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@Jackson和您畅谈I：比特币单日蒸发2000亿美金，全球股债崩塌，美联储本次或加息75bp

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Best scenario: 加息75bp, 市场感受到Fed美联储抑制通胀的决心，市场由跌转涨；</p><p>2. Worst scenario: 加息50bp, 市场对Fed美联储的信用失去信心，市场继续selloff，后果不堪设想；</p><p>3. Base scenario: 加息100bp, 可能会导致经济步入recession，市场得price in经济进入recession scenario的估值。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6105f819fe318f0f9492f66a6c52e8d5\" tg-width=\"1052\" tg-height=\"767\"><span></span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80718d85ed6787be9cbe56b000d82e58\" tg-width=\"1125\" tg-height=\"693\"><span></span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8708638f5840c5cd12eb0f7eeb2b2827\" tg-width=\"1125\" tg-height=\"1762\"><span></span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a76b0282464bd80d567c55bf3e955b6\" tg-width=\"1125\" tg-height=\"675\"><span></span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6105227c389a66ad0d941c740c7e5ef4\" tg-width=\"1125\" tg-height=\"1465\"><span></span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6f9e1df9cf2caf2b31ef3bfdc54c551\" tg-width=\"1125\" tg-height=\"653\"><span></span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac5cd3cbe2edf2b14cd034eb056b73c3\" tg-width=\"1125\" tg-height=\"732\"><span></span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83972725901eb4cf25c4f197b4044300\" tg-width=\"1476\" tg-height=\"1292\"><span></span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2432dc831862313938883fc4c9c831c1\" tg-width=\"811\" tg-height=\"521\"><span></span></p><p>最后关于大家问到的美元和比特币，我还是那句话，美元仍处于上升趋势，比特币我们今年是做空的策略，具体在我去年年底和今年上半年的分享里有详细介绍，供大家参考哦[握手][拥抱][Salute]</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>#Celsius、币安相继暂停比特币提取，比特币单日市值蒸发2000亿美金，全球股债集体崩塌，美联储本次或加息75bp#</p><p>美东时间上周末6月12号，全球最大的比特币贷方Celsius宣布暂停比特币提取，本周一13号币安宣布暂停比特币提取，导致比特币狂跌18.33%左右，跌破23000美金，所有数字货币的狂跌及投资人的爆仓直接导致了这次的黑色星期一，VIX指数上升了22.59%到34.02，恐怖情绪蔓延，全球股债集体崩塌，S&amp;P 500正式进入熊市……</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/323653649f660d9d45bbc4faa4dbf9e5\" tg-width=\"1075\" tg-height=\"757\"><span></span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70c977868c38ad930b51b59c0639aac5\" tg-width=\"554\" tg-height=\"271\"><span></span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98ee6facb40d95391471baee861dfeb8\" tg-width=\"552\" tg-height=\"271\"><span></span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/70e19f98f4228a0802c33ca1c2ad6116\" tg-width=\"1125\" tg-height=\"1743\"><span></span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8124f42dec6a18d6b447c280e75e61e3\" tg-width=\"542\" tg-height=\"274\"><span></span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/15dc5456e5dd886a0d16d507b6a1fdb5\" tg-width=\"1125\" tg-height=\"1575\"><span></span></p><p>如上周末我的分享所阐述，市场急需美联储本周FOMC会议加息75bp, 以便大家看到Fed美联储坚决抑制通胀的决心。这不华尔街日报美东时间周一下午关于知情人士就Fed美联储本轮会加息75bp的报道，以及高盛和摩根大通都相继预测Fed美联储本轮加息75bp, 美股期货由跌转涨，看来周二和周三Fed美联储FOMC会议结果及其影响可能如下：</p><p>1. Best scenario: 加息75bp, 市场感受到Fed美联储抑制通胀的决心，市场由跌转涨；</p><p>2. Worst scenario: 加息50bp, 市场对Fed美联储的信用失去信心，市场继续selloff，后果不堪设想；</p><p>3. Base scenario: 加息100bp, 可能会导致经济步入recession，市场得price in经济进入recession scenario的估值。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6105f819fe318f0f9492f66a6c52e8d5\" tg-width=\"1052\" tg-height=\"767\"><span></span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/80718d85ed6787be9cbe56b000d82e58\" tg-width=\"1125\" tg-height=\"693\"><span></span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8708638f5840c5cd12eb0f7eeb2b2827\" tg-width=\"1125\" tg-height=\"1762\"><span></span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a76b0282464bd80d567c55bf3e955b6\" tg-width=\"1125\" tg-height=\"675\"><span></span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6105227c389a66ad0d941c740c7e5ef4\" tg-width=\"1125\" tg-height=\"1465\"><span></span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f6f9e1df9cf2caf2b31ef3bfdc54c551\" tg-width=\"1125\" tg-height=\"653\"><span></span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac5cd3cbe2edf2b14cd034eb056b73c3\" tg-width=\"1125\" tg-height=\"732\"><span></span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/83972725901eb4cf25c4f197b4044300\" tg-width=\"1476\" tg-height=\"1292\"><span></span></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2432dc831862313938883fc4c9c831c1\" tg-width=\"811\" tg-height=\"521\"><span></span></p><p>最后关于大家问到的美元和比特币，我还是那句话，美元仍处于上升趋势，比特币我们今年是做空的策略，具体在我去年年底和今年上半年的分享里有详细介绍，供大家参考哦[握手][拥抱][Salute]</p></body></html>","text":"#Celsius、币安相继暂停比特币提取，比特币单日市值蒸发2000亿美金，全球股债集体崩塌，美联储本次或加息75bp# 美东时间上周末6月12号，全球最大的比特币贷方Celsius宣布暂停比特币提取，本周一13号币安宣布暂停比特币提取，导致比特币狂跌18.33%左右，跌破23000美金，所有数字货币的狂跌及投资人的爆仓直接导致了这次的黑色星期一，VIX指数上升了22.59%到34.02，恐怖情绪蔓延，全球股债集体崩塌，S&P 500正式进入熊市…… 如上周末我的分享所阐述，市场急需美联储本周FOMC会议加息75bp, 以便大家看到Fed美联储坚决抑制通胀的决心。这不华尔街日报美东时间周一下午关于知情人士就Fed美联储本轮会加息75bp的报道，以及高盛和摩根大通都相继预测Fed美联储本轮加息75bp, 美股期货由跌转涨，看来周二和周三Fed美联储FOMC会议结果及其影响可能如下： 1. Best scenario: 加息75bp, 市场感受到Fed美联储抑制通胀的决心，市场由跌转涨； 2. Worst scenario: 加息50bp, 市场对Fed美联储的信用失去信心，市场继续selloff，后果不堪设想； 3. Base scenario: 加息100bp, 可能会导致经济步入recession，市场得price in经济进入recession scenario的估值。 最后关于大家问到的美元和比特币，我还是那句话，美元仍处于上升趋势，比特币我们今年是做空的策略，具体在我去年年底和今年上半年的分享里有详细介绍，供大家参考哦[握手][拥抱][Salute]","highlighted":2,"essential":2,"paper":2,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/680546910","repostId":0,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"commentLimit":10,"symbols":[".DJI","XBTmain","SPY","EBON",".IXIC","CAN","BTCmain"],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":1088,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1298,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":4,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/683855137"}