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2021-03-30

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Beware The 11 Most Overvalued Stocks Now, Analysts Warn<blockquote>分析师警告称，现在要小心11只最被高估的股票</blockquote>

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But their warnings are still going unheeded on a number of S&P 500 companies.","content":"Analysts called the Tesla crash and the big tumble in video streamers' stocks. But their warnings are still going unheeded on a number of S&amp;P 500 companies.<blockquote>分析师称特斯拉视频流媒体股票的崩盘和大幅下跌。但他们的警告仍然被许多标普500公司忽视。</blockquote>Nearly a dozen S&amp;P 500 companies, including industrials American Airlines and Snap-on plus communications services <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUMN\">Lumen Technologies</a> are still grossly overvalued compared to analysts' 12-month price targets on the stocks, says an Investor's Business Daily analysis of data from S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence and MarketSmith.<blockquote>近十几家标普500公司，包括工业美国航空公司和Snap-on加上通信服务<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUMN\">流明技术</a>《投资者商业日报》对标准普尔全球市场情报和MarketSmith数据的分析表示，与分析师对这些股票的12个月目标价相比，这些股票的估值仍然被严重高估。</blockquote>By analysts' estimates, all 11 of these S&amp;P 500 stocks are at least 10% overvalued. And the warnings come amid big run-ups in most of them. Investors are piling into stocks thought to benefit from a stronger economy. The 11 stocks are up an average 28.2% this year, while the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust is up just 5.9%. What's more, eight of the 11 are up 20% or more in 2021 so far.<blockquote>据分析师估计，所有这11只标普500股票都被高估了至少10%。这些警告是在大多数国家大幅上涨之际发出的。投资者纷纷涌入被认为受益于经济走强的股票。这11只股票今年平均上涨28.2%，而SPDR标普500 ETF信托仅上涨5.9%。更重要的是，到目前为止，11家公司中有8家在2021年上涨了20%或更多。</blockquote>Seeing analysts dig in with warnings of lower price targets amid a rally, especially in cyclical stocks, is noteworthy.<blockquote>值得注意的是，分析师在反弹期间不断发出降低目标价的警告，尤其是周期性股票。</blockquote>S&amp;P 500 Analysts Are Actually Bullish<blockquote>标普500分析师实际上看涨</blockquote>Analysts have pounded the table warning of overvaluation of Tesla stock. And they also cautioned on shares of ViacomCBS and Discovery before they sold off.<blockquote>分析师对特斯拉股票估值过高发出警告。他们还对股票发出警告ViacomCBS和发现在他们卖掉之前。</blockquote>But overall, analysts — like usual — are mostly bullish on S&amp;P 500 stocks. Analysts' 12-month price targets on the individual stocks in the S&amp;P 500 are 6.5% higher than Friday's closing prices.<blockquote>但总体而言，分析师与往常一样大多看好标普500股票。分析师对标普500个股的12个月目标价较周五收盘价上涨6.5%。</blockquote>And fundamentals back up the bullishness. Already this year, 60 companies told analysts their earnings in the current quarter will be better than they previously estimated, says John Butters, earnings analyst at Factset.<blockquote>基本面支持看涨情绪。Factset盈利分析师约翰·巴特斯(John Butters)表示，今年已有60家公司告诉分析师，他们本季度的盈利将好于之前的预期。</blockquote>That's the highest number of S&amp;P 500 companies issuing positive guidance for a quarter since at least 2006. Only about half that many companies were so positive on the same quarter a year ago. And that in turn means analysts now think S&amp;P 500 companies' profit will jump 23.3% in the first quarter. They only saw a 15.8% jump in first quarter profit at the end of 2020.<blockquote>这是至少自2006年以来季度发布积极指引的标普500公司数量最多的一次。一年前同一季度，只有大约一半的公司如此乐观。这反过来意味着分析师现在认为标普500公司第一季度的利润将增长23.3%。截至2020年底，他们第一季度利润仅增长了15.8%。</blockquote>But Analysts See Pockets Of Overvaluation<blockquote>但分析师认为部分地区估值过高</blockquote>American Airlines is the S&amp;P 500 stock analysts think is way beyond where it should be. And it's easy to see why.<blockquote>分析师认为美国航空的标普500股票远远超出了应有的水平。原因显而易见。