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2021-02-25
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Apple Stock Flirts With Bear Market: Buy Now?<blockquote>苹果股票即将进入熊市:立即购买?</blockquote>
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While it is hard to tell how much lower shares might go, investors who bought Apple on the dip have historically done well.At the start of Tuesday’s trading session, on February 23, Apple traded below $120 per share for the first time since November 2020 – i.e. a three-month low. At those intraday levels, the stock had corrected 18% from the all-time peak, reached early on January 25 of this year.For the first time sin","content":"<p>Apple could enter bear market again, for the first time since September 2020. While it is hard to tell how much lower shares might go, investors who bought Apple on the dip have historically done well.</p><p><blockquote>苹果可能再次进入熊市,这是自2020年9月以来的首次。虽然很难说股价可能会下跌多少,但逢低买入苹果的投资者历来表现良好。</blockquote></p><p> At the start of Tuesday’s trading session, on February 23, Apple traded below $120 per share for the first time since November 2020 – i.e. a three-month low. At those intraday levels, the stock had corrected 18% from the all-time peak, reached early on January 25 of this year.</p><p><blockquote>2月23日周二交易时段开始时,苹果股价自2020年11月以来首次跌破每股120美元,即三个月低点。在这些盘中水平上,该股已较今年1月25日早些时候达到的历史峰值回调了18%。</blockquote></p><p> For the first time since September 2020, Apple could enter bear territory again, which is defined as a 20% correction for the peak.</p><p><blockquote>自2020年9月以来,苹果可能首次再次进入熊市区域,这被定义为峰值修正20%。</blockquote></p><p> The question: is this the right time to buy Apple on weakness, or should investors wait for a steeper decline before committing to the stock?</p><p><blockquote>问题是:现在是趁苹果疲软买入的最佳时机,还是投资者应该等待股价进一步下跌后再买入该股?</blockquote></p><p> <b>No sign of deteriorating fundamentals</b></p><p><blockquote><b>基本面没有恶化的迹象</b></blockquote></p><p> It helps to understand that, to the best of my knowledge, the pressure on Apple stock seems to be unrelated to the company’s fundamentals.</p><p><blockquote>据我所知,苹果股票面临的压力似乎与公司基本面无关,这有助于理解。</blockquote></p><p> I made this argument recently, when I pointed out that the iPhone (half of Apple’s revenues in calendar 2020) had performed superbly in the most recent year. But the 5G super cycle in the smartphone segment only begins to tell the story.</p><p><blockquote>我最近提出了这一论点,当时我指出iPhone(占苹果2020年收入的一半)在最近一年表现出色。但智能手机领域的5G超级周期才刚刚开始。</blockquote></p><p> The new year is also shaping up to be a good one for the Mac (nearly 10% of calendar 2020 revenues), now that the M1 chip seems to be helping to drive demand higher for Apple’s personal computers.</p><p><blockquote>新的一年对Mac来说也将是一个好年景(占2020年收入的近10%),因为M1芯片似乎有助于推动对苹果个人电脑的需求上升。</blockquote></p><p> Lastly, I believe that services could double again, as it did between 2016 and 2020, within the next five years. This should be possible for two reasons:</p><p><blockquote>最后,我相信在未来五年内,服务业可能会像2016年至2020年那样再次翻一番。这应该是可能的,原因有二:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>The introduction of new offerings, as Apple has done with Fitness+. Each new service, even if nowhere near as successful as iCloud or Apple Music, will be accretive to revenues and boost sales growth.</li> <li>A more attractive pricing arrangement should increase the demand. Here, I am specifically thinking of the Apple One bundle, which could serve as a nudge for new subscribers.</li> </ul> <b>A look at history</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>推出新产品,就像苹果推出Fitness+一样。每项新服务,即使远不如iCloud或苹果音乐成功,也将增加收入并促进销售增长。</li><li>更具吸引力的定价安排应该会增加需求。在这里,我特别想到了苹果One捆绑包,它可以作为新用户的推动。</li></ul><b>回顾历史</b></blockquote></p><p> With fundamentals looking solid, and absent some sort of surprise, it is reasonable to assume that Apple shares will eventually find their way north once again.</p><p><blockquote>由于基本面看起来很稳健,并且没有出现任何意外,有理由假设苹果股价最终将再次向北。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, it is much harder to tell when this will happen, and how far lower the stock needs to go before it rebounds. Still, it helps to look at history.</p><p><blockquote>当然,很难说这种情况何时会发生,以及该股需要跌到多低才能反弹。尽管如此,回顾历史还是有帮助的。</blockquote></p><p> Many investors may not know that Apple is not at all a stranger to bear-like corrections. Since the company went public, in 1980, Apple’s share price remained 20% below previous peaks 61% of the time – i.e. 6 out of every 10 trading days, on average.</p><p><blockquote>许多投资者可能不知道,苹果对熊市式的调整一点也不陌生。自1980年公司上市以来,苹果的股价在61%的时间里仍比之前的峰值低20%,即平均每10个交易日中有6个交易日。</blockquote></p><p> Worth noting, the frequency decreased sharply in the past decade, as Apple matured.