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2021-11-26

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Qualcomm Stock: After A Strong Rally, It Is Now A 'Hold'<blockquote>高通股票：强劲反弹后，目前“持有”</blockquote>

2021-10-04

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2021-10-02

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2021-10-01

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Professor who called Dow 20,000 says he’s nervous about trends in inflation that could spark a stock-market correction<blockquote>称道琼斯指数为20,000点的教授表示，他对通胀趋势感到紧张，通胀趋势可能引发股市调整</blockquote>

2021-09-30

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2021-09-29

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Technically Speaking: Is The Market "Melting-Up?"<blockquote>从技术上讲：市场正在“融化”吗？</blockquote>

2021-09-28

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Morgan Stanley Dismisses Market's "Strong Rebound", Remains Bearish On Coming Earnings Disappointment<blockquote>摩根士丹利否认市场“强劲反弹”，对即将到来的盈利令人失望仍持悲观态度</blockquote>

2021-09-24

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2021-09-22

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2021-09-21

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2021-09-20

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Nike, Costco, FedEx, Salesforce, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>耐克、好市多、联邦快递、Salesforce和其他本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>

2021-09-19

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US IPO Week Ahead: Software, consumer products, and payment tech lead a diverse 14 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周：软件、消费品和支付技术引领多元化14周IPO周</blockquote>

2021-09-17

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S&P ends modestly lower as rising Treasury yields offset robust retail data<blockquote>美国国债收益率上升抵消了强劲的零售数据，标普小幅收低</blockquote>

2021-09-16

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2021-09-15

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U.S. stocks close lower on worries over recovery, corporate tax hikes<blockquote>美国股市因对复苏和企业增税的担忧而收低</blockquote>

2021-09-14

Nice

S&P 500 snaps losing streak with tax hikes, inflation data on horizon<blockquote>标普500通过增税和通胀数据结束连跌</blockquote>

2021-09-13

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2021-09-12

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US IPO Week Ahead: The Fall IPO market kicks off with a 10 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周：秋季IPO市场以10周IPO拉开帷幕</blockquote>

2021-09-12

Nice

US IPO Week Ahead: The Fall IPO market kicks off with a 10 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周：秋季IPO市场以10周IPO拉开帷幕</blockquote>

