白巾牛刀
2024-11-19
为什么？
Why Nvidia Earnings May Trigger Massive S&P 500 Volatility<blockquote>为什么英伟达的盈利可能会引发标普500的巨大波动</blockquote>
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Market Quotes, Business News, Financial News, Trading Ideas, and Stock Research by Professionals","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Benzinga","id":"1052270027","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa"},"pubTimestamp":1731985472,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/2484934264?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2024-11-19 11:04","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Nvidia Earnings May Trigger Massive S&P 500 Volatility<blockquote>为什么英伟达的盈利可能会引发标普500的巨大波动</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2484934264","media":"Benzinga","summary":"KEY POINTSNvidia earnings are expected to trigger Fed-like volatility in the S&P 500, with options implying a 1.05% move.Nvidia stock has averaged a 5.3% 1-day move after earnings, with a 12.5% implie","content":"<p><html><head></head><body><h4 id=\"id_1992767499\" style=\"text-align: start;\">KEY POINTS</h4><ul style=\"list-style-type: disc;\"><li>Nvidia earnings are expected to trigger Fed-like volatility in the S&P 500, with options implying a 1.05% move.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body><h4 id=\"id_1992767499\" style=\"text-align: start;\">要点</h4><ul style=\"list-style-type: disc;\"><li>英伟达的盈利预计将引发标普500类似美联储的波动，期权意味着1.05%的波动。</li></ul></body></html></blockquote></p><p></li><li>Nvidia stock has averaged a 5.3% 1-day move after earnings, with a 12.5% implied move this quarter.</p><p><blockquote><li>财报公布后，英伟达股价1天平均涨幅为5.3%，本季度隐含涨幅为12.5%。</li></blockquote></p><p></li></ul>Investors and speculators are gearing up for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">Nvidia Corp.</a>‘s earnings report on Wednesday, an event that’s expected to send ripples, if not tidal waves, across the U.S. stock market.</p><p><blockquote>投资者和投机者正在为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达公司。</a>周三的收益报告预计将在整个美国股市引发涟漪（如果不是浪潮的话）。</blockquote></p><p>If the options market is right, Nvidia's results could spark moves in the S&P 500 index – as tracked by the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust</a> – larger than those typically triggered by key economic data like the employment and inflation reports.</p><p><blockquote>如果期权市场是正确的，英伟达的业绩可能会引发标普500指数的走势——正如<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">SPDR标普500 ETF信托</a>-大于通常由就业和通胀报告等关键经济数据触发的数据。</blockquote></p><p>Nvidia's dominance in the AI-driven technology trade has turned its earnings into a barometer for overall market sentiment, and its influence on the stock market is unparalleled.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达在人工智能驱动的技术贸易中的主导地位，使其收益成为整体市场情绪的晴雨表，对股市的影响力无与伦比。</blockquote></p><p>Over the past year, Nvidia accounted for 20% of the S&P 500's total returns and Bank of America's derivatives analyst Gonzalo Asis didn't mince words: “It remains the most dominant stock in the market... expected to drive nearly 25% of the S&P 500’s EPS growth in 3Q.”</p><p><blockquote>过去一年，英伟达占标普500总回报的20%，美银衍生品分析师Gonzalo Asis直言不讳：“它仍然是市场上最具主导地位的股票……预计将推动近25%的收益标普500第三季度每股收益增长。”</blockquote></p><p>In essence, whether Nvidia beats or misses expectations, the ripple effects will likely extend far beyond its ticker.</p><p><blockquote>从本质上讲，无论英伟达超出还是低于预期，其连锁反应可能会远远超出其股票代码。</blockquote></p><p><h3 id=\"id_790713258\">S&P 500 Implied Move Is Higher Than Inflation Or Jobs Data</h3>The options market implies a potential 1.05% move in the S&P 500—higher than what traders expect from next month's Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data, Consumer Price Index (CPI) print, and in line with the Federal Reserve’s December meeting.</p><p><blockquote><h3 id=\"id_790713258\">标普500隐含走势高于通胀或就业数据</h3>期权市场暗示标普500可能上涨1.05%——高于交易员对下个月非农就业(NFP)数据、消费者价格指数(CPI)数据的预期，并且与美联储12月会议一致。</blockquote></p><p>“Options are assigning more broad-market risk around NVDA earnings than around next month’s NFP and CPI days, and as much as the Dec FOMC,” the analyst noted.</p><p><blockquote>该分析师指出：“期权对NVDA盈利的广泛市场风险比下个月的NFP和CPI日更大，与12月FOMC一样大。”</blockquote></p><p>For Nvidia shares themselves, the implied one-day move is even more eye-popping: 12.5%.</p><p><blockquote>对于英伟达股价本身来说，隐含的单日涨幅更令人瞠目结舌：12.5%。</blockquote></p><p>“We remain cautious of fragility risks in single names around earnings, but NVDA hedges themselves are not particularly cheap relative to how much the stock has reacted to results in the last two years,” Assis wrote.</p><p><blockquote>阿西斯写道：“我们对单一股票在盈利方面的脆弱性风险仍然持谨慎态度，但相对于该股过去两年对业绩的反应而言，NVDA对冲本身并不是特别便宜。”</blockquote></p><p>The analyst also warned that the recent easing of post-election euphoria and heightened single-stock fragility can be reasons for traders to hedge against potential market turbulence if Nvidia disappoints.</p><p><blockquote>该分析师还警告称，如果英伟达令人失望，近期大选后兴奋情绪的缓解和个股脆弱性的加剧可能是交易员对冲潜在市场动荡的原因。</blockquote></p><p><h3 id=\"id_870992785\">A Strategy For Hedging The Nasdaq Impact</h3>For traders seeking to hedge the broader market risks tied to Nvidia’s performance, Bank of America recommended an option strategy using put spreads on the Nasdaq-100 ETF, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">Invesco QQQ Trust</a>. Specifically, the QQQ 22Nov 490-480 put spreads are priced at $2 and could offer a 5x payout if the Nasdaq-100 falls by roughly 3.3% this week.