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2021-03-10

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The global recovery is gaining speed. There are still huge risks<blockquote>全球复苏正在加速。仍然存在巨大风险</blockquote>

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{"i18n":{"language":"zh_CN"},"detailType":1,"isChannel":false,"data":{"magic":2,"id":323278614,"tweetId":"323278614","gmtCreate":1615350005538,"gmtModify":1703487738010,"author":{"id":3573253453360797,"idStr":"3573253453360797","authorId":3573253453360797,"authorIdStr":"3573253453360797","name":"Jway77","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fe5bfd37fce10446fe8cccf1475e282d","vip":1,"userType":1,"introduction":"","boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[],"wearingBadges":[],"fanSize":2,"starInvestorFlag":false},"themes":[],"images":[],"coverImages":[],"title":"","extraTitle":"","html":"<html><head></head><body>Good read&nbsp;</body></html>","htmlText":"<html><head></head><body>Good read&nbsp;</body></html>","text":"Good read","highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"favoriteSize":0,"link":"https://laohu8.com/post/323278614","repostId":1171122528,"repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1171122528","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1615348428,"share":"https://www.laohunote.com/m/news/1171122528?lang=zh_CN&edition=full","pubTime":"2021-03-10 11:53","market":"us","language":"en","title":"The global recovery is gaining speed. There are still huge risks<blockquote>全球复苏正在加速。仍然存在巨大风险</blockquote>","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1171122528","media":"cnn","summary":"London (CNN Business) Finally, some good news: The outlook for the global economy is clearly improvi","content":"London (CNN Business)&nbsp;Finally, some good news: The outlook for the global economy is clearly improving.<blockquote>伦敦（CNN Business）最后，一些好消息：全球经济前景明显好转。</blockquote>What's happening: The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development unveiled major upgrades to its global forecast on Tuesday. It said that \"economic prospects have improved markedly in recent months,\" pointing to the deployment of coronavirus vaccines and additional stimulus announcements.<blockquote>正在发生的事情：经济合作与发展组织周二公布了其全球预测的重大升级。它表示，“近几个月来经济前景显着改善”，指出冠状病毒疫苗的部署和额外的刺激措施公告。</blockquote>The Paris-based agency now expects the world economy to grow by 5.6% in 2021, an improvement of more than one percentage point from its estimate in December.<blockquote>这家总部位于巴黎的机构目前预计 2021 年世界经济将增长 5.6%，比 12 月份的预测提高了一个百分点以上。</blockquote>The US economy is predicted to expand by 6.5% this year, over three percentage points better than the December forecast. The agency pointed to the effects of \"strong fiscal support\" from President Joe Biden's $1.9 trillion stimulus package.<blockquote>美国经济预计今年将增长6.5%，比12月份的预测好三个百分点以上。该机构指出了乔·拜登总统1.9万亿美元刺激计划的“强有力的财政支持”的影响。</blockquote>But the OECD also emphasized that extreme uncertainty remains, and that plenty of factors could jeopardize the recovery.<blockquote>但经合组织也强调，极端的不确定性仍然存在，许多因素可能危及复苏。</blockquote>One example: Investors have become increasingly concerned that a rush of activity could trigger a spike in prices later this year, forcing central banks to raise interest rates or taper bond purchases sooner than expected.<blockquote>一个例子是：投资者越来越担心，经济活动的激增可能会在今年晚些时候引发价格飙升，迫使央行比预期更早加息或缩减债券购买规模。</blockquote>According to the OECD, a rebound in demand, especially from China, is pushing up food and metals prices, while oil prices have staged a strong comeback. But the group said it will be essential for policymakers to keep the stimulus coming, even if inflation overshoots some targets.<blockquote>据经合组织称，需求反弹，尤其是来自中国的需求反弹，正在推高食品和金属价格，而油价则强劲反弹。