2021-09-11

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t":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/877117231","repostId":"1174337163","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1174337163","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1637897193,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1174337163?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-26 11:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Qualcomm Stock: After A Strong Rally, It Is Now A 'Hold'<blockquote>高通股票：强劲反弹后，目前“持有”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1174337163","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nQualcomm is well-positioned to benefit from secular growth trends of 5G, IoT, and industria","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Qualcomm is well-positioned to benefit from secular growth trends of 5G, IoT, and industrial and auto connectivity.</li>  <li>Its recent operating performance has been quite good and momentum should remain strong in the next few quarters, even though growth is expected to moderate in the medium term.</li>  <li>After a strong stock rally, the upside is now more limited and investors should buy more during potential pullbacks.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7aa6af8989c0e13371421d6fed2fac8e\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>G0d4ather/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>高通处于有利地位，可以从5G、物联网以及工业和汽车连接的长期增长趋势中受益。</li><li>其最近的经营业绩相当不错，未来几个季度的势头应该会保持强劲，尽管预计中期增长将放缓。</li><li>在股市强劲反弹之后，上涨空间现在更加有限，投资者应该在潜在回调期间买入更多股票。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>G0d4ather/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>QUALCOMM</b>(QCOM) has interesting growth prospects over the coming years supported from 5G, IoT and industrial and auto connectivity, but its share price performance has been quite strong over the past couple of months and Qualcomm is now a ‘hold’.</p><p><blockquote><b>QUALCOMM</b>在5G、物联网以及工业和汽车连接的支持下，(QCOM)在未来几年拥有有趣的增长前景，但其股价在过去几个月中表现相当强劲，高通现在被“持有”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Background</b></p><p><blockquote><b>背景</b></blockquote></p><p> About two months ago, I have recommended Qualcomm as an interesting play in the 5G and Internet of Things (IoT) secular growth theme, even though there are some medium-term risks, such as competition from&nbsp;<b>MediaTek</b>(OTCPK:MDTKF) in the mobile segment and the possibility of losing&nbsp;<b>Apple’s</b>(AAPL) modem business.</p><p><blockquote>大约两个月前，我推荐高通作为5G和物联网（IoT）长期增长主题中的一个有趣的公司，尽管存在一些中期风险，例如来自<b>联发科</b>(OTCPK：MDTKF)在移动领域以及失去的可能性<b>苹果的</b>(AAPL)调制解调器业务。</blockquote></p><p> Since my article, Qualcomm’s share price has been on fire, up by more than 39% in about two months, supported by strong earnings and an upbeat investor day in the past week.</p><p><blockquote>自从我发表这篇文章以来，在强劲的盈利和过去一周乐观的投资者日的支撑下，高通的股价在大约两个月内上涨了39%以上。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b777c551db65315946aa3d0e67786e9\" tg-width=\"258\" tg-height=\"343\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Seeking Alpha.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：寻求阿尔法。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> After a strong run, I think it’s time to see if Qualcomm still offers value to investors if its shares are now expensive. In this article, I review its most recent earnings and investor day, plus I check if its valuation is still attractive or not, considering Qualcomm’s medium-term earnings expectations.</p><p><blockquote>在经历了强劲的上涨之后，我认为是时候看看如果高通的股价现在很贵，它是否仍然为投资者提供价值了。在本文中，我回顾了其最近的收益和投资者日，并考虑到高通的中期收益预期，检查了其估值是否仍然有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Recent Earnings</b></p><p><blockquote><b>近期收益</b></blockquote></p><p> Qualcomm has reported positive results regarding the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2021 (FY 2021 - for the year ended on September 26, 2021), at the beginning of this month. The company reported revenues 5% higher than expected related to Q4, while its bottom-line beat estimates by close to 13%.</p><p><blockquote>本月初，高通报告了第四季度和2021财年（2021财年-截至2021年9月26日的年度）的积极业绩。该公司报告第四季度收入比预期高出5%，而净利润则超出预期近13%。</blockquote></p><p> For the full fiscal year, the company was able to beat targets set at its investor day in 2019 for revenue growth and margin expansion, boding well for growth ahead.</p><p><blockquote>在整个财年，该公司能够超额完成2019年投资者日设定的收入增长和利润率扩张目标，预示着未来的增长。</blockquote></p><p> In FY 2021, Qualcomm’s revenues amounted to $33.56 billion (up by 43% YoY), while its operating income was close to $10.3 billion (+80% YoY). Its net income increased by 74% YoY to more than $9 billion, reaching a net profit margin of 26.9% (vs. 22.1% in FY 2020).</p><p><blockquote>2021财年，高通营收达335.6亿美元（同比增长43%），营业收入接近103亿美元（同比增长80%）。其净利润同比增长74%，超过90亿美元，净利润率达到26.9%（2020财年为22.1%）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3ba047cfae2944b81902cd46d4028cc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"262\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Qualcomm.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：高通。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Qualcomm’s growth engine was the QCT segment (technologies), with revenue up by 64% YoY, while the licensing segment (QTL) reported 26% YoY revenue growth. In the QTL segment, Qualcomm’s growth was broad based, with radio filters and IoT being particularly strong.</p><p><blockquote>高通的增长引擎是QCT部门（技术），收入同比增长64%，而许可部门（QTL）收入同比增长26%。在QTL领域，高通的增长基础广泛，其中无线电滤波器和物联网尤为强劲。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aab453c09529203bf11d1d892cf4bb51\" tg-width=\"783\" tg-height=\"182\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Qualcomm.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：高通。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Despite the company’s diversification strategy, Qualcomm is still heavily exposed to the mobile market (handsets) which represented some 62% of its QTL revenues. However, this weight is expected to gradually decrease over the next few years, as other segments such as IoT should have higher growth rates over the medium to long term, given that handsets have benefitted cyclically from the rapid shift to 5G phones over the past year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管公司采取了多元化战略，高通仍然大量涉足移动市场（手机），该市场约占其QTL收入的62%。然而，鉴于手机在过去一年中周期性地受益于向5G手机的快速转变，预计这一权重将在未来几年逐渐下降，因为物联网等其他细分市场在中长期内应该会有更高的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> I see these results as quite good and above my own expectations, with the company being able to report annual revenues in excess of $10 billion for RF, auto and IoT together, a great milestone for Qualcomm and more than doubled compared to FY 2019.</p><p><blockquote>我认为这些结果非常好，超出了我自己的预期，该公司能够报告射频、汽车和物联网的年收入合计超过100亿美元，这对高通来说是一个伟大的里程碑，与2019财年相比增长了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> This clearly shows that Qualcomm’s diversification strategy is progressing well and execution has been positive, which increases confidence on future growth targets. Beyond that, the current chip shortage is also impacting Qualcomm’s business, like for everyone else in the industry, making its recent growth even more impressive.</p><p><blockquote>这清楚地表明，高通的多元化战略进展良好，执行力一直积极，这增加了对未来增长目标的信心。除此之外，当前的芯片短缺也影响了高通的业务，就像业内其他公司一样，使其最近的增长更加令人印象深刻。</blockquote></p><p> Regarding its shareholder remuneration policy, during the last fiscal year, Qualcomm has made close to $3.4 billion in stock repurchases and distributed dividends of $3 billion. Thus, its total capital return to shareholders amounted to $6.4 billion, which represented more than 70% of its bottom-line. However, its dividend yield is only about 1.5%, thus I see Qualcomm mainly as a ‘growth’ play, while income is not high enough to be a reason to buy Qualcomm’s shares.</p><p><blockquote>关于股东薪酬政策，在上一财年，高通进行了近34亿美元的股票回购，并分配了30亿美元的股息。因此，其股东资本回报总额达64亿美元，占其利润的70%以上。然而，其股息收益率仅为1.5%左右，因此我认为高通主要是一家“成长型”公司，而收入还不足以成为购买高通股票的理由。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Qualcomm’s outlook for the next quarter is also positive, with the company expecting more than $10 billion in revenues and diluted EPS in the range $2.53-2.73. Even though Qualcomm’s business has some seasonality, Q1 is usually a stronger quarter, this outlook implies annual revenues close to $40 billion, or up by 19% compared to the previous FY.</p><p><blockquote>高通对下一季度的前景也很乐观，该公司预计营收将超过100亿美元，摊薄后每股收益在2.53-2.73美元之间。尽管高通的业务有一定的季节性，但第一季度通常是一个更强劲的季度，这一前景意味着年收入接近400亿美元，比上一财年增长19%。</blockquote></p><p> This is in-line with current street expectations, given that the current consensus is for FY 2022 revenues of $39.5 billion, showing that Qualcomm’s recent growth is not temporary.</p><p><blockquote>这符合当前华尔街的预期，因为目前的共识是2022财年的收入为395亿美元，这表明高通最近的增长不是暂时的。</blockquote></p><p> On the other hand, as I’ve highlighted as a potential risk in my previous analysis, there were additional rumors recently that<b>Apple</b>(AAPL) will use its own 5G modem chip in 2023, instead of using Qualcomm’s chips. It is difficult to quantify how much revenue will Qualcomm lose from this, but certainly will be material and is a potential headwind for revenue and earnings growth in the medium term that investors should be aware of.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，正如我在之前的分析中强调的潜在风险，最近有更多传言称<b>苹果</b>（AAPL）将在2023年使用自己的5G调制解调器芯片，而不是使用高通的芯片。很难量化高通将因此损失多少收入，但肯定会很大，并且是投资者应该意识到的中期收入和盈利增长的潜在阻力。</blockquote></p><p> Nevertheless, the company has recently shown in its investor day that its business is well exposed to some secular growth trends, such as IoT or car and industrial connectivity powered by 5G. This bodes well for its growth prospects over the next few years, and also to smooth the impact of losing some business from Apple.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，该公司最近在投资者日上表明，该公司业务很好地暴露在一些长期增长趋势中，如物联网或汽车以及5G驱动的工业连接。这对其未来几年的增长前景是好兆头，同时也能缓解因苹果失去部分业务而产生的影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Investor Day</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资者日</b></blockquote></p><p> As I’ve discussed previously on Qualcomm, the company is well-positioned to benefit from secular growth trends of 5G and IoT, considering that it has adapted its product portfolio quite well in recent years for the expected higher demand for these wireless technologies over the next few years, beyond the mobile industry.</p><p><blockquote>正如我之前在高通上讨论的那样，考虑到该公司近年来已经很好地调整了其产品组合，以满足未来几年对这些无线技术的预期更高需求，该公司处于有利地位，可以从5G和物联网的长期增长趋势中受益。</blockquote></p><p> Its growth strategy has been to diversify its product offering so that it can offer solutions and products for more industries and different type of customers, namely in the automotive or the industrial sectors, increasing Qualcomm’s total addressable market and higher long-term growth prospects than relying too much on the mobile industry.</p><p><blockquote>其增长战略一直是使其产品供应多样化，以便能够为更多行业和不同类型的客户（即汽车或工业领域）提供解决方案和产品，增加高通的总目标市场和比依赖更高的长期增长前景过于依赖移动行业。</blockquote></p><p> The company has several technologies for mobile and connectivity that have great growth prospects due to the ongoing digital transformation, which is not expected to slow down in the future. Indeed, in its recent investor day, Qualcomm said that its total addressable market is expected to expand significantly over the next decade, from about $100 billion currently to some $700 billion by 2030. This is justified by the rising number of devices that are expected to be connected to the internet, generating a vast amount of data, being a strong tailwind for the company’s growth ahead.</p><p><blockquote>由于正在进行的数字化转型，该公司拥有多项移动和连接技术，这些技术具有巨大的增长前景，预计未来不会放缓。事实上，在最近的投资者日，高通表示，其潜在市场总额预计将在未来十年大幅扩大，从目前的约1000亿美元增加到2030年的约7000亿美元。这是因为预计连接到互联网的设备数量不断增加，产生大量数据，成为公司未来增长的强劲推动力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b9b8a9143bcaf8706b35feb39aac5ca\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"226\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Qualcomm.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：高通。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Qualcomm also discussed again its technologies spanning several end-markets beyond handsets, with IoT, automotive or virtual reality devices being, in my opinion, segments that are still relatively small for the company and have great growth prospects to become a sizable part of Qualcomm’s business in the next few years. For instance, Qualcomm targets annual revenues from IoT of around $9 billion by FY 2024, compared to $5 billion last year, while in Automotive it expects to grow from annual revenues of $1 billion last year to around $3.5 billion in five years.</p><p><blockquote>高通还再次讨论了其跨越手机以外的多个终端市场的技术，在我看来，物联网、汽车或虚拟现实设备对该公司来说仍然相对较小，但具有巨大的增长前景，将成为高通业务的重要组成部分。未来几年的业务。例如，高通的目标是到2024财年物联网年收入约为90亿美元，而去年为50亿美元，而在汽车领域，预计五年内年收入将从去年的10亿美元增长到约35亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ebe04cb81f8fa2aba439f6f5309780c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"218\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Qualcomm.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：高通。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In the mobile segment, Qualcomm also sees good long-term growth prospects due to 5G, with 5G handsets expected to gradually increase the weight in total shipments to about 85% by fiscal year 2024 and double from the total shipments delivered in the last year.</p><p><blockquote>在移动领域，高通也看到了5G带来的良好长期增长前景，预计到2024财年，5G手机在总出货量中的比重将逐渐增加至85%左右，比去年的总出货量翻一番。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/552a1a716059d719fc6e64b861f09a8d\" tg-width=\"602\" tg-height=\"465\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Qualcomm.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：高通。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Regarding its capital structure and shareholder remuneration policy, Qualcomm intends to maintain its policy of distributing a large part of its free cash flow to shareholders, both through a growing dividend and opportunistic share buybacks. As the company’s financial leverage is strong, measured by its net debt-to-EBITDA ratio below 0.5x at the end of FY 2021, it doesn’t need to retain much cash so I expect Qualcomm to distribute close to 100% of its free cash flow to shareholders over the next few years.</p><p><blockquote>关于其资本结构和股东薪酬政策，高通打算维持将大部分自由现金流分配给股东的政策，包括增加股息和机会主义股票回购。由于该公司的财务杠杆很强，以2021财年末净债务与EBITDA比率低于0.5倍来衡量，因此它不需要保留太多现金，因此我预计高通将分配近100%的自由现金流未来几年流向股东。</blockquote></p><p> However, this could change if the company pursues acquisitions, especially if it performs a large acquisition financed mainly by debt. That would increase the company’s financial leverage and, most likely, its strategy would then change towards reducing leverage in subsequent years until it reaches again a strong balance sheet as it has today.</p><p><blockquote>然而，如果该公司进行收购，特别是如果它进行主要通过债务融资的大型收购，这种情况可能会发生变化。这将增加该公司的财务杠杆，而且最有可能的是，其战略将在随后几年转向降低杠杆，直到再次达到像今天这样强劲的资产负债表。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Estimates &amp; Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估计和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Regarding medium-term&nbsp;estimates, Qualcomm’s revenues are expected to grow at about 7.3% per year, over the next four years, slowing down significantly compared to FY 2021. I think these are conservative estimates and there is upside potential for upward revisions over the coming months if operating momentum remains strong.</p><p><blockquote>关于中期预测，未来四年高通的收入预计将以每年约7.3%的速度增长，与2021财年相比大幅放缓。我认为这些都是保守的估计，如果运营势头保持强劲，未来几个月还有向上修正的潜力。</blockquote></p><p> For the fiscal year 2025, revenues are expected to be about $44 billion, which seems too much low considering that for FY 2022 revenues are expected to be around $40 billion. I’m more bullish than current consensus and see revenues of around $50 billion by FY 2025, expecting annual revenue growth of around 7-8% per year between FY 2023 and 2025, which I think is still quite conservative.</p><p><blockquote>2025财年的收入预计约为440亿美元，考虑到2022财年的收入预计约为400亿美元，这似乎太低了。我比目前的共识更乐观，预计到2025财年的收入将达到500亿美元左右，预计2023财年至2025财年的年收入增长约为7-8%，我认为这仍然相当保守。</blockquote></p><p> Its bottom-line is expected to increase to more than $14 billion in FY 2025 in my estimates, slightly above consensus because I’m expecting higher revenues, which implies an EPS of around $12 by FY 2025.</p><p><blockquote>根据我的估计，2025财年其净利润预计将增至140亿美元以上，略高于共识，因为我预计收入会更高，这意味着到2025财年每股收益约为12美元。</blockquote></p><p> Regarding valuation, my approach is to look into the next few years of revenues and earnings rather than just focus on this year or the next, to see if the stock has upside potential over a time frame of two to four years. Therefore, I use FY 2025 estimates to see if Qualcomm’s stock has upside potential over the medium term or not.</p><p><blockquote>关于估值，我的方法是关注未来几年的收入和盈利，而不仅仅是关注今年或明年，看看该股在两到四年内是否有上涨潜力。因此，我使用2025财年的预测来了解高通的股票在中期内是否有上涨潜力。</blockquote></p><p> Based on Qualcomm’s EPS estimate of $12 by FY 2025 and its historical valuation multiple over the past couple of years regarding its blended forward earnings (next 12 months) of 17.3x, my price target for Qualcomm by September 2024 is $207 per share.</p><p><blockquote>根据高通到2025财年的每股收益预期为12美元，以及过去几年混合预期收益（未来12个月）17.3倍的历史估值倍数，我对高通到2024年9月的目标价为每股207美元。</blockquote></p><p> This means that Qualcomm’s upside potential, based on these assumptions, is about 15% over the next three years, which is not impressive and show that a good part of its growth in the medium term is already reflected in its share price.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着，基于这些假设，高通未来三年的上涨潜力约为15%，这并不令人印象深刻，并表明其中期增长的很大一部分已经反映在其股价中。</blockquote></p><p> Note that over the past two years Qualcomm’s forward earnings multiple has been somewhat volatile, trading between 13-22x forward earnings. When I wrote my previous article on Qualcomm, its shares were trading at the bottom of this range and the stock was clearly a buy, while now is trading close to its historical value. This means that there is more upside potential over the medium term, as Qualcomm is clearly well-positioned to benefit from 5G, IoT, and industrial and automotive connectivity, thus a re-rating to higher multiples is possible in the next couple of years.</p><p><blockquote>请注意，过去两年高通的预期市盈率有些波动，预期市盈率在13-22倍之间。当我写上一篇关于高通的文章时，其股价处于该区间的底部，显然值得买入，而现在的交易价格接近其历史价值。这意味着中期内有更大的上涨潜力，因为高通显然处于有利地位，可以从5G、物联网以及工业和汽车连接中受益，因此未来几年有可能重新评级至更高的倍数。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb82ba4ac66c3ed8128484453fc4730c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"204\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Bloomberg.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：彭博。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Bottom Line</b></p><p><blockquote><b>底线</b></blockquote></p><p> Qualcomm’s operating momentum has improved markedly in recent quarters and growth prospects are good in the coming years, as the company’s product diversification strategy is making good progress and is expected to support growth in coming years.</p><p><blockquote>高通近几个季度的经营势头明显改善，未来几年的增长前景良好，因为该公司的产品多元化战略正在取得良好进展，预计将支持未来几年的增长。</blockquote></p><p> However, its stock has rapidly incorporated improved fundamentals with the company’s recent earnings and investor day, and now upside potential is more limited than it was a couple of months ago. Investors who are exposed to Qualcomm should ‘hold’ and buy more during potential pullbacks in the future.</p><p><blockquote>然而，其股票已迅速将基本面的改善与公司最近的盈利和投资者日结合起来，现在的上涨潜力比几个月前更加有限。投资高通的投资者应该“持有”并在未来潜在回调期间买入更多股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Qualcomm Stock: After A Strong Rally, It Is Now A 'Hold'<blockquote>高通股票：强劲反弹后，目前“持有”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nQualcomm Stock: After A Strong Rally, It Is Now A 'Hold'<blockquote>高通股票：强劲反弹后，目前“持有”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-26 11:26</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Qualcomm is well-positioned to benefit from secular growth trends of 5G, IoT, and industrial and auto connectivity.</li>  <li>Its recent operating performance has been quite good and momentum should remain strong in the next few quarters, even though growth is expected to moderate in the medium term.</li>  <li>After a strong stock rally, the upside is now more limited and investors should buy more during potential pullbacks.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7aa6af8989c0e13371421d6fed2fac8e\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>G0d4ather/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>高通处于有利地位，可以从5G、物联网以及工业和汽车连接的长期增长趋势中受益。</li><li>其最近的经营业绩相当不错，未来几个季度的势头应该会保持强劲，尽管预计中期增长将放缓。</li><li>在股市强劲反弹之后，上涨空间现在更加有限，投资者应该在潜在回调期间买入更多股票。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>G0d4ather/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>QUALCOMM</b>(QCOM) has interesting growth prospects over the coming years supported from 5G, IoT and industrial and auto connectivity, but its share price performance has been quite strong over the past couple of months and Qualcomm is now a ‘hold’.</p><p><blockquote><b>QUALCOMM</b>在5G、物联网以及工业和汽车连接的支持下，(QCOM)在未来几年拥有有趣的增长前景，但其股价在过去几个月中表现相当强劲，高通现在被“持有”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Background</b></p><p><blockquote><b>背景</b></blockquote></p><p> About two months ago, I have recommended Qualcomm as an interesting play in the 5G and Internet of Things (IoT) secular growth theme, even though there are some medium-term risks, such as competition from&nbsp;<b>MediaTek</b>(OTCPK:MDTKF) in the mobile segment and the possibility of losing&nbsp;<b>Apple’s</b>(AAPL) modem business.</p><p><blockquote>大约两个月前，我推荐高通作为5G和物联网（IoT）长期增长主题中的一个有趣的公司，尽管存在一些中期风险，例如来自<b>联发科</b>(OTCPK：MDTKF)在移动领域以及失去的可能性<b>苹果的</b>(AAPL)调制解调器业务。</blockquote></p><p> Since my article, Qualcomm’s share price has been on fire, up by more than 39% in about two months, supported by strong earnings and an upbeat investor day in the past week.</p><p><blockquote>自从我发表这篇文章以来，在强劲的盈利和过去一周乐观的投资者日的支撑下，高通的股价在大约两个月内上涨了39%以上。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b777c551db65315946aa3d0e67786e9\" tg-width=\"258\" tg-height=\"343\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Seeking Alpha.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：寻求阿尔法。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> After a strong run, I think it’s time to see if Qualcomm still offers value to investors if its shares are now expensive. In this article, I review its most recent earnings and investor day, plus I check if its valuation is still attractive or not, considering Qualcomm’s medium-term earnings expectations.</p><p><blockquote>在经历了强劲的上涨之后，我认为是时候看看如果高通的股价现在很贵，它是否仍然为投资者提供价值了。在本文中，我回顾了其最近的收益和投资者日，并考虑到高通的中期收益预期，检查了其估值是否仍然有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Recent Earnings</b></p><p><blockquote><b>近期收益</b></blockquote></p><p> Qualcomm has reported positive results regarding the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2021 (FY 2021 - for the year ended on September 26, 2021), at the beginning of this month. The company reported revenues 5% higher than expected related to Q4, while its bottom-line beat estimates by close to 13%.</p><p><blockquote>本月初，高通报告了第四季度和2021财年（2021财年-截至2021年9月26日的年度）的积极业绩。该公司报告第四季度收入比预期高出5%，而净利润则超出预期近13%。</blockquote></p><p> For the full fiscal year, the company was able to beat targets set at its investor day in 2019 for revenue growth and margin expansion, boding well for growth ahead.</p><p><blockquote>在整个财年，该公司能够超额完成2019年投资者日设定的收入增长和利润率扩张目标，预示着未来的增长。</blockquote></p><p> In FY 2021, Qualcomm’s revenues amounted to $33.56 billion (up by 43% YoY), while its operating income was close to $10.3 billion (+80% YoY). Its net income increased by 74% YoY to more than $9 billion, reaching a net profit margin of 26.9% (vs. 22.1% in FY 2020).</p><p><blockquote>2021财年，高通营收达335.6亿美元（同比增长43%），营业收入接近103亿美元（同比增长80%）。其净利润同比增长74%，超过90亿美元，净利润率达到26.9%（2020财年为22.1%）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3ba047cfae2944b81902cd46d4028cc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"262\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Qualcomm.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：高通。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Qualcomm’s growth engine was the QCT segment (technologies), with revenue up by 64% YoY, while the licensing segment (QTL) reported 26% YoY revenue growth. In the QTL segment, Qualcomm’s growth was broad based, with radio filters and IoT being particularly strong.</p><p><blockquote>高通的增长引擎是QCT部门（技术），收入同比增长64%，而许可部门（QTL）收入同比增长26%。在QTL领域，高通的增长基础广泛，其中无线电滤波器和物联网尤为强劲。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aab453c09529203bf11d1d892cf4bb51\" tg-width=\"783\" tg-height=\"182\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Qualcomm.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：高通。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Despite the company’s diversification strategy, Qualcomm is still heavily exposed to the mobile market (handsets) which represented some 62% of its QTL revenues. However, this weight is expected to gradually decrease over the next few years, as other segments such as IoT should have higher growth rates over the medium to long term, given that handsets have benefitted cyclically from the rapid shift to 5G phones over the past year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管公司采取了多元化战略，高通仍然大量涉足移动市场（手机），该市场约占其QTL收入的62%。然而，鉴于手机在过去一年中周期性地受益于向5G手机的快速转变，预计这一权重将在未来几年逐渐下降，因为物联网等其他细分市场在中长期内应该会有更高的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> I see these results as quite good and above my own expectations, with the company being able to report annual revenues in excess of $10 billion for RF, auto and IoT together, a great milestone for Qualcomm and more than doubled compared to FY 2019.</p><p><blockquote>我认为这些结果非常好，超出了我自己的预期，该公司能够报告射频、汽车和物联网的年收入合计超过100亿美元，这对高通来说是一个伟大的里程碑，与2019财年相比增长了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> This clearly shows that Qualcomm’s diversification strategy is progressing well and execution has been positive, which increases confidence on future growth targets. Beyond that, the current chip shortage is also impacting Qualcomm’s business, like for everyone else in the industry, making its recent growth even more impressive.</p><p><blockquote>这清楚地表明，高通的多元化战略进展良好，执行力一直积极，这增加了对未来增长目标的信心。除此之外，当前的芯片短缺也影响了高通的业务，就像业内其他公司一样，使其最近的增长更加令人印象深刻。</blockquote></p><p> Regarding its shareholder remuneration policy, during the last fiscal year, Qualcomm has made close to $3.4 billion in stock repurchases and distributed dividends of $3 billion. Thus, its total capital return to shareholders amounted to $6.4 billion, which represented more than 70% of its bottom-line. However, its dividend yield is only about 1.5%, thus I see Qualcomm mainly as a ‘growth’ play, while income is not high enough to be a reason to buy Qualcomm’s shares.</p><p><blockquote>关于股东薪酬政策，在上一财年，高通进行了近34亿美元的股票回购，并分配了30亿美元的股息。因此，其股东资本回报总额达64亿美元，占其利润的70%以上。然而，其股息收益率仅为1.5%左右，因此我认为高通主要是一家“成长型”公司，而收入还不足以成为购买高通股票的理由。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Qualcomm’s outlook for the next quarter is also positive, with the company expecting more than $10 billion in revenues and diluted EPS in the range $2.53-2.73. Even though Qualcomm’s business has some seasonality, Q1 is usually a stronger quarter, this outlook implies annual revenues close to $40 billion, or up by 19% compared to the previous FY.</p><p><blockquote>高通对下一季度的前景也很乐观，该公司预计营收将超过100亿美元，摊薄后每股收益在2.53-2.73美元之间。尽管高通的业务有一定的季节性，但第一季度通常是一个更强劲的季度，这一前景意味着年收入接近400亿美元，比上一财年增长19%。</blockquote></p><p> This is in-line with current street expectations, given that the current consensus is for FY 2022 revenues of $39.5 billion, showing that Qualcomm’s recent growth is not temporary.</p><p><blockquote>这符合当前华尔街的预期，因为目前的共识是2022财年的收入为395亿美元，这表明高通最近的增长不是暂时的。</blockquote></p><p> On the other hand, as I’ve highlighted as a potential risk in my previous analysis, there were additional rumors recently that<b>Apple</b>(AAPL) will use its own 5G modem chip in 2023, instead of using Qualcomm’s chips. It is difficult to quantify how much revenue will Qualcomm lose from this, but certainly will be material and is a potential headwind for revenue and earnings growth in the medium term that investors should be aware of.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，正如我在之前的分析中强调的潜在风险，最近有更多传言称<b>苹果</b>（AAPL）将在2023年使用自己的5G调制解调器芯片，而不是使用高通的芯片。很难量化高通将因此损失多少收入，但肯定会很大，并且是投资者应该意识到的中期收入和盈利增长的潜在阻力。</blockquote></p><p> Nevertheless, the company has recently shown in its investor day that its business is well exposed to some secular growth trends, such as IoT or car and industrial connectivity powered by 5G. This bodes well for its growth prospects over the next few years, and also to smooth the impact of losing some business from Apple.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，该公司最近在投资者日上表明，该公司业务很好地暴露在一些长期增长趋势中，如物联网或汽车以及5G驱动的工业连接。这对其未来几年的增长前景是好兆头，同时也能缓解因苹果失去部分业务而产生的影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Investor Day</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资者日</b></blockquote></p><p> As I’ve discussed previously on Qualcomm, the company is well-positioned to benefit from secular growth trends of 5G and IoT, considering that it has adapted its product portfolio quite well in recent years for the expected higher demand for these wireless technologies over the next few years, beyond the mobile industry.</p><p><blockquote>正如我之前在高通上讨论的那样，考虑到该公司近年来已经很好地调整了其产品组合，以满足未来几年对这些无线技术的预期更高需求，该公司处于有利地位，可以从5G和物联网的长期增长趋势中受益。</blockquote></p><p> Its growth strategy has been to diversify its product offering so that it can offer solutions and products for more industries and different type of customers, namely in the automotive or the industrial sectors, increasing Qualcomm’s total addressable market and higher long-term growth prospects than relying too much on the mobile industry.</p><p><blockquote>其增长战略一直是使其产品供应多样化，以便能够为更多行业和不同类型的客户（即汽车或工业领域）提供解决方案和产品，增加高通的总目标市场和比依赖更高的长期增长前景过于依赖移动行业。</blockquote></p><p> The company has several technologies for mobile and connectivity that have great growth prospects due to the ongoing digital transformation, which is not expected to slow down in the future. Indeed, in its recent investor day, Qualcomm said that its total addressable market is expected to expand significantly over the next decade, from about $100 billion currently to some $700 billion by 2030. This is justified by the rising number of devices that are expected to be connected to the internet, generating a vast amount of data, being a strong tailwind for the company’s growth ahead.</p><p><blockquote>由于正在进行的数字化转型，该公司拥有多项移动和连接技术，这些技术具有巨大的增长前景，预计未来不会放缓。事实上，在最近的投资者日，高通表示，其潜在市场总额预计将在未来十年大幅扩大，从目前的约1000亿美元增加到2030年的约7000亿美元。这是因为预计连接到互联网的设备数量不断增加，产生大量数据，成为公司未来增长的强劲推动力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b9b8a9143bcaf8706b35feb39aac5ca\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"226\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Qualcomm.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：高通。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Qualcomm also discussed again its technologies spanning several end-markets beyond handsets, with IoT, automotive or virtual reality devices being, in my opinion, segments that are still relatively small for the company and have great growth prospects to become a sizable part of Qualcomm’s business in the next few years. For instance, Qualcomm targets annual revenues from IoT of around $9 billion by FY 2024, compared to $5 billion last year, while in Automotive it expects to grow from annual revenues of $1 billion last year to around $3.5 billion in five years.</p><p><blockquote>高通还再次讨论了其跨越手机以外的多个终端市场的技术，在我看来，物联网、汽车或虚拟现实设备对该公司来说仍然相对较小，但具有巨大的增长前景，将成为高通业务的重要组成部分。未来几年的业务。例如，高通的目标是到2024财年物联网年收入约为90亿美元，而去年为50亿美元，而在汽车领域，预计五年内年收入将从去年的10亿美元增长到约35亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ebe04cb81f8fa2aba439f6f5309780c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"218\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Qualcomm.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：高通。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In the mobile segment, Qualcomm also sees good long-term growth prospects due to 5G, with 5G handsets expected to gradually increase the weight in total shipments to about 85% by fiscal year 2024 and double from the total shipments delivered in the last year.</p><p><blockquote>在移动领域，高通也看到了5G带来的良好长期增长前景，预计到2024财年，5G手机在总出货量中的比重将逐渐增加至85%左右，比去年的总出货量翻一番。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/552a1a716059d719fc6e64b861f09a8d\" tg-width=\"602\" tg-height=\"465\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Qualcomm.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：高通。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Regarding its capital structure and shareholder remuneration policy, Qualcomm intends to maintain its policy of distributing a large part of its free cash flow to shareholders, both through a growing dividend and opportunistic share buybacks. As the company’s financial leverage is strong, measured by its net debt-to-EBITDA ratio below 0.5x at the end of FY 2021, it doesn’t need to retain much cash so I expect Qualcomm to distribute close to 100% of its free cash flow to shareholders over the next few years.</p><p><blockquote>关于其资本结构和股东薪酬政策，高通打算维持将大部分自由现金流分配给股东的政策，包括增加股息和机会主义股票回购。由于该公司的财务杠杆很强，以2021财年末净债务与EBITDA比率低于0.5倍来衡量，因此它不需要保留太多现金，因此我预计高通将分配近100%的自由现金流未来几年流向股东。</blockquote></p><p> However, this could change if the company pursues acquisitions, especially if it performs a large acquisition financed mainly by debt. That would increase the company’s financial leverage and, most likely, its strategy would then change towards reducing leverage in subsequent years until it reaches again a strong balance sheet as it has today.</p><p><blockquote>然而，如果该公司进行收购，特别是如果它进行主要通过债务融资的大型收购，这种情况可能会发生变化。这将增加该公司的财务杠杆，而且最有可能的是，其战略将在随后几年转向降低杠杆，直到再次达到像今天这样强劲的资产负债表。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Estimates &amp; Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估计和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Regarding medium-term&nbsp;estimates, Qualcomm’s revenues are expected to grow at about 7.3% per year, over the next four years, slowing down significantly compared to FY 2021. I think these are conservative estimates and there is upside potential for upward revisions over the coming months if operating momentum remains strong.</p><p><blockquote>关于中期预测，未来四年高通的收入预计将以每年约7.3%的速度增长，与2021财年相比大幅放缓。我认为这些都是保守的估计，如果运营势头保持强劲，未来几个月还有向上修正的潜力。</blockquote></p><p> For the fiscal year 2025, revenues are expected to be about $44 billion, which seems too much low considering that for FY 2022 revenues are expected to be around $40 billion. I’m more bullish than current consensus and see revenues of around $50 billion by FY 2025, expecting annual revenue growth of around 7-8% per year between FY 2023 and 2025, which I think is still quite conservative.</p><p><blockquote>2025财年的收入预计约为440亿美元，考虑到2022财年的收入预计约为400亿美元，这似乎太低了。我比目前的共识更乐观，预计到2025财年的收入将达到500亿美元左右，预计2023财年至2025财年的年收入增长约为7-8%，我认为这仍然相当保守。</blockquote></p><p> Its bottom-line is expected to increase to more than $14 billion in FY 2025 in my estimates, slightly above consensus because I’m expecting higher revenues, which implies an EPS of around $12 by FY 2025.</p><p><blockquote>根据我的估计，2025财年其净利润预计将增至140亿美元以上，略高于共识，因为我预计收入会更高，这意味着到2025财年每股收益约为12美元。</blockquote></p><p> Regarding valuation, my approach is to look into the next few years of revenues and earnings rather than just focus on this year or the next, to see if the stock has upside potential over a time frame of two to four years. Therefore, I use FY 2025 estimates to see if Qualcomm’s stock has upside potential over the medium term or not.</p><p><blockquote>关于估值，我的方法是关注未来几年的收入和盈利，而不仅仅是关注今年或明年，看看该股在两到四年内是否有上涨潜力。因此，我使用2025财年的预测来了解高通的股票在中期内是否有上涨潜力。</blockquote></p><p> Based on Qualcomm’s EPS estimate of $12 by FY 2025 and its historical valuation multiple over the past couple of years regarding its blended forward earnings (next 12 months) of 17.3x, my price target for Qualcomm by September 2024 is $207 per share.</p><p><blockquote>根据高通到2025财年的每股收益预期为12美元，以及过去几年混合预期收益（未来12个月）17.3倍的历史估值倍数，我对高通到2024年9月的目标价为每股207美元。</blockquote></p><p> This means that Qualcomm’s upside potential, based on these assumptions, is about 15% over the next three years, which is not impressive and show that a good part of its growth in the medium term is already reflected in its share price.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着，基于这些假设，高通未来三年的上涨潜力约为15%，这并不令人印象深刻，并表明其中期增长的很大一部分已经反映在其股价中。</blockquote></p><p> Note that over the past two years Qualcomm’s forward earnings multiple has been somewhat volatile, trading between 13-22x forward earnings. When I wrote my previous article on Qualcomm, its shares were trading at the bottom of this range and the stock was clearly a buy, while now is trading close to its historical value. This means that there is more upside potential over the medium term, as Qualcomm is clearly well-positioned to benefit from 5G, IoT, and industrial and automotive connectivity, thus a re-rating to higher multiples is possible in the next couple of years.</p><p><blockquote>请注意，过去两年高通的预期市盈率有些波动，预期市盈率在13-22倍之间。当我写上一篇关于高通的文章时，其股价处于该区间的底部，显然值得买入，而现在的交易价格接近其历史价值。这意味着中期内有更大的上涨潜力，因为高通显然处于有利地位，可以从5G、物联网以及工业和汽车连接中受益，因此未来几年有可能重新评级至更高的倍数。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb82ba4ac66c3ed8128484453fc4730c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"204\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Bloomberg.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：彭博。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Bottom Line</b></p><p><blockquote><b>底线</b></blockquote></p><p> Qualcomm’s operating momentum has improved markedly in recent quarters and growth prospects are good in the coming years, as the company’s product diversification strategy is making good progress and is expected to support growth in coming years.</p><p><blockquote>高通近几个季度的经营势头明显改善，未来几年的增长前景良好，因为该公司的产品多元化战略正在取得良好进展，预计将支持未来几年的增长。</blockquote></p><p> However, its stock has rapidly incorporated improved fundamentals with the company’s recent earnings and investor day, and now upside potential is more limited than it was a couple of months ago. Investors who are exposed to Qualcomm should ‘hold’ and buy more during potential pullbacks in the future.</p><p><blockquote>然而，其股票已迅速将基本面的改善与公司最近的盈利和投资者日结合起来，现在的上涨潜力比几个月前更加有限。投资高通的投资者应该“持有”并在未来潜在回调期间买入更多股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4471977-qualcomm-stock-strong-rally-now-hold\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"QCOM":"高通"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4471977-qualcomm-stock-strong-rally-now-hold","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1174337163","content_text":"Summary\n\nQualcomm is well-positioned to benefit from secular growth trends of 5G, IoT, and industrial and auto connectivity.\nIts recent operating performance has been quite good and momentum should remain strong in the next few quarters, even though growth is expected to moderate in the medium term.\nAfter a strong stock rally, the upside is now more limited and investors should buy more during potential pullbacks.\n\nG0d4ather/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nQUALCOMM(QCOM) has interesting growth prospects over the coming years supported from 5G, IoT and industrial and auto connectivity, but its share price performance has been quite strong over the past couple of months and Qualcomm is now a ‘hold’.\nBackground\nAbout two months ago, I have recommended Qualcomm as an interesting play in the 5G and Internet of Things (IoT) secular growth theme, even though there are some medium-term risks, such as competition from MediaTek(OTCPK:MDTKF) in the mobile segment and the possibility of losing Apple’s(AAPL) modem business.\nSince my article, Qualcomm’s share price has been on fire, up by more than 39% in about two months, supported by strong earnings and an upbeat investor day in the past week.\nSource: Seeking Alpha.\nAfter a strong run, I think it’s time to see if Qualcomm still offers value to investors if its shares are now expensive. In this article, I review its most recent earnings and investor day, plus I check if its valuation is still attractive or not, considering Qualcomm’s medium-term earnings expectations.\nRecent Earnings\nQualcomm has reported positive results regarding the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2021 (FY 2021 - for the year ended on September 26, 2021), at the beginning of this month. The company reported revenues 5% higher than expected related to Q4, while its bottom-line beat estimates by close to 13%.\nFor the full fiscal year, the company was able to beat targets set at its investor day in 2019 for revenue growth and margin expansion, boding well for growth ahead.\nIn FY 2021, Qualcomm’s revenues amounted to $33.56 billion (up by 43% YoY), while its operating income was close to $10.3 billion (+80% YoY). Its net income increased by 74% YoY to more than $9 billion, reaching a net profit margin of 26.9% (vs. 22.1% in FY 2020).\nSource: Qualcomm.\nQualcomm’s growth engine was the QCT segment (technologies), with revenue up by 64% YoY, while the licensing segment (QTL) reported 26% YoY revenue growth. In the QTL segment, Qualcomm’s growth was broad based, with radio filters and IoT being particularly strong.\nSource: Qualcomm.\nDespite the company’s diversification strategy, Qualcomm is still heavily exposed to the mobile market (handsets) which represented some 62% of its QTL revenues. However, this weight is expected to gradually decrease over the next few years, as other segments such as IoT should have higher growth rates over the medium to long term, given that handsets have benefitted cyclically from the rapid shift to 5G phones over the past year.\nI see these results as quite good and above my own expectations, with the company being able to report annual revenues in excess of $10 billion for RF, auto and IoT together, a great milestone for Qualcomm and more than doubled compared to FY 2019.\nThis clearly shows that Qualcomm’s diversification strategy is progressing well and execution has been positive, which increases confidence on future growth targets. Beyond that, the current chip shortage is also impacting Qualcomm’s business, like for everyone else in the industry, making its recent growth even more impressive.\nRegarding its shareholder remuneration policy, during the last fiscal year, Qualcomm has made close to $3.4 billion in stock repurchases and distributed dividends of $3 billion. Thus, its total capital return to shareholders amounted to $6.4 billion, which represented more than 70% of its bottom-line. However, its dividend yield is only about 1.5%, thus I see Qualcomm mainly as a ‘growth’ play, while income is not high enough to be a reason to buy Qualcomm’s shares.\nQualcomm’s outlook for the next quarter is also positive, with the company expecting more than $10 billion in revenues and diluted EPS in the range $2.53-2.73. Even though Qualcomm’s business has some seasonality, Q1 is usually a stronger quarter, this outlook implies annual revenues close to $40 billion, or up by 19% compared to the previous FY.\nThis is in-line with current street expectations, given that the current consensus is for FY 2022 revenues of $39.5 billion, showing that Qualcomm’s recent growth is not temporary.\nOn the other hand, as I’ve highlighted as a potential risk in my previous analysis, there were additional rumors recently thatApple(AAPL) will use its own 5G modem chip in 2023, instead of using Qualcomm’s chips. It is difficult to quantify how much revenue will Qualcomm lose from this, but certainly will be material and is a potential headwind for revenue and earnings growth in the medium term that investors should be aware of.\nNevertheless, the company has recently shown in its investor day that its business is well exposed to some secular growth trends, such as IoT or car and industrial connectivity powered by 5G. This bodes well for its growth prospects over the next few years, and also to smooth the impact of losing some business from Apple.\nInvestor Day\nAs I’ve discussed previously on Qualcomm, the company is well-positioned to benefit from secular growth trends of 5G and IoT, considering that it has adapted its product portfolio quite well in recent years for the expected higher demand for these wireless technologies over the next few years, beyond the mobile industry.\nIts growth strategy has been to diversify its product offering so that it can offer solutions and products for more industries and different type of customers, namely in the automotive or the industrial sectors, increasing Qualcomm’s total addressable market and higher long-term growth prospects than relying too much on the mobile industry.\nThe company has several technologies for mobile and connectivity that have great growth prospects due to the ongoing digital transformation, which is not expected to slow down in the future. Indeed, in its recent investor day, Qualcomm said that its total addressable market is expected to expand significantly over the next decade, from about $100 billion currently to some $700 billion by 2030. This is justified by the rising number of devices that are expected to be connected to the internet, generating a vast amount of data, being a strong tailwind for the company’s growth ahead.\nSource: Qualcomm.\nQualcomm also discussed again its technologies spanning several end-markets beyond handsets, with IoT, automotive or virtual reality devices being, in my opinion, segments that are still relatively small for the company and have great growth prospects to become a sizable part of Qualcomm’s business in the next few years. For instance, Qualcomm targets annual revenues from IoT of around $9 billion by FY 2024, compared to $5 billion last year, while in Automotive it expects to grow from annual revenues of $1 billion last year to around $3.5 billion in five years.\nSource: Qualcomm.\nIn the mobile segment, Qualcomm also sees good long-term growth prospects due to 5G, with 5G handsets expected to gradually increase the weight in total shipments to about 85% by fiscal year 2024 and double from the total shipments delivered in the last year.\nSource: Qualcomm.\nRegarding its capital structure and shareholder remuneration policy, Qualcomm intends to maintain its policy of distributing a large part of its free cash flow to shareholders, both through a growing dividend and opportunistic share buybacks. As the company’s financial leverage is strong, measured by its net debt-to-EBITDA ratio below 0.5x at the end of FY 2021, it doesn’t need to retain much cash so I expect Qualcomm to distribute close to 100% of its free cash flow to shareholders over the next few years.\nHowever, this could change if the company pursues acquisitions, especially if it performs a large acquisition financed mainly by debt. That would increase the company’s financial leverage and, most likely, its strategy would then change towards reducing leverage in subsequent years until it reaches again a strong balance sheet as it has today.\nEstimates & Valuation\nRegarding medium-term estimates, Qualcomm’s revenues are expected to grow at about 7.3% per year, over the next four years, slowing down significantly compared to FY 2021. I think these are conservative estimates and there is upside potential for upward revisions over the coming months if operating momentum remains strong.\nFor the fiscal year 2025, revenues are expected to be about $44 billion, which seems too much low considering that for FY 2022 revenues are expected to be around $40 billion. I’m more bullish than current consensus and see revenues of around $50 billion by FY 2025, expecting annual revenue growth of around 7-8% per year between FY 2023 and 2025, which I think is still quite conservative.\nIts bottom-line is expected to increase to more than $14 billion in FY 2025 in my estimates, slightly above consensus because I’m expecting higher revenues, which implies an EPS of around $12 by FY 2025.\nRegarding valuation, my approach is to look into the next few years of revenues and earnings rather than just focus on this year or the next, to see if the stock has upside potential over a time frame of two to four years. Therefore, I use FY 2025 estimates to see if Qualcomm’s stock has upside potential over the medium term or not.\nBased on Qualcomm’s EPS estimate of $12 by FY 2025 and its historical valuation multiple over the past couple of years regarding its blended forward earnings (next 12 months) of 17.3x, my price target for Qualcomm by September 2024 is $207 per share.\nThis means that Qualcomm’s upside potential, based on these assumptions, is about 15% over the next three years, which is not impressive and show that a good part of its growth in the medium term is already reflected in its share price.\nNote that over the past two years Qualcomm’s forward earnings multiple has been somewhat volatile, trading between 13-22x forward earnings. When I wrote my previous article on Qualcomm, its shares were trading at the bottom of this range and the stock was clearly a buy, while now is trading close to its historical value. This means that there is more upside potential over the medium term, as Qualcomm is clearly well-positioned to benefit from 5G, IoT, and industrial and automotive connectivity, thus a re-rating to higher multiples is possible in the next couple of years.\nSource: Bloomberg.\nBottom Line\nQualcomm’s operating momentum has improved markedly in recent quarters and growth prospects are good in the coming years, as the company’s product diversification strategy is making good progress and is expected to support growth in coming years.\nHowever, its stock has rapidly incorporated improved fundamentals with the company’s recent earnings and investor day, and now upside potential is more limited than it was a couple of months ago. Investors who are exposed to Qualcomm should ‘hold’ and buy more during potential pullbacks in the future.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"QCOM":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3385,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":867441202,"gmtCreate":1633310732421,"gmtModify":1633310732856,"author":{"id":"3574934794715748","authorId":"3574934794715748","name":"Medini13","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c405cab753c37ca8069a09a8847ddc1","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574934794715748","idStr":"3574934794715748"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/867441202","repostId":"2172896395","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2291,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":864799853,"gmtCreate":1633145014111,"gmtModify":1633145014402,"author":{"id":"3574934794715748","authorId":"3574934794715748","name":"Medini13","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c405cab753c37ca8069a09a8847ddc1","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574934794715748","idStr":"3574934794715748"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/864799853","repostId":"2172963995","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3703,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":864968029,"gmtCreate":1633049760083,"gmtModify":1633049760361,"author":{"id":"3574934794715748","authorId":"3574934794715748","name":"Medini13","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c405cab753c37ca8069a09a8847ddc1","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574934794715748","idStr":"3574934794715748"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/864968029","repostId":"1124647688","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1124647688","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1633048079,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1124647688?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-10-01 08:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Professor who called Dow 20,000 says he’s nervous about trends in inflation that could spark a stock-market correction<blockquote>称道琼斯指数为20,000点的教授表示，他对通胀趋势感到紧张，通胀趋势可能引发股市调整</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1124647688","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Jeremy Siegel, professor of finance at the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School of Business, ","content":"<p>Jeremy Siegel, professor of finance at the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School of Business, on Wednesday said that a fresh surge in inflation is making him nervous and warned that accelerating pricing pressures could compel the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates at a faster clip than currently anticipated, which could deliver a correction to equity benchmarks.</p><p><blockquote>宾夕法尼亚大学沃顿商学院金融学教授杰里米·西格尔周三表示，通胀的新一轮飙升让他感到紧张，并警告称，加速的定价压力可能会迫使美联储以比目前更快的速度加息。预期，这可能会对股票基准进行修正。</blockquote></p><p> The Wharton professorcredited with calling Dow 20,000&nbsp;in 2015 told CNBC during a Wednesday interview that he is “nervous about the trends I see in inflation currently.”</p><p><blockquote>这位被誉为2015年道琼斯指数20,000点的沃顿商学院教授在周三接受CNBC采访时表示，他“对我目前看到的通胀趋势感到紧张”。</blockquote></p><p> The academic’s comments came as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Wednesday said a bout of high U.S. inflation could be prolonged into early next year because parts and material shortages might be getting worse.</p><p><blockquote>这位学者发表上述言论之际，美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔周三表示，由于零部件和材料短缺可能会恶化，美国的高通胀可能会持续到明年初。</blockquote></p><p> Parts of the financial market are undergoing big price surges, including natural-gas futuresNG00,+1.81%,whichsurged 11% on Monday,reaching levels not seen since 2014 amid tight U.S. supplies and strengthening demand across the globe.</p><p><blockquote>部分金融市场价格正在经历大幅飙升，其中天然气期货NG00,+1.81%，周一飙升11%，达到2014年以来的最高水平，原因是美国供应紧张和全球需求走强。