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2021-10-08

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‘I don’t think there’s a lot of upside from here,’ says stock-market legend, but U.S. stocks could rise in 2022 if earnings are good<blockquote>这位股市传奇人物说：“我认为从这里开始没有太大的上涨空间，”但如果盈利良好，美国股市可能会在 2022 年上涨。</blockquote>

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He said that he is forecasting that the S&amp;P 500’s full year earnings per share, or EPS, will be $225 and predicted that it could be $250 for 2022, which could embolden a bit more buying next year. FactSet data show that the 2021 EPS is $199 and projects that EPS in 2022 will be $218.<blockquote>“维恩对商业网络说：”我不认为.比目前的水平有多少价值。他说，他预测标普500全年每股收益（EPS）将达到 225 美元，并预测 2022 年可能达到 250 美元，这可能会鼓励明年更多的购买。FactSet数据显示，2021年每股收益为199美元，预计2022年每股收益将为218美元。</blockquote> Meanwhile, Wien estimates that a 2% yield on the 10-year Treasury note&nbsp;would be fairly valued for the government debt but said that if it rose above 3% it could deliver a blow to risk taking on Wall Street.<blockquote>与此同时，维恩估计，10年期国库券2%的收益率对于政府债务来说是合理的，但他表示，如果收益率升至3%以上，可能会对华尔街的风险承担造成打击。</blockquote> But for now, the veteran investor sees the market making fitful moves higher.<blockquote>但就目前而言，这位资深投资者认为市场断断续续地走高。</blockquote> “A modest drift up is what we are going to see from here,” Wien said. He said that the years of “20% [returns] are behind us.”<blockquote>“维恩说：”从现在开始，我们将看到的是适度的上升趋势。他说，“20%（回报率）的年代已经过去了”。</blockquote> His comments come after the stock market kicked off the first full week of October on a decidedly sour note that cast doubt on equities sustaining their bullish posture, only to stage a comeback thus far.<blockquote>他发表上述言论之前，股市在 10 月份的第一个完整周开始时明显表现不佳，这让人对股市能否维持看涨态势产生怀疑，但迄今为止却出现了反弹。</blockquote> The Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;is up 1.3% so far this week, the S&amp;P 500 index&nbsp;has gained 1%, while the Nasdaq Composite Index&nbsp;is up 0.6% after the technology-laden index skidded 2.1% on Monday, putting itself 7.3% below its Sept. 7 record peak.<blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数本周迄今已上涨 1.3%，标普500指数上涨 1%，纳斯达克综合指数上涨 0.6%，周一科技指数下跌 2.1%，较 9 月 7 日创纪录高点低 7.3%。</blockquote> Wien has been annually offering up&nbsp;a list of potential surprises&nbsp;for decades now.<blockquote>几十年来，维也纳每年都会提供一份潜在的惊喜清单。</blockquote> The Blackstone executive also told CNBC on Thursday that the market is signaling that it believes that the debt-celing issues will ultimately resolve themselves but he is personally concerned about “profligate spending” under the Biden administration, which he fears could add to the budget deficit.<blockquote>这位黑石高管周四还告诉 CNBC，市场正在发出信号，认为债务上限问题最终会自行解决，但他个人担心拜登政府的 “挥霍无度”，他担心这可能会增加预算赤字。</blockquote>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n‘I don’t think there’s a lot of upside from here,’ says stock-market legend, but U.S. stocks could rise in 2022 if earnings are good<blockquote>这位股市传奇人物说：“我认为从这里开始没有太大的上涨空间，”但如果盈利良好，美国股市可能会在 2022 年上涨。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nMarketWatch2021-10-08 07:37\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nIt seems like the bulls are back in charge on Wall Street, but legendary investor Byron Wien says that buyers shouldn’t get too euphoric.<blockquote>看来多头又重新掌控了华尔街，但传奇投资者拜伦-维恩（Byron Wien）表示，买家不应该过于兴奋。</blockquote> In a CNBC interview on Thursday, the legendary investor and Blackstone vice chairman of private wealth solutions cautioned that the upside might be limited for the U.S. stock market from here.<blockquote>在周四接受 CNBC 采访时，这位传奇投资者、黑石私人财富解决方案副董事长警告说，美国股市的上涨空间可能有限。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1b1fa79c4abd6f1cae76b767cd8dae3a\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Byron Wien, vice chairman at Blackstone Bloomberg<blockquote>Byron Wien，黑石彭博副董事长</blockquote> “I don’t think there’s a lot of upside from…not a lot more value than current levels,” Wien told the business network. He said that he is forecasting that the S&amp;P 500’s full year earnings per share, or EPS, will be $225 and predicted that it could be $250 for 2022, which could embolden a bit more buying next year. FactSet data show that the 2021 EPS is $199 and projects that EPS in 2022 will be $218.<blockquote>“维恩对商业网络说：”我不认为.比目前的水平有多少价值。他说，他预测标普500全年每股收益（EPS）将达到 225 美元，并预测 2022 年可能达到 250 美元，这可能会鼓励明年更多的购买。FactSet数据显示，2021年每股收益为199美元，预计2022年每股收益将为218美元。