但该组织表示，即使通胀超过一些目标，政策制定者也必须继续实施刺激措施。</blockquote>The possibility of a sharp rise in prices is far from the only fear.<blockquote>价格大幅上涨的可能性远不是唯一的担忧。</blockquote>The agency noted that vaccine campaigns are moving at different speeds around the world, and coronavirus variants that resist vaccines could still emerge.<blockquote>该机构指出，世界各地的疫苗运动正在以不同的速度进行，对疫苗有抵抗力的冠状病毒变种仍有可能出现。</blockquote>\"Slow progress in vaccine rollout and the emergence of new virus mutations resistant to existing vaccines would result in a weaker recovery, larger job losses and more business failures,\" it said in its report.<blockquote>该公司在报告中表示：“疫苗推出进展缓慢以及对现有疫苗具有耐药性的新病毒变异的出现将导致复苏疲软、失业人数增加和企业倒闭。”</blockquote>The OECD also said that it's essential that governments maintain their support for the economy even as the situation starts to brighten. European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde has issued a similar warning, cautioning that countries should not \"brutally\" pull stimulus.<blockquote>经合组织还表示，即使形势开始好转，各国政府也必须保持对经济的支持。欧洲央行行长克里斯蒂娜·拉加德也发出了类似警告，警告各国不要“残酷地”拉动刺激。</blockquote>\"A premature tightening of fiscal policy must be avoided,\" the group said.<blockquote>“必须避免过早收紧财政政策，”该组织表示。</blockquote>Another worry is high levels of debt. The OECD focused on corporate debt loads, in particular, with debt servicing burdens at or above their level during the 2008 financial crisis even though interest rates are at historic lows.<blockquote>另一个担忧是高水平的债务。经合组织关注企业债务负担，特别是，尽管利率处于历史低位，但偿债负担仍处于或高于2008年金融危机期间的水平。</blockquote>\"Although some firms have used borrowing to build up sizable cash buffers since the onset of the pandemic, high leverage could moderate new investment,\" it said. If the recovery is slower than expected, or government support programs end too soon, this could \"trigger additional debt delinquencies or defaults.\"<blockquote>报告称：“尽管自疫情爆发以来，一些公司利用借贷来建立可观的现金缓冲，但高杠杆可能会抑制新投资。”如果复苏慢于预期，或者政府支持计划过早结束，这可能会“引发额外的债务拖欠或违约”。</blockquote>Right now, these are just hypotheticals. But so are expectations of booming growth, which are due to play out in the coming months. The OECD report is a reminder that while the outlook is brightening, it's also tentative.<blockquote>现在，这些只是假设。但对蓬勃发展的预期也是如此，这将在未来几个月内实现。经合组织的报告提醒人们，虽然前景一片光明，但也是试探性的。</blockquote>These stocks are thriving while Big Tech gets hammered<blockquote>这些股票正在蓬勃发展，而大型科技公司却遭受重创</blockquote>Tech companies are clearly the big losers in markets right now. Apple is nearing bear market territory, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite entered a correction on Monday, having dropped 10.5% below the record it notched in mid-February.<blockquote>科技公司显然是目前市场上的大输家。苹果正在接近熊市区域，而以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数周一进入调整，较 2 月中旬创下的纪录下跌 10.5%。</blockquote>But plenty of firms are benefiting from the stock market rotation, as investors give companies they'd dumped earlier in the pandemic a second look.<blockquote>但许多公司都从股市轮动中受益，因为投资者重新审视了他们在疫情早些时候抛售的公司。</blockquote>See here: Disney (DIS) shares jumped more than 6% Monday, while Visa (V) and American Express (AXP) both rose 2%.<blockquote>请参阅此处：迪士尼 (DIS) 股价周一上涨超过 6%，而 Visa (V) 和美国运通 (AXP) 均上涨 2%。</blockquote>These firms all stand to benefit if a strong economic rebound materializes later this year, sparking a surge in travel and consumer spending. They're getting more attention as Biden's $1.9 trillion stimulus bill heads back to the House of Representatives, where it's on track for a final vote Wednesday.<blockquote>如果今年晚些时候经济出现强劲反弹，引发旅游和消费者支出激增，这些公司都将受益。随着拜登的 1.9 万亿美元刺激法案返回众议院，他们受到了更多关注，该法案将于周三进行最终投票。</blockquote>Other winners: Shares of Southwest Airlines (LUV) gained 6.4% on Monday, while Gap (GPS) rose 5.8%. JPMorgan Chase's stock rose more than 1%.<blockquote>其他赢家：西南航空 (LUV) 股价周一上涨 6.4%，Gap (GPS) 上涨 5.8%。