NZAaron的个人主页 - 老虎社区

NZAaron

NZAaron

暂无个人介绍

IP属地：未知

215关注

17粉丝

0主题

0勋章

2021-07-10

up

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-06

Up

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-03

up

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-07-02

Up

S&P 500 winning streak extends to sixth straight record close<blockquote>标普500连胜纪录延续至六连胜纪录收盘</blockquote>

2021-07-01

Up

The S&P 500 Notches Its Second-Best First Half Since the Dot-Com Bubble. What Comes Next.<blockquote>标普500取得了自互联网泡沫以来第二好的上半年成绩。接下来会发生什么。</blockquote>

2021-06-30

Up

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-29

Up

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-28

Up

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-26

Up

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-25

Up

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-25

Up

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-23

Up

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-22

Up

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-20

Up

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-18

up

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-17

Up

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-16

up

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-15

Up

抱歉，原内容已删除

2021-06-14

Up

Palantir vs. C3.ai: Which Is the Better Artificial Intelligence Stock?<blockquote>Palantir与C3.ai：哪个是更好的人工智能股票？</blockquote>

2021-06-12

up

抱歉，原内容已删除

去老虎APP查看更多动态

{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"userPageInfo":{"id":"3569857179667022","uuid":"3569857179667022","gmtCreate":1606773859968,"gmtModify":1606964556704,"name":"NZAaron","pinyin":"nzaaron","introduction":"","introductionEn":null,"signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93b23bffa6908c8c6d569d0f2bc6bb9","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":17,"headSize":215,"tweetSize":129,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":1,"name":"萌萌虎","nameTw":"萌萌虎","represent":"呱呱坠地","factor":"评论帖子3次或发布1条主帖（非转发）","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":null,"userBadges":[{"badgeId":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561-1","templateUuid":"e50ce593bb40487ebfb542ca54f6a561","name":"出道虎友","description":"加入老虎社区500天","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0e4d0ca1da0456dc7894c946d44bf9ab","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0f2f65e8ce4cfaae8db2bea9b127f58b","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c5948a31b6edf154422335b265235809","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.04.16","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d-3","templateUuid":"228c86a078844d74991fff2b7ab2428d","name":"投资合伙人虎","description":"证券账户累计交易金额达到100万美元","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fbeac6bb240db7da8b972e5183d050ba","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/436cdf80292b99f0a992e78750ac4e3a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/506a259a7b456f037592c3b23c779599","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2022.01.11","exceedPercentage":"93.34%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1101},{"badgeId":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969-3","templateUuid":"35ec162348d5460f88c959321e554969","name":"传说交易员","description":"证券或期货账户累计交易次数达到300次","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/656db16598a0b8f21429e10d6c1cb033","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/03f10910d4dd9234f9b5702a3342193a","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0c767e35268feb729d50d3fa9a386c5a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.28","exceedPercentage":"93.35%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37-1","templateUuid":"976c19eed35f4cd78f17501c2e99ef37","name":"博闻投资者","description":"累计交易超过10只正股","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/e74cc24115c4fbae6154ec1b1041bf47","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d48265cbfd97c57f9048db29f22227b0","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76c6d6898b073c77e1c537ebe9ac1c57","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1102},{"badgeId":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a-1","templateUuid":"518b5610c3e8410da5cfad115e4b0f5a","name":"实盘交易者","description":"完成一笔实盘交易","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":5,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":"未知","starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"baikeInfo":{},"tab":"post","tweets":[{"id":141610962,"gmtCreate":1625863444456,"gmtModify":1633936669135,"author":{"id":"3569857179667022","authorId":"3569857179667022","name":"NZAaron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93b23bffa6908c8c6d569d0f2bc6bb9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569857179667022","idStr":"3569857179667022"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"up","listText":"up","text":"up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/141610962","repostId":"1155625151","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1278,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":154293928,"gmtCreate":1625528722964,"gmtModify":1633940042688,"author":{"id":"3569857179667022","authorId":"3569857179667022","name":"NZAaron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93b23bffa6908c8c6d569d0f2bc6bb9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569857179667022","idStr":"3569857179667022"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/154293928","repostId":"1116255026","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3010,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":152925244,"gmtCreate":1625264848788,"gmtModify":1633942047635,"author":{"id":"3569857179667022","authorId":"3569857179667022","name":"NZAaron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93b23bffa6908c8c6d569d0f2bc6bb9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569857179667022","idStr":"3569857179667022"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"up","listText":"up","text":"up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/152925244","repostId":"1165340887","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1511,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":156318993,"gmtCreate":1625194956712,"gmtModify":1633942656938,"author":{"id":"3569857179667022","authorId":"3569857179667022","name":"NZAaron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93b23bffa6908c8c6d569d0f2bc6bb9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569857179667022","idStr":"3569857179667022"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/156318993","repostId":"1175817125","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1175817125","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625180880,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1175817125?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-02 07:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"S&P 500 winning streak extends to sixth straight record close<blockquote>标普500连胜纪录延续至六连胜纪录收盘</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1175817125","media":"Reuters","summary":"NEW YORK  - The S&P 500 reached its sixth consecutive all-time closing high on Thursday, as a new quarter and the second half of the year began with upbeat economic data and a broad-based rally.Investors now eye Friday’s much-anticipated employment report.The bellwether index is enjoying its longest winning streak since early February, and the last time it logged six straight all-time highs was last August.“Historical data shows if you have a strong first half, the second half of the year was ac","content":"<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 reached its sixth consecutive all-time closing high on Thursday, as a new quarter and the second half of the year began with upbeat economic data and a broad-based rally.</p><p><blockquote>路透纽约4月5日电——标普500周四连续第六次创下历史收盘新高，新的季度和下半年以乐观的经济数据和广泛的反弹开始。</blockquote></p><p> Investors now eye Friday’s much-anticipated employment report.</p><p><blockquote>投资者现在关注周五备受期待的就业报告。</blockquote></p><p> The bellwether index is enjoying its longest winning streak since early February, and the last time it logged six straight all-time highs was last August.</p><p><blockquote>该领头羊指数正在享受自2月初以来最长的连涨，上一次连续六次创下历史新高是在去年8月。</blockquote></p><p> “Historical data shows if you have a strong first half, the second half of the year was actually going even stronger,” said Ross Mayfield, investment strategy analyst with Baird Private Wealth.</p><p><blockquote>Baird Private Wealth投资策略分析师罗斯·梅菲尔德(Ross Mayfield)表示：“历史数据显示，如果上半年表现强劲，那么下半年实际上会更加强劲。”</blockquote></p><p> All three major U.S. stock indexes ended the session in positive territory, but a decline in tech shares - led by microchips - tempered the Nasdaq’s gain.</p><p><blockquote>美国三大股指均收涨，但以微芯片为首的科技股下跌削弱了纳斯达克的涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index slid 1.5%</p><p><blockquote>费城SE半导体指数下跌1.5%</blockquote></p><p> “For markets so far this year, boring is beautiful,” said David Carter, chief investment officer at Lenox Wealth Advisors in New York. “Economic growth has been strong enough to support prices and many asset classes are trading with historically low volatility.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约Lenox Wealth Advisors首席投资官David Carter表示：“对于今年迄今为止的市场来说，无聊是美好的。”“经济增长强劲，足以支撑价格，许多资产类别的交易波动性处于历史低位。”</blockquote></p><p> “It feels like investors left for the Fourth of July weekend about three months ago.”</p><p><blockquote>“感觉投资者大约三个月前就离开了7月4日周末。”</blockquote></p><p> The ongoing worker shortage, attributed to federal emergency unemployment benefits, a childcare shortage and lingering pandemic fears, was a common theme in the day’s economic data.</p><p><blockquote>由于联邦紧急失业救济金、儿童保育短缺和挥之不去的大流行担忧，持续的工人短缺是当天经济数据中的一个共同主题。</blockquote></p><p> Jobless claims continued their downward trajectory according to the Labor Department, touching their lowest level since the pandemic shutdown, and a report from Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas showed planned layoffs by U.S. firms were down 88% from last year, hitting a 21-year low.</p><p><blockquote>根据劳工部的数据，初请失业金人数继续下降，达到大流行关闭以来的最低水平，Challenger，Gray&amp;Christmas的一份报告显示，美国企业的计划裁员人数比去年下降了88%，创下21年来的新低。</blockquote></p><p> Activity at U.S. factories expanded at a slightly decelerated pace in June, according to the Institute for Supply Management’s (ISM) purchasing managers’ index (PMI), with the employment component dipping into contraction for the first time since November. The prices paid index, driven higher by the current demand/supply imbalance, soared to its highest level since 1979, according to ISM.</p><p><blockquote>根据美国供应管理协会(ISM)的采购经理人指数(PMI)，6月份美国工厂活动扩张速度略有放缓，其中就业部分自11月份以来首次陷入收缩。根据ISM的数据，在当前供需失衡的推动下，支付价格指数飙升至1979年以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> “The employment and manufacturing data released today supported the idea of continued growth but at a decelerated rate,” Carter added.</p><p><blockquote>卡特补充道：“今天公布的就业和制造业数据支持了持续增长但增速放缓的观点。”</blockquote></p><p> Friday’s hotly anticipated jobs report is expected to show payrolls growing by 700,000 and unemployment inching down to 5.7%. A robust upside surprise could lead the U.S. Federal Reserve to adjust its timetable for tapering its securities purchases and raising key interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>周五备受期待的就业报告预计将显示就业人数增加70万，失业率小幅下降至5.7%。强劲的上行意外可能会导致美联储调整缩减证券购买和提高关键利率的时间表。</blockquote></p><p> “Too-strong economic data could perversely be a bad thing for markets if it caused the Fed to raise rates faster than expected,” Carter said. “Weak employment data may actually be welcomed.”</p><p><blockquote>卡特表示：“如果过于强劲的经济数据导致美联储加息速度快于预期，那么对市场来说可能是一件坏事。”“疲软的就业数据实际上可能会受到欢迎。”</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 131.02 points, or 0.38%, to 34,633.53, the S&amp;P 500 gained 22.44 points, or 0.52%, to 4,319.94 and the Nasdaq Composite added 18.42 points, or 0.13%, to 14,522.38.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨131.02点，涨幅0.38%，至34,633.53点；标普500上涨22.44点，涨幅0.52%，至4,319.94点；纳斯达克综合指数上涨18.42点，涨幅0.13%，至14,522.38点。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, consumer staples was the sole loser, shedding 0.3%.</p><p><blockquote>在标普500的11个主要板块中，必需消费品是唯一的跌幅，下跌0.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc dropped 7.4% after it said it expects to administer fewer COVID-19 vaccine shots in the fourth quarter.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔格林博姿联盟公司(Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc)表示预计第四季度将减少COVID-19疫苗注射量，股价下跌7.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Didi Global Inc jumped 16.0%, on its second day of trading as a U.S.-listed company.</p><p><blockquote>滴滴出行在美国上市第二天上涨16.0%。</blockquote></p><p> Micron Technology Inc slid by 5.7% following a report that Texas Instruments would buy Micron’s Lehi, Utah, factory for $900 million.</p><p><blockquote>有报道称德州仪器(Texas Instruments)将以9亿美元收购美光科技(Micron Technology Inc)位于犹他州利希(Lehi)的工厂，该公司股价下跌5.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.78-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.32-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨股与下跌股的比例为1.78比1；在纳斯达克，1.32比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 36 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 78 new highs and 30 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下36个52周新高，无新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得78个新高和30个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.53 billion shares, compared with the 10.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所成交量为95.3亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为109亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>S&P 500 winning streak extends to sixth straight record close<blockquote>标普500连胜纪录延续至六连胜纪录收盘</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nS&P 500 winning streak extends to sixth straight record close<blockquote>标普500连胜纪录延续至六连胜纪录收盘</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Reuters</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-02 07:08</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&amp;P 500 reached its sixth consecutive all-time closing high on Thursday, as a new quarter and the second half of the year began with upbeat economic data and a broad-based rally.</p><p><blockquote>路透纽约4月5日电——标普500周四连续第六次创下历史收盘新高，新的季度和下半年以乐观的经济数据和广泛的反弹开始。</blockquote></p><p> Investors now eye Friday’s much-anticipated employment report.