brandicarlo
2021-03-08
Sun dial seems legit due to the cannabis trade regulation change
4 of Robinhood's Top 10 Stocks Could Lose 50% (or More)<blockquote>Robinhood排名前10的股票中有4只可能下跌50%（或更多）</blockquote>
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But chances are if you're a millennial or novice investor, you thrive off of volatility.Last year, online investing app Robinhood, which is best-known for its commission-free trades and gifting of free shares of stock to new members, picked up somewhere in the neighborhood of 3 million new users. Th","content":"<p>Millennial and novice investors could be in for a rude awakening.</p><p><blockquote>千禧一代和新手投资者可能会猛然醒悟。</blockquote></p><p> This past week was a clear reminder that volatility is always present in the stock market, and it can pop up when you least expect it. But chances are if you're a millennial or novice investor, you thrive off of volatility.</p><p><blockquote>过去的一周清楚地提醒我们，股市始终存在波动性，而且波动性可能会在您最意想不到的时候突然出现。但如果你是千禧一代或新手投资者，你很可能会因波动而茁壮成长。</blockquote></p><p> Last year, online investing app Robinhood, which is best-known for its commission-free trades and gifting of free shares of stock to new members, picked up somewhere in the neighborhood of 3 million new users. This is noteworthy given that the average age of Robinhood's user base is only 31.</p><p><blockquote>去年，以免佣金交易和向新会员赠送免费股票而闻名的在线投资应用程序Robinhood获得了约300万新用户。鉴于Robinhood用户群的平均年龄仅为31岁，这一点值得注意。</blockquote></p><p> Many of these young and/or novice investors have approached the market's wild vacillations as an opportunity to get rich quick. Unfortunately, chasing momentum and penny stocks has left many of these millennials with portfolios that contain awful companies.</p><p><blockquote>许多年轻和/或新手投资者将市场的剧烈波动视为快速致富的机会。不幸的是，追逐动量股和细价股让许多千禧一代的投资组合中包含了糟糕的公司。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 10 most-held stocks on Robinhood's platform, four could conceivably lose half their value, if not more.</p><p><blockquote>在Robinhood平台上持有最多的10只股票中，有4只可能损失一半甚至更多的价值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. AMC Entertainment</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.AMC院线</b></blockquote></p><p> Movie theater operator <b>AMC Entertainment</b>(NYSE:AMC) is currently thethird most-held stock on the entire Robinhood platform. As you might already know, AMC has been one of the favorite stocks of Reddit's retail investor-focused WallStreetBets (WSB) chat community. These retail investors have banded together to buy shares and out-of-the-money call options on heavily short-sold stocks like AMC to effect a short squeeze. With AMC, they were highly successful in doing so.</p><p><blockquote>电影院经营者<b>AMC院线</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：AMC）目前是整个Robinhood平台上第三大持有股票。您可能已经知道，AMC一直是Reddit以散户投资者为中心的WallStreetBets(WSB)聊天社区最喜欢的股票之一。这些散户投资者联合起来购买AMC等严重卖空股票的股票和价外看涨期权期权，以实现轧空。通过AMC，他们在这方面非常成功。</blockquote></p><p> But if you're looking for sustainable, real-world catalysts that could support a large move higher in AMC's stock, you're not going to find any. The big positive for the company in 2021 is simply that it was able to raise $917 million through a combination of share offerings and debt capital to stave off bankruptcy. But this cash may ultimately not prevent the inevitable.</p><p><blockquote>但如果你正在寻找可持续的、现实世界的催化剂来支持AMC股票大幅上涨，你不会找到任何催化剂。2021年对该公司来说最大的利好就是，它能够通过股票发行和债务资本相结合的方式筹集9.17亿美元，以避免破产。但这笔现金最终可能无法阻止不可避免的事情。</blockquote></p><p> AMC is currently held hostage by the uncertainty surrounding the coronavirus pandemic. Even with a major vaccination effort under way in the U.S., the effectiveness of these vaccines at slowing variants of the disease, along with the willingness of adults to be vaccinated, could determine whether or not movie theaters reopen, and at what capacity.