阿肉的个人主页 - 老虎社区

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12-04 22:53

看不懂人家退出是赚大钱结果一直跌

美股异动 | 美光科技跌约4%，公司将退出“消费级存储业务”，聚焦AI存储芯片

11-12

怎么可能2，3年纯粹胡说八道了

“大空头”切换“战斗模式”！Burry：科技巨头“低估折旧导致利润虚高”

10-27

$美国超微公司(AMD)$ 现在是炒概念阶段业绩肯定跟不上透支未来太多了现在是看接盘侠的时候

08-30

阿里的达摩院成立n年了从来就没出过什么特别好的芯片设计到了AI反尔牛逼了？中芯先进产能一共就那么点不用台积电谁帮他代工？ intel肯定不帮他做的三星能帮他做？

市场消息：阿里开发新款AI芯片顶替英伟达，不再由台积电代工

08-19

广发你懂个屁啊还出这种报告

GF Securities Downgrades Advanced Micro Devices to Hold From Buy, Price Target is $177

08-15

卧槽你现在140 发行130的股票怎么不去死

Circle宣布1000万股公开发行每股定价130美元

06-27

$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ 在亚洲时间真的难交易

04-11

$标普500(.SPX)$ 说到底部的真的都好幽默现在正儿八经半山腰还有一半要跌

04-10

$标普500(.SPX)$ 还早呢还有15%下跌空间

04-07

$英伟达(NVDA)$ 逃吧等事情稳定下来再买

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人家退出是赚大钱 结果一直跌","listText":"看不懂 人家退出是赚大钱 结果一直跌","text":"看不懂 人家退出是赚大钱 结果一直跌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/507204862559240","repostId":"2588079636","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2588079636","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点，精选影响您财富的资讯，投资理财必备神器！","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1764861090,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2588079636?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-12-04 23:11","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"美股异动 | 美光科技跌约4%，公司将退出“消费级存储业务”，聚焦AI存储芯片","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2588079636","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"美光宣布将彻底关闭已运营近30年的Crucial品牌业务，将继续通过消费渠道出货产品至2026年2月。美光是全球第三大DRAM供应商，在用于SSD的NAND闪存领域占据13%的市场份额，其退出将在消费级存储市场留下巨大空白，在分析师警告内存短缺可能持续数年之际，尚不清楚是否有公司能够填补这一缺口。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>美光宣布将彻底关闭已运营近30年的Crucial品牌业务，将继续通过消费渠道出货产品至2026年2月。美光是全球第三大DRAM供应商，在用于SSD的NAND闪存领域占据13%的市场份额，其退出将在消费级存储市场留下巨大空白，在分析师警告内存短缺可能持续数年之际，尚不清楚是否有公司能够填补这一缺口。</p></blockquote><p>12月4日，美光科技盘初跌约4%，公司宣布将退出消费级存储业务，转而全力投入AI数据中心所需的先进存储芯片HBM生产。这一战略调整正值全球存储芯片供应紧张之际，或将进一步加剧消费电子市场供应短缺问题。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96bb8d6dd98a5054689bd13f0e970fb5\" tg-width=\"910\" tg-height=\"395\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">周三，美光宣布，将在全球范围内停止其“Crucial”品牌消费级产品在零售商、电商平台和经销商的销售，但消费渠道的产品出货将持续至2026年2月。该公司首席商务官Sumit Sadana表示，AI驱动的数据中心增长导致对存储器的需求激增，美光做出这一艰难决定是为了改善对更大规模战略客户的供应和支持。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">分析表示，<strong>AI基础设施建设热潮正在造成包括存储在内的关键产品短缺，而几家头部公司计划在未来几年投入数千亿美元建设大型数据中心，进一步推高了需求。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>据市场研究公司TrendForce数据，美光是全球第三大DRAM供应商，仅次于三星和SK海力士，三家公司合计占据DRAM市场92%的份额。美光在用于SSD的NAND闪存领域占据13%的市场份额。美光的退出将在消费级存储市场留下巨大空白，而在分析师警告内存短缺可能持续数年的背景下，目前尚不清楚是否有公司能够填补这一缺口。</strong></p><h2 id=\"hbm\">消费业务让位HBM业务</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>美光将继续通过消费渠道出货产品至2026年2月，但将彻底关闭已运营近30年的Crucial品牌业务。该品牌产品包括NVMe固态硬盘、外置存储设备，以及DDR4和DDR5内存条等PC用户常用的升级部件。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美光长期以来一直在向HBM（高带宽存储器）业务转型，这已成为全球三大存储器供应商——美光、韩国SK海力士和三星——之间竞争最激烈的领域。HBM是一种动态随机存取存储器，通过垂直堆叠芯片来降低功耗，帮助处理大量数据，在AI开发中不可或缺。这类芯片价格远高于消费级存储器，通常能带来可观的利润率。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美光CEO Sanjay Mehrotra今年9月透露，在8月季度，美光HBM收入增长至近20亿美元，折合年化约80亿美元。相比之下，该公司的Crucial消费级业务从未在财报中单独列示。Summit Insights分析师Kinngai Chan表示，消费级存储业务并非美光业务的重要驱动力。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">相比之下，美光最新季度的云存储业务部门实现了213%的同比增长，反映出AI数据中心需求的强劲势头。高盛分析师周二将美光股票目标价从180美元上调至205美元，尽管维持持有评级，但表示由于存储器&#34;持续的价格势头&#34;，预计美光两周后公布的季度业绩将&#34;健康地超出市场预期&#34;。</p><h2 id=\"ai\">AI芯片引发存储供应紧张</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>此次决策凸显AI基础设施建设热潮正在造成存储芯片等关键投入品短缺。少数几家公司承诺在未来几年投入数千亿美元建设大型数据中心，导致存储供应面临全球性紧张。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">英伟达和AMD等公司生产的AI芯片需要消耗大量最先进的存储芯片。例如，当前一代英伟达GB200芯片每个图形处理器配备192GB内存，谷歌最新AI芯片Ironwood TPU需要192GB高带宽内存。AMD当前AI芯片MI350则配备288GB高带宽内存。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">相比之下，手机和电脑使用的存储规格较低、数量也少得多——许多笔记本电脑仅配备16GB内存。这种需求差异促使美光将有限产能向利润更高的AI数据中心市场倾斜。</p><h2 id=\"a37bfbed\">消费市场面临供应缺口</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美光退出将对消费级存储市场产生显著影响。据TrendForce数据，美光在用于固态硬盘的NAND闪存领域占据13%的市场份额。在DRAM市场，美光作为第三大供应商，其退出使PC组装商失去了信赖的Crucial品牌选择。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">除三星和SK海力士外，美光还为英伟达RTX 5000系列显卡供应GDDR7显存。据TrendForce数据，消费级和企业级系统的出货量均已出现下降。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>据报道，三星和SK海力士也在优先考虑盈利能力，而非进行风险较高的产能扩张。在全球存储器供应链持续紧张、从智能手机闪存芯片到AI数据中心使用的先进高带宽存储器都面临供应紧张的背景下，美光的退出可能进一步加剧消费市场的供应压力。</strong></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美股异动 | 美光科技跌约4%，公司将退出“消费级存储业务”，聚焦AI存储芯片</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美股异动 | 美光科技跌约4%，公司将退出“消费级存储业务”，聚焦AI存储芯片\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-12-04 23:11 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3760683><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>美光宣布将彻底关闭已运营近30年的Crucial品牌业务，将继续通过消费渠道出货产品至2026年2月。美光是全球第三大DRAM供应商，在用于SSD的NAND闪存领域占据13%的市场份额，其退出将在消费级存储市场留下巨大空白，在分析师警告内存短缺可能持续数年之际，尚不清楚是否有公司能够填补这一缺口。12月4日，美光科技盘初跌约4%，公司宣布将退出消费级存储业务，转而全力投入AI数据中心所需的先进...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3760683\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97dc49a1c38f37d8c33d7241fccf9976","relate_stocks":{"MU":"美光科技"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3760683","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2588079636","content_text":"美光宣布将彻底关闭已运营近30年的Crucial品牌业务，将继续通过消费渠道出货产品至2026年2月。美光是全球第三大DRAM供应商，在用于SSD的NAND闪存领域占据13%的市场份额，其退出将在消费级存储市场留下巨大空白，在分析师警告内存短缺可能持续数年之际，尚不清楚是否有公司能够填补这一缺口。12月4日，美光科技盘初跌约4%，公司宣布将退出消费级存储业务，转而全力投入AI数据中心所需的先进存储芯片HBM生产。这一战略调整正值全球存储芯片供应紧张之际，或将进一步加剧消费电子市场供应短缺问题。周三，美光宣布，将在全球范围内停止其“Crucial”品牌消费级产品在零售商、电商平台和经销商的销售，但消费渠道的产品出货将持续至2026年2月。该公司首席商务官Sumit Sadana表示，AI驱动的数据中心增长导致对存储器的需求激增，美光做出这一艰难决定是为了改善对更大规模战略客户的供应和支持。分析表示，AI基础设施建设热潮正在造成包括存储在内的关键产品短缺，而几家头部公司计划在未来几年投入数千亿美元建设大型数据中心，进一步推高了需求。据市场研究公司TrendForce数据，美光是全球第三大DRAM供应商，仅次于三星和SK海力士，三家公司合计占据DRAM市场92%的份额。