</p><p><blockquote><h3 id=\"id_870992785\">对冲纳斯达克影响的策略</h3>对于寻求对冲与英伟达业绩相关的更广泛市场风险的交易者，美国银行建议采用使用纳斯达克100 ETF看跌价差的期权策略，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">景顺QQQ信托</a>具体来说，QQQ 22Nov 490-480看跌期权价差定价为2美元，如果纳斯达克100指数本周下跌约3.3%，可能会提供5倍的派息。</blockquote></p><p>Despite the potential need for hedges, the bank also noted that hedging NVDA earnings directly is not cheap, considering how significantly the stock has reacted to its last few earnings reports.</p><p><blockquote>尽管可能需要对冲，但该行还指出，考虑到该股对最近几份收益报告的反应有多大，直接对冲NVDA收益并不便宜。</blockquote></p><p><h3 id=\"id_3012355421\">Historical Nvidia Earnings Data</h3>Data from Benzinga Pro shows that over the last 12 quarters, Nvidia has exceeded earnings-per-share (EPS) expectations 10 times and missed revenue expectations only once.</p><p><blockquote><h3 id=\"id_3012355421\">Nvidia历史盈利数据</h3>Benzinga Pro的数据显示，在过去12个季度中，英伟达每股收益(EPS)超过预期10次，仅一次未达到收入预期。</blockquote></p><p>On average, Nvidia shares moved 5.3% in the single trading day following its earnings release.</p><p><blockquote>平均而言，英伟达股价在财报发布后的单个交易日内上涨5.3%。</blockquote></p><p>The largest 1-day gain followed its first quarter 2024 earnings, when the stock surged 24.4%, while the worst reaction occurred after fourth quarter 2024 results, with a decline of 7.6%.</p><p><blockquote>最大的单日涨幅发生在2024年第一季度财报公布之后，当时该股飙升24.4%，而最糟糕的反应发生在2024年第四季度财报公布之后，下跌7.6%。</blockquote></p><p>Here's a snapshot of the company's recent earnings performance:</p><p><blockquote>以下是该公司近期盈利表现的快照：</blockquote></p><p><table style=\"border-collapse:collapse;\"><tbody><tr><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><strong>Fiscal Quarter</strong></p><p><blockquote><table style=\"border-collapse:collapse;\"><tbody><tr><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><strong>财政季度</strong></th></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></th><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><strong>Date Announced</strong></p><p><blockquote><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><strong>公布日期</strong></th></blockquote></p><p></th><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><strong>Surprise % EPS</strong></p><p><blockquote><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><strong>惊喜%EPS</strong></th></blockquote></p><p></th><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><strong>Surprise % Revenue</strong></p><p><blockquote><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><strong>惊喜百分比收入</strong></th></blockquote></p><p></th><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><strong>1-Day % NVDA Move</strong></p><p><blockquote><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><strong>1天NVDA变动百分比</strong></th></blockquote></p><p></th></tr></tbody><tbody><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Q2-2025</p><p><blockquote><tbody><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Q2-2025</td></tr></tbody></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">8/28/24</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">8/28/24</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">6.25%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">6.25%</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">4.73%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">4.73%</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">-6.38%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">-6.38%</td></blockquote></p><p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Q1-2025</p><p><blockquote><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Q1-2025</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">5/22/24</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">5/22/24</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">2.86%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">2.86%</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">5.66%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">5.66%</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">9.32%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">9.32%</td></blockquote></p><p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Q4-2024</p><p><blockquote><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Q4-2024</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">2/21/24</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">2/21/24</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">11.45%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">11.45%</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">7.19%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">7.19%</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">16.40%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">16.40%</td></blockquote></p><p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Q3-2024</p><p><blockquote><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Q3-2024</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">11/21/23</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">11/21/23</