摩根大通股价上涨超过1%。</blockquote>This divide — fueled by Wall Street's growing interest in shares that may be undervalued — helps explain why the major US stock indexes have diverged in recent days. While the Nasdaq Composite plunged 2.4% on Monday, the Dow rose almost 1%.<blockquote>这种分歧——由华尔街对可能被低估的股票日益增长的兴趣加剧——有助于解释为什么美国主要股指最近几天出现分化。纳斯达克综合指数周一暴跌 2.4%，而道琼斯指数上涨近 1%。</blockquote>Analysts think the trend could continue if government bond yields keep pushing higher, making high-growth tech companies less attractive.<blockquote>分析师认为，如果政府债券收益率继续走高，导致高增长科技公司的吸引力下降，这一趋势可能会持续下去。</blockquote>\"The imminent passage of another huge fiscal support package in the US adds to our conviction that the reflation and rotation trends currently underway in bond and equity markets both have further to run,\" Oliver Jones, senior markets economist at Capital Economics, said in a note to clients.<blockquote>凯投宏观 (Capital Economics) 高级市场经济学家奥利弗·琼斯 (Oliver Jones) 表示：“美国即将通过另一项巨额财政支持计划，这让我们更加相信，目前债券和股票市场正在进行的再通胀和轮动趋势都将进一步延续。”在给客户的一份报告中。</blockquote>ViacomCBS shares are riding high<blockquote>维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司股价走高</blockquote>There's no escaping Prince Harry and Meghan Markle's blockbuster interview with Oprah this week. That's good news for ViacomCBS (VIACA), which aired the interview in the United States.<blockquote>哈里王子和梅根·马克尔本周接受奥普拉的重磅采访是不可避免的。这对在美国播出采访的维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司（VIACA）来说是个好消息。</blockquote>Shares of the media giant soared nearly 13% on Monday, reaching an all-time high. The interview drew 17 million viewers when it aired Sunday, according to Nielsen's TV ratings scale.<blockquote>这家媒体巨头的股价周一飙升近 13%，创下历史新高。根据尼尔森的电视收视率表，该采访在周日播出时吸引了1700万观众。</blockquote>Some context: CBS averaged 6.5 million viewers in prime time the previous Sunday night, my CNN Business colleague Brian Stelter reports. The two-hour special was also higher-rated than the most recent Emmys and Golden Globes award telecasts.<blockquote>一些背景：据我的CNN商业同事布莱恩·斯特尔特报道，哥伦比亚广播公司在上周日晚上的黄金时段平均有650万观众。这个两小时的特别节目的收视率也高于最近的艾美奖和金球奖电视节目。</blockquote>Watch this space: ViacomCBS shares were already riding high thanks to the launch of its Paramount+ streaming service, which debuted earlier this month. Whether the run-up can continue may depend on how many subscribers the company can nab in an increasingly crowded space.<blockquote>观看这个空间：由于本月早些时候推出的派拉蒙+流媒体服务，维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司的股价已经飙升。这种增长能否持续可能取决于该公司在日益拥挤的空间中能够吸引多少用户。</blockquote>Up next<blockquote>下一个</blockquote>The Children's Place (PLCE) and Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS) report results before US markets open. H&amp;R Block (HRB) follows after the close.<blockquote>儿童之家 (PLCE) 和迪克体育用品 (DKS) 在美国市场开盘前公布业绩。H&amp;R街区（HRB）紧随其后。</blockquote>Coming tomorrow: A key measure of inflation for February will provide fresh insight for investors nervous about higher prices.<blockquote>明天即将到来：2 月份通胀的一项关键指标将为担心价格上涨的投资者提供新的见解。</blockquote>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The global recovery is gaining speed. There are still huge risks<blockquote>全球复苏正在加速。仍然存在巨大风险</blockquote></title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 12.5px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe global recovery is gaining speed. There are still huge risks<blockquote>全球复苏正在加速。仍然存在巨大风险</blockquote>\n</h2>\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\ncnn2021-03-10 11:53\n\n</h4>\n</header>\n<article>\nLondon (CNN Business)&nbsp;Finally, some good news: The outlook for the global economy is clearly improving.<blockquote>伦敦（CNN Business）最后，一些好消息：全球经济前景明显好转。