart below is the company's guidance for Q2:\nSource: Zillow's Q1 EPS report\nAt the midpoint of guidance total adjusted EBITDA ($128 million), note that will be down considerably from the $181 million in total adjusted EBITDA delivered in Q1.\nIn addition, note the weighted average share-count at the end of Q1 (it was not included in the Q1 EPS report, but can be found in the SEC 10-Q filing) was 259,346,000 shares (up a whopping 23% yoy). And that share-count is expected to continue growing to an estimated 265.5 million shares at the end of Q2 (based on the guidance shown above).\nValuation\nSo we have weak margins, falling adjusted EBITDA and a significantly rising number of fully diluted shares. Hmmmm.\nYet, despite the recent correction in the stock (note the stock is down ~30% since my Seeking Alpha article in March Zillow: Take Profits), the stock is still trading at a lofty valuation given the analysis of Q1 and Q2 guidance just presented. The Seeking Alpha forward P/E=97.7x.\nThat is obviously a rich comparison in terms of Zillow's growth prospects (or non-growth...) considering the weak Q2 guidance. In addition, it is not clear to me what the catalyst will be to improve the company's awfully small margins going forward. That is especially the case considering Zillow plans to hire an additional 2,000 employees this year, increasing its headcount by some 40%. In my opinion, this headcount growth will be a significant headwind when it comes to increasing margins. That is, Zillow is not able to demonstrate increasing margins as it tries to scale-up its operations.\nMeantime, the pivot to iHome also means that ZG now has significantly more macro-level risks as it will be increasingly dependent on the ups (now..) and downs (coming...) of the housing market.\nRisks\nThe risk of buying Zillow Group today is - in my opinion, a priced-to-near-perfection valuation level. I say \"near perfection\" because it was priced to perfection when I wrote my \"Take Profits\" article on ZG, and since it is down 30% since that piece was published, now I will simply call ZG a \"rich valuation\" proposition.\nThe goods news is that Zillow has a relatively strong balance sheet: it ended the quarter with $4.7 billion in cash (up from $3.9 billion at the end of 2020) after completing a $551 million stock offering during the quarter.\nThat compares to $2.259 billion in debt, which was down slightly from year-end. As a result, the company has an estimated $9.19/share in net cash based on the 265.5 million diluted shares outstanding at the end of Q1. And Zillow will likely need to keep a fair amount of cash in order to offset its higher risk profile due to direct exposure to the housing market. That is because history shows us the US housing market can change on-a-dime and could catch ZG holding a rather large inventory of homes.\nSummary & Conclusion\nWhile Zillow's Q1 report was certainly much improved on a sequential basis, the company's own Q2 guidance seems to be more indicative of the thesis I presented in my last article on the company. That is, the stock's valuation simply appears to be substantially out-of-whack in comparison to its demonstrated growth metrics. More shares, falling sequential adjusted EBITDA in Q2 despite a hot and highly appreciating housing market and ... well, I just cannot understand the current valuation level. As a result, I maintain the opinion from my previous article: I wouldn't be interested in ZG until it reached the ~$50/share level.\nI will end with a five-year price chart of ZG and note that my $50 target is roughly where the stock was prior to the pandemic. Certainly the EPS reports issues since that time do not justify the rapid and substantial increase in the shares to $200 ... or, even the current $110 level.\nData byYCharts","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"Z":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":639,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185116468,"gmtCreate":1623636382054,"gmtModify":1631889975466,"author":{"id":"3578099872805879","authorId":"3578099872805879","name":"33c3eb1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578099872805879","idStr":"3578099872805879"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"PLTR seems better especially with their recent investments. Please like and reply.&nbsp;","listText":"PLTR seems better especially with their recent investments. Please like and reply.&nbsp;","text":"PLTR seems better especially with their recent investments. Please like and reply.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/185116468","repostId":"1180874867","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1180874867","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623635718,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1180874867?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-14 09:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir vs. C3.ai: Which Is the Better Artificial Intelligence Stock?<blockquote>Palantir与C3.ai：哪个是更好的人工智能股票？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180874867","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"One is controversial; the other is exposed to more macro headwinds.","content":"<p><b>Palantir</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:PLTR)&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>C3.ai</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:AI)&nbsp;both help organizations and companies crunch data with AI-powered tools.</p><p><blockquote><b>Palantir</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：PLTR）和<b>C3.人工智能</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：AI）都帮助组织和公司使用人工智能工具处理数据。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir, which generates more than half its revenue from government contracts, wants its Gotham platform to become the \"default operating system for data\" across the U.S. government. Its Foundry platform provides data-mining tools to large commercial customers.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir一半以上的收入来自政府合同，它希望其Gotham平台成为美国政府的“数据默认操作系统”。其代工平台为大型商业客户提供数据挖掘工具。</blockquote></p><p> C3.ai serves a wide range of clients across the commercial, industrial, and government sectors. It generates most of its revenue from energy giants like&nbsp;<b>Baker Hughes</b>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>ENGIE</b>.</p><p><blockquote>C3.ai为商业、工业和政府部门的广泛客户提供服务。它的大部分收入来自能源巨头，例如<b>贝克休斯</b>和<b>ENGIE</b>.</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0f7a2339e0b8de3ba56318f8cab73d4\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1076\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Palantir -- which went public via a&nbsp;direct listing&nbsp;last September -- started trading at $10 per share, surged to the high $30s in February, and now trades in the mid-$20s. C3.ai went public at $42 per share via an IPO last December, opened at $100 on the first day, but now trades in the low $60s.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir去年9月通过直接上市上市，开始交易价格为每股10美元，2月份飙升至30美元的高位，目前交易价格为20美元左右。C3.ai去年12月通过IPO以每股42美元的价格上市，首日开盘价为100美元，但现在交易价格在60美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> Both stocks have underperformed the S&amp;P 500 this year as investors have been moving from growth to value stocks, but is one of these companies a better long-term play on the&nbsp;booming AI market?</p><p><blockquote>随着投资者从成长型股票转向价值型股票，这两只股票今年的表现都逊于标普500，但在蓬勃发展的人工智能市场上，这些公司之一是否是更好的长期投资呢？</blockquote></p><p> <b>The differences between Palantir and C3.ai</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Palantir和C3.ai的区别</b></blockquote></p><p> Palantir, which is named after the all-seeing orbs from<i>The Lord of the Ring</i>s, helps organizations accumulate data on individuals from disparate sources, then processes it with algorithms to make data-driven decisions.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir，以全视球体命名<i>指环王</i>s，帮助组织从不同来源积累个人数据，然后用算法处理这些数据以做出数据驱动的决策。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir's biggest customer is the U.S. government, and its tools are used by the CIA, FBI, ICE, and all branches of the military. Its technology was reportedly used to hunt down Osama bin Laden in 2011, but it was also used by ICE in recent years to locate and deport undocumented immigrants.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir最大的客户是美国政府，其工具被CIA、FBI、ICE和军队的所有部门使用。据报道，它的技术在2011年被用来追捕奥萨马·本·拉登，但近年来也被ICE用来定位和驱逐无证移民。</blockquote></p><p> C3.ai initially only served energy companies before expanding into other markets. Unlike Palantir, which gathers data from external and internal sources, C3.ai mainly uses a company's internal operations.</p><p><blockquote>C3.ai最初只服务于能源公司，然后扩展到其他市场。与Palantir从外部和内部来源收集数据不同，C3.ai主要使用公司的内部运营。</blockquote></p><p> C3.ai's algorithms can schedule maintenance routines, detect fraud, optimize inventories, and improve CRM (customer relationship management) systems. In short, it's a lot less controversial bet than Palantir.</p><p><blockquote>C3.ai的算法可以安排日常维护、检测欺诈、优化库存和改进CRM（客户关系管理）系统。简而言之，这是一个比Palantir争议小得多的赌注。