Kess的个人主页 - 老虎社区

Kess

Kess

暂无个人介绍

IP属地：未知

16关注

6粉丝

0主题

0勋章

2021-10-30

Nice

@小虎活动:[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!

2021-09-21

V shape recovery?

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-05

I will bet it to go up

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-04

The only one that hasn't taken off..

Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider<blockquote>10年后苹果股票会在哪里？要考虑什么</blockquote>

2021-06-03

More like taking profits

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-01

Should be good

Zoom Video to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Cards?<blockquote>Zoom Video将报告第一季度收益：前景如何？</blockquote>

2021-05-28

Never know when there will be another wave since mask is no longer a thing in US

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-27

Great

Nvidia EPS beats by $0.38, beats on revenue<blockquote>英伟达每股收益超过预期0.38美元，营收超过预期</blockquote>

2021-05-26

They can enter anywhere anytime. Nothing new about it

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-25

Explanations always come after things happened

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-20

Gamble

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-18

He should be regulated

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-16

You can never predict let alone explain

Why AMC Entertainment Stock Jumped Again Friday<blockquote>为什么AMC院线股价周五再次上涨</blockquote>

2021-05-13

Whenever anything goes down, more will say it will go down more. It's just baseless.

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-12

Too free and nothing better to do

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-09

Inflation could be a result of higher wages

U.S. hiring takes big step back as businesses scramble for workers, raw materials<blockquote>由于企业争夺工人和原材料，美国招聘大幅倒退</blockquote>

2021-05-06

NASDAQ drop attributed to big caps pull backs. I hope the small caps can recover soon.

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-05

Really a Joker

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-05-04

Will be an expensive one

Bill and Melinda Gates are getting divorced. Here are some stocks they owned<blockquote>比尔和梅林达·盖茨要离婚了。以下是他们拥有的一些股票</blockquote>

2021-05-03

Buffets favourites

Uber, Pfizer, PayPal, T-Mobile, ViacomCBS, General Motors, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>Uber、辉瑞、PayPal、T-Mobile、ViacomCBS、General Motors等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>

