Looks like November or Decembe_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

2021-09-23

Looks like November or December we will start seeing tapering

Fed signals possibility of 6 to 7 rate hikes through 2024 as taper talks advance<blockquote>随着缩减规模谈判的推进，美联储暗示到 2024 年可能加息 6 至 7 次</blockquote>

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{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":863087070,"tweetId":"863087070","gmtCreate":1632337060690,"gmtModify":1632801149466,"author":{"id":3565923557914189,"idStr":"3565923557914189","authorId":3565923557914189,"authorIdStr":"3565923557914189","name":"EthanLiew","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4694088a9ee4476144e591137647a3f2","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[],"fanSize":23,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"title":"","extraTitle":"","html":"<html><head></head><body>Looks like November or December we will start seeing tapering</body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body>Looks like November or December we will start seeing tapering</body></html>","text":"Looks like November or December we will start seeing tapering","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/863087070","repostId":1105881552,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1105881552","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1632333734,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1105881552?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-09-23 02:02","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Fed signals possibility of 6 to 7 rate hikes through 2024 as taper talks advance<blockquote>随着缩减规模谈判的推进，美联储暗示到 2024 年可能加息 6 至 7 次</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1105881552","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"(Sept 23) The Federal Reserve on Wednesday telegraphed it could hike rates six to seven times by the","content":"(Sept 23)&nbsp;The Federal Reserve on Wednesday telegraphed it could hike rates six to seven times by the end of 2024, illustrating the central bank’s optimism that the COVID-19 recovery will progress well enough for the Fed to tighten its easy money policies in a few years.<blockquote>(9月23日）美联储周三发出电报称，到2024年底可能会加息6至7次，这表明美联储乐观地认为，COVID-19的复苏进展将足以让美联储在几年内收紧宽松货币政策。</blockquote> The policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee still held interest rates at near-zero in its updated statement, but said it had advanced talks on paring back its asset purchase program.<blockquote>制定政策的联邦公开市场委员会在其最新声明中仍将利率维持在接近于零的水平，但表示已就削减资产购买计划进行了深入谈判。</blockquote> Since the depths of the pandemic, the Fed has been absorbing about $120 billion a month in U.S. Treasuries and agency mortgage-backed securities. But Fed officials have said in recent weeks that by the end of the year, the economy will likely make the “substantial further progress” needed for the central bank to begin slowing the pace of those purchases.<blockquote>自疫情爆发以来，美联储每月吸收约 1200 亿美元的美国国债和机构抵押贷款支持证券。但美联储官员最近几周表示，到今年年底，经济可能会取得央行开始放缓购买步伐所需的 “实质性进一步进展”。</blockquote> “If progress continues broadly as expected, the Committee judges that a moderation in the pace of asset purchases may soon be warranted,” the FOMC statement reads.<blockquote>“联邦公开市场委员会的声明中写道：”如果进展继续大致如预期，委员会判断可能很快就有必要放缓资产购买步伐。</blockquote> The central bank only has two more meetings this year to announce a taper: in early November and in mid-December.<blockquote>央行今年只有两次会议宣布缩减规模：11月初和12月中旬。</blockquote> The Fed has insisted that thetiming of a taper is not a “direct signal”on the timing of rate liftoff. But “dot plot” projections, which map out each of the 18 FOMC members’ expectations for where rates will be in coming years, suggest that the central bank is pulling forward its forecast for 25 basis point rate hikes.<blockquote>美联储坚称，缩减利率的时机并不是加息时机的 “直接信号”。但 “点阵图 ”预测（绘制了 18 个联邦公开市场委员会成员对未来几年利率走势的预期）表明，央行正在将加息 25 个基点的预测前移。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/613f9571610513947a05c158ba7321ac\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"779\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The updated forecast now has the committee split on rate hikes in 2022, with 9 members seeing the case for no rate hikes next year but the other 9 seeing the case for at least one hike. By the end of 2023, the median dot projects three to four total rate hikes.<blockquote>更新后的预测显示，委员会在 2022 年加息问题上存在分歧，其中 9 名成员认为明年不加息，但另外 9 名成员认为至少加息一次。到 2023 年底，交通部中位数预计总共将加息三到四次。</blockquote> Through the end of 2024, the median FOMC member sees six to seven total rate hikes.<blockquote>到 2024 年底，FOMC 成员的中位数预计将总共加息六到七次。</blockquote> In thelast round of projections released in June, the median member of the FOMC saw no rate hikes through the end of 2022 but two rate hikes in 2023.<blockquote>在 6 月份发布的上一轮预测中，FOMC 的中位数成员预计到 2022 年底不会加息，但在 2023 年加息两次。