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Read:</b>Inflation in the U.S. is running at the highest level in 30 years</p><p><blockquote><b>阅读：</b>美国通胀处于30年来最高水平</blockquote></p><p> <b>Also:</b>Fed’s Williams predicts the high rate of inflation will cool to 2% in 2022</p><p><blockquote><b>所以：</b>美联储威廉姆斯预计2022年高通胀率将降温至2%</blockquote></p><p> “It’s frustrating to see the supply-chain problems not getting better, in fact they are probably getting worse,” Powell said during a virtual forum with other central bank leaders, including those from the European Central Bank. “It’s very difficult to say how big the effects will be in the meantime and how long they will last.”</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔在与包括欧洲央行领导人在内的其他央行领导人举行的虚拟论坛上表示：“看到供应链问题没有好转令人沮丧，事实上它们可能会变得更糟。”“很难说在此期间的影响会有多大以及会持续多久。”</blockquote></p><p> The rate of inflation in the U.S., using the Fed’s preferred personal-consumption expenditures price index, rose at a 4.2% pace in the 12 months ended in July. That is the fastest increase in 30 years. Inflation is running even hotter based on the better-known consumer-price index, a measure of the average prices paid by consumers for a common basket of goods and services that serves as a barometer of economic health.</p><p><blockquote>使用美联储首选的个人消费支出价格指数，美国通胀率在截至7月份的12个月中以4.2%的速度上升。这是30年来最快的增长。根据更为人所知的消费者价格指数，通胀甚至更高，该指数衡量消费者为一篮子常见商品和服务支付的平均价格，是经济健康状况的晴雨表。</blockquote></p><p> Powell and others at the Fed have contended for months that the surge in inflation was “transitory.”</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔和美联储其他人几个月来一直辩称，通胀飙升是“暂时的”。</blockquote></p><p> However, that view is starting to shift and investors are starting to factor in more persistent inflation than previously thought,analysts say.</p><p><blockquote>然而，分析师表示，这种观点正在开始转变，投资者开始考虑比之前想象的更持久的通胀。</blockquote></p><p> Siegel said the anticipated timeline that the Fed will start tapering in November and end it the middle of 2022, with an eye toward starting to raise interest rates sometime next year, is a fair timetable, but he but fears that the surge in inflation could hasten moves, which would drive yields higher and stocks lower.</p><p><blockquote>西格尔表示，美联储将于11月开始缩减规模，并于2022年年中结束，着眼于明年某个时候开始加息，这是一个公平的时间表，但他担心通胀飙升可能会加速举措，这将推动收益率上升和股市下跌。</blockquote></p><p> On Wednesday, the S&amp;P 500 indexSPX,-1.19%ended higher but was still down 3.9% from its Sept. 2 record close, and the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-1.59%was off 3.5% from its Aug. 16 record high, following marginal gains on the session. The technology-laden Nasdaq Composite IndexCOMP,-0.44%is down 5.6% from its Sept. 7 closing peak after finishing lower on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>周三，标普500指数SPX,-1.19%收高，但仍较9月2日创纪录收盘价下跌3.9%，道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA,-1.59%较8月16日创纪录高点下跌3.5%。盘中小幅上涨。科技含量高的纳斯达克综合指数COMP,-0.44%在周三收低后，较9月7日收盘峰值下跌5.6%。</blockquote></p><p> A correction in an asset is usually defined by market technicians as a fall of at least 10%, but no more than 20%, from a recent peak.</p><p><blockquote>市场技术人员通常将资产的回调定义为较近期峰值下跌至少10%，但不超过20%。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, the benchmark 10-year Treasury noteTMUBMUSD10Y,1.504%,used to price everything from car loans to mortgages, yielded 1.54%, up from 1.534% on Tuesday. The note is up nearly 10 basis points so far this quarter and up 23.7 basis points in September alone, according data compiled by Dow Jones Market Data.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，用于为从汽车贷款到抵押贷款等各种产品定价的基准10年期国债TMUBMUSD10Y，1.504%，收益率为1.54%，高于周二的1.534%。根据道琼斯市场数据汇编的数据，该票据本季度迄今已上涨近10个基点，仅9月份就上涨了23.7个基点。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"market_watch","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Professor who called Dow 20,000 says he’s nervous about trends in inflation that could spark a stock-market correction<blockquote>称道琼斯指数为20,000点的教授表示，他对通胀趋势感到紧张，通胀趋势可能引发股市调整</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nProfessor who called Dow 20,000 says he’s nervous about trends in inflation that could spark a stock-market correction<blockquote>称道琼斯指数为20,000点的教授表示，他对通胀趋势感到紧张，通胀趋势可能引发股市调整</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-10-01 08:27</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Jeremy Siegel, professor of finance at the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School of Business, on Wednesday said that a fresh surge in inflation is making him nervous and warned that accelerating pricing pressures could compel the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates at a faster clip than currently anticipated, which could deliver a correction to equity benchmarks.</p><p><blockquote>宾夕法尼亚大学沃顿商学院金融学教授杰里米·西格尔周三表示，通胀的新一轮飙升让他感到紧张，并警告称，加速的定价压力可能会迫使美联储以比目前更快的速度加息。预期，这可能会对股票基准进行修正。</blockquote></p><p> The Wharton professorcredited with calling Dow 20,000&nbsp;in 2015 told CNBC during a Wednesday interview that he is “nervous about the trends I see in inflation currently.”</p><p><blockquote>这位被誉为2015年道琼斯指数20,000点的沃顿商学院教授在周三接受CNBC采访时表示，他“对我目前看到的通胀趋势感到紧张”。</blockquote></p><p> The academic’s comments came as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Wednesday said a bout of high U.S. inflation could be prolonged into early next year because parts and material shortages might be getting worse.</p><p><blockquote>这位学者发表上述言论之际，美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔周三表示，由于零部件和材料短缺可能会恶化，美国的高通胀可能会持续到明年初。</blockquote></p><p> Parts of the financial market are undergoing big price surges, including natural-gas futuresNG00,+1.81%,whichsurged 11% on Monday,reaching levels not seen since 2014 amid tight U.S. supplies and strengthening demand across the globe.</p><p><blockquote>部分金融市场价格正在经历大幅飙升，其中天然气期货NG00,+1.81%，周一飙升11%，达到2014年以来的最高水平，原因是美国供应紧张和全球需求走强。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Read:</b>Inflation in the U.S. is running at the highest level in 30 years</p><p><blockquote><b>阅读：</b>美国通胀处于30年来最高水平</blockquote></p><p> <b>Also:</b>Fed’s Williams predicts the high rate of inflation will cool to 2% in 2022</p><p><blockquote><b>所以：</b>美联储威廉姆斯预计2022年高通胀率将降温至2%</blockquote></p><p> “It’s frustrating to see the supply-chain problems not getting better, in fact they are probably getting worse,” Powell said during a virtual forum with other central bank leaders, including those from the European Central Bank. “It’s very difficult to say how big the effects will be in the meantime and how long they will last.”</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔在与包括欧洲央行领导人在内的其他央行领导人举行的虚拟论坛上表示：“看到供应链问题没有好转令人沮丧，事实上它们可能会变得更糟。”“很难说在此期间的影响会有多大以及会持续多久。”</blockquote></p><p> The rate of inflation in the U.S., using the Fed’s preferred personal-consumption expenditures price index, rose at a 4.2% pace in the 12 months ended in July. That is the fastest increase in 30 years. Inflation is running even hotter based on the better-known consumer-price index, a measure of the average prices paid by consumers for a common basket of goods and services that serves as a barometer of economic health.</p><p><blockquote>使用美联储首选的个人消费支出价格指数，美国通胀率在截至7月份的12个月中以4.2%的速度上升。这是30年来最快的增长。根据更为人所知的消费者价格指数，通胀甚至更高，该指数衡量消费者为一篮子常见商品和服务支付的平均价格，是经济健康状况的晴雨表。</blockquote></p><p> Powell and others at the Fed have contended for months that the surge in inflation was “transitory.”</p><p><blockquote>鲍威尔和美联储其他人几个月来一直辩称，通胀飙升是“暂时的”。</blockquote></p><p> However, that view is starting to shift and investors are starting to factor in more persistent inflation than previously thought,analysts say.</p><p><blockquote>然而，分析师表示，这种观点正在开始转变，投资者开始考虑比之前想象的更持久的通胀。</blockquote></p><p> Siegel said the anticipated timeline that the Fed will start tapering in November and end it the middle of 2022, with an eye toward starting to raise interest rates sometime next year, is a fair timetable, but he but fears that the surge in inflation could hasten moves, which would drive yields higher and stocks lower.</p><p><blockquote>西格尔表示，美联储将于11月开始缩减规模，并于2022年年中结束，着眼于明年某个时候开始加息，这是一个公平的时间表，但他担心通胀飙升可能会加速举措，这将推动收益率上升和股市下跌。</blockquote></p><p> On Wednesday, the S&amp;P 500 indexSPX,-1.19%ended higher but was still down 3.9% from its Sept. 2 record close, and the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-1.59%was off 3.5% from its Aug. 16 record high, following marginal gains on the session. The technology-laden Nasdaq Composite IndexCOMP,-0.44%is down 5.6% from its Sept. 7 closing peak after finishing lower on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>周三，标普500指数SPX,-1.19%收高，但仍较9月2日创纪录收盘价下跌3.9%，道琼斯工业平均指数DJIA,-1.59%较8月16日创纪录高点下跌3.5%。盘中小幅上涨。科技含量高的纳斯达克综合指数COMP,-0.44%在周三收低后，较9月7日收盘峰值下跌5.6%。</blockquote></p><p> A correction in an asset is usually defined by market technicians as a fall of at least 10%, but no more than 20%, from a recent peak.</p><p><blockquote>市场技术人员通常将资产的回调定义为较近期峰值下跌至少10%，但不超过20%。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, the benchmark 10-year Treasury noteTMUBMUSD10Y,1.504%,used to price everything from car loans to mortgages, yielded 1.54%, up from 1.534% on Tuesday. The note is up nearly 10 basis points so far this quarter and up 23.7 basis points in September alone, according data compiled by Dow Jones Market Data.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时，用于为从汽车贷款到抵押贷款等各种产品定价的基准10年期国债TMUBMUSD10Y，1.504%，收益率为1.54%，高于周二的1.534%。根据道琼斯市场数据汇编的数据，该票据本季度迄今已上涨近10个基点，仅9月份就上涨了23.7个基点。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/professor-who-called-dow-20-000-says-hes-nervous-about-trends-in-inflation-that-could-spark-a-stock-market-correction-11632949212?siteid=yhoof2\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/professor-who-called-dow-20-000-says-hes-nervous-about-trends-in-inflation-that-could-spark-a-stock-market-correction-11632949212?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/599a65733b8245fcf7868668ef9ad712","article_id":"1124647688","content_text":"Jeremy Siegel, professor of finance at the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School of Business, on Wednesday said that a fresh surge in inflation is making him nervous and warned that accelerating pricing pressures could compel the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates at a faster clip than currently anticipated, which could deliver a correction to equity benchmarks.\nThe Wharton professorcredited with calling Dow 20,000 in 2015 told CNBC during a Wednesday interview that he is “nervous about the trends I see in inflation currently.”\nThe academic’s comments came as Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Wednesday said a bout of high U.S. inflation could be prolonged into early next year because parts and material shortages might be getting worse.\nParts of the financial market are undergoing big price surges, including natural-gas futuresNG00,+1.81%,whichsurged 11% on Monday,reaching levels not seen since 2014 amid tight U.S. supplies and strengthening demand across the globe.\nRead:Inflation in the U.S. is running at the highest level in 30 years\nAlso:Fed’s Williams predicts the high rate of inflation will cool to 2% in 2022\n“It’s frustrating to see the supply-chain problems not getting better, in fact they are probably getting worse,” Powell said during a virtual forum with other central bank leaders, including those from the European Central Bank. “It’s very difficult to say how big the effects will be in the meantime and how long they will last.”\nThe rate of inflation in the U.S., using the Fed’s preferred personal-consumption expenditures price index, rose at a 4.2% pace in the 12 months ended in July. That is the fastest increase in 30 years. Inflation is running even hotter based on the better-known consumer-price index, a measure of the average prices paid by consumers for a common basket of goods and services that serves as a barometer of economic health.\nPowell and others at the Fed have contended for months that the surge in inflation was “transitory.”\nHowever, that view is starting to shift and investors are starting to factor in more persistent inflation than previously thought,analysts say.\nSiegel said the anticipated timeline that the Fed will start tapering in November and end it the middle of 2022, with an eye toward starting to raise interest rates sometime next year, is a fair timetable, but he but fears that the surge in inflation could hasten moves, which would drive yields higher and stocks lower.\nOn Wednesday, the S&P 500 indexSPX,-1.19%ended higher but was still down 3.9% from its Sept. 2 record close, and the Dow Jones Industrial AverageDJIA,-1.59%was off 3.5% from its Aug. 16 record high, following marginal gains on the session. The technology-laden Nasdaq Composite IndexCOMP,-0.44%is down 5.6% from its Sept. 7 closing peak after finishing lower on Wednesday.\nA correction in an asset is usually defined by market technicians as a fall of at least 10%, but no more than 20%, from a recent peak.\nMeanwhile, the benchmark 10-year Treasury noteTMUBMUSD10Y,1.504%,used to price everything from car loans to mortgages, yielded 1.54%, up from 1.534% on Tuesday. The note is up nearly 10 basis points so far this quarter and up 23.7 basis points in September alone, according data compiled by Dow Jones Market Data.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2868,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":865185499,"gmtCreate":1632961276663,"gmtModify":1632961276977,"author":{"id":"3574934794715748","authorId":"3574934794715748","name":"Medini13","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c405cab753c37ca8069a09a8847ddc1","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574934794715748","idStr":"3574934794715748"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/865185499","repostId":"2171300933","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3195,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":862583658,"gmtCreate":1632890212229,"gmtModify":1632890212498,"author":{"id":"3574934794715748","authorId":"3574934794715748","name":"Medini13","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c405cab753c37ca8069a09a8847ddc1","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574934794715748","idStr":"3574934794715748"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/862583658","repostId":"1198528044","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1198528044","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632882697,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1198528044?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-29 10:31","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Technically Speaking: Is The Market \"Melting-Up?\"<blockquote>从技术上讲：市场正在“融化”吗？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1198528044","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nGiven the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protect","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Given the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protection from a decline.</li>  <li>As is always the case, the investing public believes future earnings will justify higher prices during a melt-up. It just never works out that way.</li>  <li>While it is essential to take advantage of the melt-up while it lasts, just don’t become overly complacent “this time is different”.</li> </ul> Is the<i>“market melting-up?”</i>Such was the question I received from my colleague at<i>Cut The Crap Investing.</i>It is an excellent question given the relentless increase in what investors believe is a<i>“no risk”</i>market.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>鉴于美联储正在进行的资产负债表操作，投资者完全相信他们有能力免受经济衰退的影响。</li><li>与往常一样，投资大众相信未来的收益将证明在融化期间价格上涨是合理的。从来都不是那样的。</li><li>虽然在融化持续期间利用它是至关重要的，但不要过于自满“这次不同了”。</li></ul>是<i>“市场融化？”</i>这是我从我的同事那里收到的问题<i>少废话投资。</i>考虑到投资者认为的持续增长，这是一个很好的问题<i>“没有风险”</i>市场。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, we need a definition of precisely what constitutes a melt-up.</p><p><blockquote>当然，我们需要一个准确定义什么是融化。</blockquote></p><p>   <i>“A melt-up is a sustained and often unexpected improvement in the investment performance of an asset or asset class, driven partly</i>  <i><b>by a stampede of investors who don’t want to miss out on its rise,</b></i>  <i>rather than by fundamental improvements in the economy.“</i>–  <i>Investopedia</i>  Currently, there is sufficient evidence to support the idea of an exuberant market.<b><i>As noted previously:</i></b></p><p><blockquote><i>他说：“熔断是指一项资产或资产类别的投资表现持续且往往出乎意料的改善，部分原因是</i><i><b>不想错过其上涨机会的投资者蜂拥而至，</b></i><i>而不是经济的根本改善。”</i>–<i>投资百科</i>目前，有足够的证据支持市场繁荣的观点。<b><i>如前所述：</i></b></blockquote></p><p>   <i>“Near peaks of market cycles, investors become swept up by the underlying exuberance. That exuberance breeds the “rationalization” that “this time is different.” So how do you know the market is exuberant currently? Via Sentiment Trader:”</i>    <i>‘This type of market activity is an indication that markets have returned their ‘enthusiasm’ stage. Such is characterized by:’</i>  <ul>  <li><b><i>High optimism</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Easy credit (too easy, with loose terms)</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>A rush of initial and secondary offerings</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Risky stocks outperforming</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Stretched valuations</i></b></li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff8de3a84084162ca86b415584bbf793\" tg-width=\"731\" tg-height=\"468\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote><i>“在市场周期接近顶峰时，投资者会被潜在的繁荣所席卷。这种繁荣滋生了“合理化”，即“这次不同了”。那么，你如何知道市场目前是繁荣的呢？通过情绪交易者：”</i><i>这种类型的市场活动表明市场已经回到了“热情”阶段。其特征在于：</i><ul><li><b><i>高度乐观</i></b></li><li><b><i>宽松信贷（太宽松，条款宽松）</i></b></li><li><b><i>首次和二次发行热潮</i></b></li><li><b><i>风险股跑赢大盘</i></b></li><li><b><i>估值过高</i></b></li></ul></blockquote></p><p> However, while one would expect individuals to exhibit caution in such an environment, the opposite is true. Given the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protection from a decline.</p><p><blockquote>然而，虽然人们会期望个人在这样的环境中表现出谨慎，但事实恰恰相反。鉴于美联储正在进行的资产负债表操作，投资者完全相信他们有能力免受经济衰退的影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Visualization Of A Market Melting-Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场融化的可视化</b></blockquote></p><p> It is often easier to visualize something rather than explain it.<b>Since 1900, only two previous market periods qualify as a melt-up: 1920-1929 and 1995-2000.</b>The chart below shows both periods in terms of price.</p><p><blockquote>想象某事通常比解释它更容易。<b>自1900年以来，只有两个市场时期符合熔化的条件：1920-1929年和1995-2000年。</b>下图显示了这两个时期的价格。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a218c7efe2ebd874d05c9ff7dd564436\" tg-width=\"797\" tg-height=\"437\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f193c9c32d55747bf7ff511c2f9fd53\" tg-width=\"793\" tg-height=\"439\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> However, the melt-up is also visually represented by the incredibly sharp rise in valuations. Such is essential because earnings are not rising at a fast enough clip to support higher prices.<b>As is always the case, the investing public believes future earnings will justify higher prices during a melt-up. It just never works out that way.</b></p><p><blockquote>然而，估值的大幅上涨也直观地体现了这种融化。这一点至关重要，因为盈利增长速度不足以支撑价格上涨。<b>与往常一样，投资大众相信未来的收益将证明在融化期间价格上涨是合理的。从来都不是那样的。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c69e418d5a19d6fd03b305ab111e3be3\" tg-width=\"794\" tg-height=\"440\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af03d3bbd071b8edfdf3a19e2c7b0bcd\" tg-width=\"796\" tg-height=\"437\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> We can compare those two previous periods with the current advance from the March 2020 lows. Again, we see a very similar sharp advance in price combined with a surge in valuations. As expected, investors are currently hoping that future earnings will rise sharply enough to justify current prices. However, the justification for paying high prices is the Federal Reserve’s ongoing balance sheet expansion.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以将前两个时期与当前从2020年3月低点的上涨进行比较。我们再次看到非常相似的价格大幅上涨和估值飙升。正如预期的那样，投资者目前希望未来收益将大幅上涨，足以证明当前价格的合理性。然而，支付高价的理由是美联储持续的资产负债表扩张。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3562aea27b24ad4921d0f5cd497e072\" tg-width=\"804\" tg-height=\"444\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The following chart looks that the price advance and valuation measures a little differently. It shows the current deviation from the long-term exponential growth trend. Not surprisingly, during a market<i>“melt-up,”</i>there is a rapid deviation from the growth trend matching the acceleration in valuations.</p><p><blockquote>下图显示，价格上涨和估值指标略有不同。它显示了当前与长期指数增长趋势的背离。毫不奇怪，在市场期间<i>“融化。”</i>与估值加速相匹配的增长趋势出现了快速背离。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1419cf4b2afdcdc0f61e0cad862f498d\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"460\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The problem with market<i>“melt-ups”</i>is not the melt-up itself but what always follows.</p><p><blockquote>市场的问题<i>“融化”</i>不是融化本身，而是随之而来的一切。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Melting-Up Leads To Melting-Down</b></p><p><blockquote><b>熔化导致熔化</b></blockquote></p><p> A market melting-up is exciting while it lasts. During melt-ups, investors begin to rationalize why<i>“this time is different.”</i>They start taking on excess leverage to try and capitalize on the rapid advance in prices, and fundamentals take a back seat to price momentum.</p><p><blockquote>市场融化持续下去是令人兴奋的。在熔断期间，投资者开始合理化原因<i>“这次不一样。”</i>他们开始过度杠杆，试图利用价格的快速上涨，基本面让位于价格动能。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Market melt-ups are all about<i>“psychology.”</i><b>Historically, whatever has been the catalyst to spark the disregard of risk is readily witnessed in the corresponding surge in price and valuations.</b>The chart below shows the long-term deviations in relative strength, deviations, and valuations. The previous<i>‘melt-up”</i>periods should be easy to spot when compared with the advance currently.</p><p><blockquote>市场融化都是关于<i>“心理学。”</i><b>从历史上看，无论引发忽视风险的催化剂是什么，都很容易在价格和估值的相应飙升中看到。</b>下图显示了相对强度、偏差和估值的长期偏差。上一篇<i>“融化”</i>与目前的进展相比，时期应该很容易发现。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bc04cb25c0199dd17475a551a5dd7ec1\" tg-width=\"869\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Given that current extensions match only a few rare periods in history, a couple of points should be readily apparent.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于目前的延期仅与历史上少数罕见的时期相匹配，有几点应该是显而易见的。</blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li><b><i>Melt-ups can longer than logic would predict.</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>The prevailing psychology is always “this time is different.”</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Valuations are dismissed in exchange for measures of momentum and forward expectations.</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Investors take on excess leverage and risk in order to participate in a seemingly “can’t lose” market.</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Lastly, and inevitably, “melt-ups” end and always in the worst possible outcomes.</i></b></li> </ol> It is essential to recognize the markets are in a<i>“melt-up,</i>” and the duration of that event is unknowable. Therefore, investors need a strategy to participate in the advance and mitigate the damage from the eventual<i>“melting-down.”</i></p><p><blockquote><ol><li><b><i>融化的时间可能比逻辑预测的要长。</i></b></li><li><b><i>普遍的心理总是“这次不一样了”。</i></b></li><li><b><i>估值被驳回，以换取动量和前瞻性预期的衡量标准。</i></b></li><li><b><i>投资者为了参与一个看似“输不起”的市场，承担了过多的杠杆和风险。</i></b></li><li><b><i>最后，不可避免的是，“融化”以最糟糕的结果告终。</i></b></li></ol>必须认识到市场正处于<i>“融化，</i>“而且该事件的持续时间是未知的。因此，投资者需要一种策略来参与提前并减轻最终的损失<i>“熔化。”</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Surviving The Melt-Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>在融化中幸存下来</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>As noted, none of this means the next</b><b><i>“bear market”</i></b><b>is lurking.</b>Given that a market melting-up is a function of psychology, they can last longer and go further than logic would predict. What is required to “<i>end”</i>a melt-up is an unanticipated exogenous event that changes psychology from bullish to bearish. Such is when the stampede for the exits occurs, and prices decline very quickly.</p><p><blockquote><b>如上所述，这些都不意味着下一个</b><b><i>“熊市”</i></b><b>正在潜伏。</b>鉴于市场融化是心理作用，它们可以持续更长时间，走得比逻辑预测的更远。需要什么“<i>结束“</i>融化是一种意想不到的外生事件，它将心理从看涨转变为看跌。这就是人们蜂拥退出的时候，价格会迅速下跌。</blockquote></p><p> As such, investors need a set of guidelines to participate in the market advance. But, of course, the hard part is keeping those gains when corrections inevitably occur.</p><p><blockquote>因此，投资者需要一套指导方针来参与市场上涨。但是，当然，困难的部分是在不可避免地发生调整时保持这些收益。</blockquote></p><p> As portfolio managers for our clients, such is precisely the approach we must take. Accordingly, I have provided a general overview of the process that we employ.</p><p><blockquote>作为客户的投资组合经理，这正是我们必须采取的方法。因此，我提供了我们采用的流程的总体概述。</blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li><i><b>Tighten up stop-loss levels</b></i><i>to current support levels for each position.(Provides identifiable exit points when the market reverses.)</i></li>  <li><i><b>Hedge portfolios</b></i><i>against major market declines.(Non-correlated assets, short-market positions, index put options)</i></li>  <li><i><b>Take profits</b></i><i>in positions that have been big winners(Rebalancing overbought or extended positions to capture gains but continue to participate in the advance.)</i></li>  <li><i><b>Sell laggards</b></i><i>and losers</i>.<i>(If something isn’t working in a market melt-up, it most likely won’t work during a broad decline. Better to eliminate the risk early.)</i></li>  <li><i><b>Raise cash</b></i><i>and rebalance portfolios to target weightings.(Rebalancing risk on a regular basis keeps hidden risks somewhat mitigated.)</i></li> </ol> <b>Notice, nothing in there says,</b><b><i>“sell everything and go to cash.”</i></b></p><p><blockquote><ol><li><i><b>收紧止损水平</b></i><i>每个头寸的当前支撑位。（当市场反转时提供可识别的退出点。）</i></li><li><i><b>对冲投资组合</b></i><i>（非相关资产、空头市场头寸、指数看跌期权）</i></li><li><i><b>获利了结</b></i><i>在已经成为大赢家的头寸中（重新平衡超买或扩展头寸以获取收益，但继续参与上涨。）</i></li><li><i><b>出售落后者</b></i><i>和失败者</i>.<i>（如果某些东西在市场融化时不起作用，那么在广泛下跌时很可能也不会起作用。最好尽早消除风险。）</i></li><li><i><b>筹集现金</b></i><i>并重新平衡投资组合以达到目标权重。（定期重新平衡风险可以在一定程度上减轻隐藏的风险。）</i></li></ol><b>注意，里面没有任何东西说，</b><b><i>“卖掉所有东西，去兑现。”</i></b></blockquote></p><p> There will be a time to raise significant levels of cash. A good portfolio management strategy will automatically ensure that<i>“stop-loss”</i>levels get triggered, exposure decreases, and cash levels rise when the selling begins.</p><p><blockquote>将会有一段时间来筹集大量现金。一个好的投资组合管理策略会自动确保<i>“止损”</i>当出售开始时，水平被触发，风险减少，现金水平上升。</blockquote></p><p> While it is essential to take advantage of the melt-up while it lasts, just don’t become overly complacent<i>“this time is different.”</i></p><p><blockquote>虽然有必要在融化持续期间利用它，但不要过于自满<i>“这次不一样。”</i></blockquote></p><p> It likely isn’t.</p><p><blockquote>很可能不是。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Technically Speaking: Is The Market \"Melting-Up?\"<blockquote>从技术上讲：市场正在“融化”吗？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTechnically Speaking: Is The Market \"Melting-Up?\"<blockquote>从技术上讲：市场正在“融化”吗？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-29 10:31</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Given the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protection from a decline.</li>  <li>As is always the case, the investing public believes future earnings will justify higher prices during a melt-up. It just never works out that way.</li>  <li>While it is essential to take advantage of the melt-up while it lasts, just don’t become overly complacent “this time is different”.</li> </ul> Is the<i>“market melting-up?”</i>Such was the question I received from my colleague at<i>Cut The Crap Investing.</i>It is an excellent question given the relentless increase in what investors believe is a<i>“no risk”</i>market.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>鉴于美联储正在进行的资产负债表操作，投资者完全相信他们有能力免受经济衰退的影响。</li><li>与往常一样，投资大众相信未来的收益将证明在融化期间价格上涨是合理的。从来都不是那样的。</li><li>虽然在融化持续期间利用它是至关重要的，但不要过于自满“这次不同了”。</li></ul>是<i>“市场融化？”</i>这是我从我的同事那里收到的问题<i>少废话投资。</i>考虑到投资者认为的持续增长，这是一个很好的问题<i>“没有风险”</i>市场。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, we need a definition of precisely what constitutes a melt-up.</p><p><blockquote>当然，我们需要一个准确定义什么是融化。</blockquote></p><p>   <i>“A melt-up is a sustained and often unexpected improvement in the investment performance of an asset or asset class, driven partly</i>  <i><b>by a stampede of investors who don’t want to miss out on its rise,</b></i>  <i>rather than by fundamental improvements in the economy.“</i>–  <i>Investopedia</i>  Currently, there is sufficient evidence to support the idea of an exuberant market.<b><i>As noted previously:</i></b></p><p><blockquote><i>他说：“熔断是指一项资产或资产类别的投资表现持续且往往出乎意料的改善，部分原因是</i><i><b>不想错过其上涨机会的投资者蜂拥而至，</b></i><i>而不是经济的根本改善。”</i>–<i>投资百科</i>目前，有足够的证据支持市场繁荣的观点。<b><i>如前所述：</i></b></blockquote></p><p>   <i>“Near peaks of market cycles, investors become swept up by the underlying exuberance. That exuberance breeds the “rationalization” that “this time is different.” So how do you know the market is exuberant currently? Via Sentiment Trader:”</i>    <i>‘This type of market activity is an indication that markets have returned their ‘enthusiasm’ stage. Such is characterized by:’</i>  <ul>  <li><b><i>High optimism</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Easy credit (too easy, with loose terms)</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>A rush of initial and secondary offerings</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Risky stocks outperforming</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Stretched valuations</i></b></li> </ul> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ff8de3a84084162ca86b415584bbf793\" tg-width=\"731\" tg-height=\"468\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote><i>“在市场周期接近顶峰时，投资者会被潜在的繁荣所席卷。这种繁荣滋生了“合理化”，即“这次不同了”。那么，你如何知道市场目前是繁荣的呢？通过情绪交易者：”</i><i>这种类型的市场活动表明市场已经回到了“热情”阶段。其特征在于：</i><ul><li><b><i>高度乐观</i></b></li><li><b><i>宽松信贷（太宽松，条款宽松）</i></b></li><li><b><i>首次和二次发行热潮</i></b></li><li><b><i>风险股跑赢大盘</i></b></li><li><b><i>估值过高</i></b></li></ul></blockquote></p><p> However, while one would expect individuals to exhibit caution in such an environment, the opposite is true. Given the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protection from a decline.</p><p><blockquote>然而，虽然人们会期望个人在这样的环境中表现出谨慎，但事实恰恰相反。鉴于美联储正在进行的资产负债表操作，投资者完全相信他们有能力免受经济衰退的影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>A Visualization Of A Market Melting-Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>市场融化的可视化</b></blockquote></p><p> It is often easier to visualize something rather than explain it.<b>Since 1900, only two previous market periods qualify as a melt-up: 1920-1929 and 1995-2000.</b>The chart below shows both periods in terms of price.</p><p><blockquote>想象某事通常比解释它更容易。<b>自1900年以来，只有两个市场时期符合熔化的条件：1920-1929年和1995-2000年。</b>下图显示了这两个时期的价格。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a218c7efe2ebd874d05c9ff7dd564436\" tg-width=\"797\" tg-height=\"437\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9f193c9c32d55747bf7ff511c2f9fd53\" tg-width=\"793\" tg-height=\"439\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> However, the melt-up is also visually represented by the incredibly sharp rise in valuations. Such is essential because earnings are not rising at a fast enough clip to support higher prices.<b>As is always the case, the investing public believes future earnings will justify higher prices during a melt-up. It just never works out that way.</b></p><p><blockquote>然而，估值的大幅上涨也直观地体现了这种融化。这一点至关重要，因为盈利增长速度不足以支撑价格上涨。<b>与往常一样，投资大众相信未来的收益将证明在融化期间价格上涨是合理的。从来都不是那样的。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c69e418d5a19d6fd03b305ab111e3be3\" tg-width=\"794\" tg-height=\"440\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af03d3bbd071b8edfdf3a19e2c7b0bcd\" tg-width=\"796\" tg-height=\"437\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> We can compare those two previous periods with the current advance from the March 2020 lows. Again, we see a very similar sharp advance in price combined with a surge in valuations. As expected, investors are currently hoping that future earnings will rise sharply enough to justify current prices. However, the justification for paying high prices is the Federal Reserve’s ongoing balance sheet expansion.</p><p><blockquote>我们可以将前两个时期与当前从2020年3月低点的上涨进行比较。我们再次看到非常相似的价格大幅上涨和估值飙升。正如预期的那样，投资者目前希望未来收益将大幅上涨，足以证明当前价格的合理性。然而，支付高价的理由是美联储持续的资产负债表扩张。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f3562aea27b24ad4921d0f5cd497e072\" tg-width=\"804\" tg-height=\"444\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The following chart looks that the price advance and valuation measures a little differently. It shows the current deviation from the long-term exponential growth trend. Not surprisingly, during a market<i>“melt-up,”</i>there is a rapid deviation from the growth trend matching the acceleration in valuations.</p><p><blockquote>下图显示，价格上涨和估值指标略有不同。它显示了当前与长期指数增长趋势的背离。毫不奇怪，在市场期间<i>“融化。”</i>与估值加速相匹配的增长趋势出现了快速背离。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1419cf4b2afdcdc0f61e0cad862f498d\" tg-width=\"836\" tg-height=\"460\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The problem with market<i>“melt-ups”</i>is not the melt-up itself but what always follows.</p><p><blockquote>市场的问题<i>“融化”</i>不是融化本身，而是随之而来的一切。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Melting-Up Leads To Melting-Down</b></p><p><blockquote><b>熔化导致熔化</b></blockquote></p><p> A market melting-up is exciting while it lasts. During melt-ups, investors begin to rationalize why<i>“this time is different.”</i>They start taking on excess leverage to try and capitalize on the rapid advance in prices, and fundamentals take a back seat to price momentum.</p><p><blockquote>市场融化持续下去是令人兴奋的。在熔断期间，投资者开始合理化原因<i>“这次不一样。”</i>他们开始过度杠杆，试图利用价格的快速上涨，基本面让位于价格动能。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Market melt-ups are all about<i>“psychology.”</i><b>Historically, whatever has been the catalyst to spark the disregard of risk is readily witnessed in the corresponding surge in price and valuations.</b>The chart below shows the long-term deviations in relative strength, deviations, and valuations. The previous<i>‘melt-up”</i>periods should be easy to spot when compared with the advance currently.</p><p><blockquote>市场融化都是关于<i>“心理学。”</i><b>从历史上看，无论引发忽视风险的催化剂是什么，都很容易在价格和估值的相应飙升中看到。</b>下图显示了相对强度、偏差和估值的长期偏差。上一篇<i>“融化”</i>与目前的进展相比，时期应该很容易发现。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bc04cb25c0199dd17475a551a5dd7ec1\" tg-width=\"869\" tg-height=\"1024\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Given that current extensions match only a few rare periods in history, a couple of points should be readily apparent.</p><p><blockquote>鉴于目前的延期仅与历史上少数罕见的时期相匹配，有几点应该是显而易见的。</blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li><b><i>Melt-ups can longer than logic would predict.</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>The prevailing psychology is always “this time is different.”</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Valuations are dismissed in exchange for measures of momentum and forward expectations.</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Investors take on excess leverage and risk in order to participate in a seemingly “can’t lose” market.</i></b></li>  <li><b><i>Lastly, and inevitably, “melt-ups” end and always in the worst possible outcomes.</i></b></li> </ol> It is essential to recognize the markets are in a<i>“melt-up,</i>” and the duration of that event is unknowable. Therefore, investors need a strategy to participate in the advance and mitigate the damage from the eventual<i>“melting-down.”</i></p><p><blockquote><ol><li><b><i>融化的时间可能比逻辑预测的要长。</i></b></li><li><b><i>普遍的心理总是“这次不一样了”。</i></b></li><li><b><i>估值被驳回，以换取动量和前瞻性预期的衡量标准。</i></b></li><li><b><i>投资者为了参与一个看似“输不起”的市场，承担了过多的杠杆和风险。</i></b></li><li><b><i>最后，不可避免的是，“融化”以最糟糕的结果告终。</i></b></li></ol>必须认识到市场正处于<i>“融化，</i>“而且该事件的持续时间是未知的。因此，投资者需要一种策略来参与提前并减轻最终的损失<i>“熔化。”</i></blockquote></p><p> <b>Surviving The Melt-Up</b></p><p><blockquote><b>在融化中幸存下来</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>As noted, none of this means the next</b><b><i>“bear market”</i></b><b>is lurking.</b>Given that a market melting-up is a function of psychology, they can last longer and go further than logic would predict. What is required to “<i>end”</i>a melt-up is an unanticipated exogenous event that changes psychology from bullish to bearish. Such is when the stampede for the exits occurs, and prices decline very quickly.</p><p><blockquote><b>如上所述，这些都不意味着下一个</b><b><i>“熊市”</i></b><b>正在潜伏。</b>鉴于市场融化是心理作用，它们可以持续更长时间，走得比逻辑预测的更远。需要什么“<i>结束“</i>融化是一种意想不到的外生事件，它将心理从看涨转变为看跌。这就是人们蜂拥退出的时候，价格会迅速下跌。</blockquote></p><p> As such, investors need a set of guidelines to participate in the market advance. But, of course, the hard part is keeping those gains when corrections inevitably occur.</p><p><blockquote>因此，投资者需要一套指导方针来参与市场上涨。但是，当然，困难的部分是在不可避免地发生调整时保持这些收益。</blockquote></p><p> As portfolio managers for our clients, such is precisely the approach we must take. Accordingly, I have provided a general overview of the process that we employ.</p><p><blockquote>作为客户的投资组合经理，这正是我们必须采取的方法。因此，我提供了我们采用的流程的总体概述。</blockquote></p><p> <ol>  <li><i><b>Tighten up stop-loss levels</b></i><i>to current support levels for each position.(Provides identifiable exit points when the market reverses.)</i></li>  <li><i><b>Hedge portfolios</b></i><i>against major market declines.(Non-correlated assets, short-market positions, index put options)</i></li>  <li><i><b>Take profits</b></i><i>in positions that have been big winners(Rebalancing overbought or extended positions to capture gains but continue to participate in the advance.)</i></li>  <li><i><b>Sell laggards</b></i><i>and losers</i>.<i>(If something isn’t working in a market melt-up, it most likely won’t work during a broad decline. Better to eliminate the risk early.)</i></li>  <li><i><b>Raise cash</b></i><i>and rebalance portfolios to target weightings.(Rebalancing risk on a regular basis keeps hidden risks somewhat mitigated.)</i></li> </ol> <b>Notice, nothing in there says,</b><b><i>“sell everything and go to cash.”</i></b></p><p><blockquote><ol><li><i><b>收紧止损水平</b></i><i>每个头寸的当前支撑位。（当市场反转时提供可识别的退出点。）</i></li><li><i><b>对冲投资组合</b></i><i>（非相关资产、空头市场头寸、指数看跌期权）</i></li><li><i><b>获利了结</b></i><i>在已经成为大赢家的头寸中（重新平衡超买或扩展头寸以获取收益，但继续参与上涨。）</i></li><li><i><b>出售落后者</b></i><i>和失败者</i>.<i>（如果某些东西在市场融化时不起作用，那么在广泛下跌时很可能也不会起作用。最好尽早消除风险。）</i></li><li><i><b>筹集现金</b></i><i>并重新平衡投资组合以达到目标权重。（定期重新平衡风险可以在一定程度上减轻隐藏的风险。）</i></li></ol><b>注意，里面没有任何东西说，</b><b><i>“卖掉所有东西，去兑现。”</i></b></blockquote></p><p> There will be a time to raise significant levels of cash. A good portfolio management strategy will automatically ensure that<i>“stop-loss”</i>levels get triggered, exposure decreases, and cash levels rise when the selling begins.</p><p><blockquote>将会有一段时间来筹集大量现金。一个好的投资组合管理策略会自动确保<i>“止损”</i>当出售开始时，水平被触发，风险减少，现金水平上升。</blockquote></p><p> While it is essential to take advantage of the melt-up while it lasts, just don’t become overly complacent<i>“this time is different.”</i></p><p><blockquote>虽然有必要在融化持续期间利用它，但不要过于自满<i>“这次不一样。”</i></blockquote></p><p> It likely isn’t.</p><p><blockquote>很可能不是。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4457469-technically-speaking-is-the-market-melting-up\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4457469-technically-speaking-is-the-market-melting-up","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1198528044","content_text":"Summary\n\nGiven the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protection from a decline.\nAs is always the case, the investing public believes future earnings will justify higher prices during a melt-up. It just never works out that way.\nWhile it is essential to take advantage of the melt-up while it lasts, just don’t become overly complacent “this time is different”.\n\nIs the“market melting-up?”Such was the question I received from my colleague atCut The Crap Investing.It is an excellent question given the relentless increase in what investors believe is a“no risk”market.\nOf course, we need a definition of precisely what constitutes a melt-up.\n\n“A melt-up is a sustained and often unexpected improvement in the investment performance of an asset or asset class, driven partly\nby a stampede of investors who don’t want to miss out on its rise,\nrather than by fundamental improvements in the economy.“–\n Investopedia\n\nCurrently, there is sufficient evidence to support the idea of an exuberant market.As noted previously:\n\n“Near peaks of market cycles, investors become swept up by the underlying exuberance. That exuberance breeds the “rationalization” that “this time is different.” So how do you know the market is exuberant currently? Via Sentiment Trader:”\n\n\n‘This type of market activity is an indication that markets have returned their ‘enthusiasm’ stage. Such is characterized by:’\n\n\nHigh optimism\nEasy credit (too easy, with loose terms)\nA rush of initial and secondary offerings\nRisky stocks outperforming\nStretched valuations\n\n\nHowever, while one would expect individuals to exhibit caution in such an environment, the opposite is true. Given the Fed’s ongoing balance sheet operations, investors fully believe they have protection from a decline.\nA Visualization Of A Market Melting-Up\nIt is often easier to visualize something rather than explain it.Since 1900, only two previous market periods qualify as a melt-up: 1920-1929 and 1995-2000.The chart below shows both periods in terms of price.\n\nHowever, the melt-up is also visually represented by the incredibly sharp rise in valuations. Such is essential because earnings are not rising at a fast enough clip to support higher prices.As is always the case, the investing public believes future earnings will justify higher prices during a melt-up. It just never works out that way.\n\nWe can compare those two previous periods with the current advance from the March 2020 lows. Again, we see a very similar sharp advance in price combined with a surge in valuations. As expected, investors are currently hoping that future earnings will rise sharply enough to justify current prices. However, the justification for paying high prices is the Federal Reserve’s ongoing balance sheet expansion.\n\nThe following chart looks that the price advance and valuation measures a little differently. It shows the current deviation from the long-term exponential growth trend. Not surprisingly, during a market“melt-up,”there is a rapid deviation from the growth trend matching the acceleration in valuations.\n\nThe problem with market“melt-ups”is not the melt-up itself but what always follows.\nMelting-Up Leads To Melting-Down\nA market melting-up is exciting while it lasts. During melt-ups, investors begin to rationalize why“this time is different.”They start taking on excess leverage to try and capitalize on the rapid advance in prices, and fundamentals take a back seat to price momentum.\nMarket melt-ups are all about“psychology.”Historically, whatever has been the catalyst to spark the disregard of risk is readily witnessed in the corresponding surge in price and valuations.The chart below shows the long-term deviations in relative strength, deviations, and valuations. The previous‘melt-up”periods should be easy to spot when compared with the advance currently.\n\nGiven that current extensions match only a few rare periods in history, a couple of points should be readily apparent.\n\nMelt-ups can longer than logic would predict.\nThe prevailing psychology is always “this time is different.”\nValuations are dismissed in exchange for measures of momentum and forward expectations.\nInvestors take on excess leverage and risk in order to participate in a seemingly “can’t lose” market.\nLastly, and inevitably, “melt-ups” end and always in the worst possible outcomes.\n\nIt is essential to recognize the markets are in a“melt-up,” and the duration of that event is unknowable. Therefore, investors need a strategy to participate in the advance and mitigate the damage from the eventual“melting-down.”\nSurviving The Melt-Up\nAs noted, none of this means the next“bear market”is lurking.Given that a market melting-up is a function of psychology, they can last longer and go further than logic would predict. What is required to “end”a melt-up is an unanticipated exogenous event that changes psychology from bullish to bearish. Such is when the stampede for the exits occurs, and prices decline very quickly.\nAs such, investors need a set of guidelines to participate in the market advance. But, of course, the hard part is keeping those gains when corrections inevitably occur.\nAs portfolio managers for our clients, such is precisely the approach we must take. Accordingly, I have provided a general overview of the process that we employ.\n\nTighten up stop-loss levelsto current support levels for each position.(Provides identifiable exit points when the market reverses.)\nHedge portfoliosagainst major market declines.(Non-correlated assets, short-market positions, index put options)\nTake profitsin positions that have been big winners(Rebalancing overbought or extended positions to capture gains but continue to participate in the advance.)\nSell laggardsand losers.(If something isn’t working in a market melt-up, it most likely won’t work during a broad decline. Better to eliminate the risk early.)\nRaise cashand rebalance portfolios to target weightings.(Rebalancing risk on a regular basis keeps hidden risks somewhat mitigated.)\n\nNotice, nothing in there says,“sell everything and go to cash.”\nThere will be a time to raise significant levels of cash. A good portfolio management strategy will automatically ensure that“stop-loss”levels get triggered, exposure decreases, and cash levels rise when the selling begins.\nWhile it is essential to take advantage of the melt-up while it lasts, just don’t become overly complacent“this time is different.”\nIt likely isn’t.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2253,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":866278477,"gmtCreate":1632787887799,"gmtModify":1632797590986,"author":{"id":"3574934794715748","authorId":"3574934794715748","name":"Medini13","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c405cab753c37ca8069a09a8847ddc1","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574934794715748","idStr":"3574934794715748"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/866278477","repostId":"1166571782","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1166571782","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632787589,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1166571782?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-28 08:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Morgan Stanley Dismisses Market's \"Strong Rebound\", Remains Bearish On Coming Earnings Disappointment<blockquote>摩根士丹利否认市场“强劲反弹”，对即将到来的盈利令人失望仍持悲观态度</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1166571782","media":"zerohedge","summary":"For just a few hours last Monday, Morgan Stanley's chief economist felt vindicated: with stocks tumb","content":"<p>For just a few hours last Monday, Morgan Stanley's chief economist felt vindicated: with stocks tumbling on Evergrande default fears, Wilson emerged from his faux-bull cocoon (havingraised his year-end S&amp;P price target from 3,900 to 4,000 in Augustin a note that reeked of disgust with what he was being told to do) and warned that an \"Ice is coming\", referring to a 20% drop in stocks as opposed to the more modest 10% correction envisioned in his \"fire\" scenario, saying that \"<b>the \"ice\" scenario is starting to look more likely, and could result in a more destructive outcome – i.e. a 20%+ correction</b>\", a drop he expects will take place some time this fall.</p><p><blockquote>上周一的短短几个小时内，摩根士丹利首席经济学家感到自己被证明是正确的：随着股市因恒大违约担忧而暴跌，威尔逊从他的假牛市茧中走了出来（在奥古斯丁将年终标准普尔目标价从3,900点上调至4,000点）对他被告知要做的事情感到厌恶）并警告说“冰即将到来”，指的是股市将下跌20%，而不是他在“火灾”情景中设想的更温和的10%调整，他说“<b>“冰”情景开始看起来更有可能，并可能导致更具破坏性的结果——即20%以上的修正</b>”，他预计今年秋天的某个时候会出现下降。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d87b7fac22f1a1f5db68fec641fc7528\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Wilson also predicted that with earnings growth and PMIs set to drop, it would adversely impact forward PE multiples and by extension the S&amp;P.</p><p><blockquote>威尔逊还预测，随着盈利增长和采购经理人指数下降，这将对远期市盈率以及标准普尔指数产生不利影响。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45afcf0068538b4f56bc85f42af9e52f\" tg-width=\"1233\" tg-height=\"431\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Well, what a difference 7 days makes: with Evergrande default fears now long forgotten with little to no offshore contagion,&nbsp;the S&amp;P is almost 150 points from its \"Evergrande Monday\" lows and once again pushing back toward all time highs (even if with a major rotation in the leadership as tech stocks are now sliding, having been replaced by value, cyclical and reopening names) in the process yet again foiling Wilson's bearish visions.</p><p><blockquote>好吧，7天的变化是多么大：随着恒大违约的担忧现在早已被遗忘，几乎没有离岸蔓延，标准普尔指数距离“恒大周一”低点近150点，并再次推回到历史高点（即使随着科技股目前下滑，已被价值股、周期性股和重新开放股所取代，领导层发生了重大轮换），这再次挫败了威尔逊的看跌愿景。</blockquote></p><p> So has the market's sharp post-opex bounce changed the mind of the chief strategist that this seemingly invincible market will never go down again more than just a token 5% move?</p><p><blockquote>那么，运营支出后市场的大幅反弹是否改变了首席策略师的想法，即这个看似不可战胜的市场永远不会再次下跌，而不仅仅是象征性的5%波动？</blockquote></p><p> Today we got the answer in Wilson's latest weekly warm-up not, in which he makes it clear that his bearish outlook remains, and as he explains, \"our process tells us the risk-reward remains unattractive at the index level given slowing growth and rising rates. Meanwhile, price action can be interpreted bullishly or bearishly.&nbsp;<b>With 3Q earnings season likely to bring a much more muted outcome, we remain defensive in our positioning.</b>\"</p><p><blockquote>今天，我们在威尔逊最新的每周热身中得到了答案，他在其中明确表示，他的看跌前景仍然存在，正如他解释的那样，“我们的流程告诉我们，鉴于增长放缓和利率上升，风险回报在指数水平上仍然没有吸引力。与此同时，价格走势可以被解读为看涨或看跌。<b>由于第三季度财报季可能会带来更加温和的结果，我们的定位仍然是防御性的。</b>\"</blockquote></p><p> We'll get to why in a second, but first Wilson - realizing that he would get a criticism for what many viewed as a premature victory lap - spends the first few paragraphs of his latest note going over the details of his analytical process. This is how he lays it out:</p><p><blockquote>我们稍后会解释原因，但首先威尔逊意识到他会因为许多人认为他过早获胜而受到批评，他在最新笔记的前几段回顾了他的分析过程的细节。他是这样布局的：</blockquote></p><p>   <b>Our equity strategy process has several key components. Most importantly, we focus on the fundamentals of growth and valuation to determine whether the overall market is attractive and which sectors and stocks look the best/worst.</b>The rate of change on growth is more important than the absolute level, and we use a market-based equity risk premium framework that works well as long as you apply the correct regime when using it. In that regard, we’re an avid student of market cycles and believe historical analogs can be helpful. For example, the mid cycle transition narrative that has worked so well this year is derived directly from our study of historical economic and market cycles.    <b>The final component we spend a lot of time on is price.</b>While most would call this technical analysis, we’d like to think we do it a little bit differently. Markets aren’t always efficient, but we believe they are often very good leading indicators for the fundamentals—the ultimate driver of value. This is especially true if one looks at the internal movements and relative strength of individual securities. In short,   <b>we find these internals to be much more helpful than simply looking at the major averages.</b>    <b>This year, we think the process has lived up to its promise quite well with the price action lining up nicely with the fundamental backdrop.</b>In short, the large cap quality leadership since March is signaling what we believe is about to happen—i.e., decelerating growth and tightening financial conditions. The question for investors is whether the price action has fully discounted those outcomes.  With that disclosure in hand, and with the clear understanding that at least in his view investors are not discounting any adverse outcomes at this point, Wilson proceeds to discuss the recent market action, noting that stocks<b>\"sold off hard last Monday on concerns about the Evergrande bankruptcy\"</b>and while he adds that it is the Morgan Stanley \"house view\" that it likely won’t lead to a major financial contagion, \"it will probably weigh on China growth for the next few quarters which means that the growth deceleration we are expecting could be a bit worse.\"</p><p><blockquote><b>我们的股票策略流程有几个关键组成部分。最重要的是，我们关注增长和估值的基本面，以确定整体市场是否有吸引力，以及哪些板块和股票看起来最好/最差。</b>增长的变化率比绝对水平更重要，我们使用基于市场的股票风险溢价框架，只要您在使用时应用正确的制度，该框架就能很好地发挥作用。在这方面，我们是市场周期的热心学生，并相信历史类比会有所帮助。例如，今年表现良好的中期周期转型叙事直接来自我们对历史经济和市场周期的研究。<b>我们花费大量时间的最后一个因素是价格。</b>虽然大多数人会看涨期权这种技术分析，但我们认为我们做得有点不同。市场并不总是有效的，但我们相信它们通常是基本面（价值的最终驱动力）的非常好的领先指标。如果观察个别证券的内部走势和相对强度，情况尤其如此。总之，<b>我们发现这些内部因素比简单地查看主要平均值更有帮助。</b><b>今年，我们认为这一过程很好地兑现了其承诺，价格走势与基本面背景很好地一致。</b>简而言之，自3月份以来大盘股质量的领先地位发出了我们认为即将发生的事情的信号，即增长减速和金融状况收紧。投资者面临的问题是，价格走势是否完全低估了这些结果。有了这一披露，并清楚地认识到，至少在他看来，投资者目前并没有低估任何不利结果，威尔逊继续讨论最近的市场走势，指出股票<b>“上周一因担心恒大破产而遭到大量抛售”</b>虽然他补充说，摩根士丹利的“内部观点”是，这可能不会导致重大的金融危机蔓延，但“这可能会给中国未来几个季度的经济增长带来压力，这意味着我们预计的经济增长减速可能会更糟一点。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The other reason Wilson suggests was behind the market weakness early last week \"likely had to do with concern about the Fed articulating its plans to taper asset purchases later this year and perhaps even move up the timing of rate hikes to next year. On that score, the Fed did not disappoint as they pretty much told us to expect the taper to begin in December.<b>The surprise was the speed in which they expect to be done tapering—by mid 2022.</b>This is about a quarter sooner than the market had been anticipating and does move up the odds for a rate hike in 2022.