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JL45
2021-08-05
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2021-08-04
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2021-08-03
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JL45
2021-08-02
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Can Tesla's stock price return to the upward channel?<blockquote>特斯拉股价能否重回上升通道?</blockquote>
JL45
2021-08-01
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JL45
2021-07-30
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JL45
2021-07-29
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2021-07-28
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2021-07-27
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2021-07-26
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JL45
2021-07-25
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Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗?这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>
JL45
2021-07-24
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JL45
2021-07-23
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JL45
2021-07-21
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JL45
2021-07-20
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Is Now The Time To Buy Into Nvidia, AMC, Or GameStop?<blockquote>现在是收购英伟达、AMC或者游戏驿站的时候了吗?</blockquote>
JL45
2021-07-19
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Bond Yields Are Puking Again...<blockquote>债券收益率又吐了……</blockquote>
JL45
2021-07-13
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JL45
2021-07-11
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2 Growth Stocks for the Next 10 Years<blockquote>未来10年的2只成长型股票</blockquote>
JL45
2021-07-10
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JL45
2021-07-07
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","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/805456957","repostId":"1131923658","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1131923658","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1627898076,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1131923658?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-08-02 17:54","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Can Tesla's stock price return to the upward channel?<blockquote>特斯拉股价能否重回上升通道?</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1131923658","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Tesla released Q2 earnings and revenues last week that beat analysts' expectations.\n\"In the second q","content":"<p>Tesla released Q2 earnings and revenues last week that beat analysts' expectations.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉上周发布的第二季度盈利和收入超出了分析师的预期。</blockquote></p><p> \"In the second quarter of 2021, we broke new and notable records,\" said Tesla in the company's second-quarter update. \"We produced and delivered over 200,000 vehicles, achieved an operating margin of 11% and exceeded [$1 billion] of GAAP net income for the first time in our history.\"</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉在公司第二季度更新中表示:“2021年第二季度,我们打破了新的、引人注目的记录。”“我们生产和交付了超过200,000辆汽车,实现了11%的营业利润率,并在我们历史上首次超过[10亿美元]GAAP净利润。”</blockquote></p><p> Here's a closer look at the quarter, captured by five must-see takeaways from the report.</p><p><blockquote>以下是对本季度的近距离观察,其中包括报告中的五个必看要点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Revenue hit $12 billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.营收达到120亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p> Helped by a 121% year-over-year increase in vehicle deliveries, Tesla's revenue surged 98% year over year to approximately $12 billion. This crushed analysts' average forecast for revenue of $11.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>得益于汽车交付量同比增长121%,特斯拉的收入同比飙升98%,达到约120亿美元。这超出了分析师113亿美元营收的平均预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Profits skyrocketed</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2、利润暴涨</b></blockquote></p><p> Of course, with revenue like this, it wasn't surprising to see profits soar. Net income increased from $104 million in the year-ago period to $1.14 billion. Non-GAAP (adjusted) net income increased 258% year over year to $1.6 billion. This translated to non-GAAP earnings per share of $1.45 -- far ahead of a consensus analyst estimate of $0.98.</p><p><blockquote>当然,有了这样的收入,利润飙升也就不足为奇了。净利润从去年同期的1.04亿美元增至11.4亿美元。非GAAP(调整后)净利润同比增长258%至16亿美元。这意味着非GAAP每股收益为1.45美元,远高于分析师普遍预期的0.98美元。</blockquote></p><p> The outsized growth in Tesla's profits demonstrates the scalability of the company's business model.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉利润的大幅增长表明了该公司商业模式的可扩展性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Free cash flow remains healthy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.自由现金流保持健康</b></blockquote></p><p> Tesla once again generated positive free cash flow, or cash flow from operations less capital expenditures. Free cash flow for the period increased from $418 million in the year-ago period to $619 million.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉再次产生了正的自由现金流,即运营现金流减去资本支出。期内自由现金流从去年同期的4.18亿美元增至6.19亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Total cash on hand fell from $17.1 billion in the first quarter of 2021 to $16.2 billion but this was primarily due to $1.6 billion in net debt and finance lease repayments.</p><p><blockquote>手头现金总额从2021年第一季度的171亿美元下降至162亿美元,但这主要是由于16亿美元的净债务和融资租赁还款。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Vehicle demand is robust</b></p><p><blockquote><b>四、车辆需求旺盛</b></blockquote></p><p> Tesla once again said demand for its vehicles achieved record levels. Indeed, demand is so robust that the company is supply constrained. \"Global demand continues to be robust, and we are producing at the limits of available parts supply,\" Tesla explained.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉再次表示,对其汽车的需求达到了创纪录的水平。事实上,需求如此强劲,以至于该公司的供应受到限制。“全球需求持续强劲,我们正在现有零部件供应的极限下进行生产,”特斯拉解释道。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. There's more sharp growth to come</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.未来还会有更大幅度的增长</b></blockquote></p><p> Importantly, Tesla remains optimistic about its growth trajectory. The company says it continues to expect to grow its total deliveries more than 50% year over year this year. This implies 2021 total deliveries of more than 750,000. So far, Tesla has delivered more than 386,000 vehicles this year.</p><p><blockquote>重要的是,特斯拉对其增长轨迹保持乐观。该公司表示,预计今年的总交付量将同比增长50%以上。这意味着2021年总交付量将超过75万辆。截至目前,特斯拉今年已交付超过38.6万辆汽车。</blockquote></p><p> \"The rate of growth will depend on our equipment capacity, operational efficiency, and the capacity and stability of the supply chain,\" Tesla noted.</p><p><blockquote>“增长率将取决于我们的设备容量、运营效率以及供应链的容量和稳定性,”特斯拉指出。</blockquote></p><p> <h4>Four Challenges to Tesla’s Growth</h4> However,investors are concerned with several factors that may slow Tesla's feverish share price growth soon.</p><p><blockquote><h4>特斯拉经济增长面临的四大挑战</h4>然而,投资者担心几个因素可能会很快减缓特斯拉狂热的股价增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>High Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>高估值</b></blockquote></p><p> Wall Street is an efficient market, discounting good news and bad news on listed companies. As a result, shares are run-up ahead of good news and sold-off ahead of bad news. Sometimes, Mr. Market—to use Benjamin Graham's terminology—is too optimistic, sending the shares of listed companies well above their fundamental or intrinsic value. Other times, Mr. Market is too pessimistic, sending shares of listed companies well below their intrinsic value.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街是一个有效的市场,对上市公司的好消息和坏消息都进行了贴现。因此,股价在好消息之前上涨,在坏消息之前遭到抛售。有时,市场先生——用本杰明·格雷厄姆的术语来说——过于乐观,导致上市公司的股价远高于其基本或内在价值。其他时候,先生。市场过于悲观,导致上市公司股价远低于其内在价值。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla's shares are overvalued by many standards. TipRanks, for instance, estimates Tesla's 12-month-trailing return on equity to be a modest 12.41%, while estimates put Tesla's intrinsic value at $160.11, well below its current price level.</p><p><blockquote>从许多标准来看,特斯拉的股价都被高估了。例如,TipRanks估计特斯拉过去12个月的股本回报率为12.41%,而特斯拉的内在价值估计为160.11美元,远低于当前的价格水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Competition from Colonizers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>来自殖民者的竞争</b></blockquote></p><p> Once, Tesla had little competition, as the electric vehicle (EV) market it pioneered had little competition from traditional automakers. However, that's no longer the case, as General Motors, Ford, Volkswagen, and Toyota are invading the electric market.</p><p><blockquote>曾经,特斯拉几乎没有竞争,因为它开创的电动汽车(EV)市场几乎没有来自传统汽车制造商的竞争。然而,随着通用汽车、福特、大众和丰田正在入侵电动市场,情况已不再如此。</blockquote></p><p> These \"colonizers\" of the EV market have the manufacturing experience, expertise, and distribution networks to scale up EV production and cross the \"tipping point\" of bringing EVs to the masses. Meanwhile, the entry of new competitors into the EV market could unleash price competition that will erode Tesla's revenue growth and profit margins. That's something Wall Street is watching closely in quarterly financial statements.</p><p><blockquote>这些电动汽车市场的“殖民者”拥有制造经验、专业知识和分销网络,可以扩大电动汽车生产规模,跨越将电动汽车推向大众的“临界点”。与此同时,新竞争对手进入电动汽车市场可能会引发价格竞争,从而削弱特斯拉的收入增长和利润率。这是华尔街在季度财务报表中密切关注的事情。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bitcoin Exposure</b></p><p><blockquote><b>比特币风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Tesla's CEO Elon Musk has an affinity for bitcoin. That's why he has been investing some of the company's cash in digital currency. As of the end of March, Tesla's $1.5 billion investment was worth $2.48 billion, based on the surge in bitcoin in the first quarter. However, that has its risks, too, given bitcoin's volatility.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉CEO Elon Musk对比特币情有独钟。这就是为什么他一直将公司的部分现金投资于数字货币。截至3月底,特斯拉15亿美元的投资价值24.8亿美元,以第一季度比特币的激增计算。然而,考虑到比特币的波动性,这也有其风险。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to bitcoin's volatility are accounting rules that treat the digital currency as an indefinite-lived intangible asset. Thus, it is subject to impairment losses if its fair value decreases below the carrying value during the assessed reporting period. Companies cannot recover impairment losses for any subsequent increase in fair value until the asset's sale. Tesla reported bitcoin-related impairments of $23 million in Q2 as the price of digital currency dived.</p><p><blockquote>将数字货币视为无限期无形资产的会计规则加剧了比特币的波动性。因此,倘其公平值于评估报告期内减值至低于账面值,则须计提减值亏损。在资产出售之前,公司无法收回公允价值后续增加的减值损失。随着数字货币价格暴跌,特斯拉报告第二季度与比特币相关的减值为2300万美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Rising Material Costs</b></p><p><blockquote><b>材料成本上升</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Together with traditional automobile makers, Tesla faces a severe material shortage due to supply chain disruptions during the COVID-19 pandemic, which is expected to slow down the pace of its feverish growth.</p><p><blockquote>由于COVID-19大流行期间供应链中断,特斯拉与传统汽车制造商一起面临严重的材料短缺,预计这将减缓其狂热增长的步伐。</blockquote></p><p> \"While we're making cars at full speed, the global chip shortage situation remains quite serious,\" Musk told investors. \"For the rest of this year, our growth rates will be determined by the slowest part in our supply chain,\" adding that there are a wide range of chips that will serve as that brake on growth.</p><p><blockquote>“在我们全速造车的同时,全球芯片短缺的情况仍然相当严重,”马斯克告诉投资者。“在今年剩余时间里,我们的增长率将取决于供应链中最慢的部分,”他补充说,有多种芯片将成为增长的刹车。</blockquote></p><p> <h4>Mixed reviews from Wall Street</h4> Needham analyst Rajvindra Gill said Tesla shares are already priced to perfection, which could explain the stock’s weakness on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote><h4>华尔街褒贬不一</h4>Needham分析师Rajvindra Gill表示,特斯拉股票的定价已经非常完美,这可以解释该股周二的疲软。</blockquote></p><p> “Tesla's ‘priced to perfection’ valuation is hard for us to justify, even with more positive recent Results,” Gill wrote.</p><p><blockquote>吉尔写道:“即使最近的业绩更加积极,我们也很难证明特斯拉‘定价完美’的估值是合理的。”</blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas said the quarter likely didn’t change the narrative for bulls or bears, and Tesla is still not a value stock priced at an enterprise multiple of 70x.</p><p><blockquote>Morgan Stanley分析师Adam Jonas表示,本季度可能不会改变多头或空头的说法,特斯拉仍然不是企业市盈率70倍的价值股。</blockquote></p><p> “Tesla is not only among the fastest growing auto companies in the world, it is also one of the most profitable,” Jonas wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“特斯拉不仅是世界上增长最快的汽车公司之一,也是最赚钱的公司之一,”Jonas写道。</blockquote></p><p> Wells Fargo analyst Colin Langan said auto gross margins were impressive, but they may not last.</p><p><blockquote>富国银行分析师Colin Langan表示,汽车毛利率令人印象深刻,但可能不会持续。</blockquote></p><p> “We see auto margins moderating in Q3/Q4 due to rising raw mat costs and mix dilution as the lower priced Model Y SR launches in China,” Langran wrote.</p><p><blockquote>Langran写道:“随着价格较低的Model Y SR在中国推出,由于原材料成本上升和混合动力稀释,我们预计第三季度/第四季度汽车利润率将放缓。”</blockquote></p><p> John Murphy with B. of A. Securities struck a more cautious tone. Despite the beat, \"competition is fierce and heating up,\" he said. \"(Tesla's) operating environment is shifting from that of a vacuum to an increasingly crowded space.\"</p><p><blockquote>B.of A.Securities的约翰·墨菲(John Murphy)的语气更加谨慎。尽管节奏很慢,但“竞争非常激烈,而且正在升温,”他说。“(特斯拉的)运营环境正在从真空转向日益拥挤的空间。”</blockquote></p><p> The quarterly beat was \"very much helped by positive pricing dynamics and good execution,\" and Murphy raised his price target on the stock to $800 from $750, which represents an upside around 26% from Tuesday's prices. He kept B. of A.'s neutral rating on the stock.</p><p><blockquote>季度业绩“在很大程度上得益于积极的定价动态和良好的执行力”,墨菲将该股的目标价从750美元上调至800美元,较周二的价格上涨约26%。他维持B.of A.对该股的中性评级。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Can Tesla's stock price return to the upward channel?<blockquote>特斯拉股价能否重回上升通道?</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCan Tesla's stock price return to the upward channel?<blockquote>特斯拉股价能否重回上升通道?</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-08-02 17:54</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Tesla released Q2 earnings and revenues last week that beat analysts' expectations.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉上周发布的第二季度盈利和收入超出了分析师的预期。</blockquote></p><p> \"In the second quarter of 2021, we broke new and notable records,\" said Tesla in the company's second-quarter update. \"We produced and delivered over 200,000 vehicles, achieved an operating margin of 11% and exceeded [$1 billion] of GAAP net income for the first time in our history.\"</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉在公司第二季度更新中表示:“2021年第二季度,我们打破了新的、引人注目的记录。”“我们生产和交付了超过200,000辆汽车,实现了11%的营业利润率,并在我们历史上首次超过[10亿美元]GAAP净利润。”</blockquote></p><p> Here's a closer look at the quarter, captured by five must-see takeaways from the report.</p><p><blockquote>以下是对本季度的近距离观察,其中包括报告中的五个必看要点。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. Revenue hit $12 billion</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.