</p><p><blockquote>投资者现在关注周五备受期待的就业报告。</blockquote></p><p> The bellwether index is enjoying its longest winning streak since early February, and the last time it logged six straight all-time highs was last August.</p><p><blockquote>该领头羊指数正在享受自2月初以来最长的连涨，上一次连续六次创下历史新高是在去年8月。</blockquote></p><p> “Historical data shows if you have a strong first half, the second half of the year was actually going even stronger,” said Ross Mayfield, investment strategy analyst with Baird Private Wealth.</p><p><blockquote>Baird Private Wealth投资策略分析师罗斯·梅菲尔德(Ross Mayfield)表示：“历史数据显示，如果上半年表现强劲，那么下半年实际上会更加强劲。”</blockquote></p><p> All three major U.S. stock indexes ended the session in positive territory, but a decline in tech shares - led by microchips - tempered the Nasdaq’s gain.</p><p><blockquote>美国三大股指均收涨，但以微芯片为首的科技股下跌削弱了纳斯达克的涨幅。</blockquote></p><p> The Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index slid 1.5%</p><p><blockquote>费城SE半导体指数下跌1.5%</blockquote></p><p> “For markets so far this year, boring is beautiful,” said David Carter, chief investment officer at Lenox Wealth Advisors in New York. “Economic growth has been strong enough to support prices and many asset classes are trading with historically low volatility.”</p><p><blockquote>纽约Lenox Wealth Advisors首席投资官David Carter表示：“对于今年迄今为止的市场来说，无聊是美好的。”“经济增长强劲，足以支撑价格，许多资产类别的交易波动性处于历史低位。”</blockquote></p><p> “It feels like investors left for the Fourth of July weekend about three months ago.”</p><p><blockquote>“感觉投资者大约三个月前就离开了7月4日周末。”</blockquote></p><p> The ongoing worker shortage, attributed to federal emergency unemployment benefits, a childcare shortage and lingering pandemic fears, was a common theme in the day’s economic data.</p><p><blockquote>由于联邦紧急失业救济金、儿童保育短缺和挥之不去的大流行担忧，持续的工人短缺是当天经济数据中的一个共同主题。</blockquote></p><p> Jobless claims continued their downward trajectory according to the Labor Department, touching their lowest level since the pandemic shutdown, and a report from Challenger, Gray &amp; Christmas showed planned layoffs by U.S. firms were down 88% from last year, hitting a 21-year low.</p><p><blockquote>根据劳工部的数据，初请失业金人数继续下降，达到大流行关闭以来的最低水平，Challenger，Gray&amp;Christmas的一份报告显示，美国企业的计划裁员人数比去年下降了88%，创下21年来的新低。</blockquote></p><p> Activity at U.S. factories expanded at a slightly decelerated pace in June, according to the Institute for Supply Management’s (ISM) purchasing managers’ index (PMI), with the employment component dipping into contraction for the first time since November. The prices paid index, driven higher by the current demand/supply imbalance, soared to its highest level since 1979, according to ISM.</p><p><blockquote>根据美国供应管理协会(ISM)的采购经理人指数(PMI)，6月份美国工厂活动扩张速度略有放缓，其中就业部分自11月份以来首次陷入收缩。根据ISM的数据，在当前供需失衡的推动下，支付价格指数飙升至1979年以来的最高水平。</blockquote></p><p> “The employment and manufacturing data released today supported the idea of continued growth but at a decelerated rate,” Carter added.</p><p><blockquote>卡特补充道：“今天公布的就业和制造业数据支持了持续增长但增速放缓的观点。”</blockquote></p><p> Friday’s hotly anticipated jobs report is expected to show payrolls growing by 700,000 and unemployment inching down to 5.7%. A robust upside surprise could lead the U.S. Federal Reserve to adjust its timetable for tapering its securities purchases and raising key interest rates.</p><p><blockquote>周五备受期待的就业报告预计将显示就业人数增加70万，失业率小幅下降至5.7%。强劲的上行意外可能会导致美联储调整缩减证券购买和提高关键利率的时间表。</blockquote></p><p> “Too-strong economic data could perversely be a bad thing for markets if it caused the Fed to raise rates faster than expected,” Carter said. “Weak employment data may actually be welcomed.”</p><p><blockquote>卡特表示：“如果过于强劲的经济数据导致美联储加息速度快于预期，那么对市场来说可能是一件坏事。”“疲软的就业数据实际上可能会受到欢迎。”</blockquote></p><p> The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 131.02 points, or 0.38%, to 34,633.53, the S&amp;P 500 gained 22.44 points, or 0.52%, to 4,319.94 and the Nasdaq Composite added 18.42 points, or 0.13%, to 14,522.38.</p><p><blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数上涨131.02点，涨幅0.38%，至34,633.53点；标普500上涨22.44点，涨幅0.52%，至4,319.94点；纳斯达克综合指数上涨18.42点，涨幅0.13%，至14,522.38点。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 11 major sectors in the S&amp;P 500, consumer staples was the sole loser, shedding 0.3%.</p><p><blockquote>在标普500的11个主要板块中，必需消费品是唯一的跌幅，下跌0.3%。</blockquote></p><p> Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc dropped 7.4% after it said it expects to administer fewer COVID-19 vaccine shots in the fourth quarter.</p><p><blockquote>沃尔格林博姿联盟公司(Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc)表示预计第四季度将减少COVID-19疫苗注射量，股价下跌7.4%。</blockquote></p><p> Didi Global Inc jumped 16.0%, on its second day of trading as a U.S.-listed company.</p><p><blockquote>滴滴出行在美国上市第二天上涨16.0%。</blockquote></p><p> Micron Technology Inc slid by 5.7% following a report that Texas Instruments would buy Micron’s Lehi, Utah, factory for $900 million.</p><p><blockquote>有报道称德州仪器(Texas Instruments)将以9亿美元收购美光科技(Micron Technology Inc)位于犹他州利希(Lehi)的工厂，该公司股价下跌5.7%。</blockquote></p><p> Advancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.78-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.32-to-1 ratio favored advancers.</p><p><blockquote>纽约证券交易所上涨股与下跌股的比例为1.78比1；在纳斯达克，1.32比1的比率有利于上涨者。</blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 posted 36 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 78 new highs and 30 new lows.</p><p><blockquote>标普500创下36个52周新高，无新低；纳斯达克综合指数录得78个新高和30个新低。</blockquote></p><p> Volume on U.S. exchanges was 9.53 billion shares, compared with the 10.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.</p><p><blockquote>美国交易所成交量为95.3亿股，而过去20个交易日的平均成交量为109亿股。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-winning-streak-extends-to-sixth-straight-record-close-idUSL2N2OD332\">Reuters</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.reuters.com/article/usa-stocks/us-stocks-sp-500-winning-streak-extends-to-sixth-straight-record-close-idUSL2N2OD332","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1175817125","content_text":"NEW YORK (Reuters) - The S&P 500 reached its sixth consecutive all-time closing high on Thursday, as a new quarter and the second half of the year began with upbeat economic data and a broad-based rally.\nInvestors now eye Friday’s much-anticipated employment report.\nThe bellwether index is enjoying its longest winning streak since early February, and the last time it logged six straight all-time highs was last August.\n“Historical data shows if you have a strong first half, the second half of the year was actually going even stronger,” said Ross Mayfield, investment strategy analyst with Baird Private Wealth.\nAll three major U.S. stock indexes ended the session in positive territory, but a decline in tech shares - led by microchips - tempered the Nasdaq’s gain.\nThe Philadelphia SE Semiconductor index slid 1.5%\n“For markets so far this year, boring is beautiful,” said David Carter, chief investment officer at Lenox Wealth Advisors in New York. “Economic growth has been strong enough to support prices and many asset classes are trading with historically low volatility.”\n“It feels like investors left for the Fourth of July weekend about three months ago.”\nThe ongoing worker shortage, attributed to federal emergency unemployment benefits, a childcare shortage and lingering pandemic fears, was a common theme in the day’s economic data.\nJobless claims continued their downward trajectory according to the Labor Department, touching their lowest level since the pandemic shutdown, and a report from Challenger, Gray & Christmas showed planned layoffs by U.S. firms were down 88% from last year, hitting a 21-year low.\nActivity at U.S. factories expanded at a slightly decelerated pace in June, according to the Institute for Supply Management’s (ISM) purchasing managers’ index (PMI), with the employment component dipping into contraction for the first time since November. The prices paid index, driven higher by the current demand/supply imbalance, soared to its highest level since 1979, according to ISM.\n“The employment and manufacturing data released today supported the idea of continued growth but at a decelerated rate,” Carter added.\nFriday’s hotly anticipated jobs report is expected to show payrolls growing by 700,000 and unemployment inching down to 5.7%. A robust upside surprise could lead the U.S. Federal Reserve to adjust its timetable for tapering its securities purchases and raising key interest rates.\n“Too-strong economic data could perversely be a bad thing for markets if it caused the Fed to raise rates faster than expected,” Carter said. “Weak employment data may actually be welcomed.”\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 131.02 points, or 0.38%, to 34,633.53, the S&P 500 gained 22.44 points, or 0.52%, to 4,319.94 and the Nasdaq Composite added 18.42 points, or 0.13%, to 14,522.38.\nOf the 11 major sectors in the S&P 500, consumer staples was the sole loser, shedding 0.3%.\nWalgreens Boots Alliance Inc dropped 7.4% after it said it expects to administer fewer COVID-19 vaccine shots in the fourth quarter.\nDidi Global Inc jumped 16.0%, on its second day of trading as a U.S.-listed company.\nMicron Technology Inc slid by 5.7% following a report that Texas Instruments would buy Micron’s Lehi, Utah, factory for $900 million.\nAdvancing issues outnumbered declining ones on the NYSE by a 1.78-to-1 ratio; on Nasdaq, a 1.32-to-1 ratio favored advancers.\nThe S&P 500 posted 36 new 52-week highs and no new lows; the Nasdaq Composite recorded 78 new highs and 30 new lows.\nVolume on U.S. exchanges was 9.53 billion shares, compared with the 10.9 billion average over the last 20 trading days.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2075,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":158944886,"gmtCreate":1625126660245,"gmtModify":1633944516717,"author":{"id":"3569857179667022","authorId":"3569857179667022","name":"NZAaron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93b23bffa6908c8c6d569d0f2bc6bb9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569857179667022","idStr":"3569857179667022"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158944886","repostId":"1106223449","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106223449","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625122086,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1106223449?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-01 14:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The S&P 500 Notches Its Second-Best First Half Since the Dot-Com Bubble. What Comes Next.<blockquote>标普500取得了自互联网泡沫以来第二好的上半年成绩。接下来会发生什么。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106223449","media":"Barrons","summary":"Since 1979, the S&P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year.\nThe S&P 5","content":"<p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d70d0323609e9ce596a9a90e475422d1\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Since 1979, the S&amp;P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>自1979年以来，标普500上半年涨幅达到或超过10%已有14次。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 closed its second-best first half since the dot-com bubble. Don’t be surprised if the stock market keeps on rising.</p><p><blockquote>标普500的上半年表现是自互联网泡沫以来第二好的。如果股市继续上涨，不要感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p> With June coming to an end, the S&amp;P 500 finished the first half of 2021 with a gain of 14.4%. Since 1998, only 2019’s 17.4% first-half surge has been larger.</p><p><blockquote>随着6月接近尾声，标普500以14.4%的涨幅结束了2021年上半年。自1998年以来，只有2019年上半年17.4%的增幅更大。</blockquote></p><p> The market got a boost from Covid-19 vaccinations, which have helped the U.S. economy reopen, while trillions of dollars of fiscal stimulus have helped shore up demand. The gains continued even as concerns about inflation have increased speculation that the Federal Reserve would be forced to take steps to slow the economy.</p><p><blockquote>Covid-19疫苗接种提振了市场，帮助美国经济重新开放，而数万亿美元的财政刺激措施帮助支撑了需求。尽管对通胀的担忧加剧了人们对美联储将被迫采取措施减缓经济增长的猜测，但涨幅仍在继续。</blockquote></p><p> The combination of big gains and a more hawkish Fed have raised concerns that the market has become too complacent. If inflation continues to run hot for long enough, the central bank could be forced to act more quickly than the market expects—and&nbsp;cause stocks to tumble. Others worry that&nbsp;U.S. economic growth could slow faster than investors anticipate, causing a pullback in the process.</p><p><blockquote>大幅上涨和美联储更加鹰派的结合引发了市场过于自满的担忧。如果通胀持续持续足够长的时间，央行可能会被迫以比市场预期更快的速度采取行动，并导致股市暴跌。其他人担心美国。经济增长放缓的速度可能快于投资者的预期，导致经济增长放缓。</blockquote></p><p> For those who take that view, there is no better time to back away from the stock market than the present. History suggests otherwise.</p><p><blockquote>对于持这种观点的人来说，没有比现在更好的退出股市的时机了。历史表明并非如此。</blockquote></p><p> Since 1979, the S&amp;P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year, and the index has gone on to average a 6.3% gain over the second half of the year. What’s more, the index finished the second half of the year higher In 11 of those instances, or 79% of the time.</p><p><blockquote>自1979年以来，标普500上半年涨幅达到或超过10%的有14次，下半年该指数平均涨幅为6.3%。更重要的是，该指数在下半年有11次（即79%的时间）走高。</blockquote></p><p> Even the losses, when they occurred, weren’t all that bad. The S&amp;P 500 dropped 1.9% in the second half of 1983 and 3.5% during the last six months of 1986.</p><p><blockquote>即使是损失，当它们发生时，也没有那么糟糕。标普500在1983年下半年下降了1.9%，在1986年最后六个月下降了3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> The one exception was the last six months of 1987 when the index fell 19% during the second half of the year. That period included Black Monday, when the S&amp;P 500 dropped 20% in one day, still a record loss. While selling linked to so-called&nbsp;portfolio insurance&nbsp;was ultimately blamed for the size and speed of the loss, the second half of 1987 was&nbsp;a period of rising bond yields and high stock-market valuations, just like the first half of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>一个例外是1987年的最后六个月，该指数在下半年下跌了19%。那段时间包括黑色星期一，当时标普500在一天内下跌了20%，仍然是创纪录的跌幅。虽然与所谓投资组合保险相关的抛售最终被归咎于损失的规模和速度，但1987年下半年是债券收益率上升和股市估值高的时期，就像2021年上半年一样。</blockquote></p><p> Still, the market has been acting like it wants to go higher, not lower. Pullbacks, a normal event in the midst of bull runs, have been mild in 2021, with the largest drops being less than 4%. “What the [S&amp;P 500] has done throughout 2021 is pick itself up when and where it has needed to, maintaining an uptrend all along,” writes Frank&nbsp;Cappelleri, chief market technician at Instinet.