美光在用于SSD的NAND闪存领域占据13%的市场份额。美光的退出将在消费级存储市场留下巨大空白，而在分析师警告内存短缺可能持续数年的背景下，目前尚不清楚是否有公司能够填补这一缺口。消费业务让位HBM业务美光将继续通过消费渠道出货产品至2026年2月，但将彻底关闭已运营近30年的Crucial品牌业务。该品牌产品包括NVMe固态硬盘、外置存储设备，以及DDR4和DDR5内存条等PC用户常用的升级部件。美光长期以来一直在向HBM（高带宽存储器）业务转型，这已成为全球三大存储器供应商——美光、韩国SK海力士和三星——之间竞争最激烈的领域。HBM是一种动态随机存取存储器，通过垂直堆叠芯片来降低功耗，帮助处理大量数据，在AI开发中不可或缺。这类芯片价格远高于消费级存储器，通常能带来可观的利润率。美光CEO Sanjay Mehrotra今年9月透露，在8月季度，美光HBM收入增长至近20亿美元，折合年化约80亿美元。相比之下，该公司的Crucial消费级业务从未在财报中单独列示。Summit Insights分析师Kinngai Chan表示，消费级存储业务并非美光业务的重要驱动力。相比之下，美光最新季度的云存储业务部门实现了213%的同比增长，反映出AI数据中心需求的强劲势头。高盛分析师周二将美光股票目标价从180美元上调至205美元，尽管维持持有评级，但表示由于存储器\"持续的价格势头\"，预计美光两周后公布的季度业绩将\"健康地超出市场预期\"。AI芯片引发存储供应紧张此次决策凸显AI基础设施建设热潮正在造成存储芯片等关键投入品短缺。少数几家公司承诺在未来几年投入数千亿美元建设大型数据中心，导致存储供应面临全球性紧张。英伟达和AMD等公司生产的AI芯片需要消耗大量最先进的存储芯片。例如，当前一代英伟达GB200芯片每个图形处理器配备192GB内存，谷歌最新AI芯片Ironwood TPU需要192GB高带宽内存。AMD当前AI芯片MI350则配备288GB高带宽内存。相比之下，手机和电脑使用的存储规格较低、数量也少得多——许多笔记本电脑仅配备16GB内存。这种需求差异促使美光将有限产能向利润更高的AI数据中心市场倾斜。消费市场面临供应缺口美光退出将对消费级存储市场产生显著影响。据TrendForce数据，美光在用于固态硬盘的NAND闪存领域占据13%的市场份额。在DRAM市场，美光作为第三大供应商，其退出使PC组装商失去了信赖的Crucial品牌选择。除三星和SK海力士外，美光还为英伟达RTX 5000系列显卡供应GDDR7显存。据TrendForce数据，消费级和企业级系统的出货量均已出现下降。据报道，三星和SK海力士也在优先考虑盈利能力，而非进行风险较高的产能扩张。在全球存储器供应链持续紧张、从智能手机闪存芯片到AI数据中心使用的先进高带宽存储器都面临供应紧张的背景下，美光的退出可能进一步加剧消费市场的供应压力。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MU":1.5}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":22,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":499105293348952,"gmtCreate":1762877509006,"gmtModify":1762877511196,"author":{"id":"3575261823915715","authorId":"3575261823915715","name":"阿肉","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575261823915715","idStr":"3575261823915715"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"怎么可能2，3年 纯粹胡说八道了","listText":"怎么可能2，3年 纯粹胡说八道了","text":"怎么可能2，3年 纯粹胡说八道了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/499105293348952","repostId":"2582333868","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2582333868","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点，精选影响您财富的资讯，投资理财必备神器！","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1762829144,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2582333868?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-11-11 10:45","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"“大空头”切换“战斗模式”！Burry：科技巨头“低估折旧导致利润虚高”","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2582333868","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"\"大空头\"Michael Burry指出AI芯片等设备实际寿命仅2-3年，但部分公司将折旧周期延长至6年。他预计从2026到2028年，大型科技公司将因低估折旧而虚增1760亿美元的利润。摩根士丹利和美银也曾发出警告，未来折旧费用激增将严重冲击科技巨头盈利能力。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>&#34;大空头&#34;Michael Burry指出AI芯片等设备实际寿命仅2-3年，但部分公司将折旧周期延长至6年。他预计从2026到2028年，大型科技公司将因低估折旧而虚增1760亿美元的利润。摩根士丹利和美银也曾发出警告，未来折旧费用激增将严重冲击科技巨头盈利能力。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: left;\">以预测2008年金融危机而闻名的“大空头”Michael Burry再次将矛头对准科技巨头。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">11月11日，Michael Burry在其社交平台发帖称，<strong>科技巨头通过延长资产的“有效使用寿命”来低估折旧，从而人为地抬高收益</strong>。<strong>他估计从2026年到2028年，大型科技公司将因低估折旧而虚增1760亿美元的利润。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Burry承诺将在11月25日披露更多细节。他特别指出，<strong>到2028年，甲骨文的利润可能被夸大26.9%，而Meta的利润可能被夸大20.8%。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">值得注意的是，此前他曾披露持有英伟达和Palantir看跌期权，这再度引发市场对其看空AI行业立场的关注。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">此前，摩根士丹利和美国银行等华尔街投行也已发出警告，认为<strong>市场严重低估了当前AI投资的真实规模，且对未来折旧费用的冲击准备不足，这可能导致科技巨头的真实盈利能力远低于市场预期。</strong></p><h2 id=\"efffd80b\">会计“戏法”，延长硬件寿命以平滑成本</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Burry认为科技巨头正在会计处理上玩“把戏”。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">他在其X平台的帖子中指出，科技巨头们通过延长资产的“有效使用寿命”来低估折旧，从而人为地抬高收益，而这是“现代最常见的欺诈之一”。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">他认为，<strong>在科技公司大规模采购英伟达芯片和服务器以扩充算力的背景下，这些通常只有2至3年产品周期的计算设备，其折旧年限不应被延长。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">然而，包括Meta、Alphabet、微软、甲骨文和亚马逊在内的“超大规模”玩家们却正是这么做的，一些公司甚至将折旧周期延长至6年。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad289aa18c6e902f42ae0de3dac53393\" tg-width=\"891\" tg-height=\"411\"/></p><p>(科技巨头每年关于服务器和网络设备的预计使用寿命)</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">不过，亚马逊在2025年第一季度已将部分服务器和网络设备的预计使用寿命从六年缩短至五年，理由正是AI技术发展的加速。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>一旦这种趋势逆转并扩大，将导致折旧费用被加速确认，对短期盈利造成冲击。</strong></p><h2 id=\"3f62a55b\">折旧“定时炸弹”，市场尚未消化未来的盈利冲击</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>此前美银也曾认为，华尔街对未来折旧费用的增长速度“反应迟钝”。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>美银分析师Justin Post在报告中指出，随着谷歌、Meta和亚马逊的资本支出在2024年和2025年大幅增长，其折旧费用必然会在2026年后加速。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据其测算，到2027年，仅这三家公司的折旧费用，<strong>市场普遍预测就可能比实际情况低了近164亿美元，这意味着它们未来的实际盈利能力或远低于当前的市场共识。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>此外，AI资产的“短寿”问题加剧了这一风险。</strong>用于AI计算的GPU等硬件技术迭代快、负荷高，有效寿命可能仅为三到五年。这一趋势与科技巨头延长设备使用年限的做法背道而驰。</p><h2 id=\"a34dfe99\">华尔街的警钟，被低估的资本开支与“表外”扩张</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">摩根士丹利的研究则强调科技巨头AI资本开支强度正逼近互联网泡沫时期的峰值水平，但公开数据并未完全反映投资全貌。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>摩根士丹利强调，两大因素导致了实际投资规模被低估。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>首先</strong>是融资租赁的兴起。微软和甲骨文等公司正越来越多地通过此种“表外”工具建设数据中心，其初始投资不计入传统的资本支出。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据该行估算，计入融资租赁后，微软2026财年的资本支出与销售额之比将从28%跃升至38%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>其次</strong>是“在建工程（CIP）”的延迟效应，大量已支出的资本沉淀在资产负债表上，尚未开始计提折旧，其对利润的冲击才刚刚开始。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美国银行则警告称，<strong>AI基础设施市场可能重演历史上因激进投资导致产能过剩和价格战的模式</strong>。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>美银认为，如果供应增长持续超过需求，最早在2027年，行业内可能会爆发更激进的定价策略</strong>。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>届时，为了维持数据中心的利用率，超大规模厂商可能被迫降价，从而侵蚀其盈利能力。这一预测，也为Burry关于科技巨头盈利能力虚高的观点提供了另一层面的佐证。</strong></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>“大空头”切换“战斗模式”！