去老虎APP查看更多动态

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"3574940130653589","uuid":"3574940130653589","gmtCreate":1611846240302,"gmtModify":1612276293045,"name":"Kess","pinyin":"kess","introduction":"","introductionEn":"","signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":6,"headSize":16,"tweetSize":87,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":2,"name":"无畏虎","nameTw":"無畏虎","represent":"初生牛犊","factor":"发布3条非转发主帖,1条获得他人回复或点赞","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-2","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"宗师交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到100次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ad22cfbe2d05aa393b18e9226e4b0307","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/36702e6ff3ffe46acafee66cc85273ca","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d52eb88fa385cf5abe2616ed63781765","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2025.10.17","exceedPercentage":"80.61%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-2","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"资深虎友","description":"加入老虎社区1000天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0063fb68ea29c9ae6858c58630e182d5","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/96c699a93be4214d4b49aea6a5a5d1a4","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/35b0e542a9ff77046ed69ef602bc105d","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.10.29","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d-2","templateUuid":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d","name":"投资总监虎","description":"证券账户累计交易金额达到30万美元","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9d20b23f1b6335407f882bc5c2ad12c0","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ada3b4533518ace8404a3f6dd192bd29","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/177f283ba21d1c077054dac07f88f3bd","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2023.07.13","exceedPercentage":"80.91%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101},{"badgeId":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37-1","templateUuid":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37","name":"博闻投资者","description":"累计交易超过10只正股","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":5,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"未知","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"post","tweets":[{"id":840919155,"gmtCreate":1635574109964,"gmtModify":1635574110032,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574940130653589","idStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/840919155","repostId":"850756569","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":850756569,"gmtCreate":1634631211448,"gmtModify":1635853120757,"author":{"id":"36984908995200","authorId":"36984908995200","name":"小虎活动","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9e396d03155923b283948d2dec9191f8","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"36984908995200","idStr":"36984908995200"},"themes":[],"title":"[Halloween Game] Trade or Treat!","htmlText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","listText":"Hello, dear Tigers!&nbsp; Happy&nbsp;Halloween!&nbsp;🎃🎃🎃&nbsp;&nbsp; <a href=\"https://www.tigerbrokers.com.sg/activity/market/2021/halloween/?lang=en_US#/\" target=\"_blank\">Tap&nbsp;here&nbsp;to&nbsp;play the Halloween game,&nbsp;and&nbsp;you&nbsp;stand&nbsp;a&nbsp;chance&nbsp;to win various rewards!&nbsp;</a> Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1.&nbsp;How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'.&nbsp; 2.&nbsp;How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","text":"Hello, dear Tigers! Happy Halloween! 🎃🎃🎃 Tap here to play the Halloween game, and you stand a chance to win various rewards! Promotion Period: October 27, 2021 18:00 - November 9, 2021 18:00 (SGT) 1. How to Participate? All Tiger clients may collect points which can be used to redeem rewards by taking part in the Trade or Treating Game. All existing Tiger clients will have 2 game attempts. Clients can get more game attempts by completing different tasks, such as 'Invite a friend' or 'Share Halloween Game'. 2. How to collect points? Each player has 30 seconds to catch falling candies while av","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":2,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/850756569","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2357,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":869969751,"gmtCreate":1632235881973,"gmtModify":1632801862593,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574940130653589","idStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"V shape recovery?","listText":"V shape recovery?","text":"V shape recovery?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/869969751","repostId":"1103252137","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2171,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":112597745,"gmtCreate":1622883280787,"gmtModify":1634097078972,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574940130653589","idStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I will bet it to go up","listText":"I will bet it to go up","text":"I will bet it to go up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/112597745","repostId":"1158897173","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1970,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":116255332,"gmtCreate":1622806822126,"gmtModify":1631883988286,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574940130653589","idStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"The only one that hasn't taken off..","listText":"The only one that hasn't taken off..","text":"The only one that hasn't taken off..","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/116255332","repostId":"1122373606","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1122373606","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622793373,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1122373606?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-04 15:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider<blockquote>10年后苹果股票会在哪里？要考虑什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1122373606","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nApple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite ","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Apple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite different.</li>  <li>Apple has seen its growth slow down over the last decade, and it will likely not be a growth monster in the coming years, either.</li>  <li>Shares have ample long-term upside, but investors should consider the current valuation before jumping to decisions.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f2ea192ed76d9772c2c6a820098faf5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Photo by Paopano/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果在过去十年中是一项伟大的投资，但下一个十年可能会大不相同。</li><li>苹果的增长在过去十年中有所放缓，未来几年也可能不会成为增长怪物。</li><li>股价具有充足的长期上涨空间，但投资者在做出决定之前应考虑当前的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Paopano/iStock社论，来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple (AAPL) has been one of the best investments one could have made over the last decade. Over the next decade, its growth may not be the same, however. Yet, thanks to massive shareholder return programs and a move towards services, Apple's stock will likely still be significantly higher a decade from now - even though the current valuation is rather high.</p><p><blockquote>苹果（AAPL）是过去十年中最好的投资之一。然而，在接下来的十年里，它的增长可能会有所不同。然而，由于大规模的股东回报计划和向服务业的转变，苹果的股价在十年后仍可能大幅上涨——尽管目前的估值相当高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple Stock Price</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Over the last decade, Apple Inc. has been a great investment:</p><p><blockquote>在过去十年中，苹果公司一直是一项伟大的投资：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d29aa34bdbc5bab7d0730a4095954e6\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares have returned 900% in those ten years, before dividends, for a compounded annual return of approximately 26%, easily trouncing the returns of the broad market during that time frame. Importantly, shares have risen a lot more than the company's market capitalization, which grew by only 550% over the last decade. The difference can be explained by the company's large share repurchase programs, which have lowered the share count drastically over the last decade. The last decade, of course, was a highly successful period for Apple on a business basis, as the company benefited from the rise of smartphones while also having success with new products such as its Watch and tablets, which Apple more or less introduced as a new product category. Right now, shares trade for $125, up 57% over the last twelve months, but down 6% in 2021 to date. Following strong gains during 2020, shares seem to be in a consolidation pattern for now, which is not too much of a surprise, as Apple's valuation had expanded a lot in the recent past, and it seems that the company's business growth has to catch up to the recent share price increases now. The current consensus price target is $156, which implies an upside potential of 25%. Since there are no signs of shares leaving their current trading range right now, I personally do not think that Apple will breach $150 in the near term.</p><p><blockquote>在这十年中，扣除股息前，股票回报率为900%，复合年回报率约为26%，轻松击败了同期大盘的回报率。重要的是，该公司股价的涨幅远远超过了该公司的市值，而该公司的市值在过去十年中仅增长了550%。这种差异可以用该公司的大规模股票回购计划来解释，该计划在过去十年中大幅减少了股票数量。当然，过去十年对苹果来说是一个商业上非常成功的时期，因为该公司受益于智能手机的兴起，同时也在手表和平板电脑等新产品上取得了成功，苹果或多或少地将其作为一个新产品类别推出。目前，股价为125美元，过去12个月上涨57%，但2021年迄今下跌6%。继2020年强劲上涨之后，股价目前似乎处于盘整格局，这并不令人意外，因为苹果的估值最近已经扩大了很多，而且该公司的业务增长似乎必须赶上最近的股价上涨。目前的一致目标价为156美元，这意味着25%的上涨潜力。由于目前没有迹象表明股价会离开当前的交易区间，我个人认为苹果短期内不会突破150美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years</b></p><p><blockquote><b>10年后苹果股票会在哪里</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple's stock price in 2031 is, of course, nothing that can be forecasted with any precision. As history has shown, again and again, it is not even possible to forecast share prices precisely over a much shorter period of time. It is, however, possible to craft scenarios to see where share prices could be in the future under certain conditions, to get a feel for what might be a reasonable expectation for the future.</p><p><blockquote>当然，苹果2031年的股价是无法准确预测的。正如历史一次又一次地表明的那样，甚至不可能在更短的时间内准确预测股价。然而，可以设计情景来了解在某些条件下未来股价的走势，从而了解对未来的合理预期。</blockquote></p><p> To craft one such scenario, we have to consider Apple's business growth, Apple's shareholder return program, and the valuation multiple that shares might trade at in the future.</p><p><blockquote>为了构建这样的场景，我们必须考虑苹果的业务增长、苹果的股东回报计划以及股票未来可能交易的估值倍数。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's business growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的业务增长</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc. has seen years of stronger growth and years of weaker growth in the past. This mostly can be explained by factors such as new product introductions, e.g. Watch or iPad, and by the strength of the respective current iPhone models, which see varying demand depending on the year. Other factors, such as economic growth or trade issues, play a role as well.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司过去曾经历过多年的强劲增长和多年的疲软增长。这主要可以用新产品推出等因素来解释，例如。手表或iPad，以及各自当前iPhone型号的强度，这些型号的需求因年份而异。其他因素，如经济增长或贸易问题，也发挥了作用。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5b8bd8ef6cdaa13850c1380e870554c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Overall, revenues have grown by 154% over the last decade, but as we see in the above chart, revenue growth has been relatively uneven. During the early 2010s, Apple generated massive growth on the back of the iPhones \"road to victory\", whereas revenue growth declined to a much slower pace in the following years. There were even some years during which revenues declined on a year-over-year basis, such as 2016. The average annual revenue growth pace was 10% over the last decade, but when we factor in that this was lifted up by the very strong growth in 2011 and 2012, it may not be too reasonable to assume that Apple will grow by 10% a year in the future, too. Investors should also consider that maintaining a high growth rate becomes ever more difficult the larger a company gets. This does, however, not mean that Apple's revenue growth will slow down to zero.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，过去十年收入增长了154%，但正如我们在上图中看到的，收入增长相对不均衡。2010年代初，苹果凭借iPhone的“胜利之路”实现了巨大增长，而在接下来的几年里，收入增长速度放缓。甚至有一些年份的收入同比下降，例如2016年。过去十年的平均年收入增长率为10%，但当我们考虑到2011年和2012年的强劲增长推动了这一增长率时，假设苹果将增长10%可能不太合理。未来一年也是如此。投资者还应该考虑到，公司规模越大，保持高增长率就变得越困难。然而，这并不意味着苹果的收入增长将放缓至零。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the back of price increases for its products and the potential for market share gains in&nbsp;high-growth countries such as China, where more and more people will be able to buy Apple's higher-priced products, it seems reasonable to assume that Apple will generate at least some growth from its core businesses. Add in growth in the services segment - people use their phones more and more, which should lead to higher app spending - and consider the potential for new product launches (although I assume none will be as massive as the iPhone), and Apple should be able to grow its business at a solid pace. I personally assume that a 5%-7% revenue growth rate could be a realistic estimate for the coming years, although some readers will of course have different opinions.</p><p><blockquote>在其产品价格上涨以及中国等高增长国家市场份额增长的潜力（越来越多的人将能够购买苹果价格较高的产品）的背景下，似乎有理由假设苹果将至少从其核心业务中产生一些增长。再加上服务领域的增长——人们越来越多地使用手机，这应该会导致更高的应用支出——并考虑新产品发布的潜力（尽管我认为没有一款产品会像iPhone那样庞大），苹果应该能够以稳健的速度发展其业务。我个人认为5%-7%的收入增长率可能是未来几年的现实估计，尽管一些读者当然会有不同的意见。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's shareholder returns</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的股东回报</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple has lowered its share count massively in the past, as shown above, and it is, I believe, reasonable to assume that the same will happen going forward. Over the last decade, Apple bought back 36% of its shares. If the same were to happen over the next decade, each remaining share's portion of the company's value would rise by 56%, or 4.6% annualized. Due to the fact that Apple's current valuation is significantly higher than its historic valuation, buybacks could be less impactful in the future, though. Apple has, for example, only reduced its share count by 2.6% over the last year.</p><p><blockquote>如上所示，苹果过去曾大幅减少其股票数量，我相信，有理由假设未来也会发生同样的情况。过去十年，苹果回购了36%的股份。如果未来十年发生同样的情况，每股剩余股票在公司价值中的份额将上涨56%，即年化4.6%。不过，由于苹果目前的估值明显高于其历史估值，回购在未来的影响可能会较小。例如，苹果去年的股票数量仅减少了2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> This is why I believe that the share count will not decline by another 36% over the coming decade. When we adjust that downward to 25%, this would result in a ~3% annual tailwind for Apple's growth when we look at per-share metrics, which are the deciding factor for Apple's share price growth. Combined with my 5%-7% business growth estimate, I thus assume that Apple will grow by 8%-10% on a per-share basis in the long term.</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么我相信未来十年股票数量不会再下降36%。当我们将其向下调整至25%时，当我们考虑每股指标时，这将为苹果的增长带来约3%的年度推动力，而每股指标是苹果股价增长的决定性因素。结合我5%-7%的业务增长预测，我因此假设苹果的每股长期增长将达到8%-10%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's future valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的未来估值</b></blockquote></p><p> AAPL has been valued in a very wide range in the past, seeing its shares trade for very low multiples at some points, whereas investors were willing to pay significantly more at other times:</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司过去的估值范围很广，其股票在某些时候的市盈率非常低，而投资者在其他时候愿意支付更高的价格：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be5cb8bbc04ff0e0a13ee64f6f2bd90a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"470\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares could, five years ago, be bought for a very low 10x net earnings, which naturally was a great time to enter or expand positions. In late 2020, however, shares were trading for as much as 40x the company's net earnings, which seems like a quite high valuation. Right now, AAPL trades at 28x trailing earnings, and at around 24x forward profits. In the above chart, we also see the median earnings multiples over the last 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. It is pretty clear that Apple's valuation has expanded over the years, which is why the median values are higher for the shorter \"lookback\" periods. I do not believe that AAPL will trade at the 15.5x net earnings that it has traded at, on average, over the last decade, as this seems like a rather low valuation for a quality company like Apple with a strong brand, massive scale, great margins, and a fortress balance sheet. On the other hand, I also don't believe that Apple will trade at a 24-28x earnings multiple forever - for a company that generates solid but unspectacular business growth in the mid-single-digits, that seems quite expensive. This is especially true when we consider that interest rates will likely be higher a decade from now, which should pressure valuations for all equities, all else equal. I thus believe that a valuation of around 20x net earnings could be a reasonable estimate for 2031, which would be more or less in line with the 3-year median earnings multiple.</p><p><blockquote>五年前，可以以非常低的10倍净利润购买股票，这自然是进入或扩大头寸的好时机。然而，2020年底，该公司的股价高达该公司净利润的40倍，这似乎是一个相当高的估值。目前，AAPL的往绩市盈率为28倍，远期利润约为24倍。在上图中，我们还看到了过去3年、5年、7年和10年的市盈率中位数。很明显，苹果的估值多年来一直在扩大，这就是为什么在较短的“回顾”期内中值较高。我不认为AAPL的市盈率会达到过去十年平均市盈率的15.5倍，因为对于像苹果这样拥有强大品牌、庞大规模的优质公司来说，这似乎是一个相当低的估值。、巨大的利润和堡垒般的资产负债表。另一方面，我也不相信苹果的市盈率会永远保持在24-28倍——对于一家业务增长稳健但不引人注目的中个位数的公司来说，这似乎相当昂贵。当我们考虑到十年后利率可能会更高时，尤其如此，在其他条件相同的情况下，这应该会给所有股票的估值带来压力。因此，我认为2031年净利润20倍左右的估值可能是合理的估计，这或多或少与3年市盈率中位数一致。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is AAPL A Buy Or Sell Now</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AAPL现在是买入还是卖出</b></blockquote></p><p> Starting our calculation with an EPS estimate of $5.15 for 2021 and assuming that this will grow by 7%-10% a year through 2031, we reach an EPS range of $10.10 to $13.40. Putting a 20x earnings multiple on that leads to a target price of around $200-$270/share. At the midpoint of around $235, shares would thus see gains of around 90% from the current level, or around 6.5% annualized. That surely is not a bad return, and when we add in the dividend, we would get to an annualized return of roughly 7%. This is, on the other hand, also not an outrageously great return, I believe.</p><p><blockquote>从2021年每股收益估计为5.15美元开始计算，并假设到2031年每年增长7%-10%，我们的每股收益范围为10.10美元至13.40美元。将市盈率定为20倍，目标价约为每股200-270美元。因此，在235美元左右的中点，股价将较当前水平上涨约90%，年化涨幅约为6.5%。这肯定是一个不错的回报，当我们加上股息时，我们将获得大约7%的年化回报率。另一方面，我相信这也不是一个惊人的回报。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> AAPL has, I believe, significant upside potential over the next decade, but that should not be a large surprise - many companies will see significant growth over a time span this long. I personally am not too excited about a 7% expected long-term return. When we consider that shares do have considerable downside risk in the next 1-3 years if Apple's valuation declines, e.g. due to rising interest rates, it may be a better choice to stay on the sidelines for now. Long-term investors will likely not do badly when they buy shares at current levels, but they will likely also not do great. For now, I'd rate Apple a hold, and a potential buy if its valuation comes closer to the longer-term average. Those that are more optimistic about new product launches may disagree and favor buying here, but it could turn out that waiting for a better opportunity is the best choice here.</p><p><blockquote>我相信，苹果公司在未来十年具有巨大的上涨潜力，但这并不令人意外——许多公司将在这么长的时间内实现显着增长。我个人对7%的预期长期回报率不太兴奋。当我们考虑到，如果苹果的估值下降，例如由于利率上升，股价在未来1-3年内确实存在相当大的下行风险，目前保持观望可能是更好的选择。长期投资者在当前水平购买股票时可能不会表现不佳，但也可能不会表现出色。目前，我对苹果的评级为持有，如果其估值接近长期平均水平，则可能买入。那些对新产品发布更乐观的人可能不同意并倾向于在这里购买，但事实证明，等待更好的机会是这里的最佳选择。</blockquote></p><p> Summing it up, I'd say shares do have significant upside potential over the next decade, but the upside potential is not large enough to make me buy shares at current, elevated, valuations.</p><p><blockquote>总而言之，我想说，该股在未来十年确实有巨大的上涨潜力，但上涨潜力还不足以让我以当前较高的估值购买股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider<blockquote>10年后苹果股票会在哪里？要考虑什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhere Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years? What To Consider<blockquote>10年后苹果股票会在哪里？要考虑什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-04 15:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Apple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite different.</li>  <li>Apple has seen its growth slow down over the last decade, and it will likely not be a growth monster in the coming years, either.</li>  <li>Shares have ample long-term upside, but investors should consider the current valuation before jumping to decisions.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f2ea192ed76d9772c2c6a820098faf5\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Photo by Paopano/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果在过去十年中是一项伟大的投资，但下一个十年可能会大不相同。</li><li>苹果的增长在过去十年中有所放缓，未来几年也可能不会成为增长怪物。</li><li>股价具有充足的长期上涨空间，但投资者在做出决定之前应考虑当前的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>摄影：Paopano/iStock社论，来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple (AAPL) has been one of the best investments one could have made over the last decade. Over the next decade, its growth may not be the same, however. Yet, thanks to massive shareholder return programs and a move towards services, Apple's stock will likely still be significantly higher a decade from now - even though the current valuation is rather high.</p><p><blockquote>苹果（AAPL）是过去十年中最好的投资之一。然而，在接下来的十年里，它的增长可能会有所不同。然而，由于大规模的股东回报计划和向服务业的转变，苹果的股价在十年后仍可能大幅上涨——尽管目前的估值相当高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple Stock Price</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Over the last decade, Apple Inc. has been a great investment:</p><p><blockquote>在过去十年中，苹果公司一直是一项伟大的投资：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d29aa34bdbc5bab7d0730a4095954e6\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares have returned 900% in those ten years, before dividends, for a compounded annual return of approximately 26%, easily trouncing the returns of the broad market during that time frame. Importantly, shares have risen a lot more than the company's market capitalization, which grew by only 550% over the last decade. The difference can be explained by the company's large share repurchase programs, which have lowered the share count drastically over the last decade. The last decade, of course, was a highly successful period for Apple on a business basis, as the company benefited from the rise of smartphones while also having success with new products such as its Watch and tablets, which Apple more or less introduced as a new product category. Right now, shares trade for $125, up 57% over the last twelve months, but down 6% in 2021 to date. Following strong gains during 2020, shares seem to be in a consolidation pattern for now, which is not too much of a surprise, as Apple's valuation had expanded a lot in the recent past, and it seems that the company's business growth has to catch up to the recent share price increases now. The current consensus price target is $156, which implies an upside potential of 25%. Since there are no signs of shares leaving their current trading range right now, I personally do not think that Apple will breach $150 in the near term.</p><p><blockquote>在这十年中，扣除股息前，股票回报率为900%，复合年回报率约为26%，轻松击败了同期大盘的回报率。重要的是，该公司股价的涨幅远远超过了该公司的市值，而该公司的市值在过去十年中仅增长了550%。这种差异可以用该公司的大规模股票回购计划来解释，该计划在过去十年中大幅减少了股票数量。当然，过去十年对苹果来说是一个商业上非常成功的时期，因为该公司受益于智能手机的兴起，同时也在手表和平板电脑等新产品上取得了成功，苹果或多或少地将其作为一个新产品类别推出。目前，股价为125美元，过去12个月上涨57%，但2021年迄今下跌6%。继2020年强劲上涨之后，股价目前似乎处于盘整格局，这并不令人意外，因为苹果的估值最近已经扩大了很多，而且该公司的业务增长似乎必须赶上最近的股价上涨。目前的一致目标价为156美元，这意味着25%的上涨潜力。由于目前没有迹象表明股价会离开当前的交易区间，我个人认为苹果短期内不会突破150美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Where Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years</b></p><p><blockquote><b>10年后苹果股票会在哪里</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple's stock price in 2031 is, of course, nothing that can be forecasted with any precision. As history has shown, again and again, it is not even possible to forecast share prices precisely over a much shorter period of time. It is, however, possible to craft scenarios to see where share prices could be in the future under certain conditions, to get a feel for what might be a reasonable expectation for the future.</p><p><blockquote>当然，苹果2031年的股价是无法准确预测的。正如历史一次又一次地表明的那样，甚至不可能在更短的时间内准确预测股价。然而，可以设计情景来了解在某些条件下未来股价的走势，从而了解对未来的合理预期。</blockquote></p><p> To craft one such scenario, we have to consider Apple's business growth, Apple's shareholder return program, and the valuation multiple that shares might trade at in the future.</p><p><blockquote>为了构建这样的场景，我们必须考虑苹果的业务增长、苹果的股东回报计划以及股票未来可能交易的估值倍数。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's business growth</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的业务增长</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc. has seen years of stronger growth and years of weaker growth in the past. This mostly can be explained by factors such as new product introductions, e.g. Watch or iPad, and by the strength of the respective current iPhone models, which see varying demand depending on the year. Other factors, such as economic growth or trade issues, play a role as well.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司过去曾经历过多年的强劲增长和多年的疲软增长。这主要可以用新产品推出等因素来解释，例如。手表或iPad，以及各自当前iPhone型号的强度，这些型号的需求因年份而异。其他因素，如经济增长或贸易问题，也发挥了作用。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a5b8bd8ef6cdaa13850c1380e870554c\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"419\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Overall, revenues have grown by 154% over the last decade, but as we see in the above chart, revenue growth has been relatively uneven. During the early 2010s, Apple generated massive growth on the back of the iPhones \"road to victory\", whereas revenue growth declined to a much slower pace in the following years. There were even some years during which revenues declined on a year-over-year basis, such as 2016. The average annual revenue growth pace was 10% over the last decade, but when we factor in that this was lifted up by the very strong growth in 2011 and 2012, it may not be too reasonable to assume that Apple will grow by 10% a year in the future, too. Investors should also consider that maintaining a high growth rate becomes ever more difficult the larger a company gets. This does, however, not mean that Apple's revenue growth will slow down to zero.</p><p><blockquote>总体而言，过去十年收入增长了154%，但正如我们在上图中看到的，收入增长相对不均衡。2010年代初，苹果凭借iPhone的“胜利之路”实现了巨大增长，而在接下来的几年里，收入增长速度放缓。甚至有一些年份的收入同比下降，例如2016年。过去十年的平均年收入增长率为10%，但当我们考虑到2011年和2012年的强劲增长推动了这一增长率时，假设苹果将增长10%可能不太合理。未来一年也是如此。投资者还应该考虑到，公司规模越大，保持高增长率就变得越困难。然而，这并不意味着苹果的收入增长将放缓至零。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> On the back of price increases for its products and the potential for market share gains in&nbsp;high-growth countries such as China, where more and more people will be able to buy Apple's higher-priced products, it seems reasonable to assume that Apple will generate at least some growth from its core businesses. Add in growth in the services segment - people use their phones more and more, which should lead to higher app spending - and consider the potential for new product launches (although I assume none will be as massive as the iPhone), and Apple should be able to grow its business at a solid pace. I personally assume that a 5%-7% revenue growth rate could be a realistic estimate for the coming years, although some readers will of course have different opinions.</p><p><blockquote>在其产品价格上涨以及中国等高增长国家市场份额增长的潜力（越来越多的人将能够购买苹果价格较高的产品）的背景下，似乎有理由假设苹果将至少从其核心业务中产生一些增长。再加上服务领域的增长——人们越来越多地使用手机，这应该会导致更高的应用支出——并考虑新产品发布的潜力（尽管我认为没有一款产品会像iPhone那样庞大），苹果应该能够以稳健的速度发展其业务。我个人认为5%-7%的收入增长率可能是未来几年的现实估计，尽管一些读者当然会有不同的意见。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's shareholder returns</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的股东回报</b></blockquote></p><p> Apple has lowered its share count massively in the past, as shown above, and it is, I believe, reasonable to assume that the same will happen going forward. Over the last decade, Apple bought back 36% of its shares. If the same were to happen over the next decade, each remaining share's portion of the company's value would rise by 56%, or 4.6% annualized. Due to the fact that Apple's current valuation is significantly higher than its historic valuation, buybacks could be less impactful in the future, though. Apple has, for example, only reduced its share count by 2.6% over the last year.</p><p><blockquote>如上所示，苹果过去曾大幅减少其股票数量，我相信，有理由假设未来也会发生同样的情况。过去十年，苹果回购了36%的股份。如果未来十年发生同样的情况，每股剩余股票在公司价值中的份额将上涨56%，即年化4.6%。不过，由于苹果目前的估值明显高于其历史估值，回购在未来的影响可能会较小。例如，苹果去年的股票数量仅减少了2.6%。</blockquote></p><p> This is why I believe that the share count will not decline by another 36% over the coming decade. When we adjust that downward to 25%, this would result in a ~3% annual tailwind for Apple's growth when we look at per-share metrics, which are the deciding factor for Apple's share price growth. Combined with my 5%-7% business growth estimate, I thus assume that Apple will grow by 8%-10% on a per-share basis in the long term.</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么我相信未来十年股票数量不会再下降36%。当我们将其向下调整至25%时，当我们考虑每股指标时，这将为苹果的增长带来约3%的年度推动力，而每股指标是苹果股价增长的决定性因素。结合我5%-7%的业务增长预测，我因此假设苹果的每股长期增长将达到8%-10%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Apple's future valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>苹果的未来估值</b></blockquote></p><p> AAPL has been valued in a very wide range in the past, seeing its shares trade for very low multiples at some points, whereas investors were willing to pay significantly more at other times:</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司过去的估值范围很广，其股票在某些时候的市盈率非常低，而投资者在其他时候愿意支付更高的价格：</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/be5cb8bbc04ff0e0a13ee64f6f2bd90a\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"470\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Shares could, five years ago, be bought for a very low 10x net earnings, which naturally was a great time to enter or expand positions. In late 2020, however, shares were trading for as much as 40x the company's net earnings, which seems like a quite high valuation. Right now, AAPL trades at 28x trailing earnings, and at around 24x forward profits. In the above chart, we also see the median earnings multiples over the last 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. It is pretty clear that Apple's valuation has expanded over the years, which is why the median values are higher for the shorter \"lookback\" periods. I do not believe that AAPL will trade at the 15.5x net earnings that it has traded at, on average, over the last decade, as this seems like a rather low valuation for a quality company like Apple with a strong brand, massive scale, great margins, and a fortress balance sheet. On the other hand, I also don't believe that Apple will trade at a 24-28x earnings multiple forever - for a company that generates solid but unspectacular business growth in the mid-single-digits, that seems quite expensive. This is especially true when we consider that interest rates will likely be higher a decade from now, which should pressure valuations for all equities, all else equal. I thus believe that a valuation of around 20x net earnings could be a reasonable estimate for 2031, which would be more or less in line with the 3-year median earnings multiple.</p><p><blockquote>五年前，可以以非常低的10倍净利润购买股票，这自然是进入或扩大头寸的好时机。然而，2020年底，该公司的股价高达该公司净利润的40倍，这似乎是一个相当高的估值。目前，AAPL的往绩市盈率为28倍，远期利润约为24倍。在上图中，我们还看到了过去3年、5年、7年和10年的市盈率中位数。很明显，苹果的估值多年来一直在扩大，这就是为什么在较短的“回顾”期内中值较高。我不认为AAPL的市盈率会达到过去十年平均市盈率的15.5倍，因为对于像苹果这样拥有强大品牌、庞大规模的优质公司来说，这似乎是一个相当低的估值。、巨大的利润和堡垒般的资产负债表。另一方面，我也不相信苹果的市盈率会永远保持在24-28倍——对于一家业务增长稳健但不引人注目的中个位数的公司来说，这似乎相当昂贵。当我们考虑到十年后利率可能会更高时，尤其如此，在其他条件相同的情况下，这应该会给所有股票的估值带来压力。因此，我认为2031年净利润20倍左右的估值可能是合理的估计，这或多或少与3年市盈率中位数一致。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is AAPL A Buy Or Sell Now</b></p><p><blockquote><b>AAPL现在是买入还是卖出</b></blockquote></p><p> Starting our calculation with an EPS estimate of $5.15 for 2021 and assuming that this will grow by 7%-10% a year through 2031, we reach an EPS range of $10.10 to $13.40. Putting a 20x earnings multiple on that leads to a target price of around $200-$270/share. At the midpoint of around $235, shares would thus see gains of around 90% from the current level, or around 6.5% annualized. That surely is not a bad return, and when we add in the dividend, we would get to an annualized return of roughly 7%. This is, on the other hand, also not an outrageously great return, I believe.</p><p><blockquote>从2021年每股收益估计为5.15美元开始计算，并假设到2031年每年增长7%-10%，我们的每股收益范围为10.10美元至13.40美元。将市盈率定为20倍，目标价约为每股200-270美元。因此，在235美元左右的中点，股价将较当前水平上涨约90%，年化涨幅约为6.5%。这肯定是一个不错的回报，当我们加上股息时，我们将获得大约7%的年化回报率。另一方面，我相信这也不是一个惊人的回报。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> AAPL has, I believe, significant upside potential over the next decade, but that should not be a large surprise - many companies will see significant growth over a time span this long. I personally am not too excited about a 7% expected long-term return. When we consider that shares do have considerable downside risk in the next 1-3 years if Apple's valuation declines, e.g. due to rising interest rates, it may be a better choice to stay on the sidelines for now. Long-term investors will likely not do badly when they buy shares at current levels, but they will likely also not do great. For now, I'd rate Apple a hold, and a potential buy if its valuation comes closer to the longer-term average. Those that are more optimistic about new product launches may disagree and favor buying here, but it could turn out that waiting for a better opportunity is the best choice here.</p><p><blockquote>我相信，苹果公司在未来十年具有巨大的上涨潜力，但这并不令人意外——许多公司将在这么长的时间内实现显着增长。我个人对7%的预期长期回报率不太兴奋。当我们考虑到，如果苹果的估值下降，例如由于利率上升，股价在未来1-3年内确实存在相当大的下行风险，目前保持观望可能是更好的选择。长期投资者在当前水平购买股票时可能不会表现不佳，但也可能不会表现出色。目前，我对苹果的评级为持有，如果其估值接近长期平均水平，则可能买入。那些对新产品发布更乐观的人可能不同意并倾向于在这里购买，但事实证明，等待更好的机会是这里的最佳选择。</blockquote></p><p> Summing it up, I'd say shares do have significant upside potential over the next decade, but the upside potential is not large enough to make me buy shares at current, elevated, valuations.</p><p><blockquote>总而言之，我想说，该股在未来十年确实有巨大的上涨潜力，但上涨潜力还不足以让我以当前较高的估值购买股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432703-apple-stock-in-10-years\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4432703-apple-stock-in-10-years","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1122373606","content_text":"Summary\n\nApple has been a great investment over the last decade, but the next decade may look quite different.\nApple has seen its growth slow down over the last decade, and it will likely not be a growth monster in the coming years, either.\nShares have ample long-term upside, but investors should consider the current valuation before jumping to decisions.\n\nPhoto by Paopano/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nApple (AAPL) has been one of the best investments one could have made over the last decade. Over the next decade, its growth may not be the same, however. Yet, thanks to massive shareholder return programs and a move towards services, Apple's stock will likely still be significantly higher a decade from now - even though the current valuation is rather high.\nApple Stock Price\nOver the last decade, Apple Inc. has been a great investment:\nData by YCharts\nShares have returned 900% in those ten years, before dividends, for a compounded annual return of approximately 26%, easily trouncing the returns of the broad market during that time frame. Importantly, shares have risen a lot more than the company's market capitalization, which grew by only 550% over the last decade. The difference can be explained by the company's large share repurchase programs, which have lowered the share count drastically over the last decade. The last decade, of course, was a highly successful period for Apple on a business basis, as the company benefited from the rise of smartphones while also having success with new products such as its Watch and tablets, which Apple more or less introduced as a new product category. Right now, shares trade for $125, up 57% over the last twelve months, but down 6% in 2021 to date. Following strong gains during 2020, shares seem to be in a consolidation pattern for now, which is not too much of a surprise, as Apple's valuation had expanded a lot in the recent past, and it seems that the company's business growth has to catch up to the recent share price increases now. The current consensus price target is $156, which implies an upside potential of 25%. Since there are no signs of shares leaving their current trading range right now, I personally do not think that Apple will breach $150 in the near term.\nWhere Will Apple Stock Be In 10 Years\nApple's stock price in 2031 is, of course, nothing that can be forecasted with any precision. As history has shown, again and again, it is not even possible to forecast share prices precisely over a much shorter period of time. It is, however, possible to craft scenarios to see where share prices could be in the future under certain conditions, to get a feel for what might be a reasonable expectation for the future.\nTo craft one such scenario, we have to consider Apple's business growth, Apple's shareholder return program, and the valuation multiple that shares might trade at in the future.\nApple's business growth\nApple Inc. has seen years of stronger growth and years of weaker growth in the past. This mostly can be explained by factors such as new product introductions, e.g. Watch or iPad, and by the strength of the respective current iPhone models, which see varying demand depending on the year. Other factors, such as economic growth or trade issues, play a role as well.\nData by YCharts\nOverall, revenues have grown by 154% over the last decade, but as we see in the above chart, revenue growth has been relatively uneven. During the early 2010s, Apple generated massive growth on the back of the iPhones \"road to victory\", whereas revenue growth declined to a much slower pace in the following years. There were even some years during which revenues declined on a year-over-year basis, such as 2016. The average annual revenue growth pace was 10% over the last decade, but when we factor in that this was lifted up by the very strong growth in 2011 and 2012, it may not be too reasonable to assume that Apple will grow by 10% a year in the future, too. Investors should also consider that maintaining a high growth rate becomes ever more difficult the larger a company gets. This does, however, not mean that Apple's revenue growth will slow down to zero.\nOn the back of price increases for its products and the potential for market share gains in high-growth countries such as China, where more and more people will be able to buy Apple's higher-priced products, it seems reasonable to assume that Apple will generate at least some growth from its core businesses. Add in growth in the services segment - people use their phones more and more, which should lead to higher app spending - and consider the potential for new product launches (although I assume none will be as massive as the iPhone), and Apple should be able to grow its business at a solid pace. I personally assume that a 5%-7% revenue growth rate could be a realistic estimate for the coming years, although some readers will of course have different opinions.\nApple's shareholder returns\nApple has lowered its share count massively in the past, as shown above, and it is, I believe, reasonable to assume that the same will happen going forward. Over the last decade, Apple bought back 36% of its shares. If the same were to happen over the next decade, each remaining share's portion of the company's value would rise by 56%, or 4.6% annualized. Due to the fact that Apple's current valuation is significantly higher than its historic valuation, buybacks could be less impactful in the future, though. Apple has, for example, only reduced its share count by 2.6% over the last year.\nThis is why I believe that the share count will not decline by another 36% over the coming decade. When we adjust that downward to 25%, this would result in a ~3% annual tailwind for Apple's growth when we look at per-share metrics, which are the deciding factor for Apple's share price growth. Combined with my 5%-7% business growth estimate, I thus assume that Apple will grow by 8%-10% on a per-share basis in the long term.\nApple's future valuation\nAAPL has been valued in a very wide range in the past, seeing its shares trade for very low multiples at some points, whereas investors were willing to pay significantly more at other times:\nData by YCharts\nShares could, five years ago, be bought for a very low 10x net earnings, which naturally was a great time to enter or expand positions. In late 2020, however, shares were trading for as much as 40x the company's net earnings, which seems like a quite high valuation. Right now, AAPL trades at 28x trailing earnings, and at around 24x forward profits. In the above chart, we also see the median earnings multiples over the last 3, 5, 7, and 10 years. It is pretty clear that Apple's valuation has expanded over the years, which is why the median values are higher for the shorter \"lookback\" periods. I do not believe that AAPL will trade at the 15.5x net earnings that it has traded at, on average, over the last decade, as this seems like a rather low valuation for a quality company like Apple with a strong brand, massive scale, great margins, and a fortress balance sheet. On the other hand, I also don't believe that Apple will trade at a 24-28x earnings multiple forever - for a company that generates solid but unspectacular business growth in the mid-single-digits, that seems quite expensive. This is especially true when we consider that interest rates will likely be higher a decade from now, which should pressure valuations for all equities, all else equal. I thus believe that a valuation of around 20x net earnings could be a reasonable estimate for 2031, which would be more or less in line with the 3-year median earnings multiple.\nIs AAPL A Buy Or Sell Now\nStarting our calculation with an EPS estimate of $5.15 for 2021 and assuming that this will grow by 7%-10% a year through 2031, we reach an EPS range of $10.10 to $13.40. Putting a 20x earnings multiple on that leads to a target price of around $200-$270/share. At the midpoint of around $235, shares would thus see gains of around 90% from the current level, or around 6.5% annualized. That surely is not a bad return, and when we add in the dividend, we would get to an annualized return of roughly 7%. This is, on the other hand, also not an outrageously great return, I believe.\nAAPL has, I believe, significant upside potential over the next decade, but that should not be a large surprise - many companies will see significant growth over a time span this long. I personally am not too excited about a 7% expected long-term return. When we consider that shares do have considerable downside risk in the next 1-3 years if Apple's valuation declines, e.g. due to rising interest rates, it may be a better choice to stay on the sidelines for now. Long-term investors will likely not do badly when they buy shares at current levels, but they will likely also not do great. For now, I'd rate Apple a hold, and a potential buy if its valuation comes closer to the longer-term average. Those that are more optimistic about new product launches may disagree and favor buying here, but it could turn out that waiting for a better opportunity is the best choice here.