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2022-03-04

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JPMorgan Says $185 Oil Is in View If Russian Supply Hit Persists<blockquote>摩根大通表示，如果俄罗斯供应冲击持续存在，油价将达到 185 美元</blockquote>

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U.S. President Joe Biden is facing calls to ban Russian imports of energy but so far has not imposed full blown sanctions on oil.<blockquote>由于莫斯科入侵乌克兰后交易员避开俄罗斯石油，油价飙升，布伦特原油周四早些时候逼近 120 美元。美国总统乔·拜登面临评级禁止俄罗斯进口能源的命令，但迄今为止尚未对石油实施全面制裁。</blockquote>Currently, 66% of Russian oil is struggling to find buyers, JP Morgan analysts including Natasha Kaneva said in the note.<blockquote>包括娜塔莎·卡内娃在内的摩根大通分析师在报告中表示，目前，66%的俄罗斯石油正在努力寻找买家。</blockquote>In the short term, the scale of the supply shock is so large that oil prices need to reach and stay at $120 a barrel for months to incentivize demand destruction, the analysts said, assuming there would be no immediate return of Iranian crude barrels.<blockquote>分析师表示，短期内，供应冲击的规模如此之大，以至于油价需要达到并维持在每桶120美元数月，以刺激需求破坏，假设伊朗原油不会立即恢复。</blockquote>“As sanctions have widened and the shift to energy security takes on an urgent priority, there will likely be ramifications for Russian oil sales into Europe and the US, potentially impacting up to 4.3 million barrels per day,” the analysts wrote.<blockquote>“分析人士写道：”随着制裁的扩大和向能源安全的转变成为当务之急，俄罗斯对欧洲和美国的石油销售可能会受到影响，每天的石油销量可能高达 430 万桶。</blockquote>The bank maintained its price forecast, which calls for Brent to average $110 a barrel in the second quarter, $100 in in the third quarter and $90 in the fourth quarter. Without a return of Iranian barrels to the market, the bank expects oil prices to average $115 in the second quarter, $105 in the third quarter and $95 by the fourth quarter.<blockquote>该行维持其价格预测，评级布伦特原油第二季度平均每桶110美元，第三季度平均每桶100美元，第四季度平均每桶90美元。如果伊朗原油不重返市场，该银行预计第二季度油价平均为 115 美元，第三季度为 105 美元，第四季度为 95 美元。</blockquote></body></html><blockquote></blockquote>","source":"lsy1612507957220","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>JPMorgan Says $185 Oil Is in View If Russian Supply Hit Persists<blockquote>摩根大通表示，如果俄罗斯供应冲击持续存在，油价将达到 185 美元</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nJPMorgan Says $185 Oil Is in View If Russian Supply Hit Persists<blockquote>摩根大通表示，如果俄罗斯供应冲击持续存在，油价将达到 185 美元</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nbloomberg2022-03-04 11:07\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body>(Bloomberg) -- Brent crude could end the year at $185 a barrel if Russian supply continues to be disrupted, JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. wrote in a note Thursday.<blockquote><html><head></head><body>（彭博社）——摩根大通周四在一份报告中写道，如果俄罗斯供应继续中断，布伦特原油今年年底价格可能达到每桶 185 美元。</body></html></blockquote>Oil prices have skyrocketed, with Brent crude approaching $120 earlier Thursday as traders shun Russian oil after Moscow invaded Ukraine. U.S. President Joe Biden is facing calls to ban Russian imports of energy but so far has not imposed full blown sanctions on oil.<blockquote>由于莫斯科入侵乌克兰后交易员避开俄罗斯石油，油价飙升，布伦特原油周四早些时候逼近 120 美元。美国总统乔·拜登面临评级禁止俄罗斯进口能源的命令，但迄今为止尚未对石油实施全面制裁。</blockquote>Currently, 66% of Russian oil is struggling to find buyers, JP Morgan analysts including Natasha Kaneva said in the note.<blockquote>包括娜塔莎·卡内娃在内的摩根大通分析师在报告中表示，目前，66%的俄罗斯石油正在努力寻找买家。</blockquote>In the short term, the scale of the supply shock is so large that oil prices need to reach and stay at $120 a barrel for months to incentivize demand destruction, the analysts said, assuming there would be no immediate return of Iranian crude barrels.<blockquote>分析师表示，短期内，供应冲击的规模如此之大，以至于油价需要达到并维持在每桶120美元数月，以刺激需求破坏，假设伊朗原油不会立即恢复。</blockquote>“As sanctions have widened and the shift to energy security takes on an urgent priority, there will likely be ramifications for Russian oil sales into Europe and the US, potentially impacting up to 4.3 million barrels per day,” the analysts wrote.<blockquote>“分析人士写道：”随着制裁的扩大和向能源安全的转变成为当务之急，俄罗斯对欧洲和美国的石油销售可能会受到影响，每天的石油销量可能高达 430 万桶。</blockquote>The bank maintained its price forecast, which calls for Brent to average $110 a barrel in the second quarter, $100 in in the third quarter and $90 in the fourth quarter. Without a return of Iranian barrels to the market, the bank expects oil prices to average $115 in the second quarter, $105 in the third quarter and $95 by the fourth quarter.<blockquote>该行维持其价格预测，评级布伦特原油第二季度平均每桶110美元，第三季度平均每桶100美元，第四季度平均每桶90美元。如果伊朗原油不重返市场，该银行预计第二季度油价平均为 115 美元，第三季度为 105 美元，第四季度为 95 美元。</blockquote></body></html><blockquote></blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/jpmorgan-says-185-oil-view-155816783.html\">bloomberg</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/jpmorgan-says-185-oil-view-155816783.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1137187085","content_text":"(Bloomberg) -- Brent crude could end the year at $185 a barrel if Russian supply continues to be disrupted, JPMorgan Chase & Co. wrote in a note Thursday.Oil prices have skyrocketed, with Brent crude approaching $120 earlier Thursday as traders shun Russian oil after Moscow invaded Ukraine. U.S. President Joe Biden is facing calls to ban Russian imports of energy but so far has not imposed full blown sanctions on oil.Currently, 66% of Russian oil is struggling to find buyers, JP Morgan analysts including Natasha Kaneva said in the note.In the short term, the scale of the supply shock is so large that oil prices need to reach and stay at $120 a barrel for months to incentivize demand destruction, the analysts said, assuming there would be no immediate return of Iranian crude barrels.“As sanctions have widened and the shift to energy security takes on an urgent priority, there will likely be ramifications for Russian oil sales into Europe and the US, potentially impacting up to 4.3 million barrels per day,” the analysts wrote.The bank maintained its price forecast, which calls for Brent to average $110 a barrel in the second quarter, $100 in in the third quarter and $90 in the fourth quarter. Without a return of Iranian barrels to the market, the bank expects oil prices to average $115 in the second quarter, $105 in the third quarter and $95 by the fourth quarter.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"BZmain":0.9,"CLmain":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2067,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":7,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/632631758"}