</blockquote>Just this year, the airline's shares soared 45.4% to 22.93 a share. New investors piled into the airline's shares, even though it lost roughly $9 billion in 2020 as the pandemic all but shut down air travel. Analysts see a comeback, sort of. American is expected to only lose roughly $4 billion, or $7.61 a share, in 2021. But profitability isn't seen until 2022.<blockquote>就在今年，该航空公司的股价飙升45.4%，至每股22.93美元。尽管由于疫情几乎关闭了航空旅行，该航空公司在2020年损失了约90亿美元，但新投资者还是涌入了该航空公司的股票。分析师认为某种程度上会卷土重来。美国航空预计2021年仅亏损约40亿美元，即每股7.61美元。但要到2022年才能实现盈利。</blockquote>As a result, analysts' 12-month price target on American is just 15.47 a share. If that's right, it means the stock is 33% overvalued. And it doesn't have strong enough fundamentals to hold it up, either. The company's IBD Composite Rating is just 45. Do you know what to look at before buying American's stock?<blockquote>因此，分析师对美国航空的12个月目标价仅为每股15.47美元。如果这是正确的，这意味着该股被高估了33%。而且它也没有足够强大的基本面来支撑它。该公司的IBD综合评级仅为45。你知道在购买美国航空公司的股票之前要看什么吗？</blockquote>Also in the industrials sector, analysts think tool seller Snap-on ran up too far, as well. Shares are up more than 34% this year to 229.63.<blockquote>同样在工业领域，分析师认为工具销售商Snap安也涨得太远了。今年股价上涨超过34%，至229.63点。</blockquote>Unlike American, Snap-on has the fundamentals to back it up.<blockquote>与美国不同，Snap安有基本面支持。</blockquote>It sports a Composite Rating of 88. Snap-on's adjusted profit per share is seen hitting $12.44 in 2021, up nearly 7% from 2020. But again, analysts think the bulls are getting carried away. After all, profit fell 5% in 2020. So analysts think the company is only worth 190.33 a share in 12 months, or 16% less than it's trading now.<blockquote>它的综合评分为88分。Snap-安预计2021年调整后每股利润将达到12.44美元，比2020年增长近7%。但分析师再次认为多头正在得意忘形。毕竟，2020年利润下降了5%。因此，分析师认为该公司12个月内每股价值仅为190.33美元，比目前的交易价格低16%。</blockquote>Watch Out For S&amp;P 500 Dividend Darlings<blockquote>留意标普500股息宠儿</blockquote>High dividend payers in the S&amp;P 500 are setting the markets on fire. All eight of the top yielding stocks in the S&amp;P 500 are topping the index in 2021 so far. And that includes voice and data networking company, Lumen.<blockquote>标普500的高股息支付者正在点燃市场。到目前为止，标普500中收益最高的八只股票都在2021年高居该指数榜首。其中包括语音和数据网络公司Lumen。</blockquote>Lumen is known for its whopping 7.4% dividend yield. That's solid in a world when the S&amp;P 500 yields just 1.5%. But it's even more famous among investors this year for a 35% jump in its stock price to 13.16. It's not exactly a screamingly positive fundamental story, either. Profit per share rose 26.5% in 2020. But profit is seen dropping 6.5% in 2021.<blockquote>Lumen以其高达7.4%的股息收益率而闻名。在标普500收益率仅为1.5%的世界里，这是可靠的。但今年它在投资者中更加出名，因为它的股价上涨了35%，达到13.16。这也不是一个非常积极的基本面故事。2020年每股利润增长26.5%。但预计2021年利润将下降6.5%。</blockquote>Analysts just think it's not worth what investors are paying. They're calling for Lumen to trade for 10.78 a share in 12 months, or 18% less than it is now.<blockquote>分析师只是认为这不值得投资者支付的费用。他们呼吁Lumen在12个月内的交易价格为每股10.78美元，比现在低18%。</blockquote>It goes without saying analysts aren't always right. They're often wrong. But their warnings this year on S&amp;P 500 high-flyers, though, have been spot on so worth at least listening to.<blockquote>不用说，分析师并不总是对的。他们经常是错的。但他们今年对标普500雄心勃勃的人的警告非常准确，至少值得一听。</blockquote>The Most Overvalued S&amp;P 500 Stocks: Analysts<blockquote>最被高估的标普500股票：分析师</blockquote><table><thead><tr><th>Company</th><th>Symbol</th><th>Target Price*</th><th>Stock YTD % Ch.