\nSumming it up, I'd say shares do have significant upside potential over the next decade, but the upside potential is not large enough to make me buy shares at current, elevated, valuations.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2160,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":118942120,"gmtCreate":1622715812860,"gmtModify":1634098854344,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574940130653589","idStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"More like taking profits","listText":"More like taking profits","text":"More like taking profits","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/118942120","repostId":"2140423843","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2017,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":119251676,"gmtCreate":1622551561995,"gmtModify":1634100576805,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574940130653589","idStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Should be good","listText":"Should be good","text":"Should be good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/119251676","repostId":"2138889344","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2138889344","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1622546894,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2138889344?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-01 19:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Zoom Video to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Cards?<blockquote>Zoom Video将报告第一季度收益：前景如何？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2138889344","media":"Zacks","summary":"Zoom Video Communications is set to report first-quarter fiscal 2022 results on Jun 1.For the quarte","content":"<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a> Video Communications</b> is set to report first-quarter fiscal 2022 results on Jun 1.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>视频通信</b>定于6月1日公布2022财年第一季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p>For the quarter, the company expects non-GAAP earnings between 95 cents and 97 cents per share. Total revenues are expected between $900 million and $905 million.</p><p><blockquote>该公司预计本季度非GAAP每股收益在95美分至97美分之间。总收入预计在9亿美元至9.05亿美元之间。</blockquote></p><p>The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings stayed at 97 cents per share over the past 30 days. The company had reported earnings of 20 cents per share in the year-ago quarter.</p><p><blockquote>过去30天，Zacks对收益的一致预期保持在每股97美分。该公司报告去年同期每股收益为20美分。</blockquote></p><p>The consensus mark for revenues is pegged at $905.2 million, suggesting 175.8% growth from the figure reported in the year-ago quarter.</p><p><blockquote>收入的共识为9.052亿美元，比去年同期报告的数字增长175.8%。</blockquote></p><p><h3>Zoom Video Communications, Inc. Price and EPS Surprise</h3><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc75f53073be8992ce4f8cf58d4ebd0a\" tg-width=\"539\" tg-height=\"264\"><span>Zoom Video Communications, Inc. price-eps-surprise | Zoom Video Communications, Inc. Quote</span></p><p><blockquote><h3>Zoom Video通信公司。价格和每股收益惊喜</h3><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Zoom Video通信公司价格-每股收益-惊喜|Zoom Video通信公司报价</span></p></blockquote></p><p>Zoom’s earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in all of the past four quarters, the average surprise being 73.2%.</p><p><blockquote>Zoom的收益在过去四个季度都超过了Zacks的普遍预期，平均意外率为73.2%。</blockquote></p><p>Let’s see how things have shaped up for this announcement.</p><p><blockquote>让我们看看这个公告的进展如何。</blockquote></p><p><h3>Factors to Watch</h3>Zoom’s fiscal first-quarter revenues are expected to have benefited from the coronavirus-induced work-from-home and online-learning wave despite the vaccination campaigns.</p><p><blockquote><h3>值得关注的因素</h3>尽管开展了疫苗接种活动，但Zoom第一财季的收入预计仍将受益于冠状病毒引发的在家工作和在线学习浪潮。</blockquote></p><p>Notably, the company’s freemium business model helps it win customers rapidly, whom it can later convert into paying customers. Net dollar-expansion rate on a trailing twelve-month basis was more than 156% in fourth-quarter fiscal 2021. The momentum is expected to have continued in the to-be-reported quarter.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，该公司的免费增值商业模式帮助其快速赢得客户，然后可以将这些客户转化为付费客户。2021财年第四季度，过去12个月的美元净增长率超过156%。预计这一势头将在即将报告的季度持续下去。</blockquote></p><p>Further, the availability of Zoom For Home, which supports remote working for business professionals, has been a key catalyst.</p><p><blockquote>此外，支持商务专业人士远程工作的Zoom For Home的可用性是一个关键的催化剂。</blockquote></p><p>Additionally, this Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) company’s strong partner base, that includes the likes of <b>Atlassian</b>, <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NOW\">ServiceNow</a></b> and Dropbox, is expected to have benefited the company in winning enterprise customers in fiscal first quarter. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.</p><p><blockquote>此外，这家Zacks排名第二（购买）的公司拥有强大的合作伙伴基础，其中包括<b>Atlassian</b>,<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NOW\">服务现在</a></b>和Dropbox，预计将使该公司在第一财季赢得企业客户方面受益。你可以在这里看到今天咤克斯排名第一（强力买入）股票的完整列表。</blockquote></p><p>However, Zoom Video continues to face significant competition from the likes of <b>Cisco</b>, Microsoft and Google Meet. This might have led to loss in small and medium business customers, which is likely to have hurt top-line growth.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Zoom Video继续面临来自以下公司的激烈竞争<b>思科</b>、微软和谷歌相遇。这可能会导致中小型企业客户的流失，从而可能会损害营收增长。</blockquote></p><p><h3>Key Q1 Highlights</h3>During the to-be-reported quarter, Zoom announced $100 million venture fund called Zoom Apps Fund, aimed at stimulating growth of Zoom’s ecosystem of Zoom Apps, integrations, developer platform and hardware.</p><p><blockquote><h3>第一季度主要亮点</h3>在即将报告的季度中，Zoom宣布了一项名为Zoom Apps Fund的1亿美元风险基金，旨在刺激Zoom的Zoom应用、集成、开发者平台和硬件生态系统的增长。</blockquote></p><p>Moreover, during the quarter, Zoom and Formula 1 announced that they have entered a new extensive multi-year partnership across the upcoming 2021 FIA Formula One World Championship racing season and beyond.</p><p><blockquote>此外，在本季度，Zoom和一级方程式宣布，他们已在即将到来的2021年国际汽联一级方程式世界锦标赛赛季及以后建立了新的广泛的多年合作伙伴关系。</blockquote></p><p>Further, in February, Zoom announced the availability of Zoom Rooms that will help organizations safely re-enter the office and sustain an “everywhere workforce”.</p><p><blockquote>此外，在2月份，Zoom宣布推出Zoom Rooms，这将帮助组织安全地重新进入办公室，并维持“无处不在的员工”。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Zoom Video to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Cards?<blockquote>Zoom Video将报告第一季度收益：前景如何？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nZoom Video to Report Q1 Earnings: What's in the Cards?<blockquote>Zoom Video将报告第一季度收益：前景如何？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Zacks</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-01 19:28</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a> Video Communications</b> is set to report first-quarter fiscal 2022 results on Jun 1.</p><p><blockquote><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ZM\">Zoom</a>视频通信</b>定于6月1日公布2022财年第一季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p>For the quarter, the company expects non-GAAP earnings between 95 cents and 97 cents per share. Total revenues are expected between $900 million and $905 million.</p><p><blockquote>该公司预计本季度非GAAP每股收益在95美分至97美分之间。总收入预计在9亿美元至9.05亿美元之间。</blockquote></p><p>The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings stayed at 97 cents per share over the past 30 days. The company had reported earnings of 20 cents per share in the year-ago quarter.</p><p><blockquote>过去30天，Zacks对收益的一致预期保持在每股97美分。该公司报告去年同期每股收益为20美分。</blockquote></p><p>The consensus mark for revenues is pegged at $905.2 million, suggesting 175.8% growth from the figure reported in the year-ago quarter.</p><p><blockquote>收入的共识为9.052亿美元，比去年同期报告的数字增长175.8%。</blockquote></p><p><h3>Zoom Video Communications, Inc. Price and EPS Surprise</h3><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/dc75f53073be8992ce4f8cf58d4ebd0a\" tg-width=\"539\" tg-height=\"264\"><span>Zoom Video Communications, Inc. price-eps-surprise | Zoom Video Communications, Inc. Quote</span></p><p><blockquote><h3>Zoom Video通信公司。价格和每股收益惊喜</h3><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>Zoom Video通信公司价格-每股收益-惊喜|Zoom Video通信公司报价</span></p></blockquote></p><p>Zoom’s earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in all of the past four quarters, the average surprise being 73.2%.</p><p><blockquote>Zoom的收益在过去四个季度都超过了Zacks的普遍预期，平均意外率为73.2%。</blockquote></p><p>Let’s see how things have shaped up for this announcement.</p><p><blockquote>让我们看看这个公告的进展如何。</blockquote></p><p><h3>Factors to Watch</h3>Zoom’s fiscal first-quarter revenues are expected to have benefited from the coronavirus-induced work-from-home and online-learning wave despite the vaccination campaigns.</p><p><blockquote><h3>值得关注的因素</h3>尽管开展了疫苗接种活动，但Zoom第一财季的收入预计仍将受益于冠状病毒引发的在家工作和在线学习浪潮。</blockquote></p><p>Notably, the company’s freemium business model helps it win customers rapidly, whom it can later convert into paying customers. Net dollar-expansion rate on a trailing twelve-month basis was more than 156% in fourth-quarter fiscal 2021. The momentum is expected to have continued in the to-be-reported quarter.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是，该公司的免费增值商业模式帮助其快速赢得客户，然后可以将这些客户转化为付费客户。2021财年第四季度，过去12个月的美元净增长率超过156%。预计这一势头将在即将报告的季度持续下去。</blockquote></p><p>Further, the availability of Zoom For Home, which supports remote working for business professionals, has been a key catalyst.</p><p><blockquote>此外，支持商务专业人士远程工作的Zoom For Home的可用性是一个关键的催化剂。</blockquote></p><p>Additionally, this Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) company’s strong partner base, that includes the likes of <b>Atlassian</b>, <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NOW\">ServiceNow</a></b> and Dropbox, is expected to have benefited the company in winning enterprise customers in fiscal first quarter. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.</p><p><blockquote>此外，这家Zacks排名第二（购买）的公司拥有强大的合作伙伴基础，其中包括<b>Atlassian</b>,<b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NOW\">服务现在</a></b>和Dropbox，预计将使该公司在第一财季赢得企业客户方面受益。你可以在这里看到今天咤克斯排名第一（强力买入）股票的完整列表。</blockquote></p><p>However, Zoom Video continues to face significant competition from the likes of <b>Cisco</b>, Microsoft and Google Meet. This might have led to loss in small and medium business customers, which is likely to have hurt top-line growth.</p><p><blockquote>然而，Zoom Video继续面临来自以下公司的激烈竞争<b>思科</b>、微软和谷歌相遇。这可能会导致中小型企业客户的流失，从而可能会损害营收增长。</blockquote></p><p><h3>Key Q1 Highlights</h3>During the to-be-reported quarter, Zoom announced $100 million venture fund called Zoom Apps Fund, aimed at stimulating growth of Zoom’s ecosystem of Zoom Apps, integrations, developer platform and hardware.</p><p><blockquote><h3>第一季度主要亮点</h3>在即将报告的季度中，Zoom宣布了一项名为Zoom Apps Fund的1亿美元风险基金，旨在刺激Zoom的Zoom应用、集成、开发者平台和硬件生态系统的增长。</blockquote></p><p>Moreover, during the quarter, Zoom and Formula 1 announced that they have entered a new extensive multi-year partnership across the upcoming 2021 FIA Formula One World Championship racing season and beyond.</p><p><blockquote>此外，在本季度，Zoom和一级方程式宣布，他们已在即将到来的2021年国际汽联一级方程式世界锦标赛赛季及以后建立了新的广泛的多年合作伙伴关系。</blockquote></p><p>Further, in February, Zoom announced the availability of Zoom Rooms that will help organizations safely re-enter the office and sustain an “everywhere workforce”.</p><p><blockquote>此外，在2月份，Zoom宣布推出Zoom Rooms，这将帮助组织安全地重新进入办公室，并维持“无处不在的员工”。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1619568/zoom-video-zm-to-report-q1-earnings-whats-in-the-cards?art_rec=quote-stock_overview-zacks_news-ID05-txt-1619568\">Zacks</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ZM":"Zoom"},"source_url":"https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/1619568/zoom-video-zm-to-report-q1-earnings-whats-in-the-cards?art_rec=quote-stock_overview-zacks_news-ID05-txt-1619568","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2138889344","content_text":"Zoom Video Communications is set to report first-quarter fiscal 2022 results on Jun 1.For the quarter, the company expects non-GAAP earnings between 95 cents and 97 cents per share. Total revenues are expected between $900 million and $905 million.The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings stayed at 97 cents per share over the past 30 days. The company had reported earnings of 20 cents per share in the year-ago quarter.The consensus mark for revenues is pegged at $905.2 million, suggesting 175.8% growth from the figure reported in the year-ago quarter.Zoom Video Communications, Inc. Price and EPS SurpriseZoom Video Communications, Inc. price-eps-surprise | Zoom Video Communications, Inc. QuoteZoom’s earnings beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate in all of the past four quarters, the average surprise being 73.2%.Let’s see how things have shaped up for this announcement.Factors to WatchZoom’s fiscal first-quarter revenues are expected to have benefited from the coronavirus-induced work-from-home and online-learning wave despite the vaccination campaigns.Notably, the company’s freemium business model helps it win customers rapidly, whom it can later convert into paying customers. Net dollar-expansion rate on a trailing twelve-month basis was more than 156% in fourth-quarter fiscal 2021. The momentum is expected to have continued in the to-be-reported quarter.Further, the availability of Zoom For Home, which supports remote working for business professionals, has been a key catalyst.Additionally, this Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) company’s strong partner base, that includes the likes of Atlassian, ServiceNow and Dropbox, is expected to have benefited the company in winning enterprise customers in fiscal first quarter. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank (Strong Buy) stocks here.However, Zoom Video continues to face significant competition from the likes of Cisco, Microsoft and Google Meet. This might have led to loss in small and medium business customers, which is likely to have hurt top-line growth.Key Q1 HighlightsDuring the to-be-reported quarter, Zoom announced $100 million venture fund called Zoom Apps Fund, aimed at stimulating growth of Zoom’s ecosystem of Zoom Apps, integrations, developer platform and hardware.Moreover, during the quarter, Zoom and Formula 1 announced that they have entered a new extensive multi-year partnership across the upcoming 2021 FIA Formula One World Championship racing season and beyond.Further, in February, Zoom announced the availability of Zoom Rooms that will help organizations safely re-enter the office and sustain an “everywhere workforce”.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ZM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2078,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":134096428,"gmtCreate":1622190449264,"gmtModify":1634182998742,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574940130653589","idStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Never know when there will be another wave since mask is no longer a thing in US&nbsp;","listText":"Never know when there will be another wave since mask is no longer a thing in US&nbsp;","text":"Never know when there will be another wave since mask is no longer a thing in US","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/134096428","repostId":"1148985369","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2765,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":132103289,"gmtCreate":1622074472141,"gmtModify":1634184157012,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574940130653589","idStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great","listText":"Great","text":"Great","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/132103289","repostId":"1198109956","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198109956","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1622072280,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1198109956?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-27 07:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nvidia EPS beats by $0.38, beats on revenue<blockquote>英伟达每股收益超过预期0.38美元，营收超过预期</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198109956","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":" Nvidia today reported record revenue for the first quarter ended May 2, 2021, of $5.66 billion, up 84 percent from a year earlier and up 13 percent from the previous quarter, with record revenue from the company’s Gaming, Data Center and Professional Visualization platforms.Nvidia Q1 Non-GAAP EPS of $3.66beats by $0.38; GAAP EPS of $3.03beats by $0.51.Revenue of $5.66B beats by $250M.NVIDIA paid quarterly cash dividends of $99 million in the first quarter. It will pay its next quarterly cash di","content":"<p>(May&nbsp;27)&nbsp;Nvidia today reported record revenue for the first quarter ended May 2, 2021, of $5.66 billion, up 84 percent from a year earlier and up 13 percent from the previous quarter, with record revenue from the company’s Gaming, Data Center and Professional Visualization platforms.</p><p><blockquote>（5月27日）英伟达今天公布了截至2021年5月2日的第一季度创纪录的收入，为56.6亿美元，同比增长84%，环比增长13%，来自该公司游戏、数据中心和专业可视化平台的收入创纪录。</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Nvidia&nbsp;Q1 Non-GAAP EPS of $3.66beats by $0.38; GAAP EPS of $3.03beats by $0.51.</li><li>Revenue of $5.66B (+83.8% Y/Y)beats by $250M.</li></ul><b>Outlook for the second quarter of fiscal 2022 is as follows:</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Nvidia第一季度非GAAP每股收益为3.66美元，超过预期为0.38美元；GAAP每股收益为3.03美元，超过预期为0.51美元。</li><li>收入为$5.66 B（同比增长83.8%）超过预期2.5亿美元。</li></ul><b>2022财年第二季度展望如下：</b></blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Revenue is expected to be $6.30 billion, plus or minus 2 percent&nbsp;vs. $5.48B consensus.</li><li>GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins are expected to be 64.6 percent and 66.5 percent, respectively, plus or minus 50 basis points.</li><li>GAAP and non-GAAP operating expenses are expected to be approximately $1.76 billion and $1.26 billion, respectively.</li><li>GAAP and non-GAAP other income and expense are both expected to be an expense of approximately $50 million.</li><li>GAAP and non-GAAP tax rates are both expected to be 10 percent, plus or minus 1 percent, excluding any discrete items. GAAP discrete items include excess tax benefits or deficiencies related to stock-based compensation, which are expected to generate variability on a quarter-by-quarter basis.</li></ul>Shares&nbsp;of&nbsp;Nvidia&nbsp;fell&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;1%&nbsp;in&nbsp;afterhour&nbsp;trading.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>收入预计为63亿美元，同比正负2%。$54.8亿共识。</li><li>GAAP和非GAAP毛利率预计分别为64.6%和66.5%，上下浮动50个基点。</li><li>GAAP和非GAAP运营费用预计分别约为17.6亿美元和12.6亿美元。</li><li>GAAP和非GAAP其他收入和费用预计均为约5000万美元的费用。</li><li>GAAP和非GAAP税率预计均为10%，正负1%，不包括任何离散项目。GAAP离散项目包括与股票薪酬相关的超额税收优惠或缺陷，预计会产生季度差异。</li></ul>英伟达股价在盘后交易中下跌近1%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc5b2493152883344459d99c9fa7aa82\" tg-width=\"662\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">“We had a fantastic quarter, with strong demand for our products driving record revenue,” saidJensen Huang, founder and CEO of NVIDIA.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达创始人兼首席执行官黄仁勋表示：“我们度过了一个出色的季度，对我们产品的强劲需求推动了创纪录的收入。”</blockquote></p><p>“Our Data Center (VPN) business continues to expand, as the world’s industries take up NVIDIA AI to process computer vision, conversational AI, natural language understanding and recommender systems. NVIDIA RTX has reinvented computer graphics and is driving upgrades across the gaming and design markets. Our partners are launching the largest-ever wave of NVIDIA-powered laptops. Across industries, the adoption of NVIDIA computing platforms is accelerating.</p><p><blockquote>“随着全球各行业采用NVIDIA AI来处理计算机视觉、对话式AI、自然语言理解和推荐系统，我们的数据中心(VPN)业务不断扩大。NVIDIA RTX重塑了计算机图形，并推动了整个游戏和设计市场的升级。我们的合作伙伴正在推出有史以来最大规模的NVIDIA笔记本电脑浪潮。在各个行业中，英伟达计算平台的采用正在加速。</blockquote></p><p>“Mellanox, one year in, has exceeded our expectations and transformed NVIDIA into a data-center-scale computing company. We continue to make headway with our planned acquisition of Arm, which will accelerate innovation and growth for the Arm ecosystem. From gaming, cloud computing, AI, robotics, self-driving cars, to genomics and computational biology, NVIDIA continues to do impactful work to invent a better future,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“一年来，Mellanox超出了我们的预期，将英伟达转变为一家数据中心规模的计算公司。我们计划收购Arm，继续取得进展，这将加速Arm生态系统的创新和增长。从游戏、云计算、人工智能、机器人、自动驾驶汽车，到基因组学和计算生物学，英伟达继续开展有影响力的工作，以创造更美好的未来，”他说。</blockquote></p><p>NVIDIA paid quarterly cash dividends of $99 million in the first quarter. It will pay its next quarterly cash dividend of $0.16 per share on July 1, 2021, to all shareholders of record on June 10, 2021.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达第一季度支付了9900万美元的季度现金股息。它将于2021年7月1日向2021年6月10日登记在册的所有股东支付每股0.16美元的下一季度现金股息。</blockquote></p><p>On May 21, 2021, the company’s board of directors declared a four-for-one split of NVIDIA’s common stock payable in the form of a stock dividend, with the additional shares expected to be distributed on July 19, 2021. The stock dividend is conditioned on obtaining stockholder approval at the company’s 2021 Annual Meeting of Stockholders on June 3, 2021, to increase the number of authorized shares of common stock from 2 billion to 4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>2021年5月21日，公司董事会宣布以股票股息的形式将英伟达普通股拆四拆一，额外股份预计将于2021年7月19日分配。股票股息的条件是在2021年6月3日举行的公司2021年年度股东大会上获得股东批准，将普通股授权股数从20亿股增加到40亿股。</blockquote></p><p><b>Highlights</b></p><p><blockquote><b>亮点</b></blockquote></p><p>NVIDIA achieved progress since its previous earnings announcement in these areas:</p><p><blockquote>自上次财报发布以来，英伟达在以下领域取得了进展：</blockquote></p><p><b>Gaming</b></p><p><blockquote><b>游戏</b></blockquote></p><p><ul><li>First-quarter revenue was a record $2.76 billion, up 106 percent from a year earlier and up 11 percent from the previous quarter.</li><li>Broadened the wave of laptops powered by NVIDIA’s second-generation RTX graphics with the launch ofGeForce RTX™ 3060 Laptop GPU systemsstarting at $999, and the announcement ofGeForce®3050 Ti and 3050 Laptop GPU systemsstarting at $799 and aimed at gamers and creators.</li><li>AcceleratedRTX momentumwith now over 60 games, including<i>Call of Duty Modern Warfare,Crysis Remastered</i>and<i>Outriders.</i></li><li>Took steps to improve gamers’ access to GeForce GPUs byreducing the Ethereum hash rate on newly manufactured RTX 3080, 3070 and 3060 Ti graphics cards-- which carry a “Lite Hash Rate,” or “LHR,” identifier -- in addition toprevious steps to lower the RTX 3060’s hash rate.</li><li>Announced thatNVIDIA DLSS is available now in Unreal Engine 4and soon in theUnity game engine.</li><li>Announced thatNVIDIA Reflex, which reduces system latency, is now incorporated into<i>Call of Duty Warzone</i>,<i>Overwatch</i>and<i>Rainbow Six</i><i>: Siege</i>.</li><li>Announced thatGeForce NOW™, now in its second year, has over 10 million members in more than 70 countries and is approaching 1,000 games in its library.</li></ul><b>Data Center</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>第一季度营收达到创纪录的27.6亿美元，同比增长106%，环比增长11%。</li><li>随着GeForce RTX的推出，扩大了采用NVIDIA第二代RTX显卡的笔记本电脑浪潮™3060笔记本电脑GPU系统起价999美元，以及GeForce的发布®3050 Ti和3050笔记本电脑GPU系统起价799美元，面向游戏玩家和创作者。</li><li>加速RTX势头，现已推出60多款游戏，包括<i>使命看涨期权现代战争，孤岛危机重制版</i>和<i>Outriders.</i></li><li>采取措施，通过降低新制造的RTX 3080、3070和3060 Ti显卡上的以太币哈希率（这些显卡带有“精简哈希率”或“LHR”标识符）来改善游戏玩家对GeForce GPU的访问。降低RTX 3060的哈希率。</li><li>宣布英伟达DLSS现已在虚幻引擎4中推出，并很快在Unity游戏引擎中推出。</li><li>宣布降低系统延迟的NVIDIA Reflex现已纳入<i>看涨期权值班战区</i>,<i>守望</i>和<i>彩虹六号</i><i>：胜利</i>.</li><li>宣布GeForce Now™该游戏现已进入第二年，在70多个国家拥有超过1000万会员，其图书馆中的游戏数量接近1,000款。</li></ul><b>数据中心</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p><ul><li>First-quarter revenue was a record $2.05 billion, up 79 percent from a year earlier and up 8 percent from the previous quarter.</li><li>Hosted its largest-everGPU Technology Conference, virtually, with more than 200,000 registrations from 195 countries, and an opening keynote with over 14 million views.</li><li>UnveiledNVIDIA Grace™, its first Arm-based data center CPU, designed for giant-scale AI and high performance computing, which will deliver 10x the performance of today’s fastest servers and power theworld’s most powerful AI-capable supercomputerat the Swiss National Supercomputing Centre.</li><li>Collaborated with Amazon Web Services to deployNVIDIA GPU inferencingthrough GPU-accelerated, AWS Graviton2-based Amazon EC2 instances, enabling GPU-accelerated games to run natively on AWS and allowing greater performance for Arm-based workloads.</li><li>Unveiled theNVIDIA®BlueField-3®DPU, the first data processing unit built for AI and accelerated computing, with support from VMware, Splunk, NetApp, Cloudflare and others.</li><li>Announced thenew NVIDIA DGX SuperPOD™, the first cloud-native, multi-tenant supercomputer, with customers in conversational AI, drug discovery, autonomous vehicles and more.</li><li>Announced that its AI inference platform, expanded withNVIDIA A30 and A10 GPUsfor mainstream servers, set records across every category in the latest release of the MLPerf benchmark for AI performance across a range of workloads.</li><li>Announced theNVIDIA AI Enterprise software suite for VMware vSphere, enabling scale-out, multi-node performance and compatibility for a range of applications and data science.</li><li>Introduced theNVIDIA Morpheus AIapplication framework to enable cybersecurity providers to instantly detect cyber breaches using AI and NVIDIA BlueField DPUs.</li><li>Announced availability ofNVIDIA Jarvis, a framework for interactive conversational AI, andNVIDIA Maxine™, a framework for real-time video-based experiences.</li><li>UnveiledNVIDIA TAO, a framework for accelerating the creation of enterprise AI applications.</li><li>Expanded its work supportingdrug development and discovery with NVIDIA Clara Discovery, announcing a partnership with Schrödinger to support the pharmaceutical industry with AI software to speed drug-discovery workflows.</li></ul><b>Professional Visualization</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>第一季度营收达到创纪录的20.5亿美元，同比增长79%，环比增长8%。</li><li>虚拟主办了其最大的everGPU技术会议，来自195个国家的超过200,000名注册者，开幕主题演讲的浏览量超过1400万次。</li><li>揭幕NVIDIA Grace™这是其首款基于Arm的数据中心CPU，专为大规模人工智能和高性能计算而设计，其性能将是当今最快服务器的10倍，并为瑞士国家超级计算中心世界上最强大的人工智能超级计算机提供动力。</li><li>与Amazon Web Services合作，通过GPU加速、基于AWS Graviton2的Amazon EC2实例部署Nvidia GPU推理，使GPU加速的游戏能够在AWS上原生运行，并为基于Arm的工作负载提供更高的性能。</li><li>theNVIDIA®蓝田3®DPU是第一个为人工智能和加速计算构建的数据处理单元，得到了VMware、Splunk、NetApp、Cloudflare等公司的支持。</li><li>宣布推出新款NVIDIA DGX SuperPOD™，第一台云原生、多租户超级计算机，客户涉及对话式AI、药物发现、自动驾驶汽车等领域。</li><li>宣布其人工智能推理平台通过NVIDIA A30和A10 GPU扩展到主流服务器，在最新发布的MLPerf基准测试中创下了一系列工作负载的人工智能性能的各个类别的记录。</li><li>发布了适用于VMware vSphere的Envidia AI企业软件套件，为一系列应用程序和数据科学实现横向扩展、多节点性能和兼容性。</li><li>推出了NVIDIA Morpheus AIApplication框架，使网络安全提供商能够使用AI和NVIDIA Bluefield DPU即时检测网络违规行为。</li><li>宣布推出交互式对话式人工智能框架NVIDIA Jarvis和NVIDIA Maxine™，一个基于实时视频体验的框架。</li><li>推出NVIDIA TAO，这是一个加速企业人工智能应用程序创建的框架。</li><li>通过NVIDIA Clara Discovery扩大了支持药物开发和发现的工作，宣布与Schrödinger合作，通过人工智能软件支持制药行业，以加快药物发现工作流程。</li></ul><b>专业可视化</b></blockquote></p><p><ul><li>First-quarter revenue was a record $372 million, up 21 percent both from a year earlier and the previous quarter.</li><li>Launched NVIDIA Omniverse™ Enterprisesoftware for real-time 3D design and collaboration, with BMW Group, Foster + Partners and WPP as early customers.</li><li>UnveiledNVIDIA RTX™ GPUsfor next-gen laptop and desktop workstations, including the NVIDIA RTX A4000 and A5000 for desktops and the A2000, A3000, A4000 and A5000 for laptops.</li><li>RevealedGANverse3D, an AI model for creating 3D object models from standard 2D images.</li></ul><b>Automotive</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>第一季度收入达到创纪录的3.72亿美元，同比和上一季度均增长21%。</li><li>推出NVIDIA Omniverse™用于实时3D设计和协作的企业软件，宝马集团、Foster+Partners和WPP是早期客户。</li><li>NVIDIA RTX亮相™适用于下一代笔记本电脑和台式机工作站的GPU，包括适用于台式机的NVIDIA RTX A4000和A5000以及适用于笔记本电脑的A2000、A3000、A4000和A5000。</li><li>RevealedGANverse3D，一个用于从标准2D图像创建3D对象模型的人工智能模型。</li></ul><b>汽车的</b></blockquote></p><p><ul><li>First-quarter revenue was $154 million, down 1 percent from a year earlier and up 6 percent from the previous quarter.</li><li>Unveiled NVIDIA DRIVE Atlan™, an AI-enabled processor for autonomous vehicles with 1,000 TOPS and data-center-grade security, targeting automakers’ 2025 vehicles.</li><li>AnnouncedNVIDIA DRIVE Hyperion™ 8, the latest generation of a fully operational, open platform that reduces the time and cost to outfit vehicles with AI and surround sensors.</li><li>Announced thatNVIDIA DRIVE™ will be powering intelligent new energy vehiclesfrom SAIC R Auto, IM Motors, Faraday Future and VinFast, starting in 2022.</li><li>Revealed that Cruise is the latestrobotaxi company selecting NVIDIA DRIVE, following announcements by Amazon Zoox, DiDi (DIDI), Oxbotica, Pony.ai and AutoX.</li><li>Announced thatVolvo Cars will use NVIDIA DRIVE Orin™&nbsp;to power the autonomous driving computer in its next-generation cars, beginning with the XC90, to be revealed in 2022.</li><li>Announced that theNVIDIA DRIVE platformpowers MBUX Hyperscreen, the AI cockpit in Mercedes-Benz’s new EQS sedan.</li><li>Announced that TuSimple and Navistar will buildself-driving trucks powered by the NVIDIA DRIVE AGX™ platform, and the self-driving truck companyPlus will use NVIDIA DRIVE Orinfor its upcoming autonomous vehicle platform.</li></ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>第一季度营收为1.54亿美元，同比下降1%，环比增长6%。</li><li>推出NVIDIA DRIVE Atlan™，一款支持人工智能的自动驾驶汽车处理器，具有1000个TOP和数据中心级安全性，目标是汽车制造商2025年的汽车。</li><li>宣布Nvidia Drive Hyperion™8、最新一代全功能开放平台，可减少为车辆配备人工智能和环绕传感器的时间和成本。</li><li>宣布Nvidia Drive™将从2022年开始为上汽R Auto、IM Motors、法拉第未来和VinFast的智能新能源汽车提供动力。</li><li>据透露，继亚马逊Zoox、滴滴(DIDI)、Oxbotica、小马智行和AutoX发布公告后，Cruise是最新一家选择NVIDIA DRIVE的Strobotaxi公司。</li><li>宣布沃尔沃汽车将使用NVIDIA DRIVE Orin™为其下一代汽车中的自动驾驶计算机提供动力，首先是将于2022年发布的XC90。</li><li>宣布ThenVidia Drive Platform为梅赛德斯-奔驰新款EQS轿车中的人工智能驾驶舱MBUX Hyperscreen提供支持。</li><li>宣布图森未来和纳威司达将制造由NVIDIA DRIVE AGX驱动的自动驾驶卡车™平台，自动驾驶卡车公司Plus将在其即将推出的自动驾驶汽车平台中使用NVIDIA DRIVE ORIN。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nvidia EPS beats by $0.38, beats on revenue<blockquote>英伟达每股收益超过预期0.38美元，营收超过预期</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNvidia EPS beats by $0.38, beats on revenue<blockquote>英伟达每股收益超过预期0.38美元，营收超过预期</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-05-27 07:38</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(May&nbsp;27)&nbsp;Nvidia today reported record revenue for the first quarter ended May 2, 2021, of $5.66 billion, up 84 percent from a year earlier and up 13 percent from the previous quarter, with record revenue from the company’s Gaming, Data Center and Professional Visualization platforms.</p><p><blockquote>（5月27日）英伟达今天公布了截至2021年5月2日的第一季度创纪录的收入，为56.6亿美元，同比增长84%，环比增长13%，来自该公司游戏、数据中心和专业可视化平台的收入创纪录。</blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Nvidia&nbsp;Q1 Non-GAAP EPS of $3.66beats by $0.38; GAAP EPS of $3.03beats by $0.51.</li><li>Revenue of $5.66B (+83.8% Y/Y)beats by $250M.</li></ul><b>Outlook for the second quarter of fiscal 2022 is as follows:</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>Nvidia第一季度非GAAP每股收益为3.66美元，超过预期为0.38美元；GAAP每股收益为3.03美元，超过预期为0.51美元。</li><li>收入为$5.66 B（同比增长83.8%）超过预期2.5亿美元。</li></ul><b>2022财年第二季度展望如下：</b></blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Revenue is expected to be $6.30 billion, plus or minus 2 percent&nbsp;vs. $5.48B consensus.</li><li>GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins are expected to be 64.6 percent and 66.5 percent, respectively, plus or minus 50 basis points.</li><li>GAAP and non-GAAP operating expenses are expected to be approximately $1.76 billion and $1.26 billion, respectively.</li><li>GAAP and non-GAAP other income and expense are both expected to be an expense of approximately $50 million.</li><li>GAAP and non-GAAP tax rates are both expected to be 10 percent, plus or minus 1 percent, excluding any discrete items. GAAP discrete items include excess tax benefits or deficiencies related to stock-based compensation, which are expected to generate variability on a quarter-by-quarter basis.</li></ul>Shares&nbsp;of&nbsp;Nvidia&nbsp;fell&nbsp;nearly&nbsp;1%&nbsp;in&nbsp;afterhour&nbsp;trading.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>收入预计为63亿美元，同比正负2%。$54.8亿共识。</li><li>GAAP和非GAAP毛利率预计分别为64.6%和66.5%，上下浮动50个基点。</li><li>GAAP和非GAAP运营费用预计分别约为17.6亿美元和12.6亿美元。</li><li>GAAP和非GAAP其他收入和费用预计均为约5000万美元的费用。</li><li>GAAP和非GAAP税率预计均为10%，正负1%，不包括任何离散项目。GAAP离散项目包括与股票薪酬相关的超额税收优惠或缺陷，预计会产生季度差异。</li></ul>英伟达股价在盘后交易中下跌近1%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cc5b2493152883344459d99c9fa7aa82\" tg-width=\"662\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">“We had a fantastic quarter, with strong demand for our products driving record revenue,” saidJensen Huang, founder and CEO of NVIDIA.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达创始人兼首席执行官黄仁勋表示：“我们度过了一个出色的季度，对我们产品的强劲需求推动了创纪录的收入。”</blockquote></p><p>“Our Data Center (VPN) business continues to expand, as the world’s industries take up NVIDIA AI to process computer vision, conversational AI, natural language understanding and recommender systems. NVIDIA RTX has reinvented computer graphics and is driving upgrades across the gaming and design markets. Our partners are launching the largest-ever wave of NVIDIA-powered laptops. Across industries, the adoption of NVIDIA computing platforms is accelerating.</p><p><blockquote>“随着全球各行业采用NVIDIA AI来处理计算机视觉、对话式AI、自然语言理解和推荐系统，我们的数据中心(VPN)业务不断扩大。NVIDIA RTX重塑了计算机图形，并推动了整个游戏和设计市场的升级。我们的合作伙伴正在推出有史以来最大规模的NVIDIA笔记本电脑浪潮。在各个行业中，英伟达计算平台的采用正在加速。</blockquote></p><p>“Mellanox, one year in, has exceeded our expectations and transformed NVIDIA into a data-center-scale computing company. We continue to make headway with our planned acquisition of Arm, which will accelerate innovation and growth for the Arm ecosystem. From gaming, cloud computing, AI, robotics, self-driving cars, to genomics and computational biology, NVIDIA continues to do impactful work to invent a better future,” he said.</p><p><blockquote>“一年来，Mellanox超出了我们的预期，将英伟达转变为一家数据中心规模的计算公司。我们计划收购Arm，继续取得进展，这将加速Arm生态系统的创新和增长。从游戏、云计算、人工智能、机器人、自动驾驶汽车，到基因组学和计算生物学，英伟达继续开展有影响力的工作，以创造更美好的未来，”他说。</blockquote></p><p>NVIDIA paid quarterly cash dividends of $99 million in the first quarter. It will pay its next quarterly cash dividend of $0.16 per share on July 1, 2021, to all shareholders of record on June 10, 2021.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达第一季度支付了9900万美元的季度现金股息。它将于2021年7月1日向2021年6月10日登记在册的所有股东支付每股0.16美元的下一季度现金股息。</blockquote></p><p>On May 21, 2021, the company’s board of directors declared a four-for-one split of NVIDIA’s common stock payable in the form of a stock dividend, with the additional shares expected to be distributed on July 19, 2021. The stock dividend is conditioned on obtaining stockholder approval at the company’s 2021 Annual Meeting of Stockholders on June 3, 2021, to increase the number of authorized shares of common stock from 2 billion to 4 billion.</p><p><blockquote>2021年5月21日，公司董事会宣布以股票股息的形式将英伟达普通股拆四拆一，额外股份预计将于2021年7月19日分配。股票股息的条件是在2021年6月3日举行的公司2021年年度股东大会上获得股东批准，将普通股授权股数从20亿股增加到40亿股。</blockquote></p><p><b>Highlights</b></p><p><blockquote><b>亮点</b></blockquote></p><p>NVIDIA achieved progress since its previous earnings announcement in these areas:</p><p><blockquote>自上次财报发布以来，英伟达在以下领域取得了进展：</blockquote></p><p><b>Gaming</b></p><p><blockquote><b>游戏</b></blockquote></p><p><ul><li>First-quarter revenue was a record $2.76 billion, up 106 percent from a year earlier and up 11 percent from the previous quarter.</li><li>Broadened the wave of laptops powered by NVIDIA’s second-generation RTX graphics with the launch ofGeForce RTX™ 3060 Laptop GPU systemsstarting at $999, and the announcement ofGeForce®3050 Ti and 3050 Laptop GPU systemsstarting at $799 and aimed at gamers and creators.</li><li>AcceleratedRTX momentumwith now over 60 games, including<i>Call of Duty Modern Warfare,Crysis Remastered</i>and<i>Outriders.</i></li><li>Took steps to improve gamers’ access to GeForce GPUs byreducing the Ethereum hash rate on newly manufactured RTX 3080, 3070 and 3060 Ti graphics cards-- which carry a “Lite Hash Rate,” or “LHR,” identifier -- in addition toprevious steps to lower the RTX 3060’s hash rate.</li><li>Announced thatNVIDIA DLSS is available now in Unreal Engine 4and soon in theUnity game engine.</li><li>Announced thatNVIDIA Reflex, which reduces system latency, is now incorporated into<i>Call of Duty Warzone</i>,<i>Overwatch</i>and<i>Rainbow Six</i><i>: Siege</i>.</li><li>Announced thatGeForce NOW™, now in its second year, has over 10 million members in more than 70 countries and is approaching 1,000 games in its library.</li></ul><b>Data Center</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>第一季度营收达到创纪录的27.6亿美元，同比增长106%，环比增长11%。</li><li>随着GeForce RTX的推出，扩大了采用NVIDIA第二代RTX显卡的笔记本电脑浪潮™3060笔记本电脑GPU系统起价999美元，以及GeForce的发布®3050 Ti和3050笔记本电脑GPU系统起价799美元，面向游戏玩家和创作者。</li><li>加速RTX势头，现已推出60多款游戏，包括<i>使命看涨期权现代战争，孤岛危机重制版</i>和<i>Outriders.</i></li><li>采取措施，通过降低新制造的RTX 3080、3070和3060 Ti显卡上的以太币哈希率（这些显卡带有“精简哈希率”或“LHR”标识符）来改善游戏玩家对GeForce GPU的访问。降低RTX 3060的哈希率。</li><li>宣布英伟达DLSS现已在虚幻引擎4中推出，并很快在Unity游戏引擎中推出。</li><li>宣布降低系统延迟的NVIDIA Reflex现已纳入<i>看涨期权值班战区</i>,<i>守望</i>和<i>彩虹六号</i><i>：胜利</i>.</li><li>宣布GeForce Now™该游戏现已进入第二年，在70多个国家拥有超过1000万会员，其图书馆中的游戏数量接近1,000款。</li></ul><b>数据中心</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p><ul><li>First-quarter revenue was a record $2.05 billion, up 79 percent from a year earlier and up 8 percent from the previous quarter.</li><li>Hosted its largest-everGPU Technology Conference, virtually, with more than 200,000 registrations from 195 countries, and an opening keynote with over 14 million views.</li><li>UnveiledNVIDIA Grace™, its first Arm-based data center CPU, designed for giant-scale AI and high performance computing, which will deliver 10x the performance of today’s fastest servers and power theworld’s most powerful AI-capable supercomputerat the Swiss National Supercomputing Centre.</li><li>Collaborated with Amazon Web Services to deployNVIDIA GPU inferencingthrough GPU-accelerated, AWS Graviton2-based Amazon EC2 instances, enabling GPU-accelerated games to run natively on AWS and allowing greater performance for Arm-based workloads.</li><li>Unveiled theNVIDIA®BlueField-3®DPU, the first data processing unit built for AI and accelerated computing, with support from VMware, Splunk, NetApp, Cloudflare and others.</li><li>Announced thenew NVIDIA DGX SuperPOD™, the first cloud-native, multi-tenant supercomputer, with customers in conversational AI, drug discovery, autonomous vehicles and more.</li><li>Announced that its AI inference platform, expanded withNVIDIA A30 and A10 GPUsfor mainstream servers, set records across every category in the latest release of the MLPerf benchmark for AI performance across a range of workloads.</li><li>Announced theNVIDIA AI Enterprise software suite for VMware vSphere, enabling scale-out, multi-node performance and compatibility for a range of applications and data science.</li><li>Introduced theNVIDIA Morpheus AIapplication framework to enable cybersecurity providers to instantly detect cyber breaches using AI and NVIDIA BlueField DPUs.</li><li>Announced availability ofNVIDIA Jarvis, a framework for interactive conversational AI, andNVIDIA Maxine™, a framework for real-time video-based experiences.</li><li>UnveiledNVIDIA TAO, a framework for accelerating the creation of enterprise AI applications.</li><li>Expanded its work supportingdrug development and discovery with NVIDIA Clara Discovery, announcing a partnership with Schrödinger to support the pharmaceutical industry with AI software to speed drug-discovery workflows.</li></ul><b>Professional Visualization</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>第一季度营收达到创纪录的20.5亿美元，同比增长79%，环比增长8%。</li><li>虚拟主办了其最大的everGPU技术会议，来自195个国家的超过200,000名注册者，开幕主题演讲的浏览量超过1400万次。</li><li>揭幕NVIDIA Grace™这是其首款基于Arm的数据中心CPU，专为大规模人工智能和高性能计算而设计，其性能将是当今最快服务器的10倍，并为瑞士国家超级计算中心世界上最强大的人工智能超级计算机提供动力。</li><li>与Amazon Web Services合作，通过GPU加速、基于AWS Graviton2的Amazon EC2实例部署Nvidia GPU推理，使GPU加速的游戏能够在AWS上原生运行，并为基于Arm的工作负载提供更高的性能。</li><li>theNVIDIA®蓝田3®DPU是第一个为人工智能和加速计算构建的数据处理单元，得到了VMware、Splunk、NetApp、Cloudflare等公司的支持。</li><li>宣布推出新款NVIDIA DGX SuperPOD™，第一台云原生、多租户超级计算机，客户涉及对话式AI、药物发现、自动驾驶汽车等领域。</li><li>宣布其人工智能推理平台通过NVIDIA A30和A10 GPU扩展到主流服务器，在最新发布的MLPerf基准测试中创下了一系列工作负载的人工智能性能的各个类别的记录。</li><li>发布了适用于VMware vSphere的Envidia AI企业软件套件，为一系列应用程序和数据科学实现横向扩展、多节点性能和兼容性。</li><li>推出了NVIDIA Morpheus AIApplication框架，使网络安全提供商能够使用AI和NVIDIA Bluefield DPU即时检测网络违规行为。</li><li>宣布推出交互式对话式人工智能框架NVIDIA Jarvis和NVIDIA Maxine™，一个基于实时视频体验的框架。</li><li>推出NVIDIA TAO，这是一个加速企业人工智能应用程序创建的框架。</li><li>通过NVIDIA Clara Discovery扩大了支持药物开发和发现的工作，宣布与Schrödinger合作，通过人工智能软件支持制药行业，以加快药物发现工作流程。</li></ul><b>专业可视化</b></blockquote></p><p><ul><li>First-quarter revenue was a record $372 million, up 21 percent both from a year earlier and the previous quarter.</li><li>Launched NVIDIA Omniverse™ Enterprisesoftware for real-time 3D design and collaboration, with BMW Group, Foster + Partners and WPP as early customers.</li><li>UnveiledNVIDIA RTX™ GPUsfor next-gen laptop and desktop workstations, including the NVIDIA RTX A4000 and A5000 for desktops and the A2000, A3000, A4000 and A5000 for laptops.</li><li>RevealedGANverse3D, an AI model for creating 3D object models from standard 2D images.</li></ul><b>Automotive</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>第一季度收入达到创纪录的3.72亿美元，同比和上一季度均增长21%。</li><li>推出NVIDIA Omniverse™用于实时3D设计和协作的企业软件，宝马集团、Foster+Partners和WPP是早期客户。</li><li>NVIDIA RTX亮相™适用于下一代笔记本电脑和台式机工作站的GPU，包括适用于台式机的NVIDIA RTX A4000和A5000以及适用于笔记本电脑的A2000、A3000、A4000和A5000。</li><li>RevealedGANverse3D，一个用于从标准2D图像创建3D对象模型的人工智能模型。</li></ul><b>汽车的</b></blockquote></p><p><ul><li>First-quarter revenue was $154 million, down 1 percent from a year earlier and up 6 percent from the previous quarter.</li><li>Unveiled NVIDIA DRIVE Atlan™, an AI-enabled processor for autonomous vehicles with 1,000 TOPS and data-center-grade security, targeting automakers’ 2025 vehicles.</li><li>AnnouncedNVIDIA DRIVE Hyperion™ 8, the latest generation of a fully operational, open platform that reduces the time and cost to outfit vehicles with AI and surround sensors.</li><li>Announced thatNVIDIA DRIVE™ will be powering intelligent new energy vehiclesfrom SAIC R Auto, IM Motors, Faraday Future and VinFast, starting in 2022.</li><li>Revealed that Cruise is the latestrobotaxi company selecting NVIDIA DRIVE, following announcements by Amazon Zoox, DiDi (DIDI), Oxbotica, Pony.ai and AutoX.</li><li>Announced thatVolvo Cars will use NVIDIA DRIVE Orin™&nbsp;to power the autonomous driving computer in its next-generation cars, beginning with the XC90, to be revealed in 2022.</li><li>Announced that theNVIDIA DRIVE platformpowers MBUX Hyperscreen, the AI cockpit in Mercedes-Benz’s new EQS sedan.</li><li>Announced that TuSimple and Navistar will buildself-driving trucks powered by the NVIDIA DRIVE AGX™ platform, and the self-driving truck companyPlus will use NVIDIA DRIVE Orinfor its upcoming autonomous vehicle platform.</li></ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>第一季度营收为1.54亿美元，同比下降1%，环比增长6%。</li><li>推出NVIDIA DRIVE Atlan™，一款支持人工智能的自动驾驶汽车处理器，具有1000个TOP和数据中心级安全性，目标是汽车制造商2025年的汽车。</li><li>宣布Nvidia Drive Hyperion™8、最新一代全功能开放平台，可减少为车辆配备人工智能和环绕传感器的时间和成本。</li><li>宣布Nvidia Drive™将从2022年开始为上汽R Auto、IM Motors、法拉第未来和VinFast的智能新能源汽车提供动力。</li><li>据透露，继亚马逊Zoox、滴滴(DIDI)、Oxbotica、小马智行和AutoX发布公告后，Cruise是最新一家选择NVIDIA DRIVE的Strobotaxi公司。</li><li>宣布沃尔沃汽车将使用NVIDIA DRIVE Orin™为其下一代汽车中的自动驾驶计算机提供动力，首先是将于2022年发布的XC90。</li><li>宣布ThenVidia Drive Platform为梅赛德斯-奔驰新款EQS轿车中的人工智能驾驶舱MBUX Hyperscreen提供支持。</li><li>宣布图森未来和纳威司达将制造由NVIDIA DRIVE AGX驱动的自动驾驶卡车™平台，自动驾驶卡车公司Plus将在其即将推出的自动驾驶汽车平台中使用NVIDIA DRIVE ORIN。