Burry：科技巨头“低估折旧导致利润虚高”</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n“大空头”切换“战斗模式”！Burry：科技巨头“低估折旧导致利润虚高”\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-11-11 10:45 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3759101><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>\"大空头\"Michael Burry指出AI芯片等设备实际寿命仅2-3年，但部分公司将折旧周期延长至6年。他预计从2026到2028年，大型科技公司将因低估折旧而虚增1760亿美元的利润。摩根士丹利和美银也曾发出警告，未来折旧费用激增将严重冲击科技巨头盈利能力。以预测2008年金融危机而闻名的“大空头”Michael Burry再次将矛头对准科技巨头。11月11日，Michael Burry在其...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3759101\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7da52addfd52fb216bcf87283f43750","relate_stocks":{"META":"Meta Platforms, Inc.","ORCL":"甲骨文"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3759101","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2582333868","content_text":"\"大空头\"Michael Burry指出AI芯片等设备实际寿命仅2-3年，但部分公司将折旧周期延长至6年。他预计从2026到2028年，大型科技公司将因低估折旧而虚增1760亿美元的利润。摩根士丹利和美银也曾发出警告，未来折旧费用激增将严重冲击科技巨头盈利能力。以预测2008年金融危机而闻名的“大空头”Michael Burry再次将矛头对准科技巨头。11月11日，Michael Burry在其社交平台发帖称，科技巨头通过延长资产的“有效使用寿命”来低估折旧，从而人为地抬高收益。他估计从2026年到2028年，大型科技公司将因低估折旧而虚增1760亿美元的利润。Burry承诺将在11月25日披露更多细节。他特别指出，到2028年，甲骨文的利润可能被夸大26.9%，而Meta的利润可能被夸大20.8%。值得注意的是，此前他曾披露持有英伟达和Palantir看跌期权，这再度引发市场对其看空AI行业立场的关注。此前，摩根士丹利和美国银行等华尔街投行也已发出警告，认为市场严重低估了当前AI投资的真实规模，且对未来折旧费用的冲击准备不足，这可能导致科技巨头的真实盈利能力远低于市场预期。会计“戏法”，延长硬件寿命以平滑成本Burry认为科技巨头正在会计处理上玩“把戏”。他在其X平台的帖子中指出，科技巨头们通过延长资产的“有效使用寿命”来低估折旧，从而人为地抬高收益，而这是“现代最常见的欺诈之一”。他认为，在科技公司大规模采购英伟达芯片和服务器以扩充算力的背景下，这些通常只有2至3年产品周期的计算设备，其折旧年限不应被延长。然而，包括Meta、Alphabet、微软、甲骨文和亚马逊在内的“超大规模”玩家们却正是这么做的，一些公司甚至将折旧周期延长至6年。(科技巨头每年关于服务器和网络设备的预计使用寿命)不过，亚马逊在2025年第一季度已将部分服务器和网络设备的预计使用寿命从六年缩短至五年，理由正是AI技术发展的加速。一旦这种趋势逆转并扩大，将导致折旧费用被加速确认，对短期盈利造成冲击。折旧“定时炸弹”，市场尚未消化未来的盈利冲击此前美银也曾认为，华尔街对未来折旧费用的增长速度“反应迟钝”。美银分析师Justin Post在报告中指出，随着谷歌、Meta和亚马逊的资本支出在2024年和2025年大幅增长，其折旧费用必然会在2026年后加速。据其测算，到2027年，仅这三家公司的折旧费用，市场普遍预测就可能比实际情况低了近164亿美元，这意味着它们未来的实际盈利能力或远低于当前的市场共识。此外，AI资产的“短寿”问题加剧了这一风险。用于AI计算的GPU等硬件技术迭代快、负荷高，有效寿命可能仅为三到五年。这一趋势与科技巨头延长设备使用年限的做法背道而驰。华尔街的警钟，被低估的资本开支与“表外”扩张摩根士丹利的研究则强调科技巨头AI资本开支强度正逼近互联网泡沫时期的峰值水平，但公开数据并未完全反映投资全貌。摩根士丹利强调，两大因素导致了实际投资规模被低估。首先是融资租赁的兴起。微软和甲骨文等公司正越来越多地通过此种“表外”工具建设数据中心，其初始投资不计入传统的资本支出。据该行估算，计入融资租赁后，微软2026财年的资本支出与销售额之比将从28%跃升至38%。其次是“在建工程（CIP）”的延迟效应，大量已支出的资本沉淀在资产负债表上，尚未开始计提折旧，其对利润的冲击才刚刚开始。美国银行则警告称，AI基础设施市场可能重演历史上因激进投资导致产能过剩和价格战的模式。美银认为，如果供应增长持续超过需求，最早在2027年，行业内可能会爆发更激进的定价策略。届时，为了维持数据中心的利用率，超大规模厂商可能被迫降价，从而侵蚀其盈利能力。这一预测，也为Burry关于科技巨头盈利能力虚高的观点提供了另一层面的佐证。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ORCL":1.5,"META":1.5}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":267,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":493804552299064,"gmtCreate":1761578486316,"gmtModify":1761578488194,"author":{"id":"3575261823915715","authorId":"3575261823915715","name":"阿肉","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575261823915715","idStr":"3575261823915715"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$美国超微公司(AMD)$&nbsp;</a> 现在是炒概念阶段 业绩肯定跟不上 透支未来太多了 现在是看接盘侠的时候","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$美国超微公司(AMD)$&nbsp;</a> 现在是炒概念阶段 业绩肯定跟不上 透支未来太多了 现在是看接盘侠的时候","text":"$美国超微公司(AMD)$ 现在是炒概念阶段 业绩肯定跟不上 透支未来太多了 现在是看接盘侠的时候","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/493804552299064","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1030,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":472999400366184,"gmtCreate":1756509982518,"gmtModify":1756520316132,"author":{"id":"3575261823915715","authorId":"3575261823915715","name":"阿肉","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575261823915715","idStr":"3575261823915715"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"阿里的达摩院成立n年了 从来就没出过什么特别好的芯片设计 到了AI反尔牛逼了？ 中芯先进产能一共就那么点 不用台积电 谁帮他代工？ intel肯定不帮他做的 三星能帮他做？","listText":"阿里的达摩院成立n年了 从来就没出过什么特别好的芯片设计 到了AI反尔牛逼了？ 中芯先进产能一共就那么点 不用台积电 谁帮他代工？ intel肯定不帮他做的 三星能帮他做？","text":"阿里的达摩院成立n年了 从来就没出过什么特别好的芯片设计 到了AI反尔牛逼了？ 中芯先进产能一共就那么点 不用台积电 谁帮他代工？ intel肯定不帮他做的 三星能帮他做？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/472999400366184","repostId":"1143336870","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1143336870","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1756474727,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1143336870?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-08-29 21:38","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"市场消息：阿里开发新款AI芯片顶替英伟达，不再由台积电代工","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1143336870","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"转为由国内一家企业代工。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>周五， <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a> 盘初大涨超9%。同时， <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a> 快速下挫超3%， <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a> 跌超2%。市场消息：<strong>阿里开发了一款新的AI芯片，填补英伟达在中国市场的空白。</strong>知情人士称，这款新芯片目前正在测试中，旨在服务于更广泛的人工智能推理任务，而且与英伟达兼容。</p><p>新的芯片不再由台积电代工，转为由国内一家企业代工。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45000285c8e73c4a5ead23daadd14c82\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4d5a7686317b6ccdb1ef7f6133b3f4c\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adb08d03b8d918c2c8ec9dd9fd9c0dcd\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>市场消息：阿里开发新款AI芯片顶替英伟达，不再由台积电代工</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; 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width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n市场消息：阿里开发新款AI芯片顶替英伟达，不再由台积电代工\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-08-29 21:38</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>周五， <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a> 盘初大涨超9%。同时， <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a> 快速下挫超3%， <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a> 跌超2%。市场消息：<strong>阿里开发了一款新的AI芯片，填补英伟达在中国市场的空白。</strong>知情人士称，这款新芯片目前正在测试中，旨在服务于更广泛的人工智能推理任务，而且与英伟达兼容。</p><p>新的芯片不再由台积电代工，转为由国内一家企业代工。