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2021-07-30

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Goldman Sachs has been super-bullish on the global economy, but not anymore. Here's why.<blockquote>高盛一直非常看好全球经济，但现在不再如此了。原因如下。</blockquote>

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Here's why.<blockquote>高盛一直非常看好全球经济，但现在不再如此了。原因如下。</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2155137729","media":"MarketWatch","summary":"Goldman Sachs has prided itself on its bullish stance on the global economy, with its above-consensu","content":"Goldman Sachs has prided itself on its bullish stance on the global economy, with its above-consensus takes doing better than many of its banking rivals to forecast just how resilient consumers and businesses have been.<blockquote>高盛对其对全球经济的乐观立场感到自豪，其上述共识需要比许多银行业竞争对手做得更好来预测消费者和企业的弹性。</blockquote> The gross domestic product data released Thursday show the world's largest economy, the U.S., has already surpassed its pre-pandemic peak in the second quarter.<blockquote>周四公布的国内生产总值数据显示，全球最大经济体美国在第二季度已经超过了疫情前的峰值。</blockquote> But...<blockquote>但是……...</blockquote> Goldman Sachs economists Daan Struyven and Sid Bhushan explain the bank's economics team has now become less enthusiastic. They've cut economic growth projections for the low-vaccination Asian economies including India and Australia but also the U.S. -- even while upgrading Brazil and Mexico forecasts -- taking their global growth forecast for this year to 6.4%, which is only 0.3% above the Wall Street consensus.<blockquote>高盛经济学家 Daan Struyven 和 Sid Bhushan 解释说，该银行的经济团队现在已经不那么热情了。他们下调了包括印度和澳大利亚在内的低疫苗接种率亚洲经济体以及美国的经济增长预测——尽管上调了巴西和墨西哥的预测——将今年的全球增长预测提高到6.4%，仅比华尔街共识高出0.3%。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/efafcbb409cc58c4236521501a1f3e8f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"341\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><blockquote></blockquote> The more transmissible delta strain of coronavirus implies a slower recovery because of renewed outbreaks. The issue isn't just government restrictions, but also the choices of individuals to limit high-contact services.<blockquote>更具传染性的三角洲冠状病毒株意味着由于新的爆发，恢复速度较慢。问题不仅仅是政府的限制，还有个人限制高接触服务的选择。</blockquote> \"The share of Americans reporting to 'always avoid' high-contact activities has decreased, but remains substantial at around 50% for public transportation and large events, and 30% for travel,\" they said, citing YouGov data. \"A further recovery will require not only rising vaccinations and related medical improvements, but also time for individuals to become more comfortable.\"<blockquote>他们援引 YouGov 数据表示：“报告‘始终避免’高接触活动的美国人比例有所下降，但公共交通和大型活动的比例仍然很高，约为 50%，旅行的比例为 30%。”“进一步复苏不仅需要增加疫苗接种和相关医疗改善，还需要时间让个人变得更加舒适。”</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72d09db3e3c3223ebe3f95b0d81180af\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"465\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><blockquote></blockquote> And the U.S. is grouped into <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the low-risk aversion countries, based on the restrictions imposed relative to fatalities. \"China's high risk aversion could keep quarantines and travel controls in place for longer, and delay the recovery in tourism economies such as Vietnam, Thailand, and Singapore,\" they say.<blockquote>美国分为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>低风险厌恶国家，基于对死亡率施加的限制。他们表示：“中国的高度厌恶风险可能会使检疫和旅行管制维持更长时间，并推迟越南、泰国和新加坡等旅游经济体的复苏。”</blockquote> The pessimism comes amid a new report from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, arguing the delta variant as as transmissible as chickenpox.<blockquote>这种悲观情绪出现在疾病控制和预防中心的一份新报告中，该报告认为德尔塔变异毒株病毒与水痘一样具有传染性。</blockquote>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Goldman Sachs has been super-bullish on the global economy, but not anymore. Here's why.<blockquote>高盛一直非常看好全球经济，但现在不再如此了。原因如下。</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nGoldman Sachs has been super-bullish on the global economy, but not anymore. Here's why.<blockquote>高盛一直非常看好全球经济，但现在不再如此了。原因如下。</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nMarketWatch2021-07-30 20:22\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nGoldman Sachs has prided itself on its bullish stance on the global economy, with its above-consensus takes doing better than many of its banking rivals to forecast just how resilient consumers and businesses have been.<blockquote>高盛对其对全球经济的乐观立场感到自豪，其上述共识需要比许多银行业竞争对手做得更好来预测消费者和企业的弹性。</blockquote> The gross domestic product data released Thursday show the world's largest economy, the U.S., has already surpassed its pre-pandemic peak in the second quarter.<blockquote>周四公布的国内生产总值数据显示，全球最大经济体美国在第二季度已经超过了疫情前的峰值。</blockquote> But...<blockquote>但是……...