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，市场一直表现得想要走高，而不是走低。回调是牛市中的正常事件，在2021年表现温和，最大跌幅不到4%。Instinet首席市场技术员Frank Cappelleri写道：“[标普500]在2021年所做的就是在需要的时间和地点回升，始终保持上升趋势。”</blockquote></p><p> That 6.3% average second-half rise would push the S&amp;P 500’s full-year gain to around 23%. That would represent a “textbook [market] recovery” from a recession, says Fundstrat’s Tom Lee.</p><p><blockquote>下半年6.3%的平均涨幅将使标普500的全年涨幅达到23%左右。Fundstrat的汤姆·李(Tom Lee)表示，这将代表着从衰退中“教科书式的[市场]复苏”。</blockquote></p><p> For now, at least, the path of least resistance is higher.</p><p><blockquote>至少就目前而言，阻力最小的路径更高。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cb229b2e05d59b9c126d464a7d771bb\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"647\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The S&P 500 Notches Its Second-Best First Half Since the Dot-Com Bubble. What Comes Next.<blockquote>标普500取得了自互联网泡沫以来第二好的上半年成绩。接下来会发生什么。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe S&P 500 Notches Its Second-Best First Half Since the Dot-Com Bubble. What Comes Next.<blockquote>标普500取得了自互联网泡沫以来第二好的上半年成绩。接下来会发生什么。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-01 14:48</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d70d0323609e9ce596a9a90e475422d1\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Since 1979, the S&amp;P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>自1979年以来，标普500上半年涨幅达到或超过10%已有14次。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 closed its second-best first half since the dot-com bubble. Don’t be surprised if the stock market keeps on rising.</p><p><blockquote>标普500的上半年表现是自互联网泡沫以来第二好的。如果股市继续上涨，不要感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p> With June coming to an end, the S&amp;P 500 finished the first half of 2021 with a gain of 14.4%. Since 1998, only 2019’s 17.4% first-half surge has been larger.</p><p><blockquote>随着6月接近尾声，标普500以14.4%的涨幅结束了2021年上半年。自1998年以来，只有2019年上半年17.4%的增幅更大。</blockquote></p><p> The market got a boost from Covid-19 vaccinations, which have helped the U.S. economy reopen, while trillions of dollars of fiscal stimulus have helped shore up demand. The gains continued even as concerns about inflation have increased speculation that the Federal Reserve would be forced to take steps to slow the economy.</p><p><blockquote>Covid-19疫苗接种提振了市场，帮助美国经济重新开放，而数万亿美元的财政刺激措施帮助支撑了需求。尽管对通胀的担忧加剧了人们对美联储将被迫采取措施减缓经济增长的猜测，但涨幅仍在继续。</blockquote></p><p> The combination of big gains and a more hawkish Fed have raised concerns that the market has become too complacent. If inflation continues to run hot for long enough, the central bank could be forced to act more quickly than the market expects—and&nbsp;cause stocks to tumble. Others worry that&nbsp;U.S. economic growth could slow faster than investors anticipate, causing a pullback in the process.</p><p><blockquote>大幅上涨和美联储更加鹰派的结合引发了市场过于自满的担忧。如果通胀持续持续足够长的时间，央行可能会被迫以比市场预期更快的速度采取行动，并导致股市暴跌。其他人担心美国。经济增长放缓的速度可能快于投资者的预期，导致经济增长放缓。</blockquote></p><p> For those who take that view, there is no better time to back away from the stock market than the present. History suggests otherwise.</p><p><blockquote>对于持这种观点的人来说，没有比现在更好的退出股市的时机了。历史表明并非如此。</blockquote></p><p> Since 1979, the S&amp;P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year, and the index has gone on to average a 6.3% gain over the second half of the year. What’s more, the index finished the second half of the year higher In 11 of those instances, or 79% of the time.</p><p><blockquote>自1979年以来，标普500上半年涨幅达到或超过10%的有14次，下半年该指数平均涨幅为6.3%。更重要的是，该指数在下半年有11次（即79%的时间）走高。</blockquote></p><p> Even the losses, when they occurred, weren’t all that bad. The S&amp;P 500 dropped 1.9% in the second half of 1983 and 3.5% during the last six months of 1986.</p><p><blockquote>即使是损失，当它们发生时，也没有那么糟糕。标普500在1983年下半年下降了1.9%，在1986年最后六个月下降了3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> The one exception was the last six months of 1987 when the index fell 19% during the second half of the year. That period included Black Monday, when the S&amp;P 500 dropped 20% in one day, still a record loss. While selling linked to so-called&nbsp;portfolio insurance&nbsp;was ultimately blamed for the size and speed of the loss, the second half of 1987 was&nbsp;a period of rising bond yields and high stock-market valuations, just like the first half of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>一个例外是1987年的最后六个月，该指数在下半年下跌了19%。那段时间包括黑色星期一，当时标普500在一天内下跌了20%，仍然是创纪录的跌幅。虽然与所谓投资组合保险相关的抛售最终被归咎于损失的规模和速度，但1987年下半年是债券收益率上升和股市估值高的时期，就像2021年上半年一样。</blockquote></p><p> Still, the market has been acting like it wants to go higher, not lower. Pullbacks, a normal event in the midst of bull runs, have been mild in 2021, with the largest drops being less than 4%. “What the [S&amp;P 500] has done throughout 2021 is pick itself up when and where it has needed to, maintaining an uptrend all along,” writes Frank&nbsp;Cappelleri, chief market technician at Instinet.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，市场一直表现得想要走高，而不是走低。回调是牛市中的正常事件，在2021年表现温和，最大跌幅不到4%。Instinet首席市场技术员Frank Cappelleri写道：“[标普500]在2021年所做的就是在需要的时间和地点回升，始终保持上升趋势。”</blockquote></p><p> That 6.3% average second-half rise would push the S&amp;P 500’s full-year gain to around 23%. That would represent a “textbook [market] recovery” from a recession, says Fundstrat’s Tom Lee.</p><p><blockquote>下半年6.3%的平均涨幅将使标普500的全年涨幅达到23%左右。Fundstrat的汤姆·李(Tom Lee)表示，这将代表着从衰退中“教科书式的[市场]复苏”。</blockquote></p><p> For now, at least, the path of least resistance is higher.</p><p><blockquote>至少就目前而言，阻力最小的路径更高。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cb229b2e05d59b9c126d464a7d771bb\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"647\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-futures-crash-gains-51625071996?mod=hp_LEAD_1\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-futures-crash-gains-51625071996?mod=hp_LEAD_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106223449","content_text":"Since 1979, the S&P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year.\nThe S&P 500 closed its second-best first half since the dot-com bubble. Don’t be surprised if the stock market keeps on rising.\nWith June coming to an end, the S&P 500 finished the first half of 2021 with a gain of 14.4%. Since 1998, only 2019’s 17.4% first-half surge has been larger.\nThe market got a boost from Covid-19 vaccinations, which have helped the U.S. economy reopen, while trillions of dollars of fiscal stimulus have helped shore up demand. The gains continued even as concerns about inflation have increased speculation that the Federal Reserve would be forced to take steps to slow the economy.\nThe combination of big gains and a more hawkish Fed have raised concerns that the market has become too complacent. If inflation continues to run hot for long enough, the central bank could be forced to act more quickly than the market expects—and cause stocks to tumble. Others worry that U.S. economic growth could slow faster than investors anticipate, causing a pullback in the process.\nFor those who take that view, there is no better time to back away from the stock market than the present. History suggests otherwise.\nSince 1979, the S&P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year, and the index has gone on to average a 6.3% gain over the second half of the year. What’s more, the index finished the second half of the year higher In 11 of those instances, or 79% of the time.\nEven the losses, when they occurred, weren’t all that bad. The S&P 500 dropped 1.9% in the second half of 1983 and 3.5% during the last six months of 1986.\nThe one exception was the last six months of 1987 when the index fell 19% during the second half of the year. That period included Black Monday, when the S&P 500 dropped 20% in one day, still a record loss. While selling linked to so-called portfolio insurance was ultimately blamed for the size and speed of the loss, the second half of 1987 was a period of rising bond yields and high stock-market valuations, just like the first half of 2021.\nStill, the market has been acting like it wants to go higher, not lower. Pullbacks, a normal event in the midst of bull runs, have been mild in 2021, with the largest drops being less than 4%. “What the [S&P 500] has done throughout 2021 is pick itself up when and where it has needed to, maintaining an uptrend all along,” writes Frank Cappelleri, chief market technician at Instinet.\nThat 6.3% average second-half rise would push the S&P 500’s full-year gain to around 23%. That would represent a “textbook [market] recovery” from a recession, says Fundstrat’s Tom Lee.\nFor now, at least, the path of least resistance is higher.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2792,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":153381011,"gmtCreate":1625010195833,"gmtModify":1633945988894,"author":{"id":"3569857179667022","authorId":"3569857179667022","name":"NZAaron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93b23bffa6908c8c6d569d0f2bc6bb9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569857179667022","idStr":"3569857179667022"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/153381011","repostId":"1122418477","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1416,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":150795462,"gmtCreate":1624927048356,"gmtModify":1633946957263,"author":{"id":"3569857179667022","authorId":"3569857179667022","name":"NZAaron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93b23bffa6908c8c6d569d0f2bc6bb9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569857179667022","idStr":"3569857179667022"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/150795462","repostId":"2147837316","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1581,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":127881384,"gmtCreate":1624843243948,"gmtModify":1633948137619,"author":{"id":"3569857179667022","authorId":"3569857179667022","name":"NZAaron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93b23bffa6908c8c6d569d0f2bc6bb9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569857179667022","idStr":"3569857179667022"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/127881384","repostId":"2146007118","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1760,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":125380131,"gmtCreate":1624654861523,"gmtModify":1633950086061,"author":{"id":"3569857179667022","authorId":"3569857179667022","name":"NZAaron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93b23bffa6908c8c6d569d0f2bc6bb9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569857179667022","idStr":"3569857179667022"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/125380131","repostId":"2146023165","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1680,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":126571201,"gmtCreate":1624580203603,"gmtModify":1633951066169,"author":{"id":"3569857179667022","authorId":"3569857179667022","name":"NZAaron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93b23bffa6908c8c6d569d0f2bc6bb9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569857179667022","idStr":"3569857179667022"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/126571201","repostId":"2146023477","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1887,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":126687853,"gmtCreate":1624561949672,"gmtModify":1634004364114,"author":{"id":"3569857179667022","authorId":"3569857179667022","name":"NZAaron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93b23bffa6908c8c6d569d0f2bc6bb9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569857179667022","idStr":"3569857179667022"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/126687853","repostId":"1198422658","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":504,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":123127525,"gmtCreate":1624413051667,"gmtModify":1634006485749,"author":{"id":"3569857179667022","authorId":"3569857179667022","name":"NZAaron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93b23bffa6908c8c6d569d0f2bc6bb9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569857179667022","idStr":"3569857179667022"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/123127525","repostId":"2145664330","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":838,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":120345859,"gmtCreate":1624310109071,"gmtModify":1634008135745,"author":{"id":"3569857179667022","authorId":"3569857179667022","name":"NZAaron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93b23bffa6908c8c6d569d0f2bc6bb9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569857179667022","idStr":"3569857179667022"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/120345859","repostId":"2145084835","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":561,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":165542617,"gmtCreate":1624153368739,"gmtModify":1634010249615,"author":{"id":"3569857179667022","authorId":"3569857179667022","name":"NZAaron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93b23bffa6908c8c6d569d0f2bc6bb9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569857179667022","idStr":"3569857179667022"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/165542617","repostId":"1199331995","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":437,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":168561862,"gmtCreate":1623978877256,"gmtModify":1634024875455,"author":{"id":"3569857179667022","authorId":"3569857179667022","name":"NZAaron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93b23bffa6908c8c6d569d0f2bc6bb9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569857179667022","idStr":"3569857179667022"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"up","listText":"up","text":"up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/168561862","repostId":"2144286417","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":453,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":163675274,"gmtCreate":1623884999598,"gmtModify":1634026595915,"author":{"id":"3569857179667022","authorId":"3569857179667022","name":"NZAaron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93b23bffa6908c8c6d569d0f2bc6bb9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569857179667022","idStr":"3569857179667022"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/163675274","repostId":"2144713861","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":509,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169111389,"gmtCreate":1623821169541,"gmtModify":1634027559839,"author":{"id":"3569857179667022","authorId":"3569857179667022","name":"NZAaron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93b23bffa6908c8c6d569d0f2bc6bb9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569857179667022","idStr":"3569857179667022"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"up","listText":"up","text":"up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169111389","repostId":"1199891920","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":817,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":184878910,"gmtCreate":1623710967730,"gmtModify":1634029895405,"author":{"id":"3569857179667022","authorId":"3569857179667022","name":"NZAaron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93b23bffa6908c8c6d569d0f2bc6bb9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569857179667022","idStr":"3569857179667022"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/184878910","repostId":"1126626020","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":593,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":185119003,"gmtCreate":1623636246402,"gmtModify":1634030867827,"author":{"id":"3569857179667022","authorId":"3569857179667022","name":"NZAaron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93b23bffa6908c8c6d569d0f2bc6bb9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569857179667022","idStr":"3569857179667022"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/185119003","repostId":"1180874867","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1180874867","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623635718,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1180874867?