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2021-12-20
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Cathie Wood says stocks have corrected into 'deep value territory' and won't let benchmarks 'hold our strategies hostage'<blockquote>凯西·伍德表示,股市已修正至“深度价值区域”,不会让基准“挟持我们的策略”</blockquote>
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Fallon/AFP/Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>帕特里克·T·法伦/法新社/盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In a Friday evening blog post, Wood said that despite a brutal stretch that has compelled the operators of the ARK Invest ETFs, including the flagship Ark Innovation fund, to do some soul-searching, the fund manager is sticking to her game plan.</p><p><blockquote>伍德在周五晚上的一篇博客文章中表示,尽管经历了残酷的考验,迫使包括旗舰方舟创新基金在内的方舟投资ETF的运营商进行了一些自我反省,但这位基金经理仍坚持她的游戏计划。</blockquote></p><p> “‘With a five-year investment time horizon, our forecasts for these platforms suggest that our strategies today could deliver a 30-40% compound annual rate of return during the next five years.’” “We won’t let benchmarks and tracking errors hold our strategies hostage to the existing world order,” Wood wrote. She described the success of the ARK ETFs as one not solely bolstered by fervor for “stay at home” investment opportunities, amid the COVID pandemic, but rooted in identifying paradigm-shifting innovation, from blockchain and bitcoin to electric vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>“‘在五年的投资时间范围内,我们对这些平台的预测表明,我们今天的策略可以在未来五年内实现30-40%的复合年回报率。’”“我们不会让基准和跟踪错误使我们的战略受制于现有的世界秩序,”伍德写道。她形容方舟ETF的成功,不仅仅是因为他们在COVID疫情期间对“呆在家里”投资机会的热情,而是源于他们发现了从区块链、比特币到电动车等模式变革的创新。</blockquote></p><p> “Critical to investment success will be moving to the right side of change, avoiding industries and companies caught in the crosshairs of ‘creative destruction’ and embracing those on the leading edge of ‘disruptive innovation,'” Wood wrote.</p><p><blockquote>伍德写道:“投资成功的关键是转向变革的正确方向,避免陷入‘创造性破坏’的行业和公司,并拥抱那些处于‘颠覆性创新’前沿的行业和公司。”</blockquote></p><p> On Friday, ARK Innovation ended the session up nearly 6% and produced its second straight sharp weekly gain, up 1.1%, following a 1.8% advance in the prior week. The advance for ARK Innovation still leaves the actively managed fund down nearly 22% in the year to date, as the broader S&P 500,the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the technology Nasdaq Composite Index have faced whipsawing volatility derived primarily from concerns about more transmissible strains of COVID, surging inflation and global monetary policy’s reaction to those pricing pressures. Year-to-date the S&P 500 index is up 864.57 points or 23.02%.</p><p><blockquote>周五,ARK Innovation收盘上涨近6%,连续第二周大幅上涨,上涨1.1%,此前一周上涨1.8%。ARK Innovation的上涨仍然导致这只主动管理型基金今年迄今下跌了近22%,因为更广泛的标普500、道琼斯工业平均指数和科技纳斯达克综合指数面临剧烈波动,这主要是由于对传染性更强的担忧新冠疫情、通胀飙升以及全球货币政策对这些定价压力的反应。年初至今,标普500指数上涨864.57点,涨幅23.02%。</blockquote></p><p> ARK’s seven ETFs returned an average of 141% in 2020, on the back of gains from companies such as <b>Tesla Inc.</b>,and <b>Teladoc Health Inc</b>., making Wood the toast of Wall Street. But those funds, focused primarily on companies that aren’t yet profitable, have been limping lower since hitting a peak back in February, and their woeful performance has raised questions about the prospects for the ETFs in the months and years to come.</p><p><blockquote>ARK旗下7只ETF 2020年平均回报率为141%,得益于以下公司的收益<b>特斯拉公司。</b>,和<b>Teladoc健康公司</b>.,让伍德成为华尔街的宠儿。但这些基金主要专注于尚未盈利的公司,自2月份达到峰值以来一直在走低,其糟糕的表现引发了人们对ETF未来几个月和几年前景的质疑。</blockquote></p><p> Wood urged investors to maintain their support of the ARK complex and said that maintaining a long-term, five-year time horizon would be the best way to judge the fund manager’s true performance.</p><p><blockquote>伍德敦促投资者保持对方舟综合体的支持,并表示保持长期的五年时间范围将是判断基金经理真实业绩的最佳方式。</blockquote></p><p> “With a five-year investment time horizon, our forecasts for these platforms suggest that our strategies today could deliver a 30-40% compound annual rate of return during the next five years,” the ARK CEO wrote.</p><p><blockquote>ARK首席执行官写道:“以五年的投资时间范围,我们对这些平台的预测表明,我们今天的策略可以在未来五年内实现30-40%的复合年回报率。”