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2021-06-24

what the heck

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2021-06-24

BuzzFeed sux

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2021-06-24

no way

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2021-06-24

fk I should've bought sea

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2021-06-24

no not starbucks

The ‘shelter in suburbia’ trade is about to reverse — and these stocks will suffer<blockquote>“郊区避难所”交易即将逆转——这些股票将受到影响</blockquote>

2021-06-23

omg j love snp

S&P 500 rises for a third day as comeback rally continues<blockquote>标普500连续第三天上涨，反弹仍在继续</blockquote>

2021-06-23

hahahaha

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2021-06-22

what

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2021-06-22

what

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2021-06-22

what

Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>

2021-06-21

hmm 🤔

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2021-06-21

what

Nomura Warns Of Market "Reversal Risk" As FedSpeak Walks Back 'Bullard Bomb'<blockquote>野村证券警告市场“逆转风险”，美联储讲话收回“布拉德炸弹”</blockquote>

2021-06-21

what

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2021-06-21

jjo

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2021-06-21

oh no

EV stocks fell in morning trading<blockquote>电动汽车股早盘下跌</blockquote>

2021-06-21

kk

Nomura Warns Of Market "Reversal Risk" As FedSpeak Walks Back 'Bullard Bomb'<blockquote>野村证券警告市场“逆转风险”，美联储讲话收回“布拉德炸弹”</blockquote>