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是,随着苹果的成熟,这种频率在过去十年中急剧下降。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04a679a703e78a8e0194aeef132bedd2\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"635\"><span>Apple's drawdowns from a previous peak.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>苹果从之前的峰值下降。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Because the stock has invariably rebounded off its lows, investors who bet on Apple’s weakness eventually reaped the benefits. So, while it is hard to say that $120 apiece is a bottom for Apple stock, the potential long-term returns will likely rise as shares fall further.</p><p><blockquote>由于该股总是从低点反弹,押注苹果疲软的投资者最终获得了好处。因此,虽然很难说每股120美元是苹果股票的底部,但随着股价进一步下跌,潜在的长期回报可能会上升。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Apple Stock Flirts With Bear Market: Buy Now?<blockquote>苹果股票即将进入熊市:立即购买?</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nApple Stock Flirts With Bear Market: Buy Now?<blockquote>苹果股票即将进入熊市:立即购买?</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">TheStreet</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-02-25 11:48</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Apple could enter bear market again, for the first time since September 2020. While it is hard to tell how much lower shares might go, investors who bought Apple on the dip have historically done well.</p><p><blockquote>苹果可能再次进入熊市,这是自2020年9月以来的首次。虽然很难说股价可能会下跌多少,但逢低买入苹果的投资者历来表现良好。</blockquote></p><p> At the start of Tuesday’s trading session, on February 23, Apple traded below $120 per share for the first time since November 2020 – i.e. a three-month low. At those intraday levels, the stock had corrected 18% from the all-time peak, reached early on January 25 of this year.</p><p><blockquote>2月23日周二交易时段开始时,苹果股价自2020年11月以来首次跌破每股120美元,即三个月低点。在这些盘中水平上,该股已较今年1月25日早些时候达到的历史峰值回调了18%。</blockquote></p><p> For the first time since September 2020, Apple could enter bear territory again, which is defined as a 20% correction for the peak.</p><p><blockquote>自2020年9月以来,苹果可能首次再次进入熊市区域,这被定义为峰值修正20%。</blockquote></p><p> The question: is this the right time to buy Apple on weakness, or should investors wait for a steeper decline before committing to the stock?</p><p><blockquote>问题是:现在是趁苹果疲软买入的最佳时机,还是投资者应该等待股价进一步下跌后再买入该股?</blockquote></p><p> <b>No sign of deteriorating fundamentals</b></p><p><blockquote><b>基本面没有恶化的迹象</b></blockquote></p><p> It helps to understand that, to the best of my knowledge, the pressure on Apple stock seems to be unrelated to the company’s fundamentals.</p><p><blockquote>据我所知,苹果股票面临的压力似乎与公司基本面无关,这有助于理解。</blockquote></p><p> I made this argument recently, when I pointed out that the iPhone (half of Apple’s revenues in calendar 2020) had performed superbly in the most recent year. But the 5G super cycle in the smartphone segment only begins to tell the story.</p><p><blockquote>我最近提出了这一论点,当时我指出iPhone(占苹果2020年收入的一半)在最近一年表现出色。但智能手机领域的5G超级周期才刚刚开始。</blockquote></p><p> The new year is also shaping up to be a good one for the Mac (nearly 10% of calendar 2020 revenues), now that the M1 chip seems to be helping to drive demand higher for Apple’s personal computers.</p><p><blockquote>新的一年对Mac来说也将是一个好年景(占2020年收入的近10%),因为M1芯片似乎有助于推动对苹果个人电脑的需求上升。</blockquote></p><p> Lastly, I believe that services could double again, as it did between 2016 and 2020, within the next five years. This should be possible for two reasons:</p><p><blockquote>最后,我相信在未来五年内,服务业可能会像2016年至2020年那样再次翻一番。这应该是可能的,原因有二:</blockquote></p><p> <ul> <li>The introduction of new offerings, as Apple has done with Fitness+. Each new service, even if nowhere near as successful as iCloud or Apple Music, will be accretive to revenues and boost sales growth.</li> <li>A more attractive pricing arrangement should increase the demand. Here, I am specifically thinking of the Apple One bundle, which could serve as a nudge for new subscribers.</li> </ul> <b>A look at history</b></p><p><blockquote><ul><li>推出新产品,就像苹果推出Fitness+一样。每项新服务,即使远不如iCloud或苹果音乐成功,也将增加收入并促进销售增长。</li><li>更具吸引力的定价安排应该会增加需求。在这里,我特别想到了苹果One捆绑包,它可以作为新用户的推动。</li></ul><b>回顾历史</b></blockquote></p><p> With fundamentals looking solid, and absent some sort of surprise, it is reasonable to assume that Apple shares will eventually find their way north once again.</p><p><blockquote>由于基本面看起来很稳健,并且没有出现任何意外,有理由假设苹果股价最终将再次向北。</blockquote></p><p> Of course, it is much harder to tell when this will happen, and how far lower the stock needs to go before it rebounds. Still, it helps to look at history.</p><p><blockquote>当然,很难说这种情况何时会发生,以及该股需要跌到多低才能反弹。尽管如此,回顾历史还是有帮助的。