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NVDA":"英伟达"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198109956","content_text":"(May 27) Nvidia today reported record revenue for the first quarter ended May 2, 2021, of $5.66 billion, up 84 percent from a year earlier and up 13 percent from the previous quarter, with record revenue from the company’s Gaming, Data Center and Professional Visualization platforms.Nvidia Q1 Non-GAAP EPS of $3.66beats by $0.38; GAAP EPS of $3.03beats by $0.51.Revenue of $5.66B (+83.8% Y/Y)beats by $250M.Outlook for the second quarter of fiscal 2022 is as follows:Revenue is expected to be $6.30 billion, plus or minus 2 percent vs. $5.48B consensus.GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins are expected to be 64.6 percent and 66.5 percent, respectively, plus or minus 50 basis points.GAAP and non-GAAP operating expenses are expected to be approximately $1.76 billion and $1.26 billion, respectively.GAAP and non-GAAP other income and expense are both expected to be an expense of approximately $50 million.GAAP and non-GAAP tax rates are both expected to be 10 percent, plus or minus 1 percent, excluding any discrete items. GAAP discrete items include excess tax benefits or deficiencies related to stock-based compensation, which are expected to generate variability on a quarter-by-quarter basis.Shares of Nvidia fell nearly 1% in afterhour trading.“We had a fantastic quarter, with strong demand for our products driving record revenue,” saidJensen Huang, founder and CEO of NVIDIA.“Our Data Center (VPN) business continues to expand, as the world’s industries take up NVIDIA AI to process computer vision, conversational AI, natural language understanding and recommender systems. NVIDIA RTX has reinvented computer graphics and is driving upgrades across the gaming and design markets. Our partners are launching the largest-ever wave of NVIDIA-powered laptops. Across industries, the adoption of NVIDIA computing platforms is accelerating.“Mellanox, one year in, has exceeded our expectations and transformed NVIDIA into a data-center-scale computing company. We continue to make headway with our planned acquisition of Arm, which will accelerate innovation and growth for the Arm ecosystem. From gaming, cloud computing, AI, robotics, self-driving cars, to genomics and computational biology, NVIDIA continues to do impactful work to invent a better future,” he said.NVIDIA paid quarterly cash dividends of $99 million in the first quarter. It will pay its next quarterly cash dividend of $0.16 per share on July 1, 2021, to all shareholders of record on June 10, 2021.On May 21, 2021, the company’s board of directors declared a four-for-one split of NVIDIA’s common stock payable in the form of a stock dividend, with the additional shares expected to be distributed on July 19, 2021. The stock dividend is conditioned on obtaining stockholder approval at the company’s 2021 Annual Meeting of Stockholders on June 3, 2021, to increase the number of authorized shares of common stock from 2 billion to 4 billion.HighlightsNVIDIA achieved progress since its previous earnings announcement in these areas:GamingFirst-quarter revenue was a record $2.76 billion, up 106 percent from a year earlier and up 11 percent from the previous quarter.Broadened the wave of laptops powered by NVIDIA’s second-generation RTX graphics with the launch ofGeForce RTX™ 3060 Laptop GPU systemsstarting at $999, and the announcement ofGeForce®3050 Ti and 3050 Laptop GPU systemsstarting at $799 and aimed at gamers and creators.AcceleratedRTX momentumwith now over 60 games, includingCall of Duty Modern Warfare,Crysis RemasteredandOutriders.Took steps to improve gamers’ access to GeForce GPUs byreducing the Ethereum hash rate on newly manufactured RTX 3080, 3070 and 3060 Ti graphics cards-- which carry a “Lite Hash Rate,” or “LHR,” identifier -- in addition toprevious steps to lower the RTX 3060’s hash rate.Announced thatNVIDIA DLSS is available now in Unreal Engine 4and soon in theUnity game engine.Announced thatNVIDIA Reflex, which reduces system latency, is now incorporated intoCall of Duty Warzone,OverwatchandRainbow Six: Siege.Announced thatGeForce NOW™, now in its second year, has over 10 million members in more than 70 countries and is approaching 1,000 games in its library.Data CenterFirst-quarter revenue was a record $2.05 billion, up 79 percent from a year earlier and up 8 percent from the previous quarter.Hosted its largest-everGPU Technology Conference, virtually, with more than 200,000 registrations from 195 countries, and an opening keynote with over 14 million views.UnveiledNVIDIA Grace™, its first Arm-based data center CPU, designed for giant-scale AI and high performance computing, which will deliver 10x the performance of today’s fastest servers and power theworld’s most powerful AI-capable supercomputerat the Swiss National Supercomputing Centre.Collaborated with Amazon Web Services to deployNVIDIA GPU inferencingthrough GPU-accelerated, AWS Graviton2-based Amazon EC2 instances, enabling GPU-accelerated games to run natively on AWS and allowing greater performance for Arm-based workloads.Unveiled theNVIDIA®BlueField-3®DPU, the first data processing unit built for AI and accelerated computing, with support from VMware, Splunk, NetApp, Cloudflare and others.Announced thenew NVIDIA DGX SuperPOD™, the first cloud-native, multi-tenant supercomputer, with customers in conversational AI, drug discovery, autonomous vehicles and more.Announced that its AI inference platform, expanded withNVIDIA A30 and A10 GPUsfor mainstream servers, set records across every category in the latest release of the MLPerf benchmark for AI performance across a range of workloads.Announced theNVIDIA AI Enterprise software suite for VMware vSphere, enabling scale-out, multi-node performance and compatibility for a range of applications and data science.Introduced theNVIDIA Morpheus AIapplication framework to enable cybersecurity providers to instantly detect cyber breaches using AI and NVIDIA BlueField DPUs.Announced availability ofNVIDIA Jarvis, a framework for interactive conversational AI, andNVIDIA Maxine™, a framework for real-time video-based experiences.UnveiledNVIDIA TAO, a framework for accelerating the creation of enterprise AI applications.Expanded its work supportingdrug development and discovery with NVIDIA Clara Discovery, announcing a partnership with Schrödinger to support the pharmaceutical industry with AI software to speed drug-discovery workflows.Professional VisualizationFirst-quarter revenue was a record $372 million, up 21 percent both from a year earlier and the previous quarter.Launched NVIDIA Omniverse™ Enterprisesoftware for real-time 3D design and collaboration, with BMW Group, Foster + Partners and WPP as early customers.UnveiledNVIDIA RTX™ GPUsfor next-gen laptop and desktop workstations, including the NVIDIA RTX A4000 and A5000 for desktops and the A2000, A3000, A4000 and A5000 for laptops.RevealedGANverse3D, an AI model for creating 3D object models from standard 2D images.AutomotiveFirst-quarter revenue was $154 million, down 1 percent from a year earlier and up 6 percent from the previous quarter.Unveiled NVIDIA DRIVE Atlan™, an AI-enabled processor for autonomous vehicles with 1,000 TOPS and data-center-grade security, targeting automakers’ 2025 vehicles.AnnouncedNVIDIA DRIVE Hyperion™ 8, the latest generation of a fully operational, open platform that reduces the time and cost to outfit vehicles with AI and surround sensors.Announced thatNVIDIA DRIVE™ will be powering intelligent new energy vehiclesfrom SAIC R Auto, IM Motors, Faraday Future and VinFast, starting in 2022.Revealed that Cruise is the latestrobotaxi company selecting NVIDIA DRIVE, following announcements by Amazon Zoox, DiDi (DIDI), Oxbotica, Pony.ai and AutoX.Announced thatVolvo Cars will use NVIDIA DRIVE Orin™ to power the autonomous driving computer in its next-generation cars, beginning with the XC90, to be revealed in 2022.Announced that theNVIDIA DRIVE platformpowers MBUX Hyperscreen, the AI cockpit in Mercedes-Benz’s new EQS sedan.Announced that TuSimple and Navistar will buildself-driving trucks powered by the NVIDIA DRIVE AGX™ platform, and the self-driving truck companyPlus will use NVIDIA DRIVE Orinfor its upcoming autonomous vehicle platform.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3083,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":136714688,"gmtCreate":1622039528144,"gmtModify":1634184420855,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574940130653589","idStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"They can enter anywhere anytime. Nothing new about it","listText":"They can enter anywhere anytime. Nothing new about it","text":"They can enter anywhere anytime. Nothing new about it","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/136714688","repostId":"2138458148","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3330,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":138118131,"gmtCreate":1621916922823,"gmtModify":1634185505648,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574940130653589","idStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Explanations always come after things happened","listText":"Explanations always come after things happened","text":"Explanations always come after things happened","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/138118131","repostId":"2137132568","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3145,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":130306349,"gmtCreate":1621509441681,"gmtModify":1634188573404,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574940130653589","idStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Gamble","listText":"Gamble","text":"Gamble","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/130306349","repostId":"1157270283","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":616,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":195441166,"gmtCreate":1621311345655,"gmtModify":1634192539851,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574940130653589","idStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"He should be regulated","listText":"He should be regulated","text":"He should be regulated","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/195441166","repostId":"1124011196","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":731,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":192864719,"gmtCreate":1621179291631,"gmtModify":1634193565493,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574940130653589","idStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"You can never predict let alone explain&nbsp;","listText":"You can never predict let alone explain&nbsp;","text":"You can never predict let alone explain","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/192864719","repostId":"1163454382","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1163454382","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1621004581,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1163454382?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-14 23:03","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why AMC Entertainment Stock Jumped Again Friday<blockquote>为什么AMC院线股价周五再次上涨</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1163454382","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"AMC investors have reason for more optimism on the heels of another capital raise.Yesterday's jump came after the company announcedit raised $428 million. First, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention  issued a new statement on current health and safety protocols saying that fully vaccinated people can resume activities without wearing a mask or physically distancing, including indoors.This should allow theaters to open back up at full capacity and be a desirable destination for vaccinat","content":"<p>  <b>AMC investors have reason for more optimism on the heels of another capital raise.</b>  <b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>在再次融资后，AMC投资者有理由更加乐观。</b><b>发生了什么</b></blockquote></p><p> A day after<b>AMC Entertainment Holdings</b>(NYSE:AMC)</p><p><blockquote>一天后<b>AMC院线控股</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：AMC）</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> Yesterday's jump came after the company announcedit raised $428 million</p><p><blockquote>昨天的股价上涨是在该公司宣布筹集4.28亿美元后发生的</blockquote></p><p> First, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) issued a new statement on current health and safety protocols saying that fully vaccinated people can resume activities without wearing a mask or physically distancing, including indoors.</p><p><blockquote>首先，美国疾病控制和预防中心（CDC）发布了一份关于当前健康和安全协议的新声明，称完全接种疫苗的人可以在不戴口罩或保持身体距离的情况下恢复活动，包括在室内。</blockquote></p><p> This should allow theaters to open back up at full capacity and be a desirable destination for vaccinated movie patrons. Also yesterday,<b>Walt Disney</b>(NYSE:DIS)announced its quarterly earnings report, and CEO Bob Chapek noted \"increased production at our studios.\" While that is a positive for theater operators, Disney also reported disappointing subscriber growth in itsstreaming services.</p><p><blockquote>这将使电影院能够满负荷开放，并成为接种疫苗的电影顾客的理想目的地。同样在昨天，<b>迪斯尼</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：DIS）宣布了季度收益报告，首席执行官鲍勃·查佩克指出“我们工作室的产量有所增加”。虽然这对影院运营商来说是积极的，但迪士尼也报告称其流媒体服务的用户增长令人失望。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> Lower streaming subscriptions could be a positive sign for the theater business. As vaccinations continue to roll out, and with the CDC now officially giving its approval to gather indoors with crowds and without masks, theater attendance may resume quickly.</p><p><blockquote>流媒体订阅量的下降对影院业务来说可能是一个积极的信号。随着疫苗接种的继续推广，以及疾病预防控制中心现在正式批准在不戴口罩的情况下与人群聚集在室内，剧院的上座率可能会很快恢复。</blockquote></p><p> Vaccinations are going to drive people back to activities outside the home. Movie theaters are likely to be a favorite destination after more than a year of mostly watching at home. On the heels of another capital raise, AMC investors may be thinking this company finally has a promising path ahead.</p><p><blockquote>疫苗接种将促使人们回到户外活动。在一年多的时间里，电影院可能会成为人们最喜欢的目的地。在另一次融资之后，AMC投资者可能认为这家公司终于有了一条充满希望的未来之路。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why AMC Entertainment Stock Jumped Again Friday<blockquote>为什么AMC院线股价周五再次上涨</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy AMC Entertainment Stock Jumped Again Friday<blockquote>为什么AMC院线股价周五再次上涨</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-14 23:03</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>AMC investors have reason for more optimism on the heels of another capital raise.</b>  <b>What happened</b></p><p><blockquote><b>在再次融资后，AMC投资者有理由更加乐观。</b><b>发生了什么</b></blockquote></p><p> A day after<b>AMC Entertainment Holdings</b>(NYSE:AMC)</p><p><blockquote>一天后<b>AMC院线控股</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：AMC）</blockquote></p><p> <b>So what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>那又怎样</b></blockquote></p><p> Yesterday's jump came after the company announcedit raised $428 million</p><p><blockquote>昨天的股价上涨是在该公司宣布筹集4.28亿美元后发生的</blockquote></p><p> First, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) issued a new statement on current health and safety protocols saying that fully vaccinated people can resume activities without wearing a mask or physically distancing, including indoors.</p><p><blockquote>首先，美国疾病控制和预防中心（CDC）发布了一份关于当前健康和安全协议的新声明，称完全接种疫苗的人可以在不戴口罩或保持身体距离的情况下恢复活动，包括在室内。</blockquote></p><p> This should allow theaters to open back up at full capacity and be a desirable destination for vaccinated movie patrons. Also yesterday,<b>Walt Disney</b>(NYSE:DIS)announced its quarterly earnings report, and CEO Bob Chapek noted \"increased production at our studios.\" While that is a positive for theater operators, Disney also reported disappointing subscriber growth in itsstreaming services.</p><p><blockquote>这将使电影院能够满负荷开放，并成为接种疫苗的电影顾客的理想目的地。同样在昨天，<b>迪斯尼</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：DIS）宣布了季度收益报告，首席执行官鲍勃·查佩克指出“我们工作室的产量有所增加”。虽然这对影院运营商来说是积极的，但迪士尼也报告称其流媒体服务的用户增长令人失望。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Now what</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在怎么办</b></blockquote></p><p> Lower streaming subscriptions could be a positive sign for the theater business. As vaccinations continue to roll out, and with the CDC now officially giving its approval to gather indoors with crowds and without masks, theater attendance may resume quickly.</p><p><blockquote>流媒体订阅量的下降对影院业务来说可能是一个积极的信号。随着疫苗接种的继续推广，以及疾病预防控制中心现在正式批准在不戴口罩的情况下与人群聚集在室内，剧院的上座率可能会很快恢复。</blockquote></p><p> Vaccinations are going to drive people back to activities outside the home. Movie theaters are likely to be a favorite destination after more than a year of mostly watching at home. On the heels of another capital raise, AMC investors may be thinking this company finally has a promising path ahead.</p><p><blockquote>疫苗接种将促使人们回到户外活动。在一年多的时间里，电影院可能会成为人们最喜欢的目的地。在另一次融资之后，AMC投资者可能认为这家公司终于有了一条充满希望的未来之路。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/14/why-amc-entertainment-stock-jumped-again-friday/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/05/14/why-amc-entertainment-stock-jumped-again-friday/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1163454382","content_text":"AMC investors have reason for more optimism on the heels of another capital raise.\n\nWhat happened\nA day afterAMC Entertainment Holdings(NYSE:AMC)\nSo what\nYesterday's jump came after the company announcedit raised $428 million\nFirst, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) issued a new statement on current health and safety protocols saying that fully vaccinated people can resume activities without wearing a mask or physically distancing, including indoors.\nThis should allow theaters to open back up at full capacity and be a desirable destination for vaccinated movie patrons. Also yesterday,Walt Disney(NYSE:DIS)announced its quarterly earnings report, and CEO Bob Chapek noted \"increased production at our studios.\" While that is a positive for theater operators, Disney also reported disappointing subscriber growth in itsstreaming services.\nNow what\nLower streaming subscriptions could be a positive sign for the theater business. As vaccinations continue to roll out, and with the CDC now officially giving its approval to gather indoors with crowds and without masks, theater attendance may resume quickly.\nVaccinations are going to drive people back to activities outside the home. Movie theaters are likely to be a favorite destination after more than a year of mostly watching at home. On the heels of another capital raise, AMC investors may be thinking this company finally has a promising path ahead.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":959,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":198061988,"gmtCreate":1620914357544,"gmtModify":1634195326260,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574940130653589","idStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Whenever anything goes down, more will say it will go down more. It's just baseless.","listText":"Whenever anything goes down, more will say it will go down more. It's just baseless.","text":"Whenever anything goes down, more will say it will go down more. It's just baseless.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/198061988","repostId":"1164484222","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":771,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":193558083,"gmtCreate":1620802317142,"gmtModify":1634196178475,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574940130653589","idStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Too free and nothing better to do","listText":"Too free and nothing better to do","text":"Too free and nothing better to do","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/193558083","repostId":"2134699733","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":730,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":107765964,"gmtCreate":1620540851858,"gmtModify":1634198133631,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574940130653589","idStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Inflation could be a result of higher wages","listText":"Inflation could be a result of higher wages","text":"Inflation could be a result of higher wages","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/107765964","repostId":"1193602237","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1193602237","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620471120,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1193602237?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-08 18:52","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. hiring takes big step back as businesses scramble for workers, raw materials<blockquote>由于企业争夺工人和原材料，美国招聘大幅倒退</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1193602237","media":"reuters","summary":"U.S. employers likely hired nearly a million workers in April as they rushed to meet a surge in dema","content":"<p>U.S. employers likely hired nearly a million workers in April as they rushed to meet a surge in demand, unleashed by the reopening of the economy amid rapidly improving public health and massive financial help from the government.</p><p><blockquote>美国雇主可能在4月份雇佣了近100万名工人，因为他们急于满足需求的激增，而需求是由公共卫生迅速改善和政府的大规模财政援助导致的。</blockquote></p><p>The Labor Department's closely watched employment report on Friday will be the first to show the impact of the White House's $1.9 trillion COVID-19 pandemic rescue package, which was approved in March. It is likely to show the economy entered the second quarter with even greater momentum, firmly putting it on track this year for its best performance in almost four decades.</p><p><blockquote>劳工部周五发布的备受关注的就业报告将首次显示白宫3月份批准的1.9万亿美元COVID-19大流行救助计划的影响。这可能表明经济以更大的势头进入第二季度，使其今年走上近四十年来最佳表现的轨道。</blockquote></p><p>\"We are looking for a pretty good figure, reflecting the ongoing reopening we have seen,\" said James Knightley, chief international economist at ING in New York. \"With cash in people's pockets, economic activity is looking good and that should lead to more and more hiring right across the economy.\"</p><p><blockquote>荷兰国际集团驻纽约首席国际经济学家詹姆斯·奈特利表示：“我们正在寻找一个相当不错的数字，反映出我们所看到的持续重新开放。”“随着人们口袋里有了现金，经济活动看起来不错，这应该会导致整个经济中越来越多的招聘。”</blockquote></p><p>According to a Reuters survey of economists, nonfarm payrolls likely increased by 978,000 jobs last month after rising by 916,000 in March. That would leave employment about 7.5 million jobs below its peak in February 2020.</p><p><blockquote>根据路透社对经济学家的调查，继3月份增加916,000个就业岗位后，上个月非农就业岗位可能增加978,000个。这将使就业岗位比2020年2月的峰值减少约750万个。</blockquote></p><p>Twelve months ago, the economy purged a record 20.679 million jobs as it reeled from mandatory closures of nonessential businesses to slow the first wave of COVID-19 infections.</p><p><blockquote>12个月前，由于强制关闭非必要企业以减缓第一波COVID-19感染，经济损失了创纪录的2067.9万个工作岗位。</blockquote></p><p>April's payrolls estimates range from as low as 656,000 to as high as 2.1 million jobs. New claims for unemployment benefits have dropped below 500,000 for the first-time since the pandemic started and job cuts announced by U.S.-based employers in April were the lowest in nearly 21 years.</p><p><blockquote>4月份的就业人数估计从低至656,000人到高至210万人不等。自疫情开始以来，新申请失业救济人数首次降至50万以下，美国雇主4月份宣布的裁员人数为近21年来最低。</blockquote></p><p>Also arguing for another month of blockbuster job growth, consumers' perceptions of the labor market are the strongest in 13 months. But the pent-up demand, which contributed to the economy's 6.4% annualized growth pace in the first quarter, the second-fastest since the third quarter of 2003, has triggered shortages of labor and raw materials.</p><p><blockquote>消费者对劳动力市场的看法是13个月来最强烈的，这也是就业增长又一个月的原因。但被压抑的需求推动了第一季度经济6.4%的年化增长率，为2003年第三季度以来的第二快，引发了劳动力和原材料的短缺。</blockquote></p><p>From manufacturing to restaurants, employers are scrambling for workers. A range of factors, including parents still at home caring for children, coronavirus-related retirements and generous unemployment checks, are blamed for the labor shortages.</p><p><blockquote>从制造业到餐馆，雇主都在争夺工人。一系列因素被归咎于劳动力短缺，包括仍在家照顾孩子的父母、与冠状病毒相关的退休和慷慨的失业支票。</blockquote></p><p>\"While we do not expect that lack of workers will weigh noticeably on April employment, rehiring could become more difficult in coming months before expanded unemployment benefits expire in September,\" said Veronica Clark, an economist at Citigroup in New York.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团(Citigroup)驻纽约经济学家维罗妮卡·克拉克(Veronica Clark)表示：“虽然我们预计工人短缺不会明显影响4月份的就业，但在9月份扩大的失业救济金到期之前，未来几个月重新招聘可能会变得更加困难。”</blockquote></p><p>Payroll gains were likely led by the leisure and hospitality industry as more high-contact businesses such as restaurants, bars and amusement parks reopen. Americans over the age of 16 are now eligible to receive the COVID-19 vaccine, leading states like New York, New Jersey and Connecticut to lift most of their coronavirus capacity restrictions on businesses.</p><p><blockquote>随着餐馆、酒吧和游乐园等更多高接触性企业重新开业，休闲和酒店业可能会带动工资增长。16岁以上的美国人现在有资格接种COVID-19疫苗，导致纽约、新泽西和康涅狄格等州取消了对企业的大部分冠状病毒产能限制。</blockquote></p><p>BROAD EMPLOYMENT GAINS</p><p><blockquote>广泛的就业增长</blockquote></p><p>Solid gains were also expected in manufacturing, despite a global semiconductor chip shortage, which has forced motor vehicle manufacturers to cut production. Strong housing demand likely boosted construction payrolls.</p><p><blockquote>尽管全球半导体芯片短缺迫使汽车制造商减产，但预计制造业也将强劲增长。强劲的住房需求可能会提振建筑业就业人数。</blockquote></p><p>Government employment is also expected to have picked up as school districts hired more teachers following the resumption of in-person learning in many states.</p><p><blockquote>在许多州恢复面对面学习后，随着学区雇用更多教师，政府就业预计也会回升。</blockquote></p><p>Robust hiring is unlikely to have an impact on President Joe Biden's plan to spend another $4 trillion on education and childcare, middle- and low-income families, infrastructure and jobs. Neither was it expected to influence monetary policy, with the Federal Reserve having signaled it is prepared to let the economy run hotter than it did in previous cycles.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的招聘不太可能对乔·拜登总统在教育和儿童保育、中低收入家庭、基础设施和就业方面再投入4万亿美元的计划产生影响。预计它也不会影响货币政策，美联储已表示准备让经济比前几个周期更热。</blockquote></p><p>Millions of Americans remain out of work and many have permanently lost jobs because of the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>数百万美国人仍然失业，许多人因为疫情而永久失业。</blockquote></p><p>\"Nobody knows what the economy is going to look like post COVID,\" said Steven Blitz, chief U.S. economist at TS Lombard in New York. \"There is a stubbornly high number of people who have been permanently displaced. The (spending) plans are about giving the economy a higher trajectory of growth so that these people can be hired sooner rather than later.\"</p><p><blockquote>纽约TS Lombard首席美国经济学家史蒂文·布利茨(Steven Blitz)表示：“没有人知道新冠疫情后的经济会是什么样子。”“永久流离失所的人数居高不下。（支出）计划旨在让经济走上更高的增长轨道，以便这些人能够尽早就业。”</blockquote></p><p>The unemployment rate is forecast dropping to 5.8% in April from 6.0% in March. The unemployment rate has been understated by people misclassifying themselves as being \"employed but absent from work.\"</p><p><blockquote>预计4月份失业率将从3月份的6.0%降至5.8%。人们错误地将自己归类为“有工作但没有工作”，从而低估了失业率。</blockquote></p><p>To gauge the recovery, economists will focus on the number of people who have been unemployed for more than six months as well as those out of work because of permanent job losses.</p><p><blockquote>为了衡量复苏情况，经济学家将关注失业超过六个月的人数以及因永久性失业而失业的人数。</blockquote></p><p>The labor force participation rate, or the proportion of working-age Americans who have a job or are looking for one, likely improved last month, though it remained below its pre-pandemic level. More than 4 million people, many of them women, dropped out of the labor force during the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>劳动力参与率，即有工作或正在找工作的工作年龄美国人的比例，上个月可能有所改善，但仍低于大流行前的水平。在疫情期间，超过400万人退出了劳动力市场，其中许多是女性。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>With the lower-wage leisure and hospitality industry expected to dominate employment gains, average hourly earnings were likely unchanged in April after dipping 0.1% in March. That would lead to a 0.4% drop in wages on a year-on-year basis after a 4.2% increase in March.</p><p><blockquote>由于工资较低的休闲和酒店业预计将主导就业增长，平均时薪在3月份下降0.1%后，4月份可能保持不变。这将导致工资在3月份上涨4.2%后同比下降0.4%。</blockquote></p><p>\"We will be watching average hourly earnings very closely for signs that difficulty in hiring qualified workers is beginning to boost compensation,\" said David Kelly, chief global strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management in New York.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通资产管理公司驻纽约首席全球策略师David Kelly表示：“我们将密切关注平均时薪，寻找招聘合格工人的困难开始提高薪酬的迹象。”</blockquote></p><p>\"If tightening labor markets boost wage growth, then the inflation bounce which the Fed is anticipating to be modest and transitory could turn out to be stronger and longer-lasting, leading to earlier Fed tightening.\"</p><p><blockquote>“如果劳动力市场收紧提振了工资增长，那么美联储预计温和且暂时的通胀反弹可能会变得更强劲、更持久，从而导致美联储提前收紧政策。”</blockquote></p><p>The anticipated drop in wages will have no impact on consumer spending, with Americans sitting on more than $2 trillion in excess savings. The average workweek was forecast steady at 34.9 hours.</p><p><blockquote>预期的工资下降不会对消费者支出产生影响，美国人拥有超过2万亿美元的超额储蓄。平均每周工作时间预计稳定在34.9小时。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. hiring takes big step back as businesses scramble for workers, raw materials<blockquote>由于企业争夺工人和原材料，美国招聘大幅倒退</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. hiring takes big step back as businesses scramble for workers, raw materials<blockquote>由于企业争夺工人和原材料，美国招聘大幅倒退</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-08 18:52</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>U.S. employers likely hired nearly a million workers in April as they rushed to meet a surge in demand, unleashed by the reopening of the economy amid rapidly improving public health and massive financial help from the government.</p><p><blockquote>美国雇主可能在4月份雇佣了近100万名工人，因为他们急于满足需求的激增，而需求是由公共卫生迅速改善和政府的大规模财政援助导致的。</blockquote></p><p>The Labor Department's closely watched employment report on Friday will be the first to show the impact of the White House's $1.9 trillion COVID-19 pandemic rescue package, which was approved in March. It is likely to show the economy entered the second quarter with even greater momentum, firmly putting it on track this year for its best performance in almost four decades.</p><p><blockquote>劳工部周五发布的备受关注的就业报告将首次显示白宫3月份批准的1.9万亿美元COVID-19大流行救助计划的影响。这可能表明经济以更大的势头进入第二季度，使其今年走上近四十年来最佳表现的轨道。</blockquote></p><p>\"We are looking for a pretty good figure, reflecting the ongoing reopening we have seen,\" said James Knightley, chief international economist at ING in New York. \"With cash in people's pockets, economic activity is looking good and that should lead to more and more hiring right across the economy.\"</p><p><blockquote>荷兰国际集团驻纽约首席国际经济学家詹姆斯·奈特利表示：“我们正在寻找一个相当不错的数字，反映出我们所看到的持续重新开放。”“随着人们口袋里有了现金，经济活动看起来不错，这应该会导致整个经济中越来越多的招聘。”</blockquote></p><p>According to a Reuters survey of economists, nonfarm payrolls likely increased by 978,000 jobs last month after rising by 916,000 in March. That would leave employment about 7.5 million jobs below its peak in February 2020.</p><p><blockquote>根据路透社对经济学家的调查，继3月份增加916,000个就业岗位后，上个月非农就业岗位可能增加978,000个。这将使就业岗位比2020年2月的峰值减少约750万个。</blockquote></p><p>Twelve months ago, the economy purged a record 20.679 million jobs as it reeled from mandatory closures of nonessential businesses to slow the first wave of COVID-19 infections.</p><p><blockquote>12个月前，由于强制关闭非必要企业以减缓第一波COVID-19感染，经济损失了创纪录的2067.9万个工作岗位。</blockquote></p><p>April's payrolls estimates range from as low as 656,000 to as high as 2.1 million jobs. New claims for unemployment benefits have dropped below 500,000 for the first-time since the pandemic started and job cuts announced by U.S.-based employers in April were the lowest in nearly 21 years.</p><p><blockquote>4月份的就业人数估计从低至656,000人到高至210万人不等。自疫情开始以来，新申请失业救济人数首次降至50万以下，美国雇主4月份宣布的裁员人数为近21年来最低。</blockquote></p><p>Also arguing for another month of blockbuster job growth, consumers' perceptions of the labor market are the strongest in 13 months. But the pent-up demand, which contributed to the economy's 6.4% annualized growth pace in the first quarter, the second-fastest since the third quarter of 2003, has triggered shortages of labor and raw materials.</p><p><blockquote>消费者对劳动力市场的看法是13个月来最强烈的，这也是就业增长又一个月的原因。但被压抑的需求推动了第一季度经济6.4%的年化增长率，为2003年第三季度以来的第二快，引发了劳动力和原材料的短缺。</blockquote></p><p>From manufacturing to restaurants, employers are scrambling for workers. A range of factors, including parents still at home caring for children, coronavirus-related retirements and generous unemployment checks, are blamed for the labor shortages.</p><p><blockquote>从制造业到餐馆，雇主都在争夺工人。一系列因素被归咎于劳动力短缺，包括仍在家照顾孩子的父母、与冠状病毒相关的退休和慷慨的失业支票。</blockquote></p><p>\"While we do not expect that lack of workers will weigh noticeably on April employment, rehiring could become more difficult in coming months before expanded unemployment benefits expire in September,\" said Veronica Clark, an economist at Citigroup in New York.</p><p><blockquote>花旗集团(Citigroup)驻纽约经济学家维罗妮卡·克拉克(Veronica Clark)表示：“虽然我们预计工人短缺不会明显影响4月份的就业，但在9月份扩大的失业救济金到期之前，未来几个月重新招聘可能会变得更加困难。”</blockquote></p><p>Payroll gains were likely led by the leisure and hospitality industry as more high-contact businesses such as restaurants, bars and amusement parks reopen. Americans over the age of 16 are now eligible to receive the COVID-19 vaccine, leading states like New York, New Jersey and Connecticut to lift most of their coronavirus capacity restrictions on businesses.</p><p><blockquote>随着餐馆、酒吧和游乐园等更多高接触性企业重新开业，休闲和酒店业可能会带动工资增长。16岁以上的美国人现在有资格接种COVID-19疫苗，导致纽约、新泽西和康涅狄格等州取消了对企业的大部分冠状病毒产能限制。</blockquote></p><p>BROAD EMPLOYMENT GAINS</p><p><blockquote>广泛的就业增长</blockquote></p><p>Solid gains were also expected in manufacturing, despite a global semiconductor chip shortage, which has forced motor vehicle manufacturers to cut production. Strong housing demand likely boosted construction payrolls.</p><p><blockquote>尽管全球半导体芯片短缺迫使汽车制造商减产，但预计制造业也将强劲增长。强劲的住房需求可能会提振建筑业就业人数。</blockquote></p><p>Government employment is also expected to have picked up as school districts hired more teachers following the resumption of in-person learning in many states.</p><p><blockquote>在许多州恢复面对面学习后，随着学区雇用更多教师，政府就业预计也会回升。</blockquote></p><p>Robust hiring is unlikely to have an impact on President Joe Biden's plan to spend another $4 trillion on education and childcare, middle- and low-income families, infrastructure and jobs. Neither was it expected to influence monetary policy, with the Federal Reserve having signaled it is prepared to let the economy run hotter than it did in previous cycles.</p><p><blockquote>强劲的招聘不太可能对乔·拜登总统在教育和儿童保育、中低收入家庭、基础设施和就业方面再投入4万亿美元的计划产生影响。预计它也不会影响货币政策，美联储已表示准备让经济比前几个周期更热。</blockquote></p><p>Millions of Americans remain out of work and many have permanently lost jobs because of the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>数百万美国人仍然失业，许多人因为疫情而永久失业。</blockquote></p><p>\"Nobody knows what the economy is going to look like post COVID,\" said Steven Blitz, chief U.S. economist at TS Lombard in New York. \"There is a stubbornly high number of people who have been permanently displaced. The (spending) plans are about giving the economy a higher trajectory of growth so that these people can be hired sooner rather than later.\"</p><p><blockquote>纽约TS Lombard首席美国经济学家史蒂文·布利茨(Steven Blitz)表示：“没有人知道新冠疫情后的经济会是什么样子。”“永久流离失所的人数居高不下。（支出）计划旨在让经济走上更高的增长轨道，以便这些人能够尽早就业。”</blockquote></p><p>The unemployment rate is forecast dropping to 5.8% in April from 6.0% in March. The unemployment rate has been understated by people misclassifying themselves as being \"employed but absent from work.\"</p><p><blockquote>预计4月份失业率将从3月份的6.0%降至5.8%。人们错误地将自己归类为“有工作但没有工作”，从而低估了失业率。</blockquote></p><p>To gauge the recovery, economists will focus on the number of people who have been unemployed for more than six months as well as those out of work because of permanent job losses.</p><p><blockquote>为了衡量复苏情况，经济学家将关注失业超过六个月的人数以及因永久性失业而失业的人数。</blockquote></p><p>The labor force participation rate, or the proportion of working-age Americans who have a job or are looking for one, likely improved last month, though it remained below its pre-pandemic level. More than 4 million people, many of them women, dropped out of the labor force during the pandemic.</p><p><blockquote>劳动力参与率，即有工作或正在找工作的工作年龄美国人的比例，上个月可能有所改善，但仍低于大流行前的水平。在疫情期间，超过400万人退出了劳动力市场，其中许多是女性。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>With the lower-wage leisure and hospitality industry expected to dominate employment gains, average hourly earnings were likely unchanged in April after dipping 0.1% in March. That would lead to a 0.4% drop in wages on a year-on-year basis after a 4.2% increase in March.</p><p><blockquote>由于工资较低的休闲和酒店业预计将主导就业增长，平均时薪在3月份下降0.1%后，4月份可能保持不变。这将导致工资在3月份上涨4.2%后同比下降0.4%。</blockquote></p><p>\"We will be watching average hourly earnings very closely for signs that difficulty in hiring qualified workers is beginning to boost compensation,\" said David Kelly, chief global strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management in New York.</p><p><blockquote>摩根大通资产管理公司驻纽约首席全球策略师David Kelly表示：“我们将密切关注平均时薪，寻找招聘合格工人的困难开始提高薪酬的迹象。”</blockquote></p><p>\"If tightening labor markets boost wage growth, then the inflation bounce which the Fed is anticipating to be modest and transitory could turn out to be stronger and longer-lasting, leading to earlier Fed tightening.\"</p><p><blockquote>“如果劳动力市场收紧提振了工资增长，那么美联储预计温和且暂时的通胀反弹可能会变得更强劲、更持久，从而导致美联储提前收紧政策。”</blockquote></p><p>The anticipated drop in wages will have no impact on consumer spending, with Americans sitting on more than $2 trillion in excess savings. The average workweek was forecast steady at 34.9 hours.</p><p><blockquote>预期的工资下降不会对消费者支出产生影响，美国人拥有超过2万亿美元的超额储蓄。平均每周工作时间预计稳定在34.9小时。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/markets\">reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/markets","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1193602237","content_text":"U.S. employers likely hired nearly a million workers in April as they rushed to meet a surge in demand, unleashed by the reopening of the economy amid rapidly improving public health and massive financial help from the government.The Labor Department's closely watched employment report on Friday will be the first to show the impact of the White House's $1.9 trillion COVID-19 pandemic rescue package, which was approved in March. It is likely to show the economy entered the second quarter with even greater momentum, firmly putting it on track this year for its best performance in almost four decades.\"We are looking for a pretty good figure, reflecting the ongoing reopening we have seen,\" said James Knightley, chief international economist at ING in New York. \"With cash in people's pockets, economic activity is looking good and that should lead to more and more hiring right across the economy.\"According to a Reuters survey of economists, nonfarm payrolls likely increased by 978,000 jobs last month after rising by 916,000 in March. That would leave employment about 7.5 million jobs below its peak in February 2020.Twelve months ago, the economy purged a record 20.679 million jobs as it reeled from mandatory closures of nonessential businesses to slow the first wave of COVID-19 infections.April's payrolls estimates range from as low as 656,000 to as high as 2.1 million jobs. New claims for unemployment benefits have dropped below 500,000 for the first-time since the pandemic started and job cuts announced by U.S.-based employers in April were the lowest in nearly 21 years.Also arguing for another month of blockbuster job growth, consumers' perceptions of the labor market are the strongest in 13 months. But the pent-up demand, which contributed to the economy's 6.4% annualized growth pace in the first quarter, the second-fastest since the third quarter of 2003, has triggered shortages of labor and raw materials.From manufacturing to restaurants, employers are scrambling for workers. A range of factors, including parents still at home caring for children, coronavirus-related retirements and generous unemployment checks, are blamed for the labor shortages.\"While we do not expect that lack of workers will weigh noticeably on April employment, rehiring could become more difficult in coming months before expanded unemployment benefits expire in September,\" said Veronica Clark, an economist at Citigroup in New York.Payroll gains were likely led by the leisure and hospitality industry as more high-contact businesses such as restaurants, bars and amusement parks reopen. Americans over the age of 16 are now eligible to receive the COVID-19 vaccine, leading states like New York, New Jersey and Connecticut to lift most of their coronavirus capacity restrictions on businesses.BROAD EMPLOYMENT GAINSSolid gains were also expected in manufacturing, despite a global semiconductor chip shortage, which has forced motor vehicle manufacturers to cut production. Strong housing demand likely boosted construction payrolls.Government employment is also expected to have picked up as school districts hired more teachers following the resumption of in-person learning in many states.Robust hiring is unlikely to have an impact on President Joe Biden's plan to spend another $4 trillion on education and childcare, middle- and low-income families, infrastructure and jobs. Neither was it expected to influence monetary policy, with the Federal Reserve having signaled it is prepared to let the economy run hotter than it did in previous cycles.Millions of Americans remain out of work and many have permanently lost jobs because of the pandemic.\"Nobody knows what the economy is going to look like post COVID,\" said Steven Blitz, chief U.S. economist at TS Lombard in New York. \"There is a stubbornly high number of people who have been permanently displaced. The (spending) plans are about giving the economy a higher trajectory of growth so that these people can be hired sooner rather than later.\"The unemployment rate is forecast dropping to 5.8% in April from 6.0% in March. The unemployment rate has been understated by people misclassifying themselves as being \"employed but absent from work.\"To gauge the recovery, economists will focus on the number of people who have been unemployed for more than six months as well as those out of work because of permanent job losses.The labor force participation rate, or the proportion of working-age Americans who have a job or are looking for one, likely improved last month, though it remained below its pre-pandemic level. More than 4 million people, many of them women, dropped out of the labor force during the pandemic.With the lower-wage leisure and hospitality industry expected to dominate employment gains, average hourly earnings were likely unchanged in April after dipping 0.1% in March. That would lead to a 0.4% drop in wages on a year-on-year basis after a 4.2% increase in March.\"We will be watching average hourly earnings very closely for signs that difficulty in hiring qualified workers is beginning to boost compensation,\" said David Kelly, chief global strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management in New York.\"If tightening labor markets boost wage growth, then the inflation bounce which the Fed is anticipating to be modest and transitory could turn out to be stronger and longer-lasting, leading to earlier Fed tightening.\"The anticipated drop in wages will have no impact on consumer spending, with Americans sitting on more than $2 trillion in excess savings. The average workweek was forecast steady at 34.9 hours.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":550,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":105311453,"gmtCreate":1620269267572,"gmtModify":1631884484223,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574940130653589","idStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"NASDAQ drop attributed to big caps pull backs. I&nbsp;hope the small caps can recover soon.","listText":"NASDAQ drop attributed to big caps pull backs. I&nbsp;hope the small caps can recover soon.","text":"NASDAQ drop attributed to big caps pull backs. I hope the small caps can recover soon.