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How fast is Palantir growing?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Palantir的增长速度有多快？</b></blockquote></p><p> Palantir's revenue increased 47% to $1.1 billion&nbsp;in 2020. Its government revenue rose 77% as its commercial revenue grew 22%.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir的收入在2020年增长了47%，达到11亿美元。其政府收入增长77%，商业收入增长22%。</blockquote></p><p> It expanded its government contracts with the FDA, U.S. Army, and&nbsp;U.S. Air Force, and its commercial business attracted big customers including&nbsp;<b>Rio Tinto</b>,<b>PG&amp;E</b>, and&nbsp;<b>BP</b>. Its adjusted gross and operating margins expanded, but it still posted a net loss of $1.2 billion -- compared to a loss of $580 million in 2019.</p><p><blockquote>它扩大了与FDA、美国陆军和美国的政府合同。空军，其商业业务吸引了包括<b>力拓</b>,<b>宝洁公司</b>，和<b>BP</b>.其调整后的毛利率和营业利润率有所扩大，但仍录得12亿美元的净亏损，而2019年的亏损为5.8亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> In the first quarter of 2021, Palantir's revenue rose 49% year-over-year to $341 million, with 76% growth in its government business and 19% growth in its commercial business. Its adjusted gross and operating margins expanded again, but its net loss again widened, from $54.3 million to $123.5 million. On the bright side, its&nbsp;adjusted EBITDA&nbsp;turned positive with a profit of $119.8 million -- but that excludes its stock-based compensation and a lot of \"one time\" expenses.</p><p><blockquote>2021年第一季度，Palantir的收入同比增长49%至3.41亿美元，其中政府业务增长76%，商业业务增长19%。其调整后的毛利率和营业利润率再次扩大，但净亏损再次扩大，从5430万美元扩大到1.235亿美元。好的一面是，其调整后EBITDA转为正值，利润为1.198亿美元，但这不包括其基于股票的薪酬和大量“一次性”费用。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street expects Palantir's revenue to rise 35% this year, while the company expects its annual revenue to increase more than 30% every year through 2025. That confident outlook indicates a belief that its government business will remain stable as it gradually gains more commercial customers, but the company could remain steeped in controversy about data-gathering and deeply unprofitable for years to come.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街预计Palantir今年的收入将增长35%，而该公司预计到2025年，其年收入将每年增长30%以上。这种自信的前景表明，随着逐渐获得更多商业客户，人们相信其政府业务将保持稳定，但该公司可能仍沉浸在有关数据收集的争议中，并且在未来几年将严重无利可图。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How fast is C3.ai growing?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>C3.ai的增长有多快？</b></blockquote></p><p> C3.ai's revenue rose 17% to $183.2 million in&nbsp;fiscal 2021, which ended in April. That marked a significant slowdown from its 71% growth in 2020, mainly due to pandemic-related disruptions of the energy and industrial sectors.</p><p><blockquote>截至4月份的2021财年，C3.ai的收入增长了17%，达到1.832亿美元。这比2020年71%的增长显着放缓，主要是由于能源和工业部门与大流行相关的中断。</blockquote></p><p> Its average contract value also decreased from $12.1 million in 2020 to $7.2 million in 2021, even as it initiated new enterprise AI projects with big customers like&nbsp;<b>3M</b>,<b>Consolidated Edison</b>,<b>Shell</b>, and the New York Power Authority. But its total number of customers rose 82% to 89 at the end of the year, which indicates its business could recover quickly after the pandemic ends. It expects its revenue to increase 33% to 35% in the current fiscal year.</p><p><blockquote>其平均合同价值也从2020年的1210万美元下降到2021年的720万美元，尽管它与大客户如<b>3M</b>,<b>联合爱迪生</b>,<b>壳牌</b>和纽约电力局。但到年底，其客户总数增长了82%，达到89家，这表明疫情结束后其业务可能会迅速恢复。预计本财年收入将增长33%至35%。</blockquote></p><p> C3.ai's adjusted gross margin stayed flat in fiscal 2021 as its operating margin remained in the red, but its net loss narrowed year-over-year from $69.4 million to $55.7 million. It doesn't calculate its profits in adjusted EBITDA terms, and analysts expect it to stay unprofitable for the foreseeable future.</p><p><blockquote>由于营业利润率仍处于亏损状态，C3.ai的调整后毛利率在2021财年持平，但净亏损同比从6940万美元收窄至5570万美元。它没有以调整后的EBITDA计算利润，分析师预计在可预见的未来，它将保持无利可图。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The valuations and verdict</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值及判决</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Palantir and C3.ai trade at 31 and 26 times this year's sales, respectively. Those high price-to-sales ratios indicate neither stock is cheap in this market, especially as&nbsp;investors rotate&nbsp;from growth to value stocks.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir和C3.ai的交易价格分别是今年销售额的31倍和26倍。这些高市销率表明这两只股票在这个市场上都不便宜，特别是当投资者从成长型股票转向价值型股票时。</blockquote></p><p> That said, it makes more sense to invest in the company that is more dependent on stable government customers than the one that relies heavily on the macro-sensitive energy and industrial sectors. It also makes more sense to invest in the company with superior revenue growth if both stocks are trading at comparable price-to-sales ratios.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，投资更依赖稳定政府客户的公司比投资严重依赖宏观敏感的能源和工业部门的公司更有意义。如果两只股票的市销率相当，那么投资收入增长优异的公司也更有意义。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, Palantir might be more controversial than C3.ai, but I believe it's the better growth play in the AI market. C3.ai's long-term prospects still look bright, but its stock remains too expensive relative to its growth.</p><p><blockquote>因此，Palantir可能比C3.ai更具争议，但我相信它是人工智能市场上更好的增长游戏。C3.ai的长期前景看起来仍然光明，但相对于其增长而言，其股票仍然过于昂贵。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir vs. C3.ai: Which Is the Better Artificial Intelligence Stock?<blockquote>Palantir与C3.ai：哪个是更好的人工智能股票？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir vs. C3.ai: Which Is the Better Artificial Intelligence Stock?<blockquote>Palantir与C3.ai：哪个是更好的人工智能股票？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-14 09:55</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Palantir</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:PLTR)&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>C3.ai</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:AI)&nbsp;both help organizations and companies crunch data with AI-powered tools.</p><p><blockquote><b>Palantir</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：PLTR）和<b>C3.人工智能</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：AI）都帮助组织和公司使用人工智能工具处理数据。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir, which generates more than half its revenue from government contracts, wants its Gotham platform to become the \"default operating system for data\" across the U.S. government. Its Foundry platform provides data-mining tools to large commercial customers.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir一半以上的收入来自政府合同，它希望其Gotham平台成为美国政府的“数据默认操作系统”。其代工平台为大型商业客户提供数据挖掘工具。</blockquote></p><p> C3.ai serves a wide range of clients across the commercial, industrial, and government sectors. It generates most of its revenue from energy giants like&nbsp;<b>Baker Hughes</b>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>ENGIE</b>.</p><p><blockquote>C3.ai为商业、工业和政府部门的广泛客户提供服务。它的大部分收入来自能源巨头，例如<b>贝克休斯</b>和<b>ENGIE</b>.</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0f7a2339e0b8de3ba56318f8cab73d4\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1076\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Palantir -- which went public via a&nbsp;direct listing&nbsp;last September -- started trading at $10 per share, surged to the high $30s in February, and now trades in the mid-$20s. C3.ai went public at $42 per share via an IPO last December, opened at $100 on the first day, but now trades in the low $60s.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir去年9月通过直接上市上市，开始交易价格为每股10美元，2月份飙升至30美元的高位，目前交易价格为20美元左右。C3.ai去年12月通过IPO以每股42美元的价格上市，首日开盘价为100美元，但现在交易价格在60美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> Both stocks have underperformed the S&amp;P 500 this year as investors have been moving from growth to value stocks, but is one of these companies a better long-term play on the&nbsp;booming AI market?</p><p><blockquote>随着投资者从成长型股票转向价值型股票，这两只股票今年的表现都逊于标普500，但在蓬勃发展的人工智能市场上，这些公司之一是否是更好的长期投资呢？</blockquote></p><p> <b>The differences between Palantir and C3.ai</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Palantir和C3.ai的区别</b></blockquote></p><p> Palantir, which is named after the all-seeing orbs from<i>The Lord of the Ring</i>s, helps organizations accumulate data on individuals from disparate sources, then processes it with algorithms to make data-driven decisions.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir，以全视球体命名<i>指环王</i>s，帮助组织从不同来源积累个人数据，然后用算法处理这些数据以做出数据驱动的决策。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir's biggest customer is the U.S. government, and its tools are used by the CIA, FBI, ICE, and all branches of the military. Its technology was reportedly used to hunt down Osama bin Laden in 2011, but it was also used by ICE in recent years to locate and deport undocumented immigrants.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir最大的客户是美国政府，其工具被CIA、FBI、ICE和军队的所有部门使用。据报道，它的技术在2011年被用来追捕奥萨马·本·拉登，但近年来也被ICE用来定位和驱逐无证移民。</blockquote></p><p> C3.ai initially only served energy companies before expanding into other markets. Unlike Palantir, which gathers data from external and internal sources, C3.ai mainly uses a company's internal operations.