</blockquote></p><p> Many investors may not know that Apple is not at all a stranger to bear-like corrections. Since the company went public, in 1980, Apple’s share price remained 20% below previous peaks 61% of the time – i.e. 6 out of every 10 trading days, on average.</p><p><blockquote>许多投资者可能不知道,苹果对熊市式的调整一点也不陌生。自1980年公司上市以来,苹果的股价在61%的时间里仍比之前的峰值低20%,即平均每10个交易日中有6个交易日。</blockquote></p><p> Worth noting, the frequency decreased sharply in the past decade, as Apple matured.</p><p><blockquote>值得注意的是,随着苹果的成熟,这种频率在过去十年中急剧下降。</blockquote></p><p> <p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/04a679a703e78a8e0194aeef132bedd2\" tg-width=\"1240\" tg-height=\"635\"><span>Apple's drawdowns from a previous peak.</span></p><p><blockquote><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><span>苹果从之前的峰值下降。</span></p></blockquote></p><p> Because the stock has invariably rebounded off its lows, investors who bet on Apple’s weakness eventually reaped the benefits. So, while it is hard to say that $120 apiece is a bottom for Apple stock, the potential long-term returns will likely rise as shares fall further.</p><p><blockquote>由于该股总是从低点反弹,押注苹果疲软的投资者最终获得了好处。因此,虽然很难说每股120美元是苹果股票的底部,但随着股价进一步下跌,潜在的长期回报可能会上升。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/apple-stock-flirts-with-bear-market-buy-now\">TheStreet</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AAPL":"苹果"},"source_url":"https://www.thestreet.com/apple/stock/apple-stock-flirts-with-bear-market-buy-now","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161110707","content_text":"Apple could enter bear market again, for the first time since September 2020. While it is hard to tell how much lower shares might go, investors who bought Apple on the dip have historically done well.\nAt the start of Tuesday’s trading session, on February 23, Apple traded below $120 per share for the first time since November 2020 – i.e. a three-month low. At those intraday levels, the stock had corrected 18% from the all-time peak, reached early on January 25 of this year.\nFor the first time since September 2020, Apple could enter bear territory again, which is defined as a 20% correction for the peak.\nThe question: is this the right time to buy Apple on weakness, or should investors wait for a steeper decline before committing to the stock?\nNo sign of deteriorating fundamentals\nIt helps to understand that, to the best of my knowledge, the pressure on Apple stock seems to be unrelated to the company’s fundamentals.\nI made this argument recently, when I pointed out that the iPhone (half of Apple’s revenues in calendar 2020) had performed superbly in the most recent year. But the 5G super cycle in the smartphone segment only begins to tell the story.\nThe new year is also shaping up to be a good one for the Mac (nearly 10% of calendar 2020 revenues), now that the M1 chip seems to be helping to drive demand higher for Apple’s personal computers.\nLastly, I believe that services could double again, as it did between 2016 and 2020, within the next five years. This should be possible for two reasons:\n\nThe introduction of new offerings, as Apple has done with Fitness+. Each new service, even if nowhere near as successful as iCloud or Apple Music, will be accretive to revenues and boost sales growth.\nA more attractive pricing arrangement should increase the demand. Here, I am specifically thinking of the Apple One bundle, which could serve as a nudge for new subscribers.\n\nA look at history\nWith fundamentals looking solid, and absent some sort of surprise, it is reasonable to assume that Apple shares will eventually find their way north once again.\nOf course, it is much harder to tell when this will happen, and how far lower the stock needs to go before it rebounds. Still, it helps to look at history.\nMany investors may not know that Apple is not at all a stranger to bear-like corrections. Since the company went public, in 1980, Apple’s share price remained 20% below previous peaks 61% of the time – i.e. 6 out of every 10 trading days, on average.\nWorth noting, the frequency decreased sharply in the past decade, as Apple matured.\nApple's drawdowns from a previous peak.\nBecause the stock has invariably rebounded off its lows, investors who bet on Apple’s weakness eventually reaped the benefits. So, while it is hard to say that $120 apiece is a bottom for Apple stock, the potential long-term returns will likely rise as shares fall further.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AAPL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":602,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":4,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/361629769"}
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