营收达到120亿美元</b></blockquote></p><p> Helped by a 121% year-over-year increase in vehicle deliveries, Tesla's revenue surged 98% year over year to approximately $12 billion. This crushed analysts' average forecast for revenue of $11.3 billion.</p><p><blockquote>得益于汽车交付量同比增长121%,特斯拉的收入同比飙升98%,达到约120亿美元。这超出了分析师113亿美元营收的平均预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Profits skyrocketed</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2、利润暴涨</b></blockquote></p><p> Of course, with revenue like this, it wasn't surprising to see profits soar. Net income increased from $104 million in the year-ago period to $1.14 billion. Non-GAAP (adjusted) net income increased 258% year over year to $1.6 billion. This translated to non-GAAP earnings per share of $1.45 -- far ahead of a consensus analyst estimate of $0.98.</p><p><blockquote>当然,有了这样的收入,利润飙升也就不足为奇了。净利润从去年同期的1.04亿美元增至11.4亿美元。非GAAP(调整后)净利润同比增长258%至16亿美元。这意味着非GAAP每股收益为1.45美元,远高于分析师普遍预期的0.98美元。</blockquote></p><p> The outsized growth in Tesla's profits demonstrates the scalability of the company's business model.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉利润的大幅增长表明了该公司商业模式的可扩展性。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. Free cash flow remains healthy</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.自由现金流保持健康</b></blockquote></p><p> Tesla once again generated positive free cash flow, or cash flow from operations less capital expenditures. Free cash flow for the period increased from $418 million in the year-ago period to $619 million.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉再次产生了正的自由现金流,即运营现金流减去资本支出。期内自由现金流从去年同期的4.18亿美元增至6.19亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Total cash on hand fell from $17.1 billion in the first quarter of 2021 to $16.2 billion but this was primarily due to $1.6 billion in net debt and finance lease repayments.</p><p><blockquote>手头现金总额从2021年第一季度的171亿美元下降至162亿美元,但这主要是由于16亿美元的净债务和融资租赁还款。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. Vehicle demand is robust</b></p><p><blockquote><b>四、车辆需求旺盛</b></blockquote></p><p> Tesla once again said demand for its vehicles achieved record levels. Indeed, demand is so robust that the company is supply constrained. \"Global demand continues to be robust, and we are producing at the limits of available parts supply,\" Tesla explained.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉再次表示,对其汽车的需求达到了创纪录的水平。事实上,需求如此强劲,以至于该公司的供应受到限制。“全球需求持续强劲,我们正在现有零部件供应的极限下进行生产,”特斯拉解释道。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5. There's more sharp growth to come</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.未来还会有更大幅度的增长</b></blockquote></p><p> Importantly, Tesla remains optimistic about its growth trajectory. The company says it continues to expect to grow its total deliveries more than 50% year over year this year. This implies 2021 total deliveries of more than 750,000. So far, Tesla has delivered more than 386,000 vehicles this year.</p><p><blockquote>重要的是,特斯拉对其增长轨迹保持乐观。该公司表示,预计今年的总交付量将同比增长50%以上。这意味着2021年总交付量将超过75万辆。截至目前,特斯拉今年已交付超过38.6万辆汽车。</blockquote></p><p> \"The rate of growth will depend on our equipment capacity, operational efficiency, and the capacity and stability of the supply chain,\" Tesla noted.</p><p><blockquote>“增长率将取决于我们的设备容量、运营效率以及供应链的容量和稳定性,”特斯拉指出。</blockquote></p><p> <h4>Four Challenges to Tesla’s Growth</h4> However,investors are concerned with several factors that may slow Tesla's feverish share price growth soon.</p><p><blockquote><h4>特斯拉经济增长面临的四大挑战</h4>然而,投资者担心几个因素可能会很快减缓特斯拉狂热的股价增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>High Valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>高估值</b></blockquote></p><p> Wall Street is an efficient market, discounting good news and bad news on listed companies. As a result, shares are run-up ahead of good news and sold-off ahead of bad news. Sometimes, Mr. Market—to use Benjamin Graham's terminology—is too optimistic, sending the shares of listed companies well above their fundamental or intrinsic value. Other times, Mr. Market is too pessimistic, sending shares of listed companies well below their intrinsic value.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街是一个有效的市场,对上市公司的好消息和坏消息都进行了贴现。因此,股价在好消息之前上涨,在坏消息之前遭到抛售。有时,市场先生——用本杰明·格雷厄姆的术语来说——过于乐观,导致上市公司的股价远高于其基本或内在价值。其他时候,先生。市场过于悲观,导致上市公司股价远低于其内在价值。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla's shares are overvalued by many standards. TipRanks, for instance, estimates Tesla's 12-month-trailing return on equity to be a modest 12.41%, while estimates put Tesla's intrinsic value at $160.11, well below its current price level.</p><p><blockquote>从许多标准来看,特斯拉的股价都被高估了。例如,TipRanks估计特斯拉过去12个月的股本回报率为12.41%,而特斯拉的内在价值估计为160.11美元,远低于当前的价格水平。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Competition from Colonizers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>来自殖民者的竞争</b></blockquote></p><p> Once, Tesla had little competition, as the electric vehicle (EV) market it pioneered had little competition from traditional automakers. However, that's no longer the case, as General Motors, Ford, Volkswagen, and Toyota are invading the electric market.</p><p><blockquote>曾经,特斯拉几乎没有竞争,因为它开创的电动汽车(EV)市场几乎没有来自传统汽车制造商的竞争。然而,随着通用汽车、福特、大众和丰田正在入侵电动市场,情况已不再如此。</blockquote></p><p> These \"colonizers\" of the EV market have the manufacturing experience, expertise, and distribution networks to scale up EV production and cross the \"tipping point\" of bringing EVs to the masses. Meanwhile, the entry of new competitors into the EV market could unleash price competition that will erode Tesla's revenue growth and profit margins. That's something Wall Street is watching closely in quarterly financial statements.</p><p><blockquote>这些电动汽车市场的“殖民者”拥有制造经验、专业知识和分销网络,可以扩大电动汽车生产规模,跨越将电动汽车推向大众的“临界点”。与此同时,新竞争对手进入电动汽车市场可能会引发价格竞争,从而削弱特斯拉的收入增长和利润率。这是华尔街在季度财务报表中密切关注的事情。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Bitcoin Exposure</b></p><p><blockquote><b>比特币风险</b></blockquote></p><p> Tesla's CEO Elon Musk has an affinity for bitcoin. That's why he has been investing some of the company's cash in digital currency. As of the end of March, Tesla's $1.5 billion investment was worth $2.48 billion, based on the surge in bitcoin in the first quarter. However, that has its risks, too, given bitcoin's volatility.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉CEO Elon Musk对比特币情有独钟。这就是为什么他一直将公司的部分现金投资于数字货币。截至3月底,特斯拉15亿美元的投资价值24.8亿美元,以第一季度比特币的激增计算。然而,考虑到比特币的波动性,这也有其风险。</blockquote></p><p> Adding to bitcoin's volatility are accounting rules that treat the digital currency as an indefinite-lived intangible asset. Thus, it is subject to impairment losses if its fair value decreases below the carrying value during the assessed reporting period. Companies cannot recover impairment losses for any subsequent increase in fair value until the asset's sale. Tesla reported bitcoin-related impairments of $23 million in Q2 as the price of digital currency dived.</p><p><blockquote>将数字货币视为无限期无形资产的会计规则加剧了比特币的波动性。因此,倘其公平值于评估报告期内减值至低于账面值,则须计提减值亏损。在资产出售之前,公司无法收回公允价值后续增加的减值损失。随着数字货币价格暴跌,特斯拉报告第二季度与比特币相关的减值为2300万美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Rising Material Costs</b></p><p><blockquote><b>材料成本上升</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Together with traditional automobile makers, Tesla faces a severe material shortage due to supply chain disruptions during the COVID-19 pandemic, which is expected to slow down the pace of its feverish growth.</p><p><blockquote>由于COVID-19大流行期间供应链中断,特斯拉与传统汽车制造商一起面临严重的材料短缺,预计这将减缓其狂热增长的步伐。</blockquote></p><p> \"While we're making cars at full speed, the global chip shortage situation remains quite serious,\" Musk told investors. \"For the rest of this year, our growth rates will be determined by the slowest part in our supply chain,\" adding that there are a wide range of chips that will serve as that brake on growth.</p><p><blockquote>“在我们全速造车的同时,全球芯片短缺的情况仍然相当严重,”马斯克告诉投资者。“在今年剩余时间里,我们的增长率将取决于供应链中最慢的部分,”他补充说,有多种芯片将成为增长的刹车。</blockquote></p><p> <h4>Mixed reviews from Wall Street</h4> Needham analyst Rajvindra Gill said Tesla shares are already priced to perfection, which could explain the stock’s weakness on Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote><h4>华尔街褒贬不一</h4>Needham分析师Rajvindra Gill表示,特斯拉股票的定价已经非常完美,这可以解释该股周二的疲软。</blockquote></p><p> “Tesla's ‘priced to perfection’ valuation is hard for us to justify, even with more positive recent Results,” Gill wrote.</p><p><blockquote>吉尔写道:“即使最近的业绩更加积极,我们也很难证明特斯拉‘定价完美’的估值是合理的。”</blockquote></p><p> Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas said the quarter likely didn’t change the narrative for bulls or bears, and Tesla is still not a value stock priced at an enterprise multiple of 70x.</p><p><blockquote>Morgan Stanley分析师Adam Jonas表示,本季度可能不会改变多头或空头的说法,特斯拉仍然不是企业市盈率70倍的价值股。</blockquote></p><p> “Tesla is not only among the fastest growing auto companies in the world, it is also one of the most profitable,” Jonas wrote.</p><p><blockquote>“特斯拉不仅是世界上增长最快的汽车公司之一,也是最赚钱的公司之一,”Jonas写道。</blockquote></p><p> Wells Fargo analyst Colin Langan said auto gross margins were impressive, but they may not last.</p><p><blockquote>富国银行分析师Colin Langan表示,汽车毛利率令人印象深刻,但可能不会持续。</blockquote></p><p> “We see auto margins moderating in Q3/Q4 due to rising raw mat costs and mix dilution as the lower priced Model Y SR launches in China,” Langran wrote.</p><p><blockquote>Langran写道:“随着价格较低的Model Y SR在中国推出,由于原材料成本上升和混合动力稀释,我们预计第三季度/第四季度汽车利润率将放缓。”</blockquote></p><p> John Murphy with B. of A. Securities struck a more cautious tone. Despite the beat, \"competition is fierce and heating up,\" he said. \"(Tesla's) operating environment is shifting from that of a vacuum to an increasingly crowded space.\"</p><p><blockquote>B.of A.Securities的约翰·墨菲(John Murphy)的语气更加谨慎。尽管节奏很慢,但“竞争非常激烈,而且正在升温,”他说。“(特斯拉的)运营环境正在从真空转向日益拥挤的空间。”</blockquote></p><p> The quarterly beat was \"very much helped by positive pricing dynamics and good execution,\" and Murphy raised his price target on the stock to $800 from $750, which represents an upside around 26% from Tuesday's prices. He kept B. of A.'s neutral rating on the stock.</p><p><blockquote>季度业绩“在很大程度上得益于积极的定价动态和良好的执行力”,墨菲将该股的目标价从750美元上调至800美元,较周二的价格上涨约26%。他维持B.of A.对该股的中性评级。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1131923658","content_text":"Tesla released Q2 earnings and revenues last week that beat analysts' expectations.\n\"In the second quarter of 2021, we broke new and notable records,\" said Tesla in the company's second-quarter update. \"We produced and delivered over 200,000 vehicles, achieved an operating margin of 11% and exceeded [$1 billion] of GAAP net income for the first time in our history.\"\nHere's a closer look at the quarter, captured by five must-see takeaways from the report.\n1. Revenue hit $12 billion\nHelped by a 121% year-over-year increase in vehicle deliveries, Tesla's revenue surged 98% year over year to approximately $12 billion. This crushed analysts' average forecast for revenue of $11.3 billion.\n2. Profits skyrocketed\nOf course, with revenue like this, it wasn't surprising to see profits soar. Net income increased from $104 million in the year-ago period to $1.14 billion. Non-GAAP (adjusted) net income increased 258% year over year to $1.6 billion. This translated to non-GAAP earnings per share of $1.45 -- far ahead of a consensus analyst estimate of $0.98.\nThe outsized growth in Tesla's profits demonstrates the scalability of the company's business model.\n3. Free cash flow remains healthy\nTesla once again generated positive free cash flow, or cash flow from operations less capital expenditures. Free cash flow for the period increased from $418 million in the year-ago period to $619 million.\nTotal cash on hand fell from $17.1 billion in the first quarter of 2021 to $16.2 billion but this was primarily due to $1.6 billion in net debt and finance lease repayments.\n4. Vehicle demand is robust\nTesla once again said demand for its vehicles achieved record levels. Indeed, demand is so robust that the company is supply constrained. \"Global demand continues to be robust, and we are producing at the limits of available parts supply,\" Tesla explained.\n5. There's more sharp growth to come\nImportantly, Tesla remains optimistic about its growth trajectory. The company says it continues to expect to grow its total deliveries more than 50% year over year this year. This implies 2021 total deliveries of more than 750,000. So far, Tesla has delivered more than 386,000 vehicles this year.\n\"The rate of growth will depend on our equipment capacity, operational efficiency, and the capacity and stability of the supply chain,\" Tesla noted.\nFour Challenges to Tesla’s Growth\nHowever,investors are concerned with several factors that may slow Tesla's feverish share price growth soon.\nHigh Valuation\nWall Street is an efficient market, discounting good news and bad news on listed companies. As a result, shares are run-up ahead of good news and sold-off ahead of bad news. Sometimes, Mr. Market—to use Benjamin Graham's terminology—is too optimistic, sending the shares of listed companies well above their fundamental or intrinsic value. Other times, Mr. Market is too pessimistic, sending shares of listed companies well below their intrinsic value.\nTesla's shares are overvalued by many standards. TipRanks, for instance, estimates Tesla's 12-month-trailing return on equity to be a modest 12.41%, while estimates put Tesla's intrinsic value at $160.11, well below its current price level.\nCompetition from Colonizers\nOnce, Tesla had little competition, as the electric vehicle (EV) market it pioneered had little competition from traditional automakers. However, that's no longer the case, as General Motors, Ford, Volkswagen, and Toyota are invading the electric market.\nThese \"colonizers\" of the EV market have the manufacturing experience, expertise, and distribution networks to scale up EV production and cross the \"tipping point\" of bringing EVs to the masses. Meanwhile, the entry of new competitors into the EV market could unleash price competition that will erode Tesla's revenue growth and profit margins. That's something Wall Street is watching closely in quarterly financial statements.\nBitcoin Exposure\nTesla's CEO Elon Musk has an affinity for bitcoin. That's why he has been investing some of the company's cash in digital currency. As of the end of March, Tesla's $1.5 billion investment was worth $2.48 billion, based on the surge in bitcoin in the first quarter. However, that has its risks, too, given bitcoin's volatility.\nAdding to bitcoin's volatility are accounting rules that treat the digital currency as an indefinite-lived intangible asset. Thus, it is subject to impairment losses if its fair value decreases below the carrying value during the assessed reporting period. Companies cannot recover impairment losses for any subsequent increase in fair value until the asset's sale. Tesla reported bitcoin-related impairments of $23 million in Q2 as the price of digital currency dived.\nRising Material Costs\nTogether with traditional automobile makers, Tesla faces a severe material shortage due to supply chain disruptions during the COVID-19 pandemic, which is expected to slow down the pace of its feverish growth.