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45000285c8e73c4a5ead23daadd14c82\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4d5a7686317b6ccdb1ef7f6133b3f4c\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adb08d03b8d918c2c8ec9dd9fd9c0dcd\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5177d7812ef76cff1bd9b42843979808","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","TSM":"台积电","NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1143336870","content_text":"周五， 阿里巴巴 盘初大涨超9%。同时， 英伟达 快速下挫超3%， 台积电 跌超2%。市场消息：阿里开发了一款新的AI芯片，填补英伟达在中国市场的空白。知情人士称，这款新芯片目前正在测试中，旨在服务于更广泛的人工智能推理任务，而且与英伟达兼容。新的芯片不再由台积电代工，转为由国内一家企业代工。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSM":1.1,"BABA":1.1,"NVDA":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":944,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":469565018927448,"gmtCreate":1755614220908,"gmtModify":1755615717003,"author":{"id":"3575261823915715","authorId":"3575261823915715","name":"阿肉","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575261823915715","idStr":"3575261823915715"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"广发你懂个屁啊 还出这种报告&nbsp;","listText":"广发你懂个屁啊 还出这种报告&nbsp;","text":"广发你懂个屁啊 还出这种报告","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/469565018927448","repostId":"2560919279","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2560919279","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"The most recognized names in North America, Europe and Asia rely on MT Newswires to power their applications. Better news, better service, better price.","home_visible":1,"media_name":"MT Newswires Live","id":"1092851196","head_image":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3002d84abbd5ace3c99397c7f95b8d4e"},"pubTimestamp":1755611451,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2560919279?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-08-19 21:50","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"GF Securities Downgrades Advanced Micro Devices to Hold From Buy, Price Target is $177","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2560919279","media":"MT Newswires Live","summary":"Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of $189.87, according to analysts polled by FactSet.(MT Newswires covers equity, commodity and economic research ","content":"<html><body><p> Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of $189.87, according to analysts polled by FactSet.</p><p>(MT Newswires covers equity, commodity and economic research from major banks and research firms in North America, Asia and Europe. Research providers may contact us here: https://www.mtnewswires.com/contact-us)</p><p>Price: 170.64, Change: -5.50, Percent Change: -3.12</p></body></html>","source":"mtnewswires_news","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>GF Securities Downgrades Advanced Micro Devices to Hold From Buy, Price Target is $177</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGF Securities Downgrades Advanced Micro Devices to Hold From Buy, Price Target is $177\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1092851196\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3002d84abbd5ace3c99397c7f95b8d4e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">MT Newswires Live </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-08-19 21:50</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><body><p> Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of $189.87, according to analysts polled by FactSet.</p><p>(MT Newswires covers equity, commodity and economic research from major banks and research firms in North America, Asia and Europe. Research providers may contact us here: https://www.mtnewswires.com/contact-us)</p><p>Price: 170.64, Change: -5.50, Percent Change: -3.12</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BLZ.SI":"爱文思控股","GF":"新德基金","AMD":"美国超微公司"},"source_url":"https://www.mtnewswires.com/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2560919279","content_text":"Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of $189.87, according to analysts polled by FactSet.(MT Newswires covers equity, commodity and economic research from major banks and research firms in North America, Asia and Europe. Research providers may contact us here: https://www.mtnewswires.com/contact-us)Price: 170.64, Change: -5.50, Percent Change: -3.12","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BLZ.SI":1,"GF":1,"AMD":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":547,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":467879762473432,"gmtCreate":1755245153772,"gmtModify":1755246170453,"author":{"id":"3575261823915715","authorId":"3575261823915715","name":"阿肉","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575261823915715","idStr":"3575261823915715"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"卧槽 你现在140 发行130的股票 怎么不去死","listText":"卧槽 你现在140 发行130的股票 怎么不去死","text":"卧槽 你现在140 发行130的股票 怎么不去死","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/467879762473432","repostId":"1155143823","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1155143823","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1755219008,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1155143823?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-08-15 08:50","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"Circle宣布1000万股公开发行每股定价130美元","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155143823","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"8月15日，全球金融科技公司及稳定币市场领导者Circle今日宣布，其10,000,000股A类普通股的公开发行定价为每股130.00美元。Circle将发行2,000,000股A类普通股，而售股股东将发行8,000,000股A类普通股。配合此次发行，Circle授予承销商30天的认购权，允许其额外认购最多1,500,000股A类普通股。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>8月15日，全球金融科技公司及稳定币市场领导者Circle今日宣布，其10,000,000股A类普通股的公开发行定价为每股130.00美元。Circle将发行2,000,000股A类普通股，而售股股东将发行8,000,000股A类普通股。