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/105311453","repostId":"2133652936","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1020,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":102127002,"gmtCreate":1620186932006,"gmtModify":1634207123961,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574940130653589","idStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Really a Joker","listText":"Really a Joker","text":"Really a Joker","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/102127002","repostId":"1194963568","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":684,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":106639253,"gmtCreate":1620108689272,"gmtModify":1631883991316,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574940130653589","idStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Will be an expensive one","listText":"Will be an expensive one","text":"Will be an expensive one","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/106639253","repostId":"1141446343","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1141446343","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620108260,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1141446343?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-04 14:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bill and Melinda Gates are getting divorced. Here are some stocks they owned<blockquote>比尔和梅林达·盖茨要离婚了。以下是他们拥有的一些股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1141446343","media":"seeking alpha","summary":"Though the pairin a statement assuredthe public that they will continue to work together at their foundation despiteending their marriage, the news about the Microsoftfounder and his partner of 27 years may send shockwaves across their projects.In the latest13F filingfrom the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation Trust for the period ended 12/31/20, top holdings by value in descending order included Berkshire Hathaway, Waste Management, Caterpillar, Canadian National, Walmart, EcoLab, Crown Castle, ","content":"<p><ul><li>Though the pairin a statement assuredthe public that they will continue to work together at their foundation despiteending their marriage, the news about the Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT)founder and his partner of 27 years may send shockwaves across their projects.</li><li>In the latest13F filingfrom the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation Trust for the period ended 12/31/20, top holdings by value in descending order included Berkshire Hathaway(NYSE:BRK.B), Waste Management(NYSE:WM), Caterpillar(NYSE:CAT), Canadian National(NYSE:CNI), Walmart(NYSE:WMT), EcoLab(NYSE:ECL), Crown Castle(NYSE:CCI), Fedex(NYSE:FDX)and UPS(NYSE:UPS).</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA.U\">Two</a> stocks in which the foundation has a large stake (more than 10% of shares outstanding) included Schrodinger(NASDAQ:SDGR)and Coca-Cola Femsa(NYSE:KOF).</li><li>Most of the other holdings were below $1 billion in market value and their ownership consisted of less than 3% of shares outstanding in the associated stock.</li><li>The Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, in their latestquarterly filing, disclosed ownership stakes in Amyris(NASDAQ:AMRS), Vir Biotech(NASDAQ:VIR), BionTech(NASDAQ:BNTX), Curevac(NASDAQ:CVAC)and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BCEL\">Atreca</a>(NASDAQ:BCEL).</li><li>Our readers may recall when the world's richest person, Jeff Bezos, and his partner Mackenzie Scottcalled it quits two years ago.&nbsp;This is how their wealth ended upsplit between them.</li></ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>尽管这对夫妇在一份声明中向公众保证，尽管结束了婚姻，他们仍将继续在基金会合作，但有关微软（纳斯达克：MSFT）创始人和他27年的合作伙伴的消息可能会给他们的项目带来冲击波。</li><li>在比尔和梅琳达·盖茨基金会信托基金截至2020年12月31日的最新13F文件中，按价值降序排列的最大持股包括伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司(NYSE：BRK.B)、废物管理公司(NYSE：WM)、卡特彼勒(NYSE：CAT)、加拿大国家航空公司(NYSE：CNI)、沃尔玛(NYSE：WMT)、艺康(NYSE：ECL)、皇冠城堡(NYSE：CCI)、联邦快递(NYSE：FDX)和UPS(NYSE：UPS)。</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA.U\">两个</a>该基金会持有大量股份（超过已发行股票的10%）的股票包括薛定谔（纳斯达克股票代码：SDGR）和可口可乐Femsa（纽约证券交易所股票代码：KOF）。</li><li>大多数其他持股的市值低于10亿美元，其所有权仅占相关股票已发行股份的不到3%。</li><li>比尔和梅琳达·盖茨基金会在最新的季度文件中披露了Amyris（纳斯达克：AMRS）、Vir Biotech（纳斯达克：VIR）、BionTech（纳斯达克：BNTX）、Curevac（纳斯达克：CVAC）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BCEL\">阿特雷卡</a>（纳斯达克：BCEL）。</li><li>我们的读者可能还记得两年前世界首富杰夫·贝索斯和他的合伙人麦肯兹·斯科特宣布分手的时候。他们的财富就是这样在他们之间分配的。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bill and Melinda Gates are getting divorced. Here are some stocks they owned<blockquote>比尔和梅林达·盖茨要离婚了。以下是他们拥有的一些股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBill and Melinda Gates are getting divorced. Here are some stocks they owned<blockquote>比尔和梅林达·盖茨要离婚了。以下是他们拥有的一些股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seeking alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-04 14:04</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul><li>Though the pairin a statement assuredthe public that they will continue to work together at their foundation despiteending their marriage, the news about the Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT)founder and his partner of 27 years may send shockwaves across their projects.</li><li>In the latest13F filingfrom the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation Trust for the period ended 12/31/20, top holdings by value in descending order included Berkshire Hathaway(NYSE:BRK.B), Waste Management(NYSE:WM), Caterpillar(NYSE:CAT), Canadian National(NYSE:CNI), Walmart(NYSE:WMT), EcoLab(NYSE:ECL), Crown Castle(NYSE:CCI), Fedex(NYSE:FDX)and UPS(NYSE:UPS).</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA.U\">Two</a> stocks in which the foundation has a large stake (more than 10% of shares outstanding) included Schrodinger(NASDAQ:SDGR)and Coca-Cola Femsa(NYSE:KOF).</li><li>Most of the other holdings were below $1 billion in market value and their ownership consisted of less than 3% of shares outstanding in the associated stock.</li><li>The Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, in their latestquarterly filing, disclosed ownership stakes in Amyris(NASDAQ:AMRS), Vir Biotech(NASDAQ:VIR), BionTech(NASDAQ:BNTX), Curevac(NASDAQ:CVAC)and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BCEL\">Atreca</a>(NASDAQ:BCEL).</li><li>Our readers may recall when the world's richest person, Jeff Bezos, and his partner Mackenzie Scottcalled it quits two years ago.&nbsp;This is how their wealth ended upsplit between them.</li></ul></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>尽管这对夫妇在一份声明中向公众保证，尽管结束了婚姻，他们仍将继续在基金会合作，但有关微软（纳斯达克：MSFT）创始人和他27年的合作伙伴的消息可能会给他们的项目带来冲击波。</li><li>在比尔和梅琳达·盖茨基金会信托基金截至2020年12月31日的最新13F文件中，按价值降序排列的最大持股包括伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司(NYSE：BRK.B)、废物管理公司(NYSE：WM)、卡特彼勒(NYSE：CAT)、加拿大国家航空公司(NYSE：CNI)、沃尔玛(NYSE：WMT)、艺康(NYSE：ECL)、皇冠城堡(NYSE：CCI)、联邦快递(NYSE：FDX)和UPS(NYSE：UPS)。</li><li><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TWOA.U\">两个</a>该基金会持有大量股份（超过已发行股票的10%）的股票包括薛定谔（纳斯达克股票代码：SDGR）和可口可乐Femsa（纽约证券交易所股票代码：KOF）。</li><li>大多数其他持股的市值低于10亿美元，其所有权仅占相关股票已发行股份的不到3%。</li><li>比尔和梅琳达·盖茨基金会在最新的季度文件中披露了Amyris（纳斯达克：AMRS）、Vir Biotech（纳斯达克：VIR）、BionTech（纳斯达克：BNTX）、Curevac（纳斯达克：CVAC）和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BCEL\">阿特雷卡</a>（纳斯达克：BCEL）。</li><li>我们的读者可能还记得两年前世界首富杰夫·贝索斯和他的合伙人麦肯兹·斯科特宣布分手的时候。他们的财富就是这样在他们之间分配的。</li></ul></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3689813-bill-and-melinda-gates-are-getting-divorced-here-are-some-stocks-they-owned\">seeking alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"MSFT":"微软","SDGR":"Schrodinger Inc.","BNTX":"BioNTech SE","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","UPS":"联合包裹","CVAC":"CureVac B.V.","FDX":"联邦快递","CAT":"卡特彼勒","CNI":"加拿大国家铁路","WCLD":"WisdomTree Cloud Computing Fund","KOF":"可口可乐凡萨瓶装","WM":"美国废物管理","AMRS":"阿米瑞斯","VIR":"Vir Biotechnology, Inc.","WMT":"沃尔玛","CCI":"冠城"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/news/3689813-bill-and-melinda-gates-are-getting-divorced-here-are-some-stocks-they-owned","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1141446343","content_text":"Though the pairin a statement assuredthe public that they will continue to work together at their foundation despiteending their marriage, the news about the Microsoft(NASDAQ:MSFT)founder and his partner of 27 years may send shockwaves across their projects.In the latest13F filingfrom the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation Trust for the period ended 12/31/20, top holdings by value in descending order included Berkshire Hathaway(NYSE:BRK.B), Waste Management(NYSE:WM), Caterpillar(NYSE:CAT), Canadian National(NYSE:CNI), Walmart(NYSE:WMT), EcoLab(NYSE:ECL), Crown Castle(NYSE:CCI), Fedex(NYSE:FDX)and UPS(NYSE:UPS).Two stocks in which the foundation has a large stake (more than 10% of shares outstanding) included Schrodinger(NASDAQ:SDGR)and Coca-Cola Femsa(NYSE:KOF).Most of the other holdings were below $1 billion in market value and their ownership consisted of less than 3% of shares outstanding in the associated stock.The Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, in their latestquarterly filing, disclosed ownership stakes in Amyris(NASDAQ:AMRS), Vir Biotech(NASDAQ:VIR), BionTech(NASDAQ:BNTX), Curevac(NASDAQ:CVAC)and Atreca(NASDAQ:BCEL).Our readers may recall when the world's richest person, Jeff Bezos, and his partner Mackenzie Scottcalled it quits two years ago. This is how their wealth ended upsplit between them.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"UPS":0.9,"CVAC":0.9,"MSFT":0.9,"AMRS":0.9,"WM":0.9,"CAT":0.9,"WMT":0.9,"BCEL":0.9,"WCLD":0.9,"CNI":0.9,"SDGR":0.9,"VIR":0.9,"FDX":0.9,"CCI":0.9,"BRK.B":0.9,"BNTX":0.9,"KOF":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":555,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":108118465,"gmtCreate":1620004484557,"gmtModify":1634208625794,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574940130653589","idStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Buffets favourites","listText":"Buffets favourites","text":"Buffets favourites","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/108118465","repostId":"1135819410","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1135819410","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1619999342,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1135819410?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-03 07:49","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Uber, Pfizer, PayPal, T-Mobile, ViacomCBS, General Motors, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>Uber、辉瑞、PayPal、T-Mobile、ViacomCBS、General Motors等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1135819410","media":"Barrons","summary":"It’s another packed week of earnings reports, with 130 S&P 500 companies on deck to release their fi","content":"<p>It’s another packed week of earnings reports, with 130 S&amp;P 500 companies on deck to release their first-quarter results. Estée Lauder is among Monday’s highlights, before things pick up on Tuesday:&nbsp;Activision Blizzard, CVS Health, DuPont, Pfizer, and T-Mobile US all report.</p><p><blockquote>又是财报密集的一周，130家标普500公司即将发布第一季度业绩。雅诗兰黛是周一的亮点之一，周二情况有所好转：动视暴雪、CVS Health、杜邦、辉瑞和T-Mobile US均报告。</blockquote></p><p>On Wednesday,&nbsp;Barrick Gold, Booking Holdings, General Motors, PayPal Holdings, and Uber Technologies release earnings.&nbsp;Anheuser-Busch InBev, Moderna, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Square, and ViacomCBS go on Thursday. And finally, Cigna closes the week on&nbsp;Friday.</p><p><blockquote>周三，Barrick Gold、Booking Holdings、General Motors、PayPal控股和Uber Technologies将发布财报。百威英博、Moderna、再生元制药、Square和ViacomCBS将于周四发布。最后，Cigna将于周五结束这一周。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1a866fbe5118566e68842053d76e2b9\" tg-width=\"1382\" tg-height=\"750\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>On the economic calendar this week, the&nbsp;main event will jobs Friday.&nbsp;The Bureau of Labor Statistics is forecast to report a gain of 975,000 nonfarm payrolls in April, and an unemployment rate of 5.8%—down from 6% a month earlier.</p><p><blockquote>在本周的经济日历上，主要事件将是周五的就业。美国劳工统计局预计将报告4月份非农就业人数增加97.5万人，失业率为5.8%，低于一个月前的6%。</blockquote></p><p>Other data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for April on Monday and its&nbsp;Services equivalent on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的其他数据包括供应管理协会周一公布的4月份制造业采购经理人指数和周三公布的服务业采购经理人指数。</blockquote></p><p>Enterprise Products Partners&nbsp;and Estée Lauder release earnings.</p><p><blockquote>企业产品合作伙伴和雅诗兰黛发布收益。</blockquote></p><p>Merck and&nbsp;Public Storage&nbsp;hold virtual investor days.</p><p><blockquote>默克和Public Storage举办虚拟投资者日。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Census Bureau</b>&nbsp;reports construction-spending data for March. Consensus estimate is for a 0.6% month-over-month increase in construction spending to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1.53 trillion.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告三月份建筑支出数据。市场普遍预计建筑支出环比增长0.6%，经季节调整后的年率为1.53万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Institute for Supply</b>&nbsp;Management releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for April. Economists forecast a 65 reading, roughly even with the March figure. The March reading was the highest for the index since December 1983.</p><p><blockquote><b>供应研究所</b>管理层发布四月份制造业采购经理人指数。经济学家预测为65，与3月份的数据大致持平。3月份的读数是该指数自1983年12月以来的最高值。</blockquote></p><p><b>Tuesday 5/4</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二5/4</b></blockquote></p><p>Activision Blizzard,ConocoPhillips, Cummins, CVS Health,Dominion Energy,DuPont, Eaton, Pfizer,Sysco,and T-Mobile US report quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>动视暴雪、康菲石油公司、康明斯、CVS Health、Dominion Energy、杜邦、伊顿、辉瑞、Sysco和T-Mobile US报告季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p>Eli Lilly&nbsp;holds a conference call to discuss its sustainability initiatives.</p><p><blockquote>礼来公司召开电话会议讨论其可持续发展计划。</blockquote></p><p>Union Pacific&nbsp;holds its 2021 virtual investor day.</p><p><blockquote>联合太平洋公司举办2021年虚拟投资者日。</blockquote></p><p><b>Wednesday 5/5</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三5/5</b></blockquote></p><p>Barrick Gold, Booking Holdings,BorgWarner,Emerson Electric,General Motors,Hilton Worldwide Holdings,Novo Nordisk,PayPal Holdings, and Uber Technologies release earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Barrick Gold、Booking Holdings、BorgWarner、Emerson Electric、General Motors、Hilton Worldwide Holdings、Novo Nordisk、PayPal控股和Uber Technologies发布财报。</blockquote></p><p><b>ADP releases</b>&nbsp;its National Employment Report for April. Expectations are for a gain of 762,500 jobs in private-sector employment after a 517,000 increase in March.</p><p><blockquote><b>ADP释放</b>四月份全国就业报告。继3月份增加517,000个工作岗位后，预计私营部门就业岗位将增加762,500个。</blockquote></p><p><b>ISM releases</b>&nbsp;its Services PMI for April. The consensus call is for a 64.6 reading, a tick higher than the March data. The March reading was an all-time high for the index.</p><p><blockquote><b>ISM版本</b>4月份服务业PMI。普遍的看涨期权为64.6，比3月份的数据高出一个百分点。3月份的读数是该指数的历史新高。</blockquote></p><p><b>Thursday 5/6</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四5/6</b></blockquote></p><p>Anheuser-Busch InBev,Becton Dickinson,Expedia Group,Fidelity National Information Services,Kellogg, Linde,MetLife,Moderna, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Square, ViacomCBS, and&nbsp;Zoetishold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>百威英博、Becton Dickinson、Expedia Group、富达国家信息服务公司、家乐氏、林德、大都会人寿、Moderna、再生元制药、Square、ViacomCBS和Zoetishold在评级召开会议讨论季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Department of Labor</b>&nbsp;reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on May 1. Initial jobless claims have averaged 611,750 a week in April and are at their lowest level since March of last year.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工部</b>报告截至5月1日当周首次申请失业救济人数。4月份平均每周初请失业金人数为611,750人，处于去年3月以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b>&nbsp;Statistics reports labor costs and productivity for the first quarter. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 2.2% productivity growth, compared with a 4.2% decline in the fourth quarter of 2020. Unit labor costs are seen falling 0.4% after rising 6% previously.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计数据报告了第一季度的劳动力成本和生产率。预计经季节调整后的生产率年增长率为2.2%，而2020年第四季度为下降4.2%。单位劳动力成本在此前上涨6%后预计将下降0.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Friday 5/7</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五5/7</b></blockquote></p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b>&nbsp;Statistics releases the jobs report for April. Economists forecast a gain of 975,000 in nonfarm payroll employment. The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 5.8% from 6%.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计局发布四月份就业报告。经济学家预测非农就业人数将增加975,000人。失业率预计将从6%小幅降至5.8%。</blockquote></p><p>Cigna and&nbsp;<b>Liberty Media</b>&nbsp;report earnings.</p><p><blockquote>信诺和<b>自由媒体</b>报告收益。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Uber, Pfizer, PayPal, T-Mobile, ViacomCBS, General Motors, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>Uber、辉瑞、PayPal、T-Mobile、ViacomCBS、General Motors等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUber, Pfizer, PayPal, T-Mobile, ViacomCBS, General Motors, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>Uber、辉瑞、PayPal、T-Mobile、ViacomCBS、General Motors等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-03 07:49</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>It’s another packed week of earnings reports, with 130 S&amp;P 500 companies on deck to release their first-quarter results. Estée Lauder is among Monday’s highlights, before things pick up on Tuesday:&nbsp;Activision Blizzard, CVS Health, DuPont, Pfizer, and T-Mobile US all report.</p><p><blockquote>又是财报密集的一周，130家标普500公司即将发布第一季度业绩。雅诗兰黛是周一的亮点之一，周二情况有所好转：动视暴雪、CVS Health、杜邦、辉瑞和T-Mobile US均报告。</blockquote></p><p>On Wednesday,&nbsp;Barrick Gold, Booking Holdings, General Motors, PayPal Holdings, and Uber Technologies release earnings.&nbsp;Anheuser-Busch InBev, Moderna, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Square, and ViacomCBS go on Thursday. And finally, Cigna closes the week on&nbsp;Friday.</p><p><blockquote>周三，Barrick Gold、Booking Holdings、General Motors、PayPal控股和Uber Technologies将发布财报。百威英博、Moderna、再生元制药、Square和ViacomCBS将于周四发布。最后，Cigna将于周五结束这一周。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e1a866fbe5118566e68842053d76e2b9\" tg-width=\"1382\" tg-height=\"750\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>On the economic calendar this week, the&nbsp;main event will jobs Friday.&nbsp;The Bureau of Labor Statistics is forecast to report a gain of 975,000 nonfarm payrolls in April, and an unemployment rate of 5.8%—down from 6% a month earlier.</p><p><blockquote>在本周的经济日历上，主要事件将是周五的就业。美国劳工统计局预计将报告4月份非农就业人数增加97.5万人，失业率为5.8%，低于一个月前的6%。</blockquote></p><p>Other data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for April on Monday and its&nbsp;Services equivalent on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的其他数据包括供应管理协会周一公布的4月份制造业采购经理人指数和周三公布的服务业采购经理人指数。</blockquote></p><p>Enterprise Products Partners&nbsp;and Estée Lauder release earnings.</p><p><blockquote>企业产品合作伙伴和雅诗兰黛发布收益。</blockquote></p><p>Merck and&nbsp;Public Storage&nbsp;hold virtual investor days.</p><p><blockquote>默克和Public Storage举办虚拟投资者日。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Census Bureau</b>&nbsp;reports construction-spending data for March. Consensus estimate is for a 0.6% month-over-month increase in construction spending to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1.53 trillion.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告三月份建筑支出数据。市场普遍预计建筑支出环比增长0.6%，经季节调整后的年率为1.53万亿美元。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Institute for Supply</b>&nbsp;Management releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for April. Economists forecast a 65 reading, roughly even with the March figure. The March reading was the highest for the index since December 1983.</p><p><blockquote><b>供应研究所</b>管理层发布四月份制造业采购经理人指数。经济学家预测为65，与3月份的数据大致持平。3月份的读数是该指数自1983年12月以来的最高值。</blockquote></p><p><b>Tuesday 5/4</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二5/4</b></blockquote></p><p>Activision Blizzard,ConocoPhillips, Cummins, CVS Health,Dominion Energy,DuPont, Eaton, Pfizer,Sysco,and T-Mobile US report quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>动视暴雪、康菲石油公司、康明斯、CVS Health、Dominion Energy、杜邦、伊顿、辉瑞、Sysco和T-Mobile US报告季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p>Eli Lilly&nbsp;holds a conference call to discuss its sustainability initiatives.</p><p><blockquote>礼来公司召开电话会议讨论其可持续发展计划。</blockquote></p><p>Union Pacific&nbsp;holds its 2021 virtual investor day.</p><p><blockquote>联合太平洋公司举办2021年虚拟投资者日。</blockquote></p><p><b>Wednesday 5/5</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三5/5</b></blockquote></p><p>Barrick Gold, Booking Holdings,BorgWarner,Emerson Electric,General Motors,Hilton Worldwide Holdings,Novo Nordisk,PayPal Holdings, and Uber Technologies release earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Barrick Gold、Booking Holdings、BorgWarner、Emerson Electric、General Motors、Hilton Worldwide Holdings、Novo Nordisk、PayPal控股和Uber Technologies发布财报。</blockquote></p><p><b>ADP releases</b>&nbsp;its National Employment Report for April. Expectations are for a gain of 762,500 jobs in private-sector employment after a 517,000 increase in March.</p><p><blockquote><b>ADP释放</b>四月份全国就业报告。继3月份增加517,000个工作岗位后，预计私营部门就业岗位将增加762,500个。</blockquote></p><p><b>ISM releases</b>&nbsp;its Services PMI for April. The consensus call is for a 64.6 reading, a tick higher than the March data. The March reading was an all-time high for the index.</p><p><blockquote><b>ISM版本</b>4月份服务业PMI。普遍的看涨期权为64.6，比3月份的数据高出一个百分点。3月份的读数是该指数的历史新高。</blockquote></p><p><b>Thursday 5/6</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四5/6</b></blockquote></p><p>Anheuser-Busch InBev,Becton Dickinson,Expedia Group,Fidelity National Information Services,Kellogg, Linde,MetLife,Moderna, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Square, ViacomCBS, and&nbsp;Zoetishold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>百威英博、Becton Dickinson、Expedia Group、富达国家信息服务公司、家乐氏、林德、大都会人寿、Moderna、再生元制药、Square、ViacomCBS和Zoetishold在评级召开会议讨论季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Department of Labor</b>&nbsp;reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on May 1. Initial jobless claims have averaged 611,750 a week in April and are at their lowest level since March of last year.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工部</b>报告截至5月1日当周首次申请失业救济人数。4月份平均每周初请失业金人数为611,750人，处于去年3月以来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b>&nbsp;Statistics reports labor costs and productivity for the first quarter. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 2.2% productivity growth, compared with a 4.2% decline in the fourth quarter of 2020. Unit labor costs are seen falling 0.4% after rising 6% previously.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计数据报告了第一季度的劳动力成本和生产率。预计经季节调整后的生产率年增长率为2.2%，而2020年第四季度为下降4.2%。单位劳动力成本在此前上涨6%后预计将下降0.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Friday 5/7</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五5/7</b></blockquote></p><p><b>The Bureau of Labor</b>&nbsp;Statistics releases the jobs report for April. Economists forecast a gain of 975,000 in nonfarm payroll employment. The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 5.8% from 6%.</p><p><blockquote><b>劳工局</b>统计局发布四月份就业报告。经济学家预测非农就业人数将增加975,000人。失业率预计将从6%小幅降至5.8%。</blockquote></p><p>Cigna and&nbsp;<b>Liberty Media</b>&nbsp;report earnings.</p><p><blockquote>信诺和<b>自由媒体</b>报告收益。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/uber-pfizer-paypal-t-mobile-viacomcbs-general-motors-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51619982000?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PYPL":"PayPal","GM":"通用汽车",".DJI":"道琼斯","UBER":"优步","PFE":"辉瑞","TMUS":"T-Mobile US Inc",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/uber-pfizer-paypal-t-mobile-viacomcbs-general-motors-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51619982000?mod=hp_LEADSUPP_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1135819410","content_text":"It’s another packed week of earnings reports, with 130 S&P 500 companies on deck to release their first-quarter results. Estée Lauder is among Monday’s highlights, before things pick up on Tuesday: Activision Blizzard, CVS Health, DuPont, Pfizer, and T-Mobile US all report.On Wednesday, Barrick Gold, Booking Holdings, General Motors, PayPal Holdings, and Uber Technologies release earnings. Anheuser-Busch InBev, Moderna, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Square, and ViacomCBS go on Thursday. And finally, Cigna closes the week on Friday.On the economic calendar this week, the main event will jobs Friday. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is forecast to report a gain of 975,000 nonfarm payrolls in April, and an unemployment rate of 5.8%—down from 6% a month earlier.Other data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for April on Monday and its Services equivalent on Wednesday.Enterprise Products Partners and Estée Lauder release earnings.Merck and Public Storage hold virtual investor days.The Census Bureau reports construction-spending data for March. Consensus estimate is for a 0.6% month-over-month increase in construction spending to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $1.53 trillion.The Institute for Supply Management releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for April. Economists forecast a 65 reading, roughly even with the March figure. The March reading was the highest for the index since December 1983.Tuesday 5/4Activision Blizzard,ConocoPhillips, Cummins, CVS Health,Dominion Energy,DuPont, Eaton, Pfizer,Sysco,and T-Mobile US report quarterly results.Eli Lilly holds a conference call to discuss its sustainability initiatives.Union Pacific holds its 2021 virtual investor day.Wednesday 5/5Barrick Gold, Booking Holdings,BorgWarner,Emerson Electric,General Motors,Hilton Worldwide Holdings,Novo Nordisk,PayPal Holdings, and Uber Technologies release earnings.ADP releases its National Employment Report for April. Expectations are for a gain of 762,500 jobs in private-sector employment after a 517,000 increase in March.ISM releases its Services PMI for April. The consensus call is for a 64.6 reading, a tick higher than the March data. The March reading was an all-time high for the index.Thursday 5/6Anheuser-Busch InBev,Becton Dickinson,Expedia Group,Fidelity National Information Services,Kellogg, Linde,MetLife,Moderna, Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Square, ViacomCBS, and Zoetishold conference calls to discuss quarterly results.The Department of Labor reports initial jobless claims for the week ending on May 1. Initial jobless claims have averaged 611,750 a week in April and are at their lowest level since March of last year.The Bureau of Labor Statistics reports labor costs and productivity for the first quarter. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 2.2% productivity growth, compared with a 4.2% decline in the fourth quarter of 2020. Unit labor costs are seen falling 0.4% after rising 6% previously.Friday 5/7The Bureau of Labor Statistics releases the jobs report for April. Economists forecast a gain of 975,000 in nonfarm payroll employment. The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 5.8% from 6%.Cigna and Liberty Media report earnings.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GM":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"PYPL":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"UBER":0.9,"TMUS":0.9,"PFE":0.9,"VIACP":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":426,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":101386499,"gmtCreate":1619845800611,"gmtModify":1634209499015,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574940130653589","idStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nothing new. Always targeted for a fine.","listText":"Nothing new. Always targeted for a fine.","text":"Nothing new. Always targeted for a fine.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/101386499","repostId":"1142063705","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":833,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":193558083,"gmtCreate":1620802317142,"gmtModify":1634196178475,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574940130653589","idStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Too free and nothing better to do","listText":"Too free and nothing better to do","text":"Too free and nothing better to do","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/193558083","repostId":"2134699733","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":730,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":869969751,"gmtCreate":1632235881973,"gmtModify":1632801862593,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574940130653589","idStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"V shape recovery?","listText":"V shape recovery?","text":"V shape recovery?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/869969751","repostId":"1103252137","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2171,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":352323705,"gmtCreate":1616896473807,"gmtModify":1634523631948,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574940130653589","idStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"IPO craze is more or less over. This reflect the cooling down of speculation.","listText":"IPO craze is more or less over. This reflect the cooling down of speculation.","text":"IPO craze is more or less over. This reflect the cooling down of speculation.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/352323705","repostId":"1141686975","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1141686975","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1616780260,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1141686975?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-27 01:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Zhihu Technology fall on its first day of trading<blockquote>知乎科技上市首日下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1141686975","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Zhihu Technology shares opened at $8.02 each on Friday, about 15.6% lower than the company’s IPO pri","content":"<p>Zhihu Technology shares opened at $8.02&nbsp;each on Friday, about 15.6% lower than the company’s IPO price&nbsp;$9.5.Zhihu IPO prices at low end of the range, valuing company at about $5.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>知乎科技股价周五开盘价为每股8.02美元，比该公司9.5美元的IPO价格低约15.6%。知乎IPO价格处于区间低端，公司估值约为53亿美元。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4672a089b4ebb0a889cbfbeb32b48594\" tg-width=\"1920\" tg-height=\"959\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Zhihu Inc.&nbsp;announced Friday the pricing of its initial public offering, at $9.50 per American depositary share, which was at the low end of the expected range. The China-based online content company offered 55 million ADS in the IPO to raise $522.5 million, while the pricing valued the company at about $5.31 billion.</p><p><blockquote>知乎公司周五宣布其首次公开募股定价为每股美国存托股9.50美元，处于预期区间的低端。这家总部位于中国的在线内容公司在IPO中发行了5500万份ADS，筹集了5.225亿美元，而该公司的定价约为53.1亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Zhihu has a similar business model as Quora where millions of people ask questions and exchange their views and experiences. Zhihu has become the largest online question and answer community in China.</p><p><blockquote>知乎的商业模式与Quora相似，数百万人提问并交流他们的观点和经验。知乎已经成为国内最大的在线问答社区。</blockquote></p><p><b>Sales Breakdown</b></p><p><blockquote><b>销售明细</b></blockquote></p><p>Advertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. We estimate advertising as a percentage of revenues to gradually decline in the next five years as it is offset by the faster growing Paid Memberships and Content Commerce Solutions. We estimate advertising as a percentage of sales to decline to 34.1% in 2021 and 22.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>广告和付费会员占公司收入的最大部分。2019年和2020年，广告分别占总收入的86.1%和62.4%。我们预计广告占收入的百分比将在未来五年内逐渐下降，因为它被更快增长的付费会员和内容商务解决方案所抵消。我们预计广告占销售额的百分比将在2021年下降至34.1%，在2025年下降至22.3%。</blockquote></p><p>Paid Memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. We have assumed Paid Membership revenues as a percentage of total revenues to increase to 31.5% in 2021 and 37.8% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>付费会员占2019年总收入的13.1%，2020年增至总收入的23.7%。我们假设付费会员收入占总收入的百分比将在2021年和2025年分别增至31.5%和37.8%。</blockquote></p><p>Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans. We have assumed Content Commerce Solutions as a percentage of total revenue to jump from 10% in 2020 to 17.8% in 2021 and 32.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，内容商务解决方案和其他销售额也大幅增长。内容商务解决方案收入从2019年的60万元跃升至2020年的1.358亿元。2020年初，该公司推出了内容商务解决方案，为商家和品牌提供一站式服务，满足其所有销售和营销需求，包括营销计划。我们假设内容商务解决方案占总收入的百分比将从2020年的10%跃升至2021年的17.8%和2025年的32.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Gross Margins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>毛利率</b></blockquote></p><p>The company's gross margins improved from 46.6% in 2019 to 56.0% in 2020, driven by an overall improving business scalability. We have assumed further improvements in gross margins to 57.4% in 2021 and 62.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>在业务可扩展性整体提升的推动下，公司毛利率从2019年的46.6%提升至2020年的56.0%。我们假设毛利率在2021年和2025年进一步提高至57.4%和62.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Total Operating Expenses and Operating Margins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总营业费用和营业利润率</b></blockquote></p><p>Total operating expenses as a percentage of revenues declined significantly from 204.4% in 2019 to 100.6% in 2020. We expect this ratio to improve further to 79% in 2021, 69.2% in 2022, and 57.2% in 2025. The bulk of the improvements in operating expenses is coming from lower SG&amp;A and R&amp;D expenses as a percentage of revenues in the next five years.</p><p><blockquote>总运营费用占收入的百分比由2019年的204.4%大幅下降至2020年的100.6%。我们预计这一比例将在2021年进一步提高至79%，2022年为69.2%，2025年为57.2%。运营费用的改善大部分来自未来五年SG&amp;A和R&amp;D费用占收入百分比的降低。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c019cc86f4d4c1d9ffe15d3b4a4bfa75\" tg-width=\"772\" tg-height=\"480\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef629be32d2c34d625cb287ad648206d\" tg-width=\"757\" tg-height=\"488\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9561a02993fbc88c2cad88e68c08730\" tg-width=\"920\" tg-height=\"485\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Company Background</b></p><p><blockquote><b>公司背景</b></blockquote></p><p>At the end of 2020, Zhihu had more than 43.1 million cumulative content creators that contributed 315 million questions and answers. In 4Q 2020, the company had 75.7 million average monthly active users, up 33% YoY. One of the key strengths of the company is that it is recognized as one of the most trustworthy online content communities and regarded as providing one of the highest quality content in China. Zhihu has tried to capitalize on its large user base to provide numerous multimedia functions including live streaming, e-commerce, online education, and other video content.</p><p><blockquote>2020年底，知乎累计有超过4310万内容创作者，贡献了3.15亿个问答。2020年第四季度，该公司平均月活跃用户为7570万，同比增长33%。该公司的关键优势之一是，它被公认为最值得信赖的在线内容社区之一，并被视为提供中国最优质的内容之一。知乎试图利用其庞大的用户群提供众多多媒体功能，包括直播、电子商务、在线教育和其他视频内容。</blockquote></p><p>In August 2019, Zhihu received $434 million in funding from leading investors including Baidu and Kuaishou Technology, valuing the company at $3.5 billion. Given that the company had $97 million in sales in 2019, this would suggest a P/S valuation multiple of 36x. If we take the same P/S multiple apply to the company's 2020 sales of $207 million, this would suggest an implied valuation of $7.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>2019年8月，知乎获得了包括百度和快手科技在内的领先投资者4.34亿美元的融资，公司估值为35亿美元。鉴于该公司2019年的销售额为9700万美元，这意味着市盈率估值倍数为36倍。如果我们将相同的市盈率倍数应用于该公司2020年2.07亿美元的销售额，这将表明隐含估值为75亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Zhihu was originally developed as a question and answer online community in 2010. At the end of 2020, there were a total of 315 million Q&amp;As spanning more than 1,000 verticals and 571,000 topics. Zhihu is one of the top five comprehensive online content communities in China, in terms of average mobile MAUs and revenue in 2020. The company uses artificial intelligence, cloud, and big data algorithms to improve the optimization of its content and services.</p><p><blockquote>知乎最初是在2010年作为一个问答在线社区开发的。截至2020年底，共有3.15亿次问答，跨越1000多个垂直领域和57.1万个主题。按2020年平均移动月活跃用户数及收入计，知乎是中国五大综合在线内容社区之一。该公司使用人工智能、云和大数据算法来提高其内容和服务的优化。</blockquote></p><p><b>Major Shareholders of Zhihu</b></p><p><blockquote><b>知乎主要股东</b></blockquote></p><p>The founder &amp; CEO&nbsp;Zhou Yuanowns an 8.2% stake in the company (but 46.6% voting rights). Sinovation Ventures owns a 13.1% stake and Tencent Holdings Ltd. owns a 12.3% stake of Zhihu.</p><p><blockquote>创始人兼首席执行官周元拥有该公司8.2%的股份（但拥有46.6%的投票权）。创新工场拥有知乎13.1%的股份，腾讯控股控股有限公司拥有知乎12.3%的股份。</blockquote></p><p><b>Key Demographics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关键人口统计</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p>The diagram below provides some of the key demographics of Zhihu user base. Males accounted for 56.9% of total users. People under 30 years old accounted for 78.7% of its total user base. Tier I and new tier I cities represented 52.6% of total user base. Many of the users of Zhihu are students and white collar professionals.</p><p><blockquote>下图提供了知乎用户群的一些关键人口统计数据。男性用户占总用户的56.9%。30岁以下人群占其总用户群的78.7%。一线及新一线城市佔总用户群的52.6%。知乎的很多用户都是学生和白领专业人士。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/524d689472daad1c99491d74dfdbfe24\" tg-width=\"295\" tg-height=\"389\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Revenue Breakdown</b></p><p><blockquote><b>收入明细</b></blockquote></p><p>Advertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. The company's advertising revenue is mainly driven by its MAUs and advertising revenue per MAU. The company's MAUs increased by 42.7% YoY to 68.5 million in 2020. The company started its online advertising business in 2016 and introduced paid content in 2018.</p><p><blockquote>广告和付费会员占公司收入的最大部分。2019年和2020年，广告分别占总收入的86.1%和62.4%。该公司的广告收入主要由其月活跃用户数和每个月活跃用户数的广告收入推动。2020年，公司月活跃用户数同比增长42.7%至6850万。该公司于2016年开始在线广告业务，并于2018年引入付费内容。</blockquote></p><p>Paid memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. Average monthly members jumped by 311.5% YoY to 2.36 million in 2020, which is a testament of an increasing number of customers that value the premium content available on Zhihu.</p><p><blockquote>付费会员占2019年总收入的13.1%，2020年增至总收入的23.7%。2020年，月均会员同比增长311.5%至236万，这证明越来越多的客户重视知乎上的优质内容。</blockquote></p><p>In March 2019, the company introduced the Yan Selection membership program, making it the first payment-based questions &amp; answers community. It provides its members with unlimited access to about 3.4 million paid content including online lectures, columns, audio books, and e-journals. This is one of the biggest strengths of the company as it shows how high quality data and content can generate serious amount of revenues and it also provides a more steady monthly revenue inflow.</p><p><blockquote>2019年3月，公司推出Yan Selection会员计划，使其成为第一个基于付费的问答社区。它为会员提供了对约340万个付费内容的无限制访问，包括在线讲座、专栏、有声读物和电子期刊。这是该公司最大的优势之一，因为它显示了高质量的数据和内容如何能够产生大量收入，并且还提供了更稳定的每月收入流入。</blockquote></p><p>Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans, assigning the most relevant content creators to interested users, and facilitating content creation.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，内容商务解决方案和其他销售额也大幅增长。内容商务解决方案收入从2019年的60万元跃升至2020年的1.358亿元。2020年初，该公司推出了内容商务解决方案，为商家和品牌提供一站式服务，满足其所有销售和营销需求，包括营销计划、为感兴趣的用户分配最相关的内容创作者以及促进内容创作。</blockquote></p><p>China's content-commerce solution market is expected to be one of the fastest growing sectors in the next several years. According to CIC Consultancy, China's content-commerce solution market is expected to enjoy a strong CAGR growth of 46.4% from 2019 to 2025 (112.3 billion RMB).</p><p><blockquote>中国的内容商务解决方案市场预计将成为未来几年增长最快的行业之一。根据灼识谘询的资料，中国内容商务解决方案市场预期于2019年至2025年将享有46.4%的强劲复合年增长率（1,123亿元人民币）。</blockquote></p><p><b>Market Opportunities</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场机会</b></blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Online Content Communities Market Size</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国在线内容社区市场规模</b></blockquote></p><p>Online content communities refer to UGC (user generated content)-focused (including PUGC (professional user generated content) focused online content market players where content creators are also users, who are actively engaged within the communities. The content communities generally can stimulate higher level of user engagement, more interactive user experience, and enjoy lower content cost, compared to PGC (professionally generated content) players. PGC is content created by the branded company or organization.</p><p><blockquote>在线内容社区是指专注于UGC（用户生成内容）（包括PUGC（专业用户生成内容））的在线内容市场参与者，其中内容创作者也是用户，他们积极参与社区。与PGC（专业生成内容）玩家相比，内容社区通常可以激发更高水平的用户参与度、更具互动性的用户体验，并享受更低的内容成本。PGC是由品牌公司或组织创建的内容。</blockquote></p><p>China's online content communities market size increased from 38.6 billion RMB in 2015 to 275.8 billion RMB in 2019 and is further expected to rise to 1.3 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 30.3% from 2019 to 2025, which is higher than the overall online content market growth.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容社区市场规模由2015年的386亿元人民币增至2019年的2758亿元人民币，预计将进一步增至2025年的1.3万亿元人民币，2019年至2025年的复合年增长率为30.3%，高于整体在线内容市场增长。</blockquote></p><p>China's online content community market has more diversified monetization channels including online advertising, paid membership, content e-commerce, content-commerce solutions, virtual gifting in live streaming, online games, and online education services. In comparison, the US online content community's monetization is mainly through advertising.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容社区市场拥有更多元化的变现渠道，包括在线广告、付费会员、内容电商、内容电商解决方案、直播虚拟礼品、在线游戏及在线教育服务。相比之下，美国在线内容社区的变现主要是通过广告。</blockquote></p><p>One of the major positives about the company is the growing trend of more Chinese consumers that are willing to pay money for higher quality content. The number of paying users in China’s online content communities is expected to increase at a CAGR of 17.1% between 2019 and 2025, which means an increase of 360.4 million extra paying users of online content communities to 588.2 million in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的一个主要积极因素是，越来越多的中国消费者愿意为更高质量的内容付费。预计2019年至2025年期间，中国在线内容社区的付费用户数量将以17.1%的复合年增长率增长，这意味着在线内容社区的额外付费用户将增加3.604亿至2025年的5.882亿。</blockquote></p><p><b>China's Online Content Market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国在线内容市场</b></blockquote></p><p>China's online content market tripled from 2015 to reach 1.2 trillion RMB in 2019. This market is expected to increase to 3.7 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 21.4% from 2019 to 2025.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容市场较2015年增长两倍，2019年达到1.2万亿人民币。预计该市场将于2025年增至3.7万亿元人民币，2019年至2025年的复合年增长率为21.