\n\"While we're making cars at full speed, the global chip shortage situation remains quite serious,\" Musk told investors. \"For the rest of this year, our growth rates will be determined by the slowest part in our supply chain,\" adding that there are a wide range of chips that will serve as that brake on growth.\nMixed reviews from Wall Street\nNeedham analyst Rajvindra Gill said Tesla shares are already priced to perfection, which could explain the stock’s weakness on Tuesday.\n“Tesla's ‘priced to perfection’ valuation is hard for us to justify, even with more positive recent Results,” Gill wrote.\nMorgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas said the quarter likely didn’t change the narrative for bulls or bears, and Tesla is still not a value stock priced at an enterprise multiple of 70x.\n“Tesla is not only among the fastest growing auto companies in the world, it is also one of the most profitable,” Jonas wrote.\nWells Fargo analyst Colin Langan said auto gross margins were impressive, but they may not last.\n“We see auto margins moderating in Q3/Q4 due to rising raw mat costs and mix dilution as the lower priced Model Y SR launches in China,” Langran wrote.\nJohn Murphy with B. of A. Securities struck a more cautious tone. Despite the beat, \"competition is fierce and heating up,\" he said. \"(Tesla's) operating environment is shifting from that of a vacuum to an increasingly crowded space.\"\nThe quarterly beat was \"very much helped by positive pricing dynamics and good execution,\" and Murphy raised his price target on the stock to $800 from $750, which represents an upside around 26% from Tuesday's prices. He kept B. of A.'s neutral rating on the stock.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2683,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":802871267,"gmtCreate":1627772003059,"gmtModify":1633756615801,"author":{"id":"3574734648306583","authorId":"3574734648306583","name":"JL45","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/52101cbf96bd0268389e8f5a50aa1c5c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574734648306583","authorIdStr":"3574734648306583"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like ","listText":"Like 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","listText":"Like ","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/801819343","repostId":"1179923360","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1943,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":803129016,"gmtCreate":1627428800235,"gmtModify":1633765175808,"author":{"id":"3574734648306583","authorId":"3574734648306583","name":"JL45","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/52101cbf96bd0268389e8f5a50aa1c5c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574734648306583","authorIdStr":"3574734648306583"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like ","listText":"Like 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","listText":"Like ","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/177194854","repostId":"1112927800","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1112927800","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627089375,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1112927800?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-24 09:16","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗?这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1112927800","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV p","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li> <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li> <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>让我们来看看今天的蔚来与特斯拉相比如何,蔚来的独特卖点,以及两家公司的相似之处。</li><li>蔚来是一个高增长的选择,相对于特斯拉的估值,它似乎并不太昂贵。</li><li>然而,蔚来并不是一只低风险股票,它可能并不是每个人的好选择。投资者还应该考虑蔚来与传统汽车公司的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ipopba/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来公司(蔚来)是中国领先的电动汽车制造商之一,通过其有吸引力的品牌和独特的BaaS产品吸引了消费者和投资者的极大兴趣。然而,如今,该公司仍然比目前引领全球电动汽车市场的特斯拉(TSLA)小得多。蔚来目前专注于国内市场,当特斯拉还是一家较小的公司时也是如此,但蔚来也将试图在海外市场抢占市场份额。股价已经反映了很大的增长,但如果蔚来能够复制特斯拉的成功,这可能是非常合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p><p><blockquote>2020年,两家公司都受益于人们对电动汽车日益增长的兴趣,这一趋势导致大多数纯电动汽车公司的股价迅速上涨。电动汽车市场份额不断增长、电动汽车购买补贴等宽松政策以及大规模货币刺激措施相结合,让蔚来和特斯拉的股价迅速上涨。蔚来去年上涨了245%,而特斯拉同期上涨了101%。然而,两家公司目前的交易价格均低于2021年初创下的历史高点,随后纯电动汽车的市场情绪在一定程度上降温。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下分析师的目标价,我们发现特斯拉的交易价格几乎完全符合共识,而蔚来的交易价格比分析师目标低约30%。如果分析师界是正确的,那么蔚来是一项更好的投资,因为预计特斯拉的股价明年不会大幅上涨,而蔚来的股价较分析师目标价有显着上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉相似吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你关注的是什么。两家公司有相似之处,但也有不同之处。因此,人们可以说,在某些方面,两者是相似的,但在另一些方面,它们不是。让我们看几件事:</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都专注于电动汽车领域,尽管特斯拉多年来也在发展其他一些业务,例如储能。特斯拉的大部分收入来自销售电动汽车,这也是蔚来的运营方式。两家公司都专注于电动汽车的高端市场,销售价格较高的汽车,与宝马、梅赛德斯和雷克萨斯等品牌竞争。两家公司都提供少量不同的车辆,特斯拉是著名的S、X、3和Y,而蔚来则提供一款轿车(ET7)和三款SUV(EC6、ES6、ES8)。尽管蔚来如今是一家规模较小的公司,但两家公司的车型阵容并没有太大差异。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都向客户提供某种类型的充电基础设施,就特斯拉而言,这就是Supercharger网络,特斯拉车主可以根据安装的Supercharger版本为汽车充电高达250kW。蔚来正在采取不同的方法,为客户提供电池即服务解决方案。蔚来车主可以在蔚来的充电站将电池更换为充满电的电池,这一过程需要几分钟,因此与特斯拉和其他电动汽车厂商提供的常规电动汽车充电相比要快得多。因此,BaaS在充电/交换所需时间方面具有优势,但应该指出的是,与蔚来的电池交换站相比,特斯拉的超级充电站在世界各地更为常见。在其他市场推出该功能将需要大量资本支出,但与包括特斯拉在内的所有其他电动汽车厂商相比,蔚来的产品是一个独特的卖点。这最终是否会得到回报还有待观察,但随着电动汽车领域的竞争加剧,这可能成为蔚来的一大优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模、增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p><p><blockquote>这两家公司的规模差异很大,无论是在收入和汽车销量方面,还是在两家公司的市值方面。蔚来第二季度交付了22,000辆汽车,同比增长112%,年增长率约为90,000辆。与此同时,特斯拉在第二季度交付了201,000辆汽车,高于2020年第二季度的103,000辆汽车。这是一个强劲的同比增长,尽管略低于100%,因此低于蔚来目前的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p><p><blockquote>与蔚来相比,特斯拉每季度交付的汽车数量约为9倍,当我们查看两家公司的市值时,我们发现这一比例几乎完全相同,因为特斯拉6400亿美元的市值约为9倍。蔚来的市值为720亿美元。在类似的增长率下,这是完全有道理的,但目前看来蔚来可能是更好的交易,因为它的估值相当,同时产生更好的增长。在未来几个季度尤其如此,预计特斯拉的增长将放缓:</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的收入预计将从2021年的490亿美元增长到2023年的830亿美元,年增长率为30%。与此同时,蔚来的收入预计将在2021年至2023年间从54亿美元猛增至128亿美元,年增长率为54%。因此,相对而言,预计未来两年蔚来的增长速度将远远快于特斯拉。老实说,这并不奇怪,因为大数定律表明,对于一家规模越大的公司来说,保持大幅增长率就变得越来越困难,而特斯拉现在似乎已经达到了这一点——每年增加50%以上的收入将永远不可能。这甚至不一定是特斯拉的错,事实上,许多优质成长型公司都经历过同样的事情。但投资者仍应考虑这一重要事实——与我们过去看到的相比,特斯拉未来几年的增长将不那么令人兴奋,而蔚来等同行的增长速度更快。</blockquote></p><p> The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p><p><blockquote>当我们从长远来看时,情况也是如此。蔚来2025年的收入预期为226亿美元,比2023年的预期再增长80%,比分析师对2021年的预测增长320%。与此同时,特斯拉预计2025年的收入将达到1,225亿美元,这是一个很大的数字,但比2023年增长了48%,比2021年总共增长了150%。因此,在2021年至2025年间,蔚来的收入将增加4倍,而特斯拉的收入将在同一时期增加2.5倍——在其他条件相同的情况下,这是一个有意义的差异,应该允许蔚来获得溢价估值,就像特斯拉一样。与大众汽车(OTCPK:VWAGY)等传统企业相比,它值得获得溢价估值。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p><p><blockquote>相对于两家公司目前的估值来看2025年的收入预期,我们发现蔚来的市盈率为2025年销售额的3.2倍,而特斯拉2025年的销售额倍数为5.2倍。因此,对于长期投资者来说,蔚来今天似乎更有价值,因为当我们展望未来时,它的销售倍数要低得多。然而,这并不一定意味着蔚来很便宜,因为与传统汽车公司的估值相比,即使2025年3.2倍的销售倍数也相对较高。然而,蔚来看起来比特斯拉便宜,尽管其股价绝对并不便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来能和特斯拉一样值钱吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly overpriced today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你所关注的时间框架。如今,蔚来的规模明显小于特斯拉,因此其市值也相应地小得多。还应该指出的是,不能保证特斯拉的股票是电动汽车公司应该如何估值的一个很好的例子——至少,它的股票今天有可能被严重高估,我个人也相信这一点(请注意,有些人会认为股票定价过低,这也是一种可能性,尽管我个人并不持有这种信念)。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p><p><blockquote>当我们暂时假设特斯拉今天的估值是正确的,并且电动汽车公司每年销售约80万辆汽车时确实应该获得6000亿美元的市值时,那么蔚来最终也可能达到这一目标,尽管不是在短期内。蔚来今年将销售约9万辆汽车,2025年这一数字将增长至约40万辆。如果蔚来的销量在此之后每年增长15%,那么到2030年(即9年后),它可能会售出约80万辆汽车。如果想要更快的增长,也可以在2030年之前跨越每年80万辆汽车的界限,例如2028年或2029年。如果我们现在确实选择2030年,那么按照与特斯拉类似的交付量与市值比率,蔚来到2030年的估值可能会超过6000亿美元。换句话说,如果我们假设当前的增长预测是现实的,并且类似特斯拉的估值是合适的,那么九年后蔚来的价值可能会与特斯拉(今天)一样高。当然,这是两个主要的如果,尤其是第二点,我认为还远未确定。我个人不会对特斯拉的估值压缩感到太惊讶,因此蔚来的市值在2030年可能远低于6000亿美元的水平,即使它继续大幅增长。蔚来的增长也有可能令人失望,目前的预测过于乐观,尽管我认为蔚来凭借其独特的BaaS模式和在国内市场特别受认可的强大品牌,处于良好的增长地位。</blockquote></p><p> It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p><p><blockquote>还应该指出的是,特斯拉2030年的市值可能与6000亿美元有很大不同,因此即使蔚来达到这一水平,也不能保证两家公司的市值会相似。到那时,特斯拉的估值可能会高得多,例如如果方舟模型是正确的(我个人认为不太可能)。为了回答上述问题,人们可以说,蔚来可能在8-10年内像特斯拉一样价值数千亿美元,但这根本不能保证。即使这种情况发生,到那时特斯拉的价值也可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来现在是买入或卖出的好股票吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p><p><blockquote>当将蔚来视为一项投资时,它最终是否会变得像特斯拉一样庞大或估值很高并不重要。相反,投资者应该问自己,未来几年他们可以预期的总回报是多少,以及相对于蔚来商业模式的风险,这些预期回报是否足够高。关于这些风险,应该提到的事实是,该公司尚未盈利,这意味着蔚来依赖其资产负债表上的现金进行增长投资。最重要的是,电动汽车领域的竞争正在加剧,市场份额之争可能会在未来几年给利润率带来压力,尽管蔚来似乎由于其电池交换而处于相对有利的地位,我认为这是一个强大的USP。最后但并非最不重要的是,该公司对中国本土市场的依赖是一个应该牢记的潜在风险,尽管还应该指出的是,目前中国政府似乎对中国电动汽车公司非常包容。</blockquote></p><p> One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p><p><blockquote>有人可能会说,相对于传统汽车公司的估值,整个电动汽车行业的估值过高。与纯电动汽车相比,即使是大众汽车或福特等拥有有吸引力的电动汽车产品的传统企业,其交易也有巨大的折扣。但如果你想投资纯电动汽车,蔚来似乎是一个不错的选择。该公司结合了强大的品牌、独特的BaaS产品、高增长率,并且与电动汽车之王特斯拉的估值相比,股票交易价格有折扣。与其他纯电动汽车公司相比,蔚来2025年收入略高于3倍,似乎并不算太贵,当然,与传统公司相比,这仍然代表着溢价。如果蔚来能够表现良好并继续推出深受消费者欢迎的新车型,从长远来看,其股价可能具有巨大的上涨潜力。如果电动汽车股票成为不受欢迎的投资,蔚来股票也可能有相当大的下跌空间,然而,这并不是一个低风险的选择。根据您的风险承受能力,如果您想要高增长的纯电动汽车,蔚来仍然可能具有价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Will NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗?这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWill NIO Stock Follow Tesla's Footsteps? What To Consider Between These Two EV Stocks<blockquote>蔚来股票会追随特斯拉的脚步吗?这两只电动汽车股票之间需要考虑什么</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">seekingalpha</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-24 09:16</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Summary</b></p><p><blockquote><b>总结</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Let's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.</li> <li>NIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.</li> <li>NIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.</li> </ul> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2f749c70c8a2af3e18d5f6cecc72bfbb\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"704\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>ipopba/iStock via Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>让我们来看看今天的蔚来与特斯拉相比如何,蔚来的独特卖点,以及两家公司的相似之处。</li><li>蔚来是一个高增长的选择,相对于特斯拉的估值,它似乎并不太昂贵。</li><li>然而,蔚来并不是一只低风险股票,它可能并不是每个人的好选择。投资者还应该考虑蔚来与传统汽车公司的估值。</li></ul><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>ipopba/iStock来自Getty Images</span></p></blockquote></p><p> <b>Article Thesis</b></p><p><blockquote><b>文章论文</b></blockquote></p><p> NIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.</p><p><blockquote>蔚来公司(蔚来)是中国领先的电动汽车制造商之一,通过其有吸引力的品牌和独特的BaaS产品吸引了消费者和投资者的极大兴趣。然而,如今,该公司仍然比目前引领全球电动汽车市场的特斯拉(TSLA)小得多。蔚来目前专注于国内市场,当特斯拉还是一家较小的公司时也是如此,但蔚来也将试图在海外市场抢占市场份额。股价已经反映了很大的增长,但如果蔚来能够复制特斯拉的成功,这可能是非常合理的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NIO And TSLA Stock Prices</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉股价</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.</p><p><blockquote>2020年,两家公司都受益于人们对电动汽车日益增长的兴趣,这一趋势导致大多数纯电动汽车公司的股价迅速上涨。电动汽车市场份额不断增长、电动汽车购买补贴等宽松政策以及大规模货币刺激措施相结合,让蔚来和特斯拉的股价迅速上涨。蔚来去年上涨了245%,而特斯拉同期上涨了101%。然而,两家公司目前的交易价格均低于2021年初创下的历史高点,随后纯电动汽车的市场情绪在一定程度上降温。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5ff5ce865807df85283775d2293b41af\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"481\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Taking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.</p><p><blockquote>快速浏览一下分析师的目标价,我们发现特斯拉的交易价格几乎完全符合共识,而蔚来的交易价格比分析师目标低约30%。如果分析师界是正确的,那么蔚来是一项更好的投资,因为预计特斯拉的股价明年不会大幅上涨,而蔚来的股价较分析师目标价有显着上涨空间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO Similar To Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来和特斯拉相似吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你关注的是什么。两家公司有相似之处,但也有不同之处。因此,人们可以说,在某些方面,两者是相似的,但在另一些方面,它们不是。让我们看几件事:</blockquote></p><p> <b>Business Model</b></p><p><blockquote><b>商业模式</b></blockquote></p><p> Both companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都专注于电动汽车领域,尽管特斯拉多年来也在发展其他一些业务,例如储能。特斯拉的大部分收入来自销售电动汽车,这也是蔚来的运营方式。两家公司都专注于电动汽车的高端市场,销售价格较高的汽车,与宝马、梅赛德斯和雷克萨斯等品牌竞争。两家公司都提供少量不同的车辆,特斯拉是著名的S、X、3和Y,而蔚来则提供一款轿车(ET7)和三款SUV(EC6、ES6、ES8)。尽管蔚来如今是一家规模较小的公司,但两家公司的车型阵容并没有太大差异。</blockquote></p><p> Both companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.</p><p><blockquote>两家公司都向客户提供某种类型的充电基础设施,就特斯拉而言,这就是Supercharger网络,特斯拉车主可以根据安装的Supercharger版本为汽车充电高达250kW。蔚来正在采取不同的方法,为客户提供电池即服务解决方案。蔚来车主可以在蔚来的充电站将电池更换为充满电的电池,这一过程需要几分钟,因此与特斯拉和其他电动汽车厂商提供的常规电动汽车充电相比要快得多。因此,BaaS在充电/交换所需时间方面具有优势,但应该指出的是,与蔚来的电池交换站相比,特斯拉的超级充电站在世界各地更为常见。在其他市场推出该功能将需要大量资本支出,但与包括特斯拉在内的所有其他电动汽车厂商相比,蔚来的产品是一个独特的卖点。这最终是否会得到回报还有待观察,但随着电动汽车领域的竞争加剧,这可能成为蔚来的一大优势。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Size, growth, and valuation</b></p><p><blockquote><b>规模、增长和估值</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> The two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.</p><p><blockquote>这两家公司的规模差异很大,无论是在收入和汽车销量方面,还是在两家公司的市值方面。蔚来第二季度交付了22,000辆汽车,同比增长112%,年增长率约为90,000辆。与此同时,特斯拉在第二季度交付了201,000辆汽车,高于2020年第二季度的103,000辆汽车。这是一个强劲的同比增长,尽管略低于100%,因此低于蔚来目前的增长率。</blockquote></p><p> Tesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:</p><p><blockquote>与蔚来相比,特斯拉每季度交付的汽车数量约为9倍,当我们查看两家公司的市值时,我们发现这一比例几乎完全相同,因为特斯拉6400亿美元的市值约为9倍。蔚来的市值为720亿美元。在类似的增长率下,这是完全有道理的,但目前看来蔚来可能是更好的交易,因为它的估值相当,同时产生更好的增长。在未来几个季度尤其如此,预计特斯拉的增长将放缓:</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a986ea65130206f99961a46ce6cfed55\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"515\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>数据来自YCharts</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Tesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.</p><p><blockquote>特斯拉的收入预计将从2021年的490亿美元增长到2023年的830亿美元,年增长率为30%。与此同时,蔚来的收入预计将在2021年至2023年间从54亿美元猛增至128亿美元,年增长率为54%。因此,相对而言,预计未来两年蔚来的增长速度将远远快于特斯拉。老实说,这并不奇怪,因为大数定律表明,对于一家规模越大的公司来说,保持大幅增长率就变得越来越困难,而特斯拉现在似乎已经达到了这一点——每年增加50%以上的收入将永远不可能。这甚至不一定是特斯拉的错,事实上,许多优质成长型公司都经历过同样的事情。但投资者仍应考虑这一重要事实——与我们过去看到的相比,特斯拉未来几年的增长将不那么令人兴奋,而蔚来等同行的增长速度更快。</blockquote></p><p> The same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).</p><p><blockquote>当我们从长远来看时,情况也是如此。蔚来2025年的收入预期为226亿美元,比2023年的预期再增长80%,比分析师对2021年的预测增长320%。与此同时,特斯拉预计2025年的收入将达到1,225亿美元,这是一个很大的数字,但比2023年增长了48%,比2021年总共增长了150%。因此,在2021年至2025年间,蔚来的收入将增加4倍,而特斯拉的收入将在同一时期增加2.5倍——在其他条件相同的情况下,这是一个有意义的差异,应该允许蔚来获得溢价估值,就像特斯拉一样。与大众汽车(OTCPK:VWAGY)等传统企业相比,它值得获得溢价估值。</blockquote></p><p> Looking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.</p><p><blockquote>相对于两家公司目前的估值来看2025年的收入预期,我们发现蔚来的市盈率为2025年销售额的3.2倍,而特斯拉2025年的销售额倍数为5.2倍。因此,对于长期投资者来说,蔚来今天似乎更有价值,因为当我们展望未来时,它的销售倍数要低得多。然而,这并不一定意味着蔚来很便宜,因为与传统汽车公司的估值相比,即使2025年3.2倍的销售倍数也相对较高。然而,蔚来看起来比特斯拉便宜,尽管其股价绝对并不便宜。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Can NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来能和特斯拉一样值钱吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> The answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly overpriced today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).</p><p><blockquote>这个问题的答案取决于你所关注的时间框架。如今,蔚来的规模明显小于特斯拉,因此其市值也相应地小得多。还应该指出的是,不能保证特斯拉的股票是电动汽车公司应该如何估值的一个很好的例子——至少,它的股票今天有可能被严重高估,我个人也相信这一点(请注意,有些人会认为股票定价过低,这也是一种可能性,尽管我个人并不持有这种信念)。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> When we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.</p><p><blockquote>当我们暂时假设特斯拉今天的估值是正确的,并且电动汽车公司每年销售约80万辆汽车时确实应该获得6000亿美元的市值时,那么蔚来最终也可能达到这一目标,尽管不是在短期内。蔚来今年将销售约9万辆汽车,2025年这一数字将增长至约40万辆。如果蔚来的销量在此之后每年增长15%,那么到2030年(即9年后),它可能会售出约80万辆汽车。如果想要更快的增长,也可以在2030年之前跨越每年80万辆汽车的界限,例如2028年或2029年。