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">19.64%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">19.64%</td></blockquote></p><p></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">12.39%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">12.39%</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">-2.46%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">-2.46%</td></blockquote></p><p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Q2-2024</p><p><blockquote><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Q2-2024</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">8/23/23</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">8/23/23</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">29.19%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">29.19%</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">20.38%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">20.38%</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">0.10%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">0.10%</td></blockquote></p><p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Q1-2024</p><p><blockquote><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Q1-2024</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">5/24/23</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">5/24/23</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">18.48%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">18.48%</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">10.31%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">10.31%</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">24.37%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">24.37%</td></blockquote></p><p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Q4-2023</p><p><blockquote><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Q4-2023</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">2/22/23</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">2/22/23</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">8.64%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">8.64%</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">0.68%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">0.68%</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">14.02%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">14.02%</td></blockquote></p><p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Q3-2023</p><p><blockquote><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">2023年第三季度</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">11/16/22</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">11/16/22</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">-15.94%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">-15.94%</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">2.79%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">2.79%</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">-1.46%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">-1.46%</td></blockquote></p><p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Q2-2023</p><p><blockquote><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">2023年第二季度</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">8/24/22</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">8/24/22</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">-59.20%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">-59.20%</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">-17.23%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">-17.23%</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">4.01%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">4.01%</td></blockquote></p><p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Q1-2023</p><p><blockquote><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Q1-2023</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">5/25/22</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">5/25/22</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">5.43%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">5.43%</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">2.07%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">2.07%</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">5.16%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">5.16%</td></blockquote></p><p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Q4-2022</p><p><blockquote><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Q4-2022</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">2/16/22</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">2/16/22</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">8.20%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">8.20%</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">3.01%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">3.01%</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">-7.56%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">-7.56%</td></blockquote></p><p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Q3-2022</p><p><blockquote><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Q3-2022</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">11/17/21</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">11/17/21</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">6.36%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">6.36%</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">4.00%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">4.00%</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">8.25%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">8.25%</td></blockquote></p><p></td></tr></tbody></table><em>Data: Benzinga Pro</em></p><p><blockquote><em>日期：Benzinga Pro</em></blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Nvidia Earnings May Trigger Massive S&P 500 Volatility<blockquote>为什么英伟达的盈利可能会引发标普500的巨大波动</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Nvidia Earnings May Trigger Massive S&P 500 Volatility<blockquote>为什么英伟达的盈利可能会引发标普500的巨大波动</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/d08bf7808052c0ca9deb4e944cae32aa);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Benzinga </p>\n<p class=\"h-time smaller\">2024-11-19 11:04</p>\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><html><head></head><body><h4 id=\"id_1992767499\" style=\"text-align: start;\">KEY POINTS</h4><ul style=\"list-style-type: disc;\"><li>Nvidia earnings are expected to trigger Fed-like volatility in the S&P 500, with options implying a 1.05% move.</p><p><blockquote><html><head></head><body><h4 id=\"id_1992767499\" style=\"text-align: start;\">要点</h4><ul style=\"list-style-type: disc;\"><li>英伟达的盈利预计将引发标普500类似美联储的波动，期权意味着1.05%的波动。</li></ul></body></html></blockquote></p><p></li><li>Nvidia stock has averaged a 5.3% 1-day move after earnings, with a 12.5% implied move this quarter.</p><p><blockquote><li>财报公布后，英伟达股价1天平均涨幅为5.3%，本季度隐含涨幅为12.5%。</li></blockquote></p><p></li></ul>Investors and speculators are gearing up for <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">Nvidia Corp.</a>‘s earnings report on Wednesday, an event that’s expected to send ripples, if not tidal waves, across the U.S. stock market.</p><p><blockquote>投资者和投机者正在为<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVDA\">英伟达公司。</a>周三的收益报告预计将在整个美国股市引发涟漪（如果不是浪潮的话）。</blockquote></p><p>If the options market is right, Nvidia's results could spark moves in the S&P 500 index – as tracked by the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust</a> – larger than those typically triggered by key economic data like the employment and inflation reports.</p><p><blockquote>如果期权市场是正确的，英伟达的业绩可能会引发标普500指数的走势——正如<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SPY\">SPDR标普500 ETF信托</a>-大于通常由就业和通胀报告等关键经济数据触发的数据。</blockquote></p><p>Nvidia's dominance in the AI-driven technology trade has turned its earnings into a barometer for overall market sentiment, and its influence on the stock market is unparalleled.</p><p><blockquote>英伟达在人工智能驱动的技术贸易中的主导地位，使其收益成为整体市场情绪的晴雨表，对股市的影响力无与伦比。</blockquote></p><p>Over the past year, Nvidia accounted for 20% of the S&P 500's total returns and Bank of America's derivatives analyst Gonzalo Asis didn't mince words: “It remains the most dominant stock in the market... expected to drive nearly 25% of the S&P 500’s EPS growth in 3Q.”</p><p><blockquote>过去一年，英伟达占标普500总回报的20%，美银衍生品分析师Gonzalo Asis直言不讳：“它仍然是市场上最具主导地位的股票……预计将推动近25%的收益标普500第三季度每股收益增长。”</blockquote></p><p>In essence, whether Nvidia beats or misses expectations, the ripple effects will likely extend far beyond its ticker.</p><p><blockquote>从本质上讲，无论英伟达超出还是低于预期，其连锁反应可能会远远超出其股票代码。</blockquote></p><p><h3 id=\"id_790713258\">S&P 500 Implied Move Is Higher Than Inflation Or Jobs Data</h3>The options market implies a potential 1.05% move in the S&P 500—higher than what traders expect from next month's Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data, Consumer Price Index (CPI) print, and in line with the Federal Reserve’s December meeting.</p><p><blockquote><h3 id=\"id_790713258\">标普500隐含走势高于通胀或就业数据</h3>期权市场暗示标普500可能上涨1.05%——高于交易员对下个月非农就业(NFP)数据、消费者价格指数(CPI)数据的预期，并且与美联储12月会议一致。</blockquote></p><p>“Options are assigning more broad-market risk around NVDA earnings than around next month’s NFP and CPI days, and as much as the Dec FOMC,” the analyst noted.</p><p><blockquote>该分析师指出：“期权对NVDA盈利的广泛市场风险比下个月的NFP和CPI日更大，与12月FOMC一样大。”</blockquote></p><p>For Nvidia shares themselves, the implied one-day move is even more eye-popping: 12.5%.</p><p><blockquote>对于英伟达股价本身来说，隐含的单日涨幅更令人瞠目结舌：12.5%。</blockquote></p><p>“We remain cautious of fragility risks in single names around earnings, but NVDA hedges themselves are not particularly cheap relative to how much the stock has reacted to results in the last two years,” Assis wrote.</p><p><blockquote>阿西斯写道：“我们对单一股票在盈利方面的脆弱性风险仍然持谨慎态度，但相对于该股过去两年对业绩的反应而言，NVDA对冲本身并不是特别便宜。”</blockquote></p><p>The analyst also warned that the recent easing of post-election euphoria and heightened single-stock fragility can be reasons for traders to hedge against potential market turbulence if Nvidia disappoints.</p><p><blockquote>该分析师还警告称，如果英伟达令人失望，近期大选后兴奋情绪的缓解和个股脆弱性的加剧可能是交易员对冲潜在市场动荡的原因。