$RLX科技(RLX_老虎社区_美港股上老虎

给新朋友一个稳妥的入场策略：卖4月16日到期行权价10美元的put，现价1.60美元。

如果到期股价没跌到10块，一张put赚160美元。如果到期股价在8.4-10，直接行权，成本相当于8.4美元。

如果到期股价跌破8.4… 应该不至于按未来三年增长率放缓到50%来计算，股价大约在10块左右。

免责声明：上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点，不构成本平台的任何投资建议。

精彩评论

窝窝头皮
2021-03-23
窝窝头皮
当年97亚洲股灾，多少富豪就是因为你这种策略破产
- 窝窝头皮回复扯个犊子:
  以为不至于跌不到那么低，就狂卖低价put，根本没那么多钱吃下来，结果金融危机，一下跌穿，没机会反应，直接跳楼
- 扯个犊子:
  这策略怎么破产？
Neuschwanste
2021-03-23
Neuschwanste
策略不错，就怕再出政策黑天鹅。
思摩尔、RLX这些头部应该联合电子烟行业协会和产业联盟，跟烟草局一起吃个饭唠个嗑，不能一纸文件把产业腰斩了。
说不定隔几周一个朝令夕改，这行业又回血了。也可能这只是预警跑路信号，国家真正的大招还在后面。
还是在自己的认知范围内，往确定性的方向上操作吧。我个人的防御原则是，不确定度越大的东西，投资的占比与精力的占比，应当同不确定度的倒数一致，投机的成分越多投入要越少。
- 大果萝卜_2037:
  你以为没唠嗑吗，电子烟已经是深圳的亮点产业之一了，法规层面的政策，都是经过充分研究的。说不定深圳国资以后收编思摩尔呢，高管以后都是国企领导，坑的只是散户。
BELIM
2021-03-23
BELIM
教人裸卖期权无异于教人杀人放火 [微笑]
- BELIM回复扯个犊子:
  跌到5刀可就不好了～
- 扯个犊子:
  大哥，这是裸卖call，用来降低建仓成本的……
膏胃掏劳
2021-03-23
膏胃掏劳
你这个策略的问题就出在“应该不至于”这里
foolishegg
2021-03-23
foolishegg
要么今天这就是底，要么这是半山腰
- 扯个犊子:
  半山腰不至于，未来几个月应该会在9-12这个区间震荡
給你壹个韭菜包
2021-03-23
給你壹个韭菜包
那还不如谨慎一点卖5块的PUT！5块大概率跌不到！就算跌到了可能也把时间价值磨没了.而且要正股跌到3-4块才更可能浮亏。胜率高得多。

发表看法

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