盘前二月非农预测

石头DE

03-07

尝试了一下模型化非农预测，输入数据有限，仅供参考。

输入了：新闻模型（就业相关）、政策模型（就业相关）、近期数据

结果：

历史ADP与NFP的方向同步率：71.43%

预测本次NFP数据（基于ADP误差调整）：10.81 万

非农低于预期的概率：80.00%

非农高于预期的概率：20.00%

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