2021-06-21

nice

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2021-06-20

really

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2021-06-20

good

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2021-06-20

wow

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sea","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/126103712","repostId":"1120836318","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2029,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":126109430,"gmtCreate":1624546352220,"gmtModify":1634004550494,"author":{"id":"3574559888038133","authorId":"3574559888038133","name":"yrpang","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574559888038133","authorIdStr":"3574559888038133"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"no not starbucks","listText":"no not starbucks","text":"no not starbucks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/126109430","repostId":"1187819280","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1187819280","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624529642,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1187819280?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-24 18:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The ‘shelter in suburbia’ trade is about to reverse — and these stocks will suffer<blockquote>“郊区避难所”交易即将逆转——这些股票将受到影响</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1187819280","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"5 reasons the pandemic megatrend is over.\n\nOne of the biggest investment stories of the COVID-19 pan","content":"<p>  <b>5 reasons the pandemic megatrend is over.</b>  One of the biggest investment stories of the COVID-19 pandemic has been the boom in consumer discretionary stocks with a “shelter in suburbia” theme. From e-commerce platforms to home improvement stores to furniture and housewares merchants, many of the top performers have fit this flavor.</p><p><blockquote><b>大流行大趋势结束的5个原因。</b>COVID-19大流行最大的投资故事之一是以“郊区避难所”为主题的非必需消费品股票的繁荣。从电商平台到家装店，再到家具和家居用品商家，许多表现最好的企业都符合这种口味。</blockquote></p><p> Take the broad-based Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index Fund ETF VCR, +0.66% that surged more than 90% from March 2020 to March 2021. That was thanks to components like home improvement stocks Lowe’s LOW, -0.30% and Home Depot HD, -0.33% alongside retailers like TJX TJX, -0.08%.</p><p><blockquote>以基础广泛的Vanguard非必需消费品指数基金ETF VCR为例，+0.66%，从2020年3月到2021年3月飙升了90%以上。这要归功于家装股Lowe's LOW(-0.30%)和Home Depot HD(-0.33%)以及TJX TJX(-0.08%)等零售商。</blockquote></p><p> Lately, however, performance has started to lag for many of these names. In fact, since April 1 we’ve seen these three stocks all drift slightly into the red even as the S&amp;P 500 SPX, -0.11% has tacked on about 6% in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>然而，最近，其中许多名称的性能开始滞后。事实上，自4月1日以来，我们看到这三只股票都小幅下跌，尽管标普500 SPX指数-0.11%同期上涨了约6%。</blockquote></p><p> And some fear that may only be the beginning. As one Wall Street insider said recently in a Bloomberg interview, a “huge unwind” is coming for stay-at-home stocks, including hardware stores and home-goods merchants.</p><p><blockquote>有些人担心这可能只是开始。正如一位华尔街内部人士最近在接受彭博社采访时所说，包括五金店和家居用品商家在内的居家股票即将“大幅放松”。</blockquote></p><p> While some big-name “suburbia” trades are still relatively stable, signs of trouble are already emerging at the fringes. Century Communities CCS, -0.34% and Dream Finders Homes DFH, -2.55%, two mid-tier single family homebuilders, have seen shares crash by double digits over the last month. On the furnishings side, appliance giant Whirlpool Corporation WHR, -0.51% and department store Nordstrom JWN, +2.03% are down sharply from their spring highs.</p><p><blockquote>虽然一些知名的“郊区”交易仍然相对稳定，但麻烦的迹象已经在边缘出现。Century Communities CCS(-0.34%)和Dream Finders Homes DFH(-2.55%)这两家中型单户住宅建筑商的股价在上个月暴跌了两位数。家具方面，家电巨头惠而浦公司WHR(-0.51%)和百货公司Nordstrom JWN(+2.03%)均较春季高点大幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Here are five big reasons why:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>以下是五大原因：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1.</b>&nbsp;<b>The upgrade cycle is over</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.</b> <b>升级周期结束</b></blockquote></p><p> Last summer, white-collar workers who were stuck at home made note of overdue projects and took advantage of being able to easily meet with contractors. But in many ways, this growth is not sustainable.</p><p><blockquote>去年夏天，被困在家里的白领们记下了逾期的项目，并利用了能够轻松与承包商见面的机会。但在许多方面，这种增长是不可持续的。</blockquote></p><p> Consider the kind of purchases homeowners were making according to data from the NPD Group. Faucets, kitchen cabinets and even toilets were among the most popular products sold in 2020. Needless to say, even the most profligate homeowners aren’t going to follow this upgrade cycle of remodeling kitchens and bathrooms on an annual basis.</p><p><blockquote>根据NPD集团的数据，考虑一下房主的购买类型。水龙头、厨柜甚至马桶都是2020年销售的最受欢迎的产品。不用说，即使是最挥霍的房主也不会遵循每年改造厨房和浴室的升级周期。</blockquote></p><p> The same is true for furniture and other home goods. Internet giant Comscore recorded the highest visitation to related websites in history in May 2020 with 133 million web surfers shopping for some kind of home goods. Once again, a new couch or lamp is not an annual purchase — so this trend seems unsustainable for much longer.</p><p><blockquote>家具和其他家居用品也是如此。互联网巨头Comscore在2020年5月记录了历史上相关网站的最高访问量，1.33亿网络冲浪者购买了某种家居用品。再说一次，新沙发或台灯不是每年都会购买的——所以这种趋势似乎无法持续很长时间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2.&nbsp;Valuations are stretched</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.估值捉襟见肘</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of post-pandemic peaks for home-goods purveyors, we’ve seen the financials bear out these big increases via boosted profits and sales. However, we’ve also seen the stock of many related merchants surge even more — stretching their valuations from historical norms.</p><p><blockquote>谈到家居用品供应商的大流行后高峰，我们已经看到财务状况通过利润和销售额的增加证实了这些大幅增长。然而，我们也看到许多相关商家的股价飙升得更多——超出了历史标准的估值。</blockquote></p><p> Take TJX. Currently this discount retailer has a forward price-to-earnings ratio of more than 26, compared with a forward P/E of just 21 in spring 2020. Its trailing price-to-sales ratio is now 2.1 compared with 1.4.</p><p><blockquote>以TJX为例。目前，这家折扣零售商的远期市盈率超过26，而2020年春季的远期市盈率仅为21。其往绩市销率目前为2.1，而此前为1.4。</blockquote></p><p> What’s more, valuations for previous darlings like TJX are out of line with peers, too. Consider the forward P/E of the overall S&amp;P 500 index is 22 right now, and other similar names like Macy’s M, +0.70% and Big Lots BIG, -3.71% actually have forward P/E ratios well under 10. You can argue TJX is unique, of course… but you also may want to be aware of what “fair value” looks like for many other stocks outside fashionable stay-at-home trades right now.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，TJX等之前宠儿的估值也与同行不符。考虑到目前整个标普500指数的远期市盈率为22，而其他类似的公司，如梅西百货M，+0.70%和Big Lot Big，-3.71%，实际上其远期市盈率远低于10。当然，你可以说TJX是独一无二的……但你可能也想知道目前流行的居家交易之外的许多其他股票的“公允价值”是什么样的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3.&nbsp;Delays and shortages</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.延误和短缺</b></blockquote></p><p> Future growth from pandemic-fueled peaks in these stocks is not impossible, of course. But given supply chain disruptions it seems highly unlikely. There are a host of reasons for these delays, including overseas shipping delays as well as capacity and output crunches that are affecting many industries, but “stay at home” stocks seem particularly hard hit.</p><p><blockquote>当然，这些股票在大流行推动下达到峰值的未来增长并非不可能。但考虑到供应链中断，这似乎不太可能。造成这些延误的原因有很多，包括海外运输延误以及影响许多行业的产能和产量紧缩，但“呆在家里”的股票似乎受到的打击尤其严重。</blockquote></p><p> Home improvement products are simply nowhere to be found, with roughly 94% of builders reporting “at least some serious shortages of appliances” according to the National Association of Home Builders. Another 93% are running short on framing lumber and 87% say it is hard to obtain windows and doors.</p><p><blockquote>根据全国住宅建筑商协会的数据，家装产品根本无处可寻，大约94%的建筑商报告“至少有一些严重的电器短缺”。另有93%的人缺乏框架木材，87%的人表示很难获得门窗。</blockquote></p><p> Even if you can get past demand concerns, without the raw materials to get to work it’s very hard to see future growth in this category.</p><p><blockquote>即使你可以克服需求问题，如果没有原材料来发挥作用，也很难看到这一类别的未来增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4.&nbsp;Inflationary pressures</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.通货膨胀压力</b></blockquote></p><p> For the people who haven’t already ponied up the cash for a contractor or made their peace with extended delays for their expensive new furniture, there is a pretty big disincentive right now for new shoppers: inflation.</p><p><blockquote>对于那些还没有为承包商支付现金或忍受昂贵的新家具长时间延误的人来说，现在对新购物者来说有一个相当大的抑制因素：通货膨胀。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The cost of living as measured by the Consumer Price Index jumped 0.6% in May to run at a 5% annual rate. That was not only higher than expectations, but the fastest pace since the summer of 2008. The inflation risks were so pronounced that the Federal Reserve publicly stated it could move up the schedule for expected interest rate increases to keep the risks under wraps.</p><p><blockquote>5月份消费者价格指数衡量的生活成本上涨0.6%，年增长率为5%。这不仅高于预期，而且是自2008年夏季以来最快的速度。通胀风险如此明显，以至于美联储公开表示可能会提前预期加息的时间表，以掩盖风险。</blockquote></p><p> Inflation isn’t always a death knell, of course. But it has historically eroded purchasing power and could curtail some of the spending in “stay at home” stocks that we’ve seen in the last year or so.</p><p><blockquote>当然，通货膨胀并不总是丧钟。但从历史上看，它削弱了购买力，并可能减少我们在去年左右看到的“呆在家里”股票的一些支出。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5.&nbsp;Home-equity hubris</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.房屋净值傲慢</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of red-hot inflation: In May, the median price for U.S. homes topped $350,000 for the first time ever — up 23.6% from 2020. What’s more, a Realtor.com survey showed roughly a third of selling homeowners expect to get more than their asking price, and roughly the same amount expect an offer within a week of listing.</p><p><blockquote>说到炙手可热的通货膨胀：5月份，美国房屋中值价格首次突破35万美元，比2020年上涨23.6%。此外，Realtor.com的一项调查显示，大约三分之一的待售房主希望得到高于要价的价格，大约相同数量的房主希望在上市一周内收到报价。</blockquote></p><p> Some of this is justifiable. Many articles have been written in recent years about the dearth of supply in attractive markets, and it’s important to acknowledge the remote work of the pandemic has indeed created some disruptive introspection into why people live where they do.</p><p><blockquote>其中一些是合理的。近年来，有许多文章都是关于有吸引力的市场供应短缺的，重要的是要承认疫情的远程工作确实对人们为什么住在他们居住的地方产生了一些破坏性的反思。</blockquote></p><p> But here’s where things get dicey: homeowners who have already spent the expected premium on their home’s price well in advance. According to Freddie Mac, about $152.7 billion in equity loans were taken out on U.S. houses last year, a massive increase of 41.7% from 2019 and the highest refinancing cash-out dollar amount since 2007.</p><p><blockquote>但事情变得危险的地方是：房主已经提前在房价上花费了预期的溢价。根据房地美的数据，去年美国房屋的股权贷款约为1527亿美元，比2019年大幅增长41.7%，是自2007年以来最高的再融资套现金额。</blockquote></p><p> Anyone remember what happened to the real-estate market in 2007? Or the similar sense of seller entitlement from those days? There’s no clear signs of a bubble bursting just yet, but there’s real risk American homeowners may be overly optimistic about what their homes are worth — and a chance this home equity loan free-for-all simply isn’t sustainable for much longer.</p><p><blockquote>有人记得2007年房地产市场发生了什么吗？还是当年类似的卖家权利感？目前还没有明显的泡沫破裂迹象，但美国房主可能对自己房屋的价值过于乐观，而且这种免费的房屋净值贷款可能不会持续太久。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The ‘shelter in suburbia’ trade is about to reverse — and these stocks will suffer<blockquote>“郊区避难所”交易即将逆转——这些股票将受到影响</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe ‘shelter in suburbia’ trade is about to reverse — and these stocks will suffer<blockquote>“郊区避难所”交易即将逆转——这些股票将受到影响</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-24 18:14</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>5 reasons the pandemic megatrend is over.</b>  One of the biggest investment stories of the COVID-19 pandemic has been the boom in consumer discretionary stocks with a “shelter in suburbia” theme. From e-commerce platforms to home improvement stores to furniture and housewares merchants, many of the top performers have fit this flavor.</p><p><blockquote><b>大流行大趋势结束的5个原因。</b>COVID-19大流行最大的投资故事之一是以“郊区避难所”为主题的非必需消费品股票的繁荣。从电商平台到家装店，再到家具和家居用品商家，许多表现最好的企业都符合这种口味。</blockquote></p><p> Take the broad-based Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index Fund ETF VCR, +0.66% that surged more than 90% from March 2020 to March 2021. That was thanks to components like home improvement stocks Lowe’s LOW, -0.30% and Home Depot HD, -0.33% alongside retailers like TJX TJX, -0.08%.</p><p><blockquote>以基础广泛的Vanguard非必需消费品指数基金ETF VCR为例，+0.66%，从2020年3月到2021年3月飙升了90%以上。这要归功于家装股Lowe's LOW(-0.30%)和Home Depot HD(-0.33%)以及TJX TJX(-0.08%)等零售商。</blockquote></p><p> Lately, however, performance has started to lag for many of these names. In fact, since April 1 we’ve seen these three stocks all drift slightly into the red even as the S&amp;P 500 SPX, -0.11% has tacked on about 6% in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>然而，最近，其中许多名称的性能开始滞后。事实上，自4月1日以来，我们看到这三只股票都小幅下跌，尽管标普500 SPX指数-0.11%同期上涨了约6%。</blockquote></p><p> And some fear that may only be the beginning. As one Wall Street insider said recently in a Bloomberg interview, a “huge unwind” is coming for stay-at-home stocks, including hardware stores and home-goods merchants.</p><p><blockquote>有些人担心这可能只是开始。正如一位华尔街内部人士最近在接受彭博社采访时所说，包括五金店和家居用品商家在内的居家股票即将“大幅放松”。</blockquote></p><p> While some big-name “suburbia” trades are still relatively stable, signs of trouble are already emerging at the fringes. Century Communities CCS, -0.34% and Dream Finders Homes DFH, -2.55%, two mid-tier single family homebuilders, have seen shares crash by double digits over the last month. On the furnishings side, appliance giant Whirlpool Corporation WHR, -0.51% and department store Nordstrom JWN, +2.03% are down sharply from their spring highs.</p><p><blockquote>虽然一些知名的“郊区”交易仍然相对稳定，但麻烦的迹象已经在边缘出现。Century Communities CCS(-0.34%)和Dream Finders Homes DFH(-2.55%)这两家中型单户住宅建筑商的股价在上个月暴跌了两位数。家具方面，家电巨头惠而浦公司WHR(-0.51%)和百货公司Nordstrom JWN(+2.03%)均较春季高点大幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Here are five big reasons why:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>以下是五大原因：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1.</b>&nbsp;<b>The upgrade cycle is over</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.</b> <b>升级周期结束</b></blockquote></p><p> Last summer, white-collar workers who were stuck at home made note of overdue projects and took advantage of being able to easily meet with contractors. But in many ways, this growth is not sustainable.</p><p><blockquote>去年夏天，被困在家里的白领们记下了逾期的项目，并利用了能够轻松与承包商见面的机会。但在许多方面，这种增长是不可持续的。</blockquote></p><p> Consider the kind of purchases homeowners were making according to data from the NPD Group. Faucets, kitchen cabinets and even toilets were among the most popular products sold in 2020. Needless to say, even the most profligate homeowners aren’t going to follow this upgrade cycle of remodeling kitchens and bathrooms on an annual basis.</p><p><blockquote>根据NPD集团的数据，考虑一下房主的购买类型。水龙头、厨柜甚至马桶都是2020年销售的最受欢迎的产品。不用说，即使是最挥霍的房主也不会遵循每年改造厨房和浴室的升级周期。</blockquote></p><p> The same is true for furniture and other home goods. Internet giant Comscore recorded the highest visitation to related websites in history in May 2020 with 133 million web surfers shopping for some kind of home goods. Once again, a new couch or lamp is not an annual purchase — so this trend seems unsustainable for much longer.</p><p><blockquote>家具和其他家居用品也是如此。互联网巨头Comscore在2020年5月记录了历史上相关网站的最高访问量，1.33亿网络冲浪者购买了某种家居用品。再说一次，新沙发或台灯不是每年都会购买的——所以这种趋势似乎无法持续很长时间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2.&nbsp;Valuations are stretched</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.估值捉襟见肘</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of post-pandemic peaks for home-goods purveyors, we’ve seen the financials bear out these big increases via boosted profits and sales. However, we’ve also seen the stock of many related merchants surge even more — stretching their valuations from historical norms.</p><p><blockquote>谈到家居用品供应商的大流行后高峰，我们已经看到财务状况通过利润和销售额的增加证实了这些大幅增长。然而，我们也看到许多相关商家的股价飙升得更多——超出了历史标准的估值。</blockquote></p><p> Take TJX. Currently this discount retailer has a forward price-to-earnings ratio of more than 26, compared with a forward P/E of just 21 in spring 2020. Its trailing price-to-sales ratio is now 2.1 compared with 1.4.</p><p><blockquote>以TJX为例。目前，这家折扣零售商的远期市盈率超过26，而2020年春季的远期市盈率仅为21。其往绩市销率目前为2.1，而此前为1.4。</blockquote></p><p> What’s more, valuations for previous darlings like TJX are out of line with peers, too. Consider the forward P/E of the overall S&amp;P 500 index is 22 right now, and other similar names like Macy’s M, +0.70% and Big Lots BIG, -3.71% actually have forward P/E ratios well under 10. You can argue TJX is unique, of course… but you also may want to be aware of what “fair value” looks like for many other stocks outside fashionable stay-at-home trades right now.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，TJX等之前宠儿的估值也与同行不符。考虑到目前整个标普500指数的远期市盈率为22，而其他类似的公司，如梅西百货M，+0.70%和Big Lot Big，-3.71%，实际上其远期市盈率远低于10。当然，你可以说TJX是独一无二的……但你可能也想知道目前流行的居家交易之外的许多其他股票的“公允价值”是什么样的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3.&nbsp;Delays and shortages</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.延误和短缺</b></blockquote></p><p> Future growth from pandemic-fueled peaks in these stocks is not impossible, of course. But given supply chain disruptions it seems highly unlikely. There are a host of reasons for these delays, including overseas shipping delays as well as capacity and output crunches that are affecting many industries, but “stay at home” stocks seem particularly hard hit.</p><p><blockquote>当然，这些股票在大流行推动下达到峰值的未来增长并非不可能。但考虑到供应链中断，这似乎不太可能。造成这些延误的原因有很多，包括海外运输延误以及影响许多行业的产能和产量紧缩，但“呆在家里”的股票似乎受到的打击尤其严重。</blockquote></p><p> Home improvement products are simply nowhere to be found, with roughly 94% of builders reporting “at least some serious shortages of appliances” according to the National Association of Home Builders. Another 93% are running short on framing lumber and 87% say it is hard to obtain windows and doors.</p><p><blockquote>根据全国住宅建筑商协会的数据，家装产品根本无处可寻，大约94%的建筑商报告“至少有一些严重的电器短缺”。另有93%的人缺乏框架木材，87%的人表示很难获得门窗。</blockquote></p><p> Even if you can get past demand concerns, without the raw materials to get to work it’s very hard to see future growth in this category.</p><p><blockquote>即使你可以克服需求问题，如果没有原材料来发挥作用，也很难看到这一类别的未来增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4.&nbsp;Inflationary pressures</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.通货膨胀压力</b></blockquote></p><p> For the people who haven’t already ponied up the cash for a contractor or made their peace with extended delays for their expensive new furniture, there is a pretty big disincentive right now for new shoppers: inflation.</p><p><blockquote>对于那些还没有为承包商支付现金或忍受昂贵的新家具长时间延误的人来说，现在对新购物者来说有一个相当大的抑制因素：通货膨胀。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The cost of living as measured by the Consumer Price Index jumped 0.6% in May to run at a 5% annual rate. That was not only higher than expectations, but the fastest pace since the summer of 2008. The inflation risks were so pronounced that the Federal Reserve publicly stated it could move up the schedule for expected interest rate increases to keep the risks under wraps.</p><p><blockquote>5月份消费者价格指数衡量的生活成本上涨0.6%，年增长率为5%。这不仅高于预期，而且是自2008年夏季以来最快的速度。通胀风险如此明显，以至于美联储公开表示可能会提前预期加息的时间表，以掩盖风险。</blockquote></p><p> Inflation isn’t always a death knell, of course. But it has historically eroded purchasing power and could curtail some of the spending in “stay at home” stocks that we’ve seen in the last year or so.</p><p><blockquote>当然，通货膨胀并不总是丧钟。但从历史上看，它削弱了购买力，并可能减少我们在去年左右看到的“呆在家里”股票的一些支出。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5.&nbsp;Home-equity hubris</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.房屋净值傲慢</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of red-hot inflation: In May, the median price for U.S. homes topped $350,000 for the first time ever — up 23.6% from 2020. What’s more, a Realtor.com survey showed roughly a third of selling homeowners expect to get more than their asking price, and roughly the same amount expect an offer within a week of listing.</p><p><blockquote>说到炙手可热的通货膨胀：5月份，美国房屋中值价格首次突破35万美元，比2020年上涨23.6%。此外，Realtor.com的一项调查显示，大约三分之一的待售房主希望得到高于要价的价格，大约相同数量的房主希望在上市一周内收到报价。</blockquote></p><p> Some of this is justifiable. Many articles have been written in recent years about the dearth of supply in attractive markets, and it’s important to acknowledge the remote work of the pandemic has indeed created some disruptive introspection into why people live where they do.</p><p><blockquote>其中一些是合理的。近年来，有许多文章都是关于有吸引力的市场供应短缺的，重要的是要承认疫情的远程工作确实对人们为什么住在他们居住的地方产生了一些破坏性的反思。</blockquote></p><p> But here’s where things get dicey: homeowners who have already spent the expected premium on their home’s price well in advance. According to Freddie Mac, about $152.7 billion in equity loans were taken out on U.S. houses last year, a massive increase of 41.7% from 2019 and the highest refinancing cash-out dollar amount since 2007.</p><p><blockquote>但事情变得危险的地方是：房主已经提前在房价上花费了预期的溢价。根据房地美的数据，去年美国房屋的股权贷款约为1527亿美元，比2019年大幅增长41.7%，是自2007年以来最高的再融资套现金额。</blockquote></p><p> Anyone remember what happened to the real-estate market in 2007? Or the similar sense of seller entitlement from those days? There’s no clear signs of a bubble bursting just yet, but there’s real risk American homeowners may be overly optimistic about what their homes are worth — and a chance this home equity loan free-for-all simply isn’t sustainable for much longer.</p><p><blockquote>有人记得2007年房地产市场发生了什么吗？还是当年类似的卖家权利感？目前还没有明显的泡沫破裂迹象，但美国房主可能对自己房屋的价值过于乐观，而且这种免费的房屋净值贷款可能不会持续太久。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-shelter-in-suburbia-trade-is-about-to-reverse-and-these-stocks-will-suffer-11624457411?siteid=yhoof2\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-shelter-in-suburbia-trade-is-about-to-reverse-and-these-stocks-will-suffer-11624457411?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1187819280","content_text":"5 reasons the pandemic megatrend is over.\n\nOne of the biggest investment stories of the COVID-19 pandemic has been the boom in consumer discretionary stocks with a “shelter in suburbia” theme. From e-commerce platforms to home improvement stores to furniture and housewares merchants, many of the top performers have fit this flavor.\nTake the broad-based Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index Fund ETF VCR, +0.66% that surged more than 90% from March 2020 to March 2021. That was thanks to components like home improvement stocks Lowe’s LOW, -0.30% and Home Depot HD, -0.33% alongside retailers like TJX TJX, -0.08%.\nLately, however, performance has started to lag for many of these names. In fact, since April 1 we’ve seen these three stocks all drift slightly into the red even as the S&P 500 SPX, -0.11% has tacked on about 6% in the same period.\nAnd some fear that may only be the beginning. As one Wall Street insider said recently in a Bloomberg interview, a “huge unwind” is coming for stay-at-home stocks, including hardware stores and home-goods merchants.\nWhile some big-name “suburbia” trades are still relatively stable, signs of trouble are already emerging at the fringes. Century Communities CCS, -0.34% and Dream Finders Homes DFH, -2.55%, two mid-tier single family homebuilders, have seen shares crash by double digits over the last month. On the furnishings side, appliance giant Whirlpool Corporation WHR, -0.51% and department store Nordstrom JWN, +2.03% are down sharply from their spring highs.\nHere are five big reasons why:\n1. The upgrade cycle is over\nLast summer, white-collar workers who were stuck at home made note of overdue projects and took advantage of being able to easily meet with contractors. But in many ways, this growth is not sustainable.\nConsider the kind of purchases homeowners were making according to data from the NPD Group. Faucets, kitchen cabinets and even toilets were among the most popular products sold in 2020. Needless to say, even the most profligate homeowners aren’t going to follow this upgrade cycle of remodeling kitchens and bathrooms on an annual basis.\nThe same is true for furniture and other home goods. Internet giant Comscore recorded the highest visitation to related websites in history in May 2020 with 133 million web surfers shopping for some kind of home goods. Once again, a new couch or lamp is not an annual purchase — so this trend seems unsustainable for much longer.\n2. Valuations are stretched\nSpeaking of post-pandemic peaks for home-goods purveyors, we’ve seen the financials bear out these big increases via boosted profits and sales. However, we’ve also seen the stock of many related merchants surge even more — stretching their valuations from historical norms.\nTake TJX. Currently this discount retailer has a forward price-to-earnings ratio of more than 26, compared with a forward P/E of just 21 in spring 2020. Its trailing price-to-sales ratio is now 2.1 compared with 1.4.\nWhat’s more, valuations for previous darlings like TJX are out of line with peers, too. Consider the forward P/E of the overall S&P 500 index is 22 right now, and other similar names like Macy’s M, +0.70% and Big Lots BIG, -3.71% actually have forward P/E ratios well under 10. You can argue TJX is unique, of course… but you also may want to be aware of what “fair value” looks like for many other stocks outside fashionable stay-at-home trades right now.\n3. Delays and shortages\nFuture growth from pandemic-fueled peaks in these stocks is not impossible, of course. But given supply chain disruptions it seems highly unlikely. There are a host of reasons for these delays, including overseas shipping delays as well as capacity and output crunches that are affecting many industries, but “stay at home” stocks seem particularly hard hit.\nHome improvement products are simply nowhere to be found, with roughly 94% of builders reporting “at least some serious shortages of appliances” according to the National Association of Home Builders. Another 93% are running short on framing lumber and 87% say it is hard to obtain windows and doors.\nEven if you can get past demand concerns, without the raw materials to get to work it’s very hard to see future growth in this category.\n4. Inflationary pressures\nFor the people who haven’t already ponied up the cash for a contractor or made their peace with extended delays for their expensive new furniture, there is a pretty big disincentive right now for new shoppers: inflation.\nThe cost of living as measured by the Consumer Price Index jumped 0.6% in May to run at a 5% annual rate. That was not only higher than expectations, but the fastest pace since the summer of 2008. The inflation risks were so pronounced that the Federal Reserve publicly stated it could move up the schedule for expected interest rate increases to keep the risks under wraps.