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Online Content Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2015年至2025年（估计）中国在线内容市场规模（按收入计）</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69a7db9cacf26245273702a255aabdb8\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"258\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Market Size of China’s Online Content Communities (in terms of revenue),2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>二零一五年至二零二五年（估计）中国在线内容社区的市场规模（以收益计）</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aee42792caf4aa2cbdcd17f757a75727\" tg-width=\"584\" tg-height=\"285\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Paid Membership Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国付费会员市场规模（以收入计），2015年至2025年（估计）</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77ff121d78cb1dd922d524a78570152e\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"286\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Content-commerce solutions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>内容商务解决方案</b></blockquote></p><p>To provide integrated marketing services, the online content communities provide content-commerce solutions for content creation, content distribution, and content conversion. The company provides integrated content-commerce solutions, providing merchants and brands one-stop services for all their sales and marketing needs, from making marketing plans, facilitating content creation, assigning the most relevant content creators, to distributing to the interested users. China's content commerce solution market is expected to grow from 11.4 billion RMB in 2019 to 112.3 billion RMB in 2025, at a CAGR of 46.4%.</p><p><blockquote>为了提供整合营销服务，在线内容社区为内容创建、内容分发和内容转换提供内容商务解决方案。该公司提供综合内容商务解决方案，为商家和品牌的所有销售和营销需求提供一站式服务，从制定营销计划、促进内容创作、分配最相关的内容创作者，到向感兴趣的用户分发。中国内容商务解决方案市场预期将由2019年的人民币114亿元增长至2025年的人民币1123亿元，复合年增长率为46.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Content-Commerce Solution Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>二零一五年至二零二五年（估计）中国内容商务解决方案市场规模（以收入计）</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01a230d3fb2d4cf4aeeebfd5c3c691c3\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"269\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Zhihu Technology fall on its first day of trading<blockquote>知乎科技上市首日下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nZhihu Technology fall on its first day of trading<blockquote>知乎科技上市首日下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-03-27 01:37</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Zhihu Technology shares opened at $8.02&nbsp;each on Friday, about 15.6% lower than the company’s IPO price&nbsp;$9.5.Zhihu IPO prices at low end of the range, valuing company at about $5.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>知乎科技股价周五开盘价为每股8.02美元，比该公司9.5美元的IPO价格低约15.6%。知乎IPO价格处于区间低端，公司估值约为53亿美元。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4672a089b4ebb0a889cbfbeb32b48594\" tg-width=\"1920\" tg-height=\"959\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Zhihu Inc.&nbsp;announced Friday the pricing of its initial public offering, at $9.50 per American depositary share, which was at the low end of the expected range. The China-based online content company offered 55 million ADS in the IPO to raise $522.5 million, while the pricing valued the company at about $5.31 billion.</p><p><blockquote>知乎公司周五宣布其首次公开募股定价为每股美国存托股9.50美元，处于预期区间的低端。这家总部位于中国的在线内容公司在IPO中发行了5500万份ADS，筹集了5.225亿美元，而该公司的定价约为53.1亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Zhihu has a similar business model as Quora where millions of people ask questions and exchange their views and experiences. Zhihu has become the largest online question and answer community in China.</p><p><blockquote>知乎的商业模式与Quora相似，数百万人提问并交流他们的观点和经验。知乎已经成为国内最大的在线问答社区。</blockquote></p><p><b>Sales Breakdown</b></p><p><blockquote><b>销售明细</b></blockquote></p><p>Advertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. We estimate advertising as a percentage of revenues to gradually decline in the next five years as it is offset by the faster growing Paid Memberships and Content Commerce Solutions. We estimate advertising as a percentage of sales to decline to 34.1% in 2021 and 22.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>广告和付费会员占公司收入的最大部分。2019年和2020年，广告分别占总收入的86.1%和62.4%。我们预计广告占收入的百分比将在未来五年内逐渐下降，因为它被更快增长的付费会员和内容商务解决方案所抵消。我们预计广告占销售额的百分比将在2021年下降至34.1%，在2025年下降至22.3%。</blockquote></p><p>Paid Memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. We have assumed Paid Membership revenues as a percentage of total revenues to increase to 31.5% in 2021 and 37.8% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>付费会员占2019年总收入的13.1%，2020年增至总收入的23.7%。我们假设付费会员收入占总收入的百分比将在2021年和2025年分别增至31.5%和37.8%。</blockquote></p><p>Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans. We have assumed Content Commerce Solutions as a percentage of total revenue to jump from 10% in 2020 to 17.8% in 2021 and 32.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，内容商务解决方案和其他销售额也大幅增长。内容商务解决方案收入从2019年的60万元跃升至2020年的1.358亿元。2020年初，该公司推出了内容商务解决方案，为商家和品牌提供一站式服务，满足其所有销售和营销需求，包括营销计划。我们假设内容商务解决方案占总收入的百分比将从2020年的10%跃升至2021年的17.8%和2025年的32.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Gross Margins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>毛利率</b></blockquote></p><p>The company's gross margins improved from 46.6% in 2019 to 56.0% in 2020, driven by an overall improving business scalability. We have assumed further improvements in gross margins to 57.4% in 2021 and 62.3% in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>在业务可扩展性整体提升的推动下，公司毛利率从2019年的46.6%提升至2020年的56.0%。我们假设毛利率在2021年和2025年进一步提高至57.4%和62.3%。</blockquote></p><p><b>Total Operating Expenses and Operating Margins</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总营业费用和营业利润率</b></blockquote></p><p>Total operating expenses as a percentage of revenues declined significantly from 204.4% in 2019 to 100.6% in 2020. We expect this ratio to improve further to 79% in 2021, 69.2% in 2022, and 57.2% in 2025. The bulk of the improvements in operating expenses is coming from lower SG&amp;A and R&amp;D expenses as a percentage of revenues in the next five years.</p><p><blockquote>总运营费用占收入的百分比由2019年的204.4%大幅下降至2020年的100.6%。我们预计这一比例将在2021年进一步提高至79%，2022年为69.2%，2025年为57.2%。运营费用的改善大部分来自未来五年SG&amp;A和R&amp;D费用占收入百分比的降低。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c019cc86f4d4c1d9ffe15d3b4a4bfa75\" tg-width=\"772\" tg-height=\"480\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef629be32d2c34d625cb287ad648206d\" tg-width=\"757\" tg-height=\"488\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b9561a02993fbc88c2cad88e68c08730\" tg-width=\"920\" tg-height=\"485\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Company Background</b></p><p><blockquote><b>公司背景</b></blockquote></p><p>At the end of 2020, Zhihu had more than 43.1 million cumulative content creators that contributed 315 million questions and answers. In 4Q 2020, the company had 75.7 million average monthly active users, up 33% YoY. One of the key strengths of the company is that it is recognized as one of the most trustworthy online content communities and regarded as providing one of the highest quality content in China. Zhihu has tried to capitalize on its large user base to provide numerous multimedia functions including live streaming, e-commerce, online education, and other video content.</p><p><blockquote>2020年底，知乎累计有超过4310万内容创作者，贡献了3.15亿个问答。2020年第四季度，该公司平均月活跃用户为7570万，同比增长33%。该公司的关键优势之一是，它被公认为最值得信赖的在线内容社区之一，并被视为提供中国最优质的内容之一。知乎试图利用其庞大的用户群提供众多多媒体功能，包括直播、电子商务、在线教育和其他视频内容。</blockquote></p><p>In August 2019, Zhihu received $434 million in funding from leading investors including Baidu and Kuaishou Technology, valuing the company at $3.5 billion. Given that the company had $97 million in sales in 2019, this would suggest a P/S valuation multiple of 36x. If we take the same P/S multiple apply to the company's 2020 sales of $207 million, this would suggest an implied valuation of $7.5 billion.</p><p><blockquote>2019年8月，知乎获得了包括百度和快手科技在内的领先投资者4.34亿美元的融资，公司估值为35亿美元。鉴于该公司2019年的销售额为9700万美元，这意味着市盈率估值倍数为36倍。如果我们将相同的市盈率倍数应用于该公司2020年2.07亿美元的销售额，这将表明隐含估值为75亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Zhihu was originally developed as a question and answer online community in 2010. At the end of 2020, there were a total of 315 million Q&amp;As spanning more than 1,000 verticals and 571,000 topics. Zhihu is one of the top five comprehensive online content communities in China, in terms of average mobile MAUs and revenue in 2020. The company uses artificial intelligence, cloud, and big data algorithms to improve the optimization of its content and services.</p><p><blockquote>知乎最初是在2010年作为一个问答在线社区开发的。截至2020年底，共有3.15亿次问答，跨越1000多个垂直领域和57.1万个主题。按2020年平均移动月活跃用户数及收入计，知乎是中国五大综合在线内容社区之一。该公司使用人工智能、云和大数据算法来提高其内容和服务的优化。</blockquote></p><p><b>Major Shareholders of Zhihu</b></p><p><blockquote><b>知乎主要股东</b></blockquote></p><p>The founder &amp; CEO&nbsp;Zhou Yuanowns an 8.2% stake in the company (but 46.6% voting rights). Sinovation Ventures owns a 13.1% stake and Tencent Holdings Ltd. owns a 12.3% stake of Zhihu.</p><p><blockquote>创始人兼首席执行官周元拥有该公司8.2%的股份（但拥有46.6%的投票权）。创新工场拥有知乎13.1%的股份，腾讯控股控股有限公司拥有知乎12.3%的股份。</blockquote></p><p><b>Key Demographics</b></p><p><blockquote><b>关键人口统计</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p>The diagram below provides some of the key demographics of Zhihu user base. Males accounted for 56.9% of total users. People under 30 years old accounted for 78.7% of its total user base. Tier I and new tier I cities represented 52.6% of total user base. Many of the users of Zhihu are students and white collar professionals.</p><p><blockquote>下图提供了知乎用户群的一些关键人口统计数据。男性用户占总用户的56.9%。30岁以下人群占其总用户群的78.7%。一线及新一线城市佔总用户群的52.6%。知乎的很多用户都是学生和白领专业人士。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/524d689472daad1c99491d74dfdbfe24\" tg-width=\"295\" tg-height=\"389\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Revenue Breakdown</b></p><p><blockquote><b>收入明细</b></blockquote></p><p>Advertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. The company's advertising revenue is mainly driven by its MAUs and advertising revenue per MAU. The company's MAUs increased by 42.7% YoY to 68.5 million in 2020. The company started its online advertising business in 2016 and introduced paid content in 2018.</p><p><blockquote>广告和付费会员占公司收入的最大部分。2019年和2020年，广告分别占总收入的86.1%和62.4%。该公司的广告收入主要由其月活跃用户数和每个月活跃用户数的广告收入推动。2020年，公司月活跃用户数同比增长42.7%至6850万。该公司于2016年开始在线广告业务，并于2018年引入付费内容。</blockquote></p><p>Paid memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. Average monthly members jumped by 311.5% YoY to 2.36 million in 2020, which is a testament of an increasing number of customers that value the premium content available on Zhihu.</p><p><blockquote>付费会员占2019年总收入的13.1%，2020年增至总收入的23.7%。2020年，月均会员同比增长311.5%至236万，这证明越来越多的客户重视知乎上的优质内容。</blockquote></p><p>In March 2019, the company introduced the Yan Selection membership program, making it the first payment-based questions &amp; answers community. It provides its members with unlimited access to about 3.4 million paid content including online lectures, columns, audio books, and e-journals. This is one of the biggest strengths of the company as it shows how high quality data and content can generate serious amount of revenues and it also provides a more steady monthly revenue inflow.</p><p><blockquote>2019年3月，公司推出Yan Selection会员计划，使其成为第一个基于付费的问答社区。它为会员提供了对约340万个付费内容的无限制访问，包括在线讲座、专栏、有声读物和电子期刊。这是该公司最大的优势之一，因为它显示了高质量的数据和内容如何能够产生大量收入，并且还提供了更稳定的每月收入流入。</blockquote></p><p>Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans, assigning the most relevant content creators to interested users, and facilitating content creation.</p><p><blockquote>2020年，内容商务解决方案和其他销售额也大幅增长。内容商务解决方案收入从2019年的60万元跃升至2020年的1.358亿元。2020年初，该公司推出了内容商务解决方案，为商家和品牌提供一站式服务，满足其所有销售和营销需求，包括营销计划、为感兴趣的用户分配最相关的内容创作者以及促进内容创作。</blockquote></p><p>China's content-commerce solution market is expected to be one of the fastest growing sectors in the next several years. According to CIC Consultancy, China's content-commerce solution market is expected to enjoy a strong CAGR growth of 46.4% from 2019 to 2025 (112.3 billion RMB).</p><p><blockquote>中国的内容商务解决方案市场预计将成为未来几年增长最快的行业之一。根据灼识谘询的资料，中国内容商务解决方案市场预期于2019年至2025年将享有46.4%的强劲复合年增长率（1,123亿元人民币）。</blockquote></p><p><b>Market Opportunities</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场机会</b></blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Online Content Communities Market Size</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国在线内容社区市场规模</b></blockquote></p><p>Online content communities refer to UGC (user generated content)-focused (including PUGC (professional user generated content) focused online content market players where content creators are also users, who are actively engaged within the communities. The content communities generally can stimulate higher level of user engagement, more interactive user experience, and enjoy lower content cost, compared to PGC (professionally generated content) players. PGC is content created by the branded company or organization.</p><p><blockquote>在线内容社区是指专注于UGC（用户生成内容）（包括PUGC（专业用户生成内容））的在线内容市场参与者，其中内容创作者也是用户，他们积极参与社区。与PGC（专业生成内容）玩家相比，内容社区通常可以激发更高水平的用户参与度、更具互动性的用户体验，并享受更低的内容成本。PGC是由品牌公司或组织创建的内容。</blockquote></p><p>China's online content communities market size increased from 38.6 billion RMB in 2015 to 275.8 billion RMB in 2019 and is further expected to rise to 1.3 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 30.3% from 2019 to 2025, which is higher than the overall online content market growth.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容社区市场规模由2015年的386亿元人民币增至2019年的2758亿元人民币，预计将进一步增至2025年的1.3万亿元人民币，2019年至2025年的复合年增长率为30.3%，高于整体在线内容市场增长。</blockquote></p><p>China's online content community market has more diversified monetization channels including online advertising, paid membership, content e-commerce, content-commerce solutions, virtual gifting in live streaming, online games, and online education services. In comparison, the US online content community's monetization is mainly through advertising.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容社区市场拥有更多元化的变现渠道，包括在线广告、付费会员、内容电商、内容电商解决方案、直播虚拟礼品、在线游戏及在线教育服务。相比之下，美国在线内容社区的变现主要是通过广告。</blockquote></p><p>One of the major positives about the company is the growing trend of more Chinese consumers that are willing to pay money for higher quality content. The number of paying users in China’s online content communities is expected to increase at a CAGR of 17.1% between 2019 and 2025, which means an increase of 360.4 million extra paying users of online content communities to 588.2 million in 2025.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的一个主要积极因素是，越来越多的中国消费者愿意为更高质量的内容付费。预计2019年至2025年期间，中国在线内容社区的付费用户数量将以17.1%的复合年增长率增长，这意味着在线内容社区的额外付费用户将增加3.604亿至2025年的5.882亿。</blockquote></p><p><b>China's Online Content Market</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国在线内容市场</b></blockquote></p><p>China's online content market tripled from 2015 to reach 1.2 trillion RMB in 2019. This market is expected to increase to 3.7 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 21.4% from 2019 to 2025.</p><p><blockquote>中国在线内容市场较2015年增长两倍，2019年达到1.2万亿人民币。预计该市场将于2025年增至3.7万亿元人民币，2019年至2025年的复合年增长率为21.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Online Content Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2015年至2025年（估计）中国在线内容市场规模（按收入计）</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/69a7db9cacf26245273702a255aabdb8\" tg-width=\"573\" tg-height=\"258\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Market Size of China’s Online Content Communities (in terms of revenue),2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>二零一五年至二零二五年（估计）中国在线内容社区的市场规模（以收益计）</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aee42792caf4aa2cbdcd17f757a75727\" tg-width=\"584\" tg-height=\"285\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Paid Membership Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>中国付费会员市场规模（以收入计），2015年至2025年（估计）</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/77ff121d78cb1dd922d524a78570152e\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"286\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p><b>Content-commerce solutions</b></p><p><blockquote><b>内容商务解决方案</b></blockquote></p><p>To provide integrated marketing services, the online content communities provide content-commerce solutions for content creation, content distribution, and content conversion. The company provides integrated content-commerce solutions, providing merchants and brands one-stop services for all their sales and marketing needs, from making marketing plans, facilitating content creation, assigning the most relevant content creators, to distributing to the interested users. China's content commerce solution market is expected to grow from 11.4 billion RMB in 2019 to 112.3 billion RMB in 2025, at a CAGR of 46.4%.</p><p><blockquote>为了提供整合营销服务，在线内容社区为内容创建、内容分发和内容转换提供内容商务解决方案。该公司提供综合内容商务解决方案，为商家和品牌的所有销售和营销需求提供一站式服务，从制定营销计划、促进内容创作、分配最相关的内容创作者，到向感兴趣的用户分发。中国内容商务解决方案市场预期将由2019年的人民币114亿元增长至2025年的人民币1123亿元，复合年增长率为46.4%。</blockquote></p><p><b>China’s Content-Commerce Solution Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E</b></p><p><blockquote><b>二零一五年至二零二五年（估计）中国内容商务解决方案市场规模（以收入计）</b></blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/01a230d3fb2d4cf4aeeebfd5c3c691c3\" tg-width=\"520\" tg-height=\"269\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ZH":"知乎"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1141686975","content_text":"Zhihu Technology shares opened at $8.02 each on Friday, about 15.6% lower than the company’s IPO price $9.5.Zhihu IPO prices at low end of the range, valuing company at about $5.3 billion.Zhihu Inc. announced Friday the pricing of its initial public offering, at $9.50 per American depositary share, which was at the low end of the expected range. The China-based online content company offered 55 million ADS in the IPO to raise $522.5 million, while the pricing valued the company at about $5.31 billion.Zhihu has a similar business model as Quora where millions of people ask questions and exchange their views and experiences. Zhihu has become the largest online question and answer community in China.Sales BreakdownAdvertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. We estimate advertising as a percentage of revenues to gradually decline in the next five years as it is offset by the faster growing Paid Memberships and Content Commerce Solutions. We estimate advertising as a percentage of sales to decline to 34.1% in 2021 and 22.3% in 2025.Paid Memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. We have assumed Paid Membership revenues as a percentage of total revenues to increase to 31.5% in 2021 and 37.8% in 2025.Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans. We have assumed Content Commerce Solutions as a percentage of total revenue to jump from 10% in 2020 to 17.8% in 2021 and 32.3% in 2025.Gross MarginsThe company's gross margins improved from 46.6% in 2019 to 56.0% in 2020, driven by an overall improving business scalability. We have assumed further improvements in gross margins to 57.4% in 2021 and 62.3% in 2025.Total Operating Expenses and Operating MarginsTotal operating expenses as a percentage of revenues declined significantly from 204.4% in 2019 to 100.6% in 2020. We expect this ratio to improve further to 79% in 2021, 69.2% in 2022, and 57.2% in 2025. The bulk of the improvements in operating expenses is coming from lower SG&A and R&D expenses as a percentage of revenues in the next five years.Company BackgroundAt the end of 2020, Zhihu had more than 43.1 million cumulative content creators that contributed 315 million questions and answers. In 4Q 2020, the company had 75.7 million average monthly active users, up 33% YoY. One of the key strengths of the company is that it is recognized as one of the most trustworthy online content communities and regarded as providing one of the highest quality content in China. Zhihu has tried to capitalize on its large user base to provide numerous multimedia functions including live streaming, e-commerce, online education, and other video content.In August 2019, Zhihu received $434 million in funding from leading investors including Baidu and Kuaishou Technology, valuing the company at $3.5 billion. Given that the company had $97 million in sales in 2019, this would suggest a P/S valuation multiple of 36x. If we take the same P/S multiple apply to the company's 2020 sales of $207 million, this would suggest an implied valuation of $7.5 billion.Zhihu was originally developed as a question and answer online community in 2010. At the end of 2020, there were a total of 315 million Q&As spanning more than 1,000 verticals and 571,000 topics. Zhihu is one of the top five comprehensive online content communities in China, in terms of average mobile MAUs and revenue in 2020. The company uses artificial intelligence, cloud, and big data algorithms to improve the optimization of its content and services.Major Shareholders of ZhihuThe founder & CEO Zhou Yuanowns an 8.2% stake in the company (but 46.6% voting rights). Sinovation Ventures owns a 13.1% stake and Tencent Holdings Ltd. owns a 12.3% stake of Zhihu.Key DemographicsThe diagram below provides some of the key demographics of Zhihu user base. Males accounted for 56.9% of total users. People under 30 years old accounted for 78.7% of its total user base. Tier I and new tier I cities represented 52.6% of total user base. Many of the users of Zhihu are students and white collar professionals.Revenue BreakdownAdvertising and paid memberships account for the biggest portion of the company's revenues. Advertising accounted for 86.1% and 62.4% of total revenues in 2019 and 2020, respectively. The company's advertising revenue is mainly driven by its MAUs and advertising revenue per MAU. The company's MAUs increased by 42.7% YoY to 68.5 million in 2020. The company started its online advertising business in 2016 and introduced paid content in 2018.Paid memberships represented 13.1% of total revenues in 2019, which increased to 23.7% of total revenues in 2020. Average monthly members jumped by 311.5% YoY to 2.36 million in 2020, which is a testament of an increasing number of customers that value the premium content available on Zhihu.In March 2019, the company introduced the Yan Selection membership program, making it the first payment-based questions & answers community. It provides its members with unlimited access to about 3.4 million paid content including online lectures, columns, audio books, and e-journals. This is one of the biggest strengths of the company as it shows how high quality data and content can generate serious amount of revenues and it also provides a more steady monthly revenue inflow.Content Commerce Solutions and Other sales also increased sharply in 2020. Content Commerce Solutions revenues jumped from 0.6 million RMB in 2019 to 135.8 million RMB in 2020. In early 2020, the company launched Content-Commerce solutions, which provide merchants and brands a one-stop shop for all of their sales and marketing needs, including marketing plans, assigning the most relevant content creators to interested users, and facilitating content creation.China's content-commerce solution market is expected to be one of the fastest growing sectors in the next several years. According to CIC Consultancy, China's content-commerce solution market is expected to enjoy a strong CAGR growth of 46.4% from 2019 to 2025 (112.3 billion RMB).Market OpportunitiesChina’s Online Content Communities Market SizeOnline content communities refer to UGC (user generated content)-focused (including PUGC (professional user generated content) focused online content market players where content creators are also users, who are actively engaged within the communities. The content communities generally can stimulate higher level of user engagement, more interactive user experience, and enjoy lower content cost, compared to PGC (professionally generated content) players. PGC is content created by the branded company or organization.China's online content communities market size increased from 38.6 billion RMB in 2015 to 275.8 billion RMB in 2019 and is further expected to rise to 1.3 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 30.3% from 2019 to 2025, which is higher than the overall online content market growth.China's online content community market has more diversified monetization channels including online advertising, paid membership, content e-commerce, content-commerce solutions, virtual gifting in live streaming, online games, and online education services. In comparison, the US online content community's monetization is mainly through advertising.One of the major positives about the company is the growing trend of more Chinese consumers that are willing to pay money for higher quality content. The number of paying users in China’s online content communities is expected to increase at a CAGR of 17.1% between 2019 and 2025, which means an increase of 360.4 million extra paying users of online content communities to 588.2 million in 2025.China's Online Content MarketChina's online content market tripled from 2015 to reach 1.2 trillion RMB in 2019. This market is expected to increase to 3.7 trillion RMB in 2025, representing a CAGR of 21.4% from 2019 to 2025.China’s Online Content Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025EMarket Size of China’s Online Content Communities (in terms of revenue),2015-2025EChina’s Paid Membership Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025EContent-commerce solutionsTo provide integrated marketing services, the online content communities provide content-commerce solutions for content creation, content distribution, and content conversion. The company provides integrated content-commerce solutions, providing merchants and brands one-stop services for all their sales and marketing needs, from making marketing plans, facilitating content creation, assigning the most relevant content creators, to distributing to the interested users. China's content commerce solution market is expected to grow from 11.4 billion RMB in 2019 to 112.3 billion RMB in 2025, at a CAGR of 46.4%.China’s Content-Commerce Solution Market Size (in terms of revenue), 2015-2025E","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ZH":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":268,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":358087014,"gmtCreate":1616641028638,"gmtModify":1634524775317,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574940130653589","idStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"This doesn't make sense. I read it's because it battery cost. Tesla increases its price in China hence affecting growth.","listText":"This doesn't make sense. I read it's because it battery cost. Tesla increases its price in China hence affecting growth.","text":"This doesn't make sense. I read it's because it battery cost. Tesla increases its price in China hence affecting growth.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/358087014","repostId":"1123019252","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1123019252","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616639768,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1123019252?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-25 10:36","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why NIO Stock Is Down<blockquote>蔚来股价为何下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1123019252","media":"fool","summary":"Shares of Chinese electric-vehicle makerNIOwere trading lower on Wednesday, amid broad market turbulence affecting shares of manyelectric vehicle makersand other emerging technology companies.There was no major news driving NIO's shares lower -- or major news of any kind that was directly related to NIO or its stock. The company did share some minor news, but it seems positive: As of 3:16 a.m. local time, a NIO battery-swap station in Suzhou  completed the company's 2 millionth battery swap.NIO ","content":"<p>What happened</p><p><blockquote>发生了什么</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Chinese electric-vehicle maker<b>NIO</b>were trading lower on Wednesday, amid broad market turbulence affecting shares of manyelectric vehicle makersand other emerging technology companies.</p><p><blockquote>中国电动汽车制造商的股票<b>蔚来</b>由于广泛的市场动荡影响了许多电动汽车制造商和其他新兴科技公司的股价，周三股价走低。</blockquote></p><p> So what</p><p><blockquote>那又怎样</blockquote></p><p> There was no major news driving NIO's shares lower -- or major news of any kind that was directly related to NIO or its stock. The company did share some minor news, but it seems positive: As of 3:16 a.m. local time, a NIO battery-swap station in Suzhou (just west of Shanghai) completed the company's 2 millionth battery swap.</p><p><blockquote>没有重大消息导致蔚来股价下跌，也没有任何与蔚来或其股票直接相关的重大消息。该公司确实分享了一些小消息，但似乎是积极的：截至当地时间凌晨3点16分，苏州市（就在上海市以西）的一家蔚来换电站完成了该公司的第200万次电池更换。</blockquote></p><p> NIO said that its network of over 200 battery-swap stations -- which automatically swap a NIO's battery pack for a fully charged one -- now complete a swap about once every 10 seconds, on average.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来表示，其由200多个电池交换站组成的网络可以自动将蔚来的电池组更换为充满电的电池组，现在平均每10秒完成一次更换。</blockquote></p><p> It's not huge news, and it's certainly not what's moving the stock today. But now you know.</p><p><blockquote>这不是什么大新闻，当然也不是今天该股走势的原因。但现在你知道了。</blockquote></p><p> Now what</p><p><blockquote>现在怎么办</blockquote></p><p> That seconds-between-battery-swaps number could well fall over the next several months, as NIO begins deploying its new \"second-generation\" battery-swap stations. The new stations can store more battery packs and complete swaps more quickly than the current units, and theycost less to build, NIO said earlier this month.</p><p><blockquote>随着蔚来开始部署新的“第二代”电池交换站，未来几个月电池交换的秒数很可能会下降。蔚来本月早些时候表示，新电站可以存储更多电池组，比现有电站更快地完成更换，而且建造成本更低。</blockquote></p><p> NIO confirmed on Wednesday that it expects the first of those second-generation stations to be up and running in mid-April.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来周三证实，预计第一个第二代电站将于4月中旬建成并运行。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why NIO Stock Is Down<blockquote>蔚来股价为何下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy NIO Stock Is Down<blockquote>蔚来股价为何下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-25 10:36</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>What happened</p><p><blockquote>发生了什么</blockquote></p><p> Shares of Chinese electric-vehicle maker<b>NIO</b>were trading lower on Wednesday, amid broad market turbulence affecting shares of manyelectric vehicle makersand other emerging technology companies.</p><p><blockquote>中国电动汽车制造商的股票<b>蔚来</b>由于广泛的市场动荡影响了许多电动汽车制造商和其他新兴科技公司的股价，周三股价走低。</blockquote></p><p> So what</p><p><blockquote>那又怎样</blockquote></p><p> There was no major news driving NIO's shares lower -- or major news of any kind that was directly related to NIO or its stock. The company did share some minor news, but it seems positive: As of 3:16 a.m. local time, a NIO battery-swap station in Suzhou (just west of Shanghai) completed the company's 2 millionth battery swap.</p><p><blockquote>没有重大消息导致蔚来股价下跌，也没有任何与蔚来或其股票直接相关的重大消息。该公司确实分享了一些小消息，但似乎是积极的：截至当地时间凌晨3点16分，苏州市（就在上海市以西）的一家蔚来换电站完成了该公司的第200万次电池更换。</blockquote></p><p> NIO said that its network of over 200 battery-swap stations -- which automatically swap a NIO's battery pack for a fully charged one -- now complete a swap about once every 10 seconds, on average.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来表示，其由200多个电池交换站组成的网络可以自动将蔚来的电池组更换为充满电的电池组，现在平均每10秒完成一次更换。</blockquote></p><p> It's not huge news, and it's certainly not what's moving the stock today. But now you know.</p><p><blockquote>这不是什么大新闻，当然也不是今天该股走势的原因。但现在你知道了。</blockquote></p><p> Now what</p><p><blockquote>现在怎么办</blockquote></p><p> That seconds-between-battery-swaps number could well fall over the next several months, as NIO begins deploying its new \"second-generation\" battery-swap stations. The new stations can store more battery packs and complete swaps more quickly than the current units, and theycost less to build, NIO said earlier this month.</p><p><blockquote>随着蔚来开始部署新的“第二代”电池交换站，未来几个月电池交换的秒数很可能会下降。蔚来本月早些时候表示，新电站可以存储更多电池组，比现有电站更快地完成更换，而且建造成本更低。</blockquote></p><p> NIO confirmed on Wednesday that it expects the first of those second-generation stations to be up and running in mid-April.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来周三证实，预计第一个第二代电站将于4月中旬建成并运行。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/03/24/why-nio-stock-is-down-today/\">fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a3b92523152bd36c422721756606e549","relate_stocks":{"NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/03/24/why-nio-stock-is-down-today/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1123019252","content_text":"What happened\nShares of Chinese electric-vehicle makerNIOwere trading lower on Wednesday, amid broad market turbulence affecting shares of manyelectric vehicle makersand other emerging technology companies.\nSo what\nThere was no major news driving NIO's shares lower -- or major news of any kind that was directly related to NIO or its stock. The company did share some minor news, but it seems positive: As of 3:16 a.m. local time, a NIO battery-swap station in Suzhou (just west of Shanghai) completed the company's 2 millionth battery swap.\nNIO said that its network of over 200 battery-swap stations -- which automatically swap a NIO's battery pack for a fully charged one -- now complete a swap about once every 10 seconds, on average.\nIt's not huge news, and it's certainly not what's moving the stock today. But now you know.\nNow what\nThat seconds-between-battery-swaps number could well fall over the next several months, as NIO begins deploying its new \"second-generation\" battery-swap stations. The new stations can store more battery packs and complete swaps more quickly than the current units, and theycost less to build, NIO said earlier this month.\nNIO confirmed on Wednesday that it expects the first of those second-generation stations to be up and running in mid-April.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":488,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":353394794,"gmtCreate":1616459848518,"gmtModify":1634525728651,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574940130653589","idStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Not going to be easy and straight forward. There will be resistance and interest to trade off for this to eventually go through politically. And then it may look completely different from now.","listText":"Not going to be easy and straight forward. There will be resistance and interest to trade off for this to eventually go through politically. And then it may look completely different from now.","text":"Not going to be easy and straight forward. There will be resistance and interest to trade off for this to eventually go through politically. And then it may look completely different from now.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/353394794","repostId":"1145446245","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1145446245","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616459138,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1145446245?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-23 08:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Joe Biden Wants to Raise Taxes. What It Would Mean for the Stock Market.<blockquote>乔·拜登想要增税。这对股市意味着什么。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1145446245","media":"barrons","summary":"Investors seem to have ignored the possibility of higher corporate taxes under the Joe Biden adminis","content":"<p>Investors seem to have ignored the possibility of higher corporate taxes under the Joe Biden administration, yet the impact would be far from minimal.</p><p><blockquote>投资者似乎忽视了乔·拜登政府提高公司税的可能性，但影响远非最小。</blockquote></p><p> Since just before the presidential election, stocks have soared. TheS&amp;P 500is up 19% since Nov. 2, the Monday before Election Day. And it is up 6.4%% since Jan. 4, the day before the Georgia runoff elections handed control of both houses of Congress to the Democrats, making it more likely that President Biden would be able to follow through on policy proposals centered ontrillions of dollars in government spending.</p><p><blockquote>自总统大选前以来，股市飙升。自11月2日（选举日前一周）以来，标准普尔500指数已上涨19%。自1月4日（佐治亚州决选将国会两院控制权移交给民主党的前一天）以来，该指数已上涨6.4%，这使得拜登总统更有可能贯彻以数万亿美元为中心的政策提案。政府支出。</blockquote></p><p> And stocks are just as richly valued now as they were before the Georgia result, even though bond yields were much lower then. Higher bond yields tend to drag on stocks’ valuations, so shares’ resilience signifies a high degree of optimism among investors.</p><p><blockquote>尽管当时债券收益率要低得多，但股票现在的估值与佐治亚州结果公布之前一样高。债券收益率上升往往会拖累股票估值，因此股票的弹性表明投资者高度乐观。</blockquote></p><p> The10-year Treasury yield has risen fiercely since early January, reflecting a fast-rebounding economy, but the average valuation for stocks in the S&amp;P 500 remains at just under 22 times the per-share earnings expected for the coming year.</p><p><blockquote>自1月初以来，10年期国债收益率大幅上涨，反映出经济快速反弹，但标普500股票的平均估值仍略低于来年每股收益预期的22倍。</blockquote></p><p> “Equities do not appear to be pricing much concern regarding tax hikes,” wrote David Kostin, chief U.S. equity strategist at Goldman Sachs, in a note.</p><p><blockquote>高盛首席美国股票策略师David Kostin在一份报告中写道：“股市似乎并没有反映出对增税的太多担忧。”</blockquote></p><p> Biden’s tax policy could bring the corporate tax rate as high as 28%, from the current 21%. On its face, that would shave about 9% off of the $200 in aggregate earnings per share that FactSet data indicates is expected for companies in the S&amp;P 500 in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>拜登的税收政策可能会使企业税率从目前的21%升至28%。从表面上看，这将比FactSet数据显示的2022年标普500公司每股200美元的总收益减少约9%。</blockquote></p><p> Aggregate earnings per share would be at $182, all else being equal. If the S&amp;P 500 traded at20 times forward earnings by the end of this year, which many strategists forecast,then the index would be at 3640, well below its closing level of 3,940.59 on Monday.</p><p><blockquote>在其他条件相同的情况下，每股总收益为182美元。如果标普500到今年年底的预期市盈率为20倍（许多策略师预测），那么该指数将为3640点，远低于周一收盘水平3,940.59点。</blockquote></p><p> But Goldman sees the tax rate coming up to just 25%. That wouldn’t be surprising, given that there are several centrist Democrats in the Senate, who may favor a smaller increase. Such a tax increase would only shave about 5% off of S&amp;P 500 EPS.</p><p><blockquote>但高盛预计税率仅为25%。这并不奇怪，因为参议院中有几位中间派民主党人，他们可能倾向于小幅增长。这样的增税只会使标普500的每股收益减少约5%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Joe Biden Wants to Raise Taxes. What It Would Mean for the Stock Market.<blockquote>乔·拜登想要增税。这对股市意味着什么。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJoe Biden Wants to Raise Taxes. What It Would Mean for the Stock Market.<blockquote>乔·拜登想要增税。这对股市意味着什么。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-23 08:25</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Investors seem to have ignored the possibility of higher corporate taxes under the Joe Biden administration, yet the impact would be far from minimal.</p><p><blockquote>投资者似乎忽视了乔·拜登政府提高公司税的可能性，但影响远非最小。</blockquote></p><p> Since just before the presidential election, stocks have soared. TheS&amp;P 500is up 19% since Nov. 2, the Monday before Election Day. And it is up 6.4%% since Jan. 4, the day before the Georgia runoff elections handed control of both houses of Congress to the Democrats, making it more likely that President Biden would be able to follow through on policy proposals centered ontrillions of dollars in government spending.</p><p><blockquote>自总统大选前以来，股市飙升。自11月2日（选举日前一周）以来，标准普尔500指数已上涨19%。自1月4日（佐治亚州决选将国会两院控制权移交给民主党的前一天）以来，该指数已上涨6.4%，这使得拜登总统更有可能贯彻以数万亿美元为中心的政策提案。政府支出。</blockquote></p><p> And stocks are just as richly valued now as they were before the Georgia result, even though bond yields were much lower then. Higher bond yields tend to drag on stocks’ valuations, so shares’ resilience signifies a high degree of optimism among investors.</p><p><blockquote>尽管当时债券收益率要低得多，但股票现在的估值与佐治亚州结果公布之前一样高。债券收益率上升往往会拖累股票估值，因此股票的弹性表明投资者高度乐观。</blockquote></p><p> The10-year Treasury yield has risen fiercely since early January, reflecting a fast-rebounding economy, but the average valuation for stocks in the S&amp;P 500 remains at just under 22 times the per-share earnings expected for the coming year.</p><p><blockquote>自1月初以来，10年期国债收益率大幅上涨，反映出经济快速反弹，但标普500股票的平均估值仍略低于来年每股收益预期的22倍。</blockquote></p><p> “Equities do not appear to be pricing much concern regarding tax hikes,” wrote David Kostin, chief U.S. equity strategist at Goldman Sachs, in a note.</p><p><blockquote>高盛首席美国股票策略师David Kostin在一份报告中写道：“股市似乎并没有反映出对增税的太多担忧。”</blockquote></p><p> Biden’s tax policy could bring the corporate tax rate as high as 28%, from the current 21%. On its face, that would shave about 9% off of the $200 in aggregate earnings per share that FactSet data indicates is expected for companies in the S&amp;P 500 in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>拜登的税收政策可能会使企业税率从目前的21%升至28%。从表面上看，这将比FactSet数据显示的2022年标普500公司每股200美元的总收益减少约9%。</blockquote></p><p> Aggregate earnings per share would be at $182, all else being equal. If the S&amp;P 500 traded at20 times forward earnings by the end of this year, which many strategists forecast,then the index would be at 3640, well below its closing level of 3,940.59 on Monday.</p><p><blockquote>在其他条件相同的情况下，每股总收益为182美元。如果标普500到今年年底的预期市盈率为20倍（许多策略师预测），那么该指数将为3640点，远低于周一收盘水平3,940.59点。</blockquote></p><p> But Goldman sees the tax rate coming up to just 25%. That wouldn’t be surprising, given that there are several centrist Democrats in the Senate, who may favor a smaller increase. Such a tax increase would only shave about 5% off of S&amp;P 500 EPS.</p><p><blockquote>但高盛预计税率仅为25%。这并不奇怪，因为参议院中有几位中间派民主党人，他们可能倾向于小幅增长。这样的增税只会使标普500的每股收益减少约5%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/barrons-100-most-influential-women-in-u-s-finance-anne-finucane-51616144400\">barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/barrons-100-most-influential-women-in-u-s-finance-anne-finucane-51616144400","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1145446245","content_text":"Investors seem to have ignored the possibility of higher corporate taxes under the Joe Biden administration, yet the impact would be far from minimal.\nSince just before the presidential election, stocks have soared. TheS&P 500is up 19% since Nov. 2, the Monday before Election Day. And it is up 6.4%% since Jan. 4, the day before the Georgia runoff elections handed control of both houses of Congress to the Democrats, making it more likely that President Biden would be able to follow through on policy proposals centered ontrillions of dollars in government spending.\nAnd stocks are just as richly valued now as they were before the Georgia result, even though bond yields were much lower then. Higher bond yields tend to drag on stocks’ valuations, so shares’ resilience signifies a high degree of optimism among investors.\nThe10-year Treasury yield has risen fiercely since early January, reflecting a fast-rebounding economy, but the average valuation for stocks in the S&P 500 remains at just under 22 times the per-share earnings expected for the coming year.\n“Equities do not appear to be pricing much concern regarding tax hikes,” wrote David Kostin, chief U.S. equity strategist at Goldman Sachs, in a note.\nBiden’s tax policy could bring the corporate tax rate as high as 28%, from the current 21%. On its face, that would shave about 9% off of the $200 in aggregate earnings per share that FactSet data indicates is expected for companies in the S&P 500 in 2022.\nAggregate earnings per share would be at $182, all else being equal. If the S&P 500 traded at20 times forward earnings by the end of this year, which many strategists forecast,then the index would be at 3640, well below its closing level of 3,940.59 on Monday.\nBut Goldman sees the tax rate coming up to just 25%. That wouldn’t be surprising, given that there are several centrist Democrats in the Senate, who may favor a smaller increase. Such a tax increase would only shave about 5% off of S&P 500 EPS.