</blockquote></p><p> “In other words, if our research is correct—and I believe that our research on innovation is the best in the financial world—then our strategies will triple to quintuple in value over the next five years,” Wood added.</p><p><blockquote>“换句话说,如果我们的研究是正确的——我相信我们对创新的研究是金融界最好的——那么我们的战略价值将在未来五年内增加三到五倍,”伍德补充道。</blockquote></p><p> The ARK founder also made the case that the Nasdaq and S&P 500 could be the bigger disappointment to return-eager investors in the longer-term because they are more overvalued than the disruptive investments that comprise her funds.</p><p><blockquote>这位方舟创始人还表示,从长远来看,纳斯达克和标普500可能会让渴望回报的投资者更失望,因为它们的估值比构成她基金的颠覆性投资更高估。</blockquote></p><p> “Unlike many innovation-related stocks, equity benchmarks are selling at record high prices and near record high valuations, 26x for the S&P 500 and 127x for the Nasdaq on a trailing twelve-month basis,” Wood wrote.</p><p><blockquote>伍德写道:“与许多与创新相关的股票不同,股票基准正以创纪录的高价和接近创纪录的高估值出售,过去12个月标普500为26倍,纳斯达克为127倍。”</blockquote></p><p> She said that the “five major innovation platforms which involve 14 technologies are likely to transform the existing world order and that so-called tried and true investment strategies “will disappoint during the next five to ten years as DNA sequencing, robotics, energy storage, artificial intelligence, and blockchain technology scale and converge.”</p><p><blockquote>她表示,“涉及14项技术的五大创新平台可能会改变现有的世界秩序,随着DNA测序、机器人、能源存储、人工智能和区块链技术的规模和融合,所谓的屡试不爽的投资策略”将在未来五到十年内令人失望。”</blockquote></p><p> Wood also made the case that the so-called wall of worry, with inflation fears representing perhaps the biggest concern, provided an ideal backdrop for further advances in innovation stocks in the longer run because the dot-com markets of the late-1990s weren’t properly buffeted by investor concerns. The thinking is that “walls of worry” tend to limit market euphoria.</p><p><blockquote>伍德还指出,所谓的担忧墙(其中通胀担忧可能是最大的担忧)从长远来看为创新股的进一步上涨提供了理想的背景,因为20世纪90年代末的互联网市场并没有受到投资者担忧的适当打击。人们的想法是,“担忧之墙”往往会限制市场的兴奋。</blockquote></p><p> “In our view, the wall of worry built on the back of high multiple stocks bodes well for equities in the innovation space,” she wrote. “No wall of worry existed or tested the equity market in 1999. This time around, the wall of worry has scaled to enormous heights,” Wood said.</p><p><blockquote>她写道:“我们认为,建立在高市盈率股票基础上的担忧之墙对创新领域的股票来说是个好兆头。”伍德表示:“1999年,股市并不存在担忧之墙,也没有受到考验。这一次,担忧之墙已经达到了巨大的高度。”</blockquote></p><p> On the macroeconomic front, Wood said that deflation, rather than inflation, could be a bigger problem for markets in the coming months.</p><p><blockquote>在宏观经济方面,伍德表示,通货紧缩而不是通胀可能是未来几个月市场面临的更大问题。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “That said, my conviction is growing that the bigger surprise to the markets will be price deflation – both cyclical and secular – and that, after collapsing this year, higher multiple stocks could turn around dramatically during the next year,” she wrote.</p><p><blockquote>她写道:“也就是说,我越来越相信,市场面临的更大惊喜将是价格通货紧缩——无论是周期性的还是长期的——而且在今年崩溃之后,市盈率较高的股票可能会在明年大幅逆转。”</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1603348471595","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Cathie Wood says stocks have corrected into 'deep value territory' and won't let benchmarks 'hold our strategies hostage'<blockquote>凯西·伍德表示,股市已修正至“深度价值区域”,不会让基准“挟持我们的策略”</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCathie Wood says stocks have corrected into 'deep value territory' and won't let benchmarks 'hold our strategies hostage'<blockquote>凯西·伍德表示,股市已修正至“深度价值区域”,不会让基准“挟持我们的策略”</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">MarketWatch</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-12-20 06:50</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>ARK Invest founder Cathie Wood offered the latest defense of the once-highflying, disruptive innovation strategies that had made her suite of exchange-traded funds among the most popular, and best-performing, on Wall Street in 2020.</p><p><blockquote>ARK Invest创始人凯西·伍德(Cathie Wood)为曾经雄心勃勃的颠覆性创新战略进行了最新辩护,这些战略使她的交易所交易基金套件成为2020年华尔街最受欢迎、表现最好的基金之一。