</blockquote>What's happening: The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development unveiled major upgrades to its global forecast on Tuesday. It said that \"economic prospects have improved markedly in recent months,\" pointing to the deployment of coronavirus vaccines and additional stimulus announcements.<blockquote>正在发生的事情：经济合作与发展组织周二公布了其全球预测的重大升级。它表示，“近几个月来经济前景显着改善”，指出冠状病毒疫苗的部署和额外的刺激措施公告。</blockquote>The Paris-based agency now expects the world economy to grow by 5.6% in 2021, an improvement of more than one percentage point from its estimate in December.<blockquote>这家总部位于巴黎的机构目前预计 2021 年世界经济将增长 5.6%，比 12 月份的预测提高了一个百分点以上。</blockquote>The US economy is predicted to expand by 6.5% this year, over three percentage points better than the December forecast. The agency pointed to the effects of \"strong fiscal support\" from President Joe Biden's $1.9 trillion stimulus package.<blockquote>美国经济预计今年将增长6.5%，比12月份的预测好三个百分点以上。该机构指出了乔·拜登总统1.9万亿美元刺激计划的“强有力的财政支持”的影响。</blockquote>But the OECD also emphasized that extreme uncertainty remains, and that plenty of factors could jeopardize the recovery.<blockquote>但经合组织也强调，极端的不确定性仍然存在，许多因素可能危及复苏。</blockquote>One example: Investors have become increasingly concerned that a rush of activity could trigger a spike in prices later this year, forcing central banks to raise interest rates or taper bond purchases sooner than expected.<blockquote>一个例子是：投资者越来越担心，经济活动的激增可能会在今年晚些时候引发价格飙升，迫使央行比预期更早加息或缩减债券购买规模。</blockquote>According to the OECD, a rebound in demand, especially from China, is pushing up food and metals prices, while oil prices have staged a strong comeback. But the group said it will be essential for policymakers to keep the stimulus coming, even if inflation overshoots some targets.<blockquote>据经合组织称，需求反弹，尤其是来自中国的需求反弹，正在推高食品和金属价格，而油价则强劲反弹。但该组织表示，即使通胀超过一些目标，政策制定者也必须继续实施刺激措施。</blockquote>The possibility of a sharp rise in prices is far from the only fear.<blockquote>价格大幅上涨的可能性远不是唯一的担忧。</blockquote>The agency noted that vaccine campaigns are moving at different speeds around the world, and coronavirus variants that resist vaccines could still emerge.<blockquote>该机构指出，世界各地的疫苗运动正在以不同的速度进行，对疫苗有抵抗力的冠状病毒变种仍有可能出现。</blockquote>\"Slow progress in vaccine rollout and the emergence of new virus mutations resistant to existing vaccines would result in a weaker recovery, larger job losses and more business failures,\" it said in its report.<blockquote>该公司在报告中表示：“疫苗推出进展缓慢以及对现有疫苗具有耐药性的新病毒变异的出现将导致复苏疲软、失业人数增加和企业倒闭。”</blockquote>The OECD also said that it's essential that governments maintain their support for the economy even as the situation starts to brighten. European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde has issued a similar warning, cautioning that countries should not \"brutally\" pull stimulus.<blockquote>经合组织还表示，即使形势开始好转，各国政府也必须保持对经济的支持。欧洲央行行长克里斯蒂娜·拉加德也发出了类似警告，警告各国不要“残酷地”拉动刺激。</blockquote>\"A premature tightening of fiscal policy must be avoided,\" the group said.<blockquote>“必须避免过早收紧财政政策，”该组织表示。</blockquote>Another worry is high levels of debt. The OECD focused on corporate debt loads, in particular, with debt servicing burdens at or above their level during the 2008 financial crisis even though interest rates are at historic lows.<blockquote>另一个担忧是高水平的债务。经合组织关注企业债务负担，特别是，尽管利率处于历史低位，但偿债负担仍处于或高于2008年金融危机期间的水平。</blockquote>\"Although some firms have used borrowing to build up sizable cash buffers since the onset of the pandemic, high leverage could moderate new investment,\" it said. If the recovery is slower than expected, or government support programs end too soon, this could \"trigger additional debt delinquencies or defaults.\"<blockquote>报告称：“尽管自疫情爆发以来，一些公司利用借贷来建立可观的现金缓冲，但高杠杆可能会抑制新投资。”如果复苏慢于预期，或者政府支持计划过早结束，这可能会“引发额外的债务拖欠或违约”。