</p><p><blockquote>AMC目前受到冠状病毒大流行的不确定性的阻碍。即使美国正在进行大规模的疫苗接种工作，这些疫苗在减缓疾病变异方面的有效性，以及成年人接种疫苗的意愿，可能会决定电影院是否重新开放，以及以何种能力重新开放。</blockquote></p><p> What's more, AMC Entertainment's operating model is under direct threat from streaming operators.<b>AT&T</b> subsidiary WarnerMedia is releasing all of its films in 2021 on HBO Max the same day they're slated to hit theaters.<b>Walt Disney</b> is making a similar move with some of its releases on its Disney+ service. If consumers prefer the convenience of their couch,AMC's operating model is toast.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，AMC院线的运营模式正受到流媒体运营商的直接威胁。<b>AT&T</b>子公司WarnerMedia将于2021年在HBO Max上发布其所有电影，同一天它们将在影院上映。<b>迪斯尼</b>正在对其Disney+服务上的一些版本采取类似举措。如果消费者更喜欢沙发的便利，那么AMC的运营模式就完蛋了。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Sundial Growers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.日晷种植者</b></blockquote></p><p> Canadianmarijuana stock <b>Sundial Growers</b>(NASDAQ:SNDL), the fourth most-held stock on the platform, could also lose 50% (or more) of its value. Though Sundial's short interest is nowhere near as high as AMC (as a percentage of float), it's become a favorite penny stock among the WSB community.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大大麻库存<b>日晷种植者</b>（纳斯达克：SNDL）是该平台上第四大持有股票，其价值也可能损失50%（或更多）。尽管Sundial的空头利息远没有AMC高（占流通量的百分比），但它已成为WSB社区最喜欢的细价股。</blockquote></p><p> Aside from relentless social media pumping from retail investors, the most tangible positive for Sundial is its balance sheet. Following the exercising of 98.3 million warrants last months, along with its investment in <b>Indiva</b>, I'd estimate the company has $680 million in available cash. If the U.S. were to legalize cannabis at the federal level, thereby paving the way for Canadian pot stocks to enter the far more lucrative U.S. market, this capital would come in handy.</p><p><blockquote>除了散户投资者在社交媒体上不断吸金之外，Sundial最切实的积极因素是其资产负债表。继上个月行使9830万份认股权证以及投资于<b>Indiva</b>，我估计该公司有6.8亿美元的可用现金。如果美国在联邦层面将大麻合法化，从而为加拿大大麻股票进入利润更高的美国市场铺平道路，这笔资金将派上用场。</blockquote></p><p> Then again, Sundial's cash hoard was built on the backs of its shareholders. In a five-month stretch, Sundial's share offerings, exercising of warrants, and debt-to-equity swapsincreased the company's outstanding share countby more than 1.1 billion. In more than two decades of investing, it's some of the worst share-based dilution I've witnessed. Worse yet, it's probably not over. The company's board OK'd a shelf offering that would allow the company to issue up to $1 billion in securities over time.</p><p><blockquote>话又说回来，日晷的现金储备是建立在股东的支持上的。在五个月的时间里，Sundial的股票发行、认股权证行使和债转股使公司的流通股数量增加了超过11亿股。在二十多年的投资生涯中，这是我所见过的最严重的股权稀释。更糟糕的是，这可能还没有结束。该公司董事会批准了一项搁置发行，允许该公司随着时间的推移发行最多10亿美元的证券。</blockquote></p><p> Despite being in a fast-growing industry, Sundial might also be one of the last pot stocks to generate a profit. The company is in the midst of an operating model shift from wholesale cannabis to retail, whichputs it well behind its peersat a time when most North American cannabis stocks are turning the corner to profitability.</p><p><blockquote>尽管日晷处于一个快速增长的行业，但它也可能是最后一批盈利的大麻股之一。该公司的运营模式正在从批发大麻转向零售，这使其远远落后于同行，而此时大多数北美大麻股票正在扭亏为盈。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. NIO</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.蔚来</b></blockquote></p><p> Electric-vehicle (EV) stocks have been virtually unstoppable for the past year, which is a big reason millennials and novice investors have piled into China-based <b>NIO</b>(NYSE:NIO).</p><p><blockquote>过去一年，电动汽车（EV）股票几乎势不可挡，这是千禧一代和新手投资者涌入中国的一个重要原因<b>蔚来</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：蔚来）。