</p><p><blockquote>C3.ai最初只服务于能源公司，然后扩展到其他市场。与Palantir从外部和内部来源收集数据不同，C3.ai主要使用公司的内部运营。</blockquote></p><p> C3.ai's algorithms can schedule maintenance routines, detect fraud, optimize inventories, and improve CRM (customer relationship management) systems. In short, it's a lot less controversial bet than Palantir.</p><p><blockquote>C3.ai的算法可以安排日常维护、检测欺诈、优化库存和改进CRM（客户关系管理）系统。简而言之，这是一个比Palantir争议小得多的赌注。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How fast is Palantir growing?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Palantir的增长速度有多快？</b></blockquote></p><p> Palantir's revenue increased 47% to $1.1 billion&nbsp;in 2020. Its government revenue rose 77% as its commercial revenue grew 22%.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir的收入在2020年增长了47%，达到11亿美元。其政府收入增长77%，商业收入增长22%。</blockquote></p><p> It expanded its government contracts with the FDA, U.S. Army, and&nbsp;U.S. Air Force, and its commercial business attracted big customers including&nbsp;<b>Rio Tinto</b>,<b>PG&amp;E</b>, and&nbsp;<b>BP</b>. Its adjusted gross and operating margins expanded, but it still posted a net loss of $1.2 billion -- compared to a loss of $580 million in 2019.</p><p><blockquote>它扩大了与FDA、美国陆军和美国的政府合同。空军，其商业业务吸引了包括<b>力拓</b>,<b>宝洁公司</b>，和<b>BP</b>.其调整后的毛利率和营业利润率有所扩大，但仍录得12亿美元的净亏损，而2019年的亏损为5.8亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> In the first quarter of 2021, Palantir's revenue rose 49% year-over-year to $341 million, with 76% growth in its government business and 19% growth in its commercial business. Its adjusted gross and operating margins expanded again, but its net loss again widened, from $54.3 million to $123.5 million. On the bright side, its&nbsp;adjusted EBITDA&nbsp;turned positive with a profit of $119.8 million -- but that excludes its stock-based compensation and a lot of \"one time\" expenses.</p><p><blockquote>2021年第一季度，Palantir的收入同比增长49%至3.41亿美元，其中政府业务增长76%，商业业务增长19%。其调整后的毛利率和营业利润率再次扩大，但净亏损再次扩大，从5430万美元扩大到1.235亿美元。好的一面是，其调整后EBITDA转为正值，利润为1.198亿美元，但这不包括其基于股票的薪酬和大量“一次性”费用。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street expects Palantir's revenue to rise 35% this year, while the company expects its annual revenue to increase more than 30% every year through 2025. That confident outlook indicates a belief that its government business will remain stable as it gradually gains more commercial customers, but the company could remain steeped in controversy about data-gathering and deeply unprofitable for years to come.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街预计Palantir今年的收入将增长35%，而该公司预计到2025年，其年收入将每年增长30%以上。这种自信的前景表明，随着逐渐获得更多商业客户，人们相信其政府业务将保持稳定，但该公司可能仍沉浸在有关数据收集的争议中，并且在未来几年将严重无利可图。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How fast is C3.ai growing?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>C3.ai的增长有多快？</b></blockquote></p><p> C3.ai's revenue rose 17% to $183.2 million in&nbsp;fiscal 2021, which ended in April. That marked a significant slowdown from its 71% growth in 2020, mainly due to pandemic-related disruptions of the energy and industrial sectors.</p><p><blockquote>截至4月份的2021财年，C3.ai的收入增长了17%，达到1.832亿美元。这比2020年71%的增长显着放缓，主要是由于能源和工业部门与大流行相关的中断。</blockquote></p><p> Its average contract value also decreased from $12.1 million in 2020 to $7.2 million in 2021, even as it initiated new enterprise AI projects with big customers like&nbsp;<b>3M</b>,<b>Consolidated Edison</b>,<b>Shell</b>, and the New York Power Authority. But its total number of customers rose 82% to 89 at the end of the year, which indicates its business could recover quickly after the pandemic ends. It expects its revenue to increase 33% to 35% in the current fiscal year.</p><p><blockquote>其平均合同价值也从2020年的1210万美元下降到2021年的720万美元，尽管它与大客户如<b>3M</b>,<b>联合爱迪生</b>,<b>壳牌</b>和纽约电力局。但到年底，其客户总数增长了82%，达到89家，这表明疫情结束后其业务可能会迅速恢复。预计本财年收入将增长33%至35%。</blockquote></p><p> C3.ai's adjusted gross margin stayed flat in fiscal 2021 as its operating margin remained in the red, but its net loss narrowed year-over-year from $69.4 million to $55.7 million. It doesn't calculate its profits in adjusted EBITDA terms, and analysts expect it to stay unprofitable for the foreseeable future.</p><p><blockquote>由于营业利润率仍处于亏损状态，C3.ai的调整后毛利率在2021财年持平，但净亏损同比从6940万美元收窄至5570万美元。它没有以调整后的EBITDA计算利润，分析师预计在可预见的未来，它将保持无利可图。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The valuations and verdict</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值及判决</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Palantir and C3.ai trade at 31 and 26 times this year's sales, respectively. Those high price-to-sales ratios indicate neither stock is cheap in this market, especially as&nbsp;investors rotate&nbsp;from growth to value stocks.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir和C3.ai的交易价格分别是今年销售额的31倍和26倍。这些高市销率表明这两只股票在这个市场上都不便宜，特别是当投资者从成长型股票转向价值型股票时。</blockquote></p><p> That said, it makes more sense to invest in the company that is more dependent on stable government customers than the one that relies heavily on the macro-sensitive energy and industrial sectors. It also makes more sense to invest in the company with superior revenue growth if both stocks are trading at comparable price-to-sales ratios.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，投资更依赖稳定政府客户的公司比投资严重依赖宏观敏感的能源和工业部门的公司更有意义。如果两只股票的市销率相当，那么投资收入增长优异的公司也更有意义。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, Palantir might be more controversial than C3.ai, but I believe it's the better growth play in the AI market. C3.ai's long-term prospects still look bright, but its stock remains too expensive relative to its growth.</p><p><blockquote>因此，Palantir可能比C3.ai更具争议，但我相信它是人工智能市场上更好的增长游戏。C3.ai的长期前景看起来仍然光明，但相对于其增长而言，其股票仍然过于昂贵。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/13/palantir-vs-c3ai-which-is-the-better-artificial-in/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AI":"C3.ai, Inc.","PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/13/palantir-vs-c3ai-which-is-the-better-artificial-in/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180874867","content_text":"Palantir (NYSE:PLTR) and C3.ai (NYSE:AI) both help organizations and companies crunch data with AI-powered tools.\nPalantir, which generates more than half its revenue from government contracts, wants its Gotham platform to become the \"default operating system for data\" across the U.S. government. Its Foundry platform provides data-mining tools to large commercial customers.\nC3.ai serves a wide range of clients across the commercial, industrial, and government sectors. It generates most of its revenue from energy giants like Baker Hughes and ENGIE.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nPalantir -- which went public via a direct listing last September -- started trading at $10 per share, surged to the high $30s in February, and now trades in the mid-$20s. C3.ai went public at $42 per share via an IPO last December, opened at $100 on the first day, but now trades in the low $60s.\nBoth stocks have underperformed the S&P 500 this year as investors have been moving from growth to value stocks, but is one of these companies a better long-term play on the booming AI market?\nThe differences between Palantir and C3.ai\nPalantir, which is named after the all-seeing orbs fromThe Lord of the Rings, helps organizations accumulate data on individuals from disparate sources, then processes it with algorithms to make data-driven decisions.\nPalantir's biggest customer is the U.S. government, and its tools are used by the CIA, FBI, ICE, and all branches of the military. Its technology was reportedly used to hunt down Osama bin Laden in 2011, but it was also used by ICE in recent years to locate and deport undocumented immigrants.\nC3.ai initially only served energy companies before expanding into other markets. Unlike Palantir, which gathers data from external and internal sources, C3.ai mainly uses a company's internal operations.\nC3.ai's algorithms can schedule maintenance routines, detect fraud, optimize inventories, and improve CRM (customer relationship management) systems. In short, it's a lot less controversial bet than Palantir.\nHow fast is Palantir growing?\nPalantir's revenue increased 47% to $1.1 billion in 2020. Its government revenue rose 77% as its commercial revenue grew 22%.\nIt expanded its government contracts with the FDA, U.S. Army, and U.S. Air Force, and its commercial business attracted big customers including Rio Tinto,PG&E, and BP. Its adjusted gross and operating margins expanded, but it still posted a net loss of $1.2 billion -- compared to a loss of $580 million in 2019.\nIn the first quarter of 2021, Palantir's revenue rose 49% year-over-year to $341 million, with 76% growth in its government business and 19% growth in its commercial business. Its adjusted gross and operating margins expanded again, but its net loss again widened, from $54.3 million to $123.5 million. On the bright side, its adjusted EBITDA turned positive with a profit of $119.8 million -- but that excludes its stock-based compensation and a lot of \"one time\" expenses.