tom33
05-21
用把口来超越
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马斯克的星链并非神话！长光卫星贾宏光预言：中国商业航天8年超越
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{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":566638297666336,"tweetId":"566638297666336","gmtCreate":1779373740476,"gmtModify":1779373743091,"author":{"id":3575336049872142,"idStr":"3575336049872142","authorId":3575336049872142,"authorIdStr":"3575336049872142","name":"tom33","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fa9a2ae69ad94cc4f6f7359e1f604635","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":2,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[],"fanSize":10,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"title":"","html":"<html><head></head><body><p>用把口来超越<span>[弱] </span> <span>[弱] </span> <span>[弱] </span> <span>[弱] </span> </p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>用把口来超越<span>[弱] </span> <span>[弱] </span> <span>[弱] </span> <span>[弱] </span> </p></body></html>","text":"用把口来超越[弱] [弱] [弱] [弱]","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/566638297666336","repostId":2636819894,"repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2636819894","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1779239311,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2636819894?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2026-05-20 09:08","market":"hk","language":"zh","title":"马斯克的星链并非神话！长光卫星贾宏光预言：中国商业航天8年超越","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2636819894","media":"快科技","summary":"快科技5月20日消息，近日，长光卫星创始人之一贾宏光在做客某访谈对话节目时，谈及与马斯克SpaceX的差距。他直言：星链并非神话，8年内中国商业航天全面超越马斯克。凭借相对低廉的发射成本和强大的运力，星链卫星得以实现高频次发射，一次发射即可将几十颗卫星送入太空，这也正是贾宏光所提及的、中国商业航天需要重点追赶的核心优势所在。","content":"<html><body><p>快科技5月20日消息，近日，长光卫星创始人之一贾宏光在做客某访谈对话节目时，谈及与马斯克SpaceX的差距。</p><p>他直言：星链并非神话，8年内中国商业航天全面超越马斯克。</p><p><strong>贾宏光首先厘清了区别：SpaceX主要做通讯卫星，把基站搬到天上；长光卫星做的是遥感卫星，负责拍照获取地面信息；此外还有导航卫星，如GPS和北斗。</strong></p><p>对于与星链的差距，他坦承数量和技术上都有：目前数量还不到人家的1/10，技术上也有差距。但这不是“人家能做我们做不了”的问题。</p><p>在他看来，马斯克的优势在于既做卫星也做发射，可回收技术让发射成本极低。这正是需要追赶的方向。</p><p>在卫星制造成本上，贾宏光表示长光卫星的性价比已经全球领先；但发射费用仍有差距，马斯克早已降到每公斤1万美元以下，我们还在攻关这一关口。</p><p>不过凭借中国的产业链和制造业优势，5到8年内实现甚至超过马斯克的指标，不是梦想。</p><p><strong>“8年内肯定比他成本还要低，肯定能超过。”贾宏光说，这不仅是他的个人判断，他和几家火箭公司老总聊过，大家普遍认为——从技术成熟度、工业基础支撑、行业发展热度来看，未来10年内全面超越是完全可以实现的。</strong></p><p><img src=\"data:image/png;base64,iVBORw0KGgoAAAANSUhEUgAAAAEAAAABAQMAAAAl21bKAAAAA1BMVEXy8vJkA4prAAAACklEQVQI12NgAAAAAgAB4iG8MwAAAABJRU5ErkJggg==\"/></p><p>实际上，贾宏光所坦承的卫星数量差距，从当前星链的布局规模中可见一斑：<strong>目前，星链已在全球拥有超万颗在轨运行的活跃卫星，截至2026年初，在轨数量已达9300余颗，是全球规模最大的低轨卫星<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/STZ\">星座</a>。</strong></p><p>作为马斯克SpaceX公司旗下的全球卫星宽带项目，星链的核心目标是为全球包括偏远地区在内的任何地方提供卫星宽带服务，而其能实现大规模组网，核心就在于SpaceX自主研发的猎鹰火箭。</p><p>凭借相对低廉的发射成本和强大的运力，星链卫星得以实现高频次发射，一次发射即可将几十颗卫星送入太空，这也正是贾宏光所提及的、中国商业航天需要重点追赶的核心优势所在。</p><p>更值得关注的是，依托这种规模化发射优势，SpaceX借助国际上先占先得的规则，在稀缺的低轨轨道与频谱资源上形成了事实上的垄断格局，目前其在轨卫星已占据全球低轨卫星总量的65%以上，不仅极大提高了后来者的竞争门槛，也进一步凸显了贾宏光所言追赶的必要性。</p></body></html>","source":"ifeng_tech","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" 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#eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n马斯克的星链并非神话！长光卫星贾宏光预言：中国商业航天8年超越\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-05-20 09:08 北京时间 <a href=https://tech.ifeng.com/c/8tH70wK4aTh><strong>快科技</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>快科技5月20日消息，近日，长光卫星创始人之一贾宏光在做客某访谈对话节目时，谈及与马斯克SpaceX的差距。他直言：星链并非神话，8年内中国商业航天全面超越马斯克。贾宏光首先厘清了区别：SpaceX主要做通讯卫星，把基站搬到天上；长光卫星做的是遥感卫星，负责拍照获取地面信息；此外还有导航卫星，如GPS和北斗。对于与星链的差距，他坦承数量和技术上都有：目前数量还不到人家的1/10，技术上也有差距。但...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://tech.ifeng.com/c/8tH70wK4aTh\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU0345769128.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0943347566.SGD":"安联收益及增长平衡基金AM H2-SGD","LU2471134796.USD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (USD) INC","09366":"XI二南特斯-U","LU0820562030.AUD":"ALLIANZ INCOME AND GROWTH \"AMH2\" (AUDHDG) H2 INC","LU2750360641.GBP":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (GBPHDG) INC","LU0210536198.USD":"JPM US GROWTH \"A\" ACC","IE00B19Z9505.USD":"美盛-美国大盘成长股A Acc","LU0345769631.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL EQUITY \"A\" (USD) INC","LU1861558580.USD":"日兴方舟颠覆性创新基金B","LU2896262040.SGD":"JPM US GROWTH FUND \"A\" (SGD) ACC","LU2750360997.AUD":"INVESCO GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME ADVANTAGE \"A\" (AUDHDG) INC","SG9999015945.SGD":"LionGlobal Disruptive Innovation Fund A SGD","LU0345770308.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF GLOBAL STRATEGIC EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU0345770993.USD":"NINETY ONE GSF 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