\nInflation isn’t always a death knell, of course. But it has historically eroded purchasing power and could curtail some of the spending in “stay at home” stocks that we’ve seen in the last year or so.\n5. Home-equity hubris\nSpeaking of red-hot inflation: In May, the median price for U.S. homes topped $350,000 for the first time ever — up 23.6% from 2020. What’s more, a Realtor.com survey showed roughly a third of selling homeowners expect to get more than their asking price, and roughly the same amount expect an offer within a week of listing.\nSome of this is justifiable. Many articles have been written in recent years about the dearth of supply in attractive markets, and it’s important to acknowledge the remote work of the pandemic has indeed created some disruptive introspection into why people live where they do.\nBut here’s where things get dicey: homeowners who have already spent the expected premium on their home’s price well in advance. According to Freddie Mac, about $152.7 billion in equity loans were taken out on U.S. houses last year, a massive increase of 41.7% from 2019 and the highest refinancing cash-out dollar amount since 2007.\nAnyone remember what happened to the real-estate market in 2007? Or the similar sense of seller entitlement from those days? There’s no clear signs of a bubble bursting just yet, but there’s real risk American homeowners may be overly optimistic about what their homes are worth — and a chance this home equity loan free-for-all simply isn’t sustainable for much longer.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1227,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121193097,"gmtCreate":1624455993719,"gmtModify":1634005904714,"author":{"id":"3574559888038133","authorId":"3574559888038133","name":"yrpang","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574559888038133","authorIdStr":"3574559888038133"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"omg j love snp","listText":"omg j love snp","text":"omg j love snp","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/121193097","repostId":"1141331644","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1141331644","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1624455055,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1141331644?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-23 21:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 rises for a third day as comeback rally continues<blockquote>标普500连续第三天上涨，反弹仍在继续</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1141331644","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(June 23) U.S. stocks rose on Wednesday, a day after the Nasdaq Composite index hit an all-time high","content":"<p>(June 23)&nbsp;U.S. stocks rose on Wednesday, a day after the Nasdaq Composite index hit an all-time high and the S&amp;P 500 closed just shy of one.</p><p><blockquote>（6月23日）美国。周三股市上涨，一天前纳斯达克综合指数创下历史新高，标普500收盘略低于1点。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 40 points. The S&amp;P 500 gained 0.2%, sitting 0.1% from a record. The Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.2% after closing at a record in the previous session. That was the Nasdaq’s first new high since April 29th as investors have started to rotate back into Big Tech shares.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨40点。标普500上涨0.2%，较历史新高上涨0.1%。纳斯达克综合指数在前一交易日收于创纪录水平后上涨0.2%。这是该纳斯达克自4月29日以来的首个新高，因为投资者已开始转向大型科技股。</blockquote></p><p> Energy names including Exxon Mobil and Chevron climbed as oil prices continued to rise. Brent crude topped $75 a barrel to hit a two-year high on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>随着油价持续上涨，埃克森美孚和雪佛龙等能源股股价上涨。布伦特原油周三突破每桶75美元，创两年新高。</blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin staged an impressive comeback on Tuesday that was carrying through on Wednesday.On Tuesday,the cryptocurrency at one point dipped below $30,000 and erased its gains for 2021. But bitcoin ultimately recouped all of the more than 11% loss and finished the session in positive territory, according to data from Coin Metrics.</p><p><blockquote>比特币在周二上演了令人印象深刻的复出，并一直持续到周三。周二，该加密货币一度跌破30,000美元，抹去了2021年的涨幅。但根据Coin Metrics的数据，比特币最终收复了超过11%的跌幅，并以正值收盘。</blockquote></p><p> At last check,bitcoinwas up another 4% to above $34,000 on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>据最新检查，比特币周三又上涨4%，至34,000美元以上。</blockquote></p><p> EV stocks rose in morning trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8984f8ae7b74f7b0dab8ee0db778efca\" tg-width=\"281\" tg-height=\"210\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Big&nbsp;tech&nbsp;stocks mixed in morning trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6ed5f54b77d44997d7bc777dfccf313\" tg-width=\"282\" tg-height=\"326\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell testified before the House of Representatives on Tuesday, which appeared to lift sentiment as he reiterated that inflation pressures will betemporary.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车股早盘上涨。大型科技股早盘涨跌互现。美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔周二在众议院作证，他重申通胀压力将是暂时的，这似乎提振了市场情绪。</blockquote></p><p> \"Powell outlined how the inflation overshoot is from categories directly affected by reopening,\" said Ed Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda. \"He noted there is extremely strong demand and that the supply has been caught flat-footed.\"</p><p><blockquote>Oanda高级市场分析师埃德·莫亚(Ed Moya)表示：“鲍威尔概述了通胀超调是如何来自受重新开放直接影响的类别。”“他指出，需求极其强劲，而供应却措手不及。”</blockquote></p><p> For June the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are in the green, rising 1% and 3.6%, respectively. The Dow, however, is in the red for the month amid weakness in Caterpillar and JPMorgan.</p><p><blockquote>6月份，标普500和纳斯达克综合指数呈绿色，分别上涨1%和3.6%。然而，由于卡特彼勒和摩根大通的疲软，道琼斯指数本月出现亏损。</blockquote></p><p> Looking ahead, UBS said it maintains a \"positive tactical view on stocks,\" but that gains will be unevenly distributed.</p><p><blockquote>展望未来，瑞银表示，它对股市保持“积极的战术观点”，但收益将分布不均。</blockquote></p><p> \"We see potential in regional markets that lagged in the second quarter, particularly China and Japan, as well as among those companies and sectors most exposed to economic reopening, including energy, financials, and US small- and mid-caps,\" the firm wrote in a recent note to clients. UBS said investors should take profits in some of the year-to-date winners that might have limited upside ahead, including real estate, consumer discretionary and industrial names.</p><p><blockquote>该公司表示：“我们看到了第二季度表现落后的区域市场的潜力，特别是中国和日本，以及那些受经济重新开放影响最大的公司和行业，包括能源、金融和美国中小型股。”在最近给客户的一份报告中写道。瑞银表示，投资者应该在一些今年迄今的涨幅可能有限的股票中获利了结，包括房地产、非必需消费品和工业股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 rises for a third day as comeback rally continues<blockquote>标普500连续第三天上涨，反弹仍在继续</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 rises for a third day as comeback rally continues<blockquote>标普500连续第三天上涨，反弹仍在继续</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-23 21:30</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(June 23)&nbsp;U.S. stocks rose on Wednesday, a day after the Nasdaq Composite index hit an all-time high and the S&amp;P 500 closed just shy of one.</p><p><blockquote>（6月23日）美国。周三股市上涨，一天前纳斯达克综合指数创下历史新高，标普500收盘略低于1点。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 40 points. The S&amp;P 500 gained 0.2%, sitting 0.1% from a record. The Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.2% after closing at a record in the previous session. That was the Nasdaq’s first new high since April 29th as investors have started to rotate back into Big Tech shares.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨40点。标普500上涨0.2%，较历史新高上涨0.1%。纳斯达克综合指数在前一交易日收于创纪录水平后上涨0.2%。这是该纳斯达克自4月29日以来的首个新高，因为投资者已开始转向大型科技股。</blockquote></p><p> Energy names including Exxon Mobil and Chevron climbed as oil prices continued to rise. Brent crude topped $75 a barrel to hit a two-year high on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>随着油价持续上涨，埃克森美孚和雪佛龙等能源股股价上涨。布伦特原油周三突破每桶75美元，创两年新高。</blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin staged an impressive comeback on Tuesday that was carrying through on Wednesday.On Tuesday,the cryptocurrency at one point dipped below $30,000 and erased its gains for 2021. But bitcoin ultimately recouped all of the more than 11% loss and finished the session in positive territory, according to data from Coin Metrics.</p><p><blockquote>比特币在周二上演了令人印象深刻的复出，并一直持续到周三。周二，该加密货币一度跌破30,000美元，抹去了2021年的涨幅。但根据Coin Metrics的数据，比特币最终收复了超过11%的跌幅，并以正值收盘。</blockquote></p><p> At last check,bitcoinwas up another 4% to above $34,000 on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>据最新检查，比特币周三又上涨4%，至34,000美元以上。</blockquote></p><p> EV stocks rose in morning trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8984f8ae7b74f7b0dab8ee0db778efca\" tg-width=\"281\" tg-height=\"210\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Big&nbsp;tech&nbsp;stocks mixed in morning trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6ed5f54b77d44997d7bc777dfccf313\" tg-width=\"282\" tg-height=\"326\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell testified before the House of Representatives on Tuesday, which appeared to lift sentiment as he reiterated that inflation pressures will betemporary.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车股早盘上涨。大型科技股早盘涨跌互现。美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔周二在众议院作证，他重申通胀压力将是暂时的，这似乎提振了市场情绪。</blockquote></p><p> \"Powell outlined how the inflation overshoot is from categories directly affected by reopening,\" said Ed Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda. \"He noted there is extremely strong demand and that the supply has been caught flat-footed.\"</p><p><blockquote>Oanda高级市场分析师埃德·莫亚(Ed Moya)表示：“鲍威尔概述了通胀超调是如何来自受重新开放直接影响的类别。”“他指出，需求极其强劲，而供应却措手不及。”</blockquote></p><p> For June the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are in the green, rising 1% and 3.6%, respectively. The Dow, however, is in the red for the month amid weakness in Caterpillar and JPMorgan.</p><p><blockquote>6月份，标普500和纳斯达克综合指数呈绿色，分别上涨1%和3.6%。然而，由于卡特彼勒和摩根大通的疲软，道琼斯指数本月出现亏损。</blockquote></p><p> Looking ahead, UBS said it maintains a \"positive tactical view on stocks,\" but that gains will be unevenly distributed.</p><p><blockquote>展望未来，瑞银表示，它对股市保持“积极的战术观点”，但收益将分布不均。</blockquote></p><p> \"We see potential in regional markets that lagged in the second quarter, particularly China and Japan, as well as among those companies and sectors most exposed to economic reopening, including energy, financials, and US small- and mid-caps,\" the firm wrote in a recent note to clients. UBS said investors should take profits in some of the year-to-date winners that might have limited upside ahead, including real estate, consumer discretionary and industrial names.</p><p><blockquote>该公司表示：“我们看到了第二季度表现落后的区域市场的潜力，特别是中国和日本，以及那些受经济重新开放影响最大的公司和行业，包括能源、金融和美国中小型股。”在最近给客户的一份报告中写道。瑞银表示，投资者应该在一些今年迄今的涨幅可能有限的股票中获利了结，包括房地产、非必需消费品和工业股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1141331644","content_text":"(June 23) U.S. stocks rose on Wednesday, a day after the Nasdaq Composite index hit an all-time high and the S&P 500 closed just shy of one.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 40 points. The S&P 500 gained 0.2%, sitting 0.1% from a record. The Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.2% after closing at a record in the previous session. That was the Nasdaq’s first new high since April 29th as investors have started to rotate back into Big Tech shares.\nEnergy names including Exxon Mobil and Chevron climbed as oil prices continued to rise. Brent crude topped $75 a barrel to hit a two-year high on Wednesday.\nBitcoin staged an impressive comeback on Tuesday that was carrying through on Wednesday.On Tuesday,the cryptocurrency at one point dipped below $30,000 and erased its gains for 2021. But bitcoin ultimately recouped all of the more than 11% loss and finished the session in positive territory, according to data from Coin Metrics.\nAt last check,bitcoinwas up another 4% to above $34,000 on Wednesday.\nEV stocks rose in morning trading.Big tech stocks mixed in morning trading.Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell testified before the House of Representatives on Tuesday, which appeared to lift sentiment as he reiterated that inflation pressures will betemporary.\n\"Powell outlined how the inflation overshoot is from categories directly affected by reopening,\" said Ed Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda. \"He noted there is extremely strong demand and that the supply has been caught flat-footed.\"\nFor June the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are in the green, rising 1% and 3.6%, respectively. The Dow, however, is in the red for the month amid weakness in Caterpillar and JPMorgan.\nLooking ahead, UBS said it maintains a \"positive tactical view on stocks,\" but that gains will be unevenly distributed.\n\"We see potential in regional markets that lagged in the second quarter, particularly China and Japan, as well as among those companies and sectors most exposed to economic reopening, including energy, financials, and US small- and mid-caps,\" the firm wrote in a recent note to clients. UBS said investors should take profits in some of the year-to-date winners that might have limited upside ahead, including real estate, consumer discretionary and industrial names.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1988,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121199105,"gmtCreate":1624455977707,"gmtModify":1634005905139,"author":{"id":"3574559888038133","authorId":"3574559888038133","name":"yrpang","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574559888038133","authorIdStr":"3574559888038133"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hahahaha","listText":"hahahaha","text":"hahahaha","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/121199105","repostId":"1145825451","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1722,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129897274,"gmtCreate":1624368481498,"gmtModify":1634007199597,"author":{"id":"3574559888038133","authorId":"3574559888038133","name":"yrpang","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574559888038133","authorIdStr":"3574559888038133"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"what","listText":"what","text":"what","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/129897274","repostId":"1177499959","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1557,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129894833,"gmtCreate":1624368461022,"gmtModify":1634007200146,"author":{"id":"3574559888038133","authorId":"3574559888038133","name":"yrpang","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574559888038133","authorIdStr":"3574559888038133"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"what","listText":"what","text":"what","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/129894833","repostId":"2145056554","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1885,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129895414,"gmtCreate":1624368448038,"gmtModify":1634007200634,"author":{"id":"3574559888038133","authorId":"3574559888038133","name":"yrpang","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574559888038133","authorIdStr":"3574559888038133"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"what","listText":"what","text":"what","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/129895414","repostId":"1110726798","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1110726798","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1624362092,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1110726798?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-22 19:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1110726798","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Stock futures rise to extend earlier gains.\nTorchlight Energy Price Gains Premarket.\nGameStop Jumps ","content":"<p><ul>  <li>Stock futures rise to extend earlier gains.</li>  <li>Torchlight Energy Price Gains Premarket.</li>  <li>GameStop Jumps After Raising More Than $1 Billion in New Shares.</li>  <li>GameStop, MicroVision, Sanderson Farms &amp; more made the biggest moves in the premarket.</li> </ul> (June 22)&nbsp;Stock futures rose Tuesday morning to build on gains from a day earlier, with equities recovering from concerns over the path forward for monetary policy last week.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>股票期货上涨，延续了早些时候的涨幅。</li><li>Torchlight Energy价格盘前上涨。</li><li>游戏驿站在新股融资超过10亿美元后股价上涨。</li><li>游戏驿站、MicroVision、Sanderson Farms等在盘前做出了最大的动作。</li></ul>（6月22日）股指期货周二上午上涨，延续前一天的涨幅，股市从上周对货币政策前进方向的担忧中恢复过来。</blockquote></p><p> At 7:47&nbsp;a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 23 points, or 0.07%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 5.75 points, or 0.14%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 39.25 points, or 0.28%.</p><p><blockquote>早上7点47分。美国东部时间，道指e-minis上涨23点，涨幅0.07%，标普500 e-minis上涨5.75点，涨幅0.14%，纳斯达克100 e-minis上涨39.25点，涨幅0.28%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/127a76b6bde89676371162b1b268b550\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"500\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: GameStop, MicroVision, Sanderson Farms &amp; more</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：游戏驿站、MicroVision、桑德森农场等</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1)&nbsp;GameStop(GME)</b> – The videogame retailer's stock jumped 6.8% in the premarket after it had announced it had completed a previously announced sale of 5 million common shares, raising $1.126 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>1）游戏驿站（GME）</b>–这家视频游戏零售商宣布已完成之前宣布的500万股普通股出售，筹集11.26亿美元，该公司股价在盘前上涨6.8%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2)&nbsp;MicroVision(MVIS)</b> – MicroVision shares slid 10.8% in the premarket after the laser technology company said it would sell up to $140 million of stock \"from time to time\" and use the funds for general corporate purposes.</p><p><blockquote><b>2）微视（MVIS）</b>–MicroVision股价盘前下跌10.8%，此前这家激光技术公司表示将“不时”出售最多1.4亿美元的股票，并将资金用于一般公司用途。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3)&nbsp;Sanderson Farms(SAFM) </b>– Sanderson Farms is exploring a possible sale, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to The Wall Street Journal. The paper said the poultry producer has already drawn interest from suitors such as agricultural investment firm Continental Grain. The stock surged 10% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>3）桑德森农场（SAFM）</b>-据接受《华尔街日报》采访的知情人士透露，桑德森农场正在探索可能的出售。该报称，这家家禽生产商已经引起了农业投资公司Continental Grain等追求者的兴趣。该股在盘前上涨10%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4)&nbsp;Torchlight Energy Resources(TRCH)</b> – Torchlight shares gained another 4.9% in premarket trading after a 58% surge in Monday's trading. The oil and gas producer is among the stocks getting increased social media attention on sites like Reddit and Stocktwits.</p><p><blockquote><b>4)火炬之光能源(TRCH)</b>-Torchlight股价在周一交易中飙升58%后，在盘前交易中又上涨4.9%。这家石油和天然气生产商是Reddit和Stocktwits等网站上社交媒体关注度越来越高的股票之一。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5)&nbsp;Alphabet(GOOGL) </b>– The European Unionhas opened a formal antitrust probeof Google's digital ad practices. Part of the investigation will cover some of the same areas involved in a case filed by several U.S. states against the Alphabet operation last year.</p><p><blockquote><b>5）Alphabet（GOOGL）</b>-欧盟对谷歌的数字广告行为展开了正式的反垄断调查。部分调查将涵盖去年美国几个州针对Alphabet行动提起的案件所涉及的一些相同领域。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6)&nbsp;Korn Ferry(KFY)</b> – The consulting firm reported quarterly earnings of $1.21 per share, beating the consensus estimate of 98 cents a share. Revenue topped Wall Street forecasts as well, boosted by its services that help businesses with organizational issues.</p><p><blockquote><b>6）光辉国际（KFY）</b>–该咨询公司报告季度收益为每股1.21美元，超出普遍预期的每股98美分。得益于帮助企业解决组织问题的服务，收入也超出了华尔街的预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>7)&nbsp;Plug Power(PLUG)</b> – The alternative energy provider lost 12 cents per share for its latest quarter, wider than the 8 cents a share loss analysts were expecting. Revenue also came in below estimates. The company said it was hurt by short-term issues – such as hydrogen shortages and the Texas freeze – which are abating in the current quarter. Plug Power shares gained 1.4% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>7）普拉格能源（插头）</b>–这家替代能源提供商最近一个季度每股亏损12美分，高于分析师预期的每股8美分。收入也低于预期。该公司表示，它受到了短期问题的损害，例如氢气短缺和德克萨斯州冰冻，这些问题在本季度正在缓解。普拉格能源股价在盘前交易中上涨1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>8)&nbsp;Boeing(BA)</b> – Boeing announced the departure of lobbyist and political strategist Tim Keating. No reason was given for Keating’s departure, though the company said a search is underway for a permanent replacement. Keating was a key figure helping Boeing navigate the crisis that followed two fatal crashes of the company’s 737 Max jet.</p><p><blockquote><b>8）波音（BA）</b>——波音宣布说客、政治战略家蒂姆·基廷离职。基廷没有给出离职的原因，但该公司表示正在寻找永久替代者。基廷是帮助波音公司度过该公司737 Max喷气式飞机发生两起致命坠机事件后危机的关键人物。</blockquote></p><p> <b>9)&nbsp;Delta Air Lines(DAL) </b>– Delta plans to hire 1,000 more pilots by next summer, according to an internal company memo. The move comes amid a rebound in travel, with Delta saying the leisure travel is already back to pre-pandemic levels and business travel is picking up as well.</p><p><blockquote><b>9)达美航空(DAL)</b>-根据公司内部备忘录，达美航空计划在明年夏天之前再雇佣1,000名飞行员。此举正值旅游业反弹之际，达美航空表示，休闲旅行已经恢复到大流行前的水平，商务旅行也在回升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10)&nbsp;Lordstown Motors(RIDE)</b> – Lordstown remains on watch today following a 5.5% Monday drop. The electric vehicle maker’s executive chairman Angela Strand said the company is “evaluating strategic partners” as part of its search for new funding.</p><p><blockquote><b>10)洛兹敦汽车公司(RIDE)</b>-继周一下跌5.5%后，洛兹敦今天仍受到关注。这家电动汽车制造商的执行主席安吉拉·斯特兰德表示，该公司正在“评估战略合作伙伴”，作为寻找新资金的一部分。</blockquote></p><p> <b>11)&nbsp;Exxon Mobil(XOM) </b>– Exxon Mobil is denying a Bloomberg report that it plans to cut 5% to 10% of its office workforce annually over the next three to five years. Exxon told CNBC it is merely going through its annual employee assessments, which are unrelated to workforce reductions.</p><p><blockquote><b>11)埃克森美孚(XOM)</b>-埃克森美孚否认了彭博社的一份报告，该报告称该公司计划在未来三到五年内每年裁员5%到10%。埃克森美孚告诉CNBC，它只是在进行年度员工评估，这与裁员无关。</blockquote></p><p> <b>12)&nbsp;CrowdStrike(CRWD) </b>– CrowdStrike was upgraded to “buy” from “hold” at Stifel Financial, which points to the cybersecurity company’s potential to increase profit margins and its ability to acquire new customers. CrowdStrike gained 2.8% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>12)CrowdStrike(CRWD)</b>–Stifel Financial将CrowdStrike的评级从“持有”上调至“买入”，这表明这家网络安全公司具有提高利润率的潜力及其获取新客户的能力。CrowdStrike盘前上涨2.8%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-22 19:41</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul>  <li>Stock futures rise to extend earlier gains.</li>  <li>Torchlight Energy Price Gains Premarket.</li>  <li>GameStop Jumps After Raising More Than $1 Billion in New Shares.</li>  <li>GameStop, MicroVision, Sanderson Farms &amp; more made the biggest moves in the premarket.</li> </ul> (June 22)&nbsp;Stock futures rose Tuesday morning to build on gains from a day earlier, with equities recovering from concerns over the path forward for monetary policy last week.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>股票期货上涨，延续了早些时候的涨幅。</li><li>Torchlight Energy价格盘前上涨。</li><li>游戏驿站在新股融资超过10亿美元后股价上涨。</li><li>游戏驿站、MicroVision、Sanderson Farms等在盘前做出了最大的动作。</li></ul>（6月22日）股指期货周二上午上涨，延续前一天的涨幅，股市从上周对货币政策前进方向的担忧中恢复过来。</blockquote></p><p> At 7:47&nbsp;a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 23 points, or 0.07%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 5.75 points, or 0.14%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 39.25 points, or 0.28%.</p><p><blockquote>早上7点47分。美国东部时间，道指e-minis上涨23点，涨幅0.07%，标普500 e-minis上涨5.75点，涨幅0.14%，纳斯达克100 e-minis上涨39.25点，涨幅0.28%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/127a76b6bde89676371162b1b268b550\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"500\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: GameStop, MicroVision, Sanderson Farms &amp; more</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：游戏驿站、MicroVision、桑德森农场等</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1)&nbsp;GameStop(GME)</b> – The videogame retailer's stock jumped 6.8% in the premarket after it had announced it had completed a previously announced sale of 5 million common shares, raising $1.126 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>1）游戏驿站（GME）</b>–这家视频游戏零售商宣布已完成之前宣布的500万股普通股出售，筹集11.26亿美元，该公司股价在盘前上涨6.8%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2)&nbsp;MicroVision(MVIS)</b> – MicroVision shares slid 10.8% in the premarket after the laser technology company said it would sell up to $140 million of stock \"from time to time\" and use the funds for general corporate purposes.</p><p><blockquote><b>2）微视（MVIS）</b>–MicroVision股价盘前下跌10.8%，此前这家激光技术公司表示将“不时”出售最多1.4亿美元的股票，并将资金用于一般公司用途。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3)&nbsp;Sanderson Farms(SAFM) </b>– Sanderson Farms is exploring a possible sale, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to The Wall Street Journal. The paper said the poultry producer has already drawn interest from suitors such as agricultural investment firm Continental Grain. The stock surged 10% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>3）桑德森农场（SAFM）</b>-据接受《华尔街日报》采访的知情人士透露，桑德森农场正在探索可能的出售。该报称，这家家禽生产商已经引起了农业投资公司Continental Grain等追求者的兴趣。该股在盘前上涨10%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4)&nbsp;Torchlight Energy Resources(TRCH)</b> – Torchlight shares gained another 4.9% in premarket trading after a 58% surge in Monday's trading. The oil and gas producer is among the stocks getting increased social media attention on sites like Reddit and Stocktwits.</p><p><blockquote><b>4)火炬之光能源(TRCH)</b>-Torchlight股价在周一交易中飙升58%后，在盘前交易中又上涨4.9%。这家石油和天然气生产商是Reddit和Stocktwits等网站上社交媒体关注度越来越高的股票之一。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5)&nbsp;Alphabet(GOOGL) </b>– The European Unionhas opened a formal antitrust probeof Google's digital ad practices. Part of the investigation will cover some of the same areas involved in a case filed by several U.S. states against the Alphabet operation last year.</p><p><blockquote><b>5）Alphabet（GOOGL）</b>-欧盟对谷歌的数字广告行为展开了正式的反垄断调查。部分调查将涵盖去年美国几个州针对Alphabet行动提起的案件所涉及的一些相同领域。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6)&nbsp;Korn Ferry(KFY)</b> – The consulting firm reported quarterly earnings of $1.21 per share, beating the consensus estimate of 98 cents a share. Revenue topped Wall Street forecasts as well, boosted by its services that help businesses with organizational issues.</p><p><blockquote><b>6）光辉国际（KFY）</b>–该咨询公司报告季度收益为每股1.21美元，超出普遍预期的每股98美分。得益于帮助企业解决组织问题的服务，收入也超出了华尔街的预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>7)&nbsp;Plug Power(PLUG)</b> – The alternative energy provider lost 12 cents per share for its latest quarter, wider than the 8 cents a share loss analysts were expecting. Revenue also came in below estimates. The company said it was hurt by short-term issues – such as hydrogen shortages and the Texas freeze – which are abating in the current quarter. Plug Power shares gained 1.4% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>7）普拉格能源（插头）</b>–这家替代能源提供商最近一个季度每股亏损12美分，高于分析师预期的每股8美分。