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2021-08-05
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Crude Oil, Energy Stocks Sink on Fed Commentary. WTI at Risk on Technicals<blockquote>美联储评论导致原油、能源股下跌。WTI面临技术风险</blockquote>
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WTI at Risk on Technicals<blockquote>美联储评论导致原油、能源股下跌。WTI面临技术风险</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1136019573","media":"DailyFX","summary":"CRUDE OIL, COVID-19, FED, IGCS, TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - TALKING POINTS:\n\nGrowth-linked crude oil prices","content":"<p><b>CRUDE OIL, COVID-19, FED, IGCS, TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - TALKING POINTS:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>原油、COVID-19、美联储、IGCS、技术分析-谈话要点：</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Growth-linked crude oil prices weakened alongside energy stocks on Wall Street</li> <li>Rising global Covid-19 cases, speech from Fed’s Clarida dented energy prices</li> <li>WTI at risk of developing bearish technical signals as retail traders go long</li> </ul> WTI crude oil prices fell by the most in over 2 weeks on Wednesday, succumbing to fundamental forces that did similar damage to energy stocks and the cyclically-oriented Dow Jones Industrial Average. Rising Covid-19 cases amid the spread of the more contagious Delta variant have been denting global growth prospects. China, the world’s largest consumer of the commodity, recently placed millions into lockdown to help contain the virus.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>与增长相关的原油价格与华尔街能源股一起走弱</li><li>全球Covid-19病例不断增加，美联储克拉里达的讲话削弱了能源价格</li><li>随着散户交易者做多，WTI面临形成看跌技术信号的风险</li></ul>WTI原油价格周三创下两周多来最大跌幅，屈服于对能源股和周期性道琼斯工业平均指数造成类似损害的基本面力量。随着传染性更强的德尔塔变异毒株的传播，Covid-19病例不断增加，削弱了全球增长前景。中国是全球最大的大宗商品消费国，最近封锁了数百万人，以帮助遏制病毒。</blockquote></p><p> A softer ADP employment report in the United States may have contributed to the sour mood on Wall Street, weakening oil prices too. This was then compounded by relatively hawkish commentary from Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida, who noted that conditions for raising rates could be met by the end of next year. The EIA’s report of an unexpected 3.6-million-barrel draw in crude oil inventories last week also weighed on prices.</p><p><blockquote>美国ADP就业报告疲软可能导致华尔街情绪不佳，也削弱了油价。随后，美联储副主席理查德·克拉里达（Richard Clarida）相对鹰派的评论加剧了这种情况，他指出，加息的条件可能会在明年年底前得到满足。EIA上周原油库存意外减少360万桶的报告也打压了价格。</blockquote></p><p> Prior to Friday’s US non-farm payrolls report, oil prices could remain vulnerable to swelling Covid cases. The focus over the remaining 24 hours likely turns to more Fedspeak. Governor Christopher Waller and Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari are slated to speak. The former could reiterate his rather hawkish views on monetary policy while the latter may counter with his relatively dovish opinions of late.</p><p><blockquote>在周五美国非农就业报告公布之前，油价可能仍容易受到新冠病例激增的影响。剩下24小时的焦点可能会转向更多的美联储言论。州长克里斯托弗·沃勒和明尼阿波利斯市总统尼尔·卡什卡利将发表讲话。前者可能会重申他在货币政策上相当鹰派的观点，而后者可能会反驳他最近相对鸽派的观点。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS</b></h3> Crude oil prices may be at risk in the near term after a bearish ‘Death Cross’ emerged between the 20- and 50-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs). The 67.94 – 66.37 inflection zone is in focus after the commodity paused its drop on the outer boundary of the range. Pushing deeper into the zone and breaking under risks opening the door to further losses. In the event of a bounce, keep a close eye on the SMAs which may act as key resistance points.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>原油技术分析</b></h3>在20日和50日简单移动平均线（SMA）之间出现看跌“死亡交叉”后，原油价格短期内可能面临风险。在大宗商品在该区间的外边界暂停下跌后，67.94-66.37拐点成为焦点。深入该区域并突破风险将为进一步损失打开大门。如果出现反弹，请密切关注可能作为关键阻力点的SMA。</blockquote></p><p> <b>WTI DAILY CHART</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d31e27e587663eedffe9747388f91c6a\" tg-width=\"680\" tg-height=\"328\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote><b>WTI日线图</b></blockquote></p><p> Chart Created Using TradingView</p><p><blockquote>使用TradingView创建的图表</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>CRUDE OIL SENTIMENT ANALYSIS</b></h3> According to IG Client Sentiment (IGCS), about 62% of retail traders are net-long crude oil. Upside exposure has increased by 22.59% and 45.80% over a daily and weekly basis respectively. We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment. The fact that traders are net-long hints prices may continue falling. Recent shifts in sentiment are further reinforcing this outlook.