</blockquote>Right now, these are just hypotheticals. But so are expectations of booming growth, which are due to play out in the coming months. The OECD report is a reminder that while the outlook is brightening, it's also tentative.<blockquote>现在，这些只是假设。但对蓬勃发展的预期也是如此，这将在未来几个月内实现。经合组织的报告提醒人们，虽然前景一片光明，但也是试探性的。</blockquote>These stocks are thriving while Big Tech gets hammered<blockquote>这些股票正在蓬勃发展，而大型科技公司却遭受重创</blockquote>Tech companies are clearly the big losers in markets right now. Apple is nearing bear market territory, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite entered a correction on Monday, having dropped 10.5% below the record it notched in mid-February.<blockquote>科技公司显然是目前市场上的大输家。苹果正在接近熊市区域，而以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数周一进入调整，较 2 月中旬创下的纪录下跌 10.5%。</blockquote>But plenty of firms are benefiting from the stock market rotation, as investors give companies they'd dumped earlier in the pandemic a second look.<blockquote>但许多公司都从股市轮动中受益，因为投资者重新审视了他们在疫情早些时候抛售的公司。</blockquote>See here: Disney (DIS) shares jumped more than 6% Monday, while Visa (V) and American Express (AXP) both rose 2%.<blockquote>请参阅此处：迪士尼 (DIS) 股价周一上涨超过 6%，而 Visa (V) 和美国运通 (AXP) 均上涨 2%。</blockquote>These firms all stand to benefit if a strong economic rebound materializes later this year, sparking a surge in travel and consumer spending. They're getting more attention as Biden's $1.9 trillion stimulus bill heads back to the House of Representatives, where it's on track for a final vote Wednesday.<blockquote>如果今年晚些时候经济出现强劲反弹，引发旅游和消费者支出激增，这些公司都将受益。随着拜登的 1.9 万亿美元刺激法案返回众议院，他们受到了更多关注，该法案将于周三进行最终投票。</blockquote>Other winners: Shares of Southwest Airlines (LUV) gained 6.4% on Monday, while Gap (GPS) rose 5.8%. JPMorgan Chase's stock rose more than 1%.<blockquote>其他赢家：西南航空 (LUV) 股价周一上涨 6.4%，Gap (GPS) 上涨 5.8%。摩根大通股价上涨超过1%。</blockquote>This divide — fueled by Wall Street's growing interest in shares that may be undervalued — helps explain why the major US stock indexes have diverged in recent days. While the Nasdaq Composite plunged 2.4% on Monday, the Dow rose almost 1%.<blockquote>这种分歧——由华尔街对可能被低估的股票日益增长的兴趣加剧——有助于解释为什么美国主要股指最近几天出现分化。纳斯达克综合指数周一暴跌 2.4%，而道琼斯指数上涨近 1%。</blockquote>Analysts think the trend could continue if government bond yields keep pushing higher, making high-growth tech companies less attractive.<blockquote>分析师认为，如果政府债券收益率继续走高，导致高增长科技公司的吸引力下降，这一趋势可能会持续下去。</blockquote>\"The imminent passage of another huge fiscal support package in the US adds to our conviction that the reflation and rotation trends currently underway in bond and equity markets both have further to run,\" Oliver Jones, senior markets economist at Capital Economics, said in a note to clients.<blockquote>凯投宏观 (Capital Economics) 高级市场经济学家奥利弗·琼斯 (Oliver Jones) 表示：“美国即将通过另一项巨额财政支持计划，这让我们更加相信，目前债券和股票市场正在进行的再通胀和轮动趋势都将进一步延续。”在给客户的一份报告中。</blockquote>ViacomCBS shares are riding high<blockquote>维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司股价走高</blockquote>There's no escaping Prince Harry and Meghan Markle's blockbuster interview with Oprah this week. That's good news for ViacomCBS (VIACA), which aired the interview in the United States.<blockquote>哈里王子和梅根·马克尔本周接受奥普拉的重磅采访是不可避免的。这对在美国播出采访的维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司（VIACA）来说是个好消息。</blockquote>Shares of the media giant soared nearly 13% on Monday, reaching an all-time high. The interview drew 17 million viewers when it aired Sunday, according to Nielsen's TV ratings scale.<blockquote>这家媒体巨头的股价周一飙升近 13%，创下历史新高。根据尼尔森的电视收视率表，该采访在周日播出时吸引了1700万观众。</blockquote>Some context: CBS averaged 6.5 million viewers in prime time the previous Sunday night, my CNN Business colleague Brian Stelter reports. The two-hour special was also higher-rated than the most recent Emmys and Golden Globes award telecasts.<blockquote>一些背景：据我的CNN商业同事布莱恩·斯特尔特报道，哥伦比亚广播公司在上周日晚上的黄金时段平均有650万观众。