配合此次发行，Circle授予承销商30天的认购权，允许其额外认购最多1,500,000股A类普通股。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae9767df3c4bdc76c937d1a1faa6fdfd\" tg-width=\"1812\" tg-height=\"667\"/></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta 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等事情稳定下来再买","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/421846793425456","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1864,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":507204862559240,"gmtCreate":1764859992996,"gmtModify":1764859995690,"author":{"id":"3575261823915715","authorId":"3575261823915715","name":"阿肉","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575261823915715","idStr":"3575261823915715"},"themes":[],"title":"","htmlText":"看不懂 人家退出是赚大钱 结果一直跌","listText":"看不懂 人家退出是赚大钱 结果一直跌","text":"看不懂 人家退出是赚大钱 结果一直跌","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/507204862559240","repostId":"2588079636","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2588079636","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点，精选影响您财富的资讯，投资理财必备神器！","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1764861090,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2588079636?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-12-04 23:11","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"美股异动 | 美光科技跌约4%，公司将退出“消费级存储业务”，聚焦AI存储芯片","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2588079636","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"美光宣布将彻底关闭已运营近30年的Crucial品牌业务，将继续通过消费渠道出货产品至2026年2月。美光是全球第三大DRAM供应商，在用于SSD的NAND闪存领域占据13%的市场份额，其退出将在消费级存储市场留下巨大空白，在分析师警告内存短缺可能持续数年之际，尚不清楚是否有公司能够填补这一缺口。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>美光宣布将彻底关闭已运营近30年的Crucial品牌业务，将继续通过消费渠道出货产品至2026年2月。美光是全球第三大DRAM供应商，在用于SSD的NAND闪存领域占据13%的市场份额，其退出将在消费级存储市场留下巨大空白，在分析师警告内存短缺可能持续数年之际，尚不清楚是否有公司能够填补这一缺口。</p></blockquote><p>12月4日，美光科技盘初跌约4%，公司宣布将退出消费级存储业务，转而全力投入AI数据中心所需的先进存储芯片HBM生产。这一战略调整正值全球存储芯片供应紧张之际，或将进一步加剧消费电子市场供应短缺问题。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96bb8d6dd98a5054689bd13f0e970fb5\" tg-width=\"910\" tg-height=\"395\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">周三，美光宣布，将在全球范围内停止其“Crucial”品牌消费级产品在零售商、电商平台和经销商的销售，但消费渠道的产品出货将持续至2026年2月。该公司首席商务官Sumit Sadana表示，AI驱动的数据中心增长导致对存储器的需求激增，美光做出这一艰难决定是为了改善对更大规模战略客户的供应和支持。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">分析表示，<strong>AI基础设施建设热潮正在造成包括存储在内的关键产品短缺，而几家头部公司计划在未来几年投入数千亿美元建设大型数据中心，进一步推高了需求。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>据市场研究公司TrendForce数据，美光是全球第三大DRAM供应商，仅次于三星和SK海力士，三家公司合计占据DRAM市场92%的份额。美光在用于SSD的NAND闪存领域占据13%的市场份额。美光的退出将在消费级存储市场留下巨大空白，而在分析师警告内存短缺可能持续数年的背景下，目前尚不清楚是否有公司能够填补这一缺口。</strong></p><h2 id=\"hbm\">消费业务让位HBM业务</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>美光将继续通过消费渠道出货产品至2026年2月，但将彻底关闭已运营近30年的Crucial品牌业务。该品牌产品包括NVMe固态硬盘、外置存储设备，以及DDR4和DDR5内存条等PC用户常用的升级部件。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美光长期以来一直在向HBM（高带宽存储器）业务转型，这已成为全球三大存储器供应商——美光、韩国SK海力士和三星——之间竞争最激烈的领域。HBM是一种动态随机存取存储器，通过垂直堆叠芯片来降低功耗，帮助处理大量数据，在AI开发中不可或缺。这类芯片价格远高于消费级存储器，通常能带来可观的利润率。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美光CEO Sanjay Mehrotra今年9月透露，在8月季度，美光HBM收入增长至近20亿美元，折合年化约80亿美元。相比之下，该公司的Crucial消费级业务从未在财报中单独列示。Summit Insights分析师Kinngai Chan表示，消费级存储业务并非美光业务的重要驱动力。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">相比之下，美光最新季度的云存储业务部门实现了213%的同比增长，反映出AI数据中心需求的强劲势头。高盛分析师周二将美光股票目标价从180美元上调至205美元，尽管维持持有评级，但表示由于存储器&#34;持续的价格势头&#34;，预计美光两周后公布的季度业绩将&#34;健康地超出市场预期&#34;。</p><h2 id=\"ai\">AI芯片引发存储供应紧张</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>此次决策凸显AI基础设施建设热潮正在造成存储芯片等关键投入品短缺。少数几家公司承诺在未来几年投入数千亿美元建设大型数据中心，导致存储供应面临全球性紧张。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">英伟达和AMD等公司生产的AI芯片需要消耗大量最先进的存储芯片。例如，当前一代英伟达GB200芯片每个图形处理器配备192GB内存，谷歌最新AI芯片Ironwood TPU需要192GB高带宽内存。AMD当前AI芯片MI350则配备288GB高带宽内存。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">相比之下，手机和电脑使用的存储规格较低、数量也少得多——许多笔记本电脑仅配备16GB内存。这种需求差异促使美光将有限产能向利润更高的AI数据中心市场倾斜。</p><h2 id=\"a37bfbed\">消费市场面临供应缺口</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美光退出将对消费级存储市场产生显著影响。据TrendForce数据，美光在用于固态硬盘的NAND闪存领域占据13%的市场份额。在DRAM市场，美光作为第三大供应商，其退出使PC组装商失去了信赖的Crucial品牌选择。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">除三星和SK海力士外，美光还为英伟达RTX 5000系列显卡供应GDDR7显存。据TrendForce数据，消费级和企业级系统的出货量均已出现下降。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>据报道，三星和SK海力士也在优先考虑盈利能力，而非进行风险较高的产能扩张。在全球存储器供应链持续紧张、从智能手机闪存芯片到AI数据中心使用的先进高带宽存储器都面临供应紧张的背景下，美光的退出可能进一步加剧消费市场的供应压力。</strong></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>美股异动 | 美光科技跌约4%，公司将退出“消费级存储业务”，聚焦AI存储芯片</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n美股异动 | 美光科技跌约4%，公司将退出“消费级存储业务”，聚焦AI存储芯片\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-12-04 23:11 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3760683><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>美光宣布将彻底关闭已运营近30年的Crucial品牌业务，将继续通过消费渠道出货产品至2026年2月。美光是全球第三大DRAM供应商，在用于SSD的NAND闪存领域占据13%的市场份额，其退出将在消费级存储市场留下巨大空白，在分析师警告内存短缺可能持续数年之际，尚不清楚是否有公司能够填补这一缺口。12月4日，美光科技盘初跌约4%，公司宣布将退出消费级存储业务，转而全力投入AI数据中心所需的先进...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3760683\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97dc49a1c38f37d8c33d7241fccf9976","relate_stocks":{"MU":"美光科技"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3760683","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2588079636","content_text":"美光宣布将彻底关闭已运营近30年的Crucial品牌业务，将继续通过消费渠道出货产品至2026年2月。美光是全球第三大DRAM供应商，在用于SSD的NAND闪存领域占据13%的市场份额，其退出将在消费级存储市场留下巨大空白，在分析师警告内存短缺可能持续数年之际，尚不清楚是否有公司能够填补这一缺口。12月4日，美光科技盘初跌约4%，公司宣布将退出消费级存储业务，转而全力投入AI数据中心所需的先进存储芯片HBM生产。这一战略调整正值全球存储芯片供应紧张之际，或将进一步加剧消费电子市场供应短缺问题。周三，美光宣布，将在全球范围内停止其“Crucial”品牌消费级产品在零售商、电商平台和经销商的销售，但消费渠道的产品出货将持续至2026年2月。该公司首席商务官Sumit Sadana表示，AI驱动的数据中心增长导致对存储器的需求激增，美光做出这一艰难决定是为了改善对更大规模战略客户的供应和支持。分析表示，AI基础设施建设热潮正在造成包括存储在内的关键产品短缺，而几家头部公司计划在未来几年投入数千亿美元建设大型数据中心，进一步推高了需求。据市场研究公司TrendForce数据，美光是全球第三大DRAM供应商，仅次于三星和SK海力士，三家公司合计占据DRAM市场92%的份额。