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5e17c2568a6dc81e7e3573ede78dcfb0\" tg-width=\"700\" tg-height=\"466\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"><span>Patrick T. Fallon/AFP/Getty Images</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>帕特里克·T·法伦/法新社/盖蒂图片社</span></p></blockquote></p><p> In a Friday evening blog post, Wood said that despite a brutal stretch that has compelled the operators of the ARK Invest ETFs, including the flagship Ark Innovation fund, to do some soul-searching, the fund manager is sticking to her game plan.</p><p><blockquote>伍德在周五晚上的一篇博客文章中表示,尽管经历了残酷的考验,迫使包括旗舰方舟创新基金在内的方舟投资ETF的运营商进行了一些自我反省,但这位基金经理仍坚持她的游戏计划。</blockquote></p><p> “‘With a five-year investment time horizon, our forecasts for these platforms suggest that our strategies today could deliver a 30-40% compound annual rate of return during the next five years.’” “We won’t let benchmarks and tracking errors hold our strategies hostage to the existing world order,” Wood wrote. She described the success of the ARK ETFs as one not solely bolstered by fervor for “stay at home” investment opportunities, amid the COVID pandemic, but rooted in identifying paradigm-shifting innovation, from blockchain and bitcoin to electric vehicles.</p><p><blockquote>“‘在五年的投资时间范围内,我们对这些平台的预测表明,我们今天的策略可以在未来五年内实现30-40%的复合年回报率。’”“我们不会让基准和跟踪错误使我们的战略受制于现有的世界秩序,”伍德写道。她形容方舟ETF的成功,不仅仅是因为他们在COVID疫情期间对“呆在家里”投资机会的热情,而是源于他们发现了从区块链、比特币到电动车等模式变革的创新。</blockquote></p><p> “Critical to investment success will be moving to the right side of change, avoiding industries and companies caught in the crosshairs of ‘creative destruction’ and embracing those on the leading edge of ‘disruptive innovation,'” Wood wrote.</p><p><blockquote>伍德写道:“投资成功的关键是转向变革的正确方向,避免陷入‘创造性破坏’的行业和公司,并拥抱那些处于‘颠覆性创新’前沿的行业和公司。”</blockquote></p><p> On Friday, ARK Innovation ended the session up nearly 6% and produced its second straight sharp weekly gain, up 1.1%, following a 1.8% advance in the prior week. The advance for ARK Innovation still leaves the actively managed fund down nearly 22% in the year to date, as the broader S&P 500,the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the technology Nasdaq Composite Index have faced whipsawing volatility derived primarily from concerns about more transmissible strains of COVID, surging inflation and global monetary policy’s reaction to those pricing pressures. Year-to-date the S&P 500 index is up 864.57 points or 23.02%.</p><p><blockquote>周五,ARK Innovation收盘上涨近6%,连续第二周大幅上涨,上涨1.1%,此前一周上涨1.8%。ARK Innovation的上涨仍然导致这只主动管理型基金今年迄今下跌了近22%,因为更广泛的标普500、道琼斯工业平均指数和科技纳斯达克综合指数面临剧烈波动,这主要是由于对传染性更强的担忧新冠疫情、通胀飙升以及全球货币政策对这些定价压力的反应。年初至今,标普500指数上涨864.57点,涨幅23.02%。</blockquote></p><p> ARK’s seven ETFs returned an average of 141% in 2020, on the back of gains from companies such as <b>Tesla Inc.</b>,and <b>Teladoc Health Inc</b>., making Wood the toast of Wall Street. But those funds, focused primarily on companies that aren’t yet profitable, have been limping lower since hitting a peak back in February, and their woeful performance has raised questions about the prospects for the ETFs in the months and years to come.</p><p><blockquote>ARK旗下7只ETF 2020年平均回报率为141%,得益于以下公司的收益<b>特斯拉公司。</b>,和<b>Teladoc健康公司</b>.,让伍德成为华尔街的宠儿。但这些基金主要专注于尚未盈利的公司,自2月份达到峰值以来一直在走低,其糟糕的表现引发了人们对ETF未来几个月和几年前景的质疑。</blockquote></p><p> Wood urged investors to maintain their support of the ARK complex and said that maintaining a long-term, five-year time horizon would be the best way to judge the fund manager’s true performance.</p><p><blockquote>伍德敦促投资者保持对方舟综合体的支持,并表示保持长期的五年时间范围将是判断基金经理真实业绩的最佳方式。</blockquote></p><p> “With a five-year investment time horizon, our forecasts for these platforms suggest that our strategies today could deliver a 30-40% compound annual rate of return during the next five years,” the ARK CEO wrote.</p><p><blockquote>ARK首席执行官写道:“以五年的投资时间范围,我们对这些平台的预测表明,我们今天的策略可以在未来五年内实现30-40%的复合年回报率。”</blockquote></p><p> “In other words, if our research is correct—and I believe that our research on innovation is the best in the financial world—then our strategies will triple to quintuple in value over the next five years,” Wood added.</p><p><blockquote>“换句话说,如果我们的研究是正确的——我相信我们对创新的研究是金融界最好的——那么我们的战略价值将在未来五年内增加三到五倍,”伍德补充道。</blockquote></p><p> The ARK founder also made the case that the Nasdaq and S&P 500 could be the bigger disappointment to return-eager investors in the longer-term because they are more overvalued than the disruptive investments that comprise her funds.