收入也低于预期。该公司表示，它受到了短期问题的损害，例如氢气短缺和德克萨斯州冰冻，这些问题在本季度正在缓解。普拉格能源股价在盘前交易中上涨1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>8)&nbsp;Boeing(BA)</b> – Boeing announced the departure of lobbyist and political strategist Tim Keating. No reason was given for Keating’s departure, though the company said a search is underway for a permanent replacement. Keating was a key figure helping Boeing navigate the crisis that followed two fatal crashes of the company’s 737 Max jet.</p><p><blockquote><b>8）波音（BA）</b>——波音宣布说客、政治战略家蒂姆·基廷离职。基廷没有给出离职的原因，但该公司表示正在寻找永久替代者。基廷是帮助波音公司度过该公司737 Max喷气式飞机发生两起致命坠机事件后危机的关键人物。</blockquote></p><p> <b>9)&nbsp;Delta Air Lines(DAL) </b>– Delta plans to hire 1,000 more pilots by next summer, according to an internal company memo. The move comes amid a rebound in travel, with Delta saying the leisure travel is already back to pre-pandemic levels and business travel is picking up as well.</p><p><blockquote><b>9)达美航空(DAL)</b>-根据公司内部备忘录，达美航空计划在明年夏天之前再雇佣1,000名飞行员。此举正值旅游业反弹之际，达美航空表示，休闲旅行已经恢复到大流行前的水平，商务旅行也在回升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10)&nbsp;Lordstown Motors(RIDE)</b> – Lordstown remains on watch today following a 5.5% Monday drop. The electric vehicle maker’s executive chairman Angela Strand said the company is “evaluating strategic partners” as part of its search for new funding.</p><p><blockquote><b>10)洛兹敦汽车公司(RIDE)</b>-继周一下跌5.5%后，洛兹敦今天仍受到关注。这家电动汽车制造商的执行主席安吉拉·斯特兰德表示，该公司正在“评估战略合作伙伴”，作为寻找新资金的一部分。</blockquote></p><p> <b>11)&nbsp;Exxon Mobil(XOM) </b>– Exxon Mobil is denying a Bloomberg report that it plans to cut 5% to 10% of its office workforce annually over the next three to five years. Exxon told CNBC it is merely going through its annual employee assessments, which are unrelated to workforce reductions.</p><p><blockquote><b>11)埃克森美孚(XOM)</b>-埃克森美孚否认了彭博社的一份报告，该报告称该公司计划在未来三到五年内每年裁员5%到10%。埃克森美孚告诉CNBC，它只是在进行年度员工评估，这与裁员无关。</blockquote></p><p> <b>12)&nbsp;CrowdStrike(CRWD) </b>– CrowdStrike was upgraded to “buy” from “hold” at Stifel Financial, which points to the cybersecurity company’s potential to increase profit margins and its ability to acquire new customers. CrowdStrike gained 2.8% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>12)CrowdStrike(CRWD)</b>–Stifel Financial将CrowdStrike的评级从“持有”上调至“买入”，这表明这家网络安全公司具有提高利润率的潜力及其获取新客户的能力。CrowdStrike盘前上涨2.8%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1110726798","content_text":"Stock futures rise to extend earlier gains.\nTorchlight Energy Price Gains Premarket.\nGameStop Jumps After Raising More Than $1 Billion in New Shares.\nGameStop, MicroVision, Sanderson Farms & more made the biggest moves in the premarket.\n\n(June 22) Stock futures rose Tuesday morning to build on gains from a day earlier, with equities recovering from concerns over the path forward for monetary policy last week.\nAt 7:47 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 23 points, or 0.07%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 5.75 points, or 0.14%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 39.25 points, or 0.28%.\n\nStocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: GameStop, MicroVision, Sanderson Farms & more\n1) GameStop(GME) – The videogame retailer's stock jumped 6.8% in the premarket after it had announced it had completed a previously announced sale of 5 million common shares, raising $1.126 billion.\n2) MicroVision(MVIS) – MicroVision shares slid 10.8% in the premarket after the laser technology company said it would sell up to $140 million of stock \"from time to time\" and use the funds for general corporate purposes.\n3) Sanderson Farms(SAFM) – Sanderson Farms is exploring a possible sale, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to The Wall Street Journal. The paper said the poultry producer has already drawn interest from suitors such as agricultural investment firm Continental Grain. The stock surged 10% in premarket action.\n4) Torchlight Energy Resources(TRCH) – Torchlight shares gained another 4.9% in premarket trading after a 58% surge in Monday's trading. The oil and gas producer is among the stocks getting increased social media attention on sites like Reddit and Stocktwits.\n5) Alphabet(GOOGL) – The European Unionhas opened a formal antitrust probeof Google's digital ad practices. Part of the investigation will cover some of the same areas involved in a case filed by several U.S. states against the Alphabet operation last year.\n6) Korn Ferry(KFY) – The consulting firm reported quarterly earnings of $1.21 per share, beating the consensus estimate of 98 cents a share. Revenue topped Wall Street forecasts as well, boosted by its services that help businesses with organizational issues.\n7) Plug Power(PLUG) – The alternative energy provider lost 12 cents per share for its latest quarter, wider than the 8 cents a share loss analysts were expecting. Revenue also came in below estimates. The company said it was hurt by short-term issues – such as hydrogen shortages and the Texas freeze – which are abating in the current quarter. Plug Power shares gained 1.4% in premarket trading.\n8) Boeing(BA) – Boeing announced the departure of lobbyist and political strategist Tim Keating. No reason was given for Keating’s departure, though the company said a search is underway for a permanent replacement. Keating was a key figure helping Boeing navigate the crisis that followed two fatal crashes of the company’s 737 Max jet.\n9) Delta Air Lines(DAL) – Delta plans to hire 1,000 more pilots by next summer, according to an internal company memo. The move comes amid a rebound in travel, with Delta saying the leisure travel is already back to pre-pandemic levels and business travel is picking up as well.\n10) Lordstown Motors(RIDE) – Lordstown remains on watch today following a 5.5% Monday drop. The electric vehicle maker’s executive chairman Angela Strand said the company is “evaluating strategic partners” as part of its search for new funding.\n11) Exxon Mobil(XOM) – Exxon Mobil is denying a Bloomberg report that it plans to cut 5% to 10% of its office workforce annually over the next three to five years. Exxon told CNBC it is merely going through its annual employee assessments, which are unrelated to workforce reductions.\n12) CrowdStrike(CRWD) – CrowdStrike was upgraded to “buy” from “hold” at Stifel Financial, which points to the cybersecurity company’s potential to increase profit margins and its ability to acquire new customers. CrowdStrike gained 2.8% in the premarket.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1531,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":120082075,"gmtCreate":1624288314897,"gmtModify":1634008319830,"author":{"id":"3574559888038133","authorId":"3574559888038133","name":"yrpang","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574559888038133","authorIdStr":"3574559888038133"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hmm 🤔","listText":"hmm 🤔","text":"hmm 🤔","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/120082075","repostId":"2145008251","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":366,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":120088444,"gmtCreate":1624288277388,"gmtModify":1634008320983,"author":{"id":"3574559888038133","authorId":"3574559888038133","name":"yrpang","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574559888038133","authorIdStr":"3574559888038133"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"what","listText":"what","text":"what","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/120088444","repostId":"1133913488","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1133913488","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624283796,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1133913488?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-21 21:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nomura Warns Of Market \"Reversal Risk\" As FedSpeak Walks Back 'Bullard Bomb'<blockquote>野村证券警告市场“逆转风险”，美联储讲话收回“布拉德炸弹”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1133913488","media":"zerohedge","summary":"After last week’s market fireworks on the Fed's \"hawkish surprise\" and Jim Bullard's \"you think that's hawkish, hold my beer\" moment on Friday morning, which has many market participants screaming “policy error\", Nomura's Charlie McElligott warnstraders now need to be ready for some potential “reversal of the rhetoric” this week-especially as we are looking at an astounding sixteen (!) Fed speakers on the calendar ahead......which is notable in that bothTreasury Yields and Equities are already s","content":"<p>After last week’s market fireworks on the Fed's \"hawkish surprise\" and Jim Bullard's \"you think that's hawkish, hold my beer\" moment on Friday morning, which has many market participants screaming “policy error\", Nomura's Charlie McElligott warns<b>traders now need to be ready for some potential “reversal of the rhetoric” this week</b>-<i>especially as we are looking at an astounding sixteen (!) Fed speakers on the calendar ahead...</i></p><p><blockquote>继上周美联储的“鹰派惊喜”和吉姆·布拉德周五早上的“你认为这是鹰派，拿着我的啤酒”时刻引发市场烟花之后，许多市场参与者尖叫“政策错误”，野村证券的查理·麦克埃利戈特警告说<b>交易员现在需要为本周一些潜在的“言论逆转”做好准备</b>-<i>尤其是当我们看到一个令人震惊的十六（！）未来日历上的美联储发言人...</i></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b9c98ddf2dc1b15c2d57d8c2421a348\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"235\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>...which is notable in that both</i><i><b>Treasury Yields and Equities are already substantially higher versus Asian reopening lows</b></i><i>...</i></p><p><blockquote><i>值得注意的是</i><i><b>美国国债收益率和股市已经大幅高于亚洲重新开放的低点</b></i><i>...</i></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51d6b2b76cf82953faef9bf5fab63418\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"312\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Which McElligott warns,<b>risks creating a counter-trend reversal which could catch many flat-footed again as tactically, any semblance of walking-back from the Fed could then elicit an optic of “Reflation,”</b>&nbsp;particularly if USD were to weaken further from here, Real Yields were to again tilt more negative and UST curves then again “bear-steepen” after their eye-water liquidations / stop-out last week—which too would then likely trigger a concurrent bounceback of the prior “Cyclical Value over Secular Growth” trend in US Equities,&nbsp;<i>after said expressions were powerfully de-grossed last week</i>&nbsp;(Nasdaq +0.4% last wk vs Russell -4.1%)</p><p><blockquote>McElligott警告说，<b>造成逆势逆转的风险可能会让许多人再次措手不及，因为从战术上讲，美联储任何后退的迹象都可能引发“通货再膨胀”的观点。</b>特别是如果美元从这里进一步走弱，实际收益率将再次向负值倾斜，UST曲线在上周令人眼花缭乱的清算/止损后再次“熊市陡峭”——这也可能引发美国股市先前“周期性价值超过长期增长”趋势的同时反弹，<i>上周，上述表达方式的票房大幅下降</i>（纳斯达克上周+0.4%，罗素-4.1%）</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><i>Equities “Reflation” last week: Nomura 10 Yr Yield Sensitive Factor -4.6%; Cyclical Value Factor -3.5%; Growth Nowcast -3.1%; LT Momentum -3.1%; Wolfe AVID Value -2.7%; Defensive Value -2.4%</i></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><i>上周股市“通货再膨胀”：野村10年期收益率敏感因子-4.6%；周期价值因子-3.5%；增长预测-3.1%；LT动量-3.1%；沃尔夫狂热价值-2.7%；防御价值-2.4%</i></li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><i>Equities “Duration” last week: IG Credit Sensitive Factor +2.7%; HF Crowding +2.2%; Low Risk +2.0%; Size (Big-Small) +1.3%; Dividend +1.0%</i></p><p><blockquote><li><i>上周股市“久期”：IG信用敏感因子+2.7%；高频拥挤+2.2%；低风险+2.0%；尺寸（大-小）+1.3%；股息+1.0%</i></li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> <b>This is what the unspoken “third Fed mandate” of maintaining “easy financial conditions at all costs” hath wrought</b><i>-</i>an absurd cycle where Fed policy and the US economy actually works to a point where in “old” central banking, the Fed would accordingly pivot “hawkish” and begin tightening policy; but in the “Fed Put” world order, market forces now pull-ahead the negative economic slowdown implications of said “tightening” and have “taper tantrums” creating market volatility,&nbsp;<b>ultimately forcing the Fed to walk-back hawkish tone shifts if the market.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>这就是美联储“不惜一切代价维持宽松的金融环境”这一不言而喻的“第三项任务”所取得的成就</b><i>-</i>这是一个荒谬的循环，美联储政策和美国经济实际上发挥了作用，在“旧”央行中，美联储将相应地转向“鹰派”并开始收紧政策；但在“美联储看跌”的世界秩序中，市场力量现在将上述“紧缩”对经济放缓的负面影响提前，并产生“缩减恐慌”，造成市场波动，<b>最终迫使美联储让步——如果市场发生鹰派基调转变。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ca8c1b6e282ef937647386ccbcdc21b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"272\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">In this case,<b>the risk this week then becomes that some portion of the very active calendar of Fed speakers will now voice a “concern” that last week’s dot plot and SEP will work against their previously stated FAIT desire and impede future growth- and inflation- expectations,and could then message on just how “conditional” those forecasts are -</b><i>i.e. downplaying their forecasting ability, in an attempt to reverse some of the market’s pull-forward of “tighter financial conditions” due to perceived “hawkish pivot” from Fed which nullifies their own prior efforts to reset future inflation expectations!</i></p><p><blockquote>在这种情况下，<b>本周的风险是，美联储发言人非常活跃的日历中的一些人现在将表达“担忧”，即上周的点阵图和SEP将违背他们之前陈述的事实愿望，并阻碍未来的增长和通胀预期，然后可以传达这些预测的“条件”程度如何——</b><i>即淡化他们的预测能力，试图扭转市场因美联储“鹰派转向”而对“金融状况收紧”的部分拉动，这抵消了他们之前重置未来通胀预期的努力！</i></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72edd0892cdcb8696310f135ba5dec38\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"273\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">And as we have now seen countless times before, if the Fed then again “bends the knee” to market forces, the vol spike and forced deleveraging / hedging of risk-assets is then reversed with “rich vols” then sold into, which in standard lagging-fashion will mean that as trailing rVol then resets lower following the expected “Fed back-track,” a large covering of dynamic hedges (shorts) and / or mechancial re-leveraging of risk-asset exposure from “Target Volatility / Vol Control” universe will then see markets resume their rise, as vols are smashed<b><i>- “Crash-down, then crash-up” rinse / repeat.</i></b></p><p><blockquote>正如我们以前无数次看到的那样，如果美联储再次向市场力量“屈膝”，风险资产的波动率飙升和强制去杠杆/对冲就会被“丰富的波动率”逆转，然后被出售，这在标准的滞后方式中将意味着，随着预期的“美联储回溯”之后，随着波动率被粉碎，跟踪rVol然后重置较低，动态对冲（空头）的大量回补和/或风险资产敞口的机械再杠杆化将导致市场恢复上涨<b><i>-“向下碰撞，然后向上碰撞”冲洗/重复。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> To further contribute to these potential “sling-shot” (crash-down, then crash-up) optics,&nbsp;<b>we now inherently see much “cleaner” options positioning (current ES at 4167, which is the “Delta Neutral vs Spot” level) post last week’s abnormally outsized Op-Ex&nbsp;</b><b><i>(although worth-noting that we are now in “short Gamma vs spot” territory at 4167 last vs 4237 “Gamma neutral” line).</i></b></p><p><blockquote>为了进一步促进这些潜在的“弹弓”（向下碰撞，然后向上碰撞）光学器件，<b>在上周异常超大的Op-Ex之后，我们现在本质上看到了更“干净”的期权定位（当前ES为4167，这是“Delta中性vs现货”水平）</b><b><i>（尽管值得注意的是，我们现在处于“短伽马vs现货”区域，位于4167 last vs 4237“伽马中性”线）。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db8e096623b51035a7813c45b7dc2b02\" tg-width=\"996\" tg-height=\"618\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>And in the case that the incremental “hawkish Fed surprise” vol spike is sold into Dealers by the VRP crowd&nbsp;</b><b><i>(particular with any semblance of “Fed walk-back” this wk),</i></b><b>&nbsp;this impulse supply of Volatility- and Gamma- will again then perpetuate a more stable, insulated market thereafter, as Dealer “long Gamma” means hedging flows will further squelch the potential for market moves</b>- hence, the virtuous cycle phase of the “vol selling” feedback loop.</p><p><blockquote><b>在VRP人群将增量“鹰派美联储意外”成交量飙升出售给交易商的情况下</b><b><i>（特别是本周任何“美联储回退”的迹象），</i></b><b>这种波动性和伽马的冲动供应将再次使市场更加稳定、隔离，因为交易商“做多伽马”意味着对冲流动将进一步抑制市场波动的可能性</b>-因此，“销量销售”反馈循环的良性循环阶段。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Nomura Warns Of Market \"Reversal Risk\" As FedSpeak Walks Back 'Bullard Bomb'<blockquote>野村证券警告市场“逆转风险”，美联储讲话收回“布拉德炸弹”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNomura Warns Of Market \"Reversal Risk\" As FedSpeak Walks Back 'Bullard Bomb'<blockquote>野村证券警告市场“逆转风险”，美联储讲话收回“布拉德炸弹”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-21 21:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>After last week’s market fireworks on the Fed's \"hawkish surprise\" and Jim Bullard's \"you think that's hawkish, hold my beer\" moment on Friday morning, which has many market participants screaming “policy error\", Nomura's Charlie McElligott warns<b>traders now need to be ready for some potential “reversal of the rhetoric” this week</b>-<i>especially as we are looking at an astounding sixteen (!) Fed speakers on the calendar ahead...</i></p><p><blockquote>继上周美联储的“鹰派惊喜”和吉姆·布拉德周五早上的“你认为这是鹰派，拿着我的啤酒”时刻引发市场烟花之后，许多市场参与者尖叫“政策错误”，野村证券的查理·麦克埃利戈特警告说<b>交易员现在需要为本周一些潜在的“言论逆转”做好准备</b>-<i>尤其是当我们看到一个令人震惊的十六（！）未来日历上的美联储发言人...</i></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b9c98ddf2dc1b15c2d57d8c2421a348\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"235\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>...which is notable in that both</i><i><b>Treasury Yields and Equities are already substantially higher versus Asian reopening lows</b></i><i>...</i></p><p><blockquote><i>值得注意的是</i><i><b>美国国债收益率和股市已经大幅高于亚洲重新开放的低点</b></i><i>...</i></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51d6b2b76cf82953faef9bf5fab63418\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"312\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Which McElligott warns,<b>risks creating a counter-trend reversal which could catch many flat-footed again as tactically, any semblance of walking-back from the Fed could then elicit an optic of “Reflation,”</b>&nbsp;particularly if USD were to weaken further from here, Real Yields were to again tilt more negative and UST curves then again “bear-steepen” after their eye-water liquidations / stop-out last week—which too would then likely trigger a concurrent bounceback of the prior “Cyclical Value over Secular Growth” trend in US Equities,&nbsp;<i>after said expressions were powerfully de-grossed last week</i>&nbsp;(Nasdaq +0.4% last wk vs Russell -4.1%)</p><p><blockquote>McElligott警告说，<b>造成逆势逆转的风险可能会让许多人再次措手不及，因为从战术上讲，美联储任何后退的迹象都可能引发“通货再膨胀”的观点。</b>特别是如果美元从这里进一步走弱，实际收益率将再次向负值倾斜，UST曲线在上周令人眼花缭乱的清算/止损后再次“熊市陡峭”——这也可能引发美国股市先前“周期性价值超过长期增长”趋势的同时反弹，<i>上周，上述表达方式的票房大幅下降</i>（纳斯达克上周+0.4%，罗素-4.1%）</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><i>Equities “Reflation” last week: Nomura 10 Yr Yield Sensitive Factor -4.6%; Cyclical Value Factor -3.5%; Growth Nowcast -3.1%; LT Momentum -3.1%; Wolfe AVID Value -2.7%; Defensive Value -2.4%</i></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><i>上周股市“通货再膨胀”：野村10年期收益率敏感因子-4.6%；周期价值因子-3.5%；增长预测-3.1%；LT动量-3.1%；沃尔夫狂热价值-2.7%；防御价值-2.4%</i></li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><i>Equities “Duration” last week: IG Credit Sensitive Factor +2.7%; HF Crowding +2.2%; Low Risk +2.0%; Size (Big-Small) +1.3%; Dividend +1.0%</i></p><p><blockquote><li><i>上周股市“久期”：IG信用敏感因子+2.7%；高频拥挤+2.2%；低风险+2.0%；尺寸（大-小）+1.3%；股息+1.0%</i></li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> <b>This is what the unspoken “third Fed mandate” of maintaining “easy financial conditions at all costs” hath wrought</b><i>-</i>an absurd cycle where Fed policy and the US economy actually works to a point where in “old” central banking, the Fed would accordingly pivot “hawkish” and begin tightening policy; but in the “Fed Put” world order, market forces now pull-ahead the negative economic slowdown implications of said “tightening” and have “taper tantrums” creating market volatility,&nbsp;<b>ultimately forcing the Fed to walk-back hawkish tone shifts if the market.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>这就是美联储“不惜一切代价维持宽松的金融环境”这一不言而喻的“第三项任务”所取得的成就</b><i>-</i>这是一个荒谬的循环，美联储政策和美国经济实际上发挥了作用，在“旧”央行中，美联储将相应地转向“鹰派”并开始收紧政策；但在“美联储看跌”的世界秩序中，市场力量现在将上述“紧缩”对经济放缓的负面影响提前，并产生“缩减恐慌”，造成市场波动，<b>最终迫使美联储让步——如果市场发生鹰派基调转变。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ca8c1b6e282ef937647386ccbcdc21b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"272\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">In this case,<b>the risk this week then becomes that some portion of the very active calendar of Fed speakers will now voice a “concern” that last week’s dot plot and SEP will work against their previously stated FAIT desire and impede future growth- and inflation- expectations,and could then message on just how “conditional” those forecasts are -</b><i>i.e. downplaying their forecasting ability, in an attempt to reverse some of the market’s pull-forward of “tighter financial conditions” due to perceived “hawkish pivot” from Fed which nullifies their own prior efforts to reset future inflation expectations!</i></p><p><blockquote>在这种情况下，<b>本周的风险是，美联储发言人非常活跃的日历中的一些人现在将表达“担忧”，即上周的点阵图和SEP将违背他们之前陈述的事实愿望，并阻碍未来的增长和通胀预期，然后可以传达这些预测的“条件”程度如何——</b><i>即淡化他们的预测能力，试图扭转市场因美联储“鹰派转向”而对“金融状况收紧”的部分拉动，这抵消了他们之前重置未来通胀预期的努力！</i></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72edd0892cdcb8696310f135ba5dec38\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"273\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">And as we have now seen countless times before, if the Fed then again “bends the knee” to market forces, the vol spike and forced deleveraging / hedging of risk-assets is then reversed with “rich vols” then sold into, which in standard lagging-fashion will mean that as trailing rVol then resets lower following the expected “Fed back-track,” a large covering of dynamic hedges (shorts) and / or mechancial re-leveraging of risk-asset exposure from “Target Volatility / Vol Control” universe will then see markets resume their rise, as vols are smashed<b><i>- “Crash-down, then crash-up” rinse / repeat.</i></b></p><p><blockquote>正如我们以前无数次看到的那样，如果美联储再次向市场力量“屈膝”，风险资产的波动率飙升和强制去杠杆/对冲就会被“丰富的波动率”逆转，然后被出售，这在标准的滞后方式中将意味着，随着预期的“美联储回溯”之后，随着波动率被粉碎，跟踪rVol然后重置较低，动态对冲（空头）的大量回补和/或风险资产敞口的机械再杠杆化将导致市场恢复上涨<b><i>-“向下碰撞，然后向上碰撞”冲洗/重复。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> To further contribute to these potential “sling-shot” (crash-down, then crash-up) optics,&nbsp;<b>we now inherently see much “cleaner” options positioning (current ES at 4167, which is the “Delta Neutral vs Spot” level) post last week’s abnormally outsized Op-Ex&nbsp;</b><b><i>(although worth-noting that we are now in “short Gamma vs spot” territory at 4167 last vs 4237 “Gamma neutral” line).</i></b></p><p><blockquote>为了进一步促进这些潜在的“弹弓”（向下碰撞，然后向上碰撞）光学器件，<b>在上周异常超大的Op-Ex之后，我们现在本质上看到了更“干净”的期权定位（当前ES为4167，这是“Delta中性vs现货”水平）</b><b><i>（尽管值得注意的是，我们现在处于“短伽马vs现货”区域，位于4167 last vs 4237“伽马中性”线）。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db8e096623b51035a7813c45b7dc2b02\" tg-width=\"996\" tg-height=\"618\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>And in the case that the incremental “hawkish Fed surprise” vol spike is sold into Dealers by the VRP crowd&nbsp;</b><b><i>(particular with any semblance of “Fed walk-back” this wk),</i></b><b>&nbsp;this impulse supply of Volatility- and Gamma- will again then perpetuate a more stable, insulated market thereafter, as Dealer “long Gamma” means hedging flows will further squelch the potential for market moves</b>- hence, the virtuous cycle phase of the “vol selling” feedback loop.</p><p><blockquote><b>在VRP人群将增量“鹰派美联储意外”成交量飙升出售给交易商的情况下</b><b><i>（特别是本周任何“美联储回退”的迹象），</i></b><b>这种波动性和伽马的冲动供应将再次使市场更加稳定、隔离，因为交易商“做多伽马”意味着对冲流动将进一步抑制市场波动的可能性</b>-因此，“销量销售”反馈循环的良性循环阶段。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/nomura-warns-market-reversal-risk-fedspeak-walks-back-bulard-bomb?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/nomura-warns-market-reversal-risk-fedspeak-walks-back-bulard-bomb?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1133913488","content_text":"After last week’s market fireworks on the Fed's \"hawkish surprise\" and Jim Bullard's \"you think that's hawkish, hold my beer\" moment on Friday morning, which has many market participants screaming “policy error\", Nomura's Charlie McElligott warnstraders now need to be ready for some potential “reversal of the rhetoric” this week-especially as we are looking at an astounding sixteen (!) Fed speakers on the calendar ahead...\n...which is notable in that bothTreasury Yields and Equities are already substantially higher versus Asian reopening lows...\nWhich McElligott warns,risks creating a counter-trend reversal which could catch many flat-footed again as tactically, any semblance of walking-back from the Fed could then elicit an optic of “Reflation,” particularly if USD were to weaken further from here, Real Yields were to again tilt more negative and UST curves then again “bear-steepen” after their eye-water liquidations / stop-out last week—which too would then likely trigger a concurrent bounceback of the prior “Cyclical Value over Secular Growth” trend in US Equities, after said expressions were powerfully de-grossed last week (Nasdaq +0.4% last wk vs Russell -4.1%)\n\nEquities “Reflation” last week: Nomura 10 Yr Yield Sensitive Factor -4.6%; Cyclical Value Factor -3.5%; Growth Nowcast -3.1%; LT Momentum -3.1%; Wolfe AVID Value -2.7%; Defensive Value -2.4%\nEquities “Duration” last week: IG Credit Sensitive Factor +2.7%; HF Crowding +2.2%; Low Risk +2.0%; Size (Big-Small) +1.3%; Dividend +1.0%\n\nThis is what the unspoken “third Fed mandate” of maintaining “easy financial conditions at all costs” hath wrought-an absurd cycle where Fed policy and the US economy actually works to a point where in “old” central banking, the Fed would accordingly pivot “hawkish” and begin tightening policy; but in the “Fed Put” world order, market forces now pull-ahead the negative economic slowdown implications of said “tightening” and have “taper tantrums” creating market volatility, ultimately forcing the Fed to walk-back hawkish tone shifts if the market.\nIn this case,the risk this week then becomes that some portion of the very active calendar of Fed speakers will now voice a “concern” that last week’s dot plot and SEP will work against their previously stated FAIT desire and impede future growth- and inflation- expectations,and could then message on just how “conditional” those forecasts are -i.e. downplaying their forecasting ability, in an attempt to reverse some of the market’s pull-forward of “tighter financial conditions” due to perceived “hawkish pivot” from Fed which nullifies their own prior efforts to reset future inflation expectations!\nAnd as we have now seen countless times before, if the Fed then again “bends the knee” to market forces, the vol spike and forced deleveraging / hedging of risk-assets is then reversed with “rich vols” then sold into, which in standard lagging-fashion will mean that as trailing rVol then resets lower following the expected “Fed back-track,” a large covering of dynamic hedges (shorts) and / or mechancial re-leveraging of risk-asset exposure from “Target Volatility / Vol Control” universe will then see markets resume their rise, as vols are smashed- “Crash-down, then crash-up” rinse / repeat.\nTo further contribute to these potential “sling-shot” (crash-down, then crash-up) optics, we now inherently see much “cleaner” options positioning (current ES at 4167, which is the “Delta Neutral vs Spot” level) post last week’s abnormally outsized Op-Ex (although worth-noting that we are now in “short Gamma vs spot” territory at 4167 last vs 4237 “Gamma neutral” line).