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>原油情绪分析</b></h3>根据IG客户情绪（IGCS），约62%的散户交易者是原油净多头。上行风险较每日和每周分别增加22.59%和45.80%。我们通常对人群情绪持相反的观点。交易者净多头的事实暗示价格可能会继续下跌。最近情绪的转变进一步强化了这一前景。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8aa668b8c61d75013df145f5976559fa\" tg-width=\"680\" tg-height=\"441\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">*IGCS chart used from August 4th report</p><p><blockquote>*使用8月4日报告的IGCS图表</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1568971417606","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Crude Oil, Energy Stocks Sink on Fed Commentary. WTI at Risk on Technicals<blockquote>美联储评论导致原油、能源股下跌。WTI面临技术风险</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCrude Oil, Energy Stocks Sink on Fed Commentary. WTI at Risk on Technicals<blockquote>美联储评论导致原油、能源股下跌。WTI面临技术风险</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">DailyFX</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-05 13:12</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>CRUDE OIL, COVID-19, FED, IGCS, TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - TALKING POINTS:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>原油、COVID-19、美联储、IGCS、技术分析-谈话要点：</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Growth-linked crude oil prices weakened alongside energy stocks on Wall Street</li> <li>Rising global Covid-19 cases, speech from Fed’s Clarida dented energy prices</li> <li>WTI at risk of developing bearish technical signals as retail traders go long</li> </ul> WTI crude oil prices fell by the most in over 2 weeks on Wednesday, succumbing to fundamental forces that did similar damage to energy stocks and the cyclically-oriented Dow Jones Industrial Average. Rising Covid-19 cases amid the spread of the more contagious Delta variant have been denting global growth prospects. China, the world’s largest consumer of the commodity, recently placed millions into lockdown to help contain the virus.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>与增长相关的原油价格与华尔街能源股一起走弱</li><li>全球Covid-19病例不断增加，美联储克拉里达的讲话削弱了能源价格</li><li>随着散户交易者做多，WTI面临形成看跌技术信号的风险</li></ul>WTI原油价格周三创下两周多来最大跌幅，屈服于对能源股和周期性道琼斯工业平均指数造成类似损害的基本面力量。随着传染性更强的德尔塔变异毒株的传播，Covid-19病例不断增加，削弱了全球增长前景。中国是全球最大的大宗商品消费国，最近封锁了数百万人，以帮助遏制病毒。</blockquote></p><p> A softer ADP employment report in the United States may have contributed to the sour mood on Wall Street, weakening oil prices too. This was then compounded by relatively hawkish commentary from Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida, who noted that conditions for raising rates could be met by the end of next year. The EIA’s report of an unexpected 3.6-million-barrel draw in crude oil inventories last week also weighed on prices.</p><p><blockquote>美国ADP就业报告疲软可能导致华尔街情绪不佳，也削弱了油价。随后，美联储副主席理查德·克拉里达（Richard Clarida）相对鹰派的评论加剧了这种情况，他指出，加息的条件可能会在明年年底前得到满足。EIA上周原油库存意外减少360万桶的报告也打压了价格。</blockquote></p><p> Prior to Friday’s US non-farm payrolls report, oil prices could remain vulnerable to swelling Covid cases. The focus over the remaining 24 hours likely turns to more Fedspeak. Governor Christopher Waller and Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari are slated to speak. The former could reiterate his rather hawkish views on monetary policy while the latter may counter with his relatively dovish opinions of late.</p><p><blockquote>在周五美国非农就业报告公布之前，油价可能仍容易受到新冠病例激增的影响。剩下24小时的焦点可能会转向更多的美联储言论。州长克里斯托弗·沃勒和明尼阿波利斯市总统尼尔·卡什卡利将发表讲话。前者可能会重申他在货币政策上相当鹰派的观点，而后者可能会反驳他最近相对鸽派的观点。</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS</b></h3> Crude oil prices may be at risk in the near term after a bearish ‘Death Cross’ emerged between the 20- and 50-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs). The 67.94 – 66.37 inflection zone is in focus after the commodity paused its drop on the outer boundary of the range. Pushing deeper into the zone and breaking under risks opening the door to further losses. In the event of a bounce, keep a close eye on the SMAs which may act as key resistance points.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>原油技术分析</b></h3>在20日和50日简单移动平均线（SMA）之间出现看跌“死亡交叉”后，原油价格短期内可能面临风险。在大宗商品在该区间的外边界暂停下跌后，67.94-66.37拐点成为焦点。深入该区域并突破风险将为进一步损失打开大门。如果出现反弹，请密切关注可能作为关键阻力点的SMA。