如果我们现在确实选择2030年,那么按照与特斯拉类似的交付量与市值比率,蔚来到2030年的估值可能会超过6000亿美元。换句话说,如果我们假设当前的增长预测是现实的,并且类似特斯拉的估值是合适的,那么九年后蔚来的价值可能会与特斯拉(今天)一样高。当然,这是两个主要的如果,尤其是第二点,我认为还远未确定。我个人不会对特斯拉的估值压缩感到太惊讶,因此蔚来的市值在2030年可能远低于6000亿美元的水平,即使它继续大幅增长。蔚来的增长也有可能令人失望,目前的预测过于乐观,尽管我认为蔚来凭借其独特的BaaS模式和在国内市场特别受认可的强大品牌,处于良好的增长地位。</blockquote></p><p> It should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.</p><p><blockquote>还应该指出的是,特斯拉2030年的市值可能与6000亿美元有很大不同,因此即使蔚来达到这一水平,也不能保证两家公司的市值会相似。到那时,特斯拉的估值可能会高得多,例如如果方舟模型是正确的(我个人认为不太可能)。为了回答上述问题,人们可以说,蔚来可能在8-10年内像特斯拉一样价值数千亿美元,但这根本不能保证。即使这种情况发生,到那时特斯拉的价值也可能会高得多。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Is NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>蔚来现在是买入或卖出的好股票吗?</b></blockquote></p><p> When considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.</p><p><blockquote>当将蔚来视为一项投资时,它最终是否会变得像特斯拉一样庞大或估值很高并不重要。相反,投资者应该问自己,未来几年他们可以预期的总回报是多少,以及相对于蔚来商业模式的风险,这些预期回报是否足够高。关于这些风险,应该提到的事实是,该公司尚未盈利,这意味着蔚来依赖其资产负债表上的现金进行增长投资。最重要的是,电动汽车领域的竞争正在加剧,市场份额之争可能会在未来几年给利润率带来压力,尽管蔚来似乎由于其电池交换而处于相对有利的地位,我认为这是一个强大的USP。最后但并非最不重要的是,该公司对中国本土市场的依赖是一个应该牢记的潜在风险,尽管还应该指出的是,目前中国政府似乎对中国电动汽车公司非常包容。</blockquote></p><p> One could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.</p><p><blockquote>有人可能会说,相对于传统汽车公司的估值,整个电动汽车行业的估值过高。与纯电动汽车相比,即使是大众汽车或福特等拥有有吸引力的电动汽车产品的传统企业,其交易也有巨大的折扣。但如果你想投资纯电动汽车,蔚来似乎是一个不错的选择。该公司结合了强大的品牌、独特的BaaS产品、高增长率,并且与电动汽车之王特斯拉的估值相比,股票交易价格有折扣。与其他纯电动汽车公司相比,蔚来2025年收入略高于3倍,似乎并不算太贵,当然,与传统公司相比,这仍然代表着溢价。如果蔚来能够表现良好并继续推出深受消费者欢迎的新车型,从长远来看,其股价可能具有巨大的上涨潜力。如果电动汽车股票成为不受欢迎的投资,蔚来股票也可能有相当大的下跌空间,然而,这并不是一个低风险的选择。根据您的风险承受能力,如果您想要高增长的纯电动汽车,蔚来仍然可能具有价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks\">seekingalpha</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","NIO":"蔚来"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4440950-will-nio-stock-follow-tesla-what-to-consider-ev-stocks","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1112927800","content_text":"Summary\n\nLet's take a look at how NIO compares to Tesla today, NIO's unique selling points, and the similarities between the two companies.\nNIO is a high-growth choice that does not seem overly expensive relative to how Tesla is valued.\nNIO is not a low-risk stock, however, and it may not be a good choice for everyone. Investors should also consider NIO's valuation versus legacy car companies.\n\nipopba/iStock via Getty Images\nArticle Thesis\nNIO, Inc. (NIO) is one of China's leading EV players, and has, through an attractive brand and its unique BaaS offering, attracted a lot of interest from consumers and investors. Today, however, the company is still way smaller than Tesla (TSLA), which is currently leading the global EV market. NIO is focused on its home market right now, which was true when Tesla was a smaller company as well, but NIO will try to grab market share in overseas markets as well. Shares are pricing in a lot of growth already, but if NIO can replicate Tesla's success, that could be more than justified.\nNIO And TSLA Stock Prices\nBoth companies have benefitted from growing interest in EVs during 2020, a trend that saw share prices of most EV pureplays rise rapidly. The combination of growing market share for EVs, accommodating policies such as subsidies for EV purchases, and massive monetary stimulus let shares of NIO and TSLA rise rapidly. NIO is up 245% over the last year, while TSLA is up 101% over the same time. Both companies are currently trading below their all-time highs, however, which were hit in early 2021 before market sentiment for EV pureplays cooled to some degree.\nData by YCharts\nTaking a quick look at analyst price targets, we see that Tesla is trading almost perfectly in line with the consensus, whereas NIO trades about 30% below the analyst target. If the analyst community is right, then NIO is a substantially better investment right here, as Tesla is not expected to see its shares rise meaningfully over the next year, whereas NIO has significant upside to the analyst price target.\nIs NIO Similar To Tesla?\nThe answer to that question depends on what you focus on. There are similarities between the two companies, but there are also differences. One could thus say that, in some ways, the two are similar, but in others, they are not. Let's look at a couple of things:\nBusiness Model\nBoth companies are focused on the EV space, although Tesla has, over the years, been building out a couple of other businesses as well, such as energy storage. Most of Tesla's revenues are generated through selling electric vehicles, which is also how NIO operates. Both companies are focused on the premium segment of EVs, selling higher-priced vehicles that compete with brands such as BMW, Mercedes, and Lexus. Both companies offer a small range of different vehicles, in Tesla's case those are the well-known S, X, 3, and Y, whereas NIO offers a sedan (ET7), and three SUVs (EC6, ES6, ES8). Despite the fact that NIO is a way smaller company today, the model lineups of the two companies do thus not differ too much.\nBoth companies offer some type of charging infrastructure to their customers, in Tesla's case, that's the Supercharger network, where Tesla owners can charge their cars with up to 250kW, depending on what version of Supercharger is installed. NIO is following a different approach, offering a battery-as-a-service solution to its customers. NIO owners can get their battery switched out to a fully-charged battery at NIO's stations, a process that takes a couple of minutes and is thus significantly quicker compared to the regular EV charging offered by Tesla and other EV players. BaaS thus has advantages when it comes to the time it takes for a charge/swap, but it should be noted that Tesla's Superchargers are way more common around the world compared to NIO's battery-swapping stations. Rolling out that feature in additional markets will require large capital expenditures, but NIO's offering is a unique selling point compared to what all other EV players, including Tesla, are offering. It remains to be seen whether that will ultimately pay off, but this could become a major advantage for NIO as competition in the EV space is heating up.\nSize, growth, and valuation\nThe two companies differ significantly in size, both when it comes to revenues and vehicle sales, as well as when it comes to the market value of the two companies. NIO has delivered22,000 vehicles in Q2, up 112% year over year, for an annual pace of around 90,000 vehicles. Tesla, meanwhile, has delivered 201,000 vehicles during Q2, up from 103,000 vehicles delivered during Q2 2020. This is strong growth on a year-over-year basis, although slightly below 100%, and thus below the growth rate that NIO is generating for now.\nTesla delivers around 9x as many vehicles compared to NIO per quarter, when we look at the market capitalizations of the two companies, we see that the ratio is almost exactly the same, as Tesla's market cap of $640 billion is ~9x as high as that of NIO, at $72 billion. At similar growth rates, that would make perfect sense, but it looks like NIO might be the better deal for now, as it trades at a comparable valuation while generating better growth. This will be especially true in the coming quarters, where Tesla's growth is expected to slow down:\nData by YCharts\nTesla is forecasted to grow its revenue from $49 billion in 2021 to $83 billion in 2023, for an annual growth rate of 30%. NIO, meanwhile, is expected to see its revenue explode upwards from $5.4 billion to $12.8 billion between 2021 and 2023, for an annual growth rate of 54%. NIO is thus expected to grow way faster than Tesla over the next two years, on a relative basis. This shouldn't be a surprise, to be honest, as the law of large numbers dictates that maintaining massive growth rates becomes increasingly hard for a company the bigger it gets, and Tesla seems to have hit that point by now -- adding 50%+ a year to its top line will not be possible forever. This isn't even necessarily Tesla's fault, in fact, many high-quality growth companies have experienced the same. But investors should still consider this important fact -- Tesla's growth in coming years will be less exciting compared to what we have seen in the past, and peers, such as NIO, are growing faster.\nThe same holds true when we take a longer-term view. Revenue estimates for 2025 rest at$22.6 billionfor NIO, up another 80% from the 2023 estimate, and up 320% from what analysts are forecasting for 2021. Tesla, meanwhile, is forecasted to generate revenues of $122.5 billion in 2025 -- a large number, but up by a comparatively weak 48% from 2023, and up by a total of 150% versus 2021. Between 2021 and 2025, NIO will thus 4x its revenue, while Tesla will 2.5x its revenue in the same time span -- a meaningful difference that should, all else equal, allow for a premium valuation for NIO, in the same way Tesla deserves a premium valuation versus legacy players such as Volkswagen (OTCPK:VWAGY).\nLooking at revenue estimates for 2025 relative to how the two companies are valued today, we see that NIO trades at 3.2x 2025 sales, while the 2025 sales multiple for Tesla is 5.2. For a long-term oriented investor, NIO thus seems like the better value today, thanks to the fact that it is trading at a significantly lower sales multiple when we take a look into the future. This does not necessarily mean that NIO is cheap, however, as even a 3.2x 2025 sales multiple is relatively high compared to how legacy auto companies are valued. NIO is looking less expensive than Tesla, however, even if its shares are not cheap on an absolute basis.\nCan NIO Be Worth As Much As Tesla?\nThe answer to that depends on what time frame you are looking at. Today, NIO is significantly smaller than Tesla and thus rightfully trades at a way smaller market cap. It should also be noted that there is no guarantee that Tesla's shares are a great example of how an EV company should be valued -- it is, at least, possible that its shares are significantly overpriced today, I personally believe that as well (Note that some will argue that shares are underpriced, which is also among the possibilities, although I do not hold that belief personally).\nWhen we do, for a moment, assume that Tesla is correctly valued today and that EV companies do deserve a market cap in the $600 billion range when they sell about 800,000 vehicles a year, then NIO could eventually hit that as well, although not in the near term. NIO will sell about 90,000 vehicles this year, and that amount should grow to about 400,000 in 2025. If NIO were to grow its sales by 15% a year beyond that point, it could sell around 800,000 cars in 2030, or 9 years from now. If one wants to assume faster growth, the 800,000 vehicles a year line could also be crossed before 2030, e.g. in 2028 or 2029. If we do go with 2030 for now, then NIO could, at a similar deliveries-to-market capitalization ratio to Tesla, be valued at $600+ billion in 2030. In other words, NIO could be worth as much as Tesla (today) in nine years, when we assume that current growth projections are realistic and that a Tesla-like valuation is appropriate. Those are two major ifs, of course, and especially the second point is far from certain, I believe. I personally would not be too surprised to see Tesla's valuation compress, and thus NIO could trade well below the $600 billion market cap level in 2030, even if it continues to grow meaningfully. It is also possible that NIO's growth disappoints and that current projections are too bullish, although I think that NIO is well-positioned for growth thanks to its unique BaaS model and its strong brand that is especially well-recognized in its home market.\nIt should also be noted that Tesla's market cap in 2030 could be very different from $600 billion, thus even in case NIO hits that level, it is not at all guaranteed that the two companies will have a similar market cap. Tesla might be valued at a way higher valuation by then, e.g. if the ARK model is right (something I personally think is unlikely). To answer the above question, one could thus say that NIO might be worth hundreds of billions of dollars, like Tesla, in 8-10 years, but that is not at all guaranteed. And even if that were to happen, Tesla might be worth significantly more by then.\nIs NIO A Good Stock To Buy Or Sell Now?\nWhen considering NIO as an investment, it doesn't really matter all that much whether it will become as large or highly valued as Tesla eventually. Instead, investors should ask themselves what total returns they can expect over the next couple of years, and whether those expected returns are high enough relative to the risks in NIO's business model. Regarding those risks, one should mention the fact that the company isn't profitable yet, which means that NIO is dependent on cash on its balance sheet for growth investments. On top of that, competition in the EV space is growing, and market share battles could pressure margins in coming years, although NIO seems relatively well-positioned thanks to its battery-swapping, which is, I believe, a strong USP. Last but not least, the company's dependence on its home market China is a potential risk that should be kept in mind, although it should also be noted that, for now, it seems like the Chinese government is very accommodating to Chinese EV companies.\nOne could argue that valuations across the whole EV industry are too high, relative to how legacy auto companies are valued. Even those legacy players with attractive EV offerings such as Volkswagen or Ford trade at huge discounts compared to EV pureplays. But if one wants to invest in an EV pureplay, NIO doesn't seem like a bad choice. The company combines a strong brand, a unique BaaS offering, high growth rates, and shares trade at a discount compared to how the EV king Tesla is valued. At a little above 3x 2025 revenue, NIO does not seem overly expensive relative to other EV pureplays, although this still represents a premium versus legacy players, of course. If NIO manages to execute well and continues to roll out new models that are well-received by consumers, its shares could have significant upside potential in the long run. If EV stocks ever become an out-of-favor investment, NIO stock also could have considerable downside, however, this thus is not a low-risk pick. Depending on your risk tolerance, NIO could still be of value if you want a high-growth EV pureplay.