</blockquote> Goldman Sachs economists Daan Struyven and Sid Bhushan explain the bank's economics team has now become less enthusiastic. They've cut economic growth projections for the low-vaccination Asian economies including India and Australia but also the U.S. -- even while upgrading Brazil and Mexico forecasts -- taking their global growth forecast for this year to 6.4%, which is only 0.3% above the Wall Street consensus.<blockquote>高盛经济学家 Daan Struyven 和 Sid Bhushan 解释说，该银行的经济团队现在已经不那么热情了。他们下调了包括印度和澳大利亚在内的低疫苗接种率亚洲经济体以及美国的经济增长预测——尽管上调了巴西和墨西哥的预测——将今年的全球增长预测提高到6.4%，仅比华尔街共识高出0.3%。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/efafcbb409cc58c4236521501a1f3e8f\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"341\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><blockquote></blockquote> The more transmissible delta strain of coronavirus implies a slower recovery because of renewed outbreaks. The issue isn't just government restrictions, but also the choices of individuals to limit high-contact services.<blockquote>更具传染性的三角洲冠状病毒株意味着由于新的爆发，恢复速度较慢。问题不仅仅是政府的限制，还有个人限制高接触服务的选择。</blockquote> \"The share of Americans reporting to 'always avoid' high-contact activities has decreased, but remains substantial at around 50% for public transportation and large events, and 30% for travel,\" they said, citing YouGov data. \"A further recovery will require not only rising vaccinations and related medical improvements, but also time for individuals to become more comfortable.\"<blockquote>他们援引 YouGov 数据表示：“报告‘始终避免’高接触活动的美国人比例有所下降，但公共交通和大型活动的比例仍然很高，约为 50%，旅行的比例为 30%。”“进一步复苏不仅需要增加疫苗接种和相关医疗改善，还需要时间让个人变得更加舒适。”</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/72d09db3e3c3223ebe3f95b0d81180af\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"465\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><blockquote></blockquote> And the U.S. is grouped into <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">one</a> of the low-risk aversion countries, based on the restrictions imposed relative to fatalities. \"China's high risk aversion could keep quarantines and travel controls in place for longer, and delay the recovery in tourism economies such as Vietnam, Thailand, and Singapore,\" they say.<blockquote>美国分为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE.U\">一</a>低风险厌恶国家，基于对死亡率施加的限制。他们表示：“中国的高度厌恶风险可能会使检疫和旅行管制维持更长时间，并推迟越南、泰国和新加坡等旅游经济体的复苏。”</blockquote> The pessimism comes amid a new report from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, arguing the delta variant as as transmissible as chickenpox.<blockquote>这种悲观情绪出现在疾病控制和预防中心的一份新报告中，该报告认为德尔塔变异毒株病毒与水痘一样具有传染性。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/goldman-sachs-has-been-super-bullish-on-the-global-economy-but-not-anymore-heres-why-11627641051?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/goldman-sachs-has-been-super-bullish-on-the-global-economy-but-not-anymore-heres-why-11627641051?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2155137729","content_text":"Goldman Sachs has prided itself on its bullish stance on the global economy, with its above-consensus takes doing better than many of its banking rivals to forecast just how resilient consumers and businesses have been.\nThe gross domestic product data released Thursday show the world's largest economy, the U.S., has already surpassed its pre-pandemic peak in the second quarter.\nBut...\nGoldman Sachs economists Daan Struyven and Sid Bhushan explain the bank's economics team has now become less enthusiastic. They've cut economic growth projections for the low-vaccination Asian economies including India and Australia but also the U.S. -- even while upgrading Brazil and Mexico forecasts -- taking their global growth forecast for this year to 6.4%, which is only 0.3% above the Wall Street consensus.\n\nThe more transmissible delta strain of coronavirus implies a slower recovery because of renewed outbreaks. The issue isn't just government restrictions, but also the choices of individuals to limit high-contact services.\n\"The share of Americans reporting to 'always avoid' high-contact activities has decreased, but remains substantial at around 50% for public transportation and large events, and 30% for travel,\" they said, citing YouGov data. \"A further recovery will require not only rising vaccinations and related medical improvements, but also time for individuals to become more comfortable.\"\n\nAnd the U.S. is grouped into one of the low-risk aversion countries, based on the restrictions imposed relative to fatalities. \"China's high risk aversion could keep quarantines and travel controls in place for longer, and delay the recovery in tourism economies such as Vietnam, Thailand, and Singapore,\" they say.\nThe pessimism comes amid a new report from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, arguing the delta variant as as transmissible as chickenpox.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":3457,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":7,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/806819106"}