美光在用于SSD的NAND闪存领域占据13%的市场份额。美光的退出将在消费级存储市场留下巨大空白，而在分析师警告内存短缺可能持续数年的背景下，目前尚不清楚是否有公司能够填补这一缺口。消费业务让位HBM业务美光将继续通过消费渠道出货产品至2026年2月，但将彻底关闭已运营近30年的Crucial品牌业务。该品牌产品包括NVMe固态硬盘、外置存储设备，以及DDR4和DDR5内存条等PC用户常用的升级部件。美光长期以来一直在向HBM（高带宽存储器）业务转型，这已成为全球三大存储器供应商——美光、韩国SK海力士和三星——之间竞争最激烈的领域。HBM是一种动态随机存取存储器，通过垂直堆叠芯片来降低功耗，帮助处理大量数据，在AI开发中不可或缺。这类芯片价格远高于消费级存储器，通常能带来可观的利润率。美光CEO Sanjay Mehrotra今年9月透露，在8月季度，美光HBM收入增长至近20亿美元，折合年化约80亿美元。相比之下，该公司的Crucial消费级业务从未在财报中单独列示。Summit Insights分析师Kinngai Chan表示，消费级存储业务并非美光业务的重要驱动力。相比之下，美光最新季度的云存储业务部门实现了213%的同比增长，反映出AI数据中心需求的强劲势头。高盛分析师周二将美光股票目标价从180美元上调至205美元，尽管维持持有评级，但表示由于存储器\"持续的价格势头\"，预计美光两周后公布的季度业绩将\"健康地超出市场预期\"。AI芯片引发存储供应紧张此次决策凸显AI基础设施建设热潮正在造成存储芯片等关键投入品短缺。少数几家公司承诺在未来几年投入数千亿美元建设大型数据中心，导致存储供应面临全球性紧张。英伟达和AMD等公司生产的AI芯片需要消耗大量最先进的存储芯片。例如，当前一代英伟达GB200芯片每个图形处理器配备192GB内存，谷歌最新AI芯片Ironwood TPU需要192GB高带宽内存。AMD当前AI芯片MI350则配备288GB高带宽内存。相比之下，手机和电脑使用的存储规格较低、数量也少得多——许多笔记本电脑仅配备16GB内存。这种需求差异促使美光将有限产能向利润更高的AI数据中心市场倾斜。消费市场面临供应缺口美光退出将对消费级存储市场产生显著影响。据TrendForce数据，美光在用于固态硬盘的NAND闪存领域占据13%的市场份额。在DRAM市场，美光作为第三大供应商，其退出使PC组装商失去了信赖的Crucial品牌选择。除三星和SK海力士外，美光还为英伟达RTX 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class=\"h-time\">2025-08-15 08:50</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>8月15日，全球金融科技公司及稳定币市场领导者Circle今日宣布，其10,000,000股A类普通股的公开发行定价为每股130.00美元。Circle将发行2,000,000股A类普通股，而售股股东将发行8,000,000股A类普通股。配合此次发行，Circle授予承销商30天的认购权，允许其额外认购最多1,500,000股A类普通股。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae9767df3c4bdc76c937d1a1faa6fdfd\" tg-width=\"1812\" tg-height=\"667\"/></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e68f18a297e419bae3cc0320b6d8ff4e","relate_stocks":{"CRCL":"Circle Internet 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href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">$英伟达(NVDA)$&nbsp;</a>&nbsp; 逃吧 等事情稳定下来再买","text":"$英伟达(NVDA)$ 逃吧 等事情稳定下来再买","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/421846793425456","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1864,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":493804552299064,"gmtCreate":1761578486316,"gmtModify":1761578488194,"author":{"id":"3575261823915715","authorId":"3575261823915715","name":"阿肉","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575261823915715","idStr":"3575261823915715"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$美国超微公司(AMD)$&nbsp;</a> 现在是炒概念阶段 业绩肯定跟不上 透支未来太多了 现在是看接盘侠的时候","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMD\">$美国超微公司(AMD)$&nbsp;</a> 现在是炒概念阶段 业绩肯定跟不上 透支未来太多了 现在是看接盘侠的时候","text":"$美国超微公司(AMD)$ 现在是炒概念阶段 业绩肯定跟不上 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纯粹胡说八道了","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/499105293348952","repostId":"2582333868","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2582333868","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点，精选影响您财富的资讯，投资理财必备神器！","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1762829144,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2582333868?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-11-11 10:45","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"“大空头”切换“战斗模式”！Burry：科技巨头“低估折旧导致利润虚高”","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2582333868","media":"华尔街见闻","summary":"\"大空头\"Michael Burry指出AI芯片等设备实际寿命仅2-3年，但部分公司将折旧周期延长至6年。他预计从2026到2028年，大型科技公司将因低估折旧而虚增1760亿美元的利润。摩根士丹利和美银也曾发出警告，未来折旧费用激增将严重冲击科技巨头盈利能力。","content":"<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>&#34;大空头&#34;Michael Burry指出AI芯片等设备实际寿命仅2-3年，但部分公司将折旧周期延长至6年。他预计从2026到2028年，大型科技公司将因低估折旧而虚增1760亿美元的利润。摩根士丹利和美银也曾发出警告，未来折旧费用激增将严重冲击科技巨头盈利能力。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: left;\">以预测2008年金融危机而闻名的“大空头”Michael Burry再次将矛头对准科技巨头。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">11月11日，Michael Burry在其社交平台发帖称，<strong>科技巨头通过延长资产的“有效使用寿命”来低估折旧，从而人为地抬高收益</strong>。<strong>他估计从2026年到2028年，大型科技公司将因低估折旧而虚增1760亿美元的利润。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">Burry承诺将在11月25日披露更多细节。他特别指出，<strong>到2028年，甲骨文的利润可能被夸大26.9%，而Meta的利润可能被夸大20.8%。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">值得注意的是，此前他曾披露持有英伟达和Palantir看跌期权，这再度引发市场对其看空AI行业立场的关注。</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">此前，摩根士丹利和美国银行等华尔街投行也已发出警告，认为<strong>市场严重低估了当前AI投资的真实规模，且对未来折旧费用的冲击准备不足，这可能导致科技巨头的真实盈利能力远低于市场预期。</strong></p><h2 id=\"efffd80b\">会计“戏法”，延长硬件寿命以平滑成本</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Burry认为科技巨头正在会计处理上玩“把戏”。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">他在其X平台的帖子中指出，科技巨头们通过延长资产的“有效使用寿命”来低估折旧，从而人为地抬高收益，而这是“现代最常见的欺诈之一”。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">他认为，<strong>在科技公司大规模采购英伟达芯片和服务器以扩充算力的背景下，这些通常只有2至3年产品周期的计算设备，其折旧年限不应被延长。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">然而，包括Meta、Alphabet、微软、甲骨文和亚马逊在内的“超大规模”玩家们却正是这么做的，一些公司甚至将折旧周期延长至6年。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad289aa18c6e902f42ae0de3dac53393\" tg-width=\"891\" tg-height=\"411\"/></p><p>(科技巨头每年关于服务器和网络设备的预计使用寿命)</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">不过，亚马逊在2025年第一季度已将部分服务器和网络设备的预计使用寿命从六年缩短至五年，理由正是AI技术发展的加速。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>一旦这种趋势逆转并扩大，将导致折旧费用被加速确认，对短期盈利造成冲击。</strong></p><h2 id=\"3f62a55b\">折旧“定时炸弹”，市场尚未消化未来的盈利冲击</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>此前美银也曾认为，华尔街对未来折旧费用的增长速度“反应迟钝”。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>美银分析师Justin Post在报告中指出，随着谷歌、Meta和亚马逊的资本支出在2024年和2025年大幅增长，其折旧费用必然会在2026年后加速。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据其测算，到2027年，仅这三家公司的折旧费用，<strong>市场普遍预测就可能比实际情况低了近164亿美元，这意味着它们未来的实际盈利能力或远低于当前的市场共识。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>此外，AI资产的“短寿”问题加剧了这一风险。</strong>用于AI计算的GPU等硬件技术迭代快、负荷高，有效寿命可能仅为三到五年。这一趋势与科技巨头延长设备使用年限的做法背道而驰。</p><h2 id=\"a34dfe99\">华尔街的警钟，被低估的资本开支与“表外”扩张</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">摩根士丹利的研究则强调科技巨头AI资本开支强度正逼近互联网泡沫时期的峰值水平，但公开数据并未完全反映投资全貌。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>摩根士丹利强调，两大因素导致了实际投资规模被低估。