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{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":358784161,"tweetId":"358784161","gmtCreate":1616731435353,"gmtModify":1634524310380,"author":{"id":3566800809486659,"idStr":"3566800809486659","authorId":3566800809486659,"authorIdStr":"3566800809486659","name":"Huishan","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/983d32ca35339ced22384528fbe71d37","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[],"fanSize":3,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"title":"","extraTitle":"","html":"<html><head></head><body>Ok</body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body>Ok</body></html>","text":"Ok","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/358784161","repostId":1153068759,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1153068759","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1616729122,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1153068759?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-26 11:25","market":"us","language":"en","title":"5 signs the labor market is set to blast off<blockquote>劳动力市场即将爆发的 5 个迹象</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1153068759","media":"yahoo","summary":"The labor market is on the launch pad.\nSigns of ignition emerged Thursday asjobless claims fell to t","content":"The labor market is on the launch pad.<blockquote>劳动力市场正处于起步阶段。</blockquote> Signs of ignition emerged Thursday asjobless claims fell to the lowestthey’ve been since the pandemic started. Unemployment claims for the week ending March 13 were 684,000, vs. 730,000 expected.<blockquote>周四，失业救济人数降至大流行病开始以来的最低水平，出现了点火的迹象。截至 3 月 13 日当周申请失业救济人数为 684,000 人，而预期为 730,000 人。</blockquote> In a note this week, Renaissance Macro Research's Neil Dutta outlined five bullish indicators that indicate the labor market “really is picking up steam right now,” as vaccinations ramp up and temperatures warm up — along with the economy.<blockquote>文艺复兴宏观研究公司（Renaissance Macro Research）的尼尔-杜塔（Neil Dutta）在本周的一份报告中概述了五个看涨指标，表明随着疫苗接种的增加和气温的升高，劳动力市场 “现在确实在加速发展”，经济也随之升温。</blockquote> “I would guess that we see jobs growth at least over one million in March,” Dutta wrote. “The current consensus is around 550,000 though only 11 folks have their estimates into Bloomberg. I would take the over.”<blockquote>“杜塔写道：”我猜3月份的就业岗位至少会增加100多万。“目前的共识约为 55 万人，但只有 11 人向彭博社提交了他们的估算结果。我会接手。”</blockquote> In a recent note, JPMorgan’s job tracker based on alternative data sources showed a clear acceleration in total employment.<blockquote>在最近的一份报告中，摩根大通基于其他数据源的就业跟踪器显示，总就业人数明显加快。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71deaaa4b933bc16feacc0ebdfe37f7a\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"496\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Tracking alternative data shows jobs picking up. (JPM)Five good signs<blockquote>跟踪替代数据显示就业机会正在回升。（摩根大通）五个好兆头</blockquote> Dutta’s five signs and JPMorgan’s “alternative data,” paint a picture of future numbers that look bullish.<blockquote>杜塔的五个迹象和摩根大通的 “另类数据 ”描绘了一幅看似看涨的未来数字图景。</blockquote> The Census Bureau’s Small Business Pulse Survey showed a 7.1% increase in paid employment in mid-March, as well as a similar increase in hours worked.<blockquote>人口普查局的小企业脉搏调查显示，3 月中旬有偿就业人数增长了 7.1%，工作时间也有类似的增长。</blockquote> “I haven’t seen numbers like this since last summer,” Dutta wrote. “Recall that average jobs growth in Q3 2020 was 1.174 million per month.”<blockquote>“杜塔写道：”自去年夏天以来，我还没有见过这样的数字。“回想一下，2020 年第三季度的平均就业岗位增长率为每月 117.4 万个”。