</blockquote></p><p> The fifth most-held stock on Robinhood delivered 43,728 EVs in 2020, which is more than double the 20,565 EVs delivered the year prior. It's also on pace todeliver 20,000 to 20,500 EVs just in the first quarter of 2021. Since China is the leading EV market in the world, and projections call for roughly half of all new vehicle sales in 2035 to be some form of alternative energy, NIO could effectively clean up with its innovative lineup.</p><p><blockquote>Robinhood第五大持股股票在2020年交付了43,728辆电动汽车，是前一年交付的20,565辆电动汽车的两倍多。该公司还有望在2021年第一季度交付20,000至20,500辆电动汽车。由于中国是全球领先的电动汽车市场，并且预计2035年看涨期权所有新车销量的大约一半将是某种形式的替代能源，因此蔚来可以通过其创新产品线有效地清理。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Then again, we're talking about a company with a $61 billion market cap that's delivered 88,444 cumulative EVs since its inception. Some brand-nameauto stockscan produce this many vehicles in a week, or less. With NIO still in the process of ramping up its operations, losses have been and should continue to be an eyesore. Last year, NIO's nearly $813 million loss was a bit bigger than Wall Street had been expecting.</p><p><blockquote>话又说回来，我们谈论的是一家市值610亿美元的公司，自成立以来已累计交付了88,444辆电动汽车。一些品牌汽车库存可以在一周或更短的时间内生产这么多汽车。由于蔚来仍在扩大业务，亏损一直是而且应该继续是一个碍眼的问题。去年，蔚来近8.13亿美元的亏损略高于华尔街的预期。</blockquote></p><p> NIO is also expected toface an influx of domestic and foreign competition. That's not great news given that the auto industry generally produces only mediocre vehicle margins, at best.</p><p><blockquote>预计蔚来还将面临国内外竞争的涌入。考虑到汽车行业通常充其量只能产生平庸的汽车利润率，这不是一个好消息。</blockquote></p><p> Furthermore, retail investors are notorious for overestimating the introduction and adoption of next-big-thing investments. While there's no doubt that EVs will play a big role in future transportation, NIO hasn't even demonstrated that it can truly scale yet.</p><p><blockquote>此外，散户投资者因高估下一个重大投资的引入和采用而臭名昭著。虽然毫无疑问电动汽车将在未来的交通中发挥重要作用，但蔚来甚至还没有证明它可以真正扩大规模。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. GameStop</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.游戏驿站</b></blockquote></p><p> Lastly, the Reddit stock that started the retail investor frenzy,<b>GameStop</b>(NYSE:GME), chimes in as the 10th most-held Robinhood stock. Like AMC, itwas targeted by the WSB communityfor its exceptionally high short interest, relative to float. None of the Reddit rallies was more pronounced than GameStop's, which took its stock from $18 a share to nearly $500.</p><p><blockquote>最后，引发散户狂热的Reddit股票，<b>游戏驿站</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：GME），成为罗宾汉第十大持有股票。与AMC一样，它也因其相对于流通量极高的空头利息而成为WSB社区的目标。Reddit的涨势没有比游戏驿站更明显的了，该公司的股价从每股18美元涨至近500美元。</blockquote></p><p> But like the other top-10 Robinhood holdings here, GameStop's nosebleed valuation simply doesn't match up with its underlying fundamentals or outlook. For example, even though e-commerce sales during the holiday season advanced 309% from the prior-year period, total sales still declined by 3.1%. This is a reflection of GameStop closing 11% of its stores from the prior-year period.</p><p><blockquote>但与Robinhood持有的其他十大股票一样，游戏驿站令人鼻血的估值与其潜在的基本面或前景根本不匹配。例如，尽管节日期间电子商务销售额比去年同期增长了309%，但总销售额仍下降了3.1%。这反映了游戏驿站较去年同期关闭了11%的门店。</blockquote></p><p> The clear issue for the company is that it's brick-and-mortar-based in an increasingly digital world. GameStop waited far too long to begin its shift to digital gaming, and closing stores to cut costs is its only real game plan at this point. More than likely, GameStop is staring down a fourth consecutive annual loss this year.</p><p><blockquote>该公司面临的明显问题是，在日益数字化的世界中，它是以实体为基础的。游戏驿站等了太久才开始转向数字游戏，关闭商店以削减成本是其目前唯一真正的游戏计划。游戏驿站今年很可能面临连续第四年亏损。</blockquote></p><p> Though short-term investor emotions are impossible to predict, GameStop, NIO, Sundial, and AMC could all easily lose 50% (or more) of their value at some point in the not-so-distant future.