\n\nAnd in the case that the incremental “hawkish Fed surprise” vol spike is sold into Dealers by the VRP crowd (particular with any semblance of “Fed walk-back” this wk), this impulse supply of Volatility- and Gamma- will again then perpetuate a more stable, insulated market thereafter, as Dealer “long Gamma” means hedging flows will further squelch the potential for market moves- hence, the virtuous cycle phase of the “vol selling” feedback loop.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":484,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":167778419,"gmtCreate":1624286565031,"gmtModify":1634008356449,"author":{"id":"3574559888038133","authorId":"3574559888038133","name":"yrpang","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574559888038133","authorIdStr":"3574559888038133"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"what","listText":"what","text":"what","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/167778419","repostId":"1132601414","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":492,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":167778139,"gmtCreate":1624286549721,"gmtModify":1634008356795,"author":{"id":"3574559888038133","authorId":"3574559888038133","name":"yrpang","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574559888038133","authorIdStr":"3574559888038133"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"jjo","listText":"jjo","text":"jjo","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/167778139","repostId":"1193353084","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":410,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":167732263,"gmtCreate":1624284372053,"gmtModify":1634008405982,"author":{"id":"3574559888038133","authorId":"3574559888038133","name":"yrpang","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574559888038133","authorIdStr":"3574559888038133"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"oh no","listText":"oh no","text":"oh no","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/167732263","repostId":"1136791321","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1136791321","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1624282996,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1136791321?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-21 21:43","market":"us","language":"en","title":"EV stocks fell in morning trading<blockquote>电动汽车股早盘下跌</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1136791321","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(June 21) EV stocks fell in morning trading.","content":"<p>(June 21)&nbsp;EV stocks fell in morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>（6月21日）电动汽车股早盘下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7e7cf675e122ca02f2d220cde025a88\" tg-width=\"310\" tg-height=\"239\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>EV stocks fell in morning trading<blockquote>电动汽车股早盘下跌</blockquote></title>\n<style 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}\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nEV stocks fell in morning trading<blockquote>电动汽车股早盘下跌</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-21 21:43</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(June 21)&nbsp;EV stocks fell in morning trading.</p><p><blockquote>（6月21日）电动汽车股早盘下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e7e7cf675e122ca02f2d220cde025a88\" tg-width=\"310\" tg-height=\"239\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"TSLA":"特斯拉","LI":"理想汽车","XPEV":"小鹏汽车","NIO":"蔚来"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1136791321","content_text":"(June 21) EV stocks fell in morning trading.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NIO":0.9,"XPEV":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"LI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":562,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":167732180,"gmtCreate":1624284361640,"gmtModify":1634008406227,"author":{"id":"3574559888038133","authorId":"3574559888038133","name":"yrpang","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574559888038133","authorIdStr":"3574559888038133"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"kk","listText":"kk","text":"kk","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/167732180","repostId":"1133913488","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1133913488","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624283796,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1133913488?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-21 21:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nomura Warns Of Market \"Reversal Risk\" As FedSpeak Walks Back 'Bullard Bomb'<blockquote>野村证券警告市场“逆转风险”，美联储讲话收回“布拉德炸弹”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1133913488","media":"zerohedge","summary":"After last week’s market fireworks on the Fed's \"hawkish surprise\" and Jim Bullard's \"you think that's hawkish, hold my beer\" moment on Friday morning, which has many market participants screaming “policy error\", Nomura's Charlie McElligott warnstraders now need to be ready for some potential “reversal of the rhetoric” this week-especially as we are looking at an astounding sixteen (!) Fed speakers on the calendar ahead......which is notable in that bothTreasury Yields and Equities are already s","content":"<p>After last week’s market fireworks on the Fed's \"hawkish surprise\" and Jim Bullard's \"you think that's hawkish, hold my beer\" moment on Friday morning, which has many market participants screaming “policy error\", Nomura's Charlie McElligott warns<b>traders now need to be ready for some potential “reversal of the rhetoric” this week</b>-<i>especially as we are looking at an astounding sixteen (!) Fed speakers on the calendar ahead...</i></p><p><blockquote>继上周美联储的“鹰派惊喜”和吉姆·布拉德周五早上的“你认为这是鹰派，拿着我的啤酒”时刻引发市场烟花之后，许多市场参与者尖叫“政策错误”，野村证券的查理·麦克埃利戈特警告说<b>交易员现在需要为本周一些潜在的“言论逆转”做好准备</b>-<i>尤其是当我们看到一个令人震惊的十六（！）未来日历上的美联储发言人...</i></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b9c98ddf2dc1b15c2d57d8c2421a348\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"235\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>...which is notable in that both</i><i><b>Treasury Yields and Equities are already substantially higher versus Asian reopening lows</b></i><i>...</i></p><p><blockquote><i>值得注意的是</i><i><b>美国国债收益率和股市已经大幅高于亚洲重新开放的低点</b></i><i>...</i></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51d6b2b76cf82953faef9bf5fab63418\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"312\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Which McElligott warns,<b>risks creating a counter-trend reversal which could catch many flat-footed again as tactically, any semblance of walking-back from the Fed could then elicit an optic of “Reflation,”</b>&nbsp;particularly if USD were to weaken further from here, Real Yields were to again tilt more negative and UST curves then again “bear-steepen” after their eye-water liquidations / stop-out last week—which too would then likely trigger a concurrent bounceback of the prior “Cyclical Value over Secular Growth” trend in US Equities,&nbsp;<i>after said expressions were powerfully de-grossed last week</i>&nbsp;(Nasdaq +0.4% last wk vs Russell -4.1%)</p><p><blockquote>McElligott警告说，<b>造成逆势逆转的风险可能会让许多人再次措手不及，因为从战术上讲，美联储任何后退的迹象都可能引发“通货再膨胀”的观点。</b>特别是如果美元从这里进一步走弱，实际收益率将再次向负值倾斜，UST曲线在上周令人眼花缭乱的清算/止损后再次“熊市陡峭”——这也可能引发美国股市先前“周期性价值超过长期增长”趋势的同时反弹，<i>上周，上述表达方式的票房大幅下降</i>（纳斯达克上周+0.4%，罗素-4.1%）</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><i>Equities “Reflation” last week: Nomura 10 Yr Yield Sensitive Factor -4.6%; Cyclical Value Factor -3.5%; Growth Nowcast -3.1%; LT Momentum -3.1%; Wolfe AVID Value -2.7%; Defensive Value -2.4%</i></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><i>上周股市“通货再膨胀”：野村10年期收益率敏感因子-4.6%；周期价值因子-3.5%；增长预测-3.1%；LT动量-3.1%；沃尔夫狂热价值-2.7%；防御价值-2.4%</i></li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><i>Equities “Duration” last week: IG Credit Sensitive Factor +2.7%; HF Crowding +2.2%; Low Risk +2.0%; Size (Big-Small) +1.3%; Dividend +1.0%</i></p><p><blockquote><li><i>上周股市“久期”：IG信用敏感因子+2.7%；高频拥挤+2.2%；低风险+2.0%；尺寸（大-小）+1.3%；股息+1.0%</i></li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> <b>This is what the unspoken “third Fed mandate” of maintaining “easy financial conditions at all costs” hath wrought</b><i>-</i>an absurd cycle where Fed policy and the US economy actually works to a point where in “old” central banking, the Fed would accordingly pivot “hawkish” and begin tightening policy; but in the “Fed Put” world order, market forces now pull-ahead the negative economic slowdown implications of said “tightening” and have “taper tantrums” creating market volatility,&nbsp;<b>ultimately forcing the Fed to walk-back hawkish tone shifts if the market.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>这就是美联储“不惜一切代价维持宽松的金融环境”这一不言而喻的“第三项任务”所取得的成就</b><i>-</i>这是一个荒谬的循环，美联储政策和美国经济实际上发挥了作用，在“旧”央行中，美联储将相应地转向“鹰派”并开始收紧政策；但在“美联储看跌”的世界秩序中，市场力量现在将上述“紧缩”对经济放缓的负面影响提前，并产生“缩减恐慌”，造成市场波动，<b>最终迫使美联储让步——如果市场发生鹰派基调转变。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ca8c1b6e282ef937647386ccbcdc21b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"272\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">In this case,<b>the risk this week then becomes that some portion of the very active calendar of Fed speakers will now voice a “concern” that last week’s dot plot and SEP will work against their previously stated FAIT desire and impede future growth- and inflation- expectations,and could then message on just how “conditional” those forecasts are -</b><i>i.e. downplaying their forecasting ability, in an attempt to reverse some of the market’s pull-forward of “tighter financial conditions” due to perceived “hawkish pivot” from Fed which nullifies their own prior efforts to reset future inflation expectations!</i></p><p><blockquote>在这种情况下，<b>本周的风险是，美联储发言人非常活跃的日历中的一些人现在将表达“担忧”，即上周的点阵图和SEP将违背他们之前陈述的事实愿望，并阻碍未来的增长和通胀预期，然后可以传达这些预测的“条件”程度如何——</b><i>即淡化他们的预测能力，试图扭转市场因美联储“鹰派转向”而对“金融状况收紧”的部分拉动，这抵消了他们之前重置未来通胀预期的努力！</i></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72edd0892cdcb8696310f135ba5dec38\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"273\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">And as we have now seen countless times before, if the Fed then again “bends the knee” to market forces, the vol spike and forced deleveraging / hedging of risk-assets is then reversed with “rich vols” then sold into, which in standard lagging-fashion will mean that as trailing rVol then resets lower following the expected “Fed back-track,” a large covering of dynamic hedges (shorts) and / or mechancial re-leveraging of risk-asset exposure from “Target Volatility / Vol Control” universe will then see markets resume their rise, as vols are smashed<b><i>- “Crash-down, then crash-up” rinse / repeat.</i></b></p><p><blockquote>正如我们以前无数次看到的那样，如果美联储再次向市场力量“屈膝”，风险资产的波动率飙升和强制去杠杆/对冲就会被“丰富的波动率”逆转，然后被出售，这在标准的滞后方式中将意味着，随着预期的“美联储回溯”之后，随着波动率被粉碎，跟踪rVol然后重置较低，动态对冲（空头）的大量回补和/或风险资产敞口的机械再杠杆化将导致市场恢复上涨<b><i>-“向下碰撞，然后向上碰撞”冲洗/重复。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> To further contribute to these potential “sling-shot” (crash-down, then crash-up) optics,&nbsp;<b>we now inherently see much “cleaner” options positioning (current ES at 4167, which is the “Delta Neutral vs Spot” level) post last week’s abnormally outsized Op-Ex&nbsp;</b><b><i>(although worth-noting that we are now in “short Gamma vs spot” territory at 4167 last vs 4237 “Gamma neutral” line).</i></b></p><p><blockquote>为了进一步促进这些潜在的“弹弓”（向下碰撞，然后向上碰撞）光学器件，<b>在上周异常超大的Op-Ex之后，我们现在本质上看到了更“干净”的期权定位（当前ES为4167，这是“Delta中性vs现货”水平）</b><b><i>（尽管值得注意的是，我们现在处于“短伽马vs现货”区域，位于4167 last vs 4237“伽马中性”线）。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db8e096623b51035a7813c45b7dc2b02\" tg-width=\"996\" tg-height=\"618\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>And in the case that the incremental “hawkish Fed surprise” vol spike is sold into Dealers by the VRP crowd&nbsp;</b><b><i>(particular with any semblance of “Fed walk-back” this wk),</i></b><b>&nbsp;this impulse supply of Volatility- and Gamma- will again then perpetuate a more stable, insulated market thereafter, as Dealer “long Gamma” means hedging flows will further squelch the potential for market moves</b>- hence, the virtuous cycle phase of the “vol selling” feedback loop.</p><p><blockquote><b>在VRP人群将增量“鹰派美联储意外”成交量飙升出售给交易商的情况下</b><b><i>（特别是本周任何“美联储回退”的迹象），</i></b><b>这种波动性和伽马的冲动供应将再次使市场更加稳定、隔离，因为交易商“做多伽马”意味着对冲流动将进一步抑制市场波动的可能性</b>-因此，“销量销售”反馈循环的良性循环阶段。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNomura Warns Of Market \"Reversal Risk\" As FedSpeak Walks Back 'Bullard Bomb'<blockquote>野村证券警告市场“逆转风险”，美联储讲话收回“布拉德炸弹”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-21 21:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>After last week’s market fireworks on the Fed's \"hawkish surprise\" and Jim Bullard's \"you think that's hawkish, hold my beer\" moment on Friday morning, which has many market participants screaming “policy error\", Nomura's Charlie McElligott warns<b>traders now need to be ready for some potential “reversal of the rhetoric” this week</b>-<i>especially as we are looking at an astounding sixteen (!) Fed speakers on the calendar ahead...</i></p><p><blockquote>继上周美联储的“鹰派惊喜”和吉姆·布拉德周五早上的“你认为这是鹰派，拿着我的啤酒”时刻引发市场烟花之后，许多市场参与者尖叫“政策错误”，野村证券的查理·麦克埃利戈特警告说<b>交易员现在需要为本周一些潜在的“言论逆转”做好准备</b>-<i>尤其是当我们看到一个令人震惊的十六（！）未来日历上的美联储发言人...</i></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b9c98ddf2dc1b15c2d57d8c2421a348\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"235\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>...which is notable in that both</i><i><b>Treasury Yields and Equities are already substantially higher versus Asian reopening lows</b></i><i>...</i></p><p><blockquote><i>值得注意的是</i><i><b>美国国债收益率和股市已经大幅高于亚洲重新开放的低点</b></i><i>...</i></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51d6b2b76cf82953faef9bf5fab63418\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"312\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Which McElligott warns,<b>risks creating a counter-trend reversal which could catch many flat-footed again as tactically, any semblance of walking-back from the Fed could then elicit an optic of “Reflation,”</b>&nbsp;particularly if USD were to weaken further from here, Real Yields were to again tilt more negative and UST curves then again “bear-steepen” after their eye-water liquidations / stop-out last week—which too would then likely trigger a concurrent bounceback of the prior “Cyclical Value over Secular Growth” trend in US Equities,&nbsp;<i>after said expressions were powerfully de-grossed last week</i>&nbsp;(Nasdaq +0.4% last wk vs Russell -4.1%)</p><p><blockquote>McElligott警告说，<b>造成逆势逆转的风险可能会让许多人再次措手不及，因为从战术上讲，美联储任何后退的迹象都可能引发“通货再膨胀”的观点。</b>特别是如果美元从这里进一步走弱，实际收益率将再次向负值倾斜，UST曲线在上周令人眼花缭乱的清算/止损后再次“熊市陡峭”——这也可能引发美国股市先前“周期性价值超过长期增长”趋势的同时反弹，<i>上周，上述表达方式的票房大幅下降</i>（纳斯达克上周+0.4%，罗素-4.1%）</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><i>Equities “Reflation” last week: Nomura 10 Yr Yield Sensitive Factor -4.6%; Cyclical Value Factor -3.5%; Growth Nowcast -3.1%; LT Momentum -3.1%; Wolfe AVID Value -2.7%; Defensive Value -2.4%</i></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><i>上周股市“通货再膨胀”：野村10年期收益率敏感因子-4.6%；周期价值因子-3.5%；增长预测-3.1%；LT动量-3.1%；沃尔夫狂热价值-2.7%；防御价值-2.4%</i></li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><i>Equities “Duration” last week: IG Credit Sensitive Factor +2.7%; HF Crowding +2.2%; Low Risk +2.0%; Size (Big-Small) +1.3%; Dividend +1.0%</i></p><p><blockquote><li><i>上周股市“久期”：IG信用敏感因子+2.7%；高频拥挤+2.2%；低风险+2.0%；尺寸（大-小）+1.3%；股息+1.0%</i></li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> <b>This is what the unspoken “third Fed mandate” of maintaining “easy financial conditions at all costs” hath wrought</b><i>-</i>an absurd cycle where Fed policy and the US economy actually works to a point where in “old” central banking, the Fed would accordingly pivot “hawkish” and begin tightening policy; but in the “Fed Put” world order, market forces now pull-ahead the negative economic slowdown implications of said “tightening” and have “taper tantrums” creating market volatility,&nbsp;<b>ultimately forcing the Fed to walk-back hawkish tone shifts if the market.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>这就是美联储“不惜一切代价维持宽松的金融环境”这一不言而喻的“第三项任务”所取得的成就</b><i>-</i>这是一个荒谬的循环，美联储政策和美国经济实际上发挥了作用，在“旧”央行中，美联储将相应地转向“鹰派”并开始收紧政策；但在“美联储看跌”的世界秩序中，市场力量现在将上述“紧缩”对经济放缓的负面影响提前，并产生“缩减恐慌”，造成市场波动，<b>最终迫使美联储让步——如果市场发生鹰派基调转变。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ca8c1b6e282ef937647386ccbcdc21b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"272\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">In this case,<b>the risk this week then becomes that some portion of the very active calendar of Fed speakers will now voice a “concern” that last week’s dot plot and SEP will work against their previously stated FAIT desire and impede future growth- and inflation- expectations,and could then message on just how “conditional” those forecasts are -</b><i>i.e. downplaying their forecasting ability, in an attempt to reverse some of the market’s pull-forward of “tighter financial conditions” due to perceived “hawkish pivot” from Fed which nullifies their own prior efforts to reset future inflation expectations!</i></p><p><blockquote>在这种情况下，<b>本周的风险是，美联储发言人非常活跃的日历中的一些人现在将表达“担忧”，即上周的点阵图和SEP将违背他们之前陈述的事实愿望，并阻碍未来的增长和通胀预期，然后可以传达这些预测的“条件”程度如何——</b><i>即淡化他们的预测能力，试图扭转市场因美联储“鹰派转向”而对“金融状况收紧”的部分拉动，这抵消了他们之前重置未来通胀预期的努力！</i></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72edd0892cdcb8696310f135ba5dec38\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"273\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">And as we have now seen countless times before, if the Fed then again “bends the knee” to market forces, the vol spike and forced deleveraging / hedging of risk-assets is then reversed with “rich vols” then sold into, which in standard lagging-fashion will mean that as trailing rVol then resets lower following the expected “Fed back-track,” a large covering of dynamic hedges (shorts) and / or mechancial re-leveraging of risk-asset exposure from “Target Volatility / Vol Control” universe will then see markets resume their rise, as vols are smashed<b><i>- “Crash-down, then crash-up” rinse / repeat.</i></b></p><p><blockquote>正如我们以前无数次看到的那样，如果美联储再次向市场力量“屈膝”，风险资产的波动率飙升和强制去杠杆/对冲就会被“丰富的波动率”逆转，然后被出售，这在标准的滞后方式中将意味着，随着预期的“美联储回溯”之后，随着波动率被粉碎，跟踪rVol然后重置较低，动态对冲（空头）的大量回补和/或风险资产敞口的机械再杠杆化将导致市场恢复上涨<b><i>-“向下碰撞，然后向上碰撞”冲洗/重复。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> To further contribute to these potential “sling-shot” (crash-down, then crash-up) optics,&nbsp;<b>we now inherently see much “cleaner” options positioning (current ES at 4167, which is the “Delta Neutral vs Spot” level) post last week’s abnormally outsized Op-Ex&nbsp;</b><b><i>(although worth-noting that we are now in “short Gamma vs spot” territory at 4167 last vs 4237 “Gamma neutral” line).</i></b></p><p><blockquote>为了进一步促进这些潜在的“弹弓”（向下碰撞，然后向上碰撞）光学器件，<b>在上周异常超大的Op-Ex之后，我们现在本质上看到了更“干净”的期权定位（当前ES为4167，这是“Delta中性vs现货”水平）</b><b><i>（尽管值得注意的是，我们现在处于“短伽马vs现货”区域，位于4167 last vs 4237“伽马中性”线）。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db8e096623b51035a7813c45b7dc2b02\" tg-width=\"996\" tg-height=\"618\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>And in the case that the incremental “hawkish Fed surprise” vol spike is sold into Dealers by the VRP crowd&nbsp;</b><b><i>(particular with any semblance of “Fed walk-back” this wk),</i></b><b>&nbsp;this impulse supply of Volatility- and Gamma- will again then perpetuate a more stable, insulated market thereafter, as Dealer “long Gamma” means hedging flows will further squelch the potential for market moves</b>- hence, the virtuous cycle phase of the “vol selling” feedback loop.</p><p><blockquote><b>在VRP人群将增量“鹰派美联储意外”成交量飙升出售给交易商的情况下</b><b><i>（特别是本周任何“美联储回退”的迹象），</i></b><b>这种波动性和伽马的冲动供应将再次使市场更加稳定、隔离，因为交易商“做多伽马”意味着对冲流动将进一步抑制市场波动的可能性</b>-因此，“销量销售”反馈循环的良性循环阶段。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/nomura-warns-market-reversal-risk-fedspeak-walks-back-bulard-bomb?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/nomura-warns-market-reversal-risk-fedspeak-walks-back-bulard-bomb?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1133913488","content_text":"After last week’s market fireworks on the Fed's \"hawkish surprise\" and Jim Bullard's \"you think that's hawkish, hold my beer\" moment on Friday morning, which has many market participants screaming “policy error\", Nomura's Charlie McElligott warnstraders now need to be ready for some potential “reversal of the rhetoric” this week-especially as we are looking at an astounding sixteen (!) Fed speakers on the calendar ahead...\n...which is notable in that bothTreasury Yields and Equities are already substantially higher versus Asian reopening lows...\nWhich McElligott warns,risks creating a counter-trend reversal which could catch many flat-footed again as tactically, any semblance of walking-back from the Fed could then elicit an optic of “Reflation,” particularly if USD were to weaken further from here, Real Yields were to again tilt more negative and UST curves then again “bear-steepen” after their eye-water liquidations / stop-out last week—which too would then likely trigger a concurrent bounceback of the prior “Cyclical Value over Secular Growth” trend in US Equities, after said expressions were powerfully de-grossed last week (Nasdaq +0.4% last wk vs Russell -4.1%)\n\nEquities “Reflation” last week: Nomura 10 Yr Yield Sensitive Factor -4.6%; Cyclical Value Factor -3.5%; Growth Nowcast -3.1%; LT Momentum -3.1%; Wolfe AVID Value -2.7%; Defensive Value -2.4%\nEquities “Duration” last week: IG Credit Sensitive Factor +2.7%; HF Crowding +2.2%; Low Risk +2.0%; Size (Big-Small) +1.3%; Dividend +1.0%\n\nThis is what the unspoken “third Fed mandate” of maintaining “easy financial conditions at all costs” hath wrought-an absurd cycle where Fed policy and the US economy actually works to a point where in “old” central banking, the Fed would accordingly pivot “hawkish” and begin tightening policy; but in the “Fed Put” world order, market forces now pull-ahead the negative economic slowdown implications of said “tightening” and have “taper tantrums” creating market volatility, ultimately forcing the Fed to walk-back hawkish tone shifts if the market.\nIn this case,the risk this week then becomes that some portion of the very active calendar of Fed speakers will now voice a “concern” that last week’s dot plot and SEP will work against their previously stated FAIT desire and impede future growth- and inflation- expectations,and could then message on just how “conditional” those forecasts are -i.e. downplaying their forecasting ability, in an attempt to reverse some of the market’s pull-forward of “tighter financial conditions” due to perceived “hawkish pivot” from Fed which nullifies their own prior efforts to reset future inflation expectations!\nAnd as we have now seen countless times before, if the Fed then again “bends the knee” to market forces, the vol spike and forced deleveraging / hedging of risk-assets is then reversed with “rich vols” then sold into, which in standard lagging-fashion will mean that as trailing rVol then resets lower following the expected “Fed back-track,” a large covering of dynamic hedges (shorts) and / or mechancial re-leveraging of risk-asset exposure from “Target Volatility / Vol Control” universe will then see markets resume their rise, as vols are smashed- “Crash-down, then crash-up” rinse / repeat.\nTo further contribute to these potential “sling-shot” (crash-down, then crash-up) optics, we now inherently see much “cleaner” options positioning (current ES at 4167, which is the “Delta Neutral vs Spot” level) post last week’s abnormally outsized Op-Ex (although worth-noting that we are now in “short Gamma vs spot” territory at 4167 last vs 4237 “Gamma neutral” line).\n\nAnd in the case that the incremental “hawkish Fed surprise” vol spike is sold into Dealers by the VRP crowd (particular with any semblance of “Fed walk-back” this wk), this impulse supply of Volatility- and Gamma- will again then perpetuate a more stable, insulated market thereafter, as Dealer “long Gamma” means hedging flows will further squelch the potential for market moves- hence, the virtuous cycle phase of the “vol selling” feedback loop.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":547,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":167732921,"gmtCreate":1624284348363,"gmtModify":1634008406348,"author":{"id":"3574559888038133","authorId":"3574559888038133","name":"yrpang","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574559888038133","authorIdStr":"3574559888038133"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"nice","listText":"nice","text":"nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/167732921","repostId":"1154249454","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":685,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":164847876,"gmtCreate":1624195971595,"gmtModify":1634009598298,"author":{"id":"3574559888038133","authorId":"3574559888038133","name":"yrpang","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574559888038133","authorIdStr":"3574559888038133"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"really","listText":"really","text":"really","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/164847876","repostId":"1126454279","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":324,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":164847903,"gmtCreate":1624195954602,"gmtModify":1634009598668,"author":{"id":"3574559888038133","authorId":"3574559888038133","name":"yrpang","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574559888038133","authorIdStr":"3574559888038133"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"good","listText":"good","text":"good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/164847903","repostId":"1133385197","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":561,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":164844748,"gmtCreate":1624195937084,"gmtModify":1634009598915,"author":{"id":"3574559888038133","authorId":"3574559888038133","name":"yrpang","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3574559888038133","authorIdStr":"3574559888038133"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"wow","listText":"wow","text":"wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/164844748","repostId":"1199331995","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":687,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":126103712,"gmtCreate":1624546380036,"gmtModify":1634004549515,"author":{"id":"3574559888038133","authorId":"3574559888038133","name":"yrpang","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574559888038133","idStr":"3574559888038133"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"fk I should've bought sea","listText":"fk I should've bought sea","text":"fk I should've bought sea","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/126103712","repostId":"1120836318","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2029,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":126109430,"gmtCreate":1624546352220,"gmtModify":1634004550494,"author":{"id":"3574559888038133","authorId":"3574559888038133","name":"yrpang","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574559888038133","idStr":"3574559888038133"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"no not starbucks","listText":"no not starbucks","text":"no not starbucks","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/126109430","repostId":"1187819280","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1187819280","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624529642,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1187819280?