这个两小时的特别节目的收视率也高于最近的艾美奖和金球奖电视节目。</blockquote>Watch this space: ViacomCBS shares were already riding high thanks to the launch of its Paramount+ streaming service, which debuted earlier this month. Whether the run-up can continue may depend on how many subscribers the company can nab in an increasingly crowded space.<blockquote>观看这个空间：由于本月早些时候推出的派拉蒙+流媒体服务，维亚康姆哥伦比亚广播公司的股价已经飙升。这种增长能否持续可能取决于该公司在日益拥挤的空间中能够吸引多少用户。</blockquote>Up next<blockquote>下一个</blockquote>The Children's Place (PLCE) and Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS) report results before US markets open. H&amp;R Block (HRB) follows after the close.<blockquote>儿童之家 (PLCE) 和迪克体育用品 (DKS) 在美国市场开盘前公布业绩。H&amp;R街区（HRB）紧随其后。</blockquote>Coming tomorrow: A key measure of inflation for February will provide fresh insight for investors nervous about higher prices.<blockquote>明天即将到来：2 月份通胀的一项关键指标将为担心价格上涨的投资者提供新的见解。</blockquote>\n<div class=\"bt-text\">\n\n\n 来源：<a href=\"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/03/09/investing/premarket-stocks-trading/index.html\">cnn</a>\n为提升您的阅读体验，我们对本页面进行了排版优化\n\n\n</div>\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://edition.cnn.com/2021/03/09/investing/premarket-stocks-trading/index.html","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1171122528","content_text":"London (CNN Business) Finally, some good news: The outlook for the global economy is clearly improving.What's happening: The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development unveiled major upgrades to its global forecast on Tuesday. It said that \"economic prospects have improved markedly in recent months,\" pointing to the deployment of coronavirus vaccines and additional stimulus announcements.The Paris-based agency now expects the world economy to grow by 5.6% in 2021, an improvement of more than one percentage point from its estimate in December.The US economy is predicted to expand by 6.5% this year, over three percentage points better than the December forecast. The agency pointed to the effects of \"strong fiscal support\" from President Joe Biden's $1.9 trillion stimulus package.But the OECD also emphasized that extreme uncertainty remains, and that plenty of factors could jeopardize the recovery.One example: Investors have become increasingly concerned that a rush of activity could trigger a spike in prices later this year, forcing central banks to raise interest rates or taper bond purchases sooner than expected.According to the OECD, a rebound in demand, especially from China, is pushing up food and metals prices, while oil prices have staged a strong comeback. But the group said it will be essential for policymakers to keep the stimulus coming, even if inflation overshoots some targets.The possibility of a sharp rise in prices is far from the only fear.The agency noted that vaccine campaigns are moving at different speeds around the world, and coronavirus variants that resist vaccines could still emerge.\"Slow progress in vaccine rollout and the emergence of new virus mutations resistant to existing vaccines would result in a weaker recovery, larger job losses and more business failures,\" it said in its report.The OECD also said that it's essential that governments maintain their support for the economy even as the situation starts to brighten. European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde has issued a similar warning, cautioning that countries should not \"brutally\" pull stimulus.\"A premature tightening of fiscal policy must be avoided,\" the group said.Another worry is high levels of debt. The OECD focused on corporate debt loads, in particular, with debt servicing burdens at or above their level during the 2008 financial crisis even though interest rates are at historic lows.