lolzies
2021-04-14
Hmm
The 24 Most-Hated Stocks in the S&P 500, and Why You Should Love Them<blockquote>标普500中最讨厌的24只股票,以及为什么你应该喜欢它们</blockquote>
免责声明:上述内容仅代表发帖人个人观点,不构成本平台的任何投资建议。
分享至
微信
复制链接
精彩评论
我们需要你的真知灼见来填补这片空白
打开APP,发表看法
APP内打开
发表看法
{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":344647684,"tweetId":"344647684","gmtCreate":1618408313948,"gmtModify":1634293153020,"author":{"id":3577092105346620,"idStr":"3577092105346620","authorId":3577092105346620,"authorIdStr":"3577092105346620","name":"lolzies","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4c14b2defd1aecdccfdf3d13576b666b","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"fanSize":0,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"extraTitle":"","html":"<html><head></head><body><p>Hmm</p></body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body><p>Hmm</p></body></html>","text":"Hmm","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/344647684","repostId":1106080522,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1106080522","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1618363477,"share":"https://www.laohu8.com/m/news/1106080522?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-04-14 09:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The 24 Most-Hated Stocks in the S&P 500, and Why You Should Love Them<blockquote>标普500中最讨厌的24只股票,以及为什么你应该喜欢它们</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1106080522","media":"Barrons","summary":"Investing in the best-loved stocks can be a good idea. But investors should also know what stocks an","content":"<p>Investing in the best-loved stocks can be a good idea. But investors should also know what stocks analysts are shunning.</p><p><blockquote>投资最受欢迎的股票可能是个好主意。但投资者也应该知道分析师回避哪些股票。</blockquote></p><p> While simply avoiding those companies is one sound strategy, it can also make sense to dig through the reject bin. Sometimes the only direction to go from the bottom is up. The most hated stocks can only get less hated over time, a fact that on its own can be enough for above-average stock gains.</p><p><blockquote>虽然简单地避开这些公司是一个合理的策略,但挖掘拒绝箱也是有意义的。有时候从底部走的唯一方向就是向上。随着时间的推移,最令人讨厌的股票只会变得不那么令人讨厌,这一事实本身就足以带来高于平均水平的股票收益。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Streetratingsare always a helpful guide for investors—the pros as well as amateur stock pickers. Analysts covering companies at brokerage firms are, after all, paid to follow industry trends, compare companies, and value stocks.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街评级始终是投资者(无论是专业人士还是业余选股者)的有用指南。毕竟,经纪公司研究公司的分析师的报酬是跟踪行业趋势、比较公司和评估股票。</blockquote></p><p> Over the past year, analysts’ favorite 10% ofS&P 500stocks are up almost 70% on average. The bottom 10%, on the other hand, is up closer to 50%. Favorites have outperformed by about 20 percentage points. The overall S&P index, meanwhile, is up about 48%.</p><p><blockquote>过去一年,分析师最喜欢的10%的标准普尔500指数股票平均上涨了近70%。另一方面,底层10%的人接近50%。最受欢迎的股票表现优于约20个百分点。与此同时,标准普尔指数整体上涨了约48%。</blockquote></p><p> It might seem odd that the average gain for a hated stock in the S&P 500 is 2 percentage points better than what the index achieved over the past year. The reason is that the S&P 500 is weighted according to market capitalization, so moves in bigger companies’ stocks have more impact on the overall benchmark. Not adjusting for market capitalization, the average gain for an S&P 500 stock is about 63%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500中一只令人讨厌的股票的平均涨幅比该指数过去一年的涨幅高出2个百分点,这似乎很奇怪。原因是标普500是根据市值加权的,因此大公司股票的走势对整体基准的影响更大。不按市值调整,标普500股票的平均涨幅约为63%。</blockquote></p><p> That fits with the common-sense view that avoiding the dregs is a good idea. But this past year was difficult. During the first several months of the pandemic, it paid to invest in large, high-quality stocks. It will surprise no one to learn that Microsoft (ticker: MSFT), Google parentAlphabet(GOOGL), Amazon.com (AMZN) and Apple (AAPL) are all well liked by the Street.</p><p><blockquote>这符合常识性的观点,即避免渣滓是个好主意。但是过去的一年是艰难的。在疫情的头几个月,投资大型优质股票是值得的。当得知微软(股票代码:MSFT)、谷歌母公司Alphabet(GOOGL)、亚马逊(AMZN)和苹果(AAPL)都深受华尔街的喜爱时,没有人会感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p> Now, thetide is turningand the economy is growing again. That could be a signal to look at stocks that have had a harder time.</p><p><blockquote>现在,潮流正在转变,经济再次增长。这可能是一个信号,让我们关注那些经历过更艰难时期的股票。