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幸福老猫

幸福老猫LV3 书生虎

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05-09

$Cypress Energy Partners LP(CELP)$ 为什么停牌了？

04-28

$American Well Corp(AMWL)$ 还没财报就开始暴跌啦！

04-18

$GoHealth(GOCO)$ 这是要跌到谷底了

04-11

$英伟达(NVDA)$ 这是要破前低节奏

04-06

$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ 美联储操纵股市

03-31

$Adagio Therapeutics(ADGI)$ 再跌回4元以下[微笑]

03-31

$纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ 今天会收绿吗！

03-31

$Matlin & Partners Acquisition Corp(USWS)$ 财报应该是不差，油价上涨，增发新股1.7元。应该有大的上升空间

03-31

假药厅有本事把乐视网的故事再次在美国整一遍，不是不报日子未到

法拉第未来开盘大跌，多名管理者被SEC传唤

03-31

$GoHealth(GOCO)$ 金融股还是弱于高科技股

03-31

$Velodyne Lidar Inc(VLDR)$ 跌时凶猛，涨势弱弱！被创始人当猪养的企业。好在有Amzon加持！

03-31

$Romeo Power, Inc.(RMO)$ 今天要上二元了吗！

03-29

$Progenity, Inc.(PROG)$ 再跌到一元附近！

03-29

$Marin Software Inc.(MRIN)$ 3.7元幸运卖出

03-25

$休斯敦能源(HUSA)$ 这真的是个好股！来回坐电梯，机会多多，实属难得！难得

03-16

$Tantech Holdings(TANH)$ 这是怎么了？

03-14

好有见地[强]