</p><p><blockquote>尽管短期投资者情绪无法预测，但游戏驿站、蔚来、Sundial和AMC都可能在不久的将来的某个时候轻松损失50%（或更多）的价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>4 of Robinhood's Top 10 Stocks Could Lose 50% (or More)<blockquote>Robinhood排名前10的股票中有4只可能下跌50%（或更多）</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n4 of Robinhood's Top 10 Stocks Could Lose 50% (or More)<blockquote>Robinhood排名前10的股票中有4只可能下跌50%（或更多）</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n<p class=\"head\">\n<strong class=\"h-name small\">Motley Fool</strong><span class=\"h-time small\">2021-03-08 19:04</span>\n</p>\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Millennial and novice investors could be in for a rude awakening.</p><p><blockquote>千禧一代和新手投资者可能会猛然醒悟。</blockquote></p><p> This past week was a clear reminder that volatility is always present in the stock market, and it can pop up when you least expect it. But chances are if you're a millennial or novice investor, you thrive off of volatility.</p><p><blockquote>过去的一周清楚地提醒我们，股市始终存在波动性，而且波动性可能会在您最意想不到的时候突然出现。但如果你是千禧一代或新手投资者，你很可能会因波动而茁壮成长。</blockquote></p><p> Last year, online investing app Robinhood, which is best-known for its commission-free trades and gifting of free shares of stock to new members, picked up somewhere in the neighborhood of 3 million new users. This is noteworthy given that the average age of Robinhood's user base is only 31.</p><p><blockquote>去年，以免佣金交易和向新会员赠送免费股票而闻名的在线投资应用程序Robinhood获得了约300万新用户。鉴于Robinhood用户群的平均年龄仅为31岁，这一点值得注意。</blockquote></p><p> Many of these young and/or novice investors have approached the market's wild vacillations as an opportunity to get rich quick. Unfortunately, chasing momentum and penny stocks has left many of these millennials with portfolios that contain awful companies.</p><p><blockquote>许多年轻和/或新手投资者将市场的剧烈波动视为快速致富的机会。不幸的是，追逐动量股和细价股让许多千禧一代的投资组合中包含了糟糕的公司。</blockquote></p><p> Of the 10 most-held stocks on Robinhood's platform, four could conceivably lose half their value, if not more.</p><p><blockquote>在Robinhood平台上持有最多的10只股票中，有4只可能损失一半甚至更多的价值。</blockquote></p><p> <b>1. AMC Entertainment</b></p><p><blockquote><b>1.AMC院线</b></blockquote></p><p> Movie theater operator <b>AMC Entertainment</b>(NYSE:AMC) is currently thethird most-held stock on the entire Robinhood platform. As you might already know, AMC has been one of the favorite stocks of Reddit's retail investor-focused WallStreetBets (WSB) chat community. These retail investors have banded together to buy shares and out-of-the-money call options on heavily short-sold stocks like AMC to effect a short squeeze. With AMC, they were highly successful in doing so.</p><p><blockquote>电影院经营者<b>AMC院线</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：AMC）目前是整个Robinhood平台上第三大持有股票。您可能已经知道，AMC一直是Reddit以散户投资者为中心的WallStreetBets(WSB)聊天社区最喜欢的股票之一。这些散户投资者联合起来购买AMC等严重卖空股票的股票和价外看涨期权期权，以实现轧空。通过AMC，他们在这方面非常成功。</blockquote></p><p> But if you're looking for sustainable, real-world catalysts that could support a large move higher in AMC's stock, you're not going to find any. The big positive for the company in 2021 is simply that it was able to raise $917 million through a combination of share offerings and debt capital to stave off bankruptcy. But this cash may ultimately not prevent the inevitable.</p><p><blockquote>但如果你正在寻找可持续的、现实世界的催化剂来支持AMC股票大幅上涨，你不会找到任何催化剂。2021年对该公司来说最大的利好就是，它能够通过股票发行和债务资本相结合的方式筹集9.17亿美元，以避免破产。但这笔现金最终可能无法阻止不可避免的事情。</blockquote></p><p> AMC is currently held hostage by the uncertainty surrounding the coronavirus pandemic. Even with a major vaccination effort under way in the U.S., the effectiveness of these vaccines at slowing variants of the disease, along with the willingness of adults to be vaccinated, could determine whether or not movie theaters reopen, and at what capacity.</p><p><blockquote>AMC目前受到冠状病毒大流行的不确定性的阻碍。