\nWall Street expects Palantir's revenue to rise 35% this year, while the company expects its annual revenue to increase more than 30% every year through 2025. That confident outlook indicates a belief that its government business will remain stable as it gradually gains more commercial customers, but the company could remain steeped in controversy about data-gathering and deeply unprofitable for years to come.\nHow fast is C3.ai growing?\nC3.ai's revenue rose 17% to $183.2 million in fiscal 2021, which ended in April. That marked a significant slowdown from its 71% growth in 2020, mainly due to pandemic-related disruptions of the energy and industrial sectors.\nIts average contract value also decreased from $12.1 million in 2020 to $7.2 million in 2021, even as it initiated new enterprise AI projects with big customers like 3M,Consolidated Edison,Shell, and the New York Power Authority. But its total number of customers rose 82% to 89 at the end of the year, which indicates its business could recover quickly after the pandemic ends. It expects its revenue to increase 33% to 35% in the current fiscal year.\nC3.ai's adjusted gross margin stayed flat in fiscal 2021 as its operating margin remained in the red, but its net loss narrowed year-over-year from $69.4 million to $55.7 million. It doesn't calculate its profits in adjusted EBITDA terms, and analysts expect it to stay unprofitable for the foreseeable future.\nThe valuations and verdict\nPalantir and C3.ai trade at 31 and 26 times this year's sales, respectively. Those high price-to-sales ratios indicate neither stock is cheap in this market, especially as investors rotate from growth to value stocks.\nThat said, it makes more sense to invest in the company that is more dependent on stable government customers than the one that relies heavily on the macro-sensitive energy and industrial sectors. It also makes more sense to invest in the company with superior revenue growth if both stocks are trading at comparable price-to-sales ratios.\nTherefore, Palantir might be more controversial than C3.ai, but I believe it's the better growth play in the AI market. C3.ai's long-term prospects still look bright, but its stock remains too expensive relative to its growth.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLTR":0.9,"AI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":682,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":146393231,"gmtCreate":1626052531223,"gmtModify":1631889975419,"author":{"id":"3578099872805879","authorId":"3578099872805879","name":"33c3eb1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578099872805879","idStr":"3578099872805879"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like and reply.&nbsp;","listText":"Please like and reply.&nbsp;","text":"Please like and reply.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/146393231","repostId":"1114863871","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2046,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":379779511,"gmtCreate":1618798473133,"gmtModify":1634290854302,"author":{"id":"3578099872805879","authorId":"3578099872805879","name":"33c3eb1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578099872805879","idStr":"3578099872805879"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"UIPath seems a good bet.&nbsp;","listText":"UIPath seems a good bet.&nbsp;","text":"UIPath seems a good bet.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/379779511","repostId":"1129471770","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129471770","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1618793935,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1129471770?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-19 08:58","market":"us","language":"en","title":"IPO Preview: UiPath Inc, KnowBe4, Zymergen, Latham Holdings Highlight Busy Week Of Offerings<blockquote>IPO预览：UiPath Inc、KnowBe4、Zymergen、Latham Holdings重点介绍繁忙的一周发行</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129471770","media":"Benzinga","summary":"This week’s offerings don’t have quite the same high profile as last week's highly anticipated IPO o","content":"<p>This week’s offerings don’t have quite the same high profile as last week's highly anticipated IPO of<b>Coinbase Global</b>COIN 5.96%. Nevertheless, there are several excitingIPOsthat investors should consider this week, including UiPath and Latham Holdings.</p><p><blockquote>本周的发行不像上周备受期待的IPO那样引人注目<b>比特币基地全球</b>硬币5.96%。尽管如此，投资者本周应该考虑几个令人兴奋的IPO，包括UiPath和Latham Holdings。</blockquote></p><p>Here is a look at the expected IPO pricings for the week of April 19.</p><p><blockquote>以下是4月19日当周的预期IPO定价。</blockquote></p><p><b>DoubleVerify Holdings:</b>&nbsp;Digital media measurement and analytics company<b>DoubleVerify Holdings</b>&nbsp;NYSE:&nbsp;DV&nbsp;plansto sell 13.3 million shares at a price point of $24 to $27.</p><p><blockquote><b>DoubleVerify控股：</b>数字媒体测量和分析公司<b>双验证控股</b>纽约证券交易所股票代码：DV计划以24至27美元的价格出售1,330万股股票。</blockquote></p><p>The company makes security software for digital advertising and claims to have over 1,000 advertisers and publishers as partners, and more than 45 customers that each account for $1 million in annual revenue for DoubleVerify.</p><p><blockquote>该公司为数字广告生产安全软件，并声称有超过1,000家广告商和出版商作为合作伙伴，以及超过45家客户，每个客户为DoubleVerify贡献了100万美元的年收入。</blockquote></p><p>The company had revenue of $244 million in fiscal 2020, a year-over-year increase of 34%.</p><p><blockquote>该公司2020财年营收2.44亿美元，同比增长34%。</blockquote></p><p><b>NeuroPace:</b>&nbsp;Commercial-stage medical device company<b>NeuroPace</b>&nbsp;NASDAQ:&nbsp;NPCE&nbsp;says it&nbsp;hasthe first and only commercially-available, brain-responsive system to help fight seizures.</p><p><blockquote><b>神经空间：</b>商业化阶段医疗器械公司<b>神经空间</b>纳斯达克：NPCE表示，它拥有第一个也是唯一一个商用的大脑响应系统来帮助对抗癫痫发作。</blockquote></p><p>The company’s target market is customers who have drug-resistant epilepsy. Over 3,000 patients were&nbsp;served by the company through 2020. Neuropace had revenue of $10 million in fiscal 2020 and is guiding for fiscal 2021 revenue of between $11.1 million and $11.3 million.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的目标市场是患有耐药性癫痫的客户。截至2020年，该公司为超过3,000名患者提供了服务。Neuropace 2020财年的收入为1000万美元，预计2021财年的收入在1110万美元至1130万美元之间。</blockquote></p><p>Over $28 billion is spent annually on epilepsy care in the United States. The company plans to sell 5.3 million shares at a price point of $15 to $17.</p><p><blockquote>在美国，每年用于癫痫护理的费用超过280亿美元。该公司计划以15至17美元的价格出售530万股股票。</blockquote></p><p><b>UiPath:</b>Thebiggest IPOof the week is set to be automation company<b>UiPath Inc</b>NYSEPATH, with aplannedoffering of 21.3 million shares at a price point of $43 to $50.</p><p><blockquote><b>UiPath：</b>本周最大的IPO将是自动化公司<b>UiPath公司</b>NYSEPATH计划以43至50美元的价格发行2130万股。</blockquote></p><p>The company “makes software robots so people don’t have to be robots.” The company had annual recurring revenue of $580 million in the fiscal year ended January 31, 2021, for a growth rate of 65%.&nbsp;UiPath says it has over 7,900 customers, with over 1,000 of them paying $100,000 or more annually to the company.</p><p><blockquote>该公司“制造软件机器人，这样人们就不必成为机器人。”截至2021年1月31日的财年，该公司的年度经常性收入为5.8亿美元，增长率为65%。UiPath表示，它拥有超过7,900名客户，其中超过1,000名客户每年向该公司支付10万美元或更多。</blockquote></p><p>The company is targeting a market opportunity of $65 billion and believes its open architecture and end-to-end platform set it apart from competitors.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的目标是650亿美元的市场机会，并相信其开放式架构和端到端平台使其从竞争对手中脱颖而出。</blockquote></p><p><b>SkyWater Technology:</b>Pure-play technology foundry<b>SkyWater Technology</b>&nbsp;NASDAQ:&nbsp;SKYT&nbsp;offerssemiconductor development and manufacturing services, targeting&nbsp;customers in markets like advanced computing, aerospace, defense, automotive and IoT.</p><p><blockquote><b>SkyWater技术：</b>纯技术代工厂<b>天水科技</b>纳斯达克：SKYT提供半导体开发和制造服务，目标客户包括先进计算、航空航天、国防、汽车和物联网等市场。</blockquote></p><p>The company has 35 customers in its advanced technology services including L3Harris and<b>Microsoft Corporation</b>MSFT 0.48%. SkyWater was divested from Cypress Semiconductor in 2017. The company had revenue of $140.4 million in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的先进技术服务拥有35家客户，包括L3Harris和<b>微软公司</b>MSFT 0.48%。SkyWater于2017年从赛普拉斯半导体剥离。该公司2020年收入为1.404亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>SkyWater plans to sell 5.8 million shares at a price point of $12 to $14.</p><p><blockquote>SkyWater计划以12至14美元的价格出售580万股股票。</blockquote></p><p><b>KnowBe4:</b>Security platform<b>KnowBe4 Inc</b>&nbsp;NASDAQ:&nbsp;KNBE&nbsp;isseekingto sell 11.8 million shares at a price point of $16 to $18.</p><p><blockquote><b>已知4：</b>安全平台<b>KnowBe4公司</b>纳斯达克：KNBE正在寻求以16至18美元的价格出售1180万股股票。</blockquote></p><p>The company serves over 37,000 customers globally in markets worth $15 billion. The company had 45% revenue growth and $198 million in annual recurring revenue last year. It plans to rapidly grow its international operations, which made up 11.9% of revenue in fiscal 2020.</p><p><blockquote>该公司为全球超过37,000名客户提供服务，市场价值150亿美元。