</th><th>Implied Downside*</th><th>Sector</th><th>Composite Rating</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>American Airlines</td><td></td><td>15.47</td><td>45.4%</td><td>-32.5%</td><td>Industrials</td><td>45</td></tr><tr><td>Lumen Technologies</td><td></td><td>10.78</td><td>35.0%</td><td>-18.1%</td><td>Communication Services</td><td>61</td></tr><tr><td>Snap-on</td><td></td><td>190.33</td><td>34.2%</td><td>-17.1%</td><td>Industrials</td><td>88</td></tr><tr><td>Nucor</td><td></td><td>66.38</td><td>49.1%</td><td>-16.3%</td><td>Materials</td><td>97</td></tr><tr><td>Expeditors International of Washington</td><td></td><td>91.64</td><td>13.3%</td><td>-15.0%</td><td>Industrials</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>Franklin Resources</td><td></td><td>25.47</td><td>17.6%</td><td>-13.4%</td><td>Financials</td><td>79</td></tr><tr><td>Genuine Parts</td><td></td><td>104.33</td><td>18.0%</td><td>-12.0%</td><td>Consumer Discretionary</td><td>64</td></tr><tr><td>Whirlpool</td><td></td><td>196.44</td><td>23.6%</td><td>-11.9%</td><td>Consumer Discretionary</td><td>91</td></tr><tr><td>Iron Mountain</td><td></td><td>33.25</td><td>26.5%</td><td>-10.8%</td><td>Real Estate</td><td>70</td></tr><tr><td>Unum</td><td></td><td>24.73</td><td>20.8%</td><td>-10.8%</td><td>Financials</td><td>59</td></tr><tr><td>A. O. Smith</td><td></td><td>62.11</td><td>26.8%</td><td>-10.6%</td><td>Industrials</td><td>74</td></tr></tbody></table><h5>Sources: IBD, S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence, * — based on analysts' 12-month price target</h5><blockquote><table><thead><tr><th>公司</th><th>象征</th><th>目标价格*</th><th>股票年初至今%Ch。</th><th>隐含的负面影响*</th><th>部门</th><th>综合评级</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>美国航空公司</td><td></td><td>15.47</td><td>45.4%</td><td>-32.5%</td><td>工业</td><td>45</td></tr><tr><td>流明技术</td><td></td><td>10.78</td><td>35.0%</td><td>-18.1%</td><td>通讯服务</td><td>61</td></tr><tr><td>Snap-on</td><td></td><td>190.33</td><td>34.2%</td><td>-17.1%</td><td>工业</td><td>88</td></tr><tr><td>纽科尔</td><td></td><td>66.38</td><td>49.1%</td><td>-16.3%</td><td>材料</td><td>97</td></tr><tr><td>华盛顿国际快递公司</td><td></td><td>91.64</td><td>13.3%</td><td>-15.0%</td><td>工业</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>富兰克林资源公司</td><td></td><td>25.47</td><td>17.6%</td><td>-13.4%</td><td>财务</td><td>79</td></tr><tr><td>正品零件</td><td></td><td>104.33</td><td>18.0%</td><td>-12.0%</td><td>非必需消费品</td><td>64</td></tr><tr><td>漩涡</td><td></td><td>196.44</td><td>23.6%</td><td>-11.9%</td><td>非必需消费品</td><td>91</td></tr><tr><td>铁山</td><td></td><td>33.25</td><td>26.5%</td><td>-10.8%</td><td>房地产</td><td>70</td></tr><tr><td>尤努姆</td><td></td><td>24.73</td><td>20.8%</td><td>-10.8%</td><td>财务</td><td>59</td></tr><tr><td>A.O.史密斯</td><td></td><td>62.11</td><td>26.8%</td><td>-10.6%</td><td>工业</td><td>74</td></tr></tbody></table><h5>资料来源：IBD、标准普尔全球市场情报*——基于分析师12个月目标价</h5></blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Beware The 11 Most Overvalued Stocks Now, Analysts Warn<blockquote>分析师警告称，现在要小心11只最被高估的股票</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nBeware The 11 Most Overvalued Stocks Now, Analysts Warn<blockquote>分析师警告称，现在要小心11只最被高估的股票</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/608dd68a89ed486e18f64efe3136266c);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\nInvestors \n2021-03-30 10:11\n</div>\n</div>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nAnalysts called the Tesla crash and the big tumble in video streamers' stocks. But their warnings are still going unheeded on a number of S&amp;P 500 companies.<blockquote>分析师称特斯拉视频流媒体股票的崩盘和大幅下跌。但他们的警告仍然被许多标普500公司忽视。</blockquote>Nearly a dozen S&amp;P 500 companies, including industrials American Airlines and Snap-on plus communications services <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUMN\">Lumen Technologies</a> are still grossly overvalued compared to analysts' 12-month price targets on the stocks, says an Investor's Business Daily analysis of data from S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence and MarketSmith.