陈长春
05-19
，
“财报魔咒”难破？英伟达股价绩前回调，期权多头艰难闯关
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11:08","market":"us","language":"zh","title":"“财报魔咒”难破？英伟达股价绩前回调，期权多头艰难闯关","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2636788575","media":"智通财经","summary":"智通财经APP获悉，本周市场目光聚焦AI巨头英伟达，公司将于5月20日(周三)美股盘后公布2027财年一季度财报。而在财报靴子落地前夕，英伟达股价大幅回调，多头陷入艰难的逆势博弈之中。英伟达股价周一走低，较上周四的高点下跌超过6.5%，这让英伟达期权交易者再度迎来艰难交易日，大批热门短期看涨合约价值再度大幅缩水甚至直接归零。截至周一收盘，英伟达跌1.33%，报222.32美元，年内股价累计上涨19%。","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>5月19日，本周市场目光聚焦AI巨头<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达</a>，公司将于5月20日(周三)美股盘后公布2027财年一季度财报。作为牵动科技赛道乃至大盘走向的核心风向标，英伟达业绩早已超越个股范畴，左右全市场投资情绪。而在财报靴子落地前夕，英伟达股价大幅回调，多头陷入艰难的逆势博弈之中。</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/0a0841c12cc269a47c0206643a60a4bf\" tg-width=\"560\" tg-height=\"240\" data-image-type=\"kline\"/></p><h2 id=\"id_2575675054\">英伟达股价绩前下跌，多头逆势布局</h2><p>期权交易圈流传着一句经典行话：“Sell a tiny, buy a Lamborghini”，直白来说就是“沽空微权合约，终提兰博基尼”。</p><p>这句话精准概括了一种高胜率的期权交易策略：交易者卖出价格低廉、行权希望渺茫的虚值期权，稳稳赚取权利金。日积月累，靠这类小额收益便能积攒可观利润。而与之相对的，就是接手这些廉价期权、最终血本无归的买方投资者。</p><p>而本周一英伟达的股价走势，正是这一交易逻辑最真实的写照。</p><p>英伟达股价周一走低，较上周四的高点下跌超过6.5%，这让英伟达期权交易者再度迎来艰难交易日，大批热门短期看涨合约价值再度大幅缩水甚至直接归零。</p><p>SpotGamma汇编的数据显示，截至周一中午，英伟达期权交易中超过15%的合约将于当日收盘时到期。其中最热门的合约包括行权价为225美元和222.5美元的看涨期权，交易量均超过22万张。令人唏嘘的是，这类合约上周五尚且处于实值盈利状态，仅仅一个交易日便因股价回调沦为废纸，一文不值。这与上周五的情况如出一辙，当时行权价为235美元的看涨期权、共计1.14亿美元权利金因英伟达股价回落而悉数蒸发，跟风押注的短线投资者损失惨重。</p><p>尽管股价持续走弱、短期期权频频“爆雷”，但多头并未投降。周一，英伟达期权交易量位居市场第五，仅次于基准股指和<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">特斯拉</a>，成交量超过300万份合约，期权总权利金规模突破13亿美元，其中看涨期权占比高达10亿美元。</p><p>根据 ThinkOrSwim 的数据，周一英伟达看涨期权的成交量是看跌期权的两倍多，但多数看涨期权以买一价或更低价位成交，这意味着这些看涨期权大概率是被投资者抛售，而非主动买入。</p><p>即便如此，市场中仍有坚定的多头力量在逆势布局。当日四笔超大额英伟达期权交易，均为多头资金大手笔买入本周五到期的高价实值看涨期权，单笔交易金额均不低于 1000 万美元。侧面反映出部分专业投资者依然看好英伟达财报表现，愿意押注业绩超预期带来的股价反弹。</p><p>根据<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CBOE\">芝加哥期权交易所</a> (Cboe) LiveVol 的数据，交易者预计英伟达财报前后股价波动幅度可达6.25%，与通常预期基本持平，但高于3.2%的平均实际波动幅度。</p><p>对于当前手握看涨期权的投资者而言，局势尤为严峻。历史数据显示，英伟达近三次财报披露后股价均下跌，其中今年2月财报出炉后股价大跌5.5%，“财报魔咒”的阴影持续笼罩。多头想要在本次财报中逆风翻盘，难度可想而知。</p><h2 id=\"id_2879603981\">英伟达财报有多重要?