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08-05 20:16
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“小非农”不及预期！美国7月ADP就业仅增4.4万人，创年内最低，周五非农数据成关键
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</p></body></html>","text":"还加息不？[开心]","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/593573925331824","repostId":1119344908,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"1119344908","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"追踪全球财经热点，精选影响您财富的资讯，投资理财必备神器！","home_visible":1,"media_name":"华尔街见闻","id":"1084101182","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e"},"pubTimestamp":1785932126,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1119344908?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-08-05 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justify;\">周五将公布的美国政府非农就业报告备受市场关注，若数据得到印证，当前就业趋势将为美联储继续聚焦仍处高位的通胀提供支撑。</p><h2 id=\"92b70e0b\">就业增长创年内新低，商品生产部门承压</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">ADP数据显示，7月私人部门新增就业4.4万人，不仅低于所有参与彭博调查的经济学家预测，也是自今年1月以来的最低值，较6月修订后的9.5万人显著回落。从行业分布来看，商品生产部门净减少3,000个职位，显示实体经济部分领域的用工需求承压。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45dae3e44c1989b5b275a51e4b9bd0a4\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"626\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">ADP的报告基于覆盖逾2,600万名美国私营部门员工的薪资数据，由ADP研究院与斯坦福数字经济实验室联合发布。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">就业增量放缓的同时，薪资数据呈现出另一面。报告显示，<strong>跳槽员工薪资同比上涨7%，为近一年来最快增速；留任员工薪资增幅则维持在4.4%。</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/09b585ace25f1e71fbe9b8a70f5b7f35\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"616\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Nela Richardson在声明中表示，"跳槽者对实时经济状况高度敏感，其快速的薪资增长意味着劳动力市场部分领域存在供给约束。"这一信号表明，尽管总体就业增速趋缓，劳动力市场的结构性紧张仍未消除。</p><h2 id=\"bd512910\">美联储立场与周五非农数据成焦点</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">ADP报告发布前，美联储主席沃什上周在新闻发布会上将就业市场描述为"稳健"且"平稳"，联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）维持利率不变，但其中三位官员投票支持加息，显示内部分歧依然存在。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>市场目前等待周五政府官方非农就业报告的确认。</strong>彭博调查显示，经济学家预期7月非农新增就业（含公共部门）为8万人，较6月有所改善。若数据与ADP报告走势一致，将进一步强化"劳动力市场稳健足以支撑美联储专注于抗通胀"的市场判断，对美联储政策路径预期将产生直接影响。</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>“小非农”不及预期！美国7月ADP就业仅增4.4万人，创年内最低，周五非农数据成关键</title>\n<style 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margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n“小非农”不及预期！美国7月ADP就业仅增4.4万人，创年内最低，周五非农数据成关键\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1084101182\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/66809d1f5c2e43e2bdf15820c6d6897e);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">华尔街见闻 </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-08-05 20:15</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><blockquote><p>美国7月ADP私人部门新增就业仅4.4万人，创年内新低且低于预期，商品生产部门承压，显示劳动力市场降温。然而，跳槽员工薪资同比强劲增长7%，表明结构性紧张犹存。市场正关注周五非农数据，若走势一致，将印证就业稳健，为美联储继续聚焦抗通胀提供支撑。</p></blockquote><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">美国7月私人就业增长大幅低于预期，显示劳动力市场动能有所降温，但工资增速仍具韧性，整体就业形势维持稳定。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">ADP研究院周三发布的数据显示，<strong>7月私人部门新增就业4.4万人，低于彭博经济学家调查预期的6.5万人，亦是今年以来的最低水平，此前6月份经修订后的数据为9.5万人。</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f45be97cb7aad9a4fc9bba82b7d5d7e0\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"625\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">尽管招聘节奏放缓，报告同时显示跳槽员工的薪资涨幅加速至近一年来最强。ADP首席经济学家Nela Richardson指出，"典型的招聘模式正在改变，雇主正在对宏观经济环境的转变作出反应。"</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">周五将公布的美国政府非农就业报告备受市场关注，若数据得到印证，当前就业趋势将为美联储继续聚焦仍处高位的通胀提供支撑。</p><h2 id=\"92b70e0b\">就业增长创年内新低，商品生产部门承压</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">ADP数据显示，7月私人部门新增就业4.4万人，不仅低于所有参与彭博调查的经济学家预测，也是自今年1月以来的最低值，较6月修订后的9.5万人显著回落。从行业分布来看，商品生产部门净减少3,000个职位，显示实体经济部分领域的用工需求承压。