\"</p><p><blockquote>威尔逊表示，上周初市场疲软背后的另一个原因“可能与担心美联储阐明其在今年晚些时候缩减资产购买计划，甚至可能将加息时间提前到明年有关。在这一点上，美联储并没有让人失望，因为他们几乎告诉我们预计缩减将在12月开始。<b>令人惊讶的是他们预计到2022年中期完成缩减的速度。</b>这比市场预期提前了约四分之一，确实增加了2022年加息的可能性。”</blockquote></p><p> Curiously last week's rally happened in the aftermath of the market's perplexing kneejerk response to the Fed meeting on Wednesday, when stocks rallied even as bonds sold off sharply, particularly at the back end. Real 10-year yields were up 11bps in 2 days and are now up 31bps in just 8 weeks (Exhibit 1). That according to Wilson is \"tightening of financial conditions for sure\" and should weigh on PEs overall but it also has big implications for what should work at the sector/style level (Exhibit 2).</p><p><blockquote>奇怪的是，上周的反弹发生在市场对周三美联储会议做出令人困惑的下意识反应之后，当时尽管债券大幅抛售，尤其是在后端，股市仍上涨。实际10年期国债收益率在两天内上涨了11个基点，现在在短短8周内上涨了31个基点（图表1）。根据威尔逊的说法，这是“金融状况肯定会收紧”，应该会对整体市盈率造成压力，但它也对行业/风格层面的工作产生重大影响（图表2）。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6f0bb937e8d564694c06b7e1362bd81\" tg-width=\"1035\" tg-height=\"266\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> In short, Wilson digs in and claims that higher real rates should mean lower P/Es overall which likely means lower S&amp;P 500, thus validating his bearish view which still sees the S&amp;P dropping some 20% from its current perch to hit 4,000 by year end. However, he concedes, \"it may also mean value over growth and small caps over Nasdaq even as the overall equity market goes lower.\"</p><p><blockquote>简而言之，Wilson深入研究并声称，较高的实际利率应该意味着较低的整体市盈率，这可能意味着较低的标普500，从而验证了他的看跌观点，即标准普尔指数仍将从目前的水平下跌约20%，到年底触及4,000点。然而，他承认，“这也可能意味着价值超过增长，小盘股超过纳斯达克，即使整体股市走低。”</blockquote></p><p> Which brings us to the key question we spent quite some time discussing last week, namely<b>why did stocks rally so much into the end of the week</b>on what Wilson says are odds that growth will decelerate more than expected from Evergrande and financial conditions may tighten faster?</p><p><blockquote>这就引出了我们上星期花了相当长时间讨论的关键问题，即<b>为什么股市在本周末大幅上涨</b>威尔逊认为恒大经济增长放缓幅度超过预期且财务状况可能更快收紧的可能性有多大？</blockquote></p><p> Here Wilson is at least honest - as he puts it - and says \"we’re not sure but we think this may be a time when the markets are playing tricks on investors and even setting a bit of a trap.\" Actually it's simpler than that and has to do with thegamma reversal and technical flows we pointed out last week, but one has to be a \"greek geek\" - like Nomura's Charlie McElligott - to get that.</p><p><blockquote>在这里，威尔逊至少是诚实的——正如他所说——并表示“我们不确定，但我们认为这可能是市场在捉弄投资者，甚至设置一点陷阱的时候。”实际上，这比这更简单，与我们上周指出的伽马反转和技术流有关，但必须是“希腊极客”——比如野村证券的查理·麦克埃利戈特——才能理解这一点。</blockquote></p><p> The other explanation proposed by Wilson is \"that investors were somewhat positioned for bad news going into the Fed meeting and the actual event simply served as a relief that it didn’t lead lower prices. This price action drove many investors to chase on Thursday for fear of missing out.<b>In short, don’t underestimate the power of price to determine how investors interpret the facts.</b>Just like negative price action can get people to sell the lows, positive price action can force people to buy\", he concludes.</p><p><blockquote>威尔逊提出的另一种解释是，“投资者在某种程度上对美联储会议的坏消息做好了准备，而实际事件只是让人松了一口气，因为它没有导致价格下跌。这种价格走势促使许多投资者在周四追逐，因为害怕错过。<b>简而言之，不要低估价格决定投资者如何解读事实的力量。</b>就像负面的价格行为可以让人们在低点卖出一样，积极的价格行为可以迫使人们买入”，他总结道。</blockquote></p><p> Whatever the reason for the initial bounce, it quickly accelerated and there was \"a lot of excitement last Thursday when stocks rallied sharply back above the 50 day moving average, a key barometer for many and a key level of support throughout this year for the S&amp;P 500.\" That this happened when the 50DMA was broken \"on near record levels of volume in both the cash and derivatives markets\" only punctuated the strength of the rebound. By Friday, that moving average had been reclaimed and closed above it for the week, an important technical win as even Wilson admits. However, he then adds, from his vantage point, \"the very well defined uptrend that has been established over the past year was broken and not reclaimed. Instead, it looks like the rally from Wednesday to Friday was simply \"filling the gap\" created from Monday's break.\"</p><p><blockquote>无论最初反弹的原因是什么，它很快就加速了，“上周四，当股市大幅反弹回到50日移动平均线上方时，人们非常兴奋，这是许多人的关键晴雨表，也是今年标普500的关键支撑位。”这种情况发生在“现金和衍生品市场成交量接近创纪录水平”的50日均线被突破时，这只会加剧反弹的强度。到周五，该移动平均线已被收复，并在本周收于该移动平均线之上，就连威尔逊也承认，这是一次重要的技术胜利。然而，他随后补充道，从他的角度来看，“过去一年建立的非常明确的上升趋势被打破了，没有恢复。相反，看起来周三至周五的反弹只是‘填补了缺口’。”周一休息。”</blockquote></p><p> His conclusion on upcoming market action will hardly come as a surprise to those who have followed Wilson's progressive pessimism across 2021: pointing to the market's inability to recover its prior trendline, he says \"this leaves the technical picture very uncertain in our view and one can now break either way. With our fundamental view skewing poorly at the moment, we lean to the bearish outcome.\"</p><p><blockquote>对于那些关注威尔逊在2021年逐步悲观情绪的人来说，他关于即将到来的市场行动的结论并不令人惊讶：他指出市场无法恢复之前的趋势线，他表示，“这使得我们认为技术面非常不确定，现在可以打破任何一种方式。由于我们的基本面观点目前不佳，我们倾向于看跌结果。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41fc56e35f140c96104f8d8aa0826fd3\" tg-width=\"1100\" tg-height=\"602\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Getting back to his process, Wilson then says that he has high conviction that \"earnings growth is likely to decelerate more than what the current consensus is forecasting.\" Furthermore, he thinks the market is starting to agree with that view and points to market breadth as a good leading indicator for earnings revision breadth where he says \"direction is clear\" and pointing to the newly shrinking market breadth, he reminds readers that earnings revision breadth is a good leading indicator for the overall market.</p><p><blockquote>回到他的过程，威尔逊随后表示，他坚信“盈利增长的减速可能会超过当前共识的预测。”此外，他认为市场开始同意这一观点，并指出市场广度是盈利修正广度的良好领先指标，他说“方向很明确”，并指出新萎缩的市场广度，他提醒读者，盈利修正广度是整体市场的良好领先指标。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> It will therefore hardly come as a surprise that with Wilson still clearly bearish, his advice to clients is \"<b>don’t get too caught up in last week’s strong rebound from Monday’s sharp sell off\"</b>which he views as a clean break of the uptrend and a filling of the gap created from Monday's crack. And with the technical picture murky, \"<b>that's a time to trust the fundamental and cycle analyses which suggest lower equity prices ahead\"</b>and as growth decelerates and financial conditions tighten, valuations are likely to fall from their lofty levels.</p><p><blockquote>因此，由于威尔逊仍然明显看跌，他给客户的建议是“<b>不要太沉迷于上周从周一大幅抛售中的强劲反弹”</b>他认为这是对上升趋势的彻底突破，并填补了周一缺口造成的缺口。由于技术情况不明朗，”<b>现在是相信基本面和周期分析的时候了，这些分析表明未来股价会下跌。”</b>随着增长放缓和金融状况收紧，估值可能会从高位回落。</blockquote></p><p> * * *</p><p><blockquote>***</blockquote></p><p> With all that in mind, Wilson goes back to his core fundamental thesis which is simple: after a blockbuster Q2 season, earnings are set to drop substantially as a result of the margin compression we discussed most recently over the weekend, to wit:</p><p><blockquote>考虑到所有这些，威尔逊回到了他的核心基本论点，这个论点很简单：在经历了轰动一时的第二季度之后，由于我们最近在周末讨论的利润率压缩，盈利将大幅下降，即：</blockquote></p><p>   <b>Since the second quarter of 2020 earnings results have come in much higher than consensus forecasts</b>. Earnings beats ranged from 14% - 22% over this period while the median beat rate since 2008 is only 5%...We do not think companies will continue to beat at such an unprecedented rate and believe 3Q could see a material change in the more recent trend as supply chain issues and labor shortages pose a risk to both top line and margins.  <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e643723cfa540ad52a1dcebcba24f3\" tg-width=\"722\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote><b>自2020年第二季度以来，盈利结果远高于市场普遍预期</b>在此期间，盈利超出预期范围为14%-22%，而自2008年以来的中位超出预期率仅为5%……我们认为公司不会继续以如此前所未有的速度超出预期，并相信第三季度可能会出现重大变化随着供应链问题和劳动力短缺对营收和利润率构成风险，最近的趋势。</blockquote></p><p>   We looked at how 3Q earnings estimate revisions have trended at the industry group and sector level. Significant cuts have occurred in insurance, capital goods and transportation.   <b>Consumer Durables is the only area that has seen significant positive revisions at the industry group level. 3Q S&amp;P 500 estimates have fallen by 77 bps over past 4 weeks. We expect more downside.</b>  <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5496394c7a42ab136f68ba74c64cf83\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"451\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef6beae58fd458a45024d160d45b4684\" tg-width=\"735\" tg-height=\"459\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote>我们研究了行业组和行业层面第三季度盈利预测修正的趋势。保险、资本货物和运输都出现了大幅削减。<b>耐用消费品是行业集团层面唯一出现重大积极修正的领域。过去4周，第三季度标普500预期下降了77个基点。我们预计会有更多的下行空间。</b></blockquote></p><p> No surprises there, as the margin compression story is a familiar one (\"Margins Crushed As Producer Prices Explode At Record Pace In July\"). To Wilson, however, this is the story and one which the market refuses to even consider:</p><p><blockquote>这并不奇怪，因为利润率压缩的故事是一个熟悉的故事（“随着7月份生产者价格以创纪录的速度爆炸，利润率被压垮”）。然而，对威尔逊来说，这是一个市场甚至拒绝考虑的故事：</blockquote></p><p> <b>2022 consensus margin estimates are historically lofty...</b>we examine the risks to margins in coming quarters through two different top down approaches. The spread between GDP growth and wage growth correlates fairly closely with operating margins over time. Based on our economists' estimates<b>, this spread should decelerate in coming quarters, which suggests margins should contract, not expand as bottom-up consensus expects</b>.</p><p><blockquote><b>2022年共识利润率预期处于历史高位……</b>我们通过两种不同的自上而下的方法来研究未来几个季度的利润率风险。随着时间的推移，GDP增长和工资增长之间的利差与营业利润率密切相关。基于我们经济学家的估计<b>这种利差应该会在未来几个季度减速，这表明利润率应该收缩，而不是像自下而上的共识预期的那样扩大</b>.</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e80ec048b5856ebf2159d1d9d0151334\" tg-width=\"751\" tg-height=\"578\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Further, corporate transcript mentions of \"cost pressures\" and related terms are historically elevated. When this has happened in the past, margins have consolidated.</p><p><blockquote>此外，公司记录中提及“成本压力”和相关术语的数量历来较高。当这种情况在过去发生时，利润率已经巩固。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/42c8fcfa4bb23d953d8c2079bc1a0ec5\" tg-width=\"773\" tg-height=\"540\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Wilson's final bearish point is that companies are reaching the limit on how much of rising input costs they can pass on to consumers. As he puts it, while \"many investors that we speak to are optimistic about corporates' ability to pass on cost through pricing and protect margins\" he would caution that \"prices in several consumer end markets are already at a level that is inhibiting demand. We think the risk of this dynamic (high prices leading to demand destruction) spreading to other areas of consumer demand is especially elevated because goods consumption is already so far above trend—<b>in other words, high prices are that much more of a deterrent given households have already overconsumed in many areas.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>威尔逊的最后一个看跌观点是，企业将投入成本上升转嫁给消费者的程度已经达到了极限。正如他所说，虽然“我们采访的许多投资者对企业通过定价转嫁成本和保护利润的能力持乐观态度”，但他警告说，“几个消费终端市场的价格已经处于抑制需求的水平。我们认为这种动态（高价格导致需求破坏）蔓延到消费者需求其他领域的风险尤其高，因为商品消费已经远远高于趋势——<b>换句话说，鉴于许多地区的家庭已经过度消费，高物价更具威慑力。”</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/216bbe5eae73445b35a9152e741dccef\" tg-width=\"1009\" tg-height=\"801\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Translation: absent another multi-trillion stimmy - and thanks to the chaos in the democratic party we know one is unlikely to come - Wilson's call for a 20% drop in stocks in the next few months remains intact.</p><p><blockquote>翻译：如果没有另一个数万亿美元的刺激——由于民主党的混乱，我们知道不太可能出现——威尔逊未来几个月股市下跌20%的看涨期权仍然完好无损。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nMorgan Stanley Dismisses Market's \"Strong Rebound\", Remains Bearish On Coming Earnings Disappointment<blockquote>摩根士丹利否认市场“强劲反弹”，对即将到来的盈利令人失望仍持悲观态度</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-28 08:06</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>For just a few hours last Monday, Morgan Stanley's chief economist felt vindicated: with stocks tumbling on Evergrande default fears, Wilson emerged from his faux-bull cocoon (havingraised his year-end S&amp;P price target from 3,900 to 4,000 in Augustin a note that reeked of disgust with what he was being told to do) and warned that an \"Ice is coming\", referring to a 20% drop in stocks as opposed to the more modest 10% correction envisioned in his \"fire\" scenario, saying that \"<b>the \"ice\" scenario is starting to look more likely, and could result in a more destructive outcome – i.e. a 20%+ correction</b>\", a drop he expects will take place some time this fall.</p><p><blockquote>上周一的短短几个小时内，摩根士丹利首席经济学家感到自己被证明是正确的：随着股市因恒大违约担忧而暴跌，威尔逊从他的假牛市茧中走了出来（在奥古斯丁将年终标准普尔目标价从3,900点上调至4,000点）对他被告知要做的事情感到厌恶）并警告说“冰即将到来”，指的是股市将下跌20%，而不是他在“火灾”情景中设想的更温和的10%调整，他说“<b>“冰”情景开始看起来更有可能，并可能导致更具破坏性的结果——即20%以上的修正</b>”，他预计今年秋天的某个时候会出现下降。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d87b7fac22f1a1f5db68fec641fc7528\" tg-width=\"703\" tg-height=\"363\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Wilson also predicted that with earnings growth and PMIs set to drop, it would adversely impact forward PE multiples and by extension the S&amp;P.</p><p><blockquote>威尔逊还预测，随着盈利增长和采购经理人指数下降，这将对远期市盈率以及标准普尔指数产生不利影响。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45afcf0068538b4f56bc85f42af9e52f\" tg-width=\"1233\" tg-height=\"431\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Well, what a difference 7 days makes: with Evergrande default fears now long forgotten with little to no offshore contagion,&nbsp;the S&amp;P is almost 150 points from its \"Evergrande Monday\" lows and once again pushing back toward all time highs (even if with a major rotation in the leadership as tech stocks are now sliding, having been replaced by value, cyclical and reopening names) in the process yet again foiling Wilson's bearish visions.</p><p><blockquote>好吧，7天的变化是多么大：随着恒大违约的担忧现在早已被遗忘，几乎没有离岸蔓延，标准普尔指数距离“恒大周一”低点近150点，并再次推回到历史高点（即使随着科技股目前下滑，已被价值股、周期性股和重新开放股所取代，领导层发生了重大轮换），这再次挫败了威尔逊的看跌愿景。</blockquote></p><p> So has the market's sharp post-opex bounce changed the mind of the chief strategist that this seemingly invincible market will never go down again more than just a token 5% move?</p><p><blockquote>那么，运营支出后市场的大幅反弹是否改变了首席策略师的想法，即这个看似不可战胜的市场永远不会再次下跌，而不仅仅是象征性的5%波动？</blockquote></p><p> Today we got the answer in Wilson's latest weekly warm-up not, in which he makes it clear that his bearish outlook remains, and as he explains, \"our process tells us the risk-reward remains unattractive at the index level given slowing growth and rising rates. Meanwhile, price action can be interpreted bullishly or bearishly.&nbsp;<b>With 3Q earnings season likely to bring a much more muted outcome, we remain defensive in our positioning.</b>\"</p><p><blockquote>今天，我们在威尔逊最新的每周热身中得到了答案，他在其中明确表示，他的看跌前景仍然存在，正如他解释的那样，“我们的流程告诉我们，鉴于增长放缓和利率上升，风险回报在指数水平上仍然没有吸引力。与此同时，价格走势可以被解读为看涨或看跌。<b>由于第三季度财报季可能会带来更加温和的结果，我们的定位仍然是防御性的。</b>\"</blockquote></p><p> We'll get to why in a second, but first Wilson - realizing that he would get a criticism for what many viewed as a premature victory lap - spends the first few paragraphs of his latest note going over the details of his analytical process. This is how he lays it out:</p><p><blockquote>我们稍后会解释原因，但首先威尔逊意识到他会因为许多人认为他过早获胜而受到批评，他在最新笔记的前几段回顾了他的分析过程的细节。他是这样布局的：</blockquote></p><p>   <b>Our equity strategy process has several key components. Most importantly, we focus on the fundamentals of growth and valuation to determine whether the overall market is attractive and which sectors and stocks look the best/worst.</b>The rate of change on growth is more important than the absolute level, and we use a market-based equity risk premium framework that works well as long as you apply the correct regime when using it. In that regard, we’re an avid student of market cycles and believe historical analogs can be helpful. For example, the mid cycle transition narrative that has worked so well this year is derived directly from our study of historical economic and market cycles.    <b>The final component we spend a lot of time on is price.</b>While most would call this technical analysis, we’d like to think we do it a little bit differently. Markets aren’t always efficient, but we believe they are often very good leading indicators for the fundamentals—the ultimate driver of value. This is especially true if one looks at the internal movements and relative strength of individual securities. In short,   <b>we find these internals to be much more helpful than simply looking at the major averages.</b>    <b>This year, we think the process has lived up to its promise quite well with the price action lining up nicely with the fundamental backdrop.</b>In short, the large cap quality leadership since March is signaling what we believe is about to happen—i.e., decelerating growth and tightening financial conditions. The question for investors is whether the price action has fully discounted those outcomes.  With that disclosure in hand, and with the clear understanding that at least in his view investors are not discounting any adverse outcomes at this point, Wilson proceeds to discuss the recent market action, noting that stocks<b>\"sold off hard last Monday on concerns about the Evergrande bankruptcy\"</b>and while he adds that it is the Morgan Stanley \"house view\" that it likely won’t lead to a major financial contagion, \"it will probably weigh on China growth for the next few quarters which means that the growth deceleration we are expecting could be a bit worse.\"</p><p><blockquote><b>我们的股票策略流程有几个关键组成部分。最重要的是，我们关注增长和估值的基本面，以确定整体市场是否有吸引力，以及哪些板块和股票看起来最好/最差。</b>增长的变化率比绝对水平更重要，我们使用基于市场的股票风险溢价框架，只要您在使用时应用正确的制度，该框架就能很好地发挥作用。在这方面，我们是市场周期的热心学生，并相信历史类比会有所帮助。例如，今年表现良好的中期周期转型叙事直接来自我们对历史经济和市场周期的研究。<b>我们花费大量时间的最后一个因素是价格。</b>虽然大多数人会看涨期权这种技术分析，但我们认为我们做得有点不同。市场并不总是有效的，但我们相信它们通常是基本面（价值的最终驱动力）的非常好的领先指标。如果观察个别证券的内部走势和相对强度，情况尤其如此。总之，<b>我们发现这些内部因素比简单地查看主要平均值更有帮助。</b><b>今年，我们认为这一过程很好地兑现了其承诺，价格走势与基本面背景很好地一致。</b>简而言之，自3月份以来大盘股质量的领先地位发出了我们认为即将发生的事情的信号，即增长减速和金融状况收紧。投资者面临的问题是，价格走势是否完全低估了这些结果。有了这一披露，并清楚地认识到，至少在他看来，投资者目前并没有低估任何不利结果，威尔逊继续讨论最近的市场走势，指出股票<b>“上周一因担心恒大破产而遭到大量抛售”</b>虽然他补充说，摩根士丹利的“内部观点”是，这可能不会导致重大的金融危机蔓延，但“这可能会给中国未来几个季度的经济增长带来压力，这意味着我们预计的经济增长减速可能会更糟一点。”</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The other reason Wilson suggests was behind the market weakness early last week \"likely had to do with concern about the Fed articulating its plans to taper asset purchases later this year and perhaps even move up the timing of rate hikes to next year. On that score, the Fed did not disappoint as they pretty much told us to expect the taper to begin in December.<b>The surprise was the speed in which they expect to be done tapering—by mid 2022.</b>This is about a quarter sooner than the market had been anticipating and does move up the odds for a rate hike in 2022.\"</p><p><blockquote>威尔逊表示，上周初市场疲软背后的另一个原因“可能与担心美联储阐明其在今年晚些时候缩减资产购买计划，甚至可能将加息时间提前到明年有关。在这一点上，美联储并没有让人失望，因为他们几乎告诉我们预计缩减将在12月开始。<b>令人惊讶的是他们预计到2022年中期完成缩减的速度。</b>这比市场预期提前了约四分之一，确实增加了2022年加息的可能性。”</blockquote></p><p> Curiously last week's rally happened in the aftermath of the market's perplexing kneejerk response to the Fed meeting on Wednesday, when stocks rallied even as bonds sold off sharply, particularly at the back end. Real 10-year yields were up 11bps in 2 days and are now up 31bps in just 8 weeks (Exhibit 1). That according to Wilson is \"tightening of financial conditions for sure\" and should weigh on PEs overall but it also has big implications for what should work at the sector/style level (Exhibit 2).</p><p><blockquote>奇怪的是，上周的反弹发生在市场对周三美联储会议做出令人困惑的下意识反应之后，当时尽管债券大幅抛售，尤其是在后端，股市仍上涨。实际10年期国债收益率在两天内上涨了11个基点，现在在短短8周内上涨了31个基点（图表1）。根据威尔逊的说法，这是“金融状况肯定会收紧”，应该会对整体市盈率造成压力，但它也对行业/风格层面的工作产生重大影响（图表2）。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6f0bb937e8d564694c06b7e1362bd81\" tg-width=\"1035\" tg-height=\"266\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> In short, Wilson digs in and claims that higher real rates should mean lower P/Es overall which likely means lower S&amp;P 500, thus validating his bearish view which still sees the S&amp;P dropping some 20% from its current perch to hit 4,000 by year end. However, he concedes, \"it may also mean value over growth and small caps over Nasdaq even as the overall equity market goes lower.\"</p><p><blockquote>简而言之，Wilson深入研究并声称，较高的实际利率应该意味着较低的整体市盈率，这可能意味着较低的标普500，从而验证了他的看跌观点，即标准普尔指数仍将从目前的水平下跌约20%，到年底触及4,000点。然而，他承认，“这也可能意味着价值超过增长，小盘股超过纳斯达克，即使整体股市走低。”</blockquote></p><p> Which brings us to the key question we spent quite some time discussing last week, namely<b>why did stocks rally so much into the end of the week</b>on what Wilson says are odds that growth will decelerate more than expected from Evergrande and financial conditions may tighten faster?</p><p><blockquote>这就引出了我们上星期花了相当长时间讨论的关键问题，即<b>为什么股市在本周末大幅上涨</b>威尔逊认为恒大经济增长放缓幅度超过预期且财务状况可能更快收紧的可能性有多大？</blockquote></p><p> Here Wilson is at least honest - as he puts it - and says \"we’re not sure but we think this may be a time when the markets are playing tricks on investors and even setting a bit of a trap.\" Actually it's simpler than that and has to do with thegamma reversal and technical flows we pointed out last week, but one has to be a \"greek geek\" - like Nomura's Charlie McElligott - to get that.</p><p><blockquote>在这里，威尔逊至少是诚实的——正如他所说——并表示“我们不确定，但我们认为这可能是市场在捉弄投资者，甚至设置一点陷阱的时候。”实际上，这比这更简单，与我们上周指出的伽马反转和技术流有关，但必须是“希腊极客”——比如野村证券的查理·麦克埃利戈特——才能理解这一点。</blockquote></p><p> The other explanation proposed by Wilson is \"that investors were somewhat positioned for bad news going into the Fed meeting and the actual event simply served as a relief that it didn’t lead lower prices. This price action drove many investors to chase on Thursday for fear of missing out.<b>In short, don’t underestimate the power of price to determine how investors interpret the facts.</b>Just like negative price action can get people to sell the lows, positive price action can force people to buy\", he concludes.</p><p><blockquote>威尔逊提出的另一种解释是，“投资者在某种程度上对美联储会议的坏消息做好了准备，而实际事件只是让人松了一口气，因为它没有导致价格下跌。这种价格走势促使许多投资者在周四追逐，因为害怕错过。<b>简而言之，不要低估价格决定投资者如何解读事实的力量。</b>就像负面的价格行为可以让人们在低点卖出一样，积极的价格行为可以迫使人们买入”，他总结道。</blockquote></p><p> Whatever the reason for the initial bounce, it quickly accelerated and there was \"a lot of excitement last Thursday when stocks rallied sharply back above the 50 day moving average, a key barometer for many and a key level of support throughout this year for the S&amp;P 500.\" That this happened when the 50DMA was broken \"on near record levels of volume in both the cash and derivatives markets\" only punctuated the strength of the rebound. By Friday, that moving average had been reclaimed and closed above it for the week, an important technical win as even Wilson admits. However, he then adds, from his vantage point, \"the very well defined uptrend that has been established over the past year was broken and not reclaimed. Instead, it looks like the rally from Wednesday to Friday was simply \"filling the gap\" created from Monday's break.\"</p><p><blockquote>无论最初反弹的原因是什么，它很快就加速了，“上周四，当股市大幅反弹回到50日移动平均线上方时，人们非常兴奋，这是许多人的关键晴雨表，也是今年标普500的关键支撑位。”这种情况发生在“现金和衍生品市场成交量接近创纪录水平”的50日均线被突破时，这只会加剧反弹的强度。到周五，该移动平均线已被收复，并在本周收于该移动平均线之上，就连威尔逊也承认，这是一次重要的技术胜利。然而，他随后补充道，从他的角度来看，“过去一年建立的非常明确的上升趋势被打破了，没有恢复。相反，看起来周三至周五的反弹只是‘填补了缺口’。”周一休息。”</blockquote></p><p> His conclusion on upcoming market action will hardly come as a surprise to those who have followed Wilson's progressive pessimism across 2021: pointing to the market's inability to recover its prior trendline, he says \"this leaves the technical picture very uncertain in our view and one can now break either way. With our fundamental view skewing poorly at the moment, we lean to the bearish outcome.\"</p><p><blockquote>对于那些关注威尔逊在2021年逐步悲观情绪的人来说，他关于即将到来的市场行动的结论并不令人惊讶：他指出市场无法恢复之前的趋势线，他表示，“这使得我们认为技术面非常不确定，现在可以打破任何一种方式。由于我们的基本面观点目前不佳，我们倾向于看跌结果。”</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/41fc56e35f140c96104f8d8aa0826fd3\" tg-width=\"1100\" tg-height=\"602\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Getting back to his process, Wilson then says that he has high conviction that \"earnings growth is likely to decelerate more than what the current consensus is forecasting.\" Furthermore, he thinks the market is starting to agree with that view and points to market breadth as a good leading indicator for earnings revision breadth where he says \"direction is clear\" and pointing to the newly shrinking market breadth, he reminds readers that earnings revision breadth is a good leading indicator for the overall market.</p><p><blockquote>回到他的过程，威尔逊随后表示，他坚信“盈利增长的减速可能会超过当前共识的预测。”此外，他认为市场开始同意这一观点，并指出市场广度是盈利修正广度的良好领先指标，他说“方向很明确”，并指出新萎缩的市场广度，他提醒读者，盈利修正广度是整体市场的良好领先指标。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> It will therefore hardly come as a surprise that with Wilson still clearly bearish, his advice to clients is \"<b>don’t get too caught up in last week’s strong rebound from Monday’s sharp sell off\"</b>which he views as a clean break of the uptrend and a filling of the gap created from Monday's crack. And with the technical picture murky, \"<b>that's a time to trust the fundamental and cycle analyses which suggest lower equity prices ahead\"</b>and as growth decelerates and financial conditions tighten, valuations are likely to fall from their lofty levels.</p><p><blockquote>因此，由于威尔逊仍然明显看跌，他给客户的建议是“<b>不要太沉迷于上周从周一大幅抛售中的强劲反弹”</b>他认为这是对上升趋势的彻底突破，并填补了周一缺口造成的缺口。由于技术情况不明朗，”<b>现在是相信基本面和周期分析的时候了，这些分析表明未来股价会下跌。”</b>随着增长放缓和金融状况收紧，估值可能会从高位回落。</blockquote></p><p> * * *</p><p><blockquote>***</blockquote></p><p> With all that in mind, Wilson goes back to his core fundamental thesis which is simple: after a blockbuster Q2 season, earnings are set to drop substantially as a result of the margin compression we discussed most recently over the weekend, to wit:</p><p><blockquote>考虑到所有这些，威尔逊回到了他的核心基本论点，这个论点很简单：在经历了轰动一时的第二季度之后，由于我们最近在周末讨论的利润率压缩，盈利将大幅下降，即：</blockquote></p><p>   <b>Since the second quarter of 2020 earnings results have come in much higher than consensus forecasts</b>. Earnings beats ranged from 14% - 22% over this period while the median beat rate since 2008 is only 5%...We do not think companies will continue to beat at such an unprecedented rate and believe 3Q could see a material change in the more recent trend as supply chain issues and labor shortages pose a risk to both top line and margins.  <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f5e643723cfa540ad52a1dcebcba24f3\" tg-width=\"722\" tg-height=\"433\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote><b>自2020年第二季度以来，盈利结果远高于市场普遍预期</b>在此期间，盈利超出预期范围为14%-22%，而自2008年以来的中位超出预期率仅为5%……我们认为公司不会继续以如此前所未有的速度超出预期，并相信第三季度可能会出现重大变化随着供应链问题和劳动力短缺对营收和利润率构成风险，最近的趋势。</blockquote></p><p>   We looked at how 3Q earnings estimate revisions have trended at the industry group and sector level. Significant cuts have occurred in insurance, capital goods and transportation.   <b>Consumer Durables is the only area that has seen significant positive revisions at the industry group level. 3Q S&amp;P 500 estimates have fallen by 77 bps over past 4 weeks. We expect more downside.</b>  <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5496394c7a42ab136f68ba74c64cf83\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"451\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ef6beae58fd458a45024d160d45b4684\" tg-width=\"735\" tg-height=\"459\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote>我们研究了行业组和行业层面第三季度盈利预测修正的趋势。保险、资本货物和运输都出现了大幅削减。<b>耐用消费品是行业集团层面唯一出现重大积极修正的领域。过去4周，第三季度标普500预期下降了77个基点。我们预计会有更多的下行空间。</b></blockquote></p><p> No surprises there, as the margin compression story is a familiar one (\"Margins Crushed As Producer Prices Explode At Record Pace In July\"). To Wilson, however, this is the story and one which the market refuses to even consider:</p><p><blockquote>这并不奇怪，因为利润率压缩的故事是一个熟悉的故事（“随着7月份生产者价格以创纪录的速度爆炸，利润率被压垮”）。然而，对威尔逊来说，这是一个市场甚至拒绝考虑的故事：</blockquote></p><p> <b>2022 consensus margin estimates are historically lofty...</b>we examine the risks to margins in coming quarters through two different top down approaches. The spread between GDP growth and wage growth correlates fairly closely with operating margins over time. Based on our economists' estimates<b>, this spread should decelerate in coming quarters, which suggests margins should contract, not expand as bottom-up consensus expects</b>.</p><p><blockquote><b>2022年共识利润率预期处于历史高位……</b>我们通过两种不同的自上而下的方法来研究未来几个季度的利润率风险。随着时间的推移，GDP增长和工资增长之间的利差与营业利润率密切相关。基于我们经济学家的估计<b>这种利差应该会在未来几个季度减速，这表明利润率应该收缩，而不是像自下而上的共识预期的那样扩大</b>.</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e80ec048b5856ebf2159d1d9d0151334\" tg-width=\"751\" tg-height=\"578\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Further, corporate transcript mentions of \"cost pressures\" and related terms are historically elevated. When this has happened in the past, margins have consolidated.</p><p><blockquote>此外，公司记录中提及“成本压力”和相关术语的数量历来较高。当这种情况在过去发生时，利润率已经巩固。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/42c8fcfa4bb23d953d8c2079bc1a0ec5\" tg-width=\"773\" tg-height=\"540\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Wilson's final bearish point is that companies are reaching the limit on how much of rising input costs they can pass on to consumers. As he puts it, while \"many investors that we speak to are optimistic about corporates' ability to pass on cost through pricing and protect margins\" he would caution that \"prices in several consumer end markets are already at a level that is inhibiting demand. We think the risk of this dynamic (high prices leading to demand destruction) spreading to other areas of consumer demand is especially elevated because goods consumption is already so far above trend—<b>in other words, high prices are that much more of a deterrent given households have already overconsumed in many areas.\"</b></p><p><blockquote>威尔逊的最后一个看跌观点是，企业将投入成本上升转嫁给消费者的程度已经达到了极限。正如他所说，虽然“我们采访的许多投资者对企业通过定价转嫁成本和保护利润的能力持乐观态度”，但他警告说，“几个消费终端市场的价格已经处于抑制需求的水平。我们认为这种动态（高价格导致需求破坏）蔓延到消费者需求其他领域的风险尤其高，因为商品消费已经远远高于趋势——<b>换句话说，鉴于许多地区的家庭已经过度消费，高物价更具威慑力。”</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/216bbe5eae73445b35a9152e741dccef\" tg-width=\"1009\" tg-height=\"801\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Translation: absent another multi-trillion stimmy - and thanks to the chaos in the democratic party we know one is unlikely to come - Wilson's call for a 20% drop in stocks in the next few months remains intact.</p><p><blockquote>翻译：如果没有另一个数万亿美元的刺激——由于民主党的混乱，我们知道不太可能出现——威尔逊未来几个月股市下跌20%的看涨期权仍然完好无损。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/morgan-stanley-dismisses-strong-rebound-remains-bearish-coming-earnings-disappointment\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/morgan-stanley-dismisses-strong-rebound-remains-bearish-coming-earnings-disappointment","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1166571782","content_text":"For just a few hours last Monday, Morgan Stanley's chief economist felt vindicated: with stocks tumbling on Evergrande default fears, Wilson emerged from his faux-bull cocoon (havingraised his year-end S&P price target from 3,900 to 4,000 in Augustin a note that reeked of disgust with what he was being told to do) and warned that an \"Ice is coming\", referring to a 20% drop in stocks as opposed to the more modest 10% correction envisioned in his \"fire\" scenario, saying that \"the \"ice\" scenario is starting to look more likely, and could result in a more destructive outcome – i.e. a 20%+ correction\", a drop he expects will take place some time this fall.\nWilson also predicted that with earnings growth and PMIs set to drop, it would adversely impact forward PE multiples and by extension the S&P.\n\nWell, what a difference 7 days makes: with Evergrande default fears now long forgotten with little to no offshore contagion, the S&P is almost 150 points from its \"Evergrande Monday\" lows and once again pushing back toward all time highs (even if with a major rotation in the leadership as tech stocks are now sliding, having been replaced by value, cyclical and reopening names) in the process yet again foiling Wilson's bearish visions.\nSo has the market's sharp post-opex bounce changed the mind of the chief strategist that this seemingly invincible market will never go down again more than just a token 5% move?\nToday we got the answer in Wilson's latest weekly warm-up not, in which he makes it clear that his bearish outlook remains, and as he explains, \"our process tells us the risk-reward remains unattractive at the index level given slowing growth and rising rates. Meanwhile, price action can be interpreted bullishly or bearishly. With 3Q earnings season likely to bring a much more muted outcome, we remain defensive in our positioning.\"\nWe'll get to why in a second, but first Wilson - realizing that he would get a criticism for what many viewed as a premature victory lap - spends the first few paragraphs of his latest note going over the details of his analytical process. This is how he lays it out:\n\nOur equity strategy process has several key components. Most importantly, we focus on the fundamentals of growth and valuation to determine whether the overall market is attractive and which sectors and stocks look the best/worst.The rate of change on growth is more important than the absolute level, and we use a market-based equity risk premium framework that works well as long as you apply the correct regime when using it. In that regard, we’re an avid student of market cycles and believe historical analogs can be helpful. For example, the mid cycle transition narrative that has worked so well this year is derived directly from our study of historical economic and market cycles.\n\n\nThe final component we spend a lot of time on is price.While most would call this technical analysis, we’d like to think we do it a little bit differently. Markets aren’t always efficient, but we believe they are often very good leading indicators for the fundamentals—the ultimate driver of value. This is especially true if one looks at the internal movements and relative strength of individual securities. In short, \n we find these internals to be much more helpful than simply looking at the major averages.\n\n\nThis year, we think the process has lived up to its promise quite well with the price action lining up nicely with the fundamental backdrop.In short, the large cap quality leadership since March is signaling what we believe is about to happen—i.e., decelerating growth and tightening financial conditions. The question for investors is whether the price action has fully discounted those outcomes.\n\nWith that disclosure in hand, and with the clear understanding that at least in his view investors are not discounting any adverse outcomes at this point, Wilson proceeds to discuss the recent market action, noting that stocks\"sold off hard last Monday on concerns about the Evergrande bankruptcy\"and while he adds that it is the Morgan Stanley \"house view\" that it likely won’t lead to a major financial contagion, \"it will probably weigh on China growth for the next few quarters which means that the growth deceleration we are expecting could be a bit worse.\"\nThe other reason Wilson suggests was behind the market weakness early last week \"likely had to do with concern about the Fed articulating its plans to taper asset purchases later this year and perhaps even move up the timing of rate hikes to next year. On that score, the Fed did not disappoint as they pretty much told us to expect the taper to begin in December.The surprise was the speed in which they expect to be done tapering—by mid 2022.This is about a quarter sooner than the market had been anticipating and does move up the odds for a rate hike in 2022.\"\nCuriously last week's rally happened in the aftermath of the market's perplexing kneejerk response to the Fed meeting on Wednesday, when stocks rallied even as bonds sold off sharply, particularly at the back end. Real 10-year yields were up 11bps in 2 days and are now up 31bps in just 8 weeks (Exhibit 1). That according to Wilson is \"tightening of financial conditions for sure\" and should weigh on PEs overall but it also has big implications for what should work at the sector/style level (Exhibit 2).\n\nIn short, Wilson digs in and claims that higher real rates should mean lower P/Es overall which likely means lower S&P 500, thus validating his bearish view which still sees the S&P dropping some 20% from its current perch to hit 4,000 by year end. However, he concedes, \"it may also mean value over growth and small caps over Nasdaq even as the overall equity market goes lower.\"\nWhich brings us to the key question we spent quite some time discussing last week, namelywhy did stocks rally so much into the end of the weekon what Wilson says are odds that growth will decelerate more than expected from Evergrande and financial conditions may tighten faster?\nHere Wilson is at least honest - as he puts it - and says \"we’re not sure but we think this may be a time when the markets are playing tricks on investors and even setting a bit of a trap.\" Actually it's simpler than that and has to do with thegamma reversal and technical flows we pointed out last week, but one has to be a \"greek geek\" - like Nomura's Charlie McElligott - to get that.\nThe other explanation proposed by Wilson is \"that investors were somewhat positioned for bad news going into the Fed meeting and the actual event simply served as a relief that it didn’t lead lower prices. This price action drove many investors to chase on Thursday for fear of missing out.In short, don’t underestimate the power of price to determine how investors interpret the facts.Just like negative price action can get people to sell the lows, positive price action can force people to buy\", he concludes.\nWhatever the reason for the initial bounce, it quickly accelerated and there was \"a lot of excitement last Thursday when stocks rallied sharply back above the 50 day moving average, a key barometer for many and a key level of support throughout this year for the S&P 500.\" That this happened when the 50DMA was broken \"on near record levels of volume in both the cash and derivatives markets\" only punctuated the strength of the rebound. By Friday, that moving average had been reclaimed and closed above it for the week, an important technical win as even Wilson admits. However, he then adds, from his vantage point, \"the very well defined uptrend that has been established over the past year was broken and not reclaimed. Instead, it looks like the rally from Wednesday to Friday was simply \"filling the gap\" created from Monday's break.\"\nHis conclusion on upcoming market action will hardly come as a surprise to those who have followed Wilson's progressive pessimism across 2021: pointing to the market's inability to recover its prior trendline, he says \"this leaves the technical picture very uncertain in our view and one can now break either way. With our fundamental view skewing poorly at the moment, we lean to the bearish outcome.\"\n\nGetting back to his process, Wilson then says that he has high conviction that \"earnings growth is likely to decelerate more than what the current consensus is forecasting.\" Furthermore, he thinks the market is starting to agree with that view and points to market breadth as a good leading indicator for earnings revision breadth where he says \"direction is clear\" and pointing to the newly shrinking market breadth, he reminds readers that earnings revision breadth is a good leading indicator for the overall market.\nIt will therefore hardly come as a surprise that with Wilson still clearly bearish, his advice to clients is \"don’t get too caught up in last week’s strong rebound from Monday’s sharp sell off\"which he views as a clean break of the uptrend and a filling of the gap created from Monday's crack. And with the technical picture murky, \"that's a time to trust the fundamental and cycle analyses which suggest lower equity prices ahead\"and as growth decelerates and financial conditions tighten, valuations are likely to fall from their lofty levels.\n* * *\nWith all that in mind, Wilson goes back to his core fundamental thesis which is simple: after a blockbuster Q2 season, earnings are set to drop substantially as a result of the margin compression we discussed most recently over the weekend, to wit:\n\nSince the second quarter of 2020 earnings results have come in much higher than consensus forecasts. Earnings beats ranged from 14% - 22% over this period while the median beat rate since 2008 is only 5%...We do not think companies will continue to beat at such an unprecedented rate and believe 3Q could see a material change in the more recent trend as supply chain issues and labor shortages pose a risk to both top line and margins.\n\n\n\n We looked at how 3Q earnings estimate revisions have trended at the industry group and sector level. Significant cuts have occurred in insurance, capital goods and transportation. \n Consumer Durables is the only area that has seen significant positive revisions at the industry group level. 3Q S&P 500 estimates have fallen by 77 bps over past 4 weeks. We expect more downside.\n\n\nNo surprises there, as the margin compression story is a familiar one (\"Margins Crushed As Producer Prices Explode At Record Pace In July\"). To Wilson, however, this is the story and one which the market refuses to even consider:\n2022 consensus margin estimates are historically lofty...we examine the risks to margins in coming quarters through two different top down approaches. The spread between GDP growth and wage growth correlates fairly closely with operating margins over time. Based on our economists' estimates, this spread should decelerate in coming quarters, which suggests margins should contract, not expand as bottom-up consensus expects.\n\nFurther, corporate transcript mentions of \"cost pressures\" and related terms are historically elevated. When this has happened in the past, margins have consolidated.\n\nWilson's final bearish point is that companies are reaching the limit on how much of rising input costs they can pass on to consumers. As he puts it, while \"many investors that we speak to are optimistic about corporates' ability to pass on cost through pricing and protect margins\" he would caution that \"prices in several consumer end markets are already at a level that is inhibiting demand. We think the risk of this dynamic (high prices leading to demand destruction) spreading to other areas of consumer demand is especially elevated because goods consumption is already so far above trend—in other words, high prices are that much more of a deterrent given households have already overconsumed in many areas.\"\n\nTranslation: absent another multi-trillion stimmy - and thanks to the chaos in the democratic party we know one is unlikely to come - Wilson's call for a 20% drop in stocks in the next few months remains intact.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3504,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"CN","totalScore":0},{"id":861024249,"gmtCreate":1632444063081,"gmtModify":1632724684847,"author":{"id":"3574934794715748","authorId":"3574934794715748","name":"Medini13","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c405cab753c37ca8069a09a8847ddc1","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574934794715748","idStr":"3574934794715748"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/861024249","repostId":"2169240695","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3054,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":869860517,"gmtCreate":1632272835639,"gmtModify":1632801593576,"author":{"id":"3574934794715748","authorId":"3574934794715748","name":"Medini13","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c405cab753c37ca8069a09a8847ddc1","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574934794715748","idStr":"3574934794715748"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/869860517","repostId":"2169324976","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3134,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":860403410,"gmtCreate":1632193428530,"gmtModify":1632802149587,"author":{"id":"3574934794715748","authorId":"3574934794715748","name":"Medini13","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c405cab753c37ca8069a09a8847ddc1","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574934794715748","idStr":"3574934794715748"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/860403410","repostId":"2169681424","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2940,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":887738177,"gmtCreate":1632098358399,"gmtModify":1632802888466,"author":{"id":"3574934794715748","authorId":"3574934794715748","name":"Medini13","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c405cab753c37ca8069a09a8847ddc1","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574934794715748","idStr":"3574934794715748"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice&nbsp;","listText":"Nice&nbsp;","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/887738177","repostId":"1194891884","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1194891884","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1632091615,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1194891884?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-20 06:46","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nike, Costco, FedEx, Salesforce, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>耐克、好市多、联邦快递、Salesforce和其他本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1194891884","media":"Barrons","summary":"The main event this week will be the Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting. Investors will also","content":"<p>The main event this week will be the Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting. Investors will also be watching for several corporate earnings releases, investor days, and the latest economic data.</p><p><blockquote>本周重头戏将是美联储9月政策会议。投资者还将关注多家企业财报发布、投资者日和最新经济数据。</blockquote></p><p> Lennar reports quarterly earnings on Monday, followed by results from Adobe, AutoZone, and FedEx on Tuesday. General Mills goes on Wednesday, then Nike, Accenture, Costco Wholesale, and Darden Restaurants report&nbsp;on Thursday. Investor days this week include&nbsp;Biogen on Tuesday,&nbsp;Weyerhaeuser on Wednesday, and&nbsp;Salesforce.com on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>Lennar将于周一公布季度收益，随后Adobe、AutoZone和FedEx将于周二公布业绩。通用磨坊周三上市，然后耐克、埃森哲、好市多批发和达顿餐厅周四上市。本周的投资者日包括周二的Biogen、周三的Weyerhaeuser和周四的Salesforce。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy committee meets on Tuesday and Wednesday this week. The central bank is unlikely&nbsp;to change its target interest rate range, but could give an update on its plans to begin reducing its monthly asset purchases. Wednesday afternoon’s&nbsp;press conference with Fed chair Jerome Powell will be closely&nbsp;watched.</p><p><blockquote>美联储货币政策委员会将于本周周二和周三召开会议。央行不太可能改变其目标利率区间，但可能会更新其开始减少每月资产购买的计划。周三下午美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的新闻发布会将受到密切关注。</blockquote></p><p> Economic data out this week include the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index for August on Thursday. There will also be several updates on the U.S. housing market including the National Association of Home Builders’ Housing Market Index for September on Monday, the Census Bureau’s new residential construction data for August on Tuesday, and the National Association of Realtors’&nbsp;existing-home sales for August on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的经济数据包括周四公布的世界大型企业联合会8月份领先经济指数。美国房地产市场还将发布多项更新，包括周一全国住宅建筑商协会9月份住房市场指数、周二人口普查局8月份新住宅建设数据以及全国房地产经纪人协会现房销售数据。周三八月。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 9/20</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一9/20</b></blockquote></p><p> Lennar reports third-quarter fiscal-2021 results.</p><p><blockquote>Lennar报告2021财年第三季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Merck presents data on its portfolio of cancer drugs, in conjunction with the European Society for Medical Oncology’s 2021 Congress.</p><p><blockquote>默克公司在欧洲肿瘤内科学会2021年大会上展示了其癌症药物组合的数据。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b>&nbsp;of Home Builders releases its Housing Market Index for September. Economists forecast a 73 reading, two points below August’s figure, which was the lowest in more than a year.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房屋建筑商协会发布了9月份的房地产市场指数。经济学家预测为73，比8月份的数据低两个百分点，这是一年多来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 9/21</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二9/21</b></blockquote></p><p> Adobe, AutoZone, and FedEx release earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Adobe、AutoZone和FedEx发布财报。</blockquote></p><p> Biogen hosts an investor day to discuss its pipeline of neuroscience therapeutics.</p><p><blockquote>百健(Biogen)举办投资者日活动，讨论其神经科学治疗产品线。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b>&nbsp;reports on new residential construction for August. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.55 million housing starts, 1% higher than the July level. Housing starts are down from their post–financial crisis peak of 1.725 million, reached in March of this year.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>八月份新住宅建设报告。市场普遍估计，经季节调整后的新屋开工年率为155万套，比7月份的水平高出1%。新屋开工量较今年3月达到的金融危机后172.5万套的峰值有所下降。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 9/22</b></p><p><blockquote><b>9/22星期三</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The FOMC announces</b>&nbsp;its monetary-policy decision. The Federal Reserve is likely to keep the federal-funds rate unchanged at near zero, but might signal that it will pare its asset purchases later this year.</p><p><blockquote><b>FOMC宣布</b>它的货币政策决定。美联储可能会将联邦基金利率维持在接近零的水平不变，但可能会暗示将在今年晚些时候削减资产购买。</blockquote></p><p> General Mills reports first-quarter fiscal-2022 results.</p><p><blockquote>通用磨坊公布2022财年第一季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Boston Scientific,Weyerhaeuser, and&nbsp;Yum China Holdings&nbsp;host their 2021 investor days.</p><p><blockquote>波士顿科学、惠好和百胜中国控股举办2021年投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>TheBank of Japan</b>&nbsp;announces its monetary-policy decision. The BOJ is widely expected to keep its key short-term interest rate unchanged at minus 0.1%, as Tokyo and other regions remain in a state of emergency through the end of September due to the Covid-19 Delta variant.</p><p><blockquote><b>日本银行</b>宣布其货币政策决定。市场普遍预计日本央行将把关键短期利率维持在负0.1%不变，因为由于Covid-19德尔塔变异毒株，东京都和其他地区在9月底之前仍处于紧急状态。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b>&nbsp;of Realtors reports existing-home sales for August. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 578,000 homes sold, down 3.5%&nbsp;from July’s 599,000.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房地产经纪人报告8月份现房销售情况。预计经季节调整后的房屋销售量为578,000套，比7月份的599,000套下降3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 9/23</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四9/23</b></blockquote></p><p> Accenture, Costco Wholesale, Darden Restaurants, and Nike hold conference calls to discuss their quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>Accenture、Costco Wholesale、Darden Restaurants和Nike在评级召开会议讨论季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Salesforce.com holds its 2021 investor day. CEO Marc Benioff and Slack CEO Stewart Butterfield will be among the participants. Salesforce completed its $28 billion acquisition of Slack this summer.</p><p><blockquote>Salesforce.com举办2021年投资者日。首席执行官马克·贝尼奥夫和Slack首席执行官斯图尔特·巴特菲尔德将是参与者之一。Salesforce今年夏天完成了对Slack的280亿美元收购。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Conference Board</b>&nbsp;releases its Leading Economic Index for August. Economists forecast a 0.5% month-over-month rise, after a 0.9% increase in July. The Conference Board currently projects 6% gross-domestic-product growth for 2021, and 4% for 2022.</p><p><blockquote><b>世界大型企业联合会</b>发布8月份领先经济指数。经济学家预测环比增长0.5%，7月份增长0.9%。世界大型企业联合会目前预计2021年国内生产总值增长6%，2022年增长4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 9/24</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五9/24</b></blockquote></p><p> Kansas City Southernhosts a special shareholder meeting to vote on a proposed merger withCanadian Pacific Railway.</p><p><blockquote>堪萨斯城南方铁路公司召开特别股东大会，就与加拿大太平洋铁路公司的合并提案进行投票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nike, Costco, FedEx, Salesforce, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>耐克、好市多、联邦快递、Salesforce和其他本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNike, Costco, FedEx, Salesforce, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>耐克、好市多、联邦快递、Salesforce和其他本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-20 06:46</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The main event this week will be the Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting. Investors will also be watching for several corporate earnings releases, investor days, and the latest economic data.</p><p><blockquote>本周重头戏将是美联储9月政策会议。投资者还将关注多家企业财报发布、投资者日和最新经济数据。</blockquote></p><p> Lennar reports quarterly earnings on Monday, followed by results from Adobe, AutoZone, and FedEx on Tuesday. General Mills goes on Wednesday, then Nike, Accenture, Costco Wholesale, and Darden Restaurants report&nbsp;on Thursday. Investor days this week include&nbsp;Biogen on Tuesday,&nbsp;Weyerhaeuser on Wednesday, and&nbsp;Salesforce.com on Thursday.</p><p><blockquote>Lennar将于周一公布季度收益，随后Adobe、AutoZone和FedEx将于周二公布业绩。通用磨坊周三上市，然后耐克、埃森哲、好市多批发和达顿餐厅周四上市。本周的投资者日包括周二的Biogen、周三的Weyerhaeuser和周四的Salesforce。</blockquote></p><p> The Federal Reserve’s monetary policy committee meets on Tuesday and Wednesday this week. The central bank is unlikely&nbsp;to change its target interest rate range, but could give an update on its plans to begin reducing its monthly asset purchases. Wednesday afternoon’s&nbsp;press conference with Fed chair Jerome Powell will be closely&nbsp;watched.