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-06-14 09:55","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Palantir vs. C3.ai: Which Is the Better Artificial Intelligence Stock?<blockquote>Palantir与C3.ai：哪个是更好的人工智能股票？</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1180874867","media":"Motley Fool","summary":"One is controversial; the other is exposed to more macro headwinds.","content":"<p><b>Palantir</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:PLTR)&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>C3.ai</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:AI)&nbsp;both help organizations and companies crunch data with AI-powered tools.</p><p><blockquote><b>Palantir</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：PLTR）和<b>C3.人工智能</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：AI）都帮助组织和公司使用人工智能工具处理数据。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir, which generates more than half its revenue from government contracts, wants its Gotham platform to become the \"default operating system for data\" across the U.S. government. Its Foundry platform provides data-mining tools to large commercial customers.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir一半以上的收入来自政府合同，它希望其Gotham平台成为美国政府的“数据默认操作系统”。其代工平台为大型商业客户提供数据挖掘工具。</blockquote></p><p> C3.ai serves a wide range of clients across the commercial, industrial, and government sectors. It generates most of its revenue from energy giants like&nbsp;<b>Baker Hughes</b>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>ENGIE</b>.</p><p><blockquote>C3.ai为商业、工业和政府部门的广泛客户提供服务。它的大部分收入来自能源巨头，例如<b>贝克休斯</b>和<b>ENGIE</b>.</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0f7a2339e0b8de3ba56318f8cab73d4\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1076\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Palantir -- which went public via a&nbsp;direct listing&nbsp;last September -- started trading at $10 per share, surged to the high $30s in February, and now trades in the mid-$20s. C3.ai went public at $42 per share via an IPO last December, opened at $100 on the first day, but now trades in the low $60s.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir去年9月通过直接上市上市，开始交易价格为每股10美元，2月份飙升至30美元的高位，目前交易价格为20美元左右。C3.ai去年12月通过IPO以每股42美元的价格上市，首日开盘价为100美元，但现在交易价格在60美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> Both stocks have underperformed the S&amp;P 500 this year as investors have been moving from growth to value stocks, but is one of these companies a better long-term play on the&nbsp;booming AI market?</p><p><blockquote>随着投资者从成长型股票转向价值型股票，这两只股票今年的表现都逊于标普500，但在蓬勃发展的人工智能市场上，这些公司之一是否是更好的长期投资呢？</blockquote></p><p> <b>The differences between Palantir and C3.ai</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Palantir和C3.ai的区别</b></blockquote></p><p> Palantir, which is named after the all-seeing orbs from<i>The Lord of the Ring</i>s, helps organizations accumulate data on individuals from disparate sources, then processes it with algorithms to make data-driven decisions.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir，以全视球体命名<i>指环王</i>s，帮助组织从不同来源积累个人数据，然后用算法处理这些数据以做出数据驱动的决策。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir's biggest customer is the U.S. government, and its tools are used by the CIA, FBI, ICE, and all branches of the military. Its technology was reportedly used to hunt down Osama bin Laden in 2011, but it was also used by ICE in recent years to locate and deport undocumented immigrants.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir最大的客户是美国政府，其工具被CIA、FBI、ICE和军队的所有部门使用。据报道，它的技术在2011年被用来追捕奥萨马·本·拉登，但近年来也被ICE用来定位和驱逐无证移民。</blockquote></p><p> C3.ai initially only served energy companies before expanding into other markets. Unlike Palantir, which gathers data from external and internal sources, C3.ai mainly uses a company's internal operations.</p><p><blockquote>C3.ai最初只服务于能源公司，然后扩展到其他市场。与Palantir从外部和内部来源收集数据不同，C3.ai主要使用公司的内部运营。</blockquote></p><p> C3.ai's algorithms can schedule maintenance routines, detect fraud, optimize inventories, and improve CRM (customer relationship management) systems. In short, it's a lot less controversial bet than Palantir.</p><p><blockquote>C3.ai的算法可以安排日常维护、检测欺诈、优化库存和改进CRM（客户关系管理）系统。简而言之，这是一个比Palantir争议小得多的赌注。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How fast is Palantir growing?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Palantir的增长速度有多快？</b></blockquote></p><p> Palantir's revenue increased 47% to $1.1 billion&nbsp;in 2020. Its government revenue rose 77% as its commercial revenue grew 22%.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir的收入在2020年增长了47%，达到11亿美元。其政府收入增长77%，商业收入增长22%。</blockquote></p><p> It expanded its government contracts with the FDA, U.S. Army, and&nbsp;U.S. Air Force, and its commercial business attracted big customers including&nbsp;<b>Rio Tinto</b>,<b>PG&amp;E</b>, and&nbsp;<b>BP</b>. Its adjusted gross and operating margins expanded, but it still posted a net loss of $1.2 billion -- compared to a loss of $580 million in 2019.</p><p><blockquote>它扩大了与FDA、美国陆军和美国的政府合同。空军，其商业业务吸引了包括<b>力拓</b>,<b>宝洁公司</b>，和<b>BP</b>.其调整后的毛利率和营业利润率有所扩大，但仍录得12亿美元的净亏损，而2019年的亏损为5.8亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> In the first quarter of 2021, Palantir's revenue rose 49% year-over-year to $341 million, with 76% growth in its government business and 19% growth in its commercial business. Its adjusted gross and operating margins expanded again, but its net loss again widened, from $54.3 million to $123.5 million. On the bright side, its&nbsp;adjusted EBITDA&nbsp;turned positive with a profit of $119.8 million -- but that excludes its stock-based compensation and a lot of \"one time\" expenses.</p><p><blockquote>2021年第一季度，Palantir的收入同比增长49%至3.41亿美元，其中政府业务增长76%，商业业务增长19%。其调整后的毛利率和营业利润率再次扩大，但净亏损再次扩大，从5430万美元扩大到1.235亿美元。好的一面是，其调整后EBITDA转为正值，利润为1.198亿美元，但这不包括其基于股票的薪酬和大量“一次性”费用。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street expects Palantir's revenue to rise 35% this year, while the company expects its annual revenue to increase more than 30% every year through 2025. That confident outlook indicates a belief that its government business will remain stable as it gradually gains more commercial customers, but the company could remain steeped in controversy about data-gathering and deeply unprofitable for years to come.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街预计Palantir今年的收入将增长35%，而该公司预计到2025年，其年收入将每年增长30%以上。这种自信的前景表明，随着逐渐获得更多商业客户，人们相信其政府业务将保持稳定，但该公司可能仍沉浸在有关数据收集的争议中，并且在未来几年将严重无利可图。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How fast is C3.ai growing?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>C3.ai的增长有多快？</b></blockquote></p><p> C3.ai's revenue rose 17% to $183.2 million in&nbsp;fiscal 2021, which ended in April. That marked a significant slowdown from its 71% growth in 2020, mainly due to pandemic-related disruptions of the energy and industrial sectors.</p><p><blockquote>截至4月份的2021财年，C3.ai的收入增长了17%，达到1.832亿美元。这比2020年71%的增长显着放缓，主要是由于能源和工业部门与大流行相关的中断。</blockquote></p><p> Its average contract value also decreased from $12.1 million in 2020 to $7.2 million in 2021, even as it initiated new enterprise AI projects with big customers like&nbsp;<b>3M</b>,<b>Consolidated Edison</b>,<b>Shell</b>, and the New York Power Authority. But its total number of customers rose 82% to 89 at the end of the year, which indicates its business could recover quickly after the pandemic ends. It expects its revenue to increase 33% to 35% in the current fiscal year.</p><p><blockquote>其平均合同价值也从2020年的1210万美元下降到2021年的720万美元，尽管它与大客户如<b>3M</b>,<b>联合爱迪生</b>,<b>壳牌</b>和纽约电力局。但到年底，其客户总数增长了82%，达到89家，这表明疫情结束后其业务可能会迅速恢复。预计本财年收入将增长33%至35%。</blockquote></p><p> C3.ai's adjusted gross margin stayed flat in fiscal 2021 as its operating margin remained in the red, but its net loss narrowed year-over-year from $69.4 million to $55.7 million. It doesn't calculate its profits in adjusted EBITDA terms, and analysts expect it to stay unprofitable for the foreseeable future.</p><p><blockquote>由于营业利润率仍处于亏损状态，C3.ai的调整后毛利率在2021财年持平，但净亏损同比从6940万美元收窄至5570万美元。它没有以调整后的EBITDA计算利润，分析师预计在可预见的未来，它将保持无利可图。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The valuations and verdict</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值及判决</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Palantir and C3.ai trade at 31 and 26 times this year's sales, respectively. Those high price-to-sales ratios indicate neither stock is cheap in this market, especially as&nbsp;investors rotate&nbsp;from growth to value stocks.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir和C3.ai的交易价格分别是今年销售额的31倍和26倍。这些高市销率表明这两只股票在这个市场上都不便宜，特别是当投资者从成长型股票转向价值型股票时。</blockquote></p><p> That said, it makes more sense to invest in the company that is more dependent on stable government customers than the one that relies heavily on the macro-sensitive energy and industrial sectors. It also makes more sense to invest in the company with superior revenue growth if both stocks are trading at comparable price-to-sales ratios.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，投资更依赖稳定政府客户的公司比投资严重依赖宏观敏感的能源和工业部门的公司更有意义。如果两只股票的市销率相当，那么投资收入增长优异的公司也更有意义。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, Palantir might be more controversial than C3.ai, but I believe it's the better growth play in the AI market. C3.ai's long-term prospects still look bright, but its stock remains too expensive relative to its growth.</p><p><blockquote>因此，Palantir可能比C3.ai更具争议，但我相信它是人工智能市场上更好的增长游戏。C3.ai的长期前景看起来仍然光明，但相对于其增长而言，其股票仍然过于昂贵。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Palantir vs. C3.ai: Which Is the Better Artificial Intelligence Stock?<blockquote>Palantir与C3.ai：哪个是更好的人工智能股票？</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPalantir vs. C3.ai: Which Is the Better Artificial Intelligence Stock?<blockquote>Palantir与C3.ai：哪个是更好的人工智能股票？</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-06-14 09:55</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Palantir</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:PLTR)&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>C3.ai</b>&nbsp;(NYSE:AI)&nbsp;both help organizations and companies crunch data with AI-powered tools.</p><p><blockquote><b>Palantir</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：PLTR）和<b>C3.人工智能</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：AI）都帮助组织和公司使用人工智能工具处理数据。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir, which generates more than half its revenue from government contracts, wants its Gotham platform to become the \"default operating system for data\" across the U.S. government. Its Foundry platform provides data-mining tools to large commercial customers.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir一半以上的收入来自政府合同，它希望其Gotham平台成为美国政府的“数据默认操作系统”。其代工平台为大型商业客户提供数据挖掘工具。</blockquote></p><p> C3.ai serves a wide range of clients across the commercial, industrial, and government sectors. It generates most of its revenue from energy giants like&nbsp;<b>Baker Hughes</b>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<b>ENGIE</b>.</p><p><blockquote>C3.ai为商业、工业和政府部门的广泛客户提供服务。它的大部分收入来自能源巨头，例如<b>贝克休斯</b>和<b>ENGIE</b>.</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d0f7a2339e0b8de3ba56318f8cab73d4\" tg-width=\"2000\" tg-height=\"1076\"><span>IMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>图片来源：盖蒂图片社。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Palantir -- which went public via a&nbsp;direct listing&nbsp;last September -- started trading at $10 per share, surged to the high $30s in February, and now trades in the mid-$20s. C3.ai went public at $42 per share via an IPO last December, opened at $100 on the first day, but now trades in the low $60s.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir去年9月通过直接上市上市，开始交易价格为每股10美元，2月份飙升至30美元的高位，目前交易价格为20美元左右。C3.ai去年12月通过IPO以每股42美元的价格上市，首日开盘价为100美元，但现在交易价格在60美元左右。</blockquote></p><p> Both stocks have underperformed the S&amp;P 500 this year as investors have been moving from growth to value stocks, but is one of these companies a better long-term play on the&nbsp;booming AI market?</p><p><blockquote>随着投资者从成长型股票转向价值型股票，这两只股票今年的表现都逊于标普500，但在蓬勃发展的人工智能市场上，这些公司之一是否是更好的长期投资呢？</blockquote></p><p> <b>The differences between Palantir and C3.ai</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Palantir和C3.ai的区别</b></blockquote></p><p> Palantir, which is named after the all-seeing orbs from<i>The Lord of the Ring</i>s, helps organizations accumulate data on individuals from disparate sources, then processes it with algorithms to make data-driven decisions.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir，以全视球体命名<i>指环王</i>s，帮助组织从不同来源积累个人数据，然后用算法处理这些数据以做出数据驱动的决策。