</blockquote></p><p> <i>Barron’s</i> came up with a list of the least-liked stocks on the Street by weighting the Buy, Hold, and Sell calls on each company to arrive at a single number summarizing overall sentiment. We took the percentage of ratings for a stock that are Buys, subtracted the share that are Sells, and then added the percentage at Hold, counting each as one-fourth of a Buy to reflect the fact that most analysts expect Hold-rated stocks to keep pace with their peers.</p><p><blockquote><i>巴伦周刊</i>通过对每家公司的买入、持有和卖出评级进行加权,得出一份华尔街最不受欢迎的股票名单,以得出一个总结整体情绪的数字。我们取股票评级为买入的百分比,减去卖出的百分比,然后加上持有的百分比,将每个百分比算作买入的四分之一,以反映大多数分析师预计持有评级的股票的事实与同行保持同步。</blockquote></p><p> In the S&P 500, about 56% of ratings are Buys. 36% are Holds and 7% are Sells. The numbers don’t total 100 due to rounding.</p><p><blockquote>在标普500,约56%的评级为买入。36%为持有,7%为卖出。由于四舍五入,这些数字加起来不是100。</blockquote></p><p> Taking all that into consideration, the 24 lowest-rated S&P stocks—the ones analysts tell their clients to avoid—are as follows: American Airlines Group (AAL), Lumen Technologies (LUMN), Consolidated Edison (ED),Franklin Resources(BEN).Brown-Forman(BF. B), Mettler-Toledo International (MTD), Expeditors International of Washington (EXPD),Waters(WAT), Hormel Foods (HRL),McCormick(MKC), ViacomCBS (VIAC), Unum Group (UNM), Comerica (CMA) Under Armour (UAA), J.M. Smucker (SJM), Western Union (WU), Robert Half International (RHI),Discovery(DISCA), Varian Medical Systems (VAR), Invesco (IVZ), Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA), Cincinnati Financial (CINF), Genuine Parts (GPC) and WEC Energy Group (WEC).</p><p><blockquote>考虑到所有这些因素,标准普尔评级最低的24只股票(分析师告诉客户要避开的股票)如下:美国航空集团(AAL)、Lumen Technologies(LUMN)、联合爱迪生(ED)、富兰克林资源(BEN)。布朗-福尔曼(BF.B)、梅特勒-托利多国际公司(MTD)、华盛顿Expeditors International of Washington(EXPD)、沃特世(WAT)、荷美尔食品(HRL)、味好美(MKC)、维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司(VIAC)、Unum Group(UNM)、联信(CMA)Under Armour(UAA)、J.M.Smucker(SJM)、西联汇款(WU)、Robert Half International(RHI)、Discovery(DISCA)、Varian Medical Systems(VAR)、Invesco(IVZ)、Walgreens Boots Alliance(WBA)、Cincinnati Financial(CINF)、Genuine Parts(GPC)和WEC能源集团(WEC)。</blockquote></p><p> The Dirty Two DozenThe 24 lowest-rated stocks in the S&P 500, calculated using a weighted score for Buy, Sell, and Hold ratings.</p><p><blockquote>肮脏的两打标普500中评级最低的24只股票,使用买入、卖出和持有评级的加权分数计算。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <table> <thead> <tr> <th>Company / Ticker</th> <th>Analyst Rating Score*</th> <th>2021E P/E</th> <th>Percentage Off All-Time High</th> <th>% YTD</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td>American Airlines / AAL</td> <td>-0.7</td> <td>N/A</td> <td>-60.2</td> <td>88</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Lumen Technologies / LUMN</td> <td>-0.5</td> <td>8.2</td> <td>-74.3</td> <td>32</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Consolidated Edison / ED</td> <td>-0.5</td> <td>17.7</td> <td>-21.0</td> <td>-11</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Franklin Resources / BEN</td> <td>-0.4</td> <td>10.3</td> <td>-48.4</td> <td>91</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Brown-Forman / BF.B</td> <td>-0.3</td> <td>41.0</td> <td>-14.9</td> <td>14</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Mettler-Toledo / MTD</td> <td>-0.3</td> <td>41.1</td> <td>-3.9</td> <td>68</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Expeditors Int’l of Washington / EXPD</td> <td>-0.3</td> <td>25.7</td> <td>-1.5</td> <td>54</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Waters / WAT</td> <td>-0.2</td> <td>31.9</td> <td>0.0</td> <td>57</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Hormel Foods / HRL</td> <td>-0.1</td> <td>26.5</td> <td>-12.5</td> <td>-1</td> </tr> <tr> <td>McCormick / MKC</td> <td>-0.1</td> <td>29.7</td> <td>-16.5</td> <td>16</td> </tr> <tr> <td>ViacomCBS / VIAC</td> <td>0.0</td> <td>10.3</td> <td>-58.9</td> <td>160</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Unum / UNM</td> <td>0.0</td> <td>5.8</td> <td>-55.8</td> <td>89</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Comerica / CMA</td> <td>0.0</td> <td>13.4</td> <td>-30.4</td> <td>118</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Under Armour / UAA</td> <td>0.0</td> <td>142.1</td> <td>-58.5</td> <td>105</td> </tr> <tr> <td>J.M. Smucker / SJM</td> <td>0.1</td> <td>14.4</td> <td>-18.5</td> <td>17</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Western