</p><p><blockquote>美联储货币政策委员会将于本周周二和周三召开会议。央行不太可能改变其目标利率区间，但可能会更新其开始减少每月资产购买的计划。周三下午美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的新闻发布会将受到密切关注。</blockquote></p><p> Economic data out this week include the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index for August on Thursday. There will also be several updates on the U.S. housing market including the National Association of Home Builders’ Housing Market Index for September on Monday, the Census Bureau’s new residential construction data for August on Tuesday, and the National Association of Realtors’&nbsp;existing-home sales for August on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的经济数据包括周四公布的世界大型企业联合会8月份领先经济指数。美国房地产市场还将发布多项更新，包括周一全国住宅建筑商协会9月份住房市场指数、周二人口普查局8月份新住宅建设数据以及全国房地产经纪人协会现房销售数据。周三八月。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 9/20</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一9/20</b></blockquote></p><p> Lennar reports third-quarter fiscal-2021 results.</p><p><blockquote>Lennar报告2021财年第三季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Merck presents data on its portfolio of cancer drugs, in conjunction with the European Society for Medical Oncology’s 2021 Congress.</p><p><blockquote>默克公司在欧洲肿瘤内科学会2021年大会上展示了其癌症药物组合的数据。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b>&nbsp;of Home Builders releases its Housing Market Index for September. Economists forecast a 73 reading, two points below August’s figure, which was the lowest in more than a year.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房屋建筑商协会发布了9月份的房地产市场指数。经济学家预测为73，比8月份的数据低两个百分点，这是一年多来的最低水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 9/21</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二9/21</b></blockquote></p><p> Adobe, AutoZone, and FedEx release earnings.</p><p><blockquote>Adobe、AutoZone和FedEx发布财报。</blockquote></p><p> Biogen hosts an investor day to discuss its pipeline of neuroscience therapeutics.</p><p><blockquote>百健(Biogen)举办投资者日活动，讨论其神经科学治疗产品线。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b>&nbsp;reports on new residential construction for August. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.55 million housing starts, 1% higher than the July level. Housing starts are down from their post–financial crisis peak of 1.725 million, reached in March of this year.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>八月份新住宅建设报告。市场普遍估计，经季节调整后的新屋开工年率为155万套，比7月份的水平高出1%。新屋开工量较今年3月达到的金融危机后172.5万套的峰值有所下降。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 9/22</b></p><p><blockquote><b>9/22星期三</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>The FOMC announces</b>&nbsp;its monetary-policy decision. The Federal Reserve is likely to keep the federal-funds rate unchanged at near zero, but might signal that it will pare its asset purchases later this year.</p><p><blockquote><b>FOMC宣布</b>它的货币政策决定。美联储可能会将联邦基金利率维持在接近零的水平不变，但可能会暗示将在今年晚些时候削减资产购买。</blockquote></p><p> General Mills reports first-quarter fiscal-2022 results.</p><p><blockquote>通用磨坊公布2022财年第一季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Boston Scientific,Weyerhaeuser, and&nbsp;Yum China Holdings&nbsp;host their 2021 investor days.</p><p><blockquote>波士顿科学、惠好和百胜中国控股举办2021年投资者日。</blockquote></p><p> <b>TheBank of Japan</b>&nbsp;announces its monetary-policy decision. The BOJ is widely expected to keep its key short-term interest rate unchanged at minus 0.1%, as Tokyo and other regions remain in a state of emergency through the end of September due to the Covid-19 Delta variant.</p><p><blockquote><b>日本银行</b>宣布其货币政策决定。市场普遍预计日本央行将把关键短期利率维持在负0.1%不变，因为由于Covid-19德尔塔变异毒株，东京都和其他地区在9月底之前仍处于紧急状态。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The National Association</b>&nbsp;of Realtors reports existing-home sales for August. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 578,000 homes sold, down 3.5%&nbsp;from July’s 599,000.</p><p><blockquote><b>全国协会</b>房地产经纪人报告8月份现房销售情况。预计经季节调整后的房屋销售量为578,000套，比7月份的599,000套下降3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 9/23</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四9/23</b></blockquote></p><p> Accenture, Costco Wholesale, Darden Restaurants, and Nike hold conference calls to discuss their quarterly results.</p><p><blockquote>Accenture、Costco Wholesale、Darden Restaurants和Nike在评级召开会议讨论季度业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Salesforce.com holds its 2021 investor day. CEO Marc Benioff and Slack CEO Stewart Butterfield will be among the participants. Salesforce completed its $28 billion acquisition of Slack this summer.</p><p><blockquote>Salesforce.com举办2021年投资者日。首席执行官马克·贝尼奥夫和Slack首席执行官斯图尔特·巴特菲尔德将是参与者之一。Salesforce今年夏天完成了对Slack的280亿美元收购。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Conference Board</b>&nbsp;releases its Leading Economic Index for August. Economists forecast a 0.5% month-over-month rise, after a 0.9% increase in July. The Conference Board currently projects 6% gross-domestic-product growth for 2021, and 4% for 2022.</p><p><blockquote><b>世界大型企业联合会</b>发布8月份领先经济指数。经济学家预测环比增长0.5%，7月份增长0.9%。世界大型企业联合会目前预计2021年国内生产总值增长6%，2022年增长4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Friday 9/24</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期五9/24</b></blockquote></p><p> Kansas City Southernhosts a special shareholder meeting to vote on a proposed merger withCanadian Pacific Railway.</p><p><blockquote>堪萨斯城南方铁路公司召开特别股东大会，就与加拿大太平洋铁路公司的合并提案进行投票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/nike-costco-fedex-salesforce-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51632078208?mod=hp_LEAD_2\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ADBE":"Adobe",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","FDX":"联邦快递",".DJI":"道琼斯","NKE":"耐克","COST":"好市多","CRM":"赛富时"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/nike-costco-fedex-salesforce-and-other-stocks-for-investors-to-watch-this-week-51632078208?mod=hp_LEAD_2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1194891884","content_text":"The main event this week will be the Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting. Investors will also be watching for several corporate earnings releases, investor days, and the latest economic data.\nLennar reports quarterly earnings on Monday, followed by results from Adobe, AutoZone, and FedEx on Tuesday. General Mills goes on Wednesday, then Nike, Accenture, Costco Wholesale, and Darden Restaurants report on Thursday. Investor days this week include Biogen on Tuesday, Weyerhaeuser on Wednesday, and Salesforce.com on Thursday.\nThe Federal Reserve’s monetary policy committee meets on Tuesday and Wednesday this week. The central bank is unlikely to change its target interest rate range, but could give an update on its plans to begin reducing its monthly asset purchases. Wednesday afternoon’s press conference with Fed chair Jerome Powell will be closely watched.\nEconomic data out this week include the Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index for August on Thursday. There will also be several updates on the U.S. housing market including the National Association of Home Builders’ Housing Market Index for September on Monday, the Census Bureau’s new residential construction data for August on Tuesday, and the National Association of Realtors’ existing-home sales for August on Wednesday.\nMonday 9/20\nLennar reports third-quarter fiscal-2021 results.\nMerck presents data on its portfolio of cancer drugs, in conjunction with the European Society for Medical Oncology’s 2021 Congress.\nThe National Association of Home Builders releases its Housing Market Index for September. Economists forecast a 73 reading, two points below August’s figure, which was the lowest in more than a year.\nTuesday 9/21\nAdobe, AutoZone, and FedEx release earnings.\nBiogen hosts an investor day to discuss its pipeline of neuroscience therapeutics.\nThe Census Bureau reports on new residential construction for August. Consensus estimate is for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.55 million housing starts, 1% higher than the July level. Housing starts are down from their post–financial crisis peak of 1.725 million, reached in March of this year.\nWednesday 9/22\nThe FOMC announces its monetary-policy decision. The Federal Reserve is likely to keep the federal-funds rate unchanged at near zero, but might signal that it will pare its asset purchases later this year.\nGeneral Mills reports first-quarter fiscal-2022 results.\nBoston Scientific,Weyerhaeuser, and Yum China Holdings host their 2021 investor days.\nTheBank of Japan announces its monetary-policy decision. The BOJ is widely expected to keep its key short-term interest rate unchanged at minus 0.1%, as Tokyo and other regions remain in a state of emergency through the end of September due to the Covid-19 Delta variant.\nThe National Association of Realtors reports existing-home sales for August. Expectations are for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 578,000 homes sold, down 3.5% from July’s 599,000.\nThursday 9/23\nAccenture, Costco Wholesale, Darden Restaurants, and Nike hold conference calls to discuss their quarterly results.\nSalesforce.com holds its 2021 investor day. CEO Marc Benioff and Slack CEO Stewart Butterfield will be among the participants. Salesforce completed its $28 billion acquisition of Slack this summer.\nThe Conference Board releases its Leading Economic Index for August. Economists forecast a 0.5% month-over-month rise, after a 0.9% increase in July. The Conference Board currently projects 6% gross-domestic-product growth for 2021, and 4% for 2022.\nFriday 9/24\nKansas City Southernhosts a special shareholder meeting to vote on a proposed merger withCanadian Pacific Railway.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"NKE":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"ADBE":0.9,"CRM":0.9,"COST":0.9,"FDX":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":535,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":887815321,"gmtCreate":1632016742963,"gmtModify":1632803340765,"author":{"id":"3574934794715748","authorId":"3574934794715748","name":"Medini13","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c405cab753c37ca8069a09a8847ddc1","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574934794715748","idStr":"3574934794715748"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/887815321","repostId":"1171558890","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1171558890","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631921912,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1171558890?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-18 07:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US IPO Week Ahead: Software, consumer products, and payment tech lead a diverse 14 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周：软件、消费品和支付技术引领多元化14周IPO周</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171558890","media":"renaissancecap...","summary":"Summer may be over, but the IPO market is just heating up as 14 IPOs are slated to raise $5.3 billio","content":"<p>Summer may be over, but the IPO market is just heating up as 14 IPOs are slated to raise $5.3 billion in the week ahead. The diverse group includes software, consumer products, payment technology, and more.</p><p><blockquote>夏季可能已经结束，但IPO市场刚刚升温，未来一周将有14起IPO筹集53亿美元。多元化的群体包括软件、消费品、支付技术等等。</blockquote></p><p> The largest deal of the week,<b>Freshworks</b>(FRSH) plans to raise $855 million at a $9.6 billion market cap. The company’s core product is its customer support software, and it also offers IT service management software and a nascent competitor to CRM solutions. While losses are expected to increase with S&amp;M spending, Freshworks has delivered solid growth and 100%+ net dollar-based revenue retention as of 6/30/21.</p><p><blockquote>本周最大的交易，<b>Freshworks</b>(FRSH)计划以96亿美元的市值筹集8.55亿美元。该公司的核心产品是其客户支持软件，它还提供IT服务管理软件和CRM解决方案的新兴竞争对手。虽然亏损预计会随着S&amp;M支出的增加而增加，但截至2011年6月30日，Freshworks实现了稳健的增长和100%以上的净美元收入保留率。</blockquote></p><p> Canadian consumer products company&nbsp;<b>Knowlton Development</b>(KDC) plans to raise $800 million at a $3.1 billion market cap. Over the past three years, Knowlton has been responsible for co-developing 9,000+ products across a variety of categories, and its products are sold by its brand partners in 70+ countries. Despite using offering proceeds to pay down debt, Knowlton will be leveraged post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大消费品公司<b>诺尔顿发展</b>(KDC)计划以31亿美元的市值筹集8亿美元。在过去的三年里，Knowlton负责共同开发了9,000多种产品，其产品由70多个国家的品牌合作伙伴销售。尽管诺尔顿将使用发行收益来偿还债务，但IPO后仍将发挥杠杆作用。</blockquote></p><p> Restaurant payment processor&nbsp;<b>Toast</b>(TOST) plans to raise $685 million at a $17.9 billion market cap. Toast provides a suite of integrated payment and software solutions that are designed to streamline restaurant operations. The company grew ARR over 100% in the 1H21, though it has historically been unprofitable, and growth could slow as tailwinds from restaurants reopening abate.</p><p><blockquote>餐厅支付处理器<b>吐司</b>(TOST)计划以179亿美元的市值筹集6.85亿美元。Toast提供一套集成支付和软件解决方案，旨在简化餐厅运营。该公司在2021年上半年的ARR增长率超过100%，尽管它历来没有盈利，而且随着餐厅重新开业的推动力减弱，增长可能会放缓。</blockquote></p><p> Global money transfer firm&nbsp;<b>Remitly Global</b>(RELY) plans to raise $487 million at a $7.5 billion market cap. Remitly provides digital financial services for immigrants and their families in over 135 countries, and it has expanded its core cross-border remittance product to over 1,700 corridors worldwide. The company has demonstrated growth and margin improvement, though it remains unprofitable.</p><p><blockquote>全球汇款公司<b>全球汇款</b>(RELY)计划以75亿美元的市值筹集4.87亿美元。Remitly为超过135个国家的移民及其家人提供数字金融服务，并已将其核心跨境汇款产品扩展到全球1,700多个走廊。该公司已实现增长和利润率提高，但仍未盈利。</blockquote></p><p> Software firm&nbsp;<b>Clearwater Analytics</b>(CWAN) plans to raise $450 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. Clearwater provides its 1,000+ clients with cloud-native software that allows them to simplify their investment accounting operations, and the company has a 100% recurring revenue model. A new investor and certain existing shareholders intend to purchase $150 million worth of shares in the IPO.</p><p><blockquote>软件公司<b>清水分析</b>(CWAN)计划以37亿美元的市值筹集4.5亿美元。Clearwater为其1,000多家客户提供云原生软件，使他们能够简化投资会计操作，并且该公司拥有100%的经常性收入模式。一位新投资者和某些现有股东打算在IPO中购买价值1.5亿美元的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Food company&nbsp;<b>Sovos Brands</b>(SOVO) plans to raise $350 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Formed by Advent International, Sovos Brands offers a select group of acquired premium food brands. According to the company, its largest brand of products, Rao's, included the #1 selling SKU in the pasta and pizza sauce category. Profitable with solid growth, Sovos will be leveraged post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote>食品公司<b>索沃斯品牌</b>(SOVO)计划以15亿美元的市值筹集3.5亿美元。Sovos Brands由Advent International组建，提供一组精选的收购优质食品品牌。据该公司称，其最大的产品品牌Rao’s是意大利面和披萨酱类别中销量第一的SKU。Sovos盈利稳健增长，IPO后将发挥杠杆作用。</blockquote></p><p> Customer engagement software provider&nbsp;<b>EngageSmart</b>(ESMT) plans to raise $349 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. The company provides software that simplifies online workflows like paperless billing, electronic payment processing, scheduling, and client communication. While growth may slow post-pandemic, EngageSmart has a sticky customer based and a long track record of profitability.</p><p><blockquote>客户参与软件提供商<b>参与智能</b>(ESMT)计划以41亿美元的市值筹集3.49亿美元。该公司提供简化在线工作流程的软件，如无纸化计费、电子支付处理、日程安排和客户沟通。虽然大流行后增长可能会放缓，但EngageSmart拥有粘性客户群和长期的盈利记录。</blockquote></p><p> Hiring solutions provider&nbsp;<b>Sterling Check</b>(STER) plans to raise $300 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. Sterling is one of the leading US providers of background checks for corporate and government customers. The company serves more than 50% of the Fortune 100, often with exclusive contracts, though it operates in a highly competitive market.</p><p><blockquote>招聘解决方案提供商<b>英镑支票</b>(STER)计划以21亿美元的市值筹集3亿美元。Sterling是美国领先的企业和政府客户背景调查提供商之一。尽管该公司在竞争激烈的市场中运营，但该公司为超过50%的财富100强企业提供服务，通常签订独家合同。</blockquote></p><p> Jewelry retailer&nbsp;<b>Brilliant Earth Group</b>(BRLT) plans to raise $250 million at a $1.4 billion. Brilliant Earth is a digital-first jewelry company and a global leader in ethically sourced fine jewelry. The company has sold to consumers in all US states and over 50 countries, and has served over 370,000 customers through its e-commerce platform and 13 showrooms.</p><p><blockquote>珠宝零售商<b>辉煌地球集团</b>(BRLT)计划以14亿澳元筹集2.5亿美元。Brilliant Earth是一家数字优先的珠宝公司，也是道德采购高级珠宝的全球领导者。该公司已向美国所有州和50多个国家的消费者销售产品，并通过其电子商务平台和13个展厅为超过370,000名客户提供服务。</blockquote></p><p> Online fashion platform&nbsp;<b>a.k.a. Brands</b>(AKA) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.3 billion market cap. a.k.a. acquires digitally-focused fashion brands oriented toward millennial and Gen Z consumers, starting with its acquisition of Princess Polly in 2018. The company has successfully expanded Princess Polly and has a long runway to grow its brands in the US, but its M&amp;A strategy carries execution risk.</p><p><blockquote>线上时尚平台<b>又名品牌</b>(AKA)计划以23亿美元的市值筹集2.5亿美元。a.k.a.从2018年收购Princess Polly开始，收购面向千禧一代和Z世代消费者的数字化时尚品牌。该公司已经成功扩张了波利公主，并且在美国发展品牌还有很长的路要走，但其并购战略存在执行风险。</blockquote></p><p> COVID-19 test maker&nbsp;<b>Cue Health</b>(HLTH) plans to raise $200 million at a $2.4 billion market cap. Cue’s first commercially available diagnostic test for use with its Cue Health Monitoring System is its COVID-19 Test Kit, which has been authorized by two EUAs. Cue has five additional Test Kits in late-stage technical development, for which it expects to begin seeking FDA authorization or clearance in the 2H22.</p><p><blockquote>COVID-19测试制造商<b>提示健康</b>(HLTH)计划以24亿美元的市值筹集2亿美元。Cue首个用于其Cue健康监测系统的商用诊断测试是其COVID-19检测试剂盒，该试剂盒已获得两个EUA的授权。Cue还有另外五个测试套件处于后期技术开发阶段，预计将于2022年下半年开始寻求FDA授权或批准。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> London-listed crypto mining company&nbsp;<b>Argo Blockchain</b>(ARBK) plans to raise $138 million at an $855 million market cap. Argo states that it is a leading blockchain technology company focused on large-scale mining of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Argo has a fleet of more than 21,000 purpose-built computers (mining machines) and can generate more than 1,075 petahash per second.</p><p><blockquote>伦敦上市的加密货币挖矿公司<b>Argo区块链</b>(ARBK)计划以8.55亿美元的市值筹集1.38亿美元。Argo表示，它是一家领先的区块链技术公司，专注于比特币和其他加密货币的大规模挖掘。Argo拥有超过21,000台专用计算机（矿机），每秒可生成超过1,075 petahash。</blockquote></p><p> Personalized supplements seller&nbsp;<b>Thorne Healthtech</b>(THRN) plans to raise $126 million at an $892 million market cap. The company’s vertically integrated brands, Thorne and Onegevity, provide actionable insights and personalized data, products, and services. Profitable with strong growth, Thorne has a base of more than 3 million customers.</p><p><blockquote>个性化补充剂卖家<b>索恩健康科技</b>(THRN)计划以8.92亿美元的市值筹集1.26亿美元。该公司的垂直整合品牌Thorne和Onegevity提供可操作的见解和个性化数据、产品和服务。Thorne盈利强劲增长，拥有超过300万客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Canadian bank&nbsp;<b>VersaBank</b>(VBNK) plans to raise $50 million at a $269 million market cap. VersaBank is a Canadian Schedule I chartered bank and states that it is one of the world's first fully digital financial institutions. As of July 31, 2021, VersaBank had $1.8 billion in assets, $1.6 billion in loans, $1.5 billion in deposits, and $202 million in stockholders' equity.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大银行<b>VersaBank</b>(VBNK)计划以2.69亿美元的市值筹集5000万美元。VersaBank是加拿大附表一特许银行，并表示它是世界上首批完全数字化的金融机构之一。截至2021年7月31日，VersaBank拥有18亿美元资产、16亿美元贷款、15亿美元存款和2.02亿美元股东权益。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1619493174116","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US IPO Week Ahead: Software, consumer products, and payment tech lead a diverse 14 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周：软件、消费品和支付技术引领多元化14周IPO周</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS IPO Week Ahead: Software, consumer products, and payment tech lead a diverse 14 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周：软件、消费品和支付技术引领多元化14周IPO周</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">renaissancecap...</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-18 07:38</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Summer may be over, but the IPO market is just heating up as 14 IPOs are slated to raise $5.3 billion in the week ahead. The diverse group includes software, consumer products, payment technology, and more.</p><p><blockquote>夏季可能已经结束，但IPO市场刚刚升温，未来一周将有14起IPO筹集53亿美元。多元化的群体包括软件、消费品、支付技术等等。</blockquote></p><p> The largest deal of the week,<b>Freshworks</b>(FRSH) plans to raise $855 million at a $9.6 billion market cap. The company’s core product is its customer support software, and it also offers IT service management software and a nascent competitor to CRM solutions. While losses are expected to increase with S&amp;M spending, Freshworks has delivered solid growth and 100%+ net dollar-based revenue retention as of 6/30/21.</p><p><blockquote>本周最大的交易，<b>Freshworks</b>(FRSH)计划以96亿美元的市值筹集8.55亿美元。该公司的核心产品是其客户支持软件，它还提供IT服务管理软件和CRM解决方案的新兴竞争对手。虽然亏损预计会随着S&amp;M支出的增加而增加，但截至2011年6月30日，Freshworks实现了稳健的增长和100%以上的净美元收入保留率。</blockquote></p><p> Canadian consumer products company&nbsp;<b>Knowlton Development</b>(KDC) plans to raise $800 million at a $3.1 billion market cap. Over the past three years, Knowlton has been responsible for co-developing 9,000+ products across a variety of categories, and its products are sold by its brand partners in 70+ countries. Despite using offering proceeds to pay down debt, Knowlton will be leveraged post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大消费品公司<b>诺尔顿发展</b>(KDC)计划以31亿美元的市值筹集8亿美元。在过去的三年里，Knowlton负责共同开发了9,000多种产品，其产品由70多个国家的品牌合作伙伴销售。尽管诺尔顿将使用发行收益来偿还债务，但IPO后仍将发挥杠杆作用。</blockquote></p><p> Restaurant payment processor&nbsp;<b>Toast</b>(TOST) plans to raise $685 million at a $17.9 billion market cap. Toast provides a suite of integrated payment and software solutions that are designed to streamline restaurant operations. The company grew ARR over 100% in the 1H21, though it has historically been unprofitable, and growth could slow as tailwinds from restaurants reopening abate.</p><p><blockquote>餐厅支付处理器<b>吐司</b>(TOST)计划以179亿美元的市值筹集6.85亿美元。Toast提供一套集成支付和软件解决方案，旨在简化餐厅运营。该公司在2021年上半年的ARR增长率超过100%，尽管它历来没有盈利，而且随着餐厅重新开业的推动力减弱，增长可能会放缓。</blockquote></p><p> Global money transfer firm&nbsp;<b>Remitly Global</b>(RELY) plans to raise $487 million at a $7.5 billion market cap. Remitly provides digital financial services for immigrants and their families in over 135 countries, and it has expanded its core cross-border remittance product to over 1,700 corridors worldwide. The company has demonstrated growth and margin improvement, though it remains unprofitable.</p><p><blockquote>全球汇款公司<b>全球汇款</b>(RELY)计划以75亿美元的市值筹集4.87亿美元。Remitly为超过135个国家的移民及其家人提供数字金融服务，并已将其核心跨境汇款产品扩展到全球1,700多个走廊。该公司已实现增长和利润率提高，但仍未盈利。</blockquote></p><p> Software firm&nbsp;<b>Clearwater Analytics</b>(CWAN) plans to raise $450 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. Clearwater provides its 1,000+ clients with cloud-native software that allows them to simplify their investment accounting operations, and the company has a 100% recurring revenue model. A new investor and certain existing shareholders intend to purchase $150 million worth of shares in the IPO.</p><p><blockquote>软件公司<b>清水分析</b>(CWAN)计划以37亿美元的市值筹集4.5亿美元。Clearwater为其1,000多家客户提供云原生软件，使他们能够简化投资会计操作，并且该公司拥有100%的经常性收入模式。一位新投资者和某些现有股东打算在IPO中购买价值1.5亿美元的股票。</blockquote></p><p> Food company&nbsp;<b>Sovos Brands</b>(SOVO) plans to raise $350 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Formed by Advent International, Sovos Brands offers a select group of acquired premium food brands. According to the company, its largest brand of products, Rao's, included the #1 selling SKU in the pasta and pizza sauce category. Profitable with solid growth, Sovos will be leveraged post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote>食品公司<b>索沃斯品牌</b>(SOVO)计划以15亿美元的市值筹集3.5亿美元。Sovos Brands由Advent International组建，提供一组精选的收购优质食品品牌。据该公司称，其最大的产品品牌Rao’s是意大利面和披萨酱类别中销量第一的SKU。Sovos盈利稳健增长，IPO后将发挥杠杆作用。</blockquote></p><p> Customer engagement software provider&nbsp;<b>EngageSmart</b>(ESMT) plans to raise $349 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. The company provides software that simplifies online workflows like paperless billing, electronic payment processing, scheduling, and client communication. While growth may slow post-pandemic, EngageSmart has a sticky customer based and a long track record of profitability.</p><p><blockquote>客户参与软件提供商<b>参与智能</b>(ESMT)计划以41亿美元的市值筹集3.49亿美元。该公司提供简化在线工作流程的软件，如无纸化计费、电子支付处理、日程安排和客户沟通。虽然大流行后增长可能会放缓，但EngageSmart拥有粘性客户群和长期的盈利记录。</blockquote></p><p> Hiring solutions provider&nbsp;<b>Sterling Check</b>(STER) plans to raise $300 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. Sterling is one of the leading US providers of background checks for corporate and government customers. The company serves more than 50% of the Fortune 100, often with exclusive contracts, though it operates in a highly competitive market.</p><p><blockquote>招聘解决方案提供商<b>英镑支票</b>(STER)计划以21亿美元的市值筹集3亿美元。Sterling是美国领先的企业和政府客户背景调查提供商之一。尽管该公司在竞争激烈的市场中运营，但该公司为超过50%的财富100强企业提供服务，通常签订独家合同。</blockquote></p><p> Jewelry retailer&nbsp;<b>Brilliant Earth Group</b>(BRLT) plans to raise $250 million at a $1.4 billion. Brilliant Earth is a digital-first jewelry company and a global leader in ethically sourced fine jewelry. The company has sold to consumers in all US states and over 50 countries, and has served over 370,000 customers through its e-commerce platform and 13 showrooms.</p><p><blockquote>珠宝零售商<b>辉煌地球集团</b>(BRLT)计划以14亿澳元筹集2.5亿美元。Brilliant Earth是一家数字优先的珠宝公司，也是道德采购高级珠宝的全球领导者。该公司已向美国所有州和50多个国家的消费者销售产品，并通过其电子商务平台和13个展厅为超过370,000名客户提供服务。</blockquote></p><p> Online fashion platform&nbsp;<b>a.k.a. Brands</b>(AKA) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.3 billion market cap. a.k.a. acquires digitally-focused fashion brands oriented toward millennial and Gen Z consumers, starting with its acquisition of Princess Polly in 2018. The company has successfully expanded Princess Polly and has a long runway to grow its brands in the US, but its M&amp;A strategy carries execution risk.</p><p><blockquote>线上时尚平台<b>又名品牌</b>(AKA)计划以23亿美元的市值筹集2.5亿美元。a.k.a.从2018年收购Princess Polly开始，收购面向千禧一代和Z世代消费者的数字化时尚品牌。该公司已经成功扩张了波利公主，并且在美国发展品牌还有很长的路要走，但其并购战略存在执行风险。</blockquote></p><p> COVID-19 test maker&nbsp;<b>Cue Health</b>(HLTH) plans to raise $200 million at a $2.4 billion market cap. Cue’s first commercially available diagnostic test for use with its Cue Health Monitoring System is its COVID-19 Test Kit, which has been authorized by two EUAs. Cue has five additional Test Kits in late-stage technical development, for which it expects to begin seeking FDA authorization or clearance in the 2H22.</p><p><blockquote>COVID-19测试制造商<b>提示健康</b>(HLTH)计划以24亿美元的市值筹集2亿美元。Cue首个用于其Cue健康监测系统的商用诊断测试是其COVID-19检测试剂盒，该试剂盒已获得两个EUA的授权。Cue还有另外五个测试套件处于后期技术开发阶段，预计将于2022年下半年开始寻求FDA授权或批准。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> London-listed crypto mining company&nbsp;<b>Argo Blockchain</b>(ARBK) plans to raise $138 million at an $855 million market cap. Argo states that it is a leading blockchain technology company focused on large-scale mining of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Argo has a fleet of more than 21,000 purpose-built computers (mining machines) and can generate more than 1,075 petahash per second.</p><p><blockquote>伦敦上市的加密货币挖矿公司<b>Argo区块链</b>(ARBK)计划以8.55亿美元的市值筹集1.38亿美元。Argo表示，它是一家领先的区块链技术公司，专注于比特币和其他加密货币的大规模挖掘。Argo拥有超过21,000台专用计算机（矿机），每秒可生成超过1,075 petahash。</blockquote></p><p> Personalized supplements seller&nbsp;<b>Thorne Healthtech</b>(THRN) plans to raise $126 million at an $892 million market cap. The company’s vertically integrated brands, Thorne and Onegevity, provide actionable insights and personalized data, products, and services. Profitable with strong growth, Thorne has a base of more than 3 million customers.</p><p><blockquote>个性化补充剂卖家<b>索恩健康科技</b>(THRN)计划以8.92亿美元的市值筹集1.26亿美元。该公司的垂直整合品牌Thorne和Onegevity提供可操作的见解和个性化数据、产品和服务。Thorne盈利强劲增长，拥有超过300万客户群。</blockquote></p><p> Canadian bank&nbsp;<b>VersaBank</b>(VBNK) plans to raise $50 million at a $269 million market cap. VersaBank is a Canadian Schedule I chartered bank and states that it is one of the world's first fully digital financial institutions. As of July 31, 2021, VersaBank had $1.8 billion in assets, $1.6 billion in loans, $1.5 billion in deposits, and $202 million in stockholders' equity.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大银行<b>VersaBank</b>(VBNK)计划以2.69亿美元的市值筹集5000万美元。VersaBank是加拿大附表一特许银行，并表示它是世界上首批完全数字化的金融机构之一。截至2021年7月31日，VersaBank拥有18亿美元资产、16亿美元贷款、15亿美元存款和2.02亿美元股东权益。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/86272/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Software-consumer-products-and-payment-tech-lead-a-divers\">renaissancecap...</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"FRSH":"Freshworks","BRLT":"Brilliant Earth Group, Inc.","ARBK":"Argo Blockchain Plc","ESMT":"EngageSmart Inc.","HLTH":"Cue Health Inc.","SOVO":"Sovos Brands, Inc.","RELY":"Remitly Global, Inc.","CWAN":"Clearwater Analytics Holdings, Inc.","STER":"Sterling Check Corp.","THRN":"Thorne Healthtech","AKA":"a.k.a. Brands Holding Corp.","TOST":"Toast, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/86272/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-Software-consumer-products-and-payment-tech-lead-a-divers","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171558890","content_text":"Summer may be over, but the IPO market is just heating up as 14 IPOs are slated to raise $5.3 billion in the week ahead. The diverse group includes software, consumer products, payment technology, and more.\nThe largest deal of the week,Freshworks(FRSH) plans to raise $855 million at a $9.6 billion market cap. The company’s core product is its customer support software, and it also offers IT service management software and a nascent competitor to CRM solutions. While losses are expected to increase with S&M spending, Freshworks has delivered solid growth and 100%+ net dollar-based revenue retention as of 6/30/21.\nCanadian consumer products company Knowlton Development(KDC) plans to raise $800 million at a $3.1 billion market cap. Over the past three years, Knowlton has been responsible for co-developing 9,000+ products across a variety of categories, and its products are sold by its brand partners in 70+ countries. Despite using offering proceeds to pay down debt, Knowlton will be leveraged post-IPO.\nRestaurant payment processor Toast(TOST) plans to raise $685 million at a $17.9 billion market cap. Toast provides a suite of integrated payment and software solutions that are designed to streamline restaurant operations. The company grew ARR over 100% in the 1H21, though it has historically been unprofitable, and growth could slow as tailwinds from restaurants reopening abate.\nGlobal money transfer firm Remitly Global(RELY) plans to raise $487 million at a $7.5 billion market cap. Remitly provides digital financial services for immigrants and their families in over 135 countries, and it has expanded its core cross-border remittance product to over 1,700 corridors worldwide. The company has demonstrated growth and margin improvement, though it remains unprofitable.\nSoftware firm Clearwater Analytics(CWAN) plans to raise $450 million at a $3.7 billion market cap. Clearwater provides its 1,000+ clients with cloud-native software that allows them to simplify their investment accounting operations, and the company has a 100% recurring revenue model. A new investor and certain existing shareholders intend to purchase $150 million worth of shares in the IPO.\nFood company Sovos Brands(SOVO) plans to raise $350 million at a $1.5 billion market cap. Formed by Advent International, Sovos Brands offers a select group of acquired premium food brands. According to the company, its largest brand of products, Rao's, included the #1 selling SKU in the pasta and pizza sauce category. Profitable with solid growth, Sovos will be leveraged post-IPO.\nCustomer engagement software provider EngageSmart(ESMT) plans to raise $349 million at a $4.1 billion market cap. The company provides software that simplifies online workflows like paperless billing, electronic payment processing, scheduling, and client communication. While growth may slow post-pandemic, EngageSmart has a sticky customer based and a long track record of profitability.\nHiring solutions provider Sterling Check(STER) plans to raise $300 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. Sterling is one of the leading US providers of background checks for corporate and government customers. The company serves more than 50% of the Fortune 100, often with exclusive contracts, though it operates in a highly competitive market.\nJewelry retailer Brilliant Earth Group(BRLT) plans to raise $250 million at a $1.4 billion. Brilliant Earth is a digital-first jewelry company and a global leader in ethically sourced fine jewelry. The company has sold to consumers in all US states and over 50 countries, and has served over 370,000 customers through its e-commerce platform and 13 showrooms.\nOnline fashion platform a.k.a. Brands(AKA) plans to raise $250 million at a $2.3 billion market cap. a.k.a. acquires digitally-focused fashion brands oriented toward millennial and Gen Z consumers, starting with its acquisition of Princess Polly in 2018. The company has successfully expanded Princess Polly and has a long runway to grow its brands in the US, but its M&A strategy carries execution risk.\nCOVID-19 test maker Cue Health(HLTH) plans to raise $200 million at a $2.4 billion market cap. Cue’s first commercially available diagnostic test for use with its Cue Health Monitoring System is its COVID-19 Test Kit, which has been authorized by two EUAs. Cue has five additional Test Kits in late-stage technical development, for which it expects to begin seeking FDA authorization or clearance in the 2H22.\nLondon-listed crypto mining company Argo Blockchain(ARBK) plans to raise $138 million at an $855 million market cap. Argo states that it is a leading blockchain technology company focused on large-scale mining of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. Argo has a fleet of more than 21,000 purpose-built computers (mining machines) and can generate more than 1,075 petahash per second.\nPersonalized supplements seller Thorne Healthtech(THRN) plans to raise $126 million at an $892 million market cap. The company’s vertically integrated brands, Thorne and Onegevity, provide actionable insights and personalized data, products, and services. Profitable with strong growth, Thorne has a base of more than 3 million customers.\nCanadian bank VersaBank(VBNK) plans to raise $50 million at a $269 million market cap. VersaBank is a Canadian Schedule I chartered bank and states that it is one of the world's first fully digital financial institutions. As of July 31, 2021, VersaBank had $1.8 billion in assets, $1.6 billion in loans, $1.5 billion in deposits, and $202 million in stockholders' equity.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"THRN":0.9,"CWAN":0.9,"ESMT":0.9,"FRSH":0.9,"HLTH":0.9,"SOVO":0.9,"STER":0.9,"RELY":0.9,"AKA":0.9,"BRLT":0.9,"KDC":0.9,"TOST":0.9,"ARBK":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":375,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":884363521,"gmtCreate":1631857877963,"gmtModify":1631889322252,"author":{"id":"3574934794715748","authorId":"3574934794715748","name":"Medini13","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c405cab753c37ca8069a09a8847ddc1","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574934794715748","idStr":"3574934794715748"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice&nbsp;","listText":"Nice&nbsp;","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/884363521","repostId":"1105376345","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105376345","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631833833,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1105376345?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-17 07:10","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P ends modestly lower as rising Treasury yields offset robust retail data<blockquote>美国国债收益率上升抵消了强劲的零售数据，标普小幅收低</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105376345","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended slightly down on Thursday, paring losses in late trading afte","content":"<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 ended slightly down on Thursday, paring losses in late trading after unexpectedly strong retail sales data underscored the strength of the U.S. economic recovery.</p><p><blockquote>路透纽约7月20日电——标普500周四小幅收跌，尾盘收窄跌幅，此前意外强劲的零售销售数据突显美国经济复苏的力度。</blockquote></p><p> The three major indexes spent much of the day in negative territory as rising U.S. Treasury yields pressured market-leading tech stocks, and the rising dollar weighed on exporters.</p><p><blockquote>由于美国国债收益率上升给市场领先的科技股带来压力，以及美元上涨给出口商带来压力，三大股指当天大部分时间都处于负值区域。</blockquote></p><p> Amazon.com Inc, buoyed by solid online sales in the Commerce Department’s report, helped push the Nasdaq into positive territory.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊公司受到商务部报告中强劲的在线销售的提振，帮助推动纳斯达克进入积极区域。</blockquote></p><p> “Looking at today, clearly we had positive news from retail sales and it looks as if the massive slowdown in the economy is not materializing as a lot of people expected,” said Ryan Detrick, senior market strategist at LPL Financial in Charlotte, North Carolina.</p><p><blockquote>北卡罗来纳州夏洛特LPL Financial高级市场策略师瑞安·德特里克(Ryan Detrick)表示：“从今天来看，显然我们收到了来自零售销售的积极消息，而且经济大幅放缓似乎并没有像许多人预期的那样成为现实。”</blockquote></p><p> “It’s a nice reminder that the economy is still taking two steps forward for each step back even amid the COVID concerns,” Detrick added.</p><p><blockquote>德特里克补充道：“这是一个很好的提醒，即使在新冠疫情担忧的情况下，经济仍然每后退一步就向前迈出两步。”</blockquote></p><p> Economically sensitive transports and microchips were among the outperformers.</p><p><blockquote>对经济敏感的运输和微芯片是表现优异的股票之一。</blockquote></p><p> Data released before the opening bell showed an unexpected bump in retail sales as shoppers weathered Hurricane Ida and the COVID Delta variant, evidence of resilience in the consumer, who contributes about 70% to U.S. economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>开盘前公布的数据显示，随着购物者经受住了飓风艾达和新冠德尔塔变异毒株，零售额意外增长，这证明了消费者的韧性，消费者对美国经济增长的贡献约为70%。</blockquote></p><p> “Once again, it shows the U.S. consumer continues to spend and continues to help this economy grow,” Detrick said.</p><p><blockquote>德特里克表示：“这再次表明美国消费者继续支出并继续帮助经济增长。”</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 63.07 points, or 0.18%, to 34,751.32; the S&amp;P 500 lost 6.95 points, or 0.16%, at 4,473.75; and the Nasdaq Composite added 20.40 points, or 0.13%, at 15,181.92.</p><p><blockquote>道琼工业指数跌63.07点，或0.18%，报34751.32点；标普500下跌6.95点，跌幅0.16%，报4,473.75点；纳斯达克综合指数上涨20.40点，即0.13%，至15,181.92点。</blockquote></p><p> Eight of the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500 ended lower, with materials suffering the largest percentage drop.</p><p><blockquote>标普500 11大板块中有8个板块收跌，材料板块跌幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> The consumer discretionary spending sector posted the biggest gain, with Amazon.com doing the heavy lifting.</p><p><blockquote>非必需消费品支出板块涨幅最大，亚马逊首当其冲。</blockquote></p><p> Apparel company Gap Inc gained 1.6%. Online marketplace Etsy Inc and luxury accessory company Tapestry Inc rose 3.1% and 1.9%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>服装公司Gap Inc上涨1.6%。在线市场Etsy Inc和奢侈品配饰公司Tapestry Inc分别上涨3.1%和1.9%。</blockquote></p><p> Ford Motor Co rose 1.4% after it announced plans to boost production of its F-150 electric pickup model.</p><p><blockquote>福特汽车公司股价上涨1.4%，此前该公司宣布计划提高F-150电动皮卡车型的产量。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.27-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.06-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.27比1；在纳斯达克，1.06比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted nine new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 82 new highs and 94 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下9个52周新高和1个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得82个新高和94个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.37 billion shares, compared with the 9.44 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所成交量为93.7亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为94.4亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P ends modestly lower as rising Treasury yields offset robust retail data<blockquote>美国国债收益率上升抵消了强劲的零售数据，标普小幅收低</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P ends modestly lower as rising Treasury yields offset robust retail data<blockquote>美国国债收益率上升抵消了强劲的零售数据，标普小幅收低</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-17 07:10</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 ended slightly down on Thursday, paring losses in late trading after unexpectedly strong retail sales data underscored the strength of the U.S. economic recovery.</p><p><blockquote>路透纽约7月20日电——标普500周四小幅收跌，尾盘收窄跌幅，此前意外强劲的零售销售数据突显美国经济复苏的力度。</blockquote></p><p> The three major indexes spent much of the day in negative territory as rising U.S. Treasury yields pressured market-leading tech stocks, and the rising dollar weighed on exporters.</p><p><blockquote>由于美国国债收益率上升给市场领先的科技股带来压力，以及美元上涨给出口商带来压力，三大股指当天大部分时间都处于负值区域。</blockquote></p><p> Amazon.com Inc, buoyed by solid online sales in the Commerce Department’s report, helped push the Nasdaq into positive territory.</p><p><blockquote>亚马逊公司受到商务部报告中强劲的在线销售的提振，帮助推动纳斯达克进入积极区域。</blockquote></p><p> “Looking at today, clearly we had positive news from retail sales and it looks as if the massive slowdown in the economy is not materializing as a lot of people expected,” said Ryan Detrick, senior market strategist at LPL Financial in Charlotte, North Carolina.</p><p><blockquote>北卡罗来纳州夏洛特LPL Financial高级市场策略师瑞安·德特里克(Ryan Detrick)表示：“从今天来看，显然我们收到了来自零售销售的积极消息，而且经济大幅放缓似乎并没有像许多人预期的那样成为现实。”</blockquote></p><p> “It’s a nice reminder that the economy is still taking two steps forward for each step back even amid the COVID concerns,” Detrick added.</p><p><blockquote>德特里克补充道：“这是一个很好的提醒，即使在新冠疫情担忧的情况下，经济仍然每后退一步就向前迈出两步。”</blockquote></p><p> Economically sensitive transports and microchips were among the outperformers.</p><p><blockquote>对经济敏感的运输和微芯片是表现优异的股票之一。</blockquote></p><p> Data released before the opening bell showed an unexpected bump in retail sales as shoppers weathered Hurricane Ida and the COVID Delta variant, evidence of resilience in the consumer, who contributes about 70% to U.S. economic growth.</p><p><blockquote>开盘前公布的数据显示，随着购物者经受住了飓风艾达和新冠德尔塔变异毒株，零售额意外增长，这证明了消费者的韧性，消费者对美国经济增长的贡献约为70%。</blockquote></p><p> “Once again, it shows the U.S. consumer continues to spend and continues to help this economy grow,” Detrick said.</p><p><blockquote>德特里克表示：“这再次表明美国消费者继续支出并继续帮助经济增长。”</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 63.07 points, or 0.18%, to 34,751.32; the S&amp;P 500 lost 6.95 points, or 0.16%, at 4,473.75; and the Nasdaq Composite added 20.40 points, or 0.13%, at 15,181.92.</p><p><blockquote>道琼工业指数跌63.07点，或0.18%，报34751.32点；标普500下跌6.95点，跌幅0.16%，报4,473.75点；纳斯达克综合指数上涨20.40点，即0.13%，至15,181.92点。</blockquote></p><p> Eight of the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500 ended lower, with materials suffering the largest percentage drop.</p><p><blockquote>标普500 11大板块中有8个板块收跌，材料板块跌幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> The consumer discretionary spending sector posted the biggest gain, with Amazon.com doing the heavy lifting.</p><p><blockquote>非必需消费品支出板块涨幅最大，亚马逊首当其冲。</blockquote></p><p> Apparel company Gap Inc gained 1.6%. Online marketplace Etsy Inc and luxury accessory company Tapestry Inc rose 3.1% and 1.9%, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>服装公司Gap Inc上涨1.6%。在线市场Etsy Inc和奢侈品配饰公司Tapestry Inc分别上涨3.1%和1.9%。</blockquote></p><p> Ford Motor Co rose 1.4% after it announced plans to boost production of its F-150 electric pickup model.</p><p><blockquote>福特汽车公司股价上涨1.4%，此前该公司宣布计划提高F-150电动皮卡车型的产量。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.27-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.06-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为1.27比1；在纳斯达克，1.06比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted nine new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 82 new highs and 94 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下9个52周新高和1个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得82个新高和94个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.37 billion shares, compared with the 9.44 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所成交量为93.7亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为94.4亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-ends-modestly-lower-as-rising-treasury-yields-offset-robust-retail-data-idUSL1N2QI2MB\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-ends-modestly-lower-as-rising-treasury-yields-offset-robust-retail-data-idUSL1N2QI2MB","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105376345","content_text":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended slightly down on Thursday, paring losses in late trading after unexpectedly strong retail sales data underscored the strength of the U.S. economic recovery.\nThe three major indexes spent much of the day in negative territory as rising U.S. Treasury yields pressured market-leading tech stocks, and the rising dollar weighed on exporters.\nAmazon.com Inc, buoyed by solid online sales in the Commerce Department’s report, helped push the Nasdaq into positive territory.\n“Looking at today, clearly we had positive news from retail sales and it looks as if the massive slowdown in the economy is not materializing as a lot of people expected,” said Ryan Detrick, senior market strategist at LPL Financial in Charlotte, North Carolina.\n“It’s a nice reminder that the economy is still taking two steps forward for each step back even amid the COVID concerns,” Detrick added.\nEconomically sensitive transports and microchips were among the outperformers.\nData released before the opening bell showed an unexpected bump in retail sales as shoppers weathered Hurricane Ida and the COVID Delta variant, evidence of resilience in the consumer, who contributes about 70% to U.S. economic growth.\n“Once again, it shows the U.S. consumer continues to spend and continues to help this economy grow,” Detrick said.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 63.07 points, or 0.18%, to 34,751.32; the S&P 500 lost 6.95 points, or 0.16%, at 4,473.75; and the Nasdaq Composite added 20.40 points, or 0.13%, at 15,181.92.\nEight of the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500 ended lower, with materials suffering the largest percentage drop.\nThe consumer discretionary spending sector posted the biggest gain, with Amazon.com doing the heavy lifting.\nApparel company Gap Inc gained 1.6%. Online marketplace Etsy Inc and luxury accessory company Tapestry Inc rose 3.1% and 1.9%, respectively.\nFord Motor Co rose 1.4% after it announced plans to boost production of its F-150 electric pickup model.\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 1.27-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.06-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted nine new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 82 new highs and 94 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 9.37 billion shares, compared with the 9.44 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":495,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":885921648,"gmtCreate":1631752168184,"gmtModify":1631889322261,"author":{"id":"3574934794715748","authorId":"3574934794715748","name":"Medini13","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c405cab753c37ca8069a09a8847ddc1","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574934794715748","idStr":"3574934794715748"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/885921648","repostId":"2167592712","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":579,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":882100599,"gmtCreate":1631664753911,"gmtModify":1631889322275,"author":{"id":"3574934794715748","authorId":"3574934794715748","name":"Medini13","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c405cab753c37ca8069a09a8847ddc1","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574934794715748","idStr":"3574934794715748"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/882100599","repostId":"1148341685","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1148341685","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631660884,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1148341685?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-15 07:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"U.S. stocks close lower on worries over recovery, corporate tax hikes<blockquote>美国股市因对复苏和企业增税的担忧而收低</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1148341685","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street lost ground on Tuesday as economic uncertainties and the increasing","content":"<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street lost ground on Tuesday as economic uncertainties and the increasing likelihood of a corporate tax rate hike dampened investor sentiment and prompted a broad sell-off despite signs of easing inflation.</p><p><blockquote>路透纽约-华尔街周二下跌，原因是经济不确定性和企业税率上调的可能性越来越大，抑制了投资者情绪，并引发了广泛的抛售，尽管通胀有缓解的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> Optimism faded throughout the session, reversing an initial rally following the Labor Department’s consumer price index report. All three major U.S. stock indexes ended in negative territory in a reminder that September is a historically rough month for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>整个交易日乐观情绪消退，扭转了劳工部消费者价格指数报告发布后最初的涨势。美国三大股指均收于负值，提醒人们9月份对于股市来说是历史上艰难的一个月。</blockquote></p><p> So far this month the S&amp;P 500 is down nearly 1.8% even as the benchmark index has gained over 18% since the beginning of the year.</p><p><blockquote>本月迄今为止，标普500已下跌近1.8%，尽管基准指数自年初以来已上涨超过18%。</blockquote></p><p> “There is a possibility that the market is simply ready to go through an overdue correction,” said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research in New York. “From a seasonality perspective, September tends to be the window dressing period for fund managers.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约CFRA Research首席投资策略师Sam Stovall表示：“市场有可能只是准备好经历一次迟来的调整。”“从季节性来看，9月往往是基金经理的粉饰期。”</blockquote></p><p> The advent of the highly contagious Delta COVID variant has driven an increase in bearish sentiment regarding the recovery from the global health crisis, and many now expect a substantial correction in stock markets by the end of the year.</p><p><blockquote>高度传染性的Delta COVID变种的出现导致人们对从全球健康危机中复苏的看跌情绪增加，许多人现在预计股市将在今年年底前大幅调整。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re still in a corrective mode that people have been calling for months,” said Paul Nolte, portfolio manager at Kingsview Asset Management in Chicago. “Economic data points have been missing estimates, and that has coincided with the rise in the Delta variant.”</p><p><blockquote>芝加哥Kingsview Asset Management投资组合经理保罗·诺尔特(Paul Nolte)表示：“我们仍处于人们几个月来一直呼吁的纠正模式。”“经济数据点一直低于预期，而这与德尔塔变异毒株的上升同时发生。”</blockquote></p><p> The CPI report delivered a lower-than-consensus August reading, a deceleration that supports Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s assertion that spiking inflation is transitory and calms market fears that the central bank will begin tightening monetary policy sooner than expected.</p><p><blockquote>CPI报告公布的8月份读数低于市场普遍预期，这一减速支持了美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的说法，即通胀飙升是暂时的，并平息了市场对美联储将比预期更早开始收紧货币政策的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. Treasury yields dropped on the data, which pressured financial stocks, and investor favor pivoted back to growth at the expense of value. [US/]</p><p><blockquote>美国国债收益率因数据而下跌，这给金融股带来压力，投资者的青睐转向增长，而牺牲了价值。[美国/]</blockquote></p><p> The long expected corporate tax hikes, to 26.5% from 21% if Democrats prevail, are coming nearer to fruition with U.S. President Joe Biden’s $3.5 trillion budget package inching closer to passage.</p><p><blockquote>随着美国总统乔·拜登（Joe Biden）的3.5万亿美元预算计划逐渐接近通过，人们期待已久的公司税上调（如果民主党获胜，将从21%上调至26.5%）即将实现。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 292.06 points, or 0.84%, to 34,577.57; the S&amp;P 500 lost 25.68 points, or 0.57%, at 4,443.05; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 67.82 points, or 0.45%, to 15,037.76.</p><p><blockquote>道琼工业指数跌292.06点，或0.84%，报34577.57点；标普500跌25.68点，跌幅0.57%，报4,443.05点；纳斯达克综合指数下跌67.82点，跌幅0.45%，至15037.76点。</blockquote></p><p> All 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500 ended the session red, with energy and financials suffering the largest percentage drops.</p><p><blockquote>标普500 11大板块全部收红，能源和金融板块跌幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc unveiled its iPhone 13 and added new features to its iPad and Apple Watch gadgets in its biggest product launch event of the year as the company faces increased scrutiny in the courts over its business practices. Its shares closed down 1.0% and were the heaviest drag on the S&amp;P 500 and the Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司在今年最大的产品发布会上推出了iPhone 13，并为其iPad和苹果手表设备添加了新功能，因为该公司面临着法院对其商业行为的更严格审查。其股价收盘下跌1.0%，对标普500和纳斯达克拖累最大。</blockquote></p><p> Intuit Inc gained 1.9% following the TurboTax maker’s announcement that it would acquire digital marketing company Mailchimp for $12 billion.</p><p><blockquote>TurboTax制造商Intuit Inc宣布将以120亿美元收购数字营销公司Mailchimp后，该公司股价上涨1.9%。</blockquote></p><p> CureVac slid 8.0% after the German biotechnology company canceled manufacturing deals for its experimental COVID-19 vaccine.</p><p><blockquote>德国生物技术公司CureVac取消其实验性COVID-19疫苗的生产交易后，股价下跌8.0%。