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-24 18:14","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The ‘shelter in suburbia’ trade is about to reverse — and these stocks will suffer<blockquote>“郊区避难所”交易即将逆转——这些股票将受到影响</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1187819280","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"5 reasons the pandemic megatrend is over.\n\nOne of the biggest investment stories of the COVID-19 pan","content":"<p>  <b>5 reasons the pandemic megatrend is over.</b>  One of the biggest investment stories of the COVID-19 pandemic has been the boom in consumer discretionary stocks with a “shelter in suburbia” theme. From e-commerce platforms to home improvement stores to furniture and housewares merchants, many of the top performers have fit this flavor.</p><p><blockquote><b>大流行大趋势结束的5个原因。</b>COVID-19大流行最大的投资故事之一是以“郊区避难所”为主题的非必需消费品股票的繁荣。从电商平台到家装店，再到家具和家居用品商家，许多表现最好的企业都符合这种口味。</blockquote></p><p> Take the broad-based Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index Fund ETF VCR, +0.66% that surged more than 90% from March 2020 to March 2021. That was thanks to components like home improvement stocks Lowe’s LOW, -0.30% and Home Depot HD, -0.33% alongside retailers like TJX TJX, -0.08%.</p><p><blockquote>以基础广泛的Vanguard非必需消费品指数基金ETF VCR为例，+0.66%，从2020年3月到2021年3月飙升了90%以上。这要归功于家装股Lowe's LOW(-0.30%)和Home Depot HD(-0.33%)以及TJX TJX(-0.08%)等零售商。</blockquote></p><p> Lately, however, performance has started to lag for many of these names. In fact, since April 1 we’ve seen these three stocks all drift slightly into the red even as the S&amp;P 500 SPX, -0.11% has tacked on about 6% in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>然而，最近，其中许多名称的性能开始滞后。事实上，自4月1日以来，我们看到这三只股票都小幅下跌，尽管标普500 SPX指数-0.11%同期上涨了约6%。</blockquote></p><p> And some fear that may only be the beginning. As one Wall Street insider said recently in a Bloomberg interview, a “huge unwind” is coming for stay-at-home stocks, including hardware stores and home-goods merchants.</p><p><blockquote>有些人担心这可能只是开始。正如一位华尔街内部人士最近在接受彭博社采访时所说，包括五金店和家居用品商家在内的居家股票即将“大幅放松”。</blockquote></p><p> While some big-name “suburbia” trades are still relatively stable, signs of trouble are already emerging at the fringes. Century Communities CCS, -0.34% and Dream Finders Homes DFH, -2.55%, two mid-tier single family homebuilders, have seen shares crash by double digits over the last month. On the furnishings side, appliance giant Whirlpool Corporation WHR, -0.51% and department store Nordstrom JWN, +2.03% are down sharply from their spring highs.</p><p><blockquote>虽然一些知名的“郊区”交易仍然相对稳定，但麻烦的迹象已经在边缘出现。Century Communities CCS(-0.34%)和Dream Finders Homes DFH(-2.55%)这两家中型单户住宅建筑商的股价在上个月暴跌了两位数。家具方面，家电巨头惠而浦公司WHR(-0.51%)和百货公司Nordstrom JWN(+2.03%)均较春季高点大幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Here are five big reasons why:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>以下是五大原因：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1.</b>&nbsp;<b>The upgrade cycle is over</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.</b> <b>升级周期结束</b></blockquote></p><p> Last summer, white-collar workers who were stuck at home made note of overdue projects and took advantage of being able to easily meet with contractors. But in many ways, this growth is not sustainable.</p><p><blockquote>去年夏天，被困在家里的白领们记下了逾期的项目，并利用了能够轻松与承包商见面的机会。但在许多方面，这种增长是不可持续的。</blockquote></p><p> Consider the kind of purchases homeowners were making according to data from the NPD Group. Faucets, kitchen cabinets and even toilets were among the most popular products sold in 2020. Needless to say, even the most profligate homeowners aren’t going to follow this upgrade cycle of remodeling kitchens and bathrooms on an annual basis.</p><p><blockquote>根据NPD集团的数据，考虑一下房主的购买类型。水龙头、厨柜甚至马桶都是2020年销售的最受欢迎的产品。不用说，即使是最挥霍的房主也不会遵循每年改造厨房和浴室的升级周期。</blockquote></p><p> The same is true for furniture and other home goods. Internet giant Comscore recorded the highest visitation to related websites in history in May 2020 with 133 million web surfers shopping for some kind of home goods. Once again, a new couch or lamp is not an annual purchase — so this trend seems unsustainable for much longer.</p><p><blockquote>家具和其他家居用品也是如此。互联网巨头Comscore在2020年5月记录了历史上相关网站的最高访问量，1.33亿网络冲浪者购买了某种家居用品。再说一次，新沙发或台灯不是每年都会购买的——所以这种趋势似乎无法持续很长时间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2.&nbsp;Valuations are stretched</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.估值捉襟见肘</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of post-pandemic peaks for home-goods purveyors, we’ve seen the financials bear out these big increases via boosted profits and sales. However, we’ve also seen the stock of many related merchants surge even more — stretching their valuations from historical norms.</p><p><blockquote>谈到家居用品供应商的大流行后高峰，我们已经看到财务状况通过利润和销售额的增加证实了这些大幅增长。然而，我们也看到许多相关商家的股价飙升得更多——超出了历史标准的估值。</blockquote></p><p> Take TJX. Currently this discount retailer has a forward price-to-earnings ratio of more than 26, compared with a forward P/E of just 21 in spring 2020. Its trailing price-to-sales ratio is now 2.1 compared with 1.4.</p><p><blockquote>以TJX为例。目前，这家折扣零售商的远期市盈率超过26，而2020年春季的远期市盈率仅为21。其往绩市销率目前为2.1，而此前为1.4。</blockquote></p><p> What’s more, valuations for previous darlings like TJX are out of line with peers, too. Consider the forward P/E of the overall S&amp;P 500 index is 22 right now, and other similar names like Macy’s M, +0.70% and Big Lots BIG, -3.71% actually have forward P/E ratios well under 10. You can argue TJX is unique, of course… but you also may want to be aware of what “fair value” looks like for many other stocks outside fashionable stay-at-home trades right now.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，TJX等之前宠儿的估值也与同行不符。考虑到目前整个标普500指数的远期市盈率为22，而其他类似的公司，如梅西百货M，+0.70%和Big Lot Big，-3.71%，实际上其远期市盈率远低于10。当然，你可以说TJX是独一无二的……但你可能也想知道目前流行的居家交易之外的许多其他股票的“公允价值”是什么样的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3.&nbsp;Delays and shortages</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.延误和短缺</b></blockquote></p><p> Future growth from pandemic-fueled peaks in these stocks is not impossible, of course. But given supply chain disruptions it seems highly unlikely. There are a host of reasons for these delays, including overseas shipping delays as well as capacity and output crunches that are affecting many industries, but “stay at home” stocks seem particularly hard hit.</p><p><blockquote>当然，这些股票在大流行推动下达到峰值的未来增长并非不可能。但考虑到供应链中断，这似乎不太可能。造成这些延误的原因有很多，包括海外运输延误以及影响许多行业的产能和产量紧缩，但“呆在家里”的股票似乎受到的打击尤其严重。</blockquote></p><p> Home improvement products are simply nowhere to be found, with roughly 94% of builders reporting “at least some serious shortages of appliances” according to the National Association of Home Builders. Another 93% are running short on framing lumber and 87% say it is hard to obtain windows and doors.</p><p><blockquote>根据全国住宅建筑商协会的数据，家装产品根本无处可寻，大约94%的建筑商报告“至少有一些严重的电器短缺”。另有93%的人缺乏框架木材，87%的人表示很难获得门窗。</blockquote></p><p> Even if you can get past demand concerns, without the raw materials to get to work it’s very hard to see future growth in this category.</p><p><blockquote>即使你可以克服需求问题，如果没有原材料来发挥作用，也很难看到这一类别的未来增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4.&nbsp;Inflationary pressures</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.通货膨胀压力</b></blockquote></p><p> For the people who haven’t already ponied up the cash for a contractor or made their peace with extended delays for their expensive new furniture, there is a pretty big disincentive right now for new shoppers: inflation.</p><p><blockquote>对于那些还没有为承包商支付现金或忍受昂贵的新家具长时间延误的人来说，现在对新购物者来说有一个相当大的抑制因素：通货膨胀。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The cost of living as measured by the Consumer Price Index jumped 0.6% in May to run at a 5% annual rate. That was not only higher than expectations, but the fastest pace since the summer of 2008. The inflation risks were so pronounced that the Federal Reserve publicly stated it could move up the schedule for expected interest rate increases to keep the risks under wraps.</p><p><blockquote>5月份消费者价格指数衡量的生活成本上涨0.6%，年增长率为5%。这不仅高于预期，而且是自2008年夏季以来最快的速度。通胀风险如此明显，以至于美联储公开表示可能会提前预期加息的时间表，以掩盖风险。</blockquote></p><p> Inflation isn’t always a death knell, of course. But it has historically eroded purchasing power and could curtail some of the spending in “stay at home” stocks that we’ve seen in the last year or so.</p><p><blockquote>当然，通货膨胀并不总是丧钟。但从历史上看，它削弱了购买力，并可能减少我们在去年左右看到的“呆在家里”股票的一些支出。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5.&nbsp;Home-equity hubris</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.房屋净值傲慢</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of red-hot inflation: In May, the median price for U.S. homes topped $350,000 for the first time ever — up 23.6% from 2020. What’s more, a Realtor.com survey showed roughly a third of selling homeowners expect to get more than their asking price, and roughly the same amount expect an offer within a week of listing.</p><p><blockquote>说到炙手可热的通货膨胀：5月份，美国房屋中值价格首次突破35万美元，比2020年上涨23.6%。此外，Realtor.com的一项调查显示，大约三分之一的待售房主希望得到高于要价的价格，大约相同数量的房主希望在上市一周内收到报价。</blockquote></p><p> Some of this is justifiable. Many articles have been written in recent years about the dearth of supply in attractive markets, and it’s important to acknowledge the remote work of the pandemic has indeed created some disruptive introspection into why people live where they do.</p><p><blockquote>其中一些是合理的。近年来，有许多文章都是关于有吸引力的市场供应短缺的，重要的是要承认疫情的远程工作确实对人们为什么住在他们居住的地方产生了一些破坏性的反思。</blockquote></p><p> But here’s where things get dicey: homeowners who have already spent the expected premium on their home’s price well in advance. According to Freddie Mac, about $152.7 billion in equity loans were taken out on U.S. houses last year, a massive increase of 41.7% from 2019 and the highest refinancing cash-out dollar amount since 2007.</p><p><blockquote>但事情变得危险的地方是：房主已经提前在房价上花费了预期的溢价。根据房地美的数据，去年美国房屋的股权贷款约为1527亿美元，比2019年大幅增长41.7%，是自2007年以来最高的再融资套现金额。</blockquote></p><p> Anyone remember what happened to the real-estate market in 2007? Or the similar sense of seller entitlement from those days? There’s no clear signs of a bubble bursting just yet, but there’s real risk American homeowners may be overly optimistic about what their homes are worth — and a chance this home equity loan free-for-all simply isn’t sustainable for much longer.</p><p><blockquote>有人记得2007年房地产市场发生了什么吗？还是当年类似的卖家权利感？目前还没有明显的泡沫破裂迹象，但美国房主可能对自己房屋的价值过于乐观，而且这种免费的房屋净值贷款可能不会持续太久。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The ‘shelter in suburbia’ trade is about to reverse — and these stocks will suffer<blockquote>“郊区避难所”交易即将逆转——这些股票将受到影响</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe ‘shelter in suburbia’ trade is about to reverse — and these stocks will suffer<blockquote>“郊区避难所”交易即将逆转——这些股票将受到影响</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-24 18:14</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>  <b>5 reasons the pandemic megatrend is over.</b>  One of the biggest investment stories of the COVID-19 pandemic has been the boom in consumer discretionary stocks with a “shelter in suburbia” theme. From e-commerce platforms to home improvement stores to furniture and housewares merchants, many of the top performers have fit this flavor.</p><p><blockquote><b>大流行大趋势结束的5个原因。</b>COVID-19大流行最大的投资故事之一是以“郊区避难所”为主题的非必需消费品股票的繁荣。从电商平台到家装店，再到家具和家居用品商家，许多表现最好的企业都符合这种口味。</blockquote></p><p> Take the broad-based Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index Fund ETF VCR, +0.66% that surged more than 90% from March 2020 to March 2021. That was thanks to components like home improvement stocks Lowe’s LOW, -0.30% and Home Depot HD, -0.33% alongside retailers like TJX TJX, -0.08%.</p><p><blockquote>以基础广泛的Vanguard非必需消费品指数基金ETF VCR为例，+0.66%，从2020年3月到2021年3月飙升了90%以上。这要归功于家装股Lowe's LOW(-0.30%)和Home Depot HD(-0.33%)以及TJX TJX(-0.08%)等零售商。</blockquote></p><p> Lately, however, performance has started to lag for many of these names. In fact, since April 1 we’ve seen these three stocks all drift slightly into the red even as the S&amp;P 500 SPX, -0.11% has tacked on about 6% in the same period.</p><p><blockquote>然而，最近，其中许多名称的性能开始滞后。事实上，自4月1日以来，我们看到这三只股票都小幅下跌，尽管标普500 SPX指数-0.11%同期上涨了约6%。</blockquote></p><p> And some fear that may only be the beginning. As one Wall Street insider said recently in a Bloomberg interview, a “huge unwind” is coming for stay-at-home stocks, including hardware stores and home-goods merchants.</p><p><blockquote>有些人担心这可能只是开始。正如一位华尔街内部人士最近在接受彭博社采访时所说，包括五金店和家居用品商家在内的居家股票即将“大幅放松”。</blockquote></p><p> While some big-name “suburbia” trades are still relatively stable, signs of trouble are already emerging at the fringes. Century Communities CCS, -0.34% and Dream Finders Homes DFH, -2.55%, two mid-tier single family homebuilders, have seen shares crash by double digits over the last month. On the furnishings side, appliance giant Whirlpool Corporation WHR, -0.51% and department store Nordstrom JWN, +2.03% are down sharply from their spring highs.</p><p><blockquote>虽然一些知名的“郊区”交易仍然相对稳定，但麻烦的迹象已经在边缘出现。Century Communities CCS(-0.34%)和Dream Finders Homes DFH(-2.55%)这两家中型单户住宅建筑商的股价在上个月暴跌了两位数。家具方面，家电巨头惠而浦公司WHR(-0.51%)和百货公司Nordstrom JWN(+2.03%)均较春季高点大幅下跌。</blockquote></p><p> <b>Here are five big reasons why:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>以下是五大原因：</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1.</b>&nbsp;<b>The upgrade cycle is over</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.</b> <b>升级周期结束</b></blockquote></p><p> Last summer, white-collar workers who were stuck at home made note of overdue projects and took advantage of being able to easily meet with contractors. But in many ways, this growth is not sustainable.</p><p><blockquote>去年夏天，被困在家里的白领们记下了逾期的项目，并利用了能够轻松与承包商见面的机会。但在许多方面，这种增长是不可持续的。</blockquote></p><p> Consider the kind of purchases homeowners were making according to data from the NPD Group. Faucets, kitchen cabinets and even toilets were among the most popular products sold in 2020. Needless to say, even the most profligate homeowners aren’t going to follow this upgrade cycle of remodeling kitchens and bathrooms on an annual basis.</p><p><blockquote>根据NPD集团的数据，考虑一下房主的购买类型。水龙头、厨柜甚至马桶都是2020年销售的最受欢迎的产品。不用说，即使是最挥霍的房主也不会遵循每年改造厨房和浴室的升级周期。</blockquote></p><p> The same is true for furniture and other home goods. Internet giant Comscore recorded the highest visitation to related websites in history in May 2020 with 133 million web surfers shopping for some kind of home goods. Once again, a new couch or lamp is not an annual purchase — so this trend seems unsustainable for much longer.</p><p><blockquote>家具和其他家居用品也是如此。互联网巨头Comscore在2020年5月记录了历史上相关网站的最高访问量，1.33亿网络冲浪者购买了某种家居用品。再说一次，新沙发或台灯不是每年都会购买的——所以这种趋势似乎无法持续很长时间。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2.&nbsp;Valuations are stretched</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.估值捉襟见肘</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of post-pandemic peaks for home-goods purveyors, we’ve seen the financials bear out these big increases via boosted profits and sales. However, we’ve also seen the stock of many related merchants surge even more — stretching their valuations from historical norms.</p><p><blockquote>谈到家居用品供应商的大流行后高峰，我们已经看到财务状况通过利润和销售额的增加证实了这些大幅增长。然而，我们也看到许多相关商家的股价飙升得更多——超出了历史标准的估值。</blockquote></p><p> Take TJX. Currently this discount retailer has a forward price-to-earnings ratio of more than 26, compared with a forward P/E of just 21 in spring 2020. Its trailing price-to-sales ratio is now 2.1 compared with 1.4.</p><p><blockquote>以TJX为例。目前，这家折扣零售商的远期市盈率超过26，而2020年春季的远期市盈率仅为21。其往绩市销率目前为2.1，而此前为1.4。</blockquote></p><p> What’s more, valuations for previous darlings like TJX are out of line with peers, too. Consider the forward P/E of the overall S&amp;P 500 index is 22 right now, and other similar names like Macy’s M, +0.70% and Big Lots BIG, -3.71% actually have forward P/E ratios well under 10. You can argue TJX is unique, of course… but you also may want to be aware of what “fair value” looks like for many other stocks outside fashionable stay-at-home trades right now.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，TJX等之前宠儿的估值也与同行不符。考虑到目前整个标普500指数的远期市盈率为22，而其他类似的公司，如梅西百货M，+0.70%和Big Lot Big，-3.71%，实际上其远期市盈率远低于10。当然，你可以说TJX是独一无二的……但你可能也想知道目前流行的居家交易之外的许多其他股票的“公允价值”是什么样的。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3.&nbsp;Delays and shortages</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.延误和短缺</b></blockquote></p><p> Future growth from pandemic-fueled peaks in these stocks is not impossible, of course. But given supply chain disruptions it seems highly unlikely. There are a host of reasons for these delays, including overseas shipping delays as well as capacity and output crunches that are affecting many industries, but “stay at home” stocks seem particularly hard hit.</p><p><blockquote>当然，这些股票在大流行推动下达到峰值的未来增长并非不可能。但考虑到供应链中断，这似乎不太可能。造成这些延误的原因有很多，包括海外运输延误以及影响许多行业的产能和产量紧缩，但“呆在家里”的股票似乎受到的打击尤其严重。</blockquote></p><p> Home improvement products are simply nowhere to be found, with roughly 94% of builders reporting “at least some serious shortages of appliances” according to the National Association of Home Builders. Another 93% are running short on framing lumber and 87% say it is hard to obtain windows and doors.</p><p><blockquote>根据全国住宅建筑商协会的数据，家装产品根本无处可寻，大约94%的建筑商报告“至少有一些严重的电器短缺”。另有93%的人缺乏框架木材，87%的人表示很难获得门窗。</blockquote></p><p> Even if you can get past demand concerns, without the raw materials to get to work it’s very hard to see future growth in this category.</p><p><blockquote>即使你可以克服需求问题，如果没有原材料来发挥作用，也很难看到这一类别的未来增长。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4.&nbsp;Inflationary pressures</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.通货膨胀压力</b></blockquote></p><p> For the people who haven’t already ponied up the cash for a contractor or made their peace with extended delays for their expensive new furniture, there is a pretty big disincentive right now for new shoppers: inflation.</p><p><blockquote>对于那些还没有为承包商支付现金或忍受昂贵的新家具长时间延误的人来说，现在对新购物者来说有一个相当大的抑制因素：通货膨胀。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> The cost of living as measured by the Consumer Price Index jumped 0.6% in May to run at a 5% annual rate. That was not only higher than expectations, but the fastest pace since the summer of 2008. The inflation risks were so pronounced that the Federal Reserve publicly stated it could move up the schedule for expected interest rate increases to keep the risks under wraps.</p><p><blockquote>5月份消费者价格指数衡量的生活成本上涨0.6%，年增长率为5%。这不仅高于预期，而且是自2008年夏季以来最快的速度。通胀风险如此明显，以至于美联储公开表示可能会提前预期加息的时间表，以掩盖风险。</blockquote></p><p> Inflation isn’t always a death knell, of course. But it has historically eroded purchasing power and could curtail some of the spending in “stay at home” stocks that we’ve seen in the last year or so.</p><p><blockquote>当然，通货膨胀并不总是丧钟。但从历史上看，它削弱了购买力，并可能减少我们在去年左右看到的“呆在家里”股票的一些支出。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5.&nbsp;Home-equity hubris</b></p><p><blockquote><b>5.房屋净值傲慢</b></blockquote></p><p> Speaking of red-hot inflation: In May, the median price for U.S. homes topped $350,000 for the first time ever — up 23.6% from 2020. What’s more, a Realtor.com survey showed roughly a third of selling homeowners expect to get more than their asking price, and roughly the same amount expect an offer within a week of listing.</p><p><blockquote>说到炙手可热的通货膨胀：5月份，美国房屋中值价格首次突破35万美元，比2020年上涨23.6%。此外，Realtor.com的一项调查显示，大约三分之一的待售房主希望得到高于要价的价格，大约相同数量的房主希望在上市一周内收到报价。</blockquote></p><p> Some of this is justifiable. Many articles have been written in recent years about the dearth of supply in attractive markets, and it’s important to acknowledge the remote work of the pandemic has indeed created some disruptive introspection into why people live where they do.</p><p><blockquote>其中一些是合理的。近年来，有许多文章都是关于有吸引力的市场供应短缺的，重要的是要承认疫情的远程工作确实对人们为什么住在他们居住的地方产生了一些破坏性的反思。</blockquote></p><p> But here’s where things get dicey: homeowners who have already spent the expected premium on their home’s price well in advance. According to Freddie Mac, about $152.7 billion in equity loans were taken out on U.S. houses last year, a massive increase of 41.7% from 2019 and the highest refinancing cash-out dollar amount since 2007.</p><p><blockquote>但事情变得危险的地方是：房主已经提前在房价上花费了预期的溢价。根据房地美的数据，去年美国房屋的股权贷款约为1527亿美元，比2019年大幅增长41.7%，是自2007年以来最高的再融资套现金额。</blockquote></p><p> Anyone remember what happened to the real-estate market in 2007? Or the similar sense of seller entitlement from those days? There’s no clear signs of a bubble bursting just yet, but there’s real risk American homeowners may be overly optimistic about what their homes are worth — and a chance this home equity loan free-for-all simply isn’t sustainable for much longer.</p><p><blockquote>有人记得2007年房地产市场发生了什么吗？还是当年类似的卖家权利感？目前还没有明显的泡沫破裂迹象，但美国房主可能对自己房屋的价值过于乐观，而且这种免费的房屋净值贷款可能不会持续太久。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-shelter-in-suburbia-trade-is-about-to-reverse-and-these-stocks-will-suffer-11624457411?siteid=yhoof2\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-shelter-in-suburbia-trade-is-about-to-reverse-and-these-stocks-will-suffer-11624457411?siteid=yhoof2","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1187819280","content_text":"5 reasons the pandemic megatrend is over.\n\nOne of the biggest investment stories of the COVID-19 pandemic has been the boom in consumer discretionary stocks with a “shelter in suburbia” theme. From e-commerce platforms to home improvement stores to furniture and housewares merchants, many of the top performers have fit this flavor.\nTake the broad-based Vanguard Consumer Discretionary Index Fund ETF VCR, +0.66% that surged more than 90% from March 2020 to March 2021. That was thanks to components like home improvement stocks Lowe’s LOW, -0.30% and Home Depot HD, -0.33% alongside retailers like TJX TJX, -0.08%.\nLately, however, performance has started to lag for many of these names. In fact, since April 1 we’ve seen these three stocks all drift slightly into the red even as the S&P 500 SPX, -0.11% has tacked on about 6% in the same period.\nAnd some fear that may only be the beginning. As one Wall Street insider said recently in a Bloomberg interview, a “huge unwind” is coming for stay-at-home stocks, including hardware stores and home-goods merchants.\nWhile some big-name “suburbia” trades are still relatively stable, signs of trouble are already emerging at the fringes. Century Communities CCS, -0.34% and Dream Finders Homes DFH, -2.55%, two mid-tier single family homebuilders, have seen shares crash by double digits over the last month. On the furnishings side, appliance giant Whirlpool Corporation WHR, -0.51% and department store Nordstrom JWN, +2.03% are down sharply from their spring highs.\nHere are five big reasons why:\n1. The upgrade cycle is over\nLast summer, white-collar workers who were stuck at home made note of overdue projects and took advantage of being able to easily meet with contractors. But in many ways, this growth is not sustainable.\nConsider the kind of purchases homeowners were making according to data from the NPD Group. Faucets, kitchen cabinets and even toilets were among the most popular products sold in 2020. Needless to say, even the most profligate homeowners aren’t going to follow this upgrade cycle of remodeling kitchens and bathrooms on an annual basis.\nThe same is true for furniture and other home goods. Internet giant Comscore recorded the highest visitation to related websites in history in May 2020 with 133 million web surfers shopping for some kind of home goods. Once again, a new couch or lamp is not an annual purchase — so this trend seems unsustainable for much longer.\n2. Valuations are stretched\nSpeaking of post-pandemic peaks for home-goods purveyors, we’ve seen the financials bear out these big increases via boosted profits and sales. However, we’ve also seen the stock of many related merchants surge even more — stretching their valuations from historical norms.\nTake TJX. Currently this discount retailer has a forward price-to-earnings ratio of more than 26, compared with a forward P/E of just 21 in spring 2020. Its trailing price-to-sales ratio is now 2.1 compared with 1.4.\nWhat’s more, valuations for previous darlings like TJX are out of line with peers, too. Consider the forward P/E of the overall S&P 500 index is 22 right now, and other similar names like Macy’s M, +0.70% and Big Lots BIG, -3.71% actually have forward P/E ratios well under 10. You can argue TJX is unique, of course… but you also may want to be aware of what “fair value” looks like for many other stocks outside fashionable stay-at-home trades right now.\n3. Delays and shortages\nFuture growth from pandemic-fueled peaks in these stocks is not impossible, of course. But given supply chain disruptions it seems highly unlikely. There are a host of reasons for these delays, including overseas shipping delays as well as capacity and output crunches that are affecting many industries, but “stay at home” stocks seem particularly hard hit.\nHome improvement products are simply nowhere to be found, with roughly 94% of builders reporting “at least some serious shortages of appliances” according to the National Association of Home Builders. Another 93% are running short on framing lumber and 87% say it is hard to obtain windows and doors.\nEven if you can get past demand concerns, without the raw materials to get to work it’s very hard to see future growth in this category.\n4. Inflationary pressures\nFor the people who haven’t already ponied up the cash for a contractor or made their peace with extended delays for their expensive new furniture, there is a pretty big disincentive right now for new shoppers: inflation.\nThe cost of living as measured by the Consumer Price Index jumped 0.6% in May to run at a 5% annual rate. That was not only higher than expectations, but the fastest pace since the summer of 2008. The inflation risks were so pronounced that the Federal Reserve publicly stated it could move up the schedule for expected interest rate increases to keep the risks under wraps.\nInflation isn’t always a death knell, of course. But it has historically eroded purchasing power and could curtail some of the spending in “stay at home” stocks that we’ve seen in the last year or so.\n5. Home-equity hubris\nSpeaking of red-hot inflation: In May, the median price for U.S. homes topped $350,000 for the first time ever — up 23.6% from 2020. What’s more, a Realtor.com survey showed roughly a third of selling homeowners expect to get more than their asking price, and roughly the same amount expect an offer within a week of listing.