好文分享 | 如何找到适合自己的投资体系？

03-09

$Indonesia Energy Corp Ltd.(INDO)$ 这股怎么总停牌

03-07

跟着Buffet走

#油价暴涨，有哪些投资机会？

03-03

$Grab Holdings(GRAB)$ 会是另一个sea吗！？

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财报应该是不差，油价上涨，增发新股1.7元。应该有大的上升空间","textProbation":"","themes":[],"thumbnail":"","title":"","top":1,"totalScore":0,"tweetType":1,"verified":2,"viewCount":187,"vote":null},{"addressName":"","author":{"authorId":3466420600886392,"avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34376b6bd5c0216527f63548d8b748fa","badgeLevel":null,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"currentWearingBadge":null,"followedFlag":false,"hat":"","id":3466420600886392,"name":"幸福老猫","vip":1},"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"commentSize":0,"comments":[],"essential":1,"extraTitle":"","favoriteStatus":false,"gmtCreate":1648730802143,"gmtModify":1648730802143,"highlighted":1,"htmlProbation":"","htmlText":"假药厅有本事把乐视网的故事再次在美国整一遍，不是不报日子未到","id":610463330,"imageCount":0,"images":[],"isVote":1,"langContent":"CN","likeSize":0,"likeStatus":false,"link":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/post/610463330","listProbation":"","listText":"假药厅有本事把乐视网的故事再次在美国整一遍，不是不报日子未到","listTextProbation":"","location":"","object":null,"paper":1,"readableState":0,"reportStatus":false,"repost":{"article_id":"1175916518","brief":false,"code":0,"collect":0,"content":"<html><head></head><body><p>周四，贾跃亭创办的电动汽车公司法拉第未来（Faraday Future）开盘后跌超10%。市场消息：法拉第未来正全力配合美国证券交易委员会的调查，已收到美国证券交易委员会工作人员的通知和传票。</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ee4d0b3c939e0ca64dd9d2d9ead17994\" tg-width=\"840\" tg-height=\"470\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>法拉第未来今年2月曾表示，一次内部调查发现，公司向投资者发布了一些不准确的声明。为此，法拉第未来削减了公司CEO卡斯滕·布莱特菲尔德（Carsten Breitfield）和创始人贾跃亭的基本工资，并要求他们向新任命的董事会执行主席苏珊·斯文森（Susan Swenson）汇报工作。</p><p>但与此同时，这次调查也驳斥了一家卖空者的说法，即法拉第未来是“新的电动汽车骗局”。法拉第未来负责这次调查的特别委员称，对于这些说法 ，在调查中没有发现相关证据。</p><p>今日，法拉第未来还表示，由于内部调查造成的延误，该公司将错过提交2021年年报的最后期限。去年11月，法拉第未来曾推迟提交季度报告。</p><p>法拉第未来还表示，在截至2021年9月30日的季度内，预计运营亏损将增至约1.86亿美元，而前一年同期运营亏损1800万美元。法拉第未来表示，这主要是由于加州汉福德工厂投产相关的支出增加所致。