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9,"TSLA":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":574,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":174374227,"gmtCreate":1627083466169,"gmtModify":1633768233037,"author":{"id":"3574734648306583","authorId":"3574734648306583","name":"JL45","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/52101cbf96bd0268389e8f5a50aa1c5c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574734648306583","authorIdStr":"3574734648306583"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/174374227","repostId":"2153980423","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":677,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":175038936,"gmtCreate":1626998043425,"gmtModify":1633769010743,"author":{"id":"3574734648306583","authorId":"3574734648306583","name":"JL45","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/52101cbf96bd0268389e8f5a50aa1c5c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574734648306583","authorIdStr":"3574734648306583"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like ","listText":"Like ","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/175038936","repostId":"2153760350","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":609,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":178275537,"gmtCreate":1626825788729,"gmtModify":1633770711669,"author":{"id":"3574734648306583","authorId":"3574734648306583","name":"JL45","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/52101cbf96bd0268389e8f5a50aa1c5c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574734648306583","authorIdStr":"3574734648306583"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/178275537","repostId":"2153469248","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":598,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":178071363,"gmtCreate":1626776755152,"gmtModify":1633771150734,"author":{"id":"3574734648306583","authorId":"3574734648306583","name":"JL45","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/52101cbf96bd0268389e8f5a50aa1c5c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574734648306583","authorIdStr":"3574734648306583"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like ","listText":"Like ","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/178071363","repostId":"1167258014","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1167258014","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Stock Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1626773582,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1167258014?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-20 17:33","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is Now The Time To Buy Into Nvidia, AMC, Or GameStop?<blockquote>现在是收购英伟达、AMC或者游戏驿站的时候了吗?</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1167258014","media":"Benzinga","summary":"These stocks are seeing high retail investor interest on social media at press time early Tuesday.\nN","content":"<p>These stocks are seeing high retail investor interest on social media at press time early Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>截至周二早些时候发稿时,社交媒体上散户投资者对这些股票的兴趣很高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NVIDIA Corporation</b>(NASDAQ:NVDA): The technology multinational known for graphics processing units trended as thetop name on r/WallStreetBetsor WSB at press time.</p><p><blockquote><b>英伟达公司</b>(纳斯达克:NVDA):截至发稿时,这家以图形处理设备闻名的技术跨国公司成为r/WallStreetBetor或WSB上的热门品牌。</blockquote></p><p> The company’s shares will be split 4-for-1 on Tuesday morning. David Green, a veteran trader, said he wants to“be long NVIDIA”on Monday.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的股票将于周二上午以4比1的比例进行分割。资深交易员David Green表示,他希望在周一“做多英伟达”。</blockquote></p><p> “We will get a lot of action once we have earnings coming out,” said Green.</p><p><blockquote>“一旦财报公布,我们将采取很多行动,”格林说。</blockquote></p><p> The company’s next quarterly numbers release is scheduled for August 18. As per the first-quarter numbers released in May, NVIDIA recorded earnings per share of $3.66 which beat the estimated EPS of $3.28.</p><p><blockquote>该公司定于8月18日发布下一个季度数据。根据5月份发布的第一季度数据,英伟达每股收益为3.66美元,超过预期的每股收益3.28美元。</blockquote></p><p> NVIDIA shares have appreciated 43.9% since the year began. On Monday, the company’s shares closed 3.41% higher in the regular session at $751.19 and rose another 1.17% in the after-hours trading to $760.</p><p><blockquote>自今年年初以来,英伟达股价已上涨43.9%。周一,该公司股价在常规交易中收盘上涨3.41%,至751.19美元,在盘后交易中又上涨1.17%,至760美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc</b>(NYSE:AMC): The theater chain’s shares saw high interest from retail traders.On Monday, AMC announced that it hadreached an agreementwith real estate firm Caruso to reopen The Grove Theatre and The Americana at Brand Theatre— two of the top-grossing movie theaters in Los Angeles.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC院线控股公司</b>(纽约证券交易所股票代码:AMC):散户交易者对这家连锁影院的股票非常感兴趣。周一,AMC宣布已与房地产公司Caruso达成协议,重新开放洛杉矶票房最高的两家电影院Grove Theatre和Americana at Brand Theatre。</blockquote></p><p> This month, AMC decidednot to vote ona previously announced$25 million share offering, which would have allowed it to raise cash as it reels under the impact of COVID-19.</p><p><blockquote>本月,AMC决定不对此前宣布的2500万美元股票发行进行投票,这将使其能够在受到COVID-19影响的情况下筹集现金。</blockquote></p><p> AMC shares have spiked 1,533% since the year began. On Friday, AMC shares closed 0.97% lower at $34.62 in the regular session and rose nearly 0.9% in the after-hours trading.</p><p><blockquote>自今年年初以来,AMC股价已飙升1,533%。周五,AMC股价在常规交易中收跌0.97%至34.62美元,盘后交易中上涨近0.9%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>GameStop Corporation</b>(NYSE:GME): The video game retailer trended among retail investors on Monday as it outperformed the wider market. On Monday key U.S. indices such as the S&P 500 and NASDAQ ended in the red by 1.59% and 1.06% respectively.</p><p><blockquote><b>游戏驿站公司</b>(纽约证券交易所股票代码:GME):这家视频游戏零售商周一在散户投资者中表现强劲,表现优于大盘。周一,标普500和纳斯达克等美国主要指数分别收跌1.59%和1.06%。</blockquote></p><p> On the same day, GameStop shares traded 2.63% higher at $173.49 in the regular session. The shares declined nearly 0.3% in the after-hours trading.</p><p><blockquote>同日,游戏驿站股价常规交易时段上涨2.63%,至173.49美元。该股在盘后交易中下跌近0.3%。</blockquote></p><p> The primary reason for the market's fall was mounting worries aboutrising in COVID-19 cases— particularly due to the Delta variant and its impact on global economic recovery.</p><p><blockquote>市场下跌的主要原因是人们对COVID-19病例增加的担忧日益加剧,特别是由于德尔塔变异毒株及其对全球经济复苏的影响。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, video games are increasingly popular with NewZooestimatespointing to a CAGR of 8.7% between 2019 to 2024. NewZoo estimates gaming will cross the $200 billion mark in 2023.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时,视频游戏越来越受欢迎,Newzooestimates预计2019年至2024年间的复合年增长率为8.7%。NewZoo估计游戏收入将在2023年突破2000亿美元大关。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is Now The Time To Buy Into Nvidia, AMC, Or GameStop?<blockquote>现在是收购英伟达、AMC或者游戏驿站的时候了吗?</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs Now The Time To Buy Into Nvidia, AMC, Or GameStop?<blockquote>现在是收购英伟达、AMC或者游戏驿站的时候了吗?</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-07-20 17:33</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>These stocks are seeing high retail investor interest on social media at press time early Tuesday.</p><p><blockquote>截至周二早些时候发稿时,社交媒体上散户投资者对这些股票的兴趣很高。</blockquote></p><p> <b>NVIDIA Corporation</b>(NASDAQ:NVDA): The technology multinational known for graphics processing units trended as thetop name on r/WallStreetBetsor WSB at press time.</p><p><blockquote><b>英伟达公司</b>(纳斯达克:NVDA):截至发稿时,这家以图形处理设备闻名的技术跨国公司成为r/WallStreetBetor或WSB上的热门品牌。</blockquote></p><p> The company’s shares will be split 4-for-1 on Tuesday morning. David Green, a veteran trader, said he wants to“be long NVIDIA”on Monday.</p><p><blockquote>该公司的股票将于周二上午以4比1的比例进行分割。资深交易员David Green表示,他希望在周一“做多英伟达”。</blockquote></p><p> “We will get a lot of action once we have earnings coming out,” said Green.</p><p><blockquote>“一旦财报公布,我们将采取很多行动,”格林说。</blockquote></p><p> The company’s next quarterly numbers release is scheduled for August 18. As per the first-quarter numbers released in May, NVIDIA recorded earnings per share of $3.66 which beat the estimated EPS of $3.28.</p><p><blockquote>该公司定于8月18日发布下一个季度数据。根据5月份发布的第一季度数据,英伟达每股收益为3.66美元,超过预期的每股收益3.28美元。</blockquote></p><p> NVIDIA shares have appreciated 43.9% since the year began. On Monday, the company’s shares closed 3.41% higher in the regular session at $751.19 and rose another 1.17% in the after-hours trading to $760.</p><p><blockquote>自今年年初以来,英伟达股价已上涨43.9%。周一,该公司股价在常规交易中收盘上涨3.41%,至751.19美元,在盘后交易中又上涨1.17%,至760美元。</blockquote></p><p> <b>AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc</b>(NYSE:AMC): The theater chain’s shares saw high interest from retail traders.On Monday, AMC announced that it hadreached an agreementwith real estate firm Caruso to reopen The Grove Theatre and The Americana at Brand Theatre— two of the top-grossing movie theaters in Los Angeles.</p><p><blockquote><b>AMC院线控股公司</b>(纽约证券交易所股票代码:AMC):散户交易者对这家连锁影院的股票非常感兴趣。周一,AMC宣布已与房地产公司Caruso达成协议,重新开放洛杉矶票房最高的两家电影院Grove Theatre和Americana at Brand Theatre。</blockquote></p><p> This month, AMC decidednot to vote ona previously announced$25 million share offering, which would have allowed it to raise cash as it reels under the impact of COVID-19.</p><p><blockquote>本月,AMC决定不对此前宣布的2500万美元股票发行进行投票,这将使其能够在受到COVID-19影响的情况下筹集现金。</blockquote></p><p> AMC shares have spiked 1,533% since the year began. On Friday, AMC shares closed 0.97% lower at $34.62 in the regular session and rose nearly 0.9% in the after-hours trading.</p><p><blockquote>自今年年初以来,AMC股价已飙升1,533%。周五,AMC股价在常规交易中收跌0.97%至34.62美元,盘后交易中上涨近0.9%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>GameStop Corporation</b>(NYSE:GME): The video game retailer trended among retail investors on Monday as it outperformed the wider market. On Monday key U.S. indices such as the S&P 500 and NASDAQ ended in the red by 1.59% and 1.06% respectively.</p><p><blockquote><b>游戏驿站公司</b>(纽约证券交易所股票代码:GME):这家视频游戏零售商周一在散户投资者中表现强劲,表现优于大盘。周一,标普500和纳斯达克等美国主要指数分别收跌1.59%和1.06%。</blockquote></p><p> On the same day, GameStop shares traded 2.63% higher at $173.49 in the regular session. The shares declined nearly 0.3% in the after-hours trading.</p><p><blockquote>同日,游戏驿站股价常规交易时段上涨2.63%,至173.49美元。该股在盘后交易中下跌近0.3%。</blockquote></p><p> The primary reason for the market's fall was mounting worries aboutrising in COVID-19 cases— particularly due to the Delta variant and its impact on global economic recovery.</p><p><blockquote>市场下跌的主要原因是人们对COVID-19病例增加的担忧日益加剧,特别是由于德尔塔变异毒株及其对全球经济复苏的影响。</blockquote></p><p> At the same time, video games are increasingly popular with NewZooestimatespointing to a CAGR of 8.7% between 2019 to 2024. NewZoo estimates gaming will cross the $200 billion mark in 2023.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时,视频游戏越来越受欢迎,Newzooestimates预计2019年至2024年间的复合年增长率为8.7%。NewZoo估计游戏收入将在2023年突破2000亿美元大关。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMC":"AMC院线","TIME":"Clockwise Core Equity & Innovation ETF","GME":"游戏驿站","NVDA":"英伟达"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1167258014","content_text":"These stocks are seeing high retail investor interest on social media at press time early Tuesday.\nNVIDIA Corporation(NASDAQ:NVDA): The technology multinational known for graphics processing units trended as thetop name on r/WallStreetBetsor WSB at press time.\nThe company’s shares will be split 4-for-1 on Tuesday morning. David Green, a veteran trader, said he wants to“be long NVIDIA”on Monday.\n“We will get a lot of action once we have earnings coming out,” said Green.\nThe company’s next quarterly numbers release is scheduled for August 18. As per the first-quarter numbers released in May, NVIDIA recorded earnings per share of $3.66 which beat the estimated EPS of $3.28.\nNVIDIA shares have appreciated 43.9% since the year began. On Monday, the company’s shares closed 3.41% higher in the regular session at $751.19 and rose another 1.17% in the after-hours trading to $760.\nAMC Entertainment Holdings Inc(NYSE:AMC): The theater chain’s shares saw high interest from retail traders.On Monday, AMC announced that it hadreached an agreementwith real estate firm Caruso to reopen The Grove Theatre and The Americana at Brand Theatre— two of the top-grossing movie theaters in Los Angeles.\nThis month, AMC decidednot to vote ona previously announced$25 million share offering, which would have allowed it to raise cash as it reels under the impact of COVID-19.\nAMC shares have spiked 1,533% since the year began. On Friday, AMC shares closed 0.97% lower at $34.62 in the regular session and rose nearly 0.9% in the after-hours trading.\nGameStop Corporation(NYSE:GME): The video game retailer trended among retail investors on Monday as it outperformed the wider market. On Monday key U.S. indices such as the S&P 500 and NASDAQ ended in the red by 1.59% and 1.06% respectively.\nOn the same day, GameStop shares traded 2.63% higher at $173.49 in the regular session. The shares declined nearly 0.3% in the after-hours trading.\nThe primary reason for the market's fall was mounting worries aboutrising in COVID-19 cases— particularly due to the Delta variant and its impact on global economic recovery.\nAt the same time, video games are increasingly popular with NewZooestimatespointing to a CAGR of 8.7% between 2019 to 2024. NewZoo estimates gaming will cross the $200 billion mark in 2023.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"TIME":0.9,"GME":0.9,"NVDA":0.9,"TWX":0.9,"AMC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":505,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":171334656,"gmtCreate":1626705825575,"gmtModify":1633924762794,"author":{"id":"3574734648306583","authorId":"3574734648306583","name":"JL45","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/52101cbf96bd0268389e8f5a50aa1c5c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574734648306583","authorIdStr":"3574734648306583"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like","listText":"Like","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/171334656","repostId":"1154837794","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1154837794","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1626705505,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1154837794?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-19 22:38","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Bond Yields Are Puking Again...<blockquote>债券收益率又吐了……</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1154837794","media":"zerohedge","summary":"US Treasury yields are plunging again this morning as investors take their pick of factors, but Delt","content":"<p>US Treasury yields are plunging again this morning as investors take their pick of factors, but Delta variant fearmongering appears to dominate (and a continued short squeeze)...</p><p><blockquote>随着投资者选择因素,美国国债收益率今天上午再次暴跌,但德尔塔变异毒株的恐慌情绪似乎占主导地位(以及持续的空头挤压)...</blockquote></p><p> 10Y Yields are down 12bps this morning, trading below 1.20% back at 5-month lows...</p><p><blockquote>10年期国债收益率今早下跌12个基点,跌破1.20%,回到5个月低点……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4e92791f9670d35afd7667c701520d8\" tg-width=\"965\" tg-height=\"554\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Pretty clear that hopes for a return to an old normal growthy-ness failed...</p><p><blockquote>很明显,回归旧的正常增长的希望失败了...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaa41324065aee5d3c6313f159661d3c\" tg-width=\"965\" tg-height=\"554\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">For almost four months, bonds have been screaming a very different story from stocks...