</blockquote> Meanwhile, Wien estimates that a 2% yield on the 10-year Treasury note&nbsp;would be fairly valued for the government debt but said that if it rose above 3% it could deliver a blow to risk taking on Wall Street.<blockquote>与此同时，维恩估计，10年期国库券2%的收益率对于政府债务来说是合理的，但他表示，如果收益率升至3%以上，可能会对华尔街的风险承担造成打击。</blockquote> But for now, the veteran investor sees the market making fitful moves higher.<blockquote>但就目前而言，这位资深投资者认为市场断断续续地走高。</blockquote> “A modest drift up is what we are going to see from here,” Wien said. He said that the years of “20% [returns] are behind us.”<blockquote>“维恩说：”从现在开始，我们将看到的是适度的上升趋势。他说，“20%（回报率）的年代已经过去了”。</blockquote> His comments come after the stock market kicked off the first full week of October on a decidedly sour note that cast doubt on equities sustaining their bullish posture, only to stage a comeback thus far.<blockquote>他发表上述言论之前，股市在 10 月份的第一个完整周开始时明显表现不佳，这让人对股市能否维持看涨态势产生怀疑，但迄今为止却出现了反弹。</blockquote> The Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;is up 1.3% so far this week, the S&amp;P 500 index&nbsp;has gained 1%, while the Nasdaq Composite Index&nbsp;is up 0.6% after the technology-laden index skidded 2.1% on Monday, putting itself 7.3% below its Sept. 7 record peak.<blockquote>道琼斯工业平均指数本周迄今已上涨 1.3%，标普500指数上涨 1%，纳斯达克综合指数上涨 0.6%，周一科技指数下跌 2.1%，较 9 月 7 日创纪录高点低 7.3%。</blockquote> Wien has been annually offering up&nbsp;a list of potential surprises&nbsp;for decades now.<blockquote>几十年来，维也纳每年都会提供一份潜在的惊喜清单。</blockquote> The Blackstone executive also told CNBC on Thursday that the market is signaling that it believes that the debt-celing issues will ultimately resolve themselves but he is personally concerned about “profligate spending” under the Biden administration, which he fears could add to the budget deficit.<blockquote>这位黑石高管周四还告诉 CNBC，市场正在发出信号，认为债务上限问题最终会自行解决，但他个人担心拜登政府的 “挥霍无度”，他担心这可能会增加预算赤字。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/i-dont-think-theres-a-lot-of-upside-from-here-says-stock-market-legend-but-u-s-stocks-could-rise-in-2022-if-earnings-are-good-11633638350?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/i-dont-think-theres-a-lot-of-upside-from-here-says-stock-market-legend-but-u-s-stocks-could-rise-in-2022-if-earnings-are-good-11633638350?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1157122773","content_text":"It seems like the bulls are back in charge on Wall Street, but legendary investor Byron Wien says that buyers shouldn’t get too euphoric.\nIn a CNBC interview on Thursday, the legendary investor and Blackstone vice chairman of private wealth solutions cautioned that the upside might be limited for the U.S. stock market from here.\nByron Wien, vice chairman at Blackstone Bloomberg\n“I don’t think there’s a lot of upside from…not a lot more value than current levels,” Wien told the business network. He said that he is forecasting that the S&P 500’s full year earnings per share, or EPS, will be $225 and predicted that it could be $250 for 2022, which could embolden a bit more buying next year. FactSet data show that the 2021 EPS is $199 and projects that EPS in 2022 will be $218.\nMeanwhile, Wien estimates that a 2% yield on the 10-year Treasury note would be fairly valued for the government debt but said that if it rose above 3% it could deliver a blow to risk taking on Wall Street.\nBut for now, the veteran investor sees the market making fitful moves higher.\n“A modest drift up is what we are going to see from here,” Wien said. He said that the years of “20% [returns] are behind us.”\nHis comments come after the stock market kicked off the first full week of October on a decidedly sour note that cast doubt on equities sustaining their bullish posture, only to stage a comeback thus far.\nThe Dow Jones Industrial Average is up 1.3% so far this week, the S&P 500 index has gained 1%, while the Nasdaq Composite Index is up 0.6% after the technology-laden index skidded 2.1% on Monday, putting itself 7.3% below its Sept. 7 record peak.\nWien has been annually offering up a list of potential surprises for decades now.\nThe Blackstone executive also told CNBC on Thursday that the market is signaling that it believes that the debt-celing issues will ultimately resolve themselves but he is personally concerned about “profligate spending” under the Biden administration, which he fears could add to the budget deficit.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":588,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":13,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/823772524"}