</p></body></html>","defaultTopTitle":"sina.com.cn","end_time":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>法拉第未来开盘大跌，多名管理者被SEC传唤</title>\n<style 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href=\"https://finance.sina.com.cn/tech/2022-03-31/doc-imcwiwss9241173.shtml\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","id":"1175916518","isBrief":false,"is_english":false,"language":"zh","market":"us","media":"新浪科技","news_type":1,"property":[],"pubTime":"2022-03-31 21:46","pubTimestamp":1648734408,"relate_stocks":{"cAE":""},"rights":null,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1175916518?lang=&edition=full","share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","source":"sina_tech","sourceInfo":{"id":0,"name":"新浪科技","source_id":"sina_tech"},"source_url":"https://finance.sina.com.cn/tech/2022-03-31/doc-imcwiwss9241173.shtml","start_time":0,"summary":"一次内部调查发现，公司向投资者发布了一些不准确的声明。","symbol":"FFIE","symbol_name":"Faraday 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对自身的定位要准确</p><p>做任何事情之前，我认为一定要先清楚自己的定位，明白自己的优势和劣势，尽量发挥自己的优势，回避自己的劣势。</p><p><b>杨绛先生说过这样一段话：无论人生上到哪一层台阶，阶下有人仰望你，阶上也有人在俯视你，你抬头自卑、低头自得，唯有平视才能看见真正的自己。</b></p><p>我们人类很容易被外界情绪感染，大多数时候也很容易高估自己，如果我们只是朝九晚五的工作，可能影响并不大，但在投资上如果不能正视自己，造成的结果就是，经常期望于赚自己能力以外的钱。</p><p>那我们有哪些优势和劣势呢？</p><p>大方向来说，对于我们个人投资者，优势是没有业绩压力，不用去和别人比赛，我们完全可以慢慢布局一些低估的企业，不用想着时时刻刻战胜别人，不用为了短期业绩不掉队，去干一些高风险的事，这其实可以大大降低我们的投资难度。</p><p>我们的劣势是获取信息的渠道较少，没有专业的团队，想去和机构拼消息的速度深度以及消息的反应能力，不是很容易，在自己劣势的区域战胜别人太难。</p><p><b>所以我的体系是不做短线，无论炒题材追热点是否可行，作为个人投资者我的精力是有限的，也没能力获得比别人更快更准确的信息。</b></p><p><b>我比较喜欢在别人唾弃的企业中找机会，因为不用和别人比拼业绩，有时间等市场认知转变，而不是为了年底排名去执着于寻找当前热点。</b></p><p><b>投资这件事别老执着于去找市场明天、下个周喜欢什么，时间越短越难预测，预测越多越易出错。</b></p><p>进一步，我对自己的定位，生活在一个小城市，学习普通，家境普通，见过的市面普通，努力和勤奋普通，活了几十年小范围内没有一件事能做到顶尖，基本可以认定我就是一个普通人。</p><p>作为一个普通人，在漫长的投资生涯中不犯错也是不可能的，所以我的体系出发点，就是自己一定会犯错。</p><p>那么怎么尽量减少犯错的影响呢？</p><p><b>首先就是适当分散，让自己不至于犯一次大错就彻底离场。</b></p><p><b>其次呢就是尽量买的便宜，留下足够宽的安全边际，任何一笔交易先去想最坏的结果，最坏的结果可以接受的情况下才考虑可能带来的收益。</b></p><p>当然追求买的足够便宜，一定会错过很多机会，但我认为这不重要，因为我们个人投资者的资金量，大多都是7~8位数，其实也并不需要那么多机会，每一两年能捡到一个极度低估的机会足以。</p><p>真正的成熟不是盲目的追求完美，而是直面自己的缺憾，每个人都有自己的缺点，在投资中扬长避短就好。</p><p>02 保持一个好心态</p><p>我们常听一句话「心态崩了」，一个人在心态失衡的时候是很难做出理性的决策的，一个不理性的决策，期望他能带来好结果，那也只能等待幸运女神眷顾了。