</h2><p>归根结底，英伟达财报前夕的期权博弈，本质上是市场对AI龙头未来走势的分歧体现。</p><p>周三美股盘后，随着财报靴子的落地，这场多空博弈将迎来阶段性答案，而英伟达的业绩表现不仅影响自身股价，更将成为AI赛道以及整体科技股的“风向标”，引领后续行情走向。</p><p>市场普遍预期，英伟达第一季度每股收益(EPS)为1.76美元，营收为787.5亿美元，远高于该公司上年同期的0.96美元每股收益和440.6亿美元营收。数据中心业务收入有望达到728.5亿美元，远高于上年同期的391.1亿美元。</p><p>据报道，财报公布前夕，多家华尔街大行对英伟达持乐观看法并上调目标价：美国银行将英伟达目标价由300美元上调至320美元，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/WFC\">富国银行</a>将目标价从265美元大幅上调至315美元;瑞银则将目标价从245美元上调至275美元;<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MS\">摩根士丹利</a>将目标价由260美元上调至285美元。</p><p>值得注意的是，此前英伟达首席执行官黄仁勋随同美方高层完成访华行程，此次财报会上有关对华合作布局的言论将成为市场焦点。</p><p>此前有消息称，美方已批准<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BABA\">阿里巴巴</a>、<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/00700\">腾讯</a>、字节跳动等行业巨头采购英伟达H200系列芯片，该消息也一度推动英伟达股价创下历史新高，市值突破5.7万亿美元大关。</p><p>不过，瑞银分析师Tim Arcuri指出，近几个月来，投资者一直持谨慎态度，只有一份绝对出色的财报才能彻底提振市场信心。</p><p>截至周一收盘，英伟达跌1.33%，报222.32美元，年内股价累计上涨19%。</p></body></html>","source":"stock_zhitongcaijing","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>“财报魔咒”难破？英伟达股价绩前回调，期权多头艰难闯关</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ 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0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n“财报魔咒”难破？英伟达股价绩前回调，期权多头艰难闯关\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2026-05-19 11:08 北京时间 <a href=http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1443257.html><strong>智通财经</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>5月19日，本周市场目光聚焦AI巨头英伟达，公司将于5月20日(周三)美股盘后公布2027财年一季度财报。作为牵动科技赛道乃至大盘走向的核心风向标，英伟达业绩早已超越个股范畴，左右全市场投资情绪。而在财报靴子落地前夕，英伟达股价大幅回调，多头陷入艰难的逆势博弈之中。英伟达股价绩前下跌，多头逆势布局期权交易圈流传着一句经典行话：“Sell a tiny, buy a Lamborghini”，直白...</p>\n\n<a href=\"http://www.zhitongcaijing.com/content/detail/1443257.html\">网页链接</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3f1c866c487eb9e101f73a62d4495ce9","relate_stocks":{"LU1868836757.USD":"CT (LUX) I AMERICAN FUND \"2\" (USD) ACC","LU1242518857.USD":"FULLERTON LUX FUNDS - ASIA ABSOLUTE ALPHA \"I\" (USD) ACC","IE00B4JS1V06.HKD":"JANUS HENDERSON BALANCED \"A2\" (HKD) ACC","LU1935043023.USD":"MANULIFE GF GLOBAL 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Lamborghini”，直白来说就是“沽空微权合约，终提兰博基尼”。