</p><p><blockquote>近四个月来,债券一直在尖叫着与股票截然不同的故事……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2a9b7d477c41dd3fe42f6eaaad14ef1\" tg-width=\"965\" tg-height=\"557\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">The last time this happened, did not end well for the somewhat oblivious stock market...</p><p><blockquote>上一次发生这种情况,对于有点健忘的股市来说并没有好结果...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa095fb179dc579e6ff28af71309451b\" tg-width=\"965\" tg-height=\"555\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Brace!!</p><p><blockquote>撑住!!</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Bond Yields Are Puking Again...<blockquote>债券收益率又吐了……</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ 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}\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBond Yields Are Puking Again...<blockquote>债券收益率又吐了……</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-19 22:38</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>US Treasury yields are plunging again this morning as investors take their pick of factors, but Delta variant fearmongering appears to dominate (and a continued short squeeze)...</p><p><blockquote>随着投资者选择因素,美国国债收益率今天上午再次暴跌,但德尔塔变异毒株的恐慌情绪似乎占主导地位(以及持续的空头挤压)...</blockquote></p><p> 10Y Yields are down 12bps this morning, trading below 1.20% back at 5-month lows...</p><p><blockquote>10年期国债收益率今早下跌12个基点,跌破1.20%,回到5个月低点……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a4e92791f9670d35afd7667c701520d8\" tg-width=\"965\" tg-height=\"554\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Pretty clear that hopes for a return to an old normal growthy-ness failed...</p><p><blockquote>很明显,回归旧的正常增长的希望失败了...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/eaa41324065aee5d3c6313f159661d3c\" tg-width=\"965\" tg-height=\"554\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">For almost four months, bonds have been screaming a very different story from stocks...</p><p><blockquote>近四个月来,债券一直在尖叫着与股票截然不同的故事……</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b2a9b7d477c41dd3fe42f6eaaad14ef1\" tg-width=\"965\" tg-height=\"557\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">The last time this happened, did not end well for the somewhat oblivious stock market...</p><p><blockquote>上一次发生这种情况,对于有点健忘的股市来说并没有好结果...</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa095fb179dc579e6ff28af71309451b\" tg-width=\"965\" tg-height=\"555\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> Brace!!</p><p><blockquote>撑住!!</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/bond-yields-are-puking-again?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/bond-yields-are-puking-again?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1154837794","content_text":"US Treasury yields are plunging again this morning as investors take their pick of factors, but Delta variant fearmongering appears to dominate (and a continued short squeeze)...\n10Y Yields are down 12bps this morning, trading below 1.20% back at 5-month lows...\nPretty clear that hopes for a return to an old normal growthy-ness failed...\nFor almost four months, bonds have been screaming a very different story from stocks...\nThe last time this happened, did not end well for the somewhat oblivious stock market...\n\nBrace!!","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":445,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":145321761,"gmtCreate":1626190816253,"gmtModify":1633929184736,"author":{"id":"3574734648306583","authorId":"3574734648306583","name":"JL45","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/52101cbf96bd0268389e8f5a50aa1c5c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574734648306583","authorIdStr":"3574734648306583"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like ","listText":"Like ","text":"Like","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/145321761","repostId":"1129044669","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":712,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":148627224,"gmtCreate":1625973201268,"gmtModify":1633931213029,"author":{"id":"3574734648306583","authorId":"3574734648306583","name":"JL45","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/52101cbf96bd0268389e8f5a50aa1c5c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574734648306583","authorIdStr":"3574734648306583"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like pls","listText":"Like pls","text":"Like pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/148627224","repostId":"1196440758","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1196440758","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625967335,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1196440758?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-11 09:35","market":"us","language":"en","title":"2 Growth Stocks for the Next 10 Years<blockquote>未来10年的2只成长型股票</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1196440758","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"Both of these companies grew revenue by triple-digit rates in their most recent quarters. More importantly, their futures look bright.","content":"<p><b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Growth stocks may be riskier than stable and established companies, but carefully selected ones may be worth it.</li> <li>Stay-at-home trends have helped these companies, but their growth rates were high before the pandemic, too.</li> <li>Both of these fast-growing tech businesses are already profitable.</li> </ul> There's an interesting dilemma when it comes to picking stocks investors can likely hold for years or even decades. On the one hand, investors looking to hold shares for the long haul can stick with stable and established companies that have been around for decades and will likely continue succeeding for the foreseeable future -- companies like <b>Waste Management</b> and <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>. The downside to this approach, however, is that investors may miss out on the potential outperformance that could come from fast-growing companies over the long haul.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>成长型股票可能比稳定、成熟的公司风险更大,但精心挑选的股票可能是值得的。</li><li>居家趋势帮助了这些公司,但它们的增长率在大流行之前也很高。</li><li>这两项快速增长的科技业务都已经盈利。</li></ul>在选择投资者可能持有数年甚至数十年的股票时,存在一个有趣的困境。一方面,希望长期持有股票的投资者可以坚持持有稳定且成熟的公司,这些公司已经存在了数十年,并且在可预见的未来可能会继续取得成功——例如<b>废物管理</b>和<b>伯克希尔哈撒韦</b>然而,这种方法的缺点是,投资者可能会错过长期快速增长的公司可能带来的潜在优异表现。</blockquote></p><p> The issue with buying growth stocks, however, is that it's extremely difficult to gauge how long their rapid top-line growth rates can persist. Further, these companies' stock prices could perform very poorly if the growth prospects already baked into the stock price don't pan out. In other words, there's arguably more risk when it comes to betting on growth stocks for the next decade than there is for stable and established companies with decades of success behind them.</p><p><blockquote>然而,购买成长型股票的问题在于,很难衡量其快速的营收增长率能持续多久。此外,如果股价中已经体现的增长前景没有实现,这些公司的股价可能会表现非常糟糕。换句话说,押注未来十年的成长型股票可能比押注拥有数十年成功经验的稳定成熟公司的风险更大。</blockquote></p><p> So if an investor wants to buy growth stocks with a high chance of exceeding expectations over the next 10 years, they better have some pretty good reasons to believe these companies can do exactly that.</p><p><blockquote>因此,如果投资者想购买未来10年极有可能超出预期的成长型股票,他们最好有一些很好的理由相信这些公司能够做到这一点。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/257045ef62f724806bce2b35390a5e4f\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1500\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源:盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Here are two growth stocks that have a shot at not only living up to high expectations over the next 10 years but possibly even exceeding them:<b>Zoom Video Communications</b>(NASDAQ:ZM) and <b>Peloton Interactive</b>(NASDAQ:PTON).</p><p><blockquote>以下是两只成长型股票,它们不仅有可能在未来10年达到高预期,甚至可能超过预期:<b>Zoom Video通信公司</b>(纳斯达克:ZM)及<b>Peloton互动</b>(纳斯达克:PTON)。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Zoom and Peloton were already thriving before the pandemic</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Zoom和Peloton在大流行之前就已经蓬勃发展</b></blockquote></p><p> At first glance, investors may conclude that Zoom is nothing more than a pandemic stock. They may argue that the company's success was predicated almost entirely on the fact that much of the world was in lockdown in 2020 and going into 2021.</p><p><blockquote>乍一看,投资者可能会得出结论,Zoom只不过是一只流行病股票。他们可能会说,该公司的成功几乎完全取决于这样一个事实,即世界大部分地区在2020年和2021年都处于封锁状态。</blockquote></p><p> It's true that Zoom benefited significantly from the rise of virtual work in 2020. After all, revenue for the company's fiscal 2021 (a fiscal year ending Jan. 31, 2021) skyrocketed 326% year over year. But investors should note that the trend of using video to collaborate virtually was already extremely strong before the pandemic; fiscal 2020 revenue rose 88% year over year. Growth at the time was particularly strong from large customers. Zoom's customers contributing more than $100,000 of trailing-12-month revenue increased 86% year over year in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2020.</p><p><blockquote>确实,Zoom从2020年虚拟工作的兴起中受益匪浅。毕竟,该公司2021财年(截至2021年1月31日的财年)的收入同比飙升326%。但投资者应该注意到,在大流行之前,使用视频进行虚拟协作的趋势就已经非常强劲;2020财年收入同比增长88%。当时来自大客户的增长尤其强劲。2020财年第四季度,Zoom的客户过去12个月收入贡献超过10万美元,同比增长86%。</blockquote></p><p> The same goes for Peloton. The company certainly benefited from the pandemic, but revenue during the quarter ending Dec. 31, 2019 was growing at a year-over-year rate of 77%, with connected fitness subscribers increasing 96% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>Peloton也是如此。该公司当然受益于疫情,但截至2019年12月31日的季度收入同比增长77%,联网健身订户同比增长96%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Continued momentum</b></p><p><blockquote><b>持续的势头</b></blockquote></p><p> The underlying catalysts driving Zoom and Peloton are both still alive and well. Strong growth persists at both companies.</p><p><blockquote>推动Zoom和Peloton的潜在催化剂仍然存在。两家公司都持续强劲增长。</blockquote></p><p> Despite facing extremely tough comparisons in the year-ago quarter, from when both companies were benefiting from soaring demand amid lockdowns, Zoom's and Peloton's revenue in their most recently reported quarters grew 191% and 141% year over year, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>尽管与去年同期相比面临极其严峻的比较,但Zoom和Peloton在最近报告的季度中的收入分别同比增长了191%和141%,当时两家公司都受益于封锁期间需求飙升。</blockquote></p><p> Looking ahead, Zoom notably guided for fiscal 2022 revenue of nearly $4 billion, up from fiscal 2021 revenue of about $2.7 billion.</p><p><blockquote>展望未来,Zoom特别预计2022财年营收将接近40亿美元,高于2021财年约27亿美元的营收。</blockquote></p><p> Boding well for Peloton's continued momentum, management said in its most recent quarterly update that its monthly average workouts per connected fitness subscription rose to an all-time high, showing how the company's products are still yielding high engagement even as the economy reopens.</p><p><blockquote>管理层在最近的季度更新中表示,其每个互联健身订阅的月平均锻炼次数升至历史新高,这预示着Peloton的持续势头,这表明即使经济重新开放,该公司的产品仍然产生高参与度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Healthy profits</b></p><p><blockquote><b>健康利润</b></blockquote></p><p> Finally, another factor that makes these companies unique from many other growth stocks is that they are already very profitable. Zoom generated $873 million of net income on $3.3 billion of trailing-12-month sales, and Peloton served up $213 million of net income from $3.7 billion in revenue.</p><p><blockquote>最后,使这些公司与许多其他成长型股票不同的另一个因素是,它们已经非常有利可图。Zoom过去12个月的销售额为33亿美元,净利润为8.73亿美元,Peloton的净利润为37亿美元,净利润为2.13亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Substantial profits give these companies an edge when it comes to reinvesting in growth opportunities ahead of them and spending on efforts to enhance their competitive positioning and first-mover advantages in their respective industries.</p><p><blockquote>可观的利润使这些公司在对未来的增长机会进行再投资以及努力增强其在各自行业的竞争地位和先发优势方面具有优势。</blockquote></p><p> While there's no guarantee these two stocks will beat the market over the next 10 years, their recent momentum -- before, during, and after the worst part of the pandemic -- suggests they likely have a promising future.</p><p><blockquote>虽然不能保证这两只股票在未来10年内会跑赢市场,但它们最近的势头——在大流行最严重的时期之前、期间和之后——表明它们的未来可能充满希望。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>2 Growth Stocks for the Next 10 Years<blockquote>未来10年的2只成长型股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n2 Growth Stocks for the Next 10 Years<blockquote>未来10年的2只成长型股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-11 09:35</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Key Points</b></p><p><blockquote><b>要点</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Growth stocks may be riskier than stable and established companies, but carefully selected ones may be worth it.</li> <li>Stay-at-home trends have helped these companies, but their growth rates were high before the pandemic, too.</li> <li>Both of these fast-growing tech businesses are already profitable.</li> </ul> There's an interesting dilemma when it comes to picking stocks investors can likely hold for years or even decades. On the one hand, investors looking to hold shares for the long haul can stick with stable and established companies that have been around for decades and will likely continue succeeding for the foreseeable future -- companies like <b>Waste Management</b> and <b>Berkshire Hathaway</b>. The downside to this approach, however, is that investors may miss out on the potential outperformance that could come from fast-growing companies over the long haul.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>成长型股票可能比稳定、成熟的公司风险更大,但精心挑选的股票可能是值得的。</li><li>居家趋势帮助了这些公司,但它们的增长率在大流行之前也很高。</li><li>这两项快速增长的科技业务都已经盈利。</li></ul>在选择投资者可能持有数年甚至数十年的股票时,存在一个有趣的困境。一方面,希望长期持有股票的投资者可以坚持持有稳定且成熟的公司,这些公司已经存在了数十年,并且在可预见的未来可能会继续取得成功——例如<b>废物管理</b>和<b>伯克希尔哈撒韦</b>然而,这种方法的缺点是,投资者可能会错过长期快速增长的公司可能带来的潜在优异表现。</blockquote></p><p> The issue with buying growth stocks, however, is that it's extremely difficult to gauge how long their rapid top-line growth rates can persist. Further, these companies' stock prices could perform very poorly if the growth prospects already baked into the stock price don't pan out. In other words, there's arguably more risk when it comes to betting on growth stocks for the next decade than there is for stable and established companies with decades of success behind them.</p><p><blockquote>然而,购买成长型股票的问题在于,很难衡量其快速的营收增长率能持续多久。此外,如果股价中已经体现的增长前景没有实现,这些公司的股价可能会表现非常糟糕。换句话说,押注未来十年的成长型股票可能比押注拥有数十年成功经验的稳定成熟公司的风险更大。</blockquote></p><p> So if an investor wants to buy growth stocks with a high chance of exceeding expectations over the next 10 years, they better have some pretty good reasons to believe these companies can do exactly that.</p><p><blockquote>因此,如果投资者想购买未来10年极有可能超出预期的成长型股票,他们最好有一些很好的理由相信这些公司能够做到这一点。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/257045ef62f724806bce2b35390a5e4f\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1500\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源:盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Here are two growth stocks that have a shot at not only living up to high expectations over the next 10 years but possibly even exceeding them:<b>Zoom Video Communications</b>(NASDAQ:ZM) and <b>Peloton Interactive</b>(NASDAQ:PTON).