</blockquote></p><p><h3 id=\"id_870992785\">A Strategy For Hedging The Nasdaq Impact</h3>For traders seeking to hedge the broader market risks tied to Nvidia’s performance, Bank of America recommended an option strategy using put spreads on the Nasdaq-100 ETF, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">Invesco QQQ Trust</a>. Specifically, the QQQ 22Nov 490-480 put spreads are priced at $2 and could offer a 5x payout if the Nasdaq-100 falls by roughly 3.3% this week.</p><p><blockquote><h3 id=\"id_870992785\">对冲纳斯达克影响的策略</h3>对于寻求对冲与英伟达业绩相关的更广泛市场风险的交易者，美国银行建议采用使用纳斯达克100 ETF看跌价差的期权策略，<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/QQQ\">景顺QQQ信托</a>具体来说，QQQ 22Nov 490-480看跌期权价差定价为2美元，如果纳斯达克100指数本周下跌约3.3%，可能会提供5倍的派息。</blockquote></p><p>Despite the potential need for hedges, the bank also noted that hedging NVDA earnings directly is not cheap, considering how significantly the stock has reacted to its last few earnings reports.</p><p><blockquote>尽管可能需要对冲，但该行还指出，考虑到该股对最近几份收益报告的反应有多大，直接对冲NVDA收益并不便宜。</blockquote></p><p><h3 id=\"id_3012355421\">Historical Nvidia Earnings Data</h3>Data from Benzinga Pro shows that over the last 12 quarters, Nvidia has exceeded earnings-per-share (EPS) expectations 10 times and missed revenue expectations only once.</p><p><blockquote><h3 id=\"id_3012355421\">Nvidia历史盈利数据</h3>Benzinga Pro的数据显示，在过去12个季度中，英伟达每股收益(EPS)超过预期10次，仅一次未达到收入预期。</blockquote></p><p>On average, Nvidia shares moved 5.3% in the single trading day following its earnings release.</p><p><blockquote>平均而言，英伟达股价在财报发布后的单个交易日内上涨5.3%。</blockquote></p><p>The largest 1-day gain followed its first quarter 2024 earnings, when the stock surged 24.4%, while the worst reaction occurred after fourth quarter 2024 results, with a decline of 7.6%.</p><p><blockquote>最大的单日涨幅发生在2024年第一季度财报公布之后，当时该股飙升24.4%，而最糟糕的反应发生在2024年第四季度财报公布之后，下跌7.6%。</blockquote></p><p>Here's a snapshot of the company's recent earnings performance:</p><p><blockquote>以下是该公司近期盈利表现的快照：</blockquote></p><p><table style=\"border-collapse:collapse;\"><tbody><tr><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><strong>Fiscal Quarter</strong></p><p><blockquote><table style=\"border-collapse:collapse;\"><tbody><tr><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><strong>财政季度</strong></th></tr></tbody></table></blockquote></p><p></th><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><strong>Date Announced</strong></p><p><blockquote><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><strong>公布日期</strong></th></blockquote></p><p></th><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><strong>Surprise % EPS</strong></p><p><blockquote><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><strong>惊喜%EPS</strong></th></blockquote></p><p></th><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><strong>Surprise % Revenue</strong></p><p><blockquote><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><strong>惊喜百分比收入</strong></th></blockquote></p><p></th><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><strong>1-Day % NVDA Move</strong></p><p><blockquote><th style=\"text-align:left;\"><strong>1天NVDA变动百分比</strong></th></blockquote></p><p></th></tr></tbody><tbody><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Q2-2025</p><p><blockquote><tbody><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Q2-2025</td></tr></tbody></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">8/28/24</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">8/28/24</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">6.25%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">6.25%</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">4.73%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">4.73%</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">-6.38%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">-6.38%</td></blockquote></p><p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Q1-2025</p><p><blockquote><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Q1-2025</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">5/22/24</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">5/22/24</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">2.86%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">2.86%</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">5.66%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">5.66%</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">9.32%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">9.32%</td></blockquote></p><p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Q4-2024</p><p><blockquote><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Q4-2024</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">2/21/24</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">2/21/24</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">11.45%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">11.45%</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">7.19%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">7.19%</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">16.40%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">16.40%</td></blockquote></p><p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Q3-2024</p><p><blockquote><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Q3-2024</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">11/21/23</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