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":612,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":109187269,"gmtCreate":1619673673451,"gmtModify":1634210811201,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574940130653589","idStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great QTR. However expectations are high as usual.","listText":"Great QTR. However expectations are high as usual.","text":"Great QTR. However expectations are high as usual.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/109187269","repostId":"1137964402","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1137964402","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1619651546,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1137964402?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-29 07:12","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Apple reports another blowout quarter with sales up 54%, authorizes $90 billion in share buybacks<blockquote>苹果报告又一个井喷季度销售额增长54%，授权900亿美元股票回购</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1137964402","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Apple reported a blowout quarter on Wednesday, announcing companywide sales up 54% higher than last year, and significantly stronger profits than Wall Street expected.Apple did not issue official guidance for what it expects in the quarter ending in June.Apple authorized $90 billion in share buybacks.Apple stock rose over 4% at one point in extended trading.Apple reported double-digit growth in every single one of its product categories, and its most important product line, the iPhone, was up 65","content":"<p><b>KEY POINTS</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Apple reported a blowout quarter on Wednesday, announcing companywide sales up 54% higher than last year, and&nbsp;significantly stronger profits than Wall Street expected.</li><li>Apple did not issue official guidance for what it expects in the quarter ending in June.</li><li>Apple authorized $90 billion in share buybacks.</li></ul>Apple&nbsp;reported&nbsp;a blowout quarter&nbsp;on Wednesday, announcing companywide sales up 54% higher than last year, and&nbsp;significantly stronger profits than Wall Street expected.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果周三公布了井喷季度业绩，宣布全公司销售额比去年增长54%，利润明显强于华尔街预期。</li><li>苹果没有就截至6月份的季度的预期发布官方指引。</li><li>苹果授权900亿美元的股票回购。</li></ul>苹果周三公布了井喷季度业绩，宣布全公司销售额比去年增长54%，利润明显强于华尔街预期。</blockquote></p><p>Apple stock rose over 4% at one point in extended trading.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价在盘后交易中一度上涨超过4%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e791f63f460807906f1793c2d58933e\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"833\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Apple reported double-digit growth in every single one of its product categories, and its&nbsp;most important product line, the iPhone, was up 65.5% from last year. Its Mac and iPad sales&nbsp;did&nbsp;better, with its computers up 70.1% and iPad&nbsp;sales&nbsp;growing nearly 79% on an annual basis.</p><p><blockquote>苹果报告称，其每个产品类别都实现了两位数的增长，其最重要的产品线iPhone比去年增长了65.5%。其Mac和iPad销量表现更好，电脑销量同比增长70.1%，iPad销量同比增长近79%。</blockquote></p><p>Apple said it would increase its dividend by 7%&nbsp;to $0.22 per share&nbsp;and authorized $90 billion in share buybacks, which is significantly higher than last year’s $50 billion outlay&nbsp;and 2019′s $75 billion.</p><p><blockquote>苹果表示，将把股息提高7%至每股0.22美元，并授权900亿美元的股票回购，这明显高于去年的500亿美元支出和2019年的750亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Here’s how Apple did versus Refinitiv estimates:</p><p><blockquote>以下是苹果与Refinitiv估计的表现：</blockquote></p><p><ul><li><b>EPS</b>:&nbsp;$1.40&nbsp;vs. $0.99 estimated</li><li><b>Revenue</b>:&nbsp;$89.58&nbsp;billion&nbsp;vs. $77.36&nbsp;billion&nbsp;estimated, up 53.7% year-over-year</li><li><b>iPhone revenue</b>:&nbsp;$47.94 billion&nbsp;vs. $41.43&nbsp;billion&nbsp;estimated, up&nbsp;65.5% year-over-year</li><li><b>Services revenue</b>:&nbsp;$16.90 billion&nbsp;vs. $15.57&nbsp;billion&nbsp;estimated, up 26.7% year over&nbsp;year</li><li><b>Other Products revenue</b>:&nbsp;$7.83&nbsp;billion&nbsp;vs. $7.79&nbsp;billion&nbsp;estimated,&nbsp;up 24%&nbsp;year-over-year</li><li><b>Mac revenue</b>:&nbsp;$9.10&nbsp;billion&nbsp;vs. $6.86&nbsp;billion&nbsp;estimated, up 70.1% year-over-year</li><li><b>iPad revenue</b>:&nbsp;$7.80 billion&nbsp;vs. $5.58&nbsp;billion&nbsp;estimated, up 78.9% year-over-year</li><li><b>Gross margin</b>:&nbsp;42.5% vs. 39.8%&nbsp;estimated</li></ul>Apple did not issue official guidance for what it expects in the quarter ending in June. It hasn’t provided revenue&nbsp;guidance since the start of the pandemic, citing uncertainty.&nbsp;This is Apple’s second quarter in a row with double-digit growth in all product categories.&nbsp;Apple CFO Luca Maestri told analysts that the company expects June quarter revenue to rise by double digits year-over-year, although it faces some supply shortages due to the worldwide chip shortage.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>EPS</b>：1.40美元对比。估计0.99美元</li><li><b>收入</b>：895.8亿美元对比。预计773.6亿美元，同比增长53.7%</li><li><b>iPhone收入</b>：479.4亿美元对比。预计为414.3亿美元，同比增长65.5%</li><li><b>服务收入</b>：169亿美元vs.预计155.7亿美元，同比增长26.7%</li><li><b>其他产品收益</b>：78.3亿美元对比。预计77.9亿美元，同比增长24%</li><li><b>Mac收入</b>：91亿美元vs.预计68.6亿美元，同比增长70.1%</li><li><b>iPad收入</b>：78亿美元vs.预计55.8亿美元，同比增长78.9%</li><li><b>毛利率</b>：42.5%vs.估计值39.8%</li></ul>苹果没有就截至6月份的季度的预期发布官方指引。自疫情开始以来，该公司一直没有提供收入指引，理由是存在不确定性。这是苹果连续第二个季度在所有产品类别中实现两位数增长。苹果首席财务官Luca Maestri告诉分析师，该公司预计6月份季度的收入将同比增长两位数，尽管由于全球芯片短缺，该公司面临一些供应短缺。</blockquote></p><p>Apple has said in the past months that its business has been boosted by the pandemic as consumers&nbsp;and businesses&nbsp;bought&nbsp;computers&nbsp;to work and entertain themselves while at home. But Apple’s strong results in the quarter suggest that the trend may persist as more economies&nbsp;open up.</p><p><blockquote>苹果在过去几个月表示，随着消费者和企业购买电脑在家工作和娱乐，其业务受到了疫情的提振。但苹果本季度的强劲业绩表明，随着更多经济体的开放，这一趋势可能会持续下去。</blockquote></p><p>Or, as Apple CEO Tim Cook said in a statement: “This quarter reflects both the enduring ways our products have helped our users meet this&nbsp;moment in their own lives, as well as the optimism consumers seem to feel about better days&nbsp;ahead for all of us.”</p><p><blockquote>或者，正如苹果首席执行官蒂姆·库克(Tim Cook)在一份声明中所说：“本季度既反映了我们的产品帮助用户在自己的生活中迎接这一时刻的持久方式，也反映了消费者似乎对所有人未来更好的日子感到乐观。我们。”</blockquote></p><p>Mac sales were up 70%, and Cook said that the result was “fueled by” the company’s introduction of its Mac&nbsp;laptops&nbsp;that used its own M1 chips&nbsp;for longer battery life, instead of processors sold by&nbsp;Intel.&nbsp;iPad sales were up&nbsp;nearly 79% year-over-year.</p><p><blockquote>Mac的销量增长了70%，库克表示，这一结果是由该公司推出的Mac笔记本电脑“推动”的，这些笔记本电脑使用了自己的M1芯片，电池寿命更长，而不是英特尔销售的处理器，iPad的销量同比增长了近79%。</blockquote></p><p>Neither of those&nbsp;results&nbsp;include iPad Pro or iMac models the company announced in March, which are expected to drive additional demand.</p><p><blockquote>这两个结果都不包括该公司3月份宣布的iPad Pro或iMac型号，预计这些型号将推动额外需求。</blockquote></p><p>“We’re seeing strong first-time buyers on the Mac&nbsp;…&nbsp;it continues to run just south of 50%,” Cook told CNBC’s Josh Lipton. “And, in China, it’s even higher than that&nbsp;…&nbsp;it’s more around two-thirds. And that speaks to people preferring to work on the Mac.”</p><p><blockquote>库克对CNBC的乔什·利普顿(Josh Lipton)表示：“我们看到Mac的首次购买者数量强劲……这一比例继续略低于50%。”“而且，在中国，这个数字甚至更高……大约是三分之二。这表明人们更喜欢在Mac上工作。”</blockquote></p><p>Apple’s iPhone also reported strong results this quarter, quelling fears that the current annual cycle could slow down. Last year, Apple released iPhones with a new exterior design and 5G support, which many investors believed could prompt a major upgrade cycle, which this quarter’s results indicate.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的iPhone本季度也公布了强劲的业绩，平息了人们对当前年度周期可能放缓的担忧。去年，苹果发布了具有新外观设计和5G支持的iPhone，许多投资者认为这可能会引发一个重大升级周期，本季度的业绩表明了这一点。</blockquote></p><p>In greater China, which includes the mainland, Hong Kong, and Taiwan,&nbsp;Apple’s revenue increased over&nbsp;87% year-over-year to $17.73 billion, although the comparison is to a quarter last year in which China was largely shut down in the early days of the pandemic.&nbsp;Every other geographical category, including the Americas and Europe, were also up on an annual basis.</p><p><blockquote>在包括大陆、香港和台湾在内的大中华区，苹果的收入同比增长超过87%，达到177.3亿美元，尽管相比之下，去年中国在疫情初期基本上处于关闭状态。其他所有地理类别，包括美洲和欧洲，也同比增长。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37a8b45c92174e3c9ab224d9a85f5e2d\" tg-width=\"1910\" tg-height=\"1114\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Apple’s&nbsp;high-margin&nbsp;services business, including iCloud, App Store, and subscriptions like Apple Music, also showed 26.7% growth.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的高利润服务业务，包括iCloud、App Store和苹果音乐等订阅业务，也实现了26.7%的增长。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>One metric that Apple uses to show the growth in services is the number of subscriptions it has, which not only include its own subscriptions like Apple One, but also subscriptions through its App Store.</p><p><blockquote>苹果用来显示服务增长的一个指标是其订阅数量，其中不仅包括苹果One等自有订阅，还包括通过其App Store进行的订阅。</blockquote></p><p>“We now have over 660 million paid subscriptions across the services on the platform, and that’s up 40 million from the previous quarter, which is an acceleration from 35 million,” Cook told CNBC.</p><p><blockquote>库克对CNBC表示：“我们平台上的服务现在有超过6.6亿付费订阅，比上一季度增加了4000万，比3500万有所增长。”</blockquote></p><p>However, Apple’s App Store has been challenged by lawmakers and companies that say it costs too much and has too much power. A closely-watched trial with Fortnite maker Epic Games over App Store policies kicks off next week.</p><p><blockquote>然而，苹果的应用商店受到了立法者和公司的挑战，他们说它成本太高，权力太大。堡垒之夜制造商Epic Games就App Store政策进行的备受关注的审判将于下周开始。</blockquote></p><p>“The App Store has been an economic miracle. Last year, the estimates are that there was over a half a trillion dollars of economic activity because of the store. And, so, this has been just an economic gamechanger for not only the United States, but several countries around the world. And, we’re going to go in and tell our story. And we’ll see where it goes. But, we’re confident,” Cook told CNBC.</p><p><blockquote>“App Store是一个经济奇迹。据估计，去年有超过5000亿美元的经济活动因为应用商店。因此，这不仅是美国的经济游戏规则改变者，也是世界上几个国家的经济规则改变者。我们将走进去讲述我们的故事。我们会看到它会走向何方。但是，我们有信心，”库克告诉CNBC。</blockquote></p><p>Apple’s gross margin was also unusually elevated for the company. Most quarters, it tends to be in the 38% to 39% range, but in the quarter ending in March, Apple reported 42.5% margins.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的毛利率也异常高。大多数季度，利润率往往在38%至39%之间，但在截至3月份的季度，苹果报告利润率为42.5%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple reports another blowout quarter with sales up 54%, authorizes $90 billion in share buybacks<blockquote>苹果报告又一个井喷季度销售额增长54%，授权900亿美元股票回购</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple reports another blowout quarter with sales up 54%, authorizes $90 billion in share buybacks<blockquote>苹果报告又一个井喷季度销售额增长54%，授权900亿美元股票回购</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-04-29 07:12</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>KEY POINTS</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p><ul><li>Apple reported a blowout quarter on Wednesday, announcing companywide sales up 54% higher than last year, and&nbsp;significantly stronger profits than Wall Street expected.</li><li>Apple did not issue official guidance for what it expects in the quarter ending in June.</li><li>Apple authorized $90 billion in share buybacks.</li></ul>Apple&nbsp;reported&nbsp;a blowout quarter&nbsp;on Wednesday, announcing companywide sales up 54% higher than last year, and&nbsp;significantly stronger profits than Wall Street expected.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>苹果周三公布了井喷季度业绩，宣布全公司销售额比去年增长54%，利润明显强于华尔街预期。</li><li>苹果没有就截至6月份的季度的预期发布官方指引。</li><li>苹果授权900亿美元的股票回购。</li></ul>苹果周三公布了井喷季度业绩，宣布全公司销售额比去年增长54%，利润明显强于华尔街预期。</blockquote></p><p>Apple stock rose over 4% at one point in extended trading.</p><p><blockquote>苹果股价在盘后交易中一度上涨超过4%。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4e791f63f460807906f1793c2d58933e\" tg-width=\"1302\" tg-height=\"833\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Apple reported double-digit growth in every single one of its product categories, and its&nbsp;most important product line, the iPhone, was up 65.5% from last year. Its Mac and iPad sales&nbsp;did&nbsp;better, with its computers up 70.1% and iPad&nbsp;sales&nbsp;growing nearly 79% on an annual basis.</p><p><blockquote>苹果报告称，其每个产品类别都实现了两位数的增长，其最重要的产品线iPhone比去年增长了65.5%。其Mac和iPad销量表现更好，电脑销量同比增长70.1%，iPad销量同比增长近79%。</blockquote></p><p>Apple said it would increase its dividend by 7%&nbsp;to $0.22 per share&nbsp;and authorized $90 billion in share buybacks, which is significantly higher than last year’s $50 billion outlay&nbsp;and 2019′s $75 billion.</p><p><blockquote>苹果表示，将把股息提高7%至每股0.22美元，并授权900亿美元的股票回购，这明显高于去年的500亿美元支出和2019年的750亿美元。</blockquote></p><p>Here’s how Apple did versus Refinitiv estimates:</p><p><blockquote>以下是苹果与Refinitiv估计的表现：</blockquote></p><p><ul><li><b>EPS</b>:&nbsp;$1.40&nbsp;vs. $0.99 estimated</li><li><b>Revenue</b>:&nbsp;$89.58&nbsp;billion&nbsp;vs. $77.36&nbsp;billion&nbsp;estimated, up 53.7% year-over-year</li><li><b>iPhone revenue</b>:&nbsp;$47.94 billion&nbsp;vs. $41.43&nbsp;billion&nbsp;estimated, up&nbsp;65.5% year-over-year</li><li><b>Services revenue</b>:&nbsp;$16.90 billion&nbsp;vs. $15.57&nbsp;billion&nbsp;estimated, up 26.7% year over&nbsp;year</li><li><b>Other Products revenue</b>:&nbsp;$7.83&nbsp;billion&nbsp;vs. $7.79&nbsp;billion&nbsp;estimated,&nbsp;up 24%&nbsp;year-over-year</li><li><b>Mac revenue</b>:&nbsp;$9.10&nbsp;billion&nbsp;vs. $6.86&nbsp;billion&nbsp;estimated, up 70.1% year-over-year</li><li><b>iPad revenue</b>:&nbsp;$7.80 billion&nbsp;vs. $5.58&nbsp;billion&nbsp;estimated, up 78.9% year-over-year</li><li><b>Gross margin</b>:&nbsp;42.5% vs. 39.8%&nbsp;estimated</li></ul>Apple did not issue official guidance for what it expects in the quarter ending in June. It hasn’t provided revenue&nbsp;guidance since the start of the pandemic, citing uncertainty.&nbsp;This is Apple’s second quarter in a row with double-digit growth in all product categories.&nbsp;Apple CFO Luca Maestri told analysts that the company expects June quarter revenue to rise by double digits year-over-year, although it faces some supply shortages due to the worldwide chip shortage.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li><b>EPS</b>：1.40美元对比。估计0.99美元</li><li><b>收入</b>：895.8亿美元对比。预计773.6亿美元，同比增长53.7%</li><li><b>iPhone收入</b>：479.4亿美元对比。预计为414.3亿美元，同比增长65.5%</li><li><b>服务收入</b>：169亿美元vs.预计155.7亿美元，同比增长26.7%</li><li><b>其他产品收益</b>：78.3亿美元对比。预计77.9亿美元，同比增长24%</li><li><b>Mac收入</b>：91亿美元vs.预计68.6亿美元，同比增长70.1%</li><li><b>iPad收入</b>：78亿美元vs.预计55.8亿美元，同比增长78.9%</li><li><b>毛利率</b>：42.5%vs.估计值39.8%</li></ul>苹果没有就截至6月份的季度的预期发布官方指引。自疫情开始以来，该公司一直没有提供收入指引，理由是存在不确定性。这是苹果连续第二个季度在所有产品类别中实现两位数增长。苹果首席财务官Luca Maestri告诉分析师，该公司预计6月份季度的收入将同比增长两位数，尽管由于全球芯片短缺，该公司面临一些供应短缺。</blockquote></p><p>Apple has said in the past months that its business has been boosted by the pandemic as consumers&nbsp;and businesses&nbsp;bought&nbsp;computers&nbsp;to work and entertain themselves while at home. But Apple’s strong results in the quarter suggest that the trend may persist as more economies&nbsp;open up.</p><p><blockquote>苹果在过去几个月表示，随着消费者和企业购买电脑在家工作和娱乐，其业务受到了疫情的提振。但苹果本季度的强劲业绩表明，随着更多经济体的开放，这一趋势可能会持续下去。</blockquote></p><p>Or, as Apple CEO Tim Cook said in a statement: “This quarter reflects both the enduring ways our products have helped our users meet this&nbsp;moment in their own lives, as well as the optimism consumers seem to feel about better days&nbsp;ahead for all of us.”</p><p><blockquote>或者，正如苹果首席执行官蒂姆·库克(Tim Cook)在一份声明中所说：“本季度既反映了我们的产品帮助用户在自己的生活中迎接这一时刻的持久方式，也反映了消费者似乎对所有人未来更好的日子感到乐观。我们。”</blockquote></p><p>Mac sales were up 70%, and Cook said that the result was “fueled by” the company’s introduction of its Mac&nbsp;laptops&nbsp;that used its own M1 chips&nbsp;for longer battery life, instead of processors sold by&nbsp;Intel.&nbsp;iPad sales were up&nbsp;nearly 79% year-over-year.</p><p><blockquote>Mac的销量增长了70%，库克表示，这一结果是由该公司推出的Mac笔记本电脑“推动”的，这些笔记本电脑使用了自己的M1芯片，电池寿命更长，而不是英特尔销售的处理器，iPad的销量同比增长了近79%。</blockquote></p><p>Neither of those&nbsp;results&nbsp;include iPad Pro or iMac models the company announced in March, which are expected to drive additional demand.</p><p><blockquote>这两个结果都不包括该公司3月份宣布的iPad Pro或iMac型号，预计这些型号将推动额外需求。</blockquote></p><p>“We’re seeing strong first-time buyers on the Mac&nbsp;…&nbsp;it continues to run just south of 50%,” Cook told CNBC’s Josh Lipton. “And, in China, it’s even higher than that&nbsp;…&nbsp;it’s more around two-thirds. And that speaks to people preferring to work on the Mac.”</p><p><blockquote>库克对CNBC的乔什·利普顿(Josh Lipton)表示：“我们看到Mac的首次购买者数量强劲……这一比例继续略低于50%。”“而且，在中国，这个数字甚至更高……大约是三分之二。这表明人们更喜欢在Mac上工作。”</blockquote></p><p>Apple’s iPhone also reported strong results this quarter, quelling fears that the current annual cycle could slow down. Last year, Apple released iPhones with a new exterior design and 5G support, which many investors believed could prompt a major upgrade cycle, which this quarter’s results indicate.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的iPhone本季度也公布了强劲的业绩，平息了人们对当前年度周期可能放缓的担忧。去年，苹果发布了具有新外观设计和5G支持的iPhone，许多投资者认为这可能会引发一个重大升级周期，本季度的业绩表明了这一点。</blockquote></p><p>In greater China, which includes the mainland, Hong Kong, and Taiwan,&nbsp;Apple’s revenue increased over&nbsp;87% year-over-year to $17.73 billion, although the comparison is to a quarter last year in which China was largely shut down in the early days of the pandemic.&nbsp;Every other geographical category, including the Americas and Europe, were also up on an annual basis.</p><p><blockquote>在包括大陆、香港和台湾在内的大中华区，苹果的收入同比增长超过87%，达到177.3亿美元，尽管相比之下，去年中国在疫情初期基本上处于关闭状态。其他所有地理类别，包括美洲和欧洲，也同比增长。</blockquote></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/37a8b45c92174e3c9ab224d9a85f5e2d\" tg-width=\"1910\" tg-height=\"1114\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p>Apple’s&nbsp;high-margin&nbsp;services business, including iCloud, App Store, and subscriptions like Apple Music, also showed 26.7% growth.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的高利润服务业务，包括iCloud、App Store和苹果音乐等订阅业务，也实现了26.7%的增长。</blockquote></p><p></p><p>One metric that Apple uses to show the growth in services is the number of subscriptions it has, which not only include its own subscriptions like Apple One, but also subscriptions through its App Store.</p><p><blockquote>苹果用来显示服务增长的一个指标是其订阅数量，其中不仅包括苹果One等自有订阅，还包括通过其App Store进行的订阅。</blockquote></p><p>“We now have over 660 million paid subscriptions across the services on the platform, and that’s up 40 million from the previous quarter, which is an acceleration from 35 million,” Cook told CNBC.</p><p><blockquote>库克对CNBC表示：“我们平台上的服务现在有超过6.6亿付费订阅，比上一季度增加了4000万，比3500万有所增长。”</blockquote></p><p>However, Apple’s App Store has been challenged by lawmakers and companies that say it costs too much and has too much power. A closely-watched trial with Fortnite maker Epic Games over App Store policies kicks off next week.</p><p><blockquote>然而，苹果的应用商店受到了立法者和公司的挑战，他们说它成本太高，权力太大。堡垒之夜制造商Epic Games就App Store政策进行的备受关注的审判将于下周开始。</blockquote></p><p>“The App Store has been an economic miracle. Last year, the estimates are that there was over a half a trillion dollars of economic activity because of the store. And, so, this has been just an economic gamechanger for not only the United States, but several countries around the world. And, we’re going to go in and tell our story. And we’ll see where it goes. But, we’re confident,” Cook told CNBC.</p><p><blockquote>“App Store是一个经济奇迹。据估计，去年有超过5000亿美元的经济活动因为应用商店。因此，这不仅是美国的经济游戏规则改变者，也是世界上几个国家的经济规则改变者。我们将走进去讲述我们的故事。我们会看到它会走向何方。但是，我们有信心，”库克告诉CNBC。</blockquote></p><p>Apple’s gross margin was also unusually elevated for the company. Most quarters, it tends to be in the 38% to 39% range, but in the quarter ending in March, Apple reported 42.5% margins.</p><p><blockquote>苹果的毛利率也异常高。大多数季度，利润率往往在38%至39%之间，但在截至3月份的季度，苹果报告利润率为42.5%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137964402","content_text":"KEY POINTSApple reported a blowout quarter on Wednesday, announcing companywide sales up 54% higher than last year, and significantly stronger profits than Wall Street expected.Apple did not issue official guidance for what it expects in the quarter ending in June.Apple authorized $90 billion in share buybacks.Apple reported a blowout quarter on Wednesday, announcing companywide sales up 54% higher than last year, and significantly stronger profits than Wall Street expected.Apple stock rose over 4% at one point in extended trading.Apple reported double-digit growth in every single one of its product categories, and its most important product line, the iPhone, was up 65.5% from last year. Its Mac and iPad sales did better, with its computers up 70.1% and iPad sales growing nearly 79% on an annual basis.Apple said it would increase its dividend by 7% to $0.22 per share and authorized $90 billion in share buybacks, which is significantly higher than last year’s $50 billion outlay and 2019′s $75 billion.Here’s how Apple did versus Refinitiv estimates:EPS: $1.40 vs. $0.99 estimatedRevenue: $89.58 billion vs. $77.36 billion estimated, up 53.7% year-over-yeariPhone revenue: $47.94 billion vs. $41.43 billion estimated, up 65.5% year-over-yearServices revenue: $16.90 billion vs. $15.57 billion estimated, up 26.7% year over yearOther Products revenue: $7.83 billion vs. $7.79 billion estimated, up 24% year-over-yearMac revenue: $9.10 billion vs. $6.86 billion estimated, up 70.1% year-over-yeariPad revenue: $7.80 billion vs. $5.58 billion estimated, up 78.9% year-over-yearGross margin: 42.5% vs. 39.8% estimatedApple did not issue official guidance for what it expects in the quarter ending in June. It hasn’t provided revenue guidance since the start of the pandemic, citing uncertainty. This is Apple’s second quarter in a row with double-digit growth in all product categories. Apple CFO Luca Maestri told analysts that the company expects June quarter revenue to rise by double digits year-over-year, although it faces some supply shortages due to the worldwide chip shortage.Apple has said in the past months that its business has been boosted by the pandemic as consumers and businesses bought computers to work and entertain themselves while at home. But Apple’s strong results in the quarter suggest that the trend may persist as more economies open up.Or, as Apple CEO Tim Cook said in a statement: “This quarter reflects both the enduring ways our products have helped our users meet this moment in their own lives, as well as the optimism consumers seem to feel about better days ahead for all of us.”Mac sales were up 70%, and Cook said that the result was “fueled by” the company’s introduction of its Mac laptops that used its own M1 chips for longer battery life, instead of processors sold by Intel. iPad sales were up nearly 79% year-over-year.Neither of those results include iPad Pro or iMac models the company announced in March, which are expected to drive additional demand.“We’re seeing strong first-time buyers on the Mac … it continues to run just south of 50%,” Cook told CNBC’s Josh Lipton. “And, in China, it’s even higher than that … it’s more around two-thirds. And that speaks to people preferring to work on the Mac.”Apple’s iPhone also reported strong results this quarter, quelling fears that the current annual cycle could slow down. Last year, Apple released iPhones with a new exterior design and 5G support, which many investors believed could prompt a major upgrade cycle, which this quarter’s results indicate.In greater China, which includes the mainland, Hong Kong, and Taiwan, Apple’s revenue increased over 87% year-over-year to $17.73 billion, although the comparison is to a quarter last year in which China was largely shut down in the early days of the pandemic. Every other geographical category, including the Americas and Europe, were also up on an annual basis.Apple’s high-margin services business, including iCloud, App Store, and subscriptions like Apple Music, also showed 26.7% growth.One metric that Apple uses to show the growth in services is the number of subscriptions it has, which not only include its own subscriptions like Apple One, but also subscriptions through its App Store.“We now have over 660 million paid subscriptions across the services on the platform, and that’s up 40 million from the previous quarter, which is an acceleration from 35 million,” Cook told CNBC.However, Apple’s App Store has been challenged by lawmakers and companies that say it costs too much and has too much power. A closely-watched trial with Fortnite maker Epic Games over App Store policies kicks off next week.“The App Store has been an economic miracle. Last year, the estimates are that there was over a half a trillion dollars of economic activity because of the store. And, so, this has been just an economic gamechanger for not only the United States, but several countries around the world. And, we’re going to go in and tell our story. And we’ll see where it goes. But, we’re confident,” Cook told CNBC.Apple’s gross margin was also unusually elevated for the company. Most quarters, it tends to be in the 38% to 39% range, but in the quarter ending in March, Apple reported 42.5% margins.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":365,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":346354830,"gmtCreate":1618007311520,"gmtModify":1631888407447,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574940130653589","idStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TTCF\">$Tattooed Chef, Inc(TTCF)$</a>New advertisement campaign will no doubt adds pressure to earnings. However it will certainly boost revenue. To a certain extend, it may also boost the awareness of the company and thereby attracts more retail investors.","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TTCF\">$Tattooed Chef, Inc(TTCF)$</a>New advertisement campaign will no doubt adds pressure to earnings. However it will certainly boost revenue. To a certain extend, it may also boost the awareness of the company and thereby attracts more retail investors.","text":"$Tattooed Chef, Inc(TTCF)$New advertisement campaign will no doubt adds pressure to earnings. However it will certainly boost revenue. To a certain extend, it may also boost the awareness of the company and thereby attracts more retail investors.","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/346354830","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":581,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":358750404,"gmtCreate":1616733416508,"gmtModify":1634524296821,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574940130653589","idStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Testing everyone's emotion","listText":"Testing everyone's emotion","text":"Testing everyone's emotion","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/358750404","repostId":"1100799979","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1100799979","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616730844,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1100799979?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-26 11:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Stay bullish on the stock market in the face of some fresh sell signals<blockquote>面对一些新的卖出信号，保持看涨股市</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1100799979","media":"marketwatch","summary":"The stock market continues to be led by the Dow Jones Industrial Average,with NASDAQ lagging noticea","content":"<p>The stock market continues to be led by the Dow Jones Industrial Average,with NASDAQ&nbsp;lagging noticeably behind, and the S&amp;P 500 indexcaught somewhere in the middle. This is not a good scenario for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>股市继续由道琼斯工业平均指数领涨，纳斯达克明显落后，标普500指数介于两者之间。对于股票来说，这不是一个好的情况。</blockquote></p><p> There is an old adage that it is not good for the market if the Generals are out in front of the Army (the “Generals” being General Motors, General Electric, etc. – i.e., the mainstays of the Dow of days gone by; the “Army” being the main body of stocks). The point is that if the advance is narrow and limited to the largest institutional stocks, then trouble lies ahead.</p><p><blockquote>有一句古老的谚语说，如果将军们在军队前面，对市场没有好处（“将军”是通用汽车、通用电气等。–即过去道琼斯指数的中流砥柱；“军队”是股票的主体）。关键是，如果涨幅狭窄且仅限于最大的机构股，那么麻烦就在前方。</blockquote></p><p> It is a good point, but too vague to implement as a trading system. We would normally see that reflected in breadth (which is now giving a sell signal) and new highs vs. new lows (which is also on a sell signal).</p><p><blockquote>这是一个很好的观点，但太模糊了，无法作为一个交易系统来实施。我们通常会看到这反映在广度（现在给出卖出信号）和新高与新低（也是卖出信号）上。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c46ab28413e089cb3da5f328292ad4e7\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"465\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</p><p><blockquote>劳伦斯·麦克米兰</blockquote></p><p> One positive thing is that the SPX chart is still in an uptrend, as the moving averages and “modified Bollinger Bands” are still trending higher. However, if the S&amp;P breaks through support at 3,870, that uptrend would be called into question. As one can see from the accompanying chart, there is further support near 3,725. If that is broken, the bears would clearly be in charge. Meanwhile, the recent all-time highs, at 3,985, represent resistance.</p><p><blockquote>一件积极的事情是，SPX图表仍处于上升趋势，因为移动平均线和“修正布林线”仍呈走高趋势。然而，如果标准普尔指数突破3,870点的支撑位，这一上升趋势将受到质疑。从附图可以看出，3725点附近有进一步的支撑。如果这被打破，空头显然会掌权。与此同时，近期历史高点3,985点代表阻力位。</blockquote></p><p> What is different today compared to previous minor pullbacks is that several of our internal indicators have weakened considerably and are on sell signals: breadth, new highs vs. new lows, and equity-only put-call ratios.</p><p><blockquote>与之前的小幅回调相比，今天的不同之处在于，我们的几个内部指标已显着减弱并发出卖出信号：广度、新高与新低以及仅股票的看跌看涨期权比率。</blockquote></p><p> Equity-only put-call ratios remain on sell signals that were first generated in mid-February and that have strengthened by beginning to rise rapidly.&nbsp;They are still relatively low on their charts, meaning that there is a lot of room to move higher before one might say they are “oversold.”</p><p><blockquote>仅股票的看跌-看涨期权比率仍处于2月中旬首次产生的卖出信号，并通过开始快速上涨而加强。它们在图表上仍然相对较低，这意味着在人们可能会说它们“超卖”之前还有很大的走高空间。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bfd689fa18eceb515c752afa1cb024f7\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"465\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">LAWRENCE MCMILLAN<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9216bd23616405d8464aa44f5baea259\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"460\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</p><p><blockquote>劳伦斯·麦克米兰劳伦斯·麦克米兰</blockquote></p><p> Breadth has deteriorated badly over the past two weeks – especially this last week. Sell signals were generated by the breadth oscillators on March 18 and March 19, and those oscillators have plunged since then.&nbsp;The “stocks only” breadth oscillator has already descended into oversold territory, but “oversold doesn’t mean buy.”</p><p><blockquote>广度在过去两周严重恶化，尤其是上周。3月18日和3月19日，广度振荡指标产生了卖出信号，此后这些振荡指标暴跌。“仅限股票”的广度振荡指标已经跌至超卖区域，但“超卖并不意味着买入”。</blockquote></p><p> The NYSE breadth oscillator is also moving lower, but at a much slower pace, since the more positive “Dow-type” stocks have a heavier weight in that oscillator.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所广度振荡指标也在走低，但速度要慢得多，因为更积极的“道琼斯型”股票在该振荡指标中的权重更大。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, cumulative breadth has fallen sharply as well. That is not a signal, but it is worth noting that the “stocks only” cumulative advance-decline line has fallen almost 10,000 issues since the cumulative A-D line reached an all-time high on March 15 (that is, over that time, summing the daily figures, declines have outnumbered advances by 10,000 issues).</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，累计广度也大幅下降。这不是一个信号，但值得注意的是，自3月15日累计A-D线达到历史新高以来，“仅股票”累计上涨-下跌线已经下跌了近10,000期（也就是说，在此期间，将每日数据相加，下跌数量超过上涨数量10,000期）。</blockquote></p><p> A significant development has also occurred in the case of the “new highs vs. new lows” indicator. On March 23, new 52-week lows outnumbered new 52-week highs andnew 52-week lows numbered more than 100 issues — the first time that has happened since last May.&nbsp;That was the case again on March 24.&nbsp;That places this indicator on a sell signal until new highs take control once again.</p><p><blockquote>“新高对新低”指标也出现了重大发展。3月23日，52周新低数量超过52周新高，52周新低数量超过100期——这是自去年5月以来首次发生。3月24日再次出现这种情况。这使得该指标处于卖出信号，直到新高再次占据主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> Countering the negativity of put-call ratios, breadth, and new highs vs. new lows, is the fact that the volatility indicators still remain generally bullish. VIX has not risen substantially (yet), so the “spike peak” buy signal of March 4 remains in place.</p><p><blockquote>与看跌看涨期权比率、广度以及新高与新低的负面影响相反，波动性指标仍然普遍看涨。VIX尚未大幅上涨，因此3月4日的“峰值”买入信号仍然存在。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, the trend of VIXVIX,-6.56%continues to be lower, as both VIX and its 20-day moving average are below the declining 200-day moving average. In fact, on March 22, VIX closed at its lowest price (18.88) since February 2020.</p><p><blockquote>此外，VIXVIX,-6.56%的趋势继续走低，因为VIX及其20日移动平均线均低于下降的200日移动平均线。事实上，3月22日，VIX收于2020年2月以来的最低价（18.88）。</blockquote></p><p> If VIX should continue to fall below there, it would be a bullish sign for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>如果VIX继续跌破该水平，这将是股市的看涨信号。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5d40b1aedd4e9457306d25814439c92\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"465\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</p><p><blockquote>劳伦斯·麦克米兰</blockquote></p><p> As we’ve noted previously, the fact that VIX has remained so high all during the huge rally over the past year has been a worrisome sign for many traders. But the traders that were keeping VIX higher were actually correct, because realized volatility of SPX (i.e., its 20-day historical volatility) has been just below 20 since early March. Thus, realized volatility rose to meet implied volatility, rather than the other way around (which is more often the case).</p><p><blockquote>正如我们之前指出的，VIX在过去一年的大幅上涨期间一直保持在如此高的水平，这对许多交易者来说是一个令人担忧的迹象。但维持VIX走高的交易员实际上是正确的，因为自3月初以来，SPX的已实现波动率（即其20天历史波动率）一直略低于20。因此，已实现波动率上升是为了满足隐含波动率，而不是相反（这种情况更常见）。</blockquote></p><p> Now, if one wants to make the case that it is worrisome to see both forms of volatility this high, then so be it. But there is no longer any significant difference between the S&amp;P’s realized and implied volatility.</p><p><blockquote>现在，如果有人想证明看到这两种形式的波动如此之高令人担忧，那就这样吧。但标普的已实现和隐含波动率之间不再存在任何显著差异。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The construct of volatility derivatives has remained bullish throughout.&nbsp;VIX futures are all trading at premiums to VIX, and the term structure slopes upward through the coming summer. Similarly, the term structure of the CBOE Volatility Indices slopes upward through the next six months as well.</p><p><blockquote>波动性衍生品的结构始终保持看涨。VIX期货的交易价格都高于VIX，期限结构在即将到来的夏季向上倾斜。同样，芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数的期限结构在未来六个月也向上倾斜。</blockquote></p><p> The first sign of a negative reversal here would be if the April VIX futures traded above the price of May VIX futures.</p><p><blockquote>负面逆转的第一个迹象是4月份VIX期货的交易价格高于5月份VIX期货的价格。</blockquote></p><p> Near-term deterioration in some internal indicators is certainly a cause for worry, and small countertrend bearish positions can be taken because of that. However, the S&amp;P’s trend is still higher, and the trend of VIX is still lower – both bullish factors. So we still maintaining a “core” bullish position until those two trends are broken.</p><p><blockquote>一些内部指标的近期恶化无疑令人担忧，因此可以建立小型逆势看跌头寸。然而，标普的趋势仍然更高，VIX的趋势仍然更低——两者都是看涨因素。因此，我们仍然维持“核心”看涨立场，直到这两个趋势被打破。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Stay bullish on the stock market in the face of some fresh sell signals<blockquote>面对一些新的卖出信号，保持看涨股市</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nStay bullish on the stock market in the face of some fresh sell signals<blockquote>面对一些新的卖出信号，保持看涨股市</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">marketwatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-26 11:54</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The stock market continues to be led by the Dow Jones Industrial Average,with NASDAQ&nbsp;lagging noticeably behind, and the S&amp;P 500 indexcaught somewhere in the middle. This is not a good scenario for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>股市继续由道琼斯工业平均指数领涨，纳斯达克明显落后，标普500指数介于两者之间。对于股票来说，这不是一个好的情况。</blockquote></p><p> There is an old adage that it is not good for the market if the Generals are out in front of the Army (the “Generals” being General Motors, General Electric, etc. – i.e., the mainstays of the Dow of days gone by; the “Army” being the main body of stocks). The point is that if the advance is narrow and limited to the largest institutional stocks, then trouble lies ahead.</p><p><blockquote>有一句古老的谚语说，如果将军们在军队前面，对市场没有好处（“将军”是通用汽车、通用电气等。–即过去道琼斯指数的中流砥柱；“军队”是股票的主体）。关键是，如果涨幅狭窄且仅限于最大的机构股，那么麻烦就在前方。</blockquote></p><p> It is a good point, but too vague to implement as a trading system. We would normally see that reflected in breadth (which is now giving a sell signal) and new highs vs. new lows (which is also on a sell signal).</p><p><blockquote>这是一个很好的观点，但太模糊了，无法作为一个交易系统来实施。我们通常会看到这反映在广度（现在给出卖出信号）和新高与新低（也是卖出信号）上。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c46ab28413e089cb3da5f328292ad4e7\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"465\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</p><p><blockquote>劳伦斯·麦克米兰</blockquote></p><p> One positive thing is that the SPX chart is still in an uptrend, as the moving averages and “modified Bollinger Bands” are still trending higher. However, if the S&amp;P breaks through support at 3,870, that uptrend would be called into question. As one can see from the accompanying chart, there is further support near 3,725. If that is broken, the bears would clearly be in charge. Meanwhile, the recent all-time highs, at 3,985, represent resistance.</p><p><blockquote>一件积极的事情是，SPX图表仍处于上升趋势，因为移动平均线和“修正布林线”仍呈走高趋势。然而，如果标准普尔指数突破3,870点的支撑位，这一上升趋势将受到质疑。从附图可以看出，3725点附近有进一步的支撑。如果这被打破，空头显然会掌权。与此同时，近期历史高点3,985点代表阻力位。</blockquote></p><p> What is different today compared to previous minor pullbacks is that several of our internal indicators have weakened considerably and are on sell signals: breadth, new highs vs. new lows, and equity-only put-call ratios.</p><p><blockquote>与之前的小幅回调相比，今天的不同之处在于，我们的几个内部指标已显着减弱并发出卖出信号：广度、新高与新低以及仅股票的看跌看涨期权比率。</blockquote></p><p> Equity-only put-call ratios remain on sell signals that were first generated in mid-February and that have strengthened by beginning to rise rapidly.&nbsp;They are still relatively low on their charts, meaning that there is a lot of room to move higher before one might say they are “oversold.”</p><p><blockquote>仅股票的看跌-看涨期权比率仍处于2月中旬首次产生的卖出信号，并通过开始快速上涨而加强。它们在图表上仍然相对较低，这意味着在人们可能会说它们“超卖”之前还有很大的走高空间。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bfd689fa18eceb515c752afa1cb024f7\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"465\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">LAWRENCE MCMILLAN<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9216bd23616405d8464aa44f5baea259\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"460\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</p><p><blockquote>劳伦斯·麦克米兰劳伦斯·麦克米兰</blockquote></p><p> Breadth has deteriorated badly over the past two weeks – especially this last week. Sell signals were generated by the breadth oscillators on March 18 and March 19, and those oscillators have plunged since then.&nbsp;The “stocks only” breadth oscillator has already descended into oversold territory, but “oversold doesn’t mean buy.”</p><p><blockquote>广度在过去两周严重恶化，尤其是上周。3月18日和3月19日，广度振荡指标产生了卖出信号，此后这些振荡指标暴跌。“仅限股票”的广度振荡指标已经跌至超卖区域，但“超卖并不意味着买入”。</blockquote></p><p> The NYSE breadth oscillator is also moving lower, but at a much slower pace, since the more positive “Dow-type” stocks have a heavier weight in that oscillator.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所广度振荡指标也在走低，但速度要慢得多，因为更积极的“道琼斯型”股票在该振荡指标中的权重更大。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, cumulative breadth has fallen sharply as well. That is not a signal, but it is worth noting that the “stocks only” cumulative advance-decline line has fallen almost 10,000 issues since the cumulative A-D line reached an all-time high on March 15 (that is, over that time, summing the daily figures, declines have outnumbered advances by 10,000 issues).</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，累计广度也大幅下降。这不是一个信号，但值得注意的是，自3月15日累计A-D线达到历史新高以来，“仅股票”累计上涨-下跌线已经下跌了近10,000期（也就是说，在此期间，将每日数据相加，下跌数量超过上涨数量10,000期）。</blockquote></p><p> A significant development has also occurred in the case of the “new highs vs. new lows” indicator. On March 23, new 52-week lows outnumbered new 52-week highs andnew 52-week lows numbered more than 100 issues — the first time that has happened since last May.&nbsp;That was the case again on March 24.&nbsp;That places this indicator on a sell signal until new highs take control once again.</p><p><blockquote>“新高对新低”指标也出现了重大发展。3月23日，52周新低数量超过52周新高，52周新低数量超过100期——这是自去年5月以来首次发生。3月24日再次出现这种情况。这使得该指标处于卖出信号，直到新高再次占据主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> Countering the negativity of put-call ratios, breadth, and new highs vs. new lows, is the fact that the volatility indicators still remain generally bullish. VIX has not risen substantially (yet), so the “spike peak” buy signal of March 4 remains in place.</p><p><blockquote>与看跌看涨期权比率、广度以及新高与新低的负面影响相反，波动性指标仍然普遍看涨。VIX尚未大幅上涨，因此3月4日的“峰值”买入信号仍然存在。</blockquote></p><p> Moreover, the trend of VIXVIX,-6.56%continues to be lower, as both VIX and its 20-day moving average are below the declining 200-day moving average. In fact, on March 22, VIX closed at its lowest price (18.88) since February 2020.</p><p><blockquote>此外，VIXVIX,-6.56%的趋势继续走低，因为VIX及其20日移动平均线均低于下降的200日移动平均线。事实上，3月22日，VIX收于2020年2月以来的最低价（18.88）。</blockquote></p><p> If VIX should continue to fall below there, it would be a bullish sign for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>如果VIX继续跌破该水平，这将是股市的看涨信号。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5d40b1aedd4e9457306d25814439c92\" tg-width=\"620\" tg-height=\"465\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">LAWRENCE MCMILLAN</p><p><blockquote>劳伦斯·麦克米兰</blockquote></p><p> As we’ve noted previously, the fact that VIX has remained so high all during the huge rally over the past year has been a worrisome sign for many traders. But the traders that were keeping VIX higher were actually correct, because realized volatility of SPX (i.e., its 20-day historical volatility) has been just below 20 since early March. Thus, realized volatility rose to meet implied volatility, rather than the other way around (which is more often the case).</p><p><blockquote>正如我们之前指出的，VIX在过去一年的大幅上涨期间一直保持在如此高的水平，这对许多交易者来说是一个令人担忧的迹象。但维持VIX走高的交易员实际上是正确的，因为自3月初以来，SPX的已实现波动率（即其20天历史波动率）一直略低于20。因此，已实现波动率上升是为了满足隐含波动率，而不是相反（这种情况更常见）。</blockquote></p><p> Now, if one wants to make the case that it is worrisome to see both forms of volatility this high, then so be it. But there is no longer any significant difference between the S&amp;P’s realized and implied volatility.</p><p><blockquote>现在，如果有人想证明看到这两种形式的波动如此之高令人担忧，那就这样吧。但标普的已实现和隐含波动率之间不再存在任何显著差异。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The construct of volatility derivatives has remained bullish throughout.&nbsp;VIX futures are all trading at premiums to VIX, and the term structure slopes upward through the coming summer. Similarly, the term structure of the CBOE Volatility Indices slopes upward through the next six months as well.</p><p><blockquote>波动性衍生品的结构始终保持看涨。VIX期货的交易价格都高于VIX，期限结构在即将到来的夏季向上倾斜。同样，芝加哥期权交易所波动率指数的期限结构在未来六个月也向上倾斜。</blockquote></p><p> The first sign of a negative reversal here would be if the April VIX futures traded above the price of May VIX futures.