</blockquote> The expectation to raise interest rates earlier coincides with higher expectations on inflation. Although the Fed stood pat on its expectation for rising price pressures to be “transitory,” the median FOMC member raised their forecast on PCE inflation to 4.2% this year (compared to 3.4% in June). The median member expects inflation to then fall to 2.2% in 2022. The Fed’s inflation target is 2%.<blockquote>提前加息的预期与更高的通胀预期不谋而合。尽管美联储坚持认为物价上涨压力是 “暂时的 ”的预期，但联邦公开市场委员会委员中位数将今年 PCE 通胀预测上调至 4.2%（6 月份为 3.4%）。中位数成员预计 2022 年通胀率将降至 2.2%。美联储的通胀目标是2%。</blockquote> The spike in COVID-19 cases from the Delta variant also weighed on forecasters’ expectations for GDP growth. The central bank now expects the U.S. economy to grow by 5.9% this year (compared to 7.0% in June) but revised up growth expectations for 2022 to 3.8% (compared to 3.3% in June).<blockquote>德尔塔变异毒株 COVID-19 病例的激增也给预测者对 GDP 增长的预期带来了压力。央行目前预计美国经济今年将增长 5.9%（6 月份为 7.0%），但将 2022 年增长预期上调至 3.8%（6 月份为 3.3%）。</blockquote> After a softer August jobs report, the Fed revised its expectation on the unemployment rate by the end of 2021 to 4.8% (compared to 4.5% in June). The central bank is hopeful it can return to the pre-pandemic record low on headline unemployment of 3.5% by the end of 2023.<blockquote>在 8 月份就业报告疲软后，美联储将 2021 年底失业率预期修正至 4.8%（6 月份为 4.5%）。央行希望到 2023 年底，总体失业率能够恢复到大流行前 3.5% 的历史新低。</blockquote> The next FOMC meeting is scheduled to take place November 2 and 3.<blockquote>下一次 FOMC 会议定于 11 月 2 日至 3 日举行。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed signals possibility of 6 to 7 rate hikes through 2024 as taper talks advance<blockquote>随着缩减规模谈判的推进，美联储暗示到 2024 年可能加息 6 至 7 次</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed signals possibility of 6 to 7 rate hikes through 2024 as taper talks advance<blockquote>随着缩减规模谈判的推进，美联储暗示到 2024 年可能加息 6 至 7 次</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\nTiger Newspress \n2021-09-23 02:02\n</div>\n</a>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n(Sept 23)&nbsp;The Federal Reserve on Wednesday telegraphed it could hike rates six to seven times by the end of 2024, illustrating the central bank’s optimism that the COVID-19 recovery will progress well enough for the Fed to tighten its easy money policies in a few years.<blockquote>(9月23日）美联储周三发出电报称，到2024年底可能会加息6至7次，这表明美联储乐观地认为，COVID-19的复苏进展将足以让美联储在几年内收紧宽松货币政策。</blockquote> The policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee still held interest rates at near-zero in its updated statement, but said it had advanced talks on paring back its asset purchase program.<blockquote>制定政策的联邦公开市场委员会在其最新声明中仍将利率维持在接近于零的水平，但表示已就削减资产购买计划进行了深入谈判。</blockquote> Since the depths of the pandemic, the Fed has been absorbing about $120 billion a month in U.S. Treasuries and agency mortgage-backed securities. But Fed officials have said in recent weeks that by the end of the year, the economy will likely make the “substantial further progress” needed for the central bank to begin slowing the pace of those purchases.<blockquote>自疫情爆发以来，美联储每月吸收约 1200 亿美元的美国国债和机构抵押贷款支持证券。但美联储官员最近几周表示，到今年年底，经济可能会取得央行开始放缓购买步伐所需的 “实质性进一步进展”。</blockquote> “If progress continues broadly as expected, the Committee judges that a moderation in the pace of asset purchases may soon be warranted,” the FOMC statement reads.<blockquote>“联邦公开市场委员会的声明中写道：”如果进展继续大致如预期，委员会判断可能很快就有必要放缓资产购买步伐。</blockquote> The central bank only has two more meetings this year to announce a taper: in early November and in mid-December.<blockquote>央行今年只有两次会议宣布缩减规模：11月初和12月中旬。</blockquote> The Fed has insisted that thetiming of a taper is not a “direct signal”on the timing of rate liftoff. But “dot plot” projections, which map out each of the 18 FOMC members’ expectations for where rates will be in coming years, suggest that the central bank is pulling forward its forecast for 25 basis point rate hikes.<blockquote>美联储坚称，缩减利率的时机并不是加息时机的 “直接信号”。但 “点阵图 ”预测（绘制了 18 个联邦公开市场委员会成员对未来几年利率走势的预期）表明，央行正在将加息 25 个基点的预测前移。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/613f9571610513947a05c158ba7321ac\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"779\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">The updated forecast now has the committee split on rate hikes in 2022, with 9 members seeing the case for no rate hikes next year but the other 9 seeing the case for at least one hike. By the end of 2023, the median dot projects three to four total rate hikes.<blockquote>更新后的预测显示，委员会在 2022 年加息问题上存在分歧，其中 9 名成员认为明年不加息，但另外 9 名成员认为至少加息一次。到 2023 年底，交通部中位数预计总共将加息三到四次。</blockquote> Through the end of 2024, the median FOMC member sees six to seven total rate hikes.<blockquote>到 2024 年底，FOMC 成员的中位数预计将总共加息六到七次。</blockquote> In thelast round of projections released in June, the median member of the FOMC saw no rate hikes through the end of 2022 but two rate hikes in 2023.