">11/21/23</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">19.64%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">19.64%</td></blockquote></p><p></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">12.39%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">12.39%</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">-2.46%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">-2.46%</td></blockquote></p><p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Q2-2024</p><p><blockquote><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Q2-2024</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">8/23/23</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">8/23/23</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">29.19%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">29.19%</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">20.38%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">20.38%</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">0.10%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">0.10%</td></blockquote></p><p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Q1-2024</p><p><blockquote><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Q1-2024</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">5/24/23</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">5/24/23</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">18.48%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">18.48%</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">10.31%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">10.31%</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">24.37%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">24.37%</td></blockquote></p><p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Q4-2023</p><p><blockquote><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Q4-2023</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">2/22/23</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">2/22/23</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">8.64%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">8.64%</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">0.68%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">0.68%</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">14.02%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">14.02%</td></blockquote></p><p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Q3-2023</p><p><blockquote><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">2023年第三季度</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">11/16/22</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">11/16/22</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">-15.94%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">-15.94%</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">2.79%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">2.79%</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">-1.46%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">-1.46%</td></blockquote></p><p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Q2-2023</p><p><blockquote><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">2023年第二季度</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">8/24/22</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">8/24/22</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">-59.20%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">-59.20%</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">-17.23%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">-17.23%</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">4.01%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">4.01%</td></blockquote></p><p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Q1-2023</p><p><blockquote><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Q1-2023</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">5/25/22</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">5/25/22</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">5.43%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">5.43%</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">2.07%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">2.07%</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">5.16%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">5.16%</td></blockquote></p><p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Q4-2022</p><p><blockquote><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Q4-2022</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">2/16/22</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">2/16/22</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">8.20%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">8.20%</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">3.01%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">3.01%</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">-7.56%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">-7.56%</td></blockquote></p><p></td></tr><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Q3-2022</p><p><blockquote><tr><td