<blockquote>近十几家标普500公司，包括工业美国航空公司和Snap-on加上通信服务<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LUMN\">流明技术</a>《投资者商业日报》对标准普尔全球市场情报和MarketSmith数据的分析表示，与分析师对这些股票的12个月目标价相比，这些股票的估值仍然被严重高估。</blockquote>By analysts' estimates, all 11 of these S&amp;P 500 stocks are at least 10% overvalued. And the warnings come amid big run-ups in most of them. Investors are piling into stocks thought to benefit from a stronger economy. The 11 stocks are up an average 28.2% this year, while the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust is up just 5.9%. What's more, eight of the 11 are up 20% or more in 2021 so far.<blockquote>据分析师估计，所有这11只标普500股票都被高估了至少10%。这些警告是在大多数国家大幅上涨之际发出的。投资者纷纷涌入被认为受益于经济走强的股票。这11只股票今年平均上涨28.2%，而SPDR标普500 ETF信托仅上涨5.9%。更重要的是，到目前为止，11家公司中有8家在2021年上涨了20%或更多。</blockquote>Seeing analysts dig in with warnings of lower price targets amid a rally, especially in cyclical stocks, is noteworthy.<blockquote>值得注意的是，分析师在反弹期间不断发出降低目标价的警告，尤其是周期性股票。</blockquote>S&amp;P 500 Analysts Are Actually Bullish<blockquote>标普500分析师实际上看涨</blockquote>Analysts have pounded the table warning of overvaluation of Tesla stock. And they also cautioned on shares of ViacomCBS and Discovery before they sold off.<blockquote>分析师对特斯拉股票估值过高发出警告。他们还对股票发出警告ViacomCBS和发现在他们卖掉之前。</blockquote>But overall, analysts — like usual — are mostly bullish on S&amp;P 500 stocks. Analysts' 12-month price targets on the individual stocks in the S&amp;P 500 are 6.5% higher than Friday's closing prices.<blockquote>但总体而言，分析师与往常一样大多看好标普500股票。分析师对标普500个股的12个月目标价较周五收盘价上涨6.5%。</blockquote>And fundamentals back up the bullishness. Already this year, 60 companies told analysts their earnings in the current quarter will be better than they previously estimated, says John Butters, earnings analyst at Factset.<blockquote>基本面支持看涨情绪。Factset盈利分析师约翰·巴特斯(John Butters)表示，今年已有60家公司告诉分析师，他们本季度的盈利将好于之前的预期。</blockquote>That's the highest number of S&amp;P 500 companies issuing positive guidance for a quarter since at least 2006. Only about half that many companies were so positive on the same quarter a year ago. And that in turn means analysts now think S&amp;P 500 companies' profit will jump 23.3% in the first quarter. They only saw a 15.8% jump in first quarter profit at the end of 2020.<blockquote>这是至少自2006年以来季度发布积极指引的标普500公司数量最多的一次。一年前同一季度，只有大约一半的公司如此乐观。这反过来意味着分析师现在认为标普500公司第一季度的利润将增长23.3%。截至2020年底，他们第一季度利润仅增长了15.8%。</blockquote>But Analysts See Pockets Of Overvaluation<blockquote>但分析师认为部分地区估值过高</blockquote>American Airlines is the S&amp;P 500 stock analysts think is way beyond where it should be. And it's easy to see why.<blockquote>分析师认为美国航空的标普500股票远远超出了应有的水平。原因显而易见。</blockquote>Just this year, the airline's shares soared 45.4% to 22.93 a share. New investors piled into the airline's shares, even though it lost roughly $9 billion in 2020 as the pandemic all but shut down air travel. Analysts see a comeback, sort of. American is expected to only lose roughly $4 billion, or $7.61 a share, in 2021. But profitability isn't seen until 2022.<blockquote>就在今年，该航空公司的股价飙升45.4%，至每股22.93美元。尽管由于疫情几乎关闭了航空旅行，该航空公司在2020年损失了约90亿美元，但新投资者还是涌入了该航空公司的股票。分析师认为某种程度上会卷土重来。美国航空预计2021年仅亏损约40亿美元，即每股7.61美元。但要到2022年才能实现盈利。</blockquote>As a result, analysts' 12-month price target on American is just 15.47 a share. If that's right, it means the stock is 33% overvalued. And it doesn't have strong enough fundamentals to hold it up, either. The company's IBD Composite Rating is just 45. Do you know what to look at before buying American's stock?<blockquote>因此，分析师对美国航空的12个月目标价仅为每股15.47美元。如果这是正确的，这意味着该股被高估了33%。而且它也没有足够强大的基本面来支撑它。该公司的IBD综合评级仅为45。你知道在购买美国航空公司的股票之前要看什么吗？