</blockquote></p><p> Palantir's biggest customer is the U.S. government, and its tools are used by the CIA, FBI, ICE, and all branches of the military. Its technology was reportedly used to hunt down Osama bin Laden in 2011, but it was also used by ICE in recent years to locate and deport undocumented immigrants.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir最大的客户是美国政府，其工具被CIA、FBI、ICE和军队的所有部门使用。据报道，它的技术在2011年被用来追捕奥萨马·本·拉登，但近年来也被ICE用来定位和驱逐无证移民。</blockquote></p><p> C3.ai initially only served energy companies before expanding into other markets. Unlike Palantir, which gathers data from external and internal sources, C3.ai mainly uses a company's internal operations.</p><p><blockquote>C3.ai最初只服务于能源公司，然后扩展到其他市场。与Palantir从外部和内部来源收集数据不同，C3.ai主要使用公司的内部运营。</blockquote></p><p> C3.ai's algorithms can schedule maintenance routines, detect fraud, optimize inventories, and improve CRM (customer relationship management) systems. In short, it's a lot less controversial bet than Palantir.</p><p><blockquote>C3.ai的算法可以安排日常维护、检测欺诈、优化库存和改进CRM（客户关系管理）系统。简而言之，这是一个比Palantir争议小得多的赌注。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How fast is Palantir growing?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>Palantir的增长速度有多快？</b></blockquote></p><p> Palantir's revenue increased 47% to $1.1 billion&nbsp;in 2020. Its government revenue rose 77% as its commercial revenue grew 22%.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir的收入在2020年增长了47%，达到11亿美元。其政府收入增长77%，商业收入增长22%。</blockquote></p><p> It expanded its government contracts with the FDA, U.S. Army, and&nbsp;U.S. Air Force, and its commercial business attracted big customers including&nbsp;<b>Rio Tinto</b>,<b>PG&amp;E</b>, and&nbsp;<b>BP</b>. Its adjusted gross and operating margins expanded, but it still posted a net loss of $1.2 billion -- compared to a loss of $580 million in 2019.</p><p><blockquote>它扩大了与FDA、美国陆军和美国的政府合同。空军，其商业业务吸引了包括<b>力拓</b>,<b>宝洁公司</b>，和<b>BP</b>.其调整后的毛利率和营业利润率有所扩大，但仍录得12亿美元的净亏损，而2019年的亏损为5.8亿美元。</blockquote></p><p> In the first quarter of 2021, Palantir's revenue rose 49% year-over-year to $341 million, with 76% growth in its government business and 19% growth in its commercial business. Its adjusted gross and operating margins expanded again, but its net loss again widened, from $54.3 million to $123.5 million. On the bright side, its&nbsp;adjusted EBITDA&nbsp;turned positive with a profit of $119.8 million -- but that excludes its stock-based compensation and a lot of \"one time\" expenses.</p><p><blockquote>2021年第一季度，Palantir的收入同比增长49%至3.41亿美元，其中政府业务增长76%，商业业务增长19%。其调整后的毛利率和营业利润率再次扩大，但净亏损再次扩大，从5430万美元扩大到1.235亿美元。好的一面是，其调整后EBITDA转为正值，利润为1.198亿美元，但这不包括其基于股票的薪酬和大量“一次性”费用。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Street expects Palantir's revenue to rise 35% this year, while the company expects its annual revenue to increase more than 30% every year through 2025. That confident outlook indicates a belief that its government business will remain stable as it gradually gains more commercial customers, but the company could remain steeped in controversy about data-gathering and deeply unprofitable for years to come.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街预计Palantir今年的收入将增长35%，而该公司预计到2025年，其年收入将每年增长30%以上。这种自信的前景表明，随着逐渐获得更多商业客户，人们相信其政府业务将保持稳定，但该公司可能仍沉浸在有关数据收集的争议中，并且在未来几年将严重无利可图。</blockquote></p><p> <b>How fast is C3.ai growing?</b></p><p><blockquote><b>C3.ai的增长有多快？</b></blockquote></p><p> C3.ai's revenue rose 17% to $183.2 million in&nbsp;fiscal 2021, which ended in April. That marked a significant slowdown from its 71% growth in 2020, mainly due to pandemic-related disruptions of the energy and industrial sectors.</p><p><blockquote>截至4月份的2021财年，C3.ai的收入增长了17%，达到1.832亿美元。这比2020年71%的增长显着放缓，主要是由于能源和工业部门与大流行相关的中断。</blockquote></p><p> Its average contract value also decreased from $12.1 million in 2020 to $7.2 million in 2021, even as it initiated new enterprise AI projects with big customers like&nbsp;<b>3M</b>,<b>Consolidated Edison</b>,<b>Shell</b>, and the New York Power Authority. But its total number of customers rose 82% to 89 at the end of the year, which indicates its business could recover quickly after the pandemic ends. It expects its revenue to increase 33% to 35% in the current fiscal year.</p><p><blockquote>其平均合同价值也从2020年的1210万美元下降到2021年的720万美元，尽管它与大客户如<b>3M</b>,<b>联合爱迪生</b>,<b>壳牌</b>和纽约电力局。但到年底，其客户总数增长了82%，达到89家，这表明疫情结束后其业务可能会迅速恢复。预计本财年收入将增长33%至35%。</blockquote></p><p> C3.ai's adjusted gross margin stayed flat in fiscal 2021 as its operating margin remained in the red, but its net loss narrowed year-over-year from $69.4 million to $55.7 million. It doesn't calculate its profits in adjusted EBITDA terms, and analysts expect it to stay unprofitable for the foreseeable future.</p><p><blockquote>由于营业利润率仍处于亏损状态，C3.ai的调整后毛利率在2021财年持平，但净亏损同比从6940万美元收窄至5570万美元。它没有以调整后的EBITDA计算利润，分析师预计在可预见的未来，它将保持无利可图。</blockquote></p><p> <b>The valuations and verdict</b></p><p><blockquote><b>估值及判决</b></blockquote></p><p></p><p> Palantir and C3.ai trade at 31 and 26 times this year's sales, respectively. Those high price-to-sales ratios indicate neither stock is cheap in this market, especially as&nbsp;investors rotate&nbsp;from growth to value stocks.</p><p><blockquote>Palantir和C3.ai的交易价格分别是今年销售额的31倍和26倍。这些高市销率表明这两只股票在这个市场上都不便宜，特别是当投资者从成长型股票转向价值型股票时。</blockquote></p><p> That said, it makes more sense to invest in the company that is more dependent on stable government customers than the one that relies heavily on the macro-sensitive energy and industrial sectors. It also makes more sense to invest in the company with superior revenue growth if both stocks are trading at comparable price-to-sales ratios.</p><p><blockquote>也就是说，投资更依赖稳定政府客户的公司比投资严重依赖宏观敏感的能源和工业部门的公司更有意义。如果两只股票的市销率相当，那么投资收入增长优异的公司也更有意义。</blockquote></p><p> Therefore, Palantir might be more controversial than C3.ai, but I believe it's the better growth play in the AI market. C3.ai's long-term prospects still look bright, but its stock remains too expensive relative to its growth.</p><p><blockquote>因此，Palantir可能比C3.ai更具争议，但我相信它是人工智能市场上更好的增长游戏。C3.ai的长期前景看起来仍然光明，但相对于其增长而言，其股票仍然过于昂贵。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/13/palantir-vs-c3ai-which-is-the-better-artificial-in/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AI":"C3.ai, Inc.","PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/06/13/palantir-vs-c3ai-which-is-the-better-artificial-in/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1180874867","content_text":"Palantir (NYSE:PLTR) and C3.ai (NYSE:AI) both help organizations and companies crunch data with AI-powered tools.\nPalantir, which generates more than half its revenue from government contracts, wants its Gotham platform to become the \"default operating system for data\" across the U.S. government. Its Foundry platform provides data-mining tools to large commercial customers.\nC3.ai serves a wide range of clients across the commercial, industrial, and government sectors. It generates most of its revenue from energy giants like Baker Hughes and ENGIE.\nIMAGE SOURCE: GETTY IMAGES.\nPalantir -- which went public via a direct listing last September -- started trading at $10 per share, surged to the high $30s in February, and now trades in the mid-$20s. C3.ai went public at $42 per share via an IPO last December, opened at $100 on the first day, but now trades in the low $60s.\nBoth stocks have underperformed the S&P 500 this year as investors have been moving from growth to value stocks, but is one of these companies a better long-term play on the booming AI market?\nThe differences between Palantir and C3.ai\nPalantir, which is named after the all-seeing orbs fromThe Lord of the Rings, helps organizations accumulate data on individuals from disparate sources, then processes it with algorithms to make data-driven decisions.\nPalantir's biggest customer is the U.S. government, and its tools are used by the CIA, FBI, ICE, and all branches of the military. Its technology was reportedly used to hunt down Osama bin Laden in 2011, but it was also used by ICE in recent years to locate and deport undocumented immigrants.\nC3.ai initially only served energy companies before expanding into other markets. Unlike Palantir, which gathers data from external and internal sources, C3.ai mainly uses a company's internal operations.\nC3.ai's algorithms can schedule maintenance routines, detect fraud, optimize inventories, and improve CRM (customer relationship management) systems. In short, it's a lot less controversial bet than Palantir.\nHow fast is Palantir growing?\nPalantir's revenue increased 47% to $1.1 billion in 2020. Its government revenue rose 77% as its commercial revenue grew 22%.\nIt expanded its government contracts with the FDA, U.S. Army, and U.S. Air Force, and its commercial business attracted big customers including Rio Tinto,PG&E, and BP. Its adjusted gross and operating margins expanded, but it still posted a net loss of $1.2 billion -- compared to a loss of $580 million in 2019.\nIn the first quarter of 2021, Palantir's revenue rose 49% year-over-year to $341 million, with 76% growth in its government business and 19% growth in its commercial business. Its adjusted gross and operating margins expanded again, but its net loss again widened, from $54.3 million to $123.5 million. On the bright side, its adjusted EBITDA turned positive with a profit of $119.8 million -- but that excludes its stock-based compensation and a lot of \"one time\" expenses.\nWall Street expects Palantir's revenue to rise 35% this year, while the company expects its annual revenue to increase more than 30% every year through 2025. That confident outlook indicates a belief that its government business will remain stable as it gradually gains more commercial customers, but the company could remain steeped in controversy about data-gathering and deeply unprofitable for years to come.\nHow fast is C3.ai growing?\nC3.ai's revenue rose 17% to $183.2 million in fiscal 2021, which ended in April. That marked a significant slowdown from its 71% growth in 2020, mainly due to pandemic-related disruptions of the energy and industrial sectors.\nIts average contract value also decreased from $12.1 million in 2020 to $7.2 million in 2021, even as it initiated new enterprise AI projects with big customers like 3M,Consolidated Edison,Shell, and the New York Power Authority. But its total number of customers rose 82% to 89 at the end of the year, which indicates its business could recover quickly after the pandemic ends. It expects its revenue to increase 33% to 35% in the current fiscal year.\nC3.ai's adjusted gross margin stayed flat in fiscal 2021 as its operating margin remained in the red, but its net loss narrowed year-over-year from $69.4 million to $55.7 million. It doesn't calculate its profits in adjusted EBITDA terms, and analysts expect it to stay unprofitable for the foreseeable future.\nThe valuations and verdict\nPalantir and C3.ai trade at 31 and 26 times this year's sales, respectively. Those high price-to-sales ratios indicate neither stock is cheap in this market, especially as investors rotate from growth to value stocks.\nThat said, it makes more sense to invest in the company that is more dependent on stable government customers than the one that relies heavily on the macro-sensitive energy and industrial sectors. It also makes more sense to invest in the company with superior revenue growth if both stocks are trading at comparable price-to-sales ratios.\nTherefore, Palantir might be more controversial than C3.ai, but I believe it's the better growth play in the AI market. C3.ai's long-term prospects still look bright, but its stock remains too expensive relative to its growth.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AI":0.9,"PLTR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":341,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186178880,"gmtCreate":1623481459640,"gmtModify":1634032521579,"author":{"id":"3569857179667022","authorId":"3569857179667022","name":"NZAaron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93b23bffa6908c8c6d569d0f2bc6bb9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569857179667022","idStr":"3569857179667022"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"up","listText":"up","text":"up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186178880","repostId":"2142204074","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":455,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"hots":[{"id":190822548,"gmtCreate":1620611798084,"gmtModify":1634197720333,"author":{"id":"3569857179667022","authorId":"3569857179667022","name":"NZAaron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93b23bffa6908c8c6d569d0f2bc6bb9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569857179667022","idStr":"3569857179667022"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":6,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/190822548","repostId":"2134686276","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":416,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":126687853,"gmtCreate":1624561949672,"gmtModify":1634004364114,"author":{"id":"3569857179667022","authorId":"3569857179667022","name":"NZAaron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93b23bffa6908c8c6d569d0f2bc6bb9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569857179667022","idStr":"3569857179667022"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/126687853","repostId":"1198422658","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":504,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":181888291,"gmtCreate":1623384700613,"gmtModify":1634033916084,"author":{"id":"3569857179667022","authorId":"3569857179667022","name":"NZAaron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93b23bffa6908c8c6d569d0f2bc6bb9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569857179667022","idStr":"3569857179667022"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":7,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/181888291","repostId":"1184070773","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":625,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":113452653,"gmtCreate":1622636077672,"gmtModify":1634099731127,"author":{"id":"3569857179667022","authorId":"3569857179667022","name":"NZAaron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93b23bffa6908c8c6d569d0f2bc6bb9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569857179667022","idStr":"3569857179667022"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":11,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/113452653","repostId":"2140110944","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":279,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":192568803,"gmtCreate":1621216740302,"gmtModify":1634193322885,"author":{"id":"3569857179667022","authorId":"3569857179667022","name":"NZAaron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93b23bffa6908c8c6d569d0f2bc6bb9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569857179667022","idStr":"3569857179667022"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"up","listText":"up","text":"up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/192568803","repostId":"1177712976","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1177712976","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1621213509,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1177712976?