</strong></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>首先</strong>是融资租赁的兴起。微软和甲骨文等公司正越来越多地通过此种“表外”工具建设数据中心，其初始投资不计入传统的资本支出。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">据该行估算，计入融资租赁后，微软2026财年的资本支出与销售额之比将从28%跃升至38%。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>其次</strong>是“在建工程（CIP）”的延迟效应，大量已支出的资本沉淀在资产负债表上，尚未开始计提折旧，其对利润的冲击才刚刚开始。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美国银行则警告称，<strong>AI基础设施市场可能重演历史上因激进投资导致产能过剩和价格战的模式</strong>。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>美银认为，如果供应增长持续超过需求，最早在2027年，行业内可能会爆发更激进的定价策略</strong>。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>届时，为了维持数据中心的利用率，超大规模厂商可能被迫降价，从而侵蚀其盈利能力。这一预测，也为Burry关于科技巨头盈利能力虚高的观点提供了另一层面的佐证。</strong></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>“大空头”切换“战斗模式”！Burry：科技巨头“低估折旧导致利润虚高”</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n“大空头”切换“战斗模式”！Burry：科技巨头“低估折旧导致利润虚高”\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2025-11-11 10:45 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3759101><strong>华尔街见闻</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>\"大空头\"Michael Burry指出AI芯片等设备实际寿命仅2-3年，但部分公司将折旧周期延长至6年。他预计从2026到2028年，大型科技公司将因低估折旧而虚增1760亿美元的利润。摩根士丹利和美银也曾发出警告，未来折旧费用激增将严重冲击科技巨头盈利能力。以预测2008年金融危机而闻名的“大空头”Michael Burry再次将矛头对准科技巨头。11月11日，Michael Burry在其...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3759101\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c7da52addfd52fb216bcf87283f43750","relate_stocks":{"META":"Meta Platforms, Inc.","ORCL":"甲骨文"},"source_url":"https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3759101","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2582333868","content_text":"\"大空头\"Michael Burry指出AI芯片等设备实际寿命仅2-3年，但部分公司将折旧周期延长至6年。他预计从2026到2028年，大型科技公司将因低估折旧而虚增1760亿美元的利润。摩根士丹利和美银也曾发出警告，未来折旧费用激增将严重冲击科技巨头盈利能力。以预测2008年金融危机而闻名的“大空头”Michael Burry再次将矛头对准科技巨头。11月11日，Michael Burry在其社交平台发帖称，科技巨头通过延长资产的“有效使用寿命”来低估折旧，从而人为地抬高收益。他估计从2026年到2028年，大型科技公司将因低估折旧而虚增1760亿美元的利润。Burry承诺将在11月25日披露更多细节。他特别指出，到2028年，甲骨文的利润可能被夸大26.9%，而Meta的利润可能被夸大20.8%。值得注意的是，此前他曾披露持有英伟达和Palantir看跌期权，这再度引发市场对其看空AI行业立场的关注。此前，摩根士丹利和美国银行等华尔街投行也已发出警告，认为市场严重低估了当前AI投资的真实规模，且对未来折旧费用的冲击准备不足，这可能导致科技巨头的真实盈利能力远低于市场预期。会计“戏法”，延长硬件寿命以平滑成本Burry认为科技巨头正在会计处理上玩“把戏”。他在其X平台的帖子中指出，科技巨头们通过延长资产的“有效使用寿命”来低估折旧，从而人为地抬高收益，而这是“现代最常见的欺诈之一”。他认为，在科技公司大规模采购英伟达芯片和服务器以扩充算力的背景下，这些通常只有2至3年产品周期的计算设备，其折旧年限不应被延长。然而，包括Meta、Alphabet、微软、甲骨文和亚马逊在内的“超大规模”玩家们却正是这么做的，一些公司甚至将折旧周期延长至6年。(科技巨头每年关于服务器和网络设备的预计使用寿命)不过，亚马逊在2025年第一季度已将部分服务器和网络设备的预计使用寿命从六年缩短至五年，理由正是AI技术发展的加速。一旦这种趋势逆转并扩大，将导致折旧费用被加速确认，对短期盈利造成冲击。折旧“定时炸弹”，市场尚未消化未来的盈利冲击此前美银也曾认为，华尔街对未来折旧费用的增长速度“反应迟钝”。美银分析师Justin Post在报告中指出，随着谷歌、Meta和亚马逊的资本支出在2024年和2025年大幅增长，其折旧费用必然会在2026年后加速。据其测算，到2027年，仅这三家公司的折旧费用，市场普遍预测就可能比实际情况低了近164亿美元，这意味着它们未来的实际盈利能力或远低于当前的市场共识。此外，AI资产的“短寿”问题加剧了这一风险。用于AI计算的GPU等硬件技术迭代快、负荷高，有效寿命可能仅为三到五年。这一趋势与科技巨头延长设备使用年限的做法背道而驰。华尔街的警钟，被低估的资本开支与“表外”扩张摩根士丹利的研究则强调科技巨头AI资本开支强度正逼近互联网泡沫时期的峰值水平，但公开数据并未完全反映投资全貌。摩根士丹利强调，两大因素导致了实际投资规模被低估。首先是融资租赁的兴起。微软和甲骨文等公司正越来越多地通过此种“表外”工具建设数据中心，其初始投资不计入传统的资本支出。据该行估算，计入融资租赁后，微软2026财年的资本支出与销售额之比将从28%跃升至38%。其次是“在建工程（CIP）”的延迟效应，大量已支出的资本沉淀在资产负债表上，尚未开始计提折旧，其对利润的冲击才刚刚开始。美国银行则警告称，AI基础设施市场可能重演历史上因激进投资导致产能过剩和价格战的模式。美银认为，如果供应增长持续超过需求，最早在2027年，行业内可能会爆发更激进的定价策略。届时，为了维持数据中心的利用率，超大规模厂商可能被迫降价，从而侵蚀其盈利能力。这一预测，也为Burry关于科技巨头盈利能力虚高的观点提供了另一层面的佐证。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ORCL":1.5,"META":1.5}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":267,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":472999400366184,"gmtCreate":1756509982518,"gmtModify":1756520316132,"author":{"id":"3575261823915715","authorId":"3575261823915715","name":"阿肉","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575261823915715","idStr":"3575261823915715"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"阿里的达摩院成立n年了 从来就没出过什么特别好的芯片设计 到了AI反尔牛逼了？ 中芯先进产能一共就那么点 不用台积电 谁帮他代工？ intel肯定不帮他做的 三星能帮他做？","listText":"阿里的达摩院成立n年了 从来就没出过什么特别好的芯片设计 到了AI反尔牛逼了？ 中芯先进产能一共就那么点 不用台积电 谁帮他代工？ intel肯定不帮他做的 三星能帮他做？","text":"阿里的达摩院成立n年了 从来就没出过什么特别好的芯片设计 到了AI反尔牛逼了？ 中芯先进产能一共就那么点 不用台积电 谁帮他代工？ intel肯定不帮他做的 三星能帮他做？","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/472999400366184","repostId":"1143336870","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1143336870","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"为用户提供金融资讯、行情、数据，旨在帮助投资者理解世界，做投资决策。","home_visible":1,"media_name":"老虎资讯综合","id":"102","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1756474727,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1143336870?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-08-29 21:38","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"市场消息：阿里开发新款AI芯片顶替英伟达，不再由台积电代工","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1143336870","media":"老虎资讯综合","summary":"转为由国内一家企业代工。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>周五， <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a> 盘初大涨超9%。同时， <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a> 快速下挫超3%， <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a> 跌超2%。市场消息：<strong>阿里开发了一款新的AI芯片，填补英伟达在中国市场的空白。</strong>知情人士称，这款新芯片目前正在测试中，旨在服务于更广泛的人工智能推理任务，而且与英伟达兼容。</p><p>新的芯片不再由台积电代工，转为由国内一家企业代工。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45000285c8e73c4a5ead23daadd14c82\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4d5a7686317b6ccdb1ef7f6133b3f4c\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adb08d03b8d918c2c8ec9dd9fd9c0dcd\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p></p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>市场消息：阿里开发新款AI芯片顶替英伟达，不再由台积电代工</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; 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8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n市场消息：阿里开发新款AI芯片顶替英伟达，不再由台积电代工\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/102\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">老虎资讯综合 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-08-29 21:38</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>周五， <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a> 盘初大涨超9%。