</blockquote>Also in the industrials sector, analysts think tool seller Snap-on ran up too far, as well. Shares are up more than 34% this year to 229.63.<blockquote>同样在工业领域，分析师认为工具销售商Snap安也涨得太远了。今年股价上涨超过34%，至229.63点。</blockquote>Unlike American, Snap-on has the fundamentals to back it up.<blockquote>与美国不同，Snap安有基本面支持。</blockquote>It sports a Composite Rating of 88. Snap-on's adjusted profit per share is seen hitting $12.44 in 2021, up nearly 7% from 2020. But again, analysts think the bulls are getting carried away. After all, profit fell 5% in 2020. So analysts think the company is only worth 190.33 a share in 12 months, or 16% less than it's trading now.<blockquote>它的综合评分为88分。Snap-安预计2021年调整后每股利润将达到12.44美元，比2020年增长近7%。但分析师再次认为多头正在得意忘形。毕竟，2020年利润下降了5%。因此，分析师认为该公司12个月内每股价值仅为190.33美元，比目前的交易价格低16%。</blockquote>Watch Out For S&amp;P 500 Dividend Darlings<blockquote>留意标普500股息宠儿</blockquote>High dividend payers in the S&amp;P 500 are setting the markets on fire. All eight of the top yielding stocks in the S&amp;P 500 are topping the index in 2021 so far. And that includes voice and data networking company, Lumen.<blockquote>标普500的高股息支付者正在点燃市场。到目前为止，标普500中收益最高的八只股票都在2021年高居该指数榜首。其中包括语音和数据网络公司Lumen。</blockquote>Lumen is known for its whopping 7.4% dividend yield. That's solid in a world when the S&amp;P 500 yields just 1.5%. But it's even more famous among investors this year for a 35% jump in its stock price to 13.16. It's not exactly a screamingly positive fundamental story, either. Profit per share rose 26.5% in 2020. But profit is seen dropping 6.5% in 2021.<blockquote>Lumen以其高达7.4%的股息收益率而闻名。在标普500收益率仅为1.5%的世界里，这是可靠的。但今年它在投资者中更加出名，因为它的股价上涨了35%，达到13.16。这也不是一个非常积极的基本面故事。2020年每股利润增长26.5%。但预计2021年利润将下降6.5%。</blockquote>Analysts just think it's not worth what investors are paying. They're calling for Lumen to trade for 10.78 a share in 12 months, or 18% less than it is now.<blockquote>分析师只是认为这不值得投资者支付的费用。他们呼吁Lumen在12个月内的交易价格为每股10.78美元，比现在低18%。</blockquote>It goes without saying analysts aren't always right. They're often wrong. But their warnings this year on S&amp;P 500 high-flyers, though, have been spot on so worth at least listening to.<blockquote>不用说，分析师并不总是对的。他们经常是错的。但他们今年对标普500雄心勃勃的人的警告非常准确，至少值得一听。</blockquote>The Most Overvalued S&amp;P 500 Stocks: Analysts<blockquote>最被高估的标普500股票：分析师</blockquote><table><thead><tr><th>Company</th><th>Symbol</th><th>Target Price*</th><th>Stock YTD % Ch.</th><th>Implied Downside*</th><th>Sector</th><th>Composite Rating</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>American Airlines</td><td></td><td>15.47</td><td>45.4%</td><td>-32.5%</td><td>Industrials</td><td>45</td></tr><tr><td>Lumen Technologies</td><td></td><td>10.78</td><td>35.0%</td><td>-18.1%</td><td>Communication Services</td><td>61</td></tr><tr><td>Snap-on</td><td></td><td>190.33</td><td>34.2%</td><td>-17.1%</td><td>Industrials</td><td>88</td></tr><tr><td>Nucor</td><td></td><td>66.38</td><td>49.1%</td><td>-16.3%</td><td>Materials</td><td>97</td></tr><tr><td>Expeditors International of Washington</td><td></td><td>91.64</td><td>13.3%</td><td>-15.0%</td><td>Industrials</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>Franklin Resources</td><td></td><td>25.47</td><td>17.6%</td><td>-13.4%</td><td>Financials</td><td>79</td></tr><tr><td>Genuine Parts</td><td></td><td>104.33</td><td>18.0%</td><td>-12.0%</td><td>Consumer Discretionary</td><td>64</td></tr><tr><td>Whirlpool</td><td></td><td>196.44</td><td>23.6%</td><td>-11.9%</td><td>Consumer Discretionary</td><td>91</td></tr><tr><td>Iron Mountain</td><td></td><td>33.25</td><td>26.5%</td><td>-10.8%</td><td>Real Estate</td><td>70</td></tr><tr><td>Unum</td><td></td><td>24.73</td><td>20.8%</td><td>-10.8%</td><td>Financials</td><td>59</td></tr><tr><td>A. O. Smith</td><td></td><td>62.11</td><td>26.8%</td><td>-10.6%</td><td>Industrials</td><td>74</td></tr></tbody></table><h5>Sources: IBD, S&amp;P Global Market Intelligence, * — based on analysts' 12-month price target</h5><blockquote><table><thead><tr><th>公司</th><th>象征</th><th>目标价格*</th><th>股票年初至今%Ch。