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-05-17 09:05","market":"us","language":"en","title":"IPO Preview: SquareSpace, Procure Technologies And Oatly Are This Week's Offerings<blockquote>IPO预览：SquareSpace、Procure Technologies和Oatly将于本周发行</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1177712976","media":"benzinga","summary":"There are only three offerings scheduled for the trading week beginning May 17. The offerings include an online platform for businesses, a construction management company and the global leader of oat milk.SquareSpace has 3.7 million unique subscribers in 180 countries. Revenue was $621 million for SquareSpace in 2020, up 28% year-over-year. In the first quarter of 2021, revenue for SquareSpace was $179.6 million.In March, SquareSpace acquired Tock, a hospitality platform and application system, ","content":"<p><div> There are only three offerings scheduled for the trading week beginning May 17. The offerings include an online platform for businesses, a construction management company and the global leader of oat ...</p><p><blockquote><div>5月17日开始的交易周仅安排了三次发行。这些产品包括一个面向企业的在线平台、一家建筑管理公司和燕麦的全球领导者...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/05/21143868/ipo-preview-squarespace-procure-technologies-and-oatly-are-this-weeks-offerings\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/05/21143868/ipo-preview-squarespace-procure-technologies-and-oatly-are-this-weeks-offerings\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1606299360108","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>IPO Preview: SquareSpace, Procure Technologies And Oatly Are This Week's Offerings<blockquote>IPO预览：SquareSpace、Procure Technologies和Oatly将于本周发行</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIPO Preview: SquareSpace, Procure Technologies And Oatly Are This Week's Offerings<blockquote>IPO预览：SquareSpace、Procure Technologies和Oatly将于本周发行</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">benzinga</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-05-17 09:05</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><div> There are only three offerings scheduled for the trading week beginning May 17. The offerings include an online platform for businesses, a construction management company and the global leader of oat ...</p><p><blockquote><div>5月17日开始的交易周仅安排了三次发行。这些产品包括一个面向企业的在线平台、一家建筑管理公司和燕麦的全球领导者...</div></blockquote></p><p>  <a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/05/21143868/ipo-preview-squarespace-procure-technologies-and-oatly-are-this-weeks-offerings\">网页链接</a>  </div> </p><p><blockquote><a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/05/21143868/ipo-preview-squarespace-procure-technologies-and-oatly-are-this-weeks-offerings\">网页连接</a></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/05/21143868/ipo-preview-squarespace-procure-technologies-and-oatly-are-this-weeks-offerings\">benzinga</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6a531a6f7b6d1339dada82e8a701e8cf","relate_stocks":{"PCOR":"Procore Technologies","OTLY":"Oatly Group AB","SQSP":"Squarespace Inc."},"source_url":"https://www.benzinga.com/news/21/05/21143868/ipo-preview-squarespace-procure-technologies-and-oatly-are-this-weeks-offerings","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1177712976","content_text":"There are only three offerings scheduled for the trading week beginning May 17. The offerings include an online platform for businesses, a construction management company and the global leader of oat milk.SquareSpace:Offering an all-in-one platform for small and medium sized businesses to manage their online presence,SquareSpace is one of the largest in the market. The companyseeksto help people stand out and succeed by offering help with online presence, commerce and marketing.SquareSpace has 3.7 million unique subscribers in 180 countries. Revenue was $621 million for SquareSpace in 2020, up 28% year-over-year. In the first quarter of 2021, revenue for SquareSpace was $179.6 million.In March, SquareSpace acquired Tock, a hospitality platform and application system, for $415 million, which could help with additional expansion.The company estimates that 46% of U.S. small and midsize businesses are not online today, offering room for expansion for SquareSpace.SquareSpace is selling 40.4 million shares in adirect listing.Procure Technologies:Cloud-based construction management software company Procure Technologies plans to sell 9.5 million shares at a price point of $60 to $65. The company is helping digitize a construction industry that still has low market penetration.Procure had $400 million in revenue in 2020, up 38% year-over-year. Procure has over 800 customers that represent $100,000 in annual revenue. Over 60% of customers subscribe to three or more Procure products. The company reports 1.6 million users in over 125 countries.Since 2014, Procure has helped manage over 1 million projects representing over $1 trillion in construction ideas. The total addressable market size for construction software is listed as $12.4 billion and growing. The construction market represents 13% of the global gross domestic product.Oatly Group:Theworld’s largest oatmilk company Oatly Group is going publicwith an offering of 84.4 million ADS at a price point of $15 to $17.The company offers dozens of products at over 60,000 retail points of sale and more than 32,000 coffee shops. Customers include Starbucks Corp ,Target Corporation and Tesco.Oatly was founded in Sweden, where the company commands a strong 53% market share for alternative dairy products. In the United States, Oatly had 182% year-over-year growth in the retail segment for 2020.The company is using a food service-led expansion strategy to enter new markets and gain brand recognition. Oatly entered China in 2018 and is now present in over 8,000 locations through partnerships with Starbucks China and Alibaba Group Holding.The company had revenue of $421.4 million in 2020, up 106.5% year-over-year. Revenue for the first three months of 2021 was $140.1 million, up 66.2% year-over-year. Revenue in 2020 was split 64% EMEA region, 24% Americas and 13% Asia. The company got 71% of 2020 revenue from the food retail segment and 25% from foodservice.The global retail milk industry is worth an estimated $179 billion.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"SQSP":0.9,"PCOR":0.9,"OTLY":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":361,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":152925244,"gmtCreate":1625264848788,"gmtModify":1633942047635,"author":{"id":"3569857179667022","authorId":"3569857179667022","name":"NZAaron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93b23bffa6908c8c6d569d0f2bc6bb9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569857179667022","idStr":"3569857179667022"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"up","listText":"up","text":"up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/152925244","repostId":"1165340887","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1511,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":123127525,"gmtCreate":1624413051667,"gmtModify":1634006485749,"author":{"id":"3569857179667022","authorId":"3569857179667022","name":"NZAaron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93b23bffa6908c8c6d569d0f2bc6bb9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569857179667022","idStr":"3569857179667022"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/123127525","repostId":"2145664330","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":838,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":165542617,"gmtCreate":1624153368739,"gmtModify":1634010249615,"author":{"id":"3569857179667022","authorId":"3569857179667022","name":"NZAaron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93b23bffa6908c8c6d569d0f2bc6bb9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569857179667022","idStr":"3569857179667022"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/165542617","repostId":"1199331995","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":437,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":158944886,"gmtCreate":1625126660245,"gmtModify":1633944516717,"author":{"id":"3569857179667022","authorId":"3569857179667022","name":"NZAaron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93b23bffa6908c8c6d569d0f2bc6bb9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569857179667022","idStr":"3569857179667022"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/158944886","repostId":"1106223449","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106223449","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1625122086,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1106223449?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-07-01 14:48","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The S&P 500 Notches Its Second-Best First Half Since the Dot-Com Bubble. What Comes Next.<blockquote>标普500取得了自互联网泡沫以来第二好的上半年成绩。接下来会发生什么。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106223449","media":"Barrons","summary":"Since 1979, the S&P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year.\nThe S&P 5","content":"<p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d70d0323609e9ce596a9a90e475422d1\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Since 1979, the S&amp;P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>自1979年以来，标普500上半年涨幅达到或超过10%已有14次。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 closed its second-best first half since the dot-com bubble. Don’t be surprised if the stock market keeps on rising.</p><p><blockquote>标普500的上半年表现是自互联网泡沫以来第二好的。如果股市继续上涨，不要感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p> With June coming to an end, the S&amp;P 500 finished the first half of 2021 with a gain of 14.4%. Since 1998, only 2019’s 17.4% first-half surge has been larger.</p><p><blockquote>随着6月接近尾声，标普500以14.4%的涨幅结束了2021年上半年。自1998年以来，只有2019年上半年17.4%的增幅更大。</blockquote></p><p> The market got a boost from Covid-19 vaccinations, which have helped the U.S. economy reopen, while trillions of dollars of fiscal stimulus have helped shore up demand. The gains continued even as concerns about inflation have increased speculation that the Federal Reserve would be forced to take steps to slow the economy.</p><p><blockquote>Covid-19疫苗接种提振了市场，帮助美国经济重新开放，而数万亿美元的财政刺激措施帮助支撑了需求。尽管对通胀的担忧加剧了人们对美联储将被迫采取措施减缓经济增长的猜测，但涨幅仍在继续。</blockquote></p><p> The combination of big gains and a more hawkish Fed have raised concerns that the market has become too complacent. If inflation continues to run hot for long enough, the central bank could be forced to act more quickly than the market expects—and&nbsp;cause stocks to tumble. Others worry that&nbsp;U.S. economic growth could slow faster than investors anticipate, causing a pullback in the process.</p><p><blockquote>大幅上涨和美联储更加鹰派的结合引发了市场过于自满的担忧。如果通胀持续持续足够长的时间，央行可能会被迫以比市场预期更快的速度采取行动，并导致股市暴跌。其他人担心美国。经济增长放缓的速度可能快于投资者的预期，导致经济增长放缓。</blockquote></p><p> For those who take that view, there is no better time to back away from the stock market than the present. History suggests otherwise.</p><p><blockquote>对于持这种观点的人来说，没有比现在更好的退出股市的时机了。历史表明并非如此。</blockquote></p><p> Since 1979, the S&amp;P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year, and the index has gone on to average a 6.3% gain over the second half of the year. What’s more, the index finished the second half of the year higher In 11 of those instances, or 79% of the time.</p><p><blockquote>自1979年以来，标普500上半年涨幅达到或超过10%的有14次，下半年该指数平均涨幅为6.3%。更重要的是，该指数在下半年有11次（即79%的时间）走高。</blockquote></p><p> Even the losses, when they occurred, weren’t all that bad. The S&amp;P 500 dropped 1.9% in the second half of 1983 and 3.5% during the last six months of 1986.</p><p><blockquote>即使是损失，当它们发生时，也没有那么糟糕。标普500在1983年下半年下降了1.9%，在1986年最后六个月下降了3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> The one exception was the last six months of 1987 when the index fell 19% during the second half of the year. That period included Black Monday, when the S&amp;P 500 dropped 20% in one day, still a record loss. While selling linked to so-called&nbsp;portfolio insurance&nbsp;was ultimately blamed for the size and speed of the loss, the second half of 1987 was&nbsp;a period of rising bond yields and high stock-market valuations, just like the first half of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>一个例外是1987年的最后六个月，该指数在下半年下跌了19%。那段时间包括黑色星期一，当时标普500在一天内下跌了20%，仍然是创纪录的跌幅。虽然与所谓投资组合保险相关的抛售最终被归咎于损失的规模和速度，但1987年下半年是债券收益率上升和股市估值高的时期，就像2021年上半年一样。</blockquote></p><p> Still, the market has been acting like it wants to go higher, not lower. Pullbacks, a normal event in the midst of bull runs, have been mild in 2021, with the largest drops being less than 4%. “What the [S&amp;P 500] has done throughout 2021 is pick itself up when and where it has needed to, maintaining an uptrend all along,” writes Frank&nbsp;Cappelleri, chief market technician at Instinet.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，市场一直表现得想要走高，而不是走低。回调是牛市中的正常事件，在2021年表现温和，最大跌幅不到4%。Instinet首席市场技术员Frank Cappelleri写道：“[标普500]在2021年所做的就是在需要的时间和地点回升，始终保持上升趋势。”</blockquote></p><p> That 6.3% average second-half rise would push the S&amp;P 500’s full-year gain to around 23%. That would represent a “textbook [market] recovery” from a recession, says Fundstrat’s Tom Lee.</p><p><blockquote>下半年6.3%的平均涨幅将使标普500的全年涨幅达到23%左右。Fundstrat的汤姆·李(Tom Lee)表示，这将代表着从衰退中“教科书式的[市场]复苏”。</blockquote></p><p> For now, at least, the path of least resistance is higher.</p><p><blockquote>至少就目前而言，阻力最小的路径更高。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cb229b2e05d59b9c126d464a7d771bb\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"647\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The S&P 500 Notches Its Second-Best First Half Since the Dot-Com Bubble. What Comes Next.