</p><p><blockquote>这位方舟创始人还表示,从长远来看,纳斯达克和标普500可能会让渴望回报的投资者更失望,因为它们的估值比构成她基金的颠覆性投资更高估。</blockquote></p><p> “Unlike many innovation-related stocks, equity benchmarks are selling at record high prices and near record high valuations, 26x for the S&P 500 and 127x for the Nasdaq on a trailing twelve-month basis,” Wood wrote.</p><p><blockquote>伍德写道:“与许多与创新相关的股票不同,股票基准正以创纪录的高价和接近创纪录的高估值出售,过去12个月标普500为26倍,纳斯达克为127倍。”</blockquote></p><p> She said that the “five major innovation platforms which involve 14 technologies are likely to transform the existing world order and that so-called tried and true investment strategies “will disappoint during the next five to ten years as DNA sequencing, robotics, energy storage, artificial intelligence, and blockchain technology scale and converge.”</p><p><blockquote>她表示,“涉及14项技术的五大创新平台可能会改变现有的世界秩序,随着DNA测序、机器人、能源存储、人工智能和区块链技术的规模和融合,所谓的屡试不爽的投资策略”将在未来五到十年内令人失望。”</blockquote></p><p> Wood also made the case that the so-called wall of worry, with inflation fears representing perhaps the biggest concern, provided an ideal backdrop for further advances in innovation stocks in the longer run because the dot-com markets of the late-1990s weren’t properly buffeted by investor concerns. The thinking is that “walls of worry” tend to limit market euphoria.</p><p><blockquote>伍德还指出,所谓的担忧墙(其中通胀担忧可能是最大的担忧)从长远来看为创新股的进一步上涨提供了理想的背景,因为20世纪90年代末的互联网市场并没有受到投资者担忧的适当打击。人们的想法是,“担忧之墙”往往会限制市场的兴奋。</blockquote></p><p> “In our view, the wall of worry built on the back of high multiple stocks bodes well for equities in the innovation space,” she wrote. “No wall of worry existed or tested the equity market in 1999. This time around, the wall of worry has scaled to enormous heights,” Wood said.</p><p><blockquote>她写道:“我们认为,建立在高市盈率股票基础上的担忧之墙对创新领域的股票来说是个好兆头。”伍德表示:“1999年,股市并不存在担忧之墙,也没有受到考验。这一次,担忧之墙已经达到了巨大的高度。”</blockquote></p><p> On the macroeconomic front, Wood said that deflation, rather than inflation, could be a bigger problem for markets in the coming months.</p><p><blockquote>在宏观经济方面,伍德表示,通货紧缩而不是通胀可能是未来几个月市场面临的更大问题。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> “That said, my conviction is growing that the bigger surprise to the markets will be price deflation – both cyclical and secular – and that, after collapsing this year, higher multiple stocks could turn around dramatically during the next year,” she wrote.</p><p><blockquote>她写道:“也就是说,我越来越相信,市场面临的更大惊喜将是价格通货紧缩——无论是周期性的还是长期的——而且在今年崩溃之后,市盈率较高的股票可能会在明年大幅逆转。”</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/cathie-wood-says-stocks-have-corrected-into-deep-value-territory-and-wont-let-benchmarks-hold-our-strategies-hostage-11639795224?mod=home-page\">MarketWatch</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".DJI":"道琼斯","TDOC":"Teladoc Health Inc.","TSLA":"特斯拉","ARKK":"ARK Innovation ETF",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://www.marketwatch.com/story/cathie-wood-says-stocks-have-corrected-into-deep-value-territory-and-wont-let-benchmarks-hold-our-strategies-hostage-11639795224?mod=home-page","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2192708619","content_text":"ARK Invest founder Cathie Wood offered the latest defense of the once-highflying, disruptive innovation strategies that had made her suite of exchange-traded funds among the most popular, and best-performing, on Wall Street in 2020.\nPatrick T. Fallon/AFP/Getty Images\nIn a Friday evening blog post, Wood said that despite a brutal stretch that has compelled the operators of the ARK Invest ETFs, including the flagship Ark Innovation fund, to do some soul-searching, the fund manager is sticking to her game plan.\n\n “‘With a five-year investment time horizon, our forecasts for these platforms suggest that our strategies today could deliver a 30-40% compound annual rate of return during the next five years.’”\n\n“We won’t let benchmarks and tracking errors hold our strategies hostage to the existing world order,” Wood wrote. She described the success of the ARK ETFs as one not solely bolstered by fervor for “stay at home” investment opportunities, amid the COVID pandemic, but rooted in identifying paradigm-shifting innovation, from blockchain and bitcoin to electric vehicles.