</th><th>隐含的负面影响*</th><th>部门</th><th>综合评级</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>美国航空公司</td><td></td><td>15.47</td><td>45.4%</td><td>-32.5%</td><td>工业</td><td>45</td></tr><tr><td>流明技术</td><td></td><td>10.78</td><td>35.0%</td><td>-18.1%</td><td>通讯服务</td><td>61</td></tr><tr><td>Snap-on</td><td></td><td>190.33</td><td>34.2%</td><td>-17.1%</td><td>工业</td><td>88</td></tr><tr><td>纽科尔</td><td></td><td>66.38</td><td>49.1%</td><td>-16.3%</td><td>材料</td><td>97</td></tr><tr><td>华盛顿国际快递公司</td><td></td><td>91.64</td><td>13.3%</td><td>-15.0%</td><td>工业</td><td>80</td></tr><tr><td>富兰克林资源公司</td><td></td><td>25.47</td><td>17.6%</td><td>-13.4%</td><td>财务</td><td>79</td></tr><tr><td>正品零件</td><td></td><td>104.33</td><td>18.0%</td><td>-12.0%</td><td>非必需消费品</td><td>64</td></tr><tr><td>漩涡</td><td></td><td>196.44</td><td>23.6%</td><td>-11.9%</td><td>非必需消费品</td><td>91</td></tr><tr><td>铁山</td><td></td><td>33.25</td><td>26.5%</td><td>-10.8%</td><td>房地产</td><td>70</td></tr><tr><td>尤努姆</td><td></td><td>24.73</td><td>20.8%</td><td>-10.8%</td><td>财务</td><td>59</td></tr><tr><td>A.O.史密斯</td><td></td><td>62.11</td><td>26.8%</td><td>-10.6%</td><td>工业</td><td>74</td></tr></tbody></table><h5>资料来源：IBD、标准普尔全球市场情报*——基于分析师12个月目标价</h5></blockquote>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9fa7c522340c9f1e78e78f0c1543440e","relate_stocks":{"161125":"标普500","513500":"标普500ETF","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","OEX":"标普100","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","OEF":"标普100指数ETF-iShares","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","SPY":"标普500ETF","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2123607230","content_text":"Analysts called the Tesla crash and the big tumble in video streamers' stocks. But their warnings are still going unheeded on a number of S&P 500 companies.Nearly a dozen S&P 500 companies, including industrials American Airlines and Snap-on plus communications services Lumen Technologies are still grossly overvalued compared to analysts' 12-month price targets on the stocks, says an Investor's Business Daily analysis of data from S&P Global Market Intelligence and MarketSmith.By analysts' estimates, all 11 of these S&P 500 stocks are at least 10% overvalued. And the warnings come amid big run-ups in most of them. Investors are piling into stocks thought to benefit from a stronger economy. The 11 stocks are up an average 28.2% this year, while the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust is up just 5.9%. What's more, eight of the 11 are up 20% or more in 2021 so far.Seeing analysts dig in with warnings of lower price targets amid a rally, especially in cyclical stocks, is noteworthy.S&P 500 Analysts Are Actually BullishAnalysts have pounded the table warning of overvaluation of Tesla stock. And they also cautioned on shares of ViacomCBS and Discovery before they sold off.But overall, analysts — like usual — are mostly bullish on S&P 500 stocks. Analysts' 12-month price targets on the individual stocks in the S&P 500 are 6.5% higher than Friday's closing prices.And fundamentals back up the bullishness. Already this year, 60 companies told analysts their earnings in the current quarter will be better than they previously estimated, says John Butters, earnings analyst at Factset.That's the highest number of S&P 500 companies issuing positive guidance for a quarter since