该公司去年的收入增长了45%，年度经常性收入为1.98亿美元。该公司计划快速发展其国际业务，该业务占2020财年收入的11.9%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Zymergen: \"</b>Biofacturing\" company<b>Zymergen</b>&nbsp;NASDAQ:&nbsp;ZY&nbsp;plansto sell 13.6 million shares at a price of $28 to $31.</p><p><blockquote><b>Zymergen：“</b>生物制造”公司<b>酶根</b>纳斯达克：ZY计划以28至31美元的价格出售1360万股股票。</blockquote></p><p>The company is working on bio-based products including films that could be used in rollable mobile tablet devices.</p><p><blockquote>该公司正在开发生物基产品，包括可用于可卷曲移动平板设备的薄膜。</blockquote></p><p>The company’s first product, Hyaline, was launched in December 2020, and an additional 10 products are in development. The biofacturing market is worth $1.2 trillion. according to the company.</p><p><blockquote>公司首款产品Hyaline于2020年12月上市，另有10款产品正在开发中。生物制造市场价值1.2万亿美元。据该公司称。</blockquote></p><p><b>Agiliti:</b>Healthcare service provider&nbsp;<b>Agiliti Inc</b>NYSEAGTIsays it&nbsp;hasa customer base of over 7,0000 networks and that&nbsp;90% of U.S. acute and alternate care facilities are within a 100-mile radius of an Agiliti service center. The company is seeking to sell 26.3 million shares at a price point of $18 to $20.</p><p><blockquote><b>敏捷性：</b>医疗服务提供者<b>敏捷公司</b>NYSEAGTI表示，它拥有超过7,000 0个网络的客户群，90%的美国急症和替代护理机构都在Agiliti服务中心100英里半径范围内。该公司寻求以18至20美元的价格出售2630万股股票。</blockquote></p><p><b>Latham Group:</b>A designer, manufacturer and marketer of in-ground residential pools in North America, Australia and New Zealandplansto go public this week.</p><p><blockquote><b>瑞生集团：</b>北美、澳大利亚和新西兰地下住宅泳池的设计者、制造商和营销商计划本周上市。</blockquote></p><p><b>Latham Group</b>&nbsp;NASDAQ:&nbsp;SWIM&nbsp;plans to sell 20 million shares at a price point of $19 to $21.</p><p><blockquote><b>莱瑟姆集团</b>纳斯达克：SWIM计划以19美元至21美元的价格出售2000万股股票。</blockquote></p><p>The company sells fiberglass products that are more durable and use less chemicals, according to the company. Latham sold 8,700 fiberglass pools in 2020 and reported its 11th consecutive year of net sales growth.</p><p><blockquote>据该公司称，该公司销售的玻璃纤维产品更耐用，使用的化学品更少。Latham在2020年销售了8,700个玻璃纤维泳池，并报告了连续11年净销售额增长。</blockquote></p><p>The company had revenue of $408 million in fiscal 2020, and&nbsp;59% of it came from in-ground pool sales.</p><p><blockquote>该公司2020财年的收入为4.08亿美元，其中59%来自地下泳池销售。</blockquote></p><p>In 2018, the company shifted from a business-to-business model to business-to-consumer, making it&nbsp;the only pool company with a direct relationship to the homeowner, according to the company.</p><p><blockquote>据该公司称，2018年，该公司从企业对企业模式转向企业对消费者模式，使其成为唯一一家与房主有直接关系的泳池公司。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>Fiberglass pools are still a small market in North America compared to international markets, Latham says. The company claims to have a No. 1 market-share position in all the categories it competes in for the North American market.</p><p><blockquote>莱瑟姆说，与国际市场相比，玻璃纤维泳池在北美仍然是一个小市场。该公司声称在北美市场竞争的所有类别中拥有第一的市场份额。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>IPO Preview: UiPath Inc, KnowBe4, Zymergen, Latham Holdings Highlight Busy Week Of Offerings<blockquote>IPO预览：UiPath Inc、KnowBe4、Zymergen、Latham Holdings重点介绍繁忙的一周发行</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIPO Preview: UiPath Inc, KnowBe4, Zymergen, Latham Holdings Highlight Busy Week Of Offerings<blockquote>IPO预览：UiPath Inc、KnowBe4、Zymergen、Latham Holdings重点介绍繁忙的一周发行</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-04-19 08:58</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>This week’s offerings don’t have quite the same high profile as last week's highly anticipated IPO of<b>Coinbase Global</b>COIN 5.96%. Nevertheless, there are several excitingIPOsthat investors should consider this week, including UiPath and Latham Holdings.</p><p><blockquote>本周的发行不像上周备受期待的IPO那样引人注目<b>比特币基地全球</b>硬币5.96%。尽管如此，投资者本周应该考虑几个令人兴奋的IPO，包括UiPath和Latham Holdings。</blockquote></p><p>Here is a look at the expected IPO pricings for the week of April 19.</p><p><blockquote>以下是4月19日当周的预期IPO定价。</blockquote></p><p><b>DoubleVerify Holdings:</b>&nbsp;Digital media measurement and analytics company<b>DoubleVerify Holdings</b>&nbsp;NYSE:&nbsp;DV&nbsp;plansto sell 13.3 million shares at a price point of $24 to $27.</p><p><blockquote><b>DoubleVerify控股：</b>数字媒体测量和分析公司<b>双验证控股</b>纽约证券交易所股票代码：DV计划以24至27美元的价格出售1,330万股股票。</blockquote></p><p>The company makes security software for digital advertising and claims to have over 1,000 advertisers and publishers as partners, and more than 45 customers that each account for $1 million in annual revenue for DoubleVerify.</p><p><blockquote>该公司为数字广告生产安全软件，并声称有超过1,000家广告商和出版商作为合作伙伴，以及超过45家客户，每个客户为DoubleVerify贡献了100万美元的年收入。</blockquote></p><p>The company had revenue of $244 million in fiscal 2020, a year-over-year increase of 34%.</p><p><blockquote>该公司2020财年营收2.44亿美元，同比增长34%。</blockquote></p><p><b>NeuroPace:</b>&nbsp;Commercial-stage medical device company<b>NeuroPace</b>&nbsp;NASDAQ:&nbsp;NPCE&nbsp;says it&nbsp;hasthe first and only commercially-available, brain-responsive system to help fight seizures.</p><p><blockquote><b>神经空间：</b>商业化阶段医疗器械公司<b>神经空间</b>纳斯达克：NPCE表示，它拥有第一个也是唯一一个商用的大脑响应系统来帮助对抗癫痫发作。</blockquote></p><p>The company’s target market is customers who have drug-resistant epilepsy. Over 3,000 patients were&nbsp;served by the company through 2020. Neuropace had revenue of $10 million in fiscal 2020 and is guiding for fiscal 2021 revenue of between $11.1 million and $11.3 million.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的目标市场是患有耐药性癫痫的客户。截至2020年，该公司为超过3,000名患者提供了服务。Neuropace 2020财年的收入为1000万美元，预计2021财年的收入在1110万美元至1130万美元之间。</blockquote></p><p>Over $28 billion is spent annually on epilepsy care in the United States. The company plans to sell 5.3 million shares at a price point of $15 to $17.</p><p><blockquote>在美国，每年用于癫痫护理的费用超过280亿美元。该公司计划以15至17美元的价格出售530万股股票。</blockquote></p><p><b>UiPath:</b>Thebiggest IPOof the week is set to be automation company<b>UiPath Inc</b>NYSEPATH, with aplannedoffering of 21.3 million shares at a price point of $43 to $50.</p><p><blockquote><b>UiPath：</b>本周最大的IPO将是自动化公司<b>UiPath公司</b>NYSEPATH计划以43至50美元的价格发行2130万股。</blockquote></p><p>The company “makes software robots so people don’t have to be robots.” The company had annual recurring revenue of $580 million in the fiscal year ended January 31, 2021, for a growth rate of 65%.&nbsp;UiPath says it has over 7,900 customers, with over 1,000 of them paying $100,000 or more annually to the company.</p><p><blockquote>该公司“制造软件机器人，这样人们就不必成为机器人。”截至2021年1月31日的财年，该公司的年度经常性收入为5.8亿美元，增长率为65%。UiPath表示，它拥有超过7,900名客户，其中超过1,000名客户每年向该公司支付10万美元或更多。</blockquote></p><p>The company is targeting a market opportunity of $65 billion and believes its open architecture and end-to-end platform set it apart from competitors.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的目标是650亿美元的市场机会，并相信其开放式架构和端到端平台使其从竞争对手中脱颖而出。</blockquote></p><p><b>SkyWater Technology:</b>Pure-play technology foundry<b>SkyWater Technology</b>&nbsp;NASDAQ:&nbsp;SKYT&nbsp;offerssemiconductor development and manufacturing services, targeting&nbsp;customers in markets like advanced computing, aerospace, defense, automotive and IoT.</p><p><blockquote><b>SkyWater技术：</b>纯技术代工厂<b>天水科技</b>纳斯达克：SKYT提供半导体开发和制造服务，目标客户包括先进计算、航空航天、国防、汽车和物联网等市场。</blockquote></p><p>The company has 35 customers in its advanced technology services including L3Harris and<b>Microsoft Corporation</b>MSFT 0.48%. SkyWater was divested from Cypress Semiconductor in 2017. The company had revenue of $140.4 million in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的先进技术服务拥有35家客户，包括L3Harris和<b>微软公司</b>MSFT 0.48%。SkyWater于2017年从赛普拉斯半导体剥离。该公司2020年收入为1.404亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>SkyWater plans to sell 5.8 million shares at a price point of $12 to $14.</p><p><blockquote>SkyWater计划以12至14美元的价格出售580万股股票。</blockquote></p><p><b>KnowBe4:</b>Security platform<b>KnowBe4 Inc</b>&nbsp;NASDAQ:&nbsp;KNBE&nbsp;isseekingto sell 11.8 million shares at a price point of $16 to $18.</p><p><blockquote><b>已知4：</b>安全平台<b>KnowBe4公司</b>纳斯达克：KNBE正在寻求以16至18美元的价格出售1180万股股票。</blockquote></p><p>The company serves over 37,000 customers globally in markets worth $15 billion. The company had 45% revenue growth and $198 million in annual recurring revenue last year. It plans to rapidly grow its international operations, which made up 11.9% of revenue in fiscal 2020.</p><p><blockquote>该公司为全球超过37,000名客户提供服务，市场价值150亿美元。该公司去年的收入增长了45%，年度经常性收入为1.98亿美元。该公司计划快速发展其国际业务，该业务占2020财年收入的11.9%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Zymergen: \"</b>Biofacturing\" company<b>Zymergen</b>&nbsp;NASDAQ:&nbsp;ZY&nbsp;plansto sell 13.6 million shares at a price of $28 to $31.</p><p><blockquote><b>Zymergen：“</b>生物制造”公司<b>酶根</b>纳斯达克：ZY计划以28至31美元的价格出售1360万股股票。</blockquote></p><p>The company is working on bio-based products including films that could be used in rollable mobile tablet devices.</p><p><blockquote>该公司正在开发生物基产品，包括可用于可卷曲移动平板设备的薄膜。</blockquote></p><p>The company’s first product, Hyaline, was launched in December 2020, and an additional 10 products are in development. The biofacturing market is worth $1.2 trillion. according to the company.