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.25-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.40-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为2.25比1；在纳斯达克，2.40比1的比率有利于下跌股。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted two new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 50 new highs and 107 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下两个52周新高和两个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得50个新高和107个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.07 billion shares, compared with the 9.38 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所成交量为100.7亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为93.8亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>U.S. stocks close lower on worries over recovery, corporate tax hikes<blockquote>美国股市因对复苏和企业增税的担忧而收低</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nU.S. stocks close lower on worries over recovery, corporate tax hikes<blockquote>美国股市因对复苏和企业增税的担忧而收低</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-15 07:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street lost ground on Tuesday as economic uncertainties and the increasing likelihood of a corporate tax rate hike dampened investor sentiment and prompted a broad sell-off despite signs of easing inflation.</p><p><blockquote>路透纽约-华尔街周二下跌，原因是经济不确定性和企业税率上调的可能性越来越大，抑制了投资者情绪，并引发了广泛的抛售，尽管通胀有缓解的迹象。</blockquote></p><p> Optimism faded throughout the session, reversing an initial rally following the Labor Department’s consumer price index report. All three major U.S. stock indexes ended in negative territory in a reminder that September is a historically rough month for stocks.</p><p><blockquote>整个交易日乐观情绪消退，扭转了劳工部消费者价格指数报告发布后最初的涨势。美国三大股指均收于负值，提醒人们9月份对于股市来说是历史上艰难的一个月。</blockquote></p><p> So far this month the S&amp;P 500 is down nearly 1.8% even as the benchmark index has gained over 18% since the beginning of the year.</p><p><blockquote>本月迄今为止，标普500已下跌近1.8%，尽管基准指数自年初以来已上涨超过18%。</blockquote></p><p> “There is a possibility that the market is simply ready to go through an overdue correction,” said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research in New York. “From a seasonality perspective, September tends to be the window dressing period for fund managers.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约CFRA Research首席投资策略师Sam Stovall表示：“市场有可能只是准备好经历一次迟来的调整。”“从季节性来看，9月往往是基金经理的粉饰期。”</blockquote></p><p> The advent of the highly contagious Delta COVID variant has driven an increase in bearish sentiment regarding the recovery from the global health crisis, and many now expect a substantial correction in stock markets by the end of the year.</p><p><blockquote>高度传染性的Delta COVID变种的出现导致人们对从全球健康危机中复苏的看跌情绪增加，许多人现在预计股市将在今年年底前大幅调整。</blockquote></p><p> “We’re still in a corrective mode that people have been calling for months,” said Paul Nolte, portfolio manager at Kingsview Asset Management in Chicago. “Economic data points have been missing estimates, and that has coincided with the rise in the Delta variant.”</p><p><blockquote>芝加哥Kingsview Asset Management投资组合经理保罗·诺尔特(Paul Nolte)表示：“我们仍处于人们几个月来一直呼吁的纠正模式。”“经济数据点一直低于预期，而这与德尔塔变异毒株的上升同时发生。”</blockquote></p><p> The CPI report delivered a lower-than-consensus August reading, a deceleration that supports Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s assertion that spiking inflation is transitory and calms market fears that the central bank will begin tightening monetary policy sooner than expected.</p><p><blockquote>CPI报告公布的8月份读数低于市场普遍预期，这一减速支持了美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔的说法，即通胀飙升是暂时的，并平息了市场对美联储将比预期更早开始收紧货币政策的担忧。</blockquote></p><p> U.S. Treasury yields dropped on the data, which pressured financial stocks, and investor favor pivoted back to growth at the expense of value. [US/]</p><p><blockquote>美国国债收益率因数据而下跌，这给金融股带来压力，投资者的青睐转向增长，而牺牲了价值。[美国/]</blockquote></p><p> The long expected corporate tax hikes, to 26.5% from 21% if Democrats prevail, are coming nearer to fruition with U.S. President Joe Biden’s $3.5 trillion budget package inching closer to passage.</p><p><blockquote>随着美国总统乔·拜登（Joe Biden）的3.5万亿美元预算计划逐渐接近通过，人们期待已久的公司税上调（如果民主党获胜，将从21%上调至26.5%）即将实现。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 292.06 points, or 0.84%, to 34,577.57; the S&amp;P 500 lost 25.68 points, or 0.57%, at 4,443.05; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 67.82 points, or 0.45%, to 15,037.76.</p><p><blockquote>道琼工业指数跌292.06点，或0.84%，报34577.57点；标普500跌25.68点，跌幅0.57%，报4,443.05点；纳斯达克综合指数下跌67.82点，跌幅0.45%，至15037.76点。</blockquote></p><p> All 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500 ended the session red, with energy and financials suffering the largest percentage drops.</p><p><blockquote>标普500 11大板块全部收红，能源和金融板块跌幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> Apple Inc unveiled its iPhone 13 and added new features to its iPad and Apple Watch gadgets in its biggest product launch event of the year as the company faces increased scrutiny in the courts over its business practices. Its shares closed down 1.0% and were the heaviest drag on the S&amp;P 500 and the Nasdaq.</p><p><blockquote>苹果公司在今年最大的产品发布会上推出了iPhone 13，并为其iPad和苹果手表设备添加了新功能，因为该公司面临着法院对其商业行为的更严格审查。其股价收盘下跌1.0%，对标普500和纳斯达克拖累最大。</blockquote></p><p> Intuit Inc gained 1.9% following the TurboTax maker’s announcement that it would acquire digital marketing company Mailchimp for $12 billion.</p><p><blockquote>TurboTax制造商Intuit Inc宣布将以120亿美元收购数字营销公司Mailchimp后，该公司股价上涨1.9%。</blockquote></p><p> CureVac slid 8.0% after the German biotechnology company canceled manufacturing deals for its experimental COVID-19 vaccine.</p><p><blockquote>德国生物技术公司CureVac取消其实验性COVID-19疫苗的生产交易后，股价下跌8.0%。</blockquote></p><p> Declining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.25-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.40-to-1 ratio favored decliners.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所下跌股与上涨股的比例为2.25比1；在纳斯达克，2.40比1的比率有利于下跌股。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted two new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 50 new highs and 107 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下两个52周新高和两个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得50个新高和107个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.07 billion shares, compared with the 9.38 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所成交量为100.7亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为93.8亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/u-s-stocks-close-lower-on-worries-over-recovery-corporate-tax-hikes-idUSKBN2GA0W9\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/u-s-stocks-close-lower-on-worries-over-recovery-corporate-tax-hikes-idUSKBN2GA0W9","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1148341685","content_text":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - Wall Street lost ground on Tuesday as economic uncertainties and the increasing likelihood of a corporate tax rate hike dampened investor sentiment and prompted a broad sell-off despite signs of easing inflation.\nOptimism faded throughout the session, reversing an initial rally following the Labor Department’s consumer price index report. All three major U.S. stock indexes ended in negative territory in a reminder that September is a historically rough month for stocks.\nSo far this month the S&P 500 is down nearly 1.8% even as the benchmark index has gained over 18% since the beginning of the year.\n“There is a possibility that the market is simply ready to go through an overdue correction,” said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research in New York. “From a seasonality perspective, September tends to be the window dressing period for fund managers.”\nThe advent of the highly contagious Delta COVID variant has driven an increase in bearish sentiment regarding the recovery from the global health crisis, and many now expect a substantial correction in stock markets by the end of the year.\n“We’re still in a corrective mode that people have been calling for months,” said Paul Nolte, portfolio manager at Kingsview Asset Management in Chicago. “Economic data points have been missing estimates, and that has coincided with the rise in the Delta variant.”\nThe CPI report delivered a lower-than-consensus August reading, a deceleration that supports Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s assertion that spiking inflation is transitory and calms market fears that the central bank will begin tightening monetary policy sooner than expected.\nU.S. Treasury yields dropped on the data, which pressured financial stocks, and investor favor pivoted back to growth at the expense of value. [US/]\nThe long expected corporate tax hikes, to 26.5% from 21% if Democrats prevail, are coming nearer to fruition with U.S. President Joe Biden’s $3.5 trillion budget package inching closer to passage.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 292.06 points, or 0.84%, to 34,577.57; the S&P 500 lost 25.68 points, or 0.57%, at 4,443.05; and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 67.82 points, or 0.45%, to 15,037.76.\nAll 11 major sectors in the S&P 500 ended the session red, with energy and financials suffering the largest percentage drops.\nApple Inc unveiled its iPhone 13 and added new features to its iPad and Apple Watch gadgets in its biggest product launch event of the year as the company faces increased scrutiny in the courts over its business practices. Its shares closed down 1.0% and were the heaviest drag on the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq.\nIntuit Inc gained 1.9% following the TurboTax maker’s announcement that it would acquire digital marketing company Mailchimp for $12 billion.\nCureVac slid 8.0% after the German biotechnology company canceled manufacturing deals for its experimental COVID-19 vaccine.\nDeclining issues outnumbered advancing ones on the NYSE by a 2.25-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.40-to-1 ratio favored decliners.\nThe S&P 500 posted two new 52-week highs and two new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 50 new highs and 107 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 10.07 billion shares, compared with the 9.38 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":591,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":886819280,"gmtCreate":1631579465640,"gmtModify":1631889322284,"author":{"id":"3574934794715748","authorId":"3574934794715748","name":"Medini13","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c405cab753c37ca8069a09a8847ddc1","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574934794715748","idStr":"3574934794715748"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/886819280","repostId":"1178276551","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1178276551","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631574947,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1178276551?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-14 07:15","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 snaps losing streak with tax hikes, inflation data on horizon<blockquote>标普500通过增税和通胀数据结束连跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1178276551","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 closed higher on Monday, ending a five-day losing streak as investo","content":"<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 closed higher on Monday, ending a five-day losing streak as investors focused on potential corporate tax hikes and upcoming economic data.</p><p><blockquote>路透纽约3月1日电——标普500周一收高，结束五连跌，因投资者关注潜在的公司税上调和即将公布的经济数据。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average also advanced, but the Nasdaq Composite Index ended lower.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数也上涨，但纳斯达克综合指数收低。</blockquote></p><p> Investors favored value over growth, with stocks set to benefit most from a resurging economy enjoying the biggest percentage gains.</p><p><blockquote>投资者更青睐价值而非增长，股市将从经济复苏中受益最多，涨幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> “There are probably not a lot of positive surprises coming this month,” said Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi in New York. “We’re having another period of volatility where I think that rotation could go back to cyclicals and the reopened trade, as the 10-year bond rate slowly grinds higher through the end of the year.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约SoFi投资策略主管Liz Young表示：“本月可能不会有太多积极的惊喜。”“我们正在经历另一个波动时期，我认为随着10年期债券利率在年底前慢慢走高，轮动可能会回到周期性和重新开放的交易。”</blockquote></p><p> Market participants are focused on the likely passage of U.S. President Joe Biden’s $3.5 trillion budget package, which is expected to include a proposed corporate tax rate hike to 26.5% from 21%.</p><p><blockquote>市场参与者关注美国总统拜登的3.5万亿美元预算方案可能获得通过，预计其中包括拟议将企业税率从21%上调至26.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman Sachs analysts see the corporate tax rate increasing to 25% and the passage of about half of a proposed increase to tax rates on foreign income, which they estimate would reduce S&amp;P 500 earnings by 5% in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>高盛分析师预计，企业税率将提高至25%，外国收入税率拟议上调的约一半将获得通过，他们估计这将使标普500 2022年的盈利减少5%。</blockquote></p><p> The Labor Department is due to release its consumer price index data on Tuesday, which could shed further light on the current inflation wave and whether it is as transitory as the Fed insists.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部将于周二发布消费者价格指数数据，这可能会进一步揭示当前的通胀浪潮，以及它是否像美联储坚称的那样是暂时的。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t see inflation settling back down under 2% where it was pre-pandemic,” Young added. “Even if some of those transitory forces weaken, we will still stay at a higher rate than we were before.”</p><p><blockquote>杨补充道：“我认为通胀率不会回落到大流行前的2%以下。”“即使其中一些过渡力量减弱，我们仍将保持比以前更高的速度。”</blockquote></p><p> Other key indicators due this week include retail sales and consumer sentiment, which could illuminate how much the demand boom driven by economic re-engagement has been dampened by the highly contagious COVID-19 Delta variant.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的其他关键指标包括零售销售和消费者信心，这可能表明经济重新参与推动的需求繁荣在多大程度上受到了高度传染性的COVID-19德尔塔变异毒株的抑制。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 261.91 points, or 0.76%, to 34,869.63, the S&amp;P 500 gained 10.15 points, or 0.23%, at 4,468.73 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 9.91 points, or 0.07%, to 15,105.58.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨261.91点，涨幅0.76%，至34,869.63点；标普500上涨10.15点，涨幅0.23%，至4,468.73点；纳斯达克综合指数下跌9.91点，涨幅0.07%，至15,105.58点。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, healthcare suffered the largest percentage loss, while energy, buoyed by rising crude prices was the biggest gainer.</p><p><blockquote>在标普500 11个主要板块中，医疗保健板块跌幅最大，而受原油价格上涨提振的能源板块涨幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of vaccine makers Moderna and Pfizer Inc sank 6.6% and 2.2%, respectively, after experts said COVID booster shots are not widely needed.</p><p><blockquote>在专家表示不广泛需要新冠加强注射后，疫苗制造商Moderna和辉瑞公司的股价分别下跌6.6%和2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Coinbase Global Inc announced plans to raise about $1.5 billion through a debt offering aimed at funding product development and potential acquisitions. The cryptocurrency exchanges shares slid 2.2%.</p><p><blockquote>Coinbase Global Inc宣布计划通过发债筹集约15亿美元，旨在为产品开发和潜在收购提供资金。加密货币交易所股价下跌2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Salesforce.com Inc dipped 1.2% as rival Freshworks Inc’s regulatory filing indicated that the business engagement and customer engagement software company is aiming for a nearly $9 billion valuation in it U.S. debut.</p><p><blockquote>Salesforce.com Inc下跌1.2%，竞争对手Freshworks Inc的监管文件显示，这家业务参与和客户参与软件公司的目标是在美国首次亮相时估值接近90亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.60-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.02-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨股与下跌股的比例为1.60比1；在纳斯达克，1.02比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 12 new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 53 new highs and 71 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下12个52周新高和1个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得53个新高和71个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.30 billion shares, compared with the 9.29 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所成交量为103亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为92.9亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 snaps losing streak with tax hikes, inflation data on horizon<blockquote>标普500通过增税和通胀数据结束连跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-14 07:15</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 closed higher on Monday, ending a five-day losing streak as investors focused on potential corporate tax hikes and upcoming economic data.</p><p><blockquote>路透纽约3月1日电——标普500周一收高，结束五连跌，因投资者关注潜在的公司税上调和即将公布的经济数据。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average also advanced, but the Nasdaq Composite Index ended lower.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数也上涨，但纳斯达克综合指数收低。</blockquote></p><p> Investors favored value over growth, with stocks set to benefit most from a resurging economy enjoying the biggest percentage gains.</p><p><blockquote>投资者更青睐价值而非增长，股市将从经济复苏中受益最多，涨幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> “There are probably not a lot of positive surprises coming this month,” said Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi in New York. “We’re having another period of volatility where I think that rotation could go back to cyclicals and the reopened trade, as the 10-year bond rate slowly grinds higher through the end of the year.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约SoFi投资策略主管Liz Young表示：“本月可能不会有太多积极的惊喜。”“我们正在经历另一个波动时期，我认为随着10年期债券利率在年底前慢慢走高，轮动可能会回到周期性和重新开放的交易。”</blockquote></p><p> Market participants are focused on the likely passage of U.S. President Joe Biden’s $3.5 trillion budget package, which is expected to include a proposed corporate tax rate hike to 26.5% from 21%.</p><p><blockquote>市场参与者关注美国总统拜登的3.5万亿美元预算方案可能获得通过，预计其中包括拟议将企业税率从21%上调至26.5%。</blockquote></p><p> Goldman Sachs analysts see the corporate tax rate increasing to 25% and the passage of about half of a proposed increase to tax rates on foreign income, which they estimate would reduce S&amp;P 500 earnings by 5% in 2022.</p><p><blockquote>高盛分析师预计，企业税率将提高至25%，外国收入税率拟议上调的约一半将获得通过，他们估计这将使标普500 2022年的盈利减少5%。</blockquote></p><p> The Labor Department is due to release its consumer price index data on Tuesday, which could shed further light on the current inflation wave and whether it is as transitory as the Fed insists.</p><p><blockquote>美国劳工部将于周二发布消费者价格指数数据，这可能会进一步揭示当前的通胀浪潮，以及它是否像美联储坚称的那样是暂时的。</blockquote></p><p> “I don’t see inflation settling back down under 2% where it was pre-pandemic,” Young added. “Even if some of those transitory forces weaken, we will still stay at a higher rate than we were before.”</p><p><blockquote>杨补充道：“我认为通胀率不会回落到大流行前的2%以下。”“即使其中一些过渡力量减弱，我们仍将保持比以前更高的速度。”</blockquote></p><p> Other key indicators due this week include retail sales and consumer sentiment, which could illuminate how much the demand boom driven by economic re-engagement has been dampened by the highly contagious COVID-19 Delta variant.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的其他关键指标包括零售销售和消费者信心，这可能表明经济重新参与推动的需求繁荣在多大程度上受到了高度传染性的COVID-19德尔塔变异毒株的抑制。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 261.91 points, or 0.76%, to 34,869.63, the S&amp;P 500 gained 10.15 points, or 0.23%, at 4,468.73 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 9.91 points, or 0.07%, to 15,105.58.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨261.91点，涨幅0.76%，至34,869.63点；标普500上涨10.15点，涨幅0.23%，至4,468.73点；纳斯达克综合指数下跌9.91点，涨幅0.07%，至15,105.58点。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, healthcare suffered the largest percentage loss, while energy, buoyed by rising crude prices was the biggest gainer.</p><p><blockquote>在标普500 11个主要板块中，医疗保健板块跌幅最大，而受原油价格上涨提振的能源板块涨幅最大。</blockquote></p><p> Shares of vaccine makers Moderna and Pfizer Inc sank 6.6% and 2.2%, respectively, after experts said COVID booster shots are not widely needed.</p><p><blockquote>在专家表示不广泛需要新冠加强注射后，疫苗制造商Moderna和辉瑞公司的股价分别下跌6.6%和2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Coinbase Global Inc announced plans to raise about $1.5 billion through a debt offering aimed at funding product development and potential acquisitions. The cryptocurrency exchanges shares slid 2.2%.</p><p><blockquote>Coinbase Global Inc宣布计划通过发债筹集约15亿美元，旨在为产品开发和潜在收购提供资金。加密货币交易所股价下跌2.2%。</blockquote></p><p> Salesforce.com Inc dipped 1.2% as rival Freshworks Inc’s regulatory filing indicated that the business engagement and customer engagement software company is aiming for a nearly $9 billion valuation in it U.S. debut.</p><p><blockquote>Salesforce.com Inc下跌1.2%，竞争对手Freshworks Inc的监管文件显示，这家业务参与和客户参与软件公司的目标是在美国首次亮相时估值接近90亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.60-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.02-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨股与下跌股的比例为1.60比1；在纳斯达克，1.02比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 12 new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 53 new highs and 71 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下12个52周新高和1个新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得53个新高和71个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 10.30 billion shares, compared with the 9.29 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所成交量为103亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为92.9亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-snaps-losing-streak-with-tax-hikes-inflation-data-on-horizon-idUSL1N2QF2DB\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-snaps-losing-streak-with-tax-hikes-inflation-data-on-horizon-idUSL1N2QF2DB","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1178276551","content_text":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 closed higher on Monday, ending a five-day losing streak as investors focused on potential corporate tax hikes and upcoming economic data.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average also advanced, but the Nasdaq Composite Index ended lower.\nInvestors favored value over growth, with stocks set to benefit most from a resurging economy enjoying the biggest percentage gains.\n“There are probably not a lot of positive surprises coming this month,” said Liz Young, head of investment strategy at SoFi in New York. “We’re having another period of volatility where I think that rotation could go back to cyclicals and the reopened trade, as the 10-year bond rate slowly grinds higher through the end of the year.”\nMarket participants are focused on the likely passage of U.S. President Joe Biden’s $3.5 trillion budget package, which is expected to include a proposed corporate tax rate hike to 26.5% from 21%.\nGoldman Sachs analysts see the corporate tax rate increasing to 25% and the passage of about half of a proposed increase to tax rates on foreign income, which they estimate would reduce S&P 500 earnings by 5% in 2022.\nThe Labor Department is due to release its consumer price index data on Tuesday, which could shed further light on the current inflation wave and whether it is as transitory as the Fed insists.\n“I don’t see inflation settling back down under 2% where it was pre-pandemic,” Young added. “Even if some of those transitory forces weaken, we will still stay at a higher rate than we were before.”\nOther key indicators due this week include retail sales and consumer sentiment, which could illuminate how much the demand boom driven by economic re-engagement has been dampened by the highly contagious COVID-19 Delta variant.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 261.91 points, or 0.76%, to 34,869.63, the S&P 500 gained 10.15 points, or 0.23%, at 4,468.73 and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 9.91 points, or 0.07%, to 15,105.58.\nOf the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, healthcare suffered the largest percentage loss, while energy, buoyed by rising crude prices was the biggest gainer.\nShares of vaccine makers Moderna and Pfizer Inc sank 6.6% and 2.2%, respectively, after experts said COVID booster shots are not widely needed.\nCoinbase Global Inc announced plans to raise about $1.5 billion through a debt offering aimed at funding product development and potential acquisitions. The cryptocurrency exchanges shares slid 2.2%.\nSalesforce.com Inc dipped 1.2% as rival Freshworks Inc’s regulatory filing indicated that the business engagement and customer engagement software company is aiming for a nearly $9 billion valuation in it U.S. debut.\nAdvancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.60-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.02-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 12 new 52-week highs and one new low; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 53 new highs and 71 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 10.30 billion shares, compared with the 9.29 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":737,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":888639216,"gmtCreate":1631492311235,"gmtModify":1631889322299,"author":{"id":"3574934794715748","authorId":"3574934794715748","name":"Medini13","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c405cab753c37ca8069a09a8847ddc1","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574934794715748","idStr":"3574934794715748"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/888639216","repostId":"2166303094","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":330,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":888043241,"gmtCreate":1631416621383,"gmtModify":1631889322312,"author":{"id":"3574934794715748","authorId":"3574934794715748","name":"Medini13","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c405cab753c37ca8069a09a8847ddc1","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574934794715748","idStr":"3574934794715748"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/888043241","repostId":"1189654544","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1189654544","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631406130,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1189654544?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-12 08:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US IPO Week Ahead: The Fall IPO market kicks off with a 10 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周：秋季IPO市场以10周IPO拉开帷幕</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1189654544","media":"Renaissance Capital","summary":"After a wave of launches in the short holiday week, 10 IPOs are scheduled to raise over $3 billion i","content":"<p>After a wave of launches in the short holiday week, 10 IPOs are scheduled to raise over $3 billion in the week ahead.</p><p><blockquote>在短暂的假期周经历了一波发行之后，未来一周将有10起IPO计划筹集超过30亿美元的资金。</blockquote></p><p> Tech consultancy&nbsp;<b>Thoughtworks</b>(TWKS) plans to raise $700 million at a $6.3 billion market cap. This agile software developer provides premium, end-to-end digital strategy, design, and engineering services to more than 300 enterprise customers. The company grew revenue at a 14% CAGR from 2017 to 2020, and expanded margins in 2020 and the 1H21.</p><p><blockquote>技术咨询<b>Thoughtworks</b>(TWKS)计划以63亿美元的市值筹集7亿美元。这家敏捷软件开发商为300多家企业客户提供优质的端到端数字战略、设计和工程服务。从2017年到2020年，该公司的收入复合年增长率为14%，并在2020年和2021年上半年扩大了利润率。</blockquote></p><p> Swiss running shoe brand&nbsp;<b>On Holding</b>(ONON) plans to raise $591 million at a $5.9 billion market cap. On is a global provider of premium athletic footwear, apparel, and accessories that are designed using sustainable materials and its proprietary technology. The company has demonstrated growth and profitability, though it faces significant competition from other well-known sportswear brands.</p><p><blockquote>瑞士跑鞋品牌<b>持有时</b>(ONON)计划以59亿美元的市值筹集5.91亿美元。On是一家全球优质运动鞋、服装和配饰供应商，采用可持续材料及其专有技术设计。尽管面临来自其他知名运动服装品牌的激烈竞争，但该公司已展现出增长和盈利能力。</blockquote></p><p> After ending talks to go public via SPAC,<b>Sportradar Group</b>(SRAD) plans to raise $504 million at a $7.9 billion market cap. Covering over 750,000 events annually across 83 sports, this Swiss company provides software, data, and content to sports leagues, betting operators, and media companies. Sportradar is profitable, and growth accelerated in the 1H21 as live sports resumed.</p><p><blockquote>在结束通过SPAC上市的谈判后，<b>Sportradar集团</b>(SRAD)计划以79亿美元的市值筹集5.04亿美元。这家瑞士公司每年报道83项运动的750,000多场赛事，为体育联盟、博彩运营商和媒体公司提供软件、数据和内容。Sportradar已实现盈利，随着体育直播的恢复，2021年上半年增长加速。</blockquote></p><p> Drive-thru coffee chain&nbsp;<b>Dutch Bros</b>(BROS) plans to raise $400 million at a $3.3 billion market cap. This Oregon-based company has a chain of 471 drive-thru coffee shops in the Western US, and it has been able to maintain a track record of same-store sales growth as it has expanded to new states. Insiders received pre-IPO dividends and will sell shares back to the company.</p><p><blockquote>得来速咖啡连锁店<b>荷兰兄弟</b>(BROS)计划以33亿美元的市值筹集4亿美元。这家总部位于俄勒冈州的公司在美国西部拥有471家得来速咖啡店连锁店，随着业务扩展到新州，它一直能够保持同店销售增长的记录。内部人士收到了IPO前的股息，并将把股票卖回给公司。</blockquote></p><p> Healthcare intelligence platform&nbsp;<b>Definitive Healthcare</b>(DH) plans to raise $350 million at a $3.3 billion market cap. This company provides a healthcare commercial intelligence and analytics platform, helping its customers to analyze, navigate, and sell into the complex healthcare ecosystem. Unprofitable with strong growth, Definitive Healthcare will be leveraged post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote>医疗智能平台<b>权威医疗保健</b>(DH)计划以33亿美元的市值筹集3.5亿美元。该公司提供医疗保健商业智能和分析平台，帮助其客户分析、导航和销售复杂的医疗保健生态系统。由于增长强劲，Definitive Healthcare尚未盈利，但将在IPO后进行杠杆化。</blockquote></p><p> Identity management platform&nbsp;<b>ForgeRock</b>(FORG) plans to raise $248 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. The company provides identity and access management software, with a platform to provision, authenticate, and govern all types of digital identities. Unprofitable with high sales and marketing expenses, ForgeRock is a leading next-gen provider in the multi-billion-dollar identity and access market.</p><p><blockquote>身份管理平台<b>ForgeRock</b>(FORG)计划以21亿美元的市值筹集2.48亿美元。该公司提供身份和访问管理软件，以及一个提供、认证和管理所有类型数字身份的平台。由于销售和营销费用高昂，ForgeRock无利可图，是价值数十亿美元的身份和访问市场中领先的下一代提供商。</blockquote></p><p> Immunology biotech&nbsp;<b>DICE Therapeutics</b>(DICE) plans to raise $160 million at a $550 million market cap. This biotech is developing oral small molecule therapies to treat chronic diseases in immunology and other therapeutic areas. DICE plans to initiate a Phase 1 trial of its lead candidate S011806, an oral antagonist with a variety of immunology indications.</p><p><blockquote>免疫学生物技术<b>骰子疗法</b>(DICE)计划以5.5亿美元的市值筹集1.6亿美元。这家生物技术公司正在开发口服小分子疗法，以治疗免疫学和其他治疗领域的慢性疾病。DICE计划启动其主要候选药物S011806的1期试验，这是一种具有多种免疫学适应症的口服拮抗剂。</blockquote></p><p> Surgical robotics developer&nbsp;<b>PROCEPT BioRobotics</b>(PRCT) plans to raise $127 million at a $1.1 billion market cap. This commercial-stage company develops surgical robotic systems for minimally-invasive urologic surgery with an initial focus on treating benign prostatic hyperplasia. PROCEPT BioRobotics is highly unprofitable and saw revenue increase more than sixfold in the 1H21.</p><p><blockquote>手术机器人开发商<b>PROCEPT生物机器人</b>(PRCT)计划以11亿美元的市值筹集1.27亿美元。这家商业阶段的公司开发用于微创泌尿外科手术的手术机器人系统，最初的重点是治疗良性前列腺增生。PROCEPT BioRobotics非常无利可图，2021年上半年收入增长了六倍多。</blockquote></p><p> Oncology biotech&nbsp;<b>Tyra Biosciences</b>(TYRA) plans to raise $101 million at a $584 million market cap. This preclinical biotech is developing FGFR kinase inhibitors for cancer, specifically solid tumors. Tyra’s lead candidate is initially focused on bladder cancer, and the company expects to submit an IND for it in mid-2022.</p><p><blockquote>肿瘤生物技术<b>泰拉生物科学公司</b>(TYRA)计划以5.84亿美元的市值筹集1.01亿美元。这家临床前生物技术公司正在开发用于癌症，特别是实体瘤的FGFR激酶抑制剂。Tyra的主要候选药物最初专注于膀胱癌，该公司预计将于2022年中期提交IND。</blockquote></p><p> Micro-cap gas delivery service&nbsp;<b>EzFill Holdings</b>(EZFL) plans to raise $25 million at a $104 million market cap. This mobile-fueling company provides an on-demand fuel delivery service in Florida via mobile app. Highly unprofitable with explosive growth, EzFill states that it is the dominant player in the South Florida market.</p><p><blockquote>微帽气体输送服务<b>埃兹菲尔控股</b>(EZFL)计划以1.04亿美元的市值筹集2500万美元。这家移动加油公司通过移动应用程序在佛罗里达州提供按需加油服务。由于爆炸性增长，EzFill表示，它是南佛罗里达州市场的主导者。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/718698ff98644c4026f32efe91d076c6\" tg-width=\"1128\" tg-height=\"684\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97fe13300d9e4cf61effc59b9706776a\" tg-width=\"1129\" tg-height=\"247\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 9/9/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was up 7.7% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 19.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 11.0% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.0%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Smoore International and EQT Partners.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至9/9/21，文艺复兴IPO指数今年迄今上涨了7.7%，而标普500上涨了19.6%。Renaissance Capital的IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPO）跟踪该指数，持有的顶级ETF包括Snowflake（SNOW）和Palantir Technologies（PLTR）。Renaissance International IPO指数今年迄今下跌11.0%，而ACWX指数上涨10.0%。Renaissance Capital的国际IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPOS）跟踪该指数，持有的顶级ETF包括思摩尔国际和殷拓合伙人。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603787993745","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US IPO Week Ahead: The Fall IPO market kicks off with a 10 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周：秋季IPO市场以10周IPO拉开帷幕</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS IPO Week Ahead: The Fall IPO market kicks off with a 10 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周：秋季IPO市场以10周IPO拉开帷幕</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Renaissance Capital</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-12 08:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>After a wave of launches in the short holiday week, 10 IPOs are scheduled to raise over $3 billion in the week ahead.</p><p><blockquote>在短暂的假期周经历了一波发行之后，未来一周将有10起IPO计划筹集超过30亿美元的资金。</blockquote></p><p> Tech consultancy&nbsp;<b>Thoughtworks</b>(TWKS) plans to raise $700 million at a $6.3 billion market cap. This agile software developer provides premium, end-to-end digital strategy, design, and engineering services to more than 300 enterprise customers. The company grew revenue at a 14% CAGR from 2017 to 2020, and expanded margins in 2020 and the 1H21.</p><p><blockquote>技术咨询<b>Thoughtworks</b>(TWKS)计划以63亿美元的市值筹集7亿美元。这家敏捷软件开发商为300多家企业客户提供优质的端到端数字战略、设计和工程服务。从2017年到2020年，该公司的收入复合年增长率为14%，并在2020年和2021年上半年扩大了利润率。</blockquote></p><p> Swiss running shoe brand&nbsp;<b>On Holding</b>(ONON) plans to raise $591 million at a $5.9 billion market cap. On is a global provider of premium athletic footwear, apparel, and accessories that are designed using sustainable materials and its proprietary technology. The company has demonstrated growth and profitability, though it faces significant competition from other well-known sportswear brands.</p><p><blockquote>瑞士跑鞋品牌<b>持有时</b>(ONON)计划以59亿美元的市值筹集5.91亿美元。On是一家全球优质运动鞋、服装和配饰供应商，采用可持续材料及其专有技术设计。尽管面临来自其他知名运动服装品牌的激烈竞争，但该公司已展现出增长和盈利能力。</blockquote></p><p> After ending talks to go public via SPAC,<b>Sportradar Group</b>(SRAD) plans to raise $504 million at a $7.9 billion market cap. Covering over 750,000 events annually across 83 sports, this Swiss company provides software, data, and content to sports leagues, betting operators, and media companies. Sportradar is profitable, and growth accelerated in the 1H21 as live sports resumed.</p><p><blockquote>在结束通过SPAC上市的谈判后，<b>Sportradar集团</b>(SRAD)计划以79亿美元的市值筹集5.04亿美元。这家瑞士公司每年报道83项运动的750,000多场赛事，为体育联盟、博彩运营商和媒体公司提供软件、数据和内容。Sportradar已实现盈利，随着体育直播的恢复，2021年上半年增长加速。</blockquote></p><p> Drive-thru coffee chain&nbsp;<b>Dutch Bros</b>(BROS) plans to raise $400 million at a $3.3 billion market cap. This Oregon-based company has a chain of 471 drive-thru coffee shops in the Western US, and it has been able to maintain a track record of same-store sales growth as it has expanded to new states. Insiders received pre-IPO dividends and will sell shares back to the company.</p><p><blockquote>得来速咖啡连锁店<b>荷兰兄弟</b>(BROS)计划以33亿美元的市值筹集4亿美元。这家总部位于俄勒冈州的公司在美国西部拥有471家得来速咖啡店连锁店，随着业务扩展到新州，它一直能够保持同店销售增长的记录。内部人士收到了IPO前的股息，并将把股票卖回给公司。</blockquote></p><p> Healthcare intelligence platform&nbsp;<b>Definitive Healthcare</b>(DH) plans to raise $350 million at a $3.3 billion market cap. This company provides a healthcare commercial intelligence and analytics platform, helping its customers to analyze, navigate, and sell into the complex healthcare ecosystem. Unprofitable with strong growth, Definitive Healthcare will be leveraged post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote>医疗智能平台<b>权威医疗保健</b>(DH)计划以33亿美元的市值筹集3.5亿美元。该公司提供医疗保健商业智能和分析平台，帮助其客户分析、导航和销售复杂的医疗保健生态系统。由于增长强劲，Definitive Healthcare尚未盈利，但将在IPO后进行杠杆化。</blockquote></p><p> Identity management platform&nbsp;<b>ForgeRock</b>(FORG) plans to raise $248 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. The company provides identity and access management software, with a platform to provision, authenticate, and govern all types of digital identities. Unprofitable with high sales and marketing expenses, ForgeRock is a leading next-gen provider in the multi-billion-dollar identity and access market.</p><p><blockquote>身份管理平台<b>ForgeRock</b>(FORG)计划以21亿美元的市值筹集2.48亿美元。该公司提供身份和访问管理软件，以及一个提供、认证和管理所有类型数字身份的平台。由于销售和营销费用高昂，ForgeRock无利可图，是价值数十亿美元的身份和访问市场中领先的下一代提供商。</blockquote></p><p> Immunology biotech&nbsp;<b>DICE Therapeutics</b>(DICE) plans to raise $160 million at a $550 million market cap. This biotech is developing oral small molecule therapies to treat chronic diseases in immunology and other therapeutic areas. DICE plans to initiate a Phase 1 trial of its lead candidate S011806, an oral antagonist with a variety of immunology indications.</p><p><blockquote>免疫学生物技术<b>骰子疗法</b>(DICE)计划以5.5亿美元的市值筹集1.6亿美元。这家生物技术公司正在开发口服小分子疗法，以治疗免疫学和其他治疗领域的慢性疾病。DICE计划启动其主要候选药物S011806的1期试验，这是一种具有多种免疫学适应症的口服拮抗剂。</blockquote></p><p> Surgical robotics developer&nbsp;<b>PROCEPT BioRobotics</b>(PRCT) plans to raise $127 million at a $1.1 billion market cap. This commercial-stage company develops surgical robotic systems for minimally-invasive urologic surgery with an initial focus on treating benign prostatic hyperplasia. PROCEPT BioRobotics is highly unprofitable and saw revenue increase more than sixfold in the 1H21.</p><p><blockquote>手术机器人开发商<b>PROCEPT生物机器人</b>(PRCT)计划以11亿美元的市值筹集1.27亿美元。这家商业阶段的公司开发用于微创泌尿外科手术的手术机器人系统，最初的重点是治疗良性前列腺增生。PROCEPT BioRobotics非常无利可图，2021年上半年收入增长了六倍多。</blockquote></p><p> Oncology biotech&nbsp;<b>Tyra Biosciences</b>(TYRA) plans to raise $101 million at a $584 million market cap. This preclinical biotech is developing FGFR kinase inhibitors for cancer, specifically solid tumors. Tyra’s lead candidate is initially focused on bladder cancer, and the company expects to submit an IND for it in mid-2022.</p><p><blockquote>肿瘤生物技术<b>泰拉生物科学公司</b>(TYRA)计划以5.84亿美元的市值筹集1.01亿美元。这家临床前生物技术公司正在开发用于癌症，特别是实体瘤的FGFR激酶抑制剂。Tyra的主要候选药物最初专注于膀胱癌，该公司预计将于2022年中期提交IND。</blockquote></p><p> Micro-cap gas delivery service&nbsp;<b>EzFill Holdings</b>(EZFL) plans to raise $25 million at a $104 million market cap. This mobile-fueling company provides an on-demand fuel delivery service in Florida via mobile app. Highly unprofitable with explosive growth, EzFill states that it is the dominant player in the South Florida market.</p><p><blockquote>微帽气体输送服务<b>埃兹菲尔控股</b>(EZFL)计划以1.04亿美元的市值筹集2500万美元。这家移动加油公司通过移动应用程序在佛罗里达州提供按需加油服务。由于爆炸性增长，EzFill表示，它是南佛罗里达州市场的主导者。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/718698ff98644c4026f32efe91d076c6\" tg-width=\"1128\" tg-height=\"684\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97fe13300d9e4cf61effc59b9706776a\" tg-width=\"1129\" tg-height=\"247\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 9/9/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was up 7.7% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 19.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 11.0% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.0%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Smoore International and EQT Partners.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至9/9/21，文艺复兴IPO指数今年迄今上涨了7.7%，而标普500上涨了19.6%。Renaissance Capital的IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPO）跟踪该指数，持有的顶级ETF包括Snowflake（SNOW）和Palantir Technologies（PLTR）。Renaissance International IPO指数今年迄今下跌11.0%，而ACWX指数上涨10.0%。Renaissance Capital的国际IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPOS）跟踪该指数，持有的顶级ETF包括思摩尔国际和殷拓合伙人。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/85972/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-The-Fall-IPO-market-kicks-off-with-a-10-IPO-week\">Renaissance Capital</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","DH":"Definitive Healthcare Corp.","BROS":"Dutch Bros Inc.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","FORG":"ForgeRock, Inc.","SRAD":"Sportradar Group AG","PRCT":"PROCEPT BioRobotics","TYRA":"Tyra Biosciences, Inc.","ONON":"On Holding AG","TWKS":"Thoughtworks Holding Inc.","DICE":"DICE Therapeutics, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/85972/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-The-Fall-IPO-market-kicks-off-with-a-10-IPO-week","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1189654544","content_text":"After a wave of launches in the short holiday week, 10 IPOs are scheduled to raise over $3 billion in the week ahead.\nTech consultancy Thoughtworks(TWKS) plans to raise $700 million at a $6.3 billion market cap. This agile software developer provides premium, end-to-end digital strategy, design, and engineering services to more than 300 enterprise customers. The company grew revenue at a 14% CAGR from 2017 to 2020, and expanded margins in 2020 and the 1H21.\nSwiss running shoe brand On Holding(ONON) plans to raise $591 million at a $5.9 billion market cap. On is a global provider of premium athletic footwear, apparel, and accessories that are designed using sustainable materials and its proprietary technology. The company has demonstrated growth and profitability, though it faces significant competition from other well-known sportswear brands.\nAfter ending talks to go public via SPAC,Sportradar Group(SRAD) plans to raise $504 million at a $7.9 billion market cap. Covering over 750,000 events annually across 83 sports, this Swiss company provides software, data, and content to sports leagues, betting operators, and media companies. Sportradar is profitable, and growth accelerated in the 1H21 as live sports resumed.\nDrive-thru coffee chain Dutch Bros(BROS) plans to raise $400 million at a $3.3 billion market cap. This Oregon-based company has a chain of 471 drive-thru coffee shops in the Western US, and it has been able to maintain a track record of same-store sales growth as it has expanded to new states. Insiders received pre-IPO dividends and will sell shares back to the company.\nHealthcare intelligence platform Definitive Healthcare(DH) plans to raise $350 million at a $3.3 billion market cap. This company provides a healthcare commercial intelligence and analytics platform, helping its customers to analyze, navigate, and sell into the complex healthcare ecosystem. Unprofitable with strong growth, Definitive Healthcare will be leveraged post-IPO.\nIdentity management platform ForgeRock(FORG) plans to raise $248 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. The company provides identity and access management software, with a platform to provision, authenticate, and govern all types of digital identities. Unprofitable with high sales and marketing expenses, ForgeRock is a leading next-gen provider in the multi-billion-dollar identity and access market.\nImmunology biotech DICE Therapeutics(DICE) plans to raise $160 million at a $550 million market cap. This biotech is developing oral small molecule therapies to treat chronic diseases in immunology and other therapeutic areas. DICE plans to initiate a Phase 1 trial of its lead candidate S011806, an oral antagonist with a variety of immunology indications.\nSurgical robotics developer PROCEPT BioRobotics(PRCT) plans to raise $127 million at a $1.1 billion market cap. This commercial-stage company develops surgical robotic systems for minimally-invasive urologic surgery with an initial focus on treating benign prostatic hyperplasia. PROCEPT BioRobotics is highly unprofitable and saw revenue increase more than sixfold in the 1H21.\nOncology biotech Tyra Biosciences(TYRA) plans to raise $101 million at a $584 million market cap. This preclinical biotech is developing FGFR kinase inhibitors for cancer, specifically solid tumors. Tyra’s lead candidate is initially focused on bladder cancer, and the company expects to submit an IND for it in mid-2022.\nMicro-cap gas delivery service EzFill Holdings(EZFL) plans to raise $25 million at a $104 million market cap. This mobile-fueling company provides an on-demand fuel delivery service in Florida via mobile app. Highly unprofitable with explosive growth, EzFill states that it is the dominant player in the South Florida market.\n\nIPO Market Snapshot\nThe Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 9/9/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was up 7.7% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 was up 19.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 11.0% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.0%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Smoore International and EQT Partners.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"FORG":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"DICE":0.9,"TWKS":0.9,"DH":0.9,"SRAD":0.9,"TYRA":0.9,"BROS":0.9,"ONON":0.9,"PRCT":0.9,"EZFL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":504,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":888043144,"gmtCreate":1631416610688,"gmtModify":1631889322323,"author":{"id":"3574934794715748","authorId":"3574934794715748","name":"Medini13","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c405cab753c37ca8069a09a8847ddc1","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574934794715748","idStr":"3574934794715748"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/888043144","repostId":"1189654544","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1189654544","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1631406130,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1189654544?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-12 08:22","market":"us","language":"en","title":"US IPO Week Ahead: The Fall IPO market kicks off with a 10 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周：秋季IPO市场以10周IPO拉开帷幕</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1189654544","media":"Renaissance Capital","summary":"After a wave of launches in the short holiday week, 10 IPOs are scheduled to raise over $3 billion i","content":"<p>After a wave of launches in the short holiday week, 10 IPOs are scheduled to raise over $3 billion in the week ahead.</p><p><blockquote>在短暂的假期周经历了一波发行之后，未来一周将有10起IPO计划筹集超过30亿美元的资金。</blockquote></p><p> Tech consultancy&nbsp;<b>Thoughtworks</b>(TWKS) plans to raise $700 million at a $6.3 billion market cap. This agile software developer provides premium, end-to-end digital strategy, design, and engineering services to more than 300 enterprise customers. The company grew revenue at a 14% CAGR from 2017 to 2020, and expanded margins in 2020 and the 1H21.</p><p><blockquote>技术咨询<b>Thoughtworks</b>(TWKS)计划以63亿美元的市值筹集7亿美元。这家敏捷软件开发商为300多家企业客户提供优质的端到端数字战略、设计和工程服务。从2017年到2020年，该公司的收入复合年增长率为14%，并在2020年和2021年上半年扩大了利润率。</blockquote></p><p> Swiss running shoe brand&nbsp;<b>On Holding</b>(ONON) plans to raise $591 million at a $5.9 billion market cap. On is a global provider of premium athletic footwear, apparel, and accessories that are designed using sustainable materials and its proprietary technology. The company has demonstrated growth and profitability, though it faces significant competition from other well-known sportswear brands.</p><p><blockquote>瑞士跑鞋品牌<b>持有时</b>(ONON)计划以59亿美元的市值筹集5.91亿美元。On是一家全球优质运动鞋、服装和配饰供应商，采用可持续材料及其专有技术设计。尽管面临来自其他知名运动服装品牌的激烈竞争，但该公司已展现出增长和盈利能力。</blockquote></p><p> After ending talks to go public via SPAC,<b>Sportradar Group</b>(SRAD) plans to raise $504 million at a $7.9 billion market cap. Covering over 750,000 events annually across 83 sports, this Swiss company provides software, data, and content to sports leagues, betting operators, and media companies. Sportradar is profitable, and growth accelerated in the 1H21 as live sports resumed.</p><p><blockquote>在结束通过SPAC上市的谈判后，<b>Sportradar集团</b>(SRAD)计划以79亿美元的市值筹集5.04亿美元。这家瑞士公司每年报道83项运动的750,000多场赛事，为体育联盟、博彩运营商和媒体公司提供软件、数据和内容。Sportradar已实现盈利，随着体育直播的恢复，2021年上半年增长加速。</blockquote></p><p> Drive-thru coffee chain&nbsp;<b>Dutch Bros</b>(BROS) plans to raise $400 million at a $3.3 billion market cap. This Oregon-based company has a chain of 471 drive-thru coffee shops in the Western US, and it has been able to maintain a track record of same-store sales growth as it has expanded to new states. Insiders received pre-IPO dividends and will sell shares back to the company.</p><p><blockquote>得来速咖啡连锁店<b>荷兰兄弟</b>(BROS)计划以33亿美元的市值筹集4亿美元。这家总部位于俄勒冈州的公司在美国西部拥有471家得来速咖啡店连锁店，随着业务扩展到新州，它一直能够保持同店销售增长的记录。内部人士收到了IPO前的股息，并将把股票卖回给公司。</blockquote></p><p> Healthcare intelligence platform&nbsp;<b>Definitive Healthcare</b>(DH) plans to raise $350 million at a $3.3 billion market cap. This company provides a healthcare commercial intelligence and analytics platform, helping its customers to analyze, navigate, and sell into the complex healthcare ecosystem. Unprofitable with strong growth, Definitive Healthcare will be leveraged post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote>医疗智能平台<b>权威医疗保健</b>(DH)计划以33亿美元的市值筹集3.5亿美元。该公司提供医疗保健商业智能和分析平台，帮助其客户分析、导航和销售复杂的医疗保健生态系统。由于增长强劲，Definitive Healthcare尚未盈利，但将在IPO后进行杠杆化。</blockquote></p><p> Identity management platform&nbsp;<b>ForgeRock</b>(FORG) plans to raise $248 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. The company provides identity and access management software, with a platform to provision, authenticate, and govern all types of digital identities. Unprofitable with high sales and marketing expenses, ForgeRock is a leading next-gen provider in the multi-billion-dollar identity and access market.</p><p><blockquote>身份管理平台<b>ForgeRock</b>(FORG)计划以21亿美元的市值筹集2.48亿美元。该公司提供身份和访问管理软件，以及一个提供、认证和管理所有类型数字身份的平台。由于销售和营销费用高昂，ForgeRock无利可图，是价值数十亿美元的身份和访问市场中领先的下一代提供商。</blockquote></p><p> Immunology biotech&nbsp;<b>DICE Therapeutics</b>(DICE) plans to raise $160 million at a $550 million market cap. This biotech is developing oral small molecule therapies to treat chronic diseases in immunology and other therapeutic areas. DICE plans to initiate a Phase 1 trial of its lead candidate S011806, an oral antagonist with a variety of immunology indications.</p><p><blockquote>免疫学生物技术<b>骰子疗法</b>(DICE)计划以5.5亿美元的市值筹集1.6亿美元。这家生物技术公司正在开发口服小分子疗法，以治疗免疫学和其他治疗领域的慢性疾病。DICE计划启动其主要候选药物S011806的1期试验，这是一种具有多种免疫学适应症的口服拮抗剂。</blockquote></p><p> Surgical robotics developer&nbsp;<b>PROCEPT BioRobotics</b>(PRCT) plans to raise $127 million at a $1.1 billion market cap. This commercial-stage company develops surgical robotic systems for minimally-invasive urologic surgery with an initial focus on treating benign prostatic hyperplasia. PROCEPT BioRobotics is highly unprofitable and saw revenue increase more than sixfold in the 1H21.</p><p><blockquote>手术机器人开发商<b>PROCEPT生物机器人</b>(PRCT)计划以11亿美元的市值筹集1.27亿美元。这家商业阶段的公司开发用于微创泌尿外科手术的手术机器人系统，最初的重点是治疗良性前列腺增生。PROCEPT BioRobotics非常无利可图，2021年上半年收入增长了六倍多。</blockquote></p><p> Oncology biotech&nbsp;<b>Tyra Biosciences</b>(TYRA) plans to raise $101 million at a $584 million market cap. This preclinical biotech is developing FGFR kinase inhibitors for cancer, specifically solid tumors. Tyra’s lead candidate is initially focused on bladder cancer, and the company expects to submit an IND for it in mid-2022.</p><p><blockquote>肿瘤生物技术<b>泰拉生物科学公司</b>(TYRA)计划以5.84亿美元的市值筹集1.01亿美元。这家临床前生物技术公司正在开发用于癌症，特别是实体瘤的FGFR激酶抑制剂。Tyra的主要候选药物最初专注于膀胱癌，该公司预计将于2022年中期提交IND。</blockquote></p><p> Micro-cap gas delivery service&nbsp;<b>EzFill Holdings</b>(EZFL) plans to raise $25 million at a $104 million market cap. This mobile-fueling company provides an on-demand fuel delivery service in Florida via mobile app. Highly unprofitable with explosive growth, EzFill states that it is the dominant player in the South Florida market.</p><p><blockquote>微帽气体输送服务<b>埃兹菲尔控股</b>(EZFL)计划以1.04亿美元的市值筹集2500万美元。这家移动加油公司通过移动应用程序在佛罗里达州提供按需加油服务。由于爆炸性增长，EzFill表示，它是南佛罗里达州市场的主导者。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/718698ff98644c4026f32efe91d076c6\" tg-width=\"1128\" tg-height=\"684\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97fe13300d9e4cf61effc59b9706776a\" tg-width=\"1129\" tg-height=\"247\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 9/9/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was up 7.7% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 19.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 11.0% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.0%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Smoore International and EQT Partners.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至9/9/21，文艺复兴IPO指数今年迄今上涨了7.7%，而标普500上涨了19.6%。Renaissance Capital的IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPO）跟踪该指数，持有的顶级ETF包括Snowflake（SNOW）和Palantir Technologies（PLTR）。Renaissance International IPO指数今年迄今下跌11.0%，而ACWX指数上涨10.0%。Renaissance Capital的国际IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPOS）跟踪该指数，持有的顶级ETF包括思摩尔国际和殷拓合伙人。