即使美国正在进行大规模的疫苗接种工作，这些疫苗在减缓疾病变异方面的有效性，以及成年人接种疫苗的意愿，可能会决定电影院是否重新开放，以及以何种能力重新开放。</blockquote></p><p> What's more, AMC Entertainment's operating model is under direct threat from streaming operators.<b>AT&T</b> subsidiary WarnerMedia is releasing all of its films in 2021 on HBO Max the same day they're slated to hit theaters.<b>Walt Disney</b> is making a similar move with some of its releases on its Disney+ service. If consumers prefer the convenience of their couch,AMC's operating model is toast.</p><p><blockquote>更重要的是，AMC院线的运营模式正受到流媒体运营商的直接威胁。<b>AT&T</b>子公司WarnerMedia将于2021年在HBO Max上发布其所有电影，同一天它们将在影院上映。<b>迪斯尼</b>正在对其Disney+服务上的一些版本采取类似举措。如果消费者更喜欢沙发的便利，那么AMC的运营模式就完蛋了。</blockquote></p><p> <b>2. Sundial Growers</b></p><p><blockquote><b>2.日晷种植者</b></blockquote></p><p> Canadianmarijuana stock <b>Sundial Growers</b>(NASDAQ:SNDL), the fourth most-held stock on the platform, could also lose 50% (or more) of its value. Though Sundial's short interest is nowhere near as high as AMC (as a percentage of float), it's become a favorite penny stock among the WSB community.</p><p><blockquote>加拿大大麻库存<b>日晷种植者</b>（纳斯达克：SNDL）是该平台上第四大持有股票，其价值也可能损失50%（或更多）。尽管Sundial的空头利息远没有AMC高（占流通量的百分比），但它已成为WSB社区最喜欢的细价股。</blockquote></p><p> Aside from relentless social media pumping from retail investors, the most tangible positive for Sundial is its balance sheet. Following the exercising of 98.3 million warrants last months, along with its investment in <b>Indiva</b>, I'd estimate the company has $680 million in available cash. If the U.S. were to legalize cannabis at the federal level, thereby paving the way for Canadian pot stocks to enter the far more lucrative U.S. market, this capital would come in handy.</p><p><blockquote>除了散户投资者在社交媒体上不断吸金之外，Sundial最切实的积极因素是其资产负债表。继上个月行使9830万份认股权证以及投资于<b>Indiva</b>，我估计该公司有6.8亿美元的可用现金。如果美国在联邦层面将大麻合法化，从而为加拿大大麻股票进入利润更高的美国市场铺平道路，这笔资金将派上用场。</blockquote></p><p> Then again, Sundial's cash hoard was built on the backs of its shareholders. In a five-month stretch, Sundial's share offerings, exercising of warrants, and debt-to-equity swapsincreased the company's outstanding share countby more than 1.1 billion. In more than two decades of investing, it's some of the worst share-based dilution I've witnessed. Worse yet, it's probably not over. The company's board OK'd a shelf offering that would allow the company to issue up to $1 billion in securities over time.</p><p><blockquote>话又说回来，日晷的现金储备是建立在股东的支持上的。在五个月的时间里，Sundial的股票发行、认股权证行使和债转股使公司的流通股数量增加了超过11亿股。在二十多年的投资生涯中，这是我所见过的最严重的股权稀释。更糟糕的是，这可能还没有结束。该公司董事会批准了一项搁置发行，允许该公司随着时间的推移发行最多10亿美元的证券。</blockquote></p><p> Despite being in a fast-growing industry, Sundial might also be one of the last pot stocks to generate a profit. The company is in the midst of an operating model shift from wholesale cannabis to retail, whichputs it well behind its peersat a time when most North American cannabis stocks are turning the corner to profitability.</p><p><blockquote>尽管日晷处于一个快速增长的行业，但它也可能是最后一批盈利的大麻股之一。该公司的运营模式正在从批发大麻转向零售，这使其远远落后于同行，而此时大多数北美大麻股票正在扭亏为盈。</blockquote></p><p> <b>3. NIO</b></p><p><blockquote><b>3.蔚来</b></blockquote></p><p> Electric-vehicle (EV) stocks have been virtually unstoppable for the past year, which is a big reason millennials and novice investors have piled into China-based <b>NIO</b>(NYSE:NIO).</p><p><blockquote>过去一年，电动汽车（EV）股票几乎势不可挡，这是千禧一代和新手投资者涌入中国的一个重要原因<b>蔚来</b>（纽约证券交易所代码：蔚来）。</blockquote></p><p> The fifth most-held stock on Robinhood delivered 43,728 EVs in 2020, which is more than double the 20,565 EVs delivered the year prior. It's also on pace todeliver 20,000 to 20,500 EVs just in the first quarter of 2021. Since China is the leading EV market in the world, and projections call for roughly half of all new vehicle sales in 2035 to be some form of alternative energy, NIO could effectively clean up with its innovative lineup.