Stay in the market! 今晚美联储重启降息，.SPX会怎么走?

2025-09-17

悬赏1000虎币

根据芝商所的美联储观察工具显示，美联储今晚降息25个基点的可能性约为96.0%，降息50个基点的可能性为4%，市场也已经基本计价25个基点。

除Fed利率决议会公布以外，美联储主席鲍威尔发布会的表态，以及最新点阵图与季度经济预测也备受关注。根据Ned Davis Research行业策略师Rob Anderson整理的数据，在经济相对强劲、美联储重启降息后仅实施一至两次降息的四个周期中，金融和工业等周期性板块表现优于大盘；但在经济相对疲软、需要进行四次或更多次大幅降息的周期中，投资者更倾向防御性板块，医疗保健和必需消费品板块的中位数回报率最高。

美联储今晚会降息多少，25还是50基点？年内究竟会降息几次？金融市场，议息夜后会继续震荡，还是继续上涨？

评论区分享你的观点或操作策略，一起赢取1000虎币奖励！ $标普500(.SPX)$ $纳斯达克(.IXIC)$

25个基点，符合预期！.SPX还能继续涨吗？

美联储如期降息25基点，承认劳动力市场走弱，提及通胀上行；点阵图显示年内预计还降息两次，明年预计降息一次；鲍威尔称本次会议50基点降息呼声不高。美联储给出的信号鹰鸽参半，主要资产震荡。【接下来金融市场会如何反应？.SPX还能继续创新高吗？】

免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。

悬赏已结束

580虎币已分给21位参与者,剩余420虎币已退还至发起者

截止至10/08 15:48

精彩评论

一路走来cd
2025-09-17
一路走来cd
赢得30虎币
1.兑现预期25个点
2.超预期：50个点
保守点，按25个点算。spx要回调才对。
ruan_7128
2025-09-17
ruan_7128
赢得30虎币
今晚应该降息25个基点，年内估计还会再降一次，也应该是25个基点，金融市场一定会震荡向下调整一下，后势仍会继续向上走。
花香满楼
2025-09-17
花香满楼
赢得30虎币
降25个点，
股市跌，趁机调整，
然后再涨上来
一路走来cd
2025-09-17
一路走来cd
赢得30虎币
估计降25个点，
50个点机会很小。
spx跌，继续调整。
回归高分红版块，防守反击
世纪聿裼
2025-09-17
世纪聿裼
赢得20虎币
降息估计25个点。
mr.lin
2025-09-17
mr.lin
赢得30虎币
25个是确定的了，50个基点鲍师傅第一个不同意。

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