钟艾一生
2024-08-09
$苹果(AAPL)$
$英伟达(NVDA)$
在英伟达大跌中,我最佩服但斌的勇气,每天几千万就梭哈进去了
苹果暴跌,被内存涨价逼到加价,"美光的蜜糖苹果的砒霜"?
苹果(AAPL)失守$280,导火索是它宣布上调iPad与MacBook售价,并直接归因于"AI热潮下芯片/内存成本飙升"。这恰是内存超级周期的另一面——美光、SanDisk大涨的"蜜糖",正变成下游硬件厂商的"砒霜":成本被迫转嫁、需求恐受抑制、毛利率承压,"Micron's gain is Apple's pain"成了今日市场最贴切的注脚。当上游内存吃掉产业链利润,被加价的苹果是错杀的避险品,还是margin压力才刚开始?你会逢跌买苹果吗?
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