\nSome of this is justifiable. Many articles have been written in recent years about the dearth of supply in attractive markets, and it’s important to acknowledge the remote work of the pandemic has indeed created some disruptive introspection into why people live where they do.\nBut here’s where things get dicey: homeowners who have already spent the expected premium on their home’s price well in advance. According to Freddie Mac, about $152.7 billion in equity loans were taken out on U.S. houses last year, a massive increase of 41.7% from 2019 and the highest refinancing cash-out dollar amount since 2007.\nAnyone remember what happened to the real-estate market in 2007? Or the similar sense of seller entitlement from those days? There’s no clear signs of a bubble bursting just yet, but there’s real risk American homeowners may be overly optimistic about what their homes are worth — and a chance this home equity loan free-for-all simply isn’t sustainable for much longer.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1227,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121193097,"gmtCreate":1624455993719,"gmtModify":1634005904714,"author":{"id":"3574559888038133","authorId":"3574559888038133","name":"yrpang","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574559888038133","idStr":"3574559888038133"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"omg j love snp","listText":"omg j love snp","text":"omg j love snp","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/121193097","repostId":"1141331644","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1141331644","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1624455055,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1141331644?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-23 21:30","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 rises for a third day as comeback rally continues<blockquote>标普500连续第三天上涨，反弹仍在继续</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1141331644","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(June 23) U.S. stocks rose on Wednesday, a day after the Nasdaq Composite index hit an all-time high","content":"<p>(June 23)&nbsp;U.S. stocks rose on Wednesday, a day after the Nasdaq Composite index hit an all-time high and the S&amp;P 500 closed just shy of one.</p><p><blockquote>（6月23日）美国。周三股市上涨，一天前纳斯达克综合指数创下历史新高，标普500收盘略低于1点。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 40 points. The S&amp;P 500 gained 0.2%, sitting 0.1% from a record. The Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.2% after closing at a record in the previous session. That was the Nasdaq’s first new high since April 29th as investors have started to rotate back into Big Tech shares.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨40点。标普500上涨0.2%，较历史新高上涨0.1%。纳斯达克综合指数在前一交易日收于创纪录水平后上涨0.2%。这是该纳斯达克自4月29日以来的首个新高，因为投资者已开始转向大型科技股。</blockquote></p><p> Energy names including Exxon Mobil and Chevron climbed as oil prices continued to rise. Brent crude topped $75 a barrel to hit a two-year high on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>随着油价持续上涨，埃克森美孚和雪佛龙等能源股股价上涨。布伦特原油周三突破每桶75美元，创两年新高。</blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin staged an impressive comeback on Tuesday that was carrying through on Wednesday.On Tuesday,the cryptocurrency at one point dipped below $30,000 and erased its gains for 2021. But bitcoin ultimately recouped all of the more than 11% loss and finished the session in positive territory, according to data from Coin Metrics.</p><p><blockquote>比特币在周二上演了令人印象深刻的复出，并一直持续到周三。周二，该加密货币一度跌破30,000美元，抹去了2021年的涨幅。但根据Coin Metrics的数据，比特币最终收复了超过11%的跌幅，并以正值收盘。</blockquote></p><p> At last check,bitcoinwas up another 4% to above $34,000 on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>据最新检查，比特币周三又上涨4%，至34,000美元以上。</blockquote></p><p> EV stocks rose in morning trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8984f8ae7b74f7b0dab8ee0db778efca\" tg-width=\"281\" tg-height=\"210\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Big&nbsp;tech&nbsp;stocks mixed in morning trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6ed5f54b77d44997d7bc777dfccf313\" tg-width=\"282\" tg-height=\"326\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell testified before the House of Representatives on Tuesday, which appeared to lift sentiment as he reiterated that inflation pressures will betemporary.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车股早盘上涨。大型科技股早盘涨跌互现。美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔周二在众议院作证，他重申通胀压力将是暂时的，这似乎提振了市场情绪。</blockquote></p><p> \"Powell outlined how the inflation overshoot is from categories directly affected by reopening,\" said Ed Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda. \"He noted there is extremely strong demand and that the supply has been caught flat-footed.\"</p><p><blockquote>Oanda高级市场分析师埃德·莫亚(Ed Moya)表示：“鲍威尔概述了通胀超调是如何来自受重新开放直接影响的类别。”“他指出，需求极其强劲，而供应却措手不及。”</blockquote></p><p> For June the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are in the green, rising 1% and 3.6%, respectively. The Dow, however, is in the red for the month amid weakness in Caterpillar and JPMorgan.</p><p><blockquote>6月份，标普500和纳斯达克综合指数呈绿色，分别上涨1%和3.6%。然而，由于卡特彼勒和摩根大通的疲软，道琼斯指数本月出现亏损。</blockquote></p><p> Looking ahead, UBS said it maintains a \"positive tactical view on stocks,\" but that gains will be unevenly distributed.</p><p><blockquote>展望未来，瑞银表示，它对股市保持“积极的战术观点”，但收益将分布不均。</blockquote></p><p> \"We see potential in regional markets that lagged in the second quarter, particularly China and Japan, as well as among those companies and sectors most exposed to economic reopening, including energy, financials, and US small- and mid-caps,\" the firm wrote in a recent note to clients. UBS said investors should take profits in some of the year-to-date winners that might have limited upside ahead, including real estate, consumer discretionary and industrial names.</p><p><blockquote>该公司表示：“我们看到了第二季度表现落后的区域市场的潜力，特别是中国和日本，以及那些受经济重新开放影响最大的公司和行业，包括能源、金融和美国中小型股。”在最近给客户的一份报告中写道。瑞银表示，投资者应该在一些今年迄今的涨幅可能有限的股票中获利了结，包括房地产、非必需消费品和工业股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 rises for a third day as comeback rally continues<blockquote>标普500连续第三天上涨，反弹仍在继续</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 rises for a third day as comeback rally continues<blockquote>标普500连续第三天上涨，反弹仍在继续</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-23 21:30</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>(June 23)&nbsp;U.S. stocks rose on Wednesday, a day after the Nasdaq Composite index hit an all-time high and the S&amp;P 500 closed just shy of one.</p><p><blockquote>（6月23日）美国。周三股市上涨，一天前纳斯达克综合指数创下历史新高，标普500收盘略低于1点。</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 40 points. The S&amp;P 500 gained 0.2%, sitting 0.1% from a record. The Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.2% after closing at a record in the previous session. That was the Nasdaq’s first new high since April 29th as investors have started to rotate back into Big Tech shares.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨40点。标普500上涨0.2%，较历史新高上涨0.1%。纳斯达克综合指数在前一交易日收于创纪录水平后上涨0.2%。这是该纳斯达克自4月29日以来的首个新高，因为投资者已开始转向大型科技股。</blockquote></p><p> Energy names including Exxon Mobil and Chevron climbed as oil prices continued to rise. Brent crude topped $75 a barrel to hit a two-year high on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>随着油价持续上涨，埃克森美孚和雪佛龙等能源股股价上涨。布伦特原油周三突破每桶75美元，创两年新高。</blockquote></p><p> Bitcoin staged an impressive comeback on Tuesday that was carrying through on Wednesday.On Tuesday,the cryptocurrency at one point dipped below $30,000 and erased its gains for 2021. But bitcoin ultimately recouped all of the more than 11% loss and finished the session in positive territory, according to data from Coin Metrics.</p><p><blockquote>比特币在周二上演了令人印象深刻的复出，并一直持续到周三。周二，该加密货币一度跌破30,000美元，抹去了2021年的涨幅。但根据Coin Metrics的数据，比特币最终收复了超过11%的跌幅，并以正值收盘。</blockquote></p><p> At last check,bitcoinwas up another 4% to above $34,000 on Wednesday.</p><p><blockquote>据最新检查，比特币周三又上涨4%，至34,000美元以上。</blockquote></p><p> EV stocks rose in morning trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8984f8ae7b74f7b0dab8ee0db778efca\" tg-width=\"281\" tg-height=\"210\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Big&nbsp;tech&nbsp;stocks mixed in morning trading.<img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/a6ed5f54b77d44997d7bc777dfccf313\" tg-width=\"282\" tg-height=\"326\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell testified before the House of Representatives on Tuesday, which appeared to lift sentiment as he reiterated that inflation pressures will betemporary.</p><p><blockquote>电动汽车股早盘上涨。大型科技股早盘涨跌互现。美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔周二在众议院作证，他重申通胀压力将是暂时的，这似乎提振了市场情绪。</blockquote></p><p> \"Powell outlined how the inflation overshoot is from categories directly affected by reopening,\" said Ed Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda. \"He noted there is extremely strong demand and that the supply has been caught flat-footed.\"</p><p><blockquote>Oanda高级市场分析师埃德·莫亚(Ed Moya)表示：“鲍威尔概述了通胀超调是如何来自受重新开放直接影响的类别。”“他指出，需求极其强劲，而供应却措手不及。”</blockquote></p><p> For June the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are in the green, rising 1% and 3.6%, respectively. The Dow, however, is in the red for the month amid weakness in Caterpillar and JPMorgan.</p><p><blockquote>6月份，标普500和纳斯达克综合指数呈绿色，分别上涨1%和3.6%。然而，由于卡特彼勒和摩根大通的疲软，道琼斯指数本月出现亏损。</blockquote></p><p> Looking ahead, UBS said it maintains a \"positive tactical view on stocks,\" but that gains will be unevenly distributed.</p><p><blockquote>展望未来，瑞银表示，它对股市保持“积极的战术观点”，但收益将分布不均。</blockquote></p><p> \"We see potential in regional markets that lagged in the second quarter, particularly China and Japan, as well as among those companies and sectors most exposed to economic reopening, including energy, financials, and US small- and mid-caps,\" the firm wrote in a recent note to clients. UBS said investors should take profits in some of the year-to-date winners that might have limited upside ahead, including real estate, consumer discretionary and industrial names.</p><p><blockquote>该公司表示：“我们看到了第二季度表现落后的区域市场的潜力，特别是中国和日本，以及那些受经济重新开放影响最大的公司和行业，包括能源、金融和美国中小型股。”在最近给客户的一份报告中写道。瑞银表示，投资者应该在一些今年迄今的涨幅可能有限的股票中获利了结，包括房地产、非必需消费品和工业股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1141331644","content_text":"(June 23) U.S. stocks rose on Wednesday, a day after the Nasdaq Composite index hit an all-time high and the S&P 500 closed just shy of one.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 40 points. The S&P 500 gained 0.2%, sitting 0.1% from a record. The Nasdaq Composite climbed 0.2% after closing at a record in the previous session. That was the Nasdaq’s first new high since April 29th as investors have started to rotate back into Big Tech shares.\nEnergy names including Exxon Mobil and Chevron climbed as oil prices continued to rise. Brent crude topped $75 a barrel to hit a two-year high on Wednesday.\nBitcoin staged an impressive comeback on Tuesday that was carrying through on Wednesday.On Tuesday,the cryptocurrency at one point dipped below $30,000 and erased its gains for 2021. But bitcoin ultimately recouped all of the more than 11% loss and finished the session in positive territory, according to data from Coin Metrics.\nAt last check,bitcoinwas up another 4% to above $34,000 on Wednesday.\nEV stocks rose in morning trading.Big tech stocks mixed in morning trading.Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell testified before the House of Representatives on Tuesday, which appeared to lift sentiment as he reiterated that inflation pressures will betemporary.\n\"Powell outlined how the inflation overshoot is from categories directly affected by reopening,\" said Ed Moya, senior market analyst at Oanda. \"He noted there is extremely strong demand and that the supply has been caught flat-footed.\"\nFor June the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are in the green, rising 1% and 3.6%, respectively. The Dow, however, is in the red for the month amid weakness in Caterpillar and JPMorgan.\nLooking ahead, UBS said it maintains a \"positive tactical view on stocks,\" but that gains will be unevenly distributed.\n\"We see potential in regional markets that lagged in the second quarter, particularly China and Japan, as well as among those companies and sectors most exposed to economic reopening, including energy, financials, and US small- and mid-caps,\" the firm wrote in a recent note to clients. UBS said investors should take profits in some of the year-to-date winners that might have limited upside ahead, including real estate, consumer discretionary and industrial names.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1988,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":121199105,"gmtCreate":1624455977707,"gmtModify":1634005905139,"author":{"id":"3574559888038133","authorId":"3574559888038133","name":"yrpang","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574559888038133","idStr":"3574559888038133"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"hahahaha","listText":"hahahaha","text":"hahahaha","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/121199105","repostId":"1145825451","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1722,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169702004,"gmtCreate":1623850012008,"gmtModify":1634027130215,"author":{"id":"3574559888038133","authorId":"3574559888038133","name":"yrpang","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574559888038133","idStr":"3574559888038133"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"nice","listText":"nice","text":"nice","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169702004","repostId":"2143779143","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":344,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":129895414,"gmtCreate":1624368448038,"gmtModify":1634007200634,"author":{"id":"3574559888038133","authorId":"3574559888038133","name":"yrpang","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574559888038133","idStr":"3574559888038133"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"what","listText":"what","text":"what","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/129895414","repostId":"1110726798","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1110726798","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1624362092,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1110726798?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-22 19:41","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1110726798","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"Stock futures rise to extend earlier gains.\nTorchlight Energy Price Gains Premarket.\nGameStop Jumps ","content":"<p><ul>  <li>Stock futures rise to extend earlier gains.</li>  <li>Torchlight Energy Price Gains Premarket.</li>  <li>GameStop Jumps After Raising More Than $1 Billion in New Shares.</li>  <li>GameStop, MicroVision, Sanderson Farms &amp; more made the biggest moves in the premarket.</li> </ul> (June 22)&nbsp;Stock futures rose Tuesday morning to build on gains from a day earlier, with equities recovering from concerns over the path forward for monetary policy last week.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>股票期货上涨，延续了早些时候的涨幅。</li><li>Torchlight Energy价格盘前上涨。</li><li>游戏驿站在新股融资超过10亿美元后股价上涨。</li><li>游戏驿站、MicroVision、Sanderson Farms等在盘前做出了最大的动作。</li></ul>（6月22日）股指期货周二上午上涨，延续前一天的涨幅，股市从上周对货币政策前进方向的担忧中恢复过来。</blockquote></p><p> At 7:47&nbsp;a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 23 points, or 0.07%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 5.75 points, or 0.14%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 39.25 points, or 0.28%.</p><p><blockquote>早上7点47分。美国东部时间，道指e-minis上涨23点，涨幅0.07%，标普500 e-minis上涨5.75点，涨幅0.14%，纳斯达克100 e-minis上涨39.25点，涨幅0.28%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/127a76b6bde89676371162b1b268b550\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"500\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: GameStop, MicroVision, Sanderson Farms &amp; more</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：游戏驿站、MicroVision、桑德森农场等</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1)&nbsp;GameStop(GME)</b> – The videogame retailer's stock jumped 6.8% in the premarket after it had announced it had completed a previously announced sale of 5 million common shares, raising $1.126 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>1）游戏驿站（GME）</b>–这家视频游戏零售商宣布已完成之前宣布的500万股普通股出售，筹集11.26亿美元，该公司股价在盘前上涨6.8%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2)&nbsp;MicroVision(MVIS)</b> – MicroVision shares slid 10.8% in the premarket after the laser technology company said it would sell up to $140 million of stock \"from time to time\" and use the funds for general corporate purposes.</p><p><blockquote><b>2）微视（MVIS）</b>–MicroVision股价盘前下跌10.8%，此前这家激光技术公司表示将“不时”出售最多1.4亿美元的股票，并将资金用于一般公司用途。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3)&nbsp;Sanderson Farms(SAFM) </b>– Sanderson Farms is exploring a possible sale, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to The Wall Street Journal. The paper said the poultry producer has already drawn interest from suitors such as agricultural investment firm Continental Grain. The stock surged 10% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>3）桑德森农场（SAFM）</b>-据接受《华尔街日报》采访的知情人士透露，桑德森农场正在探索可能的出售。该报称，这家家禽生产商已经引起了农业投资公司Continental Grain等追求者的兴趣。该股在盘前上涨10%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4)&nbsp;Torchlight Energy Resources(TRCH)</b> – Torchlight shares gained another 4.9% in premarket trading after a 58% surge in Monday's trading. The oil and gas producer is among the stocks getting increased social media attention on sites like Reddit and Stocktwits.</p><p><blockquote><b>4)火炬之光能源(TRCH)</b>-Torchlight股价在周一交易中飙升58%后，在盘前交易中又上涨4.9%。这家石油和天然气生产商是Reddit和Stocktwits等网站上社交媒体关注度越来越高的股票之一。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5)&nbsp;Alphabet(GOOGL) </b>– The European Unionhas opened a formal antitrust probeof Google's digital ad practices. Part of the investigation will cover some of the same areas involved in a case filed by several U.S. states against the Alphabet operation last year.</p><p><blockquote><b>5）Alphabet（GOOGL）</b>-欧盟对谷歌的数字广告行为展开了正式的反垄断调查。部分调查将涵盖去年美国几个州针对Alphabet行动提起的案件所涉及的一些相同领域。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6)&nbsp;Korn Ferry(KFY)</b> – The consulting firm reported quarterly earnings of $1.21 per share, beating the consensus estimate of 98 cents a share. Revenue topped Wall Street forecasts as well, boosted by its services that help businesses with organizational issues.</p><p><blockquote><b>6）光辉国际（KFY）</b>–该咨询公司报告季度收益为每股1.21美元，超出普遍预期的每股98美分。得益于帮助企业解决组织问题的服务，收入也超出了华尔街的预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>7)&nbsp;Plug Power(PLUG)</b> – The alternative energy provider lost 12 cents per share for its latest quarter, wider than the 8 cents a share loss analysts were expecting. Revenue also came in below estimates. The company said it was hurt by short-term issues – such as hydrogen shortages and the Texas freeze – which are abating in the current quarter. Plug Power shares gained 1.4% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>7）普拉格能源（插头）</b>–这家替代能源提供商最近一个季度每股亏损12美分，高于分析师预期的每股8美分。收入也低于预期。该公司表示，它受到了短期问题的损害，例如氢气短缺和德克萨斯州冰冻，这些问题在本季度正在缓解。普拉格能源股价在盘前交易中上涨1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>8)&nbsp;Boeing(BA)</b> – Boeing announced the departure of lobbyist and political strategist Tim Keating. No reason was given for Keating’s departure, though the company said a search is underway for a permanent replacement. Keating was a key figure helping Boeing navigate the crisis that followed two fatal crashes of the company’s 737 Max jet.</p><p><blockquote><b>8）波音（BA）</b>——波音宣布说客、政治战略家蒂姆·基廷离职。基廷没有给出离职的原因，但该公司表示正在寻找永久替代者。基廷是帮助波音公司度过该公司737 Max喷气式飞机发生两起致命坠机事件后危机的关键人物。</blockquote></p><p> <b>9)&nbsp;Delta Air Lines(DAL) </b>– Delta plans to hire 1,000 more pilots by next summer, according to an internal company memo. The move comes amid a rebound in travel, with Delta saying the leisure travel is already back to pre-pandemic levels and business travel is picking up as well.</p><p><blockquote><b>9)达美航空(DAL)</b>-根据公司内部备忘录，达美航空计划在明年夏天之前再雇佣1,000名飞行员。此举正值旅游业反弹之际，达美航空表示，休闲旅行已经恢复到大流行前的水平，商务旅行也在回升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10)&nbsp;Lordstown Motors(RIDE)</b> – Lordstown remains on watch today following a 5.5% Monday drop. The electric vehicle maker’s executive chairman Angela Strand said the company is “evaluating strategic partners” as part of its search for new funding.</p><p><blockquote><b>10)洛兹敦汽车公司(RIDE)</b>-继周一下跌5.5%后，洛兹敦今天仍受到关注。这家电动汽车制造商的执行主席安吉拉·斯特兰德表示，该公司正在“评估战略合作伙伴”，作为寻找新资金的一部分。</blockquote></p><p> <b>11)&nbsp;Exxon Mobil(XOM) </b>– Exxon Mobil is denying a Bloomberg report that it plans to cut 5% to 10% of its office workforce annually over the next three to five years. Exxon told CNBC it is merely going through its annual employee assessments, which are unrelated to workforce reductions.</p><p><blockquote><b>11)埃克森美孚(XOM)</b>-埃克森美孚否认了彭博社的一份报告，该报告称该公司计划在未来三到五年内每年裁员5%到10%。埃克森美孚告诉CNBC，它只是在进行年度员工评估，这与裁员无关。</blockquote></p><p> <b>12)&nbsp;CrowdStrike(CRWD) </b>– CrowdStrike was upgraded to “buy” from “hold” at Stifel Financial, which points to the cybersecurity company’s potential to increase profit margins and its ability to acquire new customers. CrowdStrike gained 2.8% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>12)CrowdStrike(CRWD)</b>–Stifel Financial将CrowdStrike的评级从“持有”上调至“买入”，这表明这家网络安全公司具有提高利润率的潜力及其获取新客户的能力。CrowdStrike盘前上涨2.8%。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Toplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nToplines Before US Market Open on Tuesday<blockquote>周二美国市场开盘前的营收</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2021-06-22 19:41</p>\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><ul>  <li>Stock futures rise to extend earlier gains.</li>  <li>Torchlight Energy Price Gains Premarket.</li>  <li>GameStop Jumps After Raising More Than $1 Billion in New Shares.</li>  <li>GameStop, MicroVision, Sanderson Farms &amp; more made the biggest moves in the premarket.</li> </ul> (June 22)&nbsp;Stock futures rose Tuesday morning to build on gains from a day earlier, with equities recovering from concerns over the path forward for monetary policy last week.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>股票期货上涨，延续了早些时候的涨幅。</li><li>Torchlight Energy价格盘前上涨。</li><li>游戏驿站在新股融资超过10亿美元后股价上涨。</li><li>游戏驿站、MicroVision、Sanderson Farms等在盘前做出了最大的动作。</li></ul>（6月22日）股指期货周二上午上涨，延续前一天的涨幅，股市从上周对货币政策前进方向的担忧中恢复过来。</blockquote></p><p> At 7:47&nbsp;a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 23 points, or 0.07%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were up 5.75 points, or 0.14%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 39.25 points, or 0.28%.</p><p><blockquote>早上7点47分。美国东部时间，道指e-minis上涨23点，涨幅0.07%，标普500 e-minis上涨5.75点，涨幅0.14%，纳斯达克100 e-minis上涨39.25点，涨幅0.28%。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/127a76b6bde89676371162b1b268b550\" tg-width=\"1242\" tg-height=\"500\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p> <b>Stocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: GameStop, MicroVision, Sanderson Farms &amp; more</b></p><p><blockquote><b>盘前涨幅最大的股票：游戏驿站、MicroVision、桑德森农场等</b></blockquote></p><p> <b>1)&nbsp;GameStop(GME)</b> – The videogame retailer's stock jumped 6.8% in the premarket after it had announced it had completed a previously announced sale of 5 million common shares, raising $1.126 billion.</p><p><blockquote><b>1）游戏驿站（GME）</b>–这家视频游戏零售商宣布已完成之前宣布的500万股普通股出售，筹集11.26亿美元，该公司股价在盘前上涨6.8%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2)&nbsp;MicroVision(MVIS)</b> – MicroVision shares slid 10.8% in the premarket after the laser technology company said it would sell up to $140 million of stock \"from time to time\" and use the funds for general corporate purposes.</p><p><blockquote><b>2）微视（MVIS）</b>–MicroVision股价盘前下跌10.8%，此前这家激光技术公司表示将“不时”出售最多1.4亿美元的股票，并将资金用于一般公司用途。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3)&nbsp;Sanderson Farms(SAFM) </b>– Sanderson Farms is exploring a possible sale, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to The Wall Street Journal. The paper said the poultry producer has already drawn interest from suitors such as agricultural investment firm Continental Grain. The stock surged 10% in premarket action.</p><p><blockquote><b>3）桑德森农场（SAFM）</b>-据接受《华尔街日报》采访的知情人士透露，桑德森农场正在探索可能的出售。该报称，这家家禽生产商已经引起了农业投资公司Continental Grain等追求者的兴趣。该股在盘前上涨10%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4)&nbsp;Torchlight Energy Resources(TRCH)</b> – Torchlight shares gained another 4.9% in premarket trading after a 58% surge in Monday's trading. The oil and gas producer is among the stocks getting increased social media attention on sites like Reddit and Stocktwits.</p><p><blockquote><b>4)火炬之光能源(TRCH)</b>-Torchlight股价在周一交易中飙升58%后，在盘前交易中又上涨4.9%。这家石油和天然气生产商是Reddit和Stocktwits等网站上社交媒体关注度越来越高的股票之一。</blockquote></p><p> <b>5)&nbsp;Alphabet(GOOGL) </b>– The European Unionhas opened a formal antitrust probeof Google's digital ad practices. Part of the investigation will cover some of the same areas involved in a case filed by several U.S. states against the Alphabet operation last year.</p><p><blockquote><b>5）Alphabet（GOOGL）</b>-欧盟对谷歌的数字广告行为展开了正式的反垄断调查。部分调查将涵盖去年美国几个州针对Alphabet行动提起的案件所涉及的一些相同领域。</blockquote></p><p> <b>6)&nbsp;Korn Ferry(KFY)</b> – The consulting firm reported quarterly earnings of $1.21 per share, beating the consensus estimate of 98 cents a share. Revenue topped Wall Street forecasts as well, boosted by its services that help businesses with organizational issues.</p><p><blockquote><b>6）光辉国际（KFY）</b>–该咨询公司报告季度收益为每股1.21美元，超出普遍预期的每股98美分。得益于帮助企业解决组织问题的服务，收入也超出了华尔街的预期。</blockquote></p><p> <b>7)&nbsp;Plug Power(PLUG)</b> – The alternative energy provider lost 12 cents per share for its latest quarter, wider than the 8 cents a share loss analysts were expecting. Revenue also came in below estimates. The company said it was hurt by short-term issues – such as hydrogen shortages and the Texas freeze – which are abating in the current quarter. Plug Power shares gained 1.4% in premarket trading.</p><p><blockquote><b>7）普拉格能源（插头）</b>–这家替代能源提供商最近一个季度每股亏损12美分，高于分析师预期的每股8美分。收入也低于预期。该公司表示，它受到了短期问题的损害，例如氢气短缺和德克萨斯州冰冻，这些问题在本季度正在缓解。普拉格能源股价在盘前交易中上涨1.4%。</blockquote></p><p> <b>8)&nbsp;Boeing(BA)</b> – Boeing announced the departure of lobbyist and political strategist Tim Keating. No reason was given for Keating’s departure, though the company said a search is underway for a permanent replacement. Keating was a key figure helping Boeing navigate the crisis that followed two fatal crashes of the company’s 737 Max jet.</p><p><blockquote><b>8）波音（BA）</b>——波音宣布说客、政治战略家蒂姆·基廷离职。基廷没有给出离职的原因，但该公司表示正在寻找永久替代者。基廷是帮助波音公司度过该公司737 Max喷气式飞机发生两起致命坠机事件后危机的关键人物。</blockquote></p><p> <b>9)&nbsp;Delta Air Lines(DAL) </b>– Delta plans to hire 1,000 more pilots by next summer, according to an internal company memo. The move comes amid a rebound in travel, with Delta saying the leisure travel is already back to pre-pandemic levels and business travel is picking up as well.</p><p><blockquote><b>9)达美航空(DAL)</b>-根据公司内部备忘录，达美航空计划在明年夏天之前再雇佣1,000名飞行员。