同时， <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a> 快速下挫超3%， <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSM\">台积电</a> 跌超2%。市场消息：<strong>阿里开发了一款新的AI芯片，填补英伟达在中国市场的空白。</strong>知情人士称，这款新芯片目前正在测试中，旨在服务于更广泛的人工智能推理任务，而且与英伟达兼容。</p><p>新的芯片不再由台积电代工，转为由国内一家企业代工。</p><p></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45000285c8e73c4a5ead23daadd14c82\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4d5a7686317b6ccdb1ef7f6133b3f4c\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adb08d03b8d918c2c8ec9dd9fd9c0dcd\" title=\"\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\"/></p><p></p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5177d7812ef76cff1bd9b42843979808","relate_stocks":{"BABA":"阿里巴巴","TSM":"台积电","NVDA":"英伟达"},"source_url":"","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1143336870","content_text":"周五， 阿里巴巴 盘初大涨超9%。同时， 英伟达 快速下挫超3%， 台积电 跌超2%。市场消息：阿里开发了一款新的AI芯片，填补英伟达在中国市场的空白。知情人士称，这款新芯片目前正在测试中，旨在服务于更广泛的人工智能推理任务，而且与英伟达兼容。新的芯片不再由台积电代工，转为由国内一家企业代工。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSM":1.1,"BABA":1.1,"NVDA":1.1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":944,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":469565018927448,"gmtCreate":1755614220908,"gmtModify":1755615717003,"author":{"id":"3575261823915715","authorId":"3575261823915715","name":"阿肉","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575261823915715","idStr":"3575261823915715"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"广发你懂个屁啊 还出这种报告&nbsp;","listText":"广发你懂个屁啊 还出这种报告&nbsp;","text":"广发你懂个屁啊 还出这种报告","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/469565018927448","repostId":"2560919279","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2560919279","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"The most recognized names in North America, Europe and Asia rely on MT Newswires to power their applications. Better news, better service, better price.","home_visible":1,"media_name":"MT Newswires Live","id":"1092851196","head_image":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3002d84abbd5ace3c99397c7f95b8d4e"},"pubTimestamp":1755611451,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2560919279?lang=&edition=full","pubTime":"2025-08-19 21:50","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"GF Securities Downgrades Advanced Micro Devices to Hold From Buy, Price Target is $177","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2560919279","media":"MT Newswires Live","summary":"Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of $189.87, according to analysts polled by FactSet.(MT Newswires covers equity, commodity and economic research ","content":"<html><body><p> Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of $189.87, according to analysts polled by FactSet.</p><p>(MT Newswires covers equity, commodity and economic research from major banks and research firms in North America, Asia and Europe. Research providers may contact us here: https://www.mtnewswires.com/contact-us)</p><p>Price: 170.64, Change: -5.50, Percent Change: -3.12</p></body></html>","source":"mtnewswires_news","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>GF Securities Downgrades Advanced Micro Devices to Hold From Buy, Price Target is $177</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGF Securities Downgrades Advanced Micro Devices to Hold From Buy, Price Target is $177\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1092851196\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/3002d84abbd5ace3c99397c7f95b8d4e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">MT Newswires Live </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2025-08-19 21:50</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><body><p> Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of $189.87, according to analysts polled by FactSet.</p><p>(MT Newswires covers equity, commodity and economic research from major banks and research firms in North America, Asia and Europe. Research providers may contact us here: https://www.mtnewswires.com/contact-us)</p><p>Price: 170.64, Change: -5.50, Percent Change: -3.12</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BLZ.SI":"爱文思控股","GF":"新德基金","AMD":"美国超微公司"},"source_url":"https://www.mtnewswires.com/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2560919279","content_text":"Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has an average rating of overweight and mean price target of $189.87, according to analysts polled by FactSet.(MT Newswires covers equity, commodity and economic research from major banks and research firms in North America, Asia and Europe. Research providers may contact us here: https://www.mtnewswires.com/contact-us)Price: 170.64, Change: -5.50, Percent Change: -3.12","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BLZ.SI":1,"GF":1,"AMD":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":547,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":422921637925128,"gmtCreate":1744272147226,"gmtModify":1744274271935,"author":{"id":"3575261823915715","authorId":"3575261823915715","name":"阿肉","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":7,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3575261823915715","idStr":"3575261823915715"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$&nbsp;</a> 还早呢 还有15%下跌空间","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/.SPX\">$标普500(.SPX)$&nbsp;</a> 还早呢 还有15%下跌空间","text":"$标普500(.SPX)$ 还早呢 还有15%下跌空间","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/422921637925128","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1117,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}