</p><p><blockquote>Robinhood第五大持股股票在2020年交付了43,728辆电动汽车，是前一年交付的20,565辆电动汽车的两倍多。该公司还有望在2021年第一季度交付20,000至20,500辆电动汽车。由于中国是全球领先的电动汽车市场，并且预计2035年看涨期权所有新车销量的大约一半将是某种形式的替代能源，因此蔚来可以通过其创新产品线有效地清理。</blockquote></p><p></p><p> Then again, we're talking about a company with a $61 billion market cap that's delivered 88,444 cumulative EVs since its inception. Some brand-nameauto stockscan produce this many vehicles in a week, or less. With NIO still in the process of ramping up its operations, losses have been and should continue to be an eyesore. Last year, NIO's nearly $813 million loss was a bit bigger than Wall Street had been expecting.</p><p><blockquote>话又说回来，我们谈论的是一家市值610亿美元的公司，自成立以来已累计交付了88,444辆电动汽车。一些品牌汽车库存可以在一周或更短的时间内生产这么多汽车。由于蔚来仍在扩大业务，亏损一直是而且应该继续是一个碍眼的问题。去年，蔚来近8.13亿美元的亏损略高于华尔街的预期。</blockquote></p><p> NIO is also expected toface an influx of domestic and foreign competition. That's not great news given that the auto industry generally produces only mediocre vehicle margins, at best.</p><p><blockquote>预计蔚来还将面临国内外竞争的涌入。考虑到汽车行业通常充其量只能产生平庸的汽车利润率，这不是一个好消息。</blockquote></p><p> Furthermore, retail investors are notorious for overestimating the introduction and adoption of next-big-thing investments. While there's no doubt that EVs will play a big role in future transportation, NIO hasn't even demonstrated that it can truly scale yet.</p><p><blockquote>此外，散户投资者因高估下一个重大投资的引入和采用而臭名昭著。虽然毫无疑问电动汽车将在未来的交通中发挥重要作用，但蔚来甚至还没有证明它可以真正扩大规模。</blockquote></p><p> <b>4. GameStop</b></p><p><blockquote><b>4.游戏驿站</b></blockquote></p><p> Lastly, the Reddit stock that started the retail investor frenzy,<b>GameStop</b>(NYSE:GME), chimes in as the 10th most-held Robinhood stock. Like AMC, itwas targeted by the WSB communityfor its exceptionally high short interest, relative to float. None of the Reddit rallies was more pronounced than GameStop's, which took its stock from $18 a share to nearly $500.</p><p><blockquote>最后，引发散户狂热的Reddit股票，<b>游戏驿站</b>（纽约证券交易所股票代码：GME），成为罗宾汉第十大持有股票。与AMC一样，它也因其相对于流通量极高的空头利息而成为WSB社区的目标。Reddit的涨势没有比游戏驿站更明显的了，该公司的股价从每股18美元涨至近500美元。</blockquote></p><p> But like the other top-10 Robinhood holdings here, GameStop's nosebleed valuation simply doesn't match up with its underlying fundamentals or outlook. For example, even though e-commerce sales during the holiday season advanced 309% from the prior-year period, total sales still declined by 3.1%. This is a reflection of GameStop closing 11% of its stores from the prior-year period.</p><p><blockquote>但与Robinhood持有的其他十大股票一样，游戏驿站令人鼻血的估值与其潜在的基本面或前景根本不匹配。例如，尽管节日期间电子商务销售额比去年同期增长了309%，但总销售额仍下降了3.1%。这反映了游戏驿站较去年同期关闭了11%的门店。</blockquote></p><p> The clear issue for the company is that it's brick-and-mortar-based in an increasingly digital world. GameStop waited far too long to begin its shift to digital gaming, and closing stores to cut costs is its only real game plan at this point. More than likely, GameStop is staring down a fourth consecutive annual loss this year.</p><p><blockquote>该公司面临的明显问题是，在日益数字化的世界中，它是以实体为基础的。游戏驿站等了太久才开始转向数字游戏，关闭商店以削减成本是其目前唯一真正的游戏计划。游戏驿站今年很可能面临连续第四年亏损。</blockquote></p><p> Though short-term investor emotions are impossible to predict, GameStop, NIO, Sundial, and AMC could all easily lose 50% (or more) of their value at some point in the not-so-distant future.</p><p><blockquote>尽管短期投资者情绪无法预测，但游戏驿站、蔚来、Sundial和AMC都可能在不久的将来的某个时候轻松损失50%（或更多）的价值。</blockquote></p><p></p>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n<p> 来源：<a href=\"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/03/08/4-robinhoods-top-10-stocks-could-lose-50-or-more/\">Motley Fool</a></p>\n<p>为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化</p>\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"GME":"游戏驿站","NIO":"蔚来","SNDL":"SNDL Inc.","AMC":"AMC院线"},"source_url":"https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/03/08/4-robinhoods-top-10-stocks-could-lose-50-or-more/","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1105965115","content_text":"Millennial and novice investors could be in for a rude awakening.