</p><p><blockquote>以下是两只成长型股票,它们不仅有可能在未来10年达到高预期,甚至可能超过预期:<b>Zoom Video通信公司</b>(纳斯达克:ZM)及<b>Peloton互动</b>(纳斯达克:PTON)。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Zoom and Peloton were already thriving before the pandemic</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Zoom和Peloton在大流行之前就已经蓬勃发展</b></blockquote></p><p> At first glance, investors may conclude that Zoom is nothing more than a pandemic stock. They may argue that the company's success was predicated almost entirely on the fact that much of the world was in lockdown in 2020 and going into 2021.</p><p><blockquote>乍一看,投资者可能会得出结论,Zoom只不过是一只流行病股票。他们可能会说,该公司的成功几乎完全取决于这样一个事实,即世界大部分地区在2020年和2021年都处于封锁状态。</blockquote></p><p> It's true that Zoom benefited significantly from the rise of virtual work in 2020. After all, revenue for the company's fiscal 2021 (a fiscal year ending Jan. 31, 2021) skyrocketed 326% year over year. But investors should note that the trend of using video to collaborate virtually was already extremely strong before the pandemic; fiscal 2020 revenue rose 88% year over year. Growth at the time was particularly strong from large customers. Zoom's customers contributing more than $100,000 of trailing-12-month revenue increased 86% year over year in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2020.</p><p><blockquote>确实,Zoom从2020年虚拟工作的兴起中受益匪浅。毕竟,该公司2021财年(截至2021年1月31日的财年)的收入同比飙升326%。但投资者应该注意到,在大流行之前,使用视频进行虚拟协作的趋势就已经非常强劲;2020财年收入同比增长88%。当时来自大客户的增长尤其强劲。2020财年第四季度,Zoom的客户过去12个月收入贡献超过10万美元,同比增长86%。</blockquote></p><p> The same goes for Peloton. The company certainly benefited from the pandemic, but revenue during the quarter ending Dec. 31, 2019 was growing at a year-over-year rate of 77%, with connected fitness subscribers increasing 96% year over year.</p><p><blockquote>Peloton也是如此。该公司当然受益于疫情,但截至2019年12月31日的季度收入同比增长77%,联网健身订户同比增长96%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Continued momentum</b></p><p><blockquote><b>持续的势头</b></blockquote></p><p> The underlying catalysts driving Zoom and Peloton are both still alive and well. Strong growth persists at both companies.</p><p><blockquote>推动Zoom和Peloton的潜在催化剂仍然存在。两家公司都持续强劲增长。</blockquote></p><p> Despite facing extremely tough comparisons in the year-ago quarter, from when both companies were benefiting from soaring demand amid lockdowns, Zoom's and Peloton's revenue in their most recently reported quarters grew 191% and 141% year over year, respectively.</p><p><blockquote>尽管与去年同期相比面临极其严峻的比较,但Zoom和Peloton在最近报告的季度中的收入分别同比增长了191%和141%,当时两家公司都受益于封锁期间需求飙升。</blockquote></p><p> Looking ahead, Zoom notably guided for fiscal 2022 revenue of nearly $4 billion, up from fiscal 2021 revenue of about $2.7 billion.</p><p><blockquote>展望未来,Zoom特别预计2022财年营收将接近40亿美元,高于2021财年约27亿美元的营收。</blockquote></p><p> Boding well for Peloton's continued momentum, management said in its most recent quarterly update that its monthly average workouts per connected fitness subscription rose to an all-time high, showing how the company's products are still yielding high engagement even as the economy reopens.</p><p><blockquote>管理层在最近的季度更新中表示,其每个互联健身订阅的月平均锻炼次数升至历史新高,这预示着Peloton的持续势头,这表明即使经济重新开放,该公司的产品仍然产生高参与度。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Healthy profits</b></p><p><blockquote><b>健康利润</b></blockquote></p><p> Finally, another factor that makes these companies unique from many other growth stocks is that they are already very profitable. Zoom generated $873 million of net income on $3.3 billion of trailing-12-month sales, and Peloton served up $213 million of net income from $3.7 billion in revenue.</p><p><blockquote>最后,使这些公司与许多其他成长型股票不同的另一个因素是,它们已经非常有利可图。Zoom过去12个月的销售额为33亿美元,净利润为8.73亿美元,Peloton的净利润为37亿美元,净利润为2.13亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> Substantial profits give these companies an edge when it comes to reinvesting in growth opportunities ahead of them and spending on efforts to enhance their competitive positioning and first-mover advantages in their respective industries.</p><p><blockquote>可观的利润使这些公司在对未来的增长机会进行再投资以及努力增强其在各自行业的竞争地位和先发优势方面具有优势。</blockquote></p><p> While there's no guarantee these two stocks will beat the market over the next 10 years, their recent momentum -- before, during, and after the worst part of the pandemic -- suggests they likely have a promising future.</p><p><blockquote>虽然不能保证这两只股票在未来10年内会跑赢市场,但它们最近的势头——在大流行最严重的时期之前、期间和之后——表明它们的未来可能充满希望。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/10/2-growth-stocks-for-the-next-10-years/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ZM":"Zoom","PTON":"Peloton Interactive, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/07/10/2-growth-stocks-for-the-next-10-years/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1196440758","content_text":"Key Points\n\nGrowth stocks may be riskier than stable and established companies, but carefully selected ones may be worth it.\nStay-at-home trends have helped these companies, but their growth rates were high before the pandemic, too.\nBoth of these fast-growing tech businesses are already profitable.\n\nThere's an interesting dilemma when it comes to picking stocks investors can likely hold for years or even decades. On the one hand, investors looking to hold shares for the long haul can stick with stable and established companies that have been around for decades and will likely continue succeeding for the foreseeable future -- companies like Waste Management and Berkshire Hathaway. The downside to this approach, however, is that investors may miss out on the potential outperformance that could come from fast-growing companies over the long haul.\nThe issue with buying growth stocks, however, is that it's extremely difficult to gauge how long their rapid top-line growth rates can persist. Further, these companies' stock prices could perform very poorly if the growth prospects already baked into the stock price don't pan out. In other words, there's arguably more risk when it comes to betting on growth stocks for the next decade than there is for stable and established companies with decades of success behind them.\nSo if an investor wants to buy growth stocks with a high chance of exceeding expectations over the next 10 years, they better have some pretty good reasons to believe these companies can do exactly that.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nHere are two growth stocks that have a shot at not only living up to high expectations over the next 10 years but possibly even exceeding them:Zoom Video Communications(NASDAQ:ZM) and Peloton Interactive(NASDAQ:PTON).\nZoom and Peloton were already thriving before the pandemic\nAt first glance, investors may conclude that Zoom is nothing more than a pandemic stock. They may argue that the company's success was predicated almost entirely on the fact that much of the world was in lockdown in 2020 and going into 2021.\nIt's true that Zoom benefited significantly from the rise of virtual work in 2020. After all, revenue for the company's fiscal 2021 (a fiscal year ending Jan. 31, 2021) skyrocketed 326% year over year. But investors should note that the trend of using video to collaborate virtually was already extremely strong before the pandemic; fiscal 2020 revenue rose 88% year over year. Growth at the time was particularly strong from large customers. Zoom's customers contributing more than $100,000 of trailing-12-month revenue increased 86% year over year in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2020.\nThe same goes for Peloton. The company certainly benefited from the pandemic, but revenue during the quarter ending Dec. 31, 2019 was growing at a year-over-year rate of 77%, with connected fitness subscribers increasing 96% year over year.\nContinued momentum\nThe underlying catalysts driving Zoom and Peloton are both still alive and well. Strong growth persists at both companies.\nDespite facing extremely tough comparisons in the year-ago quarter, from when both companies were benefiting from soaring demand amid lockdowns, Zoom's and Peloton's revenue in their most recently reported quarters grew 191% and 141% year over year, respectively.\nLooking ahead, Zoom notably guided for fiscal 2022 revenue of nearly $4 billion, up from fiscal 2021 revenue of about $2.7 billion.\nBoding well for Peloton's continued momentum, management said in its most recent quarterly update that its monthly average workouts per connected fitness subscription rose to an all-time high, showing how the company's products are still yielding high engagement even as the economy reopens.\nHealthy profits\nFinally, another factor that makes these companies unique from many other growth stocks is that they are already very profitable. Zoom generated $873 million of net income on $3.3 billion of trailing-12-month sales, and Peloton served up $213 million of net income from $3.7 billion in revenue.\nSubstantial profits give these companies an edge when it comes to reinvesting in growth opportunities ahead of them and spending on efforts to enhance their competitive positioning and first-mover advantages in their respective industries.\nWhile there's no guarantee these two stocks will beat the market over the next 10 years, their recent momentum -- before, during, and after the worst part of the pandemic -- suggests they likely have a promising future.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ZM":0.9,"PTON":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":466,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":141623262,"gmtCreate":1625869366156,"gmtModify":1633936644344,"author":{"id":"3574734648306583","authorId":"3574734648306583","name":"JL45","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/52101cbf96bd0268389e8f5a50aa1c5c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574734648306583","authorIdStr":"3574734648306583"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like comment pls","listText":"Like comment pls","text":"Like comment 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pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":2,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":10,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/325746222","repostId":"1136576862","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":492,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":104902601,"gmtCreate":1620348155703,"gmtModify":1634205910073,"author":{"id":"3574734648306583","authorId":"3574734648306583","name":"JL45","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/52101cbf96bd0268389e8f5a50aa1c5c","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574734648306583","idStr":"3574734648306583"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Like and comment pls","listText":"Like and comment pls","text":"Like and comment pls","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/104902601","repostId":"1186778449","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1186778449","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1620341777,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1186778449?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-07 06:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Dow closes at record high after upbeat jobless claims report<blockquote>乐观的初请失业金人数报告公布后,道琼斯指数收于历史新高</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1186778449","media":"Reuters","summary":"The Dow Jones Industrial Averageclosed at a record high on Thursday, bolstered by an upbeat weekly jobless claims report, while shares of vaccine makers dipped after U.S. President Joe Biden backed plans to waive patents on COVID-19 shots.Lifted by $Apple$ Inc, the S&P 500 rose after a Labor Department report showed initial claims for state unemployment benefits totaled a seasonally adjusted 498,000 for the week ended May 1, compared with 590,000 in the prior week.$Investors$ were awaiting a mor","content":"<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI)closed at a record high on Thursday, bolstered by an upbeat weekly jobless claims report, while shares of vaccine makers dipped after U.S. President Joe Biden backed plans to waive patents on COVID-19 shots.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数(。DJI)周四收于创纪录高位,受到乐观的每周初请失业金报告的支撑,而在美国总统乔·拜登支持放弃新冠肺炎疫苗专利的计划后,疫苗制造商的股价下跌。</blockquote></p><p>Lifted by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc(AAPL.O), the S&P 500 rose after a Labor Department report showed initial claims for state unemployment benefits totaled a seasonally adjusted 498,000 for the week ended May 1, compared with 590,000 in the prior week.</p><p><blockquote>提升者<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>Inc(AAPL.O),劳工部报告显示,截至5月1日当周,经季节调整后首次申请州失业救济人数为498,000人,而前一周为590,000人,标普500上涨。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> were awaiting a more comprehensive non-farm payrolls report on Friday for clues on the strength of the labor market and potentially the U.S. Federal Reserve's stance on monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">投资者</a>我们正在等待周五更全面的非农就业报告,以寻找有关劳动力市场实力以及美联储可能的货币政策立场的线索。</blockquote></p><p>\"Investors are encouraged by the low-interest rates and the stimulus that the government is putting into the economy. We're also seeing substantial increases in economic projections and earnings forecasts,\" said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research.</p><p><blockquote>CFRA Research首席投资策略师Sam Stovall表示:“投资者受到低利率和政府对经济的刺激措施的鼓舞。我们还看到经济预测和盈利预测大幅上升。”</blockquote></p><p>Pharmaceutical companies dropped after the White House said Biden made the decision to back a proposed waiver for COVID-19 vaccine intellectual property rights.</p><p><blockquote>在白宫表示拜登决定支持新冠肺炎疫苗知识产权豁免提案后,制药公司股价下跌。</blockquote></p><p>Shares in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a> Inc(PFE.N), Moderna Inc(MRNA.O)and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a> Inc(NVAX.O), all involved in the making of COVID-19 vaccines, fell. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00179\">Johnson</a> & Johnson(JNJ.N)was near unchanged.</p><p><blockquote>于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>Inc(PFE.N)、Moderna Inc(MRNA.O)和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a>Inc(NVAX.O),所有参与新冠肺炎疫苗生产的公司都下跌了。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00179\">约翰逊</a>&约翰逊(JNJ.N)几乎没有变化。</blockquote></p><p>The S&P 500 healthcare sector index(.SPXHC)slipped, while the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> biotechnology index <.NBI> also dropped.</p><p><blockquote>标普500医疗保健行业指数(.SPXHC)下跌,而<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>生物技术指数<.NBI>也掉了。</blockquote></p><p>Moderna's shares cut some losses after it said countries around the globe would continue buying its COVID-19 vaccine for years even if patents on the shots are waived.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna表示,即使疫苗专利被放弃,全球各国仍将在数年内继续购买其COVID-19疫苗,该公司股价小幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p>The S&P 500 financials index(.SPSY)was among the top performers.</p><p><blockquote>标普500金融指数(.SPSY)是表现最好的股票之一。