</p><p>对于保持好心态，有以下几点：</p><p>01 别把投资当成一个比赛，无论什么体系，都不可能适合所有时期的市场，阶段性的慢很正常，自己快的时候不要得意忘形，别人快的时候不要轻易诋毁。</p><p>最近看到一些今年业绩不好的大V的发言，话里话外的意思，虽然今年自己慢但是走的是正道，那些今年赚钱多的人也迟早要亏回去。</p><p>其实完全没必要，这个世界上不仅仅有一种投资方法，我们可以不选择，但要允许别人选择，不该上升到道德绑架的层面。</p><p>02 我不会把所有资产集中在一个行业或一家企业，因为一旦所有资产押注在一个行业或一家企业，首先压力会很大，压力大的情况下决策失误的概率就会大大提高。</p><p>并且当大部分身家都压在一只股票上，名声、财富都和他捆绑到了一起，就很容易被蒙蔽双眼，容易屁股决定脑袋，听不得反对意见，忽略企业不好的消息。</p><p>甚至有时候即使看对了，也可能某一两年这家企业就是不受待见，这个时候是很难熬的，看着指数不停涨自己不赚钱，就很容易变成怨妇。</p><p>所以我的体系中一般都是3-5个主要持仓并且在不同行业。</p><p>03 我一般是左侧逐步建仓，价格到了我可以接受的范围我就会先买一些，如果股价继续下跌给了更高的概率和赔率，我会选择加大仓位。</p><p><b>为什么分批买，为的是让自己进退有据，涨了赚钱，跌了赚股票。当然这是在自己对企业商业模式判断准确的前提下。</b></p><p>如果想等到一个极端低的价格才开始买，有很大的可能错过，一旦一家企业你看好但没有买，他却上涨了10%，20%，这个时候就会非常影响心态，即使他依然便宜，也会不甘心，最终可能导致错过。</p><p>04对于一些短期涨幅过大的企业我会适当降低一些仓位，实际上当一家企业股价的涨幅远远超过业绩的涨幅时，这笔投资成功的概率和赔率就会下降，我认为适当降低一些仓位也是应该的。</p><p>总的来说为了能保持好心态，哪怕是降低一些收益都是值得的，因为人真的很难在心态失衡的情况下做出好的决策。</p><p>03 明白自己选择的概率</p><p>小概率的事可以靠运气对一次，对两次，但一件事情长期做，一定会面对大概率的结果。</p><p>这事只做一次，有可能出现小概率的结果，这事要做一生，不可能每次都是小概率的幸运发生在自己身上。</p><p>所以在股市我们一定要坚定的选择大概率成功的机会去投资。</p><p>去追高70、80甚至上百PE，却没什么业绩增长的企业，去买那些你根本看不懂逻辑的股票，去追各种题材，可能这一次幸运，但是不可能一直幸运。</p><p><b>股市的残酷在于，幸运一次往往不够，幸运一生又不可能。</b></p><p>04 分清错过和做错</p><p>错过没什么可怕的，这个市场几十个行业，几千家企业，我们不可能做到每家都了如指掌，你觉得高估他又涨了，你觉得不是好的商业模式但他却越来越优秀，这都很正常。</p><p>这个市场有人赚趋势的钱有人赚价值的钱，你不可能全都赚了，即使赚价值的钱，也一定有我们看不懂的价值。</p><p>投资中错过了很多机会无非是少赚钱甚至不赚钱，但是反复做错就会迫使你离开这个市场。</p><p><b>错过不是你的错，做错才是你的错。</b></p><p>如前文所说，对于个人投资者一两年能找到一家好企业足以，我们并不需要那么多机会，更何况在我们能力圈以外的也谈不上是机会。</p><p>05 在自己的能力圈内投资</p><p>投资有点像考试，你要不断的决策不断的判断，只有你持续作对才能持续得分。</p><p>但投资也有和考试不一样的地方，黑白给他取名为「自助考试」，就像我们吃自助餐一样，你可以去选自己喜欢的题。只要你足够理性只选自己会做的题，就足够战胜市场。哪怕只是定投沪深300也可以获得不错的收益。</p><p>大多数人在股市失败都是因为贪婪，总想从自己的能力圈以外找机会。</p><p>芒格说：得到一件东西的最好方式，就是让自己配得上它。</p><p>06 可复制的才是有意义的</p><p>为什么要在自己的能力圈内投资，为什么要有自己的投资体系？</p><p>因为可复制的才是有意义的，股市的赔率实际上并没有我们想象的高，靠运气、打探消息，真的对了一次来个翻倍无非几十万变成100万。</p><p>如果方法不可复制，最终对对错错，这些钱还是要亏回去，流水不争先，争的是滔滔不绝，只有坚持在自己能力圈内投资，有稳定的投资体系，才能保证一个较高的胜率，慢慢累积复利。</p><p>07 避免毫无意义的尝试</p><p>打探消息，或者问别人能不能买，这样投资，对了下次很难复制，错了也没办法吸取教训。</p><p>投资这事的难点在于，经常得不到正确的反馈，有时候一个错误的决策赚钱了，有时候一个正确的决策短期反而带来了损失。</p><p>如果投资的决策不是出自个人的思考，就会被短期的答案蒙蔽双眼走向错误的路。</p><p>投资体系是不可能一下就建成的，别人口中的方法和经验，如果自己不实践很难知道是否适合。