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2021-08-04
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Crude Oil Prices Eyeing $70 Amid Viral Concerns, Small Stockpiles Draw<blockquote>由于病毒式担忧和少量库存减少,原油价格有望达到70美元</blockquote>
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A rapid Covid-19 flareup in China cast a shadow over its growth outlook amid an already slowing economy. Authorities have reported 353 locally transmitted cases since July 20, with the highly contagious Delta variant found in more half of China’s 32 provinces. Over 46 mainland cities have warned against non-essential travel and conducted mass-testing for the virus to curb its spread.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>油价在本周早些时候下跌4.7%后,周三稳定交易</li><li>上周美国原油库存降幅不及预期,给价格带来下行压力</li><li>中国加强与新冠疫情相关的旅行限制可能会给需求前景蒙上阴影</li></ul>原油价格在过去两天下跌4.7%后,周三亚太交易时段保持稳定。在经济已经放缓的情况下,中国Covid-19的迅速爆发给其增长前景蒙上了阴影。自7月20日以来,当局已报告353例本地传播病例,在中国32个省份中的一半以上发现了这种高传染性德尔塔变异毒株。超过46个内地城市警告不要进行非必要的旅行,并进行了大规模病毒检测以遏制其传播。</blockquote></p><p> Stricter mobility constraints may dampen the energy demand for the world’s largest oil-importing country. China accounts for around 26% of the world’s total crude imports, with over 40 million barrels imported monthly so far in 2021 (chart below).</p><p><blockquote>更严格的流动性限制可能会抑制这个世界上最大的石油进口国的能源需求。中国约占全球原油进口总量的26%,2021年迄今为止每月进口量超过4000万桶(下图)。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, the America Petroleum Institute (API) reported a smaller-than-expected draw in crude inventories for the week ending July 30th, undermining energy prices. Crude oil stocks fell 0.88 million barrels, compared to an estimated 2.90-million-barrel drop. Traders will monitor the EIA’sweekly petroleum status report– the official data for crude and gasoline inventories – for more clues about changes in supply-demand dynamics.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时,美国石油协会(API)报告称,截至7月30日当周原油库存减少幅度小于预期,削弱了能源价格。原油库存减少88万桶,而预估为减少290万桶。交易员将关注EIA的每周石油状况报告(原油和汽油库存的官方数据),以获取有关供需动态变化的更多线索。</blockquote></p><p> WTI vs. Chinese Crude Oil Imports – Last 5 Years</p><p><blockquote>WTI与中国原油进口-过去5年</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af4c937ca493ec93160ad43d7c503e5a\" tg-width=\"680\" tg-height=\"409\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: Bloomberg, DailyFX</p><p><blockquote>资料来源:彭博社、DailyFX</blockquote></p><p> Technically, WTI entered a technical pullback after hitting a two-and-half year high of $76.95 on July 6th (chart below). Prices have since formed consecutive lower highs and lower lows, suggesting that near-term trend may have flipped downward. An immediate support level can be found at around $70.00 – a psychological level, and then $68.80 – the 78.6% Fibonacci extension. An immediate resistance level can be found at $73.26 – the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.</p><p><blockquote>技术上,WTI在7月6日触及76.95美元的两年半高点后进入技术性回调(下图)。此后,价格形成了连续较低的高点和较低的低点,表明近期趋势可能已经向下翻转。直接支撑位在70.00美元左右(心理水平),然后是68.80美元(78.6%斐波那契延伸线)。直接阻力位位于73.26美元——127.2%斐波那契延伸线。</blockquote></p><p> The MACD indicator is trending lower, suggesting downward momentum may be dominating.</p><p><blockquote>MACD指标呈走低趋势,表明下行动力可能占主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> WTI Crude Oil Price–Daily Chart</p><p><blockquote>WTI原油价格-日线图</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c253df89391355bec8966961cb2643a7\" tg-width=\"680\" tg-height=\"355\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1568971417606","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Crude Oil Prices Eyeing $70 Amid Viral Concerns, Small Stockpiles Draw<blockquote>由于病毒式担忧和少量库存减少,原油价格有望达到70美元</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCrude Oil Prices Eyeing $70 Amid Viral Concerns, Small Stockpiles Draw<blockquote>由于病毒式担忧和少量库存减少,原油价格有望达到70美元</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">DailyFX</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-08-04 14:31</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>CRUDE OIL PRICE OUTLOOK:</b></p><p><blockquote><b>原油价格展望:</b></blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>Oil prices trade steadily on Wednesdayafter falling 4.7% earlier this week</li> <li>US crude inventories felllessthan expected last week,exerting downward pressure on prices</li> <li>Heightened Covid-related travel restrictions in Chinamay cast a shadow over the demand outlook</li> </ul> Crude oil prices held steady during Wednesday’s APAC session after falling 4.7% over the last two days. A rapid Covid-19 flareup in China cast a shadow over its growth outlook amid an already slowing economy. Authorities have reported 353 locally transmitted cases since July 20, with the highly contagious Delta variant found in more half of China’s 32 provinces. Over 46 mainland cities have warned against non-essential travel and conducted mass-testing for the virus to curb its spread.</p><p><blockquote><ul><li>油价在本周早些时候下跌4.7%后,周三稳定交易</li><li>上周美国原油库存降幅不及预期,给价格带来下行压力</li><li>中国加强与新冠疫情相关的旅行限制可能会给需求前景蒙上阴影</li></ul>原油价格在过去两天下跌4.7%后,周三亚太交易时段保持稳定。在经济已经放缓的情况下,中国Covid-19的迅速爆发给其增长前景蒙上了阴影。自7月20日以来,当局已报告353例本地传播病例,在中国32个省份中的一半以上发现了这种高传染性德尔塔变异毒株。超过46个内地城市警告不要进行非必要的旅行,并进行了大规模病毒检测以遏制其传播。