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@狮子做趋势交易：大饼这轮牛市的高点在10月初，纳指要晚2-3个礼拜，在10月底，标普反应更慢，在这个月初。因为这个时间差，木头姐在一个礼拜前的访谈中说，市场并没有走差，因为按说应该同上同下。这大姐，一辈子只认识一个牛字。这时差一两个月，在这么大的周期里，是几乎可以忽略不计的微小误差而已。两三年前，好像是冈拉克，做过一个无比经典的形容，说大饼就是5倍杠杆得标普。这句话一方面说明了大饼的振幅要大很多，另一方面也说明这俩就是一个方向的。做美股的很幸运，有大饼这样一个先行指标做指引参考。这张图是4年前的大饼，圆圈位置是不是很像现在？大饼正面临着第二次腰斩（大方向，不是绝对数），美股的方向也愈发清晰了。 $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$ $标普500(.SPX)$ $比特币ETF-iShares(IBIT)$

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