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2022-01-13

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Fed’s Harker Sees Liftoff in March, Three or Four Hikes in 2022<blockquote>美联储哈克预计 3 月份加息，2022 年加息三到四次</blockquote>

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But again, we have to look at the data.”<blockquote>“他补充说：”我今年有三次25个基点的加息。“如果通货膨胀得不到控制，我可以相信第四个。但同样，我们必须看看数据。”</blockquote>Harker, acting as the alternate this year for the Boston Fed which is currently without a president, is expected to vote in its place on the policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee until that seat has been filled.<blockquote>哈克今年担任波士顿联储的候补主席，该联储目前没有主席，预计他将在制定政策的联邦公开市场委员会中代替他投票，直到该席位被填补。</blockquote>Harker said he sees the Fed starting to shrink its balance sheet in “in late 2022 or early 2023” after the central bank has raised its target rate sufficiently, to around 1% from near zero. He said he favored moving to a balance sheet concentrated in shorter-duration Treasuries, with Treasury-heavy or Treasury-only composition over time.<blockquote>哈克表示，他认为美联储将在 “2022 年底或 2023 年初 ”开始缩减资产负债表，此前美联储已将目标利率从接近于零提高到 1% 左右。他表示，随着时间的推移，他倾向于转向集中于短期国债的资产负债表，以国债为主或仅国债为主。</blockquote>While the U.S. economy has lost jobs since the start of the Covid-19 pandemic, that represents a supply issue, he said. Demand for employees is very strong and the Fed has met its target of maximum employment, Harker said in his prepared remarks. Meanwhile, inflation has surged much higher, which raises the concern that inflation expectations could become unanchored, he said.<blockquote>他说，虽然自 Covid-19 大流行开始以来，美国经济已经失去了工作岗位，但这代表了一个供应问题。哈克在准备好的讲话中表示，对员工的需求非常强劲，美联储已经实现了最大就业目标。他表示，与此同时，通胀飙升，这引发了人们对通胀预期可能变得不稳定的担忧。</blockquote>The U.S. economy is likely to grow 3-4% this year, with the first quarter hurt by the omicron variant, Harker said.<blockquote>哈克表示，美国经济今年可能增长 3-4%，第一季度受到奥密克戎变种的影响。</blockquote>“So many people are becoming infected simultaneously that businesses can’t staff themselves,” he said. “Airlines are canceling flights, restaurants are shuttering their kitchens, and big-box retail locations are closing down temporarily.”<blockquote>“他说：”如此多的人同时受到感染，以至于企业无法自行配备人员。“航空公司取消航班，餐馆关闭厨房，大型零售店暂时关闭”。</blockquote></body></html><blockquote></blockquote>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Fed’s Harker Sees Liftoff in March, Three or Four Hikes in 2022<blockquote>美联储哈克预计 3 月份加息，2022 年加息三到四次</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; 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}\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFed’s Harker Sees Liftoff in March, Three or Four Hikes in 2022<blockquote>美联储哈克预计 3 月份加息，2022 年加息三到四次</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nBloomberg2022-01-13 22:22\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body>(Bloomberg) -- Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia President Patrick Harker joined the widespread calls by his policy-making colleagues for higher interest rates this year, saying he favors a March liftoff and three or four hikes for the 2022.<blockquote><html><head></head><body>（彭博社）——费城联邦储备银行行长帕特里克·哈克 (Patrick Harker) 加入了他的政策制定同事对今年加息的广泛评级，称他赞成 3 月份加息，并在 2022 年加息三到四次。</body></html></blockquote>“The inescapable logical conclusion of this situation -- inflation higher than we want and a very robust jobs market -- is to tighten monetary policy,” Harker said Thursday to a virtual event hosted by the Philadelphia Business Journal.<blockquote>“哈克周四在《费城商业杂志》（Philadelphia Business Journal）主办的一次虚拟活动上说：”这种情况不可避免的逻辑结论--通货膨胀率高于我们的预期，就业市场非常强劲--就是收紧货币政策。</blockquote>Harker joins a large group of Fed officials -- led by St. Louis Fed President James Bullard and including one-time doves such as San Francisco leader Mary Daly -- in urging a near-term rate hike following the tapering of asset purchases, which is scheduled to end in March.<blockquote>哈克加入了圣路易斯联储主席詹姆斯·布拉德（James Bullard）领导的一大群美联储官员的行列，其中包括旧金山领导人玛丽·戴利（Mary Daly）等曾经的鸽派人士，敦促在缩减资产购买规模后近期加息，缩减资产购买规模计划于三月份结束。</blockquote>“My forecast is that we would have a 25 basis-point increase in March, barring any changes in the data,” Harker said in response to audience questions. “If I were to make that decision today given what I know today, I would be for that.”<blockquote>“哈克在回答观众提问时说：”我的预测是，除非数据发生任何变化，否则 3 月份我们将增加 25 个基点。“根据我今天所知道的情况，如果让我今天做出这个决定，我会赞成的。”</blockquote>“I have three 25 basis-point increases penciled in for this year,” he added. “I could be convinced of a fourth if inflation is not getting under control. But again, we have to look at the data.”<blockquote>“他补充说：”我今年有三次25个基点的加息。“如果通货膨胀得不到控制，我可以相信第四个。但同样，我们必须看看数据。”