龙腾虎乐
05-20
AI能把崩盘时间往后推几年
[捂脸]
[捂脸]
该崩还得崩
[喷血]
而且会更猛
传奇投资人震撼发声：若不是AI，美国经济和美股早在三年前就崩了
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偷鱼的夜鹭
05-20
偷鱼的夜鹭
世间万物都身处生灭法，有生有灭世间规律，问题的关键在于唱空的人永远无法准确预测出具体时间。
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11:22</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>人工智能(AI)对经济究竟有多少贡献？<strong>曾成功预测三次市场泡沫的传奇投资人Jeremy Grantham最新表示，如果不是因为人工智能带来大举投资，他认为美国经济很可能在2023年就陷入了衰退，而且股市也会暴跌。</strong>他在最新一档播客节目中表示： “我原本估计2023年，我们将陷入经济衰退，市场将再下跌 25%。而人工智能阻止了这种情况的发生。”“我们正处于未知领域，”他补充道，指的是美国经济对AI支出占GDP比例的“前所未有”的依赖。</p><p>人工智能的蓬勃发展推动了科技巨头们的大规模投资狂潮。据各公司声明，亚马逊、谷歌、Meta和微软今年共计拨出7250亿美元的资本支出，其中大部分将用于人工智能的建设。这一数额约占2025年美国GDP的2%。Grantham推测，如果不是人工智能，2023年的美国GDP增长率可能接近0%。人工智能领域的支出也对美股起到了重要的支撑作用。正是“七大科技巨头”(即人工智能交易的核心)在很大程度上推动标普500指数从2022年末到2023年走出了熊市。</p><p>而对于市场担心已久的泡沫问题，Grantham表示，实际上早在人工智能热潮兴起时，股市已经处于部分泡沫之中。他指的是2022年科技板块的大幅上涨以及人们对模因股的狂热追捧。“我们现在看到的是一个由泄了一半气、然后又复苏的泡沫再形成的泡沫。”</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/adc02e59f9435ef09fea9c7a808cd768","relate_stocks":{"SPXS":"三倍做空标普500ETF-Direxion","SPYH":"Neos S&P 500 Hedged Equity Income ETF","DDM":"2倍做多道指ETF-ProShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","SPUU":"Direxion Daily S&P 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