</blockquote> Two other bullish surveys tell a similar story. The Dallas Fed’s Real Time Population Survey showed employment rates for working-age adults spiked from mid-February to mid-March, from 68.6% to 70.9% and a similar drop in the unemployment rate also occurred. The Household Pulse Survey told a similar story of a spike in job growth, with double the increase of a “normal March,” Dutta noted.<blockquote>另外两项看涨调查也讲述了类似的故事。达拉斯联储的实时人口调查显示，从 2 月中旬到 3 月中旬，工作年龄成年人的就业率飙升，从 68.6% 飙升至 70.9%，失业率也出现了类似的下降。杜塔指出，家庭脉搏调查也讲述了一个类似的故事，即就业增长激增，是 “正常增长 ”的两倍。</blockquote> The American Staffing Association’s Staffing Index was also up 11.2%. “Taking the index at face value implies that temp-help employment has reversed all of its pandemic-related job losses,” Dutta wrote.<blockquote>美国人事协会的人员配备指数也上涨了 11.2%。“杜塔写道：”从表面上看，这意味着临时帮工就业已经扭转了所有与大流行病相关的失业情况。</blockquote> Lastly, people are driving a lot more. Google’s mobility data shows a spike in movement in the leisure and hospitality sector – hit especially hard during the pandemic – now at last July’s volume.<blockquote>最后，人们开车的次数越来越多。谷歌的移动数据显示，休闲和酒店业（在大流行病期间受到的打击尤为严重）的流动量激增，目前已达到去年 7 月的流动量。</blockquote> “We have not seen improvement this rapid since the initial reopening in the economy last spring,” Dutta wrote. “So, the decline in COVID cases is likely pushing up employment as businesses restart.”<blockquote>“杜塔写道：”自去年春季经济初步重新开放以来，我们从未见过如此迅速的改善。“因此，随着企业重启，COVID病例的减少可能会推高就业”。</blockquote> Some analysts are drawing larger conclusions based on this data – and the predictions are rosy.<blockquote>一些分析师正在根据这些数据得出更大的结论——预测是乐观的。</blockquote> Bank of America, which revised its GDP growth to 7% in 2021 and 5.5% in 2022, up 0.5 percentage points each, wrote that the growth in GDP would also mean a “faster healing in the labor market,” almost a million new jobs a month.<blockquote>美国银行将 2021 年的 GDP 增长率修正为 7%，2022 年为 5.5%，各上调了 0.5 个百分点。美国银行写道，GDP 的增长也将意味着 “劳动力市场的更快复苏”，每月新增近 100 万个工作岗位。</blockquote> “Based on our projections, the unemployment rate will reach 4.5% by year-end and slip [under 4%] next summer,” according to a note from Bank of America. “Our forecasts imply a return to the pre-COVID level of jobs by 1Q 2022 and pre-COVID participation rate by the end of next year. This means the employment-to-population will have fully healed by the end of next year.”<blockquote>“美国银行的一份说明称：”根据我们的预测，到年底，失业率将达到 4.5%，明年夏天将下滑[低于 4%]。“我们的预测意味着，到 2022 年第一季度，就业岗位将恢复到 COVID 爆发前的水平，到明年年底，参与率将恢复到 COVID 爆发前的水平。这意味着到明年年底，就业与人口的比率将完全恢复”。</blockquote>","source":"lsy1584348713084","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>5 signs the labor market is set to blast off<blockquote>劳动力市场即将爆发的 5 个迹象</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n5 signs the labor market is set to blast off<blockquote>劳动力市场即将爆发的 5 个迹象</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\nyahoo2021-03-26 11:25\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nThe labor market is on the launch pad.<blockquote>劳动力市场正处于起步阶段。</blockquote> Signs of ignition emerged Thursday asjobless claims fell to the lowestthey’ve been since the pandemic started. Unemployment claims for the week ending March 13 were 684,000, vs. 730,000 expected.<blockquote>周四，失业救济人数降至大流行病开始以来的最低水平，出现了点火的迹象。截至 3 月 13 日当周申请失业救济人数为 684,000 人，而预期为 730,000 人。</blockquote> In a note this week, Renaissance Macro Research's Neil Dutta outlined five bullish indicators that indicate the labor market “really is picking up steam right now,” as vaccinations ramp up and temperatures warm up — along with the economy.<blockquote>文艺复兴宏观研究公司（Renaissance Macro Research）的尼尔-杜塔（Neil Dutta）在本周的一份报告中概述了五个看涨指标，表明随着疫苗接种的增加和气温的升高，劳动力市场 “现在确实在加速发展”，经济也随之升温。