Union / WU</td> <td>0.1</td> <td>12.3</td> <td>-12.0</td> <td>30</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Robert Half / RHI</td> <td>0.1</td> <td>24.2</td> <td>-2.6</td> <td>92</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Discover / DISCA</td> <td>0.1</td> <td>14.6</td> <td>-46.3</td> <td>88</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Varian Medical Systems / VAR</td> <td>0.1</td> <td>33.8</td> <td>-0.1</td> <td>57</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Invesco / IVZ</td> <td>0.1</td> <td>10.2</td> <td>-57.0</td> <td>181</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Walgreens Boots Alliance / WBA</td> <td>0.2</td> <td>11.2</td> <td>-44.3</td> <td>29</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Cincinnati Financial / CINF</td> <td>0.2</td> <td>25.8</td> <td>-11.1</td> <td>30</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Genuine Parts / GPC</td> <td>0.2</td> <td>20.4</td> <td>-1.6</td> <td>68</td> </tr> <tr> <td>WEC Energy / WEC</td> <td>0.2</td> <td>23.0</td> <td>-15.7</td> <td>-3</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Dirty Dozen's average</td> <td>-0.1</td> <td>25.8</td> <td>-27.7</td> <td>61.2</td> </tr> <tr> <td>S&P 500 average</td> <td>1.1</td> <td>23</td> <td>0.1</td> <td>10</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> *Lower scores have more sell ratings.</p><p><blockquote><table><thead><tr><th>公司/股票代码</th><th>分析师评级分数*</th><th>2021年预计市盈率</th><th>创历史新高的百分比</th><th>年初至今%</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>美国航空/AAL</td><td>-0.7</td><td>N/A</td><td>-60.2</td><td>88</td></tr><tr><td>流明技术/LUMN</td><td>-0.5</td><td>8.2</td><td>-74.3</td><td>32</td></tr><tr><td>联合爱迪生/ED</td><td>-0.5</td><td>17.7</td><td>-21.0</td><td>-11</td></tr><tr><td>富兰克林资源/BEN</td><td>-0.4</td><td>10.3</td><td>-48.4</td><td>91</td></tr><tr><td>布朗-福尔曼/BF.B</td><td>-0.3</td><td>41.0</td><td>-14.9</td><td>14</td></tr><tr><td>梅特勒-托利多/MTD</td><td>-0.3</td><td>41.1</td><td>-3.9</td><td>68</td></tr><tr><td>华盛顿国际快递公司/EXPD</td><td>-0.3</td><td>25.7</td><td>-1.5</td><td>54</td></tr><tr><td>水域/WAT</td><td>-0.2</td><td>31.9</td><td>0.0</td><td>57</td></tr><tr><td>荷美尔食品/HRL</td><td>-0.1</td><td>26.5</td><td>-12.5</td><td>-1</td></tr><tr><td>麦考密克/MKC</td><td>-0.1</td><td>29.7</td><td>-16.5</td><td>16</td></tr><tr><td>维亚康姆CBS/VIAC</td><td>0.0</td><td>10.3</td><td>-58.9</td><td>160</td></tr><tr><td>Unum/UNM</td><td>0.0</td><td>5.8</td><td>-55.8</td><td>89</td></tr><tr><td>联信/CMA</td><td>0.0</td><td>13.4</td><td>-30.4</td><td>118</td></tr><tr><td>安德玛/UAA</td><td>0.0</td><td>142.1</td><td>-58.5</td><td>105</td></tr><tr><td>J.M.Smucker/澳博</td><td>0.1</td><td>14.4</td><td>-18.5</td><td>17</td></tr><tr><td>西联汇款/吴</td><td>0.1</td><td>12.3</td><td>-12.0</td><td>30</td></tr><tr><td>罗伯特·哈尔夫/RHI</td><td>0.1</td><td>24.2</td><td>-2.6</td><td>92</td></tr><tr><td>发现/磁盘</td><td>0.1</td><td>14.6</td><td>-46.3</td><td>88</td></tr><tr><td>瓦里安医疗系统/VAR</td><td>0.1</td><td>33.8</td><td>-0.1</td><td>57</td></tr><tr><td>景顺/IVZ</td><td>0.1</td><td>10.2</td><td>-57.0</td><td>181</td></tr><tr><td>沃尔格林博姿联盟/WBA</td><td>0.2</td><td>11.2</td><td>-44.3</td><td>29</td></tr><tr><td>辛辛那提金融/CINF</td><td>0.2</td><td>25.8</td><td>-11.1</td><td>30</td></tr><tr><td>原厂零件/GPC</td><td>0.2</td><td>20.4</td><td>-1.6</td><td>68</td></tr><tr><td>WEC能源/WEC</td><td>0.2</td><td>23.0</td><td>-15.7</td><td>-3</td></tr><tr><td>十二金刚的平均水平</td><td>-0.1</td><td>25.8</td><td>-27.7</td><td>61.2</td></tr><tr><td>标普500平均值</td><td>1.1</td><td>23</td><td>0.1</td><td>10</td></tr></tbody></table>*分数越低,卖出评级越高。</blockquote></p><p> Sources: Bloomberg; Barron's calculations</p><p><blockquote>资料来源:彭博;巴伦周刊的计算</blockquote></p><p> It’s an eclectic list. Some stocks, such as American Airlines, are there because of huge, pandemic-induced losses. Others simply look expensive. Mettler, for instance, trades at 41 times the per-share earnings expected for 2021.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个折衷的列表。一些股票,例如美国航空公司,是因为大流行造成的巨大损失而出现的。其他的只是看起来很贵。例如,梅特勒的股价是2021年预期每股收益的41倍。</blockquote></p><p> Others firms face potentially damaging long-term changes in their industries. Franklin Resources, for instance, is an asset manager dealing with the shift from actively managed funds to index funds with lower fees. And some companies just don’t seem to have much room for growth. McCormick sells spices, and the chances that demand will rocket higher unexpectedly appear slim.