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/45dae3e44c1989b5b275a51e4b9bd0a4\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"626\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">ADP的报告基于覆盖逾2,600万名美国私营部门员工的薪资数据，由ADP研究院与斯坦福数字经济实验室联合发布。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">就业增量放缓的同时，薪资数据呈现出另一面。报告显示，<strong>跳槽员工薪资同比上涨7%，为近一年来最快增速；留任员工薪资增幅则维持在4.4%。</strong></p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/09b585ace25f1e71fbe9b8a70f5b7f35\" tg-width=\"1024\" tg-height=\"616\"/></p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">Nela Richardson在声明中表示，"跳槽者对实时经济状况高度敏感，其快速的薪资增长意味着劳动力市场部分领域存在供给约束。"这一信号表明，尽管总体就业增速趋缓，劳动力市场的结构性紧张仍未消除。</p><h2 id=\"bd512910\">美联储立场与周五非农数据成焦点</h2><p style=\"text-align: justify;\">ADP报告发布前，美联储主席沃什上周在新闻发布会上将就业市场描述为"稳健"且"平稳"，联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）维持利率不变，但其中三位官员投票支持加息，显示内部分歧依然存在。</p><p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><strong>市场目前等待周五政府官方非农就业报告的确认。</strong>彭博调查显示，经济学家预期7月非农新增就业（含公共部门）为8万人，较6月有所改善。若数据与ADP报告走势一致，将进一步强化"劳动力市场稳健足以支撑美联储专注于抗通胀"的市场判断，对美联储政策路径预期将产生直接影响。</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/5712911a97692958e444016d45d93118","relate_stocks":{"VOO":"Vanguard标普500ETF","SPXS":"三倍做空标普500ETF-Direxion","TQQY":"GraniteShares YieldBOOST QQQ ETF","NJUL":"Innovator Growth-100 Power Buffer ETF - July","07568":"FI二南方纳指","SPYM":"投资组合标普500指数ETF-SPDR","SPUU":"Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 2x Shares","GPIQ":"GOLDMAN SACHS NASDAQ 100 CORE PREMIUM INCOME ETF","YSPY":"GraniteShares YieldBOOST SPY ETF","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares","SPYQ":"2倍做多SPY Quarterly ETF-Tradr","PSQ":"做空纳斯达克100指数ETF-ProShares","NOCT":"Innovator Growth-100 Power Buffer ETF - October","HIBL":"Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bull 3X Shares","SPDN":"Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1X Shares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","MMAX":"iShares 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Richardson指出，\"典型的招聘模式正在改变，雇主正在对宏观经济环境的转变作出反应。\"周五将公布的美国政府非农就业报告备受市场关注，若数据得到印证，当前就业趋势将为美联储继续聚焦仍处高位的通胀提供支撑。就业增长创年内新低，商品生产部门承压ADP数据显示，7月私人部门新增就业4.4万人，不仅低于所有参与彭博调查的经济学家预测，也是自今年1月以来的最低值，较6月修订后的9.5万人显著回落。从行业分布来看，商品生产部门净减少3,000个职位，显示实体经济部分领域的用工需求承压。ADP的报告基于覆盖逾2,600万名美国私营部门员工的薪资数据，由ADP研究院与斯坦福数字经济实验室联合发布。就业增量放缓的同时，薪资数据呈现出另一面。报告显示，跳槽员工薪资同比上涨7%，为近一年来最快增速；留任员工薪资增幅则维持在4.4%。Nela Richardson在声明中表示，\"跳槽者对实时经济状况高度敏感，其快速的薪资增长意味着劳动力市场部分领域存在供给约束。\"这一信号表明，尽管总体就业增速趋缓，劳动力市场的结构性紧张仍未消除。美联储立场与周五非农数据成焦点ADP报告发布前，美联储主席沃什上周在新闻发布会上将就业市场描述为\"稳健\"且\"平稳\"，联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）维持利率不变，但其中三位官员投票支持加息，显示内部分歧依然存在。市场目前等待周五政府官方非农就业报告的确认。彭博调查显示，经济学家预期7月非农新增就业（含公共部门）为8万人，较6月有所改善。若数据与ADP报告走势一致，将进一步强化\"劳动力市场稳健足以支撑美联储专注于抗通胀\"的市场判断，对美联储政策路径预期将产生直接影响。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NJAN":0.6,"QMAR":0.6,"07266":0.6,"07261":0.6,"PSQ":0.6,"03455":0.6,".IXIC":2,"SDS":0.6,"MMAX":0.6,"SPYQ":0.6,"03086":0.6,"SPYU":0.6,"TQQY":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"QQQ":0.6,"SPYH":0.6,"QDEC":0.6,"SPY":0.6,"03034":0.6,"09834":0.6,"02834":0.6,"NDX":2,"07522":0.6,"QID":0.6,"SPUU":0.6,"NOCT":0.6,".SPX":2,"SMAX":0.6,"SPXL":0.6,"SPYM":0.6,"TQQQ":0.6,"09086":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"IVV":0.6,"QQQX":0.6,"SPDN":0.6,"GPIQ":0.6,"DMAX":0.6,"DOG":0.6,"NJUL":0.6,"DXD":0.6,"VOO":0.6,"QLD":0.6,"SPXS":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"YSPY":0.6,"SH":0.6,"SDOW":0.6,".DJI":2,"DIA":0.6,"QQQM":0.6,"SQQQ":0.6,"UDOW":0.6,"HIBL":0.6,"NAPR":0.6,"07568":0.6,"DDM":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":87,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":15,"optionInvolvedFlag":false,"subscribersOnly":false,"subscribersOnlyAccessible":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/593573925331824"}
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