</blockquote></p><p>\"One sector we are seeing a lot of opportunities in is the financial sector. We see it as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> that should benefit from higher interest rates and a stronger economic recovery,\" said Ann Guntli, portfolio manager at Chicago-based RMB Capital.</p><p><blockquote>“我们看到很多机会的一个行业是金融业。我们认为它是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>这应该会受益于更高的利率和更强劲的经济复苏,”总部位于芝加哥的人民币资本投资组合经理安·冈特利(Ann Guntli)表示。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a> Corp(MSFT.O), Apple(AAPL.O)and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com</a> Incwere up under 1% for most of the session.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>公司(MSFT.O)、苹果(AAPL.O)和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>该股大部分时间涨幅均低于1%。</blockquote></p><p>Unofficially, the Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI)rose 0.92% to end at 34,545.11 points, while the S&P 500(.SPX)gained 0.82% to 4,201.58.</p><p><blockquote>非官方数据显示,道琼斯工业平均指数(.DJI)上涨0.92%,收于34,545.11点,标普500(.SPX)上涨0.82%,收于4,201.58点。</blockquote></p><p>The Nasdaq Composite(.IXIC)climbed 0.37% to 13,632.84.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数(.IXIC)上涨0.37%,至13,632.84点。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COST\">Costco</a> Wholesale(COST.O)jumped after the retailer said late on Wednesday that its April sales surged 33.5%. That rally helped push the S&P 500 consumers staple index higher.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COST\">Costco</a>批发(COST.O)周三晚间表示,其4月份销售额飙升33.5%,随后该零售商股价上涨。这一反弹帮助推高了标普500消费必需品指数。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/REGN\">Regeneron Pharmaceuticals</a> Inc(REGN.O)rose after the drugmaker reported a better-than-expected quarterly profit and said it expected demand for its COVID-19 antibody therapy to hold up.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/REGN\">再生元制药</a>Inc(REGN.O)上涨,此前该制药商公布了好于预期的季度利润,并表示预计对其COVID-19抗体疗法的需求将保持不变。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBER\">Uber</a> Technologies Inc(UBER.N)tumbled after it signaled it would pay drivers more to get cars back on the road as the pandemic recedes, and disclosed a $600 million charge to provide UK drivers with benefits.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBER\">优步</a>科技公司(UBER.N)表示,随着疫情的消退,将向司机支付更多费用,让汽车重新上路,并披露了6亿美元的费用,为英国司机提供福利,股价暴跌。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1123939866\" target=\"_blank\"><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQ\">Square</a> gets a bitcoin boost with revenue up 266%</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1123939866\" target=\"_blank\"><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQ\">平方</a>比特币增长,收入增长266%</a></blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1159007289\" target=\"_blank\">Beyond Meat swings to a loss as grocery sales growth slows</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1159007289\" target=\"_blank\">随着杂货销售增长放缓,Beyond Meat陷入亏损</a></blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1170281328\" target=\"_blank\">Roku Q1 Active Account Growth Slows, Revenue Booms 79%</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1170281328\" target=\"_blank\">Roku第一季度活跃账户增长放缓,收入猛增79%</a></blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1131126697\" target=\"_blank\">Peloton Crushes Forecasts But Cuts <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GUID\">Guidance</a> Amid Treadmill Recall</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1131126697\" target=\"_blank\">Peloton超出预期但削减<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GUID\">指导</a>跑步机召回</a></blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2133576548\" target=\"_blank\">AMC Chain Posts $567.2 Million Loss as Film Fans Trickle Back</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2133576548\" target=\"_blank\">随着影迷回流,AMC连锁店亏损5.672亿美元</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Dow closes at record high after upbeat jobless claims report<blockquote>乐观的初请失业金人数报告公布后,道琼斯指数收于历史新高</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nDow closes at record high after upbeat jobless claims report<blockquote>乐观的初请失业金人数报告公布后,道琼斯指数收于历史新高</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-07 06:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>The Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI)closed at a record high on Thursday, bolstered by an upbeat weekly jobless claims report, while shares of vaccine makers dipped after U.S. President Joe Biden backed plans to waive patents on COVID-19 shots.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数(。DJI)周四收于创纪录高位,受到乐观的每周初请失业金报告的支撑,而在美国总统乔·拜登支持放弃新冠肺炎疫苗专利的计划后,疫苗制造商的股价下跌。</blockquote></p><p>Lifted by <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">Apple</a> Inc(AAPL.O), the S&P 500 rose after a Labor Department report showed initial claims for state unemployment benefits totaled a seasonally adjusted 498,000 for the week ended May 1, compared with 590,000 in the prior week.</p><p><blockquote>提升者<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AAPL\">苹果</a>Inc(AAPL.O),劳工部报告显示,截至5月1日当周,经季节调整后首次申请州失业救济人数为498,000人,而前一周为590,000人,标普500上涨。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">Investors</a> were awaiting a more comprehensive non-farm payrolls report on Friday for clues on the strength of the labor market and potentially the U.S. Federal Reserve's stance on monetary policy.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ISBC\">投资者</a>我们正在等待周五更全面的非农就业报告,以寻找有关劳动力市场实力以及美联储可能的货币政策立场的线索。</blockquote></p><p>\"Investors are encouraged by the low-interest rates and the stimulus that the government is putting into the economy. We're also seeing substantial increases in economic projections and earnings forecasts,\" said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research.</p><p><blockquote>CFRA Research首席投资策略师Sam Stovall表示:“投资者受到低利率和政府对经济的刺激措施的鼓舞。我们还看到经济预测和盈利预测大幅上升。”</blockquote></p><p>Pharmaceutical companies dropped after the White House said Biden made the decision to back a proposed waiver for COVID-19 vaccine intellectual property rights.</p><p><blockquote>在白宫表示拜登决定支持新冠肺炎疫苗知识产权豁免提案后,制药公司股价下跌。</blockquote></p><p>Shares in <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">Pfizer</a> Inc(PFE.N), Moderna Inc(MRNA.O)and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a> Inc(NVAX.O), all involved in the making of COVID-19 vaccines, fell. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00179\">Johnson</a> & Johnson(JNJ.N)was near unchanged.</p><p><blockquote>于<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PFE\">辉瑞</a>Inc(PFE.N)、Moderna Inc(MRNA.O)和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a>Inc(NVAX.O),所有参与新冠肺炎疫苗生产的公司都下跌了。<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00179\">约翰逊</a>&约翰逊(JNJ.N)几乎没有变化。</blockquote></p><p>The S&P 500 healthcare sector index(.SPXHC)slipped, while the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">Nasdaq</a> biotechnology index <.NBI> also dropped.</p><p><blockquote>标普500医疗保健行业指数(.SPXHC)下跌,而<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NDAQ\">纳斯达克</a>生物技术指数<.NBI>也掉了。</blockquote></p><p>Moderna's shares cut some losses after it said countries around the globe would continue buying its COVID-19 vaccine for years even if patents on the shots are waived.</p><p><blockquote>Moderna表示,即使疫苗专利被放弃,全球各国仍将在数年内继续购买其COVID-19疫苗,该公司股价小幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p>The S&P 500 financials index(.SPSY)was among the top performers.</p><p><blockquote>标普500金融指数(.SPSY)是表现最好的股票之一。</blockquote></p><p>\"One sector we are seeing a lot of opportunities in is the financial sector. We see it as <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> that should benefit from higher interest rates and a stronger economic recovery,\" said Ann Guntli, portfolio manager at Chicago-based RMB Capital.</p><p><blockquote>“我们看到很多机会的一个行业是金融业。我们认为它是<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">一</a>这应该会受益于更高的利率和更强劲的经济复苏,”总部位于芝加哥的人民币资本投资组合经理安·冈特利(Ann Guntli)表示。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a> Corp(MSFT.O), Apple(AAPL.O)and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com</a> Incwere up under 1% for most of the session.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">微软</a>公司(MSFT.O)、苹果(AAPL.O)和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">亚马逊</a>该股大部分时间涨幅均低于1%。</blockquote></p><p>Unofficially, the Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI)rose 0.92% to end at 34,545.11 points, while the S&P 500(.SPX)gained 0.82% to 4,201.58.</p><p><blockquote>非官方数据显示,道琼斯工业平均指数(.DJI)上涨0.92%,收于34,545.11点,标普500(.SPX)上涨0.82%,收于4,201.58点。</blockquote></p><p>The Nasdaq Composite(.IXIC)climbed 0.37% to 13,632.84.</p><p><blockquote>纳斯达克综合指数(.IXIC)上涨0.37%,至13,632.84点。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COST\">Costco</a> Wholesale(COST.O)jumped after the retailer said late on Wednesday that its April sales surged 33.5%. That rally helped push the S&P 500 consumers staple index higher.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/COST\">Costco</a>批发(COST.O)周三晚间表示,其4月份销售额飙升33.5%,随后该零售商股价上涨。这一反弹帮助推高了标普500消费必需品指数。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/REGN\">Regeneron Pharmaceuticals</a> Inc(REGN.O)rose after the drugmaker reported a better-than-expected quarterly profit and said it expected demand for its COVID-19 antibody therapy to hold up.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/REGN\">再生元制药</a>Inc(REGN.O)上涨,此前该制药商公布了好于预期的季度利润,并表示预计对其COVID-19抗体疗法的需求将保持不变。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBER\">Uber</a> Technologies Inc(UBER.N)tumbled after it signaled it would pay drivers more to get cars back on the road as the pandemic recedes, and disclosed a $600 million charge to provide UK drivers with benefits.</p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBER\">优步</a>科技公司(UBER.N)表示,随着疫情的消退,将向司机支付更多费用,让汽车重新上路,并披露了6亿美元的费用,为英国司机提供福利,股价暴跌。</blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1123939866\" target=\"_blank\"><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQ\">Square</a> gets a bitcoin boost with revenue up 266%</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1123939866\" target=\"_blank\"><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SQ\">平方</a>比特币增长,收入增长266%</a></blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1159007289\" target=\"_blank\">Beyond Meat swings to a loss as grocery sales growth slows</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1159007289\" target=\"_blank\">随着杂货销售增长放缓,Beyond Meat陷入亏损</a></blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1170281328\" target=\"_blank\">Roku Q1 Active Account Growth Slows, Revenue Booms 79%</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1170281328\" target=\"_blank\">Roku第一季度活跃账户增长放缓,收入猛增79%</a></blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1131126697\" target=\"_blank\">Peloton Crushes Forecasts But Cuts <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GUID\">Guidance</a> Amid Treadmill Recall</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/1131126697\" target=\"_blank\">Peloton超出预期但削减<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/GUID\">指导</a>跑步机召回</a></blockquote></p><p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2133576548\" target=\"_blank\">AMC Chain Posts $567.2 Million Loss as Film Fans Trickle Back</a></p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/NW/2133576548\" target=\"_blank\">随着影迷回流,AMC连锁店亏损5.672亿美元</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/business/dow-closes-record-high-after-upbeat-jobless-claims-report-2021-05-06/\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","UBER":"优步",".DJI":"道琼斯",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","ROKU":"Roku Inc","NVAX":"诺瓦瓦克斯医药","MRNA":"Moderna, Inc.","PFE":"辉瑞","MSFT":"微软","JNJ":"强生","PTON":"Peloton Interactive, Inc.","COST":"好市多","REGN":"再生元制药公司","BYND":"Beyond Meat, Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/business/dow-closes-record-high-after-upbeat-jobless-claims-report-2021-05-06/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1186778449","content_text":"The Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI)closed at a record high on Thursday, bolstered by an upbeat weekly jobless claims report, while shares of vaccine makers dipped after U.S. President Joe Biden backed plans to waive patents on COVID-19 shots.Lifted by Apple Inc(AAPL.O), the S&P 500 rose after a Labor Department report showed initial claims for state unemployment benefits totaled a seasonally adjusted 498,000 for the week ended May 1, compared with 590,000 in the prior week.Investors were awaiting a more comprehensive non-farm payrolls report on Friday for clues on the strength of the labor market and potentially the U.S. Federal Reserve's stance on monetary policy.\"Investors are encouraged by the low-interest rates and the stimulus that the government is putting into the economy. We're also seeing substantial increases in economic projections and earnings forecasts,\" said Sam Stovall, chief investment strategist at CFRA Research.Pharmaceutical companies dropped after the White House said Biden made the decision to back a proposed waiver for COVID-19 vaccine intellectual property rights.Shares in Pfizer Inc(PFE.N), Moderna Inc(MRNA.O)and Novavax Inc(NVAX.O), all involved in the making of COVID-19 vaccines, fell. Johnson & Johnson(JNJ.N)was near unchanged.The S&P 500 healthcare sector index(.SPXHC)slipped, while the Nasdaq biotechnology index <.NBI> also dropped.Moderna's shares cut some losses after it said countries around the globe would continue buying its COVID-19 vaccine for years even if patents on the shots are waived.The S&P 500 financials index(.SPSY)was among the top performers.\"One sector we are seeing a lot of opportunities in is the financial sector. We see it as one that should benefit from higher interest rates and a stronger economic recovery,\" said Ann Guntli, portfolio manager at Chicago-based RMB Capital.Microsoft Corp(MSFT.O), Apple(AAPL.O)and Amazon.com Incwere up under 1% for most of the session.Unofficially, the Dow Jones Industrial Average(.DJI)rose 0.92% to end at 34,545.11 points, while the S&P 500(.SPX)gained 0.82% to 4,201.58.The Nasdaq Composite(.IXIC)climbed 0.37% to 13,632.84.Costco Wholesale(COST.O)jumped after the retailer said late on Wednesday that its April sales surged 33.5%. That rally helped push the S&P 500 consumers staple index higher.Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc(REGN.O)rose after the drugmaker reported a better-than-expected quarterly profit and said it expected demand for its COVID-19 antibody therapy to hold up.Uber Technologies Inc(UBER.N)tumbled after it signaled it would pay drivers more to get cars back on the road as the pandemic recedes, and disclosed a $600 million charge to provide UK drivers with benefits.Square gets a bitcoin boost with revenue up 266%Beyond Meat swings to a loss as grocery sales growth slowsRoku Q1 Active Account Growth Slows, Revenue Booms 79%Peloton Crushes Forecasts But Cuts Guidance Amid Treadmill RecallAMC Chain Posts $567.2 Million Loss as Film Fans Trickle 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