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603787993745","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>US IPO Week Ahead: The Fall IPO market kicks off with a 10 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周：秋季IPO市场以10周IPO拉开帷幕</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nUS IPO Week Ahead: The Fall IPO market kicks off with a 10 IPO week<blockquote>美国IPO周：秋季IPO市场以10周IPO拉开帷幕</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Renaissance Capital</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-09-12 08:22</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>After a wave of launches in the short holiday week, 10 IPOs are scheduled to raise over $3 billion in the week ahead.</p><p><blockquote>在短暂的假期周经历了一波发行之后，未来一周将有10起IPO计划筹集超过30亿美元的资金。</blockquote></p><p> Tech consultancy&nbsp;<b>Thoughtworks</b>(TWKS) plans to raise $700 million at a $6.3 billion market cap. This agile software developer provides premium, end-to-end digital strategy, design, and engineering services to more than 300 enterprise customers. The company grew revenue at a 14% CAGR from 2017 to 2020, and expanded margins in 2020 and the 1H21.</p><p><blockquote>技术咨询<b>Thoughtworks</b>(TWKS)计划以63亿美元的市值筹集7亿美元。这家敏捷软件开发商为300多家企业客户提供优质的端到端数字战略、设计和工程服务。从2017年到2020年，该公司的收入复合年增长率为14%，并在2020年和2021年上半年扩大了利润率。</blockquote></p><p> Swiss running shoe brand&nbsp;<b>On Holding</b>(ONON) plans to raise $591 million at a $5.9 billion market cap. On is a global provider of premium athletic footwear, apparel, and accessories that are designed using sustainable materials and its proprietary technology. The company has demonstrated growth and profitability, though it faces significant competition from other well-known sportswear brands.</p><p><blockquote>瑞士跑鞋品牌<b>持有时</b>(ONON)计划以59亿美元的市值筹集5.91亿美元。On是一家全球优质运动鞋、服装和配饰供应商，采用可持续材料及其专有技术设计。尽管面临来自其他知名运动服装品牌的激烈竞争，但该公司已展现出增长和盈利能力。</blockquote></p><p> After ending talks to go public via SPAC,<b>Sportradar Group</b>(SRAD) plans to raise $504 million at a $7.9 billion market cap. Covering over 750,000 events annually across 83 sports, this Swiss company provides software, data, and content to sports leagues, betting operators, and media companies. Sportradar is profitable, and growth accelerated in the 1H21 as live sports resumed.</p><p><blockquote>在结束通过SPAC上市的谈判后，<b>Sportradar集团</b>(SRAD)计划以79亿美元的市值筹集5.04亿美元。这家瑞士公司每年报道83项运动的750,000多场赛事，为体育联盟、博彩运营商和媒体公司提供软件、数据和内容。Sportradar已实现盈利，随着体育直播的恢复，2021年上半年增长加速。</blockquote></p><p> Drive-thru coffee chain&nbsp;<b>Dutch Bros</b>(BROS) plans to raise $400 million at a $3.3 billion market cap. This Oregon-based company has a chain of 471 drive-thru coffee shops in the Western US, and it has been able to maintain a track record of same-store sales growth as it has expanded to new states. Insiders received pre-IPO dividends and will sell shares back to the company.</p><p><blockquote>得来速咖啡连锁店<b>荷兰兄弟</b>(BROS)计划以33亿美元的市值筹集4亿美元。这家总部位于俄勒冈州的公司在美国西部拥有471家得来速咖啡店连锁店，随着业务扩展到新州，它一直能够保持同店销售增长的记录。内部人士收到了IPO前的股息，并将把股票卖回给公司。</blockquote></p><p> Healthcare intelligence platform&nbsp;<b>Definitive Healthcare</b>(DH) plans to raise $350 million at a $3.3 billion market cap. This company provides a healthcare commercial intelligence and analytics platform, helping its customers to analyze, navigate, and sell into the complex healthcare ecosystem. Unprofitable with strong growth, Definitive Healthcare will be leveraged post-IPO.</p><p><blockquote>医疗智能平台<b>权威医疗保健</b>(DH)计划以33亿美元的市值筹集3.5亿美元。该公司提供医疗保健商业智能和分析平台，帮助其客户分析、导航和销售复杂的医疗保健生态系统。由于增长强劲，Definitive Healthcare尚未盈利，但将在IPO后进行杠杆化。</blockquote></p><p> Identity management platform&nbsp;<b>ForgeRock</b>(FORG) plans to raise $248 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. The company provides identity and access management software, with a platform to provision, authenticate, and govern all types of digital identities. Unprofitable with high sales and marketing expenses, ForgeRock is a leading next-gen provider in the multi-billion-dollar identity and access market.</p><p><blockquote>身份管理平台<b>ForgeRock</b>(FORG)计划以21亿美元的市值筹集2.48亿美元。该公司提供身份和访问管理软件，以及一个提供、认证和管理所有类型数字身份的平台。由于销售和营销费用高昂，ForgeRock无利可图，是价值数十亿美元的身份和访问市场中领先的下一代提供商。</blockquote></p><p> Immunology biotech&nbsp;<b>DICE Therapeutics</b>(DICE) plans to raise $160 million at a $550 million market cap. This biotech is developing oral small molecule therapies to treat chronic diseases in immunology and other therapeutic areas. DICE plans to initiate a Phase 1 trial of its lead candidate S011806, an oral antagonist with a variety of immunology indications.</p><p><blockquote>免疫学生物技术<b>骰子疗法</b>(DICE)计划以5.5亿美元的市值筹集1.6亿美元。这家生物技术公司正在开发口服小分子疗法，以治疗免疫学和其他治疗领域的慢性疾病。DICE计划启动其主要候选药物S011806的1期试验，这是一种具有多种免疫学适应症的口服拮抗剂。</blockquote></p><p> Surgical robotics developer&nbsp;<b>PROCEPT BioRobotics</b>(PRCT) plans to raise $127 million at a $1.1 billion market cap. This commercial-stage company develops surgical robotic systems for minimally-invasive urologic surgery with an initial focus on treating benign prostatic hyperplasia. PROCEPT BioRobotics is highly unprofitable and saw revenue increase more than sixfold in the 1H21.</p><p><blockquote>手术机器人开发商<b>PROCEPT生物机器人</b>(PRCT)计划以11亿美元的市值筹集1.27亿美元。这家商业阶段的公司开发用于微创泌尿外科手术的手术机器人系统，最初的重点是治疗良性前列腺增生。PROCEPT BioRobotics非常无利可图，2021年上半年收入增长了六倍多。</blockquote></p><p> Oncology biotech&nbsp;<b>Tyra Biosciences</b>(TYRA) plans to raise $101 million at a $584 million market cap. This preclinical biotech is developing FGFR kinase inhibitors for cancer, specifically solid tumors. Tyra’s lead candidate is initially focused on bladder cancer, and the company expects to submit an IND for it in mid-2022.</p><p><blockquote>肿瘤生物技术<b>泰拉生物科学公司</b>(TYRA)计划以5.84亿美元的市值筹集1.01亿美元。这家临床前生物技术公司正在开发用于癌症，特别是实体瘤的FGFR激酶抑制剂。Tyra的主要候选药物最初专注于膀胱癌，该公司预计将于2022年中期提交IND。</blockquote></p><p> Micro-cap gas delivery service&nbsp;<b>EzFill Holdings</b>(EZFL) plans to raise $25 million at a $104 million market cap. This mobile-fueling company provides an on-demand fuel delivery service in Florida via mobile app. Highly unprofitable with explosive growth, EzFill states that it is the dominant player in the South Florida market.</p><p><blockquote>微帽气体输送服务<b>埃兹菲尔控股</b>(EZFL)计划以1.04亿美元的市值筹集2500万美元。这家移动加油公司通过移动应用程序在佛罗里达州提供按需加油服务。由于爆炸性增长，EzFill表示，它是南佛罗里达州市场的主导者。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/718698ff98644c4026f32efe91d076c6\" tg-width=\"1128\" tg-height=\"684\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/97fe13300d9e4cf61effc59b9706776a\" tg-width=\"1129\" tg-height=\"247\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>IPO Market Snapshot</b></p><p><blockquote><b>IPO市场快照</b></blockquote></p><p> The Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 9/9/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was up 7.7% year-to-date, while the S&amp;P 500 was up 19.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 11.0% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.0%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Smoore International and EQT Partners.</p><p><blockquote>文艺复兴IPO指数是新上市公司的市值加权篮子。截至9/9/21，文艺复兴IPO指数今年迄今上涨了7.7%，而标普500上涨了19.6%。Renaissance Capital的IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPO）跟踪该指数，持有的顶级ETF包括Snowflake（SNOW）和Palantir Technologies（PLTR）。Renaissance International IPO指数今年迄今下跌11.0%，而ACWX指数上涨10.0%。Renaissance Capital的国际IPO ETF（纽约证券交易所股票代码：IPOS）跟踪该指数，持有的顶级ETF包括思摩尔国际和殷拓合伙人。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/85972/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-The-Fall-IPO-market-kicks-off-with-a-10-IPO-week\">Renaissance Capital</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","DH":"Definitive Healthcare Corp.","BROS":"Dutch Bros Inc.",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","FORG":"ForgeRock, Inc.","SRAD":"Sportradar Group AG","PRCT":"PROCEPT BioRobotics","TYRA":"Tyra Biosciences, Inc.","ONON":"On Holding AG","TWKS":"Thoughtworks Holding Inc.","DICE":"DICE Therapeutics, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.renaissancecapital.com/IPO-Center/News/85972/US-IPO-Week-Ahead-The-Fall-IPO-market-kicks-off-with-a-10-IPO-week","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1189654544","content_text":"After a wave of launches in the short holiday week, 10 IPOs are scheduled to raise over $3 billion in the week ahead.\nTech consultancy Thoughtworks(TWKS) plans to raise $700 million at a $6.3 billion market cap. This agile software developer provides premium, end-to-end digital strategy, design, and engineering services to more than 300 enterprise customers. The company grew revenue at a 14% CAGR from 2017 to 2020, and expanded margins in 2020 and the 1H21.\nSwiss running shoe brand On Holding(ONON) plans to raise $591 million at a $5.9 billion market cap. On is a global provider of premium athletic footwear, apparel, and accessories that are designed using sustainable materials and its proprietary technology. The company has demonstrated growth and profitability, though it faces significant competition from other well-known sportswear brands.\nAfter ending talks to go public via SPAC,Sportradar Group(SRAD) plans to raise $504 million at a $7.9 billion market cap. Covering over 750,000 events annually across 83 sports, this Swiss company provides software, data, and content to sports leagues, betting operators, and media companies. Sportradar is profitable, and growth accelerated in the 1H21 as live sports resumed.\nDrive-thru coffee chain Dutch Bros(BROS) plans to raise $400 million at a $3.3 billion market cap. This Oregon-based company has a chain of 471 drive-thru coffee shops in the Western US, and it has been able to maintain a track record of same-store sales growth as it has expanded to new states. Insiders received pre-IPO dividends and will sell shares back to the company.\nHealthcare intelligence platform Definitive Healthcare(DH) plans to raise $350 million at a $3.3 billion market cap. This company provides a healthcare commercial intelligence and analytics platform, helping its customers to analyze, navigate, and sell into the complex healthcare ecosystem. Unprofitable with strong growth, Definitive Healthcare will be leveraged post-IPO.\nIdentity management platform ForgeRock(FORG) plans to raise $248 million at a $2.1 billion market cap. The company provides identity and access management software, with a platform to provision, authenticate, and govern all types of digital identities. Unprofitable with high sales and marketing expenses, ForgeRock is a leading next-gen provider in the multi-billion-dollar identity and access market.\nImmunology biotech DICE Therapeutics(DICE) plans to raise $160 million at a $550 million market cap. This biotech is developing oral small molecule therapies to treat chronic diseases in immunology and other therapeutic areas. DICE plans to initiate a Phase 1 trial of its lead candidate S011806, an oral antagonist with a variety of immunology indications.\nSurgical robotics developer PROCEPT BioRobotics(PRCT) plans to raise $127 million at a $1.1 billion market cap. This commercial-stage company develops surgical robotic systems for minimally-invasive urologic surgery with an initial focus on treating benign prostatic hyperplasia. PROCEPT BioRobotics is highly unprofitable and saw revenue increase more than sixfold in the 1H21.\nOncology biotech Tyra Biosciences(TYRA) plans to raise $101 million at a $584 million market cap. This preclinical biotech is developing FGFR kinase inhibitors for cancer, specifically solid tumors. Tyra’s lead candidate is initially focused on bladder cancer, and the company expects to submit an IND for it in mid-2022.\nMicro-cap gas delivery service EzFill Holdings(EZFL) plans to raise $25 million at a $104 million market cap. This mobile-fueling company provides an on-demand fuel delivery service in Florida via mobile app. Highly unprofitable with explosive growth, EzFill states that it is the dominant player in the South Florida market.\n\nIPO Market Snapshot\nThe Renaissance IPO Indices are market cap weighted baskets of newly public companies. As of 9/9/21, the Renaissance IPO Index was up 7.7% year-to-date, while the S&P 500 was up 19.6%. Renaissance Capital's IPO ETF (NYSE: IPO) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Snowflake (SNOW) and Palantir Technologies (PLTR). The Renaissance International IPO Index was down 11.0% year-to-date, while the ACWX was up 10.0%. Renaissance Capital’s International IPO ETF (NYSE: IPOS) tracks the index, and top ETF holdings include Smoore International and EQT Partners.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"FORG":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"DICE":0.9,"TWKS":0.9,"DH":0.9,"SRAD":0.9,"TYRA":0.9,"BROS":0.9,"ONON":0.9,"PRCT":0.9,"EZFL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":454,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":881877963,"gmtCreate":1631327209552,"gmtModify":1631889322333,"author":{"id":"3574934794715748","authorId":"3574934794715748","name":"Medini13","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c405cab753c37ca8069a09a8847ddc1","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574934794715748","idStr":"3574934794715748"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/881877963","repostId":"2166711943","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":480,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":190865596,"gmtCreate":1620611437515,"gmtModify":1634197727642,"author":{"id":"3574934794715748","authorId":"3574934794715748","name":"Medini13","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c405cab753c37ca8069a09a8847ddc1","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574934794715748","authorIdStr":"3574934794715748"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/190865596","repostId":"2134686276","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":321,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185176600,"gmtCreate":1623638812400,"gmtModify":1634030813310,"author":{"id":"3574934794715748","authorId":"3574934794715748","name":"Medini13","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c405cab753c37ca8069a09a8847ddc1","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574934794715748","authorIdStr":"3574934794715748"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment pls","listText":"Like and comment pls","text":"Like and comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":5,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/185176600","repostId":"1146430910","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":627,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":193827679,"gmtCreate":1620780636091,"gmtModify":1634196385130,"author":{"id":"3574934794715748","authorId":"3574934794715748","name":"Medini13","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c405cab753c37ca8069a09a8847ddc1","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574934794715748","authorIdStr":"3574934794715748"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment pls","listText":"Like and comment pls","text":"Like and comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/193827679","repostId":"2134698127","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":529,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":101258589,"gmtCreate":1619918457241,"gmtModify":1634209158659,"author":{"id":"3574934794715748","authorId":"3574934794715748","name":"Medini13","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c405cab753c37ca8069a09a8847ddc1","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574934794715748","authorIdStr":"3574934794715748"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Sounds good","listText":"Sounds good","text":"Sounds good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/101258589","repostId":"1103106179","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":570,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":805373148,"gmtCreate":1627863241584,"gmtModify":1633755901030,"author":{"id":"3574934794715748","authorId":"3574934794715748","name":"Medini13","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c405cab753c37ca8069a09a8847ddc1","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574934794715748","authorIdStr":"3574934794715748"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Go","listText":"Go","text":"Go","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/805373148","repostId":"1170689665","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1170689665","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627857540,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1170689665?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-02 06:39","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Alibaba,Uber, DraftKings, GM, Roku, EA, ViacomCBS, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW、Uber、DraftKings、通用汽车、Roku、EA、ViacomCBS等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1170689665","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"The parade of second-quarter results continues this week. No fewer than 143 S&P 500 companies are on deck to report, in addition to hundreds of small caps. Ferrari, Vornado Realty Trust, Take-Two Interactive Software, and Simon Property Group will get the ball rolling on Monday. Then Lyft, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, Under Armour, Eli Lilly, and ConocoPhillips release their results on Tuesday.Wednesday will be particularly busy:General Motors,Uber Technologies,Etsy,Electronic Arts,Western Dig","content":"<p>The parade of second-quarter results continues this week. No fewer than 143 S&amp;P 500 companies are on deck to report, in addition to hundreds of small caps. Ferrari, Vornado Realty Trust, Take-Two Interactive Software, and Simon Property Group will get the ball rolling on Monday. Then Lyft, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, Under Armour, Eli Lilly, and ConocoPhillips release their results on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>第二季度业绩本周继续公布。除了数百家小盘股外，至少有143家标普500公司即将发布报告。法拉利、Vornado Realty Trust、Take-Two Interactive Software和Simon Property Group将于周一开始行动。随后，Lyft、阿里巴巴-SW集团控股、尼古拉、安德玛、礼来公司和康菲石油公司将于周二发布业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Wednesday will be particularly busy:General Motors,Uber Technologies,Etsy,Electronic Arts,Western Digital,Roku,CVS Health,Kraft Heinz, and SoftBank all report.Beyond Meat,Yelp,Wayfair, Moderna, and&nbsp;ViacomCBS&nbsp;go on Thursday and&nbsp;DraftKings,Canopy Growth,and Tripadvisor will close the week on Friday.Chinese Education Corporation&nbsp;New Oriental Education &amp; Technology Group Inc. and&nbsp;TAL Education Group&nbsp;cancels scheduled earnings release and earnings call.</p><p><blockquote>周三将特别繁忙：通用汽车、Uber Technologies、Etsy、艺电、西部数据、Roku、CVS Health、卡夫亨氏和软银都有报告。Beyond Meat、Yelp、Wayfair、Moderna和ViacomCBS将于周四上市，DraftKings、Canopy Growth和Tripadvisor将于周五结束本周。中国教育企业新东方教育科技集团有限公司和好未来教育集团取消原定的财报发布和财报看涨期权。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94057bf11ca8d7311db6c075ba98727b\" tg-width=\"1706\" tg-height=\"740\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The highlight on the&nbsp;economic&nbsp;calendar this week will be Jobs Friday. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is expected to show a gain of 625,000 nonfarm payrolls in July, following June’s 850,000. The unemployment rate is seen holding just below 6%.</p><p><blockquote>本周经济日历上的亮点将是周五的就业。美国劳工统计局预计7月份非农就业人数将增加625,000人，而6月份为850,000人。失业率预计将保持在6%以下。</blockquote></p><p> Other data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for July on Monday, followed by the Services equivalent on Wednesday. Both measures of economic activity are forecast to come in at around 61, which would signify strong expansion.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的其他数据包括供应管理协会周一公布的7月份制造业采购经理人指数，随后是周三公布的服务业采购经理人指数。这两项经济活动指标预计都在61左右，这意味着强劲的扩张。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 8/2</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一8/2</b></blockquote></p><p> CNA Financial,Global Payments,JELD-WEN Holding,Loews,Arista Networks,Leggett &amp; Platt,Vornado Realty Trust, ZoomInfo Technologies, Woodward, Take-Two Interactive Software, Heineken, Trex, Ferrari,Ultra Clean Holdings,and Simon Property Group are expected to release financial results.</p><p><blockquote>CNA Financial、Global Payments、JELD-WEN Holding、Loews、Arista Networks、Leggett&amp;Platt、Vornado Realty Trust、ZoomInfo Technologies、Woodward、Take-Two Interactive Software、喜力、Trex、法拉利、Ultra Clean Holdings和Simon Property Group预计将发布财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> GE stock&nbsp;will open for trading Monday at about $104 a share, after closing Friday at $12.95. The company completed its 1-for-8 reverse stock split Friday evening.</p><p><blockquote>通用电气股票周一开盘价约为每股104美元，周五收盘价为12.95美元。该公司周五晚上完成了8股1股的反向股票分割。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Institute for Supply</b>&nbsp;Management releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, up from 60.6 in June.</p><p><blockquote><b>供应研究所</b>管理层发布7月份制造业采购经理人指数。普遍预期为60.8，高于6月份的60.6。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b>&nbsp;reports construction spending for June. Expectations are for a 0.4% month-over-month rise, after a 0.3% decline in May.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告6月份建筑支出。继5月份下降0.3%后，预计环比增长0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 8/3</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二8/3</b></blockquote></p><p> Eaton, BP, Under Armour, Lyft,Clorox,Amgen,Akamai Technologies,Cummins, Eli Lilly, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, EnPro Industries,Warner Music Group,Pitney Bowes,Tennant,Phillips 66,KKR,Gartner,Henry Schein,Dun &amp; Bradstreet Holdings,ConocoPhillips, and&nbsp;Jacobs Engineering Grouphost conference calls to discuss financial results.</p><p><blockquote>Eaton、BP、Under Armour、Lyft、Clorox、Amgen、Akamai Technologies、Cummins、Eli Lilly、阿里巴巴-SW集团控股、Nikola、EnPro Industries、Warner Music Group、Pitney Bowes、Tennant、Phillips 66、KKR、Gartner、Henry Schein、Dun&amp;Bradstreet Holdings、ConocoPhillips和Jacobs Engineering Group在评级召开会议讨论财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b>&nbsp;is slated to report factory orders for June. Economists predict that orders increased 1.0% during the month, compared with a 1.7% rise in May.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>预计将报告6月份的工厂订单。经济学家预测当月订单增长1.0%，而5月份为增长1.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 8/4</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三8/4</b></blockquote></p><p> Sony Group,CVS Health, Kraft Heinz, SoftBank, General Motors, Progressive, Etsy, Electronic Arts, Western Digital, Uber Technologies, Roku,MGM Resorts International,Fox, and Re/Max Holdings are expected to host earnings calls.</p><p><blockquote>Sony Group、CVS Health、卡夫亨氏、软银、General Motors、Progressive、Etsy、Electronic Arts、Western Digital、Uber Technologies、Roku、MGM Resorts International、Fox和Re/Max Holdings预计将举行财报评级。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Economic</b>&nbsp;Analysis reports light-vehicle sales for July. Expectations call for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 15.3 million vehicles, versus 15.4 million in June.</p><p><blockquote><b>经济局</b>分析报告7月份轻型汽车销量。预计看涨期权经季节调整后的年产量为1530万辆，而6月份为1540万辆。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The ISM releases</b>&nbsp;its Services PMI for July. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, compared with June’s 60.1.</p><p><blockquote><b>ISM发布</b>7月份服务业PMI。普遍预期为60.8，而6月份为60.1。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ADP releases</b>&nbsp;its National Employment report for July. Consensus estimate is for a 635,000 gain in nonfarm private-sector employment, following an increase of 692,000 in June.</p><p><blockquote><b>ADP释放</b>七月份全国就业报告。市场普遍估计非农私营部门就业人数将增加635,000人，6月份增加692,000人。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 8/5</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四8/5</b></blockquote></p><p> Zillow Group,Beyond Meat, Yelp, Wayfair, Kellogg,Bayer,HanesBrands, Moderna,Regeneron Pharmaceuticals,Switch,Cushman &amp; Wakefield,ViacomCBS,Cigna,Duke Energy,Square,News Corp,and&nbsp;Siemensare expected to report financial results.</p><p><blockquote>Zillow Group、Beyond Meat、Yelp、Wayfair、Kellogg、Bayer、HanesBrands、Moderna、Regeneron Pharmaceuticals、Switch、Cushman&amp;Wakefield、ViacomCBS、Cigna、Duke Energy、Square、新闻集团和西门子预计将公布财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Friday 8/6</p><p><blockquote>星期五8/6</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS releases the jobs report</b>&nbsp;for July. Economists forecast a 800,000 rise in nonfarm payrolls, after an 850,000 gain in June. The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 5.8% from 5.9%.</p><p><blockquote><b>美国劳工统计局发布就业报告</b>为了七月。经济学家预测，继6月份非农就业人数增加85万人之后，非农就业人数将增加80万人。失业率预计将从5.9%小幅降至5.8%。</blockquote></p><p> DraftKings,Dominion Energy,Gannett,MGM Growth Properties,AMC Networks,Canopy Growth, Tripadvisor,Spectrum Brands Holdings,E.W. Scripps,Cinemark Holdings, and Manitowoc host conference calls to discuss financial results.</p><p><blockquote>DraftKings、Dominion Energy、Gannett、MGM Growth Properties、AMC Networks、Canopy Growth、猫途鹰、Spectrum Brands Holdings、E.WScripps、Cinemark Holdings和Manitowoc在评级主办会议讨论财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Alibaba,Uber, DraftKings, GM, Roku, EA, ViacomCBS, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW、Uber、DraftKings、通用汽车、Roku、EA、ViacomCBS等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAlibaba,Uber, DraftKings, GM, Roku, EA, ViacomCBS, and Other Stocks for Investors to Watch This Week<blockquote>阿里巴巴-SW、Uber、DraftKings、通用汽车、Roku、EA、ViacomCBS等本周值得投资者关注的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-02 06:39</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The parade of second-quarter results continues this week. No fewer than 143 S&amp;P 500 companies are on deck to report, in addition to hundreds of small caps. Ferrari, Vornado Realty Trust, Take-Two Interactive Software, and Simon Property Group will get the ball rolling on Monday. Then Lyft, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, Under Armour, Eli Lilly, and ConocoPhillips release their results on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>第二季度业绩本周继续公布。除了数百家小盘股外，至少有143家标普500公司即将发布报告。法拉利、Vornado Realty Trust、Take-Two Interactive Software和Simon Property Group将于周一开始行动。随后，Lyft、阿里巴巴-SW集团控股、尼古拉、安德玛、礼来公司和康菲石油公司将于周二发布业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Wednesday will be particularly busy:General Motors,Uber Technologies,Etsy,Electronic Arts,Western Digital,Roku,CVS Health,Kraft Heinz, and SoftBank all report.Beyond Meat,Yelp,Wayfair, Moderna, and&nbsp;ViacomCBS&nbsp;go on Thursday and&nbsp;DraftKings,Canopy Growth,and Tripadvisor will close the week on Friday.Chinese Education Corporation&nbsp;New Oriental Education &amp; Technology Group Inc. and&nbsp;TAL Education Group&nbsp;cancels scheduled earnings release and earnings call.</p><p><blockquote>周三将特别繁忙：通用汽车、Uber Technologies、Etsy、艺电、西部数据、Roku、CVS Health、卡夫亨氏和软银都有报告。Beyond Meat、Yelp、Wayfair、Moderna和ViacomCBS将于周四上市，DraftKings、Canopy Growth和Tripadvisor将于周五结束本周。中国教育企业新东方教育科技集团有限公司和好未来教育集团取消原定的财报发布和财报看涨期权。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94057bf11ca8d7311db6c075ba98727b\" tg-width=\"1706\" tg-height=\"740\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> The highlight on the&nbsp;economic&nbsp;calendar this week will be Jobs Friday. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is expected to show a gain of 625,000 nonfarm payrolls in July, following June’s 850,000. The unemployment rate is seen holding just below 6%.</p><p><blockquote>本周经济日历上的亮点将是周五的就业。美国劳工统计局预计7月份非农就业人数将增加625,000人，而6月份为850,000人。失业率预计将保持在6%以下。</blockquote></p><p> Other data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for July on Monday, followed by the Services equivalent on Wednesday. Both measures of economic activity are forecast to come in at around 61, which would signify strong expansion.</p><p><blockquote>本周公布的其他数据包括供应管理协会周一公布的7月份制造业采购经理人指数，随后是周三公布的服务业采购经理人指数。这两项经济活动指标预计都在61左右，这意味着强劲的扩张。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Monday 8/2</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期一8/2</b></blockquote></p><p> CNA Financial,Global Payments,JELD-WEN Holding,Loews,Arista Networks,Leggett &amp; Platt,Vornado Realty Trust, ZoomInfo Technologies, Woodward, Take-Two Interactive Software, Heineken, Trex, Ferrari,Ultra Clean Holdings,and Simon Property Group are expected to release financial results.</p><p><blockquote>CNA Financial、Global Payments、JELD-WEN Holding、Loews、Arista Networks、Leggett&amp;Platt、Vornado Realty Trust、ZoomInfo Technologies、Woodward、Take-Two Interactive Software、喜力、Trex、法拉利、Ultra Clean Holdings和Simon Property Group预计将发布财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> GE stock&nbsp;will open for trading Monday at about $104 a share, after closing Friday at $12.95. The company completed its 1-for-8 reverse stock split Friday evening.</p><p><blockquote>通用电气股票周一开盘价约为每股104美元，周五收盘价为12.95美元。该公司周五晚上完成了8股1股的反向股票分割。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Institute for Supply</b>&nbsp;Management releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, up from 60.6 in June.</p><p><blockquote><b>供应研究所</b>管理层发布7月份制造业采购经理人指数。普遍预期为60.8，高于6月份的60.6。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b>&nbsp;reports construction spending for June. Expectations are for a 0.4% month-over-month rise, after a 0.3% decline in May.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>报告6月份建筑支出。继5月份下降0.3%后，预计环比增长0.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Tuesday 8/3</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期二8/3</b></blockquote></p><p> Eaton, BP, Under Armour, Lyft,Clorox,Amgen,Akamai Technologies,Cummins, Eli Lilly, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, EnPro Industries,Warner Music Group,Pitney Bowes,Tennant,Phillips 66,KKR,Gartner,Henry Schein,Dun &amp; Bradstreet Holdings,ConocoPhillips, and&nbsp;Jacobs Engineering Grouphost conference calls to discuss financial results.</p><p><blockquote>Eaton、BP、Under Armour、Lyft、Clorox、Amgen、Akamai Technologies、Cummins、Eli Lilly、阿里巴巴-SW集团控股、Nikola、EnPro Industries、Warner Music Group、Pitney Bowes、Tennant、Phillips 66、KKR、Gartner、Henry Schein、Dun&amp;Bradstreet Holdings、ConocoPhillips和Jacobs Engineering Group在评级召开会议讨论财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Census Bureau</b>&nbsp;is slated to report factory orders for June. Economists predict that orders increased 1.0% during the month, compared with a 1.7% rise in May.</p><p><blockquote><b>人口普查局</b>预计将报告6月份的工厂订单。经济学家预测当月订单增长1.0%，而5月份为增长1.7%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Wednesday 8/4</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期三8/4</b></blockquote></p><p> Sony Group,CVS Health, Kraft Heinz, SoftBank, General Motors, Progressive, Etsy, Electronic Arts, Western Digital, Uber Technologies, Roku,MGM Resorts International,Fox, and Re/Max Holdings are expected to host earnings calls.</p><p><blockquote>Sony Group、CVS Health、卡夫亨氏、软银、General Motors、Progressive、Etsy、Electronic Arts、Western Digital、Uber Technologies、Roku、MGM Resorts International、Fox和Re/Max Holdings预计将举行财报评级。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The Bureau of Economic</b>&nbsp;Analysis reports light-vehicle sales for July. Expectations call for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 15.3 million vehicles, versus 15.4 million in June.</p><p><blockquote><b>经济局</b>分析报告7月份轻型汽车销量。预计看涨期权经季节调整后的年产量为1530万辆，而6月份为1540万辆。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The ISM releases</b>&nbsp;its Services PMI for July. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, compared with June’s 60.1.</p><p><blockquote><b>ISM发布</b>7月份服务业PMI。普遍预期为60.8，而6月份为60.1。</blockquote></p><p> <b>ADP releases</b>&nbsp;its National Employment report for July. Consensus estimate is for a 635,000 gain in nonfarm private-sector employment, following an increase of 692,000 in June.</p><p><blockquote><b>ADP释放</b>七月份全国就业报告。市场普遍估计非农私营部门就业人数将增加635,000人，6月份增加692,000人。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Thursday 8/5</b></p><p><blockquote><b>星期四8/5</b></blockquote></p><p> Zillow Group,Beyond Meat, Yelp, Wayfair, Kellogg,Bayer,HanesBrands, Moderna,Regeneron Pharmaceuticals,Switch,Cushman &amp; Wakefield,ViacomCBS,Cigna,Duke Energy,Square,News Corp,and&nbsp;Siemensare expected to report financial results.</p><p><blockquote>Zillow Group、Beyond Meat、Yelp、Wayfair、Kellogg、Bayer、HanesBrands、Moderna、Regeneron Pharmaceuticals、Switch、Cushman&amp;Wakefield、ViacomCBS、Cigna、Duke Energy、Square、新闻集团和西门子预计将公布财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p> Friday 8/6</p><p><blockquote>星期五8/6</blockquote></p><p> <b>The BLS releases the jobs report</b>&nbsp;for July. Economists forecast a 800,000 rise in nonfarm payrolls, after an 850,000 gain in June. The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 5.8% from 5.9%.</p><p><blockquote><b>美国劳工统计局发布就业报告</b>为了七月。经济学家预测，继6月份非农就业人数增加85万人之后，非农就业人数将增加80万人。失业率预计将从5.9%小幅降至5.8%。</blockquote></p><p> DraftKings,Dominion Energy,Gannett,MGM Growth Properties,AMC Networks,Canopy Growth, Tripadvisor,Spectrum Brands Holdings,E.W. Scripps,Cinemark Holdings, and Manitowoc host conference calls to discuss financial results.</p><p><blockquote>DraftKings、Dominion Energy、Gannett、MGM Growth Properties、AMC Networks、Canopy Growth、猫途鹰、Spectrum Brands Holdings、E.WScripps、Cinemark Holdings和Manitowoc在评级主办会议讨论财务业绩。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","GM":"通用汽车","GE":"GE航空航天",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","DKNG":"DraftKings Inc.","UBER":"优步","BABA":"阿里巴巴","ROKU":"Roku Inc",".DJI":"道琼斯","EA":"艺电"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1170689665","content_text":"The parade of second-quarter results continues this week. No fewer than 143 S&P 500 companies are on deck to report, in addition to hundreds of small caps. Ferrari, Vornado Realty Trust, Take-Two Interactive Software, and Simon Property Group will get the ball rolling on Monday. Then Lyft, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, Under Armour, Eli Lilly, and ConocoPhillips release their results on Tuesday.\nWednesday will be particularly busy:General Motors,Uber Technologies,Etsy,Electronic Arts,Western Digital,Roku,CVS Health,Kraft Heinz, and SoftBank all report.Beyond Meat,Yelp,Wayfair, Moderna, and ViacomCBS go on Thursday and DraftKings,Canopy Growth,and Tripadvisor will close the week on Friday.Chinese Education Corporation New Oriental Education & Technology Group Inc. and TAL Education Group cancels scheduled earnings release and earnings call.\n\nThe highlight on the economic calendar this week will be Jobs Friday. The Bureau of Labor Statistics is expected to show a gain of 625,000 nonfarm payrolls in July, following June’s 850,000. The unemployment rate is seen holding just below 6%.\nOther data out this week include the Institute for Supply Management’s Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for July on Monday, followed by the Services equivalent on Wednesday. Both measures of economic activity are forecast to come in at around 61, which would signify strong expansion.\nMonday 8/2\nCNA Financial,Global Payments,JELD-WEN Holding,Loews,Arista Networks,Leggett & Platt,Vornado Realty Trust, ZoomInfo Technologies, Woodward, Take-Two Interactive Software, Heineken, Trex, Ferrari,Ultra Clean Holdings,and Simon Property Group are expected to release financial results.\nGE stock will open for trading Monday at about $104 a share, after closing Friday at $12.95. The company completed its 1-for-8 reverse stock split Friday evening.\nThe Institute for Supply Management releases its Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index for July. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, up from 60.6 in June.\nThe Census Bureau reports construction spending for June. Expectations are for a 0.4% month-over-month rise, after a 0.3% decline in May.\nTuesday 8/3\nEaton, BP, Under Armour, Lyft,Clorox,Amgen,Akamai Technologies,Cummins, Eli Lilly, Alibaba Group Holding, Nikola, EnPro Industries,Warner Music Group,Pitney Bowes,Tennant,Phillips 66,KKR,Gartner,Henry Schein,Dun & Bradstreet Holdings,ConocoPhillips, and Jacobs Engineering Grouphost conference calls to discuss financial results.\nThe Census Bureau is slated to report factory orders for June. Economists predict that orders increased 1.0% during the month, compared with a 1.7% rise in May.\nWednesday 8/4\nSony Group,CVS Health, Kraft Heinz, SoftBank, General Motors, Progressive, Etsy, Electronic Arts, Western Digital, Uber Technologies, Roku,MGM Resorts International,Fox, and Re/Max Holdings are expected to host earnings calls.\nThe Bureau of Economic Analysis reports light-vehicle sales for July. Expectations call for a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 15.3 million vehicles, versus 15.4 million in June.\nThe ISM releases its Services PMI for July. Consensus estimate is for a 60.8 reading, compared with June’s 60.1.\nADP releases its National Employment report for July. Consensus estimate is for a 635,000 gain in nonfarm private-sector employment, following an increase of 692,000 in June.\nThursday 8/5\nZillow Group,Beyond Meat, Yelp, Wayfair, Kellogg,Bayer,HanesBrands, Moderna,Regeneron Pharmaceuticals,Switch,Cushman & Wakefield,ViacomCBS,Cigna,Duke Energy,Square,News Corp,and Siemensare expected to report financial results.\nFriday 8/6\nThe BLS releases the jobs report for July. Economists forecast a 800,000 rise in nonfarm payrolls, after an 850,000 gain in June. The unemployment rate is expected to edge down to 5.8% from 5.9%.\nDraftKings,Dominion Energy,Gannett,MGM Growth Properties,AMC Networks,Canopy Growth, Tripadvisor,Spectrum Brands Holdings,E.W. Scripps,Cinemark Holdings, and Manitowoc host conference calls to discuss financial results.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"GM":0.9,"EA":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"DKNG":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"VIAC":0.9,"BABA":0.9,"UBER":0.9,"GE":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"ROKU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":302,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802299204,"gmtCreate":1627780752608,"gmtModify":1633756500524,"author":{"id":"3574934794715748","authorId":"3574934794715748","name":"Medini13","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c405cab753c37ca8069a09a8847ddc1","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574934794715748","authorIdStr":"3574934794715748"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/802299204","repostId":"2155001152","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":415,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":801288676,"gmtCreate":1627518677395,"gmtModify":1633764239957,"author":{"id":"3574934794715748","authorId":"3574934794715748","name":"Medini13","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c405cab753c37ca8069a09a8847ddc1","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574934794715748","authorIdStr":"3574934794715748"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":10,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/801288676","repostId":"1127264445","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1127264445","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627514621,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1127264445?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-29 07:23","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 ends off day's lows; Powell says Fed still a ways away from rate hikes<blockquote>标普500收于当日低点；鲍威尔称美联储距离加息还有很长的路要走</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1127264445","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended little changed on Wednesday but off its session lows after th","content":"<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 ended little changed on Wednesday but off its session lows after the Federal Reserve said the U.S. economic recovery remains on track and Chair Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> said the central bank was still a ways away from considering raising interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>路透纽约3月19日-标普500周三收盘变化不大，但脱离盘中低点，此前美联储表示美国经济复苏仍在正轨上，主席杰罗姆<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>表示央行距离考虑加息还有一段路要走。</blockquote></p><p> Keeping the market in check, shares of tech giant <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc fell 1.2% after it forecast slowing revenue growth.</p><p><blockquote>控制市场，科技巨头的股票<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>Inc预测收入增长放缓，股价下跌1.2%。</blockquote></p><p> In a news conference following the release of a new policy statement from the Fed, Powell also said the U.S. job market still had “some ground to cover” before it would be time to pull back from the economic support the U.S. central bank put in place in the spring of 2020 to battle the coronavirus pandemic’s economic shocks.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储发布新政策声明后的新闻发布会上，鲍威尔还表示，在退出美联储提供的经济支持之前，美国就业市场仍有“一些地方需要覆盖”。2020年春季，以应对冠状病毒大流行的经济冲击。</blockquote></p><p> “It looks like probably the most positive thing for the market was that they are nowhere near increasing interest rates,” said Alan Lancz, president, Alan B. Lancz &amp; Associates Inc, an investment advisory firm based in Toledo, Ohio.</p><p><blockquote>总部位于俄亥俄州托莱多的投资咨询公司Alan B.Lancz&amp;Associates Inc总裁艾伦·兰茨(Alan Lancz)表示：“看起来对市场来说最积极的事情可能是他们远未加息。”</blockquote></p><p> Right after the Fed statement, the S&amp;P 500 index reversed slight declines though it still ended a hair lower on the day.</p><p><blockquote>美联储声明发布后，标普500指数扭转了小幅跌势，但当天收盘仍小幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> have been worried about how rising inflation and a spike in COVID-19 cases might impact the central bank’s plan to potentially start withdrawing its stimulus.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">投资者</a>一直担心通胀上升和COVID-19病例激增可能会影响央行可能开始撤回刺激措施的计划。</blockquote></p><p> The central bank also said that higher inflation remained the result of “transitory factors.” The Fed kept its overnight benchmark interest rate near zero and left unchanged its bond-buying program.</p><p><blockquote>央行还表示，通胀上升仍然是“暂时性因素”的结果。美联储将隔夜基准利率维持在零附近，并维持债券购买计划不变。</blockquote></p><p> The <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> ended higher and shares of Google parent <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Alphabet</a> Inc hit an all-time high as a surge in advertising spending helped it post record quarterly results. The stock ended up 3.2%.</p><p><blockquote>The<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>谷歌母公司股价收高<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Alphabet</a>由于广告支出激增帮助其公布了创纪录的季度业绩，Inc创下历史新高。该股收盘上涨3.2%。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 127.59 points, or 0.36%, to 34,930.93, the S&amp;P 500 lost 0.82 point, or 0.02%, to 4,400.64 and the Nasdaq Composite added 102.01 points, or 0.7%, to 14,762.58.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌127.59点，跌幅0.36%，至34,930.93点；标普500下跌0.82点，跌幅0.02%，至4,400.64点；纳斯达克综合指数上涨102.01点，跌幅0.7%，至14,762.58点。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed’s statement came at the conclusion of its latest two-day policy meeting.</p><p><blockquote>美联储的声明是在最近一次为期两天的政策会议结束时发表的。</blockquote></p><p> “They had a chance to signal they were going to become more hawkish and they chose not to take it. The most important thing is they are predictable and they are remaining predictable,” said Ellen Hazen, portfolio manager at F.L. Putnam Investment Management in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WEBK\">Wellesley</a>, Massachusetts.</p><p><blockquote>F.L.投资组合经理Ellen Hazen表示：“他们有机会发出信号，表明他们将变得更加鹰派，但他们选择不接受。最重要的是，他们是可预测的，而且仍然是可预测的。”普特南投资管理公司<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WEBK\">韦尔斯利</a>，马萨诸塞州。</blockquote></p><p> In other earnings news, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a> Corp ended down 0.1% even as a boom in cloud services helped it beat Wall Street expectations for revenue and earnings.</p><p><blockquote>在其他财报消息中，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>尽管云服务的繁荣帮助其收入和盈利超出了华尔街的预期，但该公司收盘下跌0.1%。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.86 billion shares, compared with a similar average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为98.6亿股，而过去20个交易日的全交易日平均成交量相似。</blockquote></p><p> Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.85-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.61-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨股与下跌股的比例为1.85比1；在纳斯达克，2.61比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 42 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 44 new highs and 67 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下42个52周新高，无新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得44个新高和67个新低。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 ends off day's lows; Powell says Fed still a ways away from rate hikes<blockquote>标普500收于当日低点；鲍威尔称美联储距离加息还有很长的路要走</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 ends off day's lows; Powell says Fed still a ways away from rate hikes<blockquote>标普500收于当日低点；鲍威尔称美联储距离加息还有很长的路要走</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-29 07:23</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 ended little changed on Wednesday but off its session lows after the Federal Reserve said the U.S. economic recovery remains on track and Chair Jerome <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">Powell</a> said the central bank was still a ways away from considering raising interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>路透纽约3月19日-标普500周三收盘变化不大，但脱离盘中低点，此前美联储表示美国经济复苏仍在正轨上，主席杰罗姆<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/POWL\">鲍威尔</a>表示央行距离考虑加息还有一段路要走。</blockquote></p><p> Keeping the market in check, shares of tech giant <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc fell 1.2% after it forecast slowing revenue growth.</p><p><blockquote>控制市场，科技巨头的股票<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>Inc预测收入增长放缓，股价下跌1.2%。</blockquote></p><p> In a news conference following the release of a new policy statement from the Fed, Powell also said the U.S. job market still had “some ground to cover” before it would be time to pull back from the economic support the U.S. central bank put in place in the spring of 2020 to battle the coronavirus pandemic’s economic shocks.</p><p><blockquote>在美联储发布新政策声明后的新闻发布会上，鲍威尔还表示，在退出美联储提供的经济支持之前，美国就业市场仍有“一些地方需要覆盖”。2020年春季，以应对冠状病毒大流行的经济冲击。</blockquote></p><p> “It looks like probably the most positive thing for the market was that they are nowhere near increasing interest rates,” said Alan Lancz, president, Alan B. Lancz &amp; Associates Inc, an investment advisory firm based in Toledo, Ohio.</p><p><blockquote>总部位于俄亥俄州托莱多的投资咨询公司Alan B.Lancz&amp;Associates Inc总裁艾伦·兰茨(Alan Lancz)表示：“看起来对市场来说最积极的事情可能是他们远未加息。”</blockquote></p><p> Right after the Fed statement, the S&amp;P 500 index reversed slight declines though it still ended a hair lower on the day.</p><p><blockquote>美联储声明发布后，标普500指数扭转了小幅跌势，但当天收盘仍小幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> have been worried about how rising inflation and a spike in COVID-19 cases might impact the central bank’s plan to potentially start withdrawing its stimulus.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">投资者</a>一直担心通胀上升和COVID-19病例激增可能会影响央行可能开始撤回刺激措施的计划。</blockquote></p><p> The central bank also said that higher inflation remained the result of “transitory factors.” The Fed kept its overnight benchmark interest rate near zero and left unchanged its bond-buying program.</p><p><blockquote>央行还表示，通胀上升仍然是“暂时性因素”的结果。美联储将隔夜基准利率维持在零附近，并维持债券购买计划不变。</blockquote></p><p> The <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> ended higher and shares of Google parent <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Alphabet</a> Inc hit an all-time high as a surge in advertising spending helped it post record quarterly results. The stock ended up 3.2%.</p><p><blockquote>The<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>谷歌母公司股价收高<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GOOG\">Alphabet</a>由于广告支出激增帮助其公布了创纪录的季度业绩，Inc创下历史新高。该股收盘上涨3.2%。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 127.59 points, or 0.36%, to 34,930.93, the S&amp;P 500 lost 0.82 point, or 0.02%, to 4,400.64 and the Nasdaq Composite added 102.01 points, or 0.7%, to 14,762.58.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数下跌127.59点，跌幅0.36%，至34,930.93点；标普500下跌0.82点，跌幅0.02%，至4,400.64点；纳斯达克综合指数上涨102.01点，跌幅0.7%，至14,762.58点。</blockquote></p><p> The Fed’s statement came at the conclusion of its latest two-day policy meeting.</p><p><blockquote>美联储的声明是在最近一次为期两天的政策会议结束时发表的。</blockquote></p><p> “They had a chance to signal they were going to become more hawkish and they chose not to take it. The most important thing is they are predictable and they are remaining predictable,” said Ellen Hazen, portfolio manager at F.L. Putnam Investment Management in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WEBK\">Wellesley</a>, Massachusetts.</p><p><blockquote>F.L.投资组合经理Ellen Hazen表示：“他们有机会发出信号，表明他们将变得更加鹰派，但他们选择不接受。最重要的是，他们是可预测的，而且仍然是可预测的。”普特南投资管理公司<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WEBK\">韦尔斯利</a>，马萨诸塞州。</blockquote></p><p> In other earnings news, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a> Corp ended down 0.1% even as a boom in cloud services helped it beat Wall Street expectations for revenue and earnings.</p><p><blockquote>在其他财报消息中，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>尽管云服务的繁荣帮助其收入和盈利超出了华尔街的预期，但该公司收盘下跌0.1%。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.86 billion shares, compared with a similar average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所的成交量为98.6亿股，而过去20个交易日的全交易日平均成交量相似。</blockquote></p><p> Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.85-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.61-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨股与下跌股的比例为1.85比1；在纳斯达克，2.61比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 42 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 44 new highs and 67 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下42个52周新高，无新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得44个新高和67个新低。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-ends-off-days-lows-powell-says-fed-still-a-ways-away-from-rate-hikes-idUSL1N2P435H\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500",".DJI":"道琼斯","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","OEX":"标普100","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SPY":"标普500ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-ends-off-days-lows-powell-says-fed-still-a-ways-away-from-rate-hikes-idUSL1N2P435H","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1127264445","content_text":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 ended little changed on Wednesday but off its session lows after the Federal Reserve said the U.S. economic recovery remains on track and Chair Jerome Powell said the central bank was still a ways away from considering raising interest rates.\nKeeping the market in check, shares of tech giant Apple Inc fell 1.2% after it forecast slowing revenue growth.\nIn a news conference following the release of a new policy statement from the Fed, Powell also said the U.S. job market still had “some ground to cover” before it would be time to pull back from the economic support the U.S. central bank put in place in the spring of 2020 to battle the coronavirus pandemic’s economic shocks.\n“It looks like probably the most positive thing for the market was that they are nowhere near increasing interest rates,” said Alan Lancz, president, Alan B. Lancz & Associates Inc, an investment advisory firm based in Toledo, Ohio.\nRight after the Fed statement, the S&P 500 index reversed slight declines though it still ended a hair lower on the day.\nInvestors have been worried about how rising inflation and a spike in COVID-19 cases might impact the central bank’s plan to potentially start withdrawing its stimulus.\nThe central bank also said that higher inflation remained the result of “transitory factors.” The Fed kept its overnight benchmark interest rate near zero and left unchanged its bond-buying program.\nThe Nasdaq ended higher and shares of Google parent Alphabet Inc hit an all-time high as a surge in advertising spending helped it post record quarterly results. The stock ended up 3.2%.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 127.59 points, or 0.36%, to 34,930.93, the S&P 500 lost 0.82 point, or 0.02%, to 4,400.64 and the Nasdaq Composite added 102.01 points, or 0.7%, to 14,762.58.\nThe Fed’s statement came at the conclusion of its latest two-day policy meeting.\n“They had a chance to signal they were going to become more hawkish and they chose not to take it. The most important thing is they are predictable and they are remaining predictable,” said Ellen Hazen, portfolio manager at F.L. Putnam Investment Management in Wellesley, Massachusetts.\nIn other earnings news, Microsoft Corp ended down 0.1% even as a boom in cloud services helped it beat Wall Street expectations for revenue and earnings.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 9.86 billion shares, compared with a similar average for the full session over the last 20 trading days.\nAdvancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.85-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 2.61-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 42 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 44 new highs and 67 new lows.