at least 2006. Only about half that many companies were so positive on the same quarter a year ago. And that in turn means analysts now think S&P 500 companies' profit will jump 23.3% in the first quarter. They only saw a 15.8% jump in first quarter profit at the end of 2020.But Analysts See Pockets Of OvervaluationAmerican Airlines is the S&P 500 stock analysts think is way beyond where it should be. And it's easy to see why.Just this year, the airline's shares soared 45.4% to 22.93 a share. New investors piled into the airline's shares, even though it lost roughly $9 billion in 2020 as the pandemic all but shut down air travel. Analysts see a comeback, sort of. American is expected to only lose roughly $4 billion, or $7.61 a share, in 2021. But profitability isn't seen until 2022.As a result, analysts' 12-month price target on American is just 15.47 a share. If that's right, it means the stock is 33% overvalued. And it doesn't have strong enough fundamentals to hold it up, either. The company's IBD Composite Rating is just 45. Do you know what to look at before buying American's stock?Also in the industrials sector, analysts think tool seller Snap-on ran up too far, as well. Shares are up more than 34% this year to 229.63.Unlike American, Snap-on has the fundamentals to back it up.It sports a Composite Rating of 88. Snap-on's adjusted profit per share is seen hitting $12.44 in 2021, up nearly 7% from 2020. But again, analysts think the bulls are getting carried away. After all, profit fell 5% in 2020. So analysts think the company is only worth 190.33 a share in 12 months, or 16% less than it's trading now.Watch Out For S&P 500 Dividend DarlingsHigh dividend payers in the S&P 500 are setting the markets on fire. All eight of the top yielding stocks in the S&P 500 are topping the index in 2021 so far. And that includes voice and data networking company, Lumen.Lumen is known for its whopping 7.4% dividend yield. That's solid in a world when the S&P 500 yields just 1.5%. But it's even more famous among investors this year for a 35% jump in its stock price to 13.16. It's not exactly a screamingly positive fundamental story, either. Profit per share rose 26.5% in 2020. But profit is seen dropping 6.5% in 2021.Analysts just think it's not worth what investors are paying. They're calling for Lumen to trade for 10.78 a share in 12 months, or 18% less than it is now.It goes without saying analysts aren't always right. They're often wrong. But their warnings this year on S&P 500 high-flyers, though, have been spot on so worth at least listening to.The Most Overvalued S&P 500 Stocks: AnalystsCompanySymbolTarget Price*Stock YTD % Ch.Implied Downside*SectorComposite RatingAmerican Airlines15.4745.4%-32.5%Industrials45Lumen Technologies10.7835.0%-18.1%Communication Services61Snap-on190.3334.2%-17.1%Industrials88Nucor66.3849.1%-16.3%Materials97Expeditors International of Washington91.6413.3%-15.0%Industrials80Franklin Resources25.4717.6%-13.4%Financials79Genuine Parts104.3318.0%-12.0%Consumer Discretionary64Whirlpool196.4423.6%-11.9%Consumer Discretionary91Iron Mountain33.2526.5%-10.8%Real Estate70Unum24.7320.8%-10.8%Financials59A. O. Smith62.1126.8%-10.6%Industrials74Sources: IBD, S&P Global Market Intelligence, * — based on analysts' 12-month price target","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"161125":0.9,"513500":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"SPY":0.9,"IVV":0.9,"SDS":0.9,"SH":0.9,"OEX":0.9,"UPRO":0.9,"SPXU":0.9,"ESmain":0.9,"SSO":0.9,"OEF":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":264,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":17,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/355677258"}