</blockquote></p><p> Stricter mobility constraints may dampen the energy demand for the world’s largest oil-importing country. China accounts for around 26% of the world’s total crude imports, with over 40 million barrels imported monthly so far in 2021 (chart below).</p><p><blockquote>更严格的流动性限制可能会抑制这个世界上最大的石油进口国的能源需求。中国约占全球原油进口总量的26%,2021年迄今为止每月进口量超过4000万桶(下图)。</blockquote></p><p> Meanwhile, the America Petroleum Institute (API) reported a smaller-than-expected draw in crude inventories for the week ending July 30th, undermining energy prices. Crude oil stocks fell 0.88 million barrels, compared to an estimated 2.90-million-barrel drop. Traders will monitor the EIA’sweekly petroleum status report– the official data for crude and gasoline inventories – for more clues about changes in supply-demand dynamics.</p><p><blockquote>与此同时,美国石油协会(API)报告称,截至7月30日当周原油库存减少幅度小于预期,削弱了能源价格。原油库存减少88万桶,而预估为减少290万桶。交易员将关注EIA的每周石油状况报告(原油和汽油库存的官方数据),以获取有关供需动态变化的更多线索。</blockquote></p><p> WTI vs. Chinese Crude Oil Imports – Last 5 Years</p><p><blockquote>WTI与中国原油进口-过去5年</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/af4c937ca493ec93160ad43d7c503e5a\" tg-width=\"680\" tg-height=\"409\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">Source: Bloomberg, DailyFX</p><p><blockquote>资料来源:彭博社、DailyFX</blockquote></p><p> Technically, WTI entered a technical pullback after hitting a two-and-half year high of $76.95 on July 6th (chart below). Prices have since formed consecutive lower highs and lower lows, suggesting that near-term trend may have flipped downward. An immediate support level can be found at around $70.00 – a psychological level, and then $68.80 – the 78.6% Fibonacci extension. An immediate resistance level can be found at $73.26 – the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.</p><p><blockquote>技术上,WTI在7月6日触及76.95美元的两年半高点后进入技术性回调(下图)。此后,价格形成了连续较低的高点和较低的低点,表明近期趋势可能已经向下翻转。直接支撑位在70.00美元左右(心理水平),然后是68.80美元(78.6%斐波那契延伸线)。直接阻力位位于73.26美元——127.2%斐波那契延伸线。</blockquote></p><p> The MACD indicator is trending lower, suggesting downward momentum may be dominating.</p><p><blockquote>MACD指标呈走低趋势,表明下行动力可能占主导地位。</blockquote></p><p> WTI Crude Oil Price–Daily Chart</p><p><blockquote>WTI原油价格-日线图</blockquote></p><p> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c253df89391355bec8966961cb2643a7\" tg-width=\"680\" tg-height=\"355\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/market_alert/2021/08/04/Crude-Oil-Prices-Eyeing-70-amid-Viral-Concerns-Small-Stockpiles-Draw-.html\">DailyFX</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/market_alert/2021/08/04/Crude-Oil-Prices-Eyeing-70-amid-Viral-Concerns-Small-Stockpiles-Draw-.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1151010674","content_text":"CRUDE OIL PRICE OUTLOOK:\n\nOil prices trade steadily on Wednesdayafter falling 4.7% earlier this week\nUS crude inventories felllessthan expected last week,exerting downward pressure on prices\nHeightened Covid-related travel restrictions in Chinamay cast a shadow over the demand outlook\n\nCrude oil prices held steady during Wednesday’s APAC session after falling 4.7% over the last two days. A rapid Covid-19 flareup in China cast a shadow over its growth outlook amid an already slowing economy. Authorities have reported 353 locally transmitted cases since July 20, with the highly contagious Delta variant found in more half of China’s 32 provinces. Over 46 mainland cities have warned against non-essential travel and conducted mass-testing for the virus to curb its spread.\nStricter mobility constraints may dampen the energy demand for the world’s largest oil-importing country. China accounts for around 26% of the world’s total crude imports, with over 40 million barrels imported monthly so far in 2021 (chart below).\nMeanwhile, the America Petroleum Institute (API) reported a smaller-than-expected draw in crude inventories for the week ending July 30th, undermining energy prices. Crude oil stocks fell 0.88 million barrels, compared to an estimated 2.90-million-barrel drop. Traders will monitor the EIA’sweekly petroleum status report– the official data for crude and gasoline inventories – for more clues about changes in supply-demand dynamics.\nWTI vs. Chinese Crude Oil Imports – Last 5 Years\nSource: Bloomberg, DailyFX\nTechnically, WTI entered a technical pullback after hitting a two-and-half year high of $76.95 on July 6th (chart below). Prices have since formed consecutive lower highs and lower lows, suggesting that near-term trend may have flipped downward. An immediate support level can be found at around $70.00 – a psychological level, and then $68.80 – the 78.6% Fibonacci extension. An immediate resistance level can be found at $73.26 – the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.\nThe MACD indicator is trending lower, suggesting downward momentum may be dominating.\nWTI Crude Oil Price–Daily Chart","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BZmain":0.9,"UKOILmain":0.9,"MCLmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3088,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":4,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/807761158"}
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