<blockquote>在 6 月份发布的上一轮预测中，FOMC 的中位数成员预计到 2022 年底不会加息，但在 2023 年加息两次。</blockquote> The expectation to raise interest rates earlier coincides with higher expectations on inflation. Although the Fed stood pat on its expectation for rising price pressures to be “transitory,” the median FOMC member raised their forecast on PCE inflation to 4.2% this year (compared to 3.4% in June). The median member expects inflation to then fall to 2.2% in 2022. The Fed’s inflation target is 2%.<blockquote>提前加息的预期与更高的通胀预期不谋而合。尽管美联储坚持认为物价上涨压力是 “暂时的 ”的预期，但联邦公开市场委员会委员中位数将今年 PCE 通胀预测上调至 4.2%（6 月份为 3.4%）。中位数成员预计 2022 年通胀率将降至 2.2%。美联储的通胀目标是2%。</blockquote> The spike in COVID-19 cases from the Delta variant also weighed on forecasters’ expectations for GDP growth. The central bank now expects the U.S. economy to grow by 5.9% this year (compared to 7.0% in June) but revised up growth expectations for 2022 to 3.8% (compared to 3.3% in June).<blockquote>德尔塔变异毒株 COVID-19 病例的激增也给预测者对 GDP 增长的预期带来了压力。央行目前预计美国经济今年将增长 5.9%（6 月份为 7.0%），但将 2022 年增长预期上调至 3.8%（6 月份为 3.3%）。</blockquote> After a softer August jobs report, the Fed revised its expectation on the unemployment rate by the end of 2021 to 4.8% (compared to 4.5% in June). The central bank is hopeful it can return to the pre-pandemic record low on headline unemployment of 3.5% by the end of 2023.<blockquote>在 8 月份就业报告疲软后，美联储将 2021 年底失业率预期修正至 4.8%（6 月份为 4.5%）。央行希望到 2023 年底，总体失业率能够恢复到大流行前 3.5% 的历史新低。</blockquote> The next FOMC meeting is scheduled to take place November 2 and 3.<blockquote>下一次 FOMC 会议定于 11 月 2 日至 3 日举行。</blockquote>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105881552","content_text":"(Sept 23) The Federal Reserve on Wednesday telegraphed it could hike rates six to seven times by the end of 2024, illustrating the central bank’s optimism that the COVID-19 recovery will progress well enough for the Fed to tighten its easy money policies in a few years.\nThe policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee still held interest rates at near-zero in its updated statement, but said it had advanced talks on paring back its asset purchase program.\nSince the depths of the pandemic, the Fed has been absorbing about $120 billion a month in U.S. Treasuries and agency mortgage-backed securities. But Fed officials have said in recent weeks that by the end of the year, the economy will likely make the “substantial further progress” needed for the central bank to begin slowing the pace of those purchases.\n“If progress continues broadly as expected, the Committee judges that a moderation in the pace of asset purchases may soon be warranted,” the FOMC statement reads.\nThe central bank only has two more meetings this year to announce a taper: in early November and in mid-December.\nThe Fed has insisted that thetiming of a taper is not a “direct signal”on the timing of rate liftoff. But “dot plot” projections, which map out each of the 18 FOMC members’ expectations for where rates will be in coming years, suggest that the central bank is pulling forward its forecast for 25 basis point rate hikes.\nThe updated forecast now has the committee split on rate hikes in 2022, with 9 members seeing the case for no rate hikes next year but the other 9 seeing the case for at least one hike. By the end of 2023, the median dot projects three to four total rate hikes.\nThrough the end of 2024, the median FOMC member sees six to seven total rate hikes.\nIn thelast round of projections released in June, the median member of the FOMC saw no rate hikes through the end of 2022 but two rate hikes in 2023.\nThe expectation to raise interest rates earlier coincides with higher expectations on inflation. Although the Fed stood pat on its expectation for rising price pressures to be “transitory,” the median FOMC member raised their forecast on PCE inflation to 4.2% this year (compared to 3.4% in June). The median member expects inflation to then fall to 2.2% in 2022. The Fed’s inflation target is 2%.\nThe spike in COVID-19 cases from the Delta variant also weighed on forecasters’ expectations for GDP growth. The central bank now expects the U.S. economy to grow by 5.9% this year (compared to 7.0% in June) but revised up growth expectations for 2022 to 3.8% (compared to 3.3% in June).\nAfter a softer August jobs report, the Fed revised its expectation on the unemployment rate by the end of 2021 to 4.8% (compared to 4.5% in June). The central bank is hopeful it can return to the pre-pandemic record low on headline unemployment of 3.5% by the end of 2023.\nThe next FOMC meeting is scheduled to take place November 2 and 3.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".DJI":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":846,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":52,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/863087070"}