<blockquote>标普500取得了自互联网泡沫以来第二好的上半年成绩。接下来会发生什么。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe S&P 500 Notches Its Second-Best First Half Since the Dot-Com Bubble. What Comes Next.<blockquote>标普500取得了自互联网泡沫以来第二好的上半年成绩。接下来会发生什么。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-07-01 14:48</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d70d0323609e9ce596a9a90e475422d1\" tg-width=\"1260\" tg-height=\"840\"><span>Since 1979, the S&amp;P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>自1979年以来，标普500上半年涨幅达到或超过10%已有14次。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> The S&amp;P 500 closed its second-best first half since the dot-com bubble. Don’t be surprised if the stock market keeps on rising.</p><p><blockquote>标普500的上半年表现是自互联网泡沫以来第二好的。如果股市继续上涨，不要感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p> With June coming to an end, the S&amp;P 500 finished the first half of 2021 with a gain of 14.4%. Since 1998, only 2019’s 17.4% first-half surge has been larger.</p><p><blockquote>随着6月接近尾声，标普500以14.4%的涨幅结束了2021年上半年。自1998年以来，只有2019年上半年17.4%的增幅更大。</blockquote></p><p> The market got a boost from Covid-19 vaccinations, which have helped the U.S. economy reopen, while trillions of dollars of fiscal stimulus have helped shore up demand. The gains continued even as concerns about inflation have increased speculation that the Federal Reserve would be forced to take steps to slow the economy.</p><p><blockquote>Covid-19疫苗接种提振了市场，帮助美国经济重新开放，而数万亿美元的财政刺激措施帮助支撑了需求。尽管对通胀的担忧加剧了人们对美联储将被迫采取措施减缓经济增长的猜测，但涨幅仍在继续。</blockquote></p><p> The combination of big gains and a more hawkish Fed have raised concerns that the market has become too complacent. If inflation continues to run hot for long enough, the central bank could be forced to act more quickly than the market expects—and&nbsp;cause stocks to tumble. Others worry that&nbsp;U.S. economic growth could slow faster than investors anticipate, causing a pullback in the process.</p><p><blockquote>大幅上涨和美联储更加鹰派的结合引发了市场过于自满的担忧。如果通胀持续持续足够长的时间，央行可能会被迫以比市场预期更快的速度采取行动，并导致股市暴跌。其他人担心美国。经济增长放缓的速度可能快于投资者的预期，导致经济增长放缓。</blockquote></p><p> For those who take that view, there is no better time to back away from the stock market than the present. History suggests otherwise.</p><p><blockquote>对于持这种观点的人来说，没有比现在更好的退出股市的时机了。历史表明并非如此。</blockquote></p><p> Since 1979, the S&amp;P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year, and the index has gone on to average a 6.3% gain over the second half of the year. What’s more, the index finished the second half of the year higher In 11 of those instances, or 79% of the time.</p><p><blockquote>自1979年以来，标普500上半年涨幅达到或超过10%的有14次，下半年该指数平均涨幅为6.3%。更重要的是，该指数在下半年有11次（即79%的时间）走高。</blockquote></p><p> Even the losses, when they occurred, weren’t all that bad. The S&amp;P 500 dropped 1.9% in the second half of 1983 and 3.5% during the last six months of 1986.</p><p><blockquote>即使是损失，当它们发生时，也没有那么糟糕。标普500在1983年下半年下降了1.9%，在1986年最后六个月下降了3.5%。</blockquote></p><p> The one exception was the last six months of 1987 when the index fell 19% during the second half of the year. That period included Black Monday, when the S&amp;P 500 dropped 20% in one day, still a record loss. While selling linked to so-called&nbsp;portfolio insurance&nbsp;was ultimately blamed for the size and speed of the loss, the second half of 1987 was&nbsp;a period of rising bond yields and high stock-market valuations, just like the first half of 2021.</p><p><blockquote>一个例外是1987年的最后六个月，该指数在下半年下跌了19%。那段时间包括黑色星期一，当时标普500在一天内下跌了20%，仍然是创纪录的跌幅。虽然与所谓投资组合保险相关的抛售最终被归咎于损失的规模和速度，但1987年下半年是债券收益率上升和股市估值高的时期，就像2021年上半年一样。</blockquote></p><p> Still, the market has been acting like it wants to go higher, not lower. Pullbacks, a normal event in the midst of bull runs, have been mild in 2021, with the largest drops being less than 4%. “What the [S&amp;P 500] has done throughout 2021 is pick itself up when and where it has needed to, maintaining an uptrend all along,” writes Frank&nbsp;Cappelleri, chief market technician at Instinet.</p><p><blockquote>尽管如此，市场一直表现得想要走高，而不是走低。回调是牛市中的正常事件，在2021年表现温和，最大跌幅不到4%。Instinet首席市场技术员Frank Cappelleri写道：“[标普500]在2021年所做的就是在需要的时间和地点回升，始终保持上升趋势。”</blockquote></p><p> That 6.3% average second-half rise would push the S&amp;P 500’s full-year gain to around 23%. That would represent a “textbook [market] recovery” from a recession, says Fundstrat’s Tom Lee.</p><p><blockquote>下半年6.3%的平均涨幅将使标普500的全年涨幅达到23%左右。Fundstrat的汤姆·李(Tom Lee)表示，这将代表着从衰退中“教科书式的[市场]复苏”。</blockquote></p><p> For now, at least, the path of least resistance is higher.</p><p><blockquote>至少就目前而言，阻力最小的路径更高。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3cb229b2e05d59b9c126d464a7d771bb\" tg-width=\"958\" tg-height=\"647\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-futures-crash-gains-51625071996?mod=hp_LEAD_1\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/stock-market-futures-crash-gains-51625071996?mod=hp_LEAD_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106223449","content_text":"Since 1979, the S&P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year.\nThe S&P 500 closed its second-best first half since the dot-com bubble. Don’t be surprised if the stock market keeps on rising.\nWith June coming to an end, the S&P 500 finished the first half of 2021 with a gain of 14.4%. Since 1998, only 2019’s 17.4% first-half surge has been larger.\nThe market got a boost from Covid-19 vaccinations, which have helped the U.S. economy reopen, while trillions of dollars of fiscal stimulus have helped shore up demand. The gains continued even as concerns about inflation have increased speculation that the Federal Reserve would be forced to take steps to slow the economy.\nThe combination of big gains and a more hawkish Fed have raised concerns that the market has become too complacent. If inflation continues to run hot for long enough, the central bank could be forced to act more quickly than the market expects—and cause stocks to tumble. Others worry that U.S. economic growth could slow faster than investors anticipate, causing a pullback in the process.\nFor those who take that view, there is no better time to back away from the stock market than the present. History suggests otherwise.\nSince 1979, the S&P 500 has gained 10% or more 14 times during the first half of the year, and the index has gone on to average a 6.3% gain over the second half of the year. What’s more, the index finished the second half of the year higher In 11 of those instances, or 79% of the time.\nEven the losses, when they occurred, weren’t all that bad. The S&P 500 dropped 1.9% in the second half of 1983 and 3.5% during the last six months of 1986.\nThe one exception was the last six months of 1987 when the index fell 19% during the second half of the year. That period included Black Monday, when the S&P 500 dropped 20% in one day, still a record loss. While selling linked to so-called portfolio insurance was ultimately blamed for the size and speed of the loss, the second half of 1987 was a period of rising bond yields and high stock-market valuations, just like the first half of 2021.\nStill, the market has been acting like it wants to go higher, not lower. Pullbacks, a normal event in the midst of bull runs, have been mild in 2021, with the largest drops being less than 4%. “What the [S&P 500] has done throughout 2021 is pick itself up when and where it has needed to, maintaining an uptrend all along,” writes Frank Cappelleri, chief market technician at Instinet.\nThat 6.3% average second-half rise would push the S&P 500’s full-year gain to around 23%. That would represent a “textbook [market] recovery” from a recession, says Fundstrat’s Tom Lee.\nFor now, at least, the path of least resistance is higher.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2792,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":163675274,"gmtCreate":1623884999598,"gmtModify":1634026595915,"author":{"id":"3569857179667022","authorId":"3569857179667022","name":"NZAaron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93b23bffa6908c8c6d569d0f2bc6bb9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569857179667022","idStr":"3569857179667022"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/163675274","repostId":"2144713861","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":509,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":169111389,"gmtCreate":1623821169541,"gmtModify":1634027559839,"author":{"id":"3569857179667022","authorId":"3569857179667022","name":"NZAaron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93b23bffa6908c8c6d569d0f2bc6bb9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569857179667022","idStr":"3569857179667022"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"up","listText":"up","text":"up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/169111389","repostId":"1199891920","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":817,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186178880,"gmtCreate":1623481459640,"gmtModify":1634032521579,"author":{"id":"3569857179667022","authorId":"3569857179667022","name":"NZAaron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93b23bffa6908c8c6d569d0f2bc6bb9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569857179667022","idStr":"3569857179667022"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"up","listText":"up","text":"up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/186178880","repostId":"2142204074","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":455,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":135188363,"gmtCreate":1622146084052,"gmtModify":1634183491859,"author":{"id":"3569857179667022","authorId":"3569857179667022","name":"NZAaron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93b23bffa6908c8c6d569d0f2bc6bb9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569857179667022","idStr":"3569857179667022"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/135188363","repostId":"1176326513","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":549,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":195839718,"gmtCreate":1621268550634,"gmtModify":1634192887431,"author":{"id":"3569857179667022","authorId":"3569857179667022","name":"NZAaron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93b23bffa6908c8c6d569d0f2bc6bb9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569857179667022","idStr":"3569857179667022"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":9,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/195839718","repostId":"2135984810","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":225,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":339207853,"gmtCreate":1608858374472,"gmtModify":1703737170596,"author":{"id":"3569857179667022","authorId":"3569857179667022","name":"NZAaron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93b23bffa6908c8c6d569d0f2bc6bb9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569857179667022","idStr":"3569857179667022"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"👍👍👍","listText":"👍👍👍","text":"👍👍👍","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":3,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/339207853","repostId":"1132126653","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1132126653","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1608812722,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1132126653?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2020-12-24 20:25","market":"sh","language":"zh","title":"精读张磊《价值》，谁是下一个蓝月亮？","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1132126653","media":"财经无忌","summary":"很少有人真正理解时间的价值。但从投资的角度来看，高瓴资本的创始人张磊就是这个少数派俱乐部中的一员。\n\n从高考文科状元开始，张磊一路走到亚洲地区资产管理规模最大的投资基金之一的创始人。他站在盛世之下，却","content":"<blockquote>\n <b>很少有人真正理解时间的价值。但从投资的角度来看，高瓴资本的创始人张磊就是这个少数派俱乐部中的一员。</b>\n</blockquote>\n<p>从高考文科状元开始，张磊一路走到亚洲地区资产管理规模最大的投资基金之一的创始人。他站在盛世之下，却又隐没于巨大名声背后。</p>\n<p>但人们总会想起张磊。</p>\n<p>每当<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">腾讯</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/JD\">京东</a>、美团、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BIDU\">百度</a>、格力等经典投资案例被提及时，那句<b>“做时间的朋友”</b>，以及高瓴资本投资的基础思维和重要决策标准，使得张磊成为巴菲特的“价值投资”理念在中国最好的诠释者之一。</p>\n<p>这几天，张磊的一个经典投资标的在资本市场得到了回报。<b>12月16日，“洗衣液第一股”蓝月亮集团成功登陆港交所，当天总市值达到855.17亿港元。</b>而持股10%的高瓴资本对应的市值达85亿港元，加上此前获得的2.3亿港元分红，对比当初投入的3亿人民币，高瓴资本这笔投资赚了24.67倍。这是一个耗时十二年的“中国版<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PG\">宝洁</a>”！</p>\n<p>当资本的聚光灯打在蓝月亮身上时，财经无忌再次精读《价值》。我们想从高瓴资本和张磊的投资逻辑中，<b>找出下一个“蓝月亮”，找出更多“时间的朋友”</b>。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/05c0bdfd61869e24e7fcc0855963f454\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"720\"></p>\n<p>张磊是一名价值投资的忠实践行者</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f320c56f85d6fd06ab6ea253c5775885\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"320\"></p>\n<p>高瓴资本和张磊的故事是一个“当代中国奇迹”，而且交织了全球化的命运主线。</p>\n<p>2005年，张磊创办了高瓴资本。在路演时，张磊提了一句响亮的口号：“中国正在崛起，高速火车正在驶离车站，请立即上车！”他向人们讲述的不是一个行业和赛道的故事，而一个国家的故事。在他眼里，“中国就是未来”。</p>\n<p>十五年来，高瓴资本从全球化经济趋势中成长为巨人，并隐身于人们生活的周围。你即使没听过高瓴资本这个名字，也或多或少与它的投资版图有交集：在美团点评上订过餐，在滴滴出行上打过车，用过蓝月亮的洗衣液，脚上蹬一双百丽的鞋，家里有一台格力的空调……</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9c0a098646dc1e69b32623e244b910b\" tg-width=\"500\" tg-height=\"381\"></p>\n<p>高瓴资本的跨行业投资版图</p>\n<p>看似纷繁庞杂，但张磊的心中其实有清晰的主线。在他的《价值》一书中，重仓中国和长期的价值投资是高瓴资本成功的最主要因素。</p>\n<p>重仓中国是方向，价值投资是寻找优秀的企业。在这个脉络背后，我们还能从高瓴资本身上看到什么？</p>\n<p><b>寻找新物种</b>：如何理解投资机会的？张磊用源自佛经故事的“弱水三千，但取一瓢”来描述高瓴资本的投资哲学。投资项目分门别类，好比弱水三千，但关键在于选对那一瓢。高瓴资本不喜欢做天女散花式的投资，而是希望抓住最有价值的投资机会，用超长期的资本周期对企业做最大化的投资。什么样的企业是最有价值的那一瓢水？<b>不跟风，不完全被利益驱动，有格局、有创新进化迭变能力的新物种。</b></p>\n<p><b>创新动态护城河</b>：所有的品牌、渠道、技术规模、知识产权等，都不足以成为张磊眼中企业真正的护城河。他认为世界上只有一条护城河，这条河是动态的，而且能够不断创造价值。</p>\n<p>高瓴资本的“动态护城河”理念，也与“管理哲学之父”查尔斯·汉迪提出第二曲线理论不谋而合。汉迪认为，一家企业要想在变化的时代浪潮和市场环境中不断创新，需要具备从一条曲线跳到另一条曲线的能力。</p>\n<p><b>守正用奇</b>：这是张磊从老子《道德经》里的“以正治国，以奇用兵”提炼出的表述。对应到投资上，“守正”指的是要坚持好的价值观，做人做事要“正”，一切回归常识和本质；而“用奇”则是具体方法论，投资决策要根据市场的增量信息做出应变和创新。</p>\n<p><b>最终，这些都指向了高瓴资本投资哲学的核心——“坚持长期主义，做时间的朋友”。</b>高瓴资本从成立第一天起，就坚定地追求长期结构性的投资机会，押注创新，重仓未来，而不是只看眼前利益。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb66c3e7ee6ed4883e40b45ed0f2399f\" tg-width=\"682\" tg-height=\"506\"></p>\n<p>精读《价值》，寻找下一个蓝月亮</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d6b84714979fb13aa684065403e3fa6f\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"320\"></p>\n<p>刚刚上市的蓝月亮，几乎是一个高瓴资本投资哲学的十分契合的完美案例。</p>\n<p><b>首先，这是一个新物种。</b></p>\n<p>蓝月亮诞生的时代，家庭清洁市场的主流是肥皂、香皂、洗衣粉。而创始人罗秋平推出的首款蓝月亮品牌产品是油烟机清洁剂。2000年，又推出了透明包装的抑菌洗手液。