</p><p><blockquote>其他公司面临着行业潜在的破坏性长期变化。例如,富兰克林资源公司是一家资产管理公司,致力于从主动管理基金向费用较低的指数基金的转变。而有些公司似乎并没有太大的增长空间。味好美销售香料,需求意外飙升的可能性似乎很小。</blockquote></p><p> Not every one of the hated names will pass muster for investors. But the hated stocks have one thing going for them: They are cheaper. Although not every one of the two dozen is making money, the shares trade for an average of about 20 times estimated 2021 earnings, while the market is at closer to 24 times.</p><p><blockquote>并非每一个令人讨厌的名字都能符合投资者的要求。但令人讨厌的股票有一个优点:它们更便宜。尽管并非这两打股票中的每一只都在赚钱,但这些股票的平均交易价格约为2021年预期市盈率的20倍,而市场价格接近24倍。</blockquote></p><p> Another plus is that unlike the S&P 500, the rejects aren’t trading near their record highs, a factor that points at the potential for a rebound. The two dozen are down by an average of roughly 25% from their all-time highs.</p><p><blockquote>另一个好处是,与标普500不同,拒绝者的交易价格并未接近历史高点,这一因素表明了反弹的潜力。这两打平均比历史高点下降了约25%。</blockquote></p><p> The bottom line, then, is that bargains may be hiding in the trash heap. But as is the case with any stock screen, investors will have to dig deeper to find out which.</p><p><blockquote>那么,底线是便宜货可能藏在垃圾堆里。但与任何股票筛选的情况一样,投资者必须深入挖掘才能找出是哪一个。</blockquote></p><p> Go to it, contrarians.</p><p><blockquote>去吧,逆向投资者。</blockquote></p><p></p>","source":"lsy1601382232898","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The 24 Most-Hated Stocks in the S&P 500, and Why You Should Love Them<blockquote>标普500中最讨厌的24只股票,以及为什么你应该喜欢它们</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe 24 Most-Hated Stocks in the S&P 500, and Why You Should Love Them<blockquote>标普500中最讨厌的24只股票,以及为什么你应该喜欢它们</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Barrons</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-04-14 09:24</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Investing in the best-loved stocks can be a good idea. But investors should also know what stocks analysts are shunning.</p><p><blockquote>投资最受欢迎的股票可能是个好主意。但投资者也应该知道分析师回避哪些股票。</blockquote></p><p> While simply avoiding those companies is one sound strategy, it can also make sense to dig through the reject bin. Sometimes the only direction to go from the bottom is up. The most hated stocks can only get less hated over time, a fact that on its own can be enough for above-average stock gains.</p><p><blockquote>虽然简单地避开这些公司是一个合理的策略,但挖掘拒绝箱也是有意义的。有时候从底部走的唯一方向就是向上。随着时间的推移,最令人讨厌的股票只会变得不那么令人讨厌,这一事实本身就足以带来高于平均水平的股票收益。</blockquote></p><p> Wall Streetratingsare always a helpful guide for investors—the pros as well as amateur stock pickers. Analysts covering companies at brokerage firms are, after all, paid to follow industry trends, compare companies, and value stocks.</p><p><blockquote>华尔街评级始终是投资者(无论是专业人士还是业余选股者)的有用指南。毕竟,经纪公司研究公司的分析师的报酬是跟踪行业趋势、比较公司和评估股票。</blockquote></p><p> Over the past year, analysts’ favorite 10% ofS&P 500stocks are up almost 70% on average. The bottom 10%, on the other hand, is up closer to 50%. Favorites have outperformed by about 20 percentage points. The overall S&P index, meanwhile, is up about 48%.</p><p><blockquote>过去一年,分析师最喜欢的10%的标准普尔500指数股票平均上涨了近70%。另一方面,底层10%的人接近50%。最受欢迎的股票表现优于约20个百分点。与此同时,标准普尔指数整体上涨了约48%。</blockquote></p><p> It might seem odd that the average gain for a hated stock in the S&P 500 is 2 percentage points better than what the index achieved over the past year. The reason is that the S&P 500 is weighted according to market capitalization, so moves in bigger companies’ stocks have more impact on the overall benchmark. Not adjusting for market capitalization, the average gain for an S&P 500 stock is about 63%.</p><p><blockquote>标普500中一只令人讨厌的股票的平均涨幅比该指数过去一年的涨幅高出2个百分点,这似乎很奇怪。原因是标普500是根据市值加权的,因此大公司股票的走势对整体基准的影响更大。不按市值调整,标普500股票的平均涨幅约为63%。</blockquote></p><p> That fits with the common-sense view that avoiding the dregs is a good idea. But this past year was difficult. During the first several months of the pandemic, it paid to invest in large, high-quality stocks. It will surprise no one to learn that Microsoft (ticker: MSFT), Google parentAlphabet(GOOGL), Amazon.com (AMZN) and Apple (AAPL) are all well liked by the Street.</p><p><blockquote>这符合常识性的观点,即避免渣滓是个好主意。但是过去的一年是艰难的。在疫情的头几个月,投资大型优质股票是值得的。当得知微软(股票代码:MSFT)、谷歌母公司Alphabet(GOOGL)、亚马逊(AMZN)和苹果(AAPL)都深受华尔街的喜爱时,没有人会感到惊讶。</blockquote></p><p> Now, thetide is turningand the economy is growing again. That could be a signal to look at stocks that have had a harder time.