</p><p><blockquote>负面逆转的第一个迹象是4月份VIX期货的交易价格高于5月份VIX期货的价格。</blockquote></p><p> Near-term deterioration in some internal indicators is certainly a cause for worry, and small countertrend bearish positions can be taken because of that. However, the S&amp;P’s trend is still higher, and the trend of VIX is still lower – both bullish factors. So we still maintaining a “core” bullish position until those two trends are broken.</p><p><blockquote>一些内部指标的近期恶化无疑令人担忧，因此可以建立小型逆势看跌头寸。然而，标普的趋势仍然更高，VIX的趋势仍然更低——两者都是看涨因素。因此，我们仍然维持“核心”看涨立场，直到这两个趋势被打破。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/stay-bullish-on-the-stock-market-in-the-face-of-some-fresh-sell-signals-01616682019?mod=home-page\">marketwatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5d8fb95e65f042f352c6313989391357","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/stay-bullish-on-the-stock-market-in-the-face-of-some-fresh-sell-signals-01616682019?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1100799979","content_text":"The stock market continues to be led by the Dow Jones Industrial Average,with NASDAQ lagging noticeably behind, and the S&P 500 indexcaught somewhere in the middle. This is not a good scenario for stocks.\nThere is an old adage that it is not good for the market if the Generals are out in front of the Army (the “Generals” being General Motors, General Electric, etc. – i.e., the mainstays of the Dow of days gone by; the “Army” being the main body of stocks). The point is that if the advance is narrow and limited to the largest institutional stocks, then trouble lies ahead.\nIt is a good point, but too vague to implement as a trading system. We would normally see that reflected in breadth (which is now giving a sell signal) and new highs vs. new lows (which is also on a sell signal).\nLAWRENCE MCMILLAN\nOne positive thing is that the SPX chart is still in an uptrend, as the moving averages and “modified Bollinger Bands” are still trending higher. However, if the S&P breaks through support at 3,870, that uptrend would be called into question. As one can see from the accompanying chart, there is further support near 3,725. If that is broken, the bears would clearly be in charge. Meanwhile, the recent all-time highs, at 3,985, represent resistance.\nWhat is different today compared to previous minor pullbacks is that several of our internal indicators have weakened considerably and are on sell signals: breadth, new highs vs. new lows, and equity-only put-call ratios.\nEquity-only put-call ratios remain on sell signals that were first generated in mid-February and that have strengthened by beginning to rise rapidly. They are still relatively low on their charts, meaning that there is a lot of room to move higher before one might say they are “oversold.”\nLAWRENCE MCMILLANLAWRENCE MCMILLAN\nBreadth has deteriorated badly over the past two weeks – especially this last week. Sell signals were generated by the breadth oscillators on March 18 and March 19, and those oscillators have plunged since then. The “stocks only” breadth oscillator has already descended into oversold territory, but “oversold doesn’t mean buy.”\nThe NYSE breadth oscillator is also moving lower, but at a much slower pace, since the more positive “Dow-type” stocks have a heavier weight in that oscillator.\nMeanwhile, cumulative breadth has fallen sharply as well. That is not a signal, but it is worth noting that the “stocks only” cumulative advance-decline line has fallen almost 10,000 issues since the cumulative A-D line reached an all-time high on March 15 (that is, over that time, summing the daily figures, declines have outnumbered advances by 10,000 issues).\nA significant development has also occurred in the case of the “new highs vs. new lows” indicator. On March 23, new 52-week lows outnumbered new 52-week highs andnew 52-week lows numbered more than 100 issues — the first time that has happened since last May. That was the case again on March 24. That places this indicator on a sell signal until new highs take control once again.\nCountering the negativity of put-call ratios, breadth, and new highs vs. new lows, is the fact that the volatility indicators still remain generally bullish. VIX has not risen substantially (yet), so the “spike peak” buy signal of March 4 remains in place.\nMoreover, the trend of VIXVIX,-6.56%continues to be lower, as both VIX and its 20-day moving average are below the declining 200-day moving average. In fact, on March 22, VIX closed at its lowest price (18.88) since February 2020.\nIf VIX should continue to fall below there, it would be a bullish sign for stocks.\nLAWRENCE MCMILLAN\nAs we’ve noted previously, the fact that VIX has remained so high all during the huge rally over the past year has been a worrisome sign for many traders. But the traders that were keeping VIX higher were actually correct, because realized volatility of SPX (i.e., its 20-day historical volatility) has been just below 20 since early March. Thus, realized volatility rose to meet implied volatility, rather than the other way around (which is more often the case).\nNow, if one wants to make the case that it is worrisome to see both forms of volatility this high, then so be it. But there is no longer any significant difference between the S&P’s realized and implied volatility.\nThe construct of volatility derivatives has remained bullish throughout. VIX futures are all trading at premiums to VIX, and the term structure slopes upward through the coming summer. Similarly, the term structure of the CBOE Volatility Indices slopes upward through the next six months as well.\nThe first sign of a negative reversal here would be if the April VIX futures traded above the price of May VIX futures.\nNear-term deterioration in some internal indicators is certainly a cause for worry, and small countertrend bearish positions can be taken because of that. However, the S&P’s trend is still higher, and the trend of VIX is still lower – both bullish factors. So we still maintaining a “core” bullish position until those two trends are broken.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":246,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":327923214,"gmtCreate":1616052489038,"gmtModify":1703496907184,"author":{"id":"3574940130653589","authorId":"3574940130653589","name":"Kess","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/845998be69a2f9e60a4fdec19f22cc21","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574940130653589","idStr":"3574940130653589"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Oracle","listText":"Oracle","text":"Oracle","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/327923214","repostId":"1144305771","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1144305771","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616052165,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1144305771?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-18 15:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"9 Times Warren Buffett Predicted the Stock Market Accurately<blockquote>9倍沃伦·巴菲特准确预测股市</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1144305771","media":"GoBankingRates","summary":"This is why you should take Warren Buffett's advice.\nWhen Warren Buffett talks, the world listens—an","content":"<p>This is why you should take Warren Buffett's advice.</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么你应该接受沃伦·巴菲特的建议。</blockquote></p><p> When Warren Buffett talks, the world listens—and they should. He is, after all, one of the most successful investors of all time and the No. 4 richest person in the world. After earning more than $1 billion in 10 weeks on a&nbsp;bet on Chevron, Buffett briefly became one of only six people ever to grow their net worths to 12 figures, although he’s currently back down under $100 billion. He’s the CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, a holding company that Buffett runs with his investment partner, Charles Munger.</p><p><blockquote>当沃伦·巴菲特讲话时，全世界都会倾听——他们应该倾听。毕竟，他是有史以来最成功的投资者之一，也是世界上第四富有的人。在押注雪佛龙10周内赚了超过10亿美元后，巴菲特短暂地成为仅有的6名净资产增长到12位数的人之一，尽管他目前的净资产已回落到1000亿美元以下。他是伯克希尔哈撒韦公司的首席执行官，该公司是巴菲特和他的投资伙伴查尔斯·芒格共同经营的控股公司。</blockquote></p><p> His prescient calls about stocks and the market, in general, have earned him the nickname “The Oracle of Omaha,” in honor of the Nebraska city where he resides. Buffett offered one of his most dramatic market predictions in September 2017, when he predicted that by 2117, the Dow Jones industrial average would hit 1,000,000.</p><p><blockquote>他对股票和市场有先见之明的评级为他赢得了“奥马哈先知”的绰号，以纪念他居住的内布拉斯加城市。巴菲特在2017年9月做出了他最引人注目的市场预测之一，当时他预测到2117年，道琼斯工业平均指数将达到100万点。</blockquote></p><p> While Buffett won’t be around to see if his prediction will come true, it reflects his lifelong belief in the strength of the American economy and the long-term resilience of the U.S. stock market. Here’s a look at some of his most successful andbiggest investment predictions.</p><p><blockquote>虽然巴菲特不会亲眼目睹他的预测是否会成真，但这反映了他对美国经济实力和美国股市长期韧性的终生信念。以下是他的一些最成功和最大的投资预测。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bank of America Will Rise Again</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美国银行将再次崛起</b></blockquote></p><p> In 2011, Bank of America was suffering from the aftershocks of the subprime mortgage crisis. With the stock trading below $7 per share compared to $19 the year before, Buffett smelled a bargain and bought $5 billion in preferred shares in Bank of America.</p><p><blockquote>2011年，美国银行正遭受次贷危机的余震。由于股票交易价格低于每股7美元，而前一年为19美元，巴菲特嗅到了便宜货，购买了价值50亿美元的美国银行优先股。</blockquote></p><p> The preferred shares paid a hefty 6 percent yield, resulting in $336 million in annual dividend payments to the company. Even better, the preferred stock came with warrants that allowed Buffett to buy 700 million shares of Bank of America at $7.14 per share.</p><p><blockquote>优先股支付了6%的高额收益率，为公司带来了3.36亿美元的年度股息。更好的是，优先股附带认股权证，允许巴菲特以每股7.14美元的价格购买7亿股美国银行股票。</blockquote></p><p> At the time, Buffett made this prediction in his annual investment letter: “Our warrants to buy 700 million Bank of America shares will likely be of great value before they expire.” When Buffett exercised the warrants in 2017, he earned $12 billion.Today, Bank of America is trading at around $37.40 a share, and Buffett purchased Berkshire’s more than 1.03 billion shares—the second-largest holding in his portfolio—at an average price of $24.24 per share.</p><p><blockquote>当时，巴菲特在年度投资信中做出了这样的预测：“我们购买7亿股美国银行股票的认股权证在到期前很可能具有巨大的价值。”当巴菲特在2017年行使认股权证时，他赚了120亿美元。如今，美国银行的交易价格约为每股37.40美元，巴菲特以每股24.24美元的平均价格购买了伯克希尔超过10.3亿股股票——这是他投资组合中的第二大持股。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Time to Start Investing is Now</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在是开始投资的时候了</b></blockquote></p><p> Buffett told Forbes magazine in late 1974, when the Dow was below 600, that he viewed the market “…like an oversexed guy in a harem. This is&nbsp;the time to start investing.”</p><p><blockquote>1974年末，当道琼斯指数低于600点时，巴菲特告诉《福布斯》杂志，他认为市场“……就像后宫里性欲过剩的男人。现在是开始投资的时候了。”</blockquote></p><p> By the time that interview was published, the Dow had climbed by almost 15 percent to 660. Buffett’s prediction came after a notorious bear market from 1973 to 1974. Perhaps more than any other prediction, this prognostication highlights Buffett’s philosophy to “be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.”</p><p><blockquote>到采访发表时，道琼斯指数已经上涨了近15%，达到660点。巴菲特的预测是在1973年至1974年臭名昭著的熊市之后做出的。也许比其他任何预测都更突出了巴菲特“在别人贪婪时恐惧，在别人恐惧时贪婪”的哲学。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stock Market Returns Will Be 6 Percent</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股市回报率将为6%</b></blockquote></p><p> In 1999, stocks were near the end of an incredible run. The market began a big upswing starting in 1982, and returns for 1995 to 1999 were 37.58 percent, 22.96 percent, 33.36 percent, 28.58 percent, and 21.04 percent, respectively. The Oracle of Omaha made a dramatic, long-term, counter-trend prediction in the midst of all of this ebullience.</p><p><blockquote>1999年，股市即将结束一场令人难以置信的上涨。从1982年开始，市场开始大幅上涨，1995年至1999年的回报率分别为37.58%、22.96%、33.36%、28.58%和21.04%。在所有这些热情中，奥马哈先知做出了一个戏剧性的、长期的、反趋势的预测。</blockquote></p><p> Buffett confidently predicted that stock market returns for the following 17 years would be nothing like the previous 17 years. In fact, he suggested that the “most probable return” for the next 17 years would be 6 percent.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特自信地预测，接下来17年的股市回报将与前17年完全不同。事实上，他认为未来17年“最有可能的回报”是6%。</blockquote></p><p> By 2016, at the end of the 17-year period, stocks had returned 5.9 percent — an amazingly accurate prediction over such a long time period.</p><p><blockquote>到2016年，在17年期间结束时，股票回报率为5.9%——在如此长的时间内，这是一个令人惊讶的准确预测。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Index Funds Will Outperform Hedge Funds</b></p><p><blockquote><b>指数基金将跑赢对冲基金</b></blockquote></p><p> What might have been Buffett’s most dramatic prediction came in 2007, when he offered to bet $500,000 that over the following 10 years, the S&amp;P 500 index would outperform a portfolio of hedge funds when fees were included. Hedge fund manager Ted Seides, of Protege Partners, took the bet.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特最引人注目的预测出现在2007年，当时巴菲特提出以50万美元打赌，在接下来的10年里，如果计入费用，标普500指数的表现将优于对冲基金投资组合。Protege Partners的对冲基金经理泰德·塞德斯(Ted Seides)接受了这一赌注。</blockquote></p><p> When 2017 rolled around, Seides was the one who had to pay up. In fact, the bet was so lopsided that Seides conceded the wager before the entire 10 years had expired. At that point, Seides’ collection of funds had earned just 2.2 percent per year, while the S&amp;P 500 index had earned more than 7 percent per year, thus supporting Buffett’s point that&nbsp;indexing typically can beat actively managed funds.</p><p><blockquote>当2017年到来时，塞德斯是必须付钱的人。事实上，这个赌注是如此不平衡，以至于塞德斯在整个10年到期前就认输了。当时，Seides收集的基金年收益仅为2.2%，而标普500指数的年收益超过7%，因此支持了Buffett的观点，即指数化通常可以击败主动管理型基金。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Goldman Sachs is Down But Not Out</b></p><p><blockquote><b>高盛陷入困境但并未出局</b></blockquote></p><p> In late September 2008, investment bank Goldman Sachs was a wounded giant caught in the vortex of the financial implosion it helped create. Predicting that Goldman Sachs would not only survive but thrive, Buffett invested $5 billion in the company. In exchange, Goldman Sachs gave Buffett preferred shares that paid an amazing 10 percent per year in income.</p><p><blockquote>2008年9月下旬，投资银行高盛是一个受伤的巨人，陷入了它帮助制造的金融内爆的漩涡。巴菲特预测高盛不仅会生存下来，而且会蓬勃发展，因此向该公司投资了50亿美元。作为交换，高盛给了巴菲特优先股，每年的收益高达10%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Additionally, Buffett was granted $5 billion in warrants, allowing him to buy the stock at $115 per share. By 2013, Buffett’s prediction had come true with remarkable accuracy — he walked away with a profit of $3.2 billion after investing when the market was low.You and your 401k, of course, will likely not be receiving preferred warrant status like Buffett, but you still would have cashed in big time had you pulled the trigger when Buffett did. Goldman was trading below $80 in November 2008 and is now riding high around $344.</p><p><blockquote>此外，巴菲特还获得了50亿美元的认股权证，允许他以每股115美元的价格购买该股票。到2013年，巴菲特的预测以惊人的准确性实现了——他在市场低迷时投资后获利32亿美元。当然，你和你的401k可能不会像巴菲特那样获得优先认股权证地位，但如果你在巴菲特的时候扣动扳机，你仍然会赚很多钱。2008年11月，高盛的交易价格低于80美元，目前正飙升至344美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Coca-Cola Is A Long-Term Buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>可口可乐是长期买入</b></blockquote></p><p> One of Buffett’s biggest stock market wins can be traced to an investment that started in 1988, the year he first bought into Coca-Cola.Today, Berkshire Hathaway owns 400 million shares, more than 9 percent of the company. On Jan. 1, 1988, Coca-Cola was trading at $2.39. While the stock has seen its ups and downs, it’s trading above $50 per share today.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特最大的股市胜利之一可以追溯到1988年开始的一项投资，那一年他首次买入可口可乐。如今，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司拥有4亿股股票，超过该公司的9%。1988年1月1日，可口可乐的交易价格为2.39美元。虽然该股经历了起起落落，但今天的交易价格仍高于每股50美元。</blockquote></p><p> In many ways, Coca-Cola epitomizes&nbsp;the entire Warren Buffett investment approach— to take long-term positions in big, established companies that perform well and whose business models you understand.Buffett’s love of Cherry Coke is the stuff of legend—he switched after nearly 50 years of chugging Pepsi. He drinks an average of five cans of the stuff — the nutritional equivalent of junk bonds — every day for a total of 25 percent of his daily caloric intake. He famously told Fortune in 2015, “I’m one-quarter Coca-Cola.”</p><p><blockquote>从很多方面来说，可口可乐是沃伦·巴菲特整个投资方法的缩影——在表现良好且您了解其商业模式的大型老牌公司中持有长期头寸。巴菲特对樱桃可乐的热爱是传奇——他在饮用百事可乐近50年后改变了。他平均每天喝五罐这种东西——营养相当于垃圾债券——总共占他每日热量摄入的25%。2015年，他对《财富》杂志说过一句名言：“我是四分之一的可口可乐。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks Are Cheap</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股票很便宜</b></blockquote></p><p> Another one of Buffett’s more famous predictions came to fruition despite the obstacle of a virus</p><p><blockquote>尽管有病毒的阻碍，巴菲特的另一个更著名的预测还是实现了</blockquote></p><p> On Feb. 27, 2017, Buffett told CNBC’s Becky Quick that “…we are not in bubble territory, or anything of the sort,” despite many market observers saying that the current bull run was getting frothy. In fact, Buffett continued, “measured against interest rates, stocks are actually on the cheap side compared to historic valuations.” In other words, Buffett was predicting that stocks were undervalued and that it was time to buy again.</p><p><blockquote>2017年2月27日，巴菲特对CNBC的贝基·奎克(Becky Quick)表示，“……我们并没有处于泡沫区域或类似的区域”，尽管许多市场观察人士表示当前的牛市正在变得泡沫。事实上，巴菲特继续说道，“以利率来衡量，与历史估值相比，股票实际上是便宜的。”换句话说，巴菲特预测股票被低估了，是时候再次买入了。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones industrial average closed at a price of 20,837.44 on the day Buffett made that prediction. Just a little over seven months later, the Dow was at 22,773.67 for a gain of 9.29 percent.Fast-forward to March 10, 2020, and the Dow soared past yet another record close of 32,297.02 in wake of the passage of new COVID relief. That’s a gain of more than 50 percent of the index’s closing price on the day Buffett made his gamble.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特做出这一预测的当天，道琼斯工业平均指数收于20,837.44点。仅仅七个多月后，道琼斯指数收于22,773.67点，涨幅为9.29%。快进到2020年3月10日，随着新冠疫情的缓解，道琼斯指数飙升至创纪录的收盘价32,297.02点。这比巴菲特下注当天该指数收盘价上涨了50%以上。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Home Capital Group Is Undervalued</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Home Capital Group被低估</b></blockquote></p><p> In mid-2017, Buffett extended his reach beyond the United States to invest in Canadian lender Home Capital Group. As with many other Buffett transactions, he got a sweet deal in this purchase right from the outset.</p><p><blockquote>2017年年中，巴菲特将触角伸向美国以外，投资了加拿大银行Home Capital Group。与巴菲特的许多其他交易一样，他从一开始就在这次购买中获得了一笔不错的交易。</blockquote></p><p> Buffett lent $1.5 billion to the company at interest rates of 9 to 9.5 percent. Buffett also enjoyed the right to buy up to 20 percent of the company’s stock at a 20 percent discount to its market price, predicting that the stock would rise after his purchase.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特以9%至9.5%的利率借给该公司15亿美元。巴菲特还享有以低于市价20%的价格购买最多20%的公司股票的权利，并预测股票在他购买后会上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The stock deal allowed him to purchase Home Capital at $10 per share.On March 15, 2020, it was trading at $32.50, which means Buffett would have tripled his investment plus change.</p><p><blockquote>股票交易使他能够以每股10美元的价格收购Home Capital。2020年3月15日，其交易价格为32.50美元，这意味着巴菲特的投资加上变化将增加两倍。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Buy and Hold Berkshire Hathaway</b></p><p><blockquote><b>购买并持有伯克希尔哈撒韦公司</b></blockquote></p><p> One of&nbsp;Buffett’s best investments of all time&nbsp;was in the company that he now runs, Berkshire Hathaway. In 1964, the company offered to buy Buffett’s shares for $11.50 each, to which he agreed. Later, the company reduced the amount of their offer, and this compelled Buffett to not only cancel his sale but to buy enough stock to control the company and fire the manager who lowered his original offer. Buffett had made the prediction again with his wallet that shares in Berkshire Hathaway would rise over time.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特有史以来最好的投资之一是他现在经营的公司伯克希尔哈撒韦公司。1964年，该公司提出以每股11.50美元的价格购买巴菲特的股票，他同意了。后来，公司降低了报价，这迫使巴菲特不仅取消了出售，还购买了足够的股票来控制公司，并解雇了降低最初报价的经理。巴菲特再次用他的钱包预测伯克希尔哈撒韦公司的股价会随着时间的推移而上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Once again, Buffett’s prediction came true in spades. Now, just one share of Berkshire Hathaway sells for about $281,000. As Buffett’s longest-held investment, Berkshire Hathaway is a reminder to investors that “buy and hold” can indeed result in tremendous gains.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特的预言再次成真。现在，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司的一股售价约为28.1万美元。作为巴菲特持有时间最长的投资，伯克希尔哈撒韦提醒投资者，“买入并持有”确实可以带来巨大收益。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1616052142951","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>9 Times Warren Buffett Predicted the Stock Market Accurately<blockquote>9倍沃伦·巴菲特准确预测股市</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n9 Times Warren Buffett Predicted the Stock Market Accurately<blockquote>9倍沃伦·巴菲特准确预测股市</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">GoBankingRates</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-18 15:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>This is why you should take Warren Buffett's advice.</p><p><blockquote>这就是为什么你应该接受沃伦·巴菲特的建议。</blockquote></p><p> When Warren Buffett talks, the world listens—and they should. He is, after all, one of the most successful investors of all time and the No. 4 richest person in the world. After earning more than $1 billion in 10 weeks on a&nbsp;bet on Chevron, Buffett briefly became one of only six people ever to grow their net worths to 12 figures, although he’s currently back down under $100 billion. He’s the CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, a holding company that Buffett runs with his investment partner, Charles Munger.</p><p><blockquote>当沃伦·巴菲特讲话时，全世界都会倾听——他们应该倾听。毕竟，他是有史以来最成功的投资者之一，也是世界上第四富有的人。在押注雪佛龙10周内赚了超过10亿美元后，巴菲特短暂地成为仅有的6名净资产增长到12位数的人之一，尽管他目前的净资产已回落到1000亿美元以下。他是伯克希尔哈撒韦公司的首席执行官，该公司是巴菲特和他的投资伙伴查尔斯·芒格共同经营的控股公司。</blockquote></p><p> His prescient calls about stocks and the market, in general, have earned him the nickname “The Oracle of Omaha,” in honor of the Nebraska city where he resides. Buffett offered one of his most dramatic market predictions in September 2017, when he predicted that by 2117, the Dow Jones industrial average would hit 1,000,000.</p><p><blockquote>他对股票和市场有先见之明的评级为他赢得了“奥马哈先知”的绰号，以纪念他居住的内布拉斯加城市。巴菲特在2017年9月做出了他最引人注目的市场预测之一，当时他预测到2117年，道琼斯工业平均指数将达到100万点。</blockquote></p><p> While Buffett won’t be around to see if his prediction will come true, it reflects his lifelong belief in the strength of the American economy and the long-term resilience of the U.S. stock market. Here’s a look at some of his most successful andbiggest investment predictions.</p><p><blockquote>虽然巴菲特不会亲眼目睹他的预测是否会成真，但这反映了他对美国经济实力和美国股市长期韧性的终生信念。以下是他的一些最成功和最大的投资预测。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bank of America Will Rise Again</b></p><p><blockquote><b>美国银行将再次崛起</b></blockquote></p><p> In 2011, Bank of America was suffering from the aftershocks of the subprime mortgage crisis. With the stock trading below $7 per share compared to $19 the year before, Buffett smelled a bargain and bought $5 billion in preferred shares in Bank of America.</p><p><blockquote>2011年，美国银行正遭受次贷危机的余震。由于股票交易价格低于每股7美元，而前一年为19美元，巴菲特嗅到了便宜货，购买了价值50亿美元的美国银行优先股。</blockquote></p><p> The preferred shares paid a hefty 6 percent yield, resulting in $336 million in annual dividend payments to the company. Even better, the preferred stock came with warrants that allowed Buffett to buy 700 million shares of Bank of America at $7.14 per share.</p><p><blockquote>优先股支付了6%的高额收益率，为公司带来了3.36亿美元的年度股息。更好的是，优先股附带认股权证，允许巴菲特以每股7.14美元的价格购买7亿股美国银行股票。</blockquote></p><p> At the time, Buffett made this prediction in his annual investment letter: “Our warrants to buy 700 million Bank of America shares will likely be of great value before they expire.” When Buffett exercised the warrants in 2017, he earned $12 billion.Today, Bank of America is trading at around $37.40 a share, and Buffett purchased Berkshire’s more than 1.03 billion shares—the second-largest holding in his portfolio—at an average price of $24.24 per share.</p><p><blockquote>当时，巴菲特在年度投资信中做出了这样的预测：“我们购买7亿股美国银行股票的认股权证在到期前很可能具有巨大的价值。”当巴菲特在2017年行使认股权证时，他赚了120亿美元。如今，美国银行的交易价格约为每股37.40美元，巴菲特以每股24.24美元的平均价格购买了伯克希尔超过10.3亿股股票——这是他投资组合中的第二大持股。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Time to Start Investing is Now</b></p><p><blockquote><b>现在是开始投资的时候了</b></blockquote></p><p> Buffett told Forbes magazine in late 1974, when the Dow was below 600, that he viewed the market “…like an oversexed guy in a harem. This is&nbsp;the time to start investing.”</p><p><blockquote>1974年末，当道琼斯指数低于600点时，巴菲特告诉《福布斯》杂志，他认为市场“……就像后宫里性欲过剩的男人。现在是开始投资的时候了。”</blockquote></p><p> By the time that interview was published, the Dow had climbed by almost 15 percent to 660. Buffett’s prediction came after a notorious bear market from 1973 to 1974. Perhaps more than any other prediction, this prognostication highlights Buffett’s philosophy to “be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.”</p><p><blockquote>到采访发表时，道琼斯指数已经上涨了近15%，达到660点。巴菲特的预测是在1973年至1974年臭名昭著的熊市之后做出的。也许比其他任何预测都更突出了巴菲特“在别人贪婪时恐惧，在别人恐惧时贪婪”的哲学。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stock Market Returns Will Be 6 Percent</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股市回报率将为6%</b></blockquote></p><p> In 1999, stocks were near the end of an incredible run. The market began a big upswing starting in 1982, and returns for 1995 to 1999 were 37.58 percent, 22.96 percent, 33.36 percent, 28.58 percent, and 21.04 percent, respectively. The Oracle of Omaha made a dramatic, long-term, counter-trend prediction in the midst of all of this ebullience.</p><p><blockquote>1999年，股市即将结束一场令人难以置信的上涨。从1982年开始，市场开始大幅上涨，1995年至1999年的回报率分别为37.58%、22.96%、33.36%、28.58%和21.04%。在所有这些热情中，奥马哈先知做出了一个戏剧性的、长期的、反趋势的预测。</blockquote></p><p> Buffett confidently predicted that stock market returns for the following 17 years would be nothing like the previous 17 years. In fact, he suggested that the “most probable return” for the next 17 years would be 6 percent.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特自信地预测，接下来17年的股市回报将与前17年完全不同。事实上，他认为未来17年“最有可能的回报”是6%。</blockquote></p><p> By 2016, at the end of the 17-year period, stocks had returned 5.9 percent — an amazingly accurate prediction over such a long time period.</p><p><blockquote>到2016年，在17年期间结束时，股票回报率为5.9%——在如此长的时间内，这是一个令人惊讶的准确预测。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Index Funds Will Outperform Hedge Funds</b></p><p><blockquote><b>指数基金将跑赢对冲基金</b></blockquote></p><p> What might have been Buffett’s most dramatic prediction came in 2007, when he offered to bet $500,000 that over the following 10 years, the S&amp;P 500 index would outperform a portfolio of hedge funds when fees were included. Hedge fund manager Ted Seides, of Protege Partners, took the bet.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特最引人注目的预测出现在2007年，当时巴菲特提出以50万美元打赌，在接下来的10年里，如果计入费用，标普500指数的表现将优于对冲基金投资组合。Protege Partners的对冲基金经理泰德·塞德斯(Ted Seides)接受了这一赌注。</blockquote></p><p> When 2017 rolled around, Seides was the one who had to pay up. In fact, the bet was so lopsided that Seides conceded the wager before the entire 10 years had expired. At that point, Seides’ collection of funds had earned just 2.2 percent per year, while the S&amp;P 500 index had earned more than 7 percent per year, thus supporting Buffett’s point that&nbsp;indexing typically can beat actively managed funds.</p><p><blockquote>当2017年到来时，塞德斯是必须付钱的人。事实上，这个赌注是如此不平衡，以至于塞德斯在整个10年到期前就认输了。当时，Seides收集的基金年收益仅为2.2%，而标普500指数的年收益超过7%，因此支持了Buffett的观点，即指数化通常可以击败主动管理型基金。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Goldman Sachs is Down But Not Out</b></p><p><blockquote><b>高盛陷入困境但并未出局</b></blockquote></p><p> In late September 2008, investment bank Goldman Sachs was a wounded giant caught in the vortex of the financial implosion it helped create. Predicting that Goldman Sachs would not only survive but thrive, Buffett invested $5 billion in the company. In exchange, Goldman Sachs gave Buffett preferred shares that paid an amazing 10 percent per year in income.</p><p><blockquote>2008年9月下旬，投资银行高盛是一个受伤的巨人，陷入了它帮助制造的金融内爆的漩涡。巴菲特预测高盛不仅会生存下来，而且会蓬勃发展，因此向该公司投资了50亿美元。作为交换，高盛给了巴菲特优先股，每年的收益高达10%。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Additionally, Buffett was granted $5 billion in warrants, allowing him to buy the stock at $115 per share. By 2013, Buffett’s prediction had come true with remarkable accuracy — he walked away with a profit of $3.2 billion after investing when the market was low.You and your 401k, of course, will likely not be receiving preferred warrant status like Buffett, but you still would have cashed in big time had you pulled the trigger when Buffett did. Goldman was trading below $80 in November 2008 and is now riding high around $344.</p><p><blockquote>此外，巴菲特还获得了50亿美元的认股权证，允许他以每股115美元的价格购买该股票。到2013年，巴菲特的预测以惊人的准确性实现了——他在市场低迷时投资后获利32亿美元。当然，你和你的401k可能不会像巴菲特那样获得优先认股权证地位，但如果你在巴菲特的时候扣动扳机，你仍然会赚很多钱。2008年11月，高盛的交易价格低于80美元，目前正飙升至344美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Coca-Cola Is A Long-Term Buy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>可口可乐是长期买入</b></blockquote></p><p> One of Buffett’s biggest stock market wins can be traced to an investment that started in 1988, the year he first bought into Coca-Cola.Today, Berkshire Hathaway owns 400 million shares, more than 9 percent of the company. On Jan. 1, 1988, Coca-Cola was trading at $2.39. While the stock has seen its ups and downs, it’s trading above $50 per share today.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特最大的股市胜利之一可以追溯到1988年开始的一项投资，那一年他首次买入可口可乐。如今，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司拥有4亿股股票，超过该公司的9%。1988年1月1日，可口可乐的交易价格为2.39美元。虽然该股经历了起起落落，但今天的交易价格仍高于每股50美元。</blockquote></p><p> In many ways, Coca-Cola epitomizes&nbsp;the entire Warren Buffett investment approach— to take long-term positions in big, established companies that perform well and whose business models you understand.Buffett’s love of Cherry Coke is the stuff of legend—he switched after nearly 50 years of chugging Pepsi. He drinks an average of five cans of the stuff — the nutritional equivalent of junk bonds — every day for a total of 25 percent of his daily caloric intake. He famously told Fortune in 2015, “I’m one-quarter Coca-Cola.”</p><p><blockquote>从很多方面来说，可口可乐是沃伦·巴菲特整个投资方法的缩影——在表现良好且您了解其商业模式的大型老牌公司中持有长期头寸。巴菲特对樱桃可乐的热爱是传奇——他在饮用百事可乐近50年后改变了。他平均每天喝五罐这种东西——营养相当于垃圾债券——总共占他每日热量摄入的25%。2015年，他对《财富》杂志说过一句名言：“我是四分之一的可口可乐。”</blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks Are Cheap</b></p><p><blockquote><b>股票很便宜</b></blockquote></p><p> Another one of Buffett’s more famous predictions came to fruition despite the obstacle of a virus</p><p><blockquote>尽管有病毒的阻碍，巴菲特的另一个更著名的预测还是实现了</blockquote></p><p> On Feb. 27, 2017, Buffett told CNBC’s Becky Quick that “…we are not in bubble territory, or anything of the sort,” despite many market observers saying that the current bull run was getting frothy. In fact, Buffett continued, “measured against interest rates, stocks are actually on the cheap side compared to historic valuations.” In other words, Buffett was predicting that stocks were undervalued and that it was time to buy again.</p><p><blockquote>2017年2月27日，巴菲特对CNBC的贝基·奎克(Becky Quick)表示，“……我们并没有处于泡沫区域或类似的区域”，尽管许多市场观察人士表示当前的牛市正在变得泡沫。事实上，巴菲特继续说道，“以利率来衡量，与历史估值相比，股票实际上是便宜的。”换句话说，巴菲特预测股票被低估了，是时候再次买入了。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones industrial average closed at a price of 20,837.44 on the day Buffett made that prediction. Just a little over seven months later, the Dow was at 22,773.67 for a gain of 9.29 percent.Fast-forward to March 10, 2020, and the Dow soared past yet another record close of 32,297.02 in wake of the passage of new COVID relief. That’s a gain of more than 50 percent of the index’s closing price on the day Buffett made his gamble.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特做出这一预测的当天，道琼斯工业平均指数收于20,837.44点。仅仅七个多月后，道琼斯指数收于22,773.67点，涨幅为9.29%。快进到2020年3月10日，随着新冠疫情的缓解，道琼斯指数飙升至创纪录的收盘价32,297.02点。这比巴菲特下注当天该指数收盘价上涨了50%以上。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Home Capital Group Is Undervalued</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Home Capital Group被低估</b></blockquote></p><p> In mid-2017, Buffett extended his reach beyond the United States to invest in Canadian lender Home Capital Group. As with many other Buffett transactions, he got a sweet deal in this purchase right from the outset.</p><p><blockquote>2017年年中，巴菲特将触角伸向美国以外，投资了加拿大银行Home Capital Group。与巴菲特的许多其他交易一样，他从一开始就在这次购买中获得了一笔不错的交易。</blockquote></p><p> Buffett lent $1.5 billion to the company at interest rates of 9 to 9.5 percent. Buffett also enjoyed the right to buy up to 20 percent of the company’s stock at a 20 percent discount to its market price, predicting that the stock would rise after his purchase.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特以9%至9.5%的利率借给该公司15亿美元。巴菲特还享有以低于市价20%的价格购买最多20%的公司股票的权利，并预测股票在他购买后会上涨。</blockquote></p><p> The stock deal allowed him to purchase Home Capital at $10 per share.On March 15, 2020, it was trading at $32.50, which means Buffett would have tripled his investment plus change.</p><p><blockquote>股票交易使他能够以每股10美元的价格收购Home Capital。2020年3月15日，其交易价格为32.50美元，这意味着巴菲特的投资加上变化将增加两倍。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Buy and Hold Berkshire Hathaway</b></p><p><blockquote><b>购买并持有伯克希尔哈撒韦公司</b></blockquote></p><p> One of&nbsp;Buffett’s best investments of all time&nbsp;was in the company that he now runs, Berkshire Hathaway. In 1964, the company offered to buy Buffett’s shares for $11.50 each, to which he agreed. Later, the company reduced the amount of their offer, and this compelled Buffett to not only cancel his sale but to buy enough stock to control the company and fire the manager who lowered his original offer. Buffett had made the prediction again with his wallet that shares in Berkshire Hathaway would rise over time.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特有史以来最好的投资之一是他现在经营的公司伯克希尔哈撒韦公司。1964年，该公司提出以每股11.50美元的价格购买巴菲特的股票，他同意了。后来，公司降低了报价，这迫使巴菲特不仅取消了出售，还购买了足够的股票来控制公司，并解雇了降低最初报价的经理。巴菲特再次用他的钱包预测伯克希尔哈撒韦公司的股价会随着时间的推移而上涨。</blockquote></p><p> Once again, Buffett’s prediction came true in spades. Now, just one share of Berkshire Hathaway sells for about $281,000. As Buffett’s longest-held investment, Berkshire Hathaway is a reminder to investors that “buy and hold” can indeed result in tremendous gains.</p><p><blockquote>巴菲特的预言再次成真。现在，伯克希尔哈撒韦公司的一股售价约为28.1万美元。作为巴菲特持有时间最长的投资，伯克希尔哈撒韦提醒投资者，“买入并持有”确实可以带来巨大收益。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.gobankingrates.com/investing/stocks/times-warren-buffett-predicted-stock-market-accurately/#10\">GoBankingRates</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"BRK.A":"伯克希尔","KO":"可口可乐","BAC":"美国银行","GS":"高盛","BRK.B":"伯克希尔B","HMCBF":"Home Capital Group Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.gobankingrates.com/investing/stocks/times-warren-buffett-predicted-stock-market-accurately/#10","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1144305771","content_text":"This is why you should take Warren Buffett's advice.\nWhen Warren Buffett talks, the world listens—and they should. He is, after all, one of the most successful investors of all time and the No. 4 richest person in the world. After earning more than $1 billion in 10 weeks on a bet on Chevron, Buffett briefly became one of only six people ever to grow their net worths to 12 figures, although he’s currently back down under $100 billion. He’s the CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, a holding company that Buffett runs with his investment partner, Charles Munger.\nHis prescient calls about stocks and the market, in general, have earned him the nickname “The Oracle of Omaha,” in honor of the Nebraska city where he resides. Buffett offered one of his most dramatic market predictions in September 2017, when he predicted that by 2117, the Dow Jones industrial average would hit 1,000,000.\nWhile Buffett won’t be around to see if his prediction will come true, it reflects his lifelong belief in the strength of the American economy and the long-term resilience of the U.S. stock market. Here’s a look at some of his most successful andbiggest investment predictions.\nBank of America Will Rise Again\nIn 2011, Bank of America was suffering from the aftershocks of the subprime mortgage crisis. With the stock trading below $7 per share compared to $19 the year before, Buffett smelled a bargain and bought $5 billion in preferred shares in Bank of America.\nThe preferred shares paid a hefty 6 percent yield, resulting in $336 million in annual dividend payments to the company. Even better, the preferred stock came with warrants that allowed Buffett to buy 700 million shares of Bank of America at $7.14 per share.\nAt the time, Buffett made this prediction in his annual investment letter: “Our warrants to buy 700 million Bank of America shares will likely be of great value before they expire.” When Buffett exercised the warrants in 2017, he earned $12 billion.Today, Bank of America is trading at around $37.40 a share, and Buffett purchased Berkshire’s more than 1.03 billion shares—the second-largest holding in his portfolio—at an average price of $24.24 per share.\nThe Time to Start Investing is Now\nBuffett told Forbes magazine in late 1974, when the Dow was below 600, that he viewed the market “…like an oversexed guy in a harem. This is the time to start investing.”\nBy the time that interview was published, the Dow had climbed by almost 15 percent to 660. Buffett’s prediction came after a notorious bear market from 1973 to 1974. Perhaps more than any other prediction, this prognostication highlights Buffett’s philosophy to “be fearful when others are greedy and greedy when others are fearful.”\nStock Market Returns Will Be 6 Percent\nIn 1999, stocks were near the end of an incredible run. The market began a big upswing starting in 1982, and returns for 1995 to 1999 were 37.58 percent, 22.96 percent, 33.36 percent, 28.58 percent, and 21.04 percent, respectively. The Oracle of Omaha made a dramatic, long-term, counter-trend prediction in the midst of all of this ebullience.\nBuffett confidently predicted that stock market returns for the following 17 years would be nothing like the previous 17 years. In fact, he suggested that the “most probable return” for the next 17 years would be 6 percent.\nBy 2016, at the end of the 17-year period, stocks had returned 5.9 percent — an amazingly accurate prediction over such a long time period.\nIndex Funds Will Outperform Hedge Funds\nWhat might have been Buffett’s most dramatic prediction came in 2007, when he offered to bet $500,000 that over the following 10 years, the S&P 500 index would outperform a portfolio of hedge funds when fees were included. Hedge fund manager Ted Seides, of Protege Partners, took the bet.\nWhen 2017 rolled around, Seides was the one who had to pay up. In fact, the bet was so lopsided that Seides conceded the wager before the entire 10 years had expired. At that point, Seides’ collection of funds had earned just 2.2 percent per year, while the S&P 500 index had earned more than 7 percent per year, thus supporting Buffett’s point that indexing typically can beat actively managed funds.\nGoldman Sachs is Down But Not Out\nIn late September 2008, investment bank Goldman Sachs was a wounded giant caught in the vortex of the financial implosion it helped create. Predicting that Goldman Sachs would not only survive but thrive, Buffett invested $5 billion in the company. In exchange, Goldman Sachs gave Buffett preferred shares that paid an amazing 10 percent per year in income.\nAdditionally, Buffett was granted $5 billion in warrants, allowing him to buy the stock at $115 per share. By 2013, Buffett’s prediction had come true with remarkable accuracy — he walked away with a profit of $3.2 billion after investing when the market was low.You and your 401k, of course, will likely not be receiving preferred warrant status like Buffett, but you still would have cashed in big time had you pulled the trigger when Buffett did. Goldman was trading below $80 in November 2008 and is now riding high around $344.\nCoca-Cola Is A Long-Term Buy\nOne of Buffett’s biggest stock market wins can be traced to an investment that started in 1988, the year he first bought into Coca-Cola.Today, Berkshire Hathaway owns 400 million shares, more than 9 percent of the company. On Jan. 1, 1988, Coca-Cola was trading at $2.39. While the stock has seen its ups and downs, it’s trading above $50 per share today.\nIn many ways, Coca-Cola epitomizes the entire Warren Buffett investment approach— to take long-term positions in big, established companies that perform well and whose business models you understand.Buffett’s love of Cherry Coke is the stuff of legend—he switched after nearly 50 years of chugging Pepsi. He drinks an average of five cans of the stuff — the nutritional equivalent of junk bonds — every day for a total of 25 percent of his daily caloric intake. He famously told Fortune in 2015, “I’m one-quarter Coca-Cola.”\nStocks Are Cheap\nAnother one of Buffett’s more famous predictions came to fruition despite the obstacle of a virus\nOn Feb. 27, 2017, Buffett told CNBC’s Becky Quick that “…we are not in bubble territory, or anything of the sort,” despite many market observers saying that the current bull run was getting frothy. In fact, Buffett continued, “measured against interest rates, stocks are actually on the cheap side compared to historic valuations.” In other words, Buffett was predicting that stocks were undervalued and that it was time to buy again.\nThe Dow Jones industrial average closed at a price of 20,837.44 on the day Buffett made that prediction. Just a little over seven months later, the Dow was at 22,773.67 for a gain of 9.29 percent.Fast-forward to March 10, 2020, and the Dow soared past yet another record close of 32,297.02 in wake of the passage of new COVID relief. That’s a gain of more than 50 percent of the index’s closing price on the day Buffett made his gamble.\nHome Capital Group Is Undervalued\nIn mid-2017, Buffett extended his reach beyond the United States to invest in Canadian lender Home Capital Group. As with many other Buffett transactions, he got a sweet deal in this purchase right from the outset.\nBuffett lent $1.5 billion to the company at interest rates of 9 to 9.5 percent. Buffett also enjoyed the right to buy up to 20 percent of the company’s stock at a 20 percent discount to its market price, predicting that the stock would rise after his purchase.\nThe stock deal allowed him to purchase Home Capital at $10 per share.On March 15, 2020, it was trading at $32.50, which means Buffett would have tripled his investment plus change.\nBuy and Hold Berkshire Hathaway\nOne of Buffett’s best investments of all time was in the company that he now runs, Berkshire Hathaway. In 1964, the company offered to buy Buffett’s shares for $11.50 each, to which he agreed. Later, the company reduced the amount of their offer, and this compelled Buffett to not only cancel his sale but to buy enough stock to control the company and fire the manager who lowered his original offer. Buffett had made the prediction again with his wallet that shares in Berkshire Hathaway would rise over time.\nOnce again, Buffett’s prediction came true in spades. Now, just one share of Berkshire Hathaway sells for about $281,000. As Buffett’s longest-held investment, Berkshire Hathaway is a reminder to investors that “buy and hold” can indeed result in tremendous gains.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GS":0.9,"BRK.A":0.9,"KO":0.9,"BRK.B":0.9,"HMCBF":0.9,"BAC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":285,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}