\"Although some firms have used borrowing to build up sizable cash buffers since the onset of the pandemic, high leverage could moderate new investment,\" it said. If the recovery is slower than expected, or government support programs end too soon, this could \"trigger additional debt delinquencies or defaults.\"Right now, these are just hypotheticals. But so are expectations of booming growth, which are due to play out in the coming months. The OECD report is a reminder that while the outlook is brightening, it's also tentative.These stocks are thriving while Big Tech gets hammeredTech companies are clearly the big losers in markets right now. Apple is nearing bear market territory, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite entered a correction on Monday, having dropped 10.5% below the record it notched in mid-February.But plenty of firms are benefiting from the stock market rotation, as investors give companies they'd dumped earlier in the pandemic a second look.See here: Disney (DIS) shares jumped more than 6% Monday, while Visa (V) and American Express (AXP) both rose 2%.These firms all stand to benefit if a strong economic rebound materializes later this year, sparking a surge in travel and consumer spending. They're getting more attention as Biden's $1.9 trillion stimulus bill heads back to the House of Representatives, where it's on track for a final vote Wednesday.Other winners: Shares of Southwest Airlines (LUV) gained 6.4% on Monday, while Gap (GPS) rose 5.8%. JPMorgan Chase's stock rose more than 1%.This divide — fueled by Wall Street's growing interest in shares that may be undervalued — helps explain why the major US stock indexes have diverged in recent days. While the Nasdaq Composite plunged 2.4% on Monday, the Dow rose almost 1%.Analysts think the trend could continue if government bond yields keep pushing higher, making high-growth tech companies less attractive.\"The imminent passage of another huge fiscal support package in the US adds to our conviction that the reflation and rotation trends currently underway in bond and equity markets both have further to run,\" Oliver Jones, senior markets economist at Capital Economics, said in a note to clients.ViacomCBS shares are riding highThere's no escaping Prince Harry and Meghan Markle's blockbuster interview with Oprah this week. That's good news for ViacomCBS (VIACA), which aired the interview in the United States.Shares of the media giant soared nearly 13% on Monday, reaching an all-time high. The interview drew 17 million viewers when it aired Sunday, according to Nielsen's TV ratings scale.Some context: CBS averaged 6.5 million viewers in prime time the previous Sunday night, my CNN Business colleague Brian Stelter reports. The two-hour special was also higher-rated than the most recent Emmys and Golden Globes award telecasts.Watch this space: ViacomCBS shares were already riding high thanks to the launch of its Paramount+ streaming service, which debuted earlier this month. Whether the run-up can continue may depend on how many subscribers the company can nab in an increasingly crowded space.Up nextThe Children's Place (PLCE) and Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS) report results before US markets open. H&R Block (HRB) follows after the close.Coming tomorrow: A key measure of inflation for February will provide fresh insight for investors nervous about higher prices.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":824,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":8,"subscribersOnly":false,"subscribersOnlyAccessible":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"isCommentEnd":true,"isTiger":false,"isWeiXinMini":false,"url":"/m/post/323278614"}