</p><p><blockquote>现在,潮流正在转变,经济再次增长。这可能是一个信号,让我们关注那些经历过更艰难时期的股票。</blockquote></p><p> <i>Barron’s</i> came up with a list of the least-liked stocks on the Street by weighting the Buy, Hold, and Sell calls on each company to arrive at a single number summarizing overall sentiment. We took the percentage of ratings for a stock that are Buys, subtracted the share that are Sells, and then added the percentage at Hold, counting each as one-fourth of a Buy to reflect the fact that most analysts expect Hold-rated stocks to keep pace with their peers.</p><p><blockquote><i>巴伦周刊</i>通过对每家公司的买入、持有和卖出评级进行加权,得出一份华尔街最不受欢迎的股票名单,以得出一个总结整体情绪的数字。我们取股票评级为买入的百分比,减去卖出的百分比,然后加上持有的百分比,将每个百分比算作买入的四分之一,以反映大多数分析师预计持有评级的股票的事实与同行保持同步。</blockquote></p><p> In the S&P 500, about 56% of ratings are Buys. 36% are Holds and 7% are Sells. The numbers don’t total 100 due to rounding.</p><p><blockquote>在标普500,约56%的评级为买入。36%为持有,7%为卖出。由于四舍五入,这些数字加起来不是100。</blockquote></p><p> Taking all that into consideration, the 24 lowest-rated S&P stocks—the ones analysts tell their clients to avoid—are as follows: American Airlines Group (AAL), Lumen Technologies (LUMN), Consolidated Edison (ED),Franklin Resources(BEN).Brown-Forman(BF. B), Mettler-Toledo International (MTD), Expeditors International of Washington (EXPD),Waters(WAT), Hormel Foods (HRL),McCormick(MKC), ViacomCBS (VIAC), Unum Group (UNM), Comerica (CMA) Under Armour (UAA), J.M. Smucker (SJM), Western Union (WU), Robert Half International (RHI),Discovery(DISCA), Varian Medical Systems (VAR), Invesco (IVZ), Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA), Cincinnati Financial (CINF), Genuine Parts (GPC) and WEC Energy Group (WEC).</p><p><blockquote>考虑到所有这些因素,标准普尔评级最低的24只股票(分析师告诉客户要避开的股票)如下:美国航空集团(AAL)、Lumen Technologies(LUMN)、联合爱迪生(ED)、富兰克林资源(BEN)。布朗-福尔曼(BF.B)、梅特勒-托利多国际公司(MTD)、华盛顿Expeditors International of Washington(EXPD)、沃特世(WAT)、荷美尔食品(HRL)、味好美(MKC)、维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司(VIAC)、Unum Group(UNM)、联信(CMA)Under Armour(UAA)、J.M.Smucker(SJM)、西联汇款(WU)、Robert Half International(RHI)、Discovery(DISCA)、Varian Medical Systems(VAR)、Invesco(IVZ)、Walgreens Boots Alliance(WBA)、Cincinnati Financial(CINF)、Genuine Parts(GPC)和WEC能源集团(WEC)。</blockquote></p><p> The Dirty Two DozenThe 24 lowest-rated stocks in the S&P 500, calculated using a weighted score for Buy, Sell, and Hold ratings.</p><p><blockquote>肮脏的两打标普500中评级最低的24只股票,使用买入、卖出和持有评级的加权分数计算。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> <table> <thead> <tr> <th>Company / Ticker</th> <th>Analyst Rating Score*</th> <th>2021E P/E</th> <th>Percentage Off All-Time High</th> <th>% YTD</th> </tr> </thead> <tbody> <tr> <td>American Airlines / AAL</td> <td>-0.7</td> <td>N/A</td> <td>-60.2</td> <td>88</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Lumen Technologies / LUMN</td> <td>-0.5</td> <td>8.2</td> <td>-74.3</td> <td>32</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Consolidated Edison / ED</td> <td>-0.5</td> <td>17.7</td> <td>-21.0</td> <td>-11</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Franklin Resources / BEN</td> <td>-0.4</td> <td>10.3</td> <td>-48.4</td> <td>91</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Brown-Forman / BF.B</td> <td>-0.3</td> <td>41.0</td> <td>-14.9</td> <td>14</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Mettler-Toledo / MTD</td> <td>-0.3</td> <td>41.1</td> <td>-3.9</td> <td>68</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Expeditors Int’l of Washington / EXPD</td> <td>-0.3</td> <td>25.7</td> <td>-1.5</td> <td>54</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Waters / WAT</td> <td>-0.2</td> <td>31.9</td> <td>0.0</td> <td>57</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Hormel Foods / HRL</td> <td>-0.1</td> <td>26.5</td> <td>-12.5</td> <td>-1</td> </tr> <tr> <td>McCormick / MKC</td> <td>-0.1</td> <td>29.7</td> <td>-16.5</td> <td>16</td> </tr> <tr> <td>ViacomCBS / VIAC</td> <td>0.0</td> <td>10.3</td> <td>-58.9</td> <td>160</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Unum / UNM</td> <td>0.0</td> <td>5.8</td> <td>-55.8</td> <td>89</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Comerica / CMA</td> <td>0.0</td> <td>13.4</td> <td>-30.4</td> <td>118</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Under Armour / UAA</td> <td>0.0</td> <td>142.1</td> <td>-58.5</td> <td>105</td> </tr> <tr> <td>J.M. Smucker / SJM</td> <td>0.1</td> <td>14.4</td> <td>-18.5</td> <td>17</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Western Union / WU</td> <td>0.1</td> <td>12.3</td> <td>-12.0</td> <td>30</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Robert Half / RHI</td> <td>0.1</td> <td>24.2</td> <td>-2.6</td> <td>92</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Discover / DISCA</td> <td>0.1</td> <td>14.6</td> <td>-46.3</td> <td>88</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Varian Medical Systems / VAR</td> <td>0.1</td> <td>33.8</td> <td>-0.1</td> <td>57</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Invesco / IVZ</td> <td>0.1</td> <td>10.2</td> <td>-57.0</td> <td>181</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Walgreens Boots Alliance / WBA</td> <td>0.2</td> <td>11.2</td> <td>-44.3</td> <td>29</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Cincinnati Financial / CINF</td> <td>0.2</td> <td>25.8</td> <td>-11.1</td> <td>30</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Genuine Parts / GPC</td> <td>0.2</td> <td>20.4</td> <td>-1.6</td> <td>68</td> </tr> <tr> <td>WEC Energy / WEC</td> <td>0.2</td> <td>23.0</td> <td>-15.7</td> <td>-3</td> </tr> <tr> <td>Dirty Dozen's average</td> <td>-0.1</td> <td>25.8</td> <td>-27.7</td> <td>61.2</td> </tr> <tr> <td>S&P 500 average</td> <td>1.1</td> <td>23</td> <td>0.1</td> <td>10</td> </tr> </tbody> </table> *Lower scores have more sell ratings.</p><p><blockquote><table><thead><tr><th>公司/股票代码</th><th>分析师评级分数*</th><th>2021年预计市盈率</th><th>创历史新高的百分比</th><th>年初至今%</th></tr></thead><tbody><tr><td>美国航空/AAL</td><td>-0.7</td><td>N/A</td><td>-60.2</td><td>88</td></tr><tr><td>流明技术/LUMN</td><td>-0.5</td><td>8.2</td><td>-74.3</td><td>32</td></tr><tr><td>联合爱迪生/ED</td><td>-0.5</td><td>17.7</td><td>-21.0</td><td>-11</td></tr><tr><td>富兰克林资源/BEN</td><td>-0.4</td><td>10.3</td><td>-48.4</td><td>91</td></tr><tr><td>布朗-福尔曼/BF.B</td><td>-0.3</td><td>41.0</td><td>-14.9</td><td>14</td></tr><tr><td>梅特勒-托利多/MTD</td><td>-0.3</td><td>41.1</td><td>-3.9</td><td>68</td></tr><tr><td>华盛顿国际快递公司/EXPD</td><td>-0.3</td><td>25.7</td><td>-1.5</td><td>54</td></tr><tr><td>水域/WAT</td><td>-0.2</td><td>31.9</td><td>0.0</td><td>57</td></tr><tr><td>荷美尔食品/HRL</td><td>-0.1</td><td>26.5</td><td>-12.5</td><td>-1</td></tr><tr><td>麦考密克/MKC</td><td>-0.1</td><td>29.7</td><td>-16.5</td><td>16</td></tr><tr><td>维亚康姆CBS/VIAC</td><td>0.0</td><td>10.3</td><td>-58.9</td><td>160</td></tr><tr><td>Unum/UNM</td><td>0.0</td><td>5.8</td><td>-55.8</td><td>89</td></tr><tr><td>联信/CMA</td><td>0.0</td><td>13.4</td><td>-30.4</td><td>118</td></tr><tr><td>安德玛/UAA</td><td>0.0</td><td>142.1</td><td>-58.5</td><td>105</td></tr><tr><td>J.M.Smucker/澳博</td><td>0.1</td><td>14.4</td><td>-18.5</td><td>17</td></tr><tr><td>西联汇款/吴</td><td>0.1</td><td>12.3</td><td>-12.0</td><td>30</td></tr><tr><td>罗伯特·哈尔夫/RHI</td><td>0.1</td><td>24.2</td><td>-2.6</td><td>92</td></tr><tr><td>发现/磁盘</td><td>0.1</td><td>14.6</td><td>-46.3</td><td>88</td></tr><tr><td>瓦里安医疗系统/VAR</td><td>0.1</td><td>33.8</td><td>-0.1</td><td>57</td></tr><tr><td>景顺/IVZ</td><td>0.1</td><td>10.2</td><td>-57.0</td><td>181</td></tr><tr><td>沃尔格林博姿联盟/WBA</td><td>0.2</td><td>11.2</td><td>-44.3</td><td>29</td></tr><tr><td>辛辛那提金融/CINF</td><td>0.2</td><td>25.8</td><td>-11.1</td><td>30</td></tr><tr><td>原厂零件/GPC</td><td>0.2</td><td>20.4</td><td>-1.6</td><td>68</td></tr><tr><td>WEC能源/WEC</td><td>0.2</td><td>23.0</td><td>-15.7</td><td>-3</td></tr><tr><td>十二金刚的平均水平</td><td>-0.1</td><td>25.8</td><td>-27.7</td><td>61.2</td></tr><tr><td>标普500平均值</td><td>1.1</td><td>23</td><td>0.1</td><td>10</td></tr></tbody></table>*分数越低,卖出评级越高。</blockquote></p><p> Sources: Bloomberg; Barron's calculations</p><p><blockquote>资料来源:彭博;巴伦周刊的计算</blockquote></p><p> It’s an eclectic list. Some stocks, such as American Airlines, are there because of huge, pandemic-induced losses. Others simply look expensive. Mettler, for instance, trades at 41 times the per-share earnings expected for 2021.</p><p><blockquote>这是一个折衷的列表。一些股票,例如美国航空公司,是因为大流行造成的巨大损失而出现的。其他的只是看起来很贵。例如,梅特勒的股价是2021年预期每股收益的41倍。</blockquote></p><p> Others firms face potentially damaging long-term changes in their industries. Franklin Resources, for instance, is an asset manager dealing with the shift from actively managed funds to index funds with lower fees. And some companies just don’t seem to have much room for growth. McCormick sells spices, and the chances that demand will rocket higher unexpectedly appear slim.