此举正值旅游业反弹之际，达美航空表示，休闲旅行已经恢复到大流行前的水平，商务旅行也在回升。</blockquote></p><p> <b>10)&nbsp;Lordstown Motors(RIDE)</b> – Lordstown remains on watch today following a 5.5% Monday drop. The electric vehicle maker’s executive chairman Angela Strand said the company is “evaluating strategic partners” as part of its search for new funding.</p><p><blockquote><b>10)洛兹敦汽车公司(RIDE)</b>-继周一下跌5.5%后，洛兹敦今天仍受到关注。这家电动汽车制造商的执行主席安吉拉·斯特兰德表示，该公司正在“评估战略合作伙伴”，作为寻找新资金的一部分。</blockquote></p><p> <b>11)&nbsp;Exxon Mobil(XOM) </b>– Exxon Mobil is denying a Bloomberg report that it plans to cut 5% to 10% of its office workforce annually over the next three to five years. Exxon told CNBC it is merely going through its annual employee assessments, which are unrelated to workforce reductions.</p><p><blockquote><b>11)埃克森美孚(XOM)</b>-埃克森美孚否认了彭博社的一份报告，该报告称该公司计划在未来三到五年内每年裁员5%到10%。埃克森美孚告诉CNBC，它只是在进行年度员工评估，这与裁员无关。</blockquote></p><p> <b>12)&nbsp;CrowdStrike(CRWD) </b>– CrowdStrike was upgraded to “buy” from “hold” at Stifel Financial, which points to the cybersecurity company’s potential to increase profit margins and its ability to acquire new customers. CrowdStrike gained 2.8% in the premarket.</p><p><blockquote><b>12)CrowdStrike(CRWD)</b>–Stifel Financial将CrowdStrike的评级从“持有”上调至“买入”，这表明这家网络安全公司具有提高利润率的潜力及其获取新客户的能力。CrowdStrike盘前上涨2.8%。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1110726798","content_text":"Stock futures rise to extend earlier gains.\nTorchlight Energy Price Gains Premarket.\nGameStop Jumps After Raising More Than $1 Billion in New Shares.\nGameStop, MicroVision, Sanderson Farms & more made the biggest moves in the premarket.\n\n(June 22) Stock futures rose Tuesday morning to build on gains from a day earlier, with equities recovering from concerns over the path forward for monetary policy last week.\nAt 7:47 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were up 23 points, or 0.07%, S&P 500 e-minis were up 5.75 points, or 0.14%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were up 39.25 points, or 0.28%.\n\nStocks making the biggest moves in the premarket: GameStop, MicroVision, Sanderson Farms & more\n1) GameStop(GME) – The videogame retailer's stock jumped 6.8% in the premarket after it had announced it had completed a previously announced sale of 5 million common shares, raising $1.126 billion.\n2) MicroVision(MVIS) – MicroVision shares slid 10.8% in the premarket after the laser technology company said it would sell up to $140 million of stock \"from time to time\" and use the funds for general corporate purposes.\n3) Sanderson Farms(SAFM) – Sanderson Farms is exploring a possible sale, according to people familiar with the matter who spoke to The Wall Street Journal. The paper said the poultry producer has already drawn interest from suitors such as agricultural investment firm Continental Grain. The stock surged 10% in premarket action.\n4) Torchlight Energy Resources(TRCH) – Torchlight shares gained another 4.9% in premarket trading after a 58% surge in Monday's trading. The oil and gas producer is among the stocks getting increased social media attention on sites like Reddit and Stocktwits.\n5) Alphabet(GOOGL) – The European Unionhas opened a formal antitrust probeof Google's digital ad practices. Part of the investigation will cover some of the same areas involved in a case filed by several U.S. states against the Alphabet operation last year.\n6) Korn Ferry(KFY) – The consulting firm reported quarterly earnings of $1.21 per share, beating the consensus estimate of 98 cents a share. Revenue topped Wall Street forecasts as well, boosted by its services that help businesses with organizational issues.\n7) Plug Power(PLUG) – The alternative energy provider lost 12 cents per share for its latest quarter, wider than the 8 cents a share loss analysts were expecting. Revenue also came in below estimates. The company said it was hurt by short-term issues – such as hydrogen shortages and the Texas freeze – which are abating in the current quarter. Plug Power shares gained 1.4% in premarket trading.\n8) Boeing(BA) – Boeing announced the departure of lobbyist and political strategist Tim Keating. No reason was given for Keating’s departure, though the company said a search is underway for a permanent replacement. Keating was a key figure helping Boeing navigate the crisis that followed two fatal crashes of the company’s 737 Max jet.\n9) Delta Air Lines(DAL) – Delta plans to hire 1,000 more pilots by next summer, according to an internal company memo. The move comes amid a rebound in travel, with Delta saying the leisure travel is already back to pre-pandemic levels and business travel is picking up as well.\n10) Lordstown Motors(RIDE) – Lordstown remains on watch today following a 5.5% Monday drop. The electric vehicle maker’s executive chairman Angela Strand said the company is “evaluating strategic partners” as part of its search for new funding.\n11) Exxon Mobil(XOM) – Exxon Mobil is denying a Bloomberg report that it plans to cut 5% to 10% of its office workforce annually over the next three to five years. Exxon told CNBC it is merely going through its annual employee assessments, which are unrelated to workforce reductions.\n12) CrowdStrike(CRWD) – CrowdStrike was upgraded to “buy” from “hold” at Stifel Financial, which points to the cybersecurity company’s potential to increase profit margins and its ability to acquire new customers. CrowdStrike gained 2.8% in the premarket.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1531,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":167732180,"gmtCreate":1624284361640,"gmtModify":1634008406227,"author":{"id":"3574559888038133","authorId":"3574559888038133","name":"yrpang","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574559888038133","idStr":"3574559888038133"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"kk","listText":"kk","text":"kk","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/167732180","repostId":"1133913488","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1133913488","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1624283796,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1133913488?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-21 21:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Nomura Warns Of Market \"Reversal Risk\" As FedSpeak Walks Back 'Bullard Bomb'<blockquote>野村证券警告市场“逆转风险”，美联储讲话收回“布拉德炸弹”</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1133913488","media":"zerohedge","summary":"After last week’s market fireworks on the Fed's \"hawkish surprise\" and Jim Bullard's \"you think that's hawkish, hold my beer\" moment on Friday morning, which has many market participants screaming “policy error\", Nomura's Charlie McElligott warnstraders now need to be ready for some potential “reversal of the rhetoric” this week-especially as we are looking at an astounding sixteen (!) Fed speakers on the calendar ahead......which is notable in that bothTreasury Yields and Equities are already s","content":"<p>After last week’s market fireworks on the Fed's \"hawkish surprise\" and Jim Bullard's \"you think that's hawkish, hold my beer\" moment on Friday morning, which has many market participants screaming “policy error\", Nomura's Charlie McElligott warns<b>traders now need to be ready for some potential “reversal of the rhetoric” this week</b>-<i>especially as we are looking at an astounding sixteen (!) Fed speakers on the calendar ahead...</i></p><p><blockquote>继上周美联储的“鹰派惊喜”和吉姆·布拉德周五早上的“你认为这是鹰派，拿着我的啤酒”时刻引发市场烟花之后，许多市场参与者尖叫“政策错误”，野村证券的查理·麦克埃利戈特警告说<b>交易员现在需要为本周一些潜在的“言论逆转”做好准备</b>-<i>尤其是当我们看到一个令人震惊的十六（！）未来日历上的美联储发言人...</i></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b9c98ddf2dc1b15c2d57d8c2421a348\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"235\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>...which is notable in that both</i><i><b>Treasury Yields and Equities are already substantially higher versus Asian reopening lows</b></i><i>...</i></p><p><blockquote><i>值得注意的是</i><i><b>美国国债收益率和股市已经大幅高于亚洲重新开放的低点</b></i><i>...</i></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51d6b2b76cf82953faef9bf5fab63418\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"312\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Which McElligott warns,<b>risks creating a counter-trend reversal which could catch many flat-footed again as tactically, any semblance of walking-back from the Fed could then elicit an optic of “Reflation,”</b>&nbsp;particularly if USD were to weaken further from here, Real Yields were to again tilt more negative and UST curves then again “bear-steepen” after their eye-water liquidations / stop-out last week—which too would then likely trigger a concurrent bounceback of the prior “Cyclical Value over Secular Growth” trend in US Equities,&nbsp;<i>after said expressions were powerfully de-grossed last week</i>&nbsp;(Nasdaq +0.4% last wk vs Russell -4.1%)</p><p><blockquote>McElligott警告说，<b>造成逆势逆转的风险可能会让许多人再次措手不及，因为从战术上讲，美联储任何后退的迹象都可能引发“通货再膨胀”的观点。</b>特别是如果美元从这里进一步走弱，实际收益率将再次向负值倾斜，UST曲线在上周令人眼花缭乱的清算/止损后再次“熊市陡峭”——这也可能引发美国股市先前“周期性价值超过长期增长”趋势的同时反弹，<i>上周，上述表达方式的票房大幅下降</i>（纳斯达克上周+0.4%，罗素-4.1%）</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><i>Equities “Reflation” last week: Nomura 10 Yr Yield Sensitive Factor -4.6%; Cyclical Value Factor -3.5%; Growth Nowcast -3.1%; LT Momentum -3.1%; Wolfe AVID Value -2.7%; Defensive Value -2.4%</i></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><i>上周股市“通货再膨胀”：野村10年期收益率敏感因子-4.6%；周期价值因子-3.5%；增长预测-3.1%；LT动量-3.1%；沃尔夫狂热价值-2.7%；防御价值-2.4%</i></li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><i>Equities “Duration” last week: IG Credit Sensitive Factor +2.7%; HF Crowding +2.2%; Low Risk +2.0%; Size (Big-Small) +1.3%; Dividend +1.0%</i></p><p><blockquote><li><i>上周股市“久期”：IG信用敏感因子+2.7%；高频拥挤+2.2%；低风险+2.0%；尺寸（大-小）+1.3%；股息+1.0%</i></li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> <b>This is what the unspoken “third Fed mandate” of maintaining “easy financial conditions at all costs” hath wrought</b><i>-</i>an absurd cycle where Fed policy and the US economy actually works to a point where in “old” central banking, the Fed would accordingly pivot “hawkish” and begin tightening policy; but in the “Fed Put” world order, market forces now pull-ahead the negative economic slowdown implications of said “tightening” and have “taper tantrums” creating market volatility,&nbsp;<b>ultimately forcing the Fed to walk-back hawkish tone shifts if the market.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>这就是美联储“不惜一切代价维持宽松的金融环境”这一不言而喻的“第三项任务”所取得的成就</b><i>-</i>这是一个荒谬的循环，美联储政策和美国经济实际上发挥了作用，在“旧”央行中，美联储将相应地转向“鹰派”并开始收紧政策；但在“美联储看跌”的世界秩序中，市场力量现在将上述“紧缩”对经济放缓的负面影响提前，并产生“缩减恐慌”，造成市场波动，<b>最终迫使美联储让步——如果市场发生鹰派基调转变。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ca8c1b6e282ef937647386ccbcdc21b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"272\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">In this case,<b>the risk this week then becomes that some portion of the very active calendar of Fed speakers will now voice a “concern” that last week’s dot plot and SEP will work against their previously stated FAIT desire and impede future growth- and inflation- expectations,and could then message on just how “conditional” those forecasts are -</b><i>i.e. downplaying their forecasting ability, in an attempt to reverse some of the market’s pull-forward of “tighter financial conditions” due to perceived “hawkish pivot” from Fed which nullifies their own prior efforts to reset future inflation expectations!</i></p><p><blockquote>在这种情况下，<b>本周的风险是，美联储发言人非常活跃的日历中的一些人现在将表达“担忧”，即上周的点阵图和SEP将违背他们之前陈述的事实愿望，并阻碍未来的增长和通胀预期，然后可以传达这些预测的“条件”程度如何——</b><i>即淡化他们的预测能力，试图扭转市场因美联储“鹰派转向”而对“金融状况收紧”的部分拉动，这抵消了他们之前重置未来通胀预期的努力！</i></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72edd0892cdcb8696310f135ba5dec38\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"273\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">And as we have now seen countless times before, if the Fed then again “bends the knee” to market forces, the vol spike and forced deleveraging / hedging of risk-assets is then reversed with “rich vols” then sold into, which in standard lagging-fashion will mean that as trailing rVol then resets lower following the expected “Fed back-track,” a large covering of dynamic hedges (shorts) and / or mechancial re-leveraging of risk-asset exposure from “Target Volatility / Vol Control” universe will then see markets resume their rise, as vols are smashed<b><i>- “Crash-down, then crash-up” rinse / repeat.</i></b></p><p><blockquote>正如我们以前无数次看到的那样，如果美联储再次向市场力量“屈膝”，风险资产的波动率飙升和强制去杠杆/对冲就会被“丰富的波动率”逆转，然后被出售，这在标准的滞后方式中将意味着，随着预期的“美联储回溯”之后，随着波动率被粉碎，跟踪rVol然后重置较低，动态对冲（空头）的大量回补和/或风险资产敞口的机械再杠杆化将导致市场恢复上涨<b><i>-“向下碰撞，然后向上碰撞”冲洗/重复。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> To further contribute to these potential “sling-shot” (crash-down, then crash-up) optics,&nbsp;<b>we now inherently see much “cleaner” options positioning (current ES at 4167, which is the “Delta Neutral vs Spot” level) post last week’s abnormally outsized Op-Ex&nbsp;</b><b><i>(although worth-noting that we are now in “short Gamma vs spot” territory at 4167 last vs 4237 “Gamma neutral” line).</i></b></p><p><blockquote>为了进一步促进这些潜在的“弹弓”（向下碰撞，然后向上碰撞）光学器件，<b>在上周异常超大的Op-Ex之后，我们现在本质上看到了更“干净”的期权定位（当前ES为4167，这是“Delta中性vs现货”水平）</b><b><i>（尽管值得注意的是，我们现在处于“短伽马vs现货”区域，位于4167 last vs 4237“伽马中性”线）。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db8e096623b51035a7813c45b7dc2b02\" tg-width=\"996\" tg-height=\"618\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>And in the case that the incremental “hawkish Fed surprise” vol spike is sold into Dealers by the VRP crowd&nbsp;</b><b><i>(particular with any semblance of “Fed walk-back” this wk),</i></b><b>&nbsp;this impulse supply of Volatility- and Gamma- will again then perpetuate a more stable, insulated market thereafter, as Dealer “long Gamma” means hedging flows will further squelch the potential for market moves</b>- hence, the virtuous cycle phase of the “vol selling” feedback loop.</p><p><blockquote><b>在VRP人群将增量“鹰派美联储意外”成交量飙升出售给交易商的情况下</b><b><i>（特别是本周任何“美联储回退”的迹象），</i></b><b>这种波动性和伽马的冲动供应将再次使市场更加稳定、隔离，因为交易商“做多伽马”意味着对冲流动将进一步抑制市场波动的可能性</b>-因此，“销量销售”反馈循环的良性循环阶段。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNomura Warns Of Market \"Reversal Risk\" As FedSpeak Walks Back 'Bullard Bomb'<blockquote>野村证券警告市场“逆转风险”，美联储讲话收回“布拉德炸弹”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">zerohedge</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-21 21:56</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>After last week’s market fireworks on the Fed's \"hawkish surprise\" and Jim Bullard's \"you think that's hawkish, hold my beer\" moment on Friday morning, which has many market participants screaming “policy error\", Nomura's Charlie McElligott warns<b>traders now need to be ready for some potential “reversal of the rhetoric” this week</b>-<i>especially as we are looking at an astounding sixteen (!) Fed speakers on the calendar ahead...</i></p><p><blockquote>继上周美联储的“鹰派惊喜”和吉姆·布拉德周五早上的“你认为这是鹰派，拿着我的啤酒”时刻引发市场烟花之后，许多市场参与者尖叫“政策错误”，野村证券的查理·麦克埃利戈特警告说<b>交易员现在需要为本周一些潜在的“言论逆转”做好准备</b>-<i>尤其是当我们看到一个令人震惊的十六（！）未来日历上的美联储发言人...</i></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7b9c98ddf2dc1b15c2d57d8c2421a348\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"235\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><i>...which is notable in that both</i><i><b>Treasury Yields and Equities are already substantially higher versus Asian reopening lows</b></i><i>...</i></p><p><blockquote><i>值得注意的是</i><i><b>美国国债收益率和股市已经大幅高于亚洲重新开放的低点</b></i><i>...</i></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/51d6b2b76cf82953faef9bf5fab63418\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"312\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Which McElligott warns,<b>risks creating a counter-trend reversal which could catch many flat-footed again as tactically, any semblance of walking-back from the Fed could then elicit an optic of “Reflation,”</b>&nbsp;particularly if USD were to weaken further from here, Real Yields were to again tilt more negative and UST curves then again “bear-steepen” after their eye-water liquidations / stop-out last week—which too would then likely trigger a concurrent bounceback of the prior “Cyclical Value over Secular Growth” trend in US Equities,&nbsp;<i>after said expressions were powerfully de-grossed last week</i>&nbsp;(Nasdaq +0.4% last wk vs Russell -4.1%)</p><p><blockquote>McElligott警告说，<b>造成逆势逆转的风险可能会让许多人再次措手不及，因为从战术上讲，美联储任何后退的迹象都可能引发“通货再膨胀”的观点。</b>特别是如果美元从这里进一步走弱，实际收益率将再次向负值倾斜，UST曲线在上周令人眼花缭乱的清算/止损后再次“熊市陡峭”——这也可能引发美国股市先前“周期性价值超过长期增长”趋势的同时反弹，<i>上周，上述表达方式的票房大幅下降</i>（纳斯达克上周+0.4%，罗素-4.1%）</blockquote></p><p> <ul>  <li><i>Equities “Reflation” last week: Nomura 10 Yr Yield Sensitive Factor -4.6%; Cyclical Value Factor -3.5%; Growth Nowcast -3.1%; LT Momentum -3.1%; Wolfe AVID Value -2.7%; Defensive Value -2.4%</i></p><p><blockquote><ul><li><i>上周股市“通货再膨胀”：野村10年期收益率敏感因子-4.6%；周期价值因子-3.5%；增长预测-3.1%；LT动量-3.1%；沃尔夫狂热价值-2.7%；防御价值-2.4%</i></li></ul></blockquote></p><p></li>  <li><i>Equities “Duration” last week: IG Credit Sensitive Factor +2.7%; HF Crowding +2.2%; Low Risk +2.0%; Size (Big-Small) +1.3%; Dividend +1.0%</i></p><p><blockquote><li><i>上周股市“久期”：IG信用敏感因子+2.7%；高频拥挤+2.2%；低风险+2.0%；尺寸（大-小）+1.3%；股息+1.0%</i></li></blockquote></p><p></li> </ul> <b>This is what the unspoken “third Fed mandate” of maintaining “easy financial conditions at all costs” hath wrought</b><i>-</i>an absurd cycle where Fed policy and the US economy actually works to a point where in “old” central banking, the Fed would accordingly pivot “hawkish” and begin tightening policy; but in the “Fed Put” world order, market forces now pull-ahead the negative economic slowdown implications of said “tightening” and have “taper tantrums” creating market volatility,&nbsp;<b>ultimately forcing the Fed to walk-back hawkish tone shifts if the market.</b></p><p><blockquote><b>这就是美联储“不惜一切代价维持宽松的金融环境”这一不言而喻的“第三项任务”所取得的成就</b><i>-</i>这是一个荒谬的循环，美联储政策和美国经济实际上发挥了作用，在“旧”央行中，美联储将相应地转向“鹰派”并开始收紧政策；但在“美联储看跌”的世界秩序中，市场力量现在将上述“紧缩”对经济放缓的负面影响提前，并产生“缩减恐慌”，造成市场波动，<b>最终迫使美联储让步——如果市场发生鹰派基调转变。</b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0ca8c1b6e282ef937647386ccbcdc21b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"272\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">In this case,<b>the risk this week then becomes that some portion of the very active calendar of Fed speakers will now voice a “concern” that last week’s dot plot and SEP will work against their previously stated FAIT desire and impede future growth- and inflation- expectations,and could then message on just how “conditional” those forecasts are -</b><i>i.e. downplaying their forecasting ability, in an attempt to reverse some of the market’s pull-forward of “tighter financial conditions” due to perceived “hawkish pivot” from Fed which nullifies their own prior efforts to reset future inflation expectations!</i></p><p><blockquote>在这种情况下，<b>本周的风险是，美联储发言人非常活跃的日历中的一些人现在将表达“担忧”，即上周的点阵图和SEP将违背他们之前陈述的事实愿望，并阻碍未来的增长和通胀预期，然后可以传达这些预测的“条件”程度如何——</b><i>即淡化他们的预测能力，试图扭转市场因美联储“鹰派转向”而对“金融状况收紧”的部分拉动，这抵消了他们之前重置未来通胀预期的努力！</i></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72edd0892cdcb8696310f135ba5dec38\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"273\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">And as we have now seen countless times before, if the Fed then again “bends the knee” to market forces, the vol spike and forced deleveraging / hedging of risk-assets is then reversed with “rich vols” then sold into, which in standard lagging-fashion will mean that as trailing rVol then resets lower following the expected “Fed back-track,” a large covering of dynamic hedges (shorts) and / or mechancial re-leveraging of risk-asset exposure from “Target Volatility / Vol Control” universe will then see markets resume their rise, as vols are smashed<b><i>- “Crash-down, then crash-up” rinse / repeat.</i></b></p><p><blockquote>正如我们以前无数次看到的那样，如果美联储再次向市场力量“屈膝”，风险资产的波动率飙升和强制去杠杆/对冲就会被“丰富的波动率”逆转，然后被出售，这在标准的滞后方式中将意味着，随着预期的“美联储回溯”之后，随着波动率被粉碎，跟踪rVol然后重置较低，动态对冲（空头）的大量回补和/或风险资产敞口的机械再杠杆化将导致市场恢复上涨<b><i>-“向下碰撞，然后向上碰撞”冲洗/重复。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> To further contribute to these potential “sling-shot” (crash-down, then crash-up) optics,&nbsp;<b>we now inherently see much “cleaner” options positioning (current ES at 4167, which is the “Delta Neutral vs Spot” level) post last week’s abnormally outsized Op-Ex&nbsp;</b><b><i>(although worth-noting that we are now in “short Gamma vs spot” territory at 4167 last vs 4237 “Gamma neutral” line).</i></b></p><p><blockquote>为了进一步促进这些潜在的“弹弓”（向下碰撞，然后向上碰撞）光学器件，<b>在上周异常超大的Op-Ex之后，我们现在本质上看到了更“干净”的期权定位（当前ES为4167，这是“Delta中性vs现货”水平）</b><b><i>（尽管值得注意的是，我们现在处于“短伽马vs现货”区域，位于4167 last vs 4237“伽马中性”线）。</i></b></blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/db8e096623b51035a7813c45b7dc2b02\" tg-width=\"996\" tg-height=\"618\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p><p> <b>And in the case that the incremental “hawkish Fed surprise” vol spike is sold into Dealers by the VRP crowd&nbsp;</b><b><i>(particular with any semblance of “Fed walk-back” this wk),</i></b><b>&nbsp;this impulse supply of Volatility- and Gamma- will again then perpetuate a more stable, insulated market thereafter, as Dealer “long Gamma” means hedging flows will further squelch the potential for market moves</b>- hence, the virtuous cycle phase of the “vol selling” feedback loop.</p><p><blockquote><b>在VRP人群将增量“鹰派美联储意外”成交量飙升出售给交易商的情况下</b><b><i>（特别是本周任何“美联储回退”的迹象），</i></b><b>这种波动性和伽马的冲动供应将再次使市场更加稳定、隔离，因为交易商“做多伽马”意味着对冲流动将进一步抑制市场波动的可能性</b>-因此，“销量销售”反馈循环的良性循环阶段。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/nomura-warns-market-reversal-risk-fedspeak-walks-back-bulard-bomb?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29\">zerohedge</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/nomura-warns-market-reversal-risk-fedspeak-walks-back-bulard-bomb?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+zerohedge%2Ffeed+%28zero+hedge+-+on+a+long+enough+timeline%2C+the+survival+rate+for+everyone+drops+to+zero%29","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1133913488","content_text":"After last week’s market fireworks on the Fed's \"hawkish surprise\" and Jim Bullard's \"you think that's hawkish, hold my beer\" moment on Friday morning, which has many market participants screaming “policy error\", Nomura's Charlie McElligott warnstraders now need to be ready for some potential “reversal of the rhetoric” this week-especially as we are looking at an astounding sixteen (!) Fed speakers on the calendar ahead...\n...which is notable in that bothTreasury Yields and Equities are already substantially higher versus Asian reopening lows...\nWhich McElligott warns,risks creating a counter-trend reversal which could catch many flat-footed again as tactically, any semblance of walking-back from the Fed could then elicit an optic of “Reflation,” particularly if USD were to weaken further from here, Real Yields were to again tilt more negative and UST curves then again “bear-steepen” after their eye-water liquidations / stop-out last week—which too would then likely trigger a concurrent bounceback of the prior “Cyclical Value over Secular Growth” trend in US Equities, after said expressions were powerfully de-grossed last week (Nasdaq +0.4% last wk vs Russell -4.1%)\n\nEquities “Reflation” last week: Nomura 10 Yr Yield Sensitive Factor -4.6%; Cyclical Value Factor -3.5%; Growth Nowcast -3.1%; LT Momentum -3.1%; Wolfe AVID Value -2.7%; Defensive Value -2.4%\nEquities “Duration” last week: IG Credit Sensitive Factor +2.7%; HF Crowding +2.2%; Low Risk +2.0%; Size (Big-Small) +1.3%; Dividend +1.0%\n\nThis is what the unspoken “third Fed mandate” of maintaining “easy financial conditions at all costs” hath wrought-an absurd cycle where Fed policy and the US economy actually works to a point where in “old” central banking, the Fed would accordingly pivot “hawkish” and begin tightening policy; but in the “Fed Put” world order, market forces now pull-ahead the negative economic slowdown implications of said “tightening” and have “taper tantrums” creating market volatility, ultimately forcing the Fed to walk-back hawkish tone shifts if the market.\nIn this case,the risk this week then becomes that some portion of the very active calendar of Fed speakers will now voice a “concern” that last week’s dot plot and SEP will work against their previously stated FAIT desire and impede future growth- and inflation- expectations,and could then message on just how “conditional” those forecasts are -i.e. downplaying their forecasting ability, in an attempt to reverse some of the market’s pull-forward of “tighter financial conditions” due to perceived “hawkish pivot” from Fed which nullifies their own prior efforts to reset future inflation expectations!\nAnd as we have now seen countless times before, if the Fed then again “bends the knee” to market forces, the vol spike and forced deleveraging / hedging of risk-assets is then reversed with “rich vols” then sold into, which in standard lagging-fashion will mean that as trailing rVol then resets lower following the expected “Fed back-track,” a large covering of dynamic hedges (shorts) and / or mechancial re-leveraging of risk-asset exposure from “Target Volatility / Vol Control” universe will then see markets resume their rise, as vols are smashed- “Crash-down, then crash-up” rinse / repeat.\nTo further contribute to these potential “sling-shot” (crash-down, then crash-up) optics, we now inherently see much “cleaner” options positioning (current ES at 4167, which is the “Delta Neutral vs Spot” level) post last week’s abnormally outsized Op-Ex (although worth-noting that we are now in “short Gamma vs spot” territory at 4167 last vs 4237 “Gamma neutral” line).\n\nAnd in the case that the incremental “hawkish Fed surprise” vol spike is sold into Dealers by the VRP crowd (particular with any semblance of “Fed walk-back” this wk), this impulse supply of Volatility- and Gamma- will again then perpetuate a more stable, insulated market thereafter, as Dealer “long Gamma” means hedging flows will further squelch the potential for market moves- hence, the virtuous cycle phase of the “vol selling” feedback loop.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":547,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":164844748,"gmtCreate":1624195937084,"gmtModify":1634009598915,"author":{"id":"3574559888038133","authorId":"3574559888038133","name":"yrpang","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574559888038133","idStr":"3574559888038133"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"wow","listText":"wow","text":"wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/164844748","repostId":"1199331995","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":687,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":321001729,"gmtCreate":1615382300961,"gmtModify":1703488176636,"author":{"id":"3574559888038133","authorId":"3574559888038133","name":"yrpang","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3574559888038133","idStr":"3574559888038133"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"I agree","listText":"I agree","text":"I 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