</p><p>投资前期犯错并不可怕，首先刚入市本金少，其次没人能进入一个新领域不犯错，我们不能因为怕犯错就放弃自己思考自己决策，只有自己努力去做，才能在正确中总结经验，在错误中吸取教训，体系才可能越来越完善。</p><p>08 不做不合理的事，但要学会接受不合理</p><p>市场总有不理性的时候，股市经常有这样一种情况，自己的持仓大涨甚至高估就觉得理所当然。</p><p>如果是自己持有的企业没涨，别的企业大涨后估值偏高就冷嘲热讽，其实这毫无意义。</p><p>正因为市场不是时刻理性的，理性的投资者才有捡便宜的机会，我们既然享受了市场不理性时捡便宜的机会，就要理解市场不理性带来的局部高估。</p><p>投资这事，不嫉妒别人，努力做好自己。</p><p>09 懂得逆向思维，不要期望从一致看好中寻找机会</p><p>一家企业人人都看好，意味着这个市场绝大多数的参与者都买入了这家企业，这个时候他的定价往往是超过价值的。</p><p>相反一家企业充满分歧，甚至被一直看空的时候，反而有可能成为我们的好机会，一家企业人人都觉得他是垃圾，市场也给了他是垃圾的定价，但你发现他其实还有可以利用的地方，这个时候去买，最差的结果无非是按垃圾的定价买了垃圾，不会亏大钱，相反如果你的看法是正确的，就可能成为一笔非常优秀的投资。</p><p>但从众是我们人类的天性，一家企业人人都说好我们也附和也兴奋，别人都说垃圾的企业我们就嗤之以鼻。</p><p>但实际上在一个70%的人都亏钱的地方，跟随大多数人做选择，自然也很容易获得和大多数人一样的结果。</p><p>所以对于投资格雷厄姆说过：第一正确思考，第二独立思考</p><p>巴菲特说过：别人恐惧我贪婪，别人贪婪我恐惧。</p><p>芒格说过：反过来想，总是反过来想。</p><p>10 任何交易之前，先考虑最差的情况</p><p>我们亏钱的主要原因，往往是只想到了好的结果，却没考虑对应的风险。</p><p>甚至很多时候我们盲目追高买入，只想小概率的好结果，不想大概率的坏结果，然而在这个市场只做大概率成功的事才是生存下来的奥秘。</p><p>投资中我们犯的第一次错可能是运气不好，可能因为意外，但当你一边谩骂止损，一边又盲目进行下一次交易，这已经不是意外，而是你的选择。</p><p>11 学会聆听不同的意见</p><p>面对一个投资机会时，相同的观点顶多是给我们打气助威，不同的观点才能给我们带来更多思考，帮我们找到这笔交易的漏洞。</p><p>如果一家被大众一致唾弃的企业，所有看空的观点你都能有理有据的反驳，这大概率是个好机会</p><p>12 学会承担责任</p><p>如果我们永远把交易错误的原因归咎于市场、公司、证监会，或者不该听某某人的意见，我们就永远都不可能成长。</p><p>大环境是赛道，个人体系是赛车，赛道每个人面对的都一样，一个赛车手想取得好成绩，改进赛车才是我们努力的方向，而不是要求主办方按自己的想法去建赛道。</p><p>这个市场好或不好，是否有缺陷，都有人持续从这个市场赚钱，如果觉得这个市场完全就是个骗局或者无药可救，最好的选择是离开，而不是一边谩骂一边沉迷其中。</p><p>有一句话我觉得非常好：不妨先做出点成绩，然后再去强调你的感受，不然在别人眼中你就只会叽叽哇哇，怎么看都是矫情。</p><p>英国圣公会主教墓碑上的一段话：</p><blockquote>当我年轻自由的时候我的想象力没有受到任何局限，我梦想改变这个世界。</blockquote><blockquote>当我渐渐成熟明智的时候 我发现这个世界是不可能被改变的。</blockquote><blockquote>于是我将眼光放的短浅了一些 那就只改变我的国家吧 但是我的国家似乎也是我无法改变的。</blockquote><blockquote>当我到了迟暮之年 抱着一丝努力的希望，我决定只改变我的家庭，我亲近的人。</blockquote><blockquote>但是 他们根本不接受改变</blockquote><blockquote>现在 在我临终之际 我才忽然意识到</blockquote><blockquote>如果最初我只改变我自己，接着 我就可以依次改变我的家人</blockquote><blockquote>然后在他们的激励和鼓励下，我也许就能改变我的国家</blockquote><blockquote>在接下来，谁又知道呢？</blockquote><blockquote>也许我连整个世界都可以改变</blockquote><p>如果我们想要改变世界之前想到的是先改变自己，也许事情就没那么难了。</p><p>13 我们永远赚不到认知以外的钱</p><p>开始写分享以后收到最多的提问，就是：老师某某股票可以买吗？</p><p>实际上当你把决策交给别人的时候，这笔交易就很难成功了，再好的企业如果自己看不懂逻辑都没意义，涨了十倍的茅台中间也会有无数下跌的时候，大部分企业经营也不会永远一帆风顺，如果你不是真心认可，不可能面对长涨跌耐心持有很多年。</p><p>只是因为别人喜欢买入，最后的结果一定是涨一点担心回撤拿不住，跌了担心别人的意见不可靠很恐慌。