</p><p><blockquote>其他公司面临着行业潜在的破坏性长期变化。例如,富兰克林资源公司是一家资产管理公司,致力于从主动管理基金向费用较低的指数基金的转变。而有些公司似乎并没有太大的增长空间。味好美销售香料,需求意外飙升的可能性似乎很小。</blockquote></p><p> Not every one of the hated names will pass muster for investors. But the hated stocks have one thing going for them: They are cheaper. Although not every one of the two dozen is making money, the shares trade for an average of about 20 times estimated 2021 earnings, while the market is at closer to 24 times.</p><p><blockquote>并非每一个令人讨厌的名字都能符合投资者的要求。但令人讨厌的股票有一个优点:它们更便宜。尽管并非这两打股票中的每一只都在赚钱,但这些股票的平均交易价格约为2021年预期市盈率的20倍,而市场价格接近24倍。</blockquote></p><p> Another plus is that unlike the S&P 500, the rejects aren’t trading near their record highs, a factor that points at the potential for a rebound. The two dozen are down by an average of roughly 25% from their all-time highs.</p><p><blockquote>另一个好处是,与标普500不同,拒绝者的交易价格并未接近历史高点,这一因素表明了反弹的潜力。这两打平均比历史高点下降了约25%。</blockquote></p><p> The bottom line, then, is that bargains may be hiding in the trash heap. But as is the case with any stock screen, investors will have to dig deeper to find out which.</p><p><blockquote>那么,底线是便宜货可能藏在垃圾堆里。但与任何股票筛选的情况一样,投资者必须深入挖掘才能找出是哪一个。</blockquote></p><p> Go to it, contrarians.</p><p><blockquote>去吧,逆向投资者。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源:<a href=\"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-24-most-hated-stocks-in-the-s-p-500-and-why-you-should-love-them-51618332859?mod=hp_LEAD_1\">Barrons</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验,我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"RHI":"罗致恒富","WU":"西联汇款",".DJI":"道琼斯","UAA":"安德玛公司A类股","MTD":"梅特勒-托利多","BEN":"Franklin Resources Inc","ED":"爱迪生联合电气",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite","AAL":"美国航空","WAT":"沃特世","SJM":"斯马克","MKC":"味好美","BF.B":"布朗霍文","DISCA":"探索传播","EXPD":"康捷国际物流","UNM":"尤纳姆集团",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","CMA":"联信银行","WEC":"威州能源","LUMN":"Lumen Technologies","HRL":"荷美尔"},"source_url":"https://www.barrons.com/articles/the-24-most-hated-stocks-in-the-s-p-500-and-why-you-should-love-them-51618332859?mod=hp_LEAD_1","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1106080522","content_text":"Investing in the best-loved stocks can be a good idea. But investors should also know what stocks analysts are shunning.\nWhile simply avoiding those companies is one sound strategy, it can also make sense to dig through the reject bin. Sometimes the only direction to go from the bottom is up. The most hated stocks can only get less hated over time, a fact that on its own can be enough for above-average stock gains.\nWall Streetratingsare always a helpful guide for investors—the pros as well as amateur stock pickers. Analysts covering companies at brokerage firms are, after all, paid to follow industry trends, compare companies, and value stocks.\nOver the past year, analysts’ favorite 10% ofS&P 500stocks are up almost 70% on average. The bottom 10%, on the other hand, is up closer to 50%. Favorites have outperformed by about 20 percentage points. The overall S&P index, meanwhile, is up about 48%.\nIt might seem odd that the average gain for a hated stock in the S&P 500 is 2 percentage points better than what the index achieved over the past year. The reason is that the S&P 500 is weighted according to market capitalization, so moves in bigger companies’ stocks have more impact on the overall benchmark. Not adjusting for market capitalization, the average gain for an S&P 500 stock is about 63%.\nThat fits with the common-sense view that avoiding the dregs is a good idea. But this past year was difficult. During the first several months of the pandemic, it paid to invest in large, high-quality stocks. It will surprise no one to learn that Microsoft (ticker: MSFT), Google parentAlphabet(GOOGL), Amazon.com (AMZN) and Apple (AAPL) are all well liked by the Street.\nNow, thetide is turningand the economy is growing again. That could be a signal to look at stocks that have had a harder time.\nBarron’s came up with a list of the least-liked stocks on the Street by weighting the Buy, Hold, and Sell calls on each company to arrive at a single number summarizing overall sentiment. We took the percentage of ratings for a stock that are Buys, subtracted the share that are Sells, and then added the percentage at Hold, counting each as one-fourth of a Buy to reflect the fact that most analysts expect Hold-rated stocks to keep pace with their peers.