</p><p><blockquote>公司首款产品Hyaline于2020年12月上市，另有10款产品正在开发中。生物制造市场价值1.2万亿美元。据该公司称。</blockquote></p><p><b>Agiliti:</b>Healthcare service provider&nbsp;<b>Agiliti Inc</b>NYSEAGTIsays it&nbsp;hasa customer base of over 7,0000 networks and that&nbsp;90% of U.S. acute and alternate care facilities are within a 100-mile radius of an Agiliti service center. The company is seeking to sell 26.3 million shares at a price point of $18 to $20.</p><p><blockquote><b>敏捷性：</b>医疗服务提供者<b>敏捷公司</b>NYSEAGTI表示，它拥有超过7,000 0个网络的客户群，90%的美国急症和替代护理机构都在Agiliti服务中心100英里半径范围内。该公司寻求以18至20美元的价格出售2630万股股票。</blockquote></p><p><b>Latham Group:</b>A designer, manufacturer and marketer of in-ground residential pools in North America, Australia and New Zealandplansto go public this week.</p><p><blockquote><b>瑞生集团：</b>北美、澳大利亚和新西兰地下住宅泳池的设计者、制造商和营销商计划本周上市。</blockquote></p><p><b>Latham Group</b>&nbsp;NASDAQ:&nbsp;SWIM&nbsp;plans to sell 20 million shares at a price point of $19 to $21.</p><p><blockquote><b>莱瑟姆集团</b>纳斯达克：SWIM计划以19美元至21美元的价格出售2000万股股票。</blockquote></p><p>The company sells fiberglass products that are more durable and use less chemicals, according to the company. Latham sold 8,700 fiberglass pools in 2020 and reported its 11th consecutive year of net sales growth.</p><p><blockquote>据该公司称，该公司销售的玻璃纤维产品更耐用，使用的化学品更少。Latham在2020年销售了8,700个玻璃纤维泳池，并报告了连续11年净销售额增长。</blockquote></p><p>The company had revenue of $408 million in fiscal 2020, and&nbsp;59% of it came from in-ground pool sales.</p><p><blockquote>该公司2020财年的收入为4.08亿美元，其中59%来自地下泳池销售。</blockquote></p><p>In 2018, the company shifted from a business-to-business model to business-to-consumer, making it&nbsp;the only pool company with a direct relationship to the homeowner, according to the company.</p><p><blockquote>据该公司称，2018年，该公司从企业对企业模式转向企业对消费者模式，使其成为唯一一家与房主有直接关系的泳池公司。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>Fiberglass pools are still a small market in North America compared to international markets, Latham says. The company claims to have a No. 1 market-share position in all the categories it competes in for the North American market.</p><p><blockquote>莱瑟姆说，与国际市场相比，玻璃纤维泳池在北美仍然是一个小市场。该公司声称在北美市场竞争的所有类别中拥有第一的市场份额。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"DV":"DoubleVerify Holdings, Inc.","SWIM":"Latham Group, Inc.","PATH":"UiPath","SKYT":"SkyWater Technology, Inc.","NPCE":"NeuroPace Inc.","KNBE":"KnowBe4, Inc.","AGTI":"Agiliti, Inc."},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129471770","content_text":"This week’s offerings don’t have quite the same high profile as last week's highly anticipated IPO ofCoinbase GlobalCOIN 5.96%. Nevertheless, there are several excitingIPOsthat investors should consider this week, including UiPath and Latham Holdings.Here is a look at the expected IPO pricings for the week of April 19.DoubleVerify Holdings: Digital media measurement and analytics companyDoubleVerify Holdings NYSE: DV plansto sell 13.3 million shares at a price point of $24 to $27.The company makes security software for digital advertising and claims to have over 1,000 advertisers and publishers as partners, and more than 45 customers that each account for $1 million in annual revenue for DoubleVerify.The company had revenue of $244 million in fiscal 2020, a year-over-year increase of 34%.NeuroPace: Commercial-stage medical device companyNeuroPace NASDAQ: NPCE says it hasthe first and only commercially-available, brain-responsive system to help fight seizures.The company’s target market is customers who have drug-resistant epilepsy. Over 3,000 patients were served by the company through 2020. Neuropace had revenue of $10 million in fiscal 2020 and is guiding for fiscal 2021 revenue of between $11.1 million and $11.3 million.Over $28 billion is spent annually on epilepsy care in the United States. The company plans to sell 5.3 million shares at a price point of $15 to $17.UiPath:Thebiggest IPOof the week is set to be automation companyUiPath IncNYSEPATH, with aplannedoffering of 21.3 million shares at a price point of $43 to $50.The company “makes software robots so people don’t have to be robots.” The company had annual recurring revenue of $580 million in the fiscal year ended January 31, 2021, for a growth rate of 65%. UiPath says it has over 7,900 customers, with over 1,000 of them paying $100,000 or more annually to the company.The company is targeting a market opportunity of $65 billion and believes its open architecture and end-to-end platform set it apart from competitors.SkyWater Technology:Pure-play technology foundrySkyWater Technology NASDAQ: SKYT offerssemiconductor development and manufacturing services, targeting customers in markets like advanced computing, aerospace, defense, automotive and IoT.The company has 35 customers in its advanced technology services including L3Harris andMicrosoft CorporationMSFT 0.48%. SkyWater was divested from Cypress Semiconductor in 2017. The company had revenue of $140.4 million in 2020.SkyWater plans to sell 5.8 million shares at a price point of $12 to $14.KnowBe4:Security platformKnowBe4 Inc NASDAQ: KNBE isseekingto sell 11.8 million shares at a price point of $16 to $18.The company serves over 37,000 customers globally in markets worth $15 billion. The company had 45% revenue growth and $198 million in annual recurring revenue last year. It plans to rapidly grow its international operations, which made up 11.9% of revenue in fiscal 2020.Zymergen: \"Biofacturing\" companyZymergen NASDAQ: ZY plansto sell 13.6 million shares at a price of $28 to $31.The company is working on bio-based products including films that could be used in rollable mobile tablet devices.The company’s first product, Hyaline, was launched in December 2020, and an additional 10 products are in development. The biofacturing market is worth $1.2 trillion. according to the company.Agiliti:Healthcare service provider Agiliti IncNYSEAGTIsays it hasa customer base of over 7,0000 networks and that 90% of U.S. acute and alternate care facilities are within a 100-mile radius of an Agiliti service center. The company is seeking to sell 26.3 million shares at a price point of $18 to $20.Latham Group:A designer, manufacturer and marketer of in-ground residential pools in North America, Australia and New Zealandplansto go public this week.Latham Group NASDAQ: SWIM plans to sell 20 million shares at a price point of $19 to $21.The company sells fiberglass products that are more durable and use less chemicals, according to the company. Latham sold 8,700 fiberglass pools in 2020 and reported its 11th consecutive year of net sales growth.The company had revenue of $408 million in fiscal 2020, and 59% of it came from in-ground pool sales.In 2018, the company shifted from a business-to-business model to business-to-consumer, making it the only pool company with a direct relationship to the homeowner, according to the company.Fiberglass pools are still a small market in North America compared to international markets, Latham says. The company claims to have a No. 1 market-share position in all the categories it competes in for the North American market.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SWIM":0.9,"KNBE":0.9,"PATH":0.9,"SKYT":0.9,"AGTI":0.9,"NPCE":0.9,"ZY":0.9,"DV":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":540,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":346113405,"gmtCreate":1618013216407,"gmtModify":1631884063179,"author":{"id":"3578099872805879","authorId":"3578099872805879","name":"33c3eb1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578099872805879","idStr":"3578099872805879"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Price is a bit high for me but definitely one to watch!&nbsp;","listText":"Price is a bit high for me but definitely one to watch!&nbsp;","text":"Price is a bit high for me but definitely one to watch!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/346113405","repostId":"1106014844","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106014844","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1617979503,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1106014844?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-09 22:45","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Bill.com the Cathie Wood Stock for You?<blockquote>Bill.com是您的Cathie Wood股票吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106014844","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"This fintech has posted a roughly 300% gain since it went public.\nWhen Cathie Wood adds a stock or i","content":"<p>This fintech has posted a roughly 300% gain since it went public.</p><p><blockquote>这家金融科技公司自上市以来已上涨约300%。</blockquote></p><p> When Cathie Wood adds a stock or increases her positions in one of her portfolios, people pay attention. Wood is the founder and CEO of ARK Invest, a company that runs some of the top-performing exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Her actively managed ETFs -- including&nbsp;<b>ARK Innovation</b>,<b>ARK Genomic Revolution</b>, and&nbsp;<b>ARK Next Generation Internet</b>&nbsp;-- are mostly focused on technology stocks and have all posted huge returns over the past five years.