</blockquote></p><p> <b>WTI DAILY CHART</b><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d31e27e587663eedffe9747388f91c6a\" tg-width=\"680\" tg-height=\"328\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p><p><blockquote><b>WTI日线图</b></blockquote></p><p> Chart Created Using TradingView</p><p><blockquote>使用TradingView创建的图表</blockquote></p><p> <h3><b>CRUDE OIL SENTIMENT ANALYSIS</b></h3> According to IG Client Sentiment (IGCS), about 62% of retail traders are net-long crude oil. Upside exposure has increased by 22.59% and 45.80% over a daily and weekly basis respectively. We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment. The fact that traders are net-long hints prices may continue falling. Recent shifts in sentiment are further reinforcing this outlook.</p><p><blockquote><h3><b>原油情绪分析</b></h3>根据IG客户情绪（IGCS），约62%的散户交易者是原油净多头。上行风险较每日和每周分别增加22.59%和45.80%。我们通常对人群情绪持相反的观点。交易者净多头的事实暗示价格可能会继续下跌。最近情绪的转变进一步强化了这一前景。</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8aa668b8c61d75013df145f5976559fa\" tg-width=\"680\" tg-height=\"441\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">*IGCS chart used from August 4th report</p><p><blockquote>*使用8月4日报告的IGCS图表</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/daily_briefing/daily_pieces/commodities/2021/08/05/Crude-Oil-Energy-Stocks-Sink-on-Fed-Commentary-WTI-at-Risk-to-Technicals.html\">DailyFX</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"CRUD.UK":"WTI原油ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/fundamental/daily_briefing/daily_pieces/commodities/2021/08/05/Crude-Oil-Energy-Stocks-Sink-on-Fed-Commentary-WTI-at-Risk-to-Technicals.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1136019573","content_text":"CRUDE OIL, COVID-19, FED, IGCS, TECHNICAL ANALYSIS - TALKING POINTS:\n\nGrowth-linked crude oil prices weakened alongside energy stocks on Wall Street\nRising global Covid-19 cases, speech from Fed’s Clarida dented energy prices\nWTI at risk of developing bearish technical signals as retail traders go long\n\nWTI crude oil prices fell by the most in over 2 weeks on Wednesday, succumbing to fundamental forces that did similar damage to energy stocks and the cyclically-oriented Dow Jones Industrial Average. Rising Covid-19 cases amid the spread of the more contagious Delta variant have been denting global growth prospects. China, the world’s largest consumer of the commodity, recently placed millions into lockdown to help contain the virus.\nA softer ADP employment report in the United States may have contributed to the sour mood on Wall Street, weakening oil prices too. This was then compounded by relatively hawkish commentary from Fed Vice Chair Richard Clarida, who noted that conditions for raising rates could be met by the end of next year. The EIA’s report of an unexpected 3.6-million-barrel draw in crude oil inventories last week also weighed on prices.\nPrior to Friday’s US non-farm payrolls report, oil prices could remain vulnerable to swelling Covid cases. The focus over the remaining 24 hours likely turns to more Fedspeak. Governor Christopher Waller and Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari are slated to speak. The former could reiterate his rather hawkish views on monetary policy while the latter may counter with his relatively dovish opinions of late.\nCRUDE OIL TECHNICAL ANALYSIS\nCrude oil prices may be at risk in the near term after a bearish ‘Death Cross’ emerged between the 20- and 50-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs). The 67.94 – 66.37 inflection zone is in focus after the commodity paused its drop on the outer boundary of the range. Pushing deeper into the zone and breaking under risks opening the door to further losses. In the event of a bounce, keep a close eye on the SMAs which may act as key resistance points.\nWTI DAILY CHART\nChart Created Using TradingView\nCRUDE OIL SENTIMENT ANALYSIS\nAccording to IG Client Sentiment (IGCS), about 62% of retail traders are net-long crude oil. Upside exposure has increased by 22.59% and 45.80% over a daily and weekly basis respectively. We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment. The fact that traders are net-long hints prices may continue falling. Recent shifts in sentiment are further reinforcing this outlook.\n*IGCS chart used from August 4th report","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"MCLmain":0.9,"CLmain":0.9,"CRUD.UK":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1429,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":2,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/899026835"}
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