style=\"text-align:left;\">Q3-2022</td></tr></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">11/17/21</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">11/17/21</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">6.36%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">6.36%</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">4.00%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">4.00%</td></blockquote></p><p></td><td style=\"text-align:left;\">8.25%</p><p><blockquote><td style=\"text-align:left;\">8.25%</td></blockquote></p><p></td></tr></tbody></table><em>Data: Benzinga Pro</em></p><p><blockquote><em>日期：Benzinga Pro</em></blockquote></p><p></body></html></p><p><blockquote></blockquote></p><p></p>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF","VOO":"Vanguard标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index"},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/why-nvidia-earnings-may-trigger-000013120.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2484934264","content_text":"KEY POINTSNvidia earnings are expected to trigger Fed-like volatility in the S&P 500, with options implying a 1.05% move.Nvidia stock has averaged a 5.3% 1-day move after earnings, with a 12.5% implied move this quarter.Investors and speculators are gearing up for Nvidia Corp.‘s earnings report on Wednesday, an event that’s expected to send ripples, if not tidal waves, across the U.S. stock market.If the options market is right, Nvidia's results could spark moves in the S&P 500 index – as tracked by the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust – larger than those typically triggered by key economic data like the employment and inflation reports.Nvidia's dominance in the AI-driven technology trade has turned its earnings into a barometer for overall market sentiment, and its influence on the stock market is unparalleled.Over the past year, Nvidia accounted for 20% of the S&P 500's total returns and Bank of America's derivatives analyst Gonzalo Asis didn't mince words: “It remains the most dominant stock in the market... expected to drive nearly 25% of the S&P 500’s EPS growth in 3Q.”In essence, whether Nvidia beats or misses expectations, the ripple effects will likely extend far beyond its ticker.S&P 500 Implied Move Is Higher Than Inflation Or Jobs DataThe options market implies a potential 1.05% move in the S&P 500—higher than what traders expect from next month's Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) data, Consumer Price Index (CPI) print, and in line with the Federal Reserve’s December meeting.“Options are assigning more broad-market risk around NVDA earnings than around next month’s NFP and CPI days, and as much as the Dec FOMC,” the analyst noted.For Nvidia shares themselves, the implied one-day move is even more eye-popping: 12.5%.“We remain cautious of fragility risks in single names around earnings, but NVDA hedges themselves are not particularly cheap relative to how much the stock has reacted to results in the last two years,” Assis wrote.The analyst also warned that the recent easing of post-election euphoria and heightened single-stock fragility can be reasons for traders to hedge against potential market turbulence if Nvidia disappoints.A Strategy For Hedging The Nasdaq ImpactFor traders seeking to hedge the broader market risks tied to Nvidia’s performance, Bank of America recommended an option strategy using put spreads on the Nasdaq-100 ETF, the Invesco QQQ Trust. Specifically, the QQQ 22Nov 490-480 put spreads are priced at $2 and could offer a 5x payout if the Nasdaq-100 falls by roughly 3.3% this week.Despite the potential need for hedges, the bank also noted that hedging NVDA earnings directly is not cheap, considering how significantly the stock has reacted to its last few earnings reports.Historical Nvidia Earnings DataData from Benzinga Pro shows that over the last 12 quarters, Nvidia has exceeded earnings-per-share (EPS) expectations 10 times and missed revenue expectations only once.On average, Nvidia shares moved 5.3% in the single trading day following its earnings release.The largest 1-day gain followed its first quarter 2024 earnings, when the stock surged 24.4%, while the worst reaction occurred after fourth quarter 2024 results, with a decline of 7.6%.Here's a snapshot of the company's recent earnings performance:Fiscal QuarterDate AnnouncedSurprise % EPSSurprise % Revenue1-Day % NVDA MoveQ2-20258/28/246.25%4.73%-6.38%Q1-20255/22/242.86%5.66%9.32%Q4-20242/21/2411.45%7.19%16.40%Q3-202411/21/2319.64%12.39%-2.46%Q2-20248/23/2329.19%20.38%0.10%Q1-20245/24/2318.48%10.31%24.37%Q4-20232/22/238.64%0.68%14.02%Q3-202311/16/22-15.94%2.79%-1.46%Q2-20238/24/22-59.20%-17.23%4.01%Q1-20235/25/225.43%2.07%5.16%Q4-20222/16/228.20%3.01%-7.56%Q3-202211/17/216.36%4.00%8.25%Data: Benzinga Pro","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"VOO":1,".SPX":1.1,"SPY":1}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2423,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"CN","currentLanguage":"CN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":7,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ZH_CN"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/372651770916928"}
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