</p><p><blockquote>当凯西·伍德(Cathie Wood)增加一只股票或增加其投资组合中的头寸时，人们会关注。伍德是ARK Invest的创始人兼首席执行官，该公司运营着一些表现最好的交易所交易基金(ETF)。她积极管理的ETF——包括<b>方舟创新</b>,<b>方舟基因组革命</b>，和<b>方舟下一代互联网</b>——大多专注于科技股，并且在过去五年中都取得了巨额回报。</blockquote></p><p> At the end of March, Wood increased her investment in a company called&nbsp;<b>Bill.com</b>(NYSE:BILL)in one of her portfolios,<b>ARK Fintech Innovation</b>. It caught our attention, so let's take a look at the stock to see if it's one you should consider buying.</p><p><blockquote>3月底，伍德增加了对一家名为<b>Bill.com</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：BILL）在她的一个投资组合中，<b>方舟金融科技创新</b>.它引起了我们的注意，所以让我们看看这只股票，看看它是否是您应该考虑购买的股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>On cloud nine</b></p><p><blockquote><b>九霄云外</b></blockquote></p><p> Bill.com's cloud-based platform simplifies billing, payment processing, accounting, and other back-office operations for small- and mid-sized business. The platform uses artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning to streamline the invoicing and bill paying process -- essentially, it allows companies to automate these jobs, saving money on doing it in-house.</p><p><blockquote>Bill.com基于云的平台简化了中小型企业的计费、支付处理、会计和其他后台操作。该平台使用人工智能（AI）和机器学习来简化发票和账单支付流程——本质上，它允许公司自动化这些工作，从而节省内部工作的资金。</blockquote></p><p> Since the company went public in December 2019, its stock price has more than quadrupled, from $36 per share when it started trading to more than $157 at Thursday's close. It gained 171% in 2020 and is up more than 15% year to date in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>自该公司2019年12月上市以来，其股价已翻了两番多，从开始交易时的每股36美元涨至周四收盘时的每股157美元以上。该股在2020年上涨了171%，2021年迄今上涨了15%以上。</blockquote></p><p> The company makes money mostly on subscriptions its clients pay for the service, so it's a reliable, repeatable income stream that grows as it adds clients. The company also makes a far smaller percentage of revenue on interest earned holding funds for clients. In the fiscal second quarter, which ended Dec. 31, revenue spiked 38% year over year to $54 million, with $52.3 million coming from subscription and transaction fees.</p><p><blockquote>该公司主要通过客户为服务付费的订阅来赚钱，因此这是一个可靠、可重复的收入来源，随着客户的增加而增长。该公司为客户持有基金所赚取的利息收入比例也要小得多。在截至12月31日的第二财季，收入同比飙升38%至5400万美元，其中5230万美元来自订阅和交易费用。</blockquote></p><p> The company is not yet profitable, posting a net loss of $17.2 million in the quarter, but it posted a huge gross margin of 75%, which is the revenue after subtracting the cost of producing the item being sold. So while it may not be profitable for a few more quarters. But once its investments in its technology and operations increase operating efficiency, those high gross margins will eventually translate into high profit margins.</p><p><blockquote>该公司尚未盈利，本季度净亏损1720万美元，但毛利率高达75%，这是减去所售商品的生产成本后的收入。因此，虽然它可能在未来几个季度内无法盈利。但一旦其对技术和运营的投资提高了运营效率，这些高毛利率最终将转化为高利润率。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Pardon the disruption</b></p><p><blockquote><b>抱歉打扰了</b></blockquote></p><p> Bill.com has more than 100,000 customers, up nearly 30% from the previous year. While this is a very competitive space,Bill.com is a disruptor, and there is a huge market opportunity. As my Foolish colleagues&nbsp;Jason Moser and Matthew Frankel&nbsp;pointed out in a recent podcast, there are 20 million small- and mid-sized businesses and an addressable market of $30 billion globally, including $9 billion in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>Bill.com拥有超过10万名客户，比上年增长近30%。虽然这是一个竞争非常激烈的领域，但Bill.com是一个颠覆者，存在巨大的市场机会。正如我愚蠢的同事杰森·莫泽和马修·弗兰克尔在最近的播客中指出的那样，全球有2000万家中小企业和300亿美元的潜在市场，其中美国有90亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> But founder and CEO Rene Lacerte thinks of the&nbsp;fintech&nbsp;not just in terms of customers, but of the network of 2.5 million \"members,\" including the users and partners of all of its clients. \"We believe we are the leading digital B2B payments platform for SMBs (small and mid-sized businesses) and operate one of the largest B2B networks in the United States,\" Lacerte said on the&nbsp;most recent earnings call. That is a huge network of users on which to grow. The bigger the network, the more potential value it has for its members. Also, this growth allows Bill.com the opportunity to form deeper relationships with those on the network, offering additional products and services.</p><p><blockquote>但创始人兼首席执行官Rene Lacerte不仅从客户的角度看待金融科技，还从250万“会员”的角度看待金融科技，包括所有客户的用户和合作伙伴。Lacerte在最近的财报看涨期权上表示：“我们相信我们是SMB（中小型企业）领先的数字B2B支付平台，并运营着美国最大的B2B网络之一。”这是一个巨大的用户网络，可以在此基础上成长。网络越大，对其成员的潜在价值就越大。此外，这种增长使Bill.com有机会与网络上的人建立更深层次的关系，提供额外的产品和服务。</blockquote></p><p> Bill.com's other potential competitive advantage is its AI, which gets more intuitive and robust the more customers it gets and the more data it gathers. The better the AI, the more efficient, convenient and useful the service becomes.</p><p><blockquote>Bill.com的另一个潜在竞争优势是其人工智能，它获得的客户越多，收集的数据越多，人工智能就会变得更加直观和强大。人工智能越好，服务就变得越高效、越方便、越有用。</blockquote></p><p> This is a young, disruptive company that's in growth mode, with a low-expense business model and high earnings potential, that will soon be profitable. If you are looking for a growth stock with long-term potential, this Cathie Wood stock -- one she has identified as a fintech innovator -- would not be a bad choice.</p><p><blockquote>这是一家年轻的、颠覆性的公司，正处于增长模式，具有低费用的商业模式和高盈利潜力，很快就会盈利。如果您正在寻找一只具有长期潜力的成长型股票，那么这只Cathie Wood股票（她将其视为金融科技创新者）将是一个不错的选择。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Bill.com the Cathie Wood Stock for You?<blockquote>Bill.com是您的Cathie Wood股票吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Bill.com the Cathie Wood Stock for You?<blockquote>Bill.com是您的Cathie Wood股票吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-09 22:45</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>This fintech has posted a roughly 300% gain since it went public.</p><p><blockquote>这家金融科技公司自上市以来已上涨约300%。</blockquote></p><p> When Cathie Wood adds a stock or increases her positions in one of her portfolios, people pay attention. Wood is the founder and CEO of ARK Invest, a company that runs some of the top-performing exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Her actively managed ETFs -- including&nbsp;<b>ARK Innovation</b>,<b>ARK Genomic Revolution</b>, and&nbsp;<b>ARK Next Generation Internet</b>&nbsp;-- are mostly focused on technology stocks and have all posted huge returns over the past five years.</p><p><blockquote>当凯西·伍德(Cathie Wood)增加一只股票或增加其投资组合中的头寸时，人们会关注。伍德是ARK Invest的创始人兼首席执行官，该公司运营着一些表现最好的交易所交易基金(ETF)。她积极管理的ETF——包括<b>方舟创新</b>,<b>方舟基因组革命</b>，和<b>方舟下一代互联网</b>——大多专注于科技股，并且在过去五年中都取得了巨额回报。</blockquote></p><p> At the end of March, Wood increased her investment in a company called&nbsp;<b>Bill.com</b>(NYSE:BILL)in one of her portfolios,<b>ARK Fintech Innovation</b>. It caught our attention, so let's take a look at the stock to see if it's one you should consider buying.</p><p><blockquote>3月底，伍德增加了对一家名为<b>Bill.com</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：BILL）在她的一个投资组合中，<b>方舟金融科技创新</b>.它引起了我们的注意，所以让我们看看这只股票，看看它是否是您应该考虑购买的股票。</blockquote></p><p> <b>On cloud nine</b></p><p><blockquote><b>九霄云外</b></blockquote></p><p> Bill.com's cloud-based platform simplifies billing, payment processing, accounting, and other back-office operations for small- and mid-sized business. The platform uses artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning to streamline the invoicing and bill paying process -- essentially, it allows companies to automate these jobs, saving money on doing it in-house.</p><p><blockquote>Bill.com基于云的平台简化了中小型企业的计费、支付处理、会计和其他后台操作。该平台使用人工智能（AI）和机器学习来简化发票和账单支付流程——本质上，它允许公司自动化这些工作，从而节省内部工作的资金。</blockquote></p><p> Since the company went public in December 2019, its stock price has more than quadrupled, from $36 per share when it started trading to more than $157 at Thursday's close. It gained 171% in 2020 and is up more than 15% year to date in 2021.</p><p><blockquote>自该公司2019年12月上市以来，其股价已翻了两番多，从开始交易时的每股36美元涨至周四收盘时的每股157美元以上。该股在2020年上涨了171%，2021年迄今上涨了15%以上。</blockquote></p><p> The company makes money mostly on subscriptions its clients pay for the service, so it's a reliable, repeatable income stream that grows as it adds clients. The company also makes a far smaller percentage of revenue on interest earned holding funds for clients. In the fiscal second quarter, which ended Dec. 31, revenue spiked 38% year over year to $54 million, with $52.3 million coming from subscription and transaction fees.</p><p><blockquote>该公司主要通过客户为服务付费的订阅来赚钱，因此这是一个可靠、可重复的收入来源，随着客户的增加而增长。该公司为客户持有基金所赚取的利息收入比例也要小得多。在截至12月31日的第二财季，收入同比飙升38%至5400万美元，其中5230万美元来自订阅和交易费用。</blockquote></p><p> The company is not yet profitable, posting a net loss of $17.2 million in the quarter, but it posted a huge gross margin of 75%, which is the revenue after subtracting the cost of producing the item being sold. So while it may not be profitable for a few more quarters. But once its investments in its technology and operations increase operating efficiency, those high gross margins will eventually translate into high profit margins.