</blockquote>Harker, acting as the alternate this year for the Boston Fed which is currently without a president, is expected to vote in its place on the policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee until that seat has been filled.<blockquote>哈克今年担任波士顿联储的候补主席，该联储目前没有主席，预计他将在制定政策的联邦公开市场委员会中代替他投票，直到该席位被填补。</blockquote>Harker said he sees the Fed starting to shrink its balance sheet in “in late 2022 or early 2023” after the central bank has raised its target rate sufficiently, to around 1% from near zero. He said he favored moving to a balance sheet concentrated in shorter-duration Treasuries, with Treasury-heavy or Treasury-only composition over time.<blockquote>哈克表示，他认为美联储将在 “2022 年底或 2023 年初 ”开始缩减资产负债表，此前美联储已将目标利率从接近于零提高到 1% 左右。他表示，随着时间的推移，他倾向于转向集中于短期国债的资产负债表，以国债为主或仅国债为主。</blockquote>While the U.S. economy has lost jobs since the start of the Covid-19 pandemic, that represents a supply issue, he said. Demand for employees is very strong and the Fed has met its target of maximum employment, Harker said in his prepared remarks. Meanwhile, inflation has surged much higher, which raises the concern that inflation expectations could become unanchored, he said.<blockquote>他说，虽然自 Covid-19 大流行开始以来，美国经济已经失去了工作岗位，但这代表了一个供应问题。哈克在准备好的讲话中表示，对员工的需求非常强劲，美联储已经实现了最大就业目标。他表示，与此同时，通胀飙升，这引发了人们对通胀预期可能变得不稳定的担忧。</blockquote>The U.S. economy is likely to grow 3-4% this year, with the first quarter hurt by the omicron variant, Harker said.<blockquote>哈克表示，美国经济今年可能增长 3-4%，第一季度受到奥密克戎变种的影响。</blockquote>“So many people are becoming infected simultaneously that businesses can’t staff themselves,” he said. “Airlines are canceling flights, restaurants are shuttering their kitchens, and big-box retail locations are closing down temporarily.”<blockquote>“他说：”如此多的人同时受到感染，以至于企业无法自行配备人员。“航空公司取消航班，餐馆关闭厨房，大型零售店暂时关闭”。</blockquote></body></html><blockquote></blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-harker-sees-liftoff-march-141136127.html\">Bloomberg</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-harker-sees-liftoff-march-141136127.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1124422025","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia President Patrick Harker joined the widespread calls by his policy-making colleagues for higher interest rates this year, saying he favors a March liftoff and three or four hikes for the 2022.“The inescapable logical conclusion of this situation -- inflation higher than we want and a very robust jobs market -- is to tighten monetary policy,” Harker said Thursday to a virtual event hosted by the Philadelphia Business Journal.Harker joins a large group of Fed officials -- led by St. Louis Fed President James Bullard and including one-time doves such as San Francisco leader Mary Daly -- in urging a near-term rate hike following the tapering of asset purchases, which is scheduled to end in March.“My forecast is that we would have a 25 basis-point increase in March, barring any changes in the data,” Harker said in response to audience questions. “If I were to make that decision today given what I know today, I would be for that.”“I have three 25 basis-point increases penciled in for this year,” he added. “I could be convinced of a fourth if inflation is not getting under control. But again, we have to look at the data.”Harker, acting as the alternate this year for the Boston Fed which is currently without a president, is expected to vote in its place on the policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee until that seat has been filled.Harker said he sees the Fed starting to shrink its balance sheet in “in late 2022 or early 2023” after the central bank has raised its target rate sufficiently, to around 1% from near zero. He said he favored moving to a balance sheet concentrated in shorter-duration Treasuries, with Treasury-heavy or Treasury-only composition over time.While the U.S. economy has lost jobs since the start of the Covid-19 pandemic, that represents a supply issue, he said. Demand for employees is very strong and the Fed has met its target of maximum employment, Harker said in his prepared remarks. Meanwhile, inflation has surged much higher, which raises the concern that inflation expectations could become unanchored, he said.The U.S. economy is likely to grow 3-4% this year, with the first quarter hurt by the omicron variant, Harker said.“So many people are becoming infected simultaneously that businesses can’t staff themselves,” he said. “Airlines are canceling flights, restaurants are shuttering their kitchens, and big-box retail locations are closing down temporarily.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1207,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":11,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/694441396"}