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,"UPRO":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"OEF":0.9,"OEX":0.9,"SH":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,"IVV":0.9,"SDS":0.9,"SSO":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":268,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":139037483,"gmtCreate":1621572984742,"gmtModify":1634187958536,"author":{"id":"3574934794715748","authorId":"3574934794715748","name":"Medini13","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c405cab753c37ca8069a09a8847ddc1","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574934794715748","authorIdStr":"3574934794715748"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment pls","listText":"Like and comment pls","text":"Like and comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/139037483","repostId":"2137763179","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":473,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":812070817,"gmtCreate":1630543529539,"gmtModify":1631891660957,"author":{"id":"3574934794715748","authorId":"3574934794715748","name":"Medini13","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c405cab753c37ca8069a09a8847ddc1","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574934794715748","authorIdStr":"3574934794715748"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/812070817","repostId":"2164481914","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":416,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":818993186,"gmtCreate":1630369224045,"gmtModify":1704959156803,"author":{"id":"3574934794715748","authorId":"3574934794715748","name":"Medini13","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c405cab753c37ca8069a09a8847ddc1","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574934794715748","authorIdStr":"3574934794715748"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/818993186","repostId":"2163833181","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":565,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":832734318,"gmtCreate":1629677875434,"gmtModify":1631893386822,"author":{"id":"3574934794715748","authorId":"3574934794715748","name":"Medini13","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c405cab753c37ca8069a09a8847ddc1","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574934794715748","authorIdStr":"3574934794715748"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/832734318","repostId":"2161747692","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":329,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":838547648,"gmtCreate":1629421538684,"gmtModify":1633684981706,"author":{"id":"3574934794715748","authorId":"3574934794715748","name":"Medini13","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c405cab753c37ca8069a09a8847ddc1","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574934794715748","authorIdStr":"3574934794715748"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/838547648","repostId":"2160915795","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":276,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":180707694,"gmtCreate":1623225517118,"gmtModify":1634035624700,"author":{"id":"3574934794715748","authorId":"3574934794715748","name":"Medini13","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c405cab753c37ca8069a09a8847ddc1","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574934794715748","authorIdStr":"3574934794715748"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Comment and like pls","listText":"Comment and like pls","text":"Comment and like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/180707694","repostId":"1132577035","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":426,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":111271037,"gmtCreate":1622684481129,"gmtModify":1634099179500,"author":{"id":"3574934794715748","authorId":"3574934794715748","name":"Medini13","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c405cab753c37ca8069a09a8847ddc1","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574934794715748","authorIdStr":"3574934794715748"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment pls","listText":"Like and comment pls","text":"Like and comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/111271037","repostId":"1140714291","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":584,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":877117231,"gmtCreate":1637897432429,"gmtModify":1637897432511,"author":{"id":"3574934794715748","authorId":"3574934794715748","name":"Medini13","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c405cab753c37ca8069a09a8847ddc1","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574934794715748","authorIdStr":"3574934794715748"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Nice","listText":"Nice","text":"Nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/877117231","repostId":"1174337163","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1174337163","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1637897193,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1174337163?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-11-26 11:26","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Qualcomm Stock: After A Strong Rally, It Is Now A 'Hold'<blockquote>高通股票：强劲反弹后，目前“持有”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1174337163","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"Summary\n\nQualcomm is well-positioned to benefit from secular growth trends of 5G, IoT, and industria","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Qualcomm is well-positioned to benefit from secular growth trends of 5G, IoT, and industrial and auto connectivity.</li>  <li>Its recent operating performance has been quite good and momentum should remain strong in the next few quarters, even though growth is expected to moderate in the medium term.</li>  <li>After a strong stock rally, the upside is now more limited and investors should buy more during potential pullbacks.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7aa6af8989c0e13371421d6fed2fac8e\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>G0d4ather/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>高通处于有利地位，可以从5G、物联网以及工业和汽车连接的长期增长趋势中受益。</li><li>其最近的经营业绩相当不错，未来几个季度的势头应该会保持强劲，尽管预计中期增长将放缓。</li><li>在股市强劲反弹之后，上涨空间现在更加有限，投资者应该在潜在回调期间买入更多股票。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>G0d4ather/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>QUALCOMM</b>(QCOM) has interesting growth prospects over the coming years supported from 5G, IoT and industrial and auto connectivity, but its share price performance has been quite strong over the past couple of months and Qualcomm is now a ‘hold’.</p><p><blockquote><b>QUALCOMM</b>在5G、物联网以及工业和汽车连接的支持下，(QCOM)在未来几年拥有有趣的增长前景，但其股价在过去几个月中表现相当强劲，高通现在被“持有”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Background</b></p><p><blockquote><b>背景</b></blockquote></p><p> About two months ago, I have recommended Qualcomm as an interesting play in the 5G and Internet of Things (IoT) secular growth theme, even though there are some medium-term risks, such as competition from&nbsp;<b>MediaTek</b>(OTCPK:MDTKF) in the mobile segment and the possibility of losing&nbsp;<b>Apple’s</b>(AAPL) modem business.</p><p><blockquote>大约两个月前，我推荐高通作为5G和物联网（IoT）长期增长主题中的一个有趣的公司，尽管存在一些中期风险，例如来自<b>联发科</b>(OTCPK：MDTKF)在移动领域以及失去的可能性<b>苹果的</b>(AAPL)调制解调器业务。</blockquote></p><p> Since my article, Qualcomm’s share price has been on fire, up by more than 39% in about two months, supported by strong earnings and an upbeat investor day in the past week.</p><p><blockquote>自从我发表这篇文章以来，在强劲的盈利和过去一周乐观的投资者日的支撑下，高通的股价在大约两个月内上涨了39%以上。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b777c551db65315946aa3d0e67786e9\" tg-width=\"258\" tg-height=\"343\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Seeking Alpha.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：寻求阿尔法。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> After a strong run, I think it’s time to see if Qualcomm still offers value to investors if its shares are now expensive. In this article, I review its most recent earnings and investor day, plus I check if its valuation is still attractive or not, considering Qualcomm’s medium-term earnings expectations.</p><p><blockquote>在经历了强劲的上涨之后，我认为是时候看看如果高通的股价现在很贵，它是否仍然为投资者提供价值了。在本文中，我回顾了其最近的收益和投资者日，并考虑到高通的中期收益预期，检查了其估值是否仍然有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Recent Earnings</b></p><p><blockquote><b>近期收益</b></blockquote></p><p> Qualcomm has reported positive results regarding the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2021 (FY 2021 - for the year ended on September 26, 2021), at the beginning of this month. The company reported revenues 5% higher than expected related to Q4, while its bottom-line beat estimates by close to 13%.</p><p><blockquote>本月初，高通报告了第四季度和2021财年（2021财年-截至2021年9月26日的年度）的积极业绩。该公司报告第四季度收入比预期高出5%，而净利润则超出预期近13%。</blockquote></p><p> For the full fiscal year, the company was able to beat targets set at its investor day in 2019 for revenue growth and margin expansion, boding well for growth ahead.</p><p><blockquote>在整个财年，该公司能够超额完成2019年投资者日设定的收入增长和利润率扩张目标，预示着未来的增长。</blockquote></p><p> In FY 2021, Qualcomm’s revenues amounted to $33.56 billion (up by 43% YoY), while its operating income was close to $10.3 billion (+80% YoY). Its net income increased by 74% YoY to more than $9 billion, reaching a net profit margin of 26.9% (vs. 22.1% in FY 2020).</p><p><blockquote>2021财年，高通营收达335.6亿美元（同比增长43%），营业收入接近103亿美元（同比增长80%）。其净利润同比增长74%，超过90亿美元，净利润率达到26.9%（2020财年为22.1%）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3ba047cfae2944b81902cd46d4028cc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"262\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Qualcomm.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：高通。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Qualcomm’s growth engine was the QCT segment (technologies), with revenue up by 64% YoY, while the licensing segment (QTL) reported 26% YoY revenue growth. In the QTL segment, Qualcomm’s growth was broad based, with radio filters and IoT being particularly strong.</p><p><blockquote>高通的增长引擎是QCT部门（技术），收入同比增长64%，而许可部门（QTL）收入同比增长26%。在QTL领域，高通的增长基础广泛，其中无线电滤波器和物联网尤为强劲。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aab453c09529203bf11d1d892cf4bb51\" tg-width=\"783\" tg-height=\"182\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Qualcomm.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：高通。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Despite the company’s diversification strategy, Qualcomm is still heavily exposed to the mobile market (handsets) which represented some 62% of its QTL revenues. However, this weight is expected to gradually decrease over the next few years, as other segments such as IoT should have higher growth rates over the medium to long term, given that handsets have benefitted cyclically from the rapid shift to 5G phones over the past year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管公司采取了多元化战略，高通仍然大量涉足移动市场（手机），该市场约占其QTL收入的62%。然而，鉴于手机在过去一年中周期性地受益于向5G手机的快速转变，预计这一权重将在未来几年逐渐下降，因为物联网等其他细分市场在中长期内应该会有更高的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> I see these results as quite good and above my own expectations, with the company being able to report annual revenues in excess of $10 billion for RF, auto and IoT together, a great milestone for Qualcomm and more than doubled compared to FY 2019.</p><p><blockquote>我认为这些结果非常好，超出了我自己的预期，该公司能够报告射频、汽车和物联网的年收入合计超过100亿美元，这对高通来说是一个伟大的里程碑，与2019财年相比增长了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> This clearly shows that Qualcomm’s diversification strategy is progressing well and execution has been positive, which increases confidence on future growth targets. Beyond that, the current chip shortage is also impacting Qualcomm’s business, like for everyone else in the industry, making its recent growth even more impressive.</p><p><blockquote>这清楚地表明，高通的多元化战略进展良好，执行力一直积极，这增加了对未来增长目标的信心。除此之外，当前的芯片短缺也影响了高通的业务，就像业内其他公司一样，使其最近的增长更加令人印象深刻。</blockquote></p><p> Regarding its shareholder remuneration policy, during the last fiscal year, Qualcomm has made close to $3.4 billion in stock repurchases and distributed dividends of $3 billion. Thus, its total capital return to shareholders amounted to $6.4 billion, which represented more than 70% of its bottom-line. However, its dividend yield is only about 1.5%, thus I see Qualcomm mainly as a ‘growth’ play, while income is not high enough to be a reason to buy Qualcomm’s shares.</p><p><blockquote>关于股东薪酬政策，在上一财年，高通进行了近34亿美元的股票回购，并分配了30亿美元的股息。因此，其股东资本回报总额达64亿美元，占其利润的70%以上。然而，其股息收益率仅为1.5%左右，因此我认为高通主要是一家“成长型”公司，而收入还不足以成为购买高通股票的理由。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Qualcomm’s outlook for the next quarter is also positive, with the company expecting more than $10 billion in revenues and diluted EPS in the range $2.53-2.73. Even though Qualcomm’s business has some seasonality, Q1 is usually a stronger quarter, this outlook implies annual revenues close to $40 billion, or up by 19% compared to the previous FY.</p><p><blockquote>高通对下一季度的前景也很乐观，该公司预计营收将超过100亿美元，摊薄后每股收益在2.53-2.73美元之间。尽管高通的业务有一定的季节性，但第一季度通常是一个更强劲的季度，这一前景意味着年收入接近400亿美元，比上一财年增长19%。</blockquote></p><p> This is in-line with current street expectations, given that the current consensus is for FY 2022 revenues of $39.5 billion, showing that Qualcomm’s recent growth is not temporary.</p><p><blockquote>这符合当前华尔街的预期，因为目前的共识是2022财年的收入为395亿美元，这表明高通最近的增长不是暂时的。</blockquote></p><p> On the other hand, as I’ve highlighted as a potential risk in my previous analysis, there were additional rumors recently that<b>Apple</b>(AAPL) will use its own 5G modem chip in 2023, instead of using Qualcomm’s chips. It is difficult to quantify how much revenue will Qualcomm lose from this, but certainly will be material and is a potential headwind for revenue and earnings growth in the medium term that investors should be aware of.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，正如我在之前的分析中强调的潜在风险，最近有更多传言称<b>苹果</b>（AAPL）将在2023年使用自己的5G调制解调器芯片，而不是使用高通的芯片。很难量化高通将因此损失多少收入，但肯定会很大，并且是投资者应该意识到的中期收入和盈利增长的潜在阻力。</blockquote></p><p> Nevertheless, the company has recently shown in its investor day that its business is well exposed to some secular growth trends, such as IoT or car and industrial connectivity powered by 5G. This bodes well for its growth prospects over the next few years, and also to smooth the impact of losing some business from Apple.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，该公司最近在投资者日上表明，该公司业务很好地暴露在一些长期增长趋势中，如物联网或汽车以及5G驱动的工业连接。这对其未来几年的增长前景是好兆头，同时也能缓解因苹果失去部分业务而产生的影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Investor Day</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资者日</b></blockquote></p><p> As I’ve discussed previously on Qualcomm, the company is well-positioned to benefit from secular growth trends of 5G and IoT, considering that it has adapted its product portfolio quite well in recent years for the expected higher demand for these wireless technologies over the next few years, beyond the mobile industry.</p><p><blockquote>正如我之前在高通上讨论的那样，考虑到该公司近年来已经很好地调整了其产品组合，以满足未来几年对这些无线技术的预期更高需求，该公司处于有利地位，可以从5G和物联网的长期增长趋势中受益。</blockquote></p><p> Its growth strategy has been to diversify its product offering so that it can offer solutions and products for more industries and different type of customers, namely in the automotive or the industrial sectors, increasing Qualcomm’s total addressable market and higher long-term growth prospects than relying too much on the mobile industry.</p><p><blockquote>其增长战略一直是使其产品供应多样化，以便能够为更多行业和不同类型的客户（即汽车或工业领域）提供解决方案和产品，增加高通的总目标市场和比依赖更高的长期增长前景过于依赖移动行业。</blockquote></p><p> The company has several technologies for mobile and connectivity that have great growth prospects due to the ongoing digital transformation, which is not expected to slow down in the future. Indeed, in its recent investor day, Qualcomm said that its total addressable market is expected to expand significantly over the next decade, from about $100 billion currently to some $700 billion by 2030. This is justified by the rising number of devices that are expected to be connected to the internet, generating a vast amount of data, being a strong tailwind for the company’s growth ahead.</p><p><blockquote>由于正在进行的数字化转型，该公司拥有多项移动和连接技术，这些技术具有巨大的增长前景，预计未来不会放缓。事实上，在最近的投资者日，高通表示，其潜在市场总额预计将在未来十年大幅扩大，从目前的约1000亿美元增加到2030年的约7000亿美元。这是因为预计连接到互联网的设备数量不断增加，产生大量数据，成为公司未来增长的强劲推动力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b9b8a9143bcaf8706b35feb39aac5ca\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"226\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Qualcomm.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：高通。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Qualcomm also discussed again its technologies spanning several end-markets beyond handsets, with IoT, automotive or virtual reality devices being, in my opinion, segments that are still relatively small for the company and have great growth prospects to become a sizable part of Qualcomm’s business in the next few years. For instance, Qualcomm targets annual revenues from IoT of around $9 billion by FY 2024, compared to $5 billion last year, while in Automotive it expects to grow from annual revenues of $1 billion last year to around $3.5 billion in five years.</p><p><blockquote>高通还再次讨论了其跨越手机以外的多个终端市场的技术，在我看来，物联网、汽车或虚拟现实设备对该公司来说仍然相对较小，但具有巨大的增长前景，将成为高通业务的重要组成部分。未来几年的业务。例如，高通的目标是到2024财年物联网年收入约为90亿美元，而去年为50亿美元，而在汽车领域，预计五年内年收入将从去年的10亿美元增长到约35亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ebe04cb81f8fa2aba439f6f5309780c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"218\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Qualcomm.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：高通。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In the mobile segment, Qualcomm also sees good long-term growth prospects due to 5G, with 5G handsets expected to gradually increase the weight in total shipments to about 85% by fiscal year 2024 and double from the total shipments delivered in the last year.</p><p><blockquote>在移动领域，高通也看到了5G带来的良好长期增长前景，预计到2024财年，5G手机在总出货量中的比重将逐渐增加至85%左右，比去年的总出货量翻一番。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/552a1a716059d719fc6e64b861f09a8d\" tg-width=\"602\" tg-height=\"465\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Qualcomm.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：高通。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Regarding its capital structure and shareholder remuneration policy, Qualcomm intends to maintain its policy of distributing a large part of its free cash flow to shareholders, both through a growing dividend and opportunistic share buybacks. As the company’s financial leverage is strong, measured by its net debt-to-EBITDA ratio below 0.5x at the end of FY 2021, it doesn’t need to retain much cash so I expect Qualcomm to distribute close to 100% of its free cash flow to shareholders over the next few years.</p><p><blockquote>关于其资本结构和股东薪酬政策，高通打算维持将大部分自由现金流分配给股东的政策，包括增加股息和机会主义股票回购。由于该公司的财务杠杆很强，以2021财年末净债务与EBITDA比率低于0.5倍来衡量，因此它不需要保留太多现金，因此我预计高通将分配近100%的自由现金流未来几年流向股东。</blockquote></p><p> However, this could change if the company pursues acquisitions, especially if it performs a large acquisition financed mainly by debt. That would increase the company’s financial leverage and, most likely, its strategy would then change towards reducing leverage in subsequent years until it reaches again a strong balance sheet as it has today.</p><p><blockquote>然而，如果该公司进行收购，特别是如果它进行主要通过债务融资的大型收购，这种情况可能会发生变化。这将增加该公司的财务杠杆，而且最有可能的是，其战略将在随后几年转向降低杠杆，直到再次达到像今天这样强劲的资产负债表。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Estimates &amp; Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估计和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Regarding medium-term&nbsp;estimates, Qualcomm’s revenues are expected to grow at about 7.3% per year, over the next four years, slowing down significantly compared to FY 2021. I think these are conservative estimates and there is upside potential for upward revisions over the coming months if operating momentum remains strong.</p><p><blockquote>关于中期预测，未来四年高通的收入预计将以每年约7.3%的速度增长，与2021财年相比大幅放缓。我认为这些都是保守的估计，如果运营势头保持强劲，未来几个月还有向上修正的潜力。</blockquote></p><p> For the fiscal year 2025, revenues are expected to be about $44 billion, which seems too much low considering that for FY 2022 revenues are expected to be around $40 billion. I’m more bullish than current consensus and see revenues of around $50 billion by FY 2025, expecting annual revenue growth of around 7-8% per year between FY 2023 and 2025, which I think is still quite conservative.</p><p><blockquote>2025财年的收入预计约为440亿美元，考虑到2022财年的收入预计约为400亿美元，这似乎太低了。我比目前的共识更乐观，预计到2025财年的收入将达到500亿美元左右，预计2023财年至2025财年的年收入增长约为7-8%，我认为这仍然相当保守。</blockquote></p><p> Its bottom-line is expected to increase to more than $14 billion in FY 2025 in my estimates, slightly above consensus because I’m expecting higher revenues, which implies an EPS of around $12 by FY 2025.</p><p><blockquote>根据我的估计，2025财年其净利润预计将增至140亿美元以上，略高于共识，因为我预计收入会更高，这意味着到2025财年每股收益约为12美元。</blockquote></p><p> Regarding valuation, my approach is to look into the next few years of revenues and earnings rather than just focus on this year or the next, to see if the stock has upside potential over a time frame of two to four years. Therefore, I use FY 2025 estimates to see if Qualcomm’s stock has upside potential over the medium term or not.</p><p><blockquote>关于估值，我的方法是关注未来几年的收入和盈利，而不仅仅是关注今年或明年，看看该股在两到四年内是否有上涨潜力。因此，我使用2025财年的预测来了解高通的股票在中期内是否有上涨潜力。</blockquote></p><p> Based on Qualcomm’s EPS estimate of $12 by FY 2025 and its historical valuation multiple over the past couple of years regarding its blended forward earnings (next 12 months) of 17.3x, my price target for Qualcomm by September 2024 is $207 per share.</p><p><blockquote>根据高通到2025财年的每股收益预期为12美元，以及过去几年混合预期收益（未来12个月）17.3倍的历史估值倍数，我对高通到2024年9月的目标价为每股207美元。</blockquote></p><p> This means that Qualcomm’s upside potential, based on these assumptions, is about 15% over the next three years, which is not impressive and show that a good part of its growth in the medium term is already reflected in its share price.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着，基于这些假设，高通未来三年的上涨潜力约为15%，这并不令人印象深刻，并表明其中期增长的很大一部分已经反映在其股价中。</blockquote></p><p> Note that over the past two years Qualcomm’s forward earnings multiple has been somewhat volatile, trading between 13-22x forward earnings. When I wrote my previous article on Qualcomm, its shares were trading at the bottom of this range and the stock was clearly a buy, while now is trading close to its historical value. This means that there is more upside potential over the medium term, as Qualcomm is clearly well-positioned to benefit from 5G, IoT, and industrial and automotive connectivity, thus a re-rating to higher multiples is possible in the next couple of years.</p><p><blockquote>请注意，过去两年高通的预期市盈率有些波动，预期市盈率在13-22倍之间。当我写上一篇关于高通的文章时，其股价处于该区间的底部，显然值得买入，而现在的交易价格接近其历史价值。这意味着中期内有更大的上涨潜力，因为高通显然处于有利地位，可以从5G、物联网以及工业和汽车连接中受益，因此未来几年有可能重新评级至更高的倍数。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb82ba4ac66c3ed8128484453fc4730c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"204\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Bloomberg.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：彭博。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Bottom Line</b></p><p><blockquote><b>底线</b></blockquote></p><p> Qualcomm’s operating momentum has improved markedly in recent quarters and growth prospects are good in the coming years, as the company’s product diversification strategy is making good progress and is expected to support growth in coming years.</p><p><blockquote>高通近几个季度的经营势头明显改善，未来几年的增长前景良好，因为该公司的产品多元化战略正在取得良好进展，预计将支持未来几年的增长。</blockquote></p><p> However, its stock has rapidly incorporated improved fundamentals with the company’s recent earnings and investor day, and now upside potential is more limited than it was a couple of months ago. Investors who are exposed to Qualcomm should ‘hold’ and buy more during potential pullbacks in the future.</p><p><blockquote>然而，其股票已迅速将基本面的改善与公司最近的盈利和投资者日结合起来，现在的上涨潜力比几个月前更加有限。投资高通的投资者应该“持有”并在未来潜在回调期间买入更多股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Qualcomm Stock: After A Strong Rally, It Is Now A 'Hold'<blockquote>高通股票：强劲反弹后，目前“持有”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nQualcomm Stock: After A Strong Rally, It Is Now A 'Hold'<blockquote>高通股票：强劲反弹后，目前“持有”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Seeking Alpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-11-26 11:26</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li>Qualcomm is well-positioned to benefit from secular growth trends of 5G, IoT, and industrial and auto connectivity.</li>  <li>Its recent operating performance has been quite good and momentum should remain strong in the next few quarters, even though growth is expected to moderate in the medium term.</li>  <li>After a strong stock rally, the upside is now more limited and investors should buy more during potential pullbacks.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7aa6af8989c0e13371421d6fed2fac8e\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1024\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>G0d4ather/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>高通处于有利地位，可以从5G、物联网以及工业和汽车连接的长期增长趋势中受益。</li><li>其最近的经营业绩相当不错，未来几个季度的势头应该会保持强劲，尽管预计中期增长将放缓。</li><li>在股市强劲反弹之后，上涨空间现在更加有限，投资者应该在潜在回调期间买入更多股票。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>G0d4ather/iStock社论来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>QUALCOMM</b>(QCOM) has interesting growth prospects over the coming years supported from 5G, IoT and industrial and auto connectivity, but its share price performance has been quite strong over the past couple of months and Qualcomm is now a ‘hold’.</p><p><blockquote><b>QUALCOMM</b>在5G、物联网以及工业和汽车连接的支持下，(QCOM)在未来几年拥有有趣的增长前景，但其股价在过去几个月中表现相当强劲，高通现在被“持有”。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Background</b></p><p><blockquote><b>背景</b></blockquote></p><p> About two months ago, I have recommended Qualcomm as an interesting play in the 5G and Internet of Things (IoT) secular growth theme, even though there are some medium-term risks, such as competition from&nbsp;<b>MediaTek</b>(OTCPK:MDTKF) in the mobile segment and the possibility of losing&nbsp;<b>Apple’s</b>(AAPL) modem business.</p><p><blockquote>大约两个月前，我推荐高通作为5G和物联网（IoT）长期增长主题中的一个有趣的公司，尽管存在一些中期风险，例如来自<b>联发科</b>(OTCPK：MDTKF)在移动领域以及失去的可能性<b>苹果的</b>(AAPL)调制解调器业务。</blockquote></p><p> Since my article, Qualcomm’s share price has been on fire, up by more than 39% in about two months, supported by strong earnings and an upbeat investor day in the past week.</p><p><blockquote>自从我发表这篇文章以来，在强劲的盈利和过去一周乐观的投资者日的支撑下，高通的股价在大约两个月内上涨了39%以上。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3b777c551db65315946aa3d0e67786e9\" tg-width=\"258\" tg-height=\"343\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Seeking Alpha.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：寻求阿尔法。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> After a strong run, I think it’s time to see if Qualcomm still offers value to investors if its shares are now expensive. In this article, I review its most recent earnings and investor day, plus I check if its valuation is still attractive or not, considering Qualcomm’s medium-term earnings expectations.</p><p><blockquote>在经历了强劲的上涨之后，我认为是时候看看如果高通的股价现在很贵，它是否仍然为投资者提供价值了。在本文中，我回顾了其最近的收益和投资者日，并考虑到高通的中期收益预期，检查了其估值是否仍然有吸引力。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Recent Earnings</b></p><p><blockquote><b>近期收益</b></blockquote></p><p> Qualcomm has reported positive results regarding the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2021 (FY 2021 - for the year ended on September 26, 2021), at the beginning of this month. The company reported revenues 5% higher than expected related to Q4, while its bottom-line beat estimates by close to 13%.</p><p><blockquote>本月初，高通报告了第四季度和2021财年（2021财年-截至2021年9月26日的年度）的积极业绩。该公司报告第四季度收入比预期高出5%，而净利润则超出预期近13%。</blockquote></p><p> For the full fiscal year, the company was able to beat targets set at its investor day in 2019 for revenue growth and margin expansion, boding well for growth ahead.</p><p><blockquote>在整个财年，该公司能够超额完成2019年投资者日设定的收入增长和利润率扩张目标，预示着未来的增长。</blockquote></p><p> In FY 2021, Qualcomm’s revenues amounted to $33.56 billion (up by 43% YoY), while its operating income was close to $10.3 billion (+80% YoY). Its net income increased by 74% YoY to more than $9 billion, reaching a net profit margin of 26.9% (vs. 22.1% in FY 2020).</p><p><blockquote>2021财年，高通营收达335.6亿美元（同比增长43%），营业收入接近103亿美元（同比增长80%）。其净利润同比增长74%，超过90亿美元，净利润率达到26.9%（2020财年为22.1%）。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d3ba047cfae2944b81902cd46d4028cc\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"262\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Qualcomm.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：高通。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Qualcomm’s growth engine was the QCT segment (technologies), with revenue up by 64% YoY, while the licensing segment (QTL) reported 26% YoY revenue growth. In the QTL segment, Qualcomm’s growth was broad based, with radio filters and IoT being particularly strong.</p><p><blockquote>高通的增长引擎是QCT部门（技术），收入同比增长64%，而许可部门（QTL）收入同比增长26%。在QTL领域，高通的增长基础广泛，其中无线电滤波器和物联网尤为强劲。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/aab453c09529203bf11d1d892cf4bb51\" tg-width=\"783\" tg-height=\"182\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Qualcomm.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：高通。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Despite the company’s diversification strategy, Qualcomm is still heavily exposed to the mobile market (handsets) which represented some 62% of its QTL revenues. However, this weight is expected to gradually decrease over the next few years, as other segments such as IoT should have higher growth rates over the medium to long term, given that handsets have benefitted cyclically from the rapid shift to 5G phones over the past year.</p><p><blockquote>尽管公司采取了多元化战略，高通仍然大量涉足移动市场（手机），该市场约占其QTL收入的62%。然而，鉴于手机在过去一年中周期性地受益于向5G手机的快速转变，预计这一权重将在未来几年逐渐下降，因为物联网等其他细分市场在中长期内应该会有更高的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> I see these results as quite good and above my own expectations, with the company being able to report annual revenues in excess of $10 billion for RF, auto and IoT together, a great milestone for Qualcomm and more than doubled compared to FY 2019.</p><p><blockquote>我认为这些结果非常好，超出了我自己的预期，该公司能够报告射频、汽车和物联网的年收入合计超过100亿美元，这对高通来说是一个伟大的里程碑，与2019财年相比增长了一倍多。</blockquote></p><p> This clearly shows that Qualcomm’s diversification strategy is progressing well and execution has been positive, which increases confidence on future growth targets. Beyond that, the current chip shortage is also impacting Qualcomm’s business, like for everyone else in the industry, making its recent growth even more impressive.</p><p><blockquote>这清楚地表明，高通的多元化战略进展良好，执行力一直积极，这增加了对未来增长目标的信心。除此之外，当前的芯片短缺也影响了高通的业务，就像业内其他公司一样，使其最近的增长更加令人印象深刻。</blockquote></p><p> Regarding its shareholder remuneration policy, during the last fiscal year, Qualcomm has made close to $3.4 billion in stock repurchases and distributed dividends of $3 billion. Thus, its total capital return to shareholders amounted to $6.4 billion, which represented more than 70% of its bottom-line. However, its dividend yield is only about 1.5%, thus I see Qualcomm mainly as a ‘growth’ play, while income is not high enough to be a reason to buy Qualcomm’s shares.</p><p><blockquote>关于股东薪酬政策，在上一财年，高通进行了近34亿美元的股票回购，并分配了30亿美元的股息。因此，其股东资本回报总额达64亿美元，占其利润的70%以上。然而，其股息收益率仅为1.5%左右，因此我认为高通主要是一家“成长型”公司，而收入还不足以成为购买高通股票的理由。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Qualcomm’s outlook for the next quarter is also positive, with the company expecting more than $10 billion in revenues and diluted EPS in the range $2.53-2.73. Even though Qualcomm’s business has some seasonality, Q1 is usually a stronger quarter, this outlook implies annual revenues close to $40 billion, or up by 19% compared to the previous FY.</p><p><blockquote>高通对下一季度的前景也很乐观，该公司预计营收将超过100亿美元，摊薄后每股收益在2.53-2.73美元之间。尽管高通的业务有一定的季节性，但第一季度通常是一个更强劲的季度，这一前景意味着年收入接近400亿美元，比上一财年增长19%。</blockquote></p><p> This is in-line with current street expectations, given that the current consensus is for FY 2022 revenues of $39.5 billion, showing that Qualcomm’s recent growth is not temporary.</p><p><blockquote>这符合当前华尔街的预期，因为目前的共识是2022财年的收入为395亿美元，这表明高通最近的增长不是暂时的。</blockquote></p><p> On the other hand, as I’ve highlighted as a potential risk in my previous analysis, there were additional rumors recently that<b>Apple</b>(AAPL) will use its own 5G modem chip in 2023, instead of using Qualcomm’s chips. It is difficult to quantify how much revenue will Qualcomm lose from this, but certainly will be material and is a potential headwind for revenue and earnings growth in the medium term that investors should be aware of.</p><p><blockquote>另一方面，正如我在之前的分析中强调的潜在风险，最近有更多传言称<b>苹果</b>（AAPL）将在2023年使用自己的5G调制解调器芯片，而不是使用高通的芯片。很难量化高通将因此损失多少收入，但肯定会很大，并且是投资者应该意识到的中期收入和盈利增长的潜在阻力。</blockquote></p><p> Nevertheless, the company has recently shown in its investor day that its business is well exposed to some secular growth trends, such as IoT or car and industrial connectivity powered by 5G. This bodes well for its growth prospects over the next few years, and also to smooth the impact of losing some business from Apple.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，该公司最近在投资者日上表明，该公司业务很好地暴露在一些长期增长趋势中，如物联网或汽车以及5G驱动的工业连接。这对其未来几年的增长前景是好兆头，同时也能缓解因苹果失去部分业务而产生的影响。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Investor Day</b></p><p><blockquote><b>投资者日</b></blockquote></p><p> As I’ve discussed previously on Qualcomm, the company is well-positioned to benefit from secular growth trends of 5G and IoT, considering that it has adapted its product portfolio quite well in recent years for the expected higher demand for these wireless technologies over the next few years, beyond the mobile industry.</p><p><blockquote>正如我之前在高通上讨论的那样，考虑到该公司近年来已经很好地调整了其产品组合，以满足未来几年对这些无线技术的预期更高需求，该公司处于有利地位，可以从5G和物联网的长期增长趋势中受益。</blockquote></p><p> Its growth strategy has been to diversify its product offering so that it can offer solutions and products for more industries and different type of customers, namely in the automotive or the industrial sectors, increasing Qualcomm’s total addressable market and higher long-term growth prospects than relying too much on the mobile industry.</p><p><blockquote>其增长战略一直是使其产品供应多样化，以便能够为更多行业和不同类型的客户（即汽车或工业领域）提供解决方案和产品，增加高通的总目标市场和比依赖更高的长期增长前景过于依赖移动行业。</blockquote></p><p> The company has several technologies for mobile and connectivity that have great growth prospects due to the ongoing digital transformation, which is not expected to slow down in the future. Indeed, in its recent investor day, Qualcomm said that its total addressable market is expected to expand significantly over the next decade, from about $100 billion currently to some $700 billion by 2030. This is justified by the rising number of devices that are expected to be connected to the internet, generating a vast amount of data, being a strong tailwind for the company’s growth ahead.</p><p><blockquote>由于正在进行的数字化转型，该公司拥有多项移动和连接技术，这些技术具有巨大的增长前景，预计未来不会放缓。事实上，在最近的投资者日，高通表示，其潜在市场总额预计将在未来十年大幅扩大，从目前的约1000亿美元增加到2030年的约7000亿美元。这是因为预计连接到互联网的设备数量不断增加，产生大量数据，成为公司未来增长的强劲推动力。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b9b8a9143bcaf8706b35feb39aac5ca\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"226\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Qualcomm.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：高通。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Qualcomm also discussed again its technologies spanning several end-markets beyond handsets, with IoT, automotive or virtual reality devices being, in my opinion, segments that are still relatively small for the company and have great growth prospects to become a sizable part of Qualcomm’s business in the next few years. For instance, Qualcomm targets annual revenues from IoT of around $9 billion by FY 2024, compared to $5 billion last year, while in Automotive it expects to grow from annual revenues of $1 billion last year to around $3.5 billion in five years.</p><p><blockquote>高通还再次讨论了其跨越手机以外的多个终端市场的技术，在我看来，物联网、汽车或虚拟现实设备对该公司来说仍然相对较小，但具有巨大的增长前景，将成为高通业务的重要组成部分。未来几年的业务。例如，高通的目标是到2024财年物联网年收入约为90亿美元，而去年为50亿美元，而在汽车领域，预计五年内年收入将从去年的10亿美元增长到约35亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ebe04cb81f8fa2aba439f6f5309780c2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"218\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Qualcomm.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：高通。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In the mobile segment, Qualcomm also sees good long-term growth prospects due to 5G, with 5G handsets expected to gradually increase the weight in total shipments to about 85% by fiscal year 2024 and double from the total shipments delivered in the last year.</p><p><blockquote>在移动领域，高通也看到了5G带来的良好长期增长前景，预计到2024财年，5G手机在总出货量中的比重将逐渐增加至85%左右，比去年的总出货量翻一番。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/552a1a716059d719fc6e64b861f09a8d\" tg-width=\"602\" tg-height=\"465\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Qualcomm.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>来源：高通。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Regarding its capital structure and shareholder remuneration policy, Qualcomm intends to maintain its policy of distributing a large part of its free cash flow to shareholders, both through a growing dividend and opportunistic share buybacks. As the company’s financial leverage is strong, measured by its net debt-to-EBITDA ratio below 0.5x at the end of FY 2021, it doesn’t need to retain much cash so I expect Qualcomm to distribute close to 100% of its free cash flow to shareholders over the next few years.</p><p><blockquote>关于其资本结构和股东薪酬政策，高通打算维持将大部分自由现金流分配给股东的政策，包括增加股息和机会主义股票回购。由于该公司的财务杠杆很强，以2021财年末净债务与EBITDA比率低于0.5倍来衡量，因此它不需要保留太多现金，因此我预计高通将分配近100%的自由现金流未来几年流向股东。</blockquote></p><p> However, this could change if the company pursues acquisitions, especially if it performs a large acquisition financed mainly by debt. That would increase the company’s financial leverage and, most likely, its strategy would then change towards reducing leverage in subsequent years until it reaches again a strong balance sheet as it has today.</p><p><blockquote>然而，如果该公司进行收购，特别是如果它进行主要通过债务融资的大型收购，这种情况可能会发生变化。这将增加该公司的财务杠杆，而且最有可能的是，其战略将在随后几年转向降低杠杆，直到再次达到像今天这样强劲的资产负债表。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Estimates &amp; Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估计和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Regarding medium-term&nbsp;estimates, Qualcomm’s revenues are expected to grow at about 7.3% per year, over the next four years, slowing down significantly compared to FY 2021. I think these are conservative estimates and there is upside potential for upward revisions over the coming months if operating momentum remains strong.</p><p><blockquote>关于中期预测，未来四年高通的收入预计将以每年约7.3%的速度增长，与2021财年相比大幅放缓。我认为这些都是保守的估计，如果运营势头保持强劲，未来几个月还有向上修正的潜力。</blockquote></p><p> For the fiscal year 2025, revenues are expected to be about $44 billion, which seems too much low considering that for FY 2022 revenues are expected to be around $40 billion. I’m more bullish than current consensus and see revenues of around $50 billion by FY 2025, expecting annual revenue growth of around 7-8% per year between FY 2023 and 2025, which I think is still quite conservative.</p><p><blockquote>2025财年的收入预计约为440亿美元，考虑到2022财年的收入预计约为400亿美元，这似乎太低了。我比目前的共识更乐观，预计到2025财年的收入将达到500亿美元左右，预计2023财年至2025财年的年收入增长约为7-8%，我认为这仍然相当保守。</blockquote></p><p> Its bottom-line is expected to increase to more than $14 billion in FY 2025 in my estimates, slightly above consensus because I’m expecting higher revenues, which implies an EPS of around $12 by FY 2025.</p><p><blockquote>根据我的估计，2025财年其净利润预计将增至140亿美元以上，略高于共识，因为我预计收入会更高，这意味着到2025财年每股收益约为12美元。</blockquote></p><p> Regarding valuation, my approach is to look into the next few years of revenues and earnings rather than just focus on this year or the next, to see if the stock has upside potential over a time frame of two to four years. Therefore, I use FY 2025 estimates to see if Qualcomm’s stock has upside potential over the medium term or not.</p><p><blockquote>关于估值，我的方法是关注未来几年的收入和盈利，而不仅仅是关注今年或明年，看看该股在两到四年内是否有上涨潜力。因此，我使用2025财年的预测来了解高通的股票在中期内是否有上涨潜力。</blockquote></p><p> Based on Qualcomm’s EPS estimate of $12 by FY 2025 and its historical valuation multiple over the past couple of years regarding its blended forward earnings (next 12 months) of 17.3x, my price target for Qualcomm by September 2024 is $207 per share.</p><p><blockquote>根据高通到2025财年的每股收益预期为12美元，以及过去几年混合预期收益（未来12个月）17.3倍的历史估值倍数，我对高通到2024年9月的目标价为每股207美元。</blockquote></p><p> This means that Qualcomm’s upside potential, based on these assumptions, is about 15% over the next three years, which is not impressive and show that a good part of its growth in the medium term is already reflected in its share price.</p><p><blockquote>这意味着，基于这些假设，高通未来三年的上涨潜力约为15%，这并不令人印象深刻，并表明其中期增长的很大一部分已经反映在其股价中。</blockquote></p><p> Note that over the past two years Qualcomm’s forward earnings multiple has been somewhat volatile, trading between 13-22x forward earnings. When I wrote my previous article on Qualcomm, its shares were trading at the bottom of this range and the stock was clearly a buy, while now is trading close to its historical value. This means that there is more upside potential over the medium term, as Qualcomm is clearly well-positioned to benefit from 5G, IoT, and industrial and automotive connectivity, thus a re-rating to higher multiples is possible in the next couple of years.</p><p><blockquote>请注意，过去两年高通的预期市盈率有些波动，预期市盈率在13-22倍之间。当我写上一篇关于高通的文章时，其股价处于该区间的底部，显然值得买入，而现在的交易价格接近其历史价值。这意味着中期内有更大的上涨潜力，因为高通显然处于有利地位，可以从5G、物联网以及工业和汽车连接中受益，因此未来几年有可能重新评级至更高的倍数。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/cb82ba4ac66c3ed8128484453fc4730c\" tg-width=\"1280\" tg-height=\"204\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Source: Bloomberg.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>资料来源：彭博。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Bottom Line</b></p><p><blockquote><b>底线</b></blockquote></p><p> Qualcomm’s operating momentum has improved markedly in recent quarters and growth prospects are good in the coming years, as the company’s product diversification strategy is making good progress and is expected to support growth in coming years.</p><p><blockquote>高通近几个季度的经营势头明显改善，未来几年的增长前景良好，因为该公司的产品多元化战略正在取得良好进展，预计将支持未来几年的增长。</blockquote></p><p> However, its stock has rapidly incorporated improved fundamentals with the company’s recent earnings and investor day, and now upside potential is more limited than it was a couple of months ago. Investors who are exposed to Qualcomm should ‘hold’ and buy more during potential pullbacks in the future.</p><p><blockquote>然而，其股票已迅速将基本面的改善与公司最近的盈利和投资者日结合起来，现在的上涨潜力比几个月前更加有限。投资高通的投资者应该“持有”并在未来潜在回调期间买入更多股票。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4471977-qualcomm-stock-strong-rally-now-hold\">Seeking Alpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"QCOM":"高通"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4471977-qualcomm-stock-strong-rally-now-hold","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1174337163","content_text":"Summary\n\nQualcomm is well-positioned to benefit from secular growth trends of 5G, IoT, and industrial and auto connectivity.\nIts recent operating performance has been quite good and momentum should remain strong in the next few quarters, even though growth is expected to moderate in the medium term.\nAfter a strong stock rally, the upside is now more limited and investors should buy more during potential pullbacks.\n\nG0d4ather/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nQUALCOMM(QCOM) has interesting growth prospects over the coming years supported from 5G, IoT and industrial and auto connectivity, but its share price performance has been quite strong over the past couple of months and Qualcomm is now a ‘hold’.\nBackground\nAbout two months ago, I have recommended Qualcomm as an interesting play in the 5G and Internet of Things (IoT) secular growth theme, even though there are some medium-term risks, such as competition from MediaTek(OTCPK:MDTKF) in the mobile segment and the possibility of losing Apple’s(AAPL) modem business.\nSince my article, Qualcomm’s share price has been on fire, up by more than 39% in about two months, supported by strong earnings and an upbeat investor day in the past week.\nSource: Seeking Alpha.\nAfter a strong run, I think it’s time to see if Qualcomm still offers value to investors if its shares are now expensive. In this article, I review its most recent earnings and investor day, plus I check if its valuation is still attractive or not, considering Qualcomm’s medium-term earnings expectations.\nRecent Earnings\nQualcomm has reported positive results regarding the fourth quarter and fiscal year 2021 (FY 2021 - for the year ended on September 26, 2021), at the beginning of this month. The company reported revenues 5% higher than expected related to Q4, while its bottom-line beat estimates by close to 13%.\nFor the full fiscal year, the company was able to beat targets set at its investor day in 2019 for revenue growth and margin expansion, boding well for growth ahead.\nIn FY 2021, Qualcomm’s revenues amounted to $33.56 billion (up by 43% YoY), while its operating income was close to $10.3 billion (+80% YoY). Its net income increased by 74% YoY to more than $9 billion, reaching a net profit margin of 26.9% (vs. 22.1% in FY 2020).\nSource: Qualcomm.\nQualcomm’s growth engine was the QCT segment (technologies), with revenue up by 64% YoY, while the licensing segment (QTL) reported 26% YoY revenue growth. In the QTL segment, Qualcomm’s growth was broad based, with radio filters and IoT being particularly strong.\nSource: Qualcomm.\nDespite the company’s diversification strategy, Qualcomm is still heavily exposed to the mobile market (handsets) which represented some 62% of its QTL revenues. However, this weight is expected to gradually decrease over the next few years, as other segments such as IoT should have higher growth rates over the medium to long term, given that handsets have benefitted cyclically from the rapid shift to 5G phones over the past year.\nI see these results as quite good and above my own expectations, with the company being able to report annual revenues in excess of $10 billion for RF, auto and IoT together, a great milestone for Qualcomm and more than doubled compared to FY 2019.\nThis clearly shows that Qualcomm’s diversification strategy is progressing well and execution has been positive, which increases confidence on future growth targets. Beyond that, the current chip shortage is also impacting Qualcomm’s business, like for everyone else in the industry, making its recent growth even more impressive.\nRegarding its shareholder remuneration policy, during the last fiscal year, Qualcomm has made close to $3.4 billion in stock repurchases and distributed dividends of $3 billion. Thus, its total capital return to shareholders amounted to $6.4 billion, which represented more than 70% of its bottom-line. However, its dividend yield is only about 1.5%, thus I see Qualcomm mainly as a ‘growth’ play, while income is not high enough to be a reason to buy Qualcomm’s shares.\nQualcomm’s outlook for the next quarter is also positive, with the company expecting more than $10 billion in revenues and diluted EPS in the range $2.53-2.73. Even though Qualcomm’s business has some seasonality, Q1 is usually a stronger quarter, this outlook implies annual revenues close to $40 billion, or up by 19% compared to the previous FY.\nThis is in-line with current street expectations, given that the current consensus is for FY 2022 revenues of $39.5 billion, showing that Qualcomm’s recent growth is not temporary.\nOn the other hand, as I’ve highlighted as a potential risk in my previous analysis, there were additional rumors recently thatApple(AAPL) will use its own 5G modem chip in 2023, instead of using Qualcomm’s chips. It is difficult to quantify how much revenue will Qualcomm lose from this, but certainly will be material and is a potential headwind for revenue and earnings growth in the medium term that investors should be aware of.\nNevertheless, the company has recently shown in its investor day that its business is well exposed to some secular growth trends, such as IoT or car and industrial connectivity powered by 5G. This bodes well for its growth prospects over the next few years, and also to smooth the impact of losing some business from Apple.\nInvestor Day\nAs I’ve discussed previously on Qualcomm, the company is well-positioned to benefit from secular growth trends of 5G and IoT, considering that it has adapted its product portfolio quite well in recent years for the expected higher demand for these wireless technologies over the next few years, beyond the mobile industry.\nIts growth strategy has been to diversify its product offering so that it can offer solutions and products for more industries and different type of customers, namely in the automotive or the industrial sectors, increasing Qualcomm’s total addressable market and higher long-term growth prospects than relying too much on the mobile industry.\nThe company has several technologies for mobile and connectivity that have great growth prospects due to the ongoing digital transformation, which is not expected to slow down in the future. Indeed, in its recent investor day, Qualcomm said that its total addressable market is expected to expand significantly over the next decade, from about $100 billion currently to some $700 billion by 2030. This is justified by the rising number of devices that are expected to be connected to the internet, generating a vast amount of data, being a strong tailwind for the company’s growth ahead.\nSource: Qualcomm.\nQualcomm also discussed again its technologies spanning several end-markets beyond handsets, with IoT, automotive or virtual reality devices being, in my opinion, segments that are still relatively small for the company and have great growth prospects to become a sizable part of Qualcomm’s business in the next few years. For instance, Qualcomm targets annual revenues from IoT of around $9 billion by FY 2024, compared to $5 billion last year, while in Automotive it expects to grow from annual revenues of $1 billion last year to around $3.5 billion in five years.\nSource: Qualcomm.\nIn the mobile segment, Qualcomm also sees good long-term growth prospects due to 5G, with 5G handsets expected to gradually increase the weight in total shipments to about 85% by fiscal year 2024 and double from the total shipments delivered in the last year.\nSource: Qualcomm.\nRegarding its capital structure and shareholder remuneration policy, Qualcomm intends to maintain its policy of distributing a large part of its free cash flow to shareholders, both through a growing dividend and opportunistic share buybacks. As the company’s financial leverage is strong, measured by its net debt-to-EBITDA ratio below 0.5x at the end of FY 2021, it doesn’t need to retain much cash so I expect Qualcomm to distribute close to 100% of its free cash flow to shareholders over the next few years.\nHowever, this could change if the company pursues acquisitions, especially if it performs a large acquisition financed mainly by debt. That would increase the company’s financial leverage and, most likely, its strategy would then change towards reducing leverage in subsequent years until it reaches again a strong balance sheet as it has today.\nEstimates & Valuation\nRegarding medium-term estimates, Qualcomm’s revenues are expected to grow at about 7.3% per year, over the next four years, slowing down significantly compared to FY 2021. I think these are conservative estimates and there is upside potential for upward revisions over the coming months if operating momentum remains strong.\nFor the fiscal year 2025, revenues are expected to be about $44 billion, which seems too much low considering that for FY 2022 revenues are expected to be around $40 billion. I’m more bullish than current consensus and see revenues of around $50 billion by FY 2025, expecting annual revenue growth of around 7-8% per year between FY 2023 and 2025, which I think is still quite conservative.\nIts bottom-line is expected to increase to more than $14 billion in FY 2025 in my estimates, slightly above consensus because I’m expecting higher revenues, which implies an EPS of around $12 by FY 2025.\nRegarding valuation, my approach is to look into the next few years of revenues and earnings rather than just focus on this year or the next, to see if the stock has upside potential over a time frame of two to four years. Therefore, I use FY 2025 estimates to see if Qualcomm’s stock has upside potential over the medium term or not.\nBased on Qualcomm’s EPS estimate of $12 by FY 2025 and its historical valuation multiple over the past couple of years regarding its blended forward earnings (next 12 months) of 17.3x, my price target for Qualcomm by September 2024 is $207 per share.\nThis means that Qualcomm’s upside potential, based on these assumptions, is about 15% over the next three years, which is not impressive and show that a good part of its growth in the medium term is already reflected in its share price.\nNote that over the past two years Qualcomm’s forward earnings multiple has been somewhat volatile, trading between 13-22x forward earnings. When I wrote my previous article on Qualcomm, its shares were trading at the bottom of this range and the stock was clearly a buy, while now is trading close to its historical value. This means that there is more upside potential over the medium term, as Qualcomm is clearly well-positioned to benefit from 5G, IoT, and industrial and automotive connectivity, thus a re-rating to higher multiples is possible in the next couple of years.\nSource: Bloomberg.\nBottom Line\nQualcomm’s operating momentum has improved markedly in recent quarters and growth prospects are good in the coming years, as the company’s product diversification strategy is making good progress and is expected to support growth in coming years.\nHowever, its stock has rapidly incorporated improved fundamentals with the company’s recent earnings and investor day, and now upside potential is more limited than it was a couple of months ago. 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