</p><p>14 难走的路往往越走越好走，好走的路往往越走越艰难</p><p>付出和收获一定是成正比的，这个世界上没有既简单又能赚大钱的方法，即使有，因为过于简单，也会因为无数新进入的参与者把他的收益降低。</p><p>想在股市赚钱，必须付出对应的努力，如果这事简单到打听消息，随便看看K线，追追热点就能做到，不会有70%的人都亏钱。</p><p>别人选择了安逸，你选择了奋斗，你就必须要比别人更努力，你不能一边期望将来比选择安逸的人过的更好，现在又想和选择安逸的人一样舒服。</p><p>一旦选择了投资这条路，不断学习这件事是不可能逃避的。</p><p>美国心理学家威廉·詹姆士说：「播下一个行为，收获一种习惯；播下一种习惯，收获一种性格；播下一种性格，收获一种命运。</p><p>比如阅读，同样的时间拿来追剧一定更舒服，并且有时候即使看了一两天书也没啥大改变，最终就放弃了，但实际上好的习惯都是在将来能给我们带来收益，而坏习惯总是马上能让我们得到快乐。</p><p>好习惯的养成需要持之以恒的努力，虽然短期内效果并不是那么明显，但是只要你坚持下去，每天进步一点点，最终会超越自己，实现不可能。</p><p>坏的习惯每天让我们沉迷于当下的快乐，每次都想着明天开始，转眼一看一年就这么过去了。</p><p>15 这不是一条快的路</p><p></p><p>股市很难赚快钱，因为他的赔率不足够高，买彩票可以几千中500万，在股市不行。</p><p>在股市靠承担高风险换取高回报，不足以一次解决问题，保持长期对就必须要降低风险偏好，这就意味着不可能持续有很高的收益。</p><p>我们不能盲目的觉得前30~40年造成的生活现状，进入股市分分钟就解决了，这是一条必须脚踏实地一步步认真走好的路。</p><p>所以先走好脚下的每一步，不要为了100公里外的美景忘记脚下的风险。</p><p>很多人愿意用6年时间寻找直接上6年级的方法，却不愿意从一年级开始耐心学6年。</p><p>16 投资是为了生活更好，不是为了拿现在的生活搏一把</p><p>每当你想搏一搏单车变摩托的时候，请理性一些。</p><p>如果你拿了3万5万博也没意义，几年几百倍的收益有这样的传说，他为什么是传说，14亿人就出了一个，稀有到极致才叫传说。与其奢望自己是天选之子，不如稳定理财赚点零花钱。</p><p>如果你拿了几十万，几百万，你已经小有积蓄足够幸福了，想想现在的生活，有收入，有积蓄，切莫因为一时的贪婪毁了现在的美好。</p><p>有时候小人物，小欲望，小满足何尝不是大幸福呢。</p><p>写到这，基本上想说的都写得差不多了，总之如果是在认真做投资这件事，不骄不躁，认清自己，勇于承担责任，并逐步建立适合自己性格的体系，我认为是必须的。</p><p>如果只是想在股市随便玩玩，也没什么大不了，但是切莫因为贪婪毁掉现在的生活，人生的苦，往往源自盲目的执着，总想去得到自己能力以外的东西，人生的难，难在放下，一旦放下超出自己能力的欲望，生活就会变的容易。</p><p>人生如海，祝你有帆有岸。</p></body></html>","defaultTopTitle":"qq.com","end_time":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" 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href=https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/oH0YJFmpFs0nKqDSR_J_Ag><strong>终身黑白</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>巴菲特说过：投资并不需要顶级的智商，超凡的商业头脑，而需要一个稳妥的思考框架作为决策的基础，最重要的是有能力控制自己的情绪。所谓的思考框架和决策的基础，就是一个人的投资体系。体系没有好坏之分，大前提是要适合自己。对自身的定位要准确，明白自己的优势和劣势，尽量发挥自己的优势，回避自己的劣势。然后保持一个好心态，哪怕是降低一些收益都是值得的。性格合适并且有一个良好的心态外加学习一定的知识，我认为就足以...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/oH0YJFmpFs0nKqDSR_J_Ag\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","id":"1184494861","isBrief":false,"is_english":false,"language":"zh","market":"hk","media":"终身黑白","news_type":1,"property":[],"pubTime":"2022-03-12 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