这句话精准概括了一种高胜率的期权交易策略：交易者卖出价格低廉、行权希望渺茫的虚值期权，稳稳赚取权利金。日积月累，靠这类小额收益便能积攒可观利润。而与之相对的，就是接手这些廉价期权、最终血本无归的买方投资者。而本周一英伟达的股价走势，正是这一交易逻辑最真实的写照。英伟达股价周一走低，较上周四的高点下跌超过6.5%，这让英伟达期权交易者再度迎来艰难交易日，大批热门短期看涨合约价值再度大幅缩水甚至直接归零。SpotGamma汇编的数据显示，截至周一中午，英伟达期权交易中超过15%的合约将于当日收盘时到期。其中最热门的合约包括行权价为225美元和222.5美元的看涨期权，交易量均超过22万张。令人唏嘘的是，这类合约上周五尚且处于实值盈利状态，仅仅一个交易日便因股价回调沦为废纸，一文不值。这与上周五的情况如出一辙，当时行权价为235美元的看涨期权、共计1.14亿美元权利金因英伟达股价回落而悉数蒸发，跟风押注的短线投资者损失惨重。尽管股价持续走弱、短期期权频频“爆雷”，但多头并未投降。周一，英伟达期权交易量位居市场第五，仅次于基准股指和特斯拉，成交量超过300万份合约，期权总权利金规模突破13亿美元，其中看涨期权占比高达10亿美元。根据 ThinkOrSwim 的数据，周一英伟达看涨期权的成交量是看跌期权的两倍多，但多数看涨期权以买一价或更低价位成交，这意味着这些看涨期权大概率是被投资者抛售，而非主动买入。即便如此，市场中仍有坚定的多头力量在逆势布局。当日四笔超大额英伟达期权交易，均为多头资金大手笔买入本周五到期的高价实值看涨期权，单笔交易金额均不低于 1000 万美元。侧面反映出部分专业投资者依然看好英伟达财报表现，愿意押注业绩超预期带来的股价反弹。根据芝加哥期权交易所 (Cboe) LiveVol 的数据，交易者预计英伟达财报前后股价波动幅度可达6.25%，与通常预期基本持平，但高于3.2%的平均实际波动幅度。对于当前手握看涨期权的投资者而言，局势尤为严峻。历史数据显示，英伟达近三次财报披露后股价均下跌，其中今年2月财报出炉后股价大跌5.5%，“财报魔咒”的阴影持续笼罩。多头想要在本次财报中逆风翻盘，难度可想而知。英伟达财报有多重要?归根结底，英伟达财报前夕的期权博弈，本质上是市场对AI龙头未来走势的分歧体现。周三美股盘后，随着财报靴子的落地，这场多空博弈将迎来阶段性答案，而英伟达的业绩表现不仅影响自身股价，更将成为AI赛道以及整体科技股的“风向标”，引领后续行情走向。市场普遍预期，英伟达第一季度每股收益(EPS)为1.76美元，营收为787.5亿美元，远高于该公司上年同期的0.96美元每股收益和440.6亿美元营收。数据中心业务收入有望达到728.5亿美元，远高于上年同期的391.1亿美元。据报道，财报公布前夕，多家华尔街大行对英伟达持乐观看法并上调目标价：美国银行将英伟达目标价由300美元上调至320美元，富国银行将目标价从265美元大幅上调至315美元;瑞银则将目标价从245美元上调至275美元;摩根士丹利将目标价由260美元上调至285美元。值得注意的是，此前英伟达首席执行官黄仁勋随同美方高层完成访华行程，此次财报会上有关对华合作布局的言论将成为市场焦点。此前有消息称，美方已批准阿里巴巴、腾讯、字节跳动等行业巨头采购英伟达H200系列芯片，该消息也一度推动英伟达股价创下历史新高，市值突破5.7万亿美元大关。不过，瑞银分析师Tim Arcuri指出，近几个月来，投资者一直持谨慎态度，只有一份绝对出色的财报才能彻底提振市场信心。截至周一收盘，英伟达跌1.33%，报222.32美元，年内股价累计上涨19%。","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"NVDY":0.6,"NVDA":2,"NVDW":0.6,"DIPS":0.6,"ANV":0.6,"07388":0.6,"07788":0.6,"NVDD":0.6,"NVDL":0.6,"NVDQ":0.6,"NVDB":0.6,"NVDS":0.6,"NVDX":0.6,"NVDU":0.6,"NVD":0.6,"NVDO":0.6,"NVDG":0.6,"NVII":0.6,"NVYY":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":432,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":1,"optionInvolvedFlag":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/565809741608560"}
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