</blockquote> “I would guess that we see jobs growth at least over one million in March,” Dutta wrote. “The current consensus is around 550,000 though only 11 folks have their estimates into Bloomberg. I would take the over.”<blockquote>“杜塔写道：”我猜3月份的就业岗位至少会增加100多万。“目前的共识约为 55 万人，但只有 11 人向彭博社提交了他们的估算结果。我会接手。”</blockquote> In a recent note, JPMorgan’s job tracker based on alternative data sources showed a clear acceleration in total employment.<blockquote>在最近的一份报告中，摩根大通基于其他数据源的就业跟踪器显示，总就业人数明显加快。</blockquote> <img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/71deaaa4b933bc16feacc0ebdfe37f7a\" tg-width=\"705\" tg-height=\"496\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\">Tracking alternative data shows jobs picking up. (JPM)Five good signs<blockquote>跟踪替代数据显示就业机会正在回升。（摩根大通）五个好兆头</blockquote> Dutta’s five signs and JPMorgan’s “alternative data,” paint a picture of future numbers that look bullish.<blockquote>杜塔的五个迹象和摩根大通的 “另类数据 ”描绘了一幅看似看涨的未来数字图景。</blockquote> The Census Bureau’s Small Business Pulse Survey showed a 7.1% increase in paid employment in mid-March, as well as a similar increase in hours worked.<blockquote>人口普查局的小企业脉搏调查显示，3 月中旬有偿就业人数增长了 7.1%，工作时间也有类似的增长。</blockquote> “I haven’t seen numbers like this since last summer,” Dutta wrote. “Recall that average jobs growth in Q3 2020 was 1.174 million per month.”<blockquote>“杜塔写道：”自去年夏天以来，我还没有见过这样的数字。“回想一下，2020 年第三季度的平均就业岗位增长率为每月 117.4 万个”。</blockquote> Two other bullish surveys tell a similar story. The Dallas Fed’s Real Time Population Survey showed employment rates for working-age adults spiked from mid-February to mid-March, from 68.6% to 70.9% and a similar drop in the unemployment rate also occurred. The Household Pulse Survey told a similar story of a spike in job growth, with double the increase of a “normal March,” Dutta noted.<blockquote>另外两项看涨调查也讲述了类似的故事。达拉斯联储的实时人口调查显示，从 2 月中旬到 3 月中旬，工作年龄成年人的就业率飙升，从 68.6% 飙升至 70.9%，失业率也出现了类似的下降。杜塔指出，家庭脉搏调查也讲述了一个类似的故事，即就业增长激增，是 “正常增长 ”的两倍。</blockquote> The American Staffing Association’s Staffing Index was also up 11.2%. “Taking the index at face value implies that temp-help employment has reversed all of its pandemic-related job losses,” Dutta wrote.<blockquote>美国人事协会的人员配备指数也上涨了 11.2%。“杜塔写道：”从表面上看，这意味着临时帮工就业已经扭转了所有与大流行病相关的失业情况。</blockquote> Lastly, people are driving a lot more. Google’s mobility data shows a spike in movement in the leisure and hospitality sector – hit especially hard during the pandemic – now at last July’s volume.<blockquote>最后，人们开车的次数越来越多。谷歌的移动数据显示，休闲和酒店业（在大流行病期间受到的打击尤为严重）的流动量激增，目前已达到去年 7 月的流动量。</blockquote> “We have not seen improvement this rapid since the initial reopening in the economy last spring,” Dutta wrote. “So, the decline in COVID cases is likely pushing up employment as businesses restart.”<blockquote>“杜塔写道：”自去年春季经济初步重新开放以来，我们从未见过如此迅速的改善。“因此，随着企业重启，COVID病例的减少可能会推高就业”。</blockquote> Some analysts are drawing larger conclusions based on this data – and the predictions are rosy.<blockquote>一些分析师正在根据这些数据得出更大的结论——预测是乐观的。</blockquote> Bank of America, which revised its GDP growth to 7% in 2021 and 5.5% in 2022, up 0.5 percentage points each, wrote that the growth in GDP would also mean a “faster healing in the labor market,” almost a million new jobs a month.<blockquote>美国银行将 2021 年的 GDP 增长率修正为 7%，2022 年为 5.5%，各上调了 0.5 个百分点。美国银行写道，GDP 的增长也将意味着 “劳动力市场的更快复苏”，每月新增近 100 万个工作岗位。</blockquote> “Based on our projections, the unemployment rate will reach 4.5% by year-end and slip [under 4%] next summer,” according to a note from Bank of America. “Our forecasts imply a return to the pre-COVID level of jobs by 1Q 2022 and pre-COVID participation rate by the end of next year. This means the employment-to-population will have fully healed by the end of next year.”