\nIn the S&P 500, about 56% of ratings are Buys. 36% are Holds and 7% are Sells. The numbers don’t total 100 due to rounding.\nTaking all that into consideration, the 24 lowest-rated S&P stocks—the ones analysts tell their clients to avoid—are as follows: American Airlines Group (AAL), Lumen Technologies (LUMN), Consolidated Edison (ED),Franklin Resources(BEN).Brown-Forman(BF. B), Mettler-Toledo International (MTD), Expeditors International of Washington (EXPD),Waters(WAT), Hormel Foods (HRL),McCormick(MKC), ViacomCBS (VIAC), Unum Group (UNM), Comerica (CMA) Under Armour (UAA), J.M. Smucker (SJM), Western Union (WU), Robert Half International (RHI),Discovery(DISCA), Varian Medical Systems (VAR), Invesco (IVZ), Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA), Cincinnati Financial (CINF), Genuine Parts (GPC) and WEC Energy Group (WEC).\nThe Dirty Two DozenThe 24 lowest-rated stocks in the S&P 500, calculated using a weighted score for Buy, Sell, and Hold ratings.\n\n\n\nCompany / Ticker\nAnalyst Rating Score*\n2021E P/E\nPercentage Off All-Time High\n% YTD\n\n\n\n\nAmerican Airlines / AAL\n-0.7\nN/A\n-60.2\n88\n\n\nLumen Technologies / LUMN\n-0.5\n8.2\n-74.3\n32\n\n\nConsolidated Edison / ED\n-0.5\n17.7\n-21.0\n-11\n\n\nFranklin Resources / BEN\n-0.4\n10.3\n-48.4\n91\n\n\nBrown-Forman / BF.B\n-0.3\n41.0\n-14.9\n14\n\n\nMettler-Toledo / MTD\n-0.3\n41.1\n-3.9\n68\n\n\nExpeditors Int’l of Washington / EXPD\n-0.3\n25.7\n-1.5\n54\n\n\nWaters / WAT\n-0.2\n31.9\n0.0\n57\n\n\nHormel Foods / HRL\n-0.1\n26.5\n-12.5\n-1\n\n\nMcCormick / MKC\n-0.1\n29.7\n-16.5\n16\n\n\nViacomCBS / VIAC\n0.0\n10.3\n-58.9\n160\n\n\nUnum / UNM\n0.0\n5.8\n-55.8\n89\n\n\nComerica / CMA\n0.0\n13.4\n-30.4\n118\n\n\nUnder Armour / UAA\n0.0\n142.1\n-58.5\n105\n\n\nJ.M. Smucker / SJM\n0.1\n14.4\n-18.5\n17\n\n\nWestern Union / WU\n0.1\n12.3\n-12.0\n30\n\n\nRobert Half / RHI\n0.1\n24.2\n-2.6\n92\n\n\nDiscover / DISCA\n0.1\n14.6\n-46.3\n88\n\n\nVarian Medical Systems / VAR\n0.1\n33.8\n-0.1\n57\n\n\nInvesco / IVZ\n0.1\n10.2\n-57.0\n181\n\n\nWalgreens Boots Alliance / WBA\n0.2\n11.2\n-44.3\n29\n\n\nCincinnati Financial / CINF\n0.2\n25.8\n-11.1\n30\n\n\nGenuine Parts / GPC\n0.2\n20.4\n-1.6\n68\n\n\nWEC Energy / WEC\n0.2\n23.0\n-15.7\n-3\n\n\nDirty Dozen's average\n-0.1\n25.8\n-27.7\n61.2\n\n\nS&P 500 average\n1.1\n23\n0.1\n10\n\n\n\n*Lower scores have more sell ratings.\nSources: Bloomberg; Barron's calculations\nIt’s an eclectic list. Some stocks, such as American Airlines, are there because of huge, pandemic-induced losses. Others simply look expensive. Mettler, for instance, trades at 41 times the per-share earnings expected for 2021.\nOthers firms face potentially damaging long-term changes in their industries. Franklin Resources, for instance, is an asset manager dealing with the shift from actively managed funds to index funds with lower fees. And some companies just don’t seem to have much room for growth. McCormick sells spices, and the chances that demand will rocket higher unexpectedly appear slim.\nNot every one of the hated names will pass muster for investors. But the hated stocks have one thing going for them: They are cheaper. Although not every one of the two dozen is making money, the shares trade for an average of about 20 times estimated 2021 earnings, while the market is at closer to 24 times.\nAnother plus is that unlike the S&P 500, the rejects aren’t trading near their record highs, a factor that points at the potential for a rebound. The two dozen are down by an average of roughly 25% from their all-time highs.\nThe bottom line, then, is that bargains may be hiding in the trash heap. But as is the case with any stock screen, investors will have to dig deeper to find out which.\nGo to it, contrarians.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ED":0.9,"RHI":0.9,"WAT":0.9,".SPX":0.9,"MTD":0.9,"WU":0.9,"BEN":0.9,"AAL":0.9,"WEC":0.9,"BF.B":0.9,"LUMN":0.9,"DISCA":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,".DJI":0.9,"UAA":0.9,"MKC":0.9,"CMA":0.9,"SJM":0.9,"UNM":0.9,"HRL":0.9,"VIAC":0.9,"EXPD":0.9,"VAR":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2365,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":3,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/344647684"}
精彩评论