\n“Critical to investment success will be moving to the right side of change, avoiding industries and companies caught in the crosshairs of ‘creative destruction’ and embracing those on the leading edge of ‘disruptive innovation,'” Wood wrote.\nOn Friday, ARK Innovation ended the session up nearly 6% and produced its second straight sharp weekly gain, up 1.1%, following a 1.8% advance in the prior week. The advance for ARK Innovation still leaves the actively managed fund down nearly 22% in the year to date, as the broader S&P 500,the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the technology Nasdaq Composite Index have faced whipsawing volatility derived primarily from concerns about more transmissible strains of COVID, surging inflation and global monetary policy’s reaction to those pricing pressures. Year-to-date the S&P 500 index is up 864.57 points or 23.02%.\nARK’s seven ETFs returned an average of 141% in 2020, on the back of gains from companies such as Tesla Inc.,and Teladoc Health Inc., making Wood the toast of Wall Street. But those funds, focused primarily on companies that aren’t yet profitable, have been limping lower since hitting a peak back in February, and their woeful performance has raised questions about the prospects for the ETFs in the months and years to come.\nWood urged investors to maintain their support of the ARK complex and said that maintaining a long-term, five-year time horizon would be the best way to judge the fund manager’s true performance.\n“With a five-year investment time horizon, our forecasts for these platforms suggest that our strategies today could deliver a 30-40% compound annual rate of return during the next five years,” the ARK CEO wrote.\n“In other words, if our research is correct—and I believe that our research on innovation is the best in the financial world—then our strategies will triple to quintuple in value over the next five years,” Wood added.\nThe ARK founder also made the case that the Nasdaq and S&P 500 could be the bigger disappointment to return-eager investors in the longer-term because they are more overvalued than the disruptive investments that comprise her funds.\n“Unlike many innovation-related stocks, equity benchmarks are selling at record high prices and near record high valuations, 26x for the S&P 500 and 127x for the Nasdaq on a trailing twelve-month basis,” Wood wrote.\nShe said that the “five major innovation platforms which involve 14 technologies are likely to transform the existing world order and that so-called tried and true investment strategies “will disappoint during the next five to ten years as DNA sequencing, robotics, energy storage, artificial intelligence, and blockchain technology scale and converge.”\nWood also made the case that the so-called wall of worry, with inflation fears representing perhaps the biggest concern, provided an ideal backdrop for further advances in innovation stocks in the longer run because the dot-com markets of the late-1990s weren’t properly buffeted by investor concerns. The thinking is that “walls of worry” tend to limit market euphoria.\n“In our view, the wall of worry built on the back of high multiple stocks bodes well for equities in the innovation space,” she wrote. “No wall of worry existed or tested the equity market in 1999. This time around, the wall of worry has scaled to enormous heights,” Wood said.\nOn the macroeconomic front, Wood said that deflation, rather than inflation, could be a bigger problem for markets in the coming months.\n“That said, my conviction is growing that the bigger surprise to the markets will be price deflation – both cyclical and secular – and that, after collapsing this year, higher multiple stocks could turn around dramatically during the next year,” she wrote.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".SPX":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"TDOC":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"ARKK":0.9,"ARKIU":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2954,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":16,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/693042875"}
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