<blockquote>“美国银行的一份说明称：”根据我们的预测，到年底，失业率将达到 4.5%，明年夏天将下滑[低于 4%]。“我们的预测意味着，到 2022 年第一季度，就业岗位将恢复到 COVID 爆发前的水平，到明年年底，参与率将恢复到 COVID 爆发前的水平。这意味着到明年年底，就业与人口的比率将完全恢复”。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/5-signs-the-labor-market-is-set-to-blast-off-172355233.html\">yahoo</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://finance.yahoo.com/news/5-signs-the-labor-market-is-set-to-blast-off-172355233.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1153068759","content_text":"The labor market is on the launch pad.\nSigns of ignition emerged Thursday asjobless claims fell to the lowestthey’ve been since the pandemic started. Unemployment claims for the week ending March 13 were 684,000, vs. 730,000 expected.\nIn a note this week, Renaissance Macro Research's Neil Dutta outlined five bullish indicators that indicate the labor market “really is picking up steam right now,” as vaccinations ramp up and temperatures warm up — along with the economy.\n“I would guess that we see jobs growth at least over one million in March,” Dutta wrote. “The current consensus is around 550,000 though only 11 folks have their estimates into Bloomberg. I would take the over.”\nIn a recent note, JPMorgan’s job tracker based on alternative data sources showed a clear acceleration in total employment.\nTracking alternative data shows jobs picking up. (JPM)Five good signs\nDutta’s five signs and JPMorgan’s “alternative data,” paint a picture of future numbers that look bullish.\nThe Census Bureau’s Small Business Pulse Survey showed a 7.1% increase in paid employment in mid-March, as well as a similar increase in hours worked.\n“I haven’t seen numbers like this since last summer,” Dutta wrote. “Recall that average jobs growth in Q3 2020 was 1.174 million per month.”\nTwo other bullish surveys tell a similar story. The Dallas Fed’s Real Time Population Survey showed employment rates for working-age adults spiked from mid-February to mid-March, from 68.6% to 70.9% and a similar drop in the unemployment rate also occurred. The Household Pulse Survey told a similar story of a spike in job growth, with double the increase of a “normal March,” Dutta noted.\nThe American Staffing Association’s Staffing Index was also up 11.2%. “Taking the index at face value implies that temp-help employment has reversed all of its pandemic-related job losses,” Dutta wrote.\nLastly, people are driving a lot more. Google’s mobility data shows a spike in movement in the leisure and hospitality sector – hit especially hard during the pandemic – now at last July’s volume.\n“We have not seen improvement this rapid since the initial reopening in the economy last spring,” Dutta wrote. “So, the decline in COVID cases is likely pushing up employment as businesses restart.”\nSome analysts are drawing larger conclusions based on this data – and the predictions are rosy.\nBank of America, which revised its GDP growth to 7% in 2021 and 5.5% in 2022, up 0.5 percentage points each, wrote that the growth in GDP would also mean a “faster healing in the labor market,” almost a million new jobs a month.\n“Based on our projections, the unemployment rate will reach 4.5% by year-end and slip [under 4%] next summer,” according to a note from Bank of America. “Our forecasts imply a return to the pre-COVID level of jobs by 1Q 2022 and pre-COVID participation rate by the end of next year. This means the employment-to-population will have fully healed by the end of next year.”","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":428,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":2,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/358784161"}