</p>\n<p>尽管洗手液并没有被大家接受和认可，但2003年“非典”爆发后，中国洗手液市场需求激增，蓝月亮一“液”成名。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5922bb51c146977350a2a2d318d03368\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"764\"></p>\n<p>新物种蓝月亮，一“液”成名</p>\n<p><b>2008年全球金融危机爆发，此时张磊正在研究中国的消费升级。</b>他看到在美国洗衣液已成洗衣剂市场的主流，而国内市场仍然被传统洗衣粉和肥皂所覆盖，洗衣液只占不到4%的比例。但同时，国内的洗衣机数量在急速增长，衣服面料也在快速变化，这些都在暗示着洗衣液的时代即将到来。</p>\n<p>张磊找到了罗秋平，说服罗秋平大力投入洗衣液来获得未来的竞争力。此后，蓝月亮不断升级产品，改变了万千家庭的洗涤习惯，成为中国洗涤市场中的新物种。</p>\n<p><b>其次，蓝月亮构建了一条动态护城河。</b></p>\n<p>业内人士曾评价蓝月亮是用“用科学家的思维做消费品”，这种特质在蓝月亮的初创时期就已经显露出来。在国内还停留在袋装洗衣粉、肥皂洗手时，罗秋平就创新研发出使“油污一擦就亮”的喷雾式清洁剂，并借此撬开了家庭清洁用品领域的第一扇大门。</p>\n<p>更重要的是，蓝月亮不断加大科技创新投入，采用绿色环保配方和更节能低耗的生产技术，推动者自身的产品升级，也加固了自己的“动态护城河”。</p>\n<p><b>第三，守正用奇。</b></p>\n<p>围绕家庭与个人卫生展开，这是产业里始终不变的“守正”。但蓝月亮推出了“专品专用”的消费理念和产品，就是“用奇”。从2011年起，蓝月亮开始推动“专品专用”的消费理念，从手洗专用洗衣液，到宝宝专用、旅行专用洗衣液、预涂专用洗衣液，蓝月亮慢慢做出了全套家居清洁方案的雏形。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7a131148dc4cc5913b05795718bcb28c\" tg-width=\"874\" tg-height=\"520\"></p>\n<p>在我们的家庭清洁产品中</p>\n<p>或多或少都有蓝月亮的影子</p>\n<p><b>最后，所有特质都指向“长期主义”。</b></p>\n<p>即使在2008年将重心从洗手液转向洗衣液领域，且需投入大量资金，经营由盈转亏，蓝月亮也放弃了短期利润，宁愿先亏也要看准趋势坚持走下去。罗秋平也曾斩钉截铁地说道：“一个真正好的产品,经典产品,没有八年、十年的研究和投入，是不大可能的。”尽管在2015年左右，蓝月亮被大润发、欧尚等大型商超排挤，罗秋平也咬紧牙关，长期开拓线上渠道；后来，与商超握手言和，线上线下渠道帮助蓝月亮成为了“时间的朋友”。</p>\n<p>蓝月亮在洗衣液市场上的领先地位保持到现在，打败了<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PG\">宝洁</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UL\">联合利华</a>等盘踞中国市场多年的外资巨头，从一个短期亏损的公司崛起成为民族日化品牌的领军者。根据弗若斯特沙利文报告，2019年，蓝月亮洗衣液占国内洗衣液整体市场份额的24.4%，市场第一。</p>\n<p><b>蓝月亮洗出来的不是“泡沫”，而是家庭清洁市场无穷的想象空间。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3eb1146b1ab95105e55848cda419e4f2\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"320\"></p>\n<p>高瓴资本的投资矩阵里面有非常传统的公牛插座、蓝月亮洗衣液，也有时代前沿的“<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NIO\">蔚来</a>”电动汽车、“依图”人工智能。但无论是传统还是前沿，每一个企业都有其独到的细分市场和竞争力。</p>\n<p>近些年，高瓴资本的投资逻辑也在进化，从创新进阶到融合，尤其聚焦在生物医药及医疗器械、软件服务和原发科技创新、消费互联网及科技、新兴消费品牌及企业服务四大领域。这其中，“消费”是个核心，将每一个领域串联了起来。</p>\n<p>对于各类“消费”的价值判断，张磊在接受《第一财经》采访时曾以抗经济周期能力最强的酒类企业为例，挑了气质不同的两个案例做说明。他分析说：<b>高瓴都有投资的茅台和江小白并不矛盾，关键是能否服务好自己所在领域的客户，消费升级是更加细分化的，任何产品都有其市场，关键是能否在这一市场中做到极致。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9171e629cb4f4063688b3059fc4930cf\" tg-width=\"1079\" tg-height=\"1519\"></p>\n<p>张磊认为投资茅台和江小白并不矛盾</p>\n<p>关键在于要在细分市场做到极致</p>\n<p>投资茅台每个人都明白其逻辑，但与传统老酒企、全球消费品巨头茅台相比，成立不过十年的江小白，为何能赢得高瓴资本的下注？分析清楚这个案例，应该可以更清晰地呈现高瓴资本孵化多个“蓝月亮”的投资逻辑。</p>\n<p><b>第一，江小白是“新物种”。</b></p>\n<p>江小白创始人陶石泉曾说自己是“酒行业里的小白，找到了一个小切口”。小切口往往是从身边的场景里发现的问题。</p>\n<p>他分享过自己早些年的酒局故事，“我在大学毕业不久的时候，回到老家和高中同学一起喝酒，那个时候喝一杯酒，往往一半的时间在‘扯皮’，相互劝酒。”怎么解决酒桌上相互恭维的问题？在他看来，“其实喝酒呢，也不用相互倒，几个人各自拿一瓶，喝完了自己倒，自己再拿一瓶。”</p>\n<p><b>洞察这一问题和需求后，江小白就专门去做年轻人轻松的喝酒场景。</b>“爱喝就多喝点，不爱喝就少喝点，大家管好自己就行了。”</p>\n<p>酒是顺口的酒，酒局是顺心的酒局，品牌也没那么“土了”。江小白就是这样一个和传统白酒不一样的“新东西”。</p>\n<p><b>第二，江小白有“动态护城河”吗？</b></p>\n<p>江小白其实很早就开始往上游原粮进发。据财经无忌了解，在自己的酒厂“江记酒庄”扩建的同时，江小白就安排了几个小伙子在酒厂周围到处找地种高粱。</p>\n<p>当时，这一决定让很多人纳闷儿。一同崛起的小米和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/300783\">三只松鼠</a>，都是只搞研发做市场，生产、原料都外包出去了。<b>但江小白种高粱、建酒厂没有半点迟疑，而且现在规模还在不断做大。</b></p>\n<p>不过即使当高粱地和酒厂都建好了之后，江小白保持只做不说。在一场小型分享会上，陶石泉说：“真正开始对外说我们做全产业链，运营酒厂农庄的时候，距离创立江小白过去了6年。”“没什么好显摆的，都是谋求长期发展的必修课。”</p>\n<p>为什么一定要在白沙镇建酒厂和农庄？对于酒行业来说，好的原料、工艺，能够长时间存放，就是核心。<b>对白酒来说，年份越老价值越高，存放10-20年，光是凭借酒厂的老酒也可以确保公司不垮。</b></p>\n<p>同时，离开茅台镇就酿不出茅台酒，江小白也一样。离开白沙镇，也酿不出江小白这样的高粱酒。在中国酒业历史长河里，白沙镇是清香型高粱酒的主产区，有着500年酿酒历史。“100年前，茅台镇也得对白沙镇喊大哥”，有白酒业内人士如是说。</p>\n<p>高粱地和酒厂，再加上白沙镇这个高粱酒的独特产区，具备长期发展的基础，这就是江小白的“动态护城河”。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/26d774c043ff03c8b2158db989778a52\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"339\"></p>\n<p>酒厂和高粱地是江小白全产业链后端的核心环节</p>\n<p><b>第三，江小白正在“守正用奇”。</b></p>\n<p>对江小白而言，老老实实种高粱，酿纯高粱酒，这就是“守正”，那么江小白做到“用奇”了吗？</p>\n<p>近两年，江小白的酒厂江记酒庄搞出了两款备受欢迎的产品，果味高粱酒果立方和梅见青梅酒。<b>“果立方”被认为开创了中国白酒的风味化先河，“梅见”则是对3000年传统青梅酒的复兴——“提升了传统酒种的品质门槛和品牌门槛”。</b>但本质上，这两款酒都是在纯高粱酒基础上的优化创新，听从用户的口感习惯的召唤。</p>\n<p>听取新生代消费者的意见，左手传承，右手创新。这就是江小白的“用奇”。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5629e8160716e013c8f33a337fc50975\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"359\"></p>\n<p>果味高粱酒果立方和梅见青梅酒</p>\n<p>本质上都是用户给出的产品口感方向</p>\n<p><b>第四，江小白有“长期主义”特质吗？</b></p>\n<p>酒是陈的香！酿酒是一件天然的、要与时间做朋友的事情。陶石泉曾在亚布力论坛演讲中强调：“酒业要慢一点做，做时间的朋友反而会是一个好事情。”他还坦言，新酒饮计划是至少为期十年要奋斗的目标。</p>\n<p>高瓴资本合伙人戴粤湘也表示，“高瓴资本最喜欢的创始公司风格是深挖墙、广积粮、缓称王。”江小白团队最初让她觉得印象深刻的特质主要有三点：</p>\n<p>一是，在创业初期，公司坚持做精耕细作的农民，不做一锤子买卖的猎人，“节奏很稳”。</p>\n<p>二是，公司最初选择了重庆这个主战场进行深耕，而不是为了增加销售额，立刻要广撒网。</p>\n<p>三是，江小白重仓年轻人、进行长期人才投资等策略也和高瓴资本的策略高度契合。</p>\n<p><b>把这些特质糅合在一起，我们看到了另外一个“蓝月亮”的影子。</b>在中国酒业领域，高瓴资本的触角其实很广。高瓴资本在二级市场还购买了洋河、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000596\">古井贡酒</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/600600\">青岛啤酒</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00291\">华润啤酒</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000729\">燕京啤酒</a>等多只股票。但在当前，没上市的酒企却只有江小白一个。</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/16c3c3b7bf2cab96466c8164781b156d\" tg-width=\"1080\" tg-height=\"320\"></p>\n<p>在蓝月亮上市后，资本市场提出的问题是<b>“下一个十年”我们投什么？</b></p>\n<p>就在最近一段时间，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/000568\">泸州老窖</a>推出“高光”，汾酒重新定位“竹叶青”，这两个产品都对年轻人市场有所侧重。事实上，新生代人群背后也确实出现了一个“新酒饮”市场，新在喝酒场景多变，新在味道的选择更丰富，新在喝酒的玩法更有意思。</p>\n<p>在2019年的高瓴资本年会上，流出了一张照片。张磊和陶石泉拿着两杯江小白调的“混饮”，也就是江小白加果汁调的饮品，这种低度数的喝法挺时髦。参加这种会议的时候喝白酒，别人会说你是酒鬼，但是喝江小白混饮，它不一样。</p>\n<p>这是一个小趋势，也是一个新趋势。而<b>在这个趋势下，在这个“新酒饮”的赛道上，成熟的玩家并不多，江小白的成长空间很大，未来可期。</b></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2a982705058220e8d4a3a09dd8053d6a\" tg-width=\"613\" tg-height=\"818\"></p>\n<p>“时间的朋友”：张磊（左）与陶石泉</p>\n<p>一同品尝江小白MIX混饮</p>\n<p>另一方面，从江小白在酒饮年轻化上的不断探索来看，未来江小白也可能会从一个单一产品、单一品牌的经营，走向一个多产品、多品牌的玩法。</p>\n<p>这样的下一个“蓝月亮”，的确值得高瓴资本和它一起，做时间的朋友。</p>","source":"lsy1569800256154","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>精读张磊《价值》，谁是下一个蓝月亮？</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n精读张磊《价值》，谁是下一个蓝月亮？\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2020-12-24 20:25 北京时间&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/d90E3p9wS4-hQKbGun-xxA><strong>财经无忌</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>很少有人真正理解时间的价值。但从投资的角度来看，高瓴资本的创始人张磊就是这个少数派俱乐部中的一员。\n\n从高考文科状元开始，张磊一路走到亚洲地区资产管理规模最大的投资基金之一的创始人。他站在盛世之下，却又隐没于巨大名声背后。\n但人们总会想起张磊。\n每当腾讯、京东、美团、百度、格力等经典投资案例被提及时，那句“做时间的朋友”，以及高瓴资本投资的基础思维和重要决策标准，使得张磊成为巴菲特的“价值投资”...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/d90E3p9wS4-hQKbGun-xxA\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b6024b36110d1d5f577f4a80c4d61189","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/d90E3p9wS4-hQKbGun-xxA","is_english":false,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1132126653","content_text":"很少有人真正理解时间的价值。但从投资的角度来看，高瓴资本的创始人张磊就是这个少数派俱乐部中的一员。\n\n从高考文科状元开始，张磊一路走到亚洲地区资产管理规模最大的投资基金之一的创始人。他站在盛世之下，却又隐没于巨大名声背后。\n但人们总会想起张磊。\n每当腾讯、京东、美团、百度、格力等经典投资案例被提及时，那句“做时间的朋友”，以及高瓴资本投资的基础思维和重要决策标准，使得张磊成为巴菲特的“价值投资”理念在中国最好的诠释者之一。\n这几天，张磊的一个经典投资标的在资本市场得到了回报。12月16日，“洗衣液第一股”蓝月亮集团成功登陆港交所，当天总市值达到855.17亿港元。而持股10%的高瓴资本对应的市值达85亿港元，加上此前获得的2.3亿港元分红，对比当初投入的3亿人民币，高瓴资本这笔投资赚了24.67倍。这是一个耗时十二年的“中国版宝洁”！\n当资本的聚光灯打在蓝月亮身上时，财经无忌再次精读《价值》。我们想从高瓴资本和张磊的投资逻辑中，找出下一个“蓝月亮”，找出更多“时间的朋友”。\n\n张磊是一名价值投资的忠实践行者\n\n高瓴资本和张磊的故事是一个“当代中国奇迹”，而且交织了全球化的命运主线。\n2005年，张磊创办了高瓴资本。在路演时，张磊提了一句响亮的口号：“中国正在崛起，高速火车正在驶离车站，请立即上车！”他向人们讲述的不是一个行业和赛道的故事，而一个国家的故事。在他眼里，“中国就是未来”。\n十五年来，高瓴资本从全球化经济趋势中成长为巨人，并隐身于人们生活的周围。你即使没听过高瓴资本这个名字，也或多或少与它的投资版图有交集：在美团点评上订过餐，在滴滴出行上打过车，用过蓝月亮的洗衣液，脚上蹬一双百丽的鞋，家里有一台格力的空调……\n\n高瓴资本的跨行业投资版图\n看似纷繁庞杂，但张磊的心中其实有清晰的主线。在他的《价值》一书中，重仓中国和长期的价值投资是高瓴资本成功的最主要因素。\n重仓中国是方向，价值投资是寻找优秀的企业。在这个脉络背后，我们还能从高瓴资本身上看到什么？\n寻找新物种：如何理解投资机会的？张磊用源自佛经故事的“弱水三千，但取一瓢”来描述高瓴资本的投资哲学。投资项目分门别类，好比弱水三千，但关键在于选对那一瓢。高瓴资本不喜欢做天女散花式的投资，而是希望抓住最有价值的投资机会，用超长期的资本周期对企业做最大化的投资。什么样的企业是最有价值的那一瓢水？不跟风，不完全被利益驱动，有格局、有创新进化迭变能力的新物种。\n创新动态护城河：所有的品牌、渠道、技术规模、知识产权等，都不足以成为张磊眼中企业真正的护城河。他认为世界上只有一条护城河，这条河是动态的，而且能够不断创造价值。\n高瓴资本的“动态护城河”理念，也与“管理哲学之父”查尔斯·汉迪提出第二曲线理论不谋而合。汉迪认为，一家企业要想在变化的时代浪潮和市场环境中不断创新，需要具备从一条曲线跳到另一条曲线的能力。\n守正用奇：这是张磊从老子《道德经》里的“以正治国，以奇用兵”提炼出的表述。对应到投资上，“守正”指的是要坚持好的价值观，做人做事要“正”，一切回归常识和本质；而“用奇”则是具体方法论，投资决策要根据市场的增量信息做出应变和创新。\n最终，这些都指向了高瓴资本投资哲学的核心——“坚持长期主义，做时间的朋友”。高瓴资本从成立第一天起，就坚定地追求长期结构性的投资机会，押注创新，重仓未来，而不是只看眼前利益。\n\n精读《价值》，寻找下一个蓝月亮\n\n刚刚上市的蓝月亮，几乎是一个高瓴资本投资哲学的十分契合的完美案例。\n首先，这是一个新物种。\n蓝月亮诞生的时代，家庭清洁市场的主流是肥皂、香皂、洗衣粉。而创始人罗秋平推出的首款蓝月亮品牌产品是油烟机清洁剂。2000年，又推出了透明包装的抑菌洗手液。\n尽管洗手液并没有被大家接受和认可，但2003年“非典”爆发后，中国洗手液市场需求激增，蓝月亮一“液”成名。\n\n新物种蓝月亮，一“液”成名\n2008年全球金融危机爆发，此时张磊正在研究中国的消费升级。他看到在美国洗衣液已成洗衣剂市场的主流，而国内市场仍然被传统洗衣粉和肥皂所覆盖，洗衣液只占不到4%的比例。但同时，国内的洗衣机数量在急速增长，衣服面料也在快速变化，这些都在暗示着洗衣液的时代即将到来。\n张磊找到了罗秋平，说服罗秋平大力投入洗衣液来获得未来的竞争力。此后，蓝月亮不断升级产品，改变了万千家庭的洗涤习惯，成为中国洗涤市场中的新物种。\n其次，蓝月亮构建了一条动态护城河。\n业内人士曾评价蓝月亮是用“用科学家的思维做消费品”，这种特质在蓝月亮的初创时期就已经显露出来。在国内还停留在袋装洗衣粉、肥皂洗手时，罗秋平就创新研发出使“油污一擦就亮”的喷雾式清洁剂，并借此撬开了家庭清洁用品领域的第一扇大门。\n更重要的是，蓝月亮不断加大科技创新投入，采用绿色环保配方和更节能低耗的生产技术，推动者自身的产品升级，也加固了自己的“动态护城河”。\n第三，守正用奇。\n围绕家庭与个人卫生展开，这是产业里始终不变的“守正”。但蓝月亮推出了“专品专用”的消费理念和产品，就是“用奇”。从2011年起，蓝月亮开始推动“专品专用”的消费理念，从手洗专用洗衣液，到宝宝专用、旅行专用洗衣液、预涂专用洗衣液，蓝月亮慢慢做出了全套家居清洁方案的雏形。\n\n在我们的家庭清洁产品中\n或多或少都有蓝月亮的影子\n最后，所有特质都指向“长期主义”。\n即使在2008年将重心从洗手液转向洗衣液领域，且需投入大量资金，经营由盈转亏，蓝月亮也放弃了短期利润，宁愿先亏也要看准趋势坚持走下去。罗秋平也曾斩钉截铁地说道：“一个真正好的产品,经典产品,没有八年、十年的研究和投入，是不大可能的。”尽管在2015年左右，蓝月亮被大润发、欧尚等大型商超排挤，罗秋平也咬紧牙关，长期开拓线上渠道；后来，与商超握手言和，线上线下渠道帮助蓝月亮成为了“时间的朋友”。\n蓝月亮在洗衣液市场上的领先地位保持到现在，打败了宝洁、联合利华等盘踞中国市场多年的外资巨头，从一个短期亏损的公司崛起成为民族日化品牌的领军者。根据弗若斯特沙利文报告，2019年，蓝月亮洗衣液占国内洗衣液整体市场份额的24.4%，市场第一。\n蓝月亮洗出来的不是“泡沫”，而是家庭清洁市场无穷的想象空间。\n\n高瓴资本的投资矩阵里面有非常传统的公牛插座、蓝月亮洗衣液，也有时代前沿的“蔚来”电动汽车、“依图”人工智能。但无论是传统还是前沿，每一个企业都有其独到的细分市场和竞争力。\n近些年，高瓴资本的投资逻辑也在进化，从创新进阶到融合，尤其聚焦在生物医药及医疗器械、软件服务和原发科技创新、消费互联网及科技、新兴消费品牌及企业服务四大领域。这其中，“消费”是个核心，将每一个领域串联了起来。\n对于各类“消费”的价值判断，张磊在接受《第一财经》采访时曾以抗经济周期能力最强的酒类企业为例，挑了气质不同的两个案例做说明。他分析说：高瓴都有投资的茅台和江小白并不矛盾，关键是能否服务好自己所在领域的客户，消费升级是更加细分化的，任何产品都有其市场，关键是能否在这一市场中做到极致。\n\n张磊认为投资茅台和江小白并不矛盾\n关键在于要在细分市场做到极致\n投资茅台每个人都明白其逻辑，但与传统老酒企、全球消费品巨头茅台相比，成立不过十年的江小白，为何能赢得高瓴资本的下注？分析清楚这个案例，应该可以更清晰地呈现高瓴资本孵化多个“蓝月亮”的投资逻辑。\n第一，江小白是“新物种”。\n江小白创始人陶石泉曾说自己是“酒行业里的小白，找到了一个小切口”。小切口往往是从身边的场景里发现的问题。\n他分享过自己早些年的酒局故事，“我在大学毕业不久的时候，回到老家和高中同学一起喝酒，那个时候喝一杯酒，往往一半的时间在‘扯皮’，相互劝酒。”怎么解决酒桌上相互恭维的问题？在他看来，“其实喝酒呢，也不用相互倒，几个人各自拿一瓶，喝完了自己倒，自己再拿一瓶。”\n洞察这一问题和需求后，江小白就专门去做年轻人轻松的喝酒场景。“爱喝就多喝点，不爱喝就少喝点，大家管好自己就行了。”\n酒是顺口的酒，酒局是顺心的酒局，品牌也没那么“土了”。江小白就是这样一个和传统白酒不一样的“新东西”。\n第二，江小白有“动态护城河”吗？\n江小白其实很早就开始往上游原粮进发。据财经无忌了解，在自己的酒厂“江记酒庄”扩建的同时，江小白就安排了几个小伙子在酒厂周围到处找地种高粱。\n当时，这一决定让很多人纳闷儿。一同崛起的小米和三只松鼠，都是只搞研发做市场，生产、原料都外包出去了。但江小白种高粱、建酒厂没有半点迟疑，而且现在规模还在不断做大。\n不过即使当高粱地和酒厂都建好了之后，江小白保持只做不说。在一场小型分享会上，陶石泉说：“真正开始对外说我们做全产业链，运营酒厂农庄的时候，距离创立江小白过去了6年。”“没什么好显摆的，都是谋求长期发展的必修课。”\n为什么一定要在白沙镇建酒厂和农庄？对于酒行业来说，好的原料、工艺，能够长时间存放，就是核心。对白酒来说，年份越老价值越高，存放10-20年，光是凭借酒厂的老酒也可以确保公司不垮。\n同时，离开茅台镇就酿不出茅台酒，江小白也一样。离开白沙镇，也酿不出江小白这样的高粱酒。在中国酒业历史长河里，白沙镇是清香型高粱酒的主产区，有着500年酿酒历史。“100年前，茅台镇也得对白沙镇喊大哥”，有白酒业内人士如是说。\n高粱地和酒厂，再加上白沙镇这个高粱酒的独特产区，具备长期发展的基础，这就是江小白的“动态护城河”。\n\n酒厂和高粱地是江小白全产业链后端的核心环节\n第三，江小白正在“守正用奇”。\n对江小白而言，老老实实种高粱，酿纯高粱酒，这就是“守正”，那么江小白做到“用奇”了吗？\n近两年，江小白的酒厂江记酒庄搞出了两款备受欢迎的产品，果味高粱酒果立方和梅见青梅酒。“果立方”被认为开创了中国白酒的风味化先河，“梅见”则是对3000年传统青梅酒的复兴——“提升了传统酒种的品质门槛和品牌门槛”。但本质上，这两款酒都是在纯高粱酒基础上的优化创新，听从用户的口感习惯的召唤。\n听取新生代消费者的意见，左手传承，右手创新。这就是江小白的“用奇”。\n\n果味高粱酒果立方和梅见青梅酒\n本质上都是用户给出的产品口感方向\n第四，江小白有“长期主义”特质吗？\n酒是陈的香！酿酒是一件天然的、要与时间做朋友的事情。陶石泉曾在亚布力论坛演讲中强调：“酒业要慢一点做，做时间的朋友反而会是一个好事情。”他还坦言，新酒饮计划是至少为期十年要奋斗的目标。\n高瓴资本合伙人戴粤湘也表示，“高瓴资本最喜欢的创始公司风格是深挖墙、广积粮、缓称王。”江小白团队最初让她觉得印象深刻的特质主要有三点：\n一是，在创业初期，公司坚持做精耕细作的农民，不做一锤子买卖的猎人，“节奏很稳”。\n二是，公司最初选择了重庆这个主战场进行深耕，而不是为了增加销售额，立刻要广撒网。\n三是，江小白重仓年轻人、进行长期人才投资等策略也和高瓴资本的策略高度契合。\n把这些特质糅合在一起，我们看到了另外一个“蓝月亮”的影子。在中国酒业领域，高瓴资本的触角其实很广。高瓴资本在二级市场还购买了洋河、古井贡酒、青岛啤酒、华润啤酒、燕京啤酒等多只股票。但在当前，没上市的酒企却只有江小白一个。\n\n在蓝月亮上市后，资本市场提出的问题是“下一个十年”我们投什么？\n就在最近一段时间，泸州老窖推出“高光”，汾酒重新定位“竹叶青”，这两个产品都对年轻人市场有所侧重。事实上，新生代人群背后也确实出现了一个“新酒饮”市场，新在喝酒场景多变，新在味道的选择更丰富，新在喝酒的玩法更有意思。\n在2019年的高瓴资本年会上，流出了一张照片。张磊和陶石泉拿着两杯江小白调的“混饮”，也就是江小白加果汁调的饮品，这种低度数的喝法挺时髦。参加这种会议的时候喝白酒，别人会说你是酒鬼，但是喝江小白混饮，它不一样。\n这是一个小趋势，也是一个新趋势。而在这个趋势下，在这个“新酒饮”的赛道上，成熟的玩家并不多，江小白的成长空间很大，未来可期。\n\n“时间的朋友”：张磊（左）与陶石泉\n一同品尝江小白MIX混饮\n另一方面，从江小白在酒饮年轻化上的不断探索来看，未来江小白也可能会从一个单一产品、单一品牌的经营，走向一个多产品、多品牌的玩法。\n这样的下一个“蓝月亮”，的确值得高瓴资本和它一起，做时间的朋友。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":585,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":141610962,"gmtCreate":1625863444456,"gmtModify":1633936669135,"author":{"id":"3569857179667022","authorId":"3569857179667022","name":"NZAaron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93b23bffa6908c8c6d569d0f2bc6bb9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569857179667022","idStr":"3569857179667022"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"up","listText":"up","text":"up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/141610962","repostId":"1155625151","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1278,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":154293928,"gmtCreate":1625528722964,"gmtModify":1633940042688,"author":{"id":"3569857179667022","authorId":"3569857179667022","name":"NZAaron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93b23bffa6908c8c6d569d0f2bc6bb9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569857179667022","idStr":"3569857179667022"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/154293928","repostId":"1116255026","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3010,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":150795462,"gmtCreate":1624927048356,"gmtModify":1633946957263,"author":{"id":"3569857179667022","authorId":"3569857179667022","name":"NZAaron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93b23bffa6908c8c6d569d0f2bc6bb9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569857179667022","idStr":"3569857179667022"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/150795462","repostId":"2147837316","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1581,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":120345859,"gmtCreate":1624310109071,"gmtModify":1634008135745,"author":{"id":"3569857179667022","authorId":"3569857179667022","name":"NZAaron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93b23bffa6908c8c6d569d0f2bc6bb9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569857179667022","idStr":"3569857179667022"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/120345859","repostId":"2145084835","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":561,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":184878910,"gmtCreate":1623710967730,"gmtModify":1634029895405,"author":{"id":"3569857179667022","authorId":"3569857179667022","name":"NZAaron","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d93b23bffa6908c8c6d569d0f2bc6bb9","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"3569857179667022","idStr":"3569857179667022"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Up","listText":"Up","text":"Up","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/184878910","repostId":"1126626020","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":593,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"lives":[]}