\nThis past week was a clear reminder that volatility is always present in the stock market, and it can pop up when you least expect it. But chances are if you're a millennial or novice investor, you thrive off of volatility.\nLast year, online investing app Robinhood, which is best-known for its commission-free trades and gifting of free shares of stock to new members, picked up somewhere in the neighborhood of 3 million new users. This is noteworthy given that the average age of Robinhood's user base is only 31.\nMany of these young and/or novice investors have approached the market's wild vacillations as an opportunity to get rich quick. Unfortunately, chasing momentum and penny stocks has left many of these millennials with portfolios that contain awful companies.\nOf the 10 most-held stocks on Robinhood's platform, four could conceivably lose half their value, if not more.\n1. AMC Entertainment\nMovie theater operator AMC Entertainment(NYSE:AMC) is currently thethird most-held stock on the entire Robinhood platform. As you might already know, AMC has been one of the favorite stocks of Reddit's retail investor-focused WallStreetBets (WSB) chat community. These retail investors have banded together to buy shares and out-of-the-money call options on heavily short-sold stocks like AMC to effect a short squeeze. With AMC, they were highly successful in doing so.\nBut if you're looking for sustainable, real-world catalysts that could support a large move higher in AMC's stock, you're not going to find any. The big positive for the company in 2021 is simply that it was able to raise $917 million through a combination of share offerings and debt capital to stave off bankruptcy. But this cash may ultimately not prevent the inevitable.\nAMC is currently held hostage by the uncertainty surrounding the coronavirus pandemic. Even with a major vaccination effort under way in the U.S., the effectiveness of these vaccines at slowing variants of the disease, along with the willingness of adults to be vaccinated, could determine whether or not movie theaters reopen, and at what capacity.\nWhat's more, AMC Entertainment's operating model is under direct threat from streaming operators.AT&T subsidiary WarnerMedia is releasing all of its films in 2021 on HBO Max the same day they're slated to hit theaters.Walt Disney is making a similar move with some of its releases on its Disney+ service. If consumers prefer the convenience of their couch,AMC's operating model is toast.\n2. Sundial Growers\nCanadianmarijuana stock Sundial Growers(NASDAQ:SNDL), the fourth most-held stock on the platform, could also lose 50% (or more) of its value. Though Sundial's short interest is nowhere near as high as AMC (as a percentage of float), it's become a favorite penny stock among the WSB community.\nAside from relentless social media pumping from retail investors, the most tangible positive for Sundial is its balance sheet. Following the exercising of 98.3 million warrants last months, along with its investment in Indiva, I'd estimate the company has $680 million in available cash. If the U.S. were to legalize cannabis at the federal level, thereby paving the way for Canadian pot stocks to enter the far more lucrative U.S. market, this capital would come in handy.