</p><p><blockquote>该公司尚未盈利，本季度净亏损1720万美元，但毛利率高达75%，这是减去所售商品的生产成本后的收入。因此，虽然它可能在未来几个季度内无法盈利。但一旦其对技术和运营的投资提高了运营效率，这些高毛利率最终将转化为高利润率。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Pardon the disruption</b></p><p><blockquote><b>抱歉打扰了</b></blockquote></p><p> Bill.com has more than 100,000 customers, up nearly 30% from the previous year. While this is a very competitive space,Bill.com is a disruptor, and there is a huge market opportunity. As my Foolish colleagues&nbsp;Jason Moser and Matthew Frankel&nbsp;pointed out in a recent podcast, there are 20 million small- and mid-sized businesses and an addressable market of $30 billion globally, including $9 billion in the U.S.</p><p><blockquote>Bill.com拥有超过10万名客户，比上年增长近30%。虽然这是一个竞争非常激烈的领域，但Bill.com是一个颠覆者，存在巨大的市场机会。正如我愚蠢的同事杰森·莫泽和马修·弗兰克尔在最近的播客中指出的那样，全球有2000万家中小企业和300亿美元的潜在市场，其中美国有90亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> But founder and CEO Rene Lacerte thinks of the&nbsp;fintech&nbsp;not just in terms of customers, but of the network of 2.5 million \"members,\" including the users and partners of all of its clients. \"We believe we are the leading digital B2B payments platform for SMBs (small and mid-sized businesses) and operate one of the largest B2B networks in the United States,\" Lacerte said on the&nbsp;most recent earnings call. That is a huge network of users on which to grow. The bigger the network, the more potential value it has for its members. Also, this growth allows Bill.com the opportunity to form deeper relationships with those on the network, offering additional products and services.</p><p><blockquote>但创始人兼首席执行官Rene Lacerte不仅从客户的角度看待金融科技，还从250万“会员”的角度看待金融科技，包括所有客户的用户和合作伙伴。Lacerte在最近的财报看涨期权上表示：“我们相信我们是SMB（中小型企业）领先的数字B2B支付平台，并运营着美国最大的B2B网络之一。”这是一个巨大的用户网络，可以在此基础上成长。网络越大，对其成员的潜在价值就越大。此外，这种增长使Bill.com有机会与网络上的人建立更深层次的关系，提供额外的产品和服务。</blockquote></p><p> Bill.com's other potential competitive advantage is its AI, which gets more intuitive and robust the more customers it gets and the more data it gathers. The better the AI, the more efficient, convenient and useful the service becomes.</p><p><blockquote>Bill.com的另一个潜在竞争优势是其人工智能，它获得的客户越多，收集的数据越多，人工智能就会变得更加直观和强大。人工智能越好，服务就变得越高效、越方便、越有用。</blockquote></p><p> This is a young, disruptive company that's in growth mode, with a low-expense business model and high earnings potential, that will soon be profitable. If you are looking for a growth stock with long-term potential, this Cathie Wood stock -- one she has identified as a fintech innovator -- would not be a bad choice.</p><p><blockquote>这是一家年轻的、颠覆性的公司，正处于增长模式，具有低费用的商业模式和高盈利潜力，很快就会盈利。如果您正在寻找一只具有长期潜力的成长型股票，那么这只Cathie Wood股票（她将其视为金融科技创新者）将是一个不错的选择。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/09/is-billcom-the-cathie-wood-stock-for-you/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ARKW":"ARK Next Generation Internet ETF","ARKG":"ARK Genomic Revolution ETF","BILL":"BILL HOLDINGS INC","ARKK":"ARK Innovation ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/04/09/is-billcom-the-cathie-wood-stock-for-you/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106014844","content_text":"This fintech has posted a roughly 300% gain since it went public.\nWhen Cathie Wood adds a stock or increases her positions in one of her portfolios, people pay attention. Wood is the founder and CEO of ARK Invest, a company that runs some of the top-performing exchange-traded funds (ETFs). Her actively managed ETFs -- including ARK Innovation,ARK Genomic Revolution, and ARK Next Generation Internet -- are mostly focused on technology stocks and have all posted huge returns over the past five years.\nAt the end of March, Wood increased her investment in a company called Bill.com(NYSE:BILL)in one of her portfolios,ARK Fintech Innovation. It caught our attention, so let's take a look at the stock to see if it's one you should consider buying.\nOn cloud nine\nBill.com's cloud-based platform simplifies billing, payment processing, accounting, and other back-office operations for small- and mid-sized business. The platform uses artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning to streamline the invoicing and bill paying process -- essentially, it allows companies to automate these jobs, saving money on doing it in-house.\nSince the company went public in December 2019, its stock price has more than quadrupled, from $36 per share when it started trading to more than $157 at Thursday's close. It gained 171% in 2020 and is up more than 15% year to date in 2021.\nThe company makes money mostly on subscriptions its clients pay for the service, so it's a reliable, repeatable income stream that grows as it adds clients. The company also makes a far smaller percentage of revenue on interest earned holding funds for clients. In the fiscal second quarter, which ended Dec. 31, revenue spiked 38% year over year to $54 million, with $52.3 million coming from subscription and transaction fees.\nThe company is not yet profitable, posting a net loss of $17.2 million in the quarter, but it posted a huge gross margin of 75%, which is the revenue after subtracting the cost of producing the item being sold. So while it may not be profitable for a few more quarters. But once its investments in its technology and operations increase operating efficiency, those high gross margins will eventually translate into high profit margins.\nPardon the disruption\nBill.com has more than 100,000 customers, up nearly 30% from the previous year. While this is a very competitive space,Bill.com is a disruptor, and there is a huge market opportunity. As my Foolish colleagues Jason Moser and Matthew Frankel pointed out in a recent podcast, there are 20 million small- and mid-sized businesses and an addressable market of $30 billion globally, including $9 billion in the U.S.\nBut founder and CEO Rene Lacerte thinks of the fintech not just in terms of customers, but of the network of 2.5 million \"members,\" including the users and partners of all of its clients. \"We believe we are the leading digital B2B payments platform for SMBs (small and mid-sized businesses) and operate one of the largest B2B networks in the United States,\" Lacerte said on the most recent earnings call. That is a huge network of users on which to grow. The bigger the network, the more potential value it has for its members. Also, this growth allows Bill.com the opportunity to form deeper relationships with those on the network, offering additional products and services.\nBill.com's other potential competitive advantage is its AI, which gets more intuitive and robust the more customers it gets and the more data it gathers. The better the AI, the more efficient, convenient and useful the service becomes.\nThis is a young, disruptive company that's in growth mode, with a low-expense business model and high earnings potential, that will soon be profitable. If you are looking for a growth stock with long-term potential, this Cathie Wood stock -- one she has identified as a fintech innovator -- would not be a bad choice.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ARKG":0.9,"ARKW":0.9,"ARKK":0.9,"BILL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":305,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":178127983,"gmtCreate":1626793217842,"gmtModify":1631889975378,"author":{"id":"3578099872805879","authorId":"3578099872805879","name":"33c3eb1","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3578099872805879","idStr":"3578099872805879"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like and reply&nbsp;","listText":"Please like and reply&nbsp;","text":"Please like and reply","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/178127983","repostId":"1127649148","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1127649148","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1626793055,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1127649148?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-20 22:57","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. stock main indexes rose more than 1%<blockquote>美股主要指数涨超1%</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127649148","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(July 20) U.S. stock main indexes rose more than 1% in morning trading.","content":"<p>(July 20)&nbsp;U.S. stock main&nbsp;indexes rose more than 1%&nbsp;in morning trading.&nbsp;</p><p><blockquote>（7月20日）美国。股票主要指数早盘上涨超过1%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e022664a53db67f658ba55350af6aaa5\" tg-width=\"1444\" tg-height=\"170\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97fe4032e63f9a83cfb2f82950a046ce\" tg-width=\"1866\" tg-height=\"894\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7704cab75fd884a262bc6756d1f6927a\" tg-width=\"1866\" tg-height=\"927\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7078c2484f2c1381d606bc832a00fa93\" tg-width=\"1866\" tg-height=\"922\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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