\nThen again, Sundial's cash hoard was built on the backs of its shareholders. In a five-month stretch, Sundial's share offerings, exercising of warrants, and debt-to-equity swapsincreased the company's outstanding share countby more than 1.1 billion. In more than two decades of investing, it's some of the worst share-based dilution I've witnessed. Worse yet, it's probably not over. The company's board OK'd a shelf offering that would allow the company to issue up to $1 billion in securities over time.\nDespite being in a fast-growing industry, Sundial might also be one of the last pot stocks to generate a profit. The company is in the midst of an operating model shift from wholesale cannabis to retail, whichputs it well behind its peersat a time when most North American cannabis stocks are turning the corner to profitability.\n3. NIO\nElectric-vehicle (EV) stocks have been virtually unstoppable for the past year, which is a big reason millennials and novice investors have piled into China-based NIO(NYSE:NIO).\nThe fifth most-held stock on Robinhood delivered 43,728 EVs in 2020, which is more than double the 20,565 EVs delivered the year prior. It's also on pace todeliver 20,000 to 20,500 EVs just in the first quarter of 2021. Since China is the leading EV market in the world, and projections call for roughly half of all new vehicle sales in 2035 to be some form of alternative energy, NIO could effectively clean up with its innovative lineup.\nThen again, we're talking about a company with a $61 billion market cap that's delivered 88,444 cumulative EVs since its inception. Some brand-nameauto stockscan produce this many vehicles in a week, or less. With NIO still in the process of ramping up its operations, losses have been and should continue to be an eyesore. Last year, NIO's nearly $813 million loss was a bit bigger than Wall Street had been expecting.\nNIO is also expected toface an influx of domestic and foreign competition. That's not great news given that the auto industry generally produces only mediocre vehicle margins, at best.\nFurthermore, retail investors are notorious for overestimating the introduction and adoption of next-big-thing investments. While there's no doubt that EVs will play a big role in future transportation, NIO hasn't even demonstrated that it can truly scale yet.\n4. GameStop\nLastly, the Reddit stock that started the retail investor frenzy,GameStop(NYSE:GME), chimes in as the 10th most-held Robinhood stock. Like AMC, itwas targeted by the WSB communityfor its exceptionally high short interest, relative to float. None of the Reddit rallies was more pronounced than GameStop's, which took its stock from $18 a share to nearly $500.\nBut like the other top-10 Robinhood holdings here, GameStop's nosebleed valuation simply doesn't match up with its underlying fundamentals or outlook. For example, even though e-commerce sales during the holiday season advanced 309% from the prior-year period, total sales still declined by 3.1%. This is a reflection of GameStop closing 11% of its stores from the prior-year period.\nThe clear issue for the company is that it's brick-and-mortar-based in an increasingly digital world. GameStop waited far too long to begin its shift to digital gaming, and closing stores to cut costs is its only real game plan at this point. More than likely, GameStop is staring down a fourth consecutive annual loss this year.\nThough short-term investor emotions are